
The Real Investment Show Podcast
3,290 episodes — Page 17 of 66
6-6-24 Small Caps and Mid Caps: Timing Your Investments Post-Economic Slowdown
D-Day commemorations top the day; ISM report shows a big jump, but input prices and employment weakened. The data does not (yet) support thesis for Recession. Nvidia topped $3-Trillion in market capitalization, surpassing Apple for #2 slot in the S&P. Nvidia is now 3x over its 50-DAM. The coming power grid expansion will offer investing opportunities; how viable are alternative energy investment propositions? What are the implications of government subsidies required by alternative energy companies? Political realities to be considered. The next Fed meeting: will they cut rates; how many times? Market performance history vis a vis Fed rate activity. Small caps and mid caps may become favorable investments in the future, especially after a period of slow economic growth or recession when excess stimulus has been absorbed. Lance & Michael break down the crucial moments to consider for small and mid-cap stocks: Current state of mid caps and small caps; Earnings performance of small caps; Economic indicators impacting small caps; Timing for small cap investments; Effect of economic growth or recession on small caps. SEG-1: D-Day and Data (Does Not Support Recession Thesis) SEG-2: Investing in Power Grid Expansion & Alternative Energy Plays SEG-3: The Fed Doesn't Do 'Token' Rate Cuts SEG-4: Small Caps and Mid Caps: Timing Your Investments Post-Economic Slowdown Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=znjG3-cP3-8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investments For The Coming Power Grid Expansion- Part 3" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investments-for-the-coming-power-grid-expansion-part-3/ "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Overtakes Apple at $3 Trillion Market Cap?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCYSYtjM3MA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Could Roaring Kitty's Wealth Top $1-Billion?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QzhNqLLV-o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DDay80thAnniversary #Nvidia #MarketCap #Apple #FederalReserve #PowerGridExpansion #AlternativeEnergy #SmalCaps #MidCaps #Earnings #EconomicData #Exposure #InvestmentOpportunities #SlowEconomicGrowth #Recession #FutureInvestments #MarketTrends #EconomicCycles #StockPerformance #Markets #Money #Investing
6-6-24 Nvidia Overtakes Apple at $3 Trillion Market Cap
Big day for Nvidia on Wednesday, crossing the $3-Trillion market cap threshold to become the second-biggest company in the S&P...and surpassing Apple in market capitalization. Nvidia is now trading well beyond three standard deviations above its 50-DMA. The last time Nvidia was this extended, back in March, it spent quite a bit of time afterward declining as it worked off the overbought positions. We look at the technical analysis behind this stock. Everyone that is AI-related is where the money is going for now, but at some point this is all going to have to be worked off. [DISCLOSURE: We are long on Nvidia.] Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dCYSYtjM3MA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #LargeCap #3TrillionMarketCap #Apple #SP500 #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
6-5-24 Could Roaring Kitty's Wealth Top $1-Billion?
More weak economic data from the Atlanta Fed; semiconductors are outperforming software stocks, 3:1; look for consolidation in that sector. Domestic stocks are outperforming all other markets. A fairly big correction in Oil Prices over the past few days is now setting up an opportunity for investors to take profits and rebalance energy portfolios, which are by necessity tied to the price of their underlying commodity. Curious about Roaring Kitty's extraordinary journey in the stock market? Discover how his wealth skyrocketed from $53,000 to nearly $300 million; Roaring Kitty's rise to fame in the financial world; the ups and downs of his public visibility; the SEC's perspective on Roaring Kitty's actions; Key financial milestones and achievements; the potential for his wealth to reach $1 billion. Why elected officials should not be allowed to invest in the market; preparing your finances for recession: Warning flags are signaling trouble ahead. Using proper risk management. How bad will the next correction be? The trigger will be some credit related event; where will we go from there? SEG-1: Weaker Economic Data Continues; Will Crude Oil Rally? SEG-2: The Saga of Roaring Kitty SEG-3: Preparing Your Finances for Recession SEG-4: How Bad Will the Next Correction Be? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QzhNqLLV-o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "THow High Will Crude Prices Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pO4--VWfnsQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-_ddRfURIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RoaringKitty #Reddit #Wealth #SEC #StockMarket #GameStop #Investment #FinancialJourney #Spotlight #BillionDollarPotential #KeithGill #MemeStocks #WallStreetBets #TradingStrategies #FinancialSuccess #Risk #Reward #OnlineForums #LegalScrutiny #RetailInvestors #MarketInfluence #InternetSensation #FinancialTransformation #Markets #Money #Investing
6-5-24 How High Will Crude Prices Rally?
A fairly big correction in Oil Prices over the past few days is now setting up for an opportunity for investors to take profits and rebalance energy portfolios, which are by necessity tied to the price of their underlying commodity. OPEC's decision to allow more production to come online has pushed oil prices down. Oil prices are sitting on support that goes back to February of this year. A bounce in prices will allow you the opportunity to rebalance energy exposure. We're looking for a rally in oil prices to between $76 to $77/share. However--a continuation of slower rates of economic growth could have an effect on commodity prices to the downside. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pO4--VWfnsQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOilRally #OPECProduction #EnergyStocks #CommodityPrices #PortfolioRebalancing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
6-4-24 Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out
Launching June market trading and looking ahead; the continuing saga of E*Trade and Roaring Kitty, GameStop. Economic data continues to weaken; expectations for Fed rate cuts this year are now back up to two. Markets' morning selloff, afternoon rally back into the green pattern continues, thanks to EOD institutional buying; all activity against the backdrop of a sell signal. Why Berkshire went to zero; markets' extreme deviation continues. Should you wait until after the Presidential Election to invest? Are you considering market timing as a strategy? Lance Roberts breaks down the pitfalls and risks of trying to predict the market: Challenges of predicting market trends months in advance; Consequences of sitting out of the market until a specific event; the trap of waiting for the perfect moment to invest; How market run-ups can leave you behind; The psychological cycle that keeps investors indecisive. New AI chips are coming; the AI Chase is on. Chips are in, software is out. Intel is playing catch-up; should you have an AI portfolio? A Space portfolio? The allure of private equity: Use caution! SEG-1: Economic Data Conitnues to Weaken; Rate Cut Expectations Rise SEG-2: Berkshire Goes to Zero & Markets' Extreme Deviation SEG-3: Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out SEG-4: The AI Chase & The Allure of Private Equity Investing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-_ddRfURIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Deviations From Long-Term Growth Trends Back To Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deviations-from-long-term-growth-trends-back-to-extremes/ "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The 50-DMA is the Line in the Sand" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjuzAS5Oxdo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Momentum Chase is On: What Happens Next? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8nCiHEJSjg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketTiming #RiskyStrategy #Marketprediction #ElectionImpact #MarketTrends #FinancialDecisions #StockMarket #EconomicEvents #MarketFluctuation #InvestmentTiming #FinancialRisk #MissedOpportunities #marketrunUp #BuyingTheDip #InvestorPsychology #EconomicUncertainty #MarketAnalysis #MarketTraps #InvestmentStrategy #LongTermInvesting #MarketBehavior #CyclicalNature #MarketCycles #Markets #Money #Investing
6-4-24 The 50-DMA is the Line in the Sand
Markets opened weakly on Monday but rallied at the end of the day to close in the green. Markets continue to bounce along the 20-DMA, and the question will be whether the late-session buying by institutions will continue. Late day rallies are encouraging, as they're occurring against the backdrop of a sell signal, but that's also keeping markets from going anywhere. Markets continue to move sideways as overbought conditions are worked off. The 50-DMA is the line in the sand: as long as we remain above there, there's not much to worry about. For now. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjuzAS5Oxdo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MACDSellSignal #MarketBullishness #LineInTheSand #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
6-3-24 The Momentum Chase is On: What Happens Next?
Markets start the month with support sustained at the 20-DMA, although consumer spending is weakening, with retrenchment in Restaurants. Inventories are high while spending is slackening. The cure for inflation is high prices. Markets break thru 20-DMA on Friday, but rally before the close. Sell signal is restricting upside. The market momentum chase is on...which is fine until the music stops. Noting investing cycles vs market cycles and the problem with dividend investing strategy. Public Debt: Productive vs non productive: Can the AI boom bail us out? Why James Grant is wrong about debt and interest rates (a preview). How AI could save us from "bad" debt with electric grid infrastructure improvements. A note about forecasting GDP & Interest Rates. SEG-1: Setting the Table for June SEG-2: Surviving the Momentum Chase SEG-3: Investing Cycle, Market Cycles. & Dividend Strategies SEG-4: Why James Grant is Wrong about Debt and Interest Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8nCiHEJSjg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Momentum Chase Is On. What Happens Next?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL-48uLmZfA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Should You Borrow Against Your 401k?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaFHcrYr414&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MomentumInvesting #ValueInvesting #InvestmentStrategy #Timing #MarketTrends #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #TradingStyles #InvestingApproaches #MarketTiming #InvestmenTiming #FinancialMarkets #InvestmentTypes #InvestingPrinciples #InvestmentOpportunities #StrategicInvesting #TimingMatters #MarketAnalysis #Markets #Money #Investing
6-3-24 Market Performance in an Election Year
Markets broke through the 20-DMA early in the day on Friday, as Bad News was actually bad news. However, in the last hour of the day, a hughe buying surge lifted markets back above the 20-DMA, allowing markets to hold support, and remain within a bullish trend. Markets are still on a sell signal, suggesting upside may be limited. The current market grind may continue for another week or so, and the next, best set-up for correction may not occur until right before 2024 the election. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rL-48uLmZfA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MACDSellSignal #2024Election #MarketBullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-31-24 Should You Borrow Against Your 401k?
With weaker economic data trickling in, are Fed rate cuts coming sooner than later? What's the deal with 401k's? The best way to take money out of a 401k; executing an "in-service rollover;" tax implications and fund seasoning details you need to know; remember fees and expense ratios. What about Roth's: pre-tax funds & retirement; making too much money? Dealing with shifts in RMD's: The government wants its revenue sooner than later. Dealing with hardship withdrawals; what is and isn't exempted. The folly of borrowing against a 401k (Hint: Don't do it!) What about collateralizing 401k funds? (See previous comment) 401k leakage and retirement shortfalls. Is there wisdom in going to Gold? Pro's & con's discussion: Gold is not spendable. SEG-1: Are Rate Cuts Coming in the Wake of Weaker Economic Data? SEG-2: What's the Best Way to Take Money from a 401k? SEG-3: What About Roth's? SEG-4: Collateralizing 401k's and the Lure of Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Sr. Relashipship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zaFHcrYr414&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Power Grid Expansion – Part Two" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-power-grid-expansion-part-two/ "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Benefit from the Coming Power Grid Expansion" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwfPDOKaFjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #401k #Gold #RequiredMinimumDistribution #Roth #InServiceRollover #TaxImplications #401kLeakage #Collateralizing401kFunds #RetirementShortfalls #GoingtoGold #Markets #Money #Investing
5-30-24 How to Benefit from the Coming Power Grid Expansion
Houston is finally #1 in something: Home Foreclosures; Q1 economic data suggests conflict with narrative the economy is doing fine vs anecdotal evidence. The Fed's Beige Book summary shows not as much concern for inflation as for weakening consumer demand. Weaker stock pricing is also emerging; Can markets hold the 20-DMA? Risk assets are momentum-based trade (Bitcoin); also beginning to weaken. Hedge funds are long semiconductors and AI-related stocks: the AI theme seems to be narrowing. The difference between the Dot-com bubble and AI companies is that AI is making money. What will be the side-benefits AI generates? Note how Nvidia performs: 80% of earnings from AI Data Centers; the power requirements for supporting AI Data Centers. What will power the grid with more AI & EV demands? How will AI affect productivity? Where will the power come from & how will it be transmitted? Traditional & alternative sources. What will be the demand from AI Data Center & Bitcoin mining? What will fuel these plants? Gas, Coal, Nuclear as well as some alternative sources. Transporting fuels and transmitting power; this is opportunity for productive debt/investment, a la the Hoover Dam. Q! GDP adjustments are starting to show signs of weakening. How accurate is the data? Employment numbers will be key. SEG-1: The Economy is Weaker than Headlines Suggest SEG-2: Looking at the Side-benefits of AI SEG-3: Where Will the Power Come From? SEG-4: Signs of a Weakening Economy Emerge Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFARatliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwfPDOKaFjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Power Grid Expansion – Part Two" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-power-grid-expansion-part-two/ "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Corporate Greed is Not the Cause of Inflation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHJSrOyH95g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitcoinMining #PowerGrid #EconomicBenefit #AIDataCenters #NaturalGas #Unproductive #PowerConsumption #EnergyImpact #MiningStatistics #EconomicUpside #Markets #Money #Investing
5-30-24 Is Weaker Pricing Ahead?
The S&P really hasn't gone anywhere, just consolidating over the past two weeks. We think markets will crack and trigger a MACD Sell Signal, suggesting weaker pricing is on the way. The question today will be whether the market can hold the 20-DMA. Bitcoin is beginning to weaken, also ready to trigger a sell signal; Ethereum just got a big pop in anticipation of its ETF approval by the SEC. It is starting to roll over, as well, in a prelude to triggering a sell signal. Crude oil has already had a correction, and is bottoming now, and may be coming into a buy signal. All of these signs point to more market weakness before we get another rally. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRN8k8kauYo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MACDSellSignal #Bitcoin #CryptoCurrency #SEC #EthereumETF #RiskOn #CrudeOil #WeakerStockPricing #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-29-24 Corporate Greed is Not the Cause of Inflation
It's all about the Fed, never mind the fundamentals. markets have gone essentially nowhere, driven almost entirely by Nvidia. Markets are close to a short-term sell signal. It's time to rebalance portfolios. Corporate Greed does not cause inflation: The simple truth. 401k rollowver problems; why few receiving required 402(f) notifications; the tax implications of rollovers. If you've lost a 401k, Beagle.com may be able to help you find it. Why compounding doesn't work in the market; creditor protection for retirement funds. Hampton Inn merch: Waffle socks & fanny packs; Buc-Cee's, Cracker Barrel, Johnson Howards, & Stuckey's; Keeping all your 401k in company stock: The Enron Error. SEG-1: The Market Driver remains Nvidia: Time to Rebalance? SEG-2: Corporate Greed Does Not Cause Inflation SEG-3: The 401-k Rollover Problem SEG-4: Waffle Merch & Enron Errors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHJSrOyH95g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "No, Corporate Greed Is Not The Cause Of Inflation." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-corporate-greed-is-not-the-cause-of-inflation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Time to Rebalance Portfolios with NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vwuqllrc7iI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What If I Get Names Executor of an Estate?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pc9ifsBCTyk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #Nvidia #PortfolioRebalancing #CorporateGreed #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CrackerBarrel #Buccees #HamptonInn #HowardJohnson #Stuckeys #SupplyAndDemand #EconomicBasics #Economy #MonetarySupply #CreditCards #PopulationGrowth #Government #PrintingMoney #Economics #SlowingDownEconomy #DemandReduction #MoneyCirculation #FinancialMisconceptions #Fallacy #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicTheses #CreditConsumption #EconomicGrowth #InflationFall #MoneySupply #EconomicImpact #Markets #Money #Investing
5-29-24 Time to Rebalance Portfolios with NVIDIA
Markets have been doing well of late, thanks in part to the excellent performance of Nvidia, the one stalwart of the AI semiconductor chase. The stock was up another 8% Tuesday as the whole AI idea continues to permeate the market. Nvidia is now larger than Tesla, IBM, and about eight other companies, all combined, with a market cap now at $2.7-Trillion. You can buy Amazon stock and still have money left over. Nvidia stock is pretty overbought; so if you have not yet done so, a rebalancing of your portfolio now would be a good idea. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NVIDIA #RiskReward #AITrade #PortfolioRebalancing #MarketRally #Bullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-24-24 What If I Get Named Executor of an Estate?
Markets falter; Nvidia and Cracker Barrel keeping up with the times; the Fed's impact on Markets: Could rates actually go back up? How spending habits are shifting; the need for a Sell Discipline when bad news is good news. Caution against investing emotionally because of politics. What happens when you're the executor: Business decisions vs family/emotional issues. The Graceland financial fiasco: An executor's nightmare. How many generations does wealth last? How Elvis got Graceland. SEG-1: What Nvidia & Cracker Barrel Have in Common SEG-2: THe Need for a Sell Discipline When Bad News is Good SEG-3: What Happens When You're the Executor? SEG-4: The Presley Mansion Financial Fiasco - An Executor's Nightmare Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pc9ifsBCTyk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Data Centers And EVs Create Incredible Opportunities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ai-data-centers-and-evs-create-incredible-opportunities/ "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Who Will Profit Most from the Next Tech Boom?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiiCv2nehik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #NVIDIA #CrackerBarrel #ChocolateFountain #CheeseFountain #PresidentialElection #Politics #Graceland #ElvisPresleyEstate #ExecutorResponsibilities #ExecutorLiability #Markets #Money #Investing
5-23-24 Who Will Profit Most from the Next Tech Boom?
Markets sold off on release of the latest FOMC Meeting minutes, which are a sanitized, finely-crafted version of what went on behind closed doors. The hawkishness seems to be continuing; Deflation seems to be a bigger risk to the economy than inflation. There's too little demand, resulting in price cuts to move inventory. Insight on why we reduced our stake in Nvidia before its report was released, which attests to the growth potential of AI buildouts. One cloud on the horizon: Wall Street's ever-optimistic expectations for continued growth. How does innovation impact the economy, and who will be the next Levi Strauss? The problems facing the power grid from AI & EV's. The power grid needs 40- NYC's. Natural Gas will be a big winner as a cheap, clean energy source. Water consumption estimates by 2023; issuing debt for productive purposes. FOMC Minutes are a little "wishy-washy" about interest rates: The Fed doesn't really know what it's doing. Stocks & bonds went nowhere after minutes' release. Fed governors are all on the same page about sticky inflation remaining longer. SEG-1: Markets Sell off on FOMC Minutes' Continued Hawkishness SEG-2: NVIDIA Report Attests to Growth of AI Build Out SEG-3: Power Grid Challenges from AI & EV's SEG-4: Why FOMC Minutes were "Wishy-washy" Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiiCv2nehik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Data Centers And EVs Create Incredible Opportunities" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ai-data-centers-and-evs-create-incredible-opportunities/ "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why the Dot-com Crash Feels Like a Distant Memory to Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0z-LlFF4lw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2671s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #AI #EV #CaliforniaGoldRush #LeviStrauss #Nvidia #Profit #Miners#Denim #HeartyPants #LongRun #AMD #Microsoft #Google #ProfitMost #Obvious #RunUp #NextLeviStrauss #Markets #Money #Investing
5-23-24 The Risk-Reward in NVIDIA
Why did we trim our holdings in NVIDIA before its earnings report release? The answer lies in our Daily Market Commentary. Basically, when it becomes over bought, we trim a little, and when it pulls back, we buy some more at a lower price. We balanced out position and took our portfolio back to target weight. What we've seen this earnings season is companies coming out with stellar earnings reports, but not commensurately rewarded for those results. But if they miss, or guidance just in-line, a stock can lose 10-20% for the day. A look at NVIDIA's risk range indicated it was time to trim and wait for the stock to correct. NVDIA is also going to do a 10:1 stock split, so the price is going to be diluted substantially. The AI trade is still very much in play. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44K9HYHt5RY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NVIDIA #RiskReward #AITrade #AncillaryBenefits #MarketRally #Bullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Geopolitics #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-22-24 Why the Dot-Com Crash Feels Like a Distant Memory to Modern Investors
All eyes are on NVDIA's quarterly report: Why did we trim our position? How might this company disappoint investors? It's all about the guidance. FOMC Meeting Minutes also could trigger markets, based on what they reveal about the Fed's interest rate intentions. Markets are at all-time highs, trading in a tighter range. Markets have gone 315-days without a 2% correction; we think they're primed for a pullback. Lance's wife is home; hilarity ensues. Millennials' 'quiet vacation' ploys. Is recession coming? Most investors and economists think not. (We are still within the window of opportunity following yield curve inversion). Trying to eliminate recession from the business cycle; why recessions are needed. American's favorite investments vs Mattress Mac's investment philosophy. Where Dave Ramsey is right...and wrong. Remember the.com crash? Many young investors today never experienced a financial crisis like 2008. It's important to learn from history to navigate market uncertainties. SEG-1: Will NVDIA Report Trigger Correction to 20-DMA? SEG-2: Millennials' Quiet Vacationing & Other Work Avoidance Ploys SEG-3: Why Most Investors & Economists Believe No Recession is Coming SEG-4: What is America's Favorite Long Term Investment? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0z-LlFF4lw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2671s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Correct Back to the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MraQkqRJQFQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Risk of Relying on Benchmarking" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZ1Ss55bFt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=16s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #FOMCMeetingMinutes #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #Inflation #WageDisparity #DotComCrash #MarketDecline #PeakToTrough #ReduceRisk #Recession #RobinhoodTrading #Investors #MarketRally #OptionsTrading #2008FinancialCrisis #BarackObama #MarketExperience #Post2008, market thesis, investing history, market opportunities, financial downturn, trading experience #FinancialCrisis #Markets #Money #Investing
5-22-24 Will markets Correct back to the 20-DMA?
The market is sitting at all-time highs, but trading over the last five days has been in a very tight range. Price gains at this point are going to be hard to come by when markets are as overbought as they are now. Today's market movement will be triggered by either the FOMC Meeting minutes release or NVDIA's quarterly report...or both. There's a reasonable risk for a short-term correction back to the 20-DMA, worth about 2%. Remember, we have not had a 2% down day in over 315-days. Any kind of disappointment from the aforementioned news events could spark a sell-off. But any good news is going to have a hard time lifting market beyond their already elevated, all-time high levels. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qz34OdB55LI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NVDIA #FOMCMeetingMinutes #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Bullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Geopolitics #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-21-24 The Risk of Relying on Benchmarking
During ripping bull markets, investors often start benchmarking, comparing their portfolio's performance against a major index; most often, the S&P 500 index. While that activity is heavily encouraged by Wall Street and the media, funded by Wall Street, is benchmarking the right for you? Why does Wall Street want you to compare your performance to a benchmark index? Lance discusses Fed speakers' remarks: Sticky inflation means no rate cuts anytime soon. The 20-DMA crossed over the 50-DMA: A very bullish signal; we're expecting a pullback at some point. SEC debates whether to approved Ethereum EFT. Comparisons are motivation by Wall Street to move money so they can charge you fees. Nothing stays at the top for long; what are your investing goals? Why do we invest? Benchmarking pro's & con's; the difference between an index and you. Corporate greed & how we got stock buybacks. Labor vs business ownership: Business owners are deserving of their earnings because they've taken the risk. Where do stock buybacks come from...and where does the money go? How to fix wage disparity: Eliminate buybacks; pay will be limited to cash a company can generate. SEG-1: Fed Speakers' Recap: Sticky Inflation = No rate cut soon SEG-2: The Folly of Benchmarking Portfolio to an Index, Pt-1 SEG-3: The Folly of Benchmarking Portfolio to an Index, Pt-2 SEG-4: Corporate Greed & Wage Disparity Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lZ1Ss55bFt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=16s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Ethereum ETF Sustain Market Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qz34OdB55LI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Disinflation Remains The Bigger Risk" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P9TN8Dzhd0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #StickyInflation #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #Inflation #Disinflation #Benchmarking #CorporateGreed #StockBuyBacks #WageDisparity #MinimumWage #Lehman #Shares #GM #Portfolio #Index #Rebalance #MarketCapitalization #Price #SharesOutstanding #Underperform #ContributeMoney #Markets #Money #Investing
5-21-24 Will Ethereum ETF Sustain Market Rally?
The big debate in the SEC is whether Ethereum will be granted permisison to launch an ETF, a la Bitcoin, which would have the potential to boost Ethereum stock prices. Ethereum had a large jump on Monday in anticipation of the decision, which is about 75% probable the SEC will vote to approve. If, for some reason, the SEC does not allow the launch, the current market rally could be short-lived. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qz34OdB55LI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SEC #Ethereum #EthereumETF #BitCoin #BitCoinETF #MarketRally #Bullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Geopolitics #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-20-24 Disinflation Remains The Bigger Risk
NVDIA & Fed speakers are in the spotlight this week; stock buyback are running higher than normal. The risk of recession; when will the Fed cut rates? Durable Goods are in deflation; Services are seeing higher inflation, tied to discretionary spending. Markets finish previous week at all time highs; when will they pull back? Wathcing for a bullish cross of the 20- and 50-DMA. AI can now lie and cheat; bad economic news is good news; the majority of earnings growth is coming from ten stocks; the impact of retail sales, debt ratios, and falling consumer spending. The connection between retail sales, CPI, PCE, & GDP; NFIB Inflation stats. Stocks are rallying in anticipation of Fed announcement, not stock buyback action. Power outages & Kolaches; Zoom and Palo Alto to report this week. Note the barriers to entry in considering a company's stock. SEG-1: NVDIA & Fed Speakers in Spotlight SEG-2: Teaching AI to Lie & Cheat; Bad News is Good News SEG-3: The Connection between Retail Sales, CPI, PCE, & GDP SEG-4: Power outage, Kolaches, & Barriers to Entry to Consider Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P9TN8Dzhd0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bad News Is Good News As Markets Set Record Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Prepared for a Bullish Cross" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cvqdSYAkSI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 #BullishCross #MarketPullBack #InvestingAdvice ------- Our previous show is here: "How Long Will You Live?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTyaxINdMkY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #NVDIA #FedSpeakers #TeachingAItoCheat #RetailSales #Inflation #Disinflation #Markets #Money #Investing
5-20-24 Markets are Prepared for a Bullish Cross
Markets finished last week on a positive note after hitting all-time highs. The question will be whether or not we get a bit of a pullback: Markets are very over bought on a short-term basis, and still on a buy signal. So, for the short-term there does not seem to be a lot of downside risk. We're watching for a correction back towards the 50-DMA (which is sitting near the 20-DMA). The 20-DMA will likely execute a bullish cross over the 50-DMA in the next day or so. A pullback towards support would be very healthy for markets. Markets are not concerned about big headlines rooted in geopolitics. The thing that gets the markets is not the thing that we know about; it's the unexpected event that always snags things. For now, the market is doing fine; let's participate and make some money. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4cvqdSYAkSI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #BullishCross #MarketPullBack #Bullishness #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Geopolitics #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-17-24 How Long Will You Live?
Houston hit with tornadic storms; everything is going up: Stocks, Bonds, Gold...The Crypto Proposition: Brokers are like lemmings. Every investment is a story: Tech & Cryptocurrency; wrapping rules around your portfolios. The danger of over-confidence. Investing perspective is important. Avoid investing based on politics; the psychology of investing. Should you get out of the market? Baseball cards, G.I. Joe's, and Mortuary Museum: Planning for how long you'll live. Using life expectancy in portfolio & retirement planning. Social Security is longevity insurance. (www.livingto100.com) When to best claim Social Security. SEG-1: Houston Storm Recap & The Crypto Investment Proposition SEG-2: Every Investment is Story: Wrapping rules around your portfolio SEG-3: Avoid Investing Based on Politics SEG-4: Baseball Cards, Mortuary Museums, & Planning for Longevity Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTyaxINdMkY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-today-costs-dearly-tomorrow/ "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Bad Market News is Good News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's a Mistake to Be Entirely Out of Equities" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWeHX8ZXVQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CryptoCurrency #PortfolioRules#OutOfEquitiesd #MarketMistakes #BalancingPerspectives #EconomicData #PositiveFactors #NegativeFactors #MarketAnalysis #CarefulEvaluation #EvenBalance #OngoingTrends #FinancialInsights #FiscalEvaluation #Markets #Money #Investing
5-16-24 It's a Mistake to Be Entirely Out of Equities
Markets hit all-time highs with softer CPI: The biggest contributor was decline in Homeowners' Equivalent Rent. Markets are now anticipating two rate cuts this year. Consumers are showing signs of weakening; hardest hit are Gen-Z & Millennials. Stocks & Bonds rally on weaker CPI; markets are extremely over bought. Look for a re-test of the 50-DMA with market corrective action anticipated. WalMart has decent earnings; consumer spending is what drives the economy. Quality of Employment numbers matter: Full Time vs Part Time Jobs; Why the Government's Employment formula is bogus. How we calculate Inflation now (also bogus). The Risk is never zero. Answering emails: When will the market crash? Being out of the market; more money is lost trying to avoid a crash than is lost during a crash. Market Correction is coming, Debt .will eventually matter (but we'll all be dead by then), a la Japan. Leanring from mistakes getting out of the market. The perils of sitting in cash: Find the other bull market. It's a mistake to be entirely out of equities. The markets' bullish trend has not been broken since March 2009. SEG-1: Markets' Rally on Softer CPI SEG-2: The Risk is Never Zero Seg-3: Debt Will Eventually Matter (but we'll all be dead by then) SEG-4: Market Mistakes Learned the Hard Way Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWeHX8ZXVQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stimulus-today-costs-dearly-tomorrow/ "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "When Bad Market News is Good News" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "WIll Bitcion Rise to $420,000?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldxIgLe-YuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #PPI #CPI #MarketSuccess #OutOfEquitiesd #MarketMistakes #BalancingPerspectives #EconomicData #PositiveFactors #NegativeFactors #MarketAnalysis #CarefulEvaluation #EvenBalance #OngoingTrends #FinancialInsights #FiscalEvaluation #Markets #Money #Investing
5-16-24 When Bad Market News is Good News
Bonds rallied, Stocks rallied, and Gold rallied all across the board, thanks to a weaker than expected CPI Print which suggested the Fed will cut rates at least two times this year. It was a risk-on day. Markets closed the day at their highs; they are extremely over bought at this point, and that would infer that some type of corrective action is in the offing. (Markets are also very deviated from normal ranges of their moving averages.) Remember, in order to have a moving average, you have to have trading above AND below that average over a period of time. Big deviations lead to a re-test of support. A re-test of the 50-DMA would create an opportunity to work off some of this over bought condition, and also to add some exposure. Bad news is good news for the markets because it means the Fed is more likely to cut rates. Overall, there is a bullish bias to the markets; we are going to have some corrective action, however, and that will provide oppoprtunity. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kv5Lxty8B_k&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #CPI #PPI #MarketPullBack #Bullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-14-24 The Bull is Back
Roaring Kitty is back with resurgence of GameStop stock; the insanity returns. Jerome Powell already knows the CPI numbers for tomorrow: What are markets expecting vs what he will say? Citi Surprise Index showing more signs of economic weakness; evidence the consumer is slowing down. Markets flopped around Monday but earned another green candle. We're expecting a pullback to test the 50-DMA; there is risk in economic data from the lag effect. Markets typically lead the economy by 6 to 9-months. More Coffee talk, living in Europe, and why we don't invest internationally (where can you make the most money?) NFIB Report preview: Shop local small businesses. The folly of tapping 401-k funds. The backlash against "wealthy" Boomers; living on cash. SEG-1: Roaring Kitty & Market Expectations SEG-2: Why Markets Lead Economy by 6-9 Months SEG-3: Coffee, Europe, & Email: Why We Don't Invest Internationally SEG-4a: NFIB Report Preview SEG-4b: The Flaw in "Borrowing" from 401-k's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RZV_c2piH5Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=13s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Moving Average Crossovers Suggest The Bull Is Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/moving-average-crossovers-suggest-the-bull-is-back/ "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can Hotter CPI Trigger Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vx2GXMK7SD0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bounce Back Ends April Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYdAXliMOdg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #RoaringKitty #GameStop #AMC #MemeStocks #JeromePowell #CPI #PPI #Inflation #BorowingFrom401k #NFIBReport #SmallBusiness #SellSignal #RiskRangeReport #BeCautious #SP500 #InvestmentTiming #Coffee #Markets #Money #Investing
5-14-24 Can Hotter CPI Trigger Correction?
Markets spent much of Monday flopping around but finishing the day with a green candle. Markets are still overbought and still on a buy signal, so we're expecting correction within a few days: Nothing major, but a healthy pullback to re-test the 50-DMA and alleviate the overbought conditions. The risk in the data is the lag-effect, which could produce a hotter-than-expected CPI print. Most of Wall Street is expecting cooler numbers, but there is not a zero chance of a hotter CPI number, which would put pressure on markets. numbers, but there is not a zero chance of a hotter CPI number, which would put pressure on markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vx2GXMK7SD0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #CPI #PPI #MarketPullBack #Bullishness #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-13-24 Bounce Back Ends April Correction
Markets' bullish trend continues; no reason to be sitting in cash now. Economic data is proving to be a mixed bag. Consumers' creativity for accessing funds they shouldn't be touching for continued spending. Markets are back to overbought; wait for a pullback to add exposure. What's moving markets: The Fed or AI? When the Fed supplies liquidity, fundamentals take second chair. Fundamentals, however, will save you in a market downturn. Will AI be a game changer? "Ready Player One" is the ultimate outcome of AI. There are now emerging energy concerns for powering AI. Imperative to know what narratives are driving markets to best plan investing strategy. Earnings are a function of economic growth: S&P growth to slow as company earnings slow. Stock buybacks are used to engineer better earnings and are not sustainable. The health benefits of coffee. CPI coming Wednesday w .4% expectations. April Retail Sales may be okay with Tax Refund spending, but after that... Lance's new TikTok series, GoPro on a Dog. SEG-1: Markets' Bullish Trend Continues SEG-2: Will AI Be a Game Changer? SEG-3: Why Earnings Growth is a Function of Economic Growth SEG-4a: The Elixir of Youth SEG-4b: CPI Preview Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HYdAXliMOdg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Equities Bounce Back Ending The April Correction" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Over Bought Markets Pull Back?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-0-l1HDXmg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Social Security Last Past 2035?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTL3ny5OkwA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #GenerativeAI #TrillionDollarOpportunities #PrivateEquity #Funding #Iinvestment #ArtificialIntelligence #Coffee #Markets #Money #Investing
5-13-24 Will Over Bought Markets Pull Back
Markets' April correction has created a bounce off support at the 100-DMA, and now markets are retesting March's highs. Markets have been up for eight days straight, and on a solid buy signal, are now back up to "overbought." Markets are likely to struggle for a few days, unable to make much headway higher. The months of June and July should be fairly decent months, given that this is an Election Year. If you're looking to add exposure, we're suggesting waiting until markets provide some kind of a pullback. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-0-l1HDXmg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketExposure #MarketPullBack #CorrectionIsOver #VIX #Bullishness #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-10-24 Will Social Security Last Past 2035?
Earnings preview & economic reports: The wisdom of writing a market journal. Will markets produce an 8th day of gains? Current trading strategioes; the animal spirits are shifting. Soupy Sales' 'Send a Dollar;' CEO Neutrality, getting back to the basics of business. Will Social Security last past 2035? There are some surprising, positive notes in the latest SS Trustees' report. Why we run financial plans without SS. Financial Dust-bunnies: Medicare Lunch & Learn; why the big push for Medicare Advantage? (Because that's what pays brokers the most.) Crafting retirement income is an art: Is the 4% Rule too safe? There is no set number: There are too many variables. "The Woods" retirement plan; the Annuities discussion; protecting against emotional decisions. SEG-1: Will Markets Produce an 8th Positive Day? SEG-2: CEO Neutrality & Getting Back to the Basics of Business SEG-3: The Financial Dust-bunnies of Medicare SEG-4: Retirement Income is an Art Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTL3ny5OkwA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/ "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Finding the Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #SocialSecurity #MedicareAdvantage #CEONeutrality #FinancialDustBunnies #RetirementIncome #ActuarialBalance #CombinedFunds #Crisis #BenefitsCut #RetirementAge #SocialSecurityCap #CareerPoliticians #Electability #FinancialConditions #PositiveOutlook #Markets #Money #Investing
5-9-24 Finding the Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic
Is the pig really out of the python? (Excess savings are gone.) Who is still spending, and how? Government spending and consumer credit card usage; buy-now, pay-later (BNPL) plans being used to buy groceries and make ends meet. There are no stats to determine credit risk presented by BNPL companies. Markets sell-off, rally, and end at break-even. The correction is over...for now. No earnings growth outside the Magnificent Seven or top large-cap companies. Companies not rewarded greatly, but brutally punished. Uber, Shopify, Starbucks bellwethers of consumer spending. McDonald's, Five-Guys, inflation impact. Warren Buffett's challenge to find Apple; could he use his cash better? Inflation Report preview: Rents make up 40% of CPI; prices are still high. Why their inflation will be zero. CPI is a black box. Q1 strengths attributed to Seasonal Adjustments. Consumers will start weakening. Sentiment vs Inflation: All the market cares about is government data, regardless of how you feel. High prices will remain, but if unchanged next year, inflation will be zero. Markets are distorted from the fundamentals; valuations still matter. SEG-1: The Pig's NOT Out of the Python SEG-2: Analyzing Earnings: No Growth Outside Magnificent-7 SEG-3: Inflation Report Preview: Impact of Rents on CPI SEG-4: Sentiment vs Inflation: What the markets look at Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C9aVqf8un5c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Finding The Next Apple Using Buffett's Logic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/finding-the-next-apple-using-buffetts-logic/ "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Reverses Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Difference Between the Price You See vs the Price You Pay is Growing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #EarningsGrowth #MagnificentSeven #NegativeEarningsGrowth #TopStocks #TwitterChart #Markets #Money #Investing
5-9-24 Market Volatility Reverses Again
Markets sold-off, rallied, and then ending flat on Wednesday, good enough to chalk up another "green candle day." This just continues to show there are buyers entering the market. Remember, Sellers live higher, Buyers live lower. When Buyers evaporate, prices drop to the next level of pricing at which Buyers are willing to buy. How amazing it has been to see how rapidly the Volatility Index has reversed: It took 15-sessions for the VIX to go from 13 to 21; it took 13-days to go back to 13. What looks like a big spike in volatility, on a longer trend is barely a blip. Concern for a sell-off is past, and the correction is over; buyers are returning, and the greed factor is back. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FJqfWLf9Ntg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #CorrectionIsOver #VIX #Bullishness #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-8-24 The Difference Between the Price You See vs the Price You Pay is Growing
The Citi Surprise Index: When economists are disappointed in estimated numbers; that index is now at a low ebb. An uneventful earnings season is wrapping up with fair results; the only companies seeing margins grow are large caps. Markets eke out gains for 4th straight day; the benefits of a market pullback; CTA's have money to spend, plus resumption of stock buy backs. Old Shows & Actors; the great un-bundling of fee has created fees on fees; tipping & charges-per-squirt(!): Budget leakage. Buying Made in USA. AI Golf robots, Robocop, & Skynet; the worst financial mistake some families make: Living on a single paycheck. Balancing the equation with a stay-at-home parent; dealing with the skills gap; the impact of rising childcare costs, and what caused it (gov't. stimulus). Planning for College & Career Choices; five jobs with most potential to produce millionaires. The process of good financial habits. "It's not about how much you make, but how much you save." SEG-1: Analyzing the Citi Surprise Index SEG-2: Surprise Fees are Growing SEG-3: The Worst Financial Mistake Some Families Can Make SEG-4: Five Jobs Most Likely to Produce Millionaires Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UkAPeqpMME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Powell Sparks a Buying Frenzy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPodLCUQ4sw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CitiSurpriseIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #SurpriseFees #WorstFinancialMistakes #FiveJobsProducingMillionaires #EconomicPredictions #CashlessSociety #RisingFees #BusinessCosts #DigitalPayments #ConsumerImpact #EconomicChallenges #UnbundlingFees #AffordabilityIssues #Markets #Money #Investing
5-8-24 A Pullback Would Be Nice
Markets ecked out a very small gain on Tuesday, chalking up four days of positive finishes. The buy signal is now firmly in place, and markets are becoming a bit over bought; a pullback at this point, with a bit of a hold, would be helpful. And a rally forward from that level would then continue the bullish trend. There is a lot of buying on deck with the return to stock buybacks and computer trading algorithms primed with about $80-billion in cash to use. There's a lot of potential buying in store over the next month. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FFM1UMhDHCk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketDecline #MarketPullback #Bullishness #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-7-24 Powell Sparks a Buying Frenzy
Economists' 'rush-to-judgement' vs the lag effect catching up w economic data. Consumer spending and loan demand are waning as excesses in money supply are normalizing. The data re beginning to refute the "no recession" theme. Market correction is now over, bullish trend to resume. The challenge of NOT expecting recession; what the data is starting to show; not a lot of risk in credit markets...yet. That's where trouble will show up first. Geopolitical conflicts do mot matter to markets for long; world wars do. Spreads between corporate bonds vs treasuries are at an all time low (90bp). There's no stress in the economy...so far; pay attention to credit risk. 20th Anniversary of 2008 Financial Crisis is approaching. Letters from the IRS and a $34-B tax bill; the rich need to pay their "fair share;" defining "fair" (charts). The portability of wealth will be a factor when taxes rise too high. How about Congress spending LESS? Swiss Army to make knife with no blade for UK. Residual Seasonality in economic data: Always skewed by seasonal adjustments. SEG-1: The Lag Effect is Catching up w Economic Data SEG-2: Is Credit Risk the Canary in the Coal Mine? SEG-3: Defining "Fair Share" SEG-4: Knives without Blades; Residual Seasonality Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Aiming for 5,300," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What is Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #CreditSpreads #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #RecessionExpectations #EconomicPredictions #ShockEffect #MarketPsychology #EonomicHealth #FinancialConfidence #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing
5-7-24 Aiming for 5,300
Markets rallied to close above the 50-DMA on Monday, triggering computers' buy programs, and a final push at the end of the day produced a close at the high for the session. Markets are now over bought and on a buy signal with no real, near-term concerns about a decline. Watch for a bit of sloppy trading over the next few days, and what would be great would be for markets to re-test the 50-DMA, hold it, and then make another move higher over the next few days. This would confirm a pathway to re-test previous highs. We think 5,200 or 5,300 is likely the top of this rally. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wm2kCMEF0Lo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP5300 #MarketDecline #NOConcern #Bullishness #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-6-24 What is Economic Stagflation?
There are three possible paths for markets, moving forward. Markets are at a critical juncture at the 50-DMA; earnings "beat-rate" has been low, and earnings misses have been severely punished. Looking at the Fed's liquidity strategies; the markets' possible direction from this point. In dealing with inflation, which data measurement matters? Him's, Her's, & Botox: The rise in Gen-Z use of cosmetics for better selfies. What is Stagflation, and do we really have it? Inflation tracks economic growth; stagflation = high inflation, low economic growth, & high unemployment. We currently have record low unemployment, inflation is about average, not high, and there is decently strong economic growth. This is not That '70's Show. YouTube chat response: You cannot double-count inflation. SEG-1: Markets Are at a Critical Juncture at the 50-DMA SEG-2: Three Paths for Markets Moving Forward SEG-3: Is There Really Stagflation? SEG-4: You Cannot Double-count Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5d2BCsJQr8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Stagflation – Myth Or Reality?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Stock Rally As Powell Sparks A Buying Frenzy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/stock-rally-as-powell-sparks-a-buying-frenzy/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Critical Resistance at 50-DMA " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFiJNHKMRm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EconomicGrowth #EconomicStagflation #GDP #PCE #PriceIndex #StockMarket #FinancialConcerns #EconomicData #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing
5-6-24 Markets' Critical Resistance at 50-DMA
Markets are right at the 50-DMA which is critical resistance. It's make or break time: If markets break to the upside, we'll try to retest previous market highs at around 5,200. 80% of earnings reports are behind us, and those were "not great" with a very low beat rate. The majority of growth came from large cap companies. Earnings misses were brutally punished; rewards were not that great. The pressure at the moment is to the upside with the Fed becoming somewhat dovish at the moment. External distracions like the whether we'll get a recession, what's happening with ther Yen, and the geopolitical situation: Pay attention to markets in the near term with bias to the upside. IF we break below the 100-DMA, then we'll have someething to talk about. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFiJNHKMRm4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PumpAndDump #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-3-24 Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle?
Apple's results + the Biggest Buyback Ever: Are iPhones becoming a high-tech toaster? Labor/Jobs Report preview; what the Fed may do. It is surprising the market is now down more than 5%. This has been a government-driven economy. Janet Yellen is a Marxist. Who will win the tax cut battle? We'll all lose. It's apsneding problem, not a revenue problem. Why are taxing lines drawn at $400k? The life of a WalMart manager; tax dollars go to waste. New Department of Valuations. Next Lunch & Learn preview: Medicare. Are advisors giving conflicting advice on Social Security? No one wants to address Medicare; get a second opinion before taking SS early. The surge in interest in annuities; Gen-Z would rather have insurance than stocks: Stable income from annuities. Gen-Z living frugally: The differing attitudes of younger generations. SEG-1: Apple Results & The Biggest Buyback Ever SEG-2: Who'll Win the Tax Cut Battle? SEG-3: Are Advisors Giving Conflicting SS Advice? SEG-4: Why Gen-Z Would Rather Have Inusrance than Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMV5vU7krsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/ "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Powell Holds Pat" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AppleStockBuybak #iPhoneSalesDrop #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ShareBuybacks #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Medicare #Frugality #JaneetYellen #IncomeTaxes #Markets #Money #Investing
5-2-24 Powell Holds Pat (and the wealth gap becomes a chasm)
Market volatility returns amid earnings season, with McDonald's, KFC, and Starbuck's reporting weak earnings, suggesting tru impact of inflation on consumers, wjho are becoming more price-conscious. Markets perform a pump & dump on Wedesnday, with stock retesting the 20-DMA...and failing. Pelaton earnings disappoint; the Fed holds rates steady; everything is fine, but they're not cutting rates. Discussion of what this means for markets, liquidity, and reduction of Fed balance sheet. The Treasury's Bond Strategy. Pelaton Drama: CEO Exit; what the Fed said; markets have already priced-in the plan. The Fed sees the economy is gradually slwoing, and wants to get ahead of recession. Underlying data is weaker than headline numbers. Powell says, "no stag, no flation." Apple earnings preview, flip-phones, '90's music, & The Rolling Stones. Warren Buffett says no eye-popping returns in store. Apple is not a high-growth company. Too many companies are buying back stocks at too high a price. Buybacks will provide some support for large-cap companies. The challenge is going to be economic growth: Will earnings estimates come down? SEG-1: Market Volatility Returns SEG-2: Peloton Earnings & Fed Holds Rates Steady SEG-3: Peloton Drama & What the Fed Said SEG-4: Apple Flip Phones, '90's Music, & The Rolling Stones Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_zLhdhUmR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=62s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fed Policies Turn The Wealth Gap Into A Chasm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-policies-turn-the-wealth-gap-into-a-chasm/ "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Pump & Dump" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Happens When Companies Miss?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #FederalReserve #EconomyManipulation #Recession #Inflation #GoldilocksEconomy #RealRateOfFedFunds #RestrictiveRate #InflationaryConcerns #Markets #Money #Investing
5-2-24 Markets Pump & Dump
Markets traded lower Tuesday, about 30-basis points below Monday's action. However, during the intra-day, markets underwent a massive flip: Stocks retested the 20-DMA following the Fed's announcement to hold rates steady; but in the final hour of trading, markets had a sharp sell-off to complete reverse all the day's gains. Markets will open higher today in an attempt to rally again. Technically speaking, a rising trend of bottoms is begining to emerge, and a consolidation wedge of prices is becoming apparent. This may be indicative of markets getting through the corrective process; May tends to be a weaker month, so more market sloppiness can be expected. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Spzj5xO7bCE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PumpAndDump #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
5-1-24 What Happens When Companies Miss?
Fed Day brings dovish expectations; so far, so good in current earnings season. Economic data is all over the board; Europe emerges from Recession. Taxes to increase; tax flight is inevitable. Market correction continues; can it hold support at 100-DMA? A 10% correction would be normal. Earnings recap (so far) Amazon, CVS/Healthcare: Baby Boomers' elective surgeries are impacting insurors' actuarial tables; the rash of retirees. AMD disappoints because their report was on-target, not better-than-expected. Overall, a mixed-bag of results. What happens when companies miss? META: Is the 'Metaverse' fading? Lance's Bitcoin commentary. Fed meeting preview: Inflation proving stickier than expected. Will the Fed hike rates? Ho the Fed communicates to markets: Different speakers' different takes w/policy trial balloons. There has been no conversation about not cutting rates. (Markets and the Fed only pay attention to Government economic numbers.) Markets are now expecting only one rate cut and are up 8%: Is there really a need to cut rates? Markets will key-in on when rates are to be cut, and the relative dovishness of Jerome Powell. The Perfect Investment/revisited: The value of cash in portfolio holdings. SEG-1: Fed Day & Dovish Expectations, Market Correction SEG-2: Earnings Review: What happens when companies miss? SEG-3: FOMC Preview: Price Inflation Stickier than Expected SEG-4: The Perfect Investment & The Value of Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MfJJripGmTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Normality of a 10% Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxwEhInc7QM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Cash #Capital #BusinessEvaluation #FinancialOpportunity #StrategicInvestmentDecisions #Markets #Money #Investing
5-1-24 The Normality of a 10% Correction
Markets came off support at the 100-DMA, rallied to the 50-DMA and failed in a first test of resistance. No dramatic surprise. The important thing now is to hold support at the 100-DMA. The month of April was somewhat weak, and historically, that leads to a stronger May; we'll see if that plays out because May tends to be a weaker-performing month, particularly during Presidential Election Years. There is potential for this correction to drag out, and the risk is the extreme deviation which remains at the 200-DMA at around 4,700. There is another 5% decline needed to get down to that level. Peak-to-trough, that would encompass a 10% correction that we've been talking about. And that would be completely normal. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxwEhInc7QM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #MarketPullback #InterestRates #HawkishFed #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-30-24 Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming
Fed Meeting preview; earnings season contiunes, buybacks about to resume. What's up the the Yen? Corporations are the net buyers of stocks; the correction is done: There's lots of underlying support for markets; after two good market days, closing above 20-DMA, moving to re-test 50-DMA, but likely to fail, dependent upon Fed comments. Lance & Jonathan discuss the Astro's, dance team tryouts, and the problem with investor negativity. Similarities with AI and Dot-coms: Will this be the next crash? What will create a credit-related event? Why the current correction is done...for now. The ipact of stock buybacks; investing the contrarian way. Lance & Jonathan answer an email about The Perfect Investment: 10-yr. Treasuries vs Annuities; the three components of investing (you only get any two). SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview & The Yen SEG-2: Astro's, Dance Teams, & The Problem w Investor Negativity SEG-3: Why the Current Correction is Done SEG-4: The Perfect Investment Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wy2IA1Zj_Mw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bullish Sentiment Index Reverses With Buybacks Resuming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bullish-sentiment-index-reverses-with-buybacks-resuming/ "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Market Pullback Ahead?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Te4b0zqK2NA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #EquitiesRebound #MarketCorrection #CorporateEearningsImprovement #CEOconfidence #ShareBuybacks #EquityBuying #Outlooks #Markets #Money #Investing
4-30-24 Is a Market Pullback Ahead?
Futures are somewhat depressed after two good days in the markets, wjhich follow six days of selling. We noted that Sellers live higher, Buyers live lower. Markets closed above the 20-DMA on Monday, and the big test to day will be at the 50-DMA...which will likely fail. A market pullback ahead of tomorrow's Fed announcement would be no surprise. But, if the Fed says something that's perceived as being more hawkish, markets could certainly come down to test the 100-DMA. Comments reiterating plans to cut rates, however, could motivate markets higher above the 50-DMA over the next couple of weeks. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Te4b0zqK2NA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #MarketPullback #InterestRates #HawkishFed #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-29-24 Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls
Market performance in election years is marked by investor anxiety over the outcome, and the potential for outlying risk. The FOMC Meeting this week: will the Fed halt plans for cuts, and possibily even hike rates? Expectations for strong employment numbers. Markets rally on PCE report, beginning to build a new, bullish trend. This will be a busy earnings week. When the correction comes, how you will play? The liquidity boost from tax receipts in April & October. Retail sales details: Are things as strong as they seem: Paying more to buy the same. Is AI the wave of the future for cargo shipping? The AI conundrum and the future of work: What happens to all those displaced? The economic impact of AI: Shrinking middle class, expanding lower class, concentration of wealth among the ultra-high class. SEG-1: Market Performance in Election Years SEG-2: When the Correction Comes SEG-3: The Devil in the Details in Retail Sales SEG-4: The AI Conundrum & Future of Work Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L-C8B7DfDGw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=78s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Sucker Rally Or The Return Of The Bulls" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Retail Sales Data Suggests A Strong Consumer Or Does It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/retail-sales-data-suggests-a-strong-consumer-or-does-it/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Building a New Bullish Trend?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0vWNP7EeBQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYPi4NguyyI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPerformance #ElectionYear #FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #JeromePowell #EmploymentReport #SuckerRally #RetailSales #EarningsSeason #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #Shipping #Labor #FutureOfWork #Markets #Money #Investing
4-29-24 Are Markets Building a New Bullish Trend?
Markets rallied nicely on Friday on the latest PCE report that suggests the economy is doing very well, plus booming quarterly reports from Goodle and Microsoft. In theory a new, bullish trend in the market is beginning to build, with higher lows and higher highs. If we can break out of the convergence of the 20 and 50-DMA's, markets have a shot at re-testing previous highs. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0vWNP7EeBQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BuildingBullishTrend #Microsoft #Google #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-26-24 Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes?
Markets & Earnings Recap, PCE Preview: What is the Fed going to do? Tesla takes it on the chin; Mortgage rates and home prices are on the rise; are homeowners feeling trapped? How far will your money go in retiremetn? Higher taxes are coming; who'll pay the most? Training for Retirement: How to flip the switch from accumulation to de-cumulation; living without that paycheck. Budgeting and spending planning: Where does the money go? Compounding only works if the principal remains untouched. Automating savings. Putting underwear on a payment plan; the ugly truth about automobile financing. Wall Street exists to sell you product. Current tax code expires at the end of 2025; are you prepared to pay higher taxes? Who's really paying their "fair share?" What happens to capital gains rates? What about unrealized capital gains? SEG-1: PCE Preview: What Will the Fed Do? SEG-2: Training for Retirement SEG-3: Putting Underwear on a Payment Plan SEG-4: Are You Prepared for Higher Taxes? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFO, w Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nYPi4NguyyI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overconfidence-in-nfl-drafts-a-lesson-for-investors/ "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests "Higher For Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- REGISTER for our next Lunch & Learn: "Transitioning to Medicare" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=49 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7TjrCiY1s8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxBurden ##TaxCutsAndJobsAct #2024Election #TaxCodeExpiration #GovernmentInaction #TaxBrackets #IncreasingPercentages #Retirement #CommercialRealEstate #EconomicReports #SupplyAndDemand #NFLDraft #InvestorOverConfidence #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing
4-25-24 Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft
Lance is Back! What is really happening in Commercial Real Estate: Getting distressed inventories off the books at deep discounts. Market performance recap: Nice bounce off the 100-DMA; PCE coming: What it means & why it's important.Economic strength is keeping inflation high; can it last? After markets' nice sell off, downside risk still remains. Paying attention to economic reports and supply & demand; looking at Q1 GDP estimates; market review: Tesla & Meta: Narratives are fine, but look at the technicals. Bond auction narratives have been all over the place. Lessons for investors from the NFL: Avoid over-confidence. The difference between college & pro ball = retail vs pro investors. "Zig then the others Zag," Warren Sharp. "Groupthink = group stink," Doug Kass. Markets vs headlines; economic data vs polls; the steakhouse crowd vs the pubs; prices are the problem. The wealth gap plays havoc with inflation, which no one can really measure. SEG-1: What's Really Happening in Commercial Real Estate SEG-2: Economic Reports vs Supply & Demand SEG-3: Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft SEG-4: Steakhouse Crowds, Pubs, and Polls Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7TjrCiY1s8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overconfidence-in-nfl-drafts-a-lesson-for-investors/ "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests "Higher For Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMvKYdHl_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CommercialRealEstate #EconomicReports #SupplyAndDemand #NFLDraft #InvestorOverConfidence #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing
4-25-24 Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!
Markets' predicted sell off occurred, and there's still room to the downside. As we've noted, a 5 - 10% correction was very possible because of markets' extreme deviation from the 200-DMA. That gap still must be closed, and to do so will take the market down to about the 4700 level. We've already taken a 5.5% correction to the 100-DMA. Yesterday's impact of META and IBM did not help. Today we'll test support at the 100-DMA: If markets can hold at that point, we're likely going to be through the correction, However, if the market fails at the 100-DMA, it will then drop to test the 200-DMA to completely close that deviation. We're about halfway through the sentiment reversal cycle for the bulls. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DownsideRisk #OversoldMarket #RebalancingRisk #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing