The Real Investment Show Podcast

(8/31/23) Markets have had four days of advancing action following a 5% correction; markets are not yet back to extreme over-bought conditions. There is still some room in this rally to get the S&P back up to around 4,600. September tends to be a historically weak month...but, when August has had a reversal of July's gains, September tends to be a positive month. On average. For now, the data suggests that market momentum will carry on for the next several days. Be sure to check out this weekend's newsletter for a more in-depth review of what we see happening, and what we're expecting in September. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6H_9akXBRrU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #MarketHigh #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MarketRally #Money #Investing

(8/30/23) There will be some short-term economic benefit from the landfall of Hurricane Idalia in Florida--a momentary boost from damage repairs spending. Economic data has been coming in better-than-expected (because estimates had been lowered); bad news is good news again, in hopes the Fed will lower rates. Markets on Tuesday cleared resistance at the 20- and 50-DMA's; mid- and small-company bankruptcies are on the rise as lag effect of higher interest rates sets in. A recent survey reveals 25% of young respondents' life goals are to be a "social media influencer." What would you do with a financial windfall? Economic report preview; there's been no gain in the market ex- the 7 stocks driving activity. Bankruptcies are on the rise in smaller companies; there are 10 prescription drugs up for price negotiation with Medicare. Look for hidden details in the Inflation Reduction Act (like a disable switch for EV's!) Old Cars, Old Guys, and Retirement. 8 things you need to know about Estate Planning, including how to divvy-up the assets, two kinds of accounts, life insurance, and long term care. SEG-1: The Short-term Economic Impact of Hurricane Idalia SEG-2: What Do You Want to Be When You Grow Up? SEG-3: Economic Report Preview: Old Cars, Old Guys, & Retirement SEG-4: 8 Things You Need to Know About Estate Planning Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1UKs7gc6TE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Hopeful as Data Declines" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1ozy4sE7LA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The "Do Whatever it Takes" Economy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FvIarQfZHOI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "10 Best Days – A Meme For Every Bull Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-best-days-a-meme-for-every-bull-market/ "Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-surge-will-lead-to-lower-rates-not-higher/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #HurricaneIdalia #EconomicImpact #MarketRally #InterestRates #Inflation #EstatePlanning #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/30/23) Economic data has been "better than expected." Markets cleared the 20- and 50-DMA Tuesday, surpassing resistance to get back to previous highs. The MACD buy-signal was triggered; the market is somewhat overbought, so expect a bit of a pullback today following yesterday's 1.5% rally. However, this is still a very much bifurcated market, with Tuesday's rally almost entirely in the mega-cap stocks, which are flush with cash. (Bankruptcies were up 71% last month among smaller companies, as higher interest rates began to really weigh on more highly leveraged companies.) This is not a market that is equally built across all sectors. Most of the risk in the market now is in these small- and mid-cap companies. The strategy now is to chase stocks that have the least risk of bankruptcy. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1ozy4sE7LA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #MarketHigh #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MarketRally #Money #Investing

(8/29/23) Hurricane Idalia is bearing down on Florida; will there be epic adventure stories from Florida Man? Will markets "catch-up" to economic data, or will the data begin to prove-out market optimism? Will there be a recession (still) or a soft-landing? Market rallies; more positive action to come? Challenging the 20- and 50-DMA: Have markets achieved highs for 2023? Factors that drive markets: Politics, geo-politics, economics, sentiment; What will be the impact of Student Loan Payment resumption? AI is estimated to replace 300-million jobs; what will be economic impact? What are the arguments driving markets? Markets are voting machines & weighing machines. Money in motion creates fees; long-term investors vs traders; importance of knowing the difference. The weight of reality vs FOMO & investor sentiment; when does the weight start to set-in? Debt service is diverting revenue from economic growth. The Fed is stuck between high rates and high inflation. How home builders are revising house plans to meet buyer realities. As goes China, so goes others' economies. Example of economic failure: China's empty cities & transportation systems = artificial growth. No one is using them. The "beauty" Socialism and Communism is always undone by human nature. Do we really want a "Do Whatever it Takes" economy? Why Baby Boomers are the luckiest generation alive: slotted into time period with remarkable market gains. Why are we afraid of recession? SEG-1: Hurricanes & Florida Man; Will Markets Catch-up to Economic Data? SEG-2: Has the Market Hit its High for the Year? SEG-3: The Weight of Reality vs FOMO & Investor Sentiment SEG-4: Do We Really Want a "Do Whatever It takes" Economy? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FvIarQfZHOI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Have Markets Set the High for the Year?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AbzKie4F5Kk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will September Be Better than August?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d2Mq_Rp1_yA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "10 Best Days – A Meme For Every Bull Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-best-days-a-meme-for-every-bull-market/ "Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-surge-will-lead-to-lower-rates-not-higher/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #HurricaneIdalia #MarketRally #FOMO #InvestorSentiment #Socialism #Communism #HumanNature #BabyBoomers #InterestRates #Inflation #China #LAgEffect #ESG #Blackrock #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/29/23) Markets a bullish and condensed, earnings estimates are still on the rise, and everyone is expecting things will be better, going forward. Last month's correction has not taken away from the bullish exuberance in the markets. Markets continued to rally on Monday, and a few more days' positive action will turn the MACD Sell signal into a buy signal. Markets today will challenge the 20- and 50-DMA, currently sitting atop one another. If those levels can be achieved, then markets can move higher. The question now is, have markets already set their high-point for the year? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AbzKie4F5Kk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #MarketHigh #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MarketRally #Money #Investing

(8/28/23) AOC to ban Donald Trump Mug shot glasses? Capitalism at its best. The NVDIA aftermath. More supplemental funding for vaccines: Follow the money. Defining capitalism. Markets having a sloppy month: is better performance ahead? Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech: Blaming Ukraine war for inflation (!) A review of how we measure core inflation. What Powell left out of his speech; "Navigating under cloudy skies." Still plenty of risk despite market performance. No significant downturn ahead (the problem with lagging indicators. Things to watch out for: 3-5% correction was needed, to be followed by rally. Earnings expectations are coming down for 2024. China's impact on US economy. Biden's curbs on Chinese chip components. (That we're talking about these possibilities means markets are already adjusting for these.) The lag effect of Fed rate hikes are still to be felt; September is typically a weak month, but not as much if August is weak also. More ESG nonsense: The number of ESG ideas owned by Blackrock are becoming fewer; companies in ESG movement are not doing well. Disney is now trading at a 9-year low; Busch, Target: Not selling what consumers want. Visiting Disney: No crowds! SEG-1: Donald Trump Mug shot glasses & Capitalism: Follow the money! SEG-2: Jerome Powell's Nothing Burger: Rate Hikes ending sooner than later SEG-3: Things to Watch Out For: What Could Cause Problems? SEG-4: More ESG Nonsense Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d2Mq_Rp1_yA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Better Market Performance Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JXXP8QjlbKk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Five Steps to Retirement in Five Years" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lEmSHUz_658&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-surge-will-lead-to-lower-rates-not-higher/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #China #LAgEffect #ESG #Blackrock #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/28/23) This has been a rare month in August, with the S&P unable to string together more than two positive days in a row. The sell-signal has gotten pretty over-sold, at this point, and the market is starting to flatten out, basing at teh 100-DNA. Relative strength is improving, suggesting a little more "push" in the markets over the next week or so, and it would appear things could improve in September. China's economy and the dollar rally, as well as interest rates will affect the US economy by year's end. The emerging lag effect of higher rates on credit card payments and other loans will also impact consumer spending into the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JXXP8QjlbKk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SloppyAugust #China #LagEffect #INterestRates #MarketRally #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MarketRally #Money #Investing

(8/25/23) Markets await comments today from Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole confab; inflation is not going away, and is affecting financial planning: What is your risk tolerance now? Five steps to retirement in five years: What's your number? Healthcare expenses; Medicare mistakes to avoid; Reducing debt (what is your debt costing you?); What are your savings rates? Budgeting and knowing income stream sourcing. Why and when are more workers calling-in sick? Managing guaranteed income, and ramping up risk. Refining retirement goals; discovering what retirement really looks like. Should you put funds in Roth 401k? SEG-1: Inflation Is Not Going Away SEG-2: Five Steps to Retirement in Five Years, Pt-1 SEG-3: Five Steps to Retirement in Five Years, Pt-2 SEG-4: Calling in Sick; Managing Money in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lEmSHUz_658&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Battle with Cluster of Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QQeitp8yzQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Jerome Powell Address Markets at Jackson Hole?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FgaYJ7Hfdk8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bond Traders And Their Bearish Stories" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-traders-and-their-bearish-stories "Stock Market Rally Coming? And Investing In 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-market-rally-coming-and-investing-in-2024/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #Retirement #Roth #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/24/23) NVDIA's earnings report blows off the doors; market action will be driven by this news today. But NVDIA outlook is for slower growth moving forward. The company is fast on track to be as big if not bigger than Microsoft. Meanwhile, Wall Street is starting to ratchet down estimates for 2024, approaching reality. Can the S&P clear 4,400 with seasonal weakness still ahead? The Jackson Hole Preview: former Fed Gov. Bullard sees economic growth as a threat, requiring higher interest rates; Fed forecast; Higher for Longer. Will Jerome Powell address the "Neutral Rate" (2%) thesis? The Fed always expects stronger growth, but... Bond Bulls vs Bears: Debt creates growth as it is spent, but becomes a net drag on economic growth; the trend of growth is slowing. Markets are hopeful for a positive Fed, with rate cuts next year. What will be the impact of AI on productivity and the economy? Same effect as the World Wide Web: Productivity growth continues to slip; the threat of AI: Replacing high-wage earning jobs, reducing labor multiplier effect. The markets' rally is narrow; where do we go from here? The Mega Cap differential; how higher rates will affect earnings. Will Powel address the stock markets; is 3% inflation "good enough?" SEG-1: NVDIA Blows Off the Doors SEG-2: Jackson Hole Preview SEG-3: What's the Impact of AI on Economy & Productivity? SEG-4: The Narrow Market Rally: Where do we go from here? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FgaYJ7Hfdk8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Battle with Cluster of Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QQeitp8yzQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Do Rising Treasury Yields Mean?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oQzn4n7QHjw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bond Traders And Their Bearish Stories" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bond-traders-and-their-bearish-stories "Stock Market Rally Coming? And Investing In 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-market-rally-coming-and-investing-in-2024/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NVDIA #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #AI #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/24/23) Markets have been very oversold, and there is great anticipation for a rally as markets approach a cluster of resistance at the convergence of the 50-DMA and 20-DMA sitting in top of each other. If the S&P can get above 4,440, that will clear the way for a retest of the highs set back in July, but does not necessarily mean this season of correction is over. The seasonal, summer weakness, however, could create choppy conditions as these forces do battle. The market bifurcation continues between the S&P 500 and other indexes, like the Small Cap and Mid Cap indexes. So this is really a concentrated rally, as money is going to a select few stocks. Following its blow-out report, NVDIA will be the market driver today. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QQeitp8yzQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MarketRally #NVDIA #TechSector #Money #Investing

(8/23/23) It's NVDIA Report Day: The NVDIA Drinking Game: How many times will they mention, "AI?" Economic data & the Citi Economic Surprise Index. Manufacturing data is not improving; what happens on the Services side? Dick's, Nike, Target, et al earnings and outlooks not good; WalMart & Kohl's are okay. Markets rally and sell-off Tuesday. The Barbie Movie: To see or not to see? What's the implication behind rise in Treasury yields: higher real rates & expectations for direction in rates; expectation for no recession and stronger economic growth for next several years (are they right?) Refilling the SPR: How will that affect inflation? (It won't): How CPI is calculated. The cost of electric & water utilities: How we measure personal inflation. Are we spending too much on our kids' extra-curricular activities? Parents spending themselves into bankruptcy, and then must rely on children for support in retirement. Former Fed Gov James Bullard believes stronger economic growth will require higher interest rates. SEG-1: The NVDIA Drinking Game & Economic Data SEG-2: The Barbie Movie & The Meaning Behind the Rise in Treasury Yields SEG-3: Inflation & The SPR, and the Cost of Keeping Cool SEG-4: Why Kids Are Expensive; James Bullard Goes for Broke Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oQzn4n7QHjw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets Hold Onto Highs?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=76sWZr6xbYE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What's in Store for 2024?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JTfxWEwyWpk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stock Market Rally Coming? And Investing In 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-market-rally-coming-and-investing-in-2024/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NVDIA #TreasuryYields #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #CPI #PersonalInflation #BarbieMovie #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/23/23) Markets rallied a bit on Tuesday before selling off by the close; nothing out of the ordinary. Futures this morning are pointing higher, and an ideal situation would be for markets to close higher today. Markets are still trying to push up resistance to where the 20- and 50-DMA converge, but we're still on a sell signal at this point; that signal is starting to flatten. This suggests we could be close to working out the over-bought condition. Caution and patience are the watchwords at this point; avoid any knee-jerk reactions. The big bear market is not coming back here; markets are just having a much-needed correction, and this may provide you with an opportunity to add money to certain sectors. Watch the news for NVDIA's report today; a big miss will weigh heavily on the tech sector. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=76sWZr6xbYE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MarketRally #NVDIA #TechSector #Money #Investing

(8/22/23) All eyes are on NVDIA's report and the fulfilment(?) of 50% sales increase promises. Sustainability of growth numbers will be key. Fed governors are holding Jackson Hole prelude meetings. VIX has been creeping upward; markets correction of 5%; higher close on Monday, but no buy signal yet triggered. Expect another pullback prior to setting up for October rally; commodities are a concern. What's in store for 2024: A history of normal market oscillations. Volatility is the toll we pay for investing. The set-up for a market rally is in place, but there's no guarantee it will occur. Where best to invest in 2024: How sectors roll in- and-out-of-favor. Winners & Losers this year: Where might they be next year? Logical rotation into interest rate-sensitive sectors: Laggards to leaders, leaders to laggards. Earnings preview, economic data preview: Consumer-focused stocks. Strong results vs what the government says. Outlook going forward (and holiday shopping) will be key. Existing Home Sales: What the numbers really mean; the problem with annualized numbers. The real worry will be deflation. SEG-1: Can Earnings Growth Rate Be Sustained? SEG-2: What's in Store for 2024? SEG-3: Where Best to Invest in 2024 SEG-4: Earnings & Economic Data Preview; The Problem with Annualized Numbers Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JTfxWEwyWpk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Setting Up for October Action" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-xekP5Q3tQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=2 ------- Our previous show is here: "Should Parents Pay for Kids' Vacations?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wnhtsmE4Pqo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "As Rates Rise, Why I Personally Doubled Down On Bonds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "A Recession Is Coming, Or Is It?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-recession-is-coming-or-is-it/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketVolatility #MarketRally #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/22/23) Markets have had a nice, 5% sell off, as expected (and completely normal within any given year). Markets on Monday got within a stone's throw of the 100-DMA before rallying, and we're looking today for a continuation of that rally effort. So far, no buy signal has yet been triggered. The next point of resistance will be the convergence of the 20- and 50-DMA, somewhere around 4,450. After that a pullback, which will provide a decent opportunity to add exposure to portfolios, and finish this cycle of correction, probably sometime in September. That will set up for the typical October-November-December market action. Watch for a pick-up in volatility during this period, ahead of the end-of-the-year push. Underperforming hedge funds will also push assets into the markets. How the timing of all this actually plays out remains to be seen. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-xekP5Q3tQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MarketRally #Money #Investing

(8/21/23) Back to School & The Rocky Racoon Saga comes to a close; Jackson Hole preview: Will Powell change his stance? Could the Markets correct some more? MACD Oscillation is consistent with bullish market trend. Should parents pay for kids' vacation? The difference between sense of entitlement and sense of responsibility. The 401k Millionaire Report: Up 13%. A look at the numbers (reality): 1% of 401k are $1-Million+; average balance is $112k; median balance is $65k. Market Preview: Reflexive rally = opportunity to trim risk; we're still awaiting the impact of The Lag Effect of interest rate hikes, and the bite it's going to take out of the economy. The Greater Fool Theory: the willingness of buyers to pay a higher price...until they're not. Why NVDIA is over-priced for now. SEG-1: Back to School & Jackson Hole Preview SEG-2: Should Your Parents Pay for Your Vacation? SEG-3: Why "More" 401k Millionaires is no big deal SEG-4: Waiting on the Lag Effect & The Greater Fool Theory Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wnhtsmE4Pqo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Finding Opportunity in Market Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WFyFGs-MIxY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Mandatory Savings Ahead?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0wBfWpCvQmo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "As Rates Rise, Why I Personally Doubled Down On Bonds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "A Recession Is Coming, Or Is It?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-recession-is-coming-or-is-it/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #LagEffect #401kMillionaires #Vacation #Entitlement #Responsibility #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/21/23) More market correction is possible, but not likely without a reflexive rally first. Following market peaks in July, we forecast an overdue correction. Last week saw the completion of a 5% correction, and now retesting support at the 100-DMA. This is not only normal, but expected behavior in any given year. Could the market correct further? Sure, but likely not without some bit of a reflexive rally (which may be little more than an over-sold bounce). Bullish sentiment in July has now tapered to a more neutral mood. The fuel for a bit of a rally over the next few days is now in place, and this would provide an opportunity to trim portfolios and reduce risk. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WFyFGs-MIxY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MarketRally #Money #Investing

(8/18/23) Market over-exuberance is now letting off steam; high interest rates are likely here to stay for a while. WalMart results reflecting more traffic from upper-income households suffering impact of inflation. The Peak-65 retirement trend shows less than half of retirees have less than $100k in investible funds; states moving to automatic savings into Roth IRA's; the downside of state-sponsored savings plans: Who administers/custodian? Looking for deflation: Prices aren't coming down, but the rate of increase is slowing; the Fed likely has two more rate hikes in store. "Shift-up:" More unemployment claims coming from upper-income earners. How long can this last with the chipping away of fiscal responsibility? Impact on investors: frustration in diversified portfolios. Why you need a 10% pullback in markets (and what has happened to all the AI hype-narratives?) Pet Medical Care & Willingness of 78% to go into debt for pet health. The importance of setting up pet healthcare goals in financial plans. Pet care insurance (Healthy Paws) and importance of understanding stipulations & how to handle claims. I have no idea why we ended up talking about Brittney Spears' divorce at the end. That's just bizarre. SEG-1: Over-exuberant Markets Letting off Steam SEG-2: Mandatory Retirement Savings; Boon or Bust? SEG-3: The Shift-up in Higher Income Unemployment SEG-4: Pet Medical Care & Pet Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0wBfWpCvQmo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Flirting with Moving Averages" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CFhjvXPbEW4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are We There, Yet?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GI4qz_yWo1s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: Government Bonds Or Stocks? Which Is A Better Choice Now? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/government-bonds-or-stocks-which-is-a-better-choice-now/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #RetirementSavings #PetHealthcare #Unemployment #Peak65 #RetailSales #FedTarget #Bonds #USTreasuries #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/17/23) The Atlanta Fed is now predicting GDP growth at 5.8% for the 3rd quarter, and another rate increase is expected as liquidity continues to move through the system. The S&P needs to get above 50-DMA; correction is normal, and the bullish trend continues. Target vs WalMart: A tale of two retailers. Consumer sentiment is better; no Recession coming? FOMC meeting minutes reveal more rate hikes to come, but Fed's views are mixed. Keeping a hawkish tone while allowing lag effect to play out. What will be a Black Swan Event? The saga of the Roberts' Racoon continues; the Yeti casket; why have markets been rallying? Does this now set-up for Recession? The Lag Effect is real. Consumers and Corporate were preparing for higher rates by buying houses at low rates and borrowing when money was cheap. The Lag Effect is more "laggy" than expected. Important to pay attention to warning signs, like credit spreads. Will the Fed raise rates again? What's the best long-term strategy for investors? Is this time different for bond holders, as Economy is climbing out of declines? No: Too much unproductive debt outstanding. SEG-1: GDP Growth Predictions = 5.8% SEG-2: Fed Views are Mixed: Hawkish but Waiting SEG-3: Rocky Racoon, Yeti Caskets, the Lag Effect is Real SEG-4: The Ingredients of Recession Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GI4qz_yWo1s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Flirting with Moving Averages" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CFhjvXPbEW4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Raise Inflation Target to 3%?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-cXKZz7QHTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: Government Bonds Or Stocks? Which Is A Better Choice Now? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/government-bonds-or-stocks-which-is-a-better-choice-now/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #RetailSales #FedTarget #Bonds #USTreasuries #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JacksonHole #EarningsSeason #Recession #FinancialCrisis #WealthInequality #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/17/23) Can markets reclaim the 50-DMA and negate its breakage of that support level? Yesterday's downside close was probably the break we were looking for. Markets are oversold, and a rally back to the 50-DMA that fails will set up for a re-test of the 100-DMA. This is a normal correction within any bull market rally. Moving averages are now catching up to the market, and prices are coming down towards a convergence with the moving averages. Earnings and underlying data have been okay this year, thus far. The recent uptick in rates is now weighing on markets, financials in particular, but really nothing to worry about, as the corrective process is normal. This may provide you with a buying opportunity in some areas that are now beaten down. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CFhjvXPbEW4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MarketRally #Money #Investing

(8/16/23) The continuing saga of Rocky Racoon at the Roberts' house; Retail Sales are still strong; the Atlanta Fed's GDP forecast calls for 5% growth = Inflation is still present, so no rate cuts from the Fed: Markets sell off. Will the Fed raise its Inflation Target to 3%? Economic Data sees no Recession, and more rate hikes are possibility. Markets break the 50-DMA and need to recover by week's end. Market & Data report preview: Bob Doll's Five Questions answered by Lance & Danny. Bullishness vs Bearishness; Bonds & Interest Rates; will there be a soft landing or recession; is this a bank-buying opportunity? A new tune from a listener (thanks, Sean Smith!) Still looking for a market pullback; how to minimize downside risk. Longterm outlook & what to do with cash? Cutting Social Security: it's a demographics & math problem. We need population growth thru having more kids & merit-based immigration. Dealing with the gap between how we think we should be living vs how we ought to be living. SEG-1: Racoon Saga, Retail Sales, & New Fed Target? SEG-2: Eco Data Preview; Bob Doll's Five Questions SEG-3: Still Looking for a Market Pullback: How to Minimize Risk SEG-4: Cutting Social Security: Demographics & Math Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Setting Up to Rally" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ei2UQVm7wt8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Bonds a Better Choice Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VBG76wVGnfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: Government Bonds Or Stocks? Which Is A Better Choice Now? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/government-bonds-or-stocks-which-is-a-better-choice-now/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #RetailSales #FedTarget #Bonds #USTreasuries #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JacksonHole #EarningsSeason #Recession #FinancialCrisis #WealthInequality #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/16/23) Markets broke the 50-DMA Tuesday, but that's not necessarily dire news. However, if the market fails to get above the 50-DMA, the next logical support level will be the 100-DMA at about 4,270 on the S&P. Markets are getting oversold. The MACD oscillation is getting back to levels which normally exist during bullish markets. Markets are getting set up for a rally for at least a couple of days, and after that, our expectation is for more consolidation in the markets possibly into September. That would set up markets for an October rally into the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ei2UQVm7wt8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MarketRally #Money #Investing

(8/15/23) Texas Heat & a trapped racoon (the saga continues...) Is Inflation on the rise again? Earnings estimates growth are predicated on no Recession; could the Fed raise its target inflation rate to 3%? Markets bounce off the 50-DMA, again; what is the risk from Jackson Hole meetings? What's the best bet for investors, now: Stocks or Bonds? Why own bonds now: The disconnect between the markets and the economy cannot last. What Bonds to buy? Retail Sales expected to show .2% gain (x 12-months = 2.3% inflation expectations. There's still lots of liquidity in the system, so any recession (inevitable) is going to take time. Winding up earnings season; economic data is not strong. SEG-1: Texas Heat & Trapped Racoons; Is Inflation on the Rise Again? SEG-2: Best Bet: Stocks or Bonds? SEG-3: Why Own Bonds? SEG-4: What Bonds to Buy? Winding Up Earnings Season Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VBG76wVGnfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk Ahead of Jackson Hole?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QvwK7uluIGE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why the Fed Will Cut Rates" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lL8L9O9ZP-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: Government Bonds Or Stocks? Which Is A Better Choice Now? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/government-bonds-or-stocks-which-is-a-better-choice-now/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Bonds #USTreasuries #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JacksonHole #EarningsSeason #Recession #FinancialCrisis #WealthInequality #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/15/23) Markets bounced right off the 50-DMA Monday in an initial test of support in consolidation of correction activity. But futures are opening a bit weaker this morning for yet another test of the 50-DMA, which markets need to hold if they're going to continue this consolidation process. The MACD oscillation is almost complete, turning the sell signal into a buy signal. When that happens, we can then more safely increase exposure in areas we want to be in. Downside risk still exists ahead of the Jackson Hole meeting, and the chances Jerome Powell could say something to spooks markets. Meanwhile, the MACD is still elevated, needing to get back below zero and into an over-sold condition for much better buying opportunities. Patience will be your friend as markets work through this process. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QvwK7uluIGE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #DownsideRisk #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #Money #Investing

(8/14/23) August means hot weather in Texas, and the conclusion of earnings season, with a re-focusing on economic data. A burning question at the upcoming Jackson Hole rich guys' confab: What will it take for the Fed to lower rates? Profit margins are lower, but holding; Markets test 50-DMA and bounce. The real Fed funds rate; why the Fed would cut rates: Recession or crisis (the Fed WILL cut rates, just needs a reason). The Saga of the Roberts' Racoon; What happens next with a data-dependent Fed? Data is little more than guesses; statistical samples are taken as gospel. The trend of data is more important than The Number. A discussion of wealth inequality vs personal financial responsibility: How to build wealth 1.) start a business, grow it, and sell it; 2.) Savings. Rule #1.: Never borrow from retirement savings. SEG-1: Refocusing on Economic Data SEG-2: Jackson Hole Confab Preview SEG-3: Roberts' Racoon; The Fed's Next Move SEG-4: Wealth Inequality vs Personal Financial Habits: How to Build Wealth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lL8L9O9ZP-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets Bounce Back?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CrYwLlbxHUk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Minimizing the Chances of Dying Poor" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LNSSuF6uJ94&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JacksonHole #EarningsSeason #Recession #FinancialCrisis #WealthInequality #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/14/23) Markets came down on Friday, testing the 50-DMA and bounced and closed slightly higher than the previous low. Futures this morning look a little bit higher, and the question today is whether or not we can hold onto those gains. Markets are oversold, but not excessively so, and a rally today would not be surprising. A rally above the 20-DMA would signal an end to this correctional process. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VoIz-k7b9m4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #Money #Investing

(8/11/23) The Summer Malaise (and associated heat) continues, with no Recession: Looking for a market pullback. This is not a normal economic cycle; what will holiday spending reveal? The impact of AI on productivity. Preparing against the worst possible outcome: Are you Spick or Kirk (or George Costanza)? Why the 4% Rule is wrong. The Wisdom of William Bernstein; minimizing the chances of dying poor. The new PE Ratio: Price to Emotion; dealing with longevity risk. Podcast preview and summer heat: Secure Act changes to IRA's: Why Roth is important to the IRS: They want your money now. Seg-1: Summer Malaise & No Recession SEG-2: Are You Prepared for the Worst? SEG-3: Minimizing Chances of Dying Poor SEG-4: Podcast Preview; Secure Act Changes to IRA's Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LNSSuF6uJ94&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Bonds Are Best Bet" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CrYwLlbxHUk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Happens if Inflation Ticks-up?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hI8G4pWDMr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Retirement #SecureAct #DyingPoor #LongevityRisk #WilliamBernstein #AI #Productivity #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/10/23) CPI Day: What happens if Inflation ticks-up? No expectation of Fed to react w rate hike; the housing component of CPI, Home Owner Equivalent Rent, lags by 3-months. Tomorrow's PCE report may provide more clarity in direction Fed is likely to go. Markets sell of as correction continues, now down 3%; why bonds are the best bet for now. The Jobs Opening & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) vs Employment numbers: it's all a calculation. Workers are willing to leave their jobs if "Return to Work" is enforced. With a low (3.2%) employment rate, where will they go (and what is the veracity of the data)? What happens when the economy really does slow, and more workers are shed? Why "work at home" may go away: The Commercial Real Estate factor. Biden did not create new jobs; workers returned from pandemic layoffs. Washington Redskins name-change to "Commanders;" now petition to change it back! Cancel the cancel culture. Beyond Meat ingredients, Cola & Cigars and the key to long life. Expectations for inflation at .2% ; Disney/Hulu rates to increase to cover amusement park losses. Fed reaction to higher inflation: No rate hikes, but higher rates for longer. SEG-1: CPI Day: What Happens if Inflation Ticks-up? SEG-2: JOLTS vs Jobs Numbers & Return to Work SEG-3: Washington Redskins vs Cancel Culture: Follow the Money SEG-4: Beyond Meat, Cola, & Cigars; Expecting .2% Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hI8G4pWDMr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Bonds Are Best Bet" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CrYwLlbxHUk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Interest Rates Cannot Go Higher" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e1DyM6T4Hy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #CPI #Bonds #JOLTS #Employment #EconomicWeakness #FederalReserve #BeyondMeat #WashingtonCommanders #CancelCulture #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/10/23) Markets are continuing their correctional phase, selling off again Wednesday. This is what we've been anticipating, and now that it's underway, there's really nothing of any concern. We've had about 3% worth of correction so far, and continue to work through the process, still above the 50-DMA, which seems to be the likely support level for the markets. Markets will try to bounce again today, with much of the activity hinging upon the CPI report (clocking in at .2% M/M, and 3.2% Y/Y). Bonds appear to still be the best opportunity for investment for the next 18-months, extremely under-valued compared to stocks. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CrYwLlbxHUk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #CPI #Inflation #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #Bonds #Money #Investing

(8/9/23) The Market Sell-off continues, even as Europe takes its August break; reward for companies beating lowered earnings estimates has been muted; NFIB Report (50% of economy is small businesses w 1-5 employees): Seeing an uptick in sentiment and cap-ex spending. Tuesday's Market sell-off takes out previous low, trending to the 50-DMA. The NASDAQ bounces back to 50-DMA: Can Apple get its act together? Mega-cap stocks have been the market drivers; small- and mid-cap stocks are going nowhere. Still no evidence of Recession; the market has been running ahead of economy fot 6- to 9-months; results are starting to appear. Declining data has been telling us the economy was "sick," no surprise now that it is "feeling better." Look at the data trend and rate of change. Has Stagflation (high inflation w slow growth) virtually gone away? Economy is being resilient w 2-3% growth; no recession. Defining "Job Creation." Deficit spending to continue; what is the destiny for interest rates? The source of inflation was not organic (stimmie checks). CBO Debt Report: Government cannot issue new debt in a rising interest rate environment: Why rates WILL come down. We do not have a normal bond market, thanks to Fed monetizing debt to keep rates low. Bonds are most over-sold. Cannot have economic growth in high interest rate environment; why bonds will be he best investments for a while. SEG-1: Market Sell-off Continues (Europe is Closed for August) SEG-2: The Economy is "Feeling Better" SEG-3: The Source of Economic Resiliency SEG-4: Why Interest Rates Must Come Down Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e1DyM6T4Hy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Apple Get its Act Together?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eCEubkh0FlM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Markets Pricing-in Better Times Ahead?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6mtkRBB_TNQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus and Consumption Are Fueling Economic Resilience" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #Bonds #Stagflation #EconomicWeakness #FederalReserve #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/9/23) The market did sell off a bit yesterday, taking out its previous low, as expected, and also had a rally at the end of the day to finish positively. The NASDAQ tested the 50-DMA, bounced off that, and held that level of support. Much of this hinges on Apple's ability to get its act together, since it is such a large component of the NASDAQ and the S&P. The Russell 2000 has turned over with the rest of the markets; small- and mid-cap companies have really gone nowhere. Most of the market activity has been driven by the seven large-cap companies, underscoring what a bifurcated market this has been. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eCEubkh0FlM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BifurcatedMarket #Apple #Russell2000 #Money #Investing

(8/8/23) The risk for uptick in Inflation: Is the Fed done? Markets fail test of 20-DMA; expect markets to trend sideways. How markets tend to lead the economy; pricing-in better times ahead? The Market Cycle: is there a move to the upside? Market Predictions for economic recovery: Recession in an election year: The incumbent loses. Incentives for Government to prop up economy until after an election. The stages of the economic cycle. What it takes to buy a home as a percentage of income; the economy will cycle through. Beyond Meat & others' earnings; AMC Theaters and post-pandemic theatergoing vs streaming; CPI Report preview: The hope for a continued decline to 2% inflation. Jackson Hole preview: Markets hoping for a Fed pivot; why interest rates must come back down. The new normal will be the Fed owning more and more of the Bond Market to keep interest rates low . SEG-1: The Risk of Uptick in Inflation SEG-2: Is There More to Go on the Upside? SEG-3: Market Predictions for Economic Recovery SEG-4: AMC Theaters & Post-pandemic Behaviors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6mtkRBB_TNQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Fail to Test 20-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJfnApyPwGY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Rates Can Go Only One Way (Down) " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79A7KBLcwtY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #Recession #Correction #EconomicWeakness #FederalReserve #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/8/23) Oversold markets had a nice rally in an assault on the 20-DMA, but are set to open lower this morning, technically a failure to test that level. This would suggest a lower low for the markets, on their way now to challenge the 50-DMA. The MACD Sell Signal is still firmly intact at a fairly elevated level, suggesting that there's more work to be done in the normal price oscillation. Action is likely to trend sideways for a while, allowing moving averages to catch up to the markets themselves. Markets need a breather--and the view from the 50-DMA may hold a clue for the next step. If markets can turn it around and retest the 20-DMA successfully, then we can go on to test the recent highs. If not, the 50-DMA will be the next target for the decline. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJfnApyPwGY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BullMarket #MarketVolatility #Money #Investing

(8/7/23) Wrapping up earnings season: 80%+ of major companies will have reported by week's end, with many "beats" of lowered earnings estimates. Meanwhile, economic data is showing signs of concern, but nothing terrible. Employment data is showing a slowing; markets continue their corrective ways: How long can this correction last? Year-over-year math of Inflation: About to enter period in which computed inflation goes back up. What is the potential for Fed to raise rates again as inflation heats up? CPI Report on Wednesday; NASDAQ is detached from economic reality. Government Debt & Debt Ceiling fights (there's been no budget since Obama in office.) Why did Fitch downgrade US Debt? No fiscal restraint. The point at which debt finally matters (we're there). It's all about public policy. Explaining the appeal of Socialism over Capitalism by the unschooled. CBO: Trend of debt issuance is not good. "Gray Rhino Event:" plenty of warning signs, which go unheeded. Futuristic Movie Timeline: We're somewhere between "Soylent Green" and "Children of Men." Economic Preview: Rates don't matter until they do; rates can only go one way (down) because debt levels are unsustainable. SEG-1: Wrapping Up Earnings & Signs of Concern SEG-2: How Long Can Correction Last? SEG-3: Why Fitch Downgraded US Debt SEG-4: Futuristic Movie Timeline; Rates Don't Matter Until They Do Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79A7KBLcwtY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Continue to Correct," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrQytvzdNCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Gen-X Needs to Retire" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RY6HAOJASiE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2652s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #FitchRatings #Recession #Correction #Japan #EconomicWeakness #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/7/23) Markets remain in a corrective process we've been discussing: A recent outside-reversal day saw the market opening up strongly and then falling significantly, completely engulfing the previous day's positive action. Normally, that's a pretty bearish sign for prices. On Friday, markets rallied up to the 20-DMA and then failed, turning around to set a new low. That suggests we're going to retest the 50-DMA. Markets are recently oversold enough that we could see an attempted rally back up to the 20-DMA. Another failure there would merely confirm that we're still in this process of correction. There is nothing to suggest a large, 20% correction; the real concern at this moment is that markets just needed to take a break after five straight months of advances. A pull back at this point is a logical issue, and one that could provide entry opportunities for investors. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Market Is Detached From The Real Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-market-is-detached-from-the-real-economy/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrQytvzdNCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BullMarket #MarketVolatility #Money #Investing

(8/4/23) Digesting the Fitch Ratings downgrade: Defining "safety." The Degeneration of American Culture is accelerating; are we becoming Japan? Robert Shiller's "Narrative Encounter;" AI & Productivity: what it means for companies. Does today's workforce even have the skills to utilize AI? Why common sense must be taught (the ill-effects of pandemic lock-down).Corporate culture is a sewer. New rules for Roth in the Secure Act: They want your money now. What will be ultimate outcome of Fitch Ratings downgrade? How will Gen-X Retire (what Gen-X needs). Preview: End of Life Planning presentation; Jobs Report preview; What will be the Black Swan Event that triggers markets? Long Term Care Insurance misunderstood. SEG-1: Digesting the Downgrade; What it means to companies SEG-2: AI & Productivity & Decline of American Culture SEG-3: New Rules for Roth: They want your money now SEG-4: Misunderstanding Long Term Care Insurance Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RY6HAOJASiE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2652s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Continue to Work off Steam," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6wrnCJSqPvU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why the Fitch Ratings Downgrade Doesn't Really Matter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTHkQPBtaJs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stocks Versus Bonds: Allocating For The Next Ten Years" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stocks-versus-bonds-allocating-for-the-next-ten-years "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Retirement #GenerationX #FitchRatings #Recession #Correction #Japan #CorporateCulture #BondRatings #EconomicWeakness #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/3/23) Earnings season is seeing unusual reward & punishment for results. Is dis-inflation and 2% growth coming? Earnings beats have lifted markets, bullish sentiment is rising sharply without the benefit of liquidity support. The Market correction begins: breakout of 20DMA is no big deal, but watch the 50DMA. Fixing Government spending and the Fitch Ratings downgrade: It's a joke. Explaining US Debt to Income Ratio; A look at the veracity of ratings agencies (Caution: Don't buy bonds on ratings alone). The difference between corporate and government debt. Where else are you going to go? Timing is everything: Will the Fitch downgrade trigger market correction and creation of buying opportunity for investors? Is the US becoming Japan? There's a 30-year lead on the US; the impact on stock prices. A brief history of ratings downgrades: The example of 2011; this is the Lag Effect. SEG-1: Reward & Punishment for Earnings SEG-2: Government Spending & Fitch Downgrade: It's a Joke SEG-3: Timing is Everything: SEG-4: A Brief History of Ratings Downgrades Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTHkQPBtaJs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Continue to Work off Steam," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6wrnCJSqPvU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Six Signs You're Ready to Retire" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztaZOBnpqeU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stocks Versus Bonds: Allocating For The Next Ten Years" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stocks-versus-bonds-allocating-for-the-next-ten-years "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FitchRatings #Recession #Correction #Japan #BondRatings #EconomicWeakness #TaxReceipts #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/3/23) Just like clock-work, August begins with a market correction underway: Markets lost 1% yesterday, and look to take out support at the 20DMA today. The 50DMA at 4,280 will be the next, big level of support for the market to hang on to. If the market breaches the 50DMA, it's still in no crisis. Even a test of the 200DMA would be just a 10% decline from the peak, still not necessarily indicative of a bear market's return. A 10% correction is normal in any given year. Watch for another day or two of continued sell-off as the market works off its over-bought positions. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6wrnCJSqPvU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #200DMA #BullMarket #MarketVolatility #Money #Investing

(8/2/23) Despite claims of no Recession imminent, tax receipt declines and other indicators belie an emerging weakness in the economy. The timing of a Recession, however, is still uncertain. The NASDAQ remains the winner this year, but negative divergences are beginning to appear. The index has rallied back to January's highs without the benefit of additional stimulus. Fitch Credit Rating Downgrade preview (tune in tomorrow!) Six signs you're ready to retire: the negative impact of social media as a news source: Gauging the impact of future, lower interest rates on retirement savings; looking at the reality of Retirement spending. How much money has been saved against unexpected expenses? Where is that money kept: Diversification of assets. Where is the retirement income source? The Social Security factor (impact of demographics). Healthcare expenses, importance of HSA's and FSA's. Getting rid of debt; the difference between "good" debt and bad. SEG-1: Timing of Recession Still Uncertain SEG-2: Six Signs You're Ready to Retire, Pt-1: Impact of Interest Rates on Retirement Savings SEG-3: Six Signs You're Ready to Retire, Pt-2: Diversification of Assets and Retirement Income SEG-4: Six Signs You're Ready to Retire, Pt-3: Healthcare Expenses & Debt Elimination Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztaZOBnpqeU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why a Correction Now Would Be Healthy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_169z6iAwu4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Summer Heat in Full Swing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t00ufC9aedY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Recession #Correction #Retirement #NASDAQ #EconomicWeakness #TaxReceipts #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/2/23) The NASDAQ has been the market darling, so far, this year, rallying back from October's lows. The bulk of the inflows have been through passive investing. The return to the peaks of January has been achieved without any new stimulus money, driven by exuberance that's not been supported by checks to households. It's proof of how much money is still circulating around in the economy. However, negative divergences in relative strength and MACD indicators suggest the momentum is slowing, which will have to be corrected for. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_169z6iAwu4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #NASDAQ #200DMA #BullMarket #MarketVolatility #Money #Investing

(8/1/23) Summer is in full-swing, and markets are matching the heat with extreme bullish sentiment. What is the cost of hedging your portfolio over time? No one believes a correction is coming (so it probably will). Companies are receiving no reward for beating (lowered) estimates; the number of companies achieving beats is declining. 3% - 5% correction in August should come as no surprise. Bullishness in S&P 500: Everyone can't wait to get in; wait for most-favorable risk/reward dynamic when market corrects. How to increase economic prosperity? Growing the economy, reducing debt. The current US Debt to GDP ratio is 180%! There is no easy fix for our debt problem. Pre-market commentary: Employment numbers and the 2023 Jackson Hole Central Bankers' confab is coming; why wouldn't the Fed hold firm at 5% rates when markets/economy seem to be doing fine? Pricing-in any rate cut could be premature. The dynamics of inflation, year-over-year measurement, and dis-inflation. Monetary normalization is far from complete: The risk still exists that the Fed will not pivot anytime soon. SEG-1: Markets Match Summer Heat SEG-2: No Reward for Earnings Estimates SEG-3: How to Increase Economic Prosperity SEG-4: Why Pricing-in a Rate Drop May Be Premature Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t00ufC9aedY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Correction in August?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BoYkSwT_5OM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Bull Market Unstoppable?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3s_0JPku5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2100s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #EarningsEstimates #LagEffect #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

(8/1/23) Starbucks, Pfizer, and Merck headline today's earnings reports as earnings season continues, but fewer companies are beating earnings estimates, that those that do aren't being rewarded for their achievement. Maybe that's because companies have lowered estimates (again) to make it easier to clear the bar. The bottom line isn't where the important data lies; it's the top line revenue numbers, and the count of companies beating that number is declining. Markets have been holding up, despite this phenomenon, but as we move into August, earnings numbers will go behind us, and market sentiment is very bullish on an ever-extended market above the moving averages. So a 3- to 5-percent correction this month would not be a surprise. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BoYkSwT_5OM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Measures Are Getting Really Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-measures-are-getting-really-bullish ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #BeatingEstimates #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #200DMA #BullMarket #MarketVolatility #Money #Investing

(7/31/23) Investors prepare for August with the "rarity" of market performance: entering the seasonably weaker months of summer with 90% of stocks trading above their moving average; there is a high likelihood they will come back down. Earnings Season continues with the bulk of performance reports negative: We're getting more earnings "beats," but less of a beat than usual and on lowered estimates!) What are you really paying for? NVDIA valuation is problematic at 40-times price to sales; most over-valued stock in the S&P 500. The Lag-effect of what? Where's the Recession? Beware Fed Funds in Excess of Nominal GDP Growth. Government spending hasn't stopped. What happens after earnings season ends? The expectations for stronger earnings growth: What is the risk? The folly of a one-sided bet. The professional managers' index now at 110%. SEG-1: Defining Market Rarity as We Enter August SEG-2: Lowering Earnings Estimates for Better Beats: What are you paying for? SEG-3: The Lag Effect of What? (Where's the Recession?) SEG-4: What Happens After Earnings Season? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3s_0JPku5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2100s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Moving Averages Act Like Gravity ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CyFoTE0-tuE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Still No Recession?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tqRA0UPAUPc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=45s -------- Articles mentioned in today's show: "Beating Estimates" – How Companies Win In Earnings Season https://realinvestmentadvice.com/beating-estimates-how-companies-win-in-earnings-season Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #EarningsEstimates #LagEffect #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

(7/31/23) Markets opened strong on Thursday but quickly sold off on news of the Bank of Japan's Yield Curve controls, which turned out ot be a false rumor. Then on Friday, the actual change by the BOJ was revealed to be a nothing-burger. The market rallied, but did not recapture the previous high. Markets this morning appear poised to open yet higher, but we're pretty extended, which brings us back to the fact that at some point there's going to be a correction: Markets cannot trade above a moving average forever. However, this is not a signal for panic selling. The outsized deviation between the markets and the 200-DMA can last for a while, but moving averages do act like gravity, and the further the deviation, the stronger the gravitational pull. And when prices begin to fall, those will be your buying opportunities. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CyFoTE0-tuE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MovingAverages #200DMA #BullMarket #Bearish #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #Money #Investing

(7/28/23) How do Millionaires spend their money? No processed food: Health = wealth; no cheap stuff; buy in the middle. Look for dependability in durable goods purchases. [NOTE: This segment is excerpted from a previous show broadcast on 7/7/23]. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch the full show from which this segment is taken on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V0FtoN-4dZw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "What Bond Prices are Telling us About the Economy" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yDypZ7rQbHg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RA3snVQyugvOF5TwZ1Xu7bm&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Employment Report Preview" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLxNlWup0xM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Retirement #Distribution #Accumulation #Millionaire #Employment #Economy #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

(7/27/23) An overview of the current earnings reporting reveals profit margins have declined to pre-pandemic levels. Markets' flat response to Jerome Powell post-FOMC meeting presser The effects of shrinkflation are beginning to fade; no 2% inflation expected until late 2025. Will rate cuts return by then? Markets don't have a friendly Fed; a huge concern for impact of the Lag Effect; still possible for yet another rate increase of .25 to .50% by September. Market expectations vs Consumer Sentiment: Could there still be a "soft" landing? Is 3% inflation good enough? Powell says drop in headline inflation will encourage consumers--counter-productive for flagging inflation. Core Inflation is a better gauge of economic reality. Still no Recession? Why Chipotle is the world's most expensive burrito, and a good mid-level economic indicator. Why Technical Analysis is not voodoo; Recession still coming: 6-mos from now or late 2025? The Lag Effect Factor; the fallacy of MMT has come to pass. SEG-1: Mega Cap Earnings Review SEG-2: Was This the Last Fed Rate Hike? SEG-3: Falling Headline Inflation Works Counter-Intuitively Against the Fed SEG-4: The World's Most Expensive Burrito Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tqRA0UPAUPc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=45s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dow Winning Streak Keeps Going" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ppk8LAZyLus&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is This the Last Rate Hike?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FgjXnLjDtQA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Articles mentioned in today's show: "Beating Estimates" – How Companies Win In Earnings Season https://realinvestmentadvice.com/beating-estimates-how-companies-win-in-earnings-season Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHike #EarningsSeason #MegaCap #Estimates #Inflation #ChipotleIndicator #Markets #Money #Investing

(7/28/23) The Dow is on one of the longest winning streaks we've seen in some time; a very different story from the S&P and the NASDAQ. The Dow is only now breaking out of a trading range in which it has been stuck since the beginning of the year. (You have to go back to 1987 to find a comparable winning streak.) The Dow is now extremely over-bought from the catch-up trade and some sector rotation. This sets the index up for some kind of correction in the months to come. And that response will provide you with a better opportunity to buy in, rather than chasing stocks here. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qxrkcd_qJ4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #DowCorrection #WinningStreak #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #BullMarket #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #Money #Investing

(7/26/23) Why would the Fed cut rates at a time when the markets are rallying, and the economy is doing well? Will this be the final rate hike? Microsoft's report has weaker guidance, Google's very positive outlook includes AI. Markets are approaching a new, 52-week High. Mega Cap preview for today; the Chipotle Indicator, Union Pacific & Transportation stocks; Questions we missed in the last Candid Coffee (see details below) SEG-1: Is This the Last Rate Hike? SEG-2A: Mega Cap Earnings Preview & Chipotle Indicator SEG-2B: Candid Coffee Q&A: ESG Ratings, Carbon Credits, Overseas Investors SEG-3: Candid Coffee Q&A, con't.: Fed Outlook, Home Prices, Fixed Income Investing, Recession Anxiety SEG-4: Candid Coffee Q&A, con't.: Demographics are Destiny; the Odds of Improving Economy; Treasuries' Risk, Investing for Outcomes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FgjXnLjDtQA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Approach 52-Week High" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ppk8LAZyLus&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Wall St. Cooks the Books (and how you can tell)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEwmc4CZeIg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=168s -------- Articles mentioned in today's show: "Beating Estimates" – How Companies Win In Earnings Season https://realinvestmentadvice.com/beating-estimates-how-companies-win-in-earnings-season Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHike #EarningsSeason #MegaCap #Estimates #Inflation #ChipotleIndicator #Markets #Money #Investing

(7/26/23) Markets are on the verge of breaking out to new, 52-week highs, thanks to mega cap companies' sterling earnings reports...and the fact that markets never really retraced back to the 20-DMA. Markets have retained the MACD buy signal. However, once the big cap party ends, there may be a better opportunity for a pullback/correction. Gravity has to pull stock prices back down from excessive deviations from the moving averages. The unanswered question will be, what's the cause of the reversal? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ppk8LAZyLus&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #MegaCap #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #BullMarket #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #Money #Investing

(7/25/23) Mega Cap companies report earnings today; recession still seems a long way away. Transportation, Materials, and Airlines are all doing well, despite some economic indicators to the contrary. The positive effect from equity inflows will eventually end; this rally is not surprising, but not sustainable: Has the lag effect been pushed back further? How may the Presidential Election Cycle impact economic dynamics and market performance? Moving averages are sloping upwards. How are companies beating earnings estimates? Capitalism is not broken: Who do analysts really work for? How Wall Street cooks the books (and how you can tell). The dark side of stock-based compensation. How much money does it take to "feel comfortable?" Determined by your lifestyle: You'll need to generate 100% of your income in retirement; there is no magic number. SEG-1: Mega Cap Earnings Preview SEG-2: How Companies Are Beating Estimates SEG-3: How Wall Street Cooks the Books SEG-4: How Much Does it Take to "Feel Comfortable?" Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show, on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEwmc4CZeIg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=168s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Moving Averages Are Sloping Higher" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QAGiPKsAnhU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Earnings Parade Continues" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ar-el_kbdCc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Register for our next web event: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6816835709464/WN_ItmsNXpsRs2uKE6xOrJtdg ------- Articles mentioned in today's show: "Beating Estimates" – How Companies Win In Earnings Season https://realinvestmentadvice.com/beating-estimates-how-companies-win-in-earnings-season Economic Cycle Set To Improve But Are Bulls Too Bullish? https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #MegaCap #Estimates #Inflation #StockBasedCompensation #EconomicIndicators #Markets #Money #Investing

(7/25/23) All moving averages are now sloping higher, putting a very bullish perspective on markets (the slope of a moving average is what tells you the trend of the market). However, deviations from these moving averages are extreme, so a correction is inevitable; but we don't expect to see that until after earnings reporting has concluded. Interestingly, stocks for companies that are beating estimates are not being rewarded, generally. This would indicate that what is now happening in the market has already been priced-in. Regardless, the deviations from the averages are unsustainable over time, and a correction will happen. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QAGiPKsAnhU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #UpwardTrend #TrendLine #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #BullMarket #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #Money #Investing