The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

As we went to air this morning, Space-X astronauts are "space-walking," testing new spacesuits; is Elon Musk the real-live equivalent of Tony Stark? CPI prints cooler--but core CPI was hotter than expected. MEanwhile the NFIB Survey (showing conservative bent) shows increases in confidence wiped out as Harris capmaigns; policy matters. Markets Big Reversal on Nvidia commentary about AI chip demand; the news boosted markets to a 2.5% gain. CPI is a hot mess: Inflation is different for everyone; the important question is how CPI will affect markets. Lance and Michael discuss how CPI is calculated; what if shelter costs do not lag and remain elevated? The impact of healthcare costs and energy on CPI; oil price corellation with inflation. The Adobe Digital Price Index compares online shopping price trends. Volatility ETF's: Why don't the wrk very well? Going long with low volatility/shorting on high volatility; how we gambled and missed buy one day. Why Volatility ETF's are like Thanksgiving turkeys. Charting policy differences between Harris vs Trump campaigns. Tariffs & Taxes analysis: How do they affect productivity? Higher taxes on a smaller pie, or lower taxes on a bigger pie? Taxes remove capital from the market place, which could otherwise be spent on innovation & productivity. SEG-1: Markets' Big Reversal Day SEG-2: CPI is a Hot Mess SEG-3: Volatility ETF's: Why don't they work well? SEG-4: Tariffs, Taxes, & Policy Analysis Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gn_rLnZURQ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Cash Cow Clues: Can Dividend Yields Forecast Interest Rates?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cash-cow-clues-can-dividend-yields-forecast-interest-rates/ "S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/ "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Test Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eX3NtgCIW20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What's Really Behind Stock Market Volatility" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D5D2sxuJwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #Magnificent7 #SpaceX #SpaceWalk #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #OilPrices #GovernmentSpending #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #StockBuybacks #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Policy #Taxes #Tariffs #Innovation #Productivity #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing

Today marks the 23rd anniversary of the World Trade Center attacks; it's Inflation Day and post-Debate day. Market volatility tends to increase prior to Presidential elections; why policy matters. CPI is expected to show a .2% increase (it's ALWAYS expected at .2%!) Oil prices are a function of supply & demand. CPI will most impact markets today, and factor into the Fed's rate decision next week. Volatility is the big market driver. What inflation is telling us about the economy; why falling inflation is not good for earnings. How companies are cutting wages (without cutting wages); Danny rants on the high cost of hotel coffee. A critique of government spending, and why "The Inflation Reduction Act" was anything but; a look at sector-based bankruptcies and the Solar Energy industry. Stop investing in companies you know nothing about. Private investors and private money are more efficient than government investments: The Day Care conundrum. A word or two on the presidential debate; 6 income alternatives for falling rate environment; demand notes; Risk annuities; closed-end funds. At what point should you liquidate bonds? SEG-1: Markets Increase Volatility Pre-Election SEG-2: What Inflation is Telling Us About the Economy SEG-3: Why "The Inflation Reduction Act" is Mis-labelled SEG-4: Income Alternatives as Rates Fall Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D5D2sxuJwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/ "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CPI: Will or Won't the Fed Cut Rates?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iArd3ktAw90&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Five Actions You Can Take to Minimize Risk" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDSbAB_oXtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #PresidentialDebate #InflationReductionAct #OilPrices #GovernmentSpending #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts previews the next Fed meeting and rate drop predictions; 2-yr Treasury yields are reflective of rate expectations. Forward earnings revisions continue to ratchet downward; markets must reprice on expectations, impacting performance. Monday's market rally was a disappointment; MACD sell signal is still in place. There are still barriers and resistance in the way of markets moving higher. This is not a good time to buy bonds. Lance and Jon look at what happens to stocks when a company is added to the S&P 500; why you should never track to an index: They're not reality. Wall Street wants you perpetually upset because money movement and emotions create fees. Indexes do not pay fees or taxes. Five steps you can take to mitigate portfolio risk. Lance and Jon answer e-mail query about portfolio management and reasonable expectations: Can you create high yields in a low interest rate environment? SEG-1: Markets' Rally Disappoints SEG-2A: What Happens When Stock is Added to the S&P 500 SEG-2B: Five Steps You Can Take to Mitigate Portfolio Risk SEG-3: E-mail Q&A: Realistic Goals of Portfolio Management SEG-4: Why Financial Planning is All a Big Guess Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDSbAB_oXtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/ "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Rally Disappoints" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RnurWaljp8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "A Rough Start to September" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets are having a rough start for September; Will the be a correction before the election? Lance examines the buyer/seller dynamic. Markets will probably bound this week. Look for a moderate rally, which will provide opportunity to trim portfolio risk. September/October stock market volatility is expected, with markets de-risking going into the election. Will there be an economic slowdown in September? Lance answers a question from YouTube chat," Who receives the difference in profits/losses when a company sells stock? Why stock buybacks are a scam; a dividend is a return of value to stock holder, while a buyback is a share redemption. The next, great undoing of the markets has not yet been thought of. The Friday Jobs Report: Not to hot, not too cold, but definitely not just right. Lance reviews events that have led to slower job growth. Has Technology really made our lives better? In the book, "The Age of Spiritual Machines," by futurist Ray Kurzwell, written in the late '90's, 78% of predictions have come true. SEG-1: September Stock Market Volatility SEG-2: Why Stock Buybacks Are a Scam SEG-3: What Do the Jobs Reports Really Tell Us? SEG-4: Does Technology Really Make Things Better? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L4xLdTctnLk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Bounce this Week?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rSVpIA3cI6Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Plan for Trump Tax Cut Expiration" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing

Will last month's Jobs and JOLTS reports show "normalization" of employment numbers to pre-Covid counts? What will the Fed response be, and what will that imply about the economy? Richard & Danny further explore the "sunsetting" of tax rate cuts initiated by the Trump administration, and who might be affected: Most likely, everyone will see an average 3% increase, across the board. A real look at who pays their "fair share" and more, and who doesn't. SEG-1: Jobs Numbers & JOLTS Report: Back to Pre-Covid Normalization? SEG-2: Sunsetting Tax Cuts: Who Will Be Affected? SEG-3: Impact of Tax Rate Sunset vs Real Solution SEG-4: Retirement Most Precarious for Middle Class Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Yield Be 4% by Friday?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyk8BotCkhk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Limiting Losses with Yield Curve Analysis" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpTaxCuts #TaxCutSunset #MarketCorrection #TaxHike #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #YieldCurveInversion #BondYield #BullSteepening #EmploymentReroit #EconomicWeakness #NegativeRevision #Divergence #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts previews the next Fed meeting: There's a 50-50-chance of a 50-bp rate cut; will tomorrow's jobs report show fewer jobs than before Covid? Numbers are suspect with labor "hoarding" a potential problem; negative revisions to JOLTS report, part of a trend of negative revisions back to 2002. Will Yields be 4% by Friday? What the bond market is indicating. Living in the late 1900's; The Bond Yield Bet: Lots of stragglers to natural buying on demand; depending on the Fed to cut rates. Corporations are shorting Treasuries ahead of their own bond issuances: Corporate debt hedging. There are lots of divergences; Market Data is detached from economic reality. Has the yield curve "normalized?" The differential between 2-yr vs 10-yr Treasuries; what causes behaviors: The Fed. Michael Lebowitz explains the yield curve inversion in charts & graphs. Bull Steepening Periods Average Returns; how to use yield curve signals to mitigate loss. SEG-1: The Next Fed Meeting: 50-50- Chance of 50-bp Rate Cut SEG-2: The Bond Yield Bet SEG-3: Has the Yield Curve "Normalized:" Bond Yield Behaviors SEG-4: Bull Steepening Explained Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I7oP6xRCGN0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Yield Be 4% by Friday?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyk8BotCkhk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Big Down Day" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #YieldCurveInversion #BondYield #BullSteepening #EmploymentReroit #EconomicWeakness #NegativeRevision #Divergence #Markets #Money #Investing

The S&P 500 sank 2.1%, the Nasdaq lost 3.3%, and while the tech sector led stocks into the red, the Dow wasn't excluded from the bad day either, shedding over 600 points for a 1.5% loss. What's next? The Tuesday market dump was accompanied by weak manufacturing reports suggesting the economy is weakening. The Yield Curve actually un-inverted briefly, and then re-inverted. Markets sold off more sharply than expected for no apparent reason, led by semiconductors and The Most Significant Stock in the market, Nvidia. However, after the dust settled, it was learned (by the rest of us) Nvidia was served with a DOJ subpoena investigating "monopolistic" behavior AFTER the closing bell. Wonder how they knew that? The risks to the market remain: Polling suggests policy after the election WILL matter: What polices will actually be enacted, and how will they affect markets? Corp tax rates, 2017 tax cut expiration, healthcare costs; Lance waxes eloquent on his dietary restrictions, sugar in bacon (and other foods), and reading food labels. Assets in Leveraged and Exchange Traded Funds; the speculative nature of investors today. How leverage is a double-edged sword. SEG-1: Why Markets Took a Dump SEG-2: How Did They Know?? SEG-3: Risks to the Markets: Why Policy Matters SEG-4A: Sugared Bacon & Food Labels SEG-4B: The Speculative Nature of Investors Today Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOJonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Market Correction Continue?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Jx2J6xfbRg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Past Performance is No Guarantee..." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJ1a845sbL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #Nvidia #DOJSubpoena #TechSector #PolicyMatters #2017TaxCuts #AffordableCareAct #ObamaCare #CorporateTaxCuts #MarketReturns #MarketBullishness #PastPerformance #NoGuarantee #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioComparison #HighYieldBond #Markets #Money #Investing

It's a holiday-shortened trading week to kick off the new month: September & October tend to be weaker trading months. Look for light volume and the impact of the corporate buy back window open and closing; markets tend to de-risk ahead of elections. Markets closed Friday at July's all-time high amid much bullish optimism. Markets today could retest 20- 50-DMA for support. despite a loss of momentum, take caution to not become overly negative. Lance and Jonathan address viewer emails about searching for investment research platforms (a la Morningstar), and the meanings of stock ratings (who is the customer?)"Past performance is no guarantee of future results..." A more important "P" question is one of Philosophy of a firm. Look for survivability over time. Why you cannot ignore past performance; making up losses is not the same as making money. Why does Wall Street create more indexes? "Comparison is the root of all unhappiness." Moving money creates fees. The cost of swapping strategies (comparing performances). The difference in returns the difference in investors' place in life. Question about building a 5.1% return portfolio; looking at markets' true returns. What happens when "high yield" bonds mature? Dealing with risk in portfolios; looking at variable returns. 8% is great...until the market makes 11%. SEG-1: Markets Close at July Highs - Can they Keep it? SEG-2: Why Past Performance is No Guarantee SEG-3: Comparison Is the Root of All Unhappiness SEG-4: What Happens When "High Yield" Bonds Mature? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJ1a845sbL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break Higher or Lower?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ojxEbzU9heE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Clawback Your Payments?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VG5OqhPFss4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketResiliency #MarketReturns #MarketBullishness #PastPerformance #NoGuarantee #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioComparison #HighYieldBond #Markets #Money #Investing

Market Resiliency: It's always about the Fed. Nvidia and the AI story is still alive; Treasuries are overbought; Dollar General and Big Lots are struggling, surprisingly; where are the cracks in the economy? THe unwinding of the Tech sector, and how Google lets you know you're fired. The push to working longer; more and more are depending more and more on Social Security. legislation introduced to prevent SS clawbacks after 3-years: Is it a good idea? Why small towns are paying people to move there; living in a Dollar General, old food & Twinkies. How to boost credit scores without borrowing money; Zillow credit reporting for rent payments; how the credit scoring formulas are changing; how FICO figures credit scores. Credit building strategies w FinTech credit cards. Dating questions, credit scores, and dating apps; the trend towards renting; credit builder cards; Credit breaches & Cyber Security. SEG-1: Market Resiliency - It's Always About the Fed SEG-2: Is Limiting Social Security Clawbacks a Good Idea? SEG-3A: Getting Paid to Move to Small Towns SEG-3B: Boosting Credit Scores Without Borrowing Money SEG-4: Credit Building Strategies that Work Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VG5OqhPFss4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/ "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Knocks the Cover off the Ball " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2e1WEWVHDKs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Nvidia Priced for Perfection?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtS6mftSN0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketResiliency #Nvidia #PrivateEquity #AIcompanies #FinancialMarkets #TechnologyInvestment #PublicCompanies #FutureTechTrends #InvestmentRisk #Opportunities #TechBirth #MarketEntry #Innovation #InvestmentAdvice #NextBigCompany #FederalReserve #InterestRates #SocialSecurity #PaymentClawbacks #DollarGeneral #BigLots #CreditScores #CreditCards #FinTechCards #FICO #Zillow #Renting #Markets #Money #Investing

Looking ahead to September; why election polling is wrong; policy differences between Harris and Trump, and potential impact on markets. Nvidia earnings report rundown and stock buy back announcement. Nvidia owns 80% of market share for GPU's for data centers, with a new Blackwell chip on the way. Syppy & demand will be key to pricing. Groth expectations and market weighting; Nvidia valuation is extremely expensive: Priced for perfection, but difficult to deliver. How long can current marings hold, and who will compete w Nvidia? Picking the "next" Nvidia is impossible to know. The benefits from AI are different from company to company. Update on the Roberts' Home Remodel: Kitchen Aide mixer & Coffee maker; The Fed: No doubt about cutting rates, just how much, how fast? Recession is the question (when)? Taking rates to zero would imply recession; we're in a record-long stretch of Yield Curve inversion; un-inversion is due. Recession indicators; pay attention to what the Bond Market and Yield Curves are saying. Dollar General's "cratering demand," and Klarna's AI-fueled layoffs. SEG-1: September Forecast & Nvidia Reports SEG-2: Priced for Perfection, Hard to Deliver SEG-3A: The Roberts' Remodel SEG-3B: The Fed: No Doubt About Cutting Rates SEG-4: Recession Indicators: What the Yield Curve Saith Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtS6mftSN0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/ "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Knocks the Cover off the Ball " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2e1WEWVHDKs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Stop Worrying About Taxes" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9tNkglBWHs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #PrivateEquity #AIcompanies #FinancialMarkets #TechnologyInvestment #PublicCompanies #FutureTechTrends #InvestmentRisk #Opportunities #TechBirth #MarketEntry #Innovation #InvestmentAdvice #NextBigCompany #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets and Investors await today's earnings report from Nvidia, which has been tagged, 'The Most Important Stock in the World.' Expectations are VERY high, so there is little room for marginal results: There is more risk of disappointment than odds of exceeding expectations. Markets continue to hang on following the mini-correction last week, followed by sharp market recovery. For now, correction is over if Nvidia delivers. Dollar pressure continues; consumer confidence is on the rise. Why worry about paying taxes on investments? If you owe taxes, you MADE money. The danger of turning gains into losses in the quest for no taxes. The fruits of investing and the Fruit of the Loom; what are the goals for your money? Dealing with Capital Gains in real estate; the need for a financial advisor, accountant, and tax lawyer. Vacation home sales strategies. Signs you know your day will be a bad one. Only 8% of pre-retirees plan to wait until age 70 to draw social security: Lance & Danny discuss strategies. SEG-1: Why Nvidia is The Most Important Stock in the world SEG-2: Why Worry About Taxes, Pt-1 SEG-3: Why Worry About Taxes, Pt-2 SEG-4A: How You Know You're Going to Have a Bad Day SEG-4B: Why Only 8% of Works Plan to Wait Until 70 for Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9tNkglBWHs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/ "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hang on Nvidia's Report" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Xt7UeGJx2g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Overbought Conditions Set up for Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTQ7Ij7AOQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #USDollar #Currency #CarryTrade #Taxes #FinancialPlanning #TaxMitigation #GrowMoney #SmartInvestments #ReduceTaxes #FinancialMistakes #TaxStrategy #TaxAdvice #FinancialGrowth #TaxEfficiency #InvestmentStrategy #MoneyManagement #FinancialAdvice #SmartWaysToReduceTaxes #TaxSavingTips #FinancialGoals #WealthBuilding #Markets #Money #Investing

Today's show is all over the place: Durable Goods take a big jump...unless you remove Aircraft. Astronauts stuck in space: Elon Musk to the rescue. Markets are overbought; risk remains in Carry Trade. Market correction will likely be short and shallow. What if: Nvidia's report tomorrow. Stocks are setting up for correction: Stocks on sale? Fallacies about the Dollar and where best to store currency. Viagra, Blue Chews, Him's/Her's: Demographics and the birthrate. Dating apps falling off a cliff. Demographics are destiny; the economics of dating. The family unit is the basis of the economy. The demise of society w/emergence of social media. Houston has a problem with scammers: Jonathan relates his daughter's recent run-in with the "Safe harbor Hotel" scam. SEG-1: Durable Goods, Stuck in Space, Overbought Markets SEG-2: Stocks Are Setting Up for Correction SEG-3: Blue Chews & Destiny in Demographics SEG-4: The Safe Harbor Hotel Scam Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTQ7Ij7AOQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction Will be Shallow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zh1I1CVJqdI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Risk Management Still Matters" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AptzKfSc2Bw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #OverBought #Oversold #DurableGoods #Aircraft #Nvidia #ElonMusk #RiskRangeReport #USDollar #Currency #CarryTrade #Viagra #BlueChew #DatingApp #Demographics #Birthrate #DatingEconomics #SocialMedia #SafeHarborScam #Markets #Money #Investing

Jerome Powell says interest rate policy is due for a change; market future predict four rate cuts by the end of the year. Rate cuts, the election, and dollar weakness all remain risks to the market, as well as a bit of over hang from the carry trade fiasco earlier this month. Nvidia to report this week; anything could happen. Markets again nearing all time highs, bur becoming very over bought. Gold behavior is interesting, and price peaks generally herald a correction soon after. Markets are fine, even bullish, but it's still easy to find bearish headlines. Markets are coincident: When everything goes up all at once, everything will come down all at once. Looking at possibilities vs probabilities. The Four Rules for Risk Management: Raise portfolio cash levels to lower volatility and align with your risk tolerance. Reduce equity risk, particularly in areas highly dependent on economic growth. Add or increase the duration of bond allocations, which tend to offset risk during risk-off events. Reduce exposure to commodities and inflation trades as economic growth slows. SEG-1: Jerome Powell - The Time For Policy Change is Now SEG-2: When All Assets Rise Together, All Assets Fall Together SEG-3: Four Rules for Risk Management, Pt-1 SEG-4: Four Ruels for Risk Management, Pt-2 Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AptzKfSc2Bw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why is Everyone Long on Gold?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AKdsebkKe-o&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Prepare for Recession (even when there isn't one)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5EF1EGrugUw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #Inflation #Deflation #JobsRevision #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Joy #AlmondJoy #Mounds #Markets #Money #Investing

8-23-24 How To Prepare For Recession by Lance Roberts

Markets are again approaching all-time highs, with the NASDAQ exhibiting a most v-like recovery, up 11% in ten days. Markets' response to the largest (818-k) negative Jobs revision since 2009: Shrugs. FOMC meeting minutes indicate the time is "appropriate" for the Fed to lower rates. French women apparently have the longest life expectancy; Lance & Michael review FOMC meeting minutes and mentions of "appropriate time" to lower rates is now. So, far no leaks prior to Jackson Hole meeting. How WalMart is using AI to manage real-time sales/inventory data. The Fed knows jobs data is wrong. Is Jerome Powell Pinky or The Brain? There's personal inflation and then there's data the market looks at. The Fed doesn't want deflation, and 2% inflation is healthy for stable economic growth. SEG-1: Jobs Report Negative Revision & After Effects SEG-2: Life Expectancies & FOME: Appropriate Time SEG-3: Jerome Powell = Pinky & The Brain SEG-4: Technology Evolution, Food Expirations, & Price Dynamics Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0s6NonA6ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Funds Futures Offer Bond Market Insights" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-funds-futures-offer-bond-market-insights/ "Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/ "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bullish Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zg46dMB14Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Your Portfolio Performance Sucks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eno3BQhPGi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #PinktAndTheBrain #Inflation #Deflation #JobsRevision #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts examines the cause and effect phenomenon of public policy and outcomes, rhetoric and promises; who'll control the House & Senate have more bearing on future legislation promised vs passed. Market breadth is expanding, which bodes well for bullish trends. Most of markets' lift is coming from stock buy back activity. Interesting observation about the category luanches of ETF's: Most are derivative-based, adding risk for investors. Why your portfolio performance may be disappointing (how we screwed up the financial system). Lance and Danny discuss the performance gap between retail investors and the big funds: It's all about weighting. Markets today are built for pricing momentum. Focusing on risk mitigation to protect your portfolio from negative impacts over time. When someone promises you'll double your money...or not? There are promises and then there's reality. In answer to a YouTube chat comment, Lance discusses the false concept of market compounding. SEG-1: Market Breadth Expands SEG-2: Why Portfolio Performance Sucks (How We Screwed Up the Financial System) SEG-3: The Performance Gap Between Investors vs Funds SEG-4: Double Your Money...or not Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eno3BQhPGi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/ "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Effect of the Zweig Breadth Thrust" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnvEjAwTBbY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Shall the Young Secure (Their Finances)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_-OidFl3g4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing

Investors are waiting for this week's Jackson Hole confab, and will respond accordingly; when will markets take a breather? The DNC begins with economic nonsense. You cannot fix poverty by giving money away. Markets' rally straight up for eight days; pullback is coming: This is no time to chase stocks. Why the correction is over; three elements of economic uncertainty. Lance answers an email about helping youth prepare financially; the financial order of operations. Say no to credit card debt! You don't need it for a good credit score. Truth About Credit Scores: Do You Really Need Credit Cards? Pay your bills on time and have the money talk with your kids. What Lance would do if he was younger: aggressive saving early. Max out your 401K every year for financial growth! Invest in S&P 500 index and watch your savings grow. Start early! SEG-1: Waiting for Jackson Hole - Markets Will Respond SEG-2: Three Elements of Economic Uncertainty SEG-3: How Shall the Young Secure (Their Finances) SEG-4: What I Would Do if I Was Younger Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_-OidFl3g4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/ "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-20-24 This is No Time to Chase Stocks" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jpTrQgCZPPY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Unpacking Kamalanomics and Economic Cycles in America" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-elSd8FHQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #KamalaHarris #PriceGouging #Kamalanomics #FinancialSecurity #CreditCards #CreditScore #UtilityBills #Rent #CarNote #FinancialAdvice #Parents #YoungAdults #Conversations #MoneyManagement #FinanceTips #Maximize #401KContribution #SP500Index #DollarCostAveraging #FullMatch #FinancialPlanning #LongTermInvestment #RetirementSavings #401KStrategy #FinancialAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Previews of the DNC Convention and Jackson Hole meeting previews, plus four Fed speakers on tap this week; Monkey Pox & Covid on the upswing ahead of election season. Markets stage a phenomenal recovery over the past five days; could interest rates reverse? Kamalanomics: A historical perspective on Economic Cycles: Why Prices Controls will exacerbate inflation; the myth of price gouging; the Tytler Cycle revisited. SEG-1: Phenomenal Market Recovery - Could Interest Rates Reverse? SEG-2: Kamalanomics, Pt. 1: Fixing Inflation w Price Controls SEG-3: Kamalanomics, Pt.2: The Myth of Price Gouging SEG-4A: Academy Carts & Anniversary Roombas SEG-4B: Kamalanomics, Pt. 3: This is Nothing New: The Tytler Cycle (You are Here) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-elSd8FHQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is An Interest Rate Reversal Coming?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k4p5FFDk7aA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Buy Dividend Stocks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpYHGC8wAvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #KamalaHarris #PriceGouging #Kamalanomics #PPI #CPI #Inflation #EconomicData #EconomicCycle #HistoricalPatterns #RepeatedProcesses #AmericanEconomy #HistoryOfEconomics #EconomicTrends #FinancialCycles #EconomicRepetition #EconomicHistory #FinancialHistory #EconomicProcesses #CyclicalTrends #Markets #Money #Investing

July CPI clocks-on on-target for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, as it indicate inflation is trending downward. This would set-up the Fed for up to four rate cuts by the end of the year, but not so great for stocks. Watch for seasonal adjustments to Retail Sales reports. Markets will challenge 50-DMA, and could end its correction today. Your personal experience with inflation is not the same as Government calculations, which is what markets look at. CPI was on the money, and the trend is lower. Economic data can fluctuate monthly. Focus on trends for a clearer picture! Lance and Michael answer an email question about investing in Dividend Stocks; what does the Yield infer? Looking at the Peg ratio, and what indicators about a company matter. Dividend stocks vs growth stocks. What makes for a better bond: Coupon vs Yield (how did the yield get there)? Lance and Michael address YouTube Chat question about Covered Call ETF's vs Dividend ETF's. SEG-1: CPI On-Target for Fed Rate Cuts SEG-2: Why We Have to Live with Government Numbers SEG-3: How to Evaluate Company Dividends SEG-4A: What's a Better Bond - Coupon vs Yield SEG-4B: Covered Call ETF's vs Dividend ETF's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpYHGC8wAvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stealth QE Or Rubbish From Dr Doom?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stealth-qe-or-rubbish-from-dr-doom/ "Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/ "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is This Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=azi3cmQKk54&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Looking for Rate Cut Clues in CPI Data" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYcQKsvQ1W0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #EconomicData #SeasonalAdjustments #Trends #YearOverYearGrowth #ThreeMonthAverages #SixMonthAverages #DataFluctuations #StateReporting #DataGlitch #EconomicAnalysis #UnderstandingTrends #MonthToMonthData #AccurateInterpretation #EconomicIndicators #DataInterpretation #DividendStocks #CoveredCallETF #DividendETF #BondYield #BondCoupon #FinancialAdvice #StatisticalMethods #CarefulAnalysis #Markets #Money #Investing

The PPI number came in weaker than expected with lower input prices. Today's CPI report (a 0.2% monthly increase = 3.2% annual rate) weakness could spur the Fed to lower rates, although to what extent remains unknown. The upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Summit could also provide impetus for the Fed's action in September. Meanwhile, markets on Tuesday cleared the 100-DMA, and are looking for confirmation at the 50-DMA. Will he or won't he? Danny's coaching decision remains to be seen. Why market remain resilient after the sell-off. YouTube Chat Q&A: Dealing with Teacher Retirement Fund taxation & fees; the retirement plan variables: What to do with a 401k at Retirement? How 401k's killed pensions (a very bad idea). What to do with 401k when changing jobs. Why pensions should go away vs 401k's; 401k vs IRA flexibilities. SEG-1: No Reason to Be Bearish SEG-2: Why Markets Remain Resilient After Sell-off SEG-3: What to Do w Your 401k at Retirement SEG-4: Pensions vs 401k's - A Bad Idea? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYcQKsvQ1W0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/ "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Reason to be Bearish" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ED2D8OXTC-0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Four Reasons Mega-Caps Are Not Dead Yet" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uTqIghDtTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #RetirementFunds #401k #Pension #IRA #RithIRA #Bonds #MegaCaps #MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing

It's economic report week, with previews of today's PPI, tomorrow's CPI, and Thursday's Retail sales numbers for July; will weaker consumer spending appear? Stock buybacks have returned. Markets to re-test 100-DMA, and set up to move up to the 20-DMA. Are the “Mega-Cap” stocks dead? Maybe. But there are four reasons why they could be staged for a comeback. The recent market correction from the July peak certainly got investors’ attention and rattled the more extreme complacency. Lance & Jonathan discuss portfolio turnover and tax implications: If you're paying taxes, you made money! Never buy a stock for its dividend. Lance corrects the YouTube chatroom on companies; longevity; Lance & Jonathan discuss bonds, coupons, discounts, and total costs. Coupons vs Yield: The only aspect of a bond that matters. "Yield worst vs yield to maturity. SEG-1: PPI, CPI, & Retail Sales Previews SEG-2: Why Mega-Caps Are Not Dead SEG-3: Portfolio Turnover & Tax Implications SEG-4: The Only Aspect of Bonds that Matter Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uTqIghDtTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/ "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retesting Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yBVD9H91LGA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Be Careful of Market Predictions " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N69vpdabuoU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #MegaCaps #MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing

Laying the groundwork for Fed rate cuts: Will they or won't they in September, and by how much? 80% of S&P companies have reported; stock buy back windows are back open for business; Q-2 earnings summary: Not great, not terrible. Is consumer spending slowing (and will earnings estimates fall)? Last week's market volatility: Still in the process of correction. Sell-off was recovered by Friday. After a muted open today, use any rally to reduce risk and raise cash. Lance jumps into the unpredictability of the market and challenges common assumptions. Discover why what you think you know might not be true: The importance of questioning market assumptions; the unpredictability of market behavior; why the market has already priced in expected events; the real-time nature of markets; common misconceptions about market crashes. What is happening as hedge funds de-gross and re-gross their holdings; why they have to invest in mega-cap companies. What are markets' inflation expectations? High volatility companies are hard to trade; is an 8% market return reasonable? SEG-1: Use the Rally SEG-2: What Caused the Crash SEG-3: Is This the Death of AI? SEG-4: Inflation Expectations: CPI, Retail Sales Previews Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N69vpdabuoU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prepare to Retest & Rally " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FHZrcyost8I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Kind of Inheritance Will You Leave Behind?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Mo4nvubJ_4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing

With the turmoil of the past week, now is a good time to reassess your portfolio, and rebalance the risk. What is the deal with stocks advertising on TV? Wealth transferrence & Inheritances: How common is it for children to meet with parent and financial advisor? If there's money left... How RMD's can calter inheritances; how gift-giving works. Lance's kids are 'off the payroll.' Are you planning to receive an inheritance? How life-long gift-giving can work; what are the tax implications? Using gifting as an opportunity to teach about money & stewardship. Estate Planning prep: When do you need a trust? (Implications in the event of divorce.) Don't let the documents talk; have a conversation with your kids about the money. Dealing with tax torpedos in Social Security; taxation and Roth's: The Rothification of America. SEG-1: Market Commentary: Now is a Good Time for Portfolio Rebalancing SEG-2: Gift-giving Your Inheritance Early SEG-3: Planning for (Receiving) An Inheritance SEG-4: Estate Planning Prep: When Do You Need a Trust? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Mo4nvubJ_4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Confidence Is The Underappreciated Economic Engine" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/confidence-is-the-underappreciated-economic-engine/ "The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-sahm-rule-employment-and-recession-indicators/ "Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/ "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Exuberance Reverses" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhhxNaLDDaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj- ------- Our previous show is here: "Trapped Longs Take the Exit" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHVg-HJq5Gs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inheritance #FinancialPlanning #RothConversaions #TaxTorpedo #SocialSecurity #EstatePlanning #Stewardship #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing

Economic Reports affected by Hurricanes Beryl & Debbie; market sell off continues. Inflationary data is still there; unwinding of Yen Carry Trade continues w/volatility. Lance recites a brief history of market crashes, causes & effects. The market correction actually started in July at peak; trapped-longs sold into market rally as exuberance reverses. Earnings Season has delivered a mixed back; 92% of companies have reported, opening buy back windows for business. Consumer sentiment feedback loop affects Fed decision-making; what the Yen Carry Trade does for market moods. The differential in interest rates between the Yen & the Dollar is shrinking. The Fed is reactive...and trapped. Lance & Michael discuss the Sahm Rule recession indicator: This time may be different. Recessions are back-dated by as much as 12-months. Is the economy weakening or normalizing? Indicators are often at odds with one another. YouTube Chat Q&A: Estate Tax Exemptions & Bonds; Is it too soon to short TLT? Eli Lilly & Yen Carry Trade: Where did all the "fast" money go? Liquidity Indicators in conflict: How to accurately measure? Fear dries-up liquidity. SEG-1: A Brief History of Market Crashes; the Correction Started in July SEG-2: The Feedback Effect of Consumer Sentiment SEG-3: The Sahm Rule: Maybe Not This Time SEG-4: YouTube Chat Q&A: Shorting TLT, Liquidity Indicators Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHVg-HJq5Gs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Confidence Is The Underappreciated Economic Engine" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/confidence-is-the-underappreciated-economic-engine/ "The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-sahm-rule-employment-and-recession-indicators/ "Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/ "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Exuberance Reverses" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhhxNaLDDaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj- ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Crisis Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rZWdk9bCH5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrappedLongs #SahmRule #RecessionIndicator #MarketCorrection #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing

Is the crisis over? Too soon to tell, but the Nikkei did rebound, the Yen is coming down, and the BOJ is hold steady on rates. Earnings season continues; and it's too soon to suume the market has found the bottom. Admonition to be wary of the narratives. Market rally into the 100-DMA, buyt unlikely to test resistance the 50-DMA just yet. Understanding the Yen Carry Trade; risk management vs greed. Diversification worked on Monday. The Fed soesn't even know what they're going to do; they're behind the curve. How we created inflation, and expecting recession. Remembering Texas' gasoline lines in the '70's. Harry Dent's perpetual doom & gloom: If market decline 94% we'll have more to worry about than stocks. Will your financial plan survive the next crash? The Ernon and WorldCom debacles; what risk management really means. Investor sentiment & the Sahm Rule: This time IS different. General market sentiment remains extremely bullish. FOMO of market bottom; Monday's bottom is likely not The Bottom of the market. SEG-1: Markets Rally & Retest 100-DMA SEG-2: Why Diversification Worked During Monday's Crash SEG-3: What Risk Management Really Entails SEG-4: Why Monday's Bottom is Likely NOT The Bottom Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rZWdk9bCH5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/ "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Bounce Back after Monday's Crash" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8I2RvwFcN5w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Selling Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=De_ft6IWTq8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing

8-6-24 Is The Selling Over? by Lance Roberts

August begins with weaker employment and the Fed hinting at the possiblity of a 1/2% rate cut; The Japanese Carry Trade blos up: What is it and why does it matter? Look for the largest spike in volatility since the pandemic. Be careful amid emotional headlines; Markets have already been over sold and now need to bounce. Anything that is a risk assett will be affected; bonds are over bought: Today is a day to do nothing. Lance's movie reviwe of Deadpool & Wolverine: Not for the faint of heart or kids. Risks to the market from an exogenous, unexpected event, a consequence of the collapse of the Carryt Trade. What will happen when the Fed cuts rates? When the Yield Curve inversion reverses, get ready for Recession. Lance answers YouTube chat questions: Everything risk-related will be douns; the only "safe" investments are cash and U.S. Treasury Bonds. Don't panic; expect a little bit of buying by the end of the day, buying the dip[. SEG-1: The Carry Trade Blows Up: What is it? SEG-2: Putting Things Into Perspective: Don't Panic SEG-3: Two Risks to Markets Now SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Gold, Buying the Dip, Next Moves Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jD8NT01ii28&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell," 8-5-24 Why The Carry Trade Matters" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ec2AkoS2O_I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is inflation Beating or Benefiting You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgEGRycUhEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Markets #Money #Investing

Richard and Danny discuss the week's market moves, and how bad news is actually bad news now; Intel's poor performance should be no surprise to astute investors; sometimes "value" stocks are value traps. Understanding (and avoiding) the day-to-day media hype. How to use "Money Buckets" to balance risks and demands on retirement funds; 2024 looks to be a mirror of 2023, with weaker economics. How to balance two sides of the economy. People are "making more money than ever before, and feeling more broker..." What happens in a deflationary environment, and why a little inflation is healthy. We're looking for low-growth muck in 2025; households are hurting. A tale of two economies. Looking at demographics and the value of having kids. Dealing with the RMD 10-year rule: It's an art form to take out funds. RMD eliminates desirable flexibility. It's a ticking tax time bomb. Taking advantage of current tax rates while they're "low." SEG-1: Bad News IS Bad News SEG-2: Money Buckets in Troubled Times SEG-3: Why a Little Inflation is Good SEG-4: The Pre-Tax IRA is the Fatted Calf Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgEGRycUhEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is There Value In Small Cap Value Versus Large Cap Growth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-is-there-value-in-small-cap-value-versus-large-cap-growth/ "Bullish Years Often Have Corrections" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-1-24 Market Bull Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79762x_wVdU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Inflation Drops Below Fed's 2% Goal, Signaling Weakening Economic Pressures " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_fLAZCwJa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ValueStocks #ValueTraps #RMD #MoneyBuckets #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #Inflation #Deflation #YearOverYear #FedTargetRate #InflationaryPressures #Receding #EmploymentCostIndex #RealWageGrowth #YearOverYearWageGrowth #PricePresure #BondMarket #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #JanetYellen #Treasury #Markets #Money #Investing

Jerome Powell's presser was a snooze-fest, with the Fed's stance on interest rates remaining unchanged (at least they didn't hint of more rate hikes!) Markets also responded to clarifications on chip bans and performance reports from AMB & MSFT. The "AI is Dead" narrative is way too early; largest growth in data center construction is in the US. Rewards for beating earnings estimates have been mild. Managers have been "de-grossing" portfolios, will now revert to "grossing-up" holdings following earnings season. Powell says pricing and inflation pressures are "equal;" concerns now turn to employment, which is about at the level before the pandemic (Powell already has Friday's employment numbers). Fed is poised to cut rates in September. Lance and Michael discuss the latest inflation data and its implications for the economy; analysis of the recent drop in the inflation index to 1.5%, and the absence of significant wage growth pressures: Inflation index falls below the Fed's 2% target rate; inflationary pressures receding on various fronts; employment cost index slightly down; no substantial real wage growth pressures observed; year-over-year wage growth on the decline. Lance & Michael also discuss the bond market's bearishness; Are we out of the woods yet with bonds? This bear market is the longest since 1790! Economic slowdown and low inflation are driving yields down. The biggest problem facing Bonds is the deficit; Janet Yellen wants to keep rates as low as possible to better manage debt. Lance addresses Bond Yield question about holding to maturity. SEG-1: Markets Respond to Nothing New from the Fed SEG-2: Powell Presser: Price & Inflation Pressures Now Equal SEG-3: Is the Bear Market in Bonds Finally Over? SEG-4: Is the Treasury Manipulating Markets w Their Offerings? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_fLAZCwJa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is There Value In Small Cap Value Versus Large Cap Growth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-is-there-value-in-small-cap-value-versus-large-cap-growth/ "Bullish Years Often Have Corrections" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-1-24 Market Bull Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79762x_wVdU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Navigating Financial Freedom on Your Own Terms" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B31ZSUJGGJM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #Inflation, #YearOverYear #FedTargetRate #InflationaryPressures #Receding #EmploymentCostIndex #RealWageGrowth #YearOverYearWageGrowth #PricePresure #BondMarket #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #JanetYellen #Treasury #Markets #Money #Investing

It's Fed Day, and Lance Roberts previews potential outcomes to be announced Thursday afternoon. Earnings season continues, with MSFT reporting revenue of only 29% for the quarter vs the anticipated 30% growth. Shucks. Our take on what to take from the NASDAQ correction: Opportunity. Markets are "flirting w disaster" around the 50-DMA: what will be the Black Swan Event (and why would anyone wish for it)? The illusion of wealth in America; Lance and Danny discuss the importance of questioning financial assumptions and societal expectations; how these expectations can lead to unnecessary financial strain: Challenging the notion of "have to" when it comes to financial decisions; the pressure to spend large amounts on weddings and college education; questioning the necessity of certain expenses; the importance of evaluating financial priorities; encouraging viewers to make informed financial choices based on their unique circumstances. SEG-1: Fed Day Preview & NASDAQ Correction SEG-2: Flirting w Disaster at the 50-DMA SEC-3: The Illusion of Wealth in America SEG-4: Bankrupting Your Retirement for Your Children? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B31ZSUJGGJM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: Bullish Years Often Have Corrections https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "NASDAQ Correction: Here's Our Take" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ea9nQUqvgMw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Market Comparisons Can Hinder Your Portfolio's Performance " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdP-essdjaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #FutureFinancialFreedom #WeddingExpenses #CollegeExpenses #FinancialPriorities #Budgeting #FinancialDecisions #FinancialGoals #FinancialResponsibility #MoneyManagement #FinancialIndependence #FinancialSecurity #FinancialStress #FinancialExpectations #FinancialObligations #FinancialTradeOffs #FinancialSacrifices #FinancialChoices #FinancialMindset #Markets #Money #Investing"

Earnings season continues with 39% of S&P reporting this week; by week's end, 79% of companies will have shared results...and the buy back window opens anew. The Fed meeting begins today, with a slim chance for a surprise rate cut; a more dovish tone will encourage markets, however, and anticipate rate cut by September. Commentary on markets' 3% correction & Japanese Yen carry trade effects. Addressing the correct response to correction: Average returns are not the norm; risk on/off behaviors. Anchoring life events: What's the best anchoring for portfolios? Lance and Jon discuss a common mistake investors make when evaluating their portfolio performance, and explains why comparing your returns to the overall market is not always the best approach: The worst thing investors do is compare their portfolio to the market; media pundits often tout market returns, making investors feel inadequate; beating the market is not always the right goal for every investor; your portfolio allocation to stocks and bonds affects your performance; avoid the temptation to chase market returns and stick to your plan. Parsing the bad advice: How much do you need to retire (the 'What's your number' game). The biggest chunk of wealth comes from how much you can save. Could we have a 60% correction? Not likely, but we'll see it coming. SEG-1: Earnings Season Continues & Fed Meeting Today SEG-2: The Correct Response to Correction SEG-3: Market Comparisons Hinder Portfolio Performance SEG-4: Parsing the Bad Advice: What's Your Number? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdP-essdjaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: Bullish Years Often Have Corrections https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Was the Rally For Real?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUMHfGa5BLg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Does the Fear and Greed Index Mean for Investors? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sx2iFNOqqig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1490s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioValue #MarketComparison #AssetAllocation #Stocks #Bonds #MarketPerformance #BeatingTheMarket #MediaInfluence #UnrealisticExpectations #InvestmentStrategy #PersonalFinance #FinancialAdvice #InvestorBehavior #EmotionalInvesting #LongTermPerspective #Diversification #RiskManagement #FinancialGoals #WealthBuilding #FinancialMedia #Markets #Money #Investing"

Markets prepare to wrap July; what will the Fed do this week? McDonald's Quarterly Report showing consumer pullback. Article tease on trying MMT and the Sam Altman experiment. Market correction last week followed by rally bounce; sell-signals are still in place, indicating the correction isn't over. Commentary on Olympic Sacrilege and electric karma; will there be a deeper correction? Lance explains the shifts in investor sentiment from fear to greed using a unique Fear Greed Index based on allocations. How do these changes impact market behavior and current trends? The basis of our weekly Fear Greed Index and how it differs from the CNN Fear Greed Index; historical investor allocations and their implications; current high allocation levels and market implications; the overall positive outlook in investor sentiment. UBI argument rebuttal and commentary on taxation; the impact of negative revisions to earnings; YouTube behavior & market preview: Expectations for no July rate cut...but it could happen. What employment numbers are telling us. SEG-1: Wrapping July: What Will the Fed Do This Week? SEG-2: Understanding the Fear and Greed Index: What Does It Mean for Investors? SEG-3A: UBI Rebuttal & Taxation Theory SEG-3B: The Impact of Negative Revisions to Earnings Estimates SEG-4: Market Expectations for No Rate Cut in July Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sx2iFNOqqig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1490s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr61HU_sQ6Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Should You Tap Your Home Equity for Retirement Income?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOut1Zp-y0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FearGreedIndex #InvestorSentiment #Allocations #CNNversion #SP500 #Newsletter #BullishSide #LowAllocations #HighAllocations #InvestingTrends #MarketSentiment #OctoberAllocations #WeeklyIndicator #InvestorBehavior #UniversalBasicIncome #UBI #EarningsSeason #NegativeRevisions #FederalReserve #RateCutExpectations #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

Rich & Danny recap Danny's recent accident; Rich's market summary includes a preview of today's PCE release. Markets are awaiting confirmation of a trend. Dealing with the election fallout on your money; markets have already priced-in everything you know. PCE will move markets today; there is still $500-billion in unspent government funds from the Inflation Reduction Act. Dealing with data breaches. Retirees' biggest worry is about income: What is the biggest source of income for most Americans? Their house & home equity...and SS, a forced pension. Benefits of a HELOC--get one early, and don't touch it. The best use of "buffer assets." Thinking of HELOC's and reverse mortgages as "unfreezing" liquidity in the frozen asset of your home. Retiremnent is about depleting assets; you're no longer in savings mode. Strategies for placing a HELOC, and coordinating with other retirement strategies. Commentary on Dave Ramey's Financial Peace University--it's not just for poor folk. SEG-1: Market Summary: Waiting for Confirmation of a Trend SEG-2: Election Fall-ou for Your Money; PCE Preview SEG-3: Reverse Mortgage LOC: Get It but Don't Touch It SEG-4: Retirement IS About Depleting Assets Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOut1Zp-y0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Interest Rates Are Too High – Blame The Mythical R Star" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-high-blame-the-mythical-r-star/ "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Correction Reach 5%?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jhduZnaAuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Your Confidence Can Boost or Break the Economy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpMR4QMJitc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HomeEquity #ReverseMortgage #BufferAssets #PCE #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #FinancialSituation #MarketImpact #Economy #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerSentiment #InvestorSentiment #PortfolioPerformance, #EconomicBehavior #FinancialMarkets #SpendingHabits #MarketDecline #Financial Health #EconomicSentiment #FinancialDecisions #InvestmentConfidence #ConsumerConfidence #MarketSentiment #EconomicImpact #SpendingPatterns #FinancialImpact #Markets #Money #Investing

The S&P Global Services Index is "great," in contradiction to other eocnomic metrics; the first estimate of Q2 GDP is released today (up 2.8%); this will be revised. Important to note the behavior of GDP prior to past recessions, which are always back-dated. 350-days without a 2% correction, until Wednesday. Bill Dudley is calling for lower interest rates now; Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain the crucial link between consumer confidence and economic performance. Learn how sentiment drives markets and impacts your personal finances: The relationship between financial confidence and spending habits; the effects of market decline on consumer behavior; how sentiment influences economic performance; the role of confidence in personal financial decisions; why sentiment is a key factor in market dynamics. High School photos, Peter Frampton, and mullets; market commentary on watermarking portfolios; to Michael, the market feels like it's "blowing up:" someone is being forced to liquidate positions. SEG-1: 350-days Without Correction...until SEG-2: Confidence is Key for a Thriving Economy SEG-3: Markets Can Stay Irrational Longer Than You Can Stay Solvent SEG-4: The Error in Watermarking Portfolios Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpMR4QMJitc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Interest Rates Are Too High – Blame The Mythical R Star" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-high-blame-the-mythical-r-star/ "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Correction Reach 5%?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jhduZnaAuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Invest - or not - in a Presidential Election" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kLclO1Y9stI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Confidence #FinancialSituation #MarketImpact #Economy #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerSentiment #InvestorSentiment #PortfolioPerformance, #EconomicBehavior #FinancialMarkets #SpendingHabits #MarketDecline #Financial Health #EconomicSentiment #FinancialDecisions #InvestmentConfidence #ConsumerConfidence #MarketSentiment #EconomicImpact #SpendingPatterns #FinancialImpact #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts provides a preview of Q2 GDP results, Temp hiring is tapering, and rising credit card delinquencies (because of unemployment) suggesting economic stress. A three year experiment in Universal Basic Income is an epic failure. Google earnings beat estimates, but YouTube's $1B revenue disappoints(!); Tesla puls back 7% on earnings results. Correction is near, but not today. Danny's accident and Life Challenges as investing lessons: Life is cyclical; theimportance of optimism & risk management. Investing in an election cycle: Trump policies & record vs unknowns about Kamala. Markets will quickly adapt to election outcomes and money will flow into apparent areas of beneficial trades. What happens in House and Senate is also key: Markets love gridlock. Tariff talk. Why you don't want to be in Small- and Mid-caps in Recession. Transitioning from saving to spending in retirement: What's your plan? What are your goals? Planning for the eventuality of higher taxes. Having a strategy for spending your retirement nest egg. SEG-1: Universal Basic Income Fail & Markets Flirt w Support SEG-2: How to Invest During Election Cycles SEG-3A: Why You Don't Want to Be in Small- or Mid-caps During Recession SEG-3B: Transitioning from Accumulation to Spending in Retirement SEG-4: Having a Plan for Spending Your Retirement Nest Egg Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kLclO1Y9stI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-24-24 Markets Are Flirting with Support" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pi6OS2UxDu4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Bull market Just Getting Started?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eQG_R6DJWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #2024Election #ElectionCycle #UniversalBasicIncome #Google #Tesla #Q2GDP #Unemployment #CreditCardDelinquencies #SmallCap #MidCap #Recession #Retirement #RetirementNestEgg #RetirementPlanning #RetirementSpending #Markets #Money #Investing

Measures of inflation are beginning to come down: Shelter costs are expected to decline over the next six-months; jobless claims and consumer delinquencies are on the rise. Markets rally after a three-day correction, retesting the 20-DMA, and back up again, thanks to mega-caps. The current Sell-signal may limit upside. Is the bull market just getting started? Lance explains w charts & graphs. Understanding the importance of safety when investing in corporate bonds. Choose wisely to avoid defaults. The types of corporate bonds considered to be "money good;" the importance of a company's cash balance for interest payment; portfolio disclosure on owning corporate bonds. What's the criteria for avoiding "zombie" companies. The need for a catalytic event to impact bond investments. Lance and Jonathan examine the relationship between inflation, interest rates, and bond prices: The effect of decreasing inflation on loan demand; how slower economic activity impacts interest rates; the correlation between inflation and interest rates; explanation of longer duration bonds; the inverse relationship between bond yields and prices SEG-1: Inflation Measures Coming Down; Markets Correct SEG-2: Is the Bull Market Just Getting Started? SEG-3: How to Invest in High Safety Corporate Bonds SEG-4: How Inflation Impacts Demand for Loans and Interest Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eQG_R6DJWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Successfully Retest the 20-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdPxfq2puVs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Analyzing the Potential Impact of a Kamala Harris Presidency " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GD5zUs1trJk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2619s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateBonds #Investment #HighSafety #CatalyticEvent #Portfolio #MoneyGoodCompanies #CashBalanceSheet #InterestPayments #BondOwnership #ZombieCompanies #FinancialStrategy #CorporateBondSelection #RiskManagement #BondMarketInsights #InvestorConsiderations #Disclosure #CorporateFinance #FinancialHealth #InterestCoverage #BondSelectionCriteria #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance discusses the markets' potential reaction to Biden's exit from Presidential race, and whether markets' rotation out of mega-cap stocks is sustainable; a rewind to February market conditions compared to now: A correction is expected before the election. Commentary on keeping market corrections into context; the mega-cap rotation and fewer medium- and small-cap companies from which to choose: 40% of these are unprofitable companies. As companies complete their quarterly reports, buy back will again be enabled, and that activity will add to market volume. Lance explores the potential impact of a Kamala Harris presidency. What sectors could benefit from her leadership and policies? An overview of Harris’s potential presidency and expected policy focus areas; implications for clean energy, Student loan forgiveness initiatives, and the broader Democratic policy continuations Regional Banks are reporting this week, encumbered by collateral and commercial real estate. Company stock buy back will resume following quarterly reports. Market expectations are for three rate cuts this year; the Fed now hints at only two. Lance discusses the importance of Credit Spreads as early indicators for credit market health. VIX Behavior. SEG-1: Markets' Response to Biden Withdrawal SEG-2: Putting Market Corrections into Context SEG-3: Market Impact of Buy Back Resumption; SEG-4: Earnings Preview; Credit Spreads as Risk Barometer Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GD5zUs1trJk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2619s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Position for Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PZC2yyhOkxw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Has the Economy Put Your Retirement Plans on Hold?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48O-tkQ685Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2145s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #KamalaHarris #Presidency #2024Election #CleanEnergy #StudentLoanForgiveness #SocialisticPolicies, #Democrats #MarketFutures #MarketSectors #PublicPolicies #BidenAdministration #Politicalanalysis #Government #Economy #SocialIssues #RenewableEnergy #EducationReform #PoliticalFuture #AdministrationFocus #DemocraticParty #PolicyImpact #PoliticalLeadership #USpolitics #Markets #Money #Investing

Richard Rosso opines on Houston driver, CrowdStrike IT fail, and why he's changed his tune in thinking now might be a good time for the Fed to slip in a rate cut. Does the Fed have performance anxiety? Take care in benchmarking risk; market pullbacks are like a "Thanksgiving Oven," keeping things warm to use later. Study shows Gen-X'ers more likely to delay retirement because of economic anxiety. The importance of self-value in post-retirement; the retirement clock. YouTube query: How do we look at inflation and budget as planners? Managing inflation by by adjusting the inputs: "When life gets in the way, your financial plan needs to be able to pick up the pieces." Dealing with less relilance on companies, more upon our own self-reliances (thanks, Emerson!) Studying inflation as "permatory" vs transitory, and how to best calculate your withdrawal rate. When volatility can be your friend; the importance of guaranteed income in retirement...and planning. The importance of having reserves. Why is Congress making it easier to tap retirement funds (leakage)? SEG-1: Market Preview & CrowdStrike IT Fail SEG-2: Economic Anxiety & Gen-X Retirement Plans SEG-3: How We Look at Inflation as Financial Players SEG-4: The Importance of Guaranteed Income and Financial Planning Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48O-tkQ685Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2145s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Astronomical Rotation from Large to Small Cap" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5yFSeF0LxIk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Irrational Exuberance Then & Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUbIu4YZlO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #RetirementDelay #EconomicConcerns #EconomicWeakness #EconomicAnxiety #CrowdStrikeOutage #SelfReliance #Emerson #FederalReserve #CenterpointEnergy #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Hey, kids--what day is it? Lance reorients himself and shares foreigners' perspectives of the U.S. Advice: Avoid the negativity and don't feed the fear. Looking at astronomical rotation from Large- to Small-cap stocks over the past five days: Russell 2000 is elevated by 4.4 standard deviations from its moving average. Markets needed a healthy rotation, and this is actually bullish in creating more breadth in markets. Bad Coffee & YouTube audio; What are the odds for a Fed rate cut in September? Michael Lebowitz joins the conversation: Is inflation "back in the range?" Markets are giving the Fed a green light to cut rates. Are we back to a pre-Covid economy with 5% rates? It's important to separate our personal views from what the markets pay attention to (Government numbers). Is sentiment shifting? Markets are very reflexive. Is the Small-cap chase sustainable? Markets are not responding to Trump/Vance: it's about excess liquidity looking for someplace to go. Michael review's Alan Greenspan's "Irrational Exuberance" thesis then vs now. The internet DID change the world and affected economic growth. What will AI outcomes be? Lance intones the importance of credit spreads as leading indicators; their pick up is worth paying attention to. SEG-1: Others' Perspectives of the US, Markets' Perspective of Astronomical Rotation? SEG-2: Are We Back to a Pre-COVID Economy? SEG-3: Is the Small-cap Chase Sustainable? SEG-4: Are Markets Re-experiencing Irrational Exuberance? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUbIu4YZlO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Astronomical Rotation from Large to Small Cap" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5yFSeF0LxIk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Avoiding the Sexy Stock Plays" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBh7AGlIQsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AlanGreenspan #IrrationaExuberance #MarketRotation #AI #CreditSpreads #PortfolioBalance #SexyStocks #MagnificentSeven #2024Election #MonetaryPolicy #JeromePowell #JamieDimon #RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

ay-3 of the RNC convention: Markets are already beginning to shift in anticipation of a presumed presidency and policies, with an eye on taxation and monetary policy. Donald Trump has said he will allow Jerome Powell to finish his term as Fed Chair, with Jamnie Dimon as Treasury Secretary. Meanwhile, we're watching major moves in the Russell 2000 with rotational trades in anticipation of election outcome. Will there be an October Surprise? Market Futures are sharply down ahead of this morning's open. Lance's Air BNB, mew house, and Hurricane aftermath. Avoiding the sexy trades, the Mag-7 effect, and concentrated portfolio risks. What does the Buffett Indicator tell us (a horrible, short-term indicator)? The value in maintaining balance with "boring" stocks. Cathie Woods' tweet on tax losses as assets; Retail Sales analysis & raw NSA numbers are weaker than expressed; watch for downward revisions. 40% of Russell 2000 are unprofitable companies, heavily indebted, and unable to generate stock buy backs. What to do when a company stock falls out of favor: avoiding psychological traps. Remembering dividend performance; how to tell if a company is strong. SEG-1: Markets Prepare for Presumed Presidency SEG-2: Effects of Mega-Caps & Avoiding sexy trades SEG-3A: Cathie Woods' Tax Losses & Assets SEG-3B: Retail Sales & RAW NSA Numbers SEG-4: What to Do When Stocks Fall Out of Favor Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBh7AGlIQsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Rotation Continues " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6m1gmdLmwuU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Relationship Between Fed Rate Cuts and Treasury Yields Explained" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bnFVM2_njAE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioBalance #SexyStocks #MagnificentSeven #2024Election #MonetaryPolicy #JeromePowell #JamieDimon #RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts begins with an earnings and economic reports preview; there is now a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates sooner than later, and odds-makers now expecte three rate cuts. Small- and Mid-cap stocks are now three standard deviations above their averages; might be time to take profits. Lance explains the correlation between Fed funds rate adjustments and bond performance, the relationship between Fed rate cuts and bond performance; analysis of the ten-year treasury versus the Fed funds rate; high correlation between Fed fund cuts and falling ten-year treasury yields; expected trends when the Fed starts cutting rates; implications for investors during a rate cutting environment. More economic previews; Lance and Jon discuss advisor fees and what you're getting (no not). SEG-1: Earnings & Retail Sales Preview: Time to Take Profits? SEG-2: Chances for a Rate Cut? SEG-3: Invesetor Mistakes: There Are No Permanent Assets SEG-4: The Question of Fees & What You're Getting - or not Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bnFVM2_njAE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Take Profits?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sM-c7jumqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYe_X26mids&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

That was the week that was: Hurricane Beryl, celebrity deaths, Trump assassination attempt, & Lance's Vacation. PPI show inflation trending downward, setting up for a Fed rate cut: July or September? Investor sentiment remains positive as markets continue to grind higher; investor eschew put-options, which are very cheap now...just like this time, last year. Bears are like a ‘broken clock,’ they are right twice a day.” While that may seem true during a rising bull market, the reality is that both “bulls” and “bears” are owned by the “broken clock syndrome.” The statement exposes the ignorance or bias of those making such a claim. If you invert the logic, such things become more evident. “If ‘bears’ are right twice a day, then ‘bulls’ must be wrong twice a day.” In the investing game, the timing of being “wrong” is critical to your long-term goals. Want to maximize your cash by timing market moves? Lance Roberts shares key insights on portfolio management tactics in this video. Strategies for buying shares at better prices; Understanding the importance of portfolio management; The challenge of knowing when to exit the market; Difficulties in identifying the right time to buy the dip; Realistic expectations for market timing. SEG-1: Markets Continue to Grind Higher SEG-2: The Broken Clock Syndrome SEG-3: How to Be an Eagle in the Market SEG-4: Markets' Anticipated Response to Trump Shooting Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYe_X26mids&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back on a Buy Signal" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQYxWAxGEKI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "WHy Berkshire Hathaway's 100-Year Strategy Won't Work for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpgRKuHEiBs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HurricaneBeryl #DonaldTrump #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

The saga of the Roberts' Rental house concludes, at the cost of a coffee maker and other electrical appliances. How much will it cost to feed your hoard on July 4th? Market Commentary: light volume expected for the remainder of the holiday-shortened week. Adam Taggart, Jon Huntsman analysis: Symptoms vs reality. The importance of doing your own due diligence and sticking to an investing discipline. Lance and Danny discuss concentration risk and the Enron debacle; Fintech's false promises to investors. Why individuals cannot invest like Warren Buffett & Berkshire Hathaway: Buffett's investment horizon is 100-years. SEG-1: Feeding on the Fourth for $71 - Market Commentary SEG-2: The Hunt Brothers' Silver Saga & Copper Commodities Today SEG-3: The Importance of Investing Discipline SEG-4: Investing Like Warren Buffett? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpgRKuHEiBs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Earnings Bar Lowered As Q2 Reports Begin" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-bar-lowered-as-q2-reports-begin/ "The Confidence Dichotomy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Movers Before the 4th" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i4lTPrUdWRY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Beat Earnings Estimates" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bG6OzGjibtM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WarrenBuffett #BerkshireHathaway #!00YearStrategy #Investment #HoldingPeriod #LongTermPlanning #Legacy #FinancialStrategy #HewlettPackard #Longevity #BusinessPhilosophy #Visionary #SustainableGrowth #CorporateContinuity #FutureProofing #DurableInvestments #AssetManagement #CompanyLifespan #WealthPreservation #EarningsGrowth #FinancialCrisis #LoweredEarningsBar #CompanyPerformance #Expectations #StrongEarnings #QuarterResults #FinancialAnalysis #EarningsEstimates #Inflation #Deflation #FinancialAdvice #FinancialAdvisorValue #PortfolioManager #RentalProperty #HomeOwnership #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance previews Q2 GDP estimates: The lag effect is showing up in GDP Estimate revisions, as the economy slows. The difference betweeen Inflation vs Deflation: The rate of change is slowing, but prices are remaining high. Commentary on interest rate behavior at end of Quarter; quarter-end rebalancing and dividend payments. The next chapter in the saga of the Roberts' Rental house; kudo's to Abacus Electrical, raspberries to Centerpoint Energy. The best way to beat earnings estimates: Lower the bar for expectations. The normal beat rate is about 75%. What is the true value of a financial advisor? Not to be confused with a portfolio manager (Doctors vs Coaches). A brief discussion of Tex-Mex, BBQ, and Houston as a food mecca; the value of a financial planner to a family. SEG-1: Inflation vs Deflation - Which Way, Interest Rates? SEG-2A: The Roberts' Rental Saga, Pt-2 SEG-2B: How to Beat Earnings Estimates SEG-3: The Value of a Financial Advisor, Pt-1 SEG-4: The Value of a Financial Advisor, Pt-2 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bG6OzGjibtM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Earnings Bar Lowered As Q2 Reports Begin" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-bar-lowered-as-q2-reports-begin/ "The Confidence Dichotomy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Interest Rates are a Function of Inflation and Economic Growth" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NuGhZlS_1J0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Confidence Dichotomy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QF2-xOKv68c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsGrowth #FinancialCrisis #LoweredEarningsBar #CompanyPerformance #Expectations #StrongEarnings #QuarterResults #FinancialAnalysis #EarningsEstimates #Inflation #Deflation #FinancialAdvice #FinancialAdvisorValue #PortfolioManager #RentalProperty #HomeOwnership #Markets #Money #Investing

Why are Markets and the real economy mal-aligned? A tale of two parties in how Americans are faring financially. Re-thinking frivolous spending: How we blew through our savings. If you're in the market, you're loving it: 31-days of all-time highs (so far) in 2024. Rich and Matt discuss decision-making when approaching retirement: The myths about taking Social Security early. Rich & Matt ponder who'll be the next James Bond; timing your retirement, and consideration of spousal benefits: Calculating the difference in delaying Social Security. The goal of Social Security: What if you live? Visualizing lifestyle, money scripting, and longevity. What is the optimum time for financial planning? It's never too soon. 3:18 - A Tale of Two Parties - How Americans Are Fairing Financially 14:40 - How We Blew Our Saving- Re-thinking Frivolous Spending 30:26 - Timing Your Retirement 44:43 - The Goal of Social Security - What If You Live? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Ten Steps, Ten Years to Retirement" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ten-steps-ten-years-to-retirement/ "Why Economists And Citizens Have Different Inflation Realities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-economists-and-citizens-have-different-inflation-realities/ "S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/ "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Is Wall Street Selling off Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_zv7LpVACk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Downtrend: Understanding Snowball Effects & The Role of the Fed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=syNCKJpl16Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #ClaimingDecision #YoungerSpouse #Retirement #FinancialPlanning #SignificantOther #EarlyBenefits #PayGap #RetirementIncome #SocialSecurityBenefits #FinancialStrategy #Study #DecisionMaking #Markets #Money #Investing

The Supreme Court strikes down the Chevron Deference that allowed government agencies to dictate policy, bypassing Congress. This may be the biggest decision since their relegation of abortion policy back to the states in striking down Roe v Wade. Meanwhile, markets end the 2nd quarter somewhat sloppily, but still positive for the year, possibly portending a positive finish for the year. This does not, however, exclude the possibility of correction this summer, and August, September, & October in an election year are typically weak. Lance retells his weekend rent house experience as an underscore endorsing renting over homeownership for most folks. Shocking. A look at the dichotomy of confidence: Expectations for market gains this year do now square with our feelings about the economy (and where do earnings come from?) The tale of the Roberts' celebrity dogs; why the NAR pushed for adjustable rate mortgages...and why they're a horrible idea for nearly everyone. SEG-1: SCOTUS Chevron Deference - Markets Prep for 2nd Half SEG-2A: The Shocking Saga of the Roberts' Rent House SEG-2B: Why this is not a market to be keeping up with SEG-3: The Confidence Dichotomy SEG-4A: Checking-in the Roberts' Dogs at a Hotel SEG-4B: Homeownership & Adjustable Mortgages: A Bad Idea Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QF2-xOKv68c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Confidence Dichotomy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prepare for Second Half" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ks5GW3xJgtg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=2 ------- Our previous show is here: "Ten Steps, Ten Years to Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fullI_3AecY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SCOTUS #ChevronDeference #RoeVwade #2ndQuarter #MarketCorrection #ElectionYear #InvestorConfidence #ConsumerConfidence #EarningsEstimates #RentalProperty #NationialAssociationRealtors #AdjustableRateMortgages #HomeOwnership #Markets #Money #Investing

Wrapping up the month of June, and the start of a new Quarter in July: Expect market volatility. Micron's miss will weigh on tech sector. Analysts' estimates have dropped by $5/share for Q3, lowering the bar in anticipation of next reporting season. Final Q1 GDP revision due today. Moving closer to July Fed meeting and possible rate cuts? Jobless claims are climbing. Options markets begin to bet on Presidential election outcome. Why is Wall Street selling off Nvidia now? Debate preview & potential drinking games thereof; July Fed meeting preview; it's a boring Fed for now. Banks passing their stress tests (is this a joke?) There is greater stress on collateral due to higher interest rates. What are the implications of dirt cheap sales of commercial real estate, backed by banks? Distressed debt. What's wrong in Japan, selling $63-B in bonds over 9-months is meaningless. Two options: Keep a lid on interest rates, or keep the Yen from falling. Central Banks & Gov'ts work together. Why it's in everyone's best interest to keep the US Dollar as liquid as possible. Dedollarization & Petrodollar nonsense, concern for higher rates, and the long view is for lower rates. Lance & Michael discuss the potential impact of AI, and the market's current downtrend and its potential to escalate into a larger financial concern. He highlights the importance of monitoring market signals and the role of the Federal Reserve. SEG-1: Why is Wall Street Selling Off Nvidia? SEG-2: Banks Pass Stress Tests & Real Estate Deals Done Dirt Cheap SEG-3: What's the Worry About Japanese Bond Sales? SEG-4: The Impact of AI & Behind the Scenes in a Bullish Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=syNCKJpl16Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Economists And Citizens Have Different Inflation Realities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-economists-and-citizens-have-different-inflation-realities/ "S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/ "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Is Wall Street Selling off Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_zv7LpVACk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Irony in Consumer Confidence" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiGzVkzaz-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketDowntrend #MarketVolatility #InvestorComplacency #Shorts #SnowballEffect #Fed #InterestRates #CutRates #FederalReserve #MarketDeterioration #FinancialTrends #Investing #Economics #Potential #Increase #Stocks #MarketSignals #FinancialStability #EconomicIndicators #FinancialAnalysis #SurpriseRateCut #MarketBehavior #MarketTrends #Markets #Money #Investing

Pre-debate, Consumer Confidence, and a rally for Nvidia: earnings preview & market commentary: How long can markets remain over-bought? Investors' common mistakes: Acting too soon, and over-reacting. Markets can remain over-bought for a long time; a function of market momentum. Consumer confidence has been trending lower; the dichotomy of consumer expectations vs market performance. Vacation Theory & Consumer Confidence: what policies were in place? CNBC Economists: 2nd Trump term would re-heat inflation? Why tariff;s lead to inflation (and how consumers get aroun them.) 44% of inflation is in housing; don't mix politics w investing. Market behavior under Republican vs Democrat majority. Nvidia dominates AI-chip market (for now); what happens when competition comes into the market. Computers w lab-grown "organoid" brains. SEG-1: How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought? SEG-2: The Irony in Consumer Confidence SEG-3: Don't Mix Politics w Investing SEG-4: Who'll Compete w Nvidia? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiGzVkzaz-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/ "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is S&P 6,300 Outside the Realm of Possibility?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investors #Households #FullyInvested #Buying #Corporations #SamStovall #SP500 #MarketInvestment #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentTrends #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerIrony #Nvidia #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Organoids #Markets #Money #Investing

Fed speakers are out this week, talking the same game. Lance examines corellation between the Chicago Fed National Activity Index and economic growth, and what posts to X (formerly known as Twitter) are to be called. Who does the Fed depend upon for data? There are many divergences in the data; Nvidia's bad day(s): Stock split and 13% drop is a correction, not a crash. Doing the math to S&P 6,300 and looking at the range of possibilities. We address the common investor's desire for a perfect low-risk, high-reward investment. Lance & Jon discuss the unrealistic expectations and the growing demand for such ideal investments in today's market and economy: The search for a magic pill investment; expectations versus reality in market investments; economic uncertainty driving demand for low-risk options; the illusion of high upside with minimal downside; practical advice for cautious investors. Know what you own; best college degrees for money managers? SEG-1: Economic Data Does Not Agree w "Strong Economy" SEG-2: Investors' Common Mistakes when Markets Diverge SEG-3: The Search for Elusive, Perfect, Low-Risk Investments SEG-4: Problems w How Economic Data is Derived Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/ "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What to do with Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Avoid These Common Trading Mistakes" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investors #PerfectInvestment #LowRisk #MarketUpside #MinimalDownside #MagicPill #Economy #MarketConcerns #Demand #RiskManagement #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicUncertainty #StockMarket #FinancialSecurity #InvestmentDemand #MarketRisk #EconomicTrends #FinancialPlanning #InvestmentChallenges #DownsideProtection #SafeInvestments #MarketFluctuations #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialMarkets #SafetyNets #Markets #Money #Investing

Market volatility closed out last week, as investors prepare to wrap June and Q2 business. Triple-witching Friday added to the excitement, and markets remain extremely over bought. The Conference Board's Leading Indicator Index has been negatice for 27-mos in a row; always a precessor of Recession. Lance discusses investors' two common mistakes when markets negatively diverge (w charts). A look at Market Cap Weighting vs Equal Weighting in porfolios; is it time for a clean-up? The problem with Economic Data and how it's derived: Sentiment surveys are not hard data points. Separate emotion from investing; measuring and managing risk. Lance's commentary on the week ahead. SEG-1: Economic Data Does Not Agree w "Strong Economy" SEG-2: Investors' Common Mistakes when Markets Diverge SEG-3: Market Cap Weighting vs Equal Weighting SEG-4: Problems w How Economic Data is Derived Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlAv5bqFHWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Over-bought" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_N5nG1kXUA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Could Tax Policy Shrink the Economy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TradingTips #CommonMistakes #Overreacting #ActingTooEarly #RSP #SPY #NegativeBreath #InvestingStrategies #MarketAnalysis #TradingPsychology #InvestmentMistakes #CarefulTrading #FinancialAdvice #Reversion #BuyingAndSelling #MarketBehavior #EmotionalTrading #CautiousInvesting #PortfolioManagement #TradingDecisions #MarketTrends #StockMarketTips #TradingStrategy #Markets #Money #Investing