QAV Investing Podcast (Free Edition)

US inflation drives the ASX down; Wheat is a Josephine; Portfolio is up 16.14%; DP recent trades; Tony’s three life lessons; Ray Dalio existing Bridgewater; Aussie CEOs denying reality; QAN profit; Super changes; Berkshire Report; Mortgage rate drop to 6.45%; pulled pork on COH; CCP results; is QAV a zero sum game; WHC shareholders; XTE's results.

Market and portfolio updates; Pulled pork kibosh on FBU; Iron Ore is a buy again, but Andrew Forrest is insane in the membrane; Charlie is 99 and still doing LIVE Q&A for Daily Journal; Gurufocus v Stock Doctor data; AMP Results; WHC results; CGF - Annuities benefitting from Higher interest rates; QBE results; BNPL likely to be regulated as credit; Pulled pork RRL; How does TK plan to live off his portfolio; topping up when you’ve missed your Rule 1.

Portfolio updates; Market’s had a rough week; Thermal Coal Sell line; CDM shouldn’t be on the buy list; Yields rose as Lowe, traders lunched; RBA raises rates; Seven in potential merger with HT&E; Elon Musk sat with Rupert Murdoch at the Superbowl; Pulled Pork is FBU; U.S. v AUS short-term capital gains; why TK holds FHE; what criteria Tony follows to justify adding to an existing position; Where we are currently in terms of Dow Theory; MEA buyback announcement

Portfolio Updates, commodity updates , NCM takeover, WHC coal breakdown, RBA to lift rates, the FOMO rally, Pulled Pork on NCK, R1 trigger on commodities, a tighter sell line for MYR, What time of day does TK buy and sell, fudging AMP’s sell line, penny stocks and Rule 1, WDS commodity breakdown, and After Hours (which you don’t have to listen to if you don’t want to!).

Dummy Portfolio slipped a bit thanks to coal; Chanticleer and the Chook Super Fund; FMG result; ADANI and activist investors; pulled pork on CMM

Portfolio updates; Feedback on Fees; RIP David Hains; Member results; retailers results due to inflation; Pulled Pork SEQ; Is NGI a LIC; using your own rate of interest; Ethical Investing; When to sell; Increasing Investing.

Updates on commodities and our portfolios; Collins St Value Fund performance vs the DP; FMG has 2 finance departures; Mortgage rate survey now 6.5%; Magic Millions horse sales setting new record; QAVvers and fees saved; confession season; the lithium lovers are alive and kicking; using a home loan redraw; Terracom’s (TER) involvement in the investigation into potential fraud; CRN CEO’s retirement; Is TK fully invested? Pulled Pork this week is Seven West Media (SWM).

Munger turns 99, Commodity updates, Portfolio updates, commodity status on buy list, Pulled Pork on VUK, Brent’s returns, TK’s new year resolutions, AMPs situation re Dexus, FMG exodus, buying stocks when their sell line is above the rule 1

As TK is still on vacation, I went over our interviews from the first years of the show (2019-2020) and created this compilation of some interesting tidbits. I hope you enjoy it. The guests are: Steve Sammartino Roger Montgomery Nicholas Gruen Tobias Carlisle Michael Goldberg

In this final episode for 2022, I'm actually going back to early 2020 and taking a look at how Tony managed the COVID crash. It's something TK suggested a while back, because it's a good study / reminder on how he thinks in times of market uncertainty.

It's that time of the year when I give TK a break and put together a couple of compilations from the year that was. This time I decided to put to the test the idea that Tony's Pulled Pork put the kibosh on stocks. Is that true? Let's find out.

RBA and rates, Coal, Iron Ore and Gold are all buys, Portfolio update, bank dividends, Clough collapse and BPT, Pulled pork AGG, trailing stop losses, inflationary pressures, how TK comes up with hurdle rates, C6C selling it’s Australian assets, IRR v CAGR, share buybacks, how to get to Berkshire’s 2023 AGM. Blackstone to limit redemption requests, the impact of the gas price cap.

Today we chat with Todd Barlow, CEO of Washington H. Soul Pattinson & Company Ltd (SOL) about the investment strategy behind their impressive returns.

TK’s historical returns; Pulled Pork kibosh on GNG; SKT consolidation; SGM - Iron and Steel Scrap; Buffett explains his $750 million charitable donation; RBA taking a lot of heat; beware annualised figures; Portfolio update; QAN upgrades again; CLX Upgrades; Fixed loan rates; $250k deposit guarantee; Pulled Pork on DDH

Oil is a sell; Is WDS a sell?; Retrospective investing; Iron Ore Doomscrolling; Portfolio update; Selfwealth update; Pulled Pork S32; Stock Doctor filters fixed; MLX is tin; dividends contributions; share investing vs property investing returns.

Melbourne get together; The Bitcoin valuation model; Fake Twitter crashes LLY; Light v Club; FTX/ SBF in AFR; Brettalator beta; portfolio update; The mortgage rate; Nickel is a buy; QAV Stocks in the news; Australian banking’s Mr Clean; Pulled pork Self Wealth; What the hell are futures markets exactly; Coal Bunko Chart update;what's going on with IMA.

The Dismal Science; gold is a buy; portfolio is killing it (too good?); what to do if your performance sucks; ‘loss-aversion’ bias; NHC buy back; CRN ends talks with Peabody; New month, new alerts; Pulled Pork - DBI; what to do when there’s a big gap between Buyers and Sellers; Rule#1 Clarification; update from Denis in Kyiv.

Portfolio benchmarking, RBA interest rate rise, Thermal Coal sell line, JHG dividend, what to do when you R1 a stock that’s on top of the buy list (IMA), Wheat price on the rise, new Berkshire book, SUL trading update, WHC - MOAB Away, The FAANG index, Oil and Copper are a buy, what about Aluminium, MQG Results are in, Pulled Pork GNG, DRP vs DSSP

Commodity and portfolio updates, AMP AGM, WHC buyback, NWH Pulled Pork, GOLD ETF, reinvesting dividends, how the AORD works, Tony’s investment spread.

The bipolar Mr Market, commodity updates, PE clarifications in Bible, Qantas upgrade, ATL owned Camplify acquires European base, Howard Marks raising money, Pulled pork on SLH, Tony’s coffee with SOL CEO, why Tony has always been invested in WAM, advice on how to find a financial adviser, what to do if you’re going away for 2 weeks.

Oil, copper and gold commodity movements, SDG bought for the DP, but it’s in rundown, Pulled pork request from Ally: BST, Interest rate changes to Master spreadsheet, dividend payments and sell lines, investment prioritization and risk tolerance, 2% capital loss/risk rule, the TGA share consolidation scenario, what is the main commodity for S32?, the coal sell line, parcel sizing.

Liz Truss is a genius ; COAL - if thermal is a buy, and coking is a Josephine, how do we treat YAL; I screwed up with SMR today; Portfolio updates; RBA increasing rates today; David Gottesman, Warren Buffett Partner, Dies; The market PE ratio is falling; Recession in my mind, is almost certain; All ords down 7.13% on a 1 year basis. but the Small ords is down 22.24%; Pulled Pork on: BFG; the Investment Clock; how to determine if there has been a recent positive upturn; why does TK think "Capital Goods" companies are starting to show up in droves on our list; the theory of "3PTL Sells" and dividends.

Fund performance; Reserve Bank money printing and inflation; Labor and Franked Dividends; Pulled Pork XTE; share market rout; portfolio update; RBA burns $50bn in QE; Viva Energy Buys back Coles Express sites; WHC announces $2bn buy back; Apollo shares jump on Jucy deal; Kudos to ABC News; Doug’s shorting experiment update; back testing around observing major triggers of a general downward trend in the market; the pros and cons of ETFs; ECX continually buying back shares and Rule #1.

Founder-lead businesses; dividend payment dates; Stock Doctor and updated results; keeping LICs off the buy list; Renko chart update; RBA governor under pressure; new large cap stocks; setting up a $100k DP; GNP pulled pork; NL stands for No Liability; the benefit of taking profits.

Which stocks are pushing up the AORD; the making of a millionaire study; commodity changes; TER results; Pulled pork ALO; Renko charts and time frames; RRL sell line; sell lines and "not losing profits”; how TK does regression testing; would TK buy something that doesn’t have a sell line.

Iron Ore is a sell; Down days, up days… what about neutral days; Rule 1 and dividends; Josephine but above its 2BL; Happy birthday Warren; Taylor’s article; Pulled Pork: SMR; SGM less impacted by the iron ore price; GRR and Renko charts; ALO, a scalable software play; moving average v 3PTL; WHC thoughts

Time to check your 3PTL alerts; spare a thought for poor Andrew Forrest; NCK’s results; Ophir fund performance; Portfolio updates; Reversal of fortune for BPT, back on the buy list; Some old friends return to the buy list - SUL, BFG and WHC; SGM is a scrap metal recycler tied to the iron ore price; TK mistakenly bought KAR and VEA; he also bought NWS but probably shouldn’t have; Pulled Pork is ABA; PTB enters into scheme implementation deed; JHG price/op cashflow; the outlook for REITs; banks and 'Price to Op cashflow ratio’; TK’s thoughts on a 2nd sell line; has Tony found he has had any better or worse luck on stocks he's repurchased after making a loss; sell line for EHL; who is our Qaverick of the Week?

Our guest today is Brisbane-born, LA-based Tobias Carlisle, PM of Acquirers Funds, author of The Acquirer's Multiple and Deep Value, and co-host of the Acquirers podcast. We talk about the current state of value investing in the USA and why macro economics is "Astrology For Men".

On this episode: Signs of Coming Economic Horror, gold is a sell, CGF punished, portfolio update, mortgage rates update, reporting season updates, nickel close to a buy, BPT misses guidance, Pulled pork on SDG, OGC delisting, SKT pulls out of Media Works, filtering the list for dividends.

We bid farewell to ONJ; Portfolio update; 3PTL reminder; Catch phrase comp; Oil is almost a sell; Gold AUD no longer a sell; Pulled pork is KPG; AFIC Net Asset Backing; Is Copper a buy; Is TK fully invested currently or still being cautious; the longest period of under performance TK has experienced.

Aluminium is now a buy; CCP down on results; MLD takeover; RIO results; owner-managed companies outperform; Pulled Pork SOL; the “wine selection” of iron ore blends; YAL drop on Glencore sale; where TK gets his news during reporting season.

We farewell a QAV member; gold is a sell; iron ore is close; pump and dumpers duped millions out of Aussie investors; BPT results; Buffett’s casino analogy; profit taking driving up inflation; Duncan on asset washing; pulled pork on ACL; using the 3PTL on ETFs; has TK done better out of mining or industrial stocks; how and why of the Average Daily Trade rule.

During turbulent times, we have to have discipline; Elon and Twitter; MHJ shares up on strong quarterly sales; Iron ore about $5/Ton above its fudge sell line; Pulled Pork - AMO; MQG’s cash flow; CFO of ASX Ltd has announced her departure - a bad sign?

This week: I caught COVID, stochastic processes, interest rate rise, growth after corrections, Munger invests in Australia, the Coppock Curve, Buffet backs BYD, Pulled pork on WHC, 2BL examples, banks and downturns, and underlying indicators for retail.

As the financial year has ended, we discuss our portfolio performance, and then discuss BYE’s qualified audit, Confession season, mortgage rates, Pulled Pork is NZM, Iron Ore prices, 2nd Buy Line examples, and dollar cost averaging vs going all in.

Michael Goldberg from Collins St Value Fund joins us again to talk about how they are managing the current market. This interview was conducted on June 8, so please take that into account.

This is “the white-knuckle part of the cycle”. Portfolio update. Iron ore and gold charts. Stockhistory v Stock Doctor prices. GMA and mortgage issuances. The milk stool legs. RBA and inflation. Small rods is WAY down. Wash-selling. PE contraction. Pulled pork on WDS. Benching Michael Jordan. UPST. Lots of Rule 1 questions. Buying a "wonderful company at a fair price" and ignoring sentiment.

Our guest today is Dr Jenny Fagg, CEO, 2Be. Jenny has had a long career in banking and finance, with roles including Chief Risk Officer of AMP Limited, EVP of Products and Payments at CIBC, one of Canada’s five top banks, CEO and Managing Director of ANZ National Bank Limited, New Zealand's largest bank and wealth business, Managing Director of ANZ Consumer Finance in Australia, senior leadership roles in risk and marketing management at Citibank, and Jenny established the consulting practice in retail lending and customer profitability at KPMG. She holds a PhD in Management (Risk) and a Bachelor of Economics (First Class Honours in Organisational Psychology). And she is also Tony's wife. She joined us recently to talk about her new venture, her book, "The Gist of Generosity", and what it's like being married to Tony.

Why investing is a little like musical chairs at the moment; why we should like it when the market makes mistakes; Apple announces BNPL service; changes to cash rate; Pulled Pork on PGL; Yancoal takeover update; Iron Ore no longer a Josie; fundie performance limited by short-termism; how to stay sane during corrections; reporting of qualified audits in half-yearly reports.

My circle of competence is just QAV ; Election result, investing implications ; SEQ and the “second buy line” ; outperformance by founder-led companies ; NHC’s big drop ; YAL halt ; Murph from ABC died ; Howard Marks’ latest memo on investor psychology ; Sri Lanka defaulting on $18bn of bonds. ; Underemployment rate now at 6.1% ; NUF has new results and crashed ; Australians lost $10Bn in crypto last year ; small stocks and Rule 1 ; what do you do in a market like this when you have a full portfolio and more capital ; a strong correlation between dividend yield and the QAV buy list ; Analysis of price to consensus target figures ; ME close v Price Chg 1mth (%) for calculating Josephine ; when a stock has done exceptionally well (say doubled) would TK use the proceeds to purchase two stocks?

A few months ago, one of our members put me on to Benj Gallander and Ben Stadelmann, two Canadian value investors who go by the moniker “Contra the Heard” (http://www.contratheheard.com). They've been around a long time, have a track record almost as good as Tony's, and they have a checklist! And when I reached out to them to invite them on to the show, I discovered that Ben and Tony were actually friends, from Tony's years in Toronto. But in typical humble value investor style, they hadn't really ever talked much about investing... until this interview we did a few weeks ago!

We’ve been banned from talking about crypto and fund managers; Mark’s checklist for the checklist; kids and investing; commodity update; portfolio update; are we counter cyclical; new results in SD for ECX and NAB and PDL; CGT planning; top 3 LICs; S32 update; Renko charts; setting Josephine alerts; pulled pork on PTL; stocks and high interest rates; defining "independent director”; how quickly to buy after a sell; the difference between a Josephine versus a falling knife; gold USD v AUD; the ACL chart; operating cashflows and lease payments.

There’s blood on the streets! We introduce the underlying commodity Josephine rule, MML is now X64, aluminium is a sell, iron ore sell fudge, RBA lifts interest rates, Rule 1 price for penny stocks, pulled pork on PDL, what is a "Cash settled total return swap”, investing during interest rate rises, Alumina v Aluminium, Rule #1 alerts when you’ve bought a particular stock in a few different tranches, GMA and the Impact of rising interest rates, when to factor a dividend back into the price.

We’re talking about the Berkshire AGM, poor fund manage performance, pulled pork on AMP, the TRS CEO departure, CCP’s drop, linear v log charts for 3PTL, and everyone’s fear of low sell Iines.

We are joined by guest Steven Mabb, Chairman of the Australian Shareholders Association, to talk about the importance (or not) of voting in AGMs and how the ASA can help. Later we talk about: BRK AGM this weekend, China’s lockdown, Netflix’s stock price, PGL on our buy list, the Solomons and China, the BHP/WPL de-merger, over-exposure to mining and China, what to do with stocks that go nowhere, why TK prefers a LIC instead of a ETF in case of emergency, the importance of EPS growth, the differences between ROIC and ROE, and AMP’s ‘qualified opinion’.

Afterpay losses explode; natural gas prices at 13-year high; Stocks of the week; Portfolio update; selling SFC; Yield curve has righted itself; BRK has invested $22bn in purchases this year; PRU pulled pork; where to find board ownership if no SD; foreign connections to a non-democratic country; How does TK determine number of stocks he owns?; the impact the Federal and State Govt schemes on GMA; buying stocks with a small spread between the buy & sell 3PTL; digital security measures for protecting our portfolio's in a SelfWealth scenario.

RIP Chris Bailey; Platinum is a sell, but is ZIM a platinum company?; How will the federal election affect us as investors?; BEN is the pulled pork; the actual connection between Reserve Bank rates and mortgage rates; investing in diverse management teams.

Financial health RATING v TREND in the checklist, fund manager performance, Ukraine war driving up mining and energy profits, CAA aluminium pass through, RBA rates, PP on MAM, Tony coming to QLD, Salary Sacrifice into super, OP/CF vs SD OP/CF, FFX sovereign risk and poor financial performance.

AMI bad news; Navexa and CAGR; Stocks of the week; Santos’ big discovery; Max Walsh RIP; Twiggy’s perpetual train; BPNL bloodbath; ABA pulled pork; how to understand yield curve inversion; the psychology of investing; ECX and petrol prices; How does TK manage his portfolio when he’s on holidays?

Hamish Douglass resigns from Magellan board; Russia spiralling towards $210b default nightmare; “Asset Manager Capitalism”; Copper is a buy; GRR is now a Star Stock; MQG is back on the buy list; pulled pork on MQG; petrol and EVs; Buy Now or Later; how quickly Tony sells; are we crazy to be selling commodity stocks at all time highs?; IMA corporate action; understanding "right of use" assets; should we take industry sector into account?; sell line for MAD.