The Real Investment Show Podcast

(1/10/24) Lance Roberts condemns those who would phish our clients; markets are holding above 20-DMA. A look at mortality (like sands through an hourglass...) Cold Snaps in Texas; living on Social Security is not a good plan for retirement; warnings against bankrupting retirement for our kids; the future of Social Security and the perils of taking SS too soon. The Days of Our Lives alumni. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Phishing PSA, Markets Trade Sideways SEG-2: Mortality, Cold Snaps, Retirement, & Living on SS, Pt.1 SEG-3: Living on SS, Pt.2 SEG-4: The Future of SS & Days of Our Lives -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ZyhKIyseuc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are in Limbo Working Through Correction,"is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WGu2pPTVB80&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Markets Defy Bearish Expectations?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MpPOCfwlB-M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "2024 Market & Economic Outlook According To Twitter" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/2024-market-economic-outlook-according-to-twitter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #SocialSecurity #Retirement #Recession #InterestRates #DaysOfOurLives #Phishing #Markets #Money #Investing

(1/10/24) The market is holding above the 20-DMA, although futures are down-to-flattish ahead of today's open. Upside has been somewhat limited, but markets can work through a correctional process in two ways: 1.) Actually have a correction; 2.) work through a consolidation period in which the market just doesn't go anywhere, which is what is, and has been, going on over the past several weeks. This will allow for shorter-termed moving average to "catch up" with the market, and that limits downside risk. The more time spent trading side ways, the less downside draw is applied: Markets are now forming a base from which to launch higher. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WGu2pPTVB80&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #20DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

1/9/24) Wall Street begins a new round of quarterly earnings, looking at the results of Q4; estimates for 2024 are allready falling. What are you really paying for earnings? Why we have to be in ETF's, even though we don't like them. There is evidence of an uptick in inflation this year. Markets miss achieving January Trifecta by .13%, despite tax gain selling pressure. Will January be similarly weak? We polled our viewers/listeners for their takes on what 2024 will hold: Polling the People includes commentary on S&P 500 Seasonality and bullish sentiment, and where the markets may end in 2024. There's an expectation for negative returns, higher inflation, slower economic growth and Real GDP; higher unemployment, higher interest rates, and the odds for recession. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Q4 Earnings Season Begins SEG-2: Polling the People, Pt.1 SEG-3: Polling the People, Pt.2 SEG-4: Markets Within 1% of All-time Highs -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MpPOCfwlB-M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Missed It "By That Much"" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ra4-I32Ir1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=81s ------- Our previous show is here: "Keep An Eye on Bankruptcies" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P8nFis1l8Xw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "2024 Market & Economic Outlook According To Twitter" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/2024-market-economic-outlook-according-to-twitter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #Inflation #Recession #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #Markets #Money #Investing

ng with a gain, despite an immense amount of selling pressure. What does that mean for markets for the future? Technically, if the first five days of January are negative, so will the rest of the month AND the year play out, resulting in lower returns. But not always. Statistically speaking, this generally holds true, but anything can happen. And consider, we're only about 1% from all time highs in the market, so this all does not necessarily mean the market cannot turn around. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ra4-I32Ir1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=81s ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #JanuaryTrifecta #20DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

(1/8/24) What is up with airplane parts falling off in flight? Meanwhile, the first private sector lunar lander is launched in decades: The beauty behind "Hidden Figures" movie; looks like the January Trifecta could be short-lived; working off December's excesses. How deep will the pullback be? Congress' is enmeshed with another continuing resolution battle instead of mandated budgeting; that's how D.C. does business now. The conundrum of capital allocations in 2024: Wall St. doubles-down on bonds; will the Magnificent-7 lead again, or will last year's underperformers? What if interest rates come down but inflation stabilizes at 3%? no push for the Fed to act (not what's expected). What about the "in-between outcome?" Audacy bankruptcy and how best to spend ad dollars; broadcast vs social media. Keep an eye on bankruptcies; markets are now completely discounting recession, even though the risk remains. Insurance costs are on the rise, thanks to more cash sloshing around the economy, not because of increased disaster claims. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Airplane Doors, Space Travel, & January SEG-2: Continuing Resolutions, Budgets, and Kicking Cans SEG-3: The Conundrum of Capital Allocation SEG-4: Audacy Bankruptcy, Media Revenues, & Insurance Rate Hikes -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P8nFis1l8Xw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Sector Rotation Be the Theme for 2024?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q4gpChz0Rw8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Be Resolute in 2024" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PtadzU_n_RE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Will 2024 Be The Year Of The Other 493?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-2024-be-the-year-of-the-other-493/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #Bankruptcy #CapitalAllocation #Audacy #ContinuingResolution #FederalBudgetDeficit #Markets #Money #Investing

(1/8/24) The axiom, "as goes the first five days of January, so goes the month," could prove ominous for investors unless markets can rally past where we were at the close of December. And there is a decent, 40% correlation between negative January's and negative years. Not EVERY year works out this way, however. (At the time of this recording, Dow futures were down 150-pts head of the open.) Markets broke below the 20-DMA on Friday, and technical indicator show markets are still overbought. Some of the bullish sentiment is beginning to reverse as markets continue to work it off; a better opportunity to put capital to work is coming. Patience pays. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q4gpChz0Rw8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #JanuaryTrifecta #20DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

(1/5/24) Richard and Danny are reunited for the new year: Lessons from last year: You cannot get enough out of stocks; if "Goldilocks" is already baked-in (with 6-rate cuts), what happens when cocaine bear appears? Greg Valliere background; Resolving to Be Resolute in 2024: Marking realistic milestones; why you don't have to save everything for retirement later. Classic Cars & phone chargers; improving your human capital; why stocks are not the be-all, end-all solutions for retirement income; the proper place for stocks, bonds, and other types of investments; stocks vs ETF's. Stop the competition. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Lessons from Last Year SEG-2: Resolving to be Resolute: Marking milestones SEG-3: Classic Cars & Phone Chargers; Improving Human Capital SEG-4: The Proper Place for Stocks & Bonds -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PtadzU_n_RE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Sector Rotation Be the Theme for 2024?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohaE8nQ1nHQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What the Latest Fed Meeting Minutes Mean" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aol1v6hfATk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Will 2024 Be The Year Of The Other 493?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-2024-be-the-year-of-the-other-493/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #2024Resolutions #RetirementIncome #HumanCapital #GregValliere #Markets #Money #Investing

(1/4/24) Santa fails to deliver at Broad & Wall Street; Economic data is coming: Is employment softening? January declines decimate December's gains: This is the correction we needed, but stocks are still trading above their 50-DMA. Fed Meeting minutes: What about QT or a taper? The Fed seems to be looking for moderation to keep things from getting out of control. The Fed is alluding to seeing something no one else does, but not saying what. Hunting on the border with Starlink ; pressure for market sell-off on large stocks; what about the other 493 stocks in the S&P? Is the shift temporary? Market Champions & Super Bowl Teams: Rarely repeat back-to-back wins. Customer defections from streaming services: Could this be the next leading economic indicator? The flaws in "the data:" looking at the veracity. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Santa Fails to Visit Broad & Wall SEG-2: Fed Meeting Minutes: What about QT? SEG-3: Hunting w Starlink; the Other 493 Stocks SEG-4: Customer Defections from Streaming Services -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aol1v6hfATk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Sector Rotation Be the Theme for 2024?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohaE8nQ1nHQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Take January With a Grain of Salt " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hapop8fM5Lc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Will 2024 Be The Year Of The Other 493?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-2024-be-the-year-of-the-other-493/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #SantaClausRally #MarketDeclines #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #Starlink #StreamingServices #Markets #Money #Investing

(1/4/24) Santa failed to deliver his rally to Broad & Wall by definition, with the declines in the last three trading days taking out all the gains built up before the end of 2023. So what happens next? Markets are still set up for a bit more correction, still sitting on a solid sell signal. Markets are finally starting to work off their over bought conditions, which could create a bounce. The question then becomes whether markets can get their feet back under themselves. This could keep pressure on markets over the next few days. The correction, however, is providing a better opportunity to put capital to work. The number of stocks trading above their 50-DMA is still high, so there is still room for reversions, particularly in stocks that did well last year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohaE8nQ1nHQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #SectorRotation #Markets #Money #Investing

(1/3/24) Millennials' Bare Minimum Monday's could produce some unexpected results; setting up for January market performance in a Presidential cycle; will the Magnificent 7 produce a repeat performance in 2024? Markets on Tuesday corrected to bounce off the 20-DMA, with high tech names under pressure. Buy-signals triggered for Bonds. Rich Dad/Poor Dad Czar Kiyosaki's debt philosophies and how to properly leverage debt. Home Sales & inventory: Are we seeing the start of trouble in the sector? Wall Street axioms & The January Trifecta; take them with a grain of salt. Mistakes in portfolio & market perspectives, year to year. Social Security COLA for 2024; making choices to fix SS are vote killers for politicians. Retirement planning & Monte Carlo simulations; the future is not going to be the past. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Bare Minimum Mondays, Millennials, & Markets SEG-2: Rich Dad/Poor Dad - Good Debt/ Bad Debt SEG-3: Wall St. Axioms & January Trifecta SEG-4: SS COLA & Monte Carlo Retirement Planning -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hapop8fM5Lc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can the Market Correction Go Deeper?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0SP5r9WS3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Investor Resolutions for 2024" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fuRuGa8oR-k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=53s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Sell Cash, Buy Stocks As Powell Pivots?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-cash-buy-stocks-as-powell-pivots/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #JanuaryTrifecta #SocialSecurity #COLA #RobertKiyosaki #LeveragingDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

(1/3/24) Markets bounced off the 20-DMA for the first day of trading for 2024, ending in the red. Pre-market futures are showing more downward pressure, particularly in high-tech names. The MACD sell signal was triggered, and there is evidence to suggest even lower prices to come. Markets are working on a break in the uptrend, and there is the possibility of a bigger correction, perhaps down to 4,500. Patience is the watchword this week, as a better buying opportunity emerges. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t0SP5r9WS3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MarketReturns #TradingOpportunity #Markets #Money #Investing

(1/2/24) 2023 Market Returns & News Review: S&P up 24% for 2023. Important to recognize the macro narrative is not always as dire as it appears. Will last year's market exuberance carry thru? Market returns for 2024 start at zero; the Santa Claus Rally continues; wait a bit for investing opportunity. Looking at Liquidity: What is needed for market corrections? Something no one expects. If you're thinking about it, the market has already priced it in. It will be something to which markets cannot quickly adapt. Fireworks and dogs, January historical performance; three reasons for investor shortfalls; Investor resolutions for the new year. Reviewing Market Performance for 2023: It's okay to pay taxes; means you made money. Three Rules for Investors: Homework, homework, homework. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Macro Narratives Are Not as Dire as They Seem SEG-2: Looking at Liquidity: What's needed for a market downturn SEG-3: Three Reasons for Investor Shortfalls in 2023 SEG-4: Investor Resolutions for 2024 -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fuRuGa8oR-k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=53s -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Returns Reset to Zero," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElUW-ujcYcI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What do the Super Bowl & the Stock Market Have in Common?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAYKPk8GQso&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=645s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Sell Cash, Buy Stocks As Powell Pivots?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-cash-buy-stocks-as-powell-pivots/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #2024InvestorResolutions #SantaClausRally #Markets #Money #Investing

(1/1/24) Market returns start at zero today, as trading commences for a new year. (BTW, benchmarking is a terrible way to manage money.) The rally into the end of the year as nine-weeks long; that's extraordinary, and should be a reminder that a correction is more and more likely after such a long run of back-to-back gains. The current Santa Clas Rally will officially continue thru the first two trading days of January (today & tomorrow). Markets are very overbought at this point. We'd wait a bit before allocating money; a better trading opportunity may lie ahead. The MACD Buy-sell signal is very over-bought, and about to trigger a sell signal. There is now a negative divergence between the market and the relative strength index, which has been declining even as the market has continued to rise. This typically doesn't last for very long, heralding a correction, which would create a better opportunity to reallocate funds. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElUW-ujcYcI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #SantaClausRally #MarketReturns #TradingOpportunity #Markets #Money #Investing

(1/1/24) Markets have had zero-returns over past two years. Why time in the market matters--especially if you're young. Risk management is more important when you're older; the 50/20/30 Rule. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=El5aJGlGB1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Happens When Buybacks Go Away " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qO6Q-jBIrzg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is There Hope for 2024?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=edbQ1Zq94GE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ "Recessionary Indicators Update. Soft Landing Or Worse?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recessionary-indicators-update-soft-landing-or-worse/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EconomicRecession #MarketCorrection #Inflation #RiskManagement #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/29/23) Has owning a pet become a luxury? Financial Planning for Pets: $2,640 avg. annual expense; making emotional decisions about money. The benefits of pet ownership and caring for pets. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4tWjBhk9Ac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Santa Claus Rally Arrives Ahead of Schedule," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7d8Ke2jCTg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed Pivots" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njWj-nMpjxs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/ "The 'American Dream' Isn't Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FOMC #JeromePowell #PetCare #PetSitter #IRSrules #SocialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/28/23) Newly proposed rules for raising major banks' reserve requirements are raising the ire of Bank CEO's like JPMorgan/Chase's Jamie Dimon. Boo-hoo. either get completely under government control, or exist as independent private business, and be allowed to fail without bailouts. Why the government wants to force banks to hold more reserves: Buy more bonds. Bitcoin: Why is Dimon so opposed? The alternative to banking. The difference between Bitcoin vs Blockchain; Crypto is the ultimate fiat currency, backed by nothing. Why Dimon should fear blockchain. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mG6OntjdyFM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=226s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the VIX is Saying" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfoZlCvRcrY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will 2024 See a Soft-landing, Recession...or Worse?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=El5aJGlGB1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The Fed Pauses: What Comes Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-pauses-what-comes-next/ "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ "Recessionary Indicators Update. Soft Landing Or Worse?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recessionary-indicators-update-soft-landing-or-worse/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPause #BondMarket #Blockchain #Bitcoin #MTV #BankingReserves #JamieDimon #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/27/23) Hate those self-checkout registers at the store? Merchants are discovering they might be costing more in "shrinkage" than is being saved by fewer employees working registers. Lance addresses the problem with self-checkout & retail theft; creation of more inflation; Gen-Z's five-finger discount habit. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch the full show from which this segment was excerpted on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=edbQ1Zq94GE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Begin Year-End Gyrations" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9IV8Jl3yxgw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=4s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the 'Everything' Rally Over? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZ9mG16LQIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2086s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #InvestorOptimism #AnalystPositivy #AnalystPerformance #2024EarningsEstimates #RetailTheft #SelfCheckout #GenerationZ #FiveFingerDiscount #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/26/23) Why analysts are always bullish (85% of the time, markets ARE). The Big Business of Wall Street: Who's really important to Wall Street. How IPO's really work. Analysts' actual performance revealed vs what they're predicting for 2024. SEG-1: Why Analysts Are Always Bullish, Pt-1. SEG-2: Why Analysts Are Always Bullish, Pt-2. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=edbQ1Zq94GE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Begin Year-End Gyrations" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9IV8Jl3yxgw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=4s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the 'Everything' Rally Over? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZ9mG16LQIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2086s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #InvestorOptimism #AnalystPositivy #AnalystPerformance #2024EarningsEstimates #RetailTheft #SelfCheckout #GenerationZ #FiveFingerDiscount #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing➢ Listen daily on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757 ➢ Watch Live Mon-Fri, 6a-7a Central on our Youtube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow ➢ Upcoming personal finance free online events: https://riaadvisors.com/events/ ➢ Sign up for the Newsletter: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ➢ RIA SimpleVisor: Analysis, Research, Portfolio Models, and More. https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Markets #Money #Investment_Advice

T-Bill & Chill? Putting cash to work in a 5% world. Bankers are betting you're going to be lazy; what will you do when rates go back down? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Senior Financial Advisors Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch the full show from which this excerpt was lifted on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=442R_6H1Iac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the VIX is Saying" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfoZlCvRcrY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "#Bitcoin Back in the Headlines" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=El5aJGlGB1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The Fed Pauses: What Comes Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-pauses-what-comes-next/ "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ "Recessionary Indicators Update. Soft Landing Or Worse?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recessionary-indicators-update-soft-landing-or-worse/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #FedPause #BondMarket #Jobs #FederalReserve #MagnificentSeven #NVDIA #AMD #ChipWars #Retirement #Healthcare #HSA #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/21/23) It's the final live-show of 2023: We look at New Year's market indicators, the Super Bowl & the Bandwagon Effect; someone will be wrong next year. Economic data is starting to improve, which will be problematic for the Fed. The "worst market sell-off since September(!)" Simmer down; this has been expected. Market gains were "Gone in 120-minutes," less time than the movie. The dash for trash: FOMO & the bandwagon effect. What does the Fed know that they're not telling? Some turbulence ahead: Expect a soft landing to be "bumpy." Headwinds will come from the lag effect of the Fed's liquidity injections. Watch for volatility, epecially if the Fed has to raise rates to combat rising inflation; what happened to home sales? From Enron to the SPAC's: Where were the auditors? How the SEC consistently fails to effectively intervene. The Fannie Mae story; the problem with FASBE Rules, and the revolving door between the SEC and Wall Street. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Market Indicators in the New Year SEG-2: The Dash for Trash SEG-3: The Bandwagon Effect SEG-4: From Enron to SPAC's: Where were the Auditors? -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAYKPk8GQso&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=645s -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Correction Finally Comes," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j7SeUMBTBOw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the 'Soft-landing' Scenario Dangerous?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=culaZn8jBVc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Sell Cash, Buy Stocks As Powell Pivots?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-cash-buy-stocks-as-powell-pivots/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SoftLanding #SuperBowl #Recession #FederalReserve #MarketCorrection #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/21/23) Markets had come so much so far from September, that a correction, in the form of Wednesday's sell-off, was completed anticipated and long-overdue. What caused the sell-off? Who knows? Sometimes, you don't need a reason any more than someone saying, 'That's it; I'm out,' and the stapeded for the day ensues. An entire week's worth of gains was wiped out in under two hours: Gone in 120-minutes (which is shorter than the movie!) There's no real risk here; just a healthy correction that was needed. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j7SeUMBTBOw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #MarketSellOff #FedEx #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/20/23) What are we to do between Christmas and New Year's? Santa Claus is coming to Broad & Wall (on the Tuesday after Christmas); economic growth estimated now at 3%; defining 'recession;' Small-caps vs Large-caps. Rally Thesis: The Fed will cut rates on 2024;buy-now, pay-later expansion into Wal-Mart; the Gen-X wealth gap; the soft-landing scenario; Jerome Powell didn't pivot in his statement, but in long-term projections for 2024; the consumer hasn't slowed down...yet. The flaw in the 'soft-landing' scenario; Apple accessories & chargers; earnings aren't growing to match the market; earnings 'expansion.' Where will the next market rotation be? Why returns can be deceptive; importance of comparing annual rates of return; your investing success depends upon when you start. Jobs without a college degree. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: What do we do between Christmas & New Year's? SEG-2: The Thesis Behind the Soft-landing Scenario SEG-3: The Flaw in the Soft-landing Scenario SEG-4: Why Returns Can Be Deceptive; Jobs without college degrees -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=culaZn8jBVc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Large Caps Will Lead in 2024," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MuKmKt2bxIo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Respond to the Powell Pivot" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDP9vDNYJ8s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Sell Cash, Buy Stocks As Powell Pivots?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-cash-buy-stocks-as-powell-pivots/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SoftLanding #Recession #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #MarketCorrection #Immigration #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/20/23) Could small caps take the lead over large caps in 2024? Not necessarily. A look at the S&P over the past twenty years, the rate of growth has been 320%. A comparison with the IWM, the blend of small- and mid-caps, is up only 263% for the same long-term period. And for long-term investors, this is an important difference. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MuKmKt2bxIo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #LargeCap #SmallCap #IWM #Earnings #Economy #MarketRally #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/19/23) Markets are winding-down to the Christmas hoiday; trading volumes will be light. We've seen record inflows to S&P 500 ETF's as markets have rallied = too much exuberance. Forgetting the basisc: Buy under-valued, sell over-valued. How the Dollar drives markets. Counting out the 12-days of Christmas: Why so many birds? Sell cash, buy stocks, as Powell pivots; how government intervention (the Fed) affects investor psychology: Did we get our money's worth? Where did all that money go?? the disconnect of markets from the economy; market rescues funded on debt. Pre-market commentary; holiday spending: more money, less stuff; Lance's weekend on the border; earnings preview: Shipping & freight commentary; don't expect a big crash. Yet. Unexpected, exogenous events are catalysts of catastrophe. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Markets Winding-down to Christmas; Dollar Effects in the new Year SEG-2: 12-Days of Christmas Recounted; Sell Cash, Buy Stocks SEG-3: Where Did All that Money Go? SEG-4: Weekend on the Border; Not Looking for a Crash. Yet. -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDP9vDNYJ8s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What a Dollar Rally Could Do for the Markets ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Z7tW5UWVms&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Has Market Exuberance Gotten Out of Hand?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4tWjBhk9Ac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=188s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Sell Cash, Buy Stocks As Powell Pivots?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-cash-buy-stocks-as-powell-pivots/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #USDollar #ChristmasShopping #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #TexasBorder #Immigration #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/19/23) It's interesting to note the asset classes that have been driving the markets' rally since early November: the Dollar weakened as markets surged. Now with expectations for stronger economic growth in 2024, and the dollar is a reflection of such activity, would a dollar rally tend to pull money out of markets..and could that be one of the catalysts for a market correction in 2024? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Z7tW5UWVms&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/18/23) It's the week before Christmas and on Broad & Wall, though Lance's shopping list is empty, he's not hitting the mall! Did markets mistake what Jerome Powell really said last week? The current market rally is long in the tooth: 7-weeks running a buying stampede; correction is inevitable. 46% of S&P is at all-time highs. Will markets drift higher through the end of the year? Santa Claus Rally defined (it extends into January). Has market exuberance gotten out of hand? How much more salary would make you happy? What Dave Ramsey IS right about: Getting out of debt. Stock ownership is on the rise: Almost back to where it was pre-1999. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 2:57 - Correction is Coming 14:50 - Has Market Exuberance Gone Too Far? 30:22 - More money, less debt 44:24 - Christmas Rules, Chinese Buffet, & Stock Ownership -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Santa Claus Rally Arrives Ahead of Schedule," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7d8Ke2jCTg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Much Will You Spend on Your Pet (and other pet peeves) in 2024?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4tWjBhk9Ac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=188s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/ "The 'American Dream' Isn't Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #ChristmasShopping #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #StockOwnership #DaveRamsey #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/18/23) This is the week no one is working on Wall Street, volume will be light, and markets could continue their upward drift. But now into a seventh week of market gains, this buying stampede is long in the tooth, the wood is stacked, lighter fluid has been applied: What will be the catalyst to ignite the flames of sell-off and an expected market correction? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZGNCLLIcqMs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #SantaClausRally #FOMC #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/15/23) Forget the Santa Claus rally: After this week's Fed announcement, it's the Jerome Powell rally. Don't fight the Fed. Darden Restaurants & Ruth's Chris Steakhouse; reactions to Fed statement; Does Jerome Powell wear a Santa suit? Has owning a pet become a luxury? Financial Planning for Pets: $2,640 avg. annual expense; making emotional decisions about money. The benefits of pet ownership and caring for pets. Pet Sitters & IRS rules for 1099 reporting personal transactions vs side gigs. What happens when you start taking SS early? Knowing the thresholds: Were The Little Rascals in on a welfare scam? SEG-1: The Jerome Powell Rally SEG-2: Has Owning a Pet Become a Luxury? SEG-3: Pet Sitters & IRS Rules SEG-4: What Happens When You Take SS Early Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4tWjBhk9Ac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Santa Claus Rally Arrives Ahead of Schedule," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7d8Ke2jCTg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed Pivots" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njWj-nMpjxs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/ "The 'American Dream' Isn't Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FOMC #JeromePowell #PetCare #PetSitter #IRSrules #SocialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/14/23) Throwing caution to the wind, a dovish FOMC takes the bearish stance away from markets; markets are forming a cup-and-handle pattern, suggesting a rally to record-highs; but that does not preclude a 3- to-5% correction. Bond yields are to fall. Out of control tipping; how the Fed trained investors to expect backup; the Fed's pivot to dovishness: What do they know that we do not? The benefits of lower rates vs risk of more inflation; financial conditions are easing. Look for a huge short-cover rally, and then get ready for correction. But first, more record-highs. Bullish vs bearish commentary; a look at the FRED database; the key phrase is "effective rate." Excess liquidity is leaving the system; where will the Fed turn when it needs more money? THe Fed is still doing QT, reducing liquidity. Economic data remains weak; is the Fed attempting to micro-manage the economy to a soft-landing? The Fed really doesn't know what it's doing. SEG-1: FOMC Throwing Caution to the Wind SEG-2: Tip-shaming & How the Fed Trained Investors SEG-3: After the Rally, Get Ready for Corrections SEG-4: Is the Fed Micro-managing the Economy? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njWj-nMpjxs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Santa Claus Rally Arrives Ahead of Schedule," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7d8Ke2jCTg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Elf on the Shelf & The American Dream" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DSERk7Bn1vI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/ "The 'American Dream' Isn't Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FOMC #CPI #Inflation #BondYield #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/14/23) Wednesday's (12/13) FOMC meeting took the bearish bias off the markets. Markets are currently extremely over bought; everything is pegged in terms of bullishness: Retail Investor Sentiment is extremely bullish with 90% of stocks being above their 50-DMA. Historically, such conditions have invariably resulted in correction, but that doesn't mean it has to happen right away. And, after a few weeks of consolidation without a correction, Santa has arrived early, and markets are off to the races, thanks to the Fed's dovish stance. Markets are now within a couple percentage points of marking all-time highs, something which we think may be achieved before Christmas. Meanwhile, Yields, which we have contended have been improperly priced, will likely take out the 200-DMA today on ten-year treasury yields. If you didn't lock in earlier opportunities in bonds, that window is gone. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g7d8Ke2jCTg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #SantaClausRally #FOMC #BondYields #200DMA #MarketRally #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/13/23) CPI came in right on the money, and now attention turns to the Fed meeting today, and tomorrow's comments from Chairman Jerome Powell. What does the Fed want: Inflation vs deflation vs disinflation; yields need to come down; meanwhile markets continue to climb setting new highs, but not new record-highs. The Elf on the Shelf explained; embodiment of The American Dream; cost now more than ever, unless you create it; what the American Dream is NOT; the value in learning a trade; defining your personal American Dream; how to beat the high cost of the American Dream (The Millionaire Next Door); baby cribs, diamond rings, & funeral costs. SEG-1: CPI on the Money; Fed Day Reveal SEG-2: The Elf on the Shelf & The American Dream, Pt. 1 SEG-3: The Elf on the Shelf & The American Dream, Pt. 2 SEG-4: Buying the American Dream (and beating the costs) Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DSERk7Bn1vI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Haven't Generated Record Highs. Yet," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y3Dqb8-jTpc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Markets Front-running Rate Cuts?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qi7ygBOQt2c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/ "The 'American Dream' Isn't Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #AmericanDream #ElfOnTheShelf #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/13/23) Markets are making new highs for this year but have not generated "record highs." Yet. All it would take is about another 150-points...don't see that happening today. Markets are still trying to recover all that was lost during 2022. Markets are very over bought at this point; but is the market unstoppable? Markets have to breathe; and historically, every time markets have been over bought, there has been some kind of correction. In a bull market those corrections are shorter, but in a bear market they're protracted. In a bull market they're not as deep: 3-5% vs 5-10% in a bear market. Investors may be tempted to jump now because it seems the market is unstoppable. It is, indeed, stoppable. Patience is the watch word at this point; let the markets come back to you. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Register for our 2024 Economic Summit: Navigating Markets in a Presidential Cycle: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ria-advisors-economic-summit-tickets-703288784687?aff=oddtdtcreator -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y3Dqb8-jTpc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Markets Are Front Running The First Rate Cut" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-markets-are-front-running-the-first-rate-cut/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketHighs #MarketPullback #MarketWeighting #CPI #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/12/23) It's CPI Day, and November inflation clocked-in at an expected rate of .1%, which now begs the answer to tomorrow's question: Will the Fed do? A review of market performance vs portfolio performance: What metric are you using to measure success? Market history vs current market dynamics, and the investor conundrum" How "this time" could very well be different. We have seen a classical conditioning of the markets: The Fed always comes to the rescue. All you need to know about QE from Ben Bernanke in 2010. Al Gore is up in arms over no elimination of fossil fuels (which are necessary for life as we know it). Tik-Tok news and "adult" discussions; Poll: Are economic conditions getting worse? Data sources. Composites of the CPI: What matters more--CPI or Core CPI (what the Fed looks at). Markets are betting the Fed is done...but, the Fed has not said: Wants lower asset prices, slower economic growth and higher unemployment and disinflation. Market pre-open commentary; changes in market psychology. SEG-1: CPI Day & Fed Preview SEG-2: The Fed's Classical Conditioning of the Markets SEG-3: Are Economic Conditions Getting Worse? SEG-4: Composites of the CPI Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qi7ygBOQt2c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Measuring Markets By Equal-weighting Better?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wU88QqvjKqc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Ten Steps to Achieving the 'American Dream'" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MpGNCtFVKvk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2449s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The 'American Dream' Isn't Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPause #Markets #Money #Investing

12/12/23) How can you accurately measure your portfolio performance when the "Magnificent 7" gaggle of stocks this year has literally domninated market performance metrics. Perhaps a better metric would be to compare against the RSP equal-weighted index. Markets do continue to run up: The S&P, Dow, & NASDAQ all over-bought; the Russell 2000 is also in rally mode, but somewhat weaker in performance. Volatility is very low at this point, but that could change with reduced trading aas the holidays draw near. Meanwhile, November CPI clocked-in at an expected .1% rate. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wU88QqvjKqc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketHighs #MarketPullback #MarketWeighting #CPI #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/11/23) Friday's employment report was not great: comprised pf mostly striking workers returning to the job; factor out anomalies, and it was a very weak report: Weak enough for markets to hope for Fed to further pause rate hikes? What will the Fed say on Wednesday? The risk of correction from a hawkish Fed. Markets set new highs for 2023 but remain at zero for the past 22-months. The end of the buyback window; when the buying stampede is over. Managing money is a game of inches. Is the 'American Dream' really dead? Ten steps to achieve the 'American Dream;' age discrimination in the extreme. SEG-1: Why the Employment Report Disappointed SEG-2: Managing Money is a Game of Inches SEG-3: The 'American Dream' is not Dead SEG-4: Ten Steps to Achieve the 'American Dream' Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MpGNCtFVKvk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2449s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set New 2023 High," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xzvIyAAvdbE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "When the Fed's "Wait-and-See" means "Pause"" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=El5aJGlGB1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The 'American Dream' Isn't Dead. 10-Steps To Achieve It." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-american-dream-isnt-dead-10-steps-to-achieve-it/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EmploymentReport #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPause #AmericanDream # Capitalism #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/11/23) Markets have actually set a new high for the year, now up about 20% for 2023. Pretty amazing, considering markets haven't really gone anywhere over the past 22-months. Markets have had a zero rate of return; why is this important? If your financial plan calls for 6% growth annually, with zero gains over two years, you're 12% behind your goals. Only a handful of stocks have driven markets this year. Now, with a very overbought market, now at levels associated with short-term peaks, any trigger for selling could generate a substantial reaction. A pullback to 4,300 would not be surprising. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xzvIyAAvdbE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketHighs #MarketPullback #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/8/23) Markets and the Fed are at odds in interest rate expectations; AMD vs NVDIA in the chip wars; why markets are pulling back: Setting up for a Santa Claus rally. Will Jobs numbers line-up with market expectations? T-Bill & Chill? Putting cash to work in a 5% world. Bankers are betting you're going to be lazy; what will you do when rates go back down? What will be the next "Magnificent-7?" S&P predictions for 2024; how we make the sausage;. Healthcare costs in retirement: The value of an HSA. THe Medicare enrollment maze. End of year chores; charitable contributions & Long Term Care; new rules for 529 Plans: What if the money isn't used? Moving money to Roth IRA (within limits). SEG-1: Will Jobs Numbers Line-up w Market Expectations? SEG-2: Putting Cash to Work in a 5% World SEG-3: What are the Next Magnificent-7? SEG-4: Dealing w Healthcare Expenses in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors' Senior Financial Advisors Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=442R_6H1Iac&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the VIX is Saying" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfoZlCvRcrY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "#Bitcoin Back in the Headlines" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=El5aJGlGB1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The Fed Pauses: What Comes Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-pauses-what-comes-next/ "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ "Recessionary Indicators Update. Soft Landing Or Worse?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recessionary-indicators-update-soft-landing-or-worse/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #InterestRates #FedPause #BondMarket #Jobs #FederalReserve #MagnificentSeven #NVDIA #AMD #ChipWars #Retirement #Healthcare #HSA #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/7/23) Markets are hoping for a Santa Claus rally; Jobless claims and employment numbers preview: What will the Fed do? What the VIX is telling us; low level of volatility will reverse; Oil Prices continue to correct, but over-sold; Bitcoin back in the headlines, but technically overbought. Narratives have taken hold of Bond prices; if the Fed wants a soft-landing, taking it off auto-pilot, and lower rates now. The repercussions of lower rates; MTV Debut, new rules for major banks' reserve; either go completely under government control, or exist as independent private business, and be allowed to fail without bailouts. Why the government wants to force banks to hold more reserves: Buy more bonds. Bitcoin: Why is Jamie Dimon so opposed? The alternative to banking. The difference between Bitcoin vs Blockchain; Crypto is the ultimate fiat currency, backed by nothing. Why Dimon should fear blockchain. SEG-1: Hoping for a Santa Claus Rally SEG-2: Why the Fed Should Cut Rates Now SEG-3: Pearl Harbor, MTV, & New Banking Rules SEG-4: Banking Rules & Blockchain Fears Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, ww Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mG6OntjdyFM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=226s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the VIX is Saying" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfoZlCvRcrY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will 2024 See a Soft-landing, Recession...or Worse?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=El5aJGlGB1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "The Fed Pauses: What Comes Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-pauses-what-comes-next/ "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ "Recessionary Indicators Update. Soft Landing Or Worse?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recessionary-indicators-update-soft-landing-or-worse/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPause #BondMarket #Blockchain #Bitcoin #MTV #BankingReserves #JamieDimon #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/7/23) As recently as October the Volatility Index (VIX) was rising, spurring concerns about super-bearish outcomes; and as the VIX was very extended, we were looking for a reversal in November that would correspond with a rally...and what a rally it was! But volatility has since evaporated, and has more recently turned up on a buy signal, suggesting a potential push higher over the next week or so: Lower prices = higher volatility. The question is, what piece of news (we're looking at YOU, Federal Reserve) might be the trigger for that increased volatility? Meanwhile, oil prices continue to climb, and are over sold by two standard deviations below the moving average. We think any reversal in oil prices probably won't happen until after December. And despite the recent rally in Bitcoin, it's technically very over bought, at three standard deviations above the long term moving averages. We're looking for a pull back to the mid-30's for a better entry point. The entire asset class is very speculative. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfoZlCvRcrY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Volatility #VIX #MarketRally #OilPrices #Bitcoin #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/6/23) Will there be a soft-landing, recession, or worse in 2024...or not until 2025? There is still lots of liquidity sloshing around the system. Focus on risk management & timing management; markets cannot seem to break out of present trading range; stock buyback window closes on Friday. End of year maneuvers should include RMD's, charitable giving, HSA's, and tax-loss harvesting; don't ignore the wash rule! Why jobs matter: Yield curves are inverted; when they un-invert will herald recession: The big question is when?? Markets have had zero-returns over past two years. Why time in the market matters--especially if you're young. Risk management is more important when you're older; the 50/20/30 Rule. SEG-1: Recession 2024 or 2025? SEG-2: End of Year Maneuvers SEG-3: JOLTS & Jobs: Why Employment Matters SEG-4: Why Time in the Market Matters Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=El5aJGlGB1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Happens When Buybacks Go Away " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qO6Q-jBIrzg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is There Hope for 2024?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=edbQ1Zq94GE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ "Recessionary Indicators Update. Soft Landing Or Worse?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recessionary-indicators-update-soft-landing-or-worse/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EconomicRecession #MarketCorrection #Inflation #RiskManagement #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/6/23) Markets "slopped" around on Tuesday, preparing to fulfill our prophecy of a market correction in early December. Corrections can also be a consolidation, with sideways market action for a period. Markets have not been able to break out of a trading range over the past ten trading days. Stock buybacks that began in November have been a large contributor to market activity; those will end on Friday when the buyback window closes for the current quarter, and the market loses one of its major drivers. Markets remain elevtaed just enough to forestall a Sell-signal from triggering. Volume will begin to markedly taper starting next week, heading into Christmas, and buybacks go away. From a rick-management perspective, continue to be cautious about market exposure. Now is a great time for tax-loss harvesting, profit takeing, and reducing overweight positions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qO6Q-jBIrzg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketPullback #StockBuybacks #PortfolioRebalancing #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/5/23) There have been fewer declining economic surprises of late as the economy weakens. We're noting a surge in use of buy-now/pay-later services; Economic data is artificially inflated: GDP vs GDI. One problem with weaker economic growth: 2024 Earnings estimates will be hard to meet. Markets sold off Monday, with bouts of buying; year-end window-dressing is underway. Why analysts are always bullish (85% of the time, markets ARE). The Big Business of Wall Street: Who's really important to Wall Street. How IPO's really work. Analysts' actual performance revealed vs what they're p[redicting fro 2024. The problem with self-checkout & retail theft; creation of more inflation; Gen-Z's five-finger discount habit. SEG-1: Optimistic Share Price Forecasts May Be hard to Meet SEG-2: Why Analysts Are Always Bullish, Pt-1. SEG-3: Why Analysts Are Always Bullish, Pt-2. SEG-4: Self-check, Retail Theft, & Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=edbQ1Zq94GE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Begin Year-End Gyrations" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9IV8Jl3yxgw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=4s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the 'Everything' Rally Over? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZ9mG16LQIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2086s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #InvestorOptimism #AnalystPositivy #AnalystPerformance #2024EarningsEstimates #RetailTheft #SelfCheckout #GenerationZ #FiveFingerDiscount #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/5/23) Markets sold off, despite bouts of buying, as investors take advantage of the dips. Mag-7 has been lagging under pressure...but don't read too much into that: Mutual Funds are rebalancing to equalize over-performers and under-performers. It's that time of year. This period of rotation will likely be short-lived. However, if the market ends lower today, we're likely going to see a trigger of the Sell-signal. Targets for correction could be the 20-DMA, which is at 4,480, or even down to 4,350 at the 50-DMA. . Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9IV8Jl3yxgw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wall Street Analysts Are Optimistic For 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-analysts-are-optimistic-for-2024/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

(12/4/23) Welcome to the first full week of December trading; a review of Mrs. Roberts' Birthday Weekend; market-wise, the stock buy back window is closing; expectations for a hawkish Fed statement next week; mutual fund distributions are coming; be cautious about being overly bullish. Rotations from the Magnificent Seven are beginning; the 'Everything' Rally went too far, too fast. We're back where we were in July; losses were mitigated by the Magnificent Seven. Chasing last year's leaders is not a good idea. As we wrap up 2023, we believe December will be more muted, barely positive. Recession talk has not abated, slower growth is expected, which is why the Fed had paused. Jerome Powell is not in as good a position as before, saying it is "premature to conclude when policy might ease." The Fed is willing to increase rates again to avoid deflation. Indicators still say Recession is likely. Earnings season wrap up, economic numbers preview; a reminder to do your RMD's NOW! SEG-1: Be Cautious About Being Bullish SEG-2: Is the 'EVerything' Rally Really Over? SEG-3: Why Recession Talk Has Not Abated SEG-4: Earnings Season Wraps; Economic Numbers Previews Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZ9mG16LQIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2086s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Sell-off Nigh for the Magnificent Seven?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=maJXM79poJ4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will You Be Visited by Ghosts of Financial Mistakes-past?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qHQ-vptVe1k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Context And Facts Expose Bearish Bond Narratives" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/context-and-facts-expose-bearish-bond-narratives/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #NASDAQ #MagnificentSeven #EverythingRally #Recession #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/4/23) The S&P has had a terrific run, now two standard deviations above the 50-DMA, but it's also getting a little extreme at this point. Normally, when markets trade at this level, you will get a pullback. With markets this far over-bought, it's close to triggering a MACD Sell-signal. That will put more downward pressure on asset prices. We're looking for a correction back to the 4,350-ish level. That NASDAQ has been under pressure in terms of the Mag-7, which has been the leader of the market for most of the year. The NASDAQ is also over bought and is now triggering a Sell-signal. There is now rotation into other areas of the market. RSP has similarly gone too far, too fast, and is expecting a pullback. Gold has punched well into two standard deviations territory, as has BitCoin; Bonds are also in the two standard deviations realm. The point is, there will be a pullback, and you'll have a better opportunity to put capital to work. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=maJXM79poJ4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Complacency Seems Overly Complacent" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/complacency-seems-overly-complacent/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSeven #MarketPullback 20-DMA 50-DMA #NASDAQ #Gold #Bonds #Markets #Money #Investing

(12/1/23) The next James Bond movie should be called, "Convexity," starring Michael Lebowitz; looking at the Climate Summit: What's on Bill Gates' agenda? ESG is a farce; it's all about big business; eating bugs and drinking beetle juice. How to execute Thematic Investing; what are the rules needed to manage? The Magazine of Wall Street: How times have changed. Financial Ghosts-past: learning from your mistakes. Calculating your personal debt-to-income ratio, and our recommendations; the wisdom of waiting; wants vs needs. Careful of using online tools to calculate debt ratios (know the source!) "Standard Rules" vs reality. Home affordability and the trend toward smaller houses. Money Scripts & the $5 test: The Ratliff Safe (TM) SEG-1: Convexity & Climate Summits SEG-2: Thematic Investing & The Magazine of Wall Street SEG-3: Financial Ghosts: Learning from your mistakes SEG-4: Using Online Budgeting Tools & The Ratliff Safe Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qHQ-vptVe1k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Need a Breather" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZMOtmA1IJ8w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Doing the Bond Math Amid Fiscal Dysfunction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sFql9LaclI0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Context And Facts Expose Bearish Bond Narratives" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/context-and-facts-expose-bearish-bond-narratives/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #BondInvesting #ClimateSummit #ESG #ThematicInvesting #FinancialGhosts #DebtRatio #MoneyScripts #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/30/23) Face-off Movie, Bond Math, and Market Preview: How does the Consumer continue to spend? Texas' Christmas spending habits = $817/avg. Budgeting for Christmas w price pressure in mind. Will interest rates be but next year (why wouild the Fed do that)? Michael Lebowitz helps crunch the Bond Math: What price changes mean in the Bond Market. What is the credit risk to consider? How will you be paid? Recession is inevitable; how long do you want to hold a bond? Discounts vs Yields: doing the bond math (Bondilocks) factoring duration in getting paid; the higher the yield, the shorter the duration. Narrative Economics & The Federal Debt: what is happening to debt service? Is the US Fiscally-dysfunctional? Slwer Growth, less wealth, deflation are the results. It's the interest expense that's killing us. debt to GDP is declining...for now: The Government can't fix the deficit, but it CAN lower interest rates. SEG-1: How Does the Consumer Continue to Spend? SEG-2: Crunching the Bond Math SEG-3: Inside Lance's Head ; Discounts vs Yields SEG-4: Narrative Economics & The Federal Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sFql9LaclI0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Need a Breather" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZMOtmA1IJ8w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Would Charlie Munger Do?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Hd51fQl49A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=387s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Context And Facts Expose Bearish Bond Narratives" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/context-and-facts-expose-bearish-bond-narratives/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #BondMath #FiscalDysfunction #InterestRates #DeficitSpending #ConsumerSpending #Yields Markets #Money #Investing

(11/29/23) Berkshire Hathaway #2 man, Charlie Munger has passed at age 99; Danny & Jon review his greatest quotes & investing philosophies; Mark Cuben divests his majority stake in the Dallas Mavericks; market & economic numbers commentary; chances for rate cuts by June are on the rise; Cyber Monday sales up +9%, but consumers purchased fewer items. Quoting Charlie Munger: Understanding what you own, sitting & thinking, wealth = independence, importance of continually learning, passion vs brains. Where's Lance? Peppermint patties & frozen Twinkies; financial to-do list: checking beneficiaries, reviewing estate plan, do the will, check annuities; also, RMD's, tax-loss harvesting, last minute contributions to charity, HSA vs FSA, and Roth conversions. SEG-1: Mark Cuban divests, Charlie Munger dies; Market review, economics preview SEG-2: Favorite Quotes & Quips from Charlie Munger SEG-3: Where's Lance & Year-end Things To Do SEG-4: Financial Prep for 2024 Hosted by RIA Advisors' Senior Financial Advisors Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Hd51fQl49A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=387s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Need a Breather" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZMOtmA1IJ8w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "If You Think You Made Too Much Money this Year..." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mn5EV_97zQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "S&P 500 Market Returns And Why Your Performance Is Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-market-returns-and-why-your-performance-is-worse/ "Complacency Seems Overly Complacent" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/complacency-seems-overly-complacent/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CharlieMunger #BerkshireHathaway #MarkCuban #ConsumerSpending #RothIRA #Roth401k #FSA #HSA #EstatePlan #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/28/23) After a protracted Thanksgiving break, Danny and Jonathan preview markets and economic releases this week, along with Fed minutes & holiday spending trends: Thanksgiving wasn't cheap, and Christmas is going on credit cards. The rate of inflation may be lower, but prices are still going up. Holiday chaos, hippie cookies (sorry, Michelle), and what to do with extra cash? Will rates be lower next year? Defining the Yield Curve (and wy it matters); The Hierarchy of Savings; what's your number? Taxes are about to change (revert higher) in 2025; What's the difference between a Roth IRA & Roth 401k? SEG-1: Market Review, Economic Preview, Christmas on Credit SEG-2: Holiday Chaos, Hippie Cookies, & Extra Cash SEG-3: Defining the Yield Curve; What's Your Number? SEG-4: Roth IRA vs Roth 401k: What's the Difference? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Senior Financial Advisors Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mn5EV_97zQk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Need a Breather" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZMOtmA1IJ8w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why the S&P is Up 17% and You're Not" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xfns3GpZZ2Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "S&P 500 Market Returns And Why Your Performance Is Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-market-returns-and-why-your-performance-is-worse/ "Complacency Seems Overly Complacent" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/complacency-seems-overly-complacent/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #HolidaySpending #ChristmasCredit #Inflation #YieldCurve #RothIRA #Roth401k #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/24/23)Withdrawal Rates & Recency Bias: Why Dave Ramsey is wrong about withdrawal rates. MorningStar: Dealing with higher fixed-income rates: not here to stay. Why the 4% Withdrawal Rate is back...for now. Sequence of Returns & Guaranteed Income when the withdrawal rate is not constant. NOTE: This presentation includes video originally lost due to technical issues on the day the show was originally streamed. 0:00 - Teaser 1:03 - Withdrawal rates & Recency Bias: Ramsey is Wrong 7:43 - That part you may have missed... 12:20 - Sequence of Returns Risks & Guaranteed Income Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- These segments are excerpted from a previous show, which can be more fully viewed here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iR6uRWwmEY8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Not-so-Bad News is Good" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kdv5qsINM00&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Year of The Magnificent Seven" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=blvFign-AWA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Employment Is Sending Signals: Recession Or Normalization?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/employment-is-sending-signals-recession-or-normalization/ "Speculator Or Investor? What's The Difference?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/speculator-or-investor-whats-the-difference/ "Bond Rates Drop As Recession Fears Return" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #RetirementSpending #4%Rule #Inflation #EconomicSentiment #ButterballTurkey #Thanksgiving #Markets #Money #Investing