Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Luke Gromen of Forrest For The Trees argues that the US is facing the "Mother of All Crises": a forced choice between losing the AI race to China or destroying the US Treasury market. In this deep dive, we cover why the electrical grid is the ultimate bottleneck, why Bitcoin is flashing a warning signal for 2026, and the mathematical path to $15,000 gold. Recorded December 1, 2025. Follow Teucrium on Twitter https://x.com/TeucriumETFs Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Luke Gromen on Twitter https://x.com/LukeGromen Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXMax Sam Gaer, CIO of Directional Strategies at Monarq Asset Management, joins Other People’s Money to discuss how he uses quantitative directional strategies to trade crypto assets and produce an institutional quality return stream that has outperformed bitcoin at scale. He explains how his experience as a market maker, executive, and self-taught electronic exchange technologist driving some of the most important technological advances in finance led him to “burn the boats,” leave tradfi, and go all in on building institutional crypto strategies with Monarq. He also discusses how institutional appetite for crypto hedge fund strategies is growing with increased regulatory clarity, greater availability of institutional level funds, and evolving market opportunities in crypto-native and crypto-linked tradfi assets. Follow Sam Gaer on X: https://x.com/samg67 Follow Monarq on X: https://x.com/monarq_mgmt Follow VanEck on X: https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 01:43 Q4 Crypto Volatility 06:21 A Disappointing Year for Crypto Bulls 10:29 Taking Advantage of Extreme Volatility 12:50 Triple Barrier Risk Management 15:43 $REMX 16:26 Responsible Leverage 17:17 Is the 4-Year Cycle Over 21:55 Early Days Pit Trading 24:16 Building Electronic Exchange Technology 26:38 CEO of NYMEX Europe and NYMEX IPO 27:24 Move to FINRA 28:43 Building and Selling a Volatility Hedge Fund 29:15 Burn the Boats 32:14 Joining Monarq 37:14 Differences Between Crypto Fund Managers and TradFi 39:17 Institutional Adoption of Crypto Hedge Funds 44:27 Can Crypto Strategies Scale to Meet the Demand? 47:19 The Crypto TradFi Collision 49:57 The Difference Between Institutional and Non-institutional Quality Crypto Funds 54:13 Hyper Liquid and Other Market Improvements in Crypto 59:26 Will TradFi Take Over Crypto? 01:01:31 Digital Asset Treasuries 01:08:46 The Next Stage for Monarq

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Erik Norland, Chief Economist at the CME Group, joins Jack Farley to discuss the wild volatility in commodity markets. With Silver up over 80% in the past year, Erik breaks down the technological shift from photography to solar panels that is driving demand. They discuss the global fiscal situation, where major economies from the US to Brazil are running deficits between 6% and 8% of GDP , creating a bid for gold prices as investors seek assets central banks can't print. Norland also covers copper, oil, and agricultural commodities. Recorded December 4, 2025. Follow Teucrium on Twitter https://x.com/TeucriumETFs Follow Erik Norland on LinkedIn uk.linkedin.com/in/erik-norland-a089124 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Erik Norland’s articles: google.com/search?q=erik+norland+cme&oq=erik&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUqBggAEEUYOzIGCAAQRRg7MgoIARAuGLEDGIAEMgYIAhBFGEAyBggDEEUYPDIGCAQQRRg8MgYIBRBFGD0yBggGEEUYQTIGCAcQRRhB0gEHNTk3ajBqN6gCALACAA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 “What’s Driving Platinum and Palladium Prices?”: https://www.cmegroup.com/openmarkets/economics/2025/Whats-Driving-Platinum-and-Palladium-Prices.html “Four Major Drivers of the Gold-Silver Price Ratio”: https://www.cmegroup.com/insights/economic-research/2025/four-major-drivers-of-the-gold-silver-price-ratio.html “Is Crude Oil at a Major Inflection Point?”: https://www.cmegroup.com/insights/economic-research/2025/is-crude-oil-at-a-major-inflection-point.html Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: www.vaneck.com/REMXJack In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack sits down with Michael Pettis, Senior Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment, to deconstruct the massive economic imbalances between China and the rest of the world. For decades, the global economy has relied on a specific mechanism: China suppresses domestic consumption to subsidize manufacturing, and the US runs massive deficits to absorb that excess supply. Pettis argues this model has reached its limit. They discuss the concept of "economic involution," why China’s shift from real estate bubbles to manufacturing bubbles is dangerous for Europe and the US, and why the current tariff regimes are merely shifting trade routes rather than solving the problem. If you want to understand why the trade deficit keeps growing despite political intervention, and what a "Great Rebalancing" actually looks like, this is a must-listen. Recorded on November 24, 2025. Trade Wars Are Class Wars book: https://www.amazon.com/Trade-Wars-Are-Class-International/dp/0300244177 Michael Pettis’ Work At Carnegie Endowment For International Peace: https://carnegieendowment.org/people/michael-pettis?lang=en Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Michael Pettis on Twitter https://x.com/michaelxpettis Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Monetary Matters listeners can get 20% of Prometheus Macro Substack here: https://www.prometheus-macro.com/subscribe?coupon=a60c1c9f Aahan Menon, founder of Prometheus Macro and a trusted "quant's quant" for sophisticated hedge funds, joins Jack Farley to explain why his models are signaling a meaningful shift down in risk. While previously striking a bullish tone, Aahan reveals why his institutional strategies have moved from "max bullish" to neutral on equities and commodities. Aahan breaks down a concerning divergence in the economy: while GDP and spending are being propped up by a surge in AI CapEx and top-heavy consumption, the underlying labor market is weakening. He explains the "circularity" problem of AI investment—eventually, CapEx must turn into consumption, which requires wage growth that is currently stalling. Later in the conversation, Aahan challenges core macro beliefs, presenting data on why long-term economic forecasting and tracking "rates of change" generate negligible or negative alpha. He also details his current positioning, including being short homebuilders, long French bonds against Japanese JGBs, and his "Crisis Protection" portfolio. Recorded on November 25, 2025. Follow Aahan Menon on Twitter https://x.com/AahanPrometheus Follow Prometheus Macro on Twitter https://x.com/prometheusmacro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal AI. Save 30% off any paid tier at for Black Friday: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe breakdown Michael Burry’s big Nvidia short thesis and the recent projections from HSBC that Open AI will lose nearly half a trillion dollars between now and 2030. They also discuss the recent repricing of Fed rate cuts in December and debate which companies are the biggest losers if AI turns out to be a bubble. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:16 The Biggest Event in Macro 00:55 Breaking Down Michael Burry's Short Thesis for Nvidia 04:47 Semiconductors Are Historically Cyclical 07:08 Is Nvidia a Good Short? 08:25 Criticism of Burry's Analysis 16:38 Fiscal.ai 18:17 Open AI's Massive Loss Projections 24:26 AI Coding Agent Revenues 26:25 Can Nvidia Escape Unscathed? 29:54 Michael Burry's Substack Success 30:54 AI Spending's Impact on GDP 31:56 December Fed Meeting

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack welcomes Meb Faber, founder of Cambria Funds, to discuss the extreme valuations in the US stock market and where investors can still find value. Meb breaks down historical market cycles, comparing the current AI boom to the railroad bubbles of the past, and explains why "expensive uptrends" can persist longer than logic dictates. The conversation shifts to the institutional world, where Meb challenges the status quo of major endowments like Harvard and CalPERS, arguing that complex private equity strategies can often be beaten by simple, liquid ETFs. Finally, Meb reveals a tax code loophole (Section 351) that allows investors to swap concentrated stock positions for diversified ETFs on a tax-deferred basis. Recorded on November 20, 2025. Follow Meb Faber on Twitter https://x.com/MebFaber Follow The Idea Farm on Twitter https://x.com/theideafarm Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Pieces Discussed: “Exceptional Expectations: U.S. vs. Non-U.S. Equities”: https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Research/White-Papers/Exceptional-Expectations-US-vs-Non-US-Equities “LEARNING TO LOVE INVESTMENT BUBBLES: WHAT IF SIR ISAAC NEWTON HAD BEEN A TRENDFOLLOWER?”: https://mebfaber.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/SSRN-id1923387.pdf Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners James Wang, General Partner at Creative Ventures and author of “What You Need to Know About AI” joins Other People’s Money to discuss the most pressing issues facing venture capital right now including: VC’s collision with public markets, the “RIAifaction” of VC firms, and the reality that there is still too much dry powder propping up venture valuations. Wang also discusses the difficulty of judging VC funds off of typical metrics like MOIC and TVPI, especially when the fund is still in the middle of its life cycle. Wang closes the podcast with his views on AI as expressed in his new book and the reasons why he believes many are being distracted by first-order effects. Follow James Wang on X: https://x.com/AJamesWang Read Weighty Thoughts: https://weightythoughts.com Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 01:22 The Collision of Public and Private Markets 04:13 Venture Capital is Following the Same Path as Other Asset Classes 05:52 Venture's Shifting Role in Portfolios 13:36 Venture Capital Emerging Managers 18:39 Corporate Venture Capital 20:58 The Most Active Venture LPs 22:45 Sovereign Wealth Funds and Strategic Venture 26:56 RIAs and Private Wealth as the Next Source of Capital 31:58 The Emergence of Star Athletes and Actors as VCs 33:41 Most VCs Don't Add Value to Portfolio Companies 35:31 Comparing VC Funds: The Metrics That Lie 43:32 Sneaky VC Marketing Tricks and Marketing Materials 48:33 Reference Checks and Speaking with Founders 50:17 The Dry Powder Bubble 57:41 What You Need to Know About AI 59:47 Tracking AI Progress 01:03:42 The Politics of AI 01:07:32 The Next Stage of Training AI Models

Robert Smith, Corporate Finance Editor at the FT, joins Jack to discuss the recent $12 billion bankruptcy of First Brands Group that has shocked the financial world. He explains the history of First Brands, its collapse, and the company’s ongoing bankruptcy proceedings. Robert also discusses the larger world of private credit and if First Brands is the first of many ‘credit cockroaches.’ The bankruptcy is of particular interest given the fact that it could be a signal of further problems on the horizon of the private credit market. Recorded on November 21st, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Robert Smith on Twitter https://x.com/BondHack Follow Robert Smith on Bluesky https://bsky.app/profile/bondhack.ft.com Read Robert’s FT Articles https://www.ft.com/robert-smith First Brands Collapse in a Nutshell https://on.ft.com/48ptTUu

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Dan Krausz of Blue Door Asset Management joins Monetary Matters to argue that the global economy is currently driven by two dominant macro factors: aggressive fiscal policy and Artificial Intelligence. He breaks down the concept of a "three-speed economy," explaining how 6% fiscal deficits create a "liquidity waterfall" that funds the government first while leaving housing and small businesses in a silent recession. Dan posits the contrarian view that the Federal Reserve may actually need an AI productivity boom to manage long-term inflation and debt, making the potential "AI bubble" a necessary economic tool rather than a threat. Finally, he outlines his three critical rules for positioning in this environment, explaining why investors must "avoid the middle" and why the opportunity is shifting from AI infrastructure to implementation. Recorded on November 18, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mmAs investors’ outlook on AI capital expenditure sours, Jack and Max explore the rising debt issuance to fund artificial intelligence development, and the faltering share prices of companies with exposure to the “AI factor”: the hyperscalers (particularly Oracle), the chip companies, and the neoclouds such as Coreweave and Nebius. Jack then looks at two insurance companies, Kinsale and Palomar, as insurance sector does its part to hold up the S&P 500. Jack and Max also give an update on Chinese fintechs at the end. Recorded on November 21, 2025.Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwietheFollow Monetary Matters on:Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyhSpotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 02:28 Debt Fueled CapEx Boom 08:23 "AI CEOs Are Building a God" 11:24 The Real Speculative Bubble 15:51 NeoCloud Risk 17:53 Fiscal AI 19:11 Healthcare and Insurance Strength 21:38 Kinsale Capital Group 27:38 Factors Benefiting Insurance 29:12 Palomar Holdings 33:48 Jobs Data and December Fed Meeting 37:26 Chinese Fintech Bloodbath 40:32 Conclusion

Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: www.vaneck.com/REMXJack In a change of pace, Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy returns to Monetary Matters not to talk macro, but to discuss in-depth her views on AI capital expenditures that are driving a majority of the economic growth in the United States. Describing herself as “a moderate bull on AI,” Alden argues that AI is masking the true weakness of the U.S. economy, and that, while AI will prove to transform industries, there could be hiccups in the huge sums that are being spent to build out this AI vision. She notes that “AI euphoria is rolling over” and shares her views on the chip depreciation, with analogues to Bitcoin mining. Alden shares her view on Bitcoin in 2026 and explains in depth how the difficulty adjustments within Bitcoin support the long-term sustainability of the network. This is the most in-depth on Bitcoin Jack has gone with Lyn Alden in his many interviews going back to 2020. Recorded on November 17, 2025. Pieces discussed: “Liquidity, Shutdowns, Tariffs, and Earnings,” November 9, 2025: https://www.lynalden.com/premium-2025-11-9/ “Liquidity Pivot and Banking Update,” October 26, 2025: https://www.lynalden.com/premium-2025-10-26/ “Two AI Stock Rotations,” October 12, 2025: https://www.lynalden.com/premium-2025-10-12/ Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Lyn Alden on Twitter https://x.com/LynAldenContact Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Other People’s Money episode is brought you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Fundamental long-short equity investing has been in decline with fewer new fund launches and dwindling assets, but David Stemerman, CEO, CIO and Co-founder of CenterBook Partners believes data clearly shows these investors still have significant investing skill. He argues that single manger hedge fund data collected using alpha capture can be used to construct new portfolios and strategies that will be more attractive for institutional investors. Through a combination of direct payments, data sharing, and partnering with single managers on custom strategies he believes that that alpha capture can revitalize single manager hedge funds. Not all alpha capture strategies are made equal though and one of the biggest problems he is trying to solve is convincing managers and their LPs that alpha capture can be done without harming the returns of the manager. Read the white paper: https://www.centerbook.com/ACPaper Become a CenterBook Partners partner fund: https://www.centerbook.com/contributors Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:40 Fiscal.ai 01:34 Single Manager & Tiger Cub Origins 02:45 Fundamental Long Short Equity Under Pressure 07:21 History of Alpha Capture 09:07 Responsible Alpha Capture 16:40 Fiscal.ai 17:58 Why Don’t Managers Adapt to Allocator Demands? 26:48 CenterBook's Current Alpha Capture Strategy 33:14 How Do You Manage External Partners? 35:38 Reactions From LPs at Partner Funds 39:46 Types of Allocators Are Interested in Alpha Capture? 41:53 Types of Managers Partnering with CenterBook 43:04 Is Alpha Theory a Requirement? 46:03 Scale Limits for CenterBook 48:39 Do Most Managers Have Skill? 53:15 Active Extension: The Future of Active Management? 01:03:13 Timeline for Single Manager Active Extensions

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Satish Mansukhani, managing director at Rithm Capital, joins Jack on Monetary Matters for a high-level real estate discussion. Jack and Satish discuss the complexities of real estate investing, credit quality, private credit, and more in an interview that explores the minutiae of this gigantic sector of capital markets. Recorded on October 22nd, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Satish on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/satishmansukhani/ Satish’s Articles: “Life in Office—It’s Not All Bad”: https://www.rithmcap.com/insights/life-in-office-it-s-not-all-bad/ “Control Over Access: The Structural Edge in Asset-Backed Finance”: https://www.rithmcap.com/insights/control-over-access-the-structural-edge-in-asset-backed-finance/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Erik YWR, global investor and author of the Your Weekend Reading Substack, joins Monetary Matters to make the case that the stock market is headed higher, and that investors are far too bearish. Erik argues that with corporate earnings growing at double digit levels, valuations can get a lot higher from here. Several tailwinds that support this ongoing bull market include strong fiscal spending, high and durable earnings growth worldwide, a strong banking sector that is about to be unleashed, and technological transformations in AI, semiconductors, electric grids, and grid transformation. Recorded on November 6, 2025. Follow Erik YWR on Twitter https://x.com/erik_ywr Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Pieces discussed: “YWR Killer Wave Charts,” October 24, 2025: https://www.ywr.world/p/ywr-killer-wave-charts “YWR: $200 oil pops the bubble,” October: https://www.ywr.world/p/ywr-200-oil-pops-the-bubble “YWR: China Trip Highlights,” November 3, 2025: https://www.ywr.world/p/ywr-china-trip-highlights Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Other People’s Money episode is brought you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Corey Hoffstein, CEO and CIO of Newfound Research and co-founder and PM of Return Stacked ETFs, joins OPM to discuss his journey in the investment management business. He argues that beating the market is a commoditized value proposition and that investment managers need to solve other problems for their clients to attract assets. He also discusses his experience licensing research to other asset managers, his belief that distribution is the key question of success in the asset management business, and how quantitative research and other forms of content like podcasts and social media can help build brand awareness. Follow Corey on X: https://x.com/choffstein Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:27 Fiscal AI 01:16 The Difference Between Quant and Systematic Investing 03:18 Can Market Bubbles Be Measured? 05:05 Is Market Timing a Good Bet? 09:31 Evolving Risk Premia and Market Inefficiencies 16:41 Fiscal AI 18:20 Beginnings in Investment Management 23:04 Licensing Indexes to Other Managers 27:35 Providing Education Materials 31:26 Moving Into Asset Management 36:47 Evolving into Current Strategies 40:06 Thinking About the Investment Product Wrapper 43:11 Asset Management vs Investment Management 47:27 Solving Behavioral Finance Problems and Market Problems 51:28 Different Ways of Using Leverage 52:41 Knowing Your Client Base Isn’t Institutional 55:45 Content Creation and Brand Building 59:27 Growing an Audience: What Financial Content Goes Viral? 01:04:27 Dealing with Compliance and Education 01:07:22 How To Read and Interpret Quantitative Research as a Normie 01:12:22 How Is AI Being Used by Quants? 01:15:48 Conclusion

Monetary Matters listeners can get 20% discounted access to an annual subscription of Michael Howell’s Capital Wars here: https://capitalwars.substack.com/MonetaryMatters With the Federal Reserve announcing the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1st, Jack welcomes Michael Howell of GL Indexes and the Capital Wars Substack back to share an update on his measure of Fed liquidity and his outlook for 2026. Howell explains why Fed balance sheet expansion is inevitable. Recorded on November 6, 2025. Pieces discussed: “The Return Of ‘Not-QE, QE’ (Part 1),” October 31, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/the-return-of-not-qe-qe-part-1 “The Return Of ‘Not-QE, QE’ (Part 2),” November 1, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/the-return-of-not-qe-qe-part-2 “Global Liquidity Watch: Weekly Update,” November 4, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/global-liquidity-watch-weekly-update-c8e Also: “Scrambled Eggs, The Fed’s Latest Policy Directive: ‘FSSF-Off,’” November 9, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/scrambled-eggs Follow Michael Howell on Twitter https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: https://vaneck.com/REMXJack Stephen Miran, member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, has dissented in two consecutive Fed FOMC meetings since his joining the Board in September 2025, preferring to cut by 50 basis points (0.50%) instead of 25 basis points (0.25%). Governor Miran joins Monetary Matters today to explain in detail his reasoning for why he thinks considerably lower interest rates are appropriate. Tariffs, fiscal policy, immigration, weakening labor market. Recorded on November 4, 2025. Governor Miran’s speech on September 22, 2025, “Nonmonetary Forces and Appropriate Monetary Policy”: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/miran20250922a.htm Follow Governor Stephen Miran on Twitter https://x.com/SteveMiran Full unedited (other than for form) transcript of this interview: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1vaZ8-ArOIdDKnnkeoxp92nMBq52aXxNA/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=113485899782770300642&rtpof=true&sd=true Note: in Jack’s introduction, he makes an incomplete remark where he says Miran was “appointed by President Trump.” In actuality, Miran was nominated by Trump, and approved by the Senate. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Anatoly Crachilov, CEO and Co-Founder of Nickel Digital Asset Management, joins Other People’s Money to discuss why crypto is the perfect asset class for the multi-manager pod shop model. He also explains how Nickel is taking a “West Berlin” approach to partnering with external traders compared to the “East Berlin” approach of many traditional pod shops where non-competes and strict control of IP is the norm. He also discusses why 2025 has been a difficult year for crypto traders, how their team is managing the choppy markets, and how scaled up pods and incubation stage pods managed the extreme volatility in October. Follow Anatoly Crachilov on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/anatoly-crachilov/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:38 CAIA.nxt 01:24 Multi-Manager Origin Story 03:12 No Central Book or Alpha Capture 04:32 Expanding Number of Pods 06:15 Technology Enabled Growth 10:09 Onboarding a New Pod 14:38 Benefits of Crypto's Infinite Divisibility 15:58 CAIA.nxt 16:54 Determining the Scalability of Strategies 18:03 Minimum & Maximum Pod Sizes at Scale 18:33 Measuring Risk Adjusted Returns 20:34 Pod Compensation and Fund Level Fees 24:43 Winning the War for Talent 29:29 Pods Can Be Independent Prop Shops and Single Managers 35:03 Demand for Crypto Multi-Manager Funds 39:02 Reducing Risk in Crypto with 3rd Party Settlement & Custodians 46:08 Crypto Still Has Low Liquidity 49:41 The Cost of Poor Trade Execution in Crypto 53:16 Current Environment for Crypto 58:22 Risk Management Adjustments in a Choppy Year 01:02:04 Different Testing Environments for New Pods 01:06:30 What Happens When a Scaled Pod Has a Drawdown? 01:09:35 Conclusion

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe breakdown yet another credit “cockroach” that appears to be more related to fraud than overall market weakness. They also discuss the Mag 7 earnings report and the continued onslaught of AI CapEx spending that many believe has entered bubble territory. Finally, they breakdown this week’s fed decision and why big changes to both the Fed balance sheet and the rate cutting cycle could be coming up soon. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Fiscal AI Intro 00:12 More Credit Problems 11:08 Mag 7 Earnings 16:43 Fiscal AI Mid Roll 19:29 Are CapEx Estimates Still Too Low? 28:07 AI CapEx “Bubble” Winners and Losers 34:11 Mag 7 Becoming Capital Intensive? 43:33 Fed Meeting Breakdown 52:11 Market Impact of December Fed Meeting 57:11 Fiscal AI

Joseph Wang, former senior trader for the New York Fed and author at FedGuy.com returns to Monetary Matters at a critical juncture to break down the October Fed meeting and the Fed's decision to stop reducing its balance sheet on December 1st and thereby end QT (Quantitative Tightening). Wang, a veteran of money markets, explains the stress he sees in repo markets and why he thinks the Fed has to go further and actually start expanding its balance sheet in order to inject enough liquidity to calm the repo market down. Recorded October 29, 2025. Joseph's piece on FedGuy, "Balance Sheet Dominance": https://fedguy.com/balance-sheet-dominance/ Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://x.com/FedGuy12 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Monetary Matters listeners can get 20% discounted access to an annual subscription of Michael Howell’s Capital Wars here: https://capitalwars.substack.com/MonetaryMatters Michael Howell of GL Indexes and the Capital Wars Substack returns to Monetary Matters with alarming news. His readings of liquidity from over 90 central banks indicate that global central bank liquidity is deteriorating, led primarily by the Federal Reserve. Howell’s measure of Fed liquidity is weakening because the Fed’s Reverse Repo (RRP) facility is effectively fully drained. This is partially offset by U.S. Treasury issuing lots of short-duration bills, as well as People’s Bank of China injecting 7+ Trillion Yuan into its money markets and pumping the price of gold in yuan terms. Howell sees a growing divergence between East and West and warns that 2026 “won’t be a great year for financial assets.” Recorded on October 21, 2025. Follow Michael Howell on Twitter https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Derek Pilecki’s hedge fund Gator Capital has outperformed the S&P 500, compounding at over 22% since inception while focusing exclusively on financial sector stocks. In this interview Derek discusses why he thinks recent concern in the financial sector is overblown, how he has grown his firm’s assets to over $300m, and why he believes that good performance is simply not enough to grow a successful hedge fund. Derek also discusses how he manages his mutual fund alongside his hedge fund and why he doesn’t see the vehicles as competing but serving two separate investor bases. Sign up for Gator Capital's distribution list: https://www.gatorcapital.com/ Follow Derek on X: https://x.com/gatorcapital Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod

George Saravelos, head of FX research at Deutsche Bank, joins Jack on Monetary Matters to go deep into the world of currency trading. Jack and George discuss central bank independence, emerging markets, carry positions, hedging, and more. George gives a clear and intelligent look at the often-opaque foreign exchange market and explains his views on it. Don’t miss this episode. Recorded on October 20, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow George on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/saravelos/?originalSubdomain=uk George’s FX podcast for Deutsche Bank https://tinyurl.com/4nh5d3y9 George's Primer, "The Brilliant World of FX": https://www.dbresearch.com/PROD/RPS_EN-PROD/The_Brilliant_World_of_FX_-_A_Primer/RPS_EN_DOC_VIEW.calias?rwnode=PROD0000000000464258&ProdCollection=PROD0000000000542285

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jon Turek of JST Advisors explains why he thinks a decline in U.S. interest rates will make dollar hedging more attractive to foreign owners of U.S. assets. He makes the case for steeper yield curves around the world, reviews the situation in China, and shares his thoughts on the wild bull market in gold. Recorded on October 16, 2025. Follow Jonathan Turek on Twitter https://x.com/jturek18 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack and Max break down the beginning of earnings season. Jack reviews a new credit flare-up in California’s commercial real estate (CRE) market that affected Zions Bancorporation and Western Alliance Bancorporation, before commenting on the very strong earnings from the large banks such as Bank of America and JPMorgan. Max and Jack then discuss precious metals, as well as current market positioning as revealed by brokerage data. Recorded on October 17, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This is a special bonus episode of OPM with David Orr. In my first conversation with David, we only discussed his hedge fund that has crushed the S&P 500 since its inception in 2021. In addition to his hedge fund, he also runs the Militia Long/Short Equity ETF ($ORR) which since its inception in January 2025 has also beaten the S&P 500 running a similar but still distinct long/short strategy from the one he employs at his hedge fund. We discuss his unorthodox decision to launch the ETF when the hedge fund was going so well, how he is managing the different liquidity needs, his dual fiduciary duties, differing compliance realities, and the increased transparency of the ETF wrapper. Follow David Orr on X: https://x.com/orrdavid Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Brad Setser, Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), returns to Monetary Matters to share how China’s growing export dominance is squeezing the balance of payments position of the U.S., Europe, and many other countries as well. Recorded on October 10, 2025. Relevant articles by Brad:“China’s Stealth Trade Surplus”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-stealth-trade-surplus “China’s Data Still Doesn’t Add Up”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-data-still-doesnt-add “China’s New Intervention Rule”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-new-intervention-rule “China is also Fighting a Trade War with Europe (and Winning)”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/china-also-fighting-trade-war-europe-and-winning “The Case that China is Now Actively Resisting Pressure on the Yuan to Appreciate”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/case-china-now-actively-resisting-pressure-yuan-appreciate Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Julian Brigden on Twitter Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe react to the weakness in the credit markets upon the large (>$10 Billion) bankruptcy of First Brands and the banks and financial entities that have exposure to it, such as Jeffries, UBS, and others. They also discuss President Trump’s threat to raise tariffs on China substantially, which he later specified as 100%, which sent the stock market and other risk assets tumbling on October 10. Gymkhana Partners’ (a client) piece on India and tariffs: https://www.gymkhanapartners.com/dispatches/missing-the-forest-for-the-trees Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Richard J Murphy, a political economist, chartered accountant, tax reform advocate, and professor emeritus at the University of Sheffield, joins Jack on Monetary Matters to discuss tax reform, economic theory, inflation, deficits, central banking, and more. While the stock market has risen to record heights, there is an increasing uncertainty on the health of the economy. Richard gives his insights into how he believes that we can both increase the productivity of the economy and general welfare by reforming the taxation system. Follow Richard Murphy on Twitter https://x.com/richardjmurphy?lang=en Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Murphy’s “The Taxing Wealth Report 2024”: https://taxingwealth.uk/ Murphy’s blog, “Funding The Future”: https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/ Murphy’s Book, “The Joy of Tax”: https://www.amazon.com/Joy-Tax-Richard-Murphy/dp/059307517X

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe react to the lack of employment data, discuss the “bubble” in AI capex, gold and silver’s recent rise and examine other signs of market froth pointing to the current stage of the market cycle. Jack and Max also discuss a few interesting short and long opportunities they are playing. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:27 No Jobs Numbers & Government Shut Down 02:12 AI Capex Bubble 09:55 Market Bubbles 19:08 Gold & Silver on the Rise 30:21 Fiscal AI 31:44 Opportunities for Shorting ($SWBI) 46:13 Data Center Buildout Theme 48:21 Rates Market is Too Dovish 52:26 Polling the Audience 55:53 Small Cap Season 57:35 Trusting the Bull Market

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Follow Patrick Perret-Green on Twitter https://x.com/PPGMacro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Patrick Perret-Green of PPG Macro is a veteran macro trader and analyst. He joins us today to share his concern over two recent high-profile bankruptcies that have caused jitters in the non-bank financial sector: Tricolor and First Brands. Patrick explains why he is bullish on long-duration sovereign bonds in Australia, the U.K., and Japan. Recorded on September 30, 2025. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Sign up for MacroCapture by MI2 Partners today with coupon codes MM10 (for annual) and MM10Q (for quarterly) to save 10% at: https://portal.mi2partners.com/buy-macro-capture/ This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Julian Brigden of MI2 Partners and MacroCapture returns to Monetary Matters to update viewers on his thinking about markets and the economy. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Julian Brigden on Twitter Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHMax Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXMax Jeremy Boynton and Zach Lindquist, managing partners at Pure Crypto, have built one of the best performing crypto fund of funds since their inception 2018. In this interview they discuss their view that the crypto market structure is being changed by ETFs and crypto treasury companies, how they think about manager selection, the subtle differences between crypto VCs and crypto hedge funds, and why they are eschewing new entrants into the crypto fund space in favor of OGs who have managed capital and survived multiple market cycles. They also explain why they are volatility agnostic and prefer to take on crypto market beta rather than invest in market neutral and multi-manager crypto funds. Follow Zach Lindquist on X: https://x.com/PureCryptoLP Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod An investment in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in the semiconductor industry, special risk considerations of investing in Taiwanese issuers, equity securities, small-, medium and large-capitalization companies, foreign securities, emerging market issuers, foreign currency, depositary receipts, issuer-specific changes, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, new fund, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified, and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Small, medium and large-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing. © Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation

Take the Monetary Matters poll: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdhu6Ez_R0jcLiz75kDNEPe_KzhNefYAT-Jvj1cm-3xVwQ4Zg/viewform?usp=sharing&ouid=113485899782770300642 Imane Bakkar, Founder and Managing Director of Logarisk, joins Monetary Matters to discuss her most recent White Paper, “Weather Is No Small Talk.” She argues that the electricity grid and the financial system are becoming more weather dependent because of the rise of renewable power, AI, climate, and the increasing ownership of the grid by non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs). Recorded on September 9, 2025. Imane’s paper, “Weather Is No Small Talk”: https://logarisk.co/2025/09/01/white-paper-weather-is-no-small-talk/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack and Max break down the September Fed meeting, threats to Federal Reserve Independence, and several stocks such as Acuren, Franco Nevada, and MSCI. Recorded on September 18, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHMax Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXMax Since launching Militia Capital in 2021, David Orr has crushed the S&P 500 and is up over 500% net of fees. In fact, during this period, he’s one of few managers to have set the S&P 500 as the hurdle rate for the fund to earn performance fees. In this interview Orr discusses Militia Capital’s growth from $3m to over $160m today, the expansion of the strategy to include two additional external portfolio managers, and why he thinks most hedge fund managers have social media and compliance all wrong. He also discusses his investment philosophy and belief that most “value trap” investors and “story stock” investors don’t know the first thing about real investing. Follow David Orr on X: https://x.com/orrdavid Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod An investment in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in the semiconductor industry, special risk considerations of investing in Taiwanese issuers, equity securities, small-, medium and large-capitalization companies, foreign securities, emerging market issuers, foreign currency, depositary receipts, issuer-specific changes, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, new fund, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified, and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Small, medium and large-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing. © Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:31 $SMH & SMHX 01:21 Militia Capital’s Growth Into a Multi-Manager 04:57 Twitter & Social Media 07:33 Marketing & 506(c) Hedge Funds 11:11 Benchmarking to the S&P 500 15:00 Comparing to Large Multi-Manager Funds 17:11 VanEck Mid-Roll 18:06 Risk Managing Other PMs & Collaboration 20:06 David’s Investing Philosophy 27:36 Investors Who Don’t Know Anything 38:51 Market timing & the Current Environment 45:40 Trading Macro 48:14 Hunting For New Portfolio Managers 51:32 David’s Favorite Accounts on Twitter 54:04 Rethinking Compliance 57:52 Outro

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of the board of Research Affiliates, joins Jack today for an in-depth conversation on AI, bubbles, asset allocation, weighting in index funds, and other topics. The record heights of today’s markets brought on from excitement in the AI industry remind many of the dotcom bubble, which Rob examines using his decades of experience in the finance industry. With how fast everything moves in these turbulent times, this is one episode a dedicated observers cannot miss. Recorded on September 5th, 2025. Research Papers discussed:“RACWI: Reinventing Cap-Weighted Indexing”: https://www.researchaffiliates.com/publications/articles/1095-racwi-reinventing-cap-weighted-indexing “The AI Boom vs. the Dot-Com Bubble: Have We Seen This Movie Before?”: https://www.researchaffiliates.com/publications/articles/1038-ai-boom-dot-com-bubble-seen-this-before Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Jack welcomes QI Research’s Danielle DiMartino Booth and Bloomberg Economics’ Chief U.S. Economist Anna Wong to interpret the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) recent preliminary 911,000 downward revision to non-farm payrolls. Recorded September 11, 2025. Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on Twitter https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Anna Wong on Twitter https://x.com/AnnaEconomist Follow Bloomberg Economics on Twitter https://x.com/economics Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Take the Monetary Matters poll: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdhu6Ez_R0jcLiz75kDNEPe_KzhNefYAT-Jvj1cm-3xVwQ4Zg/viewform?usp=sharing&ouid=113485899782770300642 Aahan Menon of Prometheus Macro returns to Monetary Matters to explain why he still thinks bonds offer a poor risk/reward relative to stocks. He argues that job market weakness is the result of reduced immigration, in other words, weak supply of labor rather than weak demand for labor. Recorded on September 4, 2025. Follow Aahan Menon on X https://x.com/AahanPrometheus Follow Prometheus Macro on X https://x.com/prometheusmacro Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This episode is brought to you by Fundamental Edge. Learn more about their new AI Academy for buyside professionals: https://www.fundamentedge.com/ai-academy Raj Shah and Cullen Rose of Stoic Point Capital Management join OPM for a specials double episode. In the first half we explore their view that we may be in for a repeat of the 2020 to 2021 new issuance cycle and how some of their favorite opportunities are still orphaned securities from that last cycle. They explain why small caps undergoing change events like new issuance or that are misunderstood due to crisis & controversy are their favorite as concentrated small cap investors. Make sure to check out the OPM classic episode we recorded with Stoic Point Capital Management over on the main Other People's Money podcast feed. Follow Stoic Point Capital Management on X: https://x.com/stoic_point Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod

This episode of Monetary Matters is a Sponsored Fireside Chat brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack The AI revolution has spurred a growth in capital expenditure on semiconductors the scale of which the world has never seen before. Today Jack explores this phenomenon in a sponsored Fireside Chat with VanEck’s Angus Shillington and Nick Frasse. Shillington, lead semiconductor analyst and deputy portfolio manager, argues CapEx on semiconductors is increasing so much because cloud computing hyperscalers are unable to keep up with demand, and they feel pressure from their competitors. In addition, the expenditure is being spent by the most profitable companies on earth such as Microsoft and Alphabet (Google). Frasse, a product manager covering thematic suite of ETFs, including $SMH and $SMHX, makes the case that AI is more akin to the industrial revolution than it is to the internet. The trio discuss why and how the VanEck Semiconductor ETF ($SMH) has outperformed a competitor (letting the winners win), and the newer VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF ($SMHX) which gives exposure to fabless semi companies that are powering the AI revolution. Follow VanEck on X https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Angus Shillington on X https://x.com/angusshillingto Follow Nick Frasse on X https://x.com/NickFrasse Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Learn more about the new AI Academy from Fundamental Edge: https://www.fundamentedge.com/ai-academy There’s no shortage of speculation about how AI will reshape the workforce, but one area where no speculation is needed is the investment industry. AI is already rapidly disrupting the way investment professionals conduct fundamental equity research and shifting the competitive landscape for fund managers and talent alike. In this interview with Brett Caughran, founder of buyside training academy Fundamental Edge, and David Plon, co-founder and CEO of AI powered investment research platform Portrait Analytics join OPM to discuss the areas of the investment process where AI can already make an impact, the pitfalls and weaknesses of AI in its current state, how this is changing the job description for both portfolio managers and analysts, and the surprising reality that the first movers of AI adoption Follow Brett Caughran on X: https://x.com/FundamentEdge Follow David Plon on X: https://x.com/Dplon88 Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 01:25 The Rapid Pace of AI Advancements 07:15 How to Start Adding AI to Your Process 15:00 Thesis Monitoring and the Next Frontiers of AI Investment Research 18:45 Current Level of AI Adoption and First Movers in the Hedge Fund World 23:19 Importance of Clearly Defining Your Investment Process Before Adding AI 26:35 The Role of Specialty Investment Tools 29:49 Custom vs Off-The-Shelf Solutions 38:16 Thoughtful AI Prompting is Key 44:01 Biggest AI Pitfalls to Avoid 48:52 How Has AI Shifted the Competitive Landscape? 54:43 AI Investing Bootcamp

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack John Schindler, General Secretary of the Financial Stability Board (FSB), joins Monetary Matters to discuss the rise of non-bank financial intermediation (NBFI), sometimes referred to as “shadow banking.” There are signs that NBFI leverage is growing and NBFI data is not as transparent or available as in the traditional banking system, and these two forces may pose financial stability risks. Schindler shares the FSB’s recommendations for how to ameliorate these potential risks. From the FSB: The Financial Stability Board (FSB) coordinates at the international level the work of national financial authorities and international standard-setting bodies in order to develop and promote the implementation of effective regulatory, supervisory and other financial sector policies. Its mandate is set out in the FSB Charter, which governs the policymaking and related activities of the FSB. Reports and recommendations: Final FSB Report on NBFI Leverage (web link): https://www.fsb.org/2025/07/leverage-in-nonbank-financial-intermediation-final-report/ Final FSB Report on NBFI Leverage (pdf): https://www.fsb.org/uploads/P090725-1.pdf Scihndler’s Eurofi speech: https://www.fsb.org/2024/09/building-bridges-the-case-for-better-data-and-coordination-for-the-non-bank-sector/ Global Monitoring Report on Non-Bank Financial Intermediation 2024: https://www.fsb.org/2024/12/global-monitoring-report-on-non-bank-financial-intermediation-2024/ 2021 Report on Money Market Resilience: https://www.fsb.org/2021/10/policy-proposals-to-enhance-money-market-fund-resilience-final-report/ Revised Policy Recommendations to Address Structural Vulnerabilities from Liquidity Mismatch in Open-Ended Funds: https://www.fsb.org/2023/12/revised-policy-recommendations-to-address-structural-vulnerabilities-from-liquidity-mismatch-in-open-ended-funds/ Liquidity Preparedness for Margin and Collateral Calls: Final report: “https://www.fsb.org/2024/12/liquidity-preparedness-for-margin-and-collateral-calls-final-report/” “High-level Recommendations for the Regulation, Supervision and Oversight of Global Stablecoin Arrangements: Final report”: https://www.fsb.org/2023/07/high-level-recommendations-for-the-regulation-supervision-and-oversight-of-global-stablecoin-arrangements-final-report/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This episode is brought to you by Fundamental Edge, the leaders in buyside analyst training. Reserve your spot in their new AI Academy: https://www.fundamentedge.com/ai-academy In the online community of FinTwit it is extremely common for hedge funders to have anonymous profiles because of strict regulations, but not all these anonymous profiles are made equal. @hfreflection is one of the most insightful anonymous members of the FinTwit community, especially when it comes to the business and industry of hedge funds. In this interview (while maintaining anonymity) HF reveals key aspects of his path to success and shares the insights he picked up on his journey from analyst to eventually launching his own firm after a long stint at a multi-billion dollar long/short equity manager. He touches on the hard decisions people face at different stages, whether you are a young professional trying to break into the industry, a mid-career analyst trying to find the right seat, or a seasoned professional deciding whether staying put or launching your own fund is the right path forward. Follow HF Reflections on X: https://x.com/hfreflection Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Bill Moreland of BankRegData joins Jack to share how many banks’ extensive use of loan modifications have caused reported delinquencies to appear lower than they might otherwise have been. While Moreland acknowledges that modifications play a vital role in securing repayment, he maintains that their popularity over the past 3 years indicates it is unusual and that some banks may be “manipulating the shit out of” the data. Moreland tells Jack about note-on-note financing - a practice wherein a bank sells a loan to a buyer and lends that buyer the funds to buy it - is further used to hide losses within bank balance sheets. Recorded on August 19, 2025.More info about BankRegData: https://www.bankregdata.com/main.asp Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe break down Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech that markets have interpreted as signaling rate cuts are coming in September, the Fed’s long-term reassessment of their policy framework for combatting inflation and maintaining full employment, and Chinese consumer lending fintech companies that Jack is bullish on. Fed Statements on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy Updated August 2025: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/monetary-policy-strategy-tools-and-communications-statement-on-longer-run-goals-monetary-policy-strategy-2025.htm Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:34 Fiscal.ai Front Roll 00:53 Jerome Powell Signals Rate Cuts? 06:35 The Fed’s View of the Labor Market 07:41 Updating the Fed’s Policy Framework 11:35 Fiscal.ai Mid Roll 12:58 Lisa Cook, Politics at the Fed, & the Next Fed Chair 21:06 Bullish Outlook on Chinese Consumer FinTech Basket 40:40 Outro

Tor Svelland, CIO and Founder of Svelland Capital, has annualized over 18.5% net of fees since inception in 2017 in their strategy that trades a combination of commodity futures, commodity linked equities, freight derivatives, energy transition linked companies, and electricity producers. Svelland joins Other People’s Money to discuss why he believes new market participants and structural undersupply have made the current environment for commodities trading so exciting. He also discusses how he’s grown his business from personal capital to almost $1 billion in AUM with investors all over the globe. Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 04:09 Trafigura & Goldman Sachs as Commodities Trading Talent Hubs 06:38 Launching Svelland Capital with Personal Capital 09:03 The First Major Hurdles: 3 Years & $100m in AUM 10:56 ESG and the Commodity Market Backdrop 15:59 Underinvestment & Undersupply in Shipping & Commodities 20:41 Trading Global Supply Chains Shifts 23:44 Trade Expression & Commodities Portfolio Construction 29:06 The Effects of New Commodity Market Participants 36:06 TTF Gas Markets & Price Spike Potential 39:38 Multiple PMs & The Benefits of Taking Risk 42:05 Thinking Internationally & Advice for Young Commodities Traders 45:56 International Investor Interest in Commodities 48:00 Managing AUM Growth & Capacity Constraints

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Renowned trade historian Douglas Irwin joins Jack to compare the ongoing shifts in American trade policy to Smoot-Hawley tariff during the Great Depression and the McKinley-era tariffs of the late 19th century of which President Trump speaks so fondly. Irwin, the John French Professor of Economics at Dartmouth College, and author of “Clashing over Commerce” and “Trade Policy Disaster” among other titles, notes that most economic historians agree that the Smoot-Hawley tariff was not the primary cause of the Great Depression. Rather, while it probably exacerbated the global economic slowdown, trade barriers in a narrow sense served their respective countries' interest in limiting gold outflows. Professor Irwin argues that current tariffs (2% to ~15%) are a greater shock than Smoot-Hawley (38% to 42%), because of the higher rate of change and because U.S. trade as a percentage of GDP is higher now than it was in the 1930s. Jack lobs pro-protectionist arguments that Irwin strongly rejects. The two reflect on balance of payments, with Irwin noting that large capital inflows into the United States are a major cause of the large and persistent U.S. trade deficit. Recorded on August 7, 2025. Douglas Irwin’s books discussed: “Trade Policy Disaster: Lessons from the 1930s”: https://direct.mit.edu/books/monograph/3374/Trade-Policy-DisasterLessons-from-the-1930s “Clashing over Commerce: A History of US Trade Policy”: https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/C/bo24475328.html “Peddling Protectionism: Smoot-Hawley and the Great Depression”: https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691178066/peddling-protectionism?srsltid=AfmBOoqh-ZTEvY-wNf7wqitXQpkh-tfA7MEOyqxhKCoeHo7WbyUaJRB9 Douglas Irwin’s papers discussed: “TARIFF INCIDENCE: EVIDENCE FROM U.S. SUGAR DUTIES, 1890-1930”: https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w20635/w20635.pdf “HIGHER TARIFFS, LOWER REVENUES? ANALYZING THE FISCAL ASPECTS OF THE "GREAT TARIFF DEBATE OF 1888"”: https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w6239/w6239.pdf Follow Douglas Irwin on Twitter https://x.com/D_A_Irwin Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe break down recent economic data on inflation and the labor market, the parade of positive earnings reports sending markets higher, and how this is representative of an economic expansion that is benefiting Wall Street while Main Street is left behind. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:46 Financial Conditions Are Easy 01:48 Inflation Report (CPI) 04:02 Market Strength (Wall St.) vs Economic Weakness (Main St.) 10:13 Earnings Expectations: Priced for Perfection? 16:13 Fiscal AI 17:36 Are We in a Bubble? 22:12 AI CapEx Trends 25:42 AMZN and Earnings Season Losers 30:38 What’s Up Next Earnings 33:11 The New BLS and Labor Market Data 38:12 Market Complacency and Long-term Predictions 42:46 What’s in the Portfolio of “Super Investors”