QAV Investing Podcast (Free Edition)

In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony discuss a variety of topics, from Tony’s trip to Tasmania and adventures at MONA to Cameron’s kitchen mishap with a mandolin slicer. The conversation transitions to market insights, including the impact of the Chinese AI system DeepSeek on global markets and Nvidia’s significant market cap loss. The duo explores key investment stories like Lindsay Australia’s stock performance and Washington H. Soul Pattinson’s involvement, as well as discussing pathology services company ACL and its challenges in a government-regulated environment. The episode closes with reflections on the late David Lynch and his creative legacy.

While TK is away, I'm chatting with Phil Muscatello from the Shares For Beginners podcast, about everything the two of us have learned about investing over the years we have produced our respective podcasts.

This week we're talking about commodities such as crude oil, copper, and lithium becoming buys again, Wall Street predictions and the practical approach of focusing on quality investments and managing risk. Tony shares analysis on several stocks including NWH and MYR, discussing red flags, and a pulled pork on HZN. Cameron discussed his recent analysis on Rule 1 selling and some news regarding FSF and GNP, plus an article from the AFR about Australia's private sector being in recession. After Hours features reviews of films like ‘Civil War’ and the ‘Planet of the Apes’ series, along with the show ‘Black Snow’, and NVIDIA’s groundbreaking announcements at CES.

In our first episode for 2025, we break down our mixed portfolio results for 2024, talk about news related to MWY, ABA, ERD, RMS, play clips from a 1994 talk from Peter Lynch, review Geoff Wilson's investing checklist, discuss Eugene Lama's views on efficient markets, quantum computing threats. And in the After Hours segment we talk about the films, TV and music that's kept us busy over the break.

A review of the stock market's winners and losers for the year, updates on TLS, DTL and FPR, Planck's Principle in investing, our predictions for 2025, and a 'Pulled Pork' on Wagner's Holding Company (WGN). In After Hours we talk about Leunig, say RIP to departed friends, and discuss ADHD.

This week we're talking about SXE's new contracts, The Buffett Indicator, "The Mind of Wall Street", the Murdoch succession crisis, Pulled Porks on GTN and RM, and then in After Hours we discuss Dune Part Two, S02 of Bookie, Vivaldi's Four Seasons, Skeleton Crew, Wild Gods, Pink Moon and using the Australian government to bail out failing news organisations.

In this episode of QAV: Tony's recent golfing escapades and his upcoming move to Cape Schanck. We discuss ANZ's CEO change, reviewing the impact on the stock and the broader banking landscape, including concerns over market share and IT integration challenges. ABA's merger with MyState is analyzed for synergies and potential risks. There's an in-depth look at operating cash flows from Fleet Partners and whether it remains a QAV stock. The 'Pulled Pork' segment features Hello World Travel Limited, examining its financials and market position. Other topics include Boom Logistics' consolidation, commodities recovering thanks to China's statements, the RBA's interest rates decision, and Rule 1 sell strategies. The episode also includes reviews of recent media highlights, from cinema classics to new spy thrillers.

In this episode, while Tony is playing golf, I am joined by guest co-host QAV club member Geoff Fleming. We discuss Geoff’s investing journey, then get into Anthony Scaramucci’s book on Bitcoin "investing", recent updates from EHL and FND, ASIC's warnings about cybersecurity threats to share holdings, the latest market news including gold stocks like WestGold (WGX) and Resolute Mining (RSG), and a deep dive on Auswide Bank (ABA), including its recent acquisition, merger talks with MyState, and financial challenges. After hours chat includes Babylon, The Old Man, pumpkin pie, Pink Floyd / Roger Waters concerts, Jethro Tull lyrics, Bauhaus movement, Cobra Kai and The Life of Apollonius of Tyana by Philostratus.

In this episode, we discuss the impact of Trump's tariffs and sanctions on markets, the consolidation of Boom Logistics, Resolute Mining Update, listener feedback about lithium investments and accruals, the Mooch on bitcoin and his Trump decoder ring, a pork on Woodside Petroleum (WDS), Nick Scali's Logistics Challenges, the latest on the super tax proposal, EV vehicle sales in Australia, and a second pork on U.S. company Pool Corporation (POOL), a recent Berkshire Hathaway investment. After Hours includes Tony's recent experiences with Rockwiz, Stephen Fry, and a golf win, while Cameron talks about the 1963 Italian horror film BLACK SABBATH and a new documentary about Elvis' 68 Comeback Special.

In a jam-packed two-hour long episode 747, we're talking about everything from the RSG kidnapping to accruals in the QAV checklist, the performance of ASG, why Cam didn't buy SWM when he read Kerry Stokes' AGM speech, Zombie companies on the ASX, the NAB being sued by ASIC, the retirement of Joyce Corporation's CEO, GrainCorp profits, Brokers hype, Findi's Indian ATM / IPO play, before wrapping up with after-hours chatter about horses, boxing, movies, fascism, and 20 years of podcasting.

In this mammoth two-and-a-half-hour marathon episode #746, we covered an extensive range of topics, from Trump's 2024 election victory and its implications, to detailed analysis of multiple companies and market sectors. Elon Musk's new role as Minister for Government Efficiency (DOGE), portfolio performance updates showing significant outperformance of benchmarks, and several mining company developments including Resolute Mining's Mali crisis, Liontown Resources' lithium struggles, the delisting of Namoi Cotton and the challenges of tracking corporate actions in Light portfolios, and iron ore market challenges. Cam does a pulled pork on US shipping company TeeKay Corporation's history and operations, and Tony does a pulled pork on Qantas Airways' business model and fleet concerns. The After Hours section also included discussions about horseracing updates, entertainment recommendations including David Tennant shows, and concluded with an extensive debate about Trump's potential impact on democracy and different perspectives on fascism in America.

We discuss the RBA’s Cup Day meeting, TK does a 'Pulled Pork' on CCP's recent performance, and quotes from 'What Works on Wall Street' by O'Shaughnessy, exploring key accounting ratios and shareholder yield. After hours is about cycling safety, Coppola's "DEMENTIA 13", scotch eggs, and managing celebrities.

We're talking about the impact of Solly Lew's strategic moves on Myer, before discussing Mosaic Brands' recent troubles, portfolio reports, and Tony provides a comprehensive 'Pulled Pork' segment on AMP. Cam discusses the Woozle Effect in investing and provides pulled pork on one of the stocks in our U.S. portfolio, Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior (BLX). After Hours includes updates on horse racing, a recommendation of the TV show 'Bad Monkey', and reviews of Fritz Lang's film 'M' and Kubrick's "Full Metal Jacket".

In this episode, Tony and Cam talk about market predictions, and recent impressive gains in WGX, FND and WLFC. In the pulled pork, Tony analyses Redox (RDX), and then answers questions about portfolio strategies and buyback versus dividend yields. The episode also features insights from O'Shaughnessy's 'What Works on Wall Street', and After Hours has personal anecdotes about Cameron's Kung Fu grading, Tony's horse racing, reviews of classic films and literary works like 'Pimp: The Story of My Life' by Iceberg Slim.

This episode - an analysis of Pepper Money Limited (PPM), Emeco Holdings (EHL), Macmillan Shakespeare (MMS), and GTN. We discuss share buybacks, the impact of private equity ownership, the importance of dividend changes as buy/sell signals, the use of three-point trendlines in stock analysis, and the performance of the US dummy portfolio. We delve into O'Shaughnessy's research on dividends from "What Works on Wall Street", Lefevre's warning about listening to brokers, and explore strategies for stocks under takeover offers. In After Hours - Dennis Hopper, Rick Rubin, Slow Horses and Kung Fu.

In episode 741 of QAV, Tony and Cam discuss fear and greed with quotes from "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator", analyse West African Resources' (WAF) market situation due to Burkina Faso's political climate, Bank of Queensland's (BOQ) franchise strategies, Tony's attempts to get ChatGPT to help with the Kelly Criterion, answer a question about US Dummy Portfolio Strategy, and discuss insights on price-to-cash flow ratios from 'What Works on Wall Street' by O'Shaughnessy. The 'Pulled Pork' section features an in-depth look at Adairs (ADH) and its new strategic direction. And, of course, After Hours.

In this episode, we do a deep dive into 'Reminiscences of a Stock Operator' by Edwin Lefèvre, detailing Jesse Livermore's life and lessons. We give AU and U.S. portfolio updates, some discussion about interest rates and the housing market, say goodbye to VUK, keep an eye on the iron ore price, reveal TK's recent mistakes, and talk through a quote from 'What Works on Wall Street' by O'Shaughnessy. The 'Pulled Pork' segment looks at one of our U.S. investments, American retailer Lands' End (LE), its history and recent quarterly results.

In this episode of the QAV 739 Club, CR and TK review their portfolio performance, do a pulled pork on Qantas, discuss the impact of the RBA's interest rate decision, and the effectiveness of insider trading signals and the impact of Dividend Strategies in Australia.

In this episode of QAV, we discuss the ASX's record high, our portfolio returns, Earnings Surprises, Vysarn (VYS) raising capital, and analyse the GenusPlus Group (GNP). We look at news stories about builders going bankrupt, lessons from the dot-com crash and share a couple of WWOWS quotes.

In this episode, Tony and Cam discuss recent commodity declines and a gold price surge and what it all means, as well as recent Brettalator issues and portfolio updates. Tony reads from 'What Works on Wall Street' talking about how value investing sustains through market bubbles. The 'Pulled Pork' segment features Cash Converters, analysing its business model, regulatory impact and growth potential. a big punt In After Hours, they also discuss low-budget films, William Shatner's intense role in 'The Intruder,' and Nick Cave's new album 'Wild God.' The conversation shifts to Allan Lichtman's election predictions, Lachlan Murdoch, and a Brett Whiteley art exhibition.

In this episode of the QAV value investing podcast, Tony and Cam review the impressive US portfolio performance with a rise of 44%, compared to the S&P’s 27%, and compare with the Australian portfolios. They discuss the recent performance of big caps versus small caps, MMS setbacks. Behavioral economics insights from ‘What Works on Wall Street’ by Shaughnessy are explored, focusing on recency bias and overconfidence. They cover Resimac (RMC) CEO’s sudden resignation, financial implications for Australian Clinical Labs (ACL), Stock Doctor data integrity issues with SCL, and delve into Judo Holdings’ (JDO) market position in the ‘Pulled Pork’ segment. Listener questions about SMSF strategies are addressed. The episode closes with After Hours, emotional updates on Tony’s horse racing ventures, tales of Cape Schanck, Dave Grohl’s autobiography, The Room, Brahms Intermezzi, and the joys of old Jackie Chan and Donnie Yen films.

In this episode, Tony and Cam discuss the performance of stocks in the US dummy portfolio, working with F Scores and Z Scores, with a deep dive on ENVA’s 39% rise and the risks of investing in some US-listed stocks like Chinese online tech company, STG. They cover recent events around YAL, ANZ, BXB, ING, LFS, AX1 and BOQ and a regression test on “Recovering” stocks. Listener questions explore charting QAV scores over time and the potential buy of AFI. In After Hours, they discuss Tony’s horse racing adventures, books, films, and the future impact of AI on industries and investing, wrapping up with Cameron’s Tommy Hilfiger fashion shoot.

In this episode of QAV, Elio D'Amato from Stockopedia interviews Tony Kynaston. The discussion covers Tony's investing principles, his journey from corporate management to investing, Tony's philosophy of having a disciplined investment system, and key strategies he employs in his Quality at Value (QAV) investing approach. They touch on the importance of cash flow over earnings, trend lines for timing buys and sells, and the use of a checklist for evaluating stocks. The webinar also highlights how Tony manages his portfolio and some of his stock picks like Boom Logistics, Macmillan Shakespeare, and AGL. There’s also a dive into the dynamics of market sentiment, psychology of investing, and how to maintain discipline amidst macroeconomic noise.

This week, Tony and Cam recap Tony’s Stockopedia webinar, delve into the unpredictability of stock forecasting, and share quotes from ‘What Works on Wall Street’, David Waldron’s new book, and Dean Williams. They interview QAV listener Conrad on his modifications of QAV strategies and discuss retail sector performances, including Myer, JB HiFi, and QBE. Cam uses ChatGPT to try to correlate Stock Doctor and Stockopedia financial health metrics, and they discuss China’s economic deflation. In After Hours, Tony shares updates on his horse racing ventures, Cameron discusses his weight loss progress, and has a film recommendation, ‘Repulsion’ by Roman Polanski, and discloses his new career as a fashion model for Tommy Hilfiger.

In this episode, Tony and Cam break down recent market volatility impacting ASX and global indices, discuss the ‘SAHM rule’ for predicting recessions, and analyze major stock movements, including the MAG 7. They dive into Warren Buffett’s strategic moves with Berkshire Hathaway and Apple shares. Tony’s ‘Pulled Pork’ segment features McPherson’s Limited (ASX: MCP). Listener Jordan shares how QAV helps him keep a calm approach to market downturns. They discuss the updated U.S. checklist, CCP’s report from last week, the fact we’re now in reporting season, a “What Works On Wall Street” quote and why Fortescue (FMG) needs new friends. After-hours conversations include discussions about Alfred Bester’s classic SF novel ‘The Stars My Destination,’ music my Amyl and the Sniffers, the latest Deadpool movie, Elon Musk’s Neuralink, the complexity of robotics, and Tesla’s EV strategies.

Tony and Cam break down the sharp drop in FND stock and the impact of new shareholders, review Karoon market updates, and explore an activist investor’s push for a new dividend strategy.

In this episode of the QAV podcast, we look at recent news involving SGI, ATP, FGM, CVL, AX1 and a deep dive into ABB's recent share price drop and business fundamentals. We discuss listener Conrad's successful modification of the QAV investment system, which led to a 31.4% return in the last year and review some advice from O'Shaughnessy's 'What Works on Wall Street' regarding consistency in investing. The after-hours segment includes discussions on examples of outstanding customer service, the benefits of rural call centers, and U.S. politics. We also chat about Tony's recent golf win, film reviews of 'Stingray' (1976) and 'The Assassination Bureau' (1969), and recommend the music of The Jim Carroll Band and Grace Cummins and the Doctor Who site, stitchesintime.

In this episode of the QAV podcast, hosts Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly are discussing a record-high in the All Ordinaries index spurred by the 'Trump bump', Aussie Broadband's sudden dive (ABB), portfolio results, more FY survey results, MLX's bump, the Shipping Crisis, thoughts about integrating "Buyback Yield" into the checklist, and Tony breaks down the history and market stance of Elders Limited (ELD) in a detailed 'pulled pork' segment. They also explore the Apple Vision Pro's new features and its future alongside immersive tech like Oculus Rift, then shift to the political scene with discussions on Trump's influence on global conflicts. The conversations touch on AI, Elon Musk's ventures like Neuralink and SpaceX, horse racing updates, book recommendations, and reviews of 'Better Call Saul' and Tom Cruise films.

In this episode of the QAV podcast, Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly discuss the necessary improvements and changes to their US portfolio, including updates to their buying checklist and new financial metrics. Tony does a pulled pork on the U.S. company Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC). In Australian news, they delve into market news affecting coal and iron ore prices and cover some more member survey results ad TK updates us on his Rich List Portfolio . IN after hours, they talk about Tasmania's MONA art gallery and reflect on AI's future, drawing from insights by Elon Musk and Bill Gates, indoor golf simulators compared to real-life golfing, and their upcoming demo of the Apple Vision Pro, speculating on technology's impact on real-life experiences.

In this episode of the QAV podcast, hosts Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly cover a range of topics at the start of the new financial year. They begin the resilience in financial and property markets amid global interest rate hikes, and how the gig economy affects unemployment rates. They also touch on the history and impact of quantitative easing, review their own and member financial year results, and analyze market news related to companies like Myer and Fortescue Metals Group. Tony provides an in-depth look at Auric Mining Ltd (AWJ) in his 'pulled pork' segment. Tony answers questions about tax rates and performance-based share issuance, then in After Hours they get into movie reviews of 'Furiosa' and 'Marie Antoinette.' They also explore AI's potential future impacts on job markets and technological advancements, referencing Ray Kurzweil's predictions.

In episode 726 of QAV, Tony and Cameron pay tribute to the late Donald Sutherland, then shift to discussing fluctuations in the crude oil market, a deep dive into Ben Graham's investment principles and their relevance today, alongside a detailed analysis of TabCorp Holdings, the market's over-reaction to HLI news, and FND breaking the curse of the pulled pork.

In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony dive into recent market activities, the RBA’s decisions, the Lindy Effect, substantial shareholder announcements, and GrainCorp’s prospects, along with a detailed analysis of Embark Early Education (EVO). Member questions about living off a share portfolio during down years and the differences between value and quality investing are addressed. Additionally, Tony clarifies the calculation of shares on issue for Rio Tinto, emphasizing global figures for earnings per share. In after hours, the duo also covers Mario Puzo's 'The Godfather', Alphonse Mucha, and the Archibald Prize, and discuss the potential and risks of AI, drawing references from science fiction. They wrap up with thoughts on films and books, including 'Klara and the Sun'.

In this episode of QAV, Cam and Tony explore the U.S. market for the first time, with a brief introduction of Tony and his QAV system of value investing, a discussion of value v growth investing, a discussion of the performance of our U.S. dummy portfolio, a deep dive or 'Pulled Pork' segment on Reinsurance Group of America (RGA), and a review of the FY survey results we've received so far from club members.

Join Tony and Cameron in episode 723 of QAV as they discuss a variety of topics ranging from American barbecue joints to the Hunter Biden lawsuit. Tony talks about his relaxing golf trip down the East Coast and the challenges of selling a house. Then we discuss Vulcan level emotional detachment in investing, recent market movements, and specific stocks like CUE, MME, and PRN. There's also an exploration of dividends and portfolio performance. In after hours, we're talking about 'The Blues Brothers' Sidney George Reilly (Ace Of Spies), Nicholas Cage in "Dream Scenario" and our plans for our first U.S. episode.

In this episode, Tony provides insights into recent retail sales figures, the market's reaction, and the concept of 'confession season' in the corporate world. Then he conducts a detailed 'Pulled Pork' segment on Stealth Group (SGI), a tool retailer, evaluating its financial health, market performance, and prospects. In the club edition, we also discuss the reasons behind varying member performances (and our own performance), and discuss the importance of sticking to a disciplined investment model.

In 721 we discuss the pain of FND, why Aussie investors keep investing in unprofitable companies, and TK does a Pulled Pork on SRV. In the club edition only: the myth of the ‘new normal’, why LIC AFIC is selling below its NTA, how Aussie investors can benefit from the AI boom, what we should do about copper prices being up, how to interpret the number of buys going down, how often is TK is making purchases based on factors outside the numbers, and how to interpret the resignation of the PRN CFO.

The Budget cometh, Lessons in Kindness from Buffett, and a Deep Dive into Boom Logistics. Also in the Club edition: Reflections on Jim Simons and Quant Investing, Navigating Market Fluctuations: FND and FPR Updates, Exploring VYS's Surge, Elon Musk's Suggestion to Warren Buffett, Marcus has a question about applying quality score to existing holdings, Jim asks about Life 360, Stock Doctor Data Integrity Issues, Nick asks about Josephine rules, Trent asks about AGL and LNG

This week we're talking about the Berkshire Annual Meeting, China's gold purchases, a pulled pork on EHL (Emeco Holdings), SXE profit guidance update, Regression testing Price < Cons, Activists vs Karoon Energy (KAR), Austal (ASB) backers want Hanwha Group in the race, TRS is a 3PTL Sell, Apollo sinks THL, Morningstar valuations, banks doing large buybacks.

This week we're talking to Matt Walker about his regression testing system, Stock Doctor's continuing data quality issues, NCK's UK expansion, HMC Capital takes aim at GNC, fudging DUR and LAU, and get some insider information about Austal Ships.

This episode includes a deep dive analysis of Bank of QLD (BOQ), Joyce Corporation Ltd (JYC) and Atlas Pearls Ltd (ATP), Howard Marks on Chess and Risk, Dummy Portfolio and dividends, and a regression testing update on QAV scores.

The AORD dropped this week, as did BOQ, TK does a Pulled pork on RSG. Also in the Club edition: WOW’s CEO threatened with time in the big house, FND does an Indian ATM deal, TK talks about the Pulled Pork and Billionaire Portfolios.

The IMF on China, Diller on Trump Social, Bitcoin and Beanie Babies, pulled pork on A1M. Also in the Club edition: Cash and Armaguard, Anscombe’s Quartet, Regression testing, Tesla veers to the EV slow lane, Ex-defence minister Pyne is Hanwha’s man in Canberra, Karoon plots path from oil junior to major through Gulf of Mexico, and a thought experiment about when TK would sell if the stock market didn't give live prices.

This week: Daniel Kahneman RIP, Sturgeon’s Law, Pulled pork on ASB Plus, in the Club edition: Valuing Bitcoin, Coking coal a sell, New Regression Testing results, Alchemy substack, Collins St does well again, ABB news, the performance of founder lead companies.

This week: Do ASX investors need to get used to expensive stocks, and a pulled Pork on G8 Education (GEM). Also in the Club edition: theories on why KSC spiked, whether AMC CEO’s sudden resignation is a red flag, MEA is being sold, Macquarie’s new FOMO meter, ABB’s Superloop troubles, and what to do if you still own VUK.

This week, while the RBA meets, we talked about ABB dropping 20% in a day, steel and coking coal fall, China’s economy beats expectations in the West, regression testing update, Damstra (DTC) is taken over, and a pulled pork on MSV.

This week: Delisting of TGA, VUK acquisition, Pulled pork on BOQ. In the Club edition only: SD fix NWS issue, IRI loses Chair of Audit Committee, Tony’s testing on 2BL sell trigger, Tony answers questions about how to manage a portfolio if you move overseas, reducing our average daily trades to mitigate risks of the QAV spike, the risks of cap raises, different ways how a company can take on debt, and the benefits of share buy backs.

This week: AORD his another all-time high, reporting season is over (but now we’re in ex-div season), ING recorded a massive profit but the market dumped it anyway, Pulled pork is on Regis Healthcare (REG). Also on the Club edition: Ray Dalio thinks the Mag7 are “fairly priced”, Collins St Value Fund wins again, Cam’s regression tests come up with something interesting, Tony has more to say on the shrinking ASX, and after hours.

This week: We discuss our favourite bits of Buffett’s new annual letter, and Tony does a pulled pork on Vulcan Steel (VSL). Also in the Club Edition: We discuss the results of a new 20% Rule 1 simulation, Reporting Season News, LNG is a sell, Data shows Cathie Wood's Ark is one of the worst funds, NVIDIA results, and TK's perspective on 'Losing too many stocks' to M&#038;A.

This week: The market remains buoyant on the back of positive earnings, DTL crashes 22%, Buridan’s Ass, Pulled Pork AGL. Also in the Club edition: Darryl’s portfolio analysis, Magnificent 7 profits now exceed almost every country in the world, SD ASX 300 change, Jordan’s Renko and hugline regression testing.

This week: Market and portfolio updates; Nick Scali and Myer jump on profit results; the pitfalls of passive investing; the cracks deepen beneath the market’s surface; Woodside Santos merger collapsed; pulled pork on MME. Also in the Club edition: Lithium execs goolies; McDonald’s records first sales miss; Stock tips are for patsies; Matt Walker’s regression testing system; Three Men Make a Tiger; NWS shares in Stock Doctor; WAF’s forecast earnings.