Unexpected Points

Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube:Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Leave future Q&A in the post comments, or replay to this email.Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Apologies to podcast listeners this wasn’t up earlier. Substack was having a issues uploading the audio file. To avoid this in the future, you can subscribe on YouTube and even catch the live stream. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube to participate in Q&A. Broadcasting at 10am Mon/Tues/Fri This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Check on the pod on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

The Athletic's Jourdan Rodrigue joins the pod to talk her excellent 5-part narrative podcast series, The Playcallers. The series has extensive reporting and interviews with Kyle Shanahan, Sean McVay, Matt LaFleur and Mike McDaniel. Plus, additional commentary from coaches who worked with this group, and the players they influenced.You can listen to the series here.You can watch this podcast on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comBen Taylor (@ElGee35) joins the pod to talk:* His method of valuing players* What the stats and eye test are missing* Is height less important in the NBA?* His GOAT list of the 40 most value players of all time* Why Shaq and Kareem are underratedCheck out Ben’s highly successful YouTube Channel, his website and purchase his book.Watch on YouTube:

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comSeth Partnow (@SethPartnow) joins the pod to talk through his vast experience in multiple sports.Topic covered include:* Why he hates what the term “analytics” has come to mean* His book “The Midrange Theory”* Did Jokic and the Nuggets help dispel notions of great regular season teams not finishing in the playoffs* How to build an effective front office to inte…

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comDavis Mattek (@DavisMattek) joins the pod to talk about a variety of topics, including the implications of the PGA-LIV merger, which players he's targeting in early best-ball drafts, and thoughts on the NBA finals and state of the league.WATCH ON YOUTUBE:

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comRyan O'Hanlon (@rwohan) Writer, ESPN; author, NET GAINS: INSIDE THE BEAUTIFUL GAME’S ANALYTICS REVOLUTION.Buy Net Gains here: Publisher, AmazonView the full episode on YouTube:

Kevin talks through what matters in early offseason news, why the Celtics-Heat series is instructive and takes subscriber questions.Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comBill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) joins the pod to talk greatest college QBs, evaluating the 2023 and 2022 classes, and some soccer talk.Watch on YouTube:

Watch on YouTube and subscriber there to be part of the next livestream. Leave comments on this post you want answered next week.Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comFollow Ben on twitter (@benbbaldwin)Ben and Kevin give their top- and bottom-5 front office after digesting the 2023 NFL draft and offseason.Watch on YouTube:

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comWatch on YouTube:

View on YouTube:Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comHayden Winks (@HaydenWinks) or Underdog Fantasy joins the pod to talk through all that went down in the NFL draft, including:* How to properly account for the feedback from NFL teams in our projections* What really dictates usage and early career starts for rookie quarterbacks* Weighing landing spots versus macro environmentsWatch on YouTube:

Another YouTube livestream. Check out the audio or video, plus subscribe on YouTube to catch future episodes and have the ability to ask questions.Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comYou can follow Pat on twitter (@PatKerrane) and check out his work at Legendary Upside.Watch on YouTube:

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comRich Hribar (@LordReebs) of Sharp Football Analysis and I talk:* If there’s a reliable running back other than Bijan Robinson in the class* Should Bijan go in the first round?* How to think about a weaker and smaller wide receiver class* Why Jalin Hyatt might have more NFL value than fantasy* How waiting at tight end is the right decision for NFL teams* Why he has …

Kevin details the Unexpected Points research from this week, plus: - * How a couple analytically savvy analyst get it wrong with Lamar Jackson splits - * Taking YouTube livestream questionsWatch on Youtube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comMike Renner of PFF (@PFF_Mike) joins me to talk:* How his ranking process incorporates positional value* Ranking lower-value positions, like running back and tight end, in a good class at each position.* Why he has Bryce Young as the clear QB1.* Should teams be thinking more about upside and Anthony Richardson at No. 1* Standing out in a lot of draft noise withou…

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comMike Sando (@SandoNFL) of The Atheltic joins me to talk about the offseason happenings, including:* Ownership meetings in Arizona - * How to build relationships in the NFL as a reporter - * His QB Tiers articles and what they say about Lamar Jackson - * What everyone is getting wrong about the Jackson negotiationsView on YouTube:

Benjamin Robinson (@benj_robinson) of Grinding the Mocks joins me to talk:* Methodology and mock draft weighting getting loser to the NFL draft* Risers and fallers.Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comFollow Eric on twitter (@ericeager_)The full version of the pod is available with a subscription to unexpectedpoints.substack.com.* We talk macro offseason strategies* How much winning a Super Bowl affects offseason plans* Targeting certain positions in free agency* Elijah Moore trade and when it’s best to make moves* Rodgers negotiationsUnexpected Points is a re…

Kevin’s takes on the points added for all the major deal, best positions to target, and why the Bears added the most value.View on Youtube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comKevin reacts to the Bears trading away the No. 1 pick to the Panthers, and why DJ Moore is the key to the deal.View on YouTube:

PFF’s Brad Spielberger (@PFF_Brad) joins the pod to talk:* QB Contracts* How teams should approach free agency* Over/undervalued players by position in free agencyCheck out Brad’s work at PFF, including the free agency rankings with grades and his projected contract amounts.Support the pod hereWatch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comThis is the first paid subscriber interview pod. The first half of the interview will go to all listeners, and the full episode will be available for free on The Unexpected Points YouTube channel (please subscribe). Jason Fitzgerald, one of my favorite analysts, joins the pod to talk offseason strategy, targeting different positions in free agency and t…

Ben Baldwin (@benbbaldwin) joins me to talk about:* Super Bowl game management decisions * How the Chiefs and Eagles should approach the offseason* Were we too low on the Chiefs front office?* Plus, Seahawks talk and what to do with GenoWatch on YouTube:Listen on Apple: Please rate and review!Listen on Spotify:Subscribe to my substack for daily written analysis and twice a week podcasts,* Weekly Adjusted Scores and Advanced Reviews* Weekly updated Power Ratings* Proprietary Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency* Paid subscriber access to Google sheet with downloadable metrics and inputsFollow me on Twitter: @KevinCole___ This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

You can watch the episode on the Unexpected Points YouTube channel. Plus, subscribe and leave questions for future Q&A’s.For all of the research I discuss on the pod, get a paid subscription to the Unexpected Points substack.Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe