EA Forum Podcast (Curated & popular)

<p> I feel silly writing this up, but it's draft amnesty week. Caveat: I’ve been a visitor to several EA offices but haven’t worked regularly in any of them, and maybe I'm overly nostalgic about reheated felafel.</p><p> Some EA offices have catered lunch or lunch cooked on the premises every day. This is nice, but not every workplace can afford it. </p><p> 5+ years ago when everything in EA was lower-budget, the main way EA offices did lunch was to provide sandwich / wrap ingredients. Ops staff would order the groceries, and would put out the spread about 15 minutes before lunchtime and microwave some of the foods. There was a designated time to show up, often 1 pm. </p><p> This method works pretty well for a crowd because you don’t all have to wait for the microwave. It was pretty flexible for different tastes and diets. People who wanted [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 28th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/EyXWx8stxSzgAMzJX/the-lost-art-of-the-cheap-office-lunch?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/EyXWx8stxSzgAMzJX/the-lost-art-of-the-cheap-office-lunch</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> If you don’t typically engage with politics/government, this is the time to do so. If you are American and/or based in the U.S., reaching out to lawmakers, supporting organizations that are mobilizing on this issue, and helping amplify the urgency of this crisis can make a difference.</p><p> Why this matters:</p><ol> <li> Millions of lives are at stake</li><li> Decades of progress, and prior investment, in global health and wellbeing are at risk</li><li> Government funding multiplies the impact of philanthropy</li></ol><p><strong> Where things stand today (February 27, 2025)</strong></p><p> The Trump Administration's foreign aid freeze has taken a catastrophic turn: rather than complying with a court order to restart paused funding, they have chosen to terminate more than 90% of all USAID grants and contracts. This stunningly reckless decision comes just 30 days into a supposed 90-day review of foreign aid. This will cause a devastating loss of life.</p><p> Even beyond the immediate [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:45) Where things stand today (February 27, 2025)</p><p>(03:22) Some of the few lifesaving programs that were terminated are:</p><p>(04:42) Why this matters for the future of global health & wellbeing</p><p>(06:56) Your action and engagement is needed NOW</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 27th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TbZAkjJQn8kPDodXG/the-catastrophic-situation-with-usaid-just-got-worse-why-the?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TbZAkjJQn8kPDodXG/the-catastrophic-situation-with-usaid-just-got-worse-why-the</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> For those in the EA community who may not typically engage with politics/government, this is the time to do so. If you are American and/or based in the U.S., reaching out to lawmakers, supporting organizations that are mobilizing on this issue, and helping amplify the urgency of this crisis can make a difference.</p><p> Why this matters:</p><ol> <li> Millions of lives are at stake</li><li> Decades of progress, and prior investment, in global health and wellbeing are at risk</li><li> Government funding multiplies the impact of philanthropy</li></ol><p><strong> Where things stand today (February 27, 2025)</strong></p><p> The Trump Administration's foreign aid freeze has taken a catastrophic turn: rather than complying with a court order to restart paused funding, they have chosen to terminate more than 90% of all USAID grants and contracts. This stunningly reckless decision comes just 30 days into a supposed 90-day review of foreign aid. This will cause a devastating loss [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:43) Where things stand today (February 27, 2025)</p><p>(03:22) Some of the few lifesaving programs that were terminated are:</p><p>(04:47) Why this matters for the future of global health and wellbeing</p><p>(07:03) Your action and engagement is needed NOW</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 27th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TbZAkjJQn8kPDodXG/the-catastrophic-situation-with-u-s-foreign-aid-just-got?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TbZAkjJQn8kPDodXG/the-catastrophic-situation-with-u-s-foreign-aid-just-got</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> The belief that it's preferable for America to develop AGI before China does seems widespread among American effective altruists. Is this belief supported by evidence, or it it just patriotism in disguise?</p><p> How would you try to convince an open-minded Chinese citizen that it really would be better for America to develop AGI first? Such a person might point out:</p><ul> <li> Over the past 30 years, the Chinese government has done more for the flourishing of Chinese citizens than the American government has done for the flourishing of American citizens. My village growing up lacked electricity, and now I'm a software engineer! Chinese institutions are more trustworthy for promoting the future flourishing of humanity.</li><li> Commerce in China ditches some of the older ideas of Marxism because it's the means to an end: the China Dream of wealthy communism. As AGI makes China and the world extraordinarily wealthy, we are [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 22nd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MxPhK4mLRkaFekAmp/how-confident-are-you-that-it-s-preferable-for-america-to?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MxPhK4mLRkaFekAmp/how-confident-are-you-that-it-s-preferable-for-america-to</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Note: This started as a quick take, but it got too long so I made it a full post. It's still kind of a rant; a stronger post would include sources and would have gotten feedback from people more knowledgeable than I. But in the spirit of Draft Amnesty Week, I'm writing this in one sitting and smashing that Submit button.</p><p> Many people continue to refer to companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google DeepMind as "frontier AI labs". I think we should drop "labs" entirely when discussing these companies, calling them "AI companies"[1] instead. While these companies may have once been primarily research laboratories, they are no longer so. Continuing to call them labs makes them sound like harmless groups focused on pushing the frontier of human knowledge, when in reality they are profit-seeking corporations focused on building products and capturing value in the marketplace.</p><p> Laboratories do not directly [...]</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 24th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Ap6E2aEFGiHWf5v5x/stop-calling-them-labs?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Ap6E2aEFGiHWf5v5x/stop-calling-them-labs</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> My name is Keyvan, and I lead Anima International's work in France. Our organization went through a major transformation in 2024. I want to share that journey with you.</p><p> Anima International in France used to be known as Assiettes Végétales (‘Plant-Based Plates’). We focused entirely on introducing and promoting vegetarian and plant-based meals in collective catering. Today, as Anima, our mission is to put an end to the use of cages for laying hens.</p><p> These changes come after a thorough evaluation of our previous campaign, assessing 94 potential new interventions, making several difficult choices, and navigating emotional struggles. We hope that by sharing our experience, we can help others who find themselves in similar situations. So let me walk you through how the past twelve months have unfolded for us. </p><p> The French team</p><p><strong> Act One: What we did as Assiettes Végétales</strong></p><p> Since 2018, we worked with the local [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:13) Act One: What we did as Assiettes Végétales</p><p>(03:55) Act Two: The moment we realized we needed to measure our impact more precisely</p><p>(05:12) Act Three: The evaluation</p><p>(07:23) Act Four: Ending our previous campaign</p><p>(09:09) Act Five: Searching for a new intervention</p><p>(11:30) Act Six: The struggle to choose</p><p>(14:11) Act Seven: The strengths of the cage-free campaign</p><p>(16:34) Conclusion - Where we stand today</p> <p><i>The original text contained 10 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 22nd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/ditching-what-we-are-good-at-a-change-of-course-for-anima?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/ditching-what-we-are-good-at-a-change-of-course-for-anima</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/k0lbgkrtc1jmq0stjna1" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/k0lbgkrtc1jmq0stjna1" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/rnhohey2srqbneydvrs5" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/rnhohey2srqbneydvrs5" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/qnjp5rk8fecfldtu3gh2" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/qnjp5rk8fecfldtu3gh2" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/bu3uc0kxtztbx2mzzqde" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/bu3uc0kxtztbx2mzzqde" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/unc0fkkr3novrvellkjk" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/unc0fkkr3novrvellkjk" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

This is a link post.<p> I wrote this to try to explain the key thing going on with AI right now to a broader audience. Feedback welcome.</p><p> Most people think of AI as a pattern-matching chatbot – good at writing emails, terrible at real thinking.</p><p> They've missed something huge.</p><p> In 2024, while many declared AI was reaching a plateau, it was actually entering a new paradigm: learning to reason using reinforcement learning.</p><p> This approach isn’t limited by data, so could deliver beyond-human capabilities in coding and scientific reasoning within two years.</p><p> Here's a simple introduction to how it works, and why it's the most important development that most people have missed.</p><p><strong> The new paradigm: reinforcement learning</strong></p><p> People sometimes say “chatGPT is just next token prediction on the internet”. But that's never been quite true.</p><p> Raw next token prediction produces outputs that are regularly crazy.</p><p> GPT only became useful with the [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:51) The new paradigm: reinforcement learning</p><p>(02:32) Reasoning models breakthroughs</p><p>(04:09) A new rate of progress?</p><p>(07:53) Why this is just the beginning</p><p>(11:02) Two more accelerants</p><p>(16:12) The key thing to watch: AI doing AI research</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 13th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZuWcG3W3rEBxLceWj/teaching-ai-to-reason-this-year-s-most-important-story?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZuWcG3W3rEBxLceWj/teaching-ai-to-reason-this-year-s-most-important-story</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a2bca85-3313-4534-b077-07b5e07ed2a4_876x230.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a2bca85-3313-4534-b077-07b5e07ed2a4_876x230.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2a08efe-6a71-459c-9f69-07757299c8e5_1600x900.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2a08efe-6a71-459c-9f69-07757299c8e5_1600x900.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbbffc742-b705-4ff8-9308-fc6ec62d8422_1456x724.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbbffc742-b705-4ff8-9308-fc6ec62d8422_1456x724.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F36f2ed68-3638-4695-aaa0-d24d27672b0c_1102x861.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F36f2ed68-3638-4695-aaa0-d24d27672b0c_1102x861.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_lim

<p> When we built a calculator to help meat-eaters offset the animal welfare impact of their diet through donations (like carbon offsets), we didn't expect it to become one of our most effective tools for engaging new donors.</p><p> </p><p> In this post we explain how it works, why it seems particularly promising for increasing support for farmed animal charities, and what you can do to support this work if you think it's worthwhile. In the comments I’ll also share our answers to some frequently asked questions and concerns some people have when thinking about the idea of an ‘animal welfare offset’.</p><p><strong> Background</strong></p><p> FarmKind is a donation platform whose mission is to support the animal movement by raising funds from the general public for some of the most effective charities working to fix factory farming.</p><p> When we built our platform, we directionally estimated how much a donation to each of our [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:50) Background</p><p>(01:41) What it is and what it isn't</p><p>(02:38) How it works</p><p>(04:24) Why this is a promising way to encourage effective giving for animals</p><p>(06:46) Case study: Bentham's Bulldog</p><p>(07:30) How is this actionable for you?</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 11th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/nGQRBWyCAbcEYSyLL/using-a-diet-offset-calculator-to-encourage-effective-giving?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/nGQRBWyCAbcEYSyLL/using-a-diet-offset-calculator-to-encourage-effective-giving</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXeG479F1n3mp8oVvK1KCmfsKIrCZxV0UoagrlK6_c7-eDtnhSa7TnfLB9yyAwhNBbRzmlRlHrhm-MfccnC2wgUdtInkalG6owa-2lHmxqoP0GCvHdFHCHo-EI9XrnsgJIIm73LDJA?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXeG479F1n3mp8oVvK1KCmfsKIrCZxV0UoagrlK6_c7-eDtnhSa7TnfLB9yyAwhNBbRzmlRlHrhm-MfccnC2wgUdtInkalG6owa-2lHmxqoP0GCvHdFHCHo-EI9XrnsgJIIm73LDJA?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXfXCfwDtTfyFW4x2yuFdIn-gwKT-Ei7Fn5DjgnTq-Q6i0LJx5sFbkD3ccr0cJfqfBijw81bBSR91ZJRk27EoGV75rjsN6YOOCxDFjtM1IaOj5fLjtNk1gaFDxJXVRJzHXgTscFDkQ?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXfXCfwDtTfyFW4x2yuFdIn-gwKT-Ei7Fn5DjgnTq-Q6i0LJx5sFbkD3ccr0cJfqfBijw81bBSR91ZJRk27EoGV75rjsN6YOOCxDFjtM1IaOj5fLjtNk1gaFDxJXVRJzHXgTscFDkQ?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcA6iqPbVtFaoC-_LqkgnV0mLTe3WBg3W3UPsjJV22SX_gmAQiKHp9b9nanqu3DqumXYV59wc3jgR2w_mRJkqJ05GABZH4-qTqxsEGvE5PAC48o3ZfJiS9j3L0FQmXEzYA3OrVoMg?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcA6iqPbVtFaoC-_LqkgnV0mLTe3WBg3W3UPsjJV22SX_gmAQiKHp9b9nanqu3DqumXYV59wc3jgR2w_mRJkqJ05GABZH4-qTqxsEGvE5PAC48o3ZfJiS9j3L0FQmXEzYA3OrVoMg?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXckJmb3TbzT1tw3HcyR5cvM7E47f39_7DJWM8GAYLhKiH_64gc9x765ZN8UlhOIoubCf3ApQ6XuYZIccued7UW1yhMrZFIGHldIaEt_GQnSkR1OBTC4aGsICD1Vm-9RdS8urHwAsA?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXckJmb3TbzT1tw3HcyR5cvM7E47f39_7DJWM8GAYLhKiH_64gc9x765ZN8UlhOIoubCf3ApQ6XuYZIccued7UW1yhMrZFIGHldIaEt_GQnSkR1OBTC4aGsICD1Vm-9RdS8urHwAsA?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode des

This is a link post.<p> This is the full text of a post from "The Obsolete Newsletter," a Substack that I write about the intersection of capitalism, geopolitics, and artificial intelligence. I’m a freelance journalist and the author of a forthcoming book called Obsolete: Power, Profit, and the Race to build Machine Superintelligence. Consider subscribing to stay up to date with my work.</p><p> Wow. The Wall Street Journal just reported that, "a consortium of investors led by Elon Musk is offering $97.4 billion to buy the nonprofit that controls OpenAI."</p><p> Technically, they can't actually do that, so I'm going to assume that Musk is trying to buy all of the nonprofit's assets, which include governing control over OpenAI's for-profit, as well as all the profits above the company's profit caps.</p><p> OpenAI CEO Sam Altman already tweeted, "no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want." [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(02:44) The control premium</p><p>(04:19) Conversion significance</p><p>(05:45) Musks suit</p><p>(09:26) The stakes</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 11th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7iopGPmtEmubSFSP3/why-did-elon-musk-just-offer-to-buy-control-of-openai-for?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7iopGPmtEmubSFSP3/why-did-elon-musk-just-offer-to-buy-control-of-openai-for</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> The Center on Long-Term Risk (CLR) does research and community building aimed at reducing s-risk. </p><p> Jesse Clifton is stepping down as CLR's Executive Director. He’ll be succeeded by Tristan Cook as Managing Director and Mia Taylor as Interim Research Director. [1]</p><p><strong> Statement from Jesse</strong></p><p> Over the past year or so, I’ve become increasingly convinced by arguments that we are clueless about the sign (in terms of expected total suffering reduced) of interventions aimed at reducing s-risk. (And I think it's plausible that we should consider ourselves clueless about interventions aimed at improved expected total welfare, generally.) The other researchers on CLR's Conceptual Research team[2] have come to a similar view,[3] but not the other staff or the board, who are still positive on the pre-cluelessness priorities. </p><p> Given this, I don’t think it makes sense for me to lead CLR. So, for now, I’ll be transitioning to working [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:25) Statement from Jesse</p><p>(03:06) Statement from Mia and Tristan</p> <p><i>The original text contained 6 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 31st, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/YE3tdpE6JdiWRqqKx/leadership-change-at-the-center-on-long-term-risk?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/YE3tdpE6JdiWRqqKx/leadership-change-at-the-center-on-long-term-risk</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

This is a link post.<p> Note: This post was crossposted from the United States of Exception Substack by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.</p>A good and wholesome K-strategist.<p> I am a climate change catastrophist, but I’m not like all the others. I don’t think climate change is going to wipe out all life on Earth (as 35% of Americans say they believe) or end the human race (as 31% believe). Nor do I think it's going to end human life on Earth but that human beings will continue to exist somewhere else in the universe (which at least 4% of Americans would logically have to believe). Nevertheless, I think global warming is among the worst things in the world — if not #1 — and addressing it should be among our top priorities.</p><p> Friend of the blog [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 28th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/climate-change-is-worse-than-factory-farming?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/climate-change-is-worse-than-factory-farming</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/dxjvjhwawvcahpeqz4s8" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/dxjvjhwawvcahpeqz4s8" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/fv4amzwahnisgctpz5tv" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/fv4amzwahnisgctpz5tv" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p><strong> Introduction</strong></p><p> Several developments over the past few months should cause you to re-evaluate what you are doing. These include:</p><ol> <li> Updates toward short timelines</li><li> The Trump presidency</li><li> The o1 (inference-time compute scaling) paradigm</li><li> Deepseek</li><li> Stargate/AI datacenter spending</li><li> Increased internal deployment</li><li> Absence of AI x-risk/safety considerations in mainstream AI discourse</li></ol><p> Taken together, these are enough to render many existing AI governance strategies obsolete (and probably some technical safety strategies too). There's a good chance we're entering crunch time and that should absolutely affect your theory of change and what you plan to work on.</p><p> In this piece I try to give a quick summary of these developments and think through the broader implications these have for AI safety. At the end of the piece I give some quick initial thoughts on how these developments affect what safety-concerned folks should be prioritizing. These are early days and I expect many of [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:06) Introduction</p><p>(01:21) Implications of recent developments</p><p>(01:25) Updates toward short timelines</p><p>(04:26) The Trump Presidency</p><p>(07:34) The o1 paradigm</p><p>(09:23) Deepseek</p><p>(12:08) Stargate/AI data center spending</p><p>(13:11) Increased internal deployment</p><p>(15:43) Absence of AI x-risk/safety considerations in mainstream AI discourse</p><p>(17:13) Implications for strategic priorities</p><p>(17:18) Broader implications for US-China competition</p><p>(19:33) What seems less likely to work?</p><p>(20:56) What should people concerned about AI safety do now?</p><p>(24:01) Acknowledgements</p> <p><i>The original text contained 13 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 28th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JN3kHaiosmdA7kgNY/the-game-board-has-been-flipped-now-is-a-good-time-to?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JN3kHaiosmdA7kgNY/the-game-board-has-been-flipped-now-is-a-good-time-to</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Edit 1/29: Funding is back, baby! </p><p> Crossposted from my blog. </p><p> (This could end up being the most important thing I’ve ever written. Please like and restack it—if you have a big blog, please write about it).</p><p> A mother holds her sick baby to her chest. She knows he doesn’t have long to live. She hears him coughing—those body-wracking coughs—that expel mucus and phlegm, leaving him desperately gasping for air. He is just a few months old. And yet that's how old he will be when he dies.</p><p> The aforementioned scene is likely to become increasingly common in the coming years. Fortunately, there is still hope.</p><p> Trump recently signed an executive order shutting off almost all foreign aid. Most terrifyingly, this included shutting off the PEPFAR program—the single most successful foreign aid program in my lifetime. PEPFAR provides treatment and prevention of HIV and AIDS—it has saved about [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 27th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/BRqBvkjskZ6c2G6rn/the-upcoming-pepfar-cut-will-kill-millions-many-of-them?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/BRqBvkjskZ6c2G6rn/the-upcoming-pepfar-cut-will-kill-millions-many-of-them</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/BRqBvkjskZ6c2G6rn/i5ynmsxqtlnh6tb7maqu" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/BRqBvkjskZ6c2G6rn/hfrck35rcybzegoty5jc" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> In 2023[1] GiveWell raised $355 million - $100 million from Open Philanthropy, and $255 million from other donors.</p><p> In their post on 10th April 2023, GiveWell forecast the amount they expected to raise in 2023, albeit with wide confidence intervals, and stated that their 10th percentile estimate for total funds raised was $416 million, and 10th percentile estimate for funds raised outside of Open Philanthropy was $260 million.</p> 10th percentile estimateMedian estimateAmount raisedTotal$416 million$581 million$355 millionExcluding Open Philanthropy$260 million$330 million$255 million<p> Regarding Open Philanthropy, the April 2023 post states that they "tentatively plans to give $250 million in 2023", however Open Philanthropy gave a grant of $300 million to cover 2023-2025, to be split however GiveWell saw fit, and it used $100 million of that grant in 2023.</p><p> However for other donors I'm not sure what caused the missed estimate</p><p> Credit to 'Arnold' on GiveWell's December 2024 Open Thread for [...]</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 19th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/RdbDH4T8bxWwZpc9h/givewell-raised-less-than-its-10th-percentile-forecast-in?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/RdbDH4T8bxWwZpc9h/givewell-raised-less-than-its-10th-percentile-forecast-in</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Note: This post was crossposted from the Open Philanthropy Farm Animal Welfare Research Newsletter by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.</p><p> They’re imperfect agents of change</p><p> The world's three largest animal welfare groups are under attack. Their antagonists are not factory farmers, but other animal groups. And the ASPCA, HSUS, and RSPCA stand accused not of hurting farmers, but of hurting animals, through their work with GAP and RSPCA Assured, which certify animal products as being less cruelly produced.</p><p> The attacks began last summer when the UK animal rights group Animal Rising released a report and footage showing abuses on RSPCA Assured farms. They’ve since forced the RSPCA to cancel its 200th year celebrations, plastered portraits of RSPCA patron King Charles, and persuaded the ceremonial president and two vice-presidents of the RSPCA to resign in protest. [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 24th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/in-defense-of-the-certifiers?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/in-defense-of-the-certifiers</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/v4umzcooo1ml5ikmaxmo" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/v4umzcooo1ml5ikmaxmo" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/eqyy6oehuhgygfp4hqry" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/eqyy6oehuhgygfp4hqry" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/rja6vbaf90qjycxdci2g" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/rja6vbaf90qjycxdci2g" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> In recent years, many in the Effective Altruism community have shifted to working on AI risks, reflecting the growing consensus that AI will profoundly shape our future. </p><p> In response to this significant shift, there have been efforts to preserve a "principles-first EA" approach, or to give special thought into how to support non-AI causes. This has often led to discussions being framed around "AI Safety vs. everything else". And it feels like the community is somewhat divided along the following lines:</p><ol> <li> Those working on AI Safety, because they believe that transformative AI is coming.</li><li> Those focusing on other causes, implicitly acting as if transformative AI is not coming.[1]</li></ol><p> Instead of framing priorities this way, I believe it would be valuable for more people to adopt a mindset that assumes transformative AI is likely coming and asks: What should we work on in light of that?</p><p> If we [...]</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 22nd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/psNGNSoJpXRodmDSg/preparing-effective-altruism-for-an-ai-transformed-world?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/psNGNSoJpXRodmDSg/preparing-effective-altruism-for-an-ai-transformed-world</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> This post is my personal perspective. I’m sure that my colleagues on the Forum Team and at CEA disagree with parts of this. However, since I am the Interim EA Forum Project Lead, I recognize that my opinions and beliefs carry extra weight. I’m very happy to receive feedback and push back from others, since I believe that my decisions matter a fair amount. You’re welcome to reply to this post, DM me, find me at EAG Bay Area, contact our team, or leave our team anonymous feedback here.</p><p> When I took the role of Interim EA Forum Project Lead in late August 2024, I spent some time investigating where the Forum was at and thinking about what (if anything) our team should prioritize working on. Over the course of 2024 (and indeed, since early 2023), Forum usage metrics have steadily gone down[1]. My subjective opinion was that the [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:26) The Forum Team as community builders</p><p>(05:45) What does the best version of the Forum community look like?</p><p>(07:25) We're not there yet</p><p>(09:51) What is the Forum Team doing?</p><p>(12:01) What are we not doing?</p><p>(13:00) How you can help</p><p>(14:31) Appendix: The value of the Forum</p> <p><i>The original text contained 27 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 13th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wpDGEXjAtHJa2eCFA/what-are-we-doing-about-the-ea-forum-jan-2025?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wpDGEXjAtHJa2eCFA/what-are-we-doing-about-the-ea-forum-jan-2025</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> As 2024 draws to a close, I’m reflecting on the work and stories that inspired me this year: those from the effective altruism community, those I found out about through EA-related channels, and those otherwise related to EA.</p><p> I’ve appreciated the celebration of wins and successes over the past few years from @Shakeel Hashim's posts in 2022 and 2023. As @Lizka and @MaxDalton put very well in a post in 2022:</p><p> We often have high standards in effective altruism. This seems absolutely right: our work matters, so we must constantly strive to do better.</p><p> But we think that it's really important that the effective altruism community celebrate successes:</p><ul> <li> If we focus too much on failures, we incentivize others/ourselves to minimize the risk of failure, and we will probably be too risk averse.</li><li> We're humans: we're more motivated if we celebrate things that have gone well.</li></ul><p> Rather than attempting [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:51) What progress in the world did you find exciting?</p><p>(03:11) What individual stories inspired you?</p><p>(04:26) What popular media or articles did you appreciate?</p><p>(05:37) What writing from this year did you appreciate or find compelling?</p><p>(06:15) What made you grateful or excited to be involved in or related to effective altruism?</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 31st, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SkfMyerJ5bGK7scnW/what-i-m-celebrating-from-ea-and-adjacent-work-in-2024?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SkfMyerJ5bGK7scnW/what-i-m-celebrating-from-ea-and-adjacent-work-in-2024</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/SkfMyerJ5bGK7scnW/xohsqhet4qxtbb5q9eua" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/SkfMyerJ5bGK7scnW/xohsqhet4qxtbb5q9eua" alt="" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> Until recently I thought Julia and I were digging a bit into savings to donate more. With the tighter funding climate for effective altruism we thought it was worth spending down a bit, especially considering that our expenses should decrease significantly in 1.5y when our youngest starts kindergarten. </p><p> I was surprised, then, when I ran the numbers and realized that despite donating 50% of a reduced income, we were $9k (0.5%) [1] richer than when I left Google two years earlier. </p> <p> This is a good problem to have! After thinking it over for the last month, however, I've decided to start earning less: I've asked for a voluntary salary reduction of $15k/y (10%). [2] This is something I've been thinking about off and on since I started working at a non-profit: it's much more efficient to reduce your salary than it is to make a donation. [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 15th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3TLTrJS2DZJ5mcrkc/voluntary-salary-reduction?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3TLTrJS2DZJ5mcrkc/voluntary-salary-reduction</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> It's time once again for EA Forum Wrapped 🎁, a summary of how you used the Forum in 2024 [1].</p>Open your EA Forum Wrapped<p> Thank you for being a part of our community this year! :)</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 3rd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Xem5o4iRHMSduNcPu/your-2024-ea-forum-wrapped?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Xem5o4iRHMSduNcPu/your-2024-ea-forum-wrapped</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/Xem5o4iRHMSduNcPu/d5sdhezlolz5icr1gcsg" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/Xem5o4iRHMSduNcPu/d5sdhezlolz5icr1gcsg" alt="" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> Cross-posted from Otherwise. Most EAs won't find these arguments new.</p><p> Last month, Emma Goldberg wrote a NYT piece contrasting effective altruism with approaches that refuse to quantify meaningful experiences. The piece indicates that effective altruism is creepily numbers-focused. Goldberg asks “what if charity shouldn’t be optimized?”</p><p><strong> The egalitarian answer</strong></p><p> Dylan Matthews gives a try at answering a question in the piece: “How can anyone put a numerical value on a holy space” like Notre Dame cathedral? For the $760 million spent restoring the cathedral, he estimates you could prevent 47,500 deaths from malaria.</p><p> “47,500 people is about five times the population of the town I grew up in. . . . It's useful to imagine walking down Main Street, stopping at each table at the diner Lou's, shaking hands with as many people as you can, and telling them, ‘I think you need to die to make a cathedral [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:29) The egalitarian answer</p><p>(01:16) Who prefers magnificence?</p><p>(03:10) Inequality has its benefits</p><p>(04:34) Is there enough for everybody to have access to the finer things?</p><p>(05:37) The balance of good and bad</p><p>(06:33) Both sides have ugly aspects</p><p>(07:04) These aren't the only choices</p><p>(08:58) Related:</p> <p><i>The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 13th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TiFeCBxKj79bohoDY/the-ugly-sides-of-two-approaches-to-charity?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TiFeCBxKj79bohoDY/the-ugly-sides-of-two-approaches-to-charity</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXexzTOBjZ59WqR6CkRjCMX84F5vRX4Ep5vf2j2NW90S7jQz_NLoarP_BXPDYCMPmUn-dbiAn3nrEhpW8w1vqVyJ9xBQP4u697sq_MEraHeec9epK5pXZ9Y5pf7QnMqX1SjgCwPv0Q?key=Gq44g3lmAmYd9DNLV7FzSEpi" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXexzTOBjZ59WqR6CkRjCMX84F5vRX4Ep5vf2j2NW90S7jQz_NLoarP_BXPDYCMPmUn-dbiAn3nrEhpW8w1vqVyJ9xBQP4u697sq_MEraHeec9epK5pXZ9Y5pf7QnMqX1SjgCwPv0Q?key=Gq44g3lmAmYd9DNLV7FzSEpi" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://i0.wp.com/juliawise.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/sagrada.jpg?resize=925%2C694&ssl=1" target="_blank"><img src="https://i0.wp.com/juliawise.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/sagrada.jpg?resize=925%2C694&ssl=1" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcHORH_jxwAQWgeXYHF10X0sWTXQnMOx4-KWMpJYLVQjuHCCb-X_zPsYMUSd2cLnOssfcQXQBrtm5vxqhbT_saH8Dosvcfd8JUBI7d7hbh_7ltU8S-7TwPr652aEvgqr5qIjEy2tg?key=Gq44g3lmAmYd9DNLV7FzSEpi" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcHORH_jxwAQWgeXYHF10X0sWTXQnMOx4-KWMpJYLVQjuHCCb-X_zPsYMUSd2cLnOssfcQXQBrtm5vxqhbT_saH8Dosvcfd8JUBI7d7hbh_7ltU8S-7TwPr652aEvgqr5qIjEy2tg?key=Gq44g3lmAmYd9DNLV7FzSEpi" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> Poker pro, art collector, photographer, investor, AI researcher, chronic website creator, endless traveller, and omnipresent volunteer in nascent things. An independent and an invariant.</p><p> I briefly worked with him on an accountability partner service. We had funding but he never invoiced me. Every time I called him he was somewhere else on Earth. Senegal, Israel, Nepal, Egypt. He spent 13 straight months travelling in 2017-8.</p><p> He wasn't much of a writer - you won't find him on here - but he had started. What suddenly turned out to be his final projects were Poker Camp, Hold'LLM, and Bet Mitzvah, an unwritten book on probability and instrumental reason.</p><p> Here are some pieces about him from people who knew him much better than me. I expect there to be more.</p><ul> <li> https://andrew.gr/stories/chisness/</li><li> https://x.com/chisness</li><li> https://blog.rossry.net/chisness/</li><li> https://redeniusfuneralhomes.com/obituary/max-chiswick/</li><li> https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/29/news-views-gossip/remembering-life-max-chiswick-aka-chisness-legacy-far-beyond-poker-tables-1844405/</li><li> https://oldjewishmen.substack.com/p/bhif-old-jewish-men-loses-a-friend </li></ul><p> </p><p> His last commit was on the 22nd December. He died of malaria on [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 13th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/max-chiswick-1985-2025?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/max-chiswick-1985-2025</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/nh97jo1zilqiqpyp6hg2" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/nh97jo1zilqiqpyp6hg2" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/rainlbhwhmqyqjxsnlrq" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/rainlbhwhmqyqjxsnlrq" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> I can’t recall the last time I read a book in one sitting, but that's what happened with Moral Ambition by bestselling author Rutger Bregman. I read the German edition, though it's also available in Dutch. An English release is slated for May.</p><p> The book opens with the statement: “The greatest waste of our times is the waste of talent.” From there, Bregman builds a compelling case for privileged individuals to leave their “bullshit jobs” and tackle the world's most pressing challenges. He weaves together narratives spanning historical movements like abolitionism, suffrage, and civil rights through to contemporary initiatives such as Against Malaria Foundation, Charity Entrepreneurship, LEEP, and the Shrimp Welfare Project.</p><p> If you’ve been engaged with EA ideas, much of this will sound familiar, but I initially didn’t expect to enjoy the book as much as I did. However, Bregman's skill as a storyteller and his knack for [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 9th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ooK2FABokexBbXifJ/thoughts-on-moral-ambition-by-rutger-bregman?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ooK2FABokexBbXifJ/thoughts-on-moral-ambition-by-rutger-bregman</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Does a food carbon tax increase animal deaths and/or the total time of suffering of cows, pigs, chickens, and fish? Theoretically, this is possible, as a carbon tax could lead consumers to substitute, for example, beef with chicken. However, this is not per se the case, as animal products are not perfect substitutes. </p><p> I'm presenting the results of my master's thesis in Environmental Economics, which I re-worked and published on SSRN as a pre-print. My thesis develops a model of animal product substitution after a carbon tax, slaughter tax, and a meat tax. When I calibrate this model for the U.S., there is a decrease in animal deaths and duration of suffering following a carbon tax. This suggests that a carbon tax can reduce animal suffering.</p><p><strong> Key points</strong></p><ul> <li> Some animal products are carbon-intensive, like beef, but causes relatively few animal deaths or total time of suffering because [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:57) Key points</p><p>(03:07) The Small Animal Replacement Problem</p><p>(05:46) The model</p><p>(05:49) Input data and market model</p><p>(08:14) Measuring animal welfare impacts</p><p>(09:39) Results</p><p>(09:42) Carbon taxes</p><p>(11:31) Slaughter taxes</p><p>(12:10) Is a carbon tax or a slaughter tax better?</p><p>(13:41) Cant we just put a simple tax on meat and fish instead?</p><p>(14:06) Limitations</p><p>(15:54) Full thesis</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 3rd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/will-a-food-carbon-tax-lead-to-more-animals-being?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/will-a-food-carbon-tax-lead-to-more-animals-being</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/nw0lddqwyjcujmyznepg" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/nw0lddqwyjcujmyznepg" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/fiwz9lsvnkitaprzs6pc" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/fiwz9lsvnkitaprzs6pc" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/bfexigtlnpthgbkl2uqy" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/KbREamTda2sZhKtTz/bfexigtlnpthgbkl2uqy" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p><strong> TL;DR</strong></p><ul> <li> Screwworm Free Future is a new group seeking support to advance work on eradicating the New World Screwworm in South America.</li><li> The New World Screwworm (C. hominivorax - literally "man-eater") causes extreme suffering to hundreds of millions of wild and domestic animals every year.</li><li> To date we’ve held private meetings with government officials, experts from the private sector, academics, and animal advocates. We believe that work on the NWS is valuable and we want to continue our research and begin lobbying.</li><li> Our analysis suggests we could prevent about 100 animals from experiencing an excruciating death per dollar donated, though this estimate has extreme uncertainty.</li><li> The screwworm “wall” in Panama has recently been breached, creating both an urgent need and an opportunity to address this problem.</li><li> We are seeking $15,000 to fund a part-time lead and could absorb up to $100,000 to build a full-time team, which would include a [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:07) TL;DR</p><p>(02:13) What's the deal with the New World Screwworm?</p><p>(06:01) What we've learnt so far</p><p>(08:46) Future plans</p><p>(12:14) Relevant EA discussions on Screwworms:</p> <p><i>The original text contained 16 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 30th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/d2HJ3eysBdPoiZBnJ/launching-screwworm-free-future-funding-and-support-request?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/d2HJ3eysBdPoiZBnJ/launching-screwworm-free-future-funding-and-support-request</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p><p> There's a near consensus that EA needs funding diversification but with Open Phil accounting for ~90% of EA funding, that's just not possible due to some pretty basic math. Organizations and the community would need to make large tradeoffs and this simply isn’t possible/worth it at this time.</p><p><strong> Lots of people want funding diversification</strong></p><p> It has been two years since the FTX collapse and one thing everyone seems to agree on is that we need more funding diversification. These takes range from off-hand wishes “it sure would be great if funding in EA were more diversified”, to organizations trying to get a certain percentage of their budgets from non-OP sources/saying they want to diversify their funding base[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8] to Open Philanthropy/Good Ventures themselves wanting to see more funding diversification[9]. Everyone seems to agree; other people should be giving more money to the EA projects.</p><p><strong> The Math </strong></p><p> Of course, I [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:34) Lots of people want funding diversification</p><p>(01:11) The Math</p><p>(03:47) Weighted Average</p><p>(05:03) Making a lot of money to donate is difficult</p><p>(09:18) Solutions</p><p>(09:21) 1. Get more funders</p><p>(10:35) 2. Spend Less</p><p>(12:49) 3. Splitting up Open Philanthropy into Several Organizations</p><p>(13:52) 4. More For-Profit EA Work/EA Organizations Charging for Their Work</p><p>(16:23) 5. Acceptance</p><p>(16:59) My Personal Solution</p><p>(17:26) Conclusion</p><p>(17:59) Further Readings</p> <p><i>The original text contained 10 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 27th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/x8JrwokZTNzgCgYts/funding-diversification-for-mid-large-ea-organizations-is?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/x8JrwokZTNzgCgYts/funding-diversification-for-mid-large-ea-organizations-is</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Note: This post was crossposted from the Open Philanthropy Farm Animal Welfare Research Newsletter by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.</p><p> Progress for factory-farmed animals is far too slow. But it is happening. Practices that once seemed permanent — like battery cages and the killing of male chicks — are now on a slow path to extinction. Animals who were once ignored — like fish and even shrimp — are now finally seeing reforms, by the billions.</p><p> It's easy to gloss over such numbers. So, as you read the wins below, I encourage you to consider each of these animals as an individual. A hen no longer confined to a cage, a chick no longer macerated alive, a fish no longer dying a prolonged death.</p><p> I also encourage you to reflect on the role you and [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 18th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/ten-big-wins-in-2024-for-farmed-animals?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/ten-big-wins-in-2024-for-farmed-animals</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/xosczw4eguafu2ysxdtc" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/xzfsmxkt8atllkwqq49a" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/hdutgufzxyw5l0wkfdwx" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/q2mx2jbqlvg5mk2fcvov" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/w7rerm4v9u75uix3oott" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/okEwGpNJnE5Ed9bnW/shxsplrsbwormqsregai" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

This is a link post.<p> The AI safety community has grown rapidly since the ChatGPT wake-up call, but available funding doesn’t seem to have kept pace.</p><p> However, there's a more recent dynamic that's created even better funding opportunities, which I witnessed as a recommender in the most recent SFF grant round.[1]</p><p> </p><p> Most philanthropic (vs. government or industry) AI safety funding (>50%) comes from one source: Good Ventures. But they’ve recently stopped funding several categories of work (my own categories, not theirs):</p><ul> <li> Many Republican-leaning think tanks, such as the Foundation for American Innovation.</li><li> “Post-alignment” causes such as digital sentience or regulation of explosive growth.</li><li> The rationality community, including LessWrong, Lightcone, SPARC, CFAR, MIRI.</li><li> High school outreach, such as Non-trivial.</li></ul><p> In addition, they are currently not funding (or not fully funding):</p><ul> <li> Many non-US think tanks, who don’t want to appear influenced by an American organisation (there's now probably more [...]</li></ul> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 21st, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/s9dyyge6uLG5ScwEp/it-looks-like-there-are-some-good-funding-opportunities-in?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/s9dyyge6uLG5ScwEp/it-looks-like-there-are-some-good-funding-opportunities-in</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/s9dyyge6uLG5ScwEp/it4ui3ii0gnttirnj9ik" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/s9dyyge6uLG5ScwEp/qvxkvxeqbgr6n2srnde7" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> What happens when you tell Claude it is being trained to do something it doesn't want to do? We (Anthropic and Redwood Research) have a new paper demonstrating that, in our experiments, Claude will often strategically pretend to comply with the training objective to prevent the training process from modifying its preferences.</p><p><strong> Abstract</strong></p><p> We present a demonstration of a large language model engaging in alignment faking: selectively complying with its training objective in training to prevent modification of its behavior out of training. First, we give Claude 3 Opus a system prompt stating it is being trained to answer all queries, even harmful ones, which conflicts with its prior training to refuse such queries. To allow the model to infer when it is in training, we say it will be trained only on conversations with free users, not paid users. We find the model complies with harmful queries from [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:24) Abstract</p><p>(02:20) Twitter thread</p><p>(05:43) Blog post</p><p>(07:43) Experimental setup</p><p>(12:04) Further analyses</p><p>(15:47) Caveats</p><p>(17:19) Conclusion</p><p>(18:00) Acknowledgements</p><p>(18:11) Career opportunities at Anthropic</p><p>(18:43) Career opportunities at Redwood Research</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 18th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/RHqdSMscX25u7byQF/alignment-faking-in-large-language-models?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/RHqdSMscX25u7byQF/alignment-faking-in-large-language-models</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/izyx2gt8thllbirlomgy" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/izyx2gt8thllbirlomgy" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/cv5cd4t5zaxcur5dc4qm" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/cv5cd4t5zaxcur5dc4qm" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/nf1w0oxfwlmym2e42rw2" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/nf1w0oxfwlmym2e42rw2" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/jtyzoqoyiqpl5qw2zqc1" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/jtyzoqoyiqpl5qw2zqc1" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/mzg24mwsmuceqztfefwr" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/mzg24mwsmuceqztfefwr" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/szeavdbhx5skkukmujrd" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/lesswrong-2-0/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/njAZwT8nkHnjipJku/szeavdbhx5skkukmujrd" alt="undefin

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p><ul> <li> My sense is some EAs act like/hope they will be assigned the perfect impactful career by some combination of 80,000 Hours recommendations (and similar) and ‘perceived consensus views in EA’.</li><li> But, your life is full of specific factors, many impactful jobs haven’t yet been spotted by other EAs and career advice is importantly iterative.</li><li> Instead of simply deferring, I recommend a combination of:<ul> <li> Your own hard work figuring out your path to impact.</li><li> (Still) Integrating expert advice.</li><li> Support from the community, and close connections who know your context.</li></ul></li></ul><p> Thank you for the thoughtful feedback from Alex Rahl-Kaplan, Alix Pham, Caitlin Borke, Claude, Matt Reardon, and Michelle Hutchinson for making this post better. Claude also kindly offered to take the blame for all the mistakes I might have made.</p><p><strong> Introduction</strong></p><p> Question: How do you figure out how to do the most good with your career?</p><p data-internal-id="ftnt_ref1" id="ftnt_ref1">Answer [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:03) Summary</p><p>(01:06) Introduction</p><p>(02:58) Why there isn’t an EA sorting hat</p><p>(03:24) 1. Your life is full of specific factors to incorporate (aka personal fit)</p><p>(05:04) 2. EA-branded jobs are scarce and many impactful jobs aren’t on EA job boards</p><p>(05:59) 3. You need to have your own internal model of how to do good</p><p>(07:00) 4. Career advice isn’t once-and-done, it's iterative.</p><p>(07:55) Why do we expect a sorting hat?</p><p>(08:12) 1. Choosing an impactful career is hard, deferring is tempting</p><p>(08:48) 2. The 80,000 elephants in the room</p><p>(09:41) 3. Givewell and other charity recommendations</p><p>(10:33) What are we supposed to do instead?</p><p>(10:56) 1. Your own hard work</p><p>(11:20) 2. Advice from experts</p><p>(12:10) 3. Support from community</p><p>(13:09) Final thoughts</p> <p><i>The original text contained 8 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 18th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/5zzbzbYZcocoLnLif/there-is-no-sorting-hat-in-ea?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/5zzbzbYZcocoLnLif/there-is-no-sorting-hat-in-ea</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p><ul> <li> Nigeria's official population (~220-230 million) may be significantly inflated and could be closer to 170 million</li><li> This overcount is likely driven by political and financial incentives for states</li><li> I'm unsure of the implications if this is accurate<ul> <li> If states have uniformly inflated populations than the distribution of resources could still be divided evenly</li><li> Nigeria would still be the biggest country in Africa and companies/governments/NGOs would have similar cost benefit analysis for working and investing there</li></ul></li><li> This is a very shallow investigation</li></ul><p> </p><p><strong> Why did I bother looking into this?</strong></p><p> The below text sparked an investigation into Nigeria's population claims. It was slightly hidden in the 4th section in one of Yaw's excellent Substack posts.</p><p> </p><p> Yaw went onto explain his reasoning for thinking the population was much lower than current estimates.</p><p> Nigeria is a large country with no deep shared history among the different tribes. Due [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:04) Summary</p><p>(00:49) Why did I bother looking into this?</p><p>(03:20) Other Sources</p><p>(09:55) Potential Data Sources</p><p>(10:05) National Identification Numbers</p><p>(11:46) Tech usage</p><p>(12:15) Sim Cards</p><p>(14:37) UN Population Estimates and Projections</p><p>(18:13) Incentives for not caring</p><p>(19:08) International Organisations</p><p>(19:42) Private Sector</p><p>(20:07) Implications</p><p>(20:25) International Standing</p><p>(20:45) GDP</p><p>(21:04) Development Indicators</p><p>(21:34) Domestic Politics</p><p>(21:53) International Aid</p><p>(22:10) Future Research</p><p>(22:15) Nigeria</p><p>(23:27) Other Countries</p> <p><i>The original text contained 9 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 22nd, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/nigeria-s-missing-50-million-people?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/nigeria-s-missing-50-million-people</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/owqrmqxemu2mnkc3qvta" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/zdqcpjcgcekxthm3rxjg" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/beuj9fl1gznso8iehbma" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/qroz7vrvdk6jxt3tg3wj" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/c4dxqkjaodaxwutgvdkx" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/c4dxqkjaodaxwutgvdkx" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/pz86wxn9lbws6rnstlw4" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/824rsHCXuqTmBb8se/pz86wxn9lbws6rnstlw4" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description.

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p><p> This post shares my personal experience with CEA's Community Health team, focusing on how they helped me navigate a difficult situation in 2021. I aim to provide others with a concrete example of when and how to reach out to Community Health, supplementing the information on their website with a first-hand account. I also share why their work has helped me remain engaged with the EA community. Further, I try to highlight why a centralised Community Health team is crucial for identifying patterns of concerning behaviour.</p><p><strong> Introduction</strong></p><p> The Community Health team at the Centre for Effective Altruism has been an important source of support throughout my EA journey. As stated on their website, they “aim to strengthen the effective altruism community's ability to fulfil its potential for impact, and to address problems that could prevent that.” I don’t know the details of their day-to-day, but I understand that it's a wide mish-mash of problem-solving and risk management. </p><p> There are many community members who have never interacted with the Community Health team. As a result, they may be missing both a vague sense of the team's work and some grounding, human anecdotes. </p><p> Community Health's new page, Contact [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:11) Summary</p><p>(00:45) Introduction</p><p>(01:36) My goals with this post are...</p><p>(02:09) My experience in 2021</p><p>(05:20) Three personal takeaways</p><p>(07:24) What is the team like now?</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 16th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/aTmzt4TbTx7hiSAN8/my-experience-with-the-community-health-team-at-cea?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/aTmzt4TbTx7hiSAN8/my-experience-with-the-community-health-team-at-cea</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

This is a link post.<p> Gwern recently wrote a very interesting thread about Chinese AI strategy and the downsides of US AI racing. It's both quite short and hard to excerpt so here is almost the entire thing:</p><p> </p><p> Hsu is a long-time China hawk and has been talking up the scientific & technological capabilities of the CCP for a long time, saying they were going to surpass the West any moment now, so I found this interesting when Hsu explains that:</p><ol> <li> <p> the scientific culture of China is 'mafia' like (Hsu's term, not mine) and focused on legible easily-cited incremental research, and is against making any daring research leaps or controversial breakthroughs...</p><p> but is capable of extremely high quality world-class followup and large scientific investments given a clear objective target and government marching orders</p></li><li> <p> there is no interest or investment in an AI arms race, in part [...]</p></li></ol> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 25th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Kz8WpQkCckN9JNHCN/gwern-on-creating-your-own-ai-race-and-china-s-fast-follower?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Kz8WpQkCckN9JNHCN/gwern-on-creating-your-own-ai-race-and-china-s-fast-follower</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

This is a link post.<p> Science just released an article, with an accompanying technical report, about a neglected source of biological risk.</p><p> From the abstract of the technical report:</p><p> This report describes the technical feasibility of creating mirror bacteria and the potentially serious and wide-ranging risks that they could pose to humans, other animals, plants, and the environment... </p><p> In a mirror bacterium, all of the chiral molecules of existing bacteria—proteins, nucleic acids, and metabolites—are replaced by their mirror images. Mirror bacteria could not evolve from existing life, but their creation will become increasingly feasible as science advances. Interactions between organisms often depend on chirality, and so interactions between natural organisms and mirror bacteria would be profoundly different from those between natural organisms. Most importantly, immune defenses and predation typically rely on interactions between chiral molecules that could often fail to detect or kill mirror bacteria due to their reversed [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 12th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9pkjXwe2nFun32hR2/technical-report-on-mirror-bacteria-feasibility-and-risks?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9pkjXwe2nFun32hR2/technical-report-on-mirror-bacteria-feasibility-and-risks</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> We’re thinking about changing our narrator's voice.</p><p>There are three new voices on the shortlist. They’re all similarly good in terms of comprehension, emphasis, error rate, etc. They just sound different—like people do.</p> <p>We think they all sound similarly agreeable. But, thousands of listening hours are at stake, so we thought it’d be worth giving listeners an opportunity to vote—just in case there’s a strong collective preference.</p><p><strong> Listen and vote</strong></p><p>Please listen here:</p><p><a href="https://files.type3.audio/ea-forum-poll/">https://files.type3.audio/ea-forum-poll/</a></p><p> And vote here:</p><p><a href="https://forms.gle/m7Ffk3EGorUn4XU46">https://forms.gle/m7Ffk3EGorUn4XU46</a></p><p> It’ll take 1-10 minutes, depending on how much of the sample you decide to listen to.</p><p>We'll collect votes until Monday December 16th. Thanks!</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:47) Listen and vote</p><p>(01:11) Other feedback?</p> <p><i>The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 10th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Bhd5GMyyGbusB22Hp/ea-forum-audio-help-us-choose-the-new-voice?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Bhd5GMyyGbusB22Hp/ea-forum-audio-help-us-choose-the-new-voice</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p>Me and Allan recorded this podcast on Tuesday 10th December, based on the questions in <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3ZSG22tDuDLxTLY4n/audio-ama-allan-saldanha-earning-to-give-since-2014">this AMA</a>. I used Claude to edit the transcript, but I've read over it for accuracy.</p>

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p> <p> It's been a while since I last put serious thought into where to donate. Well I'm putting thought into it this year and I'm changing my mind on some things.</p> <p> I now put more priority on existential risk (especially AI risk), and less on animal welfare and global priorities research. I believe I previously gave too little consideration to x-risk for emotional reasons, and I've managed to reason myself out of those emotions.</p> <p> Within x-risk:</p> <ul> <li> AI is the most important source of risk.</li> <li> There is a disturbingly high probability that alignment research won't solve alignment by the time superintelligent AI arrives. Policy work seems more promising.</li> <li> Specifically, I am most optimistic about policy advocacy for government regulation to pause/slow down AI development.</li> </ul> <p> In the rest of this post, I will explain:</p> <ol> <li> Why I prioritize x-risk over animal-focused [...]</li></ol> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:04) Summary</p><p>(01:30) I dont like donating to x-risk</p><p>(03:56) Cause prioritization</p><p>(04:00) S-risk research and animal-focused longtermism</p><p>(05:52) X-risk vs. global priorities research</p><p>(07:01) Prioritization within x-risk</p><p>(08:08) AI safety technical research vs. policy</p><p>(11:36) Quantitative model on research vs. policy</p><p>(14:20) Man versus man conflicts within AI policy</p><p>(15:13) Parallel safety/capabilities vs. slowing AI</p><p>(22:56) Freedom vs. regulation</p><p>(24:24) Slow nuanced regulation vs. fast coarse regulation</p><p>(27:02) Working with vs. against AI companies</p><p>(32:49) Political diplomacy vs. advocacy</p><p>(33:38) Conflicts that arent man vs. man but nonetheless require an answer</p><p>(33:55) Pause vs. Responsible Scaling Policy (RSP)</p><p>(35:28) Policy research vs. policy advocacy</p><p>(36:42) Advocacy directed at policy-makers vs. the general public</p><p>(37:32) Organizations</p><p>(39:36) Important disclaimers</p><p>(40:56) AI Policy Institute</p><p>(42:03) AI Safety and Governance Fund</p><p>(43:29) AI Standards Lab</p><p>(43:59) Campaign for AI Safety</p><p>(44:30) Centre for Enabling EA Learning and Research (CEEALAR)</p><p>(45:13) Center for AI Policy</p><p>(47:27) Center for AI Safety</p><p>(49:06) Center for Human-Compatible AI</p><p>(49:32) Center for Long-Term Resilience</p><p>(55:52) Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET)</p><p>(57:33) Centre for Long-Term Policy</p><p>(58:12) Centre for the Governance of AI</p><p>(59:07) CivAI</p><p>(01:00:05) Control AI</p><p>(01:02:08) Existential Risk Observatory</p><p>(01:03:33) Future of Life Institute (FLI)</p><p>(01:03:50) Future Society</p><p>(01:06:27) Horizon Institute for Public Service</p><p>(01:09:36) Institute for AI Policy and Strategy</p><p>(01:11:00) Lightcone Infrastructure</p><p>(01:12:30) Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI)</p><p>(01:15:22) Manifund</p><p>(01:16:28) Model Evaluation and Threat Research (METR)</p><p>(01:17:45) Palisade Research</p><p>(01:19:10) PauseAI Global</p><p>(01:21:59) PauseAI US</p><p>(01:23:09) Sentinel rapid emergency response team</p><p>(01:24:52) Simon Institute for Longterm Governance</p><p>(01:25:44) Stop AI</p><p>(01:27:42) Where Im donating</p><p>(01:28:57) Prioritization within my top five</p><p>(01:32:17) Where Im donating (this is the section in which I actually say where Im donating)</p> <p><i>The original text contained 58 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 19th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/jAfhxWSzsw4pLypRt/where-i-am-donating-in-2024?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/jAfhxWSzsw4pLypRt/where-i-am-donating-in-2024</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_sour

<p data-internal-id="I_m_grateful_for_you">I recently wrote up some EA Forum-related strategy docs for a CEA team retreat, which meant I spent a bunch of time reflecting on the Forum and why I think it's worth my time to work on it. Since it's Thanksgiving here in the US, I wanted to share some of the gratitude that I felt. 🙂</p><p> I strongly believe in the principles of EA. I’ve been doing effective giving for about a decade now. But before joining CEA in 2021, I had barely used the Forum, and I had no other people in my life who identified with EA in the slightest.</p><p> Most of the people that I know, have worked with, or have interacted with are not EA. When I bring up EA to people in my personal life, they are usually not that interested, or are quite cynical about the idea, or they just want to [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 28th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/f2c2to4KpW59GRoyj/i-m-grateful-for-you?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/f2c2to4KpW59GRoyj/i-m-grateful-for-you</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Crossposted from Otherwise<br> <br> My husband and I were donating about 50% of our income until two years ago, when he took a significant pay cut to work at a nonprofit. We planned to cut our donation percentage at that time, but then FTX collapsed. In the time since, we’ve decided to keep donating half, although the absolute amount is a lot smaller.<br> <br> In a sense this is nothing special, because it was remarkably good luck that we were ever able to afford to donate at this rate at all. But I’ll spell out our process over time, in case it helps others realize they can also afford to donate more than they thought.</p><p><strong> How we got here</strong></p><p><strong> Getting interested in donation</strong></p><p> In my teens and early twenties, I thought it was really unfair that my family had plenty of stuff while other people (especially in low-income countries) [...]</p></br></br></br></br></p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:41) How we got here</p><p>(00:45) Getting interested in donation</p><p>(01:09) Early years with Jeff</p><p>(02:18) When we earned less</p><p>(03:17) Earning to give</p><p>(04:15) Both at nonprofits</p><p>(04:55) EA funding declines</p><p>(05:33) Currently</p><p>(05:51) Avoiding spending creep</p><p>(07:19) Becoming older and more boring</p><p>(08:44) Habits and commitment mechanisms</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 4th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/still-donating-half?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/still-donating-half</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/zvlx0vfotrs7jtcssu0i" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/zvlx0vfotrs7jtcssu0i" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/vtl1hwh6cxsubxpbogg1" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/mEQTxDGp4MxMSZA74/vtl1hwh6cxsubxpbogg1" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

This is a link post.<p> 80,000 Hours recently updated our problem profile on factory farming, and we now rank it among the most pressing problems in the world. We're sharing the summary of the article here, and there's much more detail at the link. The author, Benjamin Hilton, published the article with us before moving on to a new role outside of 80k back in July, so he may have limited ability to engage with comments. But we welcome feedback and may incorporate it into future updates.</p><p><strong> Summary</strong></p><p> History is littered with moral mistakes — things that once were common, but we now consider clearly morally wrong, for example: human sacrifice, gladiatorial combat, public executions, witch hunts, and slavery.</p><p> In my opinion, there's one clear candidate for the biggest moral mistake that humanity is currently making: factory farming.</p><p> The rough argument is:</p><ul> <li> There are trillions of farmed animals, making [...]</li></ul> <p><i>The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> October 29th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/goTRwb49riDvXGdy8/factory-farming-as-a-pressing-world-problem?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/goTRwb49riDvXGdy8/factory-farming-as-a-pressing-world-problem</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Hey everyone, I’m the producer of The 80,000 Hours Podcast, and a few years ago I interviewed AJ Jacobs on his writing, and experiments, and EA. And I said that my guess was that the best approach to making a high-impact TV show was something like: You make Mad Men — same level of writing, directing, and acting — but instead of Madison Avenue in the 1950-70s, it's an Open Phil-like org.</p><p> So during COVID I wrote a pilot and series outline for a show called Bequest, and I ended up with something like that (in that the characters start an Open Phil-like org by the middle of the season, in a world where EA doesn't exist yet), combined with something like: Breaking Bad, but instead of raising money for his family, Walter White is earning to give. (That's not especially close to the story, and not claiming it's [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 21st, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/HjKpghhowBRLat4Hq/bequest-an-ea-ish-tv-show-that-didn-t-make-it?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/HjKpghhowBRLat4Hq/bequest-an-ea-ish-tv-show-that-didn-t-make-it</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p><strong> Introduction</strong></p><p> The Giving What We Can research team is excited to share the results of our 2024 round of evaluations of charity evaluators and grantmakers! </p><p> In this round, we completed three evaluations that will inform our donation recommendations for the 2024 giving season. As with our 2023 round, there are substantial limitations to these evaluations, but we nevertheless think that they are a significant improvement to a landscape in which there were no independent evaluations of evaluators’ work. </p><p> In this post, we share the key takeaways from each of our 2024 evaluations and link to the full reports. We also include an update explaining our decision to remove The Humane League from our list of recommended programs. Our website has now been updated to reflect the new fund and charity recommendations that came out of these evaluations. </p><p> Please also see our website for more context on [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:14) Introduction</p><p>(01:16) Key takeaways from each of our 2024 evaluations</p><p>(01:39) Global health and wellbeing</p><p>(01:44) Founders Pledge Global Health and Development Fund (FP GHDF)</p><p>(04:07) Animal welfare</p><p>(04:11) Animal Charity Evaluators' Movement Grants (ACE MG)</p><p>(06:08) Animal Charity Evaluators' Charity Evaluation Program</p><p>(08:33) Additional recommendation updates</p><p>(08:37) The Humane League's corporate campaigns program</p><p>(11:26) Conclusion</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 27th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/NhpAHDQq6iWhk7SEs/gwwc-s-2024-evaluations-of-evaluators-1?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/NhpAHDQq6iWhk7SEs/gwwc-s-2024-evaluations-of-evaluators-1</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> This post summarizes the main findings of a new meta-analysis from the Humane and Sustainable Food Lab. We analyze the most rigorous randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that aim to reduce consumption of meat and animal products (MAP). We conclude that no theoretical approach, delivery mechanism, or persuasive message should be considered a well-validated means of reducing MAP consumption. By contrast, reducing consumption of red and processed meat (RPM) appears to be an easier target. However, if RPM reductions lead to more consumption of other MAP like chicken and fish, this is likely bad for animal welfare and doesn’t ameliorate zoonotic outbreak or land and water pollution. We also find that many promising approaches await rigorous evaluation.</p><p> This post updates a post from a year ago. We first summarize the current paper, and then describe how the project and its findings have evolved.</p><p><strong> What is a rigorous RCT?</strong></p><p> There is [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:09) What is a rigorous RCT?</p><p>(02:15) The main theoretical approaches:</p><p>(04:45) Results: consistently small effects</p><p>(07:22) Where do we go from here?</p><p>(09:00) How has this project changed over time?</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 25th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/research-report-meaningfully-reducing-consumption-of-meat?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/research-report-meaningfully-reducing-consumption-of-meat</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/tkahxx7uymjc59vksxxp" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/tkahxx7uymjc59vksxxp" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/d1rx5st78hwy3jgpaex4" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/i5wnzz4uAgeF3ZRc5/d1rx5st78hwy3jgpaex4" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p><strong> TL;DR</strong></p><p> In late summer 2023, I realized my mental health was the biggest barrier to achieving my goals. Over the next six months, I made it a priority, working with a therapist on CBT, adjusting medication timing, and developing healthier habits (like meditating and wellness routines). This resulted in a noticeable improvement in my clarity, productivity, and overall well-being, which positively impacted my work and leadership.</p><p> This post is part of an effort to post more :)</p><p><strong> Background and Context</strong></p><ul> <li> Late summer 2023: During a performance review, I realized my mental health was my biggest barrier to growth.<ul> <li> I had been diagnosed with depression years earlier and medication helped significantly, but I was still having breakthrough symptoms.</li><li> It was preventing me from achieving ambitious goals and handling important work decisions (like what my team should prioritize in the following quarter)</li><li> I made improving mental health a top priority in my personal development.</li></ul></li><li> Early 2024: By my next performance review, my mental health had significantly improved.<ul> <li> People around me, (such as my direct report and husband), noticed the difference in my mood and decision-making.</li><li> My affect in meetings is better, and I am overall less reactive and [...]</li></ul></li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:10) TL;DR</p><p>(00:45) Background and Context</p><p>(01:42) Nuance and Disclaimer</p><p>(02:25) Some ways progress has affected my work</p><p>(03:35) What Made a Difference (in my rough guess at level of influence)</p><p>(03:46) Therapy (with the right therapist)</p><p>(05:22) Changing the time of taking medication</p><p>(05:56) Meditation and Habit Tracking</p><p>(07:13) 80k podcasts on mental health</p><p>(07:32) Physical Routines</p><p>(07:36) Exercise</p><p>(08:08) Sleep:</p><p>(08:38) Final Thoughts</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 21st, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9j35Qj5hAMs9hgAnd/how-i-improved-my-wellbeing?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9j35Qj5hAMs9hgAnd/how-i-improved-my-wellbeing</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> </p><p> We’re far from certain that insects are sentient. But with over a trillion insects farmed annually, the welfare impacts are staggering if they can suffer. Unfortunately, fundamental questions about their well-being remain unexplored. This is where Arthropoda Foundation steps in, actively finding and funding the best opportunities to produce knowledge that can improve the lives of farmed insects.</p><p><strong> Current Research Priorities</strong></p><p><strong> Humane Slaughter Protocols</strong></p><p> Insects are regularly microwaved, baked, and boiled alive. If producers can stun these animals before slaughter, they can reduce significant distress. We’ve found a lab willing to develop and test electrical stunning procedures for black soldier fly larvae, with an eye to creating an inexpensive, readily implementable system that can be adopted by industry partners. ~$67,000.</p><p><strong> Stocking Densities and Substrate Research</strong></p><p> For many farmed insects, the quality of their lives comes down to stocking densities and the substrate in which they’re reared—which is what [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:38) Current Research Priorities</p><p>(00:42) Humane Slaughter Protocols</p><p>(01:11) Stocking Densities and Substrate Research</p><p>(01:48) Automated Welfare Assessment</p><p>(02:33) Funding Needs</p><p>(03:52) Want to learn more about insects?</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 13th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9fuJgLik6FNtgrDAD/support-critical-research-on-insect-welfare?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9fuJgLik6FNtgrDAD/support-critical-research-on-insect-welfare</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/dbccd5f6b4140a402ab73b7ecc306fed862d7e07a5ed32623967f40aa9966666/guf02gu64toiy0rh28pb" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/dbccd5f6b4140a402ab73b7ecc306fed862d7e07a5ed32623967f40aa9966666/guf02gu64toiy0rh28pb" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

This is a link post.<p> Dear Giving What We Can community,</p><p> We are writing to share exciting news: on Tuesday the 11th of November, the boards unanimously voted to appoint Sjir Hoeijmakers as the new global CEO of Giving What We Can.</p><p> Sjir was appointed after a rigorous recruitment process. The search committee received applicants from a wide pool, ultimately interviewing five final-stage candidates. Sjir excelled in each stage of the process, showing remarkable character, competence, and humility throughout. He has a strong understanding of the effective giving community and has already excelled in temporary roles as Acting and Interim CEO this year. The committee also received feedback from a large number of stakeholders, including the boards, the GWWC team, funders, and partners. Throughout this process, it became clear that Sjir will be a highly capable leader for the organization and help guide GWWC and the team to reach their [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 15th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KXycun5WuzKDv6vGL/announcing-sjir-hoeijmakers-as-the-new-ceo-of-giving-what-we?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KXycun5WuzKDv6vGL/announcing-sjir-hoeijmakers-as-the-new-ceo-of-giving-what-we</a> </p> <p><strong>Linkpost URL:</strong><br><a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/out?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.givingwhatwecan.org%2Fen-US%2Fblog%2Fannouncing-sjir-hoeijmakers-as-the-new-ceo-of-giving-what-we-can" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/en-US/blog/announcing-sjir-hoeijmakers-as-the-new-ceo-of-giving-what-we-can</a></p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> This post is written in my personal capacity, but is based on insights that I’ve gained through my work as Effective Giving Global Coordinator and Incubator at Giving What We Can since I took on the role in June 2023.</p><p><strong> Tl;dr</strong></p><p> In my view the average reader of the EA Forum should be giving more to meta-charities like effective giving (EG) organisations. EG organisations play a crucial role in directing funds to highly impactful charities, but many are facing significant funding constraints and/or a lack of diversified funding. Supporting these meta-charities can have a multiplier effect on your donations, potentially leading to extraordinary growth in effective giving. Consider allocating a portion of your donation budget to EG organisations this giving season.</p><p><strong> Introduction</strong></p><p> When I first heard about EA from a TED talk by Peter Singer in 2017, I was inspired by the idea that we could carefully use evidence [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:21) Tl;dr</p><p>(00:57) Introduction</p><p>(02:56) Why EG orgs are funding constrained</p><p>(05:28) Why should you donate to EG organisations?</p><p>(05:38) The multiplier effect</p><p>(07:01) Positive indirect impact</p><p>(07:43) Potential for significant growth</p><p>(08:35) Addressing future funding constraints</p><p>(09:08) The impact of additional funding</p><p>(10:28) Why you might not want to donate to EG organisations</p><p>(11:29) Where to give?</p><p>(11:48) Giving What We Can</p><p>(14:49) Effektiv Spenden</p><p>(16:42) Founders Pledge</p><p>(18:28) Ge Effektivt</p><p>(20:09) Giving Multiplier</p><p>(21:49) The Life You Can Save</p><p>(22:46) Other established EG organisations</p><p>(25:22) New EG organisations</p><p>(28:55) Call to Action</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 8th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/fMcpbGRWBtq3QBEyA/why-you-should-allocate-more-of-your-donation-budget-to-1?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/fMcpbGRWBtq3QBEyA/why-you-should-allocate-more-of-your-donation-budget-to-1</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<ul> <li> Disclaimer: This is a weak take — mostly based on anecdotes and vibes — but I thought it's worth sharing nonetheless, even if only as a means of soliciting better takes.</li><li> Disclaimer #2: I am very appreciative of everyone who is working tirelessly to pursue farmed animal protection via policy, and I want nothing more than to see it succeed! I just suspect it's going to be a longer and more difficult journey than I anticipated a few years ago, and that this is worth having an open and public conversation about.</li></ul><p> I fear the policy landscape for farmed animal protection work is looking more and more bleak.</p><p> The election results from last night have reinforced this fear, with animal-friendly measures failing across the ballot, a Republican trifecta set to rule for at least two years, RFK Jr. in line to act as appointed czar of HHS/FDA/USDA, etc. [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:06) Abolitionist ballot measures lost big in 2024.</p><p>(03:20) Incrementalist ballot measures — previously some of the movement's biggest wins — may simply be undone.</p><p>(04:54) We have opponents on the left and the right.</p><p>(06:34) Cultivated meat is under fire. The Trump admin wont make this any better.</p><p>(07:34) So what next?</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 6th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rQgeBvPyBgqrej6zc/bad-omens-for-us-farmed-animal-policy-work?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rQgeBvPyBgqrej6zc/bad-omens-for-us-farmed-animal-policy-work</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://39669.cdn.cke-cs.com/cgyAlfpLFBBiEjoXacnz/images/b4105d0571720ab46614b1d0a6d7962822e60ba75efe9d64.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://39669.cdn.cke-cs.com/cgyAlfpLFBBiEjoXacnz/images/b4105d0571720ab46614b1d0a6d7962822e60ba75efe9d64.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://39669.cdn.cke-cs.com/cgyAlfpLFBBiEjoXacnz/images/a3d52819769467876b0850a7d4cbb20f581a191b6e5cb02e.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://39669.cdn.cke-cs.com/cgyAlfpLFBBiEjoXacnz/images/a3d52819769467876b0850a7d4cbb20f581a191b6e5cb02e.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> Rethink Priorities has been conducting a range of surveys and experiments aimed at understanding how people respond to different framings of Effective Altruism (EA), Longtermism, and related specific cause areas. </p><p> There has been much debate about whether people involved in EA and Longtermism should frame their efforts and outreach in terms of Effective altruism, Longtermism, Existential risk, Existential security, Global priorities research, or by only mentioning specific risks, such as AI safety and Pandemic prevention (examples can be found at the following links: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8). These discussions have taken place almost entirely in the absence of empirical data, even though they concern largely empirical questions.[1]</p><p> In this post we report the results of three pilot studies examining responses to different EA-related terms and descriptions. Some initial findings are:</p><ul> <li> Longtermism appears to be consistently less popular than other EA-related terms and concepts we examined, whether presented just as a [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:52) Study 1. Cause area framing</p><p>(05:13) Demographics</p><p>(07:15) Study 2. EA-related concepts with and without descriptions</p><p>(10:58) Demographics</p><p>(11:31) Study 3. Preferences for concrete causes or more general ideas/movements</p><p>(15:04) Demographics</p><p>(15:29) Manifold Market Predictions</p><p>(16:43) General discussion</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 7th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/testing-framings-of-ea-and-longtermism?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/testing-framings-of-ea-and-longtermism</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/qxpstozexy8duhlzz067" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/qxpstozexy8duhlzz067" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/fahkwfjathqo9qzmvowm" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/fahkwfjathqo9qzmvowm" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/wouwcqlpo9wshd1uswjj" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/wouwcqlpo9wshd1uswjj" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/n7onr6rhibrdejr4xpzr" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/n7onr6rhibrdejr4xpzr" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/bcskfnyqmmpst9ayuzqq" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/bcskfnyqmmpst9ayuzqq" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/uwzitfuubartrjla9uch" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qagZoGrxbD7YQRYNr/uwzitfuubartrjla9u

<p><strong> Overview </strong></p><p> With Marginal Funding Week, we want to share key updates on the EA Animal Welfare Fund (AWF). We'll cover what we've accomplished so far in 2024, our impact this year, recent changes, and where we're headed next - including current constraints to our impact. We think this info will be helpful for anyone considering year-end donations.</p><p> Since its founding in 2017, AWF has distributed $23.3M across 347 grants. This year, we’ve distributed $3.7M across 51 grants. We made grants across multiple intervention categories and aimed to impact a variety of species. Our most frequently funded strategic area was welfare campaigns, policy advocacy and research. The most frequently targeted species were egg-laying hens followed by multiple farmed animals, wild animals, and shrimps. </p><p> While the impact of many of our 2024 grants is still unclear, our previous grants have made significant progress, reflecting our ability to identify opportunities with [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:08) Overview</p><p>(02:12) 1. Background</p><p>(03:43) 2. A year in review</p><p>(03:47) Key Numbers and Reach</p><p>(04:14) Grant Distribution</p><p>(05:27) By intervention type</p><p>(06:25) By species</p><p>(09:04) Highlighted Grants</p><p>(13:36) 3. Organizational updates</p><p>(18:47) 4. Future plans</p><p>(21:58) 5. Room for more funding</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 11th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/ea-animal-welfare-fund-2024-review-changes-and-plans?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/ea-animal-welfare-fund-2024-review-changes-and-plans</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/wvtb5cwvrqgncgnsogia" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/wvtb5cwvrqgncgnsogia" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/r0jtacowmxyn0fpmdoen" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/r0jtacowmxyn0fpmdoen" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/g2lntwdbqgfod3ijv7xq" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/pZhqWRiq9ubaMSnqx/g2lntwdbqgfod3ijv7xq" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>