The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

The key to successfully managing money is managing risk. Economnic news is absent; no 50bps rate cut in November, thanks to a strong jobs report, and markets are adjusting to that reality. One off shoot of Jobs report shows more workers seeking secondary, part time employment to make ends meet. Markets sold off on Monday, as price compresion continues. Markets may be stuck untikl earnings season provides direction. Managing risk: A function of loss; Howard Marks on Risk: there is a symmetry of risk and volatility, of gains vs losses. You cannot quantify risk; the challenge is how to best structure outcomes. The risk of missing gains; risk is deceptive. When markets feel safest, they are most-risky. Price matters more than quality. Toll roads, I don't care, Christmas Deco, & Money Flows: Where is all the money going? The Everything Market. NOT investing has risk. There will always be a 'what-if?' james Webb telescope and Aliens on the way. There are no stupid questions; this show is about Osmosis. Don't treat your advisor like a mutual fund. SEG-1: Markets Adapt to No 50bps Rate Cut in November SEG-2: Managing Risk: A Function of Loss SEG-3: Where Has All the Money Gone? SEG-4: There Are No Stupid Questions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVy63Ct2Azs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2864s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ "Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility is Flashing a Caution Light" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZjtt_VxvqY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Millennial Earnings Season Begins" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0jagILd1Jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

This week marks the start of earnings season for Q; the 2024 Election and the next FOMC Meeting also add volatility to markets. Friday's Jobs report came in stronger than expected (leaving one to wonder what kind of revision to the numbers is to come). Within the report, 700k gubernment workers were added. The S&P on Friday rallied on the employment news, but that also pretty much killed any chance of a 50bps rate cut by the Fed. Markets are now in a consolidation period, setting up for a corrective cycle a head of the 2024 Election. Lance explains the bullish and bearish takes of technical analysis: Knowing when to put capital to work, and when to take it off the table. What will the market do next? Reviewing market psychology: What's moving prices? When moving averages converge and diverge; how we do technical analysis, and what we do with the data. When there's bearish undertones in a bullish market; what to do with cash. Looking for opportunity. Gardening as a metaphor for investing. SEG-1: Starting Earnings Season SEG-2:Technical Analysis: Bullish and Bearish Approaches SEG-3: What Will Markets Do Next: Reviewing Market Psychology SEG-4: How We Do Technical Analysis Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=khTKuRkNs48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2078s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Technical Analysis – 3 Bullish And Bearish Takes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Preparing for a Pre-election Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vagz34iRCnA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Importance of Trusts in Financial Planning" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lbZKUPyG-K4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MillenlnialEarningsSeason #MarketBullishness #MarketBearishness #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketPsychology #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Market preview & Fed possiblities as jobs numbers are releasaed today; anecdotal evidence that small businesses are making more credit inquiries to banks: A prelude to more growth? The Longshoreman's strike is suspended with a proposed 65% pay increase; raises the question of value in the cost of a college degree. The marriage of blue collar jobss to AI will present new opportunities with rewarding pay. Jon & Matt discuss aspects of financial planning, risk management, and portfolio strategy. Estate planning as a risk management tool; pecking orders & durable powers of attorney. Chips & Salsa w Guacamole in waiting rooms? Yes! How to create a turst: Living trust vs testamentary trusts. The importance of proper account styling. How Medical POA and HIPAA work together; the importance of pecking-order. The other side of risk management: Protections afforded by trusts; how often should an estate plan be reviewed? Estate planning for foreign travel. What to do/how to plan for market volatility; the risks in rental properties. SEG-1: Market Preview & Fed Possiblities SEG-2: Career Training & Financial Planning SEG-3: Chips & Salsa Waiting Rooms & A Matter of Trust SEG-4: The Other Side of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lbZKUPyG-K4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "A Crystal Ball Isn't Enough: The Importance Of Context" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-crystal-ball-isnt-enough-the-importance-of-context/ "Tax Cuts – An Examination Of The 2017 TCJA Impact" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tax-cuts-an-examination-of-the-2017-tcja-impact/ "The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/ "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Sell Signal Imminent" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ndsfKpn4lJU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "When a Crystakl Ball Clouds Investor Judgement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0jagILd1Jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DockWorkersStrike #CollegeDegree #FinancialPlanning #EstatePlanning #Trusts #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

A preview of tomorrow''s employment report an the phenomenon of "labor hoarding;" a weaker jobs report will not necessarily be recessionary. Markest are retesting support, and if it cannot hold, will trigger a sell signal. Lance's FEMA rant & JOLTS preview w Michael Lebowitz; the labor market is behaving like the housing market: no one is doing anything. What will the Fed do in response to poor jobs numbers? Interestingly, QT is conspicuously absent from latest Fed discussion notes. Market Breadth continues to soar. You can't make this up: Hurricane (James T.) Kirk: this wlll be comedy gold! Market breadth in an everything market: Too much money chasing too few stocks. Lance & Michael discuss the problem of asset selection vs ETF's. SEG-1: Why a Weaker Jobs Report is Not Recessionary SEG-2: FEMA Rant & JOLTS Preview SEG-3: Hurricane Kirk & Asset Selections vs EFT's SEG-4: Taking the Crystal Ball Challenge RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0jagILd1Jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "A Crystal Ball Isnt Enough: The Importance Of Context" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-crystal-ball-isnt-enough-the-importance-of-context/ "Tax Cuts – An Examination Of The 2017 TCJA Impact" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tax-cuts-an-examination-of-the-2017-tcja-impact/ "The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/ "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Sell Signal Imminent" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ndsfKpn4lJU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Shutdown, Strikes, & Volatility: Safeguarding Your Portfolio Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KBW83seGZd8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2840s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JobsReport #JOLTSReport #FEMA #UkraineAid #IllegalImmigrants #HurricaneKirk #JamesTKirk #StarTrekWeather #CrystalBallChallenge #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

A brief recap of the VP-debate; market futures are lower in search of a catalyst, and dislike the uncertainty preceeding an election. Markets have pulled backk thanks to investor exhaustion; Oil prices are on the rise amid escalation of hostilities in the Middle East, creating short-term risks until resolved. The Port Strike isn't 'the thing' that will trigger markets. Look for alternative shipping as opportunities in which to invest (Daggett makes Jimmy Hoffa look good). The Status of Social Security: What happens if SS benefits are cut? Financial planning should not include/depend upon SS. Another Roberts' Saga: Lance forgets to take out the trash. The inability of the government to pass a budget (not since Obama in office). Who really pays the most in taxes? (Article link below) Why the tax code needs changing (but beware the consequences). SEG-1: Markets Prepare to Pullback to Rally SEG-2: Israel/Iran & Port Strike - This Isn't 'The Thing' SEG-3: The Status of Social Security SEG-4: Who Really Pays the Most Taxes? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KBW83seGZd8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2840s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Tax Cuts – An Examination Of The 2017 TCJA Impact" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tax-cuts-an-examination-of-the-2017-tcja-impact/ "The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/ "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Volatility Rises as Correction Nears" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KBW83seGZd8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Long Can the 'Everything Market' Last?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXDkHBLrkRI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #IsraelIranWar #MiddleEast #CrudeOil #SocialSecurity #TaxCode #DockWorkersStrike #VPDebate #ConsumerConfidence #InvestorConfidence #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #Market

It's a big news week: The Dock Workers' strike has begun, Israel is launching a land assault into Lebanon, and celebrity deaths (Pete Rose, Kris Kristofferson) top the news. And Jimmy Carter turns 100. Meanwhile, Q3 Earnings Season commences after three very strong quarters of business in what has been one the of the best presidential years since the 1950's. A correction at this point would be healthy for markets. We think there will be a 3- to 5% correction before elections, creating room for markets to rally into year's end. Lance's rant on the Coffee Pod scam, and the SEC doesn't have far to look (Congress!) for insider trading. Lance and Jon look at market performance, global money flows, and observe the 'everything market.' Commentary on potential disruption by dock workers' strike. YouTube likes & paywalls; there are two more Fed meetings in 2024; how many rate cuts to come? For inestors in search of dividend growth, the challenges are in an 'everything market:' there must be buyers AND sellers. No more T-bil & chill. Why "getting back to even" is a investor trap. SEG-1: Dock Workers' Strike & Earnings Season Begin SEG-2a: Coffee Rant & Insider Trading SEG-2b: How Long Can the Everything Market Last? SEG-3: How Big a Deal Will the Port Strike Be? SEG-4: Two More Fed Meetings to Go: How Many Cuts? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXDkHBLrkRI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The “Everything Market” Could Last A While Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-everything-market-could-last-a-while-longer/ "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Get Ready for Earnings Season Tomorrow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2NaQU4oXC0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Micro-Retirement Right for You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EverythingMarket #DockWorkersStrike #ConsumerConfidence #InvestorConfidence #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The last day of September brings the end of the month, end of the quarter, and a preview of the next round of corporate earnings. So far, no evidence of recession is appearing. Regardless of your investment thesis, money flow still matters most, and there's lots of money flowing into markets. China is most over-bought in years, thanks to Chinese government stimulus. Earnings outlooks will matter going forward. Oil prices are getting thrashed, with lots of short-selling over the last five weeks. Lance shares dog tales of Gunner & Sniper. With massive money inflows, liquidity is primary market driver. Lance discusses the components of our Greed/Fear Index; markets' pricing is based on earnings. The two measures of consumer confidence; The Conference Board and U. of Michigan; Consumer confidence and jobs vs stock prices. Expectations less Current Conditions: That's the dichotomy. Improving Market Breadth & Money Flows; when everyone is in the market, money chases money; sellers live higher, buyers live lower. SEG-1: Earnings Season Begins Tomorrow SEG-2a: Gunner & Sniper Dog Tales SEG-2b: Money Inflows Continue: Liquidity is Main Market Driver SEG-3: Two Measures of Consumer Confidence SEG-4: Improving Market Breadth & Money Flows RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j8qRbIonRtU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Confidence Dichotomy – Consumers Vs. Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Get Ready for Earnings Season Tomorrow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2NaQU4oXC0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=3s ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Micro-Retirement Right for You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ConsumerConfidence #InvestorConfidence #ConfidenceDichotomy #MicroRetirement #SocialSecurity #MarketLiquidity #RecessionFears #RateCuts #PortfolioManagement #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #DiversificationOfAccounts #RothIRA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Jonthan & Jonathan stand in for Danny & Rich with a preview of today's PCE report, and inklings of dissent within the Fed on the latest rate cut. The handwriting is on the wall for Savers; time to reassess strategies as interest rates fall. Ho will the election outcomes affect your financial planning? Worst-case scenario: a contested election (the markets hate uncertainty). With the ebb and flow of markets, we make adjustments on the fly, not per formula. Interest Rates & Real Estate: As rates come downm, time to buy or refinance? How Mortgage Rates and Fed Rates behave; patience is a virtue. Has the average income needed to buy a house come down? The concerpt of micro-retirement: Is it a good idea from a financial planning aspect? Younger vs older generation; consequences of micro-retirement (Brent reveals his nano-retirement). The importance of diversification of accounts; Roths & tax free withdrawals. Our end-of-year checklist: Tax planning and Roth conversions. Dealing with RMD's (required minimum distribution) and QCD's (qualified charitable donation). SEG-1: PCE Preview & Dissent at the Fed SEG-2: Interest Rates & Real Estate: Is the timing right? SEG-3: Is Micro-Retirement Right for You? SEG-4: The Importance of Diversification of Accounts Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Jonathan Penn, CFP, and #Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Agency REITs For A Bull Steepener" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/agency-reits-for-a-bull-steepener/ "50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/ "Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Flow Trumps Thesis" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qzcif6GGmc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Our previous show is here: "Bull Steepener Alert: How Agency REITs Can Supercharge Your Portfolio" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGbMCOPuPGI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MicroRetirement #SocialSecurity #MarketLiquidity #RecessionFears #RateCuts #PortfolioManagement #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #DiversificationOfAccounts #RothIRA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Plenty of things to move markets this week, including economic numbers and multiple Fed members' commentaries on why they did what they did last week. Are there more cuts to come? Millennial Earnings Season and no buy backs will impact markets soon. Is the AI trade dead? Don't count on it. Micron turned in a strong earnings report, and the CIA's own AI investments(?) are doing verrry well. Markets' short term Cup & Handle formation confirmed Wednesday; this is now the second-biggest year for equities inflows since 2014. However, there are negative divergences from market trends indicating the current upward trajectory may be nearing an end. The Fed's rate cut was a "normalization" cut; there are disturbing signs in the labor market. Just like real estate's "location, location, location" mantra, the market is all about "liquidity, liquidity, liquidity." There is a large divergence between markets and sentiment. Lance explains what Red Robin is (and why he's a VIP there); Rate cuts and bond yields: why they track inflation. Downward revisions to GDP will help bond yields; why paying attention to pricing (market psychology) is important; part of the cycle. Lance and Michael talk Technical Analysis and adhering to the fundamentals helps build investor discipline. What happens when too much money is chasing too few stocks. PCE news will help determine direction of the market. Yield curves and Agency REITs during steepening. SEG-1: Is the AI Trade Dead? Not hardly SEG-2: This Was the "Normalization Cut" By the Fed SEG-3: Red Robin VIP, Rate Cuts, & Bond Yields SEG-4: Why Technical Analysis Doesn't Work for Everyone...but could Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGbMCOPuPGI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Agency REITs For A Bull Steepener" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/agency-reits-for-a-bull-steepener/ "50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/ "Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Flow Trumps Thesis" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qzcif6GGmc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Our previous show is here: "Rate Cuts & Recession Fears: Will Politics Drive Your Portfolio Off a Cliff?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KufUmig7vX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AgencyREIT #MarketLiquidity #NormalizationCut #RecessionFears #RateCuts #PortfolioManagement #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Could the S&P hit 6,000 by the end of the year? Some prognosticators are saying so, hyped on exuberance, but consumer confidence is suggesting otherwise, and the foreshadowing is not great for the White House incumbent. Consumer spending & sentiment is incongruent with market expectations. Markets remain bullish, and another "Cup & Handle" formation has appeared, suggesting higher market prices in 2025. Markets, however, are extremely deviated, which is unsustainable, and correction is inevitable. Lance reviews "peak attractiveness" among the sexes and adult dating. The Fed's rate cut occur amid economic dichotomy; markets so SO exuberant, yet Conference Board confidence surveys reflect a different mood, with a drop in the Present Situation Index. Lance relates a "drive-by" hello on the jogging trail; this show is about osmosis; Lance is kind of a big deal. Consumer confidence as the economy plays out; there will be a correction of significance eventually. Expecations for economic growth vs oil price signalling slower economy in 2025. Would chat participants behave in a Chat Q & A Show (results were 51-49% positive). Lance reviews the technical indicators used in our analysis; simplest is best. Market investing is a study in psychology. SEG-1: S&P 6000 by End of the Year? SEG-2: Fed Rate Cuts Amid Economic Dichotomy SEG-3a: Drive-by's and Osmosis SEG-3b: Consumer Confidence Falters SEG-4: The Technical Indicators We Use Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KufUmig7vX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/ "Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Cup & Handle Runneth Over? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Btnzvlhl1nQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Who Benefits Most from the Latest Fed Rate Cut?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KIQLxafhNp8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Oil prices conitnue to weaken in the face of optimism from analysts now forecasting an 18% gain in earnings in 2025. One of them is wrong. Lance and Jonathan discuss market clarity, Fed rate cuts, and the impact on the markets. Markets trade on the effective Fed rates; what's the sweet spot among market sectors when rates are coming down? Lance reviews Gold behaviors during rate cutting cycles; big surges in Gold lead to longer-term bases. Why the Math of Loss matters; corrections are really no big deal. The wisdom of managing protfolio risk along the way; don't let the fear of taxes cost you money. Would Mrs. Roberts do a podcast? Unicorns, Sasquatch, Big Foot, & Flat-earther's: Putting money in S&P funds for 40-years; time is on your side when you're young. A discussion of Recession expectations (sooner or later). SEG-1: Oil Prices Belie a Weakening Economy SEG-2: What's the Sweet Spot During Rate Cuts? SEG-3: Gold Behavior and the Math of Loss SEG-4a: Mrs. Roberts' Podcast SEG-4b: Unicorns, Sasquatch & Bigfoot - Internet Narratives vs Investing Reality Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KIQLxafhNp8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/ "Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil price dip - a signal of economic weakness?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TQg8HYT2TUA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will This Week's Data Support Fed Rationale for Cutting Rates?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-LV90rMRapA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #FedRateCutImpact #FinancialWinners #InterestRateBenefits #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

We're entering the last-half of September, which is typically the weaker period of an already, traditionally weak month in the markets. Earnings seasons is about to beging, and Q3 estimates have already been slashed; this isn't 1995, though: Is the Fed's rationaled for cutting raates going to be validated by this week's economic data? Markets ended slightly lower on Friday, but still holding onto breakout level. Lance relate's Mrs. Robert's most recent holiday decor disappointment, and announces news substack channel, @lanceroberts. Shocker: The Washington Post debunks climate change data. Lance's daughter turns 18, wants to be a veterinarian; he can taste a rate cut coming. What's the Fed's rationale for it's rate cut? Charts & a history of rate cuts and reacitons. This time is NOT like last time; outcomes tend to be all the same; the negative outcomes from rate cuts. The importance if portfolio risk management; The Fed cannot save us from a bear market. SEG-1: Can Markets Hold at Breakout Levels? SEG-2a: Mrs. Roberts' Holiday Deco SEG-2b: WaPo Debunks Climate Change Data SEG-3a: Lance is Due for a Rate Cut SEG-3b: What is Rationale for Fed Rate Cut? SEG-4: This Time is NOT Like the Last Time - Outcomes are always the same Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-LV90rMRapA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Selloff Still Likely Ahead of Elections " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ZxBvl78jNI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Rate Shock - How the Latest Cut Could Ignite or Crash Your Investments" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSoQ7tg1Xms&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateCut2024 #FederalReserve #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #ShootinCandle #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Was the Fed's 50bps rate cut a "calibration?' We are still not at the Feds target for unemployment; the Fed's action was in response to conditions, not to help anyone politically. What will the Fed do next? The 50bps cut does nothing to help consumers. What is the neutral, real interest rate, now? Why a Fed rate cut is really bad news. How now to fund your goals: Time to trim exposure and move to cash, awaiting opportunities. Americans' pay has not recovered from inflation, requiring a "recalibration" of financial plans to adjust for realities. Two worst areas of inflation: Groceries & Insurance; Rich & Danny discuss Blue Bell ice cream price inflation, and Rich delivers another life lesson from Grandma Rosso. SEG-1: The Fed's Latest Rate Cut is a "Recalibration" SEG-2: Why a 50bps Drop Offers no Relief for Consumers SEG-3: Why Your Pay Has Not Fully Recovered From Inflation SEG-4: Ice Cream Inflation & Lessons from Grandma Rosso Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSoQ7tg1Xms&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Or Harris: Corporate Tax Winners And Losers" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/trump-or-harris-corporate-tax-winners-and-losers/ "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/ "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/ "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets Hold on to Breakout?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=of34bE1oBm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: What Does the Fed's 50-bps Rate Cut Mean for Your Money? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQWDEg-aQnI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=973s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateCut2024 #InvestmentImpact #StockMarketVolatility #EconomicForecast #InterestRateShock #PortfolioStrategy #FederalReservePolicy #InflationAndInvestments #BondMarket2024 #FedRateChange #BlueBellIcecream #BlueBellMoment #Money #InvestingAdvice

The markets were right: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a half percent on Wednesday, and markets initially climbed, then sold off to end negative for the day. But after pondering overnight, market futures indicated a strong start to Thursday's trading day. If markets rally and hold through Friday, they will be set to hit all time highs, once again. Will we see rotation into other sectors as a by product? The Fed is trying to position rates where they should be, given the current economic conditions. All Labor data now become very important. With lower rates, will there be a rash of corporate debt refinancing? (This rate cut is not likely to affect mortgage or consumer lending debt, yet. Will lower rates spark more activity, and thus become inflationary? Is the Fed rate cut good for stocks? Lance and Michael look at the history and analysis of corrections; it's easy to find reasons to NOT invest. Bear Markets & Corrections were more frequent prior to the 1990's. The dirty Truth: The Fed has become the defacto manager of the US Economy. What will other Central Banks do next? Are we entering a Global Easing Cycle? (Lance relates his Missus has been working a lot, losing sleep, and is ill-tempered this week; also comments about clocks and studio tchotchkies.) Markets look to open strong; what does the underlying data say? There is a sharp contraction in Q3 earnings estimates. Can markets today sustain the breakout? Bond yields are still too high for this economy. SEG-1: Markets Were Right About Fed's Rate Cut SEG-2: What the Fed's 50-bps Rate Cut Means SEG-3: Is the Fed Rate Cut Good for Stocks? SEG-4a: Mrs. Roberts is Cranky & Studio Stuff SEG-4b: What Does the Underlying Data Say About the Economy? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQWDEg-aQnI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=973s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Or Harris: Corporate Tax Winners And Losers" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/trump-or-harris-corporate-tax-winners-and-losers/ "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/ "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/ "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Markets Hold on to Breakout?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=of34bE1oBm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Rate Decision 2024: Boom or Bust for Your Investments?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTRfDmSCQa4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateDecision #StockMarketUpdate #InflationImpact #InvestmentStrategy #EconomicOutlook #PortfolioManagement #InterestRates #FinancialPlanning #RecessionWatch #BondMarket#Markets #Money #Investing

It's Fed Day: The big question will be answered this afternoon, 'How much the cut?' Huge bets on 50-bp rate cut; will a quarter-point cut disappoint? Meanwhile, Retail Sales continue to weaken, but August numbers were better than expected. There is no apparent data to support a 50-bp rate cut. There is a credit debt wall coming; extreme market optimism is a risk. It's make-or-break time for the S&P 500; NASDAQ not performing as well, and the rest of the market is playing catch-up. Lance notes the AI effect on Utilities and Real Estate, formerly among most-hated sectors. Lance & Danny discuss what date the Fed is looking at, and whether recession is near, per Jeff Gundlach's claims; will the Fed cut rates and wait & see? Exploding pagers and Mrs. Roberts stories; three funds to buy before the Fed cuts rates. What to do with cash? What if rates fall less than expected? (When do you need the funds?) You cannot fight technicals. Potential Election Outcomes and tax policy, which is inflationary. Good policy results in economic growth by allowing more money for consumers to spend; taxing the rich results in the rich moving their money away; eventually, consumers pay all taxes. SEG-1: Fed Day: How Much the Rate Cut? SEG-2: What is the Fed Looking At? SEG-3a: Exploding Pagers & Mrs. Roberts SEG-3b: Three Funds to Own Before Fed Rate Cuts SEG-4: Election Outcomes & Tax Policy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTRfDmSCQa4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/ "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/ "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Hated Sectors Are the Most Desirable" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HB2qAVUQA4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge...Until it Doesn't" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3notXqcWLsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateDecision #InvestmentOutlook #MarketVolatility #FedDecision2024 #InflationOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #InvestmentInsights #MarketAnalysis #RecessionFears #FinancialPlanning #EconomicTrends #PortfolioStrategy #InterestRateHikes #Treasuries #Dollar #Gold #Markets #Money #Investing

Today marks the start of the FOMC meeting, to be concluded with the latest interest rate announcement. Markets' expectations are for a half-percent cut; could a quarter-percent cut create disappointment on Wall Street? Microsoft announces and increase in its dividend payment (very different from a stock buy back). Kamala Harris' plans to raise taxes on corporations is in fact an crease in taxes on consumers; corporations are tax collectors for the government. Markets' rally in anticipation of Fed day tomorrow. The stock buyback window begins to close today ahead of the next earnings season, removing some of the lift to markets. Lance and Jonathan discuss the pro's an con's of momentum investing (with charts); answers to chatroom and email questions on purchasing ETF's and Treasuries, and the uniquely Texan phrase, going "whole hog." Lance defends comments on the Value of the Dollar vs purchasing power of the dollar (with charts), referenced to article on "Conviction" (link is found below). Investing in Gold, pro's and con's, doesn't have to be an all-or-none proposition. SEG-1: Fed Rate Cut Decision Expectations SEG-2: Momentum Investing Works on the Way Up... SEG-3: ETF Purchasing Philosophy & Post-Fed Treasuries SEG-4: The Value of the Dollar vs Purchasing Power Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3notXqcWLsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge, Until It Doesn’t" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/momentum-investing-gives-you-an-edge-until-it-doesnt/ "Conviction (Or How To Lose A Lot Of Money In Investing)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/conviction-or-how-to-lose-a-lot-of-money-in-investing/ "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prep for Fed Day" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n6Lk71KYwyw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1-uDC1Ue8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MomentumInvesting #FedDecision2024 #InflationOutlook #StockMarketUpdate #InvestmentInsights #MarketAnalysis #RecessionFears #FinancialPlanning #EconomicTrends #PortfolioStrategy #InterestRateHikes #Treasuries #Dollar #Gold #Markets #Money #Investing

It's Fed week, and many are predicting a 60% chance the FOMC will drop rates by a half percent; elections are drawing nearer: How will markets behave? (Why the polls are never right) Markets' 4% loss two weeks ago followed by 4% recovery last week; reversal days tend to mark bottoms, but not always. Last weeks' reversal was very bullish, but that doesn't mean we cannot have another correction. One risk is oil prices. XLE is over sold. The three risks we're watching include oil; discussion on the true meaning of inflation. Prices vs rate of change are two different things. The linkage of the economy to oil prices. Lance describes the Roberts' Roomba behavior. Hilarity ensues. Inflation's effects on small businesses, per the NFIB Small Business Survey, a look at Sales Expectations vs actual sales. A brief explanation of our Radio commercials; the impact on earnings by economic activity. Resume Builder survey: Why Gen-Z are most difficult to work with. SEG-1: Fed Week & Oil Price Clues SEG-2: Three Risks We're Paying Attention To, Pt-1 SEG-3a: The Roberts' Roombas SEG-3b: Risks We're Paying Attention to, Pt-2 SEG-4a: Why We Play Commercials SEG-4b: Risks We're Paying Attention To, Pt-3 SEG-4c: Why Gen-Z is Difficult to Work With Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R1-uDC1Ue8A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Risks We Are Watching" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Oil Prices Belie Economic Weakness" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HVKUNA8mTG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Create a Retirement Blueprint" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDHDI0ulqcc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentTrends #StockMarket2024 #FinancialInsights #PortfolioManagement #MarketForecast #RecessionWarning #InterestRateHikes #WealthBuilding #MarketStrategy #EconomicAnalysis #FedPolicyUpdate #StockMarketTrends #EconomicRecession #InflationRisk #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialMarkets #FederalReserveOutlook #Markets #Money #Investing

Ratliff, but first a review of the markets: It's all about the Fed, and the grate debate is about rate. How much will they cut, and how many times? Watch for elevated volatility heading into the election; a divided-congress yields the best environment for markets. Who will have the best policies for the economy? What will your retirement look like? Commonalities vs net worth differences among peers; the need to set your own parameters. The importance of having paid-off debt. Components of a Retirement Blueprint: Needs, Wants, Wishes. "The New Retirement Mentality," by Mitch Anthony; dealing with distribution mode in retirement: Reality. Danny and Rich share clients' tales on over-spending in retirement. What will you do in retirement? The Return on Life equation (shopping for books in antique stores); how you know 'it's time to retire.' The Roth Conversion conversation; what does life look like, post-retirement? SEG-1: It's All About the Fed: Debate on the rate SEG-2: The Retirement Blueprint: What will yours look like? SEG-3: The New Retirement Mentality SEG-4: The Retirement Self-assessment: What will you do? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDHDI0ulqcc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Cash Cow Clues: Can Dividend Yields Forecast Interest Rates?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cash-cow-clues-can-dividend-yields-forecast-interest-rates/ "S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/ "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Test Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eX3NtgCIW20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Did Inflation Change the Fed's Outlook?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gn_rLnZURQ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #RetirementBlueprint #RetirementMentality #RothConversion #ReturnOnLifeEquation #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #OilPrices #GovernmentSpending #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #StockBuybacks #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Policy #Taxes #Markets #Money #Investing

As we went to air this morning, Space-X astronauts are "space-walking," testing new spacesuits; is Elon Musk the real-live equivalent of Tony Stark? CPI prints cooler--but core CPI was hotter than expected. MEanwhile the NFIB Survey (showing conservative bent) shows increases in confidence wiped out as Harris capmaigns; policy matters. Markets Big Reversal on Nvidia commentary about AI chip demand; the news boosted markets to a 2.5% gain. CPI is a hot mess: Inflation is different for everyone; the important question is how CPI will affect markets. Lance and Michael discuss how CPI is calculated; what if shelter costs do not lag and remain elevated? The impact of healthcare costs and energy on CPI; oil price corellation with inflation. The Adobe Digital Price Index compares online shopping price trends. Volatility ETF's: Why don't the wrk very well? Going long with low volatility/shorting on high volatility; how we gambled and missed buy one day. Why Volatility ETF's are like Thanksgiving turkeys. Charting policy differences between Harris vs Trump campaigns. Tariffs & Taxes analysis: How do they affect productivity? Higher taxes on a smaller pie, or lower taxes on a bigger pie? Taxes remove capital from the market place, which could otherwise be spent on innovation & productivity. SEG-1: Markets' Big Reversal Day SEG-2: CPI is a Hot Mess SEG-3: Volatility ETF's: Why don't they work well? SEG-4: Tariffs, Taxes, & Policy Analysis Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gn_rLnZURQ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Cash Cow Clues: Can Dividend Yields Forecast Interest Rates?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cash-cow-clues-can-dividend-yields-forecast-interest-rates/ "S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/ "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Test Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eX3NtgCIW20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What's Really Behind Stock Market Volatility" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D5D2sxuJwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #Magnificent7 #SpaceX #SpaceWalk #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #OilPrices #GovernmentSpending #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #StockBuybacks #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #Policy #Taxes #Tariffs #Innovation #Productivity #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing

Today marks the 23rd anniversary of the World Trade Center attacks; it's Inflation Day and post-Debate day. Market volatility tends to increase prior to Presidential elections; why policy matters. CPI is expected to show a .2% increase (it's ALWAYS expected at .2%!) Oil prices are a function of supply & demand. CPI will most impact markets today, and factor into the Fed's rate decision next week. Volatility is the big market driver. What inflation is telling us about the economy; why falling inflation is not good for earnings. How companies are cutting wages (without cutting wages); Danny rants on the high cost of hotel coffee. A critique of government spending, and why "The Inflation Reduction Act" was anything but; a look at sector-based bankruptcies and the Solar Energy industry. Stop investing in companies you know nothing about. Private investors and private money are more efficient than government investments: The Day Care conundrum. A word or two on the presidential debate; 6 income alternatives for falling rate environment; demand notes; Risk annuities; closed-end funds. At what point should you liquidate bonds? SEG-1: Markets Increase Volatility Pre-Election SEG-2: What Inflation is Telling Us About the Economy SEG-3: Why "The Inflation Reduction Act" is Mis-labelled SEG-4: Income Alternatives as Rates Fall Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D5D2sxuJwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/ "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CPI: Will or Won't the Fed Cut Rates?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iArd3ktAw90&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Five Actions You Can Take to Minimize Risk" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDSbAB_oXtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketVolatility #PresidentialDebate #InflationReductionAct #OilPrices #GovernmentSpending #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts previews the next Fed meeting and rate drop predictions; 2-yr Treasury yields are reflective of rate expectations. Forward earnings revisions continue to ratchet downward; markets must reprice on expectations, impacting performance. Monday's market rally was a disappointment; MACD sell signal is still in place. There are still barriers and resistance in the way of markets moving higher. This is not a good time to buy bonds. Lance and Jon look at what happens to stocks when a company is added to the S&P 500; why you should never track to an index: They're not reality. Wall Street wants you perpetually upset because money movement and emotions create fees. Indexes do not pay fees or taxes. Five steps you can take to mitigate portfolio risk. Lance and Jon answer e-mail query about portfolio management and reasonable expectations: Can you create high yields in a low interest rate environment? SEG-1: Markets' Rally Disappoints SEG-2A: What Happens When Stock is Added to the S&P 500 SEG-2B: Five Steps You Can Take to Mitigate Portfolio Risk SEG-3: E-mail Q&A: Realistic Goals of Portfolio Management SEG-4: Why Financial Planning is All a Big Guess Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDSbAB_oXtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/ "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Rally Disappoints" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RnurWaljp8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "A Rough Start to September" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets are having a rough start for September; Will the be a correction before the election? Lance examines the buyer/seller dynamic. Markets will probably bound this week. Look for a moderate rally, which will provide opportunity to trim portfolio risk. September/October stock market volatility is expected, with markets de-risking going into the election. Will there be an economic slowdown in September? Lance answers a question from YouTube chat," Who receives the difference in profits/losses when a company sells stock? Why stock buybacks are a scam; a dividend is a return of value to stock holder, while a buyback is a share redemption. The next, great undoing of the markets has not yet been thought of. The Friday Jobs Report: Not to hot, not too cold, but definitely not just right. Lance reviews events that have led to slower job growth. Has Technology really made our lives better? In the book, "The Age of Spiritual Machines," by futurist Ray Kurzwell, written in the late '90's, 78% of predictions have come true. SEG-1: September Stock Market Volatility SEG-2: Why Stock Buybacks Are a Scam SEG-3: What Do the Jobs Reports Really Tell Us? SEG-4: Does Technology Really Make Things Better? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L4xLdTctnLk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Bounce this Week?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rSVpIA3cI6Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Plan for Trump Tax Cut Expiration" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket2024 #MarketVolatility #InterestRates #InflationTrends #EconomicSlowdown #trading #RecessionRisks #InvestmentStrategies #BearMarket #PortfolioManagement #FinancialPlanning #StockBuybacks #RayKurzwell #TheAgeofSpiritualMachines #JobsReport #Employment #Technology #Markets #Money #Investing

Will last month's Jobs and JOLTS reports show "normalization" of employment numbers to pre-Covid counts? What will the Fed response be, and what will that imply about the economy? Richard & Danny further explore the "sunsetting" of tax rate cuts initiated by the Trump administration, and who might be affected: Most likely, everyone will see an average 3% increase, across the board. A real look at who pays their "fair share" and more, and who doesn't. SEG-1: Jobs Numbers & JOLTS Report: Back to Pre-Covid Normalization? SEG-2: Sunsetting Tax Cuts: Who Will Be Affected? SEG-3: Impact of Tax Rate Sunset vs Real Solution SEG-4: Retirement Most Precarious for Middle Class Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Yield Be 4% by Friday?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyk8BotCkhk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Limiting Losses with Yield Curve Analysis" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpTaxCuts #TaxCutSunset #MarketCorrection #TaxHike #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #YieldCurveInversion #BondYield #BullSteepening #EmploymentReroit #EconomicWeakness #NegativeRevision #Divergence #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts previews the next Fed meeting: There's a 50-50-chance of a 50-bp rate cut; will tomorrow's jobs report show fewer jobs than before Covid? Numbers are suspect with labor "hoarding" a potential problem; negative revisions to JOLTS report, part of a trend of negative revisions back to 2002. Will Yields be 4% by Friday? What the bond market is indicating. Living in the late 1900's; The Bond Yield Bet: Lots of stragglers to natural buying on demand; depending on the Fed to cut rates. Corporations are shorting Treasuries ahead of their own bond issuances: Corporate debt hedging. There are lots of divergences; Market Data is detached from economic reality. Has the yield curve "normalized?" The differential between 2-yr vs 10-yr Treasuries; what causes behaviors: The Fed. Michael Lebowitz explains the yield curve inversion in charts & graphs. Bull Steepening Periods Average Returns; how to use yield curve signals to mitigate loss. SEG-1: The Next Fed Meeting: 50-50- Chance of 50-bp Rate Cut SEG-2: The Bond Yield Bet SEG-3: Has the Yield Curve "Normalized:" Bond Yield Behaviors SEG-4: Bull Steepening Explained Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I7oP6xRCGN0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Yield Be 4% by Friday?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyk8BotCkhk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Big Down Day" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #YieldCurveInversion #BondYield #BullSteepening #EmploymentReroit #EconomicWeakness #NegativeRevision #Divergence #Markets #Money #Investing

The S&P 500 sank 2.1%, the Nasdaq lost 3.3%, and while the tech sector led stocks into the red, the Dow wasn't excluded from the bad day either, shedding over 600 points for a 1.5% loss. What's next? The Tuesday market dump was accompanied by weak manufacturing reports suggesting the economy is weakening. The Yield Curve actually un-inverted briefly, and then re-inverted. Markets sold off more sharply than expected for no apparent reason, led by semiconductors and The Most Significant Stock in the market, Nvidia. However, after the dust settled, it was learned (by the rest of us) Nvidia was served with a DOJ subpoena investigating "monopolistic" behavior AFTER the closing bell. Wonder how they knew that? The risks to the market remain: Polling suggests policy after the election WILL matter: What polices will actually be enacted, and how will they affect markets? Corp tax rates, 2017 tax cut expiration, healthcare costs; Lance waxes eloquent on his dietary restrictions, sugar in bacon (and other foods), and reading food labels. Assets in Leveraged and Exchange Traded Funds; the speculative nature of investors today. How leverage is a double-edged sword. SEG-1: Why Markets Took a Dump SEG-2: How Did They Know?? SEG-3: Risks to the Markets: Why Policy Matters SEG-4A: Sugared Bacon & Food Labels SEG-4B: The Speculative Nature of Investors Today Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIOJonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhchaeMYAw8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=570s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Market Correction Continue?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Jx2J6xfbRg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Past Performance is No Guarantee..." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJ1a845sbL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #Nvidia #DOJSubpoena #TechSector #PolicyMatters #2017TaxCuts #AffordableCareAct #ObamaCare #CorporateTaxCuts #MarketReturns #MarketBullishness #PastPerformance #NoGuarantee #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioComparison #HighYieldBond #Markets #Money #Investing

It's a holiday-shortened trading week to kick off the new month: September & October tend to be weaker trading months. Look for light volume and the impact of the corporate buy back window open and closing; markets tend to de-risk ahead of elections. Markets closed Friday at July's all-time high amid much bullish optimism. Markets today could retest 20- 50-DMA for support. despite a loss of momentum, take caution to not become overly negative. Lance and Jonathan address viewer emails about searching for investment research platforms (a la Morningstar), and the meanings of stock ratings (who is the customer?)"Past performance is no guarantee of future results..." A more important "P" question is one of Philosophy of a firm. Look for survivability over time. Why you cannot ignore past performance; making up losses is not the same as making money. Why does Wall Street create more indexes? "Comparison is the root of all unhappiness." Moving money creates fees. The cost of swapping strategies (comparing performances). The difference in returns the difference in investors' place in life. Question about building a 5.1% return portfolio; looking at markets' true returns. What happens when "high yield" bonds mature? Dealing with risk in portfolios; looking at variable returns. 8% is great...until the market makes 11%. SEG-1: Markets Close at July Highs - Can they Keep it? SEG-2: Why Past Performance is No Guarantee SEG-3: Comparison Is the Root of All Unhappiness SEG-4: What Happens When "High Yield" Bonds Mature? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJ1a845sbL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/ "Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break Higher or Lower?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ojxEbzU9heE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Clawback Your Payments?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VG5OqhPFss4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketResiliency #MarketReturns #MarketBullishness #PastPerformance #NoGuarantee #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioComparison #HighYieldBond #Markets #Money #Investing

Market Resiliency: It's always about the Fed. Nvidia and the AI story is still alive; Treasuries are overbought; Dollar General and Big Lots are struggling, surprisingly; where are the cracks in the economy? THe unwinding of the Tech sector, and how Google lets you know you're fired. The push to working longer; more and more are depending more and more on Social Security. legislation introduced to prevent SS clawbacks after 3-years: Is it a good idea? Why small towns are paying people to move there; living in a Dollar General, old food & Twinkies. How to boost credit scores without borrowing money; Zillow credit reporting for rent payments; how the credit scoring formulas are changing; how FICO figures credit scores. Credit building strategies w FinTech credit cards. Dating questions, credit scores, and dating apps; the trend towards renting; credit builder cards; Credit breaches & Cyber Security. SEG-1: Market Resiliency - It's Always About the Fed SEG-2: Is Limiting Social Security Clawbacks a Good Idea? SEG-3A: Getting Paid to Move to Small Towns SEG-3B: Boosting Credit Scores Without Borrowing Money SEG-4: Credit Building Strategies that Work Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VG5OqhPFss4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/ "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Knocks the Cover off the Ball " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2e1WEWVHDKs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Nvidia Priced for Perfection?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtS6mftSN0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketResiliency #Nvidia #PrivateEquity #AIcompanies #FinancialMarkets #TechnologyInvestment #PublicCompanies #FutureTechTrends #InvestmentRisk #Opportunities #TechBirth #MarketEntry #Innovation #InvestmentAdvice #NextBigCompany #FederalReserve #InterestRates #SocialSecurity #PaymentClawbacks #DollarGeneral #BigLots #CreditScores #CreditCards #FinTechCards #FICO #Zillow #Renting #Markets #Money #Investing

Looking ahead to September; why election polling is wrong; policy differences between Harris and Trump, and potential impact on markets. Nvidia earnings report rundown and stock buy back announcement. Nvidia owns 80% of market share for GPU's for data centers, with a new Blackwell chip on the way. Syppy & demand will be key to pricing. Groth expectations and market weighting; Nvidia valuation is extremely expensive: Priced for perfection, but difficult to deliver. How long can current marings hold, and who will compete w Nvidia? Picking the "next" Nvidia is impossible to know. The benefits from AI are different from company to company. Update on the Roberts' Home Remodel: Kitchen Aide mixer & Coffee maker; The Fed: No doubt about cutting rates, just how much, how fast? Recession is the question (when)? Taking rates to zero would imply recession; we're in a record-long stretch of Yield Curve inversion; un-inversion is due. Recession indicators; pay attention to what the Bond Market and Yield Curves are saying. Dollar General's "cratering demand," and Klarna's AI-fueled layoffs. SEG-1: September Forecast & Nvidia Reports SEG-2: Priced for Perfection, Hard to Deliver SEG-3A: The Roberts' Remodel SEG-3B: The Fed: No Doubt About Cutting Rates SEG-4: Recession Indicators: What the Yield Curve Saith Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtS6mftSN0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/ "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Knocks the Cover off the Ball " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2e1WEWVHDKs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Stop Worrying About Taxes" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9tNkglBWHs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #PrivateEquity #AIcompanies #FinancialMarkets #TechnologyInvestment #PublicCompanies #FutureTechTrends #InvestmentRisk #Opportunities #TechBirth #MarketEntry #Innovation #InvestmentAdvice #NextBigCompany #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets and Investors await today's earnings report from Nvidia, which has been tagged, 'The Most Important Stock in the World.' Expectations are VERY high, so there is little room for marginal results: There is more risk of disappointment than odds of exceeding expectations. Markets continue to hang on following the mini-correction last week, followed by sharp market recovery. For now, correction is over if Nvidia delivers. Dollar pressure continues; consumer confidence is on the rise. Why worry about paying taxes on investments? If you owe taxes, you MADE money. The danger of turning gains into losses in the quest for no taxes. The fruits of investing and the Fruit of the Loom; what are the goals for your money? Dealing with Capital Gains in real estate; the need for a financial advisor, accountant, and tax lawyer. Vacation home sales strategies. Signs you know your day will be a bad one. Only 8% of pre-retirees plan to wait until age 70 to draw social security: Lance & Danny discuss strategies. SEG-1: Why Nvidia is The Most Important Stock in the world SEG-2: Why Worry About Taxes, Pt-1 SEG-3: Why Worry About Taxes, Pt-2 SEG-4A: How You Know You're Going to Have a Bad Day SEG-4B: Why Only 8% of Works Plan to Wait Until 70 for Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9tNkglBWHs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Curve Shifts Offer Signals For Stockholders" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yield-curve-shifts-offer-signals-for-stockholders/ "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hang on Nvidia's Report" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Xt7UeGJx2g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Overbought Conditions Set up for Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTQ7Ij7AOQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #USDollar #Currency #CarryTrade #Taxes #FinancialPlanning #TaxMitigation #GrowMoney #SmartInvestments #ReduceTaxes #FinancialMistakes #TaxStrategy #TaxAdvice #FinancialGrowth #TaxEfficiency #InvestmentStrategy #MoneyManagement #FinancialAdvice #SmartWaysToReduceTaxes #TaxSavingTips #FinancialGoals #WealthBuilding #Markets #Money #Investing

Today's show is all over the place: Durable Goods take a big jump...unless you remove Aircraft. Astronauts stuck in space: Elon Musk to the rescue. Markets are overbought; risk remains in Carry Trade. Market correction will likely be short and shallow. What if: Nvidia's report tomorrow. Stocks are setting up for correction: Stocks on sale? Fallacies about the Dollar and where best to store currency. Viagra, Blue Chews, Him's/Her's: Demographics and the birthrate. Dating apps falling off a cliff. Demographics are destiny; the economics of dating. The family unit is the basis of the economy. The demise of society w/emergence of social media. Houston has a problem with scammers: Jonathan relates his daughter's recent run-in with the "Safe harbor Hotel" scam. SEG-1: Durable Goods, Stuck in Space, Overbought Markets SEG-2: Stocks Are Setting Up for Correction SEG-3: Blue Chews & Destiny in Demographics SEG-4: The Safe Harbor Hotel Scam Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NTQ7Ij7AOQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overbought Conditions Set Up Short-Term Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overbought-conditions-set-up-short-term-correction/ "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction Will be Shallow" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zh1I1CVJqdI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Risk Management Still Matters" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AptzKfSc2Bw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #OverBought #Oversold #DurableGoods #Aircraft #Nvidia #ElonMusk #RiskRangeReport #USDollar #Currency #CarryTrade #Viagra #BlueChew #DatingApp #Demographics #Birthrate #DatingEconomics #SocialMedia #SafeHarborScam #Markets #Money #Investing

Jerome Powell says interest rate policy is due for a change; market future predict four rate cuts by the end of the year. Rate cuts, the election, and dollar weakness all remain risks to the market, as well as a bit of over hang from the carry trade fiasco earlier this month. Nvidia to report this week; anything could happen. Markets again nearing all time highs, bur becoming very over bought. Gold behavior is interesting, and price peaks generally herald a correction soon after. Markets are fine, even bullish, but it's still easy to find bearish headlines. Markets are coincident: When everything goes up all at once, everything will come down all at once. Looking at possibilities vs probabilities. The Four Rules for Risk Management: Raise portfolio cash levels to lower volatility and align with your risk tolerance. Reduce equity risk, particularly in areas highly dependent on economic growth. Add or increase the duration of bond allocations, which tend to offset risk during risk-off events. Reduce exposure to commodities and inflation trades as economic growth slows. SEG-1: Jerome Powell - The Time For Policy Change is Now SEG-2: When All Assets Rise Together, All Assets Fall Together SEG-3: Four Rules for Risk Management, Pt-1 SEG-4: Four Ruels for Risk Management, Pt-2 Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AptzKfSc2Bw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Signals Suggest Bulls Trump Bears…For Now." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why is Everyone Long on Gold?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AKdsebkKe-o&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Prepare for Recession (even when there isn't one)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5EF1EGrugUw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #Inflation #Deflation #JobsRevision #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Joy #AlmondJoy #Mounds #Markets #Money #Investing

8-23-24 How To Prepare For Recession by Lance Roberts

Markets are again approaching all-time highs, with the NASDAQ exhibiting a most v-like recovery, up 11% in ten days. Markets' response to the largest (818-k) negative Jobs revision since 2009: Shrugs. FOMC meeting minutes indicate the time is "appropriate" for the Fed to lower rates. French women apparently have the longest life expectancy; Lance & Michael review FOMC meeting minutes and mentions of "appropriate time" to lower rates is now. So, far no leaks prior to Jackson Hole meeting. How WalMart is using AI to manage real-time sales/inventory data. The Fed knows jobs data is wrong. Is Jerome Powell Pinky or The Brain? There's personal inflation and then there's data the market looks at. The Fed doesn't want deflation, and 2% inflation is healthy for stable economic growth. SEG-1: Jobs Report Negative Revision & After Effects SEG-2: Life Expectancies & FOME: Appropriate Time SEG-3: Jerome Powell = Pinky & The Brain SEG-4: Technology Evolution, Food Expirations, & Price Dynamics Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l0s6NonA6ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Funds Futures Offer Bond Market Insights" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-funds-futures-offer-bond-market-insights/ "Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/ "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bullish Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zg46dMB14Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Your Portfolio Performance Sucks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eno3BQhPGi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #JacksonHole #JeromePowell #PinktAndTheBrain #Inflation #Deflation #JobsRevision #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts examines the cause and effect phenomenon of public policy and outcomes, rhetoric and promises; who'll control the House & Senate have more bearing on future legislation promised vs passed. Market breadth is expanding, which bodes well for bullish trends. Most of markets' lift is coming from stock buy back activity. Interesting observation about the category luanches of ETF's: Most are derivative-based, adding risk for investors. Why your portfolio performance may be disappointing (how we screwed up the financial system). Lance and Danny discuss the performance gap between retail investors and the big funds: It's all about weighting. Markets today are built for pricing momentum. Focusing on risk mitigation to protect your portfolio from negative impacts over time. When someone promises you'll double your money...or not? There are promises and then there's reality. In answer to a YouTube chat comment, Lance discusses the false concept of market compounding. SEG-1: Market Breadth Expands SEG-2: Why Portfolio Performance Sucks (How We Screwed Up the Financial System) SEG-3: The Performance Gap Between Investors vs Funds SEG-4: Double Your Money...or not Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eno3BQhPGi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/ "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Effect of the Zweig Breadth Thrust" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnvEjAwTBbY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Shall the Young Secure (Their Finances)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_-OidFl3g4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RiskMitigation #InvestmentAdvice #AverageRateOfReturn #PortfolioImpact #RiskAvoidance #LossPrevention #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentProducts #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #PortfolioManagement #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #RiskAssessment #InvestmentPortfolio #FinancialConsiderations #WealthManagement #ManagingRisk #DownsideProtection #MarketReturns #FinancialSecurity #Markets #Money #Investing

Investors are waiting for this week's Jackson Hole confab, and will respond accordingly; when will markets take a breather? The DNC begins with economic nonsense. You cannot fix poverty by giving money away. Markets' rally straight up for eight days; pullback is coming: This is no time to chase stocks. Why the correction is over; three elements of economic uncertainty. Lance answers an email about helping youth prepare financially; the financial order of operations. Say no to credit card debt! You don't need it for a good credit score. Truth About Credit Scores: Do You Really Need Credit Cards? Pay your bills on time and have the money talk with your kids. What Lance would do if he was younger: aggressive saving early. Max out your 401K every year for financial growth! Invest in S&P 500 index and watch your savings grow. Start early! SEG-1: Waiting for Jackson Hole - Markets Will Respond SEG-2: Three Elements of Economic Uncertainty SEG-3: How Shall the Young Secure (Their Finances) SEG-4: What I Would Do if I Was Younger Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_-OidFl3g4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Decline Over As Investors Buy The Dip" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-decline-over-as-investors-buy-the-dip/ "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-20-24 This is No Time to Chase Stocks" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jpTrQgCZPPY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Unpacking Kamalanomics and Economic Cycles in America" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-elSd8FHQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #KamalaHarris #PriceGouging #Kamalanomics #FinancialSecurity #CreditCards #CreditScore #UtilityBills #Rent #CarNote #FinancialAdvice #Parents #YoungAdults #Conversations #MoneyManagement #FinanceTips #Maximize #401KContribution #SP500Index #DollarCostAveraging #FullMatch #FinancialPlanning #LongTermInvestment #RetirementSavings #401KStrategy #FinancialAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Previews of the DNC Convention and Jackson Hole meeting previews, plus four Fed speakers on tap this week; Monkey Pox & Covid on the upswing ahead of election season. Markets stage a phenomenal recovery over the past five days; could interest rates reverse? Kamalanomics: A historical perspective on Economic Cycles: Why Prices Controls will exacerbate inflation; the myth of price gouging; the Tytler Cycle revisited. SEG-1: Phenomenal Market Recovery - Could Interest Rates Reverse? SEG-2: Kamalanomics, Pt. 1: Fixing Inflation w Price Controls SEG-3: Kamalanomics, Pt.2: The Myth of Price Gouging SEG-4A: Academy Carts & Anniversary Roombas SEG-4B: Kamalanomics, Pt. 3: This is Nothing New: The Tytler Cycle (You are Here) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mH-elSd8FHQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Growth Myth & Why Socialism Is Rising" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-growth-myth-why-socialism-is-rising/ "Share Repurchases End The Market Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is An Interest Rate Reversal Coming?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k4p5FFDk7aA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Buy Dividend Stocks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpYHGC8wAvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #KamalaHarris #PriceGouging #Kamalanomics #PPI #CPI #Inflation #EconomicData #EconomicCycle #HistoricalPatterns #RepeatedProcesses #AmericanEconomy #HistoryOfEconomics #EconomicTrends #FinancialCycles #EconomicRepetition #EconomicHistory #FinancialHistory #EconomicProcesses #CyclicalTrends #Markets #Money #Investing

July CPI clocks-on on-target for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, as it indicate inflation is trending downward. This would set-up the Fed for up to four rate cuts by the end of the year, but not so great for stocks. Watch for seasonal adjustments to Retail Sales reports. Markets will challenge 50-DMA, and could end its correction today. Your personal experience with inflation is not the same as Government calculations, which is what markets look at. CPI was on the money, and the trend is lower. Economic data can fluctuate monthly. Focus on trends for a clearer picture! Lance and Michael answer an email question about investing in Dividend Stocks; what does the Yield infer? Looking at the Peg ratio, and what indicators about a company matter. Dividend stocks vs growth stocks. What makes for a better bond: Coupon vs Yield (how did the yield get there)? Lance and Michael address YouTube Chat question about Covered Call ETF's vs Dividend ETF's. SEG-1: CPI On-Target for Fed Rate Cuts SEG-2: Why We Have to Live with Government Numbers SEG-3: How to Evaluate Company Dividends SEG-4A: What's a Better Bond - Coupon vs Yield SEG-4B: Covered Call ETF's vs Dividend ETF's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpYHGC8wAvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stealth QE Or Rubbish From Dr Doom?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stealth-qe-or-rubbish-from-dr-doom/ "Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/ "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is This Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=azi3cmQKk54&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Looking for Rate Cut Clues in CPI Data" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYcQKsvQ1W0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #EconomicData #SeasonalAdjustments #Trends #YearOverYearGrowth #ThreeMonthAverages #SixMonthAverages #DataFluctuations #StateReporting #DataGlitch #EconomicAnalysis #UnderstandingTrends #MonthToMonthData #AccurateInterpretation #EconomicIndicators #DataInterpretation #DividendStocks #CoveredCallETF #DividendETF #BondYield #BondCoupon #FinancialAdvice #StatisticalMethods #CarefulAnalysis #Markets #Money #Investing

The PPI number came in weaker than expected with lower input prices. Today's CPI report (a 0.2% monthly increase = 3.2% annual rate) weakness could spur the Fed to lower rates, although to what extent remains unknown. The upcoming Jackson Hole Economic Summit could also provide impetus for the Fed's action in September. Meanwhile, markets on Tuesday cleared the 100-DMA, and are looking for confirmation at the 50-DMA. Will he or won't he? Danny's coaching decision remains to be seen. Why market remain resilient after the sell-off. YouTube Chat Q&A: Dealing with Teacher Retirement Fund taxation & fees; the retirement plan variables: What to do with a 401k at Retirement? How 401k's killed pensions (a very bad idea). What to do with 401k when changing jobs. Why pensions should go away vs 401k's; 401k vs IRA flexibilities. SEG-1: No Reason to Be Bearish SEG-2: Why Markets Remain Resilient After Sell-off SEG-3: What to Do w Your 401k at Retirement SEG-4: Pensions vs 401k's - A Bad Idea? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wYcQKsvQ1W0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/ "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Reason to be Bearish" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ED2D8OXTC-0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Four Reasons Mega-Caps Are Not Dead Yet" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uTqIghDtTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PPI #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #RetirementFunds #401k #Pension #IRA #RithIRA #Bonds #MegaCaps #MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing

It's economic report week, with previews of today's PPI, tomorrow's CPI, and Thursday's Retail sales numbers for July; will weaker consumer spending appear? Stock buybacks have returned. Markets to re-test 100-DMA, and set up to move up to the 20-DMA. Are the “Mega-Cap” stocks dead? Maybe. But there are four reasons why they could be staged for a comeback. The recent market correction from the July peak certainly got investors’ attention and rattled the more extreme complacency. Lance & Jonathan discuss portfolio turnover and tax implications: If you're paying taxes, you made money! Never buy a stock for its dividend. Lance corrects the YouTube chatroom on companies; longevity; Lance & Jonathan discuss bonds, coupons, discounts, and total costs. Coupons vs Yield: The only aspect of a bond that matters. "Yield worst vs yield to maturity. SEG-1: PPI, CPI, & Retail Sales Previews SEG-2: Why Mega-Caps Are Not Dead SEG-3: Portfolio Turnover & Tax Implications SEG-4: The Only Aspect of Bonds that Matter Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uTqIghDtTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Mega-Caps About To Make A Mega-Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-mega-caps-about-to-be-a-mega-buy/ "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retesting Resistance" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yBVD9H91LGA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Be Careful of Market Predictions " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N69vpdabuoU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #MegaCaps #MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing

Laying the groundwork for Fed rate cuts: Will they or won't they in September, and by how much? 80% of S&P companies have reported; stock buy back windows are back open for business; Q-2 earnings summary: Not great, not terrible. Is consumer spending slowing (and will earnings estimates fall)? Last week's market volatility: Still in the process of correction. Sell-off was recovered by Friday. After a muted open today, use any rally to reduce risk and raise cash. Lance jumps into the unpredictability of the market and challenges common assumptions. Discover why what you think you know might not be true: The importance of questioning market assumptions; the unpredictability of market behavior; why the market has already priced in expected events; the real-time nature of markets; common misconceptions about market crashes. What is happening as hedge funds de-gross and re-gross their holdings; why they have to invest in mega-cap companies. What are markets' inflation expectations? High volatility companies are hard to trade; is an 8% market return reasonable? SEG-1: Use the Rally SEG-2: What Caused the Crash SEG-3: Is This the Death of AI? SEG-4: Inflation Expectations: CPI, Retail Sales Previews Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N69vpdabuoU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Crash – Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prepare to Retest & Rally " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FHZrcyost8I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Kind of Inheritance Will You Leave Behind?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Mo4nvubJ_4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCrash #RealTimePricing #InvestmentAdvice #UnexpectedEvents #MarketPredictions #MarketValuation #RiskAssessment #FinancialStrategy #MarketDynamics #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #PricingMechanisms #MarketBehavior #SpeculativeAssumptions #FinancialMarkets #SurpriseFactors #MarketOutcomes #InvestmentPlanning #EconomicFactors #Markets #Money #Investing

With the turmoil of the past week, now is a good time to reassess your portfolio, and rebalance the risk. What is the deal with stocks advertising on TV? Wealth transferrence & Inheritances: How common is it for children to meet with parent and financial advisor? If there's money left... How RMD's can calter inheritances; how gift-giving works. Lance's kids are 'off the payroll.' Are you planning to receive an inheritance? How life-long gift-giving can work; what are the tax implications? Using gifting as an opportunity to teach about money & stewardship. Estate Planning prep: When do you need a trust? (Implications in the event of divorce.) Don't let the documents talk; have a conversation with your kids about the money. Dealing with tax torpedos in Social Security; taxation and Roth's: The Rothification of America. SEG-1: Market Commentary: Now is a Good Time for Portfolio Rebalancing SEG-2: Gift-giving Your Inheritance Early SEG-3: Planning for (Receiving) An Inheritance SEG-4: Estate Planning Prep: When Do You Need a Trust? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Mo4nvubJ_4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Confidence Is The Underappreciated Economic Engine" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/confidence-is-the-underappreciated-economic-engine/ "The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-sahm-rule-employment-and-recession-indicators/ "Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/ "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Exuberance Reverses" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhhxNaLDDaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj- ------- Our previous show is here: "Trapped Longs Take the Exit" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHVg-HJq5Gs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inheritance #FinancialPlanning #RothConversaions #TaxTorpedo #SocialSecurity #EstatePlanning #Stewardship #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing

Economic Reports affected by Hurricanes Beryl & Debbie; market sell off continues. Inflationary data is still there; unwinding of Yen Carry Trade continues w/volatility. Lance recites a brief history of market crashes, causes & effects. The market correction actually started in July at peak; trapped-longs sold into market rally as exuberance reverses. Earnings Season has delivered a mixed back; 92% of companies have reported, opening buy back windows for business. Consumer sentiment feedback loop affects Fed decision-making; what the Yen Carry Trade does for market moods. The differential in interest rates between the Yen & the Dollar is shrinking. The Fed is reactive...and trapped. Lance & Michael discuss the Sahm Rule recession indicator: This time may be different. Recessions are back-dated by as much as 12-months. Is the economy weakening or normalizing? Indicators are often at odds with one another. YouTube Chat Q&A: Estate Tax Exemptions & Bonds; Is it too soon to short TLT? Eli Lilly & Yen Carry Trade: Where did all the "fast" money go? Liquidity Indicators in conflict: How to accurately measure? Fear dries-up liquidity. SEG-1: A Brief History of Market Crashes; the Correction Started in July SEG-2: The Feedback Effect of Consumer Sentiment SEG-3: The Sahm Rule: Maybe Not This Time SEG-4: YouTube Chat Q&A: Shorting TLT, Liquidity Indicators Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHVg-HJq5Gs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Confidence Is The Underappreciated Economic Engine" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/confidence-is-the-underappreciated-economic-engine/ "The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-sahm-rule-employment-and-recession-indicators/ "Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/ "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Exuberance Reverses" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhhxNaLDDaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj- ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Crisis Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rZWdk9bCH5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrappedLongs #SahmRule #RecessionIndicator #MarketCorrection #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing

Is the crisis over? Too soon to tell, but the Nikkei did rebound, the Yen is coming down, and the BOJ is hold steady on rates. Earnings season continues; and it's too soon to suume the market has found the bottom. Admonition to be wary of the narratives. Market rally into the 100-DMA, buyt unlikely to test resistance the 50-DMA just yet. Understanding the Yen Carry Trade; risk management vs greed. Diversification worked on Monday. The Fed soesn't even know what they're going to do; they're behind the curve. How we created inflation, and expecting recession. Remembering Texas' gasoline lines in the '70's. Harry Dent's perpetual doom & gloom: If market decline 94% we'll have more to worry about than stocks. Will your financial plan survive the next crash? The Ernon and WorldCom debacles; what risk management really means. Investor sentiment & the Sahm Rule: This time IS different. General market sentiment remains extremely bullish. FOMO of market bottom; Monday's bottom is likely not The Bottom of the market. SEG-1: Markets Rally & Retest 100-DMA SEG-2: Why Diversification Worked During Monday's Crash SEG-3: What Risk Management Really Entails SEG-4: Why Monday's Bottom is Likely NOT The Bottom Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rZWdk9bCH5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/ "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Bounce Back after Monday's Crash" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8I2RvwFcN5w&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Selling Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=De_ft6IWTq8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Bonds #Gold #Recession #ISMServicesIndex #Markets #Money #Investing

8-6-24 Is The Selling Over? by Lance Roberts

August begins with weaker employment and the Fed hinting at the possiblity of a 1/2% rate cut; The Japanese Carry Trade blos up: What is it and why does it matter? Look for the largest spike in volatility since the pandemic. Be careful amid emotional headlines; Markets have already been over sold and now need to bounce. Anything that is a risk assett will be affected; bonds are over bought: Today is a day to do nothing. Lance's movie reviwe of Deadpool & Wolverine: Not for the faint of heart or kids. Risks to the market from an exogenous, unexpected event, a consequence of the collapse of the Carryt Trade. What will happen when the Fed cuts rates? When the Yield Curve inversion reverses, get ready for Recession. Lance answers YouTube chat questions: Everything risk-related will be douns; the only "safe" investments are cash and U.S. Treasury Bonds. Don't panic; expect a little bit of buying by the end of the day, buying the dip[. SEG-1: The Carry Trade Blows Up: What is it? SEG-2: Putting Things Into Perspective: Don't Panic SEG-3: Two Risks to Markets Now SEG-4: YouTube Q&A: Gold, Buying the Dip, Next Moves Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jD8NT01ii28&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell," 8-5-24 Why The Carry Trade Matters" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ec2AkoS2O_I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is inflation Beating or Benefiting You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgEGRycUhEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CarryTrade #YieldCurveInversion #RecessionMisconception #YieldCurveUninversion #EconomicIndicators #FinancialHeadlines #InvertedYieldCurve #RecessionPrediction #EconomicAnalysis #MarketSignals #InterestRates #BondYields #EconomicCycles #FinancialMedia #MarketCommentary #EconomicForecasting #MarketTrends #FinancialEducation #Markets #Money #Investing

Richard and Danny discuss the week's market moves, and how bad news is actually bad news now; Intel's poor performance should be no surprise to astute investors; sometimes "value" stocks are value traps. Understanding (and avoiding) the day-to-day media hype. How to use "Money Buckets" to balance risks and demands on retirement funds; 2024 looks to be a mirror of 2023, with weaker economics. How to balance two sides of the economy. People are "making more money than ever before, and feeling more broker..." What happens in a deflationary environment, and why a little inflation is healthy. We're looking for low-growth muck in 2025; households are hurting. A tale of two economies. Looking at demographics and the value of having kids. Dealing with the RMD 10-year rule: It's an art form to take out funds. RMD eliminates desirable flexibility. It's a ticking tax time bomb. Taking advantage of current tax rates while they're "low." SEG-1: Bad News IS Bad News SEG-2: Money Buckets in Troubled Times SEG-3: Why a Little Inflation is Good SEG-4: The Pre-Tax IRA is the Fatted Calf Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgEGRycUhEw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is There Value In Small Cap Value Versus Large Cap Growth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-is-there-value-in-small-cap-value-versus-large-cap-growth/ "Bullish Years Often Have Corrections" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-1-24 Market Bull Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79762x_wVdU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Inflation Drops Below Fed's 2% Goal, Signaling Weakening Economic Pressures " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_fLAZCwJa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ValueStocks #ValueTraps #RMD #MoneyBuckets #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #Inflation #Deflation #YearOverYear #FedTargetRate #InflationaryPressures #Receding #EmploymentCostIndex #RealWageGrowth #YearOverYearWageGrowth #PricePresure #BondMarket #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #JanetYellen #Treasury #Markets #Money #Investing

Jerome Powell's presser was a snooze-fest, with the Fed's stance on interest rates remaining unchanged (at least they didn't hint of more rate hikes!) Markets also responded to clarifications on chip bans and performance reports from AMB & MSFT. The "AI is Dead" narrative is way too early; largest growth in data center construction is in the US. Rewards for beating earnings estimates have been mild. Managers have been "de-grossing" portfolios, will now revert to "grossing-up" holdings following earnings season. Powell says pricing and inflation pressures are "equal;" concerns now turn to employment, which is about at the level before the pandemic (Powell already has Friday's employment numbers). Fed is poised to cut rates in September. Lance and Michael discuss the latest inflation data and its implications for the economy; analysis of the recent drop in the inflation index to 1.5%, and the absence of significant wage growth pressures: Inflation index falls below the Fed's 2% target rate; inflationary pressures receding on various fronts; employment cost index slightly down; no substantial real wage growth pressures observed; year-over-year wage growth on the decline. Lance & Michael also discuss the bond market's bearishness; Are we out of the woods yet with bonds? This bear market is the longest since 1790! Economic slowdown and low inflation are driving yields down. The biggest problem facing Bonds is the deficit; Janet Yellen wants to keep rates as low as possible to better manage debt. Lance addresses Bond Yield question about holding to maturity. SEG-1: Markets Respond to Nothing New from the Fed SEG-2: Powell Presser: Price & Inflation Pressures Now Equal SEG-3: Is the Bear Market in Bonds Finally Over? SEG-4: Is the Treasury Manipulating Markets w Their Offerings? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_fLAZCwJa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is There Value In Small Cap Value Versus Large Cap Growth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-is-there-value-in-small-cap-value-versus-large-cap-growth/ "Bullish Years Often Have Corrections" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-1-24 Market Bull Trend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79762x_wVdU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Navigating Financial Freedom on Your Own Terms" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B31ZSUJGGJM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JeromePowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #Inflation, #YearOverYear #FedTargetRate #InflationaryPressures #Receding #EmploymentCostIndex #RealWageGrowth #YearOverYearWageGrowth #PricePresure #BondMarket #BondYields #YieldCurveInversion #JanetYellen #Treasury #Markets #Money #Investing

It's Fed Day, and Lance Roberts previews potential outcomes to be announced Thursday afternoon. Earnings season continues, with MSFT reporting revenue of only 29% for the quarter vs the anticipated 30% growth. Shucks. Our take on what to take from the NASDAQ correction: Opportunity. Markets are "flirting w disaster" around the 50-DMA: what will be the Black Swan Event (and why would anyone wish for it)? The illusion of wealth in America; Lance and Danny discuss the importance of questioning financial assumptions and societal expectations; how these expectations can lead to unnecessary financial strain: Challenging the notion of "have to" when it comes to financial decisions; the pressure to spend large amounts on weddings and college education; questioning the necessity of certain expenses; the importance of evaluating financial priorities; encouraging viewers to make informed financial choices based on their unique circumstances. SEG-1: Fed Day Preview & NASDAQ Correction SEG-2: Flirting w Disaster at the 50-DMA SEC-3: The Illusion of Wealth in America SEG-4: Bankrupting Your Retirement for Your Children? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B31ZSUJGGJM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: Bullish Years Often Have Corrections https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "NASDAQ Correction: Here's Our Take" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ea9nQUqvgMw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Market Comparisons Can Hinder Your Portfolio's Performance " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdP-essdjaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #FutureFinancialFreedom #WeddingExpenses #CollegeExpenses #FinancialPriorities #Budgeting #FinancialDecisions #FinancialGoals #FinancialResponsibility #MoneyManagement #FinancialIndependence #FinancialSecurity #FinancialStress #FinancialExpectations #FinancialObligations #FinancialTradeOffs #FinancialSacrifices #FinancialChoices #FinancialMindset #Markets #Money #Investing"

Earnings season continues with 39% of S&P reporting this week; by week's end, 79% of companies will have shared results...and the buy back window opens anew. The Fed meeting begins today, with a slim chance for a surprise rate cut; a more dovish tone will encourage markets, however, and anticipate rate cut by September. Commentary on markets' 3% correction & Japanese Yen carry trade effects. Addressing the correct response to correction: Average returns are not the norm; risk on/off behaviors. Anchoring life events: What's the best anchoring for portfolios? Lance and Jon discuss a common mistake investors make when evaluating their portfolio performance, and explains why comparing your returns to the overall market is not always the best approach: The worst thing investors do is compare their portfolio to the market; media pundits often tout market returns, making investors feel inadequate; beating the market is not always the right goal for every investor; your portfolio allocation to stocks and bonds affects your performance; avoid the temptation to chase market returns and stick to your plan. Parsing the bad advice: How much do you need to retire (the 'What's your number' game). The biggest chunk of wealth comes from how much you can save. Could we have a 60% correction? Not likely, but we'll see it coming. SEG-1: Earnings Season Continues & Fed Meeting Today SEG-2: The Correct Response to Correction SEG-3: Market Comparisons Hinder Portfolio Performance SEG-4: Parsing the Bad Advice: What's Your Number? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdP-essdjaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: Bullish Years Often Have Corrections https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-years-often-have-corrections/ "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Was the Rally For Real?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUMHfGa5BLg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Does the Fear and Greed Index Mean for Investors? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sx2iFNOqqig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1490s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioValue #MarketComparison #AssetAllocation #Stocks #Bonds #MarketPerformance #BeatingTheMarket #MediaInfluence #UnrealisticExpectations #InvestmentStrategy #PersonalFinance #FinancialAdvice #InvestorBehavior #EmotionalInvesting #LongTermPerspective #Diversification #RiskManagement #FinancialGoals #WealthBuilding #FinancialMedia #Markets #Money #Investing"

Markets prepare to wrap July; what will the Fed do this week? McDonald's Quarterly Report showing consumer pullback. Article tease on trying MMT and the Sam Altman experiment. Market correction last week followed by rally bounce; sell-signals are still in place, indicating the correction isn't over. Commentary on Olympic Sacrilege and electric karma; will there be a deeper correction? Lance explains the shifts in investor sentiment from fear to greed using a unique Fear Greed Index based on allocations. How do these changes impact market behavior and current trends? The basis of our weekly Fear Greed Index and how it differs from the CNN Fear Greed Index; historical investor allocations and their implications; current high allocation levels and market implications; the overall positive outlook in investor sentiment. UBI argument rebuttal and commentary on taxation; the impact of negative revisions to earnings; YouTube behavior & market preview: Expectations for no July rate cut...but it could happen. What employment numbers are telling us. SEG-1: Wrapping July: What Will the Fed Do This Week? SEG-2: Understanding the Fear and Greed Index: What Does It Mean for Investors? SEG-3A: UBI Rebuttal & Taxation Theory SEG-3B: The Impact of Negative Revisions to Earnings Estimates SEG-4: Market Expectations for No Rate Cut in July Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sx2iFNOqqig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1490s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Pullback Doesn’t Deter Investor Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yr61HU_sQ6Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Should You Tap Your Home Equity for Retirement Income?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOut1Zp-y0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FearGreedIndex #InvestorSentiment #Allocations #CNNversion #SP500 #Newsletter #BullishSide #LowAllocations #HighAllocations #InvestingTrends #MarketSentiment #OctoberAllocations #WeeklyIndicator #InvestorBehavior #UniversalBasicIncome #UBI #EarningsSeason #NegativeRevisions #FederalReserve #RateCutExpectations #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing