The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

Will Donald Trump's Crypto-reserve translate into a boon for tech stocks and cryptocurrencies? The Atlanta Fed GDP shows negative growth: This does not mean recessionary. Front loading of purchases ahead of tariff imposition will result in pullback from anticipated purchasing later in the year, affecting profits. March is a seasonally strong month. A look at the market rally and rotation trades; the economy is not bad, but pullbacks are coming from DOGE cuts in government spending and job losses, and the impact of fewer immigrants for hiring. (Where are most jobs now being created?) The Chicago Fed National Activity Index is in contraction. Removing government bloat is not without consequence. Don't under-estimate the impact of government policy and hiring on the economy. Lance next discusses the elevated risk appetite of Gen-X investors, who have never known anything but an ever-climbing market climate; the impact of financial crisis & dealin with risk. Lance reviews his essay, "CAPE-5: A Different Measure of Valuation." Valuations reflect sentiment; is "easy-street" for investors coming to an end? SEG-1: Trump's Crypto Reserve: Rally in Tech? SEG-2: Market Rallies & Rotation Trade SEG-3: Don't Underestimate Impact of Gov't Hiring SEG-4: CAPE-5: A Different Measure of Valuation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DjvhaHHDQvs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/ "CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Negative Sentiment will Fuel Market Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mnxrpS-GXw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Instant Results Coming from Social Security Fairness Act" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg6iAmcB7hE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3026s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Rich & Matt share thoughts about the late Gene Hackman, followed by market commentary and Bitcoin's behavior: It's NOT a diversifier, but quite speculative. Observations about market performance during the first year of a new presidency. Rich shares his childhood wardrobe prompts (Gene Hackman), and talks PCE preview and the price of eggs. A look at the Social Security Fairness Act provisions that appear to provide back pay to some retirees, effective immediately. Some are in for a windfall as a result of the elimination of the Windfall Elimination Provision in the Social Security Fairness act. Rich and Matt discuss Social Security Reform Updates, Windfall Elimination Provision is Explained, along with Government Pension Offset Changes, and how some retiree benefits could increase almost immediately. A few choice words about the SSA and IRS computer systems. Health is connected to wealth; the Taste of Texas acquires an amazing artifact; Lance publishes his tome on CAPE-5 Valuation. Richard addresses the creation of a personal rate of return you need to know; Bitcoin is not going to bail out your weakened portfolio. Be realistic in your forward-looking estimates. SEG-1a: Gene Hackman Obit SEG-1b: Why Bitcoin is Not a Diversifier SEG-2a: Wardrobe Cues from Gene Hackman SEG-2b: Core PCE Preview & Egg Inflation SEG-2c: Social Security Fairness Act Immediacy SEG-3: Health, Wealth, & CAPE-5 Valuation SEG-4: Creating a Personal Rate of Return Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg6iAmcB7hE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3026s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumers Are Losing Confidence" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/consumers-are-losing-confidence/ "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/estimates-by-analysts-have-gone-parabolic/ "Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/ Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Beats - What Now?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcDdE867HOo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Nvidia Beats - What Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr9yuEqtyZE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurityFairness #RetirementReform #SocialSecurity #FinancialJustice #WeDeserveBetter #MarketRally #BitCoin #ContrarianIndicator #BondMarket #EggPrices #FederalReserve #ReflexiveRally #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Earnings season is all but done after last night's Q4 Report from Nvidia, which beat estimates, but did not inspire markets. The next dynamic to affect markets will be the closing of the buy back window ahead of Q2 Earnings reporting season. Investor behavior and market psychology is as bearish as ever. We're now seeing risk-off rotation; Lance revisits the effective use of stop-loss settings, and the importance of allowing market activity to mature. Nvidia underwhelms despite beating estimates; this is why fundamentals matter. Could Nvidia become the next "cash cow," a la Apple? RIP, Gene Hackman. Lance and Michael discuss creating liquidity out of debt, and the Fed's Reverse Repo tool. Recent Fed minutes hint at tweaking liquidity ahead of debt ceiling adjustments. Investor psychology and levels of bearishness not unlike pre-crash mentality. This may be the year with high volatility and markets go nowhere. How to be more rational? Adjust views of markets in varying time-spans (weekly, monthly) vs hourly and daily. Double-down or get out? Avoid anchoring on purchase price. SEG-1: Markets Unimpressed w Nvidia Beat SEG-2: Nvidia Beats: Why Fundamentals Matter SEG-3: RIP Gene Hackman; Creating Liquidity from Debt SEG-4: Behavioral Economics: Managing Your Inner Voice Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr9yuEqtyZE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumers Are Losing Confidence" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/consumers-are-losing-confidence/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcDdE867HOo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Avoid an Inheritance Nightmare" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72HobPbEuOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #StopLoss #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #BitCoin #ContrarianIndicator #BondMarket #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #MarketVolatility #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It's Nvidia Day today; no matter what happens on Wall Street, tomorrow's activity will hinge on tonight's report. PCE revealed on Friday: This is the one the Fed watches, and it's expected to be weaker. Interestingly, Bonds have outperformed stocks, YTD, so far. Lance discovers RentTheChicken.com; hilarity ensues. Markets take out the 100-DMA, but rally forward; a discussion on stop-losses and knee-jerk reactions. Lance and Jonathan discuss their wives' proclivities based on the latest TikTok video: Chickens, fainting goats, and ducks. The Nvidia story: Is AI going to be "the next Internet?" Nvidia's forward guidance tonight will be all that matters; the consequences of improper estate planning; dealing with mortality. The interpretation of Consumer Confidence Surveys: what's the database? They're more a sample of psychology than economics; the economy IS slowing, but it's not recessionary, but more of a return to pre-pandemic "normal." What is the impact of Federal employee firings? Drill-down into the data; What is the source? Sentiment surveys and expectations are skewed by political preferences. The concern about tariffs: Can companies pass along the increased costs to consumers? SEG-1: Nvidia Day w Markets in Corrective Phase SEG-2a: Chickens, Goats, & Ducks on TikTok SEG-2b: Nvidia and "the Next Internet" SEG-3: Consequences of Improper Estate Planning SEG-4: Interpreting Consumer Confidence Surveys Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72HobPbEuOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Due for a Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJZdgesfEqc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UOE_9qtSGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2808s ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #StopLoss #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #EstatePlanning #InheritanceTips #WealthManagement #FinancialLegacy #TrustsAndWills #RaisingChickens #RentaChicken #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Chicago Fed's National Activity Index falls to -4.3: Looks like the data is catching up with reality. Excess Savings Metric: Most are in no better financial shape than before the pandemic; implications to companies' earnings that the bottom 90% are beginning to struggle. Markets challenged the 50-DMA and failed on Monday; likely to be in a corrective phase for a while. "If I were President, the first thing I would do..." Lance and Jonathan solve all problems: Cleaning up D.C. first, and the changes are not going to be without pain. Analysts are extremely optimistic in their earnings estimates for 2026; investors should be careful about over-paying for stocks priced based on these estimates. What Valuation really means: Sentiment. The Schiller CAPE Ratio vs Lance's 5-yar CAPE Ratio (coming attraction!) Investing like Tiger-21 investors: High Net-worth investors' portfolio allocations; key to success is in assets that are not correlated to smooth out volatility. What is true diversification. Why NOT put assets (Gold, Real Estate) into an IRA? Lance and Jonathan provide sound advice here. Is the DOGE Dividend a good idea? Better ways to maximize fat-cutting savings without igniting more inflation. SEG-1: Economic Data is Catching Up w Reality SEG-2: Cleaning up D.C. & Optimistic Analysts SEG-3a What Valuations Really Mean SEG-3b: High Net-worth Investors & Private Equity SEG-4a: Why Not Put Assets in IRA? SEG-4b: The DOGE Dividend: Best Practices Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UOE_9qtSGU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2808s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Estimates By Analysts Have Gone Parabolic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/estimates-by-analysts-have-gone-parabolic/ "Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/ Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets In Corrective Phase," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w_Qnw3WH9qU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "New Coronavirus Discovery Shakes Markets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1hXd_Jg4mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #PCE #FederalReserve #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #CoronavirusDiscovery #StockMarketForecast #AnalystEstimates #ParabolicStocks #EarningsSeason #MarketTrends #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #WuhanLab #CoronaVirus #OptionsExpiration #ReflexiveRally #50DMA #COVID #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #CoronavirusDiscovery #MarketShakeup #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Richard & Jonathan discuss market activity for the week; the price of admission that investors must pay. Consumers (and companies) do not have a lot of pricing power. The European Conundrum: What happens when the US drops Ukraine support? Tariff talk & pressure on small cap companies; why we don't have to be invested in every asset class (where diversification really came from). Dad pants, Build-a-Bear, learning to give up some stocks, and a bear market mood. The impact of tariffs and the velocity of Trump agenda. Market trepidation; William Shatner should've been hired to pitch Conn's. Phobias: Ketchup, heights, & Sansabelt pants; more market commentary and planning around Sunset Laws. Dealing w Roth IRA vs Roth 401k rules differences. The flaw in investing to avoid paying taxes (hint: If you're paying taxes, you're making money.) Tax planning should occur all year long. Gifting custodial accounts. Richard & Jonathan are covering the 7am CST hour for the host of our terrestrial Radio partner; think of it as a bonus show: Markets aren't Red or Blue, per elections, but Green; learning from mistakes we made curing COVID; deflation and price consciousness; why tariffs will not be inflationary;; consumers will make product substitutions. Why Social Security has become the defacto pension; notes from William Shatner's "Wrath of Khan" presentation: How to plan for outliving your money. living to 100. How to properly claim Social Security; plan for "break-even." Thinking of Social Security as a longevity annuity. Al Pacino Cappucino and how Taylor Swift dodged a bullet. UnitedHealthcare's irregular medicare billings; Medicare Advantage vs MediGap coverages. Financial Planning & Having Kids; Retirement is all about income. Is a guaranteed income a "license to spend?" A look at how retirees spend; tariffs will not create inflation, but will reduce earnings & profits for companies. SEG-1: The Price of Admission Investors Must Pay SEG-2: Why We Don't Have to be Invested in Every Asset Class SEG-3: Financial Planning for Sunset Laws SEG-4: The Flaw in Tax Avoidance Investing SEG-5: Markets Aren't Red or Blue; They're Green SEG-6: Williams Shatner & Planning for Longevity SEG-7: UnitedHealthCare & Irregular Medicare Billing SEG-8: Retirement is All About Income Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Im4-UkJTRuM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the Dollar," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #StockMarketCrash #RecessionProof #MarketVolatility #InvestWisely #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance has come up with a new business model for a Help Desk subscription service. It works on anything. The problem with margin debt; there's no appetite for IPO's. What Wall st. is doing instead. market sell off on Friday more the result of volatility around options expiration than Wuhan Lab news of the second coming of Covid. Don't expect any reflex rally today to hold. Economic indicators continue to hint at weaknesses; be aware of the content feeding sentiment surveys. There is a Republican and Democrat dynamic to the data and its interpretation. Two expectations feed into term Premium. Coming this week: The second revision to Q4 GDP (as opposed to China's one-and-done reporting. Or else.) PCE inflation report preview. Will markets ever never focus on Data next-day-ism? (no.) Lance recounts his first exposure to investing, 'Learning from Mr. Lehman." Reading the WSJ, the news was days-old, and average stock holding period was 7-years; contrast with velocity of information today, and average stock holding period not is 4-months. Markets have become like casinos (and the house always wins). What does all of this have to do with margin debt? Short-termism & Market casinos: knowing the rules. Margin debt vs stock prices. The velocity of increase in margin debt is alarming: It provides buying power on the way up, but also adds fuel for selling power on the way down. Margin calls create mandatory selling. SEG-1: Market Correction Not Unexpected SEG-2: Economic Indicators Continue to Show Weakness SEG-3: Learning from Mr. Lehman SEG-4: Short-termism, Market Casino's, and Margin Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1hXd_Jg4mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Balances Suggest Risks Are Building" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-balances-suggests-risks-are-building/ Adam Taggart & Lance Roberts: "Market Correction "Near Guaranteed" Given Insanely High Earnings Expectations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BjVdeFPFXfs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets' Reflex Rally Hold?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I41LvgZmcZc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "When Bears Come Out of Hibernation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #WuhanLab #CoronaVirus #OptionsExpiration #ReflexiveRally #50DMA #COVID #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #CoronavirusDiscovery #MarketShakeup #FinancialNews #EconomicImpact #MarketVolatility #MarginBalances #FinancialRisks #InvestmentTalk #StockMarketTrends#InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Richard & Jonathan discuss market activity for the week; the price of admission that investors must pay. Consumers (and companies) do not have a lot of pricing power. The European Conundrum: What happens when the US drops Ukraine support? Tariff talk & pressure on small cap companies; why we don't have to be invested in every asset class (where diversification really came from). Dad pants, Build-a-Bear, learning to give up some stocks, and a bear market mood. The impact of tariffs and the velocity of Trump agenda. Market trepidation; William Shatner should've been hired to pitch Conn's. Phobias: Ketchup, heights, & Sansabelt pants; more market commentary and planning around Sunset Laws. Dealing w Roth IRA vs Roth 401k rules differences. The flaw in investing to avoid paying taxes (hint: If you're paying taxes, you're making money.) Tax planning should occur all year long. Gifting custodial accounts. Richard & Jonathan are covering the 7am CST hour for the host of our terrestrial Radio partner; think of it as a bonus show: Markets aren't Red or Blue, per elections, but Green; learning from mistakes we made curing COVID; deflation and price consciousness; why tariffs will not be inflationary;; consumers will make product substitutions. Why Social Security has become the defacto pension; notes from William Shatner's "Wrath of Khan" presentation: How to plan for outliving your money. living to 100. How to properly claim Social Security; plan for "break-even." Thinking of Social Security as a longevity annuity. Al Pacino Cappuccino and how Taylor Swift dodged a bullet. UnitedHealthcare's irregular medicare billings; Medicare Advantage vs MediGap coverages. Financial Planning & Having Kids; Retirement is all about income. Is a guaranteed income a "license to spend?" A look at hour retirees spend; tariffs will not create inflation, but will reduce earnings & profits for companies. SEG-1: The Price of Admission Investors Must Pay SEG-2: Why We Don't Have to be Invested in Every Asset Class SEG-3: Financial Planning for Sunset Laws SEG-4: The Flaw in Tax Avoidance Investing SEG-5: Markets Aren't Red or Blue; They're Green SEG-6: Williams Shatner & Planning for Longevity SEG-7: UnitedHealthCare & Irregular Medicare Billing SEG-8: Retirement is All About Income Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Weighted Indexes Drive Markets Once Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9YgTKhf0IU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the Dollar," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #StockMarketCrash #RecessionProof #MarketVolatility #InvestWisely #WeightedIndexes #Mag_7 #NASDAQ #Russell2000 #SmallCap #LargeCap #EmergingMarkets #InternationalStocks #AllTimeHighs #BitcoinVsDollar #CryptoDebate #BitcoinFuture #DigitalCurrency #FiatVsCrypto #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

he latest Fed Meeting Minutes are out with a bit of insight; Trump's economic policies appear to be deflationary, as consumer strength is weakening; WalMart and Costco are tempering their forward guidance in anticipation. Palantir CEO is selling LOTS of shares as the Defense Dept. is being pushed by DOGE to cut spending. Market pullbacks may offer investors' opportunity; markets continue to do well, but there's a dichotomy between weighted indexes and those with less concentration of Mag-7 stocks. Money flows are still positive, with a surge into the survivors of the SPAC craze phase: More speculative mood. And then there's the "Alien ETF..." Can the Fed stop QT while debt ceiling is under consideration; the the Fed isn't saying about driving liquidity by pausing QT. Cane's vs KFC (we're now identifying generational preferences for fried chicken??) Is the Fed handcuffing itself with the stickiness of inflation vs rising yields? The Fed is setting its own trap with no two-way street on interest rates. Why the Fed needs to keep its mouth shut! The US dollar is the only lawful money in the United States. While some think Bitcoin can supplant the dollar, they fail to acknowledge that it has significant flaws, which we believe are critical to understanding why Bitcoin should not be lawful money. Lance and Michael discuss Bitcoin vs US Dollar, Cryptocurrency and Fiat Currency, and the concept of Bitcoin as Legal Tender, plus the future of Bitcoin and USD, and Digital Currency vs Traditional Money. Why Bitcoin will not replace the Dollar; the supply of money is important; the issue of value volatility: Bitcoin pricing is not dependable. To have a dynamic economy, a dynamic currency is required; Dollars still make the world go round. Currency must correlate with markets. SEG-1: Deflationary Trump Policies & Weakening Consumers SEG-2: Money Surges into SPAC Veterans SEG-3a: Cane's vs KFC SEG-3b: Is the Fed Handcuffing Itself? SEG-4: Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace the Dollar Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-v7Z4cEX1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Bitcoin Will Not Replace The Dollar" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-bitcoin-will-not-replace-the-dollar/ "Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Weighted Indexes Drive Markets Once Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9YgTKhf0IU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What You Should Do with a Severance Package," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9l4vQ5lspQU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WeightedIndexes #Mag_7 #NASDAQ #Russell2000 #SmallCap #LargeCap #EmergingMarkets #InternationalStocks #AllTimeHighs #BitcoinVsDollar #CryptoDebate #BitcoinFuture #DigitalCurrency #FiatVsCrypto #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The New York Fed Reports an improving economy, and Nvidia cues up its next quarterly report after recovering from the DeepSeek dip. The Fed is on hold, and positive money flows abound on Wall Street. There are no real indicators we're on the cusp of destruction...for now. 2026 EPS estimates are insanely optimistic. Markets pull out another all-time high on Tuesday afternoon. What is the Economy? As thousands of government workers are being invited to leave, and Chevron offers severance packages to a swath of its employees, what's the best strategy if you're offered an opportunity to retire? Take a lump-sum or annuitize the dollars? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff offer helpful suggestions if you're facing "permanent furlough" with severance package advice and suggestions on how to invest severance pay; how to manage a severance package and severance pay tax strategies; and, what to do after job layoff. The DOGE deep dive into Social Security is getting interesting. Should SS benefits be taxed or not? How to best reform SS? Lance's pre-ski vacation diet and more discussion on the proper way to reform and sustain Social Security. Reports on 401k plan participation are deceiving. SEG-1: NY Fed Reports Some Improvement; NVIDIA Recovers from DeepSeek Dip SEG-2: What Should You Do with a Severance Package - Pt-1 SEG-3a: What Should You Do with a Severance Package - Pt-2 SEG-3b: DOGE & the Social Security Challenge SEG-4: How to Reform Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9l4vQ5lspQU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "All-Time Highs Generate All-Time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pexErGgTA6A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Exuberance Sets Up Market for Correction," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mOR8zWqfC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SloppyMarkets #AllTimeHighs #MarketMomentum #RelativeStrenth #PriceCompression #MACDBuySignal #SeverancePackage #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAfterLayoff #WealthManagement #CareerTransition #SocialSecurity #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It is the 90th anniversary of the establishment of Social Security; amazingly, some recipients over the age of 150 are apparently still receiving benefits (!). Could there be a clue here on how to help shore up the fund? Just sayin... Nvidia earnings are on the way; Meta has and a 20-day winning streak, not one down day for the pat6 20-trading days. Its performance as one of the Mag-7 stocks is what has helped, in part, keep markets elevated. The market defies more negative news because retail investors continue to step in and “buy the dip.” In our recent Bull Bear reports, we discussed the push by retail investors, but looking at retail sentiment is quite remarkable. Since the pandemic, retail investors have never been this bullish on the stock market. Such is amazing, given that their mailboxes are not being stuffed with government stimulus checks.” Retail investors are expected to become more bullish about increasing equity exposure when markets rise. However, the more extended markets become, the more confident investors are about increasing speculative risk. In other words, “success breeds confidence.” Lance reviews the dynamic between margin debt and free cash (w/charts); Lance and Jonathan examine the in's and out's of private equity fund investing; a discussion of the 60/40 portfolio rule viability; FOMO vs the fear of loss. SEG-1:The 90th Anniversary of Social Security SEG-2: Looking at margin Debt vs Free Cash SEG-3: Private Fund Investing Pro's & Con's SEG-4: Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3mOR8zWqfC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Exuberance Sets Market Up For A Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-exuberance-sets-market-up-for-a-correction/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Assets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4l0shh-hCog&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What If You Live to 100?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jao-pXxZ46U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #MagSeven #Nvidia #Meta #RetailExuberance #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #TooMuchMoney #TooFewAssets #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketCorrection #RetailInvesting #MarketCrashAlert #StockMarketBubble #MarginDebt #FreeCash #FOMO #PrivateEquityFund #60_40_portfolio #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Richard is in rare form for Valentine's Day with his unique analysis of latest economic numbers: Expect revisions to lowe the data points. There's no reason for the Fed to lower rates. How we're dealing with stubborn, sticky inflation; price deflation would be a bigger problem; companies have no pricing power. A discussion of egg alternatives and the sources of inflation; higher credit card balances; customer substitutions of goods. Market resiliency: The Mag-7 isn't quice as magnificent this year. Financial planning for living to 100 and how long you plan to live; longevity is a result of combination of genetics & lifestyle (Jack LaLanne). Our next Candid Coffee is detailed (registration link is below); Karen's self-driving car and Tesla setting we'd like to see. Planning against longevity risk & aging in place. How to manage Social Security & cash flows in retireement. The SS Fairnet Act impact on RMD's; your base line for planning is going to be the RMD you must take. The significance of ROth money: Leave it in place for as long as you can. A brief discussion of the complications with Trusts & Estates and inherited income. The Rothfication act. SEG-1: VD Jokes & Economic Analysis: Inflation vs Deflation SEG-2a: Egg Alternatives & Inflation Sources SEG-2b: Financial Planning for Living to 100 SEG-3a Candid Coffee promo & Tesla Driver Settings SEG-3b: Planning Against Longevity Risk SEG-4: Impact of the SS Fairnes Act on RMD's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bull Bear Report – Technical Update" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Reciprocal Tariffs Sink the Ship?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Afaw7jcibbc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Inflation On the Rise: What Does it Mean?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lyk6E8QUz3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #LongevityFinance #WealthForLife #LiveTo100 #FinancialFreedom #Inflation2025 #EconomicTrends #PersonalFinanceTips #InvestingDuringInflation #MarketOutlook #GARPInvesting #StockMarketTips #GrowthStocks #ValueInvesting #TrumpTariffs #ReciprocalTariffs #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPIReport #InflationData #StockMarketNews #FederalReserve #EconomicUpdate #PortfolioRisk #AlternativeInvesting #HighNetWorth #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance's Valentine's Day PSA (the short version) & Jerome Powell's annual Congressional testimony: Everything is volatile; headline generator. Cracks in the economy are emerging: Jobs numbers are full of "seasonal adjustments:" Indicators that employment and Labor Market are weakening. The impact of hot CPI: Markets hold support and price compression; in a wait-and-see mode. Trump reciprocal tariffs coming. Lance & Michael discuss where inflation comes from (with charts!), noting that January numbers generally tend to run "hot." The second half of February tends to be weak. Jerome Powell's annual congressional testimony: The Fed does not control mortgage rates (but the Fed DOES have mortgage-backed securities on its balance sheet). The Fed is dovishly hawkish; depends more on PCE Inflation metrics. Lance explains CPI, PPI acronyms. Michael's commentary on truflation, which leads CPI by 45-days. Lance & Michael discuss Growth vs Value and the world according to GARP. SEG-1: Cracks in the Economy are Emerging SEG-2: Where Inflation Comes From SEG-3: The Fed is Dovishly Hawkish SEG-4: Truflation Commentary & Investing According to GARP Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lyk6E8QUz3o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bull Bear Report – Technical Update" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Reciprocal Tariffs Sink the Ship?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Afaw7jcibbc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI Day," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-enFoz6wQPw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation2025 #EconomicTrends #PersonalFinanceTips #InvestingDuringInflation #MarketOutlook #GARPInvesting #StockMarketTips #GrowthStocks #ValueInvesting #TrumpTariffs #ReciprocalTariffs #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPIReport #InflationData #StockMarketNews #FederalReserve #EconomicUpdate #PortfolioRisk #AlternativeInvesting #HighNetWorth #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Today's market activity will hing upon this morning's CPI Print (which showed consumer prices rising higher than expected). WEven more telling will be tomorrow's PPI numbers showing input costs. The question to be answered by investors is what the trend of inflation is, and what the Fed will do next. Will companies be able to pass along higher costs to consumers? What is driving inflation? Oil price increases are a short-term indicator, but have a 90-lag in data. Lance delivers his annual Valentine's Day Public Service Announcement. Lance and Danny review questions from this past weekend's Candid Coffee episode [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qy0IzfJ7fkI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=95s]: Outisde of treasuries and US government bonds, there are no "safe" investments. Dividend Yields and bond durations; what about SPY t=for tax efficient income: What are you giving up? Covered calls & puts: Options have the highest risk. It's all or nothing. Alternative Investment Funds: Private Crddit Real Estate Fund is coming; the challenge of liquidity in alternative investing, exit strategies. Dealing with annuities: They're not for everyone or everything. The importance of diversification. SEG-1: Markets at Make-or-Break Moment SEG-2a: Valentine's PSA SEG-2b: Candid Coffee Q&A: There is No Risk-free Investment SEG-3: Candid Coffee Q&A: Investing Duration, Options All or Nothing SEG-4: Candid Coffee Q&A: Alternative Investing & Diversification Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-enFoz6wQPw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bull Bear Report – Technical Update" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Response to CPI " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VZqy-WMDZG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "FOMO is Alive & Well," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwV3l8JgHk8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPIReport #InflationData #StockMarketNews #FederalReserve #EconomicUpdate #PortfolioRisk #AlternativeInvesting #HighNetWorth #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets are coming to grips with that Trump Tariffs really mean, and are adapting through sector rotations. Lance & Jonathan discuss the prices of eggs & milk and grocery dates. The market defies more negative news because retail investors continue to step in and “buy the dip.” Retail sentiment is quite remarkable. Since the pandemic, retail investors have never been this bullish on the stock market. Such is amazing, given that their mailboxes are not being stuffed with government stimulus checks. Lance and Jonathan discuss FOMO investing trends from the stock market's fear of missing out, a look at the best stocks for FOMO investors, and how to avoid investment FOMO; a look at market bubbles and investor psychology, and we'll also cover questions we didn't get to on last Saturday's Candid Coffee episode. SEG-1: Markets Adapt w Sector Rotation SEG-2a: Eggs, Milk, & Grocery Dates SEG-2b: FOMO Returns to Wall St. SEG-3a: Chart Chat Commentary SEG-3b: Candid Coffee Q&A: How to Generate Income in Retirement SEG-4: Candid Coffee Q&A: Measuring Yields and "Safe" Alternative Investments Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwV3l8JgHk8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bull Bear Report – Technical Update" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bull-bear-report-technical-update/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Investors Exhausted?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vsalh2Md7a4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Super Bowl Indicator," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cqBThNomYo4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3034s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioRisk #MarketExhaustion #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #FOMOInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestorPsychology #SmartInvesting #MarketBubbles #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Tiring of overconsumption and desirous of paying off debt, more and more Americans are participating in the "no buy 2025" trend to reduce spending. Rich and Jonathan discuss strategies for improving household budgets, Money Saving Tips and Frugal Living Hacks, with Financial Discipline Strategies and Spending Freeze Guidance, plus tax traps to avoid as a result of the Social Security Fairness Act, and the challenges from inherited IRA's. 3:13 - Jobs Report Preview & Debunking Tariff Myths 14:46 - Candid Coffee Preview & SS Benefits Taxation 30:35 - The No-Buy in 2025 Trend 44:40 - Mall Shopping, No-Buy, & Consumer Priorities Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Continue to Defy Disappointing News," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXK2lxRVwhg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Where Money Comes From," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzBlKb1Bi4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BondYields #EconomicWeakness #NoBuyChallenge #SaveMoneyTips #FrugalLiving #FinancialFreedom #SmartSpending #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #InvestmentStrategies #PortfolioManagement #ConcentratedStockHoldings #PortfolioDiversification #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Sunday's Super Bowl LIX delivered a lickin' to Kansas City at the hands of Philadelphia; what does the "Super Bowl Indicator" portend for markets (and does it really matter) Lance Roberts examines the veracity of the Super Bowl Indicator and other Stock market predictions, Financial market trends, Investment strategies, and Economic indicators. We also address the threatened Trump Tariffs next on Aluminum & Steel: more sticks & carrots? Lance recaps his visit to Vancouver and assessment of Canadian healthcare, UK healthcare, and the level and accessibility of healthcare in the US. Commentary on Media bias and the importance for investors to recognize it as such, and not be misled. The issue of employment reports & revisions thereof; Lance's flight to Vancouver (not being deported); will corporations be able to pass along higher costs due to tariffs on Aluminum and steel? The issue of consumer choice (and how ChatGPT is wrong about tariffs). Lance's earnings roundup, S&P's 2026 Earnings Forecast, and why valuations continue to rise; understanding PE and PEG. SEG-1: Super Bowl Indicator & Metal Tariffs SEG-2a: Lance's Vancouver Recap & Canadian Healthcare SEG-2b: Recognizing Media Bias as Investors SEG-3a: Flying to Vancouver SEG-3b: Trump Tariffs: Can Corporations Pass them Along? SEG-4: Earnings Roundup & Understanding PE Ratios Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cqBThNomYo4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3034s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Fight the Urge to Do Something Now ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYEhJFpQ0Ck&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Taking the No-Buy Challenge," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x1ksGLmwfiw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SuperBowlIndicator #MarketSellOff #LowerTrendline #MarketConsolidation #MarketRally #EconomicWeakness #StockBuyBacks #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketSupport #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies#StockMarketTrends #InvestingInsights #FinancialMarkets #EconomicForecast #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #KansasCItyChiefs #PhiladelphiaEagles #SuperBowl #NFL #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets remain in a bullish trend for the moment, despite disappointing economic news in the Trade Deficit and the ISM Services Index. Improving relative strength is also providing lift for the market. Technically, everything is fine despite disappointing news from AMD, Google, and others. Money flows continue to creep upward with continued buying. Lance and Michael spend the remaining segments of the show discussing money, currencies, and concepts of money supply management: All money is lent into existence. The Federal Reserve or the government does not print money. Those two facts are vital to understanding our lead question: where does money come from? Furthermore, knowing who does and doesn’t print money and the incentives and disincentives that change the money supply are critical to inflation forecasting. On this morning's episode, Lance and Michael share how money is created, monetary policy and Federal Reserve money supply are explained, along with the Banking system and money creation. Understanding Fiat Currency; ; the theory of BitCoin value; the hyper-inflation of the Weimar Republic; currency vs money. Understanding the "plumbing" of money, and how deficit spending has helped buoy the economy. What is the most readily-accepted medium of exchange = The Dollar (not gold). How high-income earners invest into assets. SEG-1: Wrapping Earnings Season & Economic Data SEG-2: Understanding Where Money Comes From SEG-3: Understanding Fiat Currency SEG-4: Understanding Money Plumbing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzBlKb1Bi4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Continue to Defy Disappointing News," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXK2lxRVwhg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What the Bond Market is Telling Us About Trump 2.0" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rGxP5qqoTV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BondYields #EconomicWeakness #AMD #Google #BondMarket #MoneyCreation #FinancialEducation #EconomyExplained #MoneyMatters #Currency #USDollar #FiatCurrency #WeimarRepublic #TrumpEconomy #InterestRates #StockMarketNews #FinancePodcast #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets are recovering from tariff troubles on Monday; a brief history of Trump's past trade wars & results; Google's earnings miss & correction; earnings have been okay, but expectations are slipping. The China Trade War retaliation begins; it's all about posturing. Markets rally from Monday; if you're worried about the volatility, there's too much risk in your portfolio. Lance razzes Danny "Bulldog" Ratliff about his absenteeism and polo shirt choices. Lance reviews market performance during Trump's trade wars 2017-2019 (charts); looking for more volatility this year. Beware Financial Media headlines; what the Bond Market is saying about Trump 2.0; commentary on volatility spikes, and buying opportunities. Ignore the Media hype; what is the Bond market saying about Trump's second term? We're coming out of an artificially-stimulated economy. What happens to short-duration bonds when rates fall? What is the context for owning bonds? Lowering volatility risk. Lance & Danny talk about Uber rides and driverless-taxis; a preview of this weekend's Candid Coffee presentation; a look at alternative investing opportunities. What a well-balanced portfolio should look like. SEG-1: Markets' Recover from Tariff Trouble SEG-2a: Book Signings & Financial Fashionistas SEG-2b: A Brief History of Trump Trade Wars SEG-3: Beware of Financial Media Headlines SEG-4a: Ubers & Driverless Taxis, Candid Coffee tease SEG-4b: Alternative Investmenting Opportunities Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rGxP5qqoTV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "If Volatility is Causing Too Much Worry, You Have Too Much Risk," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-rJ0bt8P6M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Trade War is Over!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAoIjRUJJPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondMarket #TrumpEconomy #InterestRates #StockMarketNews #FinancePodcast #MarketVolatility #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #BullishCross #InaugurationRally #MarketCorrection #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #Uber #DriverlessTaxi #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession #MarketCatalyst #InvestmentStrategies #PortfolioManagement #ConcentratedStockHoldings #PortfolioDiversification #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Well that was fast. Over the weekend, President Trump announced tariffs of 25% on both Canada and Mexico, as well as a 10% tariff on China. The announcement of tariffs set the market on its heels Monday morning as media writers quickly pushed narratives about the potential impacts. However, as suggested on the “Real Investment Show” before the market opened on Monday, the best thing to do would be “nothing.” We stated the market’s opening would likely be the worst level of the day, so any “panic selling” of positions early in the morning would likely be a mistake. Early in the day, both Canada and Mexico blinked, and the trade war the media predicted would cause a massive inflation surge was over before it started. The market immediately rebounded from the early morning lows, leaving “panic sellers” in the dust. Such is why it is crucial to turn off the media when managing your portfolio to reduce emotional mistakes. Meanwhile, markets are flirting with resistance, and need some muster to rally above the 50-DMA. Lance and Jonathan discuss how Trade Wars can generate buying opportunities; a look at the Palantir story; look for sell offs as opportunities to buy. Lance reviews past Trade War history of the S&P (charts); volatility will result as trade wars are waged. Potential effects of a China trade war. Managing portfolios with concentrated stock holdings; the value of diversification. Commentary on NFIB and CEO Confidence surveys: Sentiment vs data. SEG-1: The World's Shortest Trade War SEG-2: How Trade Wars Create Buying Opportunities SEG-3: Managing Concentrated Stock Positions SEG-4a: Portfolio Management Tips: The Value of Diversification SEG-4b: The Return of Bullish Exuberance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAoIjRUJJPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tariffs Roil Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/tariffs-roil-markets/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Rally Back Above the 50-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W148_c8iFdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Tariff Trouble" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbITdlcUswI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #OverBoughtMarket #MarketRally #MarketSupport #TradeWarOver #StockMarketNews #USChinaTrade #USMexicoTrade #USCanadaTrade #GlobalEconomy #InvestingTrends #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession #MarketCatalyst #InvestmentStrategies #PortfolioManagement #ConcentratedStockHoldings #PortfolioDiversification #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It's the first week of February; Quarterly Reports Preview: About 80% of S&P will have reported by week's end, and the Buy Back Window more fully opens next week, providing additional market support. President Trump's 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico may be short-lived (indeed, following this morning's show, Mexico blinked, promising to send troops to the border, and Trump's tariff was suspended for 30-days). The difference between the 2017 Tariffs and now: No tax cuts in place this time around. Watch for more market volatility in the wake of tariff talks. Living w Mrs. Roberts & the neighborhood HOA. Lance reviews the ins, outs, and possibilities of the Trump Tariffs: What is the ultimate goal? The Texas Economy vs Canada's. Will companies be able to pass along increased tariff costs to customers? Consumer choices drive the economy. Expectations for corporate earnings growth are already excessively high; what happens when tariffs take a bite? Goldman sees tariffs short-lived; JP Morgan expects more lasting, negative effects. Two outcomes possible: Price rise and consumers stop buying, or companies eat the difference. Chances for recession are back on the table. Our advice for today: Step away, and allow markets to work it through. Is this the start of a new catalyst? SEG-1: Watch for More Volatility from Tariffs SEG-2: Tariff Talk: What is the Goal? SEG-3: False Assumptions vs Realities fo Tariffs SEG-4: Tariff Impacts on Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbITdlcUswI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ "The Clock Has No Hands" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-clock-has-no-hands/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Down in Response to Tariffs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L3ALjJcELsQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Tips & Traps You Need to Know for Tax Season" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjGEGF0TuLI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TariffTrouble #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #Canada #Mexico #PresidentDonaldTrump #SouthernBorder #IllegalImmigration #Fentanyl #EarningsGrowth #Recession #MarketCatalyst #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Apple's outlook will set the tone for today's market action; the January effect will be set by the end of the day. Rich & Matt discuss tariffs & volatility; Mexico and Canada are targets. Inflation data due today with the PCE report. The Fed's target is still 2%, and there's no reason to lower rates for now. This is forcing markets to shift focus; why a little inflation is a good thing. The US Tax Code can make you cry like Selena Gomez: Rich & Matt discuss inflation-adjusted tax brackets and standard deduction changes; Qualified Charitable Donations, Quarterly estimated tax payment requirements, and avoiding underpayment penalties. Are itemized deductions even worth the trouble? IRA contributions & avoiding pre-tax and after-tax fund mingling. Catchup contributions & HSA's: They're like a healthcare IRA. The retirement spending smile vs stairstep spending; planning and goal-scooping in retirement. Planning for more volatility in 2025, dealing with portfolio assets that go up and down. SEG-1: Apple Sets the Tone; Why Some Inflation is Good SEG-2: The US Tax Code Will Make You Cry SEG-3: Avoid Mixing Pre-tax and After-tax Dollars SEG-4: Tracking the Retirement Spending Smile Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (2/8/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/retirement-income/ ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjGEGF0TuLI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "Meme Coins Do Not Create Wealth: They Destroy It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-coins-do-not-create-wealth-they-destroy-it/ "DeepSeek Deep Sinks Bullish Exuberance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/ "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Options Data is Off the Hook," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qc1OMnQvUgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Watching the Mega-Cap Earnings Parade" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XH68Ot3zIsQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxSeason2025 #TaxTips #TaxDeductions #IRSUpdates #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPolicy #Options #CallOptions #PutOptions #SpeculativeMoney#EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #BigTechEarnings #InvestingTrends #FinancialMarkets #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It's the end of the month, and the determining day for the January Barometer is tomorrow. Markets knee-jerked all over the board following yesterday's Fed announcements to hold firm at current rates. Economic news was not encouraging, with export up, imports down, suggesting the economy is weaker than thought; labor and demand dynamics. There is a lot of speculative money pouring into markets; nobody is buying stocks anymore. It's all in options, which will end badly for many because it's very speculative. Lance recounts the latest reports from Magnificent-7 member companies; Michael explores data center dynamics, the DeepSeek effect of cheaper processing, and Tesla's big plans. An admonition to be careful about following headlines; the one thing China is good at: Stealing the work of others'. Lance's favorite day is Thursday; economic data is not good; what the Fed thinks now and commentary on Labor; What the Atlanta Fed said; trying to control inflation from the Executive Branch. How did DeepSeek do it? Michael preaches on the fallacy of Meme Coins, and why they're destroyers of wealth; the role of influencers. SEG-1: January Barometer & EOM; Nobody's buying Stocks Anymore SEG-2: MAG-7 Round up and Data Center Dynamics SEG-3: Cheat Meals & Fed News SEG-4a: How DeepSeek Did It SEG-4b: How Meme Coins Destroy Wealth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XH68Ot3zIsQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Meme Coins Do Not Create Wealth: They Destroy It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-coins-do-not-create-wealth-they-destroy-it/ "DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/ "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Options Data is Off the Hook," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qc1OMnQvUgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Watching the Mega-Cap Earnings Parade" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHyXhn76ta4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedPolicy #Options #CallOptions #PutOptions #SpeculativeMoney#EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #BigTechEarnings #InvestingTrends #FinancialMarkets #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Today is Mega-cap earnings Day, and there's also a lot of economic data to be revealed. Plus, this afternoon will see the latest announcement from the Federal Reserve. Expectations are for the Fed to hold firm on rates this time. Interestingly, despite Monday's selloff, money flows have continued to come into the markets. In fact, on Tuesday (1/28) the QQQ had its biggest inflow since 2021. Monday's market action was NOT the watershed event the bears were trying to make it out to be. Markets are not overbought yet; we're still on a solid buy signal. That's not to say a pullback can't happen; remember the lesson from December...and why it's important to pay attention to money flows, either direction. Educational scores in America and the AI race; IBM, Meta, Microsoft, & Tesla to report this afternoon: What will be IBM's excuse for missing estimates? By next Friday, 80% of S&P companies will have reported, and their earnings will drive volatility over the next several days. SEG-1: Earnings Season & Money Flows SEG-2: Mega-Cap Earnings Preview SEG-3: The White House's House Cleaning & Dark Side of Tech SEG-4: Fed Meeting Preview & Importance of Money Flow Monitoring Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHyXhn76ta4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/ "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CWhat Money Flows Are Telling Us," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHyXhn76ta4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The DeepSeek Knee Jerk" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yptp-x-epIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsSeason #StockMarketNews #BigTechEarnings #InvestingTrends #FinancialMarkets #MoneyFlows #PriceSupport #USDollar #DollarStrength #DollarWeakness #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The race is on for dominance in the artificial intelligence arena with China's release of DeepSeek. Markets initially nose-dived Monday, but ended up slightly higher (with the exception of Nvidia). This volatility underlines the necessity for portfolio diversification. The pullback in an oversold market was not unexpected. The news resulted in the biggest single-day market cap loss for Nvidia, due in part to its massive market cap. Lance discusses what may be the positive results of thie "Sputnik moment" for the US. The markets' response also underscores the importance of Bonds in overall portfolio management. Lance & Jonathan discuss the fallacy of high-watermark comparisons in portfolios, and how to properly review portfolio performance. A discussion on how stocks are actually traded, on and off the exchanges, and the proper use of stop-loss settings in a portfolio. SEG-1: Markets' Response to DeepSeek SEG-2: The Positive Results of DeepSeek SEG-3: How to Properly Review Your Portfolio SEG-4: How Stocks Are Traded & Stop Losses Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yptp-x-epIQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "DeepSeek DeepSinks Bullish Exuberance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/deepseek-deepsinks-bullish-exuberance/ "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CDeepSeek Reaction: Why Diversification Works ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79j625dkoiM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "DeepSeek or Deep Sink?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeOnaj5-VsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1045s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #Nvidia #Apple #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioDiversification #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The unfolding of China's DeepSeek technology, and history's shortest trade war (with Colombia) highlighted the weekend. What are the investing opportunities from DeepSeek? Too soon to tell; allow markets to sort it out today, and make no rash moves. What DeepSeek means to markets; what's the difference from AI? Lance compares the 1960's space race to the AI technology competition today: Is this America's "Sputnik Moment?" Lance provides a concise primer on all things DeepSeek. Faster, cheaper chips upset the technology race: We knew this day would come (just didn't think it would be over the weekend!) The Open Source advantage; the need to unleash America's best and brightest. Commentary on the decline of American educational rankings. DeepSeek is a wake-up call. SEG-1: The DeepSeek Reveal & Shortest Trade War Ever SEG-2: DeepSeek vs AI: What does it mean? SEG-3: What is DeepSeek? SEG-4: We Knew This Day Would Come Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeOnaj5-VsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1045s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Strategic Crypto Stockpile And Political Uncertainty" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/strategic-crypto-stockpile-and-political-uncertainty/ "Inauguration Sends Confidence Surging Higher" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Caution is the Watchword," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Using Drone Mentality for Financial Success" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-lH90rMzCw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeepSeek #AI #TechnologyStocks #China #SputnikMoment #MarketCatalyst #CautionWatchword #Chips #Technology #FinanceTips #InvestmentStrategies #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Richard and Jonathan discuss markets' response to initial flurry of activity from the Trump White House; commentary on TrumpCoin and turbo-charged crypto: It's all about marketing. Richard reveals his penchant for scratch-offs (with discretionary money). Jeff Bezos, the CEO of Amazon, made big media headlines by suggesting that drones will be used to deliver light packages in the future, as opposed to the normal, albeit boring, methods we know now. Financial security is also automated from fifty thousand feet above your wallet. Cutting out that extra latte will not make you wealthy; placing as many good money habits as possible on autopilot is the key to financial stability. Rich & Jonathan explore ideas for achieving financial success with a drone mentality. How the RIS is cracking down on private sales on FB Market, eBay and other gig-related enterprises (how do they know??) $5,000 is the threshold above which you'll get a lovely 1099-K in the mail. Producer Brent advocates for deduction for hours spent in 1040 Prep and filing. Do your tax planning now. Our next Candid Coffee is planned for February 8; details soon. Speculation and Gold Bugs, and no taxes on Social Security; how to fill-in the zero's for Social Security; All in the Family & planning for survivors; the importance of coordinating benefits. SEG-1: Markets' Response to Trump & Turbo-charged Crypto SEG-2: IRS Crackdown on Gig Sales SEG-3: Speculation & Gold Bugs SEG-4: Filling in the Zero's for Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-lH90rMzCw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Use Drone Mentality to Financial Success" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/use-drone-mentality-to-financial-success/ "It's the Dollar, Stupid!" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/its-the-dollar-stupid/ "Are Return Expectations For 2025 Too High?" https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A/livestreaming ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Be Careful of Chasing at All Time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's the Dollar, Stupid!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pT38gvYnsXc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxTime #SocialSecurity #DroneMentality #FinancialSuccess #StrategicWealthPlanning #MindsetForSuccess #AllTimeHigh #FOMO #EntryPoint #Volatility #InvestorSentiment #USDollar #GlobalEconomy #ForexMarket #CurrencyTrends #FinancialTalk #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #StockMarket2025 #InvestmentOutlook #FinancialTrends #MarketExpectations #WealthManagement #MarketIndicators #ArchieBunker #EdithBunker #AllInTheFamily #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

What does the $500-B Stargate announcment really mean for the economy (remember Carrier's "on-shoring" of jobs)? Lance recounts the benefits and innovations that came out of the US Space Race. Markets are back at all time highs; choose your entry point wisely. Lance & Michael review the concepts of trimming portfolios and taking profits; how to properly weight portfolios. What is your objective? Portfolio weighting = risk management. Lance previews an upcoming, virtual economic summit. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss the recent strong correlation between the appreciating dollar and rising yields and the reasons for the relationship, covering the US Dollar Impact on Economy, Global Currency Trends for 2025, and Dollar Strength and Investments. Lance & Mike will also touch on Foreign Exchange Markets Analysis and USD vs Global Currencies. Importing edflation, exporting inflation; fundamentals vs sentiment. FOMO and Term Premiums. Why Bond Vigilantes are not the good guys. Lance & Michael's Fed Meeting Preview; the problem of CPI Shelter component; New Rents will take months to show up in calculus. SEG-1: What the $500-B Stargate Announcement Really Means SEG-2: How to Trim Portfolios & Take Profits SEG-3: It's the Dollar Stupid SEG-4: Curbing Expectations to Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pT38gvYnsXc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It's the Dollar, Stupid!" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/its-the-dollar-stupid/ "Are Return Expectations For 2025 Too High?" https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A/livestreaming ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Be Careful of Chasing at All Time Highs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lTQvJBW6NY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Returns Expectations For 2025 Too High?," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEKNkfsiB4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AllTimeHigh #FOMO #EntryPoint #Volatility #InvestorSentiment #USDollar #GlobalEconomy #ForexMarket #CurrencyTrends #FinancialTalk #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #StockMarket2025 #InvestmentOutlook #FinancialTrends #MarketExpectations #WealthManagement #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

1-17-25 What Fiduciary Advisors Can Learn From Jimmy Carter by Lance Roberts

It isn’t just Wall Street analysts who are optimistic about 2025 returns. Retail investors are the most optimistic about higher stock prices in 2025 by the most on record. Unsurprisingly, that sentiment resulted in the psychological rush to overpay for assets, pushing forward 1-year valuations sharply higher. Lance returns from Houston's winter freeze with commentary on Donald Trump's flurry of executive orders and the importance of the velocity of implementation: Continued government spending (albeit in different areas) effect on the economy, and the impact of immigrant deportations on the labor force. With markets on an upswing, now is a good time to rebalance portfolio risk. Lance relates the story of Mrs. Roberts chasing their dogs chasing rabbits through the snow and muck at 4am. Why businesses and investors are overly optimistic (charts). Lance explores the difference between sentiment vs reality, and how most of the good news is already price-in by markets. How markets are outgrowing the economy (charts). How will government investment influence consumer behavior? Curbing expectations to better manage portfolio risk; Lance reviews historic performance of specific sectors (charts). SEG-1: Post-Freeze, Trump Exec Orders SEG-2a: Chasing Rabbits w Mrs. Roberts SEG-2b: The Difference Between Sentiment vs Reality SEG-3: Why Markets are Outperforming the Economy SEG-4: Curbing Expectations to Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fh09Y8e72pI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Return Expectations For 2025 Too High?" https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A/livestreaming ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Now is a Good Time for Portfolio Rebalancing ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gwx-EcTqEY8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Fiduciary Advisors Can Learn from Jimmy Carter," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEKNkfsiB4k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #MarketRally #OverBought #OverSold #PortfolioRebalancing #BalancingRisk #Expectations #StockMarket2025 #InvestmentOutlook #FinancialTrends #MarketExpectations #WealthManagement #MarketIndicators #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance and Michael interpret the latest CPI, PPI, PCE, and GDP numbers: Which one is most-meaningful to the Fed? Earnings Season continues with Big Banks reporting; JPMorgan kills it, but how are regional banks faring? Stock buy backs this time around are expected to exceed $1-Trillion. mostly benefitting large cap stocks. Markets cling to 100-DMA, and aim for the 50-DMA to set up to rally. Michael discusses portfolio management, and Lance previews his re-release on portfolio gardening. Revealing analysis of "spikey data" in CPI and PPI calculus. Inflation remains sticky at high levels. CPI data is flawed by Shelter component; Airline Fares are "super-spikey." The Fed 2% Inflation number is a "round-down" number. Effects of the Barter Trade: Will slow inflation...AND the economy. The "No-Buy" economy effects on delivery drivers. Lance and Michael discuss insurance companies' changes due to catastrophic losses; Michael provides a content preview of his presentation at this weekend's economic summit, elements affecting bond yields, and "term premium." The Bond Vigilantes are not like Paul Revere; they're not the do-gooders, but opportunists profiting on sentiment. Greedy shorts. SEG-1: CPI, PPI, GDP, PCE: Which Matters Most to the Fed? SEG-2: How to Deal with Super-Spikey Data SEG-3: Insurance Changes from Catastrophic Loss SEG-4: Why Bond Vigilantes Are Not Do-Gooders Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wDMhEOXvkBg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Technical Analysis Is Not Voodoo, Its Vital Context" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technical-analysis-is-not-voodoo-its-vital-context/ "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H1UMyISH7Rg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI: The Big Reveal," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MK0pfosuxMk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketInsights #TradingStrategies #InvestmentTips #FinancialEducation #CPIReport #PPI #SpikeyDate #InflationUpdate #EconomicTrends #FederalReserveNews #CPIAnalysis #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It's CPI Day (December Core Inflation clocked-in at a lower than expected .2%) so let's pin it all on the Fed. Weaker PPI & Higher Trasnportation costs; Used car prices are keeping inflation elevated, thanks to storm and fire loss replacement demand. Markets flirting w 100_DMA, holiding support; what a weaker CPI print may mean. Lance pranks Danny with book sales for "Bull Dog" Ratliff; the NFIB Small Business Confidence Index surge, post-election; The concept of an 'Exeternal Revenu Service' vs reality; sentiment-driven surveys vs reality. Sentiment and outlooks vs stock price expectations; why the Fed does QE. Lance and Danny review new rules for IRA Catch-ups; adopt the Roth; what to do with funds? The Hierarchy of Savings: Live easy now, hard later vs hard now, easy later. SEG-1: CPI Day Preview SEG-2: Danny "Bull Dog" Ratliff & The Markets' Big Picture SEG-3: The External Revenue Service SEG-4: IRA Catch-ups & The Hierarchy of Savings Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MK0pfosuxMk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CPI Encourages Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZDUULX4m3Wo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Tactically Bearish As Risks Increase," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPIReport #InflationUpdate #EconomicTrends #FederalReserveNews #CPIAnalysis #EnergyStocks #BankingStocks #EarningsReports #BearishMarket #RiskManagement #ExternalRevenueService #Tariffs #InvestingStrategies #MarketVolatility #FinancialInsights #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

PPI & CPI Preview: Earnings season is about to commence, followed by the opening of the Buy Back window. Higher yields (and term premiums) are weighing on markets. Term premiums are just a measure of sentiment; watch what companies say, impacted by higher yields. Markets rally to just above the 100-DMA. Lance reviews investor sentiment, credit spreads, and market valuation (which charts). Noting the (limited) impact of taffis on a service-oriented economy. Being “tactically bearish” does NOT mean we are expecting a bear market or a severe market crash. Regarding portfolio management, the difference between being “tactically bullish” or “tactically bearish” is the level of equity risk we take in client portfolios. Over the last two years, we have been “tactically bullish” and have held more significant weightings in equities that have benefitted from market momentum and investor sentiment. However, shifting toward a “tactically bearish” position would suggest rebalancing exposure to more fundamental, value-oriented, dividend-paying companies that will reduce overall portfolio volatility. It also may mean owning less equity exposure and increasing cash levels. Lance & Jonathan review how parents have failed Gen-Z in preparing them for the rigors of life, like changing light bulbs. Lance & Jonathan discuss portfolio strategies. SEG-1: PPI, CPI Previews SEG-2: Investor Sentiment, Credit Spreads, & Market Valuations SEG-3: Gen-Z DIY'ers, Mowing the Lawn, & Building Wealth SEG-4: Highwater Marks & Portfolio Compartmentalization Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cob96R2cIfw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "PPI Disappoints," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSS21fO4Pho&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Investor Resolutions for 2025," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearishMarket #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategies #MarketVolatility #FinancialInsights #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Cleveland Fed's expectations for increased inflation; Oil prices rise on increased Russia sacntions (thanks, Joe Biden); economic impact of California wildfires & the Broken Window Theory: There will be a short-term uptick from rebuilding activity. Markets point lower on hawkish Fed tone; current correction process is normal. There is not data to support investor sentiment on inflation sparked by tariffs; how we really create inflation. Employment increases inflation. Companies are front-running tariffs. Rising interest rates lead to valuation reversals. Every year, Dalbar Research publishes an extensive study that repeatedly shows three primary reasons for investor failure. The key issues are a lack of capital to invest and psychology. Lance Roberts examines nine irrational investment behavioral biases specifically, and suggests investing resolutions for the new year, including the Top Investment Strategies 2025, Financial Planning Resolutions, Smart Money Habits for 2025, Wealth Growth Tips, and Retirement Savings Goals. SEG-1: Economic Impact of Cali Fires SEG-2: No Data to Support Current Sentiment SEG-3: Investor Resolutions for 2025, Pt-1 SEG-4: Investor Resolutions for 2025, Pt-2 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVOZkx7iz8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consolidation Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ "Investor Resolutions For 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-resolutions-for-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "How Low Can Markets Go?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CoFcgImM--k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What the Social Security Fairness Acts Means for Your Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrToO7K7Fsg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2236s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorResolutions2025 #SmartInvesting #FinancialFreedom #WealthBuilding #MoneyGoals2025 #InflationFear #HawkishFed #MarketCorrection #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #100DMA #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators#JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Richard and Jonathan discuss the narratives that are driving the markets, and the fear factor for bond investors. Is the response to tariff threats an over-reaction? How to deal with emotions in investing. Menwhile, job satisfaction is highest among the 60+ crowd: The group has been working longer, and understands the value of socialization; retirement planning shold include qualitative elements. A look at Gen-z Worth Ethic. The Social Security Fairness Act is now the law of the land, signed on Sunday by President Biden. It promises to erase rules that penalized some retirees by eliminating two federal policies that barred employees with a public pension from collecting their full benefits under the federal retirement program and that reduced benefits for those workers' surviving spouses and family members. What about the depletion effect? Taxation of SS benefits is double taxation...and wrong. A look at the United Van Lines' Moving Destination survey; understanding the Wash Sale Rule (which has nothing to do with laundry soap); Do not depend on government clarity to interpret its own rules! A word about end-of-year tax-loss harvesting. SEG-1: Breaking down the narratives that drive the markets SEG-2: Higher Job Satisfaction Among Workers 60+ SEG-3: Social Security Fairness Act - Implications & Payback SEG-4: Understanding the Wash Sale Rule Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JrToO7K7Fsg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2236s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Are Bond Yields Rising?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-are-bond-yields-rising/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Crossovers Are Not a Death Knell," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCfM5mTOJBc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Are Bond Yields Rising?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hx9jVRa0-gc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurityReform #FairRetirement #SocialSecurityFairnessAct #RetirementPlanning #FinancialSecurity #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets barely achieved a positive close on Wednesday, to create a string of positive action for the first five trading days in January. (Markets are closed today in honor of the late President Jimmy Carter.) There's a market consolidation underway, with the 20-DMA and 50-DMA about to cross. Lance & Michael discuss the Fed's sentiment shift about inflation, and the non-corellation between interest rates and inflation. The Fed may have cut interest rates, but markets have raised them; the actual effects of Fed rate cuts are deflationary. Fed policy is still restrictive; economy is back to "normal" with higher rates. Lance & Michael discuss interest rates: The cost of money. Unlike short- and medium-term gyrations in stock prices, which are often due to changes in investor sentiment, the bond market has a much more fundamental grounding. Interest rates, representing the cost of money, strongly impact economic activity and inflation in a highly leveraged economy like ours. Thus, economic growth, inflation, and Treasury bond yields are highly correlated. The death-defying Dollar as fiat currency (what is currency?) Gold is not a currency; the Dollar vs the Euro. What is driving sentiment? a.) Deficits & Debt, and b.) inflation. NOTE: 1/3 of inflation is shelter costs, data collection for which is flawed. SEG-1: Markets Eke Out Winning First Five Days of January SEG-2: The Fed's Sentiment Shift About Inflation SEG-3: Explaining our Fundamental Bond Model SEG-4: The Death-defying US Dollar Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hx9jVRa0-gc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Are Bond Yields Rising?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-are-bond-yields-rising/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Crossovers Are Not a Death Knell," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCfM5mTOJBc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Reversal: Implications Now," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=56z2LmMIvrQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

With Friday's December Employment Report waiting in the wings, it's fair to ask what happened to the December JOLTS Report. Investors are questioning whether we'll see continued growth from December. What does Q4 GDP at 2.7% really mean? Understanding the data and reading the January Barometer (so far). Lance shares his screen in commenting on sector rotations. Dan Niles' predciton of a 20% correction this year: Lance's reality check. Crash vs correction. Lance discusses the importance of an investing process: Rules to offset emotional bias. Fundamentals matter over the long term. SEG-1: What Happened in the December JOLTS Report? SEG-2: Sector Rotations: What's Hot, What's Not, & Why SEG-3: 20% Correction by Summer: Possible or Probable? SEG-4: The Most Important Lesson for Investors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=56z2LmMIvrQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the January Barometer Broken?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YLsfGRv_8pI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Curb Your Enthusiasm" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRg1uqnrYH4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JanuaryBarometer #Finance2025 #InvestSmart #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

As we enter 2025, the financial markets are optimistic. That optimism is fueled by strong market performance over the last two years and analyst’s projections for continued growth. However, as “Curb Your Enthusiasm” often demonstrates, even the best-laid plans can unravel when overlooked details come to light. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn discuss five reasons why a more cautious approach to investing might be warranted in 2025, plus client questions and viewers' emails. Economic data coming out this week for last month will be revised by March; what's the effect of less Government hiring/spending on the economy in 2025? Lance & Jonathan recap Christmas past; earnings expectations for the new yar are very elevated; curb your enthusiasm. The challenges to fundamental investors: No one knows what's going to happen this year; markets run in two modes: Expansion or contraction. Valuations/expectations must come down to match economic growth. Lance & Jonathan discuss the EFT Effect, the FOMO Effect, and the Bitcoin Effect on investor psychology. SEG-1: What Happens When Economic Numbers are Revised SEG-2: Why You Should Curb Your Enthusiasm in 2025 SEG-3: The Challenge to Fundamental Investing SEG-4: The ETF Effect, FOMO Effect, & Bitcoin Effect Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRg1uqnrYH4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Complacency Risk is On the Rise," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1sZGQPh4TLA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Santa Was a No-show" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NONYWlJFI6M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Finance2025 #InvestSmart #EconomicOutlook #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

We're baaack from our Winter Break, and it seemed as if Santa arrived on Christmas Eve, pushing the markets back above the important 50-DMA. However, by the end of the year, it seemed investors were naughty this year and received a “lump of coal,“ with markets selling off back toward recent lows. Despite Friday’s impressive reflexive rally, the market fell about 0.5% short of rallying enough to save the “Santa Rally.” What does this mean for markets this year? Higher than average returns aren't normal; it's not often to get back-to-back 20% earnings years (charts). Lance discusses the potential impact of Tariffs in 2025, based on past experiences; Wall Street is going to provide whatever people are willing to buy, at a price. Company earnings will matter in 2025; where will the risk be? Crdit Spreads are the "early warnings system" of leading indicators. Risks this year will be a) an increase in volatility and b) disappointing earnings (a return to normal). SEG-1: What Does a No-show Santa Mean for Markets? SEG-2: Higher than Average Returns Aren't Normal SEG-3: The Thing About Tariffs in 2025 SEG-4: Why Earnings Will Matter in 2025 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NONYWlJFI6M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/global-conditions-portend-a-catch-down-in-america/ "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Investor Watchword: Curb Your Expectations," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRomsXjIE70&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What the Trump Win Means for Your Taxes" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nwAIudzT9gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AverageReturns #NormalReturns #ETFinflows #LeveragedETFs #DecemberMarkets #NoSantaRally #StockMarket2025 #HolidayInvestmentTrends #SantaClausRally #SantaRallyFail #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

We're on vacation for the next two-weeks starting Monday (12/23); audio podcasts will be available on iTunes, Spotify, and a host of other audio platforms. Check our website, www.realinvestmentadvice.com for complete links. The House's Continuing Resolution fails to pass muster, thanks to pressure from president-elect Donald Trump and the emerging D.O.G.E. team. Meanwhile, the Fed cuts rates, as expected, but adds a hawkish slant to their language, and markets shed 3% on Wednesday. Lance & Michael discuss whether the Fed has stolen Christmas in this fashion, dealing with the lag effect, and whether the Fed has inflation under control. Is the Fed going to suddenly pivot to a dovish stance in the first half of 2025? The restrictive policy of the Fed, and short-term investing in bond yields; is Jerome Powell making a mistake? The world is in a recession; why should we care? Because of the globalization of trade. Lance examines the correlations of US GDP to other countries'. Is the US GDP growth normal, or will the US have to catch-down to other economies? We are still experiencing the residual effects of government spending in our economy. SEG-1 Fed Cuts Rates, Adds Hawkish Tone SEG-2: Did the Fed Steal Christmas? SEG-3: Jerome Powell's Balancing Act: Is He Making a Mistake now? SEG-4: Will the US Catch-down to the Rest of the World? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjZ21RSDn14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Global Conditions Portend A Catch-Down In America" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/global-conditions-portend-a-catch-down-in-america/ "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Fed is Never Right," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h87m6yGM_M8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Dump the 60/40 for 100% Stock Retirement Portfolio?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElTw9jd0hg8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #HolidaySpending2024 #ChristmasEconomy #InterestRatesImpact #EconomicOutlook#RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It's Fed Day with it's much anticipated rate cut; what will matter more is the Fed's dot-plot and comments on expectations for 2025. Meanwhile on Wall Street, sloppy trading continues as fund manager rebalance portfolios. Markets are sitting on the 20-DMA and holding firm. The Healthcare Sector is the year's worst performer: Will it offer the most opportunity in 2025? This sector tends to perform better AFTER elections. Lance reveals a new temptation on his route to work each morning; Lance and Danny comment on the notion of dumping the traditional 60/40 portfolio in favor of 100% stocks for retirement, with charts and graphs. More commentary on those who would think they can beat the market, and what's in store if the show goes straight to YouTube (no filter). Old maxims about investing no longer hold true with the velocity of information and distortion of the markets. Why does no one want Value Stocks anymore? Lance and Danny recall reading encyclopedias as youths. The thing about Roth conversions...what are the chances taxes will go lower? SEG-1: Fed Day - What Will They Say? SEG-2: Dumping the 60/40 Portfolio? SEG-3: So You Think You Can Beat the Market? SEG-4: Why No One Wants Value Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w SSenior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ElTw9jd0hg8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Opportunities Ahead in Beaten Down Stocks?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4HqWOpYV_Qs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "This is Nuts" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drZL-tygAg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1314s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #InvestmentStrategy #StocksForRetirement #FinancialIndependence #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Retail Sales numbers this week will feed into expectations for 2025. Fed meeting tomorrow: Cut and pause, or cut and slow? Employment revisions are also due, but markets won't care. The stock market is still hitting all time highs, but that's not necessarily the case, sector by sector: Basic Materials, Industrials, Financials, and Energy are not mirroring the S&P 500; the Magnificent 7 is responsible for the bulk of growth. It's a very narrow market. “When you sit down with your portfolio management team, and the first comment made is “this is nuts,” it’s probably time to think about your overall portfolio risk. On Friday, that was how the investment committee both started and ended – “this is nuts.” Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn will also discuss where investors are thinking of investing their money next year, and some common "themes" on the minds of investors who find themselves struggling with not making "knee-jerk" reactions.Lance and Jonathan reveal the inner workings of our investing philosophy, and why Lance is not a permabull...or bear. Looking at event-driven markets. Navigating markets up's and downs: how to break down portfolio risks. Our audio mea culpa and four-day growth. Strategies for high-wealth individuals: Don't wait to do RMD's! Roth IRA's and backdor conversions: Are they worth the trouble? Why you should over-fund life insurance policies; managing tax risks. SEG-1: S&P 500 vs Everyone Else SEG-2: Is Lance a Permabull? SEG-3: Navigating markets' Ups & Downs SEG-4: Roth IRA's & Back Door Conversions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=drZL-tygAg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1314s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Permabull? Hardly." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/permabull-hardly/ "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Market Really Doing That Great Outside of the Mag 7?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yUe60JWmpzM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s ------- Our previous show is here: "Why NFIB Optimism Matters" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTJNZ1ndXpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestorInsights #BullOrBear #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Microstrategies joins the S&P 100 (just in time to crash?) Bitcoin continues to climb. The FEd will cut rates on Wednesday, but it's commentary and outlook are what will really count. Look for more volatility heading into the Fed meeting; the current rally may end by the 18th. Oil prices have been struggling, thanks to slowing economic growth = less demand. Gold is over-bought, working through sell signals. Meanwhile, the US dollar is like a rocket ship. Why the NFIB Small Business Index matters (and what it is saying); the NFIB Confidence Index; expectatinos vs actual sales; they always fall short of expectations. Why tariffs are a benefit to small businesses. Outlook is very positive following Trump re-election (most small business owners are conservatively oriented.) Lance reviews how the Economic Cycle works; if economy continues to grow at 3%, inflation will remain sticky. Likely no 30% returns in 2025; what are the causes for concern: When everyone agrees on a positive outlook. A YouTube viewer accuses us of using fake data: The DATA is what the markets pay attention to. Why YOU'RE to blame for Bed, Bath & Beyond's failures & other store closings. Why our childrens' expectations are too expensive. How funky mortgages increase house prices. Why the minimum wage is really zero. SEG-1: Oil, Gold & the US Dollar SEG-2: Why the NFIB Small Business Index Matters SEG-3: How the Economic Cycle Works SSEG-4: Our Data is Fake?? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTJNZ1ndXpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Election Sends NFIB Optimism Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-election-sends-nfib-optimism-surging/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Continue to Struggle," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFaqEHbneAw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Looking Ahead to 2025: Realize Gains ro Change Exposure?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N64pdQl_lJ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Microstrategies #SP100 #OilPrices #SlowingEconomy #GoldPrices #GoldCorrection #USDollar #EconomicGrowth #SmallBusinessOptimism #NFIBReport #EconomicTrends #BusinessConfidence #FinancialTalk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets are setting up for a Santa Claus Rally; inflation pressure remains. What will the Fed do next week, and what will Powell SAY? The impact of tariffs may not be too dire; optimism abounds on Wall Street. Danny & Matt discuss end of year RMD's and how to best handle non-spousal Inherited IRA distributions. Constant changes in IRS rules are difficult to follow; delaying distributions might not be a wise choice. The current tax code could sunset in 2026. Danny & Matt discuss one-time lump-sum gifts: No one wants to pay a death tax, but few are able to touch the $14-million ceiling on such The lack of basic financial education; the importance of having The Talk about money with family during the holidays. The pro's and con's of charitable giving to Donor-advised funds vs charitable foundations; A discussion of tax rates vs effective rates when deductions are applied; the SALT deductions: What happens to them? SEG-1: Market Commentary: Setting Up for Santa Claus Rally SEG-2: End of Year RMD's & Non-spousal IRA's SEG-3: One-time Lump-sum Gifts SEG-4: Donating to Charitable Funds vs Donor-advised Funds Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N64pdQl_lJ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "CPI Was On The Screws: The Fed Has The Green Light" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cpi-was-on-the-screws-the-fed-has-the-green-light/ "Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/ "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pressure is On the Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yxcoj_-jaAY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI Gives the Fed a Green Light for Rate Cut" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPkzTXYsmk0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2331s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investment2025 #StockMarketOutlook #PortfolioStrategy #CapitalGains #WealthManagement #FederalReserve #RateCut #CPI #Inflation #EconomicPolicy #InterestRates #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance reviews a recent report about generational wealth transfers, and notes that his kids get NOTHING. Wednesday's CPI report was seemingly the last hurdle for the Fed to cut interest rates. With the CPI index matching Wall Street forecasts, the Fed Funds futures market now implies a 97% chance the Fed will cut rates next Wednesday. The data was OK but elicits fears that the downward price progress has stalled. Lance & Michael discuss the precarious premise behind Microsystem's Bitcoin strategy, what makes for value, and what happens when there's no more buyers. How did the Hunt Brothers' silver gambit differ from Microsystems Bitcoin bid? CPI Recap: Inflation is sticky at current levels because that's where the growth is. Plowing through the final, lame duck weeks of the Biden presidency; there are still some Federal Covid Stimulus funds to be distributed to states, keeping inflation fires stoked. What's happening with Canada and the rest of the world? Economic growth attracts capital; next year may hold surprises for the bullish crowd. Bitcoin is the epitome of The Greater Fool Theory. SEG-1: Generational Wealth Transfers, CPI , PPI, & Santa Claus Rally SEG-2: Microsystems, Bitcoin, & Convertible Debt SEG-3: What If We Don't Meet 2025 Expectations? SEG-4: Tax Loss Harvesting & RMD's - Do It Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPkzTXYsmk0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2331s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "CPI Was On The Screws: The Fed Has The Green Light" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cpi-was-on-the-screws-the-fed-has-the-green-light/ "Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/ "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pressure is On the Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yxcoj_-jaAY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Re-balancing & High Valuation Risks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nASrF7t64kY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #RateCut #CPI #Inflation #EconomicPolicy #InterestRates #PortfolioRebalancing #MarketValuations #RiskManagement #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Post-election consumer confidence is rocketing higher. Inflation Data is coming: CPI & PPI which will be digested in time for next week's Fed meeting. Inflation numbers are likely to tick up from YOY comparisons. Portfolio re-balancing commences. What does financial success look like? Lance and Jonathan review the answers by-generations. Stocks vs Bonds: Earnings growth expectations are too high; what happens if we don't meet them? It was easy managing money this year... A redview of Bob Farrell's Ten Investment Rules, with a focus on #9: When all experts agree... Tax-loss Harvesting & RMD's: Do it now. (Why you shoul;dn't wait until after Christmas.) Understanding the Wash-Sale Rule; speculate in taxable accounts, not IRA's and 401-k's. SEG-1: Post-election Confidence & Portfolio Re-balancing SEG-2: What Financial Success Looks Like - not SEG-3: What If We Don't Meet 2025 Expectations? SEG-4: Tax Loss Harvesting & RMD's - Do It Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nASrF7t64kY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Portfolio Rebalancing And Valuations. Two Risks We Are Watching." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-rebalancing-and-valuations-two-risks-we-are-watching/ "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Markets Re-balance?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Z-IVRw7qXw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Earnings Can't Outgrow the Economy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRF6slc1bew&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioRebalancing #MarketValuations #RiskManagement #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance's Husbands' Christmas shopping warning service; markets are now in second week of sloppy trading. Portfolios out-of-balance will trigger volatility as managers adjust weighting. There is a possible correction coming, BUT markets could continue to rally all the way into the New Year. Tesla is up 54% since the election; a plethora of ETF's: all money flows feed into underlying stocks; $1-T into ETF's this year. Where will the next Trillion come from? What's the Risk for market correction? Volatility Index is down to 13; no one is betting on a crash. Where are the money in-flows originating? When inflation is better than deflation, all over the world. Markets have factored-in a 25-bp rate cut, but NOT a Fed pause. The problem with forecasting: Predictions must be precise, actionable, and time-specific. Why we watch train wrecks: Why not mandate a 20% correction each year? (Markets are so elevated, a 20% correction would be a drop in the bucket.) What happens if we have a 50% correction?? It'd put us back to where we were in 2020. Why banks failed in 1929 vs today: Depositors would not lose their money (FDIC). 2025 earnings growth estimate are 19% (vs 9% historically). Lance looks at cycles vs trends (Lance's first bank job). Cycle context & psychology. Most cycles are too long to be practical. "We must invest for the time frame in which we have control." Trend-following is better than cyclical tracking. Lance's 60th birthday, cursive writing, and Phoenician writing. The impact of not saving each year: Time frames are critical. SEG-1: Sloppy Trading Ahead SEG-2: Where's the Money Coming From? SEG-3: Why We Watch Train Crashes SEG-4: Cycles vs Trends Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRF6slc1bew&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "2025 – Do Economic Indicators Support Bullish Outlooks?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2025-do-economic-indicators-support-bullish-outlooks/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Setting Up to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EuRU3UTCD1Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=2s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQFQg-9b9EQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2277s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketExpectations #MarketVolatility #VolatilityIndex #WindowDressing #MarketTrend #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #EarningsVsEconomy #MarketInsights #EconomicGrowth #CorporateProfits #InvestingWisely #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz makes a rare, in-studio appearance with Lance Roberts, discussing whether another market liquidity event might be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise. The ISM Services Index is showing weaknesses, and more economic reports to come this month are likely to mirrow such performance. A lack of stimulus money showing up previously in the economy are resulting in these weaker results emerging. Meanwhile, markets continue to do well, and expectations for 2025 are 19% above 2023 estimates for 2024. Bitcoin hits $100,000 thanks to President-elect Trump's appointment of a crypto-friendly chief at the SEC. As for expectations for next year, what should investors be watching out for? (Is a liquidity crisis near?) The Fed put too much liquidity into the system during Covid; those record levels of liquidity are fueling FOMO. Institutional investors are highly leveraged, which are dependant upon liquidity. The Fed's real manadate is to protect its member banks and prevent them from failing. Liquidity is now leaking. The Big Red Phone to the Fed. What if Trump really cuts government spending? Entitlement vs Mandatory spending. Looking to 2025: Extreme bullishness depends upon a strong economy; where are the risks? SEG-1: Economic Weaknesses are Emerging SEG-2: Anticipating 2025: What Should We Watch For? SEG-3a: Record Levels of Liquidity are Fueling FOMO SEG-3b: The Fed's Main Mandate SEG-4a: What If Trump Really Cuts Government Spending? SEG-4b: Market Bullishness Depends on Strong Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQFQg-9b9EQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2277s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "2019 Redux: Is Another Liquidity Crisis Near" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/2019-redux-is-another-liquidity-crisis-near/ "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bitcoin Hits $100,000," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdu7qCeme94&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Time for a Portfolio Reality Check" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja9_6jy2TkA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2423s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #CryptoCurrency #PaulAtkins #SEC #TechnologyStocks #AI #LiquidityCrisis #MarketExpectations #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Russia just learned of a near-miss from a passing meteorite...TONIGHT! Lance discusses GDP estimates and other economic reports; Retail Sales are "okay," with no tell tale signs of Recession...for the moment. What will revisions to these reports show next year? What will be the impact of cutting government spending? Meanwhile, investors are very, very exuberant. What should investors expect for the rest of the year? Lance and Danny discuss old guy things: Backpain. There's a pullback coming: Time for a portfolio reality check? The challenge of portfolio rebalancing when exuberance is high; should you sell winners and buy losers now? Emerging Markets are not growing; losers are cheap for a reason. The danger of doing rebalancing willy-nilly. On being Contrarian: Markets have not rewarded those so inclined. Yet. Does not necessarily mean to be super-bearish. On being "out of consensus; the current set up is good for recession. What will cause it, we don't know. The potential risks to portfolios of reduced government spending. Lance & Danny review the recent Thanksgiving break with family and the concept of paying your own way; demographic trends, and the evolution of Generation-X as "sandwich parents." Kids coming home for the holidays vs "boomerang" kids; first paychecks and stringing Christmas lights (yeah, we were all over the place today!) SEG-1: Meteorites, Russia, & Expectations for the Rest of 2204 SEG-2: Backpain & Pullbacks: Portfolio Rebalancing SEG-3: On Being Contrarian SEG-4a: Thanksgiving Reminiscing & Paying Your Way SEG-4b: The Roberts Kids Home for the Holidays Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ja9_6jy2TkA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2423s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, 12-4-24 What to Expect for the Rest of the Year is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ixjd2EjcoZw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s95h3jUr3c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioRealityCheck #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #MarketTrends2024 #WealthManagement #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Periods of extreme leverage and speculation are not new, and the outcomes have consistently been painful for unprepared investors. The late 1990s dot-com bubble serves as a prime example. Speculative bets on internet stocks drove valuations to extraordinary levels, with investors leveraging margin accounts and options to chase gains. When the bubble burst, the Nasdaq lost nearly 80% of its value, leaving leveraged traders especially vulnerable to devastating losses. Lance and Jonathan discuss these lessons from history on today's show, plus a discussion on asset diversification, and what happens when all assets become correlated, the fallacies of diversification, and overlap risk. Money mistakes made by the young; the bset stop-loss tools and strategies; the flaw in comparing portfolio performance to the S&P Index (or any index). SEG-1: Why Sentiment-driven Indexes are Up SEG-2: Lessons from History - What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us SEG-3: The Fallacies of Diversification SEG-4a: The Best Stop-loss Tool SEG-4b: Comparing Portfolios to S&P Index Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s95h3jUr3c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Diversification Isn't What You Think" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing