Monetary Matters with Jack Farley
258 episodes — Page 6 of 6
The Oil Market Has A Big Problem | Paul Sankey
Despite rising tensions in the Middle East, today’s guest thinks that the price of oil is headed not higher but lower. Paul Sankey of Sankey Research joins Jack Farley on Monetary Matters to share why he thinks the price of oil is headed to as low as $50 as millions of barrels of capacity come online in Guyana, the U.S., and elsewhere, and as Saudi Arabia begins to focus on market share once again. Recorded on October 4, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Paul Sankey on Twitter https://x.com/crudegusher Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Financial Times article on Saudi desire to take back market share: https://www.ft.com/content/1d186f62-5941-4f9e-aef1-7d93a8a696cd
Harley Bassman: Bonds Are Fully Cooked Without an Imminent Recession
Harley Bassman, managing partner at Simplify Asset Management, outlines his favorite trades right now and explains why he thinks bonds are fully cooked without an imminent recession. He argues that selling interest rate vol is one of the best ways to play this fully cooked bond market and explains how new issue agency MBS and other callable bonds can be used to take advantage of the richness in bond volatility. Filmed on September 26, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Harley Bassman on Twitter https://x.com/ConvexityMaven Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Learn more about Simplify https://www.simplify.us
China Fights Its Doom Loop | Leland Miller on Mammoth Stimulus From People's Bank of China
China’s central bank just shocked markets with several impressive sounding stimulus measures, causing the biggest one-week rally in Chinese stocks since 2008. But how effective is this stimulus actually going to be to the Chinese economy? Leland Miller, co-founder & CEO of China Beige Book, joins Monetary Matters to weigh on this very important issue. Leland says he thinks the rally in Chinese stocks could continue for up to two months but that the effect on the Chinese economy will be to stabilize rather than to stimulate. Recorded on September 27, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow China Beige Book on Twitter https://x.com/ChinaBeigeBook Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
Neil Dutta: This is What a Soft Landing Looks Like
Neil Dutta, Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research, joins Monetary Matters to update his prior call that the US economy would not enter a recession. He explains why a soft landing is still his base case and why he thinks the Fed is properly positioned to engineer that outcome even if soft economic data forces them to cut rates more aggressively. Recorded on September 21, 2024. __ Learn more about Renaissance Macro Research: https://www.renmac.com Follow Renaissance Macro Research on Twitter https://x.com/RenMacLLC Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
Kris Sidial: "Graveyard Day" Is In Store For Short Volatility Traders
Kris Sidial, co-CIO of Ambrus Group, joins Monetary Matters to break down the conditions in volatility markets that exacerbated the sharp sell-off in early August, and explain why he thinks the risks embedded in the "short vol" trade have only gotten worse. Recorded on September 20, 2024. Follow Kris Sidial on Twitter https://x.com/Ksidiii Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
Danielle DiMartino Booth: The Fed Is Still Behind The Curve
Teucrium’s US Agriculture ETFs provide exposure to commodities like corn, wheat, soybeans, and sugar in a convenient size and ETF wrapper, right in your traditional brokerage account. Learn more at https://teucrium.com/ Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and chief strategist of QI Research, joins Monetary Matters to share her views on the the Federal Reserve’s historic 50 basis point cut. Recorded shortly after Jay Powell’s press conference on September 18, 2024. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on Twitter https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth Danielle DiMartino Booth’s research service: https://quillintelligence.com/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96
Joseph Wang: Fed Interest Rate Cuts Could Hurt The Stock Market
Joseph Wang, former senior trader for the New York Fed and publisher of FedGuy.com, joins Jack Farley as the first guest of Monetary Matters. Joseph shares his view on the Federal Reserve's historic double interest rate cut, and explains why he thinks the interest rate cuts could be quite bearish for the stock market. Filmed on September 18, just after Fed Chair Powell's press conference. Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://x.com/FedGuy12 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Joseph's latest piece, "When Big Cuts Are Bad": https://fedguy.com/when-big-cuts-are-bad/
Introducing... Monetary Matters
Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. First episode going out with Joseph Wang on September 18, shortly after the Federal Reserve begins its cutting rate cycle. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96