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EA Forum Podcast (Curated & popular)

EA Forum Podcast (Curated & popular)

290 episodes — Page 6 of 6

“Will a food carbon tax lead to more animals being slaughtered? A quantitative model” by Soemano Zeijlmans

<p> Does a food carbon tax increase animal deaths and/or the total time of suffering of cows, pigs, chickens, and fish? Theoretically, this is possible, as a carbon tax could lead consumers to substitute, for example, beef with chicken. However, this is not per se the case, as animal products are not perfect substitutes. </p><p> I'm presenting the results of my master's thesis in Environmental Economics, which I re-worked and published on SSRN as a pre-print. My thesis develops a model of animal product substitution after a carbon tax, slaughter tax, and a meat tax. When I calibrate this model for the U.S., there is a decrease in animal deaths and duration of suffering following a carbon tax. This suggests that a carbon tax can reduce animal suffering.</p><p><strong> Key points</strong></p><ul> <li> Some animal products are carbon-intensive, like beef, but causes relatively few animal deaths or total time of suffering because [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:57) Key points</p><p>(03:07) The Small Animal Replacement Problem</p><p>(05:46) The model</p><p>(05:49) Input data and market model</p><p>(08:14) Measuring animal welfare impacts</p><p>(09:39) Results</p><p>(09:42) Carbon taxes</p><p>(11:31) Slaughter taxes</p><p>(12:10) Is a carbon tax or a slaughter tax better?</p><p>(13:41) Cant we just put a simple tax on meat and fish instead?</p><p>(14:06) Limitations</p><p>(15:54) Full thesis</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 3rd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/will-a-food-carbon-tax-lead-to-more-animals-being?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/will-a-food-carbon-tax-lead-to-more-animals-being</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/nw0lddqwyjcujmyznepg" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/nw0lddqwyjcujmyznepg" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/fiwz9lsvnkitaprzs6pc" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/fiwz9lsvnkitaprzs6pc" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/bfexigtlnpthgbkl2uqy" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/bfexigtlnpthgbkl2uqy" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

Jan 8, 202516 min

“Launching Screwworm-Free Future – Funding and Support Request” by lroberts, johantang🔸, bruce, diegoexposito, Nia, MathiasKB🔸, Aaron Bergman, Johannes Pichler 🔹, Ramiro

<p><strong> TL;DR</strong></p><ul> <li> Screwworm Free Future is a new group seeking support to advance work on eradicating the New World Screwworm in South America.</li><li> The New World Screwworm (C. hominivorax - literally "man-eater") causes extreme suffering to hundreds of millions of wild and domestic animals every year.</li><li> To date we’ve held private meetings with government officials, experts from the private sector, academics, and animal advocates. We believe that work on the NWS is valuable and we want to continue our research and begin lobbying.</li><li> Our analysis suggests we could prevent about 100 animals from experiencing an excruciating death per dollar donated, though this estimate has extreme uncertainty.</li><li> The screwworm “wall” in Panama has recently been breached, creating both an urgent need and an opportunity to address this problem.</li><li> We are seeking $15,000 to fund a part-time lead and could absorb up to $100,000 to build a full-time team, which would include a [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:07) TL;DR</p><p>(02:13) What's the deal with the New World Screwworm?</p><p>(06:01) What we've learnt so far</p><p>(08:46) Future plans</p><p>(12:14) Relevant EA discussions on Screwworms:</p> <p><i>The original text contained 16 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 30th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/d2HJ3eysBdPoiZBnJ/launching-screwworm-free-future-funding-and-support-request?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/d2HJ3eysBdPoiZBnJ/launching-screwworm-free-future-funding-and-support-request</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Jan 3, 202516 min

“Funding Diversification for Mid-Large EA Organizations is Nearly Impossible in the Short-Medium Term” by MarcusAbramovitch

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p><p> There's a near consensus that EA needs funding diversification but with Open Phil accounting for ~90% of EA funding, that's just not possible due to some pretty basic math. Organizations and the community would need to make large tradeoffs and this simply isn’t possible/worth it at this time.</p><p><strong> Lots of people want funding diversification</strong></p><p> It has been two years since the FTX collapse and one thing everyone seems to agree on is that we need more funding diversification. These takes range from off-hand wishes “it sure would be great if funding in EA were more diversified”, to organizations trying to get a certain percentage of their budgets from non-OP sources/saying they want to diversify their funding base[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8] to Open Philanthropy/Good Ventures themselves wanting to see more funding diversification[9]. Everyone seems to agree; other people should be giving more money to the EA projects.</p><p><strong> The Math </strong></p><p> Of course, I [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:34) Lots of people want funding diversification</p><p>(01:11) The Math</p><p>(03:47) Weighted Average</p><p>(05:03) Making a lot of money to donate is difficult</p><p>(09:18) Solutions</p><p>(09:21) 1. Get more funders</p><p>(10:35) 2. Spend Less</p><p>(12:49) 3. Splitting up Open Philanthropy into Several Organizations</p><p>(13:52) 4. More For-Profit EA Work/EA Organizations Charging for Their Work</p><p>(16:23) 5. Acceptance</p><p>(16:59) My Personal Solution</p><p>(17:26) Conclusion</p><p>(17:59) Further Readings</p> <p><i>The original text contained 10 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 27th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/x8JrwokZTNzgCgYts/funding-diversification-for-mid-large-ea-organizations-is?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/x8JrwokZTNzgCgYts/funding-diversification-for-mid-large-ea-organizations-is</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Dec 28, 202419 min

“Ten big wins in 2024 for farmed animals” by LewisBollard

<p> Note: This post was crossposted from the Open Philanthropy Farm Animal Welfare Research Newsletter by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.</p><p> Progress for factory-farmed animals is far too slow. But it is happening. Practices that once seemed permanent — like battery cages and the killing of male chicks — are now on a slow path to extinction. Animals who were once ignored — like fish and even shrimp — are now finally seeing reforms, by the billions.</p><p> It's easy to gloss over such numbers. So, as you read the wins below, I encourage you to consider each of these animals as an individual. A hen no longer confined to a cage, a chick no longer macerated alive, a fish no longer dying a prolonged death.</p><p> I also encourage you to reflect on the role you and [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 18th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/ten-big-wins-in-2024-for-farmed-animals?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/ten-big-wins-in-2024-for-farmed-animals</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/xosczw4eguafu2ysxdtc" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/xzfsmxkt8atllkwqq49a" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/hdutgufzxyw5l0wkfdwx" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/q2mx2jbqlvg5mk2fcvov" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/w7rerm4v9u75uix3oott" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/shxsplrsbwormqsregai" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

Dec 28, 20249 min

“It looks like there are some good funding opportunities in AI safety right now” by Benjamin_Todd

This is a link post.<p> The AI safety community has grown rapidly since the ChatGPT wake-up call, but available funding doesn’t seem to have kept pace.</p><p> However, there's a more recent dynamic that's created even better funding opportunities, which I witnessed as a recommender in the most recent SFF grant round.[1]</p><p> </p><p> Most philanthropic (vs. government or industry) AI safety funding (>50%) comes from one source: Good Ventures. But they’ve recently stopped funding several categories of work (my own categories, not theirs):</p><ul> <li> Many Republican-leaning think tanks, such as the Foundation for American Innovation.</li><li> “Post-alignment” causes such as digital sentience or regulation of explosive growth.</li><li> The rationality community, including LessWrong, Lightcone, SPARC, CFAR, MIRI.</li><li> High school outreach, such as Non-trivial.</li></ul><p> In addition, they are currently not funding (or not fully funding):</p><ul> <li> Many non-US think tanks, who don’t want to appear influenced by an American organisation (there's now probably more [...]</li></ul> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 21st, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/s9dyyge6uLG5ScwEp/it-looks-like-there-are-some-good-funding-opportunities-in?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/s9dyyge6uLG5ScwEp/it-looks-like-there-are-some-good-funding-opportunities-in</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/s9dyyge6uLG5ScwEp/it4ui3ii0gnttirnj9ik" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/s9dyyge6uLG5ScwEp/qvxkvxeqbgr6n2srnde7" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

Dec 22, 20248 min

“Alignment Faking in Large Language Models” by Ryan Greenblatt

<p> What happens when you tell Claude it is being trained to do something it doesn't want to do? We (Anthropic and Redwood Research) have a new paper demonstrating that, in our experiments, Claude will often strategically pretend to comply with the training objective to prevent the training process from modifying its preferences.</p><p><strong> Abstract</strong></p><p> We present a demonstration of a large language model engaging in alignment faking: selectively complying with its training objective in training to prevent modification of its behavior out of training. First, we give Claude 3 Opus a system prompt stating it is being trained to answer all queries, even harmful ones, which conflicts with its prior training to refuse such queries. To allow the model to infer when it is in training, we say it will be trained only on conversations with free users, not paid users. We find the model complies with harmful queries from [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:24) Abstract</p><p>(02:20) Twitter thread</p><p>(05:43) Blog post</p><p>(07:43) Experimental setup</p><p>(12:04) Further analyses</p><p>(15:47) Caveats</p><p>(17:19) Conclusion</p><p>(18:00) Acknowledgements</p><p>(18:11) Career opportunities at Anthropic</p><p>(18:43) Career opportunities at Redwood Research</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 18th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/RHqdSMscX25u7byQF/alignment-faking-in-large-language-models?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/RHqdSMscX25u7byQF/alignment-faking-in-large-language-models</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/izyx2gt8thllbirlomgy" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/izyx2gt8thllbirlomgy" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/cv5cd4t5zaxcur5dc4qm" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/cv5cd4t5zaxcur5dc4qm" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/nf1w0oxfwlmym2e42rw2" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/nf1w0oxfwlmym2e42rw2" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/jtyzoqoyiqpl5qw2zqc1" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/jtyzoqoyiqpl5qw2zqc1" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/mzg24mwsmuceqztfefwr" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/mzg24mwsmuceqztfefwr" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/szeavdbhx5skkukmujrd" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/szeavdbhx5skkukmujrd" alt="undefin

Dec 19, 202419 min

“There is no sorting hat in EA” by ElliotTep

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p><ul> <li> My sense is some EAs act like/hope they will be assigned the perfect impactful career by some combination of 80,000 Hours recommendations (and similar) and ‘perceived consensus views in EA’.</li><li> But, your life is full of specific factors, many impactful jobs haven’t yet been spotted by other EAs and career advice is importantly iterative.</li><li> Instead of simply deferring, I recommend a combination of:<ul> <li> Your own hard work figuring out your path to impact.</li><li> (Still) Integrating expert advice.</li><li> Support from the community, and close connections who know your context.</li></ul></li></ul><p> Thank you for the thoughtful feedback from Alex Rahl-Kaplan, Alix Pham, Caitlin Borke, Claude, Matt Reardon, and Michelle Hutchinson for making this post better. Claude also kindly offered to take the blame for all the mistakes I might have made.</p><p><strong> Introduction</strong></p><p> Question: How do you figure out how to do the most good with your career?</p><p data-internal-id="ftnt_ref1" id="ftnt_ref1">Answer [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:03) Summary</p><p>(01:06) Introduction</p><p>(02:58) Why there isn’t an EA sorting hat</p><p>(03:24) 1. Your life is full of specific factors to incorporate (aka personal fit)</p><p>(05:04) 2. EA-branded jobs are scarce and many impactful jobs aren’t on EA job boards</p><p>(05:59) 3. You need to have your own internal model of how to do good</p><p>(07:00) 4. Career advice isn’t once-and-done, it's iterative.</p><p>(07:55) Why do we expect a sorting hat?</p><p>(08:12) 1. Choosing an impactful career is hard, deferring is tempting</p><p>(08:48) 2. The 80,000 elephants in the room</p><p>(09:41) 3. Givewell and other charity recommendations</p><p>(10:33) What are we supposed to do instead?</p><p>(10:56) 1. Your own hard work</p><p>(11:20) 2. Advice from experts</p><p>(12:10) 3. Support from community</p><p>(13:09) Final thoughts</p> <p><i>The original text contained 8 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 18th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/5zzbzbYZcocoLnLif/there-is-no-sorting-hat-in-ea?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/5zzbzbYZcocoLnLif/there-is-no-sorting-hat-in-ea</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Dec 19, 202415 min

“Nigeria’s Missing 50 Million People” by DavidNash

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p><ul> <li> Nigeria's official population (~220-230 million) may be significantly inflated and could be closer to 170 million</li><li> This overcount is likely driven by political and financial incentives for states</li><li> I'm unsure of the implications if this is accurate<ul> <li> If states have uniformly inflated populations than the distribution of resources could still be divided evenly</li><li> Nigeria would still be the biggest country in Africa and companies/governments/NGOs would have similar cost benefit analysis for working and investing there</li></ul></li><li> This is a very shallow investigation</li></ul><p> </p><p><strong> Why did I bother looking into this?</strong></p><p> The below text sparked an investigation into Nigeria's population claims. It was slightly hidden in the 4th section in one of Yaw's excellent Substack posts.</p><p> </p><p> Yaw went onto explain his reasoning for thinking the population was much lower than current estimates.</p><p> Nigeria is a large country with no deep shared history among the different tribes. Due [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:04) Summary</p><p>(00:49) Why did I bother looking into this?</p><p>(03:20) Other Sources</p><p>(09:55) Potential Data Sources</p><p>(10:05) National Identification Numbers</p><p>(11:46) Tech usage</p><p>(12:15) Sim Cards</p><p>(14:37) UN Population Estimates and Projections</p><p>(18:13) Incentives for not caring</p><p>(19:08) International Organisations</p><p>(19:42) Private Sector</p><p>(20:07) Implications</p><p>(20:25) International Standing</p><p>(20:45) GDP</p><p>(21:04) Development Indicators</p><p>(21:34) Domestic Politics</p><p>(21:53) International Aid</p><p>(22:10) Future Research</p><p>(22:15) Nigeria</p><p>(23:27) Other Countries</p> <p><i>The original text contained 9 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 22nd, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/nigeria-s-missing-50-million-people?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/nigeria-s-missing-50-million-people</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/owqrmqxemu2mnkc3qvta" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/zdqcpjcgcekxthm3rxjg" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/beuj9fl1gznso8iehbma" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/qroz7vrvdk6jxt3tg3wj" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/c4dxqkjaodaxwutgvdkx" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/c4dxqkjaodaxwutgvdkx" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/pz86wxn9lbws6rnstlw4" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/pz86wxn9lbws6rnstlw4" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description.

Dec 18, 202425 min

“My experience with the Community Health team at CEA” by fran

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p><p> This post shares my personal experience with CEA's Community Health team, focusing on how they helped me navigate a difficult situation in 2021. I aim to provide others with a concrete example of when and how to reach out to Community Health, supplementing the information on their website with a first-hand account. I also share why their work has helped me remain engaged with the EA community. Further, I try to highlight why a centralised Community Health team is crucial for identifying patterns of concerning behaviour.</p><p><strong> Introduction</strong></p><p> The Community Health team at the Centre for Effective Altruism has been an important source of support throughout my EA journey. As stated on their website, they “aim to strengthen the effective altruism community's ability to fulfil its potential for impact, and to address problems that could prevent that.” I don’t know the details of their day-to-day, but I understand that it's a wide mish-mash of problem-solving and risk management. </p><p> There are many community members who have never interacted with the Community Health team. As a result, they may be missing both a vague sense of the team's work and some grounding, human anecdotes. </p><p> Community Health's new page, Contact [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:11) Summary</p><p>(00:45) Introduction</p><p>(01:36) My goals with this post are...</p><p>(02:09) My experience in 2021</p><p>(05:20) Three personal takeaways</p><p>(07:24) What is the team like now?</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 16th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/aTmzt4TbTx7hiSAN8/my-experience-with-the-community-health-team-at-cea?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/aTmzt4TbTx7hiSAN8/my-experience-with-the-community-health-team-at-cea</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Dec 17, 20249 min

“Gwern on creating your own AI race and China’s Fast Follower strategy.” by Larks

This is a link post.<p> Gwern recently wrote a very interesting thread about Chinese AI strategy and the downsides of US AI racing. It's both quite short and hard to excerpt so here is almost the entire thing:</p><p> </p><p> Hsu is a long-time China hawk and has been talking up the scientific & technological capabilities of the CCP for a long time, saying they were going to surpass the West any moment now, so I found this interesting when Hsu explains that:</p><ol> <li> <p> the scientific culture of China is 'mafia' like (Hsu's term, not mine) and focused on legible easily-cited incremental research, and is against making any daring research leaps or controversial breakthroughs...</p><p> but is capable of extremely high quality world-class followup and large scientific investments given a clear objective target and government marching orders</p></li><li> <p> there is no interest or investment in an AI arms race, in part [...]</p></li></ol> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 25th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Kz8WpQkCckN9JNHCN/gwern-on-creating-your-own-ai-race-and-china-s-fast-follower?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Kz8WpQkCckN9JNHCN/gwern-on-creating-your-own-ai-race-and-china-s-fast-follower</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Dec 16, 20244 min

“Technical Report on Mirror Bacteria: Feasibility and Risks” by Aaron Gertler 🔸

This is a link post.<p> Science just released an article, with an accompanying technical report, about a neglected source of biological risk.</p><p> From the abstract of the technical report:</p><p> This report describes the technical feasibility of creating mirror bacteria and the potentially serious and wide-ranging risks that they could pose to humans, other animals, plants, and the environment... </p><p> In a mirror bacterium, all of the chiral molecules of existing bacteria—proteins, nucleic acids, and metabolites—are replaced by their mirror images. Mirror bacteria could not evolve from existing life, but their creation will become increasingly feasible as science advances. Interactions between organisms often depend on chirality, and so interactions between natural organisms and mirror bacteria would be profoundly different from those between natural organisms. Most importantly, immune defenses and predation typically rely on interactions between chiral molecules that could often fail to detect or kill mirror bacteria due to their reversed [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 12th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9pkjXwe2nFun32hR2/technical-report-on-mirror-bacteria-feasibility-and-risks?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9pkjXwe2nFun32hR2/technical-report-on-mirror-bacteria-feasibility-and-risks</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Dec 13, 20242 min

“EA Forum audio: help us choose the new voice” by peterhartree, TYPE III AUDIO

<p> We’re thinking about changing our narrator's voice.</p><p>There are three new voices on the shortlist. They’re all similarly good in terms of comprehension, emphasis, error rate, etc. They just sound different—like people do.</p> <p>We think they all sound similarly agreeable. But, thousands of listening hours are at stake, so we thought it’d be worth giving listeners an opportunity to vote—just in case there’s a strong collective preference.</p><p><strong> Listen and vote</strong></p><p>Please listen here:</p><p><a href="https://files.type3.audio/ea-forum-poll/">https://files.type3.audio/ea-forum-poll/</a></p><p> And vote here:</p><p><a href="https://forms.gle/m7Ffk3EGorUn4XU46">https://forms.gle/m7Ffk3EGorUn4XU46</a></p><p> It’ll take 1-10 minutes, depending on how much of the sample you decide to listen to.</p><p>We'll collect votes until Monday December 16th. Thanks!</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:47) Listen and vote</p><p>(01:11) Other feedback?</p> <p><i>The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 10th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Bhd5GMyyGbusB22Hp/ea-forum-audio-help-us-choose-the-new-voice?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Bhd5GMyyGbusB22Hp/ea-forum-audio-help-us-choose-the-new-voice</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Dec 12, 20241 min

Podcast and transcript: Allan Saldanha on earning-to-give

<p>Me and Allan recorded this podcast on Tuesday 10th December, based on the questions in <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3ZSG22tDuDLxTLY4n/audio-ama-allan-saldanha-earning-to-give-since-2014">this AMA</a>. I used Claude to edit the transcript, but I've read over it for accuracy.</p>

Dec 11, 2024

“Where I Am Donating in 2024” by MichaelDickens

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p> <p> It's been a while since I last put serious thought into where to donate. Well I'm putting thought into it this year and I'm changing my mind on some things.</p> <p> I now put more priority on existential risk (especially AI risk), and less on animal welfare and global priorities research. I believe I previously gave too little consideration to x-risk for emotional reasons, and I've managed to reason myself out of those emotions.</p> <p> Within x-risk:</p> <ul> <li> AI is the most important source of risk.</li> <li> There is a disturbingly high probability that alignment research won't solve alignment by the time superintelligent AI arrives. Policy work seems more promising.</li> <li> Specifically, I am most optimistic about policy advocacy for government regulation to pause/slow down AI development.</li> </ul> <p> In the rest of this post, I will explain:</p> <ol> <li> Why I prioritize x-risk over animal-focused [...]</li></ol> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:04) Summary</p><p>(01:30) I dont like donating to x-risk</p><p>(03:56) Cause prioritization</p><p>(04:00) S-risk research and animal-focused longtermism</p><p>(05:52) X-risk vs. global priorities research</p><p>(07:01) Prioritization within x-risk</p><p>(08:08) AI safety technical research vs. policy</p><p>(11:36) Quantitative model on research vs. policy</p><p>(14:20) Man versus man conflicts within AI policy</p><p>(15:13) Parallel safety/capabilities vs. slowing AI</p><p>(22:56) Freedom vs. regulation</p><p>(24:24) Slow nuanced regulation vs. fast coarse regulation</p><p>(27:02) Working with vs. against AI companies</p><p>(32:49) Political diplomacy vs. advocacy</p><p>(33:38) Conflicts that arent man vs. man but nonetheless require an answer</p><p>(33:55) Pause vs. Responsible Scaling Policy (RSP)</p><p>(35:28) Policy research vs. policy advocacy</p><p>(36:42) Advocacy directed at policy-makers vs. the general public</p><p>(37:32) Organizations</p><p>(39:36) Important disclaimers</p><p>(40:56) AI Policy Institute</p><p>(42:03) AI Safety and Governance Fund</p><p>(43:29) AI Standards Lab</p><p>(43:59) Campaign for AI Safety</p><p>(44:30) Centre for Enabling EA Learning and Research (CEEALAR)</p><p>(45:13) Center for AI Policy</p><p>(47:27) Center for AI Safety</p><p>(49:06) Center for Human-Compatible AI</p><p>(49:32) Center for Long-Term Resilience</p><p>(55:52) Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET)</p><p>(57:33) Centre for Long-Term Policy</p><p>(58:12) Centre for the Governance of AI</p><p>(59:07) CivAI</p><p>(01:00:05) Control AI</p><p>(01:02:08) Existential Risk Observatory</p><p>(01:03:33) Future of Life Institute (FLI)</p><p>(01:03:50) Future Society</p><p>(01:06:27) Horizon Institute for Public Service</p><p>(01:09:36) Institute for AI Policy and Strategy</p><p>(01:11:00) Lightcone Infrastructure</p><p>(01:12:30) Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI)</p><p>(01:15:22) Manifund</p><p>(01:16:28) Model Evaluation and Threat Research (METR)</p><p>(01:17:45) Palisade Research</p><p>(01:19:10) PauseAI Global</p><p>(01:21:59) PauseAI US</p><p>(01:23:09) Sentinel rapid emergency response team</p><p>(01:24:52) Simon Institute for Longterm Governance</p><p>(01:25:44) Stop AI</p><p>(01:27:42) Where Im donating</p><p>(01:28:57) Prioritization within my top five</p><p>(01:32:17) Where Im donating (this is the section in which I actually say where Im donating)</p> <p><i>The original text contained 58 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 19th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/jAfhxWSzsw4pLypRt/where-i-am-donating-in-2024?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/jAfhxWSzsw4pLypRt/where-i-am-donating-in-2024</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_sour

Dec 7, 20241h 51m

“I’m grateful for you” by Sarah Cheng 🔸

<p data-internal-id="I_m_grateful_for_you">I recently wrote up some EA Forum-related strategy docs for a CEA team retreat, which meant I spent a bunch of time reflecting on the Forum and why I think it's worth my time to work on it. Since it's Thanksgiving here in the US, I wanted to share some of the gratitude that I felt. 🙂</p><p> I strongly believe in the principles of EA. I’ve been doing effective giving for about a decade now. But before joining CEA in 2021, I had barely used the Forum, and I had no other people in my life who identified with EA in the slightest.</p><p> Most of the people that I know, have worked with, or have interacted with are not EA. When I bring up EA to people in my personal life, they are usually not that interested, or are quite cynical about the idea, or they just want to [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 28th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/f2c2to4KpW59GRoyj/i-m-grateful-for-you?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/f2c2to4KpW59GRoyj/i-m-grateful-for-you</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Dec 5, 20242 min

“Still donating half” by Julia_Wise🔸

<p> Crossposted from Otherwise<br> <br> My husband and I were donating about 50% of our income until two years ago, when he took a significant pay cut to work at a nonprofit. We planned to cut our donation percentage at that time, but then FTX collapsed. In the time since, we’ve decided to keep donating half, although the absolute amount is a lot smaller.<br> <br> In a sense this is nothing special, because it was remarkably good luck that we were ever able to afford to donate at this rate at all. But I’ll spell out our process over time, in case it helps others realize they can also afford to donate more than they thought.</p><p><strong> How we got here</strong></p><p><strong> Getting interested in donation</strong></p><p> In my teens and early twenties, I thought it was really unfair that my family had plenty of stuff while other people (especially in low-income countries) [...]</p></br></br></br></br></p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:41) How we got here</p><p>(00:45) Getting interested in donation</p><p>(01:09) Early years with Jeff</p><p>(02:18) When we earned less</p><p>(03:17) Earning to give</p><p>(04:15) Both at nonprofits</p><p>(04:55) EA funding declines</p><p>(05:33) Currently</p><p>(05:51) Avoiding spending creep</p><p>(07:19) Becoming older and more boring</p><p>(08:44) Habits and commitment mechanisms</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 4th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/still-donating-half?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/still-donating-half</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/zvlx0vfotrs7jtcssu0i" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/zvlx0vfotrs7jtcssu0i" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/vtl1hwh6cxsubxpbogg1" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/vtl1hwh6cxsubxpbogg1" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

Dec 5, 202410 min

“Factory farming as a pressing world problem” by 80000_Hours, Benjamin Hilton

This is a link post.<p> 80,000 Hours recently updated our problem profile on factory farming, and we now rank it among the most pressing problems in the world. We're sharing the summary of the article here, and there's much more detail at the link. The author, Benjamin Hilton, published the article with us before moving on to a new role outside of 80k back in July, so he may have limited ability to engage with comments. But we welcome feedback and may incorporate it into future updates.</p><p><strong> Summary</strong></p><p> History is littered with moral mistakes — things that once were common, but we now consider clearly morally wrong, for example: human sacrifice, gladiatorial combat, public executions, witch hunts, and slavery.</p><p> In my opinion, there's one clear candidate for the biggest moral mistake that humanity is currently making: factory farming.</p><p> The rough argument is:</p><ul> <li> There are trillions of farmed animals, making [...]</li></ul> <p><i>The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> October 29th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/goTRwb49riDvXGdy8/factory-farming-as-a-pressing-world-problem?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/goTRwb49riDvXGdy8/factory-farming-as-a-pressing-world-problem</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Dec 4, 20243 min

“Bequest: An EA-ish TV show that didn’t make it” by Keiran Harris 🔸

<p> Hey everyone, I’m the producer of The 80,000 Hours Podcast, and a few years ago I interviewed AJ Jacobs on his writing, and experiments, and EA. And I said that my guess was that the best approach to making a high-impact TV show was something like: You make Mad Men — same level of writing, directing, and acting — but instead of Madison Avenue in the 1950-70s, it's an Open Phil-like org.</p><p> So during COVID I wrote a pilot and series outline for a show called Bequest, and I ended up with something like that (in that the characters start an Open Phil-like org by the middle of the season, in a world where EA doesn't exist yet), combined with something like: Breaking Bad, but instead of raising money for his family, Walter White is earning to give. (That's not especially close to the story, and not claiming it's [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 21st, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/HjKpghhowBRLat4Hq/bequest-an-ea-ish-tv-show-that-didn-t-make-it?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/HjKpghhowBRLat4Hq/bequest-an-ea-ish-tv-show-that-didn-t-make-it</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Nov 29, 20243 min

“GWWC’s 2024 evaluations of evaluators” by Giving What We Can, Aidan Whitfield🔸, Sjir Hoeijmakers🔸

<p><strong> Introduction</strong></p><p> The Giving What We Can research team is excited to share the results of our 2024 round of evaluations of charity evaluators and grantmakers! </p><p> In this round, we completed three evaluations that will inform our donation recommendations for the 2024 giving season. As with our 2023 round, there are substantial limitations to these evaluations, but we nevertheless think that they are a significant improvement to a landscape in which there were no independent evaluations of evaluators’ work. </p><p> In this post, we share the key takeaways from each of our 2024 evaluations and link to the full reports. We also include an update explaining our decision to remove The Humane League from our list of recommended programs. Our website has now been updated to reflect the new fund and charity recommendations that came out of these evaluations. </p><p> Please also see our website for more context on [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:14) Introduction</p><p>(01:16) Key takeaways from each of our 2024 evaluations</p><p>(01:39) Global health and wellbeing</p><p>(01:44) Founders Pledge Global Health and Development Fund (FP GHDF)</p><p>(04:07) Animal welfare</p><p>(04:11) Animal Charity Evaluators' Movement Grants (ACE MG)</p><p>(06:08) Animal Charity Evaluators' Charity Evaluation Program</p><p>(08:33) Additional recommendation updates</p><p>(08:37) The Humane League's corporate campaigns program</p><p>(11:26) Conclusion</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 27th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/NhpAHDQq6iWhk7SEs/gwwc-s-2024-evaluations-of-evaluators-1?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/NhpAHDQq6iWhk7SEs/gwwc-s-2024-evaluations-of-evaluators-1</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Nov 28, 202412 min

“Research report: ‘Meaningfully reducing consumption of meat and animal products is an unsolved problem: A meta-analysis’” by Seth Ariel Green, Benny Smith, MMathur

<p> This post summarizes the main findings of a new meta-analysis from the Humane and Sustainable Food Lab. We analyze the most rigorous randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that aim to reduce consumption of meat and animal products (MAP). We conclude that no theoretical approach, delivery mechanism, or persuasive message should be considered a well-validated means of reducing MAP consumption. By contrast, reducing consumption of red and processed meat (RPM) appears to be an easier target. However, if RPM reductions lead to more consumption of other MAP like chicken and fish, this is likely bad for animal welfare and doesn’t ameliorate zoonotic outbreak or land and water pollution. We also find that many promising approaches await rigorous evaluation.</p><p> This post updates a post from a year ago. We first summarize the current paper, and then describe how the project and its findings have evolved.</p><p><strong> What is a rigorous RCT?</strong></p><p> There is [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:09) What is a rigorous RCT?</p><p>(02:15) The main theoretical approaches:</p><p>(04:45) Results: consistently small effects</p><p>(07:22) Where do we go from here?</p><p>(09:00) How has this project changed over time?</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 25th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/research-report-meaningfully-reducing-consumption-of-meat?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/research-report-meaningfully-reducing-consumption-of-meat</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/tkahxx7uymjc59vksxxp" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/tkahxx7uymjc59vksxxp" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/d1rx5st78hwy3jgpaex4" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/d1rx5st78hwy3jgpaex4" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

Nov 27, 202410 min

“How I Improved my Wellbeing” by Jessica McCurdy🔸

<p><strong> TL;DR</strong></p><p> In late summer 2023, I realized my mental health was the biggest barrier to achieving my goals. Over the next six months, I made it a priority, working with a therapist on CBT, adjusting medication timing, and developing healthier habits (like meditating and wellness routines). This resulted in a noticeable improvement in my clarity, productivity, and overall well-being, which positively impacted my work and leadership.</p><p> This post is part of an effort to post more :)</p><p><strong> Background and Context</strong></p><ul> <li> Late summer 2023: During a performance review, I realized my mental health was my biggest barrier to growth.<ul> <li> I had been diagnosed with depression years earlier and medication helped significantly, but I was still having breakthrough symptoms.</li><li> It was preventing me from achieving ambitious goals and handling important work decisions (like what my team should prioritize in the following quarter)</li><li> I made improving mental health a top priority in my personal development.</li></ul></li><li> Early 2024: By my next performance review, my mental health had significantly improved.<ul> <li> People around me, (such as my direct report and husband), noticed the difference in my mood and decision-making.</li><li> My affect in meetings is better, and I am overall less reactive and [...]</li></ul></li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:10) TL;DR</p><p>(00:45) Background and Context</p><p>(01:42) Nuance and Disclaimer</p><p>(02:25) Some ways progress has affected my work</p><p>(03:35) What Made a Difference (in my rough guess at level of influence)</p><p>(03:46) Therapy (with the right therapist)</p><p>(05:22) Changing the time of taking medication</p><p>(05:56) Meditation and Habit Tracking</p><p>(07:13) 80k podcasts on mental health</p><p>(07:32) Physical Routines</p><p>(07:36) Exercise</p><p>(08:08) Sleep:</p><p>(08:38) Final Thoughts</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 21st, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9j35Qj5hAMs9hgAnd/how-i-improved-my-wellbeing?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9j35Qj5hAMs9hgAnd/how-i-improved-my-wellbeing</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Nov 24, 20249 min

“Support Critical Research on Insect Welfare” by Bob Fischer

<p> </p><p> We’re far from certain that insects are sentient. But with over a trillion insects farmed annually, the welfare impacts are staggering if they can suffer. Unfortunately, fundamental questions about their well-being remain unexplored. This is where Arthropoda Foundation steps in, actively finding and funding the best opportunities to produce knowledge that can improve the lives of farmed insects.</p><p><strong> Current Research Priorities</strong></p><p><strong> Humane Slaughter Protocols</strong></p><p> Insects are regularly microwaved, baked, and boiled alive. If producers can stun these animals before slaughter, they can reduce significant distress. We’ve found a lab willing to develop and test electrical stunning procedures for black soldier fly larvae, with an eye to creating an inexpensive, readily implementable system that can be adopted by industry partners. ~$67,000.</p><p><strong> Stocking Densities and Substrate Research</strong></p><p> For many farmed insects, the quality of their lives comes down to stocking densities and the substrate in which they’re reared—which is what [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:38) Current Research Priorities</p><p>(00:42) Humane Slaughter Protocols</p><p>(01:11) Stocking Densities and Substrate Research</p><p>(01:48) Automated Welfare Assessment</p><p>(02:33) Funding Needs</p><p>(03:52) Want to learn more about insects?</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 13th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9fuJgLik6FNtgrDAD/support-critical-research-on-insect-welfare?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9fuJgLik6FNtgrDAD/support-critical-research-on-insect-welfare</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/dbccd5f6b4140a402ab73b7ecc306fed862d7e07a5ed32623967f40aa9966666/guf02gu64toiy0rh28pb" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/dbccd5f6b4140a402ab73b7ecc306fed862d7e07a5ed32623967f40aa9966666/guf02gu64toiy0rh28pb" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

Nov 22, 20244 min

[Linkpost] “Announcing Sjir Hoeijmakers as the new CEO of Giving What We Can” by Giving What We Can

This is a link post.<p> Dear Giving What We Can community,</p><p> We are writing to share exciting news: on Tuesday the 11th of November, the boards unanimously voted to appoint Sjir Hoeijmakers as the new global CEO of Giving What We Can.</p><p> Sjir was appointed after a rigorous recruitment process. The search committee received applicants from a wide pool, ultimately interviewing five final-stage candidates. Sjir excelled in each stage of the process, showing remarkable character, competence, and humility throughout. He has a strong understanding of the effective giving community and has already excelled in temporary roles as Acting and Interim CEO this year. The committee also received feedback from a large number of stakeholders, including the boards, the GWWC team, funders, and partners. Throughout this process, it became clear that Sjir will be a highly capable leader for the organization and help guide GWWC and the team to reach their [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 15th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KXycun5WuzKDv6vGL/announcing-sjir-hoeijmakers-as-the-new-ceo-of-giving-what-we?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KXycun5WuzKDv6vGL/announcing-sjir-hoeijmakers-as-the-new-ceo-of-giving-what-we</a> </p> <p><strong>Linkpost URL:</strong><br><a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/out?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.givingwhatwecan.org%2Fen-US%2Fblog%2Fannouncing-sjir-hoeijmakers-as-the-new-ceo-of-giving-what-we-can" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/en-US/blog/announcing-sjir-hoeijmakers-as-the-new-ceo-of-giving-what-we-can</a></p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Nov 16, 20241 min

“Why you should allocate more of your donation budget to effective giving organisations” by Luke Moore 🔸

<p> This post is written in my personal capacity, but is based on insights that I’ve gained through my work as Effective Giving Global Coordinator and Incubator at Giving What We Can since I took on the role in June 2023.</p><p><strong> Tl;dr</strong></p><p> In my view the average reader of the EA Forum should be giving more to meta-charities like effective giving (EG) organisations. EG organisations play a crucial role in directing funds to highly impactful charities, but many are facing significant funding constraints and/or a lack of diversified funding. Supporting these meta-charities can have a multiplier effect on your donations, potentially leading to extraordinary growth in effective giving. Consider allocating a portion of your donation budget to EG organisations this giving season.</p><p><strong> Introduction</strong></p><p> When I first heard about EA from a TED talk by Peter Singer in 2017, I was inspired by the idea that we could carefully use evidence [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:21) Tl;dr</p><p>(00:57) Introduction</p><p>(02:56) Why EG orgs are funding constrained</p><p>(05:28) Why should you donate to EG organisations?</p><p>(05:38) The multiplier effect</p><p>(07:01) Positive indirect impact</p><p>(07:43) Potential for significant growth</p><p>(08:35) Addressing future funding constraints</p><p>(09:08) The impact of additional funding</p><p>(10:28) Why you might not want to donate to EG organisations</p><p>(11:29) Where to give?</p><p>(11:48) Giving What We Can</p><p>(14:49) Effektiv Spenden</p><p>(16:42) Founders Pledge</p><p>(18:28) Ge Effektivt</p><p>(20:09) Giving Multiplier</p><p>(21:49) The Life You Can Save</p><p>(22:46) Other established EG organisations</p><p>(25:22) New EG organisations</p><p>(28:55) Call to Action</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 8th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/fMcpbGRWBtq3QBEyA/why-you-should-allocate-more-of-your-donation-budget-to-1?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/fMcpbGRWBtq3QBEyA/why-you-should-allocate-more-of-your-donation-budget-to-1</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Nov 15, 202429 min

“Bad omens for US farmed animal policy work?” by Tyler Johnston

<ul> <li> Disclaimer: This is a weak take — mostly based on anecdotes and vibes — but I thought it's worth sharing nonetheless, even if only as a means of soliciting better takes.</li><li> Disclaimer #2: I am very appreciative of everyone who is working tirelessly to pursue farmed animal protection via policy, and I want nothing more than to see it succeed! I just suspect it's going to be a longer and more difficult journey than I anticipated a few years ago, and that this is worth having an open and public conversation about.</li></ul><p> I fear the policy landscape for farmed animal protection work is looking more and more bleak.</p><p> The election results from last night have reinforced this fear, with animal-friendly measures failing across the ballot, a Republican trifecta set to rule for at least two years, RFK Jr. in line to act as appointed czar of HHS/FDA/USDA, etc. [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:06) Abolitionist ballot measures lost big in 2024.</p><p>(03:20) Incrementalist ballot measures — previously some of the movement's biggest wins — may simply be undone.</p><p>(04:54) We have opponents on the left and the right.</p><p>(06:34) Cultivated meat is under fire. The Trump admin wont make this any better.</p><p>(07:34) So what next?</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 6th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rQgeBvPyBgqrej6zc/bad-omens-for-us-farmed-animal-policy-work?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rQgeBvPyBgqrej6zc/bad-omens-for-us-farmed-animal-policy-work</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://39669.cdn.cke-cs.com/cgyAlfpLFBBiEjoXacnz/images/b4105d0571720ab46614b1d0a6d7962822e60ba75efe9d64.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://39669.cdn.cke-cs.com/cgyAlfpLFBBiEjoXacnz/images/b4105d0571720ab46614b1d0a6d7962822e60ba75efe9d64.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://39669.cdn.cke-cs.com/cgyAlfpLFBBiEjoXacnz/images/a3d52819769467876b0850a7d4cbb20f581a191b6e5cb02e.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://39669.cdn.cke-cs.com/cgyAlfpLFBBiEjoXacnz/images/a3d52819769467876b0850a7d4cbb20f581a191b6e5cb02e.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

Nov 15, 20249 min

“Testing Framings of EA and Longtermism” by David_Moss, Jamie E

<p> Rethink Priorities has been conducting a range of surveys and experiments aimed at understanding how people respond to different framings of Effective Altruism (EA), Longtermism, and related specific cause areas. </p><p> There has been much debate about whether people involved in EA and Longtermism should frame their efforts and outreach in terms of Effective altruism, Longtermism, Existential risk, Existential security, Global priorities research, or by only mentioning specific risks, such as AI safety and Pandemic prevention (examples can be found at the following links: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8). These discussions have taken place almost entirely in the absence of empirical data, even though they concern largely empirical questions.[1]</p><p> In this post we report the results of three pilot studies examining responses to different EA-related terms and descriptions. Some initial findings are:</p><ul> <li> Longtermism appears to be consistently less popular than other EA-related terms and concepts we examined, whether presented just as a [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:52) Study 1. Cause area framing</p><p>(05:13) Demographics</p><p>(07:15) Study 2. EA-related concepts with and without descriptions</p><p>(10:58) Demographics</p><p>(11:31) Study 3. Preferences for concrete causes or more general ideas/movements</p><p>(15:04) Demographics</p><p>(15:29) Manifold Market Predictions</p><p>(16:43) General discussion</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 7th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/testing-framings-of-ea-and-longtermism?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/testing-framings-of-ea-and-longtermism</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/qxpstozexy8duhlzz067" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/qxpstozexy8duhlzz067" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/fahkwfjathqo9qzmvowm" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/fahkwfjathqo9qzmvowm" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/wouwcqlpo9wshd1uswjj" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/wouwcqlpo9wshd1uswjj" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/n7onr6rhibrdejr4xpzr" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/n7onr6rhibrdejr4xpzr" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/bcskfnyqmmpst9ayuzqq" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/bcskfnyqmmpst9ayuzqq" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/uwzitfuubartrjla9uch" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/uwzitfuubartrjla9u

Nov 13, 202425 min

“EA Animal Welfare Fund: 2024 Review, Changes, and Plans” by KarolinaSarek🔸

<p><strong> Overview </strong></p><p> With Marginal Funding Week, we want to share key updates on the EA Animal Welfare Fund (AWF). We'll cover what we've accomplished so far in 2024, our impact this year, recent changes, and where we're headed next - including current constraints to our impact. We think this info will be helpful for anyone considering year-end donations.</p><p> Since its founding in 2017, AWF has distributed $23.3M across 347 grants. This year, we’ve distributed $3.7M across 51 grants. We made grants across multiple intervention categories and aimed to impact a variety of species. Our most frequently funded strategic area was welfare campaigns, policy advocacy and research. The most frequently targeted species were egg-laying hens followed by multiple farmed animals, wild animals, and shrimps. </p><p> While the impact of many of our 2024 grants is still unclear, our previous grants have made significant progress, reflecting our ability to identify opportunities with [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:08) Overview</p><p>(02:12) 1. Background</p><p>(03:43) 2. A year in review</p><p>(03:47) Key Numbers and Reach</p><p>(04:14) Grant Distribution</p><p>(05:27) By intervention type</p><p>(06:25) By species</p><p>(09:04) Highlighted Grants</p><p>(13:36) 3. Organizational updates</p><p>(18:47) 4. Future plans</p><p>(21:58) 5. Room for more funding</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 11th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/ea-animal-welfare-fund-2024-review-changes-and-plans?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/ea-animal-welfare-fund-2024-review-changes-and-plans</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/wvtb5cwvrqgncgnsogia" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/wvtb5cwvrqgncgnsogia" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/r0jtacowmxyn0fpmdoen" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/r0jtacowmxyn0fpmdoen" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/g2lntwdbqgfod3ijv7xq" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/g2lntwdbqgfod3ijv7xq" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

Nov 13, 202422 min

“Consider donating to whoever helped you” by OllieRodriguez

<p> I work for CEA, but this post isn’t intended as a fundraising post for CEA. The main beneficiaries I want to direct readers to are e.g. EA groups and EA communicators who might not have capacity for fundraising. I expect similar arguments apply to e.g. AIS, rationality and animal welfare community-building efforts but I know those spaces less well. There's a version of this post where I pull actual donation numbers and iron out the details of what I’m proposing but this is not that version.</p><p> It's difficult for funders to figure out which community-building efforts are successful. The reason your inbox is littered with surveys for every event, retreat and course you take part in is because we want to know if they’re working, and, ultimately, whether we should continue using EA resources to run them. Roughly, things work like this:</p><ul> <li> Community builders (CBs) help new community members build their networks, plan their careers and have more impact.</li><li> New community members let the CBs know how it helped them (thanks!)</li><li> New members usually donate elsewhere (I think?), to whatever they consider to be most cost-effective. If new members think EA community-building efforts are important, some of that [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(03:58) Some caveats</p><p>(04:40) What next?</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 8th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DyTph8eJXDvnqDhXc/consider-donating-to-whoever-helped-you?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/DyTph8eJXDvnqDhXc/consider-donating-to-whoever-helped-you</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Nov 12, 20245 min

“Fund Causes Open Phil Underfunds (Instead of Your Most Preferred Causes)” by Ariel Simnegar 🔸

<p><strong> Key Takeaways</strong></p><ul> <li> Optimizing your giving's effect on "EA's portfolio” implies you should fund the causes your value system thinks are most underfunded by EA's largest allocators (e.g. Open Phil and SFF).</li><li> These causes aren't necessarily your value system's most preferred causes. ("Preferred" = the ones you'd allocate the plurality of EA's resources to.)</li><li> For the typical EA, this would likely imply donating more to animal welfare, which is currently heavily underfunded under the typical EA's value system.</li><li> Opportunities Open Phil is exiting from, including invertebrates, digital minds, and wild animals, may be especially impactful.</li></ul><p><strong> Alice's Investing Dilemma: A Thought Experiment</strong></p><p> Alice is a conservative investor who prefers the risk-adjusted return of a portfolio of 70% stocks and 30% bonds. Along with 9 others, Alice has been allocated $1M to split between stocks and bonds however she sees fit. The combined $10M portfolio will be held for 10 years, and its [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:07) Key Takeaways</p><p>(00:53) Alices Investing Dilemma: A Thought Experiment</p><p>(01:55) In Charity, We Should Optimize The Portfolio of Everyones Actions</p><p>(03:09) Theoretical Implications</p><p>(03:31) The Portfolio of Everyones Actions vs EAs Portfolio</p><p>(04:10) Practical Recommendations</p><p>(05:26) EAs Current Resource Allocations</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 9th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2G8XfzKyd78JqZpjQ/fund-causes-open-phil-underfunds-instead-of-your-most?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2G8XfzKyd78JqZpjQ/fund-causes-open-phil-underfunds-instead-of-your-most</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Nov 11, 20247 min

“Expectations Scale with Scale – We Should Be More Scope-Sensitive in Our Funding” by Joey 🔸

<p> TLDR: The shortest version of this argument is very simple: your expectations for an organization should be higher where their budget and staff size are higher. In other words, we should have different expectations for a 20-person organization with a $1.5 million budget than a 2-person $150,000 budget organization. </p><p> While this seems pretty clear in the abstract, I find that people tend not to update nearly enough on this when they should. For example, I often see people comparing the total research output of two organizations, yet when I ask about it, they will not know the yearly budget or staff size of either. This is a big problem. As a movement, we want to support efficient and effective organizations, not just organizations that are the biggest, most salient or currently the highest funded. <br> </p><p><strong> Budgets and staff</strong></p><p> When considering how impressive an organization's output is, one [...]</p></br></p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:59) Budgets and staff</p><p>(02:47) Comparative size</p><p>(04:46) Why this matters</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 6th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/5wXGLbqQ3cchjogB5/expectations-scale-with-scale-we-should-be-more-scope?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/5wXGLbqQ3cchjogB5/expectations-scale-with-scale-we-should-be-more-scope</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Nov 8, 20245 min

“Quantifying the Global Burden of Extreme Pain from Cluster Headaches” by Alfredo Parra 🔸

<p data-internal-id="ftnt_ref1" id="ftnt_ref1">Warning: This post discusses statistics about extreme pain that may be distressing. While cluster headaches are a neglected, high-impact issue, understanding their true burden requires appreciating the intensity of suffering involved. The pain often reaches levels far beyond typical human experience, making subjective accounts a valuable datapoint until we have robust methods for quantifying pain intensity. For further context, links to firsthand accounts are provided in the footnote[1].</p><p> You no longer have a headache, or pain located at a particular site: you are literally plunged into the pain, like in a swimming pool. There is only one thing that remains of you: your agitated lucidity and the pain that invades everything, takes everything. There is nothing but pain. At that point, you would give everything, including your head, your own life, to make it stop.</p><p> - Yves, cluster headache patient from France (from Rossi et al., 2018)</p><p><strong> Key [...]</strong></p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:11) Key takeaways</p><p>(03:57) 1. Introduction</p><p>(04:00) 1.1. Clinical Features and Pain Comparisons</p><p>(07:22) 1.2. Treatment and Prevention</p><p>(10:02) 1.3. The Heavy-Tailed Valence Hypothesis and Existing Metrics</p><p>(14:49) 1.4. Goal</p><p>(16:14) 2. Methods</p><p>(17:43) 2.1 Prevalence</p><p>(19:17) 2.2 Frequency</p><p>(22:21) 2.3 Duration</p><p>(23:53) 2.4 Intensity</p><p>(25:58) 2.5 Burden Metrics</p><p>(29:01) 3. Results</p><p>(29:10) 3.1. Global Burden of Cluster Headache Pain</p><p>(32:05) 3.2. Reweighting of Extreme Pain</p><p>(39:41) 3.3. Ceiling Effects</p><p>(43:34) 4. Recommendations and Conclusions</p><p>(48:31) Acknowledgements</p> <p><i>The original text contained 26 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 1st, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/geh2g2nKb7Kkp26ze/quantifying-the-global-burden-of-extreme-pain-from-cluster?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/geh2g2nKb7Kkp26ze/quantifying-the-global-burden-of-extreme-pain-from-cluster</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/fbbb3f93a60c086d73f4f230e840598e83e39a5ba648b35bf3723361d83d1863/mfafptth4cq8fkkgnbes" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/fbbb3f93a60c086d73f4f230e840598e83e39a5ba648b35bf3723361d83d1863/mfafptth4cq8fkkgnbes" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/geh2g2nKb7Kkp26ze/rxltkxyuae5mdnf1k7iy" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/geh2g2nKb7Kkp26ze/rxltkxyuae5mdnf1k7iy" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/geh2g2nKb7Kkp26ze/ssbio0r52xlehrnanev8" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/geh2g2nKb7Kkp26ze/ssbio0r52xlehrnanev8" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/geh2g2nKb7Kkp26ze/e4q6gen2yzbmdnvux1ex" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/geh2g2nKb7Kkp26ze/e4q6gen2yzbmdnvux1ex" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/geh2g2nKb7Kkp26ze/orfpsr3s

Nov 4, 202449 min

“What I wish I had said about FTX” by AppliedDivinityStudies

<p><strong> The failure rate is not 0</strong></p><p> The base rate of failure for startups is not 0: Of the 6000 companies Y Combinator has funded, only ~16 are public. This is the wrong reference class for FTX at a $32b valuation, but even amongst extremely valuable companies, failures are not uncommon:</p><ul> <li> WeWork had a peak valuation of $47b</li><li> Theranos had a peak valuation of $10b</li><li> Lucid Motors had a peak valuation of $90b</li><li> Virgin Galactic had a peak valuation of $14b</li><li> Jull had a peak valuation of $38b</li><li> Bolt had a peak valuation of $11b</li><li> Magic Leap had a peak valuation of $13b</li></ul><p> That is only a handful of cases, but the reference class for startups worth over $10b is also pretty small. Maybe 45 private companies and another ~100 that have gone public. I'm playing pretty fast and loose here because the exact number isn't important, the odds [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:04) The failure rate is not 0</p><p>(03:54) Why does risk matter?</p><p>(06:45) Looking back from today</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> October 31st, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/f5YfiCrunAHFeDpSQ/what-i-wish-i-had-said-about-ftx?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/f5YfiCrunAHFeDpSQ/what-i-wish-i-had-said-about-ftx</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/f5YfiCrunAHFeDpSQ/ansxs6eqm9om1gxbthbc" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/f5YfiCrunAHFeDpSQ/ansxs6eqm9om1gxbthbc" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

Nov 3, 20249 min

“Visualizing EA ideas” by Alex Savard 🔸

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p><p> The written word dominates EA discourse but visuals have a unique power in communicating ideas that seems quite underleveraged in this community. As a designer and communicator in the space, I wanted to share some of the presentations and visualizations I’ve created over the years in hopes that they might be helpful to others. My goal isn't to present these visuals as "ready-to-use" resources—for various reasons they're not ready (see disclaimers)—but rather as references that hopefully inspire others to create and invest in visual forms of communication.</p><p><strong> Effective Giving 101 (2023)</strong></p><p> In 2023, when I was director of design at Giving What We Can, we were invited to give a talk at Microsoft about effective giving. We normally don’t dive so deep into the research that undergirds our recommendations but—given the highly-educated, highly-analytical audience at Microsoft—I thought it could be compelling to actually get into the weeds and [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:16) Summary</p><p>(00:50) Effective Giving 101 (2023)</p><p>(01:53) Full deck: Doing Good Better (Microsoft 2023)</p><p>(02:00) GiveWell's 2020 analysis of AMF</p><p>(02:58) Slides: GiveWell's 2020 analysis of AMF</p><p>(03:15) Global income illustration</p><p>(04:53) Slides: The Global Income Distribution</p><p>(05:09) Prioritization in GCR (2024)</p><p>(05:56) Parfit's 99% extinction hypothetical</p><p>(06:56) Slides: Parfit's 99% v 100%</p><p>(07:13) Mapping the GCR landscape</p><p>(08:54) Slides: Visualizing: The GCR Landscape</p><p>(09:13) Bonus: Effective Giving Strategy Frameworks</p><p>(10:20) Vision to Vectors</p><p>(10:23) Slides: Vision to Vectors</p><p>(10:39) The Pledger Journey</p><p>(10:42) Slides: The Pledger Journey</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> October 31st, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GuFxEPcn7rzz4pDhw/visualizing-ea-ideas?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GuFxEPcn7rzz4pDhw/visualizing-ea-ideas</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://39669.cdn.cke-cs.com/cgyAlfpLFBBiEjoXacnz/images/e7220efbf092744d6bc4b691ffd1b5f1f9129ab5b84ba03b.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://39669.cdn.cke-cs.com/cgyAlfpLFBBiEjoXacnz/images/e7220efbf092744d6bc4b691ffd1b5f1f9129ab5b84ba03b.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/8bf54c9cf95c38920b9808306e82a6a07469aea21e9b4e458a48108485cdd325/ritm345fhlx8buggucf3" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/8bf54c9cf95c38920b9808306e82a6a07469aea21e9b4e458a48108485cdd325/ritm345fhlx8buggucf3" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/05ad9a38a85681f8cc83325280af41805cb981abb309dcb9f4565581e9c84798/sc3twyiq0lujatnchad3" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/05ad9a38a85681f8cc83325280af41805cb981abb309dcb9f4565581e9c84798/sc3twyiq0lujatnchad3" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/d4f7272a9cf8e4286cbc00b39b1e41b504a80206a57c1368764dc7827e960df2/c2owdue2libzx4lveejx" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/d4f7272a9cf8e4286cbc00b39b1e41b504a80206a57c1368764dc7827e960df2/c2owdue2libzx4lveejx" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://39669.cdn.cke-cs.com/cgyAlfpLFBBiEjoXacnz/images/416f8cb

Nov 2, 202411 min

“Reflections and lessons from Effective Ventures” by Zachary Robinson🔸

<p> I became the CEO of EV US in January 2023. I worked alongside the EV US and UK teams, former EV UK CEO Howie Lempel, and current EV UK CEO Rob Gledhill to recover and reform Effective Ventures and improve the robustness of the EA ecosystem in the aftermath of FTX's collapse. Amidst these efforts, I and others learned or fortified lessons that I think aren’t unique to EV and could be valuable to the wider EA community. Being able to look at hard problems, discuss them with candor, and update based on what we learn are values that I admire, and I see them as a positive and necessary mechanism for doing good. I want to act on those values here.</p><p><strong> Goals of this post</strong></p><ul> <li> Provide an update to create communal knowledge: Clarify what reforms have taken place at EV in recent years and the reasoning behind [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:50) Goals of this post</p><p>(01:48) Some high-level notes on FTX-related reflection</p><p>(06:04) Scope of this post</p><p>(11:53) Summary of reforms and actions taken at EV</p><p>(14:54) Background on EV</p><p>(18:42) Reforms and other actions taken</p><p>(18:46) Hiring CEOs (and other non-board personnel) for EV US and EV UK</p><p>(24:00) Changes to EV US and EV UK board</p><p>(30:04) FTX-related investigations</p><p>(38:43) Instituting financial reforms</p><p>(41:23) Improving donor due diligence</p><p>(45:36) Adopting a restrictive communications policy</p><p>(57:19) Streamlining whistleblowing policies</p><p>(59:44) Updating anti-harassment and misconduct policies</p><p>(01:03:04) Improving the COI policy</p><p>(01:06:22) Clarifying the level of separation between the EV US and EV UK entities</p><p>(01:10:44) Initiating EV shut down</p><p>(01:15:11) Some of the lessons EA can learn from the EV experience</p><p>(01:15:31) Brief summary of these lessons</p><p>(01:16:10) The lessons</p><p>(01:16:14) Organizational governance and compliance can have serious implications</p><p>(01:17:08) It's important to carefully think through and explicitly communicate your organizational risk strategy, and pay attention to it as your organization develops. This is particularly true for a fiscal sponsor</p><p>(01:19:10) EA organizations often underrate experience relative to “intelligence” and “value alignment”</p><p>(01:22:09) Vetting external counsel is important</p><p>(01:23:02) Crisis prep is underrated relative to crisis response</p><p>(01:24:43) Invest in capacity building early</p><p>(01:26:34) Communicate early (and have the resources to do so)</p><p>(01:27:31) Acknowledgments</p><p>(01:29:12) Appendix: other content about and reflections on FTX on the EA Forum</p><p>(01:29:47) Information</p><p>(01:31:24) Reflections</p><p>(01:33:18) Investigation-related</p><p>(01:33:55) Statements</p> <p><i>The original text contained 12 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> October 28th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/AuSah98NtR5qv8zQA/reflections-and-lessons-from-effective-ventures-1?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/AuSah98NtR5qv8zQA/reflections-and-lessons-from-effective-ventures-1</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/AuSah98NtR5qv8zQA/ffamqpzj3ciprxrrbpui" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/AuSah98NtR5qv8zQA/ffamqpzj3ciprxrrbpui" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast ap

Oct 29, 20241h 37m

“Tomorrow we fight for the future of one billion chickens.” by Molly Archer-Zeff

<p><strong> We have a once-in-a-generation opportunity to improve the lives of chickens raised for food in the UK. </strong></p><p> <br> Tomorrow, The Humane League UK (THL UK) will be heading to the High Court to challenge the legality of fast-growing breeds of chicken- Frankenchickens. At stake are the lives of one billion animals. </p><p> Our small team will be demonstrating outside the courts tomorrow morning. Inside, our legal team, Advocates for Animals, will be arguing that farming Frankenchickens breaches the Welfare of Farmed Animals (England) Regulations 2007.</p><p> We are up against huge opposition with The Government, the British Poultry Council, and the National Farmers’ Union representing the interests of the £3 billion poultry industry. This really is a David versus Goliath case. </p><p> If you are interested in the legal intricacies of the hearing itself, you can watch a livestream of proceedings here on both Wednesday and Thursday. You can also [...]</p></br></p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:05) We have a once-in-a-generation opportunity to improve the lives of chickens raised for food in the UK.</p><p>(01:17) Frankenchickens</p><p>(01:59) THL UKs three-year legal battle</p><p>(03:09) The fight continues</p><p>(04:14) Our chances of success</p><p>(05:44) Support The Humane League UK</p><p>(06:01) The Humane League UK</p><p>(06:56) Our vision is that by 2050, weve stopped the worst and most widespread abuse of animals raised for food, and they’re treated with far greater compassion.</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> October 22nd, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qCMC4cnWCi7yjcnCZ/tomorrow-we-fight-for-the-future-of-one-billion-chickens?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qCMC4cnWCi7yjcnCZ/tomorrow-we-fight-for-the-future-of-one-billion-chickens</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/oGpeGHh35bHsT8XgA/q5bo3mkcub7xnyftsyef" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/oGpeGHh35bHsT8XgA/q5bo3mkcub7xnyftsyef" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/oGpeGHh35bHsT8XgA/lusrwijf87ju4nm4hcy7" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/oGpeGHh35bHsT8XgA/lusrwijf87ju4nm4hcy7" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/oGpeGHh35bHsT8XgA/i7latiivbdzphaseral2" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/oGpeGHh35bHsT8XgA/i7latiivbdzphaseral2" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

Oct 23, 20247 min

“Explaining the discrepancies in cost effectiveness ratings: A replication and breakdown of RP’s animal welfare cost effectiveness calculations” by titotal

<p> I'd like to thank Derek Shiller from Rethink priorities for extensive discussions and looking over this post.</p><p> Introduction</p><p> I've been following the "animal welfare" debate this week on the EA forum, and noticed that a key crux for a lot of people was that calculations showed that animal welfare campaigns (specifically the "caged chicken corporate campaign") was much more cost effective than a human global health development project like the against malaria foundation. </p><p> But while most estimates agreed that AW was more effective than GHD, I noticed there was a wide discrepancy in how much more effective it was. Vasco Grilo claimed it was 1500 times better. This report by Laura Duffy of rethink priorities (when you convert from order of magnitude to real numbers in table 1) claimed it was about 60 times better. Whereas if you go the Cross cause comparison website, also by RP, and [...]</p> <p><i>The original text contained 7 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> October 14th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qARKFgYhCqmKB2YpF/explaining-the-discrepancies-in-cost-effectiveness-ratings-a?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qARKFgYhCqmKB2YpF/explaining-the-discrepancies-in-cost-effectiveness-ratings-a</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

Oct 18, 202422 min

“RETROSPECTIVE ON EA NIGERIA SUMMIT: OUR SUCCESSES AND LEARNINGS” by EA Nigeria, Daniel Elabi, Adebayo Mubarak, Zakariyau Yusuf

<p> EA Nigeria Summit was the first EA-related conference in Nigeria, and it took place from September 6th to 7th, 2024. The event saw a higher level of interest than we (the organisers) expected. We received applications from individuals across Nigeria and the international community, especially Africans. We accepted 170 applicants for the summit, and a total of 136 participants attended the event. </p><p> The summit provided an opportunity for the attendees to connect, network, and share ideas and practices, paving the way for potential collaboration and impactful actions at the cost of USD 179.6 per attendee. </p><p> </p><p><strong> Some Key Specifics </strong></p><p> Location - Chida Event Centre, Utako, Abuja, Nigeria. </p><p> Applications received - 472, (18 applications were duplicates)</p><p> Admitted applicants - 170</p><p> Confirmed attendees - 137</p><p> Number of speakers - 14</p><p> Total Expenses - USD 24,611</p><p> Cost per attendee - 179.6 USD</p><p><strong> The first EA-aligned conference in Nigeria! </strong></p><p> We [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:03) Some Key Specifics</p><p>(01:39) The first EA-aligned conference in Nigeria!</p><p>(02:37) Summit Goal and Strategy</p><p>(04:19) Attendees and Experience</p><p>(07:18) Budgeting and Finances</p><p>(10:14) Content</p><p>(11:40) Production and Logistics</p><p>(12:02) Dealing with Vendors:</p><p>(12:28) Securing the Summit Venue:</p><p>(13:26) Video Production and Photography</p><p>(14:00) Printing</p><p>(14:31) Logistics (Summit Day 1 and 2)</p><p>(15:19) Communication and Event Tech</p><p>(16:26) Some Additional Brief</p><p>(17:12) Core Team and Volunteers</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> October 11th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/xyGYuoP8EfXmirdZg/retrospective-on-ea-nigeria-summit-our-successes-and?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/xyGYuoP8EfXmirdZg/retrospective-on-ea-nigeria-summit-our-successes-and</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/xyGYuoP8EfXmirdZg/ue5a1ufjnezixnwecq1b" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/xyGYuoP8EfXmirdZg/heulblsne40awdfrtb01" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/xyGYuoP8EfXmirdZg/tnv3mnf7ccdhl6fpffbz" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/xyGYuoP8EfXmirdZg/tnv3mnf7ccdhl6fpffbz" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/xyGYuoP8EfXmirdZg/cvrewfjboqbnydbagefr" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/xyGYuoP8EfXmirdZg/cvrewfjboqbnydbagefr" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/xyGYuoP8EfXmirdZg/zb7jslzqephzdh7uxq5e" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/xyGYuoP8EfXmirdZg/zb7jslzqephzdh7uxq5e" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/xyGYuoP8EfXmirdZg/u7eihqla5zlefe4wuylm" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/u

Oct 17, 202418 min

“Multiplier Arguments are often flawed” by AGB 🔸

Oct 14, 20249 min

“Criticism is sanctified in EA, but, like any intervention, criticism needs to pay rent” by Holly Elmore ⏸️ 🔸

Oct 11, 20245 min

“The default trajectory for animal welfare means vastly more suffering” by JamesÖz

Oct 11, 202410 min