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Unexpected Points

Unexpected Points

306 episodes — Page 5 of 7

Lessons of Free Agency, Potential Fallout of the Deshaun Watson Decision

Kevin talks through the main options for Watson and how the Falcons and Browns will deal with their QB situations going forward. Plus, rules for understanding free agency and what it all means for your favorite team. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Mar 17, 202257 min

Brady is Back, Cousins is Staying, Deshaun Watson talk

Kevin talks about the ramifications of Brady's return, the Vikings taking the right path with Cousins and why he's particularly troubled by the discourse around Deshaun Watson. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Mar 14, 202256 min

Russell Wilson a Win-Win Trade, Rodgers Stays, How the Rest of the QB Carousel Plays Out

Kevin gives his data-based takes on the Russell Wilson trade and why it works for both teams. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Mar 9, 202229 min

Analytical Winners and Losers of the 2022 NFL Combine

Kevin goes through the results of his NFL Combine models for every offensive and defensive position. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Mar 7, 202245 min

What NFL Combine Results Really Matter; Why Treylon Burks & Breece Hall are the WR1/RB1

Kevin goes through his combine research on the measurements and drills that matter most for each position, plus why his modeling points to Treylon Burks and Breece Hall as the best prospects at their respective positions. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Mar 1, 202251 min

Is Aaron Rodgers is too conservative when it counts? Kevin O'Connell saying the right things

Kevin discusses the difference in good and bad answers on running the ball from new coaches and whether Aaron Rodgers is too conservative in the playoffs. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Feb 22, 202245 min

Can Mike McDaniel make Tua the answer for the Miami Dolphins?

Kevin talks with ESPN's Marcel Louis-Jacques about the Mike McDaniel hire, Tua's ceiling and a potential big-spending offseason for the Miami Dolphins. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Feb 17, 20221h 1m

Rams Win it All, Stafford Hall of Fame?

Kevin reviews the numbers behind the Super Bowl and looks ahead at the implications for this offseason and next year. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Feb 14, 202249 min

Is Burrow Already Elite? Super Bowl Preview and Coaching Hires

Kevin discusses the numbers behind the Super Bowl matchup and how confident he is that the different coaching hires will be successful. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Feb 8, 202244 min

Brady the GOAT Retires; The NFL's Broken Hiring Process

Kevin discusses if the NFL's can fix the broken hiring process for minority coaches, plus a comparison of Tom Brady to GOATs of other sports, and why his career arc is so different. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Feb 2, 202240 min

Bengals Shock the World, Stafford To The Super Bowl

Ben Brown joins Kevin to break down all the numbers and narratives behind the Conference Championships. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Jan 31, 202247 min

The Analytics GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah and Coaching/GM Hiring Cycle

PFF's Brad Spielberger joins Kevin to talk through all the GM and coaching hires, and what to expect in the coming week. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Jan 27, 20221h 9m

Bills/Chiefs the Greatest Game Ever? Divisional Round Reviews

Kevin and Ben review all the stats and narratives around the Division round. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Jan 24, 20221h 2m

Should the Seahawks trade Russ? Divisional Previews

Ben Baldwin joins kevin to discuss the Seahawks future and the divisional round matchups. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Jan 20, 20221h 3m

Rams Roll, Bills Blast, Wild Card Round Review

Kevin reviews all the Wild Card round action with the numbers behind the narratives. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Jan 18, 20221h 6m

Solving the Vikings Offseason, Wild Card Previews & Best Bets

Kevin and Ben break down the two paths the Vikings can take this offseason, plus previews of the Wild Card round. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Jan 14, 20221h 6m

Staley's Decisions, 49ers Contenders, Colts Out, NFL Week 18 Review

Kevin and Ben talk through the most impactful games from Week 18 and their playoff implications. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Jan 10, 20221h 22m

Browns and Baker Navigating Transition, NFL Hiring Mistakes & Week 18 Best Bets

Kevin goes through an article from the Ringer on NFL higher practices, highlights stat wars, and builds a plan for the Browns to navigate the offseason. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Jan 7, 202253 min

Bengals Roaring into the Playoffs, NFL Week 17 Review

Kevin and Ben break down the week of NFL action with all the numbers behind the final scores. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Jan 4, 20221h 32m

Bucs Still No. 1, NFL Power Rankings, Week 17 Best Bets

Kevin goes through market-based and his own NFL power rankings, highlighting the biggest differences in public perception and reality. Plus, he gives his Week 17 best bets. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Dec 31, 202135 min

Chiefs are (again) the Super Bowl Favorites, MNF & Week 16 Review

Kevin and Ben Brown go through the Week 16 slate of games with the biggest takeaways for futures and team strength. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Dec 28, 20211h 17m

Non-QB MVP: Jonathan Taylor or Cooper Kupp, TNF Review, Week 16 Best Bets

Kevin review TNF 49ers-Titans game, goes through his analysis on points added for non-QBs and gives some best bets for the weekend. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Dec 24, 202139 min

Packers & Rodgers Flying High, NFL Week 15 & MNF Review

PFF's Ben Brown joins Kevin to talk through the Week 15 games through MNF. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Dec 21, 20211h 40m

Chiefs Keep the Crown, TNF Chiefs-Chargers Review, Week 15 Best Bets

Kevin breaks down the TNF matchup, who the Jags should hire as head coach and Week 15 best bets. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Dec 17, 202143 min

Rams Prove They're in the Elite, MNF & Week 14 Review

Kevin is joined by PFF's Ben Brown to talk through all the Week 14 action from an analytical perspective. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Dec 14, 20211h 46m

TNF Review Vikings-Steelers, Belichick Brilliance, Week 14 Best Bets

Kevin reviews Vikings-Steelers, discusses the Belichick-McDermott discourse and gives a few best bets for this Sunday. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Dec 10, 202149 min

MNF Patriots-Bills & NFL Week 13 Review

Kevin reviews the games from Week 13. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Dec 7, 20211h 28m

NFL TNF Review Cowboys-Saints, Why Coaches Love the Run, Week 13 Best Bets

Kevin reviews the advanced stats from TNF, discusses a groundbreaking PFF study and gives his best bets for Week 13. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Dec 3, 202157 min

NFL Week 12 Review, Russ Cooked, Pats March On

Kevin goes through the results and advanced stats for the Week 12 slate of games. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Nov 30, 20211h 31m

Thanksgiving NFL Reviews, Week 12 Best Bets

Kevin reviews Lions-Bear, Raiders-Cowboys and Saints-Bills. Plus, a few best bets for Sunday. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Nov 26, 202136 min

NFL Week 11 Review, Brady MVP, Bills and Titans Flop

Kevin goes through the adjusted scores and advanced stats for the entire Week 11 slate. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Nov 23, 20211h 30m

TNF Patriots-Falcons Review; Week 11 Best Bets

Kevin assesses the Patriots title chances, rants about the accurate presentation of evidence and has a few best bets for the Week 1 slate. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Nov 19, 202153 min

NFL Week 10 Review, Rams in trouble, Chiefs back, & Patriots Contending

Kevin goes through all his advanced stats and takes from the Week 10 slate. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Nov 16, 20211h 32m

TNF Ravens-Dolphins Review, Week 10 Best Bets, Cam and OBJ Impact

Kevin reviews an ugly TNF matchup and gives his best bets for this weekend's matchups. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Nov 12, 20211h 2m

NFL Week 9 Review, Titans Rolling, Bills Falter, Successful Best Bets

Kevin review the Week 9 slate and his adjusted scores and best bet results. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Nov 9, 20211h 13m

Odell Beckham Out, Aaron Rodgers Caught, NFL Week 9 Previews and Best Bets

Kevin reviews releasing Odell Beckham Jr., touches on the Aaron Rodgers, plus reviews of the Week 9 action and his favorite bets. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Nov 5, 202150 min

NFL Week 8 Review, Chiefs offense on my radar, Bucs still the best team

Kevin reviews all the Week 8 NFL action using his adjusted scores, advanced stats and PFF grades. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Nov 2, 20211h 18m

TNF Packers-Cardinals Review, NFL Week 8 Best Bets

Kevin reviews the thrilling Packers victory where the Cardinals were probably the better team, plus a few best bets from the Falcons-Panthers, Bills-Dolphins and Saints-Bucs games. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Oct 29, 202143 min

NFL Week 7 Review, Bengals Roar, Justin Fields Apologists On Notice

Kevin reviews Week 7 and his adjusted scores, providing insights into teams that were better or worse than many think. Plus, he puts a few fan bases on notice for excuse making and getting ahead of themselves. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Oct 26, 20211h 15m

Browns-Broncos Review and Week 7 Best Bets

Kevin goes through the emergence of running-backs-don't-matter stud D'Ernest Johnson, the great decision-making of Kevin Stefanski and which games he's betting this Sunday. Plus, a look at a recent interview with Bob Voulgaris and what it shows about the mis-incentives in sports franchises. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Oct 22, 202151 min

NFL Week 6 Review, Derrick Henry domination, Cardinals flying high

Kevin walks through the Week 6 results, why Derrick Henry is valuable but not the MVP, if Belichick has lost his mojo, and why the Cardinals are not quite the best team in the NFL just yet. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Oct 19, 20211h 3m

Bucs-Eagles Review, Week 6 Best Bets and Previews

Kevin goes through all the numbers of a bad beat TNF contest between the Bucs and Eagles, plus his best bets for the rest of the Week 6 slate. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Oct 15, 20211h 8m

Week 5 Review: Best Bet Results, Bills the New AFC Kings, & Brady Defies Aging

Kevin review the Week 5 results, breaks down his game grades and goes over a successful week of best bets. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Oct 12, 20211h 6m

Seahawks-Rams Analytical Review, Week 5 Best Bets and Previews

Kevin breaks down the Thursday night matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams, plus his favorite bets for the weekend and a detailed preview of each game. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Oct 8, 20211h 16m

Week 4 NFL Review: Kyler MVP & Chiefs back on track

Kevin goes through each Week 4 matchup, diving into advanced stats, grades and trends. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Oct 5, 20211h 33m

Week 4 Preview: Best Bets, Advanced Stats and Trends

Kevin reviews the Jaguars tough loss to the Bengal on TNF, plus he previews the entire Week 4 slate, which includes a handful of games with betting value. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Oct 1, 20211h 0m

NFL Week 3 Review: Chiefs in trouble? Ravens disjointed? Carr Underrated?

Kevin goes through all the relevant advanced stats and grades from the Week 3 matchups. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Sep 28, 20211h 21m

TNF Panthers-Texans Grade/Stats Review, Week 3 Previews

Kevin breaks down the TNF performances and why Sam Darnold is thriving in Joe Brady's system, plus he goes through the most important stats and trends for every Week 2 matchup. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Sep 24, 202153 min

Week 2 Review, Chiefs-Ravens Grading Breakdown, QB Rankings

Kevin goes through all the Week 2 action from an analytical lens, digs into why Patrick Mahomes has a relatively poor PFF grade, and puts into context where each team's quarterback stands among the rest of the league. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Sep 21, 202154 min

TNF Washington Football Team-New York Giants Analytical Review; Week 2 Stats and Trends to Monitor

Kevin details why some of the grades from the TNF matchup may not match consensus perception and goes through each remaining Week 2 game with a few stats and trends to watch. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Sep 17, 20211h 5m