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The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

552 episodes — Page 10 of 12

6-24-4 Could Tax Policy Shrink The Economy?

Markets are performing the job of the Fed; is the economy stronger? Rich & Jon look at the "Olive Garden economic indicator: Who's dining out, and who is staying in? How to unravel high restaurant prices 9and everything else, too!) Baby Boomers are still spending. Candid Coffee preview (egistration link below); Investor complacency is troubling. The Genworth settlement = 100% increase in premiums. Financial Dust Bunnies. Nvidia performance cannot continue indefinitely; the data the markets are ignoring. Social Security COLA adjustments to reverse; unrest is whoing up in election results; we are in the Fourth Turning; keep a global perspective. Both political parties are way off on tax policy; the truth about small business margins: They're razor-thin. Tariffs instead of taxes will not work; taxes generate more revenue than tariffs. Planning for higher taxes with Roth options. We don't have a tax revenue problem; we have a congresional spending problem. Why the Roth is never going away. What happens when current tax rates expsire; the Roth is NOT an emergency savings account. SEG-1: Gauging the Economy w the Olive Garden Indicator SEG-2: Investor Complacency & Date the Markets are Ignoring SEG-3: How Tax Policy Could Shrink the Economy SEG-4: Why the Roth is Here to Stay Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/ "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Debunking Dollarization: Why the Dollar Is Stronger Than Ever" https://youtube.com/watch?v=i7k9Tvh-SzQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1138s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxPolicy #DonaldTrump #JoeBiden #MarketCycles #FedRateCuts #EconomicTrends #InvestmentStrategies #MarketPerformance #FinancialPlanning #MarketAnticipation #EconomicCycles #FinancialAdvice #FederalReserve #RateCutsImpact #MarketTiming #LongTermInvesting #EconomicForecast #FinancialMarkets #StockMarketBehavior #MarketAnalysis #FinancialPredictions #EconomicOutlook #MarketDownturn #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialCycles #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 21, 202446 min

6-20-24 Debunking Dollarization - Why The Dollar Is Stronger Than Ever

Will markets exhibit the typical summer weakness? Prepping for the election outcomes; correction coming now and later. Preview of housing numbers and initial jobless claims; market breadth is on the decline. The increasing gap between the S&P 500 and equal-weighted indexes. Lance discusses the relative strength of the Dollar vs other currencies. Petro-dollar fears and how you're being sold by Wall Street. Our narrative should be how to make money. The "demise" of the petro-dollar; keeping currencies all relative within a range is important for Trade. The Gold/Dollar dynamic; why the world transacts business in dollars: The need for a deep and stable currency...and safety. The importance of Rule of Law: How policy choices can errode trust in the dollar. The divergence between energy stocks and the underlying commodities; the cycle of commodity prices; a recession will cause the next price crash. Seasonality in the month of June; wrapping the Quarter + buy back blackout = market headwinds. Rebalancing is coming. The Ozympic conundrum. SEG-1: Summer Weakness for Markets? SEG-2: The Petro Dollar SEG-3: The Divergence Between Energy Stocks & Commodities SEG-4: Seasonality in the Month of June; Weight-loss Drugs Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://youtube.com/watch?v=i7k9Tvh-SzQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1138s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/ "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Sales Disappoint" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uo6SSkYzr8I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Dollar #Dollarization #Dedollarization #Misconception #Currency #StrongerDollar #CurrencyComparison #FinancialAnalysis #Economy #ExchangeRates #WeakeningDollar #GlobalCurrency #FinancialArticles #CurrencyTrends #PetroDollar #EnergyStocks #Commodities #Divergence #MarketSeasonality #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 20, 202446 min

6-19-24 Retail Sales Disappoint

Wall Street is closed today in observance of Juneteenth; we predict markets will be flat today. Retail Sales disappoint. Our analysis: Economy is slowing. Nvidia is now The Biggest Company; iShares rebalancing at the end of the month. Apple will swap places w Nvidia in index. Remember, Wall St.'s job is to sell you stocks, not to provide accurate information. Lance & Brent discuss Death Wish Coffee, dancing dogs, and opposable thumbs. Why investors must buy Nvidia; performance differentials. Lance defends his love of dogs; there is nothing wrong with the markets for now, but they will eventually correct. Trying to avoid a crash will cost you more than investing and riding-out a crash. What's the risk of change for Nvidia? Economic data is pointing to a slow down; retail sales will feed into services sector. Higher costs = no more Grub Hub. Lance addresses government waste: PPP fraud, Medicare fraud, $42-B for high-speed internet no one has received. Increased cost of healthcare insurance is directly due to advent of ObamaCare, and allowing sick people into the coverage pool. To fix what's wrong, track the money. SEG-1: Juneteenth Markets Will Be Flat SEG-2: Why Investors Must Buy Nvidia SEG-3: Nvidia's Risk & Watching Slowing Economic Data SEG-4: Fixing Government Waste: Follow the Money Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uo6SSkYzr8I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/ "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Makes Correction Pain Worse?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cK5F6C8sbw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Bullishness on the Rise?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y7bl0kL73VM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2235s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia, #Investment #Necessity #IndexFund #SP500 #PortfolioManagement #Benchmark #PortfolioManager #IndexPortfolio #BuyingStocks #MarketStrategy #FinancialDecision #StockPerformance #EconomicTrends #MarketAnalysis #Juneteenth #RetailSales #EconomicSlowing #GovernmentWaste #ObamaCare #HighSpeedInternet #HealthcareInusrance #MedicareFraud #PPPfraud #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 19, 202446 min

6-18-24 Is Bullishness On The Rise?

Markets are trading in a holiday-shortened week, thanks to the Juneteenth Holiday Wednesday. 50% of companies are now in stock buy back blackout period. Retail Sales report preview; a function of Consumer sentiment. Five Fed speakers out and about today; markets started weakly, then rallied 1%. Volume and breadth are weakening; markets are very over-bought and extremely deviated from DMA's; when correction comes... Is consumer sentiment on the rise? How best to balance portfolio mix (charts). When will the "Next Big One" come along? Query about going from 90/10 portfolio to 100% equities; you can always find a reason not to invest. Bonds vs T-bills vs Equities; What to do when there are no high-yiled, low-risk options? How to manage risk in volatile rate environment; why you should look at your portfolio only once a quarter; separate emotion from your investments. SEG-1: Markets Are Over Bought & Extremely Deviated from DMA's SEG-2: Is Consumer Sentiment & Investor Bullishness on the Rise? SEG-3: Managing Risk Before the "Next Big One" Comes Along SEG-4: What Happens When There Are No High-yield, Low-risk Options? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Sr. Fianncial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y7bl0kL73VM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2235s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/ "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Makes Correction Pain Worse?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cK5F6C8sbw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Interest Rates: Is a Multi-Decade Increase on the Horizon?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hFJaamK_m4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #InvestorBullishness #ConsumerSentiment #InterestRates #MarketCorrection #Homeowners #BorrowingCosts #Economy #JamesGrant #CyclicalPattern #MultiDecadePeriod #Consumption #HigherRates #EconomicImpact #HousingMarket #FinancialTrends #MonetaryPolicy #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 18, 202446 min

6-17-24 Interest Rates - Is A Multi - Decade Increase On The Horizon

Will "Sell in May & Go Away" repeat this summer? Will Wall Street 'de-risk" ahead of presidential election? Economic data continues to weaken and consumer sentiment takes a sharp drop; is this a trend-change? Markets return to over bought conditions; such extreme deviations from 20- and 50-DMA cannot last for long. Breadth is very narrow; market driven by only a few stocks. Import prices drop; inflation remains sticky. Persistent inflation will force the Fed to lower rates; when? Meanwhile, James Grant insists rate will cycle higher; Lance discusses the impact of higher interest rates on the economy and shares insights from an interview with James Grant: Discover how cyclical patterns and rising rates can shape the future; impact of higher interest rates on homeowners; borrowing costs and their effect on consumption; economic implications of rising rates; Grant's perspective on cyclical interest rate patterns; potential multi-decade rise in interest rates. Beware scare tactics and doomsday headlines (what are they trying to sell you??) All roads lead to inflation. SEG-1: Will Wall St. De-risk Ahead of Presidential Election? SEG-2: Inflation Print Keeps Fed on Track to Cut Rates SEG-3: Is James Grant Correct About Rates Going Higher? SEG-4: What Are They Trying to Sell You? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hFJaamK_m4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Corrective Action is Inevitable" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hU7Wh4i51TE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Dealing With the "Squishy" Side of Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XdRXLssiy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InterestRates #Homeowners #BorrowingCosts #Economy #JamesGrant #CyclicalPattern #MultiDecadePeriod #Consumption #HigherRates #EconomicImpact #HousingMarket #FinancialTrends #MonetaryPolicy #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 17, 202446 min

6 - 14 - 24 Dealing With The Squishy Side Of Retirement

Parsing the economic data; Bonds vs ETF's; how bond pries and interest rates move; couting on the income. Danny & Jonathan address YouTube chatroom questions on Bond Yields and Buy/Sell dynamics; Dialing for Petro Dollars: A discussion of the US Dollar's strength, and whether it will still be the world's reserve currency in the future. Four good reasons to keep the Dollar. Transitioning into retirement, from accumulator to distributor, and dealing with the "squishy" side of retirement; finding purpose; activities together vs alone; planning spending allocations. The Dead Air nightmares; why Chick-Fil-A is closed on Sunday; the RIA Advisors Studio Orchestra; Roth conversions now against higher taxes later; crafting a strategy with Backdoor Roths. SEG-1: Parsing the Data; Bonds vs ETF's SEG-2: Dialing for Petro Dollars SEG-3: Dealing w the Squishy side of Retirement SEG-4: Dead Air, Blue Laws, & Roth Conversions Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XdRXLssiy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar's Death: Not So Fast" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-dollars-death-not-so-fast "Four Reasons The Dollar Is Here to Stay- Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/four-reasons-the-dollar-is-here-to-stay-part-2 "Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/ "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Federal Reserve and BLS Labor Data Discrepancies Explored" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #PetroDollars #RothConversions #BackdoorRoth #SquishyRetirement #RetirementPlanning #FinancialAdvisor #EmployerBenefits #RetirementStrategy #Working #FinancialPlanning #RetirementValue #MaximizingBenefits #RetirementAdvice #EarlyRetirementPlanning #FinancialAssistance #LongTermPlanning #RetirementGoals #RetirementSavings #FinancialHealth #AdvisorBenefits #Proactive Planning #RetirementSecurity #FuturePlanning #FinancialStrategies #RetirementHelp #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 14, 202446 min

6-13-24 Federal Reserve And BLS Labor Data Discrepancies Explored

June is half-over, and the stock buy back blackout begins today, removing that source of activity from the market. Economic data points continue to weaken, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell wants to see "more good data." There is an alternative universe of debt; the Fed wants weaker economy so they can lower rates. The S&P 500 sets another new, all-time high; Apple, Miscrosoft, & Nvidia are driving the market. There is an ever-widening performance gap between the S&P 500 and everyone else. Mrs. Roberts' Roomba and an FOMC Meeting recap; the economy is "normalizing." Jerome Powell's humility; interest rates are restrictive; the problem with being data-dependent. Elon Musk's pay package; markets are still being driven by fewer and fewer stocks; buy backs' influence on market performance; was Apply buying back shares to bolster reaction from Apple Intelligence rollout? What happens when correction comes; what will trigger. Chocolate chip cookies & Cinnabons; the Bond market is picking up as consumer spending slows. there's plenty of room for downside in bonds; Gold's response to real rates. Speculation is driving gold. Private Credit opportunities and trends. Buy now pay later companies' credentials are very opaque; are you being rewarded for the risk you're taking on? SEG-1: Lopsided Market Response to FOMC Meeting/Inflation SEG-2: FOMC - The Economy is Normalizing SEG-3: Markets' Driven by Fewer Stocks - What Happens When Correction Comes? SEG-4: CPI & Employment Data is Belying Deeper Problem Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/ "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Managing Risk & Returns with Individual Treasury Bonds" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LaborMarket #Overstated #BLSdata #FederalReserve #Employment #ElectionCycle #JobStatistics #EconomicIndicators #DataDiscrepancies #UnemploymentRates #MarketDataAnalysis #LaborStatistics #JobMarket #EmploymentReports EconomicDataReliability #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 13, 202446 min

6-12-24 Managing Risk And Return With Individual Treasury Bonds

It's Fed Day and Inflation Day: The FOMC meeting commences, and inflation in May cooled a bit. What will the Fed's Dot Plot show? Rate cut expectations are down to just two for this year, and likely not occuring until after the election. How will the Fed loosen QT? Markets set another all time high, marginally. The rally-restest-rally pattern continues. Apple was the big driver on Tuesday with the heralding of "Apple Intelligence." We answer viewers' questions about owning Bonds vs Treasuries vs ETF's. The saga of predictions, swimming in oil, and uranium's leap ahead of its reality. Our investing strategy now: What we're buying and selling, and why; how we manage risk. SEG-1: Fed Day/Inflation Day; Apple Intelligence SEG-2: Outlook for Owning Bonds SEG-3: Swimming in Oil & The Saga of Predictions SEG-4: How We Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Apple?" is here: https://youtu.be/3HXblWzZ5S4 ------- Our previous show is here: "How the 60/40 Investment Strategy Works for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleIntelligence #FOMC #FederalReserve #Inflation #RiskManagement #Portfolio #TreasuryBonds #YieldMaximization #HurdleRates #InvestmentStrategy #RiskHedge #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #BondInvestment #IndividualBonds #PortfolioManagement #ReturnCalculation #FinancialAdvice #BondMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 12, 202446 min

6-11-4 How The 60 - 40 Investment Strategy Works For You

Markets are essentially in stasis until after tomorrow's conclusion of the FOMC meeting. Market enthusiasm is similar to that seen in 2000, but there are a few differences this time around. Will Apple AI tailor a better product for users; can AI actually deliver? Crude Oil in a MACD buy signal from very low levels: Time to buy? How Generation-Z is making blue collar jobs cool; implications of power demands for AI and requirements for building out power grid to meet AI demand. Is it time to re-think the 60/40 portfolio? The finite value of bonds vs equity market risk. You can always adjust ratios to match your appetite. The basic economics of interest ates & monetary velocity. Looking at Media-driven narratives vs real data: dealing withi emotions in investing. Gold vs lead: Know your narrative. Importance of knowing how to make money with your money; copper commodity cycles; oil prices. SEG-1: Markets Meander; Time to Buy Oil? SEG-2: Gen-Z Making Blue Collar Jobs Cool Again SEG-3: Is It Time to Re-think the 60/40 Portfolio? SEG-4: Media-driven Narratives vs Real Data in Investing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Crude Oil?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-XpND3aEVE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Rising Unemployment Rate: A Possible Recession Indicator?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #60_40_Allocation #Interest rates #EconomySlowing #BondPrices #Economics #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #StockBondMix #InvestmentPortfolio #MarketConditions #Recession #EconomicDownturn #InterestRateImpact #BondMarket #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialInsights #PortfolioManagement #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 11, 202446 min

6-10-24 Rising Unemployment Rate -A Possible Recession Indicator

Employment Report Headlines are stronger than the underlying data shows; economic activity is slowing, but markets remain upbeat. Markets have been quiet; complacency can lead to unexpected things. Markets tested 20-DMA and rallied; will re-test that level today...again. FOMC Meeting this week + CPI Inflation data could trigger a change: Markets' performance has been predicated on Fed rate cuts. How we get the employment numbers: Data vs surveys. The gap between households and BLS is growing; something is wrong with the adjustments. Why $20/hr minimum wage isn't working. Look at wages vs total compensation. Employment numbers are likely to be revised downward. Analysts' estimates are unrealistic in the face of economic data. Commodities in Boom-Bust cycles; supply/demand imbalances. Looking at Copper; the Hunt Brother's silver gambit fail. What will happen in the markets when buy back blackout period begins. SEG-1: Employment Report Review; Markets to Retest 20-DMA SEG-2: Headline Employment Numbers Belie Economic Weakness SEG-3: Analysts' Estimates Exceed Economic Reality SEG-4: Commodities in the Boom-Bust Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Maximize Your Severance Package" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #UnemploymentRate #TwelveMonthAverage #Recession #Trending #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarket #EconomicTrends #Workforce #JobMarket #EmploymentStatistics #EconomicAnalysis #Economy #RecessionIndicators #UnemploymentTrends, #LaborForce #EconomicOutlook #JoblessRate #FinancialAnalysis #Macroeconomics #EconomicConditions #DownturnRisks #EmploymentData #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 10, 202445 min

6-7-24 How To Maximize Your Severance Package

The D stands for Donuts: It's International Donut Day; Buc-Cee's Donuts & Jerky; Can a Texas Stock Exchange survive? JR weighs in. NYC's economic suicide; the Roaring Kitty live-stream; Candid Coffee returns (6/29); AI stocks & narrative economics: Will AI not be the savior we'd hoped? How to maximize your severance package; when a layoff is a blessing in disguise. Goldfish & dietary habits; Severance package strategies: Maximizing HSA's; lumps-sum or annutize? Model it out. SEG-1: National Donut Day, Nvidia Split, Jobs Report Preview SEG-2: NYSE vs Texas Stock Exchange & Civil Migration SEG-3: Candid Coffee Preview, Narrative Economics & AI Stocks SEG-4: Goldfish, Diets, & Severance Strategies Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investments For The Coming Power Grid Expansion- Part 3" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investments-for-the-coming-power-grid-expansion-part-3/ "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Overtakes Apple at $3 Trillion Market Cap?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCYSYtjM3MA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Small Caps and Mid Caps: Timing Your Investments Post-Economic Slowdown " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znjG3-cP3-8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SeverancePackages #HighDeductibleMedicalPlan #HSA #HealthSavingsAccount #PreTaxGrowth #TaxDeferred #QualifiedExpenses #CompanyContributions #SeveranceDate #FinancialPlanning #MaximizeHSA #BenefitsOfHSA #DannysFavoriteMedicalPlan #Living expenses#HSALimits #MedicalSavings #RetirementPlanning #TaxBenefits #SeveranceStrategy #EmployeeBenefits #MaximizingSavings #TexasStockExchange #NvidiaStockSplit #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #NarrativeEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 7, 202446 min

6-6-24 Small Caps And Mid Caps Timing Your Investments Post - Economic Slowdown

D-Day commemorations top the day; ISM report shows a big jump, but input prices and employment weakened. The data does not (yet) support thesis for Recession. Nvidia topped $3-Trillion in market capitalization, surpassing Apple for #2 slot in the S&P. Nvidia is now 3x over its 50-DAM. The coming power grid expansion will offer investing opportunities; how viable are alternative energy investment propositions? What are the implications of government subsidies required by alternative energy companies? Political realities to be considered. The next Fed meeting: will they cut rates; how many times? Market performance history vis a vis Fed rate activity. Small caps and mid caps may become favorable investments in the future, especially after a period of slow economic growth or recession when excess stimulus has been absorbed. Lance & Michael break down the crucial moments to consider for small and mid-cap stocks: Current state of mid caps and small caps; Earnings performance of small caps; Economic indicators impacting small caps; Timing for small cap investments; Effect of economic growth or recession on small caps. SEG-1: D-Day and Data (Does Not Support Recession Thesis) SEG-2: Investing in Power Grid Expansion & Alternative Energy Plays SEG-3: The Fed Doesn't Do 'Token' Rate Cuts SEG-4: Small Caps and Mid Caps: Timing Your Investments Post-Economic Slowdown Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znjG3-cP3-8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investments For The Coming Power Grid Expansion- Part 3" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investments-for-the-coming-power-grid-expansion-part-3/ "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Overtakes Apple at $3 Trillion Market Cap?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCYSYtjM3MA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Could Roaring Kitty's Wealth Top $1-Billion?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QzhNqLLV-o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DDay80thAnniversary #Nvidia #MarketCap #Apple #FederalReserve #PowerGridExpansion #AlternativeEnergy #SmalCaps #MidCaps #Earnings #EconomicData #Exposure #InvestmentOpportunities #SlowEconomicGrowth #Recession #FutureInvestments #MarketTrends #EconomicCycles #StockPerformance #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 6, 202446 min

6-5-24 Could Roaring Kitty's Wealth Top $1 - Billion?

More weak economic data from the Atlanta Fed; semiconductors are outperforming software stocks, 3:1; look for consolidation in that sector. Domestic stocks are outperforming all other markets. A fairly big correction in Oil Prices over the past few days is now setting up an opportunity for investors to take profits and rebalance energy portfolios, which are by necessity tied to the price of their underlying commodity. Curious about Roaring Kitty's extraordinary journey in the stock market? Discover how his wealth skyrocketed from $53,000 to nearly $300 million; Roaring Kitty's rise to fame in the financial world; the ups and downs of his public visibility; the SEC's perspective on Roaring Kitty’s actions; Key financial milestones and achievements; the potential for his wealth to reach $1 billion. Why elected officials should not be allowed to invest in the market; preparing your finances for recession: Warning flags are signaling trouble ahead. Using proper risk management. How bad will the next correction be? The trigger will be some credit related event; where will we go from there? SEG-1: Weaker Economic Data Continues; Will Crude Oil Rally? SEG-2: The Saga of Roaring Kitty SEG-3: Preparing Your Finances for Recession SEG-4: How Bad Will the Next Correction Be? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QzhNqLLV-o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "THow High Will Crude Prices Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pO4--VWfnsQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-_ddRfURIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RoaringKitty #Reddit #Wealth #SEC #StockMarket #GameStop #Investment #FinancialJourney #Spotlight #BillionDollarPotential #KeithGill #MemeStocks #WallStreetBets #TradingStrategies #FinancialSuccess #Risk #Reward #OnlineForums #LegalScrutiny #RetailInvestors #MarketInfluence #InternetSensation #FinancialTransformation #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 5, 202446 min

6-4-24 The Dangers Of Market Timing - Why You Might Lose Out

Launching June market trading and looking ahead; the continuing saga of E*Trade and Roaring Kitty, GameStop. Economic data continues to weaken; expectations for Fed rate cuts this year are now back up to two. Markets' morning selloff, afternoon rally back into the green pattern continues, thanks to EOD institutional buying; all activity against the backdrop of a sell signal. Why Berkshire went to zero; markets' extreme deviation continues. Should you wait until after the Presidential Election to invest? Are you considering market timing as a strategy? Lance Roberts breaks down the pitfalls and risks of trying to predict the market: Challenges of predicting market trends months in advance; Consequences of sitting out of the market until a specific event; the trap of waiting for the perfect moment to invest; How market run-ups can leave you behind; The psychological cycle that keeps investors indecisive. New AI chips are coming; the AI Chase is on. Chips are in, software is out. Intel is playing catch-up; should you have an AI portfolio? A Space portfolio? The allure of private equity: Use caution! SEG-1: Economic Data Conitnues to Weaken; Rate Cut Expectations Rise SEG-2: Berkshire Goes to Zero & Markets' Extreme Deviation SEG-3: Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out SEG-4: The AI Chase & The Allure of Private Equity Investing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-_ddRfURIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The 50-DMA is the Line in the Sand" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjuzAS5Oxdo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Momentum Chase is On: What Happens Next? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8nCiHEJSjg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketTiming #RiskyStrategy #Marketprediction #ElectionImpact #MarketTrends #FinancialDecisions #StockMarket #EconomicEvents #MarketFluctuation #InvestmentTiming #FinancialRisk #MissedOpportunities #marketrunUp #BuyingTheDip #InvestorPsychology #EconomicUncertainty #MarketAnalysis #MarketTraps #InvestmentStrategy #LongTermInvesting #MarketBehavior #CyclicalNature #MarketCycles #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 4, 202446 min

6-3-24 The Momentum Chase Is On

Markets start the month with support sustained at the 20-DMA, although consumer spending is weakening, with retrenchment in Restaurants. Inventories are high while spending is slackening. The cure for inflation is high prices. Markets break thru 20-DMA on Friday, but rally before the close. Sell signal is restricting upside. The market momentum chase is on...which is fine until the music stops. Noting investing cycles vs market cycles and the problem with dividend investing strategy. Public Debt: Productive vs non productive: Can the AI boom bail us out? Why James Grant is wrong about debt and interest rates (a preview). How AI could save us from "bad" debt with electric grid infrastructure improvements. A note about forecasting GDP & Interest Rates. SEG-1: Setting the Table for June SEG-2: Surviving the Momentum Chase SEG-3: Investing Cycle, Market Cycles. & Dividend Strategies SEG-4: Why James Grant is Wrong about Debt and Interest Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8nCiHEJSjg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL-48uLmZfA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Should You Borrow Against Your 401k?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaFHcrYr414&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MomentumInvesting #ValueInvesting #InvestmentStrategy #Timing #MarketTrends #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #TradingStyles #InvestingApproaches #MarketTiming #InvestmenTiming #FinancialMarkets #InvestmentTypes #InvestingPrinciples #InvestmentOpportunities #StrategicInvesting #TimingMatters #MarketAnalysis #Markets #Money #Investing

Jun 3, 202446 min

5-31-24 Should You Borrow Against Your 401k?

With weaker economic data trickling in, are Fed rate cuts coming sooner than later? What's the deal with 401k's? The best way to take money out of a 401k; executing an "in-service rollover;" tax implications and fund seasoning details you need to know; remember fees and expense ratios. What about Roth's: pre-tax funds & retirement; making too much money? Dealing with shifts in RMD's: The government wants its revenue sooner than later. Dealing with hardship withdrawals; what is and isn't exempted. The folly of borrowing against a 401k (Hint: Don't do it!) What about collateralizing 401k funds? (See previous comment) 401k leakage and retirement shortfalls. Is there wisdom in going to Gold? Pro's & con's discussion: Gold is not spendable. SEG-1: Are Rate Cuts Coming in the Wake of Weaker Economic Data? SEG-2: What's the Best Way to Take Money from a 401k? SEG-3: What About Roth's? SEG-4: Collateralizing 401k's and the Lure of Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Sr. Relashipship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaFHcrYr414&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Power Grid Expansion – Part Two" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-power-grid-expansion-part-two/ "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Benefit from the Coming Power Grid Expansion" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwfPDOKaFjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #401k #Gold #RequiredMinimumDistribution #Roth #InServiceRollover #TaxImplications #401kLeakage #Collateralizing401kFunds #RetirementShortfalls #GoingtoGold #Markets #Money #Investing

May 31, 202446 min

5-30-24 How To Benefit From The Coming Power Grid Expansion

Houston is finally #1 in something: Home Foreclosures; Q1 economic data suggests conflict with narrative the economy is doing fine vs anecdotal evidence. The Fed's Beige Book summary shows not as much concern for inflation as for weakening consumer demand. Weaker stock pricing is also emerging; Can markets hold the 20-DMA? Risk assets are momentum-based trade (Bitcoin); also beginning to weaken. Hedge funds are long semiconductors and AI-related stocks: the AI theme seems to be narrowing. The difference between the Dot-com bubble and AI companies is that AI is making money. What will be the side-benefits AI generates? Note how Nvidia performs: 80% of earnings from AI Data Centers; the power requirements for supporting AI Data Centers. What will power the grid with more AI & EV demands? How will AI affect productivity? Where will the power come from & how will it be transmitted? Traditional & alternative sources. What will be the demand from AI Data Center & Bitcoin mining? What will fuel these plants? Gas, Coal, Nuclear as well as some alternative sources. Transporting fuels and transmitting power; this is opportunity for productive debt/investment, a la the Hoover Dam. Q! GDP adjustments are starting to show signs of weakening. How accurate is the data? Employment numbers will be key. SEG-1: The Economy is Weaker than Headlines Suggest SEG-2: Looking at the Side-benefits of AI SEG-3: Where Will the Power Come From? SEG-4: Signs of a Weakening Economy Emerge Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFARatliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwfPDOKaFjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Power Grid Expansion – Part Two" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-power-grid-expansion-part-two/ "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Corporate Greed is Not the Cause of Inflation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHJSrOyH95g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitcoinMining #PowerGrid #EconomicBenefit #AIDataCenters #NaturalGas #Unproductive #PowerConsumption #EnergyImpact #MiningStatistics #EconomicUpside #Markets #Money #Investing

May 30, 202446 min

5-29-24 Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation

It's all about the Fed, never mind the fundamentals. markets have gone essentially nowhere, driven almost entirely by Nvidia. Markets are close to a short-term sell signal. It's time to rebalance portfolios. Corporate Greed does not cause inflation: The simple truth. 401k rollowver problems; why few receiving required 402(f) notifications; the tax implications of rollovers. If you've lost a 401k, Beagle.com may be able to help you find it. Why compounding doesn't work in the market; creditor protection for retirement funds. Hampton Inn merch: Waffle socks & fanny packs; Buc-Cee's, Cracker Barrel, Johnson Howards, & Stuckey's; Keeping all your 401k in company stock: The Enron Error. SEG-1: The Market Driver remains Nvidia: Time to Rebalance? SEG-2: Corporate Greed Does Not Cause Inflation SEG-3: The 401-k Rollover Problem SEG-4: Waffle Merch & Enron Errors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHJSrOyH95g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Rebalance Portfolios with NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vwuqllrc7iI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What If I Get Names Executor of an Estate?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pc9ifsBCTyk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #Nvidia #PortfolioRebalancing #CorporateGreed #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CrackerBarrel #Buccees #HamptonInn #HowardJohnson #Stuckeys #SupplyAndDemand #EconomicBasics #Economy #MonetarySupply #CreditCards #PopulationGrowth #Government #PrintingMoney #Economics #SlowingDownEconomy #DemandReduction #MoneyCirculation #FinancialMisconceptions #Fallacy #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicTheses #CreditConsumption #EconomicGrowth #InflationFall #MoneySupply #EconomicImpact #Markets #Money #Investing

May 29, 202446 min

5-24-24 What If I Get Named Executor Of An Estate?

Markets falter; Nvidia and Cracker Barrel keeping up with the times; the Fed's impact on Markets: Could rates actually go back up? How spending habits are shifting; the need for a Sell Discipline when bad news is good news. Caution against investing emotionally because of politics. What happens when you're the executor: Business decisions vs family/emotional issues. The Graceland financial fiasco: An executor's nightmare. How many generations does wealth last? How Elvis got Graceland. SEG-1: What Nvidia & Cracker Barrel Have in Common SEG-2: THe Need for a Sell Discipline When Bad News is Good SEG-3: What Happens When You're the Executor? SEG-4: The Presley Mansion Financial Fiasco - An Executor's Nightmare Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pc9ifsBCTyk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Data Centers And EVs Create Incredible Opportunities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ai-data-centers-and-evs-create-incredible-opportunities/ "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Who Will Profit Most from the Next Tech Boom?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiiCv2nehik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #NVIDIA #CrackerBarrel #ChocolateFountain #CheeseFountain #PresidentialElection #Politics #Graceland #ElvisPresleyEstate #ExecutorResponsibilities #ExecutorLiability #Markets #Money #Investing

May 24, 202446 min

5-23-24 Who Will Profit Most From The Next Tech Boom

Markets sold off on release of the latest FOMC Meeting minutes, which are a sanitized, finely-crafted version of what went on behind closed doors. The hawkishness seems to be continuing; Deflation seems to be a bigger risk to the economy than inflation. There's too little demand, resulting in price cuts to move inventory. Insight on why we reduced our stake in Nvidia before its report was released, which attests to the growth potential of AI buildouts. One cloud on the horizon: Wall Street's ever-optimistic expectations for continued growth. How does innovation impact the economy, and who will be the next Levi Strauss? The problems facing the power grid from AI & EV's. The power grid needs 40- NYC's. Natural Gas will be a big winner as a cheap, clean energy source. Water consumption estimates by 2023; issuing debt for productive purposes. FOMC Minutes are a little "wishy-washy" about interest rates: The Fed doesn't really know what it's doing. Stocks & bonds went nowhere after minutes' release. Fed governors are all on the same page about sticky inflation remaining longer. SEG-1: Markets Sell off on FOMC Minutes' Continued Hawkishness SEG-2: NVIDIA Report Attests to Growth of AI Build Out SEG-3: Power Grid Challenges from AI & EV's SEG-4: Why FOMC Minutes were "Wishy-washy" Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiiCv2nehik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Data Centers And EVs Create Incredible Opportunities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ai-data-centers-and-evs-create-incredible-opportunities/ "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why the Dot-com Crash Feels Like a Distant Memory to Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0z-LlFF4lw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2671s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #AI #EV #CaliforniaGoldRush #LeviStrauss #Nvidia #Profit #Miners#Denim #HeartyPants #LongRun #AMD #Microsoft #Google #ProfitMost #Obvious #RunUp #NextLeviStrauss #Markets #Money #Investing

May 23, 202445 min

5-22-24 Why The Dot-Com Crash Feels Like A Distant Memory To Investors

All eyes are on NVDIA's quarterly report: Why did we trim our position? How might this company disappoint investors? It's all about the guidance. FOMC Meeting Minutes also could trigger markets, based on what they reveal about the Fed's interest rate intentions. Markets are at all-time highs, trading in a tighter range. Markets have gone 315-days without a 2% correction; we think they're primed for a pullback. Lance's wife is home; hilarity ensues. Millennials' 'quiet vacation' ploys. Is recession coming? Most investors and economists think not. (We are still within the window of opportunity following yield curve inversion). Trying to eliminate recession from the business cycle; why recessions are needed. American's favorite investments vs Mattress Mac's investment philosophy. Where Dave Ramsey is right...and wrong. Remember the.com crash? Many young investors today never experienced a financial crisis like 2008. It's important to learn from history to navigate market uncertainties. SEG-1: Will NVDIA Report Trigger Correction to 20-DMA? SEG-2: Millennials' Quiet Vacationing & Other Work Avoidance Ploys SEG-3: Why Most Investors & Economists Believe No Recession is Coming SEG-4: What is America's Favorite Long Term Investment? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0z-LlFF4lw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2671s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Correct Back to the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MraQkqRJQFQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Risk of Relying on Benchmarking" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZ1Ss55bFt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=16s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #Inflation #WageDisparity #DotComCrash #MarketDecline #PeakToTrough #ReduceRisk #Recession #RobinhoodTrading #Investors #MarketRally #OptionsTrading #2008FinancialCrisis #BarackObama #MarketExperience #Post2008, market thesis, investing history, market opportunities, financial downturn, trading experience #FinancialCrisis #Markets #Money #Investing

May 22, 202447 min

5-21-24 The Risk of Relying on Benchmarking

During ripping bull markets, investors often start benchmarking, comparing their portfolio’s performance against a major index; most often, the S&P 500 index. While that activity is heavily encouraged by Wall Street and the media, funded by Wall Street, is benchmarking the right for you? Why does Wall Street want you to compare your performance to a benchmark index? Lance discusses Fed speakers' remarks: Sticky inflation means no rate cuts anytime soon. The 20-DMA crossed over the 50-DMA: A very bullish signal; we're expecting a pullback at some point. SEC debates whether to approved Ethereum EFT. Comparisons are motivation by Wall Street to move money so they can charge you fees. Nothing stays at the top for long; what are your investing goals? Why do we invest? Benchmarking pro's & con's; the difference between an index and you. Corporate greed & how we got stock buybacks. Labor vs business ownership: Business owners are deserving of their earnings because they've taken the risk. Where do stock buybacks come from...and where does the money go? How to fix wage disparity: Eliminate buybacks; pay will be limited to cash a company can generate. SEG-1: Fed Speakers' Recap: Sticky Inflation = No rate cut soon SEG-2: The Folly of Benchmarking Portfolio to an Index, Pt-1 SEG-3: The Folly of Benchmarking Portfolio to an Index, Pt-2 SEG-4: Corporate Greed & Wage Disparity Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZ1Ss55bFt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=16s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Ethereum ETF Sustain Market Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qz34OdB55LI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Disinflation Remains The Bigger Risk" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P9TN8Dzhd0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #Inflation #Disinflation #Benchmarking #CorporateGreed #StockBuyBacks #WageDisparity #MinimumWage #Lehman #Shares #GM #Portfolio #Index #Rebalance #MarketCapitalization #Price #SharesOutstanding #Underperform #ContributeMoney #Markets #Money #Investing

May 21, 202446 min

5-20-4 Disinflation Remains The Bigger Risk

NVDIA & Fed speakers are in the spotlight this week; stock buyback are running higher than normal. The risk of recession; when will the Fed cut rates? Durable Goods are in deflation; Services are seeing higher inflation, tied to discretionary spending. Markets finish previous week at all time highs; when will they pull back? Wathcing for a bullish cross of the 20- and 50-DMA. AI can now lie and cheat; bad economic news is good news; the majority of earnings growth is coming from ten stocks; the impact of retail sales, debt ratios, and falling consumer spending. The connection between retail sales, CPI, PCE, & GDP; NFIB Inflation stats. Stocks are rallying in anticipation of Fed announcement, not stock buyback action. Power outages & Kolaches; Zoom and Palo Alto to report this week. Note the barriers to entry in considering a company's stock. SEG-1: NVDIA & Fed Speakers in Spotlight SEG-2: Teaching AI to Lie & Cheat; Bad News is Good News SEG-3: The Connection between Retail Sales, CPI, PCE, & GDP SEG-4: Power outage, Kolaches, & Barriers to Entry to Consider Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P9TN8Dzhd0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Prepared for a Bullish Cross" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cvqdSYAkSI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 #BullishCross #MarketPullBack #InvestingAdvice ------- Our previous show is here: "How Long Will You Live?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTyaxINdMkY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #TeachingAItoCheat #RetailSales #Inflation #Disinflation #Markets #Money #Investing

May 20, 202446 min

5-17-24 How Long Will You Live

Houston hit with tornadic storms; everything is going up: Stocks, Bonds, Gold...The Crypto Proposition: Brokers are like lemmings. Every investment is a story: Tech & Cryptocurrency; wrapping rules around your portfolios. The danger of over-confidence. Investing perspective is important. Avoid investing based on politics; the psychology of investing. Should you get out of the market? Baseball cards, G.I. Joe's, and Mortuary Museum: Planning for how long you'll live. Using life expectancy in portfolio & retirement planning. Social Security is longevity insurance. (www.livingto100.com) When to best claim Social Security. SEG-1: Houston Storm Recap & The Crypto Investment Proposition SEG-2: Every Investment is Story: Wrapping rules around your portfolio SEG-3: Avoid Investing Based on Politics SEG-4: Baseball Cards, Mortuary Museums, & Planning for Longevity Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTyaxINdMkY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-today-costs-dearly-tomorrow/ "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Bad Market News is Good News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's a Mistake to Be Entirely Out of Equities" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWeHX8ZXVQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CryptoCurrency #PortfolioRules#OutOfEquitiesd #MarketMistakes #BalancingPerspectives #EconomicData #PositiveFactors #NegativeFactors #MarketAnalysis #CarefulEvaluation #EvenBalance #OngoingTrends #FinancialInsights #FiscalEvaluation #Markets #Money #Investing

May 17, 202446 min

5-16-24 It's A Mistake To Be Entirely Out Of Equities

Markets hit all-time highs with softer CPI: The biggest contributor was decline in Homeowners' Equivalent Rent. Markets are now anticipating two rate cuts this year. Consumers are showing signs of weakening; hardest hit are Gen-Z & Millennials. Stocks & Bonds rally on weaker CPI; markets are extremely over bought. Look for a re-test of the 50-DMA with market corrective action anticipated. WalMart has decent earnings; consumer spending is what drives the economy. Quality of Employment numbers matter: Full Time vs Part Time Jobs; Why the Government's Employment formula is bogus. How we calculate Inflation now (also bogus). The Risk is never zero. Answering emails: When will the market crash? Being out of the market; more money is lost trying to avoid a crash than is lost during a crash. Market Correction is coming, Debt .will eventually matter (but we'll all be dead by then), a la Japan. Leanring from mistakes getting out of the market. The perils of sitting in cash: Find the other bull market. It's a mistake to be entirely out of equities. The markets' bullish trend has not been broken since March 2009. SEG-1: Markets' Rally on Softer CPI SEG-2: The Risk is Never Zero Seg-3: Debt Will Eventually Matter (but we'll all be dead by then) SEG-4: Market Mistakes Learned the Hard Way Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWeHX8ZXVQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-today-costs-dearly-tomorrow/ "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Bad Market News is Good News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "WIll Bitcion Rise to $420,000?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldxIgLe-YuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #PPI #CPI #MarketSuccess #OutOfEquitiesd #MarketMistakes #BalancingPerspectives #EconomicData #PositiveFactors #NegativeFactors #MarketAnalysis #CarefulEvaluation #EvenBalance #OngoingTrends #FinancialInsights #FiscalEvaluation #Markets #Money #Investing

May 16, 202446 min

5-14-24 The Bull Is Back

Roaring Kitty is back with resurgence of GameStop stock; the insanity returns. Jerome Powell already knows the CPI numbers for tomorrow: What are markets expecting vs what he will say? Citi Surprise Index showing more signs of economic weakness; evidence the consumer is slowing down. Markets flopped around Monday but earned another green candle. We're expecting a pullback to test the 50-DMA; there is risk in economic data from the lag effect. Markets typically lead the economy by 6 to 9-months. More Coffee talk, living in Europe, and why we don't invest internationally (where can you make the most money?) NFIB Report preview: Shop local small businesses. The folly of tapping 401-k funds. The backlash against "wealthy" Boomers; living on cash. SEG-1: Roaring Kitty & Market Expectations SEG-2: Why Markets Lead Economy by 6-9 Months SEG-3: Coffee, Europe, & Email: Why We Don't Invest Internationally SEG-4a: NFIB Report Preview SEG-4b: The Flaw in "Borrowing" from 401-k's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZV_c2piH5Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Hotter CPI Trigger Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vx2GXMK7SD0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bounce Back Ends April Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYdAXliMOdg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #RoaringKitty #GameStop #AMC #MemeStocks #JeromePowell #CPI #PPI #Inflation #BorowingFrom401k #NFIBReport #SmallBusiness #SellSignal #RiskRangeReport #BeCautious #SP500 #InvestmentTiming #Coffee #Markets #Money #Investing

May 14, 202446 min

5-13-24 Bounce Back Ends April Correction

Markets' bullish trend continues; no reason to be sitting in cash now. Economic data is proving to be a mixed bag. Consumers' creativity for accessing funds they shouldn't be touching for continued spending. Markets are back to overbought; wait for a pullback to add exposure. What's moving markets: The Fed or AI? When the Fed supplies liquidity, fundamentals take second chair. Fundamentals, however, will save you in a market downturn. Will AI be a game changer? "Ready Player One" is the ultimate outcome of AI. There are now emerging energy concerns for powering AI. Imperative to know what narratives are driving markets to best plan investing strategy. Earnings are a function of economic growth: S&P growth to slow as company earnings slow. Stock buybacks are used to engineer better earnings and are not sustainable. The health benefits of coffee. CPI coming Wednesday w .4% expectations. April Retail Sales may be okay with Tax Refund spending, but after that... Lance's new TikTok series, GoPro on a Dog. SEG-1: Markets' Bullish Trend Continues SEG-2: Will AI Be a Game Changer? SEG-3: Why Earnings Growth is a Function of Economic Growth SEG-4a: The Elixir of Youth SEG-4b: CPI Preview Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYdAXliMOdg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Over Bought Markets Pull Back?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-0-l1HDXmg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Social Security Last Past 2035?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTL3ny5OkwA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #GenerativeAI #TrillionDollarOpportunities #PrivateEquity #Funding #Iinvestment #ArtificialIntelligence #Coffee #Markets #Money #Investing

May 13, 202446 min

5-10-24 Will Social Security Last Past 2035

Earnings preview & economic reports: The wisdom of writing a market journal. Will markets produce an 8th day of gains? Current trading strategioes; the animal spirits are shifting. Soupy Sales' 'Send a Dollar;' CEO Neutrality, getting back to the basics of business. Will Social Security last past 2035? There are some surprising, positive notes in the latest SS Trustees' report. Why we run financial plans without SS. Financial Dust-bunnies: Medicare Lunch & Learn; why the big push for Medicare Advantage? (Because that's what pays brokers the most.) Crafting retirement income is an art: Is the 4% Rule too safe? There is no set number: There are too many variables. "The Woods" retirement plan; the Annuities discussion; protecting against emotional decisions. SEG-1: Will Markets Produce an 8th Positive Day? SEG-2: CEO Neutrality & Getting Back to the Basics of Business SEG-3: The Financial Dust-bunnies of Medicare SEG-4: Retirement Income is an Art Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTL3ny5OkwA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/ "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Finding the Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #SocialSecurity #MedicareAdvantage #CEONeutrality #FinancialDustBunnies #RetirementIncome #ActuarialBalance #CombinedFunds #Crisis #BenefitsCut #RetirementAge #SocialSecurityCap #CareerPoliticians #Electability #FinancialConditions #PositiveOutlook #Markets #Money #Investing

May 10, 202446 min

5-9-24 Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic

Is the pig really out of the python? (Excess savings are gone.) Who is still spending, and how? Government spending and consumer credit card usage; buy-now, pay-later (BNPL) plans being used to buy groceries and make ends meet. There are no stats to determine credit risk presented by BNPL companies. Markets sell-off, rally, and end at break-even. The correction is over...for now. No earnings growth outside the Magnificent Seven or top large-cap companies. Companies not rewarded greatly, but brutally punished. Uber, Shopify, Starbucks bellwethers of consumer spending. McDonald's, Five-Guys, inflation impact. Warren Buffett's challenge to find Apple; could he use his cash better? Inflation Report preview: Rents make up 40% of CPI; prices are still high. Why their inflation will be zero. CPI is a black box. Q1 strengths attributed to Seasonal Adjustments. Consumers will start weakening. Sentiment vs Inflation: All the market cares about is government data, regardless of how you feel. High prices will remain, but if unchanged next year, inflation will be zero. Markets are distorted from the fundamentals; valuations still matter. SEG-1: The Pig's NOT Out of the Python SEG-2: Analyzing Earnings: No Growth Outside Magnificent-7 SEG-3: Inflation Report Preview: Impact of Rents on CPI SEG-4: Sentiment vs Inflation: What the markets look at Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/ "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Difference Between the Price You See vs the Price You Pay is Growing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #EarningsGrowth #MagnificentSeven #NegativeEarningsGrowth #TopStocks #TwitterChart #Markets #Money #Investing

May 9, 202446 min

5-8-24 The Difference Between The Price You Pay & The Price You See

The Citi Surprise Index: When economists are disappointed in estimated numbers; that index is now at a low ebb. An uneventful earnings season is wrapping up with fair results; the only companies seeing margins grow are large caps. Markets eke out gains for 4th straight day; the benefits of a market pullback; CTA's have money to spend, plus resumption of stock buy backs. Old Shows & Actors; the great un-bundling of fee has created fees on fees; tipping & charges-per-squirt(!): Budget leakage. Buying Made in USA. AI Golf robots, Robocop, & Skynet; the worst financial mistake some families make: Living on a single paycheck. Balancing the equation with a stay-at-home parent; dealing with the skills gap; the impact of rising childcare costs, and what caused it (gov't. stimulus). Planning for College & Career Choices; five jobs with most potential to produce millionaires. The process of good financial habits. "It's not about how much you make, but how much you save." SEG-1: Analyzing the Citi Surprise Index SEG-2: Surprise Fees are Growing SEG-3: The Worst Financial Mistake Some Families Can Make SEG-4: Five Jobs Most Likely to Produce Millionaires Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Powell Sparks a Buying Frenzy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPodLCUQ4sw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CitiSurpriseIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #SurpriseFees #WorstFinancialMistakes #FiveJobsProducingMillionaires #EconomicPredictions #CashlessSociety #RisingFees #BusinessCosts #DigitalPayments #ConsumerImpact #EconomicChallenges #UnbundlingFees #AffordabilityIssues #Markets #Money #Investing

May 8, 202446 min

5-7-24 Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy

Economists' 'rush-to-judgement' vs the lag effect catching up w economic data. Consumer spending and loan demand are waning as excesses in money supply are normalizing. The data re beginning to refute the "no recession" theme. Market correction is now over, bullish trend to resume. The challenge of NOT expecting recession; what the data is starting to show; not a lot of risk in credit markets...yet. That's where trouble will show up first. Geopolitical conflicts do mot matter to markets for long; world wars do. Spreads between corporate bonds vs treasuries are at an all time low (90bp). There's no stress in the economy...so far; pay attention to credit risk. 20th Anniversary of 2008 Financial Crisis is approaching. Letters from the IRS and a $34-B tax bill; the rich need to pay their "fair share;" defining "fair" (charts). The portability of wealth will be a factor when taxes rise too high. How about Congress spending LESS? Swiss Army to make knife with no blade for UK. Residual Seasonality in economic data: Always skewed by seasonal adjustments. SEG-1: The Lag Effect is Catching up w Economic Data SEG-2: Is Credit Risk the Canary in the Coal Mine? SEG-3: Defining "Fair Share" SEG-4: Knives without Blades; Residual Seasonality Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What is Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CreditSpreads #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #EconomicPredictions #ShockEffect #MarketPsychology #EonomicHealth #FinancialConfidence #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing

May 7, 202446 min

5-6-24 What Is Economic Stagflation

There are three possible paths for markets, moving forward. Markets are at a critical juncture at the 50-DMA; earnings "beat-rate" has been low, and earnings misses have been severely punished. Looking at the Fed's liquidity strategies; the markets' possible direction from this point. In dealing with inflation, which data measurement matters? Him's, Her's, & Botox: The rise in Gen-Z use of cosmetics for better selfies. What is Stagflation, and do we really have it? Inflation tracks economic growth; stagflation = high inflation, low economic growth, & high unemployment. We currently have record low unemployment, inflation is about average, not high, and there is decently strong economic growth. This is not That '70's Show. YouTube chat response: You cannot double-count inflation. SEG-1: Markets Are at a Critical Juncture at the 50-DMA SEG-2: Three Paths for Markets Moving Forward SEG-3: Is There Really Stagflation? SEG-4: You Cannot Double-count Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Critical Resistance at 50-DMA " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFiJNHKMRm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EconomicGrowth #EconomicStagflation #GDP #PCE #PriceIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing

May 6, 202446 min

5-3-24 Who Will Win The Tax Cut Battle

Apple's results + the Biggest Buyback Ever: Are iPhones becoming a high-tech toaster? Labor/Jobs Report preview; what the Fed may do. It is surprising the market is now down more than 5%. This has been a government-driven economy. Janet Yellen is a Marxist. Who will win the tax cut battle? We'll all lose. It's apsneding problem, not a revenue problem. Why are taxing lines drawn at $400k? The life of a WalMart manager; tax dollars go to waste. New Department of Valuations. Next Lunch & Learn preview: Medicare. Are advisors giving conflicting advice on Social Security? No one wants to address Medicare; get a second opinion before taking SS early. The surge in interest in annuities; Gen-Z would rather have insurance than stocks: Stable income from annuities. Gen-Z living frugally: The differing attitudes of younger generations. SEG-1: Apple Results & The Biggest Buyback Ever SEG-2: Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle? SEG-3: Are Advisors Giving Conflicting SS Advice? SEG-4: Why Gen-Z Would Rather Have Inusrance than Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/ "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Powell Holds Pat" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleStockBuybak #iPhoneSalesDrop #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #JaneetYellen #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing

May 3, 202446 min

5-2-24 Powell Holds Pat

Market volatility returns amid earnings season, with McDonald's, KFC, and Starbuck's reporting weak earnings, suggesting tru impact of inflation on consumers, wjho are becoming more price-conscious. Markets perform a pump & dump on Wedesnday, with stock retesting the 20-DMA...and failing. Pelaton earnings disappoint; the Fed holds rates steady; everything is fine, but they're not cutting rates. Discussion of what this means for markets, liquidity, and reduction of Fed balance sheet. The Treasury's Bond Strategy. Pelaton Drama: CEO Exit; what the Fed said; markets have already priced-in the plan. The Fed sees the economy is gradually slwoing, and wants to get ahead of recession. Underlying data is weaker than headline numbers. Powell says, "no stag, no flation." Apple earnings preview, flip-phones, '90's music, & The Rolling Stones. Warren Buffett says no eye-popping returns in store. Apple is not a high-growth company. Too many companies are buying back stocks at too high a price. Buybacks will provide some support for large-cap companies. The challenge is going to be economic growth: Will earnings estimates come down? SEG-1: Market Volatility Returns SEG-2: Peloton Earnings & Fed Holds Rates Steady SEG-3: Peloton Drama & What the Fed Said SEG-4: Apple Flip Phones, '90's Music, & The Rolling Stones Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/ "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Happens When Companies Miss?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #GoldilocksEconomy #RealRateOfFedFunds #RestrictiveRate #InflationaryConcerns #Markets #Money #Investing

May 2, 202446 min

5-1-24 What Happens When Companies Miss?

Fed Day brings dovish expectations; so far, so good in current earnings season. Economic data is all over the board; Europe emerges from Recession. Taxes to increase; tax flight is inevitable. Market correction continues; can it hold support at 100-DMA? A 10% correction would be normal. Earnings recap (so far) Amazon, CVS/Healthcare: Baby Boomers' elective surgeries are impacting insurors' actuarial tables; the rash of retirees. AMD disappoints because their report was on-target, not better-than-expected. Overall, a mixed-bag of results. What happens when companies miss? META: Is the 'Metaverse' fading? Lance's Bitcoin commentary. Fed meeting preview: Inflation proving stickier than expected. Will the Fed hike rates? Ho the Fed communicates to markets: Different speakers' different takes w/policy trial balloons. There has been no conversation about not cutting rates. (Markets and the Fed only pay attention to Government economic numbers.) Markets are now expecting only one rate cut and are up 8%: Is there really a need to cut rates? Markets will key-in on when rates are to be cut, and the relative dovishness of Jerome Powell. The Perfect Investment/revisited: The value of cash in portfolio holdings. SEG-1: Fed Day & Dovish Expectations, Market Correction SEG-2: Earnings Review: What happens when companies miss? SEG-3: FOMC Preview: Price Inflation Stickier than Expected SEG-4: The Perfect Investment & The Value of Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Normality of a 10% Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxwEhInc7QM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #Markets #Money #Investing

May 1, 202446 min

4-30-24 Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses W Buybacks Resuming

Fed Meeting preview; earnings season contiunes, buybacks about to resume. What's up the the Yen? Corporations are the net buyers of stocks; the correction is done: There's lots of underlying support for markets; after two good market days, closing above 20-DMA, moving to re-test 50-DMA, but likely to fail, dependent upon Fed comments. Lance & Jonathan discuss the Astro's, dance team tryouts, and the problem with investor negativity. Similarities with AI and Dot-coms: Will this be the next crash? What will create a credit-related event? Why the current correction is done...for now. The ipact of stock buybacks; investing the contrarian way. Lance & Jonathan answer an email about The Perfect Investment: 10-yr. Treasuries vs Annuities; the three components of investing (you only get any two). SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview & The Yen SEG-2: Astro's, Dance Teams, & The Problem w Investor Negativity SEG-3: Why the Current Correction is Done SEG-4: The Perfect Investment Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Market Pullback Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Te4b0zqK2NA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 30, 202446 min

4-29-24 Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls

Market performance in election years is marked by investor anxiety over the outcome, and the potential for outlying risk. The FOMC Meeting this week: will the Fed halt plans for cuts, and possibily even hike rates? Expectations for strong employment numbers. Markets rally on PCE report, beginning to build a new, bullish trend. This will be a busy earnings week. When the correction comes, how you will play? The liquidity boost from tax receipts in April & October. Retail sales details: Are things as strong as they seem: Paying more to buy the same. Is AI the wave of the future for cargo shipping? The AI conundrum and the future of work: What happens to all those displaced? The economic impact of AI: Shrinking middle class, expanding lower class, concentration of wealth among the ultra-high class. SEG-1: Market Performance in Election Years SEG-2: When the Correction Comes SEG-3: The Devil in the Details in Retail Sales SEG-4: The AI Conundrum & Future of Work Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Building a New Bullish Trend?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0vWNP7EeBQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYPi4NguyyI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #SuckerRally #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #Shipping #Labor #FutureOfWork #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 29, 202446 min

4-26-24 Are You Prepared For Higher Taxes

Markets & Earnings Recap, PCE Preview: What is the Fed going to do? Tesla takes it on the chin; Mortgage rates and home prices are on the rise; are homeowners feeling trapped? How far will your money go in retiremetn? Higher taxes are coming; who'll pay the most? Training for Retirement: How to flip the switch from accumulation to de-cumulation; living without that paycheck. Budgeting and spending planning: Where does the money go? Compounding only works if the principal remains untouched. Automating savings. Putting underwear on a payment plan; the ugly truth about automobile financing. Wall Street exists to sell you product. Current tax code expires at the end of 2025; are you prepared to pay higher taxes? Who's really paying their "fair share?" What happens to capital gains rates? What about unrealized capital gains? SEG-1: PCE Preview: What Will the Fed Do? SEG-2: Training for Retirement SEG-3: Putting Underwear on a Payment Plan SEG-4: Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFO, w Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYPi4NguyyI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overconfidence-in-nfl-drafts-a-lesson-for-investors/ "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7TjrCiY1s8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxBurden ##TaxCutsAndJobsAct #2024Election #TaxCodeExpiration #GovernmentInaction #TaxBrackets #IncreasingPercentages #Retirement #CommercialRealEstate #EconomicReports #SupplyAndDemand #NFLDraft #InvestorOverConfidence #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 26, 202446 min

4-25-24 Lessons For Investors From The NFL Draft

Lance is Back! What is really happening in Commercial Real Estate: Getting distressed inventories off the books at deep discounts. Market performance recap: Nice bounce off the 100-DMA; PCE coming: What it means & why it's important.Economic strength is keeping inflation high; can it last? After markets' nice sell off, downside risk still remains. Paying attention to economic reports and supply & demand; looking at Q1 GDP estimates; market review: Tesla & Meta: Narratives are fine, but look at the technicals. Bond auction narratives have been all over the place. Lessons for investors from the NFL: Avoid over-confidence. The difference between college & pro ball = retail vs pro investors. "Zig then the others Zag," Warren Sharp. "Groupthink = group stink," Doug Kass. Markets vs headlines; economic data vs polls; the steakhouse crowd vs the pubs; prices are the problem. The wealth gap plays havoc with inflation, which no one can really measure. SEG-1: What's Really Happening in Commercial Real Estate SEG-2: Economic Reports vs Supply & Demand SEG-3: Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft SEG-4: Steakhouse Crowds, Pubs, and Polls Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7TjrCiY1s8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overconfidence-in-nfl-drafts-a-lesson-for-investors/ "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMvKYdHl_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CommercialRealEstate #EconomicReports #SupplyAndDemand #NFLDraft #InvestorOverConfidence #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 25, 202446 min

4-24-24 What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?

Was Lance Roberts eaten by cannibals? (He will return tomorrow!) How Tesla fell out of the Magnificent Seven; Tesla's storage technology vs cheaper Chinese EV's & the future of EV's. The true environmental impact of building EV's. The RIA 8-Ball predictions for PCE. What does realistic retirement look like? The impact of inflation, the Retirement Clock, & you. A discussion on the need for guaranteed income; how Gen-z will retire & the DNA of Super-savers. Educational goals and vocational training. Candid Coffee recap; the public are the best economists. Professional vs Trade careers & new hires' earnings; the impact of AI on personal skills. SEG-1: Tesla Falls off the Magnificent Seven SEG-2: What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like? SEG-3: How Gen-Z will Retire: The DNA of Super-savers SEG-4: Why the Public Are the Best Economists Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMvKYdHl_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Five Financial Mistakes to Avoid if You're Retiring Within Five Years" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQEosrIqf14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RealisticRetirement #VocationalEducation #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 24, 202446 min

4-23-24 Five Financial Mistakes To Avoid

Market Commentary: Are there more declines to come? What is the path forward for 5% Bonds? PCE and more earnings reports coming; How to crossover from accumulation to de-cumulation; topic teases: Keeping more of your inheritance; how to increase your inheritance. How to manage funds qwith legacy intent in mind. The important of financial planning before retirement; what is the rate of return you need? The importance of budgeting; financial mistakes you should avoid within five years of retirement; dealing with the rule changes. Dealing with and planning for Social Security. What is the income threshold for converting from pre-tax to Roth IRA? SEG-1: Market Commentary: Are the more declines to come? SEG-2: How to Manage Funds with Legacy Intent in Mind SEG-3: Five Financial Mistakes You Should Avoid Before Retirement SEG-4: Dealing with & Planning for Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQEosrIqf14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "We Are Likely Not Done with Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LAHAa6I5Qv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LegacyFunds #SocialSecurity #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 23, 202446 min

4-22-24 Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer”

After six days of market declines, is the Correction done? Election risk scenarios & market volatility; markets do not like uncertainty. PCE preview (the inflation gauge the Fed pays attention to). Markets break the 50-DMA, and are now sitting on the 100-DMA. The unsurprising uptick in inflation and the impact of higher raates; why commodities matter. Higher for longer, for not much longer: Rates must come down; NFIB preview. Hey, what happened to all the Ukraine aid US taxpayers propvided? Inflation is a function of supply & demand; where is the higher demand going to come from? Looking ahead to this week's PCE number, expecting the markets to bounce: Sell into the rally. SEG-1: Is the Correction Done? SEG-2: The Unsurprising Uptick in Inflation SEG-3: Higher for Longer, not much longer SEG-4: Economic Warnings from the NFIB Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LAHAa6I5Qv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Did You Pay Your Fair Share of Taxes?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vA51KE4ECT4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 22, 202446 min

4-19-24 Did You Pay Your Fair Share of Taxes?

Markets respond to Israel attack on Iran; Procter & Gamble disappoints; markets are in a churning phase. Fed rate decisions & market behaviors. How much do you really need to survive in retirement (What's your number?) Managing expectations, spending habits, and dependency on Social Securituy; the scinece & art of financial planning; retirement realities. The intimate process of deliverying financial plans; Candid Coffee preview. The three phases of retirement: Go-go, Slow-go, & No-go. Real Investment "'Shrooms." Tax Foundation survey: Do you pay your fair share of federal taxes? SEG-1: Markets' Respond to Middle East Tensions SEG-2: How Much Do You Really Need to Reitre? SEG-3: Delivering Financial Plans & Real Investment Shrooms SEG-4: Do You Pay Your Fair Share? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vA51KE4ECT4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are We On Japan's Path Of Stagnation?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-we-on-japans-path-of-stagnation/ "Immigration And Its Impact On Employment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/immigration-and-its-impact-on-employment/ "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are We On Japan's Path to Stagnation?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOlwvCrHCKM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PayingTaxes #FairShareOfTaxes #TaxFoundation #MiddleEastTension #IsraelAttacksIran #FinancialPlanning #ThreePhasesofRetirement #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 19, 202446 min

4-18-24 Are We On Japan's Path To Stagnation?

Husband Appreciation Day, Mother's Day, cooling Middle East tensions; the is the Fed allowing the system to percolate? Inflation remains sticky. Markets in correction mode; what happens when the 50-DMA breaks? What to do when the market bounces. Is Fd policy tight enough? The market and the Fed are, for once, on the same page. Foreign buyers' participation in auctions is good; markets are too driven by headlines and algorithms. Gen-Z "discoveries" and remakes of '80's movies; commentary on the good music of the late 1900's. Is higher inflation sustainable? The give and take in inflation metrics; CPI is mostly about shelter prices; the problem with CPI data. Caitlin Clark/WNBA pay vs NBA pay: The economics of sports. Where salaries come from, and understanding what's behind the headlines. Retail Sales in Feb vs Mar; full time vs part time jobs; the impact of immigration on employment. SEG-1: The Fed is Allowing the System to Percolate SEG-2: Is Fed Policy Tight Enough? SEG-3: Messing with Movies & Music; Is Higher Inflation Sustainable? SEG-4: NBA vs WNBA & The Economics of Sports Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOlwvCrHCKM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are We On Japan's Path Of Stagnation?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-we-on-japans-path-of-stagnation/ "Immigration And Its Impact On Employment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/immigration-and-its-impact-on-employment/ "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Screw Up Retirement in 12 Easy Steps" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2y2E5G1sn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JapansEconomicStagnation #ReflationTrade #JeromePowell #InterestRateCuts #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestingAdvice #GenZDiscovery #80sMusic #WNBA #NBA #CaitlinClark #SportsEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 18, 202446 min

4-17-24 How To Screw Up Retirement In 12 Easy Steps

Market Recap, Jerome Powell on rate cuts and stickier inflation; commodities on the rise = inflation. The CRB Index correlation with W. Texas Crude; no rate cuts until Fall? Markets break the 50-DMA; might be time to trim and rebalance for risk. Jury Duty and the Reflation Trade; Easter + Spring Break impact on March retail sales were underwhelming, following similar disappointment with February & Valentine's Day sales. How long can "buy-now, pay-later" last? How to screw up your retirement; the only way to wealth is by saving money; investing is for protecting wealth against inflation. The HODL Plan (hold on for dear life); avoid speculation. The demographic line of demarcation in saving for retirement; paying off credit cards, saving 30% of income; fully-fund 401-k. SEG-1: No Rate Cuts Until Fall? SEG-2: Reflation Trade is the New Bullish Theme SEG-3: How to Screw Up Your Retirement SEG-4: Retirement's Demographic Line of Demarcation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2y2E5G1sn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It May Be Time to Rebalance Risk" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYegngcRPlM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Cracks Appear in the Market's Bullish Armor" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr7-b1dqWM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=23s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ReflationTrade #Retirement #JeromePowell #InterestRateCuts #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 17, 202446 min

4-15-24 Cracks Appear In The Market's Bullish Armor

Tax Day woes and audit fears; earnings season commences; What are companies saying? No corporate buybacks, removing major buyers of assets; pay attention to companies' guidance. Markets last week failed at 20-DMA, and tested 50-DMA as momentum slowed. Is not the time to sell? Use any bounce to rebalance risk, but avoid any knee-jerk reactions. Could this be a "buy-the-dip moment?" Lance's favorite bowl is like the market: There's a hairline crack. Inflation has been stickier, and higher-for-longer interest rates have been too high for too long. Preview: Tuesday's article on the Reflation Trade; how can every other country in the world have deflation while the U.S. continues to have inflation? Productive debt sv non-productive debt. Get ready for Tax Season impact on the market; more Americans are owing money this year. More IRS Agents = More audits = more returns/refunds delayed. The possibility of escalation in the Middle East; Legos for Adults (AFOL) SEG-1: Tax Day Woes & Earnings Season Starts SEG-2: Could This Be a Buy-the-Dip Moment? SEG-3: Cracks in the Market SEG-4: Tax Day Woes, Middle East Foes, & Adult Legos Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr7-b1dqWM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=23s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Sell?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpOOSOWZewk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Deal with Financial Stress" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fmpb8xnN448&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxDay #EarningsSeason #FinancialStress #MoneyScripts #JeromePowell #VolkerMoment #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #Cryptocurrency #MoneyManagement #DoorDash #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 15, 202446 min

4-12-24 How To Deal With Financial Stress

CFP testing results & commentary on professional credentialling; the importance of the Health/Wealth connection; the importance of continuing education (CE); a brief history of JP Morgan and "too big to fail." Inflation is permatory, not transitory. Profit margins are not great because costs are up. Jerome Powell is trying to put out a fire with a water pistol; how many ate cuts now? There is still too much money in the system to really tame inflation. Real Wages have peaked: Is this Jerome Powell's "Volker Moment?" What clients "think" about portfolios is the toughest thing for advisors to manage. If Trump is elected, he will have to deal with the next recession. April is stress-awareness month; why we don't sleep. Rosso's Brooklyn paper route, Candid Coffee preview, & dealing with Financial Stress. Intimidating financial topics: Cryptocurrency, Investing, & Budgets. Cryptocurrency is very speculative, very volatile. Budgets are like financial vegetables. Learning money management & writing your money script; tipping trends; the "Waiting" movie; shy we don't use Door Dash. SEG-1: CFP Test & Credentialing, Importance of Health to Wealth SEG-2: Is this Jerome Powell's "Volker Moment?" SEG-3: Rosso's Paper Route & Dealing w Financial Stress SEG-4: Learning Money Management & Writing Your Money Script Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fmpb8xnN448&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialStress #MoneyScripts #JeromePowell #VolkerMoment #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #Cryptocurrency #MoneyManagement #DoorDash #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 12, 202446 min

4-11-24 Is Inflation Too Hot To Handle

CPI Inflation clocks in hotter than expected, with more data to come; car insurance inflation is an out-of-the-blue surprise (unless you recently renewed your policy!) What does the Fed do next? Markets are pricing-in NO rate cuts in June...and maybe not at all this year. Markets trace the 20-DMA, building a rounded top as momentum slows; beginning to confirm a take-down of the 20-DMA. Economic growth is slowing; insurance inflation spike "smells like" an adjustment; it's a lagging indicator. Homeowners equivalent rent is also a lagging indicator. It's not a question of if, but when inflation will fall, but prices are still sticky. Inflation still a function of supply & demand, and there's ample supply remaining, pushing prices and rents downward. S&P & Gold: The risk in slowing momentum; we're still in a bull market (until we're not)./ Markets are priced for 5-10% correction. There are no warnings from credit spreads, so far, but corporate loans are starting to show some concerns. What the Leveraged-loan Market is saying: defaults are on the rise. The NFIB Small Business Survey this time was really bad;. There are lots of inconsistencies in economic data. The impact of illegal immigrants on employment; gold is in a bubble. SEG-1: Inflation is Hotter Than Expected SEG-2: Economic Growth is Slowing: Normalistically SEG-3: The Risk in Momentum Loss SEG-4: Is Gold in a Bubble? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ew1SiTbo-Ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TheGoldBubble #MarketsTest20DMA #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 11, 202446 min

4-10-24 Can Social Security Be Saved?

It's CPI Day (with m/m inflation clocking in with a .4% increase, and a y/y gain to 3.8%, hotter than expected). Sheila Jackson-Lee's science experiment; the NFIB Survey does not bode well for small businesses:Sentiment falls to a new low based on poor sales. There remains a dichotomy between headline economic news and what's happening behind the scenes. Markets break below the 20-DMA, but regain support. Why what really matters is the data the Fed looks at. Portfolio Spring Cleaning; Five or six ways to save Social Security (but first, a history of SS); the mathematical realities. Why Pensions face the same problems; how to fix it; lock it off. Any viable solution is un-electable. The IPO saga of Truth Social; IPO behaviors. Never buy an IPO out of the gate. DJT still has much to prove. If only you'd invested in Microsoft back then...no one knew. SEG-1: CPI Day, She-jack's Science, Markets Hang on SEG-2: The Data the Fed Looks At SEG-3: Five Ways to Save Social Security SEG-4: The Saga of Truth Social & IPO Behaviors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hang Onto Support...barely" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9K1zTxVBKu0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Margin Debt Surges as Bulls Leverage Bets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzMKfkVjs3g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #HotterInflation #MarketsTest20DMA #RetirementMath #DaveRamseyIsWrong #ConsumerConfidence #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 10, 202446 min

4-9-24 Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets

Some are disappointed the eclipse did not herald the Rapture; markets are holding firm at 20-DMA. NFIB preview vs CEO Confidence; why small business' mood matters. Interest Rates in different states; no change in bullish market trend (why not to knee-jerk react to market); but trend weakness is become more apparent. Consumer confidence vs Valuation (w/charts); why margin debt is like dynamite. Correction is coming, and will feel worse due to greed. The cost of margin debt as rates rise. Earnings Season preview: Are Regional Banks in trouble? Q1 guidance has been lower: What happens if interest rates do not fall? The magic number: $1.4-Million & The Flawed Math of Retirement; why Dave Ramsey is wrong; what realistic rates of return should be; Luxury goods vs S&P; rare whiskey vs colored diamonds. SEG-1: Eclipse Recap, Markets Hold Firm SEG-2: Consumer Confidence vs Valuation SEG-3: The Cost of Margin Debt SEG-4: The Flawed Math of Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzMKfkVjs3g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Bullish Trend Weakening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg2KiRn3wBE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Inflation Scare Overblown?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kCV8FsVyw_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=37s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SolarEclipse #MarketsTest20DMA #RetirementMath #DaveRamseyIsWrong #ConsumerConfidence #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 9, 202446 min