Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHMax Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXMax Since launching Militia Capital in 2021, David Orr has crushed the S&P 500 and is up over 500% net of fees. In fact, during this period, he’s one of few managers to have set the S&P 500 as the hurdle rate for the fund to earn performance fees. In this interview Orr discusses Militia Capital’s growth from $3m to over $160m today, the expansion of the strategy to include two additional external portfolio managers, and why he thinks most hedge fund managers have social media and compliance all wrong. He also discusses his investment philosophy and belief that most “value trap” investors and “story stock” investors don’t know the first thing about real investing. Follow David Orr on X: https://x.com/orrdavid Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod An investment in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in the semiconductor industry, special risk considerations of investing in Taiwanese issuers, equity securities, small-, medium and large-capitalization companies, foreign securities, emerging market issuers, foreign currency, depositary receipts, issuer-specific changes, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, new fund, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified, and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Small, medium and large-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing. © Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:31 $SMH & SMHX 01:21 Militia Capital’s Growth Into a Multi-Manager 04:57 Twitter & Social Media 07:33 Marketing & 506(c) Hedge Funds 11:11 Benchmarking to the S&P 500 15:00 Comparing to Large Multi-Manager Funds 17:11 VanEck Mid-Roll 18:06 Risk Managing Other PMs & Collaboration 20:06 David’s Investing Philosophy 27:36 Investors Who Don’t Know Anything 38:51 Market timing & the Current Environment 45:40 Trading Macro 48:14 Hunting For New Portfolio Managers 51:32 David’s Favorite Accounts on Twitter 54:04 Rethinking Compliance 57:52 Outro

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of the board of Research Affiliates, joins Jack today for an in-depth conversation on AI, bubbles, asset allocation, weighting in index funds, and other topics. The record heights of today’s markets brought on from excitement in the AI industry remind many of the dotcom bubble, which Rob examines using his decades of experience in the finance industry. With how fast everything moves in these turbulent times, this is one episode a dedicated observers cannot miss. Recorded on September 5th, 2025. Research Papers discussed:“RACWI: Reinventing Cap-Weighted Indexing”: https://www.researchaffiliates.com/publications/articles/1095-racwi-reinventing-cap-weighted-indexing “The AI Boom vs. the Dot-Com Bubble: Have We Seen This Movie Before?”: https://www.researchaffiliates.com/publications/articles/1038-ai-boom-dot-com-bubble-seen-this-before Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Jack welcomes QI Research’s Danielle DiMartino Booth and Bloomberg Economics’ Chief U.S. Economist Anna Wong to interpret the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) recent preliminary 911,000 downward revision to non-farm payrolls. Recorded September 11, 2025. Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on Twitter https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Anna Wong on Twitter https://x.com/AnnaEconomist Follow Bloomberg Economics on Twitter https://x.com/economics Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Take the Monetary Matters poll: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdhu6Ez_R0jcLiz75kDNEPe_KzhNefYAT-Jvj1cm-3xVwQ4Zg/viewform?usp=sharing&ouid=113485899782770300642 Aahan Menon of Prometheus Macro returns to Monetary Matters to explain why he still thinks bonds offer a poor risk/reward relative to stocks. He argues that job market weakness is the result of reduced immigration, in other words, weak supply of labor rather than weak demand for labor. Recorded on September 4, 2025. Follow Aahan Menon on X https://x.com/AahanPrometheus Follow Prometheus Macro on X https://x.com/prometheusmacro Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This episode is brought to you by Fundamental Edge. Learn more about their new AI Academy for buyside professionals: https://www.fundamentedge.com/ai-academy Raj Shah and Cullen Rose of Stoic Point Capital Management join OPM for a specials double episode. In the first half we explore their view that we may be in for a repeat of the 2020 to 2021 new issuance cycle and how some of their favorite opportunities are still orphaned securities from that last cycle. They explain why small caps undergoing change events like new issuance or that are misunderstood due to crisis & controversy are their favorite as concentrated small cap investors. Make sure to check out the OPM classic episode we recorded with Stoic Point Capital Management over on the main Other People's Money podcast feed. Follow Stoic Point Capital Management on X: https://x.com/stoic_point Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod

This episode of Monetary Matters is a Sponsored Fireside Chat brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack The AI revolution has spurred a growth in capital expenditure on semiconductors the scale of which the world has never seen before. Today Jack explores this phenomenon in a sponsored Fireside Chat with VanEck’s Angus Shillington and Nick Frasse. Shillington, lead semiconductor analyst and deputy portfolio manager, argues CapEx on semiconductors is increasing so much because cloud computing hyperscalers are unable to keep up with demand, and they feel pressure from their competitors. In addition, the expenditure is being spent by the most profitable companies on earth such as Microsoft and Alphabet (Google). Frasse, a product manager covering thematic suite of ETFs, including $SMH and $SMHX, makes the case that AI is more akin to the industrial revolution than it is to the internet. The trio discuss why and how the VanEck Semiconductor ETF ($SMH) has outperformed a competitor (letting the winners win), and the newer VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF ($SMHX) which gives exposure to fabless semi companies that are powering the AI revolution. Follow VanEck on X https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Angus Shillington on X https://x.com/angusshillingto Follow Nick Frasse on X https://x.com/NickFrasse Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Learn more about the new AI Academy from Fundamental Edge: https://www.fundamentedge.com/ai-academy There’s no shortage of speculation about how AI will reshape the workforce, but one area where no speculation is needed is the investment industry. AI is already rapidly disrupting the way investment professionals conduct fundamental equity research and shifting the competitive landscape for fund managers and talent alike. In this interview with Brett Caughran, founder of buyside training academy Fundamental Edge, and David Plon, co-founder and CEO of AI powered investment research platform Portrait Analytics join OPM to discuss the areas of the investment process where AI can already make an impact, the pitfalls and weaknesses of AI in its current state, how this is changing the job description for both portfolio managers and analysts, and the surprising reality that the first movers of AI adoption Follow Brett Caughran on X: https://x.com/FundamentEdge Follow David Plon on X: https://x.com/Dplon88 Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 01:25 The Rapid Pace of AI Advancements 07:15 How to Start Adding AI to Your Process 15:00 Thesis Monitoring and the Next Frontiers of AI Investment Research 18:45 Current Level of AI Adoption and First Movers in the Hedge Fund World 23:19 Importance of Clearly Defining Your Investment Process Before Adding AI 26:35 The Role of Specialty Investment Tools 29:49 Custom vs Off-The-Shelf Solutions 38:16 Thoughtful AI Prompting is Key 44:01 Biggest AI Pitfalls to Avoid 48:52 How Has AI Shifted the Competitive Landscape? 54:43 AI Investing Bootcamp

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack John Schindler, General Secretary of the Financial Stability Board (FSB), joins Monetary Matters to discuss the rise of non-bank financial intermediation (NBFI), sometimes referred to as “shadow banking.” There are signs that NBFI leverage is growing and NBFI data is not as transparent or available as in the traditional banking system, and these two forces may pose financial stability risks. Schindler shares the FSB’s recommendations for how to ameliorate these potential risks. From the FSB: The Financial Stability Board (FSB) coordinates at the international level the work of national financial authorities and international standard-setting bodies in order to develop and promote the implementation of effective regulatory, supervisory and other financial sector policies. Its mandate is set out in the FSB Charter, which governs the policymaking and related activities of the FSB. Reports and recommendations: Final FSB Report on NBFI Leverage (web link): https://www.fsb.org/2025/07/leverage-in-nonbank-financial-intermediation-final-report/ Final FSB Report on NBFI Leverage (pdf): https://www.fsb.org/uploads/P090725-1.pdf Scihndler’s Eurofi speech: https://www.fsb.org/2024/09/building-bridges-the-case-for-better-data-and-coordination-for-the-non-bank-sector/ Global Monitoring Report on Non-Bank Financial Intermediation 2024: https://www.fsb.org/2024/12/global-monitoring-report-on-non-bank-financial-intermediation-2024/ 2021 Report on Money Market Resilience: https://www.fsb.org/2021/10/policy-proposals-to-enhance-money-market-fund-resilience-final-report/ Revised Policy Recommendations to Address Structural Vulnerabilities from Liquidity Mismatch in Open-Ended Funds: https://www.fsb.org/2023/12/revised-policy-recommendations-to-address-structural-vulnerabilities-from-liquidity-mismatch-in-open-ended-funds/ Liquidity Preparedness for Margin and Collateral Calls: Final report: “https://www.fsb.org/2024/12/liquidity-preparedness-for-margin-and-collateral-calls-final-report/” “High-level Recommendations for the Regulation, Supervision and Oversight of Global Stablecoin Arrangements: Final report”: https://www.fsb.org/2023/07/high-level-recommendations-for-the-regulation-supervision-and-oversight-of-global-stablecoin-arrangements-final-report/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This episode is brought to you by Fundamental Edge, the leaders in buyside analyst training. Reserve your spot in their new AI Academy: https://www.fundamentedge.com/ai-academy In the online community of FinTwit it is extremely common for hedge funders to have anonymous profiles because of strict regulations, but not all these anonymous profiles are made equal. @hfreflection is one of the most insightful anonymous members of the FinTwit community, especially when it comes to the business and industry of hedge funds. In this interview (while maintaining anonymity) HF reveals key aspects of his path to success and shares the insights he picked up on his journey from analyst to eventually launching his own firm after a long stint at a multi-billion dollar long/short equity manager. He touches on the hard decisions people face at different stages, whether you are a young professional trying to break into the industry, a mid-career analyst trying to find the right seat, or a seasoned professional deciding whether staying put or launching your own fund is the right path forward. Follow HF Reflections on X: https://x.com/hfreflection Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Bill Moreland of BankRegData joins Jack to share how many banks’ extensive use of loan modifications have caused reported delinquencies to appear lower than they might otherwise have been. While Moreland acknowledges that modifications play a vital role in securing repayment, he maintains that their popularity over the past 3 years indicates it is unusual and that some banks may be “manipulating the shit out of” the data. Moreland tells Jack about note-on-note financing - a practice wherein a bank sells a loan to a buyer and lends that buyer the funds to buy it - is further used to hide losses within bank balance sheets. Recorded on August 19, 2025.More info about BankRegData: https://www.bankregdata.com/main.asp Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe break down Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech that markets have interpreted as signaling rate cuts are coming in September, the Fed’s long-term reassessment of their policy framework for combatting inflation and maintaining full employment, and Chinese consumer lending fintech companies that Jack is bullish on. Fed Statements on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy Updated August 2025: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/monetary-policy-strategy-tools-and-communications-statement-on-longer-run-goals-monetary-policy-strategy-2025.htm Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:34 Fiscal.ai Front Roll 00:53 Jerome Powell Signals Rate Cuts? 06:35 The Fed’s View of the Labor Market 07:41 Updating the Fed’s Policy Framework 11:35 Fiscal.ai Mid Roll 12:58 Lisa Cook, Politics at the Fed, & the Next Fed Chair 21:06 Bullish Outlook on Chinese Consumer FinTech Basket 40:40 Outro

Tor Svelland, CIO and Founder of Svelland Capital, has annualized over 18.5% net of fees since inception in 2017 in their strategy that trades a combination of commodity futures, commodity linked equities, freight derivatives, energy transition linked companies, and electricity producers. Svelland joins Other People’s Money to discuss why he believes new market participants and structural undersupply have made the current environment for commodities trading so exciting. He also discusses how he’s grown his business from personal capital to almost $1 billion in AUM with investors all over the globe. Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 04:09 Trafigura & Goldman Sachs as Commodities Trading Talent Hubs 06:38 Launching Svelland Capital with Personal Capital 09:03 The First Major Hurdles: 3 Years & $100m in AUM 10:56 ESG and the Commodity Market Backdrop 15:59 Underinvestment & Undersupply in Shipping & Commodities 20:41 Trading Global Supply Chains Shifts 23:44 Trade Expression & Commodities Portfolio Construction 29:06 The Effects of New Commodity Market Participants 36:06 TTF Gas Markets & Price Spike Potential 39:38 Multiple PMs & The Benefits of Taking Risk 42:05 Thinking Internationally & Advice for Young Commodities Traders 45:56 International Investor Interest in Commodities 48:00 Managing AUM Growth & Capacity Constraints

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Renowned trade historian Douglas Irwin joins Jack to compare the ongoing shifts in American trade policy to Smoot-Hawley tariff during the Great Depression and the McKinley-era tariffs of the late 19th century of which President Trump speaks so fondly. Irwin, the John French Professor of Economics at Dartmouth College, and author of “Clashing over Commerce” and “Trade Policy Disaster” among other titles, notes that most economic historians agree that the Smoot-Hawley tariff was not the primary cause of the Great Depression. Rather, while it probably exacerbated the global economic slowdown, trade barriers in a narrow sense served their respective countries' interest in limiting gold outflows. Professor Irwin argues that current tariffs (2% to ~15%) are a greater shock than Smoot-Hawley (38% to 42%), because of the higher rate of change and because U.S. trade as a percentage of GDP is higher now than it was in the 1930s. Jack lobs pro-protectionist arguments that Irwin strongly rejects. The two reflect on balance of payments, with Irwin noting that large capital inflows into the United States are a major cause of the large and persistent U.S. trade deficit. Recorded on August 7, 2025. Douglas Irwin’s books discussed: “Trade Policy Disaster: Lessons from the 1930s”: https://direct.mit.edu/books/monograph/3374/Trade-Policy-DisasterLessons-from-the-1930s “Clashing over Commerce: A History of US Trade Policy”: https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/C/bo24475328.html “Peddling Protectionism: Smoot-Hawley and the Great Depression”: https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691178066/peddling-protectionism?srsltid=AfmBOoqh-ZTEvY-wNf7wqitXQpkh-tfA7MEOyqxhKCoeHo7WbyUaJRB9 Douglas Irwin’s papers discussed: “TARIFF INCIDENCE: EVIDENCE FROM U.S. SUGAR DUTIES, 1890-1930”: https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w20635/w20635.pdf “HIGHER TARIFFS, LOWER REVENUES? ANALYZING THE FISCAL ASPECTS OF THE "GREAT TARIFF DEBATE OF 1888"”: https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w6239/w6239.pdf Follow Douglas Irwin on Twitter https://x.com/D_A_Irwin Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe break down recent economic data on inflation and the labor market, the parade of positive earnings reports sending markets higher, and how this is representative of an economic expansion that is benefiting Wall Street while Main Street is left behind. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:46 Financial Conditions Are Easy 01:48 Inflation Report (CPI) 04:02 Market Strength (Wall St.) vs Economic Weakness (Main St.) 10:13 Earnings Expectations: Priced for Perfection? 16:13 Fiscal AI 17:36 Are We in a Bubble? 22:12 AI CapEx Trends 25:42 AMZN and Earnings Season Losers 30:38 What’s Up Next Earnings 33:11 The New BLS and Labor Market Data 38:12 Market Complacency and Long-term Predictions 42:46 What’s in the Portfolio of “Super Investors”

Leland Clemons, co-founder and CEO of BondBloxx, shares his view on where he thinks fixed-income ETFs are headed. He talks about the creation of the first private credit ETF (consisting of tranches of middle-market CLOs), the mechanics of ETF creation via authorized participants (APs), equity concentration risk, and increased specialization of fixed-income ETFs. Recorded August 8, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

For 26% off to SuperMacro: https://billing.super-macro.com/b/14A5kDfMVeim3VM5ZW7bW06 For many Jonny Matthews, former PM at Brevan Howard and publisher of SuperMacro, has emphatically rejected the case for a recession in the U.S. Recent economic data is causing him to reevaluate his view. While he still calls himself a “recession denier,” Matthews now thinks a slowdown is already occurring in the U.S. that will *look* like stagflation in the fall. Whether it will actually be “real stagflation” is a different question. But Matthews has a bearish view on stocks and bonds, while acknowledging that putting on these trades are difficult and that he is waiting for the right time. Recorded on August 6, 2025. About SuperMacro https://super-macro.com/who-we-are Follow Jonny Matthews on Twitter https://x.com/super_macro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Donald Zilkha, founder of Zilkha Investments joins Other People’s Money to discuss how his deep-rooted DNA in banking and deal making has evolved into an investment strategy focused on deep research and engagement with management to affect change without upsetting the apple cart. He discusses how this strategy has evolved from single name SPVs to the commingled strategy he has today, case studies like Nathan’s Famous Hot Dogs, and why this classical style resonates with investors. Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:34 The Birth of Modern Banking in the Middle East 10:27 Evolution from Venture, to SPVs, to Drawdown, to Vanilla Equity 19:09 Engagement vs. Activism 27:17 Nathan's Famous Hot Dogs Case Study 33:05 Take Private Opportunities 35:55 Investing in a "Classical" Style 38:43 Talking About Process Instead of Positions 45:02 Value Investing in Tech and Old-Line Businesses 50:05 Team Continuity & Incentives 54:18 Marketing After 10+ Years

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital returns to Monetary Matters to share a strategic update on his reading of the liquidity cycle. A weakening U.S. Dollar is allowing many central banks around the world to ease. With large amounts of monetary easing from China’s central bank (PBOC), falling fixed-income volatility, and a shortening of the U.S. debt term structure, which Howell calls “not yield curve control yield curve control,” Howell sees a bullish liquidity backdrop throughout the end of the year into 2026. Recorded July 21, 2025. Follow Michael Howell on Twitter https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai.Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe break down today’s FOMC rate cut decision, this morning’s GDP report, recent tariff developments as major August deadlines approach, and the big earnings reports that are moving markets. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

David Steinberg, founder and CIO of Marlowe Partners joins Other People’s Money to discuss why he believes the operational and capital raising side of the investment business is the most important factor in determining success. He also discusses how he is navigating the capital raising process with a focus on weeding out investors who are not a fit for his concentrated long-term investing style, how that long-term style affects his ability to use AI in the research process, and why it is important not to be too innovative with your investment terms. David would also like to highlight the importance of high quality service providers and has shared three service providers he would highly recommend to other investment professionals. For accounting services David uses: https://rsmus.com For outsourced compliance services David uses: https://www.salusgrc.com For legal services David uses: https://www.akingump.com/en Follow David on Twitter: https://x.com/PeterLakeSounds Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:30 The Most Important Aspect of Investing 10:16 The Market for Concentrated Investing 13:47 Staying in the Game 17:45 Non-Standard Structures Are a Risk 19:41 New Structures for Individual Investors 27:11 Communicating Investing Process 34:28 Using AI to Cut Investment Research Costs 49:04 The Mission of $1B to $100B

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, joins Monetary Matters to discuss why he believes the idea that a US sovereign debt crisis could occur in a vacuum without spilling over into a global sovereign debt crisis is outlandish. He argues that because there would be knock on effects globally, any such crisis would be extremely bullish for the dollar, not bearish as many have argued. He also argues that current panic around dollar weakness is overblown and that the current battle between the Fed and the US Treasury will be won by the Treasury and usher in a new error of less autonomy and independence from the Federal Reserve, potentially sending yields and dollars higher. Read Brent’s Research: https://pages.santiagocapital.com/research Follow Brent Johnson on Twitter: https://x.com/SantiagoAuFund Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez An investment in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in the semiconductor industry, special risk considerations of investing in Taiwanese issuers, equity securities, small-, medium and large-capitalization companies, foreign securities, emerging market issuers, foreign currency, depositary receipts, issuer-specific changes, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, new fund, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified, and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Small, medium and large-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing. © Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation

Wayne Dahl, managing director and co-portfolio manager of Global Credit at Oaktree Capital Management, joins Monetary Matters to share his views on navigating the world of credit. With spreads low not just in high-yield, but also in bank loans, collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), and private credit, Dahl talks about where value is to be found during a time of high tariffs and high uncertainty. Recorded July 14, 2025. Follow Wayne Dahl on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wayne-dahl-3530175 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Louis Camhi, founder and CIO of RLH Capital returns to Other People’s Money to discuss how SPACs are making a comeback in 2025. Camhi discusses the differences between SPACs and DeSPACs, common misconceptions about SPAC risk, and how 2025’s boom in SPAC issuance is a far cry from what we saw in 2021. Camhi also discusses the different strategies he employs to take advantage of the unique opportunities SPACs provide, thematic trends in SPAC acquisition targets, and how he is using SPVs to increase exposure to SPAC target bridge loans. Follow Louis on Twitter: https://x.com/valwithcatalyst Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod

Volatility specialist Dean Curnutt, founder of Macro Risk Advisors and host of the Alpha Exchange podcast, joins Jack to share his view on volatility across assets. He explains why he thinks even though equity puts may be attractive for rainy day insurance, technically equity implied vol is very expensive relative to realized vol. While in Bitcoin land, Dean argues that Bitcoin volatility is cheap because vol can expand as the asset rises. Dean shares his view of tariffs and the U.S. Treasury market. Recorded July 9, 2025. Follow Dean Curnutt on Twitter https://x.com/Alpha_Ex_LLC Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHMax Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXMax Jon Caplis, CEO and founder at PivotalPath joins Other People’s Money to discuss how underreporting of data by the top tier of hedge funds is skewing the data that institutional investors use to make allocation decisions, resulting in undeservedly poor perception of the asset class, and significant underinvestment from institutional investors relying on allocation models. He argues that the top firms’ absence from most data sets has dragged industry wide return metrics down by approximately 400 basis points annually. Caplis also discusses how PivotalPath is combatting this data issue, the performance of hedge funds in 2025, and the mistakes many hedge funds make in communicating with institutional LPs that make up PivotalPath’s client base. Learn more about PivotalPath at https://www.pivotalpath.com/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod An investment in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in the semiconductor industry, special risk considerations of investing in Taiwanese issuers, equity securities, small-, medium and large-capitalization companies, foreign securities, emerging market issuers, foreign currency, depositary receipts, issuer-specific changes, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, new fund, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified, and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Small, medium and large-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing. © Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Citrini returns to Monetary Matters to review his “25 Trade Ideas” shared at year-end and to look forward to the next phase of AI. Citrini shares his views on the semiconductor industry, and explains why he thinks the next phase of outperformance could be in robotics. He also talks China, healthcare, and a particular stock that recently caught his interest. Recorded July 10, 2025. Follow Citrini on Twitter https://x.com/Citrini7 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Citrini Research: https://www.citriniresearch.com/ Citrindex: https://www.citrindex.com/ Pieces discussed: “Robotics Update: Revealing Teradyne’s Vulcan Contract Win, Citrini’s China Supply Chain Tour, and Robotics Basket Winners”: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/robotics-update “Thematic Primer: Artificial Intelligence, Phase 2”: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/thematic-primer-artificial-intelligence Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Oren Cass, chief economist at American Compass, joins Jack to make the case that globalization over the past 50 years has been bad for American workers, and that tariffs are needed in order to remedy longstanding imbalances within the global economy. Cass also shares his view on tariffs’ role within the broader American conservative movement. Recorded on June 25, 2025. Oren Cass’ book, “The New Conservatives: Restoring America's Commitment to Family, Community, and Industry”: https://www.amazon.com/New-Conservatives-Restoring-Commitment-Community/dp/B0DXD6CB8M/ref=sr_1_3?dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.Cg1AhfRv1IF_PQOZF9cf-rypEl5AfrYsisPBB9QXvHaosPwFIYLnD9WaHz50kbCfcY87loISitb1GKHjwNxWDw.IPnNIrxv3NdYL_dChBGywJ8HWT_pGd2RsPP8jt2J9T8&dib_tag=se&qid=1752157606&refinements=p_27%3AOren+Cass&s=books&sr=1-3 Follow Oren Cass on Twitter https://x.com/oren_cassFollow American Compass on Twitter https://x.com/AmerCompass Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHMax Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): vaneck.com/SMHXMax Warren Pies, strategist and co-founder at 3Fourteen Research joins Other People’s Money to discuss how the market and economy are transitioning from a deflation to a debasement mindset. He explains why he’s bullish equities, expecting continued disinflation despite his longer-term debasement view, and expecting the Fed to cut 3 times before the end of the year while the economy avoids recession. Pies also looks back on his launching his first year as an ETF fund manager. Follow Warren on X: https://x.com/WarrenPies Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod An investment in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in the semiconductor industry, special risk considerations of investing in Taiwanese issuers, equity securities, small-, medium and large-capitalization companies, foreign securities, emerging market issuers, foreign currency, depositary receipts, issuer-specific changes, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, new fund, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified, and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Small, medium and large-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing. © Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist at QI Research, returns to Monetary Matters to update listeners on her read of the economic cycle and credit markets. She shares her thesis that the U.S. economy entered recession in early 2024, exited it, and is now entering another recession in a process similar to the double dip recession of 1980-1981. Recorded on June 26, 2025 Follow Teucrium on Twitter https://x.com/TeucriumETFsFollow Danielle DiMartino Booth on Twitter https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Sam Stovall, CFRA Research’s U.S. Equity Strategist joins Monetary Matters to explain his bullish (with a lowercase b) view on U.S. equities, and offers several overweights and underweights of CFRA Research across the stock market. Recorded on June 25, 2025.Sam Stovall’s book, “The Seven Rules of Wall Street”: https://www.amazon.com/Seven-Rules-Wall-Street-Crash-Tested/dp/0071615172 Follow Sam Stovall on Twitter https://x.com/StovallCFRA Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Abdul Al-Asaad, CEO and co-founder of Basic Capital, joins Other People’s Money to discuss how Basic Capital is revolutionizing access to leverage for everyday Americans. He argues that American’s have far too much access to credit for the wrong use, consumption, and far too little access for positive uses like investing in assets that could change their financial future. He discusses how Basic Capital’s term financing works, why most of the capital you receive through Basic Capital is invested in private credit, and why he believes that for many people inaction is a bigger risk than taking a leveraged bet on stocks and bonds. Learn more about Basic Capital: https://basiccapital.com Follow Abdul on X: https://x.com/Abude_al_asaad Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:52 Basic Capital Backlash 10:12 Leverage as General Purpose Tool 17:07 Risk in Leverage 20:13 Learning from the Kings of Leverage 25:42 Term Financing 31:46 Private Credit & S&P 500: How Basic Capital Invests 38:51 How Private Credit Works 44:44 Private Credit Hates Basic Capital 48:37 The Risk of Being Left Behind 56:02 Basic Capital Fees and 401k Investing 01:03:32 Building a New Credit Market

Joseph Cavatoni, senior market strategist at The World Gold Council, joins Jack to share the developments within the global gold market. Cavatoni shares findings from The World Gold Council’s recent report on central banks’ gold reserves, and he explains current demand trends across the world. He reviews the supply situation and tells Jack about the more mine-friendly permitting regime from the new U.S. administration. Recorded on June 23, 2025.World Gold Council’s Central Bank Gold Reserves Survey 2025: https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/central-bank-gold-reserves-survey-2025 Follow Joseph Cavatoni on Twitter https://x.com/JCavatoni_WGC?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Eric Pachman, Chief Analytics Officer at Bancreek Capital Advisors, joins Monetary Matters to discuss how the healthcare sector, the strongest sector for job growth in the whole economy, could falter because of the proposed cuts to spending in the Big Beautiful Bill and potentially even tip the whole economy into a recession. He also discusses how important government spending is in propping up the healthcare industry, making it largely unaffected by the tools the Federal Reserve would likely use to combat a potential recession led by the healthcare sector. Read more from Eric and try Bancreek’s data visualization tools: https://www.bancreek.com/blog Follow Eric Pachman on Twitter: https://x.com/EricPachman Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Request sample reports from Variant Perception here: https://variantperception.com/monetary-matters-listeners/ Monetary Matters listeners can get discounted access to Variant Perception’s Research Subscription by clicking the link above. In addition, for those who sign up to Variant Perception’s Research Subscription, a trial of Variant Perception’s full product suite will be available for one quarter. Tian Yang, CEO of Variant Perception, returns to Monetary Matters to share his thoughts on global imbalances that have been building in the monetary system for decades. He shares what his data-driven approach indicates about the U.S. Dollar, global equities, and more. He also explains the challenges he sees ahead for U.S. homebuilding companies. Recorded June 19, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Variant Perception on Twitter https://x.com/VrntPerception Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Jack Farley and Max Wiethe break down the market’s reaction to today’s Federal Reserve decision, the Summary of Economic Projections, and Jerome Powell’s press conference. They also discuss parallels between this market and late 2021, debate whether AI is a bubble, and the eternal question of when the next US recession will occur. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Mike Green, Portfolio Manager and Chief Strategist at Simplify, joins Monetary Matters to discuss why the strength of the equity market and other technical factors are obfuscating weakness in the US consumer and broader indicators of economic weakness to the point that it could be masking a recession. Green also discusses his views on inflation, the bond market, and the current stage of the passive investing endgame that he believes is the main culprit driving equity markets higher and higher. Follow Mike Green on Twitter: https://x.com/profplum99 Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Read Mike’s Substack here: https://www.yesigiveafig.com Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:46 US Consumer Mirage 08:59 The Impact of High Interest Rates 13:39 Labor Market Weakness Will Eventually Force the Fed to Cut 15:03 Current Stage of the Passive Endgame 25:25 Recession Timing 33:31 How Will Asset Values Fair in the Next Recession? 40:30 Bond Market &Inflation Views 46:38 Uber's Impact on Unemployment 52:03 Tariff Uncertainty & the Fed 54:04 Bonds, Housing, & Other Macro Trades 01:02:03 Bitcoin, Solana, & Other Closing Thoughts

Vincent Deluard, Director of Global Macro Strategy at StoneX joins Monetary Matters to discuss why he believes changes to policy makers toolkit and to the structure of the economy mean recessions are “cancelled.” He also discusses why he believes Trump’s MAGA economic policies will be bad for corporate profit margins and his bullish outlook on oil and energy stocks. Follow Vincent Deluard on Twitter https://x.com/VincentDeluard Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:07 Recessions are Cancelled 08:23 The No Recession Feedback Loop 11:11 Impact of Tariffs 13:21 MAGA’s War on Corporate Profits 19:26 Corporate Tax Rates 21:56 Fiscal Balance of Payments Crisis 26:11 Outlook for Inflation, Growth, and Rates 36:07 Outlook for the Stock Market 40:51 US Multiples Compared to Rest of the World 45:18 Bullish View on Oil & Energy Sector 55:15 July Fed Predictions

Zach Levitt, CIO and Founder of Sixth Turn Capital and Opus One Asset Management joins Other People’s Money to discuss how he is standing up multi-manager platforms at just 25 years old by focusing on niche capacity constrained managers. Levitt discusses the benefits of combining uncorrelated capacity constrained strategies in a multi-manager platform, his unconventional path to founding a multi-manager platform, how mentorship has helped accelerate his growth, and how he goes about attracting talented investors to his platform. Follow Zach on X: https://x.com/derivative_bro Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:48 Skipping the Analyst Track and Founding a Hedge Fund at 25 07:14 Many Great Track Records Indicate Nefarious Information Was Traded On 09:42 What Does a Good Capacity Constrained Manager Look Like? 13:38 What Level of Correlation is "Uncorrelated" 18:20 What Level of Capacity is "Capacity Constrained"? 21:30 Mentorship Through Podcasts & Cold Outreach 26:13 Convincing Managers To Join Your Platform as a 25 Year Old 28:46 Investor Interest in SMAs vs Commingled Funds 35:25 Battling Startup Costs 39:06 Selling Talented Investors on Your Success Story 43:39 Risk Management and Cutting Portfolio Managers 47:38 Marketing "Hypothetical" Track Records 52:32 Next Stages of Growth 54:20 Assessing the Capacity Limits 57:17 Can PA Traders Become PMs?

Matthew Klein, founder of The Overshoot and UN/BALANCED and co-author of Trade Wars Are Class Wars with Michael Pettis joins Monetary Matters to discuss what factors really lead to major trade and capital flow imbalances between countries. He argues that factors like income inequality, domestic economic policy and decisions being made at the corporate level can have far more impact than country level trade policy. He also discusses why even though extreme trade and capital flow imbalances may be dangerous, implementing improper solutions can exacerbate the damage. Follow Matthew Klein on Twitter: https://x.com/M_C_Klein Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Read Matthews Substack The Overshoot here: https://theovershoot.co/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:52 Why Trade Wars Are Class Wars 12:13 Trade Surpluses vs Trade Deficits 18:51 Income Distribution Drives Capital Flows 28:28 China's Shifting Income Distribution 33:41 The Problem With China's Growing Trade and Current Account Surplus 41:51 Who is Winning in China? 44:04 How to Combat China's "Cheating on Trade" 49:25 Who Has the Upper Hand in Trade Negotiations? 54:05 Will Tariffs Drive Reshoring? 59:53 How Can the US Restore Balance of Trade? 01:08:29 Conclusions

This conversation was originally recorded for Julian Brigden’s research service, MacroCapture. Sign up for MacroCapture by MI2 Partners today with coupon codes MM10 (for annual) and MM10Q (for quarterly) to save 10% at: https://mi2partners.com/macrocapture-landing-page/ Julian Brigden of MI2 Partners and veteran macro trader Jonny Matthews of SuperMacro join Monetary Matters for a wide-ranging discussion of the forces that are contributing to a global weak market in sovereign bonds. Recorded May 28th and released for Julian’s MacroCapture clients on June 3rd. Follow Julian Brigden on Twitter https://x.com/JulianMI2 Follow Jonny Matthews on Twitter https://x.com/super_macro Follow MI2 Partners on Twitter https://x.com/MI2Partners Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Val Zlatev, Portfolio Manager and Senior Partner at hard tech specialist hedge fund Analog Century Capital Management joins Other People’s Money to discuss what he thinks investors still fail to appreciate about the secular growth of AI and semiconductors. He also discusses why DeepSeek was so misunderstood, other aspects of the AI supply chain, the state of the analog chip cycle, running long/short and market neutral strategies and garnering interest from the large multi-manager platforms. Learn More About Analog Century Capital Management: https://www.analogcm.com/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 01:15 What is Hard Tech? 02:41 The Evolution of the Hard Tech Sector From the 90s to Now 05:04 Investors Are Underweight Hard Tech 11:09 The Massive Impact of the End of Moore's Law 16:59 New Investment in Semiconductor Capacity 18:08 Why AI Should Be Compared to Cloud, Not Fiber 22:55 What Investors Got Wrong About DeepSeek 25:41 The US Government's Impact on AI & Chips 33:04 The Chinese Government’s Involvement in AI & Chips 35:13 Dominant Players in Chinese Semiconductor Market 39:12 The AI Supply Chain Beyond Semiconductors 43:53 Analog Semiconductors & Power Management 49:55 Winners, Losers, and Fakers in AI 57:03 Research Process for Hard Tech 01:01:25 Dispersion in Hard Tech Returns 01:03:31 Trading and Portfolio Construction at Analog Century 01:08:13 Market Neutral & Garnering Interest From Multi-Manager Platforms 01:12:20 Market Neutral vs Long/Short Investors 01:14:51 The Value of Partners and Team Continuity 01:16:42 Conclusion

To learn more about the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ): https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZJack/overview/ To view the prospectus: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZProspectus Gerard Minack of Minack Advisors joins Monetary Matters to discuss why even though other developed nations like Japan may have higher debt to GDP ratios, factors like net debt, monetized debt, and the overall size of US debt make this comparison flawed. He argues these factors make the current trajectory of US debt levels completely unsustainable and that the bond vigilantes will step in long before even more extreme levels are reached. He also discussed the extreme valuation gap for US assets compared to the rest of the world, why he thinks that gap will narrow, Mag 7 dominance and AI, and why he thinks Japan, not China, is the large Asian market set to outperform. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us You can find Gerard Minack on Bloomberg Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:24 Van Eck OUNZ 01:00 Interest Rate & Bond Market Views 09:13 Comparing US Debt Levels to Japan 12:21 Comparing Soft & Hard Data 16:19 Two Growth Scenarios Affecting Rates This Year 23:30 Van Eck OUNZ 24:05 The New World of Higher Rates 33:12 How Higher Rates Impact Stocks 43:01 The AI Trade and US Valuations 49:23 The US Valuation Gap vs The Rest of the World 53:12 Mag 7 Dominance 01:03:15 Bearish on Chinese Stocks and Bullish on Japan 01:09:23 Japan's Macro Backdrop 01:16:19 The Neutral Rate & Demographics 01:21:22 No Recessions in Australia 01:26:16 Australian Outlook

Marko Papic, Chief Strategist at BCA Research, joins Monetary Matters to argue that while tariffs may be the catalyst that shifts global appetites for US assets, it will be the necessary shift to fiscal hawkishness that will drive the end of “American Exceptionalism” and outperformance of US markets. Papic also discusses his views on as shift towards a multipolar world and why he views the dual polar world with US and China as competing global hegemons as the least likely outcome when compared with a multipolar reality or the revitalization of the American Empire. Follow Marko Papic on Twitter https://x.com/Geo_papic Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 01:00 Why TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) is Wrong 08:29 Recession Risks vs Stock Market Risks 12:21 Comparing Soft & Hard Data 15:12 Timeline for Trade Policy Certainty 20:53 Tariffs as a Catalyst for Domestic Economic Improvements Globally 26:47 The US Fiscal Facade 28:28 China Outlook 30:14 The Big Beautiful Bill & US Fiscal Deficit 41:02 DOGE’s Political Signal Value 48:09 US Defense Spending 51:13 Russia & Ukraine War 56:07 Foreign Policy in a Multipolar World 01:03:01 Middle East Stability

Bob Robotti, legendary value investor and President and CIO of Robotti and Company Advisors, is one of a very select group of investors with a 30+ year track record of S&P 500 outperformance. Here he joins Other People’s Money to discuss long-term value investing, why he likes to invest in companies perceived to be facing headwinds, and his view that American based industrial companies are competitively advantaged for reasons completely unaffected by trade policy. He also discusses how he operates both an advisory business and a broker dealer business and how the broker dealer has served as a starting point for many other great value investors. Learn More About Robotti Advisors: https://advisors.robotti.com Follow Bob Robotti on X: https://x.com/BobRobotti Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 01:27 Patient Capital 08:05 Investing in Companies with Headwinds 12:13 Building Products Businesses 16:08 North American Industrial Advantage 22:41 Industries Returning to the USA 27:18 Valuing Businesses on Cost of Replacement 30:56 The Links Between Lumber, Building Products, and Housing 33:24 Engaging With Management in Long-term Positions 39:04 Trading Around Long-Term Positions 47:57 Buying Stocks After They've Gone Up 52:56 Trading Against Each Other 55:01 Having a Broker Dealer and Advisory Business 59:15 Jumping From the Sell Side to the Buy Side 01:04:08 Capital Churn 01:06:03 All US Equity Investors Should Compare Themselves to the S&P 500

To view the prospectus for the VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ), please visit: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZProspectus Learn more: https://www.vaneck.com/OUNZJack/overview/ Steve Hanke, author of “Making Money Work” and Professor of Applied Economics The Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, joins Monetary Matters to share his thoughts on the anemic bank credit growth, fiscal and tariffs policy in the United States, and the global Dollar system. Recorded May 20, 2025. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_usFollow Steve Hanke on Twitter https://x.com/steve_hanke Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Steve’s book, “Making Money Work: How to Rewrite the Rules of Our Financial System”, on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/Making-Money-Work-Rewrite-Financial/dp/1394257260 “Making Money Work” from Publisher (Wiley): https://www.wiley.com/en-us/Making+Money+Work%3A+How+to+Rewrite+the+Rules+of+Our+Financial+System-p-9781394257270 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Jason Furman, former Chairman of Council of Economic Advisers for President Obama and Aetna Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy jointly at Harvard Kennedy School (HKS) and the Department of Economics at Harvard University, joins Monetary Matters to share his view of the Trump administration’s “three-legged stool” of tariffs, deregulation, and tax cuts. Recorded May 20, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Jason Furman on Twitter https://x.com/jasonfurman Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Nicolás Dujovne, CIO and founder of Tenac Asset Management and former Treasury Minister of Argentina joins Monetary Matters to discuss the evolution of emerging market economies, EM debt investing, and why even though the US’s failure to address fiscal issues may be reminiscent of emerging markets it still falls short of full EM status even if it risks the US Dollar’s reserve currency status over the long run. Dujovne also identifies the opportunities he's watching now, explains why he thinks the dollar is moving lower, and makes the case for EM debt becoming more common in investor portfolios. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT AN INDICATION OF FUTURE RESULTS. Historical performance is included for informational purposes only and should not be relied on as being indicative of results that will be achieved by the Fund. Future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of principal may occur. Differences in the timing of the transactions, capital contributions or withdrawals, and market conditions prevailing at the time of the investment will lead to different results. Performance shown is for the stated time period only. Performance is presented net of fees and expenses and assumes the reinvestment of income and earnings. The net figures reflect the deduction of management fees (1.5%) and incentive fees (15%). BENCHMARKS. The performance of the Fund is shown as compared to indices. Broad-based securities indices are unmanaged and are not subject to fees and expenses typically associated with investment funds. Investments cannot be made directly in a broad-based securities index. The benchmark is provided for reference only and does not imply that the Fund will achieve returns, volatility, or other results similar to the benchmark. The composition of a benchmark index does not reflect the way the Fund portfolio is constructed in relation to expected or achieved returns, investment holdings, sectors, correlations, concentrations or tracking error targets, all of which are subject to change over time. Learn more about Tenac Asset Management: https://tenacam.com Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:46 The Impact of the Dollar on EMs Like Argentina 04:59 The Impact of the Fed and US Rated on EMs Experiencing Crisis 08:15 The Causes of Argentina's Inflation 15:17 The Mechanics of Money Printing 18:38 Macro Investing in Emerging Markets 28:30 Dollar Bonds vs Local Currency Bonds 34:55 Why Do Countries Issue Dollar Bonds? 40:05 The Case for EM Debt as an Asset Class 44:21 Balance of Payments 47:51 Economics vs Trading 52:58 Rebalancing the US vs the Rest of World 55:40 The Weakening US Dollar 57:54 Tariff Impacts on US GDP 01:01:36 One Year Dollar Outlook 01:03:25 Current Positioning 01:05:26 Current Market Anomalies 01:08:52 Is the US Becoming an Emerging Market 01:13:54 LATAM Tariff Winners 01:17:16 Opinions on Milei 01:21:18 Argentina Market Views

Monetary Matters listeners can get a 25% discount to Prometheus Macro: https://www.prometheus-macro.com/monetarymatters Aahan Menon, founder and CEO of Prometheus Macro, returns to Monetary Matters to share his in-depth macro process. He talks about how returns come from three factors: carry, mean reversion, and trend, and about how these three factors interact with other macro variables. Prometheus Macro is a trusted source for Jack and Monetary Matters listeners can get discounted access to Aahan’s research service by using the link below. Annual subscriptions can be purchased at 25% off the monthly subscription rate, and monthly subscribers can get a 10% discounted rate. https://www.prometheus-macro.com/monetarymatters Follow Aahan Menon on Twitter https://x.com/AahanPrometheus Follow Prometheus Macro on Twitter https://x.com/prometheusmacro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Fabio Natalucci, CEO of the Anderson Institute for Finance & Economics, joins Monetary Matters to discuss his work at the IMF on the potential risks to the global financial system that the growth of private credit may pose. They also discuss the affects that tariffs will have not just on the economy but the functioning of the financial system.Learn more about the Anderson Institute: https://www.andersen.com/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:48 A Regulator's View of Private Credit 12:58 Private Credit Replacing the Banking System 15:46 New Types of Private Credit Investors 19:34 Private Credit Liquidity 24:11 Private Credit Leverage 29:00 Geographical Regulatory Risks 30:23 Is Private Credit Investment Grade? 36:01 Private Capital's Entry to the Insurance Business 41:49 Derivatives in Private Credit and Collateralized Fund Obligations 45:44 Economic and Financial Implications of Tariffs 01:01:53 The Risk of Foreigners Selling US Assets 01:09:53 Taiwan Life Insurance Markets 01:12:37 Does Trump Want a Weaker Dollar? 01:15:37 Lack of Consumption Ex-US 01:20:29 The Anderson Institute

David Kotok, Co-Founder & Strategic Advisor at Cumberland Advisors, joins Monetary Matters to discuss insights from his new book, “The Fed and the Flu: Parsing Pandemic Economic Shocks.” Kotok cites data over millennia to show that pandemics typically cause natural real interest rates to decline, and productivity and inequality to rise. Kotok argues that we must prepare for the next pandemic and shares his view on the origin of the COVID virus. Part II of an interview recorded on April 4, 2025, with the first part having aired on April 7, 2025. David Kotok’s book, “The Fed and the Flu: Parsing Pandemic Economic Shocks”: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Flu-Parsing-Pandemic-Economic-ebook/dp/B0DCK1ZHJT Paper, “Longer-Run Economic Consequences of Pandemics”: https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w26934/w26934.pdf Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow David Kotok on Twitter https://x.com/DavidKotokGIC Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez