The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

Rich & Danny recap Danny's recent accident; Rich's market summary includes a preview of today's PCE release. Markets are awaiting confirmation of a trend. Dealing with the election fallout on your money; markets have already priced-in everything you know. PCE will move markets today; there is still $500-billion in unspent government funds from the Inflation Reduction Act. Dealing with data breaches. Retirees' biggest worry is about income: What is the biggest source of income for most Americans? Their house & home equity...and SS, a forced pension. Benefits of a HELOC--get one early, and don't touch it. The best use of "buffer assets." Thinking of HELOC's and reverse mortgages as "unfreezing" liquidity in the frozen asset of your home. Retiremnent is about depleting assets; you're no longer in savings mode. Strategies for placing a HELOC, and coordinating with other retirement strategies. Commentary on Dave Ramey's Financial Peace University--it's not just for poor folk. SEG-1: Market Summary: Waiting for Confirmation of a Trend SEG-2: Election Fall-ou for Your Money; PCE Preview SEG-3: Reverse Mortgage LOC: Get It but Don't Touch It SEG-4: Retirement IS About Depleting Assets Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOut1Zp-y0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Interest Rates Are Too High – Blame The Mythical R Star" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-high-blame-the-mythical-r-star/ "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Correction Reach 5%?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jhduZnaAuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Your Confidence Can Boost or Break the Economy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpMR4QMJitc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HomeEquity #ReverseMortgage #BufferAssets #PCE #FederalReserve #InterestRates #2024Election #FinancialSituation #MarketImpact #Economy #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerSentiment #InvestorSentiment #PortfolioPerformance, #EconomicBehavior #FinancialMarkets #SpendingHabits #MarketDecline #Financial Health #EconomicSentiment #FinancialDecisions #InvestmentConfidence #ConsumerConfidence #MarketSentiment #EconomicImpact #SpendingPatterns #FinancialImpact #Markets #Money #Investing

The S&P Global Services Index is "great," in contradiction to other eocnomic metrics; the first estimate of Q2 GDP is released today (up 2.8%); this will be revised. Important to note the behavior of GDP prior to past recessions, which are always back-dated. 350-days without a 2% correction, until Wednesday. Bill Dudley is calling for lower interest rates now; Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explain the crucial link between consumer confidence and economic performance. Learn how sentiment drives markets and impacts your personal finances: The relationship between financial confidence and spending habits; the effects of market decline on consumer behavior; how sentiment influences economic performance; the role of confidence in personal financial decisions; why sentiment is a key factor in market dynamics. High School photos, Peter Frampton, and mullets; market commentary on watermarking portfolios; to Michael, the market feels like it's "blowing up:" someone is being forced to liquidate positions. SEG-1: 350-days Without Correction...until SEG-2: Confidence is Key for a Thriving Economy SEG-3: Markets Can Stay Irrational Longer Than You Can Stay Solvent SEG-4: The Error in Watermarking Portfolios Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rpMR4QMJitc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Interest Rates Are Too High – Blame The Mythical R Star" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/interest-rates-are-too-high-blame-the-mythical-r-star/ "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Correction Reach 5%?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9jhduZnaAuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Invest - or not - in a Presidential Election" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kLclO1Y9stI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Confidence #FinancialSituation #MarketImpact #Economy #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerSentiment #InvestorSentiment #PortfolioPerformance, #EconomicBehavior #FinancialMarkets #SpendingHabits #MarketDecline #Financial Health #EconomicSentiment #FinancialDecisions #InvestmentConfidence #ConsumerConfidence #MarketSentiment #EconomicImpact #SpendingPatterns #FinancialImpact #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts provides a preview of Q2 GDP results, Temp hiring is tapering, and rising credit card delinquencies (because of unemployment) suggesting economic stress. A three year experiment in Universal Basic Income is an epic failure. Google earnings beat estimates, but YouTube's $1B revenue disappoints(!); Tesla puls back 7% on earnings results. Correction is near, but not today. Danny's accident and Life Challenges as investing lessons: Life is cyclical; theimportance of optimism & risk management. Investing in an election cycle: Trump policies & record vs unknowns about Kamala. Markets will quickly adapt to election outcomes and money will flow into apparent areas of beneficial trades. What happens in House and Senate is also key: Markets love gridlock. Tariff talk. Why you don't want to be in Small- and Mid-caps in Recession. Transitioning from saving to spending in retirement: What's your plan? What are your goals? Planning for the eventuality of higher taxes. Having a strategy for spending your retirement nest egg. SEG-1: Universal Basic Income Fail & Markets Flirt w Support SEG-2: How to Invest During Election Cycles SEG-3A: Why You Don't Want to Be in Small- or Mid-caps During Recession SEG-3B: Transitioning from Accumulation to Spending in Retirement SEG-4: Having a Plan for Spending Your Retirement Nest Egg Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kLclO1Y9stI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-24-24 Markets Are Flirting with Support" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pi6OS2UxDu4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Bull market Just Getting Started?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eQG_R6DJWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #2024Election #ElectionCycle #UniversalBasicIncome #Google #Tesla #Q2GDP #Unemployment #CreditCardDelinquencies #SmallCap #MidCap #Recession #Retirement #RetirementNestEgg #RetirementPlanning #RetirementSpending #Markets #Money #Investing

Measures of inflation are beginning to come down: Shelter costs are expected to decline over the next six-months; jobless claims and consumer delinquencies are on the rise. Markets rally after a three-day correction, retesting the 20-DMA, and back up again, thanks to mega-caps. The current Sell-signal may limit upside. Is the bull market just getting started? Lance explains w charts & graphs. Understanding the importance of safety when investing in corporate bonds. Choose wisely to avoid defaults. The types of corporate bonds considered to be "money good;" the importance of a company's cash balance for interest payment; portfolio disclosure on owning corporate bonds. What's the criteria for avoiding "zombie" companies. The need for a catalytic event to impact bond investments. Lance and Jonathan examine the relationship between inflation, interest rates, and bond prices: The effect of decreasing inflation on loan demand; how slower economic activity impacts interest rates; the correlation between inflation and interest rates; explanation of longer duration bonds; the inverse relationship between bond yields and prices SEG-1: Inflation Measures Coming Down; Markets Correct SEG-2: Is the Bull Market Just Getting Started? SEG-3: How to Invest in High Safety Corporate Bonds SEG-4: How Inflation Impacts Demand for Loans and Interest Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9eQG_R6DJWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Bull Market – Could It Just Be Getting Started?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-bull-market-could-it-just-be-getting-started/ "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Successfully Retest the 20-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdPxfq2puVs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Analyzing the Potential Impact of a Kamala Harris Presidency " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GD5zUs1trJk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2619s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateBonds #Investment #HighSafety #CatalyticEvent #Portfolio #MoneyGoodCompanies #CashBalanceSheet #InterestPayments #BondOwnership #ZombieCompanies #FinancialStrategy #CorporateBondSelection #RiskManagement #BondMarketInsights #InvestorConsiderations #Disclosure #CorporateFinance #FinancialHealth #InterestCoverage #BondSelectionCriteria #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance discusses the markets' potential reaction to Biden's exit from Presidential race, and whether markets' rotation out of mega-cap stocks is sustainable; a rewind to February market conditions compared to now: A correction is expected before the election. Commentary on keeping market corrections into context; the mega-cap rotation and fewer medium- and small-cap companies from which to choose: 40% of these are unprofitable companies. As companies complete their quarterly reports, buy back will again be enabled, and that activity will add to market volume. Lance explores the potential impact of a Kamala Harris presidency. What sectors could benefit from her leadership and policies? An overview of Harris’s potential presidency and expected policy focus areas; implications for clean energy, Student loan forgiveness initiatives, and the broader Democratic policy continuations Regional Banks are reporting this week, encumbered by collateral and commercial real estate. Company stock buy back will resume following quarterly reports. Market expectations are for three rate cuts this year; the Fed now hints at only two. Lance discusses the importance of Credit Spreads as early indicators for credit market health. VIX Behavior. SEG-1: Markets' Response to Biden Withdrawal SEG-2: Putting Market Corrections into Context SEG-3: Market Impact of Buy Back Resumption; SEG-4: Earnings Preview; Credit Spreads as Risk Barometer Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GD5zUs1trJk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2619s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Can Mega-Capitalization Stocks Continue Their Dominance?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/can-mega-capitalization-stocks-continue-their-dominance/ "Russell Explodes Higher As Rotation Takes Hold" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Position for Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PZC2yyhOkxw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Has the Economy Put Your Retirement Plans on Hold?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48O-tkQ685Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2145s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #KamalaHarris #Presidency #2024Election #CleanEnergy #StudentLoanForgiveness #SocialisticPolicies, #Democrats #MarketFutures #MarketSectors #PublicPolicies #BidenAdministration #Politicalanalysis #Government #Economy #SocialIssues #RenewableEnergy #EducationReform #PoliticalFuture #AdministrationFocus #DemocraticParty #PolicyImpact #PoliticalLeadership #USpolitics #Markets #Money #Investing

Richard Rosso opines on Houston driver, CrowdStrike IT fail, and why he's changed his tune in thinking now might be a good time for the Fed to slip in a rate cut. Does the Fed have performance anxiety? Take care in benchmarking risk; market pullbacks are like a "Thanksgiving Oven," keeping things warm to use later. Study shows Gen-X'ers more likely to delay retirement because of economic anxiety. The importance of self-value in post-retirement; the retirement clock. YouTube query: How do we look at inflation and budget as planners? Managing inflation by by adjusting the inputs: "When life gets in the way, your financial plan needs to be able to pick up the pieces." Dealing with less relilance on companies, more upon our own self-reliances (thanks, Emerson!) Studying inflation as "permatory" vs transitory, and how to best calculate your withdrawal rate. When volatility can be your friend; the importance of guaranteed income in retirement...and planning. The importance of having reserves. Why is Congress making it easier to tap retirement funds (leakage)? SEG-1: Market Preview & CrowdStrike IT Fail SEG-2: Economic Anxiety & Gen-X Retirement Plans SEG-3: How We Look at Inflation as Financial Players SEG-4: The Importance of Guaranteed Income and Financial Planning Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48O-tkQ685Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2145s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Astronomical Rotation from Large to Small Cap" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5yFSeF0LxIk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Irrational Exuberance Then & Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUbIu4YZlO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #RetirementDelay #EconomicConcerns #EconomicWeakness #EconomicAnxiety #CrowdStrikeOutage #SelfReliance #Emerson #FederalReserve #CenterpointEnergy #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Hey, kids--what day is it? Lance reorients himself and shares foreigners' perspectives of the U.S. Advice: Avoid the negativity and don't feed the fear. Looking at astronomical rotation from Large- to Small-cap stocks over the past five days: Russell 2000 is elevated by 4.4 standard deviations from its moving average. Markets needed a healthy rotation, and this is actually bullish in creating more breadth in markets. Bad Coffee & YouTube audio; What are the odds for a Fed rate cut in September? Michael Lebowitz joins the conversation: Is inflation "back in the range?" Markets are giving the Fed a green light to cut rates. Are we back to a pre-Covid economy with 5% rates? It's important to separate our personal views from what the markets pay attention to (Government numbers). Is sentiment shifting? Markets are very reflexive. Is the Small-cap chase sustainable? Markets are not responding to Trump/Vance: it's about excess liquidity looking for someplace to go. Michael review's Alan Greenspan's "Irrational Exuberance" thesis then vs now. The internet DID change the world and affected economic growth. What will AI outcomes be? Lance intones the importance of credit spreads as leading indicators; their pick up is worth paying attention to. SEG-1: Others' Perspectives of the US, Markets' Perspective of Astronomical Rotation? SEG-2: Are We Back to a Pre-COVID Economy? SEG-3: Is the Small-cap Chase Sustainable? SEG-4: Are Markets Re-experiencing Irrational Exuberance? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUbIu4YZlO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Irrational Exuberance Then And Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/irrational-exuberance-then-and-now/ "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Astronomical Rotation from Large to Small Cap" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5yFSeF0LxIk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Avoiding the Sexy Stock Plays" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBh7AGlIQsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AlanGreenspan #IrrationaExuberance #MarketRotation #AI #CreditSpreads #PortfolioBalance #SexyStocks #MagnificentSeven #2024Election #MonetaryPolicy #JeromePowell #JamieDimon #RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

ay-3 of the RNC convention: Markets are already beginning to shift in anticipation of a presumed presidency and policies, with an eye on taxation and monetary policy. Donald Trump has said he will allow Jerome Powell to finish his term as Fed Chair, with Jamnie Dimon as Treasury Secretary. Meanwhile, we're watching major moves in the Russell 2000 with rotational trades in anticipation of election outcome. Will there be an October Surprise? Market Futures are sharply down ahead of this morning's open. Lance's Air BNB, mew house, and Hurricane aftermath. Avoiding the sexy trades, the Mag-7 effect, and concentrated portfolio risks. What does the Buffett Indicator tell us (a horrible, short-term indicator)? The value in maintaining balance with "boring" stocks. Cathie Woods' tweet on tax losses as assets; Retail Sales analysis & raw NSA numbers are weaker than expressed; watch for downward revisions. 40% of Russell 2000 are unprofitable companies, heavily indebted, and unable to generate stock buy backs. What to do when a company stock falls out of favor: avoiding psychological traps. Remembering dividend performance; how to tell if a company is strong. SEG-1: Markets Prepare for Presumed Presidency SEG-2: Effects of Mega-Caps & Avoiding sexy trades SEG-3A: Cathie Woods' Tax Losses & Assets SEG-3B: Retail Sales & RAW NSA Numbers SEG-4: What to Do When Stocks Fall Out of Favor Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BBh7AGlIQsY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Rotation Continues " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6m1gmdLmwuU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Relationship Between Fed Rate Cuts and Treasury Yields Explained" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bnFVM2_njAE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioBalance #SexyStocks #MagnificentSeven #2024Election #MonetaryPolicy #JeromePowell #JamieDimon #RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts begins with an earnings and economic reports preview; there is now a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates sooner than later, and odds-makers now expecte three rate cuts. Small- and Mid-cap stocks are now three standard deviations above their averages; might be time to take profits. Lance explains the correlation between Fed funds rate adjustments and bond performance, the relationship between Fed rate cuts and bond performance; analysis of the ten-year treasury versus the Fed funds rate; high correlation between Fed fund cuts and falling ten-year treasury yields; expected trends when the Fed starts cutting rates; implications for investors during a rate cutting environment. More economic previews; Lance and Jon discuss advisor fees and what you're getting (no not). SEG-1: Earnings & Retail Sales Preview: Time to Take Profits? SEG-2: Chances for a Rate Cut? SEG-3: Invesetor Mistakes: There Are No Permanent Assets SEG-4: The Question of Fees & What You're Getting - or not Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bnFVM2_njAE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Rate Cuts – A Signal To Sell Stocks And Buy Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-cuts-a-signal-to-sell-stocks-and-buy-bonds/ "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Take Profits?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sM-c7jumqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYe_X26mids&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RateCuts #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #FedFundsRate #TreasuryYields #FallingYields #HighCorrelation #RateCuttingEnvironment #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

That was the week that was: Hurricane Beryl, celebrity deaths, Trump assassination attempt, & Lance's Vacation. PPI show inflation trending downward, setting up for a Fed rate cut: July or September? Investor sentiment remains positive as markets continue to grind higher; investor eschew put-options, which are very cheap now...just like this time, last year. Bears are like a ‘broken clock,’ they are right twice a day.” While that may seem true during a rising bull market, the reality is that both “bulls” and “bears” are owned by the “broken clock syndrome.” The statement exposes the ignorance or bias of those making such a claim. If you invert the logic, such things become more evident. “If ‘bears’ are right twice a day, then ‘bulls’ must be wrong twice a day.” In the investing game, the timing of being “wrong” is critical to your long-term goals. Want to maximize your cash by timing market moves? Lance Roberts shares key insights on portfolio management tactics in this video. Strategies for buying shares at better prices; Understanding the importance of portfolio management; The challenge of knowing when to exit the market; Difficulties in identifying the right time to buy the dip; Realistic expectations for market timing. SEG-1: Markets Continue to Grind Higher SEG-2: The Broken Clock Syndrome SEG-3: How to Be an Eagle in the Market SEG-4: Markets' Anticipated Response to Trump Shooting Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYe_X26mids&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The “Broken Clock” Fallacy & The Art Of Contrarianism" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-broken-clock-fallacy-the-art-of-contrarianism/ "Put Options – Nobody Wants Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back on a Buy Signal" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQYxWAxGEKI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "WHy Berkshire Hathaway's 100-Year Strategy Won't Work for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpgRKuHEiBs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HurricaneBeryl #DonaldTrump #MarketTiming #InvestingStrategies #PortfolioManagement #BuyingTheDip #StockMarket #InvestmentTiming #CashManagement #MarketMoves #StrategicInvesting #FinancialTips #InvestmentDecisions #StockPortfolio #FinancialMarkets #MaximizingCash #Buying shares #BetterPrice #Market#Entry #MarketExit #InvestmentAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

The saga of the Roberts' Rental house concludes, at the cost of a coffee maker and other electrical appliances. How much will it cost to feed your hoard on July 4th? Market Commentary: light volume expected for the remainder of the holiday-shortened week. Adam Taggart, Jon Huntsman analysis: Symptoms vs reality. The importance of doing your own due diligence and sticking to an investing discipline. Lance and Danny discuss concentration risk and the Enron debacle; Fintech's false promises to investors. Why individuals cannot invest like Warren Buffett & Berkshire Hathaway: Buffett's investment horizon is 100-years. SEG-1: Feeding on the Fourth for $71 - Market Commentary SEG-2: The Hunt Brothers' Silver Saga & Copper Commodities Today SEG-3: The Importance of Investing Discipline SEG-4: Investing Like Warren Buffett? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xpgRKuHEiBs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Earnings Bar Lowered As Q2 Reports Begin" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-bar-lowered-as-q2-reports-begin/ "The Confidence Dichotomy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Movers Before the 4th" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i4lTPrUdWRY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Beat Earnings Estimates" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bG6OzGjibtM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WarrenBuffett #BerkshireHathaway #!00YearStrategy #Investment #HoldingPeriod #LongTermPlanning #Legacy #FinancialStrategy #HewlettPackard #Longevity #BusinessPhilosophy #Visionary #SustainableGrowth #CorporateContinuity #FutureProofing #DurableInvestments #AssetManagement #CompanyLifespan #WealthPreservation #EarningsGrowth #FinancialCrisis #LoweredEarningsBar #CompanyPerformance #Expectations #StrongEarnings #QuarterResults #FinancialAnalysis #EarningsEstimates #Inflation #Deflation #FinancialAdvice #FinancialAdvisorValue #PortfolioManager #RentalProperty #HomeOwnership #Markets #Money #Investing

Lance previews Q2 GDP estimates: The lag effect is showing up in GDP Estimate revisions, as the economy slows. The difference betweeen Inflation vs Deflation: The rate of change is slowing, but prices are remaining high. Commentary on interest rate behavior at end of Quarter; quarter-end rebalancing and dividend payments. The next chapter in the saga of the Roberts' Rental house; kudo's to Abacus Electrical, raspberries to Centerpoint Energy. The best way to beat earnings estimates: Lower the bar for expectations. The normal beat rate is about 75%. What is the true value of a financial advisor? Not to be confused with a portfolio manager (Doctors vs Coaches). A brief discussion of Tex-Mex, BBQ, and Houston as a food mecca; the value of a financial planner to a family. SEG-1: Inflation vs Deflation - Which Way, Interest Rates? SEG-2A: The Roberts' Rental Saga, Pt-2 SEG-2B: How to Beat Earnings Estimates SEG-3: The Value of a Financial Advisor, Pt-1 SEG-4: The Value of a Financial Advisor, Pt-2 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bG6OzGjibtM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Earnings Bar Lowered As Q2 Reports Begin" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-bar-lowered-as-q2-reports-begin/ "The Confidence Dichotomy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Interest Rates are a Function of Inflation and Economic Growth" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NuGhZlS_1J0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Confidence Dichotomy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QF2-xOKv68c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsGrowth #FinancialCrisis #LoweredEarningsBar #CompanyPerformance #Expectations #StrongEarnings #QuarterResults #FinancialAnalysis #EarningsEstimates #Inflation #Deflation #FinancialAdvice #FinancialAdvisorValue #PortfolioManager #RentalProperty #HomeOwnership #Markets #Money #Investing

Why are Markets and the real economy mal-aligned? A tale of two parties in how Americans are faring financially. Re-thinking frivolous spending: How we blew through our savings. If you're in the market, you're loving it: 31-days of all-time highs (so far) in 2024. Rich and Matt discuss decision-making when approaching retirement: The myths about taking Social Security early. Rich & Matt ponder who'll be the next James Bond; timing your retirement, and consideration of spousal benefits: Calculating the difference in delaying Social Security. The goal of Social Security: What if you live? Visualizing lifestyle, money scripting, and longevity. What is the optimum time for financial planning? It's never too soon. 3:18 - A Tale of Two Parties - How Americans Are Fairing Financially 14:40 - How We Blew Our Saving- Re-thinking Frivolous Spending 30:26 - Timing Your Retirement 44:43 - The Goal of Social Security - What If You Live? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Ten Steps, Ten Years to Retirement" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ten-steps-ten-years-to-retirement/ "Why Economists And Citizens Have Different Inflation Realities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-economists-and-citizens-have-different-inflation-realities/ "S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/ "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Is Wall Street Selling off Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_zv7LpVACk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Downtrend: Understanding Snowball Effects & The Role of the Fed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=syNCKJpl16Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #ClaimingDecision #YoungerSpouse #Retirement #FinancialPlanning #SignificantOther #EarlyBenefits #PayGap #RetirementIncome #SocialSecurityBenefits #FinancialStrategy #Study #DecisionMaking #Markets #Money #Investing

The Supreme Court strikes down the Chevron Deference that allowed government agencies to dictate policy, bypassing Congress. This may be the biggest decision since their relegation of abortion policy back to the states in striking down Roe v Wade. Meanwhile, markets end the 2nd quarter somewhat sloppily, but still positive for the year, possibly portending a positive finish for the year. This does not, however, exclude the possibility of correction this summer, and August, September, & October in an election year are typically weak. Lance retells his weekend rent house experience as an underscore endorsing renting over homeownership for most folks. Shocking. A look at the dichotomy of confidence: Expectations for market gains this year do now square with our feelings about the economy (and where do earnings come from?) The tale of the Roberts' celebrity dogs; why the NAR pushed for adjustable rate mortgages...and why they're a horrible idea for nearly everyone. SEG-1: SCOTUS Chevron Deference - Markets Prep for 2nd Half SEG-2A: The Shocking Saga of the Roberts' Rent House SEG-2B: Why this is not a market to be keeping up with SEG-3: The Confidence Dichotomy SEG-4A: Checking-in the Roberts' Dogs at a Hotel SEG-4B: Homeownership & Adjustable Mortgages: A Bad Idea Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QF2-xOKv68c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Confidence Dichotomy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Prepare for Second Half" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ks5GW3xJgtg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=2 ------- Our previous show is here: "Ten Steps, Ten Years to Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fullI_3AecY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SCOTUS #ChevronDeference #RoeVwade #2ndQuarter #MarketCorrection #ElectionYear #InvestorConfidence #ConsumerConfidence #EarningsEstimates #RentalProperty #NationialAssociationRealtors #AdjustableRateMortgages #HomeOwnership #Markets #Money #Investing

Wrapping up the month of June, and the start of a new Quarter in July: Expect market volatility. Micron's miss will weigh on tech sector. Analysts' estimates have dropped by $5/share for Q3, lowering the bar in anticipation of next reporting season. Final Q1 GDP revision due today. Moving closer to July Fed meeting and possible rate cuts? Jobless claims are climbing. Options markets begin to bet on Presidential election outcome. Why is Wall Street selling off Nvidia now? Debate preview & potential drinking games thereof; July Fed meeting preview; it's a boring Fed for now. Banks passing their stress tests (is this a joke?) There is greater stress on collateral due to higher interest rates. What are the implications of dirt cheap sales of commercial real estate, backed by banks? Distressed debt. What's wrong in Japan, selling $63-B in bonds over 9-months is meaningless. Two options: Keep a lid on interest rates, or keep the Yen from falling. Central Banks & Gov'ts work together. Why it's in everyone's best interest to keep the US Dollar as liquid as possible. Dedollarization & Petrodollar nonsense, concern for higher rates, and the long view is for lower rates. Lance & Michael discuss the potential impact of AI, and the market's current downtrend and its potential to escalate into a larger financial concern. He highlights the importance of monitoring market signals and the role of the Federal Reserve. SEG-1: Why is Wall Street Selling Off Nvidia? SEG-2: Banks Pass Stress Tests & Real Estate Deals Done Dirt Cheap SEG-3: What's the Worry About Japanese Bond Sales? SEG-4: The Impact of AI & Behind the Scenes in a Bullish Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=syNCKJpl16Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Economists And Citizens Have Different Inflation Realities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-economists-and-citizens-have-different-inflation-realities/ "S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/ "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Is Wall Street Selling off Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_zv7LpVACk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Irony in Consumer Confidence" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiGzVkzaz-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketDowntrend #MarketVolatility #InvestorComplacency #Shorts #SnowballEffect #Fed #InterestRates #CutRates #FederalReserve #MarketDeterioration #FinancialTrends #Investing #Economics #Potential #Increase #Stocks #MarketSignals #FinancialStability #EconomicIndicators #FinancialAnalysis #SurpriseRateCut #MarketBehavior #MarketTrends #Markets #Money #Investing

Pre-debate, Consumer Confidence, and a rally for Nvidia: earnings preview & market commentary: How long can markets remain over-bought? Investors' common mistakes: Acting too soon, and over-reacting. Markets can remain over-bought for a long time; a function of market momentum. Consumer confidence has been trending lower; the dichotomy of consumer expectations vs market performance. Vacation Theory & Consumer Confidence: what policies were in place? CNBC Economists: 2nd Trump term would re-heat inflation? Why tariff;s lead to inflation (and how consumers get aroun them.) 44% of inflation is in housing; don't mix politics w investing. Market behavior under Republican vs Democrat majority. Nvidia dominates AI-chip market (for now); what happens when competition comes into the market. Computers w lab-grown "organoid" brains. SEG-1: How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought? SEG-2: The Irony in Consumer Confidence SEG-3: Don't Mix Politics w Investing SEG-4: Who'll Compete w Nvidia? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiGzVkzaz-g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/ "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "How Long Can Markets Remain Over-bought?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is S&P 6,300 Outside the Realm of Possibility?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investors #Households #FullyInvested #Buying #Corporations #SamStovall #SP500 #MarketInvestment #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentTrends #ConsumerSpending #ConsumerIrony #Nvidia #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #Organoids #Markets #Money #Investing

Fed speakers are out this week, talking the same game. Lance examines corellation between the Chicago Fed National Activity Index and economic growth, and what posts to X (formerly known as Twitter) are to be called. Who does the Fed depend upon for data? There are many divergences in the data; Nvidia's bad day(s): Stock split and 13% drop is a correction, not a crash. Doing the math to S&P 6,300 and looking at the range of possibilities. We address the common investor's desire for a perfect low-risk, high-reward investment. Lance & Jon discuss the unrealistic expectations and the growing demand for such ideal investments in today's market and economy: The search for a magic pill investment; expectations versus reality in market investments; economic uncertainty driving demand for low-risk options; the illusion of high upside with minimal downside; practical advice for cautious investors. Know what you own; best college degrees for money managers? SEG-1: Economic Data Does Not Agree w "Strong Economy" SEG-2: Investors' Common Mistakes when Markets Diverge SEG-3: The Search for Elusive, Perfect, Low-Risk Investments SEG-4: Problems w How Economic Data is Derived Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6g9HvIJSrPQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "S&P 6300? Is That Outside The Realm Of Possibility?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-6500-is-that-outside-the-realm-of-possibility/ "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What to do with Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zO6Gwv9xAqs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Avoid These Common Trading Mistakes" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investors #PerfectInvestment #LowRisk #MarketUpside #MinimalDownside #MagicPill #Economy #MarketConcerns #Demand #RiskManagement #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicUncertainty #StockMarket #FinancialSecurity #InvestmentDemand #MarketRisk #EconomicTrends #FinancialPlanning #InvestmentChallenges #DownsideProtection #SafeInvestments #MarketFluctuations #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialMarkets #SafetyNets #Markets #Money #Investing

Market volatility closed out last week, as investors prepare to wrap June and Q2 business. Triple-witching Friday added to the excitement, and markets remain extremely over bought. The Conference Board's Leading Indicator Index has been negatice for 27-mos in a row; always a precessor of Recession. Lance discusses investors' two common mistakes when markets negatively diverge (w charts). A look at Market Cap Weighting vs Equal Weighting in porfolios; is it time for a clean-up? The problem with Economic Data and how it's derived: Sentiment surveys are not hard data points. Separate emotion from investing; measuring and managing risk. Lance's commentary on the week ahead. SEG-1: Economic Data Does Not Agree w "Strong Economy" SEG-2: Investors' Common Mistakes when Markets Diverge SEG-3: Market Cap Weighting vs Equal Weighting SEG-4: Problems w How Economic Data is Derived Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlAv5bqFHWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad Breadth Keeps Getting Worse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Over-bought" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9_N5nG1kXUA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Could Tax Policy Shrink the Economy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TradingTips #CommonMistakes #Overreacting #ActingTooEarly #RSP #SPY #NegativeBreath #InvestingStrategies #MarketAnalysis #TradingPsychology #InvestmentMistakes #CarefulTrading #FinancialAdvice #Reversion #BuyingAndSelling #MarketBehavior #EmotionalTrading #CautiousInvesting #PortfolioManagement #TradingDecisions #MarketTrends #StockMarketTips #TradingStrategy #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets are performing the job of the Fed; is the economy stronger? Rich & Jon look at the "Olive Garden economic indicator: Who's dining out, and who is staying in? How to unravel high restaurant prices 9and everything else, too!) Baby Boomers are still spending. Candid Coffee preview (egistration link below); Investor complacency is troubling. The Genworth settlement = 100% increase in premiums. Financial Dust Bunnies. Nvidia performance cannot continue indefinitely; the data the markets are ignoring. Social Security COLA adjustments to reverse; unrest is whoing up in election results; we are in the Fourth Turning; keep a global perspective. Both political parties are way off on tax policy; the truth about small business margins: They're razor-thin. Tariffs instead of taxes will not work; taxes generate more revenue than tariffs. Planning for higher taxes with Roth options. We don't have a tax revenue problem; we have a congresional spending problem. Why the Roth is never going away. What happens when current tax rates expsire; the Roth is NOT an emergency savings account. SEG-1: Gauging the Economy w the Olive Garden Indicator SEG-2: Investor Complacency & Date the Markets are Ignoring SEG-3: How Tax Policy Could Shrink the Economy SEG-4: Why the Roth is Here to Stay Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s3o4Y6KSz1w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1316s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/ "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Debunking Dollarization: Why the Dollar Is Stronger Than Ever" https://youtube.com/watch?v=i7k9Tvh-SzQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1138s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxPolicy #DonaldTrump #JoeBiden #MarketCycles #FedRateCuts #EconomicTrends #InvestmentStrategies #MarketPerformance #FinancialPlanning #MarketAnticipation #EconomicCycles #FinancialAdvice #FederalReserve #RateCutsImpact #MarketTiming #LongTermInvesting #EconomicForecast #FinancialMarkets #StockMarketBehavior #MarketAnalysis #FinancialPredictions #EconomicOutlook #MarketDownturn #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialCycles #Markets #Money #Investing

Will markets exhibit the typical summer weakness? Prepping for the election outcomes; correction coming now and later. Preview of housing numbers and initial jobless claims; market breadth is on the decline. The increasing gap between the S&P 500 and equal-weighted indexes. Lance discusses the relative strength of the Dollar vs other currencies. Petro-dollar fears and how you're being sold by Wall Street. Our narrative should be how to make money. The "demise" of the petro-dollar; keeping currencies all relative within a range is important for Trade. The Gold/Dollar dynamic; why the world transacts business in dollars: The need for a deep and stable currency...and safety. The importance of Rule of Law: How policy choices can errode trust in the dollar. The divergence between energy stocks and the underlying commodities; the cycle of commodity prices; a recession will cause the next price crash. Seasonality in the month of June; wrapping the Quarter + buy back blackout = market headwinds. Rebalancing is coming. The Ozympic conundrum. SEG-1: Summer Weakness for Markets? SEG-2: The Petro Dollar SEG-3: The Divergence Between Energy Stocks & Commodities SEG-4: Seasonality in the Month of June; Weight-loss Drugs Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://youtube.com/watch?v=i7k9Tvh-SzQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1138s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/ "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj2P5gV5qZk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Sales Disappoint" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uo6SSkYzr8I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Dollar #Dollarization #Dedollarization #Misconception #Currency #StrongerDollar #CurrencyComparison #FinancialAnalysis #Economy #ExchangeRates #WeakeningDollar #GlobalCurrency #FinancialArticles #CurrencyTrends #PetroDollar #EnergyStocks #Commodities #Divergence #MarketSeasonality #Markets #Money #Investing

Wall Street is closed today in observance of Juneteenth; we predict markets will be flat today. Retail Sales disappoint. Our analysis: Economy is slowing. Nvidia is now The Biggest Company; iShares rebalancing at the end of the month. Apple will swap places w Nvidia in index. Remember, Wall St.'s job is to sell you stocks, not to provide accurate information. Lance & Brent discuss Death Wish Coffee, dancing dogs, and opposable thumbs. Why investors must buy Nvidia; performance differentials. Lance defends his love of dogs; there is nothing wrong with the markets for now, but they will eventually correct. Trying to avoid a crash will cost you more than investing and riding-out a crash. What's the risk of change for Nvidia? Economic data is pointing to a slow down; retail sales will feed into services sector. Higher costs = no more Grub Hub. Lance addresses government waste: PPP fraud, Medicare fraud, $42-B for high-speed internet no one has received. Increased cost of healthcare insurance is directly due to advent of ObamaCare, and allowing sick people into the coverage pool. To fix what's wrong, track the money. SEG-1: Juneteenth Markets Will Be Flat SEG-2: Why Investors Must Buy Nvidia SEG-3: Nvidia's Risk & Watching Slowing Economic Data SEG-4: Fixing Government Waste: Follow the Money Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uo6SSkYzr8I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/ "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Makes Correction Pain Worse?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cK5F6C8sbw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Bullishness on the Rise?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y7bl0kL73VM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2235s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia, #Investment #Necessity #IndexFund #SP500 #PortfolioManagement #Benchmark #PortfolioManager #IndexPortfolio #BuyingStocks #MarketStrategy #FinancialDecision #StockPerformance #EconomicTrends #MarketAnalysis #Juneteenth #RetailSales #EconomicSlowing #GovernmentWaste #ObamaCare #HighSpeedInternet #HealthcareInusrance #MedicareFraud #PPPfraud #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets are trading in a holiday-shortened week, thanks to the Juneteenth Holiday Wednesday. 50% of companies are now in stock buy back blackout period. Retail Sales report preview; a function of Consumer sentiment. Five Fed speakers out and about today; markets started weakly, then rallied 1%. Volume and breadth are weakening; markets are very over-bought and extremely deviated from DMA's; when correction comes... Is consumer sentiment on the rise? How best to balance portfolio mix (charts). When will the "Next Big One" come along? Query about going from 90/10 portfolio to 100% equities; you can always find a reason not to invest. Bonds vs T-bills vs Equities; What to do when there are no high-yiled, low-risk options? How to manage risk in volatile rate environment; why you should look at your portfolio only once a quarter; separate emotion from your investments. SEG-1: Markets Are Over Bought & Extremely Deviated from DMA's SEG-2: Is Consumer Sentiment & Investor Bullishness on the Rise? SEG-3: Managing Risk Before the "Next Big One" Comes Along SEG-4: What Happens When There Are No High-yield, Low-risk Options? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Sr. Fianncial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y7bl0kL73VM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2235s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Consumer Survey Shows Rising Bullishness" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-survey-shows-rising-bullishness/ "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Makes Correction Pain Worse?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cK5F6C8sbw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Interest Rates: Is a Multi-Decade Increase on the Horizon?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hFJaamK_m4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #InvestorBullishness #ConsumerSentiment #InterestRates #MarketCorrection #Homeowners #BorrowingCosts #Economy #JamesGrant #CyclicalPattern #MultiDecadePeriod #Consumption #HigherRates #EconomicImpact #HousingMarket #FinancialTrends #MonetaryPolicy #Markets #Money #Investing

Will "Sell in May & Go Away" repeat this summer? Will Wall Street 'de-risk" ahead of presidential election? Economic data continues to weaken and consumer sentiment takes a sharp drop; is this a trend-change? Markets return to over bought conditions; such extreme deviations from 20- and 50-DMA cannot last for long. Breadth is very narrow; market driven by only a few stocks. Import prices drop; inflation remains sticky. Persistent inflation will force the Fed to lower rates; when? Meanwhile, James Grant insists rate will cycle higher; Lance discusses the impact of higher interest rates on the economy and shares insights from an interview with James Grant: Discover how cyclical patterns and rising rates can shape the future; impact of higher interest rates on homeowners; borrowing costs and their effect on consumption; economic implications of rising rates; Grant's perspective on cyclical interest rate patterns; potential multi-decade rise in interest rates. Beware scare tactics and doomsday headlines (what are they trying to sell you??) All roads lead to inflation. SEG-1: Will Wall St. De-risk Ahead of Presidential Election? SEG-2: Inflation Print Keeps Fed on Track to Cut Rates SEG-3: Is James Grant Correct About Rates Going Higher? SEG-4: What Are They Trying to Sell You? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hFJaamK_m4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Print Keeps Fed On Track To Cut Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Grant: Rates Are Going Much Higher. Is He Right?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/grant-rates-are-going-much-higher-is-he-right/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Corrective Action is Inevitable" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hU7Wh4i51TE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Dealing With the "Squishy" Side of Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XdRXLssiy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InterestRates #Homeowners #BorrowingCosts #Economy #JamesGrant #CyclicalPattern #MultiDecadePeriod #Consumption #HigherRates #EconomicImpact #HousingMarket #FinancialTrends #MonetaryPolicy #Markets #Money #Investing

Parsing the economic data; Bonds vs ETF's; how bond pries and interest rates move; couting on the income. Danny & Jonathan address YouTube chatroom questions on Bond Yields and Buy/Sell dynamics; Dialing for Petro Dollars: A discussion of the US Dollar's strength, and whether it will still be the world's reserve currency in the future. Four good reasons to keep the Dollar. Transitioning into retirement, from accumulator to distributor, and dealing with the "squishy" side of retirement; finding purpose; activities together vs alone; planning spending allocations. The Dead Air nightmares; why Chick-Fil-A is closed on Sunday; the RIA Advisors Studio Orchestra; Roth conversions now against higher taxes later; crafting a strategy with Backdoor Roths. SEG-1: Parsing the Data; Bonds vs ETF's SEG-2: Dialing for Petro Dollars SEG-3: Dealing w the Squishy side of Retirement SEG-4: Dead Air, Blue Laws, & Roth Conversions Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XdRXLssiy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar's Death: Not So Fast" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-dollars-death-not-so-fast "Four Reasons The Dollar Is Here to Stay- Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/four-reasons-the-dollar-is-here-to-stay-part-2 "Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/ "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Federal Reserve and BLS Labor Data Discrepancies Explored" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #PetroDollars #RothConversions #BackdoorRoth #SquishyRetirement #RetirementPlanning #FinancialAdvisor #EmployerBenefits #RetirementStrategy #Working #FinancialPlanning #RetirementValue #MaximizingBenefits #RetirementAdvice #EarlyRetirementPlanning #FinancialAssistance #LongTermPlanning #RetirementGoals #RetirementSavings #FinancialHealth #AdvisorBenefits #Proactive Planning #RetirementSecurity #FuturePlanning #FinancialStrategies #RetirementHelp #Markets #Money #Investing

June is half-over, and the stock buy back blackout begins today, removing that source of activity from the market. Economic data points continue to weaken, but Fed Chairman Jerome Powell wants to see "more good data." There is an alternative universe of debt; the Fed wants weaker economy so they can lower rates. The S&P 500 sets another new, all-time high; Apple, Miscrosoft, & Nvidia are driving the market. There is an ever-widening performance gap between the S&P 500 and everyone else. Mrs. Roberts' Roomba and an FOMC Meeting recap; the economy is "normalizing." Jerome Powell's humility; interest rates are restrictive; the problem with being data-dependent. Elon Musk's pay package; markets are still being driven by fewer and fewer stocks; buy backs' influence on market performance; was Apply buying back shares to bolster reaction from Apple Intelligence rollout? What happens when correction comes; what will trigger. Chocolate chip cookies & Cinnabons; the Bond market is picking up as consumer spending slows. there's plenty of room for downside in bonds; Gold's response to real rates. Speculation is driving gold. Private Credit opportunities and trends. Buy now pay later companies' credentials are very opaque; are you being rewarded for the risk you're taking on? SEG-1: Lopsided Market Response to FOMC Meeting/Inflation SEG-2: FOMC - The Economy is Normalizing SEG-3: Markets' Driven by Fewer Stocks - What Happens When Correction Comes? SEG-4: CPI & Employment Data is Belying Deeper Problem Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/ "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Managing Risk & Returns with Individual Treasury Bonds" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LaborMarket #Overstated #BLSdata #FederalReserve #Employment #ElectionCycle #JobStatistics #EconomicIndicators #DataDiscrepancies #UnemploymentRates #MarketDataAnalysis #LaborStatistics #JobMarket #EmploymentReports EconomicDataReliability #Markets #Money #Investing

It's Fed Day and Inflation Day: The FOMC meeting commences, and inflation in May cooled a bit. What will the Fed's Dot Plot show? Rate cut expectations are down to just two for this year, and likely not occuring until after the election. How will the Fed loosen QT? Markets set another all time high, marginally. The rally-restest-rally pattern continues. Apple was the big driver on Tuesday with the heralding of "Apple Intelligence." We answer viewers' questions about owning Bonds vs Treasuries vs ETF's. The saga of predictions, swimming in oil, and uranium's leap ahead of its reality. Our investing strategy now: What we're buying and selling, and why; how we manage risk. SEG-1: Fed Day/Inflation Day; Apple Intelligence SEG-2: Outlook for Owning Bonds SEG-3: Swimming in Oil & The Saga of Predictions SEG-4: How We Manage Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6tkkfvRTQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Apple?" is here: https://youtu.be/3HXblWzZ5S4 ------- Our previous show is here: "How the 60/40 Investment Strategy Works for You" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleIntelligence #FOMC #FederalReserve #Inflation #RiskManagement #Portfolio #TreasuryBonds #YieldMaximization #HurdleRates #InvestmentStrategy #RiskHedge #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #BondInvestment #IndividualBonds #PortfolioManagement #ReturnCalculation #FinancialAdvice #BondMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets are essentially in stasis until after tomorrow's conclusion of the FOMC meeting. Market enthusiasm is similar to that seen in 2000, but there are a few differences this time around. Will Apple AI tailor a better product for users; can AI actually deliver? Crude Oil in a MACD buy signal from very low levels: Time to buy? How Generation-Z is making blue collar jobs cool; implications of power demands for AI and requirements for building out power grid to meet AI demand. Is it time to re-think the 60/40 portfolio? The finite value of bonds vs equity market risk. You can always adjust ratios to match your appetite. The basic economics of interest ates & monetary velocity. Looking at Media-driven narratives vs real data: dealing withi emotions in investing. Gold vs lead: Know your narrative. Importance of knowing how to make money with your money; copper commodity cycles; oil prices. SEG-1: Markets Meander; Time to Buy Oil? SEG-2: Gen-Z Making Blue Collar Jobs Cool Again SEG-3: Is It Time to Re-think the 60/40 Portfolio? SEG-4: Media-driven Narratives vs Real Data in Investing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xv5IwzcX8Xc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2187s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/ "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Buy Crude Oil?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-XpND3aEVE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Rising Unemployment Rate: A Possible Recession Indicator?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #60_40_Allocation #Interest rates #EconomySlowing #BondPrices #Economics #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialPlanning #AssetAllocation #StockBondMix #InvestmentPortfolio #MarketConditions #Recession #EconomicDownturn #InterestRateImpact #BondMarket #InvestmentAdvice #FinancialInsights #PortfolioManagement #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing

Employment Report Headlines are stronger than the underlying data shows; economic activity is slowing, but markets remain upbeat. Markets have been quiet; complacency can lead to unexpected things. Markets tested 20-DMA and rallied; will re-test that level today...again. FOMC Meeting this week + CPI Inflation data could trigger a change: Markets' performance has been predicated on Fed rate cuts. How we get the employment numbers: Data vs surveys. The gap between households and BLS is growing; something is wrong with the adjustments. Why $20/hr minimum wage isn't working. Look at wages vs total compensation. Employment numbers are likely to be revised downward. Analysts' estimates are unrealistic in the face of economic data. Commodities in Boom-Bust cycles; supply/demand imbalances. Looking at Copper; the Hunt Brother's silver gambit fail. What will happen in the markets when buy back blackout period begins. SEG-1: Employment Report Review; Markets to Retest 20-DMA SEG-2: Headline Employment Numbers Belie Economic Weakness SEG-3: Analysts' Estimates Exceed Economic Reality SEG-4: Commodities in the Boom-Bust Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1eUrYPVoG3M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ffEG0Bmas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Maximize Your Severance Package" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #UnemploymentRate #TwelveMonthAverage #Recession #Trending #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarket #EconomicTrends #Workforce #JobMarket #EmploymentStatistics #EconomicAnalysis #Economy #RecessionIndicators #UnemploymentTrends, #LaborForce #EconomicOutlook #JoblessRate #FinancialAnalysis #Macroeconomics #EconomicConditions #DownturnRisks #EmploymentData #Commodities #BoomBustCycle #Copper #Silver #HuntBrothers #Markets #Money #Investing

The D stands for Donuts: It's International Donut Day; Buc-Cee's Donuts & Jerky; Can a Texas Stock Exchange survive? JR weighs in. NYC's economic suicide; the Roaring Kitty live-stream; Candid Coffee returns (6/29); AI stocks & narrative economics: Will AI not be the savior we'd hoped? How to maximize your severance package; when a layoff is a blessing in disguise. Goldfish & dietary habits; Severance package strategies: Maximizing HSA's; lumps-sum or annutize? Model it out. SEG-1: National Donut Day, Nvidia Split, Jobs Report Preview SEG-2: NYSE vs Texas Stock Exchange & Civil Migration SEG-3: Candid Coffee Preview, Narrative Economics & AI Stocks SEG-4: Goldfish, Diets, & Severance Strategies Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYY5pKt8vI4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investments For The Coming Power Grid Expansion- Part 3" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investments-for-the-coming-power-grid-expansion-part-3/ "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Overtakes Apple at $3 Trillion Market Cap?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCYSYtjM3MA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Small Caps and Mid Caps: Timing Your Investments Post-Economic Slowdown " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znjG3-cP3-8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24): https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SeverancePackages #HighDeductibleMedicalPlan #HSA #HealthSavingsAccount #PreTaxGrowth #TaxDeferred #QualifiedExpenses #CompanyContributions #SeveranceDate #FinancialPlanning #MaximizeHSA #BenefitsOfHSA #DannysFavoriteMedicalPlan #Living expenses#HSALimits #MedicalSavings #RetirementPlanning #TaxBenefits #SeveranceStrategy #EmployeeBenefits #MaximizingSavings #TexasStockExchange #NvidiaStockSplit #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #NarrativeEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing

D-Day commemorations top the day; ISM report shows a big jump, but input prices and employment weakened. The data does not (yet) support thesis for Recession. Nvidia topped $3-Trillion in market capitalization, surpassing Apple for #2 slot in the S&P. Nvidia is now 3x over its 50-DAM. The coming power grid expansion will offer investing opportunities; how viable are alternative energy investment propositions? What are the implications of government subsidies required by alternative energy companies? Political realities to be considered. The next Fed meeting: will they cut rates; how many times? Market performance history vis a vis Fed rate activity. Small caps and mid caps may become favorable investments in the future, especially after a period of slow economic growth or recession when excess stimulus has been absorbed. Lance & Michael break down the crucial moments to consider for small and mid-cap stocks: Current state of mid caps and small caps; Earnings performance of small caps; Economic indicators impacting small caps; Timing for small cap investments; Effect of economic growth or recession on small caps. SEG-1: D-Day and Data (Does Not Support Recession Thesis) SEG-2: Investing in Power Grid Expansion & Alternative Energy Plays SEG-3: The Fed Doesn't Do 'Token' Rate Cuts SEG-4: Small Caps and Mid Caps: Timing Your Investments Post-Economic Slowdown Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znjG3-cP3-8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investments For The Coming Power Grid Expansion- Part 3" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investments-for-the-coming-power-grid-expansion-part-3/ "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Overtakes Apple at $3 Trillion Market Cap?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCYSYtjM3MA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Could Roaring Kitty's Wealth Top $1-Billion?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QzhNqLLV-o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DDay80thAnniversary #Nvidia #MarketCap #Apple #FederalReserve #PowerGridExpansion #AlternativeEnergy #SmalCaps #MidCaps #Earnings #EconomicData #Exposure #InvestmentOpportunities #SlowEconomicGrowth #Recession #FutureInvestments #MarketTrends #EconomicCycles #StockPerformance #Markets #Money #Investing

More weak economic data from the Atlanta Fed; semiconductors are outperforming software stocks, 3:1; look for consolidation in that sector. Domestic stocks are outperforming all other markets. A fairly big correction in Oil Prices over the past few days is now setting up an opportunity for investors to take profits and rebalance energy portfolios, which are by necessity tied to the price of their underlying commodity. Curious about Roaring Kitty's extraordinary journey in the stock market? Discover how his wealth skyrocketed from $53,000 to nearly $300 million; Roaring Kitty's rise to fame in the financial world; the ups and downs of his public visibility; the SEC's perspective on Roaring Kitty’s actions; Key financial milestones and achievements; the potential for his wealth to reach $1 billion. Why elected officials should not be allowed to invest in the market; preparing your finances for recession: Warning flags are signaling trouble ahead. Using proper risk management. How bad will the next correction be? The trigger will be some credit related event; where will we go from there? SEG-1: Weaker Economic Data Continues; Will Crude Oil Rally? SEG-2: The Saga of Roaring Kitty SEG-3: Preparing Your Finances for Recession SEG-4: How Bad Will the Next Correction Be? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QzhNqLLV-o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "THow High Will Crude Prices Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pO4--VWfnsQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-_ddRfURIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RoaringKitty #Reddit #Wealth #SEC #StockMarket #GameStop #Investment #FinancialJourney #Spotlight #BillionDollarPotential #KeithGill #MemeStocks #WallStreetBets #TradingStrategies #FinancialSuccess #Risk #Reward #OnlineForums #LegalScrutiny #RetailInvestors #MarketInfluence #InternetSensation #FinancialTransformation #Markets #Money #Investing

Launching June market trading and looking ahead; the continuing saga of E*Trade and Roaring Kitty, GameStop. Economic data continues to weaken; expectations for Fed rate cuts this year are now back up to two. Markets' morning selloff, afternoon rally back into the green pattern continues, thanks to EOD institutional buying; all activity against the backdrop of a sell signal. Why Berkshire went to zero; markets' extreme deviation continues. Should you wait until after the Presidential Election to invest? Are you considering market timing as a strategy? Lance Roberts breaks down the pitfalls and risks of trying to predict the market: Challenges of predicting market trends months in advance; Consequences of sitting out of the market until a specific event; the trap of waiting for the perfect moment to invest; How market run-ups can leave you behind; The psychological cycle that keeps investors indecisive. New AI chips are coming; the AI Chase is on. Chips are in, software is out. Intel is playing catch-up; should you have an AI portfolio? A Space portfolio? The allure of private equity: Use caution! SEG-1: Economic Data Conitnues to Weaken; Rate Cut Expectations Rise SEG-2: Berkshire Goes to Zero & Markets' Extreme Deviation SEG-3: Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out SEG-4: The AI Chase & The Allure of Private Equity Investing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-_ddRfURIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The 50-DMA is the Line in the Sand" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjuzAS5Oxdo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Momentum Chase is On: What Happens Next? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8nCiHEJSjg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketTiming #RiskyStrategy #Marketprediction #ElectionImpact #MarketTrends #FinancialDecisions #StockMarket #EconomicEvents #MarketFluctuation #InvestmentTiming #FinancialRisk #MissedOpportunities #marketrunUp #BuyingTheDip #InvestorPsychology #EconomicUncertainty #MarketAnalysis #MarketTraps #InvestmentStrategy #LongTermInvesting #MarketBehavior #CyclicalNature #MarketCycles #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets start the month with support sustained at the 20-DMA, although consumer spending is weakening, with retrenchment in Restaurants. Inventories are high while spending is slackening. The cure for inflation is high prices. Markets break thru 20-DMA on Friday, but rally before the close. Sell signal is restricting upside. The market momentum chase is on...which is fine until the music stops. Noting investing cycles vs market cycles and the problem with dividend investing strategy. Public Debt: Productive vs non productive: Can the AI boom bail us out? Why James Grant is wrong about debt and interest rates (a preview). How AI could save us from "bad" debt with electric grid infrastructure improvements. A note about forecasting GDP & Interest Rates. SEG-1: Setting the Table for June SEG-2: Surviving the Momentum Chase SEG-3: Investing Cycle, Market Cycles. & Dividend Strategies SEG-4: Why James Grant is Wrong about Debt and Interest Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8nCiHEJSjg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL-48uLmZfA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Should You Borrow Against Your 401k?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaFHcrYr414&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MomentumInvesting #ValueInvesting #InvestmentStrategy #Timing #MarketTrends #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #TradingStyles #InvestingApproaches #MarketTiming #InvestmenTiming #FinancialMarkets #InvestmentTypes #InvestingPrinciples #InvestmentOpportunities #StrategicInvesting #TimingMatters #MarketAnalysis #Markets #Money #Investing

With weaker economic data trickling in, are Fed rate cuts coming sooner than later? What's the deal with 401k's? The best way to take money out of a 401k; executing an "in-service rollover;" tax implications and fund seasoning details you need to know; remember fees and expense ratios. What about Roth's: pre-tax funds & retirement; making too much money? Dealing with shifts in RMD's: The government wants its revenue sooner than later. Dealing with hardship withdrawals; what is and isn't exempted. The folly of borrowing against a 401k (Hint: Don't do it!) What about collateralizing 401k funds? (See previous comment) 401k leakage and retirement shortfalls. Is there wisdom in going to Gold? Pro's & con's discussion: Gold is not spendable. SEG-1: Are Rate Cuts Coming in the Wake of Weaker Economic Data? SEG-2: What's the Best Way to Take Money from a 401k? SEG-3: What About Roth's? SEG-4: Collateralizing 401k's and the Lure of Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Sr. Relashipship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaFHcrYr414&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Power Grid Expansion – Part Two" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-power-grid-expansion-part-two/ "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Benefit from the Coming Power Grid Expansion" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwfPDOKaFjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #401k #Gold #RequiredMinimumDistribution #Roth #InServiceRollover #TaxImplications #401kLeakage #Collateralizing401kFunds #RetirementShortfalls #GoingtoGold #Markets #Money #Investing

Houston is finally #1 in something: Home Foreclosures; Q1 economic data suggests conflict with narrative the economy is doing fine vs anecdotal evidence. The Fed's Beige Book summary shows not as much concern for inflation as for weakening consumer demand. Weaker stock pricing is also emerging; Can markets hold the 20-DMA? Risk assets are momentum-based trade (Bitcoin); also beginning to weaken. Hedge funds are long semiconductors and AI-related stocks: the AI theme seems to be narrowing. The difference between the Dot-com bubble and AI companies is that AI is making money. What will be the side-benefits AI generates? Note how Nvidia performs: 80% of earnings from AI Data Centers; the power requirements for supporting AI Data Centers. What will power the grid with more AI & EV demands? How will AI affect productivity? Where will the power come from & how will it be transmitted? Traditional & alternative sources. What will be the demand from AI Data Center & Bitcoin mining? What will fuel these plants? Gas, Coal, Nuclear as well as some alternative sources. Transporting fuels and transmitting power; this is opportunity for productive debt/investment, a la the Hoover Dam. Q! GDP adjustments are starting to show signs of weakening. How accurate is the data? Employment numbers will be key. SEG-1: The Economy is Weaker than Headlines Suggest SEG-2: Looking at the Side-benefits of AI SEG-3: Where Will the Power Come From? SEG-4: Signs of a Weakening Economy Emerge Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFARatliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwfPDOKaFjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Power Grid Expansion – Part Two" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-power-grid-expansion-part-two/ "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Corporate Greed is Not the Cause of Inflation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHJSrOyH95g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitcoinMining #PowerGrid #EconomicBenefit #AIDataCenters #NaturalGas #Unproductive #PowerConsumption #EnergyImpact #MiningStatistics #EconomicUpside #Markets #Money #Investing

It's all about the Fed, never mind the fundamentals. markets have gone essentially nowhere, driven almost entirely by Nvidia. Markets are close to a short-term sell signal. It's time to rebalance portfolios. Corporate Greed does not cause inflation: The simple truth. 401k rollowver problems; why few receiving required 402(f) notifications; the tax implications of rollovers. If you've lost a 401k, Beagle.com may be able to help you find it. Why compounding doesn't work in the market; creditor protection for retirement funds. Hampton Inn merch: Waffle socks & fanny packs; Buc-Cee's, Cracker Barrel, Johnson Howards, & Stuckey's; Keeping all your 401k in company stock: The Enron Error. SEG-1: The Market Driver remains Nvidia: Time to Rebalance? SEG-2: Corporate Greed Does Not Cause Inflation SEG-3: The 401-k Rollover Problem SEG-4: Waffle Merch & Enron Errors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHJSrOyH95g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Rebalance Portfolios with NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vwuqllrc7iI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What If I Get Names Executor of an Estate?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pc9ifsBCTyk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #Nvidia #PortfolioRebalancing #CorporateGreed #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CrackerBarrel #Buccees #HamptonInn #HowardJohnson #Stuckeys #SupplyAndDemand #EconomicBasics #Economy #MonetarySupply #CreditCards #PopulationGrowth #Government #PrintingMoney #Economics #SlowingDownEconomy #DemandReduction #MoneyCirculation #FinancialMisconceptions #Fallacy #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicTheses #CreditConsumption #EconomicGrowth #InflationFall #MoneySupply #EconomicImpact #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets falter; Nvidia and Cracker Barrel keeping up with the times; the Fed's impact on Markets: Could rates actually go back up? How spending habits are shifting; the need for a Sell Discipline when bad news is good news. Caution against investing emotionally because of politics. What happens when you're the executor: Business decisions vs family/emotional issues. The Graceland financial fiasco: An executor's nightmare. How many generations does wealth last? How Elvis got Graceland. SEG-1: What Nvidia & Cracker Barrel Have in Common SEG-2: THe Need for a Sell Discipline When Bad News is Good SEG-3: What Happens When You're the Executor? SEG-4: The Presley Mansion Financial Fiasco - An Executor's Nightmare Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pc9ifsBCTyk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Data Centers And EVs Create Incredible Opportunities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ai-data-centers-and-evs-create-incredible-opportunities/ "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Who Will Profit Most from the Next Tech Boom?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiiCv2nehik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #NVIDIA #CrackerBarrel #ChocolateFountain #CheeseFountain #PresidentialElection #Politics #Graceland #ElvisPresleyEstate #ExecutorResponsibilities #ExecutorLiability #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets sold off on release of the latest FOMC Meeting minutes, which are a sanitized, finely-crafted version of what went on behind closed doors. The hawkishness seems to be continuing; Deflation seems to be a bigger risk to the economy than inflation. There's too little demand, resulting in price cuts to move inventory. Insight on why we reduced our stake in Nvidia before its report was released, which attests to the growth potential of AI buildouts. One cloud on the horizon: Wall Street's ever-optimistic expectations for continued growth. How does innovation impact the economy, and who will be the next Levi Strauss? The problems facing the power grid from AI & EV's. The power grid needs 40- NYC's. Natural Gas will be a big winner as a cheap, clean energy source. Water consumption estimates by 2023; issuing debt for productive purposes. FOMC Minutes are a little "wishy-washy" about interest rates: The Fed doesn't really know what it's doing. Stocks & bonds went nowhere after minutes' release. Fed governors are all on the same page about sticky inflation remaining longer. SEG-1: Markets Sell off on FOMC Minutes' Continued Hawkishness SEG-2: NVIDIA Report Attests to Growth of AI Build Out SEG-3: Power Grid Challenges from AI & EV's SEG-4: Why FOMC Minutes were "Wishy-washy" Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiiCv2nehik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Data Centers And EVs Create Incredible Opportunities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ai-data-centers-and-evs-create-incredible-opportunities/ "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why the Dot-com Crash Feels Like a Distant Memory to Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0z-LlFF4lw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2671s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #AI #EV #CaliforniaGoldRush #LeviStrauss #Nvidia #Profit #Miners#Denim #HeartyPants #LongRun #AMD #Microsoft #Google #ProfitMost #Obvious #RunUp #NextLeviStrauss #Markets #Money #Investing

All eyes are on NVDIA's quarterly report: Why did we trim our position? How might this company disappoint investors? It's all about the guidance. FOMC Meeting Minutes also could trigger markets, based on what they reveal about the Fed's interest rate intentions. Markets are at all-time highs, trading in a tighter range. Markets have gone 315-days without a 2% correction; we think they're primed for a pullback. Lance's wife is home; hilarity ensues. Millennials' 'quiet vacation' ploys. Is recession coming? Most investors and economists think not. (We are still within the window of opportunity following yield curve inversion). Trying to eliminate recession from the business cycle; why recessions are needed. American's favorite investments vs Mattress Mac's investment philosophy. Where Dave Ramsey is right...and wrong. Remember the.com crash? Many young investors today never experienced a financial crisis like 2008. It's important to learn from history to navigate market uncertainties. SEG-1: Will NVDIA Report Trigger Correction to 20-DMA? SEG-2: Millennials' Quiet Vacationing & Other Work Avoidance Ploys SEG-3: Why Most Investors & Economists Believe No Recession is Coming SEG-4: What is America's Favorite Long Term Investment? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0z-LlFF4lw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2671s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Correct Back to the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MraQkqRJQFQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Risk of Relying on Benchmarking" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZ1Ss55bFt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=16s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #Inflation #WageDisparity #DotComCrash #MarketDecline #PeakToTrough #ReduceRisk #Recession #RobinhoodTrading #Investors #MarketRally #OptionsTrading #2008FinancialCrisis #BarackObama #MarketExperience #Post2008, market thesis, investing history, market opportunities, financial downturn, trading experience #FinancialCrisis #Markets #Money #Investing

During ripping bull markets, investors often start benchmarking, comparing their portfolio’s performance against a major index; most often, the S&P 500 index. While that activity is heavily encouraged by Wall Street and the media, funded by Wall Street, is benchmarking the right for you? Why does Wall Street want you to compare your performance to a benchmark index? Lance discusses Fed speakers' remarks: Sticky inflation means no rate cuts anytime soon. The 20-DMA crossed over the 50-DMA: A very bullish signal; we're expecting a pullback at some point. SEC debates whether to approved Ethereum EFT. Comparisons are motivation by Wall Street to move money so they can charge you fees. Nothing stays at the top for long; what are your investing goals? Why do we invest? Benchmarking pro's & con's; the difference between an index and you. Corporate greed & how we got stock buybacks. Labor vs business ownership: Business owners are deserving of their earnings because they've taken the risk. Where do stock buybacks come from...and where does the money go? How to fix wage disparity: Eliminate buybacks; pay will be limited to cash a company can generate. SEG-1: Fed Speakers' Recap: Sticky Inflation = No rate cut soon SEG-2: The Folly of Benchmarking Portfolio to an Index, Pt-1 SEG-3: The Folly of Benchmarking Portfolio to an Index, Pt-2 SEG-4: Corporate Greed & Wage Disparity Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZ1Ss55bFt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=16s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Ethereum ETF Sustain Market Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qz34OdB55LI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Disinflation Remains The Bigger Risk" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P9TN8Dzhd0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #Inflation #Disinflation #Benchmarking #CorporateGreed #StockBuyBacks #WageDisparity #MinimumWage #Lehman #Shares #GM #Portfolio #Index #Rebalance #MarketCapitalization #Price #SharesOutstanding #Underperform #ContributeMoney #Markets #Money #Investing

NVDIA & Fed speakers are in the spotlight this week; stock buyback are running higher than normal. The risk of recession; when will the Fed cut rates? Durable Goods are in deflation; Services are seeing higher inflation, tied to discretionary spending. Markets finish previous week at all time highs; when will they pull back? Wathcing for a bullish cross of the 20- and 50-DMA. AI can now lie and cheat; bad economic news is good news; the majority of earnings growth is coming from ten stocks; the impact of retail sales, debt ratios, and falling consumer spending. The connection between retail sales, CPI, PCE, & GDP; NFIB Inflation stats. Stocks are rallying in anticipation of Fed announcement, not stock buyback action. Power outages & Kolaches; Zoom and Palo Alto to report this week. Note the barriers to entry in considering a company's stock. SEG-1: NVDIA & Fed Speakers in Spotlight SEG-2: Teaching AI to Lie & Cheat; Bad News is Good News SEG-3: The Connection between Retail Sales, CPI, PCE, & GDP SEG-4: Power outage, Kolaches, & Barriers to Entry to Consider Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P9TN8Dzhd0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Prepared for a Bullish Cross" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cvqdSYAkSI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 #BullishCross #MarketPullBack #InvestingAdvice ------- Our previous show is here: "How Long Will You Live?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTyaxINdMkY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #TeachingAItoCheat #RetailSales #Inflation #Disinflation #Markets #Money #Investing

Houston hit with tornadic storms; everything is going up: Stocks, Bonds, Gold...The Crypto Proposition: Brokers are like lemmings. Every investment is a story: Tech & Cryptocurrency; wrapping rules around your portfolios. The danger of over-confidence. Investing perspective is important. Avoid investing based on politics; the psychology of investing. Should you get out of the market? Baseball cards, G.I. Joe's, and Mortuary Museum: Planning for how long you'll live. Using life expectancy in portfolio & retirement planning. Social Security is longevity insurance. (www.livingto100.com) When to best claim Social Security. SEG-1: Houston Storm Recap & The Crypto Investment Proposition SEG-2: Every Investment is Story: Wrapping rules around your portfolio SEG-3: Avoid Investing Based on Politics SEG-4: Baseball Cards, Mortuary Museums, & Planning for Longevity Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTyaxINdMkY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-today-costs-dearly-tomorrow/ "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Bad Market News is Good News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's a Mistake to Be Entirely Out of Equities" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWeHX8ZXVQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CryptoCurrency #PortfolioRules#OutOfEquitiesd #MarketMistakes #BalancingPerspectives #EconomicData #PositiveFactors #NegativeFactors #MarketAnalysis #CarefulEvaluation #EvenBalance #OngoingTrends #FinancialInsights #FiscalEvaluation #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets hit all-time highs with softer CPI: The biggest contributor was decline in Homeowners' Equivalent Rent. Markets are now anticipating two rate cuts this year. Consumers are showing signs of weakening; hardest hit are Gen-Z & Millennials. Stocks & Bonds rally on weaker CPI; markets are extremely over bought. Look for a re-test of the 50-DMA with market corrective action anticipated. WalMart has decent earnings; consumer spending is what drives the economy. Quality of Employment numbers matter: Full Time vs Part Time Jobs; Why the Government's Employment formula is bogus. How we calculate Inflation now (also bogus). The Risk is never zero. Answering emails: When will the market crash? Being out of the market; more money is lost trying to avoid a crash than is lost during a crash. Market Correction is coming, Debt .will eventually matter (but we'll all be dead by then), a la Japan. Leanring from mistakes getting out of the market. The perils of sitting in cash: Find the other bull market. It's a mistake to be entirely out of equities. The markets' bullish trend has not been broken since March 2009. SEG-1: Markets' Rally on Softer CPI SEG-2: The Risk is Never Zero Seg-3: Debt Will Eventually Matter (but we'll all be dead by then) SEG-4: Market Mistakes Learned the Hard Way Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWeHX8ZXVQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-today-costs-dearly-tomorrow/ "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Bad Market News is Good News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "WIll Bitcion Rise to $420,000?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldxIgLe-YuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #PPI #CPI #MarketSuccess #OutOfEquitiesd #MarketMistakes #BalancingPerspectives #EconomicData #PositiveFactors #NegativeFactors #MarketAnalysis #CarefulEvaluation #EvenBalance #OngoingTrends #FinancialInsights #FiscalEvaluation #Markets #Money #Investing

Roaring Kitty is back with resurgence of GameStop stock; the insanity returns. Jerome Powell already knows the CPI numbers for tomorrow: What are markets expecting vs what he will say? Citi Surprise Index showing more signs of economic weakness; evidence the consumer is slowing down. Markets flopped around Monday but earned another green candle. We're expecting a pullback to test the 50-DMA; there is risk in economic data from the lag effect. Markets typically lead the economy by 6 to 9-months. More Coffee talk, living in Europe, and why we don't invest internationally (where can you make the most money?) NFIB Report preview: Shop local small businesses. The folly of tapping 401-k funds. The backlash against "wealthy" Boomers; living on cash. SEG-1: Roaring Kitty & Market Expectations SEG-2: Why Markets Lead Economy by 6-9 Months SEG-3: Coffee, Europe, & Email: Why We Don't Invest Internationally SEG-4a: NFIB Report Preview SEG-4b: The Flaw in "Borrowing" from 401-k's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZV_c2piH5Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Hotter CPI Trigger Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vx2GXMK7SD0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bounce Back Ends April Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYdAXliMOdg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #RoaringKitty #GameStop #AMC #MemeStocks #JeromePowell #CPI #PPI #Inflation #BorowingFrom401k #NFIBReport #SmallBusiness #SellSignal #RiskRangeReport #BeCautious #SP500 #InvestmentTiming #Coffee #Markets #Money #Investing

Markets' bullish trend continues; no reason to be sitting in cash now. Economic data is proving to be a mixed bag. Consumers' creativity for accessing funds they shouldn't be touching for continued spending. Markets are back to overbought; wait for a pullback to add exposure. What's moving markets: The Fed or AI? When the Fed supplies liquidity, fundamentals take second chair. Fundamentals, however, will save you in a market downturn. Will AI be a game changer? "Ready Player One" is the ultimate outcome of AI. There are now emerging energy concerns for powering AI. Imperative to know what narratives are driving markets to best plan investing strategy. Earnings are a function of economic growth: S&P growth to slow as company earnings slow. Stock buybacks are used to engineer better earnings and are not sustainable. The health benefits of coffee. CPI coming Wednesday w .4% expectations. April Retail Sales may be okay with Tax Refund spending, but after that... Lance's new TikTok series, GoPro on a Dog. SEG-1: Markets' Bullish Trend Continues SEG-2: Will AI Be a Game Changer? SEG-3: Why Earnings Growth is a Function of Economic Growth SEG-4a: The Elixir of Youth SEG-4b: CPI Preview Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYdAXliMOdg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Over Bought Markets Pull Back?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-0-l1HDXmg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Social Security Last Past 2035?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTL3ny5OkwA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #GenerativeAI #TrillionDollarOpportunities #PrivateEquity #Funding #Iinvestment #ArtificialIntelligence #Coffee #Markets #Money #Investing

Earnings preview & economic reports: The wisdom of writing a market journal. Will markets produce an 8th day of gains? Current trading strategioes; the animal spirits are shifting. Soupy Sales' 'Send a Dollar;' CEO Neutrality, getting back to the basics of business. Will Social Security last past 2035? There are some surprising, positive notes in the latest SS Trustees' report. Why we run financial plans without SS. Financial Dust-bunnies: Medicare Lunch & Learn; why the big push for Medicare Advantage? (Because that's what pays brokers the most.) Crafting retirement income is an art: Is the 4% Rule too safe? There is no set number: There are too many variables. "The Woods" retirement plan; the Annuities discussion; protecting against emotional decisions. SEG-1: Will Markets Produce an 8th Positive Day? SEG-2: CEO Neutrality & Getting Back to the Basics of Business SEG-3: The Financial Dust-bunnies of Medicare SEG-4: Retirement Income is an Art Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTL3ny5OkwA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/ "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Finding the Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #SocialSecurity #MedicareAdvantage #CEONeutrality #FinancialDustBunnies #RetirementIncome #ActuarialBalance #CombinedFunds #Crisis #BenefitsCut #RetirementAge #SocialSecurityCap #CareerPoliticians #Electability #FinancialConditions #PositiveOutlook #Markets #Money #Investing

Is the pig really out of the python? (Excess savings are gone.) Who is still spending, and how? Government spending and consumer credit card usage; buy-now, pay-later (BNPL) plans being used to buy groceries and make ends meet. There are no stats to determine credit risk presented by BNPL companies. Markets sell-off, rally, and end at break-even. The correction is over...for now. No earnings growth outside the Magnificent Seven or top large-cap companies. Companies not rewarded greatly, but brutally punished. Uber, Shopify, Starbucks bellwethers of consumer spending. McDonald's, Five-Guys, inflation impact. Warren Buffett's challenge to find Apple; could he use his cash better? Inflation Report preview: Rents make up 40% of CPI; prices are still high. Why their inflation will be zero. CPI is a black box. Q1 strengths attributed to Seasonal Adjustments. Consumers will start weakening. Sentiment vs Inflation: All the market cares about is government data, regardless of how you feel. High prices will remain, but if unchanged next year, inflation will be zero. Markets are distorted from the fundamentals; valuations still matter. SEG-1: The Pig's NOT Out of the Python SEG-2: Analyzing Earnings: No Growth Outside Magnificent-7 SEG-3: Inflation Report Preview: Impact of Rents on CPI SEG-4: Sentiment vs Inflation: What the markets look at Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/ "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Difference Between the Price You See vs the Price You Pay is Growing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #EarningsGrowth #MagnificentSeven #NegativeEarningsGrowth #TopStocks #TwitterChart #Markets #Money #Investing

The Citi Surprise Index: When economists are disappointed in estimated numbers; that index is now at a low ebb. An uneventful earnings season is wrapping up with fair results; the only companies seeing margins grow are large caps. Markets eke out gains for 4th straight day; the benefits of a market pullback; CTA's have money to spend, plus resumption of stock buy backs. Old Shows & Actors; the great un-bundling of fee has created fees on fees; tipping & charges-per-squirt(!): Budget leakage. Buying Made in USA. AI Golf robots, Robocop, & Skynet; the worst financial mistake some families make: Living on a single paycheck. Balancing the equation with a stay-at-home parent; dealing with the skills gap; the impact of rising childcare costs, and what caused it (gov't. stimulus). Planning for College & Career Choices; five jobs with most potential to produce millionaires. The process of good financial habits. "It's not about how much you make, but how much you save." SEG-1: Analyzing the Citi Surprise Index SEG-2: Surprise Fees are Growing SEG-3: The Worst Financial Mistake Some Families Can Make SEG-4: Five Jobs Most Likely to Produce Millionaires Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Powell Sparks a Buying Frenzy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPodLCUQ4sw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CitiSurpriseIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #SurpriseFees #WorstFinancialMistakes #FiveJobsProducingMillionaires #EconomicPredictions #CashlessSociety #RisingFees #BusinessCosts #DigitalPayments #ConsumerImpact #EconomicChallenges #UnbundlingFees #AffordabilityIssues #Markets #Money #Investing

Economists' 'rush-to-judgement' vs the lag effect catching up w economic data. Consumer spending and loan demand are waning as excesses in money supply are normalizing. The data re beginning to refute the "no recession" theme. Market correction is now over, bullish trend to resume. The challenge of NOT expecting recession; what the data is starting to show; not a lot of risk in credit markets...yet. That's where trouble will show up first. Geopolitical conflicts do mot matter to markets for long; world wars do. Spreads between corporate bonds vs treasuries are at an all time low (90bp). There's no stress in the economy...so far; pay attention to credit risk. 20th Anniversary of 2008 Financial Crisis is approaching. Letters from the IRS and a $34-B tax bill; the rich need to pay their "fair share;" defining "fair" (charts). The portability of wealth will be a factor when taxes rise too high. How about Congress spending LESS? Swiss Army to make knife with no blade for UK. Residual Seasonality in economic data: Always skewed by seasonal adjustments. SEG-1: The Lag Effect is Catching up w Economic Data SEG-2: Is Credit Risk the Canary in the Coal Mine? SEG-3: Defining "Fair Share" SEG-4: Knives without Blades; Residual Seasonality Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What is Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CreditSpreads #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #EconomicPredictions #ShockEffect #MarketPsychology #EonomicHealth #FinancialConfidence #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing

There are three possible paths for markets, moving forward. Markets are at a critical juncture at the 50-DMA; earnings "beat-rate" has been low, and earnings misses have been severely punished. Looking at the Fed's liquidity strategies; the markets' possible direction from this point. In dealing with inflation, which data measurement matters? Him's, Her's, & Botox: The rise in Gen-Z use of cosmetics for better selfies. What is Stagflation, and do we really have it? Inflation tracks economic growth; stagflation = high inflation, low economic growth, & high unemployment. We currently have record low unemployment, inflation is about average, not high, and there is decently strong economic growth. This is not That '70's Show. YouTube chat response: You cannot double-count inflation. SEG-1: Markets Are at a Critical Juncture at the 50-DMA SEG-2: Three Paths for Markets Moving Forward SEG-3: Is There Really Stagflation? SEG-4: You Cannot Double-count Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Critical Resistance at 50-DMA " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFiJNHKMRm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EconomicGrowth #EconomicStagflation #GDP #PCE #PriceIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing