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The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

The Real Investment Show (Full Show)

620 episodes — Page 12 of 13

5-3-24 Who Will Win The Tax Cut Battle

Apple's results + the Biggest Buyback Ever: Are iPhones becoming a high-tech toaster? Labor/Jobs Report preview; what the Fed may do. It is surprising the market is now down more than 5%. This has been a government-driven economy. Janet Yellen is a Marxist. Who will win the tax cut battle? We'll all lose. It's apsneding problem, not a revenue problem. Why are taxing lines drawn at $400k? The life of a WalMart manager; tax dollars go to waste. New Department of Valuations. Next Lunch & Learn preview: Medicare. Are advisors giving conflicting advice on Social Security? No one wants to address Medicare; get a second opinion before taking SS early. The surge in interest in annuities; Gen-Z would rather have insurance than stocks: Stable income from annuities. Gen-Z living frugally: The differing attitudes of younger generations. SEG-1: Apple Results & The Biggest Buyback Ever SEG-2: Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle? SEG-3: Are Advisors Giving Conflicting SS Advice? SEG-4: Why Gen-Z Would Rather Have Inusrance than Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/ "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Powell Holds Pat" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleStockBuybak #iPhoneSalesDrop #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #JaneetYellen #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing

May 3, 202446 min

5-2-24 Powell Holds Pat

Market volatility returns amid earnings season, with McDonald's, KFC, and Starbuck's reporting weak earnings, suggesting tru impact of inflation on consumers, wjho are becoming more price-conscious. Markets perform a pump & dump on Wedesnday, with stock retesting the 20-DMA...and failing. Pelaton earnings disappoint; the Fed holds rates steady; everything is fine, but they're not cutting rates. Discussion of what this means for markets, liquidity, and reduction of Fed balance sheet. The Treasury's Bond Strategy. Pelaton Drama: CEO Exit; what the Fed said; markets have already priced-in the plan. The Fed sees the economy is gradually slwoing, and wants to get ahead of recession. Underlying data is weaker than headline numbers. Powell says, "no stag, no flation." Apple earnings preview, flip-phones, '90's music, & The Rolling Stones. Warren Buffett says no eye-popping returns in store. Apple is not a high-growth company. Too many companies are buying back stocks at too high a price. Buybacks will provide some support for large-cap companies. The challenge is going to be economic growth: Will earnings estimates come down? SEG-1: Market Volatility Returns SEG-2: Peloton Earnings & Fed Holds Rates Steady SEG-3: Peloton Drama & What the Fed Said SEG-4: Apple Flip Phones, '90's Music, & The Rolling Stones Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/ "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Happens When Companies Miss?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #GoldilocksEconomy #RealRateOfFedFunds #RestrictiveRate #InflationaryConcerns #Markets #Money #Investing

May 2, 202446 min

5-1-24 What Happens When Companies Miss?

Fed Day brings dovish expectations; so far, so good in current earnings season. Economic data is all over the board; Europe emerges from Recession. Taxes to increase; tax flight is inevitable. Market correction continues; can it hold support at 100-DMA? A 10% correction would be normal. Earnings recap (so far) Amazon, CVS/Healthcare: Baby Boomers' elective surgeries are impacting insurors' actuarial tables; the rash of retirees. AMD disappoints because their report was on-target, not better-than-expected. Overall, a mixed-bag of results. What happens when companies miss? META: Is the 'Metaverse' fading? Lance's Bitcoin commentary. Fed meeting preview: Inflation proving stickier than expected. Will the Fed hike rates? Ho the Fed communicates to markets: Different speakers' different takes w/policy trial balloons. There has been no conversation about not cutting rates. (Markets and the Fed only pay attention to Government economic numbers.) Markets are now expecting only one rate cut and are up 8%: Is there really a need to cut rates? Markets will key-in on when rates are to be cut, and the relative dovishness of Jerome Powell. The Perfect Investment/revisited: The value of cash in portfolio holdings. SEG-1: Fed Day & Dovish Expectations, Market Correction SEG-2: Earnings Review: What happens when companies miss? SEG-3: FOMC Preview: Price Inflation Stickier than Expected SEG-4: The Perfect Investment & The Value of Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Normality of a 10% Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxwEhInc7QM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #Markets #Money #Investing

May 1, 202446 min

4-30-24 Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses W Buybacks Resuming

Fed Meeting preview; earnings season contiunes, buybacks about to resume. What's up the the Yen? Corporations are the net buyers of stocks; the correction is done: There's lots of underlying support for markets; after two good market days, closing above 20-DMA, moving to re-test 50-DMA, but likely to fail, dependent upon Fed comments. Lance & Jonathan discuss the Astro's, dance team tryouts, and the problem with investor negativity. Similarities with AI and Dot-coms: Will this be the next crash? What will create a credit-related event? Why the current correction is done...for now. The ipact of stock buybacks; investing the contrarian way. Lance & Jonathan answer an email about The Perfect Investment: 10-yr. Treasuries vs Annuities; the three components of investing (you only get any two). SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview & The Yen SEG-2: Astro's, Dance Teams, & The Problem w Investor Negativity SEG-3: Why the Current Correction is Done SEG-4: The Perfect Investment Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Market Pullback Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Te4b0zqK2NA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 30, 202446 min

4-29-24 Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls

Market performance in election years is marked by investor anxiety over the outcome, and the potential for outlying risk. The FOMC Meeting this week: will the Fed halt plans for cuts, and possibily even hike rates? Expectations for strong employment numbers. Markets rally on PCE report, beginning to build a new, bullish trend. This will be a busy earnings week. When the correction comes, how you will play? The liquidity boost from tax receipts in April & October. Retail sales details: Are things as strong as they seem: Paying more to buy the same. Is AI the wave of the future for cargo shipping? The AI conundrum and the future of work: What happens to all those displaced? The economic impact of AI: Shrinking middle class, expanding lower class, concentration of wealth among the ultra-high class. SEG-1: Market Performance in Election Years SEG-2: When the Correction Comes SEG-3: The Devil in the Details in Retail Sales SEG-4: The AI Conundrum & Future of Work Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Building a New Bullish Trend?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0vWNP7EeBQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYPi4NguyyI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #SuckerRally #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #Shipping #Labor #FutureOfWork #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 29, 202446 min

4-26-24 Are You Prepared For Higher Taxes

Markets & Earnings Recap, PCE Preview: What is the Fed going to do? Tesla takes it on the chin; Mortgage rates and home prices are on the rise; are homeowners feeling trapped? How far will your money go in retiremetn? Higher taxes are coming; who'll pay the most? Training for Retirement: How to flip the switch from accumulation to de-cumulation; living without that paycheck. Budgeting and spending planning: Where does the money go? Compounding only works if the principal remains untouched. Automating savings. Putting underwear on a payment plan; the ugly truth about automobile financing. Wall Street exists to sell you product. Current tax code expires at the end of 2025; are you prepared to pay higher taxes? Who's really paying their "fair share?" What happens to capital gains rates? What about unrealized capital gains? SEG-1: PCE Preview: What Will the Fed Do? SEG-2: Training for Retirement SEG-3: Putting Underwear on a Payment Plan SEG-4: Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFO, w Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYPi4NguyyI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overconfidence-in-nfl-drafts-a-lesson-for-investors/ "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7TjrCiY1s8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxBurden ##TaxCutsAndJobsAct #2024Election #TaxCodeExpiration #GovernmentInaction #TaxBrackets #IncreasingPercentages #Retirement #CommercialRealEstate #EconomicReports #SupplyAndDemand #NFLDraft #InvestorOverConfidence #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 26, 202446 min

4-25-24 Lessons For Investors From The NFL Draft

Lance is Back! What is really happening in Commercial Real Estate: Getting distressed inventories off the books at deep discounts. Market performance recap: Nice bounce off the 100-DMA; PCE coming: What it means & why it's important.Economic strength is keeping inflation high; can it last? After markets' nice sell off, downside risk still remains. Paying attention to economic reports and supply & demand; looking at Q1 GDP estimates; market review: Tesla & Meta: Narratives are fine, but look at the technicals. Bond auction narratives have been all over the place. Lessons for investors from the NFL: Avoid over-confidence. The difference between college & pro ball = retail vs pro investors. "Zig then the others Zag," Warren Sharp. "Groupthink = group stink," Doug Kass. Markets vs headlines; economic data vs polls; the steakhouse crowd vs the pubs; prices are the problem. The wealth gap plays havoc with inflation, which no one can really measure. SEG-1: What's Really Happening in Commercial Real Estate SEG-2: Economic Reports vs Supply & Demand SEG-3: Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft SEG-4: Steakhouse Crowds, Pubs, and Polls Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7TjrCiY1s8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overconfidence-in-nfl-drafts-a-lesson-for-investors/ "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMvKYdHl_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CommercialRealEstate #EconomicReports #SupplyAndDemand #NFLDraft #InvestorOverConfidence #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 25, 202446 min

4-24-24 What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?

Was Lance Roberts eaten by cannibals? (He will return tomorrow!) How Tesla fell out of the Magnificent Seven; Tesla's storage technology vs cheaper Chinese EV's & the future of EV's. The true environmental impact of building EV's. The RIA 8-Ball predictions for PCE. What does realistic retirement look like? The impact of inflation, the Retirement Clock, & you. A discussion on the need for guaranteed income; how Gen-z will retire & the DNA of Super-savers. Educational goals and vocational training. Candid Coffee recap; the public are the best economists. Professional vs Trade careers & new hires' earnings; the impact of AI on personal skills. SEG-1: Tesla Falls off the Magnificent Seven SEG-2: What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like? SEG-3: How Gen-Z will Retire: The DNA of Super-savers SEG-4: Why the Public Are the Best Economists Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMvKYdHl_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Five Financial Mistakes to Avoid if You're Retiring Within Five Years" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQEosrIqf14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RealisticRetirement #VocationalEducation #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 24, 202446 min

4-23-24 Five Financial Mistakes To Avoid

Market Commentary: Are there more declines to come? What is the path forward for 5% Bonds? PCE and more earnings reports coming; How to crossover from accumulation to de-cumulation; topic teases: Keeping more of your inheritance; how to increase your inheritance. How to manage funds qwith legacy intent in mind. The important of financial planning before retirement; what is the rate of return you need? The importance of budgeting; financial mistakes you should avoid within five years of retirement; dealing with the rule changes. Dealing with and planning for Social Security. What is the income threshold for converting from pre-tax to Roth IRA? SEG-1: Market Commentary: Are the more declines to come? SEG-2: How to Manage Funds with Legacy Intent in Mind SEG-3: Five Financial Mistakes You Should Avoid Before Retirement SEG-4: Dealing with & Planning for Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQEosrIqf14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "We Are Likely Not Done with Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LAHAa6I5Qv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LegacyFunds #SocialSecurity #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 23, 202446 min

4-22-24 Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer”

After six days of market declines, is the Correction done? Election risk scenarios & market volatility; markets do not like uncertainty. PCE preview (the inflation gauge the Fed pays attention to). Markets break the 50-DMA, and are now sitting on the 100-DMA. The unsurprising uptick in inflation and the impact of higher raates; why commodities matter. Higher for longer, for not much longer: Rates must come down; NFIB preview. Hey, what happened to all the Ukraine aid US taxpayers propvided? Inflation is a function of supply & demand; where is the higher demand going to come from? Looking ahead to this week's PCE number, expecting the markets to bounce: Sell into the rally. SEG-1: Is the Correction Done? SEG-2: The Unsurprising Uptick in Inflation SEG-3: Higher for Longer, not much longer SEG-4: Economic Warnings from the NFIB Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LAHAa6I5Qv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Did You Pay Your Fair Share of Taxes?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vA51KE4ECT4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 22, 202446 min

4-19-24 Did You Pay Your Fair Share of Taxes?

Markets respond to Israel attack on Iran; Procter & Gamble disappoints; markets are in a churning phase. Fed rate decisions & market behaviors. How much do you really need to survive in retirement (What's your number?) Managing expectations, spending habits, and dependency on Social Securituy; the scinece & art of financial planning; retirement realities. The intimate process of deliverying financial plans; Candid Coffee preview. The three phases of retirement: Go-go, Slow-go, & No-go. Real Investment "'Shrooms." Tax Foundation survey: Do you pay your fair share of federal taxes? SEG-1: Markets' Respond to Middle East Tensions SEG-2: How Much Do You Really Need to Reitre? SEG-3: Delivering Financial Plans & Real Investment Shrooms SEG-4: Do You Pay Your Fair Share? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vA51KE4ECT4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are We On Japan's Path Of Stagnation?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-we-on-japans-path-of-stagnation/ "Immigration And Its Impact On Employment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/immigration-and-its-impact-on-employment/ "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are We On Japan's Path to Stagnation?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOlwvCrHCKM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PayingTaxes #FairShareOfTaxes #TaxFoundation #MiddleEastTension #IsraelAttacksIran #FinancialPlanning #ThreePhasesofRetirement #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 19, 202446 min

4-18-24 Are We On Japan's Path To Stagnation?

Husband Appreciation Day, Mother's Day, cooling Middle East tensions; the is the Fed allowing the system to percolate? Inflation remains sticky. Markets in correction mode; what happens when the 50-DMA breaks? What to do when the market bounces. Is Fd policy tight enough? The market and the Fed are, for once, on the same page. Foreign buyers' participation in auctions is good; markets are too driven by headlines and algorithms. Gen-Z "discoveries" and remakes of '80's movies; commentary on the good music of the late 1900's. Is higher inflation sustainable? The give and take in inflation metrics; CPI is mostly about shelter prices; the problem with CPI data. Caitlin Clark/WNBA pay vs NBA pay: The economics of sports. Where salaries come from, and understanding what's behind the headlines. Retail Sales in Feb vs Mar; full time vs part time jobs; the impact of immigration on employment. SEG-1: The Fed is Allowing the System to Percolate SEG-2: Is Fed Policy Tight Enough? SEG-3: Messing with Movies & Music; Is Higher Inflation Sustainable? SEG-4: NBA vs WNBA & The Economics of Sports Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOlwvCrHCKM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are We On Japan's Path Of Stagnation?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-we-on-japans-path-of-stagnation/ "Immigration And Its Impact On Employment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/immigration-and-its-impact-on-employment/ "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Screw Up Retirement in 12 Easy Steps" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2y2E5G1sn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JapansEconomicStagnation #ReflationTrade #JeromePowell #InterestRateCuts #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestingAdvice #GenZDiscovery #80sMusic #WNBA #NBA #CaitlinClark #SportsEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 18, 202446 min

4-17-24 How To Screw Up Retirement In 12 Easy Steps

Market Recap, Jerome Powell on rate cuts and stickier inflation; commodities on the rise = inflation. The CRB Index correlation with W. Texas Crude; no rate cuts until Fall? Markets break the 50-DMA; might be time to trim and rebalance for risk. Jury Duty and the Reflation Trade; Easter + Spring Break impact on March retail sales were underwhelming, following similar disappointment with February & Valentine's Day sales. How long can "buy-now, pay-later" last? How to screw up your retirement; the only way to wealth is by saving money; investing is for protecting wealth against inflation. The HODL Plan (hold on for dear life); avoid speculation. The demographic line of demarcation in saving for retirement; paying off credit cards, saving 30% of income; fully-fund 401-k. SEG-1: No Rate Cuts Until Fall? SEG-2: Reflation Trade is the New Bullish Theme SEG-3: How to Screw Up Your Retirement SEG-4: Retirement's Demographic Line of Demarcation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2y2E5G1sn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It May Be Time to Rebalance Risk" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYegngcRPlM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Cracks Appear in the Market's Bullish Armor" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr7-b1dqWM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=23s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ReflationTrade #Retirement #JeromePowell #InterestRateCuts #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 17, 202446 min

4-15-24 Cracks Appear In The Market's Bullish Armor

Tax Day woes and audit fears; earnings season commences; What are companies saying? No corporate buybacks, removing major buyers of assets; pay attention to companies' guidance. Markets last week failed at 20-DMA, and tested 50-DMA as momentum slowed. Is not the time to sell? Use any bounce to rebalance risk, but avoid any knee-jerk reactions. Could this be a "buy-the-dip moment?" Lance's favorite bowl is like the market: There's a hairline crack. Inflation has been stickier, and higher-for-longer interest rates have been too high for too long. Preview: Tuesday's article on the Reflation Trade; how can every other country in the world have deflation while the U.S. continues to have inflation? Productive debt sv non-productive debt. Get ready for Tax Season impact on the market; more Americans are owing money this year. More IRS Agents = More audits = more returns/refunds delayed. The possibility of escalation in the Middle East; Legos for Adults (AFOL) SEG-1: Tax Day Woes & Earnings Season Starts SEG-2: Could This Be a Buy-the-Dip Moment? SEG-3: Cracks in the Market SEG-4: Tax Day Woes, Middle East Foes, & Adult Legos Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr7-b1dqWM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=23s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Sell?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpOOSOWZewk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Deal with Financial Stress" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fmpb8xnN448&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxDay #EarningsSeason #FinancialStress #MoneyScripts #JeromePowell #VolkerMoment #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #Cryptocurrency #MoneyManagement #DoorDash #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 15, 202446 min

4-12-24 How To Deal With Financial Stress

CFP testing results & commentary on professional credentialling; the importance of the Health/Wealth connection; the importance of continuing education (CE); a brief history of JP Morgan and "too big to fail." Inflation is permatory, not transitory. Profit margins are not great because costs are up. Jerome Powell is trying to put out a fire with a water pistol; how many ate cuts now? There is still too much money in the system to really tame inflation. Real Wages have peaked: Is this Jerome Powell's "Volker Moment?" What clients "think" about portfolios is the toughest thing for advisors to manage. If Trump is elected, he will have to deal with the next recession. April is stress-awareness month; why we don't sleep. Rosso's Brooklyn paper route, Candid Coffee preview, & dealing with Financial Stress. Intimidating financial topics: Cryptocurrency, Investing, & Budgets. Cryptocurrency is very speculative, very volatile. Budgets are like financial vegetables. Learning money management & writing your money script; tipping trends; the "Waiting" movie; shy we don't use Door Dash. SEG-1: CFP Test & Credentialing, Importance of Health to Wealth SEG-2: Is this Jerome Powell's "Volker Moment?" SEG-3: Rosso's Paper Route & Dealing w Financial Stress SEG-4: Learning Money Management & Writing Your Money Script Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fmpb8xnN448&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialStress #MoneyScripts #JeromePowell #VolkerMoment #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #Cryptocurrency #MoneyManagement #DoorDash #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 12, 202446 min

4-11-24 Is Inflation Too Hot To Handle

CPI Inflation clocks in hotter than expected, with more data to come; car insurance inflation is an out-of-the-blue surprise (unless you recently renewed your policy!) What does the Fed do next? Markets are pricing-in NO rate cuts in June...and maybe not at all this year. Markets trace the 20-DMA, building a rounded top as momentum slows; beginning to confirm a take-down of the 20-DMA. Economic growth is slowing; insurance inflation spike "smells like" an adjustment; it's a lagging indicator. Homeowners equivalent rent is also a lagging indicator. It's not a question of if, but when inflation will fall, but prices are still sticky. Inflation still a function of supply & demand, and there's ample supply remaining, pushing prices and rents downward. S&P & Gold: The risk in slowing momentum; we're still in a bull market (until we're not)./ Markets are priced for 5-10% correction. There are no warnings from credit spreads, so far, but corporate loans are starting to show some concerns. What the Leveraged-loan Market is saying: defaults are on the rise. The NFIB Small Business Survey this time was really bad;. There are lots of inconsistencies in economic data. The impact of illegal immigrants on employment; gold is in a bubble. SEG-1: Inflation is Hotter Than Expected SEG-2: Economic Growth is Slowing: Normalistically SEG-3: The Risk in Momentum Loss SEG-4: Is Gold in a Bubble? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ew1SiTbo-Ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TheGoldBubble #MarketsTest20DMA #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 11, 202446 min

4-10-24 Can Social Security Be Saved?

It's CPI Day (with m/m inflation clocking in with a .4% increase, and a y/y gain to 3.8%, hotter than expected). Sheila Jackson-Lee's science experiment; the NFIB Survey does not bode well for small businesses:Sentiment falls to a new low based on poor sales. There remains a dichotomy between headline economic news and what's happening behind the scenes. Markets break below the 20-DMA, but regain support. Why what really matters is the data the Fed looks at. Portfolio Spring Cleaning; Five or six ways to save Social Security (but first, a history of SS); the mathematical realities. Why Pensions face the same problems; how to fix it; lock it off. Any viable solution is un-electable. The IPO saga of Truth Social; IPO behaviors. Never buy an IPO out of the gate. DJT still has much to prove. If only you'd invested in Microsoft back then...no one knew. SEG-1: CPI Day, She-jack's Science, Markets Hang on SEG-2: The Data the Fed Looks At SEG-3: Five Ways to Save Social Security SEG-4: The Saga of Truth Social & IPO Behaviors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hang Onto Support...barely" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9K1zTxVBKu0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Margin Debt Surges as Bulls Leverage Bets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzMKfkVjs3g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #HotterInflation #MarketsTest20DMA #RetirementMath #DaveRamseyIsWrong #ConsumerConfidence #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 10, 202446 min

4-9-24 Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets

Some are disappointed the eclipse did not herald the Rapture; markets are holding firm at 20-DMA. NFIB preview vs CEO Confidence; why small business' mood matters. Interest Rates in different states; no change in bullish market trend (why not to knee-jerk react to market); but trend weakness is become more apparent. Consumer confidence vs Valuation (w/charts); why margin debt is like dynamite. Correction is coming, and will feel worse due to greed. The cost of margin debt as rates rise. Earnings Season preview: Are Regional Banks in trouble? Q1 guidance has been lower: What happens if interest rates do not fall? The magic number: $1.4-Million & The Flawed Math of Retirement; why Dave Ramsey is wrong; what realistic rates of return should be; Luxury goods vs S&P; rare whiskey vs colored diamonds. SEG-1: Eclipse Recap, Markets Hold Firm SEG-2: Consumer Confidence vs Valuation SEG-3: The Cost of Margin Debt SEG-4: The Flawed Math of Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzMKfkVjs3g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Bullish Trend Weakening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg2KiRn3wBE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Inflation Scare Overblown?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kCV8FsVyw_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=37s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SolarEclipse #MarketsTest20DMA #RetirementMath #DaveRamseyIsWrong #ConsumerConfidence #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 9, 202446 min

Is The Inflation Scare Overblown

Eclipse-mania is out of control. Fed speakers confirm they'll cut rates, but in no rush to do so. Jobs numbers tantalize markets; the impact of immigration on employment. Boomers & Gen-Z plans to splurge on groceries in 2024. Markets takeout the 20-DMA; will the break be confirmed this week? Putting Inflation into proper perspective; the three measures of inflation. The economic basics of Supply & Demand (and their impact on inflation). Your personal inflation is not the same as mine. What markets pay attention to (CPI). How to fix the power grid: Productive vs un-productive debt. Forgiving student loan debt doesn't make the debt go away; taxpayers will shoulder the burden of the unpaid debt. SEG-1: Solar Eclipse Day; Markets Test 20DMA SEG-2: The Three Measures of Inflation SEG-3: Inflation & The Basics of Supply & Demand SEG-4: Debt Issuance & Economic Activity Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kCV8FsVyw_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=37s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Confirm a Break of the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnA1TqbUguY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You Really Ready for Tax Day?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYfjniJpIkc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SolarEclipse #MarketsTest20DMA #ThreeMeasuresofInflation #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 8, 202450 min

Are You Really Ready For Tax Day (4/5/24)

Market and economic data preview: How to respond in current environment. The U.S. is still the best house in a bad neighborhood. Fed folks now saying it's possible to have no rate cuts this year. Are you really ready for Tax Day? Danny & Jonathan run through some tips and strategies. The advantages and distinctions of IRA's vs Roth's: Tax liability now or later? What are the odds of taxes going up in the future? How to handle being retired and going back to work. How does this affect RMD's? How to think ahead strategically about taxes in retirement. Rather Roth for younger workers. The advantages of HSA's. How to pay for weddings: Vendors vs gifting; wedding cakes vs photos. How to deal with Social Security clawbacks. Market futures, gold, and oil commentary.es vs photos. How to deal with Social Security clawbacks. Market futures, gold, and oil commentary. SEG-1: A Tale of Two Economies: The Have's & Have-not's SEG-2: Are You Really Ready for Tax Day? SEG-3: Back to Work & RMD's SEG-4: How to Pay for Weddings & Deal w Social Security Clawbacks Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFA, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYfjniJpIkc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japans Lost Decades: Are We On The Same Path" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/japans-lost-decades-are-we-on-the-same-path/ "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bernie Madoff Trendline Remains in Effect" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecmypMh1FPI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is America Mirroring Japan's Lost Decade" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BTNuUiRW5fo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxDay2024 #SocialSecurityClawbacks #WeddingExpenses #TaxLiablity #TaxesInRetirement #JapansLostDecade #BernieMadoffTrendline #MarketVolatility #MarketComplacency #AlanStanford #SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisruption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 5, 202446 min

Is America Mirroring Japan's Lost Decade (4/4/24)

In this week's Fedapolooza, Fed spokespersons seem to be growing less hawkish about rates. Inflation is simply a function of supply & demand. There is a high correlation between GDP/CPI and interest rates. When inflation comes down, so will rates. Watching tomorrow's employment report: ADP is a poor predictor of BLS data. The Bernie Madoff trendline remains intact in markets; bullish sentiment is very high; bear sightings on Wall Street are rare. Technical trends of inflation are falling as the economy slows; comparisons of Japanese and U.S. economies; discussion on the economic impact on younger generations. Central Bank dominance: Control of markets destroys capitalism. Capitalism is eroding. Discussion of Capitalism vs Socialism and excessive government intervention: What the public demands. Inflation is the spark for public demand for fiscal support. Transportation and health services costs are up; housing is down (but lagging). 7% inflation was a supply/demand problem, which has been resolved. Supply-side and demand-side are both normalizing. Does the BLS report really matter anymore (because of the way it is calculated)? The "unemployed" can make more working for Uber than on unemployment benefits. Bernie Madoff, Alan Stanford, and the perfection of the 20-DMA; the saga of the Bernie Madoff whistleblower. Why markets are no longer based on fundamentals. The Madoff Line and the Wealth Gap. SEG-1: This Week's Fedapolooza SEG-2: Japanese Economics: From the Rubble to the Bubble SEG-3: Capitalism vs Socialism & Government Intervention SEG-4: Bernie Madoff, Alan Stanford, & 20-DMA Perfection Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BTNuUiRW5fo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japans Lost Decades: Are We On The Same Path" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/japans-lost-decades-are-we-on-the-same-path/ "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bernie Madoff Trendline Remains in Effect" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecmypMh1FPI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Could Powell Eclipse Market Expectations" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loIQra4zl7Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JapansLostDecade #BernieMadoffTrendline #MarketVolatility #MarketComplacency #AlanStanford #SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisreuption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 4, 202446 min

Could Powell Eclipse Market Expectations (4/3/24)

The JOLTS survey rate continues to slow, coincident with a slowing economy; interestingly, retail hiring has dropped sharply, despite increased retail demand (another example of divergent indicators). The data might not be as strong as we think. The difference between Fed promises and predictions can be vast. Markets remain in a "perfect" trend channel; what happens when the 20-DMA is broken? Commentary on the coming solar eclipse, and markets' historic behavior following. What matters is what happens for the 12-months after such an event. Correction is coming. Answering emails: Stocks vs Bonds in current environment; managing risk is key. What happens to those in all-cash positions when rates fall? Gold & Silver may be doing very well, but are detached from current market reality; they will correct. Taiwan earthquake effects on semiconductor sector: A potential disruption could be coming. Baltimore bridge disruption. South Korea exports as economic indicator; dental floss & Kroger points: The struggle is real. SEG-1 The Difference Between Fed Promises & Predictions SEG-2: How Stocks Perform Following Eclipses SEG-3: Email Answers: Stocks vs Bonds in Current Environment? SEG-4: Potential Impact of Taiwan Earthquake Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loIQra4zl7Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Markets' Unstoppable Rally Reaching its Conclusion? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNQ2U7sRi9M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Corrections Matter More than You Think" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUOXdv6rOo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisreuption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 3, 202446 min

Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think (4/2/24)

Markets delivered a post-April Fool's drop, while manufacturing metrics moved back into the expansion zone. Markets have now dropped the chances of a June interest rate cut to 50%; markets continue to trade in a particular range. The April 15 Tax Day bump may not materialize this year with the expiration of previous tax law. Gold is on a catch-up trade; will rotation trades continue? Investor sentiment remains high. The bullishness of Ken Fisher; Gains vs Declines: Market Math explained. The Truth about promised returns vs reality; market math & investor longevity. Markets always revert. No reason not to be bullish now; who expects to be richer in 2024? Gen-Z women are most optimistic. US College Majors with highest un-employment rates: Art History. SEG-1: Markets Drop Chances of Fed Rate Cut to 50% SEG-2: Gains vs Declines: Market Math Explained SEG-3: The Truth About Promised Market Returns SEG-4: Who Expects to Be Richer in 2024? Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUOXdv6rOo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Miss the Tax Day Bump?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AzLHu1gSp44&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What to Look for in Q1 Earnings" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srlOrEXPoTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 2, 202446 min

What To Look For In Q1 Earnings (4/1/24)

PCE Inflation is weaker, yet consumer spending remains robust; the Atlanta Fed is forecasting 2.3% GDP for Q2. Is this period nirvana for the Fed? The Relative Strength Index is stuck at 70. Markets continue a low-volatility advance, seemingly floating higher. The current environment typically leads to market correction. The next round of earnings commences next week; it will be unsurprising that to see a high percentage of companies “beat” Wall Street estimates. (The high beat rate is always the case due to the sharp downward revisions in analysts’ estimates as the reporting period begins.) Are investors paying more for less? California's new $20.hr minimum wage goes into effect today; cast study to come. The realities of the cost of labor; at what point do consumers say, "enough." What are the upper limits of the minimum wage (that was never intended to be a living wage)? SEG-1: Is Now Nirvana for the Fed? SEG-2: Financial Conditions vs Borrowing Conditions SEG-3: ATM Cash & Kids; Are Investors Paying More for Less? SEG-4: California's Higher Minimum Wage vs Economic Reality Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srlOrEXPoTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Set for All-time Highs. Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YYuFjLIoi8s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "When Financial Conditions Butt Heads With Borrowing Conditions" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RxZpMp64N1Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 1, 202446 min

When Financial Conditions Butt Heads W Borrowing Conditions (3/28/24)

Consumer confidence for stock prices remains high, despite mixed econonic data. Asset prices are rising faster than earnings, as optimism is extremely elevated. Equal Weight Index is underperforming the S&P; Bond prices are improving. If Fed Chairman Jerome Powell doesn’t appreciate the difference between financial and borrowing conditions, we must assume most investors do not either. The current combination of easy financial conditions and tight borrowing conditions makes monetary policy difficult for the Fed to balance. Markets' advance for past 5-months begs the question, what's next? The risk is liquidity, which trips up banks, which trips of the economy. Stocks are becoming "crowded." The challenge of working with Gen-Z, recently cited as the least reliable employees. Why employee productivity matters. SEG-1: Mixed Economic Data; Setting Up for Bonds SEG-2: Financial Conditions vs Borrowing Conditions SEG-3: The Liquidity Risk SEG-4: The Challenge of Working w Gen-Z Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RxZpMp64N1Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Financial Conditions Butt Heads With Borrowing Conditions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/financial-conditions-butt-heads-with-borrowing-conditions/ "Technical Measures And Valuations: Does Any Of It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-measures-and-valuations-does-any-of-it-matter/ "Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retirement Crisis Faces Government And Corporate Pensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-crisis-faces-government-and-corporate-pensions/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "A Bullish Set-up for Bonds," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RuKvGsaXmk4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Wall Street Wants to Save Your Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=34W7b1txFIc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MixedEconomicData #SettingUpForBonds #FinancialConditions #BorrowingConditions #FederalReserve #LiquidityRisk #WorkingWithGenZ #EmployeeProductivity #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 28, 202446 min

Wall Street Wants To Save Your Retirement (3/27/24)

The Sentiment Index is hanging in, despite weakening regional surveys; economists see no recession in sight; bank reserves have been rising since October 2022. End of quarter rebalancing is generating some activity; after three-days of selling, market futures are positive this morning. Watch markets' steep angle of ascent; this is not sustainable, and correction will result sooner or later. Lance's unique inflation indicator... Markets still act like there's a flood of liquidity when there's not; markets are bifurcated; Houston real estate is insane. Can Wall Street save your retirement? Larry Fink thinks so, or at least wants you to think he can; Blackrock & Merrill want to hold your money forever. Creation of Merrill's Target Date Fund. Why Annuities are so lucrative; three reasons why you should have one. A look at the origins of 401k's and how we screwed them up. The dearth of financial education. SEG-1: Economists See No Recession in Sight SEG-2: The Bifurcated Market & Houston Real Estate SEG-3: Larry Fink's "Solution" for the Retirement Crisis SEG-4: Three Reasons Why You Should Have an Annuity Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=34W7b1txFIc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Technical Measures And Valuations: Does Any Of It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-measures-and-valuations-does-any-of-it-matter/ "Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retirement Crisis Faces Government And Corporate Pensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-crisis-faces-government-and-corporate-pensions/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Steep Ascent is Unsustainable," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TE7VKucDYJk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Do Technical Measures & Valuations Matter?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKNtRTENGiI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementCrisis #Blackrock #MarketValuations #MarketTechnicals #MarketBubblePsychology #MarketCorrectionIsComing #SocialSecurity #LarryFink #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 27, 202446 min

Do Technical Measures & Valuations Really Matter

Baltimore Harbor is closed following the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge, hit by an out of control freighter. Weaker Regional Economic Surveys are in contrast to economists ratcheting-up growth expectations: No one is expecting a recession. Liquidity continues to boost bullish mood on Wall Street. The market has steadily climbed for past 5-months, creating record deviations; for now, no fear. Valuations are a measure of market psychology: "If everybody has bought, who is left to buy?" - Sam Stovall. When Technicals & Fundamentals align (the problem for most investors is that they're too slow). All elements are now present for a reversion to the mean; just need a catalyst. What will turn buyers into sellers? The impact of more, earlier retirees on actuarial tables and Larry Fink's paycheck. Capitalism & The Wealth Gap; the decline in EV sales; why more people aren't saving more. SEG-1: Regional Economic Surveys Weaken SEG-2: Valuations Are a Measure of Market Psychology SEG-3: When Fundamentals & Technicals Align SEG-4: Retiring Too Early and Living Too Long Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XKNtRTENGiI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=14s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Technical Measures And Valuations: Does Any Of It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-measures-and-valuations-does-any-of-it-matter/ "Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retirement Crisis Faces Government And Corporate Pensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retirement-crisis-faces-government-and-corporate-pensions/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Will Retest the 200-DMA " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FdsIUq3U-Lk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Market Bubbles a Function of Psychology?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LzgkNEySf6I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketValuations #MarketTechnicals #MarketBubblePsychology #MarketCorrectionIsComing #FederalReserveRateCuts #FedDotPlot #ContinuingResolution #SocialSecurity #LarryFink #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 26, 202446 min

Are Market Bubbles A Function Of Psychology (3/25/24)

Stop the re-makes of '80's movies (Roadhouse)! Markets are going into 5th straight month of gains, remaining over-bought and trading in a very narrowly-defined trend channel. Money going into cryptocurrency (Memecoin) is indicative of late-cycle market speculative mood. The Coffee Maker saga continues; Market Bubble Psychology: What defines a market bubble. No two market bubbles are a like (w charts). The Fed's Dot Plots are worthless. How will the latest CR be funded? (More debt.) The mechanics of Social Security: more retirees earlier than expected. The things that always get paid when the government shuts down. The Baloney Bill is full of non-performing spending. SEG-1: '80's Movie Re-makes & Market Correction's a-comin' SEG-2: Coffee Maker Saga, Pt.2; Market Bubble Psychology, Pt.1 SEG-3: Coffee Pots & Marital Advice; Three Factors of Market Bubbles SEG-4: Don't Pay Attention to the Fed's Dot Plot Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LzgkNEySf6I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Bubble? A Function Of Psychology" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Risk is Building for a Correction...at some point" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2r6Il5U7oM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Beware the Risks in Medicare Advantage 2024" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NvLFl9iD9GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBubblePsychology #MarketCorrectionIsComing #FederalReserveRateCuts #FedDotPlot #ContinuingResolution #BaloneyBill #GovernmentShutDown #SocialSecurity #MandatorySpending #NonProductiveSpending #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 25, 202446 min

Beware The Risks In Medicare Advantage Plans 2024

What do the Three Stooges and the Fed's rate cut plans have in common? Risk appetites are on the rise with the Reddit IPO; what if inflation heats up and the Fed cannot cut rates? We're living in a government-driven economy. The challenges to withdrawal rates: Goal-harvesting. Goal shifting when retirement guardrails change. The Reddit IPO: Let the euphoria burn away. Risks to Medicare Advantage plans in 2024: Pre-existing clauses. We now have to deal with reinvestment risks as rates begin to fall; alternatives to getting away from high fixed-income earnings. SEG-1: The Three Rate Cut Stooges SEG-2: Retirement Goal-harvesting SEG-3: Risks in Medicare Advantage 2024 SEG-4: Medicare Advantage Risks & Reinvestment Risks as Rates Begin to Drop Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Advice, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NvLFl9iD9GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/blackout-of-buybacks-threatens-bullish-run/ "Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/ "Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Follow the Bouncing 20-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BoOcCgLzYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Will the Fed Rate Announcment Affect You?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6WRlC2YWWsI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RisksInMedicareAdvantage2024 #FedRateAnnouncement #2024ChildTaxCredit #JeromePowell #MarketsBullishTrend #FederalReserve #Quantitat

Mar 22, 202446 min

How Will The Fed Rate Announcement Affect You (3/21/24)

Markets respond to the Fed rate announcement, indicating at least three rate cuts this year, the first one coming as soon as June. Danny & Jonathan discuss Bond behaviors in the aftermath and investor response to the Fed rate announcement. Changes to the Child Tax Credit for 2024 (it's not a deduction, but a credit against the tax you owe); caveat: It's not indexed for inflation. What about using insurance products as an investing tool. Danny & Jonathan discuss the evolution of annuities and the best approach for determining their usefulness; how to determine how much to invest in an annuity; the value of long term care policies. SEG-1: Economic Report Preview; Fed Rate Predictions SEG-2: Investor Response & Reaction to Fed Rate Announcement SEG-3: Child Tax Credit for 2024 SEG-4: The Evolution of Annuities: What's the Best Approach? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6WRlC2YWWsI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/blackout-of-buybacks-threatens-bullish-run/ "Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/ "Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Follow the Bouncing 20-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BoOcCgLzYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Your Ex Worth More Dead than Alive?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OsrCFm8pfPc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedRateAnnouncement #2024ChildTaxCredit #JeromePowell #MarketsBullishTrend #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #MortgageRates #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 21, 202446 min

The Fed's New Form Of QE (3/19/24)

There's a definite correlation between changes in stock buybacks and changes in market performance. With the closure of the stock buyback window by the blackout period, the effects will be interesting, especially with the prevailing attitudes in an over-extended market. We also notice Bitcoin is having an excellent correction. Lance and Michael discuss the Fed's Dot Plot and plans for Quantitative Easing: Which problem is easier to fix: Creating recession or inflation? Bank of Japan is ending it's policy of negative rates; what will be the effect on the US? What's the risk to the currency carry trade? Japan's demographic problem. Is the Fed formulating a new type of QE? What QE does; is it inflationary? What the Fed can do; the stealth form of QE: Will it provide liquidity to markets? SEG-1: The Correlation Between Buybacks and Market Performance SEG-2: The Fed's Dot Plot & Plans for QE SEG-3: Bank of Japan Ends Negative Rates SEG-4: The Fed's New Form of QE Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVHBhdRcTus&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Blackout Of Buybacks Threatens Bullish Run" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/blackout-of-buybacks-threatens-bullish-run/ "Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/ "Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Follow the Bouncing 20-DMA," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BoOcCgLzYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bull Market Trend is Showing Some Cracks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-ll-IYbDKA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketsBullishTrend #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #TheFedsNewQE #BankofJapan #TheFedsDotPlot #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 19, 202446 min

The Bull Market Trend Is Showing Some Cracks (3/18/24)

During the week we were off for Spring Break, absolutely nothing changed: There is still no reason for the Fed to cut rates, and markets have finally re-aligned with the Fed's "Dot Plot." The share buyback blackout window is imposed starting on Friday, which has been an important factor in the markets' rally. Yet the bullish trend continues; watch Apple as it implements Goggle's Gemini AI into iPhone O/S. Markets continue in their complacency: Watch for a break of the 20-DMA, and for the algo's to kick-in; that will likely signal a market correction. Why Lance's coffee is cold this morning (always read the reviews!) The recession countdown warning is on; the difference between full-time & part time employment numbers & the Economic Cycle; the Tyson Foods employment fiasco; why the economy isn't booming, as advertised; there's a market correction coming (and we need it); the National Association of Realtors (NAR) lawsuit settles, with possible consequences. SEG-1: Markets' Bullish Trend (and complacency) Continues SEG-2: The Recession Countdown Warning SEG-3: The Economy Isn't Booming as Advertised SEG-4: Correction is Coming (and we need it) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-ll-IYbDKA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Household Equity Allocations Suggests Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/household-equity-allocations-suggests-caution/ "Full-Time Employment As A Recession Indicator?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Watch for a Break in the 20-DMA for Correction Trigger," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bv5Bhtu-Klg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Holding Long-term Bonds, but not to Maturity" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tunq-ysXXHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketsBullishTrend #InvestingAdvice #MarketCorrection #RecessionCountdownWarning #MarketCorrection #EmploymentAsRecessionIndicator #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 18, 202446 min

Holding Long-term Bonds, but not to Maturity (3/8/24)

Market Commentary: When will rate cuts hit? Biden's SOTU Address: Get ready for higher corporate taxes and an inflation fight. The Death of the 4% Rule? Not yet...the impact of lower interest rates on a viable distribution plan; how to create one as Recession looms. Dealing with durations: Holding long-term bonds, but not to maturity. Credit risk in bonds, and the importance of portfolio fluidity. Distribution planning and timing: What are appropriate benchmarks for portfolio performance? Is the 60/40 portfolio dead? (No.) Why we may be at the peak of rate hike cycle; proactivity is the key. Is bailing on market volatility a loser's game? Setting reasonable expectations for portfolio risk; what to do when the fundamentals are skewed. (Getting more "likes" than Lance.) Looking at Bond ETF's and the risk from mass redemptions. SEG-1: Market Commentary: When Will Rate Cuts Hit? SEG-2: Creating Distribution Plans as Recession Looms SEG-3: What Are Appropriate Benchmarks for Portfolio Performance SEG-4: Should You Bail on Market Volatility? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jonathan McCarty, CFA, CFP Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tunq-ysXXHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Liquidity Problems Are Closer Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/liquidity-problems-are-closer-than-you-think/ "Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/ "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Being Complacent About the Market is Dangerous," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPSkUju2wG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Liquidity Problems Are Closer Than You Think" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OXVK_PSMGOg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LiquidityProblems #MarketLiquidity #HowInflationAffectsEconomy #PresidentialElection #JoeBidenSOTUAddress #CorporateTaxIncrease #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 8, 202446 min

Liquidity Problems Are Closer Than You Think (3/7/24)

Earnings growth are a function of economic growth; the US Economiy is de-coupled from the rest of the world, which economy is poor. The danger of deficits (that are funding our economic growth); SOTU Preview: "The economy is great." Market continues trading in a very tight range, but ever upward; this is when complacency sets in. The market is setting up for correction as the election draws nearer. Are we in a bubble or the market top; how to justify valuations. Cisco vs Nvidia: What is Nvidia worth now? The correlation between Bank reserves and the market. Powell says the Fed's next move will be a rate cut by EOY. Stocks in the news with less liquidity in the market, yet, financial (lending) conditions are easing? Borrowing activity is at an all-time low: Conditions are very tight. Why the Fed won't act now; the Banks own the Fed, and Jerome Powell's boss is really Jamie Dimon. If the Fed sees liquidity shrinking, does the market know? Employment & Quit Rate/hiring Rate dichotomies; ADP vs BLS: Data skews make it difficult to tell, but there's no real growth. Being "Bougie Broke:" continuing to buy using buy now/pay later programs: How long can that last? SEG-1: Earnings Are a Function of Economic Growth SEG-2: Market Bubble or Market Top? SEG-3: Who Really Owns the Fed (and who's Jerome Powell's real boss)? SEG-4: Being Bougie Broke: How long can Buy-now, Pay-later last? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OXVK_PSMGOg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=8s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Liquidity Problems Are Closer Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/liquidity-problems-are-closer-than-you-think/ "Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/ "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Being Complacent About the Market is Dangerous," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPSkUju2wG0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How Inflation is Affecting the Economy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3l692sxS5g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LiquidityProblems #MarketLiquidity #HowInflationAffectsEconomy #SuperTuesday #PresidentialElection #GovernmentMatchTo401ks #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 7, 202446 min

How Inflation Is Affecting The Economy (3/6/24)

Super Tuesday seems to have locked-up the next Presidential contest pairing; economic data is not so good, yet market exuberance continues. Fed speakers abound today ahead of the Fed's blackout period. A record-setting Yield Curve Inversion is underway, still without recession. Markets continue to trade in a narrow range, like clockwork; volatility actually declined. Are we at the top, and not a bubble? Correction this year is very likely; Bitcoin joined by Gold as a speculative asset. The proposed government match to 4-01-k's: Nice idea, but few will be able to take advantage; and what about the unintended consequences? the effect of inflation on the economy. Why cap savings? IF the economy is doing so great, why do we feel so bad about it? The Hunger Games & the Kellogg's boycott. SEG-1: Super Tuesday & Market Divergence from Economy SEG-2: Are We at the Top or in a Bubble? SEG-3: The Government Match to 401-k's SEG-4: If the Economy is so Great, Why Do We Feel so Bad? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i3l692sxS5g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/ "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why No One is Hedging Portfolios," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8AyO87zRqE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Valuation Metrics Suggest Investor Caution" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVRpyk74gSA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1243s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HowInflationAffectsEconomy #SuperTuesday #PresidentialElection #GovernmentMatchTo401ks #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 6, 202446 min

Valuation Metrics Suggest Investor Caution (3/5/24)

Economic Data releases and Fed speeches today will resonate with a rising commentary of no rate cut(s) this year, thanks to sticky inflation. Target's earnings show the consumer is still spending; markets continue in 4-month advance, longest since 1970. Preceding a correction? Markets are operating in a narrow trend channel, with money rotating out of Magnificent Seven Stocks and into meme stocks. Markets are in the midst of bullish exuberance; Lance's emails are the best contrarian indicator. Valuations are an indicator of sentiment; why FOMO trumps Fundamentals; rationalization and the numbers game: Making up metrics to rationalize valuation: We're still paying too much for equities. Bitcoin & ETF's: The Dark Side of the Coin. Shorting ETF's adds an additional layer of volatility. Peter Schiff: ETF's are the tail wagging the Bitcoin dog. There's more volatility to come in cryptocurrencies. Jeff Bezos now the richest man; what's a few more zeros? SEG-1: Markets in the Midst of Bullish Exuberance SEG-2: Valuation Metrics Suggest Investor Caution SEG-3: Why FOMO Trumps Fundamentals SEG-4: The Dark Side of ETF's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVRpyk74gSA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1016s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuation Metrics And Volatility Suggest Investor Caution" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/valuation-metrics-and-volatility-suggest-investor-caution/ "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT LUNCH & LEARN: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=47 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Markets' Four-Month Advance," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNHX7Ni-R6Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Warren Buffett's Cash Dilemma" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h15FiMIsVwg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=132s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #ValuationMetrics #NoRateCuts #SitckyInflation #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #MarketCorrection #JeffBezos #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 5, 202446 min

Warren Buffett's Cash Dilemma

Markets are entering the three strgonest months of the year; what if interest arwets aren't cut? February was unusually strong for a "weak" month; what happens during Presidential Election years? Looking at Volatility risk. Markets have been up for 16 of the past 18-weeks; such activity generalluy heralds a correction. Warren Buffett's annual letter: What do to with $160-B in cash? The dilemma of cash and valuations; cash held by corporations is at an all-time high; Buffett's favorite metric is Market Capitalization to GDP Ratio. Why it's hard to find "reasonably priced" companies. When investing becomes gambling; the risk of market correction coming. Dumb Money vs Smart Money: Teaching kids to invest, not gamble. SEG-1: Entering Three Strongest Months of the Year SEG-2: Warren Buffett's $160-B Cash Pile SEG-3: When Companies are Strikingly Over-priced SEG-4: Dumb Money vs Smart Money Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h15FiMIsVwg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=132s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Berkshire And The Cash Dilemma" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Chase is Fueling Correction," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dqVO5HqcW9A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Plan for the Social Security Income Cap" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TGn5ICWStj0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #WarrenBuffetsCashDilemma #StockBuyBacks #StockValuations #CashHoard #InterestRateCuts #MarketCorrection #BerkshireCashDilemma #BullTrendContinues #CashVsValuations #MarketCapGDPRatio #InvestingVsGambling #MarketCorrection #DumbMoney #SmartMoney #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 4, 202446 min

How To Plan For Social Security Viability (3/1/24)

We're living in the "sticky zone" of inflation; the next shoe to drop will be in Regional Banking; the "Made in USA" tax credit proposal: giving money away to people again? Why 40-somethings don't like Dave Ramsey; how COVID changed the game for Gen-Z; "doing Dave Ramsey" without the mallet. What Dave Ramsey IS right about: 15-year mortgages, real estate, and debt snowball. Carrying debt intelligently; "everything now" is the problem; cultural problem feeds into fiscal problem. Rant; Why Social Media is bad for society. Propaganda about Social Security going away: Taking off the income cap as a fix? How the SS formula works today. SEG-1: Living in the Sticky Zone of Inflation SEG-2: Why Gen-Z Doesn't Like Dave Ramsey SEG-3: Dave Ramsey is Right About Real Estate SEG-4: Carrying Debt Intelligently; How SS Works Today Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TGn5ICWStj0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Apple's Magic- Are Buybacks Worth Paying Up For?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/apples-magic-are-buybacks-worth-paying-up-for/ "This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-an-entire-market-chasing-one-stock/ "Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/ "Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Heading Towards Reversion in Stock Prices," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2cbaFDuxc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=15s ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Buybacks Worth Paying Up For?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2R68Md9VPkw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #StickyInflation #RegionalBanking #WhyDaveRamseyIsRight #WhyDaveRamseyIs Wrong #RealEstateMortgages #DebtRelief #IntelligentDebt #SocialSecurityViability #SocialSecurityIncomeCap #Markets #Money #Investing

Mar 1, 202446 min

Are Buybacks Worth Paying Up For (2/29/24)

Stock buyback activity is on pace to reach new, all-time highs (and it's only the end of February!) One reason for the gap between large-cap companies and small- and mid-caps is bigger companies' ability to pour cash into buybacks. Will election season cause Wall St. to reduce risk? GDP and Consumer Sentiment numbers all revised downward, but confidence remains high in markets' ability to perform. Lance & Michael discuss volatility in portfolio performance within complacent markets (volatility is negatively correlated with markets.) Indicators are never perfect; avoid basing portfolio on just indicators. Examining the pace of stock buybacks: Are they really of value? Why pay a premium? Buybacks increase share price, not value. Apple vs Tesla: There has been no real innovation from Apple to warrant expensive stock price. Companies buy back stocks at the expense of R&D investment = innovation. PCE preview & commentary: it's a one-month number. What's the trend show? SEG-1: Stock Buybacks on Pace for New All-time Highs SEG-2: Volatility vs Complacency SEG-3: Are Stock Buybacks Really a Value? SEG-4: Why Are Apple Valuations High w/out Innovation? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2R68Md9VPkw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Apple's Magic- Are Buybacks Worth Paying Up For?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/apples-magic-are-buybacks-worth-paying-up-for/ "This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-an-entire-market-chasing-one-stock/ "Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/ "Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Heading Towards Reversion in Stock Prices," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2cbaFDuxc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=15s ------- Our previous show is here: "11 Pearls of Investing Wisdom from Warren Buffett" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w42zyOime0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=29s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #StockBuyBacks #ConsumerSentimentDownwardRevision #PresidentialElectionSeason #MarketRisk #AppleInnovation #TeslaInnovation #StockSharePrice #StockValuation #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 29, 202446 min

11 Pearls Of Investing Wisdom From Warren Buffett (2/28/24)

Markets continue to trade sideways as the latest earnings season draws to a close. Stock buy-backs will continue for the next three weeks, and then halt in preparation for the NEXT round of earnings reporting. Warren Buffett on buy-backs: Need to occur when companies are under-valued relative to markets for optimal effect; companies are now buying back at high prices. Company stocks are still trading despite 40% reporting negative earnings. What happens when men get sick; Lance answers an email about struggles with higher expenses, despite zero debt; Lance & Danny discuss families' cost-cutting strategies. Wendy's experiments with surge pricing; investing wisdom from Warrenn Buffett: What's he going to do with all that cash? The temptation for "catching-up" in portfolios, and the lure of outsized gains; scam artist, catfishing, and pig butchering. SEG-1: Earnings Season Wraps as Markets Trade Sideways SEG-2: When Men Get Sick; How to Trim Expenses SEG-3: Costs of Kids' Activities & Surge Pricing at Wendy's SEG-4: Catching-up & the Lure of Outsized Gains Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2cbaFDuxc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=15s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-an-entire-market-chasing-one-stock/ "Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/ "Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Small- and Mid-cap Stocks Playing Catch-up? is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mn0Jg9v6U_s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "This is Nuts - An Entire Market Chasing One Stock" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w42zyOime0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=29s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #WarrenBuffettInvestingWisdom #EarningsSeasonEnds #StockBuyBacks #WendysSurgePricing #LureOfOutsizedGains #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 28, 202446 min

This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock

Preparing for this week's economic data releases; what the Fed looks at for Inflation; earnings season concludes with good beat-rate...on lowered expectations. Dow Theory theory and Amazon's joining the S&P 500: When does Nvidia enter the index? Analysts are raising targets for the S&P to 5800 by the end of the year, based on performance of Nvidia and other tech stocks: This is nuts. Markets continue to trade within narrowly-defined trading range based on rising 20-DMA. Marriage Rules are nuts; Nvidia's price-to-sales ratio is un-attainable and un-sustainable. Nvidia's market share gains are other stocks' market share losses. Wall Street's perceptions of the economy vs the rest of us; the dichotomy between headline economics and reality. Why food is taking a bigger bite out of our budgets. Current economic growth is being sustained by debt, public and private. Why childcare has become so expensive. Markets function on Gov't. economic data, despite the disconnect with street reality. SEG-1: Analysts Raising Targets for S&P 5800 by EOY SEG-2: Marriage Rules & Nvidia's Price to Earnings: Nuts SEG-3: Nvidia's Market Share Gains are Others' Losses SEG-4: Headline Inflation vs Economic Reality Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w42zyOime0s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=29s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "This Is Nuts – An Entire Market Chasing One Stock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-an-entire-market-chasing-one-stock/ "Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/ "Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "20-DMA Remains Key Support for Markets" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3xwpy4vnP3c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Small Cap Stocks May Be at Risk" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cvcv-PgF2Yg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #MagnificentSevenStocks #NvidiaStock #PriceToEarningsRatio #S&P5800 #EconomicSlowdown #HeadlineInflation #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 27, 202446 min

Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk (2/26/24)

Stretching February to the absolute limit this week, as earnings season winds down. Next up: Economic activity metrics. Why are economists giving up on Recession, now evexcting 2% growth? The difference between what's ahppening in the economy and the stock market. Recession may be off the table for this year, but it's still coming. There is still no reason to be overly bearish about the market. Why small cap stocks may now be at risk; are all things equal? The case for (or against) small cap stocks: We're not beyond the risk of economic slowdown; be cautious of narratives. Why now is a good time to trim risk. SEG-1: Wrapping up Reporting Season & February SEG-2: Why Small Cap Stocks May Be at Risk SEG-3: We're Not Beyond the Risk of Economic Slowdown SEG-4: Pre-market Commentary: Why It's a Good Time to Trim Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cvcv-PgF2Yg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Small Cap Stocks May Be At Risk According To NFIB Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/small-cap-stocks-may-be-at-risk-according-to-nfib-data/ "Conference Board Scraps Its Recession Call" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Happens If We Take Out the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tU8I7FSiYOk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What to Do When You Regret Retirement?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H73b2Frkhs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #MagnificentSevenStocks #SmallCapStocks #RiskOfRecession #EconomicSlowdown #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 26, 202446 min

What To Do If You're Regretting Retirement (2/23/24)

Is Nvidia more than a market darling, and has it entered the "tulip stage?" (We don't know when the tulip will die.) How to invest with the maddening crowd without going mad. Candid Coffee preview (registration link is below!) Couples, Money, & Communication: Make it fun (Amazon shots?) Pensions vs Social Security: the confounding Windfall Elimination Provision (WEP) and Government Pension Offset (GPO) rules. Why you cannot (fully) take both SS and Pensions. What to do when you regret retiring; even transition to retirement is a regret. Why small business owners sabotage their transition. Failing to prioritize health in retirement; the new Score dating app. Why retirees have regrets; How to leave a legacy without heirs. The importance of physical excercise for mental health & wellness. The increasing role of grandparents in family dynamics. SEG-1: Is Nvidia in the Tulip Stage? SEG-2: Couples, Money, & Communication; Social Security, WEP, & GPO Rules SEG-3: What to Do When You Regret Retiring SEG-4: How to Remain Healthy, Happy...and Married in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H73b2Frkhs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bull Rally Remains Intact," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH-n2TiaxgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are the Magnificent Seven Stocks in a Bubble?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpXr_ftZR_U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #MagnificentSevenStocks #TulipStage #CouplesMoney #MoneyTalk #MoneyCommunication #RetirementPlanning #RetirementRegrets #TransitionPlanning #WindfallEliminationProvision #GovernmentPensionOffset #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 23, 202446 min

Are The Magnificent Seven In A Bubble

Has Nvidia become the world's most-valuable company? The S&P is aiming at more all-time highs, but can they hold? Fed minutes reveal no rush to cut rates. The disconnect with markets' expecting more cuts. Will the Fed reduce QT as money flows into markets? Meanwhile, markets continue to test rising trendline at 20-DMA, as consolidation continues. No reason to be bearish on markets...yet. What markets missed from Fed Minutes: the quantity of rate cuts to come. An unexpected risk: Effects of balance sheet run-off as Fed adjusts QT to manage liquidity. The unstoppable market: What is happening to Fed's repo program; the Fed Liquidity Index. Have we returned to a bubble in Magnificent Seven stocks (and are they worthy of current valuations)? The hard part about managing portfolios: How does the Japanese Nikkei hit an all-time high for the first time in 34-years, even as Japan's economy is in recession? How bubbles start: When Prices and Valuations rise faster than the economy. SEG-1: Nvidia: The World's Most-valuable Company SEG-2: No Reason to Be Bearish on Markets...yet SEG-3: The Can't Stop/Won't Stop Market SEG-4: Japanese Nikkei Hits All-time High...finally Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EpXr_ftZR_U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bull Rally Remains Intact," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH-n2TiaxgI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Nvidia Break the Market?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPzraJEgjfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MagnificentSevenStocks #NvidiaEarnings #MarketTrendLine #NegativeDivergence #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #FederalReserveLiquidityIndex #JapanNikkeiHitsAllTimeHigh #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 22, 202446 min

Will Nvidia Break The Market (2/21/24)

It's Nvidia earnings reporting day, and as tech companies have driven markets of late, the results, and the company's forward guidance, could have a huge effect. Earnings expectations are extremely high; risk of disappointment is high. The S&P is testing a rising trendline at the 20-DMA, against a negative divergence in relative strength. The dichotomy is unsustainable. The Conference Board releases latest survey of leading economic indicators, down for a 23rd consecutive month (but no one is expecting Recession!) What is keeping us out of Recession is remaining liquidity from government cash injections. No Recession because of "strong consumer spending," but is it, really? Spending more at the store, but buying the same or less. WSJ survey shows grocery spending as % of income at a 30-year high. The economic surge of 2021-22 is reversing. New student loan forgiveness schemes = more liquidity to spend. Palo Alto Networks' performance: Know the percentages. An over-valuation correction is coming: why forward guidance matters. SEG-1: Nvidia Day & Risk Evaluation SEG-2: What's Keeping Us Out of Recession? SEG-3: Why Food Spending is at 30-year High SEG-4: Why an Over-valuation Correction is Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPzraJEgjfg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Protect from the Coming Correction," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0p2G5Y7jcfY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Don't Fear the All-time Highs" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VYXS-Ed4Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NvidiaEarnings #NvdiaForwardGuidance #WhatsKeepingUsOutOfRecession #MarketTrendLine #NegativeDivergence #GroceryPriceInflation #FoodPriceInflation #ConferenceBoardLeadingIndicators #SpendingMoreBuyingLess #PaloAltoNetworksPerformance #KnowThePercentages #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 21, 202446 min

Don't Fear The All - Time Highs (2/20/24)

There are "Dow Days" and "NASDAQ Days;" CPI inflation is still transitory; emerging influence of presidential election on Congress' ability to manage debt & spending, M-2 as % of GDP. There is little expectation for earnings growth this year. Markets remain in bullish trend, but a negative day today could trigger MACD Sell-signal. Time to reduce portfolio risk and wait until correction to put capital back to work. Instead of fearing market exuberance, understanding what drives it can provide you with insight and opportunity. A look at Employment data and the frustration of college grads unable to find jobs. The Immigration connection to it all: Why we need (merit-based) immigration: Demography is destiny. SEG-1: Dow Days vs NASDAQ Days: Correction Coming SEG-2: Understanding All-time Highs SEG-3: Employment Data & The Immigration Connection SEG-4: Why We Need to Have (Merit-based) Immigration Today Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VYXS-Ed4Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Don’t Fear All-Time Highs, Understand Them" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fear-all-time-highs-understand-them/ "Fed Chair Powell Just Said The Quiet Part Out Loud" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-chair-powell-just-said-the-quiet-part-out-loud/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain in Bullish Trend," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aype3sudCwk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Should I Delay Social Security?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_oLzjApvS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #TransitoryInflation #DowDays #NASDAQDays #ReducingPortfolioRisk #MarketCorrection #UnderstandingAllTimeHigh #EmploymentDynamics #MeritBasedImmigration DemographicsAreDestiny #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 20, 202446 min

Should I Delay Social Security? (2/16/24)

The Fed is in no rush to lower rates, based on the latest economic data; we've gone from transitory to permatory inflation; rents are not going to fall, but rates are not going to go up. Fed Gov. Bostick: Rates are not going down until later, based on Labor data. Candid Coffee preview: The problem with Financial Infidelity; does it pay to delay taking Social Security? (It depends...) What's the best claiming strategy? Rich & Danny critique AI-generated Candy Hearts; why RMD's are going to be trickier; the benefits of delay; impact of Roth conversions. What happened to the stretch-IRA? SEG-1: No Rush for Fed to Lower Rates SEG-2: The Problem of Financial Infidelity; Does it Pay to Delay taking SS? SEG-3: AI-generated Candy Hearts; Why RMD's are Going to be Trickier SEG-4: Best Strategies for Company Stock & NUA's Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_oLzjApvS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Toyota The Next Tesla?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-toyota-the-next-tesla/ "Divergences And Other Technical Warnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/ "This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ "Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/ "Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retail Sales Dip .8%," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8TkxPAzGVw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Toyota the Next Tesla?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bcTBUuxKO8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=502s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #LoweringInterestRates #FederalReserveBostick #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #FinancialInfidelityProblem #DelayingSocialSecurity #TakingSocialSecurity #AIGeneratedCandyHaerts #RMDStrategies #CompanyStockSales #CouplesMoneyHabits #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 16, 202446 min

Is Toyota The Next Tesla (2/15/24)

The post-Valentine's Day afterglow; Markets are not behaving like it's February (typically a weaker month), so far. The NFIB Small Business Survey belies weaker conditions and negative sentiment; there is a correlation between the NFIB and Small Cap Index. Markets continue to do well, despite weaker economic activity; bonds showing promise; NVIDIA captures 3rd place in S&P 500, unseating Amazon & Google. Commentary on pending legislation to reclassify Homelessness as a Healthcare issue; economic data preview: Retail Sales could be weaker; PPI and weaker regional manufacturing reports; the impact of Government Debt is a drag on economic growth; the continuing effects of fiscal stimulus. The Components of CPI: Homeowners Equivalent Rent/Shelter vs PCU (what the Fed looks at); the flaws in sampling data: Focus on trends, not monthly data. The consequences of too much debt, with Japan as an example, now in recession. China, Germany, and Japan are all in recession, yet the US remains immune? Toyota vs Tesla: 9% of US car sales are hybrid. The next advance in battery technology: Solid state Lithium batteries. Toyota is in the lead; Tesla is working on version 2.0 of current battery (no pun intended). SEG-1: Markets Aren't Behaving Like it's February SEG-2: Reclassification of Homelessness; the Impact of Government Debt SEG-3: Looking at the Components of CPI SEG-4: Is Toyota the Next Tesla? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4bcTBUuxKO8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=502s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Toyota The Next Tesla?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-toyota-the-next-tesla/ "Divergences And Other Technical Warnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/ "This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ "Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/ "Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Retail Sales Dip .8%," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q8TkxPAzGVw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's CPI Day! - the impact that gas prices may have" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XG-pTiLGkks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=195s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 #RetailSalesDisapploint #WeakerEconomicActivity #ReclassificationOfHomelessness #ToyotaVsTesla #HyrbridAutomobileTechnology #SolidStateLithiumBattery #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 15, 202446 min

CPI Came In A Little Hotter Than Hoped (2/14/24)

Valentine's Day Google searches; January CPI came in a little hotter than hoped, triggering market correction. How does this set up a buying opportunity for Bonds? The primary factor in CPI this time was in Homeowners' Equivalent Rent. A market correction is not a crash. Valentine's Day safe practices at the Ratliff household. Why wannabe retirees might not be as ready to retire as they think. The mistake of getting out of the market. The realities of Retirement and financial planning. Discussion on Market's one-day shock over CPI, and that pesky, sticky inflation creating a rate cut conundrum for the Fed. What a Recession would cure (why Recession is not a bad thing). SEG-1: CPI Triggers Correction SEG-2: Valentine's Day Safe Practices & Wannabe Retirees SEG-3: The Realities of Retirement & Financial Planning SEG-4: Sticky Inflation & the Fed's Rate Cut Conundrum Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vl4bDbH-JBE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Divergences And Other Technical Warnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/ "This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ "Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/ "Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, " Corrections Within Bullish Trends are Short-lived," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dhxv68xEcZM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's CPI Day! - the impact that gas prices may have" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XG-pTiLGkks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=195s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SP5000 ##CPI #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Retirement #FinancialPlanning #Retirees #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 14, 202446 min

It's CPI Day! - the impact that gas prices may have (2/13/24)

(2/13/24) It's CPI Day (the Consumer Price Index increased .3% in January; on an annualized basis, CPI dropped from December 3.4% to 3.1% for January.) Actors, do not lie on your application (especially involving roller skates and the Super Bowl Halftime!) Amazon hit with class action lawsuit over upcharge for ad-free viewing. Markets start Monday flat, spike a bit, and end flat. Correction is one day closer today than yesterday; why managing risk makes sense. That doesn't mean going all to cash. Romance scams abound for Valentine's Day; how might gasoline prices factor into today's CPI print? SEG-1: CPI Day, Rollerskates, & Amazon Prime snafu SEG-2: Why Managing Risk Makes Sense Now SEG-3: Why Not Go to Cash Now? SEG-4: Romance Scams & CPI Expectations Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Five Money Habits of Unhappy Couples," Saturday, February 24, 2024: https://streamyard.com/watch/xRDYWQQqdFaF -------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XG-pTiLGkks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=195s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Divergences And Other Technical Warnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/divergences-and-other-technical-warnings/ "This Is Nuts & Why We Reduced Risk On Friday 01-11-20" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ "Housing Is Unaffordable. Dems Want To Make It Worse." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/housing-is-unaffordable-dems-want-to-make-it-worse/ "Investors Sentiment Is So Bullish It Is Bearish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Small- and Mid-Cap Stocks Starting to see some Love?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y2aSvgfzZKo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Homes Are About to Get Less Affordable" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Be7BroXeQbI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/6316958366519/WN_jCrzdX9uSJSrg5MBN5Oy8g ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SuperBowl #SP5000 #SP400 #MarketPullback #PortfolioRebalancing #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

Feb 13, 202446 min