EA Forum Podcast (Curated & popular)

<p> We are excited to share a summary of our 2025 strategy, which builds on our work in 2024 and provides a vision through 2027 and beyond!</p><p><strong> Background</strong></p><p> Giving What We Can (GWWC) is working towards a world without preventable suffering or existential risk, where everyone is able to flourish. We do this by making giving effectively and significantly a cultural norm.</p><p><strong> Focus on pledges</strong></p><p> Based on our last impact evaluation[1], we have made our pledges – and in particular the 🔸10% Pledge – the core focus of GWWC's work.[2] We know the 🔸10% Pledge is a powerful institution, as we’ve seen almost 10,000 people take it and give nearly $50M USD to high-impact charities annually. We believe it could become a norm among at least the richest 1% — and likely a much wider segment of the population — which would cumulatively direct an enormous quantity of financial resources [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:20) Background</p><p>(00:37) Focus on pledges</p><p>(01:29) Introducing our BHAG</p><p>(02:10) Working towards our BHAG</p><p>(03:01) Laying the foundations for scalable growth</p><p>(03:55) Looking towards the future</p><p>(04:18) BHAG FAQ:</p> <p><i>The original text contained 4 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 10th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/aPFGarxoS8pvboKFD/announcing-our-2025-strategy?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/aPFGarxoS8pvboKFD/announcing-our-2025-strategy</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Introduction</p><p> Four years ago, I commissioned as an Officer in the UK's Royal Navy. I had been engaging with EA for four years before that and chose this career as a coherent part of my impact-focused career plan, and I stand by that decision.</p><p> Early next year, I will leave the Navy. This article is a round-up of why I made my choices, how I think military careers can sensibly align with an EA career, and the theories of impact I considered along the way that don't hold water. Military service won't be the right call for most in this community, but it could be for some. Hopefully, this is informative for those people. Furthermore, I spent a whole year being trained in leadership. Someone I met at an EAGx conference said the offhand nugget of Military Leadership 101 wisdom I gave them was the "best advice I received in the whole event". This is probably worth sharing. </p><p> Noting how unconventional my experience is for EAs, I also write this to help communicate the value of my CV to prospective employers. </p><p> A brief honourable mention to Molly for the only other EA forum post I have seen [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 10th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/f6XmkJ9PWFfn9GvqD/ea-reflections-on-my-military-career?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/f6XmkJ9PWFfn9GvqD/ea-reflections-on-my-military-career</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> In our recent strategy retreat, the GWWC Leadership Team recognised that by spreading our limited resources across too many projects, we are unable to deliver the level of excellence and impact that our mission demands.</p><p> True to our value of being mission accountable, we've therefore made the difficult but necessary decision to discontinue a total of 10 initiatives. By focusing our energy on fewer, more strategically aligned initiatives, we think we’ll be more likely to ultimately achieve our Big Hairy Audacious Goal of 1 million pledgers donating $3B USD to high-impact charities annually. (See our 2025 strategy.)</p><p> We’d like to be transparent about the choices we made, both to hold ourselves accountable and so other organisations can take the gaps we leave into account when planning their work. As such, this post aims to:</p><ul> <li> Inform the broader EA community about changes to projects & highlight opportunities to carry [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(02:28) Giving What We Can Canada</p><p>(06:17) Effective Altruism Australia funding partnership</p><p>(08:45) Giving What We Can Groups</p><p>(11:00) Giving Games</p><p>(12:53) Charity Elections</p><p>(17:00) Effective Giving Meta evaluation and grantmaking</p><p>(19:11) Giving What We Can Donor Lottery</p><p>(21:30) Translations</p><p>(23:56) Hosted Funds</p><p>(25:53) New licensing of the GWWC brand</p> <p><i>The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 10th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/f7yQFP3ZhtfDkD7pr/gwwc-is-retiring-10-initiatives?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/f7yQFP3ZhtfDkD7pr/gwwc-is-retiring-10-initiatives</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> I sometimes worry that focus on effectiveness creates perverse incentives in strategic settings, leading us to become less effective. Here are a few observations illustrating this concern.</p><p><strong> Effectiveness-focused advocacy creates perverse incentives for adversaries</strong></p><p> When we conduct cage-free campaigns, the target companies frequently ask us why they are being targeted instead of some other company. While trying to answer that, one immediately realises the following tension. If we say that "because targeting you is the most effective thing we can do", we incentivise them to not budge. Because they will know that willingness to compromise invites more aggression. </p><p> When dealing with an effectiveness-focused movement, our adversaries are further incentivised to prevent concrete results. While other movements will have to be destroyed through pressure, an effectiveness-focused movement will easily go away if you just prove to them that they can be more effective elsewhere.</p><p> For that reason, in our [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:21) Effectiveness-focused advocacy creates perverse incentives for adversaries</p><p>(01:20) Sometimes you have to fight back even when it's not the most effective thing to do</p><p>(02:05) Religious rules survive because they are stubborn</p><p>(02:39) We might need more commitment devices</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 8th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/tvcEa9LhsX264NZbf/maybe-we-aren-t-stubborn-enough?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/tvcEa9LhsX264NZbf/maybe-we-aren-t-stubborn-enough</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> This is a Forum Team crosspost from Substack. <br> Matt would like to add: "Epistemic status = incomplete speculation; posted here at the Forum team's request"</p><p> When you ask prominent Effective Altruists about Effective Altruism, you often get responses like these:</p><p> For context, Will MacAskill and Holden Karnofsky are arguably, literally the number one and two most prominent Effective Altruists on the planet. Other evidence of their ~spouses’ personal involvement abounds, especially Amanda's. Now, perhaps they’ve had changes of heart in recent months or years – and they’re certainly entitled to have those – but being evasive and implicitly disclaiming mere knowledge of EA is comically misleading and non-transparent. Calling these statements lies seems within bounds for most.[1]</p><p> This kind of evasiveness around one's EA associations has been common since the collapse of FTX in 2022, (which, for yet more context, was a major EA funder that year and [...]</p></br></p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(03:32) Why can't EAs talk about EA like normal humans (or even normal executives)?</p><p>(05:54) Coming of age during the Great Awokening</p><p>(07:15) Bad Comms Advice</p><p>(08:22) Not understanding how words work (coupled with motivated reasoning)</p><p>(11:05) Trauma</p> <p><i>The original text contained 5 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 8th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6NCYo7RFYfkEjLAtn/ea-adjacency-as-ftx-trauma?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6NCYo7RFYfkEjLAtn/ea-adjacency-as-ftx-trauma</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6NCYo7RFYfkEjLAtn/t7xxfbxfegyyf2vkfcni" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6NCYo7RFYfkEjLAtn/t7xxfbxfegyyf2vkfcni" alt="Meme using King of the Hill animation about Effective Altruism and AI" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6NCYo7RFYfkEjLAtn/uunnhwqxtfvxwjl5setm" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6NCYo7RFYfkEjLAtn/uunnhwqxtfvxwjl5setm" alt="Text excerpt discussing Anthropic, EA, and relationships between key figures in philanthropy." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6NCYo7RFYfkEjLAtn/izkt6romat5qmvcxespl" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6NCYo7RFYfkEjLAtn/izkt6romat5qmvcxespl" alt="Person in orange prison uniform expressing frustration about communications staff." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> Last week, I participated in Animal Advocacy Careers’ Impactful Policy Careers programme. Below I’m sharing some reflections on what was a really interesting week in Brussels!</p><p> Please note I spent just one week there, so take it all with a grain of (CAP-subsidized) salt. Posts like this and this one are probably much more informative (and assume less context). I mainly wrote this to reflect on my time in Brussels (and I capped it at 2 hours, so it's not a super polished draft). I’ll focus mostly on EU careers generally, less on (EU) animal welfare-related careers.</p><p> Before I jump in, just a quick note about how I think AAC did something really cool here: they identified a relatively underexplored area where it's relatively easy for animal advocates to find impactful roles, and then designed a programme to help these people better understand that area, meet stakeholders, and learn [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:26) On EU careers generally</p><p>(02:59) On EU careers - EA specific</p><p>(05:55) Some miscellaneous notes</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 30th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/e95HCwqNp7RiF94ad/what-i-learned-from-a-week-in-the-eu-policy-bubble?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/e95HCwqNp7RiF94ad/what-i-learned-from-a-week-in-the-eu-policy-bubble</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/e95HCwqNp7RiF94ad/guazyqq5c7kaxtb5biaw" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/e95HCwqNp7RiF94ad/guazyqq5c7kaxtb5biaw" alt="European Parliament hemicycle chamber with curved rows of orange seats." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> It is standard form in EA to state one's welcomingness of feedback, both in a personal and professional capacity. Individuals and organisations alike often have many means by which you can deliver feedback, whether through anonymous forms or direct communication, and forum posts will often begin or end with:</p><p> "I'm open to feedback..." <br> "I'm looking for feedback of the following nature..." <br> "I'm very full because I ate feedback for breakfast, but there's always room for more..." <br> And so on.</p><p> I'm now wondering: what happens if you write, "I am not open to feedback". Literally, is that even allowed? I've never seen it done. I'm concerned to see such homogeneous thinking on the topic and I find it alarming that a community which espouses openness would be so closed off to non-openness.</p><p> How is it that not a single person in this intellectual, professional, personal community, or rather, in the sphere of this idea or philosophy, or whatever EA is.... Sorry, that sentence got too long, let me try again:</p><p> How is it possible that not a single person in EA holds a feedback-resistant worldview?</p><p> I fear – and now highly suspect – that stating a refusal [...]</p></br></br></br></p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 1st, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8xkGFooEmJNCsFQpv/what-if-i-m-not-open-to-feedback?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/8xkGFooEmJNCsFQpv/what-if-i-m-not-open-to-feedback</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Hi, I’m Tandena Wagner. As part of my research for EcoResillience Initiative (an EA organization searching for the best ways to preserve biodiversity into the long-term future), I’ve investigated several common claims that various resource limitations could be disastrous for civilization – ie, that we’re approaching “peak oil”, or imminently running out of phosphorus, soil nitrogen, chromium, etc. For the most part, I’ve found these claims to be overblown, often thanks to systematic exaggeration caused by the poor epistemic environment of activist environmentalism. In general, Paul-Erlich-style resource limitations do not seem pressing compared to other risks to civilization.</p><p> However, there's one key resource that I’ve become increasingly concerned about: human civilization might be running out of low-hanging fruit.</p>This kid can’t reach the fruit because he's just a baby.  But soon, this kid's problem could be the WHOLE WORLD's problem.<p><strong> Low-hanging fruit is essential for continued human thriving</strong></p><p> You might [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:13) Low-hanging fruit is essential for continued human thriving</p><p>(03:35) What would it mean if humanity exhausted the low-hanging fruit?</p><p>(04:32) New ways of making fruit hang lower are getting harder to find</p><p>(05:52) Shorter trees -- lower fruit</p><p>(08:50) Low-hanging fruit has broad benefits</p><p>(10:28) The Fruit is Too Damn High</p><p>(13:07) A fruitful direction for future research</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 1st, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/new-cause-area-low-hanging-fruit?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/new-cause-area-low-hanging-fruit</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/pjauvfvp2sgjfavktrkm" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/pjauvfvp2sgjfavktrkm" alt="This kid can’t reach the fruit because he’s just a baby. But soon, this kid’s problem could be the WHOLE WORLD’s problem." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/hl9lzikw5g0f8xcoy9ox" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/hl9lzikw5g0f8xcoy9ox" alt="Tantalus, a figure of Greek myth, infamously ran out of low hanging fruit. Could this be humanity’s future?" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/jjmrcmyaegtvbt092uzg" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/jjmrcmyaegtvbt092uzg" alt="Artist’s representation of how bad it feels when you run out of fruit." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/hretpmdhfqot4ec9jh1w" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/hretpmdhfqot4ec9jh1w" alt="Like this." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/l31bhoxufus9ji6xxfnz" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/5RNHhZ2KSesrGmSto/l31bhoxufus9ji6xxfnz" alt="You might not like it, but this is what diminishing marginal returns looks like." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /&gt

<p> For immediate release: April 1, 2025</p><p> OXFORD, UK — The Centre for Effective Altruism (CEA) announced today that it will no longer identify as an "Effective Altruism" organization. </p><p> "After careful consideration, we've determined that the most effective way to have a positive impact is to deny any association with Effective Altruism," said a CEA spokesperson. "Our mission remains unchanged: to use reason and evidence to do the most good. Which coincidentally was the definition of EA."</p><p> The announcement mirrors a pattern of other organizations that have grown with EA support and frameworks and eventually distanced themselves from EA.</p><p> CEA's statement clarified that it will continue to use the same methodologies, maintain the same team, and pursue identical goals. "We've found that not being associated with the movement we have spent years building gives us more flexibility to do exactly what we were already doing, just with better PR," [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 1st, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pyXEB5uBsuzhgj8Zz/centre-for-effective-altruism-is-no-longer-effective?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pyXEB5uBsuzhgj8Zz/centre-for-effective-altruism-is-no-longer-effective</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<h3 data-internal-id="Introduction">Introduction</h3><p> Misaligned AI systems, which have a tendency to use their capabilities in ways that conflict with the intentions of both developers and users, could cause significant societal harm. Identifying them is seen as increasingly important to inform development and deployment decisions and design mitigation measures. There are concerns, however, that this will prove challenging. For example, misaligned AIs may only reveal harmful behaviors in rare circumstances, or perceive detection attempts as threatening and deploy countermeasures – including deception and sandbagging – to evade them.</p><p> For these reasons, developing a range of efforts to detect misaligned behavior, including power-seeking, deception, and sandbagging, among other capabilities, have been proposed. One important indicator, though, has been hiding in plain sight for years. In this post, we identify an underappreciated method that may be both necessary and sufficient to identify misaligned AIs: whether or not they've turned red, i.e. gone rouge.</p><p> In [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:10) Introduction</p><p>(01:42) Historical Evidence for Rouge AI</p><p>(02:36) Recent Empirical Work</p><p>(03:46) Potential Countermeasure</p><p>(03:49) The EYES Eval</p><p>(04:55) EYES Eval Demonstration</p><p>(05:44) Future Research Directions</p><p>(06:46) Conclusion</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 1st, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/mitigating-risks-from-rouge-ai?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/mitigating-risks-from-rouge-ai</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/hroyligotvnmetq0mbmi" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/hroyligotvnmetq0mbmi" alt="" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/sii23ed5qq2knwqpmau2" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/sii23ed5qq2knwqpmau2" alt="" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/skkqvoine6h0rnwq0e9w" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/skkqvoine6h0rnwq0e9w" alt="" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/jhucqvj6kymfgob8v7kt" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/jhucqvj6kymfgob8v7kt" alt="" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/y7vt34hxuzkgbqxj411s" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/y7vt34hxuzkgbqxj411s" alt="" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/apnbp8qdqeyyexizsnu8" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/uKKoj9iqj2cWKsjrt/apnbp8qdqeyyexizsnu8" alt="" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/f4b7716a08a4b52d2888689e08c97c42b1bb5ba

<p> Hi everybody!</p><p> I'm Conor. I run the 80,000 Hours Job Board. Or I used to. As of today — April 1 — we are becoming Job Birds!</p><p> We've been talking to users for the last few years about making this change, and people have overwhelmingly been in favour (remember, there are six or more birds for every human on Earth). Whether it's the daily emails asking me to finally switch, or the flocks of people accosting me at conferences to urge a migration to Job Birds, the demand is overwhelming! Luckily, the wait is over!</p><p> I've included an FAQ below of the most common questions we receive.</p><p><strong> FAQ</strong></p><ul> <li> Do these birds have jobs?<ul> <li> In a sense, no. In another, preferred sense, definitely! They have roles in ecological niches.</li></ul></li><li> What's a good bird to get started with?<ul> <li> The peregrine falcon.</li></ul></li><li> What's the theory of change?<ul> <li> Birds are [...]</li></ul></li></ul> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 1st, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Lee6hyYo7F5BNQJEj/80-000-hours-job-birds?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Lee6hyYo7F5BNQJEj/80-000-hours-job-birds</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Epistemic status: highly certain, or something</p><p><strong> The Spending What We Must 💸11% pledge </strong></p><p> In short: Members pledge to spend at least 11% of their income on effectively increasing their own productivity.</p><p> This pledge is likely higher-impact for most people than the Giving What We Can 🔸10% Pledge, and we also think the name accurately reflects the non-supererogatory moral beliefs of many in the EA community.</p><p><strong> Example</strong></p><p> Charlie is a software engineer for the Centre for Effective Future Research. Since Charlie has taken the SWWM 💸11% pledge, rather than splurge on a vacation, they decide to buy an expensive noise-canceling headset before their next EAG, allowing them to get slightly more sleep and have 104 one-on-one meetings instead of just 101. In one of the extra three meetings, they chat with Diana, who is starting an AI-for-worrying-about-AI company, and decide to become a cofounder. The company becomes wildly successful, and Charlie's equity share allows them to further increase their productivity to the point of diminishing marginal returns, then donate $50 billion to SWWM.</p><p><strong> The 💸💸💸 Badge</strong></p><p> If you've taken the SWWM 💸11% Pledge, we'd appreciate if you could add three 💸💸💸 "stacks of money with wings" emoji to your social [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:14) The Spending What We Must 💸11% pledge</p><p>(00:39) Example</p><p>(01:25) The 💸💸💸 Badge</p><p>(01:53) FAQ</p><p>(01:57) Is the pledge legally binding?</p><p>(02:07) What do you mean by effectively increasing productivity?</p><p>(02:32) Im an AI system. Can I take the 💸11% pledge?</p><p>(03:22) Why is the 💸11% pledge 3x more effective than the 🔸10% pledge?</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> April 1st, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qCDad9dWE5hDkYevK/introducing-the-spending-what-we-must-pledge?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/qCDad9dWE5hDkYevK/introducing-the-spending-what-we-must-pledge</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qCDad9dWE5hDkYevK/bd52ycf43cruaxtrpiym" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/qCDad9dWE5hDkYevK/bd52ycf43cruaxtrpiym" alt="According to our analysis, the SWWM 💸11% pledge is much more impactful than the 🔸10% pledge." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> In a recent Wired article about Anthropic, there's a section where Anthropic's president, Daniela Amodei, and early employee Amanda Askell seem to suggest there's little connection between Anthropic and the EA movement:</p><p> Ask Daniela about it and she says, "I'm not the expert on effective altruism. I don't identify with that terminology. My impression is that it's a bit of an outdated term". Yet her husband, Holden Karnofsky, cofounded one of EA's most conspicuous philanthropy wings, is outspoken about AI safety, and, in January 2025, joined Anthropic. Many others also remain engaged with EA. As early employee Amanda Askell puts it, "I definitely have met people here who are effective altruists, but it's not a theme of the organization or anything". (Her ex-husband, William MacAskill, is an originator of the movement.)</p><p> This led multiple people on Twitter to call out how bizarre this is:</p><p> </p><p> </p><p> </p><p> In my [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 30th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/53Gc35vDLK2u5nBxP/anthropic-is-not-being-consistently-candid-about-their?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/53Gc35vDLK2u5nBxP/anthropic-is-not-being-consistently-candid-about-their</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/53Gc35vDLK2u5nBxP/ytf9z9iqwwoizkdsezzw" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/53Gc35vDLK2u5nBxP/ytf9z9iqwwoizkdsezzw" alt="theseriousadult tweets: ""my impression is that it's a bit of an outdated term" (she said, implying unfamiliarity with her husband's life's work). "it's not a theme of the organization or anything" (she said, at the org that split from OpenAI for basically EA reasons, that talks about AI safety and welfare). they don't have to claim that they're EAs but they should be willing to admit that their organization draws from that tradition and is absolutely swimming in EAs." The tweet appears to be criticizing someone's dismissive stance towards EA (Effective Altruism) connections to an AI organization." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/53Gc35vDLK2u5nBxP/hhrf9oonaln9pmxztsgw" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/53Gc35vDLK2u5nBxP/hhrf9oonaln9pmxztsgw" alt="theseriousadult tweets: "EA continues to have a lying problem. I'm not even an EA hater! I kinda like them! But the dishonest Machiavellian streak runs deep and it's so unnecessary."" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/53Gc35vDLK2u5nBxP/ek4jbwlwqkw0r8nkuglg" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/53Gc35vDLK2u5nBxP/ek4jbwlwqkw0r8nkuglg" alt="Matt Reardon tweets: "Approaching levels of EA adjacentcy never thought possible." The tweet includes a text excerpt discussing Anthropic's relationship with EA (Effective Altruism), featuring quotes from someone who distances herself from EA terminology, while noting that her current husband Holden Karnofsky cofounded an EA philanthropy wing and joined Anthropic, and highlighting that another employee's ex-husband was a movement originator." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/53Gc35vDLK2u5nBxP/g7klriowptykyfwbb3tl" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/53Gc35vDLK2u5nBxP/g7klriowptykyfwbb3tl" alt="KZ is in London tweets: "Reasonable PR move but lol". The quoted tweet, by Mathias Kirk Bonde, reads: "Lying is not a reasonable PR move!". The thread shows a brief disagreement about PR tactics and their appropriateness, with engagement metrics visible in the interface

<p> How the dismal science can help us end the dismal treatment of farm animals</p><p> <br> By Martin Gould</p><p> Note: This post was crossposted from the Open Philanthropy Farm Animal Welfare Research Newsletter by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.</p><p> This year we’ll be sharing a few notes from my colleagues on their areas of expertise. The first is from Martin. I’ll be back next month. - Lewis</p><p> In 2024, Denmark announced plans to introduce the world's first carbon tax on cow, sheep, and pig farming. Climate advocates celebrated, but animal advocates should be much more cautious. When Denmark's Aarhus municipality tested a similar tax in 2022, beef purchases dropped by 40% while demand for chicken and pork increased.</p><p> Beef is the most emissions-intensive meat, so carbon taxes hit it hardest — and Denmark's policies don’t even [...]</p></br></p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 20th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/five-insights-from-farm-animal-economics?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/five-insights-from-farm-animal-economics</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/as7zlvavykosyqnbzdo9" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/as7zlvavykosyqnbzdo9" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/k9ucmasnlwdnseldbhnd" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/k9ucmasnlwdnseldbhnd" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/z4a5tsptbnqvy3wtxuh2" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/z4a5tsptbnqvy3wtxuh2" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/wnp4t6v4vitfuvegqhcx" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/wnp4t6v4vitfuvegqhcx" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/ebembe4q420b5j34godi" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ehehif6dmiQco7bJA/ebembe4q420b5j34godi" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> “I” refers to Zach, the Centre for Effective Altruism's CEO. Oscar is CEA's Chief of Staff. We are grateful to all the CEA staff and community members who have contributed insightful input and feedback (directly and indirectly) during the development of our strategy and over many years. Mistakes are of course our own.</p><h3 data-internal-id="Exec_summary">Exec summary</h3><p> As one CEA, we are taking a principles-first approach to stewardship of the EA community.</p><p> During the search for a new CEO, the board and search committee were open to alternative strategic directions, but from the beginning of my tenure, we’ve committed to a strategy under which we will:</p><ul> <li> Operate as one CEA, rather than winding down, breaking up or renaming the organization. Instead of optimizing for each of our team's programs, we’ll be optimizing for EA as a whole.</li><li> Take a principles-first approach to EA, rather than becoming an AI org or otherwise re-orienting [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:38) Exec summary</p><p>(04:15) What does stewardship mean for CEA?</p><p>(06:55) What does CEA's stewardship mean in practice?</p><p>(08:34) Growing the EA community</p><p>(14:54) Improving the EA brand</p><p>(18:20) Diversifying EA funding</p><p>(21:47) Strengthening CEA</p><p>(23:38) Why bother?</p> <p><i>The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 28th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/QkE35oTsasMn37o7R/stewardship-cea-s-2025-26-strategy-to-reach-and-raise-ea-s-1?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/QkE35oTsasMn37o7R/stewardship-cea-s-2025-26-strategy-to-reach-and-raise-ea-s-1</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="" target="_blank"><img src="" alt="Line graph showing CEA Annual Spending in USD millions (2021-2024)." style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> After ~7 years, I am stepping away from being the CEO of AIM and will transition to a board member. My current planned last day is December 1st, giving ample time for a smooth transition. As is true for most times a CEO or co-founder leaves an organization, this is for a pretty large variety of reasons. The biggest three are that: 1) AIM is in a stable place, 2) My counterfactual impact, and 3) My fit for founder vs. CEO roles. You can see more details on each of these in my Substack post.<br> <br> AIM has been one of the most meaningful parts of my life, and that's in no small part due to working with such driven and aligned people. When I first set out to create CE many years ago, I never could have envisioned we'd get to where we are today, and I have [...]</br></br></p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 15th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/mh652ZDuqf3Tgh3Cv/joey-aim-transition-announcement?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/mh652ZDuqf3Tgh3Cv/joey-aim-transition-announcement</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Note: I am not a malaria expert. This is my best-faith attempt at answering a question that was bothering me, but this field is a large and complex field, and I’ve almost certainly misunderstood something somewhere along the way.</p><p><strong> Summary</strong></p><p> While the world made incredible progress in reducing malaria cases from 2000 to 2015, the past 10 years have seen malaria cases stop declining and start rising. I investigated potential reasons behind this increase through reading the existing literature and looking at publicly available data, and I identified three key factors explaining the rise:</p><ol> <li> Population Growth: Africa's population has increased by approximately 75% since 2000. This alone explains most of the increase in absolute case numbers, while cases per capita have remained relatively flat since 2015.</li><li> Stagnant Funding: After rapid growth starting in 2000, funding for malaria prevention plateaued around 2010.</li><li> Insecticide Resistance: Mosquitoes have become increasingly resistant [...]</li></ol> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:25) Summary</p><p>(02:06) Introduction</p><p>(04:31) Ok, give me the 1 minute rundown on what malaria is and how we fight it?</p><p>(05:22) Preventing malaria has historically meant distributing bednets</p><p>(07:58) There's a lot of good evidence showing that bednets have been effective at preventing malaria</p><p>(09:07) The percent of people with access to bednets and the percent of people sleeping under bednets have both stayed constant or increased since 2015</p><p>(10:47) So what did cause the increase in malaria cases since 2015?</p><p>(11:54) Factor 1: Population increase</p><p>(17:35) Factor 2: Stagnant funding</p><p>(23:21) Factor 3: Insecticide resistance</p><p>(34:23) What are the relative contribution of these three components?</p><p>(38:10) Factors that don't seem to be major contributors</p><p>(38:27) The decline until 2015 and stagnation after do not represent trends in separate countries or regions</p><p>(39:37) Removing PFAS from bednets doesn't appear to have affected experimental hut results</p><p>(44:23) Anopheles stephensi isn't present in the areas with the highest rates of malaria yet</p><p>(45:26) Nobody knows if climate change is making malaria worse</p><p>(47:20) Conclusions</p> <p><i>The original text contained 6 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 16th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rxTPv3MdrsHiqK7kM/money-population-and-insecticide-resistance-why-malaria?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rxTPv3MdrsHiqK7kM/money-population-and-insecticide-resistance-why-malaria</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/rxTPv3MdrsHiqK7kM/wvvged5h62hyhxgv1trd" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/rxTPv3MdrsHiqK7kM/s4f6txng9c0cc5vyvuuu" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/rxTPv3MdrsHiqK7kM/fhks3aeqgjvii76quuwu" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/rxTPv3MdrsHiqK7kM/fhks3aeqgjvii76quuwu" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/rxTPv3MdrsHiqK7kM/amxsz8z5q4erwa6qr4sv" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/rxTPv3MdrsHiqK7kM/amxsz8z5q4erwa6qr4sv" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><

<p> Cross-posted from my blog.</p><p> Contrary to my carefully crafted brand as a weak nerd, I go to a local CrossFit gym a few times a week. Every year, the gym raises funds for a scholarship for teens from lower-income families to attend their summer camp program. I don’t know how many Crossfit-interested low-income teens there are in my small town, but I’ll guess there are perhaps 2 of them who would benefit from the scholarship. After all, CrossFit is pretty niche, and the town is small.</p><p> Helping youngsters get swole in the Pacific Northwest is not exactly as cost-effective as preventing malaria in Malawi. But I notice I feel drawn to supporting the scholarship anyway. Every time it pops in my head I think, “My money could fully solve this problem”. The camp only costs a few hundred dollars per kid and if there are just 2 kids who [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:19) You are only ever making small dents in important problems</p><p>(03:06) The man who failed to fully solve a genocide</p><p>(06:29) Saving starfish</p><p>(07:40) Big problems are actually solved piece by piece</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 19th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZKfFoo8ttD9NEpKHv/you-probably-won-t-solve-malaria-or-x-risk-and-that-s-ok?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZKfFoo8ttD9NEpKHv/you-probably-won-t-solve-malaria-or-x-risk-and-that-s-ok</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ZKfFoo8ttD9NEpKHv/qefd9awdgpboweim9dye" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/ZKfFoo8ttD9NEpKHv/qefd9awdgpboweim9dye" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<h4 data-internal-id="TL_DR_">TL;DR</h4><p> In a sentence: <br> We are shifting our strategic focus to put our proactive effort towards helping people work on safely navigating the transition to a world with AGI, while keeping our existing content up.</p><p> In more detail:</p><p> We think it's plausible that frontier AI companies will develop AGI by 2030. Given the significant risks involved, and the fairly limited amount of work that's been done to reduce these risks, 80,000 Hours is adopting a new strategic approach to focus our efforts in this area. </p><p> During 2025, we are prioritising:</p><ol> <li> Deepening our understanding as an organisation of how to improve the chances that the development of AI goes well</li><li> Communicating why and how people can contribute to reducing the risks</li><li> Connecting our users with impactful roles in this field</li><li> And fostering an internal culture which helps us to achieve these goals</li></ol><p> We remain focused on impactful [...]</p></br></p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:44) Why we're updating our strategic direction</p><p>(04:02) How we hope to achieve it</p><p>(05:44) Community implications</p><p>(08:38) Potential questions you might have</p><p>(08:42) What does this mean for non-AI cause areas?</p><p>(10:44) How big a shift is this from 80k's status quo?</p><p>(11:58) Are EA values still important?</p><p>(13:36) What would cause us to change our approach?</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 20th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/4ZE3pfwDKqRRNRggL/80-000-hours-is-shifting-our-strategic-approach-to-focus?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/4ZE3pfwDKqRRNRggL/80-000-hours-is-shifting-our-strategic-approach-to-focus</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> In my past year as a grantmaker in the global health and wellbeing (GHW) meta space at Open Philanthropy, I've identified some exciting ideas that could fill existing gaps. While these initiatives have significant potential, they require more active development and support to move forward. </p><p> The ideas I think could have the highest impact are: </p><ol> <li> Government placements/secondments in key GHW areas (e.g. international development), and</li><li> Expanded (ultra) high-net-worth ([U]HNW) advising</li></ol><p> Each of these ideas needs a very specific type of leadership and/or structure. More accessible options I’m excited about — particularly for students or recent graduates — could involve virtual GHW courses or action-focused student groups. </p><p> I can’t commit to supporting any particular project based on these ideas ahead of time, because the likelihood of success would heavily depend on details (including the people leading the project). Still, I thought it would be helpful to [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:19) Introduction</p><p>(02:30) Project ideas</p><p>(02:33) Fellowships and Placements</p><p>(02:37) Placement orgs for governments and think tanks</p><p>(03:06) Fellowships/Placements at GHW Organizations</p><p>(03:57) More, and different, effective giving organizations</p><p>(04:03) More (U)HNW advising</p><p>(05:14) Targeting different niche demographics</p><p>(05:50) Filling more geographic gaps</p><p>(06:08) Infrastructure support for GHW organizations</p><p>(06:38) EA-inspired GHW courses</p><p>(06:56) BlueDot Impact for GHW</p><p>(07:40) Incorporating EA content into university courses</p><p>(08:35) Useful GHW events</p><p>(08:51) Events bringing together EA and mainstream GHD orgs</p><p>(09:57) Career panels or similar</p><p>(10:13) More, and different, student groups</p><p>(10:18) Action-focused student groups</p><p>(11:34) Policy-focused grad student groups</p><p>(11:51) Less thought-through ideas</p><p>(13:12) Perceived impact and fit</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 18th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pAE6zfAgceCop6vcE/projects-i-d-like-to-see-in-the-ghw-meta-space?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pAE6zfAgceCop6vcE/projects-i-d-like-to-see-in-the-ghw-meta-space</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Hey everyone, I’ve been going through the EA Introductory Program, and I have to admit some of these ideas make sense, but others leave me with more questions than answers. I’m trying to wrap my head around certain core EA principles, and the more I think about them, the more I wonder: Am I misunderstanding, or are there blind spots in EA's approach?</p><p> I’d really love to hear what others think. Maybe you can help me clarify some of my doubts. Or maybe you share the same reservations? Let's talk.</p><p><strong> Cause Prioritization. Does It Ignore Political and Social Reality?</strong></p><p> EA focuses on doing the most good per dollar, which makes sense in theory. But does it hold up when you apply it to real world contexts especially in countries like Uganda?</p><p> Take malaria prevention. It's a top EA cause because it's highly cost effective $5,000 can save a life [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:40) Cause Prioritization. Does It Ignore Political and Social Reality?</p><p>(01:53) Long termism. A Luxury When the Present Is in Crisis?</p><p>(03:01) AI Safety. A Real Threat or Just Overhyped?</p><p>(04:09) Earning to Give. A Powerful Strategy or a Moral Loophole?</p><p>(05:05) Global vs. Local Causes. Does Proximity Matter?</p><p>(06:06) Final Thoughts: What Am I Missing?</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 16th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/sanhCrJohGjAyAxLr/ea-a-view-from?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/sanhCrJohGjAyAxLr/ea-a-view-from</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> *Disclaimer* I am writing this post in a personal capacity; the opinions I express are my own and do not represent my employer.</p><p data-internal-id="ftnt_ref1" id="ftnt_ref1">I think that more people and orgs (especially nonprofits) should consider negotiating the cost of sizable expenses. In my experience, there is usually nothing to lose by respectfully asking to pay less, and doing so can sometimes save thousands or tens of thousands of dollars per hour. This is because negotiating doesn’t take very much time[1], savings can persist across multiple years, and counterparties can be surprisingly generous with discounts. Here are a few examples of expenses that may be negotiable:</p><p> For organizations</p><ul> <li> Software or news subscriptions<ul> <li> Of 35 corporate software and news providers I’ve negotiated with, 30 have been willing to provide discounts. These discounts range from 10% to 80%, with an average of around 40%.</li></ul></li><li> Leases<ul> <li> A friend was able [...]</li></ul></li></ul> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 10th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pufofnCukyN3hBamw/consider-haggling?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pufofnCukyN3hBamw/consider-haggling</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Forethought[1] is a new AI macrostrategy research group cofounded by Max Dalton, Will MacAskill, Tom Davidson, and Amrit Sidhu-Brar.</p> <p> We are trying to figure out how to navigate the (potentially rapid) transition to a world with superintelligent AI systems. We aim to tackle the most important questions we can find, unrestricted by the current Overton window.</p> <p> More details on our website.</p> <p><strong> Why we exist</strong></p> <p> We think that AGI might come soon (say, modal timelines to mostly-automated AI R&D in the next 2-8 years), and might significantly accelerate technological progress, leading to many different challenges. We don’t yet have a good understanding of what this change might look like or how to navigate it. Society is not prepared.</p> <p> Moreover, we want the world to not just avoid catastrophe: we want to reach a really great future. We think about what this might be like (incorporating [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:34) Why we exist</p><p>(01:57) Research</p><p>(02:00) Research agendas</p><p>(03:13) Recent work</p><p>(03:34) Approach</p><p>(03:37) Comparison to other efforts</p><p>(04:14) Principles</p><p>(05:35) What you can do</p><p>(05:39) Engage with our research</p><p>(06:08) Apply to work with us</p><p>(06:25) Funding</p> <p><i>The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 11th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6JnTAifyqz245Kv7S/forethought-a-new-ai-macrostrategy-group?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6JnTAifyqz245Kv7S/forethought-a-new-ai-macrostrategy-group</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> This is a Draft Amnesty Week post. </p><p> Last year, an EA community member who was scoping out some projects related to diversity and inclusion in EA noted that one challenge was not knowing what had been tried before. I drafted this summary but never got it out the door. </p><p> The atmosphere around DEI interventions, in the US at least, is different than it was when I first drafted this. I’m not intending this as commentary as anything going on currently, but as finally publishing an old draft. The main update I've made is to add some demographic data that recently came out from the 2024 EA Survey.</p><p> I don’t mean this post as a claim that EAs have done all the right things. I mean it as a historical record so people can better gauge what's been tried over time, what might be worth trying differently, and [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:17) Organizational / program efforts</p><p>(08:07) Efforts in hiring / staffing at EA orgs</p><p>(11:58) Other research / content / major discussions in the community</p><p>(21:40) Demographic trends over time</p><p>(21:45) Location</p><p>(22:39) Race</p><p>(23:28) Gender</p><p>(24:35) Political views</p><p>(25:06) Age</p><p>(25:20) Experiences at events</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 4th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6FLvBaEwiiqf9JGEJ/history-of-projects-and-trends-on-diversity-in-ea?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6FLvBaEwiiqf9JGEJ/history-of-projects-and-trends-on-diversity-in-ea</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6FLvBaEwiiqf9JGEJ/qseeqyp363xxe0vmcoxa" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6FLvBaEwiiqf9JGEJ/qseeqyp363xxe0vmcoxa" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6FLvBaEwiiqf9JGEJ/lkteyedhzqyv7nhu5lql" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6FLvBaEwiiqf9JGEJ/lkteyedhzqyv7nhu5lql" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6FLvBaEwiiqf9JGEJ/qe5wfgesqkgmicvpcoxy" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/6FLvBaEwiiqf9JGEJ/qe5wfgesqkgmicvpcoxy" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> Watching what is happening in the world -- with lots of renegotiation of institutional norms within Western democracies and a parallel fracturing of the post-WW2 institutional order -- I do think we, as a community, should more seriously question our priors on the relative value of surgical/targeted and broad system-level interventions.</p> <p> Speaking somewhat roughly, with EA as a movement coming of age in an era where democratic institutions and the rule-based international order were not fundamentally questioned, it seems easy to underestimate how much the world is currently changing and how much riskier a world of stronger institutional and democratic backsliding and weakened international norms might be.</p> <p> Of course, working on these issues might be intractable and possibly there's nothing highly effective for EAs to do on the margin given much attention to these issues from society at large. So, I am not here to confidently state [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 9th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MWomDeHBi2D33PzRx/in-a-time-of-rapid-change-we-should-re-examine-system-level?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MWomDeHBi2D33PzRx/in-a-time-of-rapid-change-we-should-re-examine-system-level</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> By Jim Chapman, Linkedin.</p><p> TL;DR: In 2023, I was a 57-year-old urban planning consultant and non-profit professional with 30 years of leadership experience. After talking with my son about rationality, effective altruism, and AI risks, I decided to pursue a pivot to existential risk reduction work. The last time I had to apply for a job was in 1994. By the end of 2024, I had spent ~740 hours on courses, conferences, meetings with ~140 people, and 21 job applications. I hope that by sharing my experiences, you can gain practical insights, inspiration, and resources to navigate your career transition, especially for those who are later in their career and interested in making an impact in similar fields. I share my experience in 5 sections - sparks, take stock, start, do, meta-learnings, and next steps. [Note - as of 03/05/2025, I am still pursuing my career shift.]</p><p><strong> Sparks – [...]</strong></p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:16) Sparks - 2022</p><p>(02:29) Take Stock - 2023</p><p>(03:36) Start</p><p>(04:15) Do - 2023 and 2024</p><p>(05:13) Learn</p><p>(10:46) Get a Job</p><p>(14:21) Create a Job</p><p>(16:49) Contractor</p><p>(18:16) Meta-Learnings</p><p>(19:50) Next Steps</p><p>(20:48) Appendix A - Helpful Feedback</p> <p><i>The original text contained 30 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 4th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/FcKpAGn75pRLsoxjE/from-comfort-zone-to-frontiers-of-impact-pursuing-a-late-1?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/FcKpAGn75pRLsoxjE/from-comfort-zone-to-frontiers-of-impact-pursuing-a-late-1</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/FcKpAGn75pRLsoxjE/ut1t1ogounpoqjhsqvno" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/FcKpAGn75pRLsoxjE/ut1t1ogounpoqjhsqvno" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/574008b557f33e2d5c0e837e477e5559ea480629667989f5bccec9c1d98554ec/vaytjxmsptmo5imhadqx" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/574008b557f33e2d5c0e837e477e5559ea480629667989f5bccec9c1d98554ec/vaytjxmsptmo5imhadqx" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/beb22efe5c86f47a61b8c47018dbd796aec3a9076ab558adbd3a66bd05c615bc/s43vzqhbh9rhggyjipfp" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/beb22efe5c86f47a61b8c47018dbd796aec3a9076ab558adbd3a66bd05c615bc/s43vzqhbh9rhggyjipfp" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/c1cd2d3e11589176c9610d6bc331414db97731769e072c152fdef43b7dba00de/sz1wqjqueg5vpqkzyuyu" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/c1cd2d3e11589176c9610d6bc331414db97731769e072c152fdef43b7dba00de/sz1wqjqueg5vpqkzyuyu" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/FcKpAGn75pRLsoxjE/jl1s9ja7s9mbfuls9ivs" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/FcKpAGn75pRLsoxjE/jl1s9ja7s9mbfuls9ivs" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/c58e2f5ad498feaf374dcf2a58fc

This is a Draft Amnesty Week draft. It may not be polished, up to my usual standards, fully thought through, or fully fact-checked. <p> Commenting and feedback guidelines: </p><p> I'm posting this to get it out there. I'd love to see comments that take the ideas forward, but criticism of my argument won't be as useful at this time, in part because I won't do any further work on it.</p><p> This is a post I drafted in November 2023, then updated for an hour in March 2025. I don’t think I’ll ever finish it so I am just leaving it in this draft form for draft amnesty week (I know I'm late). I don’t think it is particularly well calibrated, but mainly just makes a bunch of points that I haven’t seen assembled elsewhere. Please take it as extremely low-confidence and there being a low-likelihood of this post describing these dynamics perfectly.</p><p> I’ve [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(02:45) Deference is everywhere</p><p>(04:39) Funders often lack information you have access to</p><p>(08:29) Funders often don't share your values</p><p>(09:58) Funders have experience in grantmaking. That is different from experience doing the work.</p><p>(11:48) What can we do to make this better?</p><p>(12:22) There are lots of issues with over-updating on this!</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> March 3rd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/adZEA4SEkab4SZhTx/on-deference-to-funders?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/adZEA4SEkab4SZhTx/on-deference-to-funders</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> I feel silly writing this up, but it's draft amnesty week. Caveat: I’ve been a visitor to several EA offices but haven’t worked regularly in any of them, and maybe I'm overly nostalgic about reheated felafel.</p><p> Some EA offices have catered lunch or lunch cooked on the premises every day. This is nice, but not every workplace can afford it. </p><p> 5+ years ago when everything in EA was lower-budget, the main way EA offices did lunch was to provide sandwich / wrap ingredients. Ops staff would order the groceries, and would put out the spread about 15 minutes before lunchtime and microwave some of the foods. There was a designated time to show up, often 1 pm. </p><p> This method works pretty well for a crowd because you don’t all have to wait for the microwave. It was pretty flexible for different tastes and diets. People who wanted [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 28th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/EyXWx8stxSzgAMzJX/the-lost-art-of-the-cheap-office-lunch?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/EyXWx8stxSzgAMzJX/the-lost-art-of-the-cheap-office-lunch</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> For those in the EA community who may not typically engage with politics/government, this is the time to do so. If you are American and/or based in the U.S., reaching out to lawmakers, supporting organizations that are mobilizing on this issue, and helping amplify the urgency of this crisis can make a difference.</p><p> Why this matters:</p><ol> <li> Millions of lives are at stake</li><li> Decades of progress, and prior investment, in global health and wellbeing are at risk</li><li> Government funding multiplies the impact of philanthropy</li></ol><p><strong> Where things stand today (February 27, 2025)</strong></p><p> The Trump Administration's foreign aid freeze has taken a catastrophic turn: rather than complying with a court order to restart paused funding, they have chosen to terminate more than 90% of all USAID grants and contracts. This stunningly reckless decision comes just 30 days into a supposed 90-day review of foreign aid. This will cause a devastating loss [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:43) Where things stand today (February 27, 2025)</p><p>(03:22) Some of the few lifesaving programs that were terminated are:</p><p>(04:47) Why this matters for the future of global health and wellbeing</p><p>(07:03) Your action and engagement is needed NOW</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 27th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TbZAkjJQn8kPDodXG/the-catastrophic-situation-with-u-s-foreign-aid-just-got?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TbZAkjJQn8kPDodXG/the-catastrophic-situation-with-u-s-foreign-aid-just-got</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> If you don’t typically engage with politics/government, this is the time to do so. If you are American and/or based in the U.S., reaching out to lawmakers, supporting organizations that are mobilizing on this issue, and helping amplify the urgency of this crisis can make a difference.</p><p> Why this matters:</p><ol> <li> Millions of lives are at stake</li><li> Decades of progress, and prior investment, in global health and wellbeing are at risk</li><li> Government funding multiplies the impact of philanthropy</li></ol><p><strong> Where things stand today (February 27, 2025)</strong></p><p> The Trump Administration's foreign aid freeze has taken a catastrophic turn: rather than complying with a court order to restart paused funding, they have chosen to terminate more than 90% of all USAID grants and contracts. This stunningly reckless decision comes just 30 days into a supposed 90-day review of foreign aid. This will cause a devastating loss of life.</p><p> Even beyond the immediate [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:45) Where things stand today (February 27, 2025)</p><p>(03:22) Some of the few lifesaving programs that were terminated are:</p><p>(04:42) Why this matters for the future of global health & wellbeing</p><p>(06:56) Your action and engagement is needed NOW</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 27th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TbZAkjJQn8kPDodXG/the-catastrophic-situation-with-usaid-just-got-worse-why-the?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TbZAkjJQn8kPDodXG/the-catastrophic-situation-with-usaid-just-got-worse-why-the</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> The belief that it's preferable for America to develop AGI before China does seems widespread among American effective altruists. Is this belief supported by evidence, or it it just patriotism in disguise?</p><p> How would you try to convince an open-minded Chinese citizen that it really would be better for America to develop AGI first? Such a person might point out:</p><ul> <li> Over the past 30 years, the Chinese government has done more for the flourishing of Chinese citizens than the American government has done for the flourishing of American citizens. My village growing up lacked electricity, and now I'm a software engineer! Chinese institutions are more trustworthy for promoting the future flourishing of humanity.</li><li> Commerce in China ditches some of the older ideas of Marxism because it's the means to an end: the China Dream of wealthy communism. As AGI makes China and the world extraordinarily wealthy, we are [...]</li></ul> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 22nd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MxPhK4mLRkaFekAmp/how-confident-are-you-that-it-s-preferable-for-america-to?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/MxPhK4mLRkaFekAmp/how-confident-are-you-that-it-s-preferable-for-america-to</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Note: This started as a quick take, but it got too long so I made it a full post. It's still kind of a rant; a stronger post would include sources and would have gotten feedback from people more knowledgeable than I. But in the spirit of Draft Amnesty Week, I'm writing this in one sitting and smashing that Submit button.</p><p> Many people continue to refer to companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google DeepMind as "frontier AI labs". I think we should drop "labs" entirely when discussing these companies, calling them "AI companies"[1] instead. While these companies may have once been primarily research laboratories, they are no longer so. Continuing to call them labs makes them sound like harmless groups focused on pushing the frontier of human knowledge, when in reality they are profit-seeking corporations focused on building products and capturing value in the marketplace.</p><p> Laboratories do not directly [...]</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 24th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Ap6E2aEFGiHWf5v5x/stop-calling-them-labs?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Ap6E2aEFGiHWf5v5x/stop-calling-them-labs</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> My name is Keyvan, and I lead Anima International's work in France. Our organization went through a major transformation in 2024. I want to share that journey with you.</p><p> Anima International in France used to be known as Assiettes Végétales (‘Plant-Based Plates’). We focused entirely on introducing and promoting vegetarian and plant-based meals in collective catering. Today, as Anima, our mission is to put an end to the use of cages for laying hens.</p><p> These changes come after a thorough evaluation of our previous campaign, assessing 94 potential new interventions, making several difficult choices, and navigating emotional struggles. We hope that by sharing our experience, we can help others who find themselves in similar situations. So let me walk you through how the past twelve months have unfolded for us. </p><p> The French team</p><p><strong> Act One: What we did as Assiettes Végétales</strong></p><p> Since 2018, we worked with the local [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:13) Act One: What we did as Assiettes Végétales</p><p>(03:55) Act Two: The moment we realized we needed to measure our impact more precisely</p><p>(05:12) Act Three: The evaluation</p><p>(07:23) Act Four: Ending our previous campaign</p><p>(09:09) Act Five: Searching for a new intervention</p><p>(11:30) Act Six: The struggle to choose</p><p>(14:11) Act Seven: The strengths of the cage-free campaign</p><p>(16:34) Conclusion - Where we stand today</p> <p><i>The original text contained 10 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 22nd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/ditching-what-we-are-good-at-a-change-of-course-for-anima?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/ditching-what-we-are-good-at-a-change-of-course-for-anima</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/k0lbgkrtc1jmq0stjna1" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/k0lbgkrtc1jmq0stjna1" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/rnhohey2srqbneydvrs5" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/rnhohey2srqbneydvrs5" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/qnjp5rk8fecfldtu3gh2" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/qnjp5rk8fecfldtu3gh2" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/bu3uc0kxtztbx2mzzqde" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/bu3uc0kxtztbx2mzzqde" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/unc0fkkr3novrvellkjk" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/vfADxsPECqcbd3vs6/unc0fkkr3novrvellkjk" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

This is a link post.<p> I wrote this to try to explain the key thing going on with AI right now to a broader audience. Feedback welcome.</p><p> Most people think of AI as a pattern-matching chatbot – good at writing emails, terrible at real thinking.</p><p> They've missed something huge.</p><p> In 2024, while many declared AI was reaching a plateau, it was actually entering a new paradigm: learning to reason using reinforcement learning.</p><p> This approach isn’t limited by data, so could deliver beyond-human capabilities in coding and scientific reasoning within two years.</p><p> Here's a simple introduction to how it works, and why it's the most important development that most people have missed.</p><p><strong> The new paradigm: reinforcement learning</strong></p><p> People sometimes say “chatGPT is just next token prediction on the internet”. But that's never been quite true.</p><p> Raw next token prediction produces outputs that are regularly crazy.</p><p> GPT only became useful with the [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:51) The new paradigm: reinforcement learning</p><p>(02:32) Reasoning models breakthroughs</p><p>(04:09) A new rate of progress?</p><p>(07:53) Why this is just the beginning</p><p>(11:02) Two more accelerants</p><p>(16:12) The key thing to watch: AI doing AI research</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 13th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZuWcG3W3rEBxLceWj/teaching-ai-to-reason-this-year-s-most-important-story?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ZuWcG3W3rEBxLceWj/teaching-ai-to-reason-this-year-s-most-important-story</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a2bca85-3313-4534-b077-07b5e07ed2a4_876x230.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5a2bca85-3313-4534-b077-07b5e07ed2a4_876x230.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2a08efe-6a71-459c-9f69-07757299c8e5_1600x900.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe2a08efe-6a71-459c-9f69-07757299c8e5_1600x900.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbbffc742-b705-4ff8-9308-fc6ec62d8422_1456x724.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbbffc742-b705-4ff8-9308-fc6ec62d8422_1456x724.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F36f2ed68-3638-4695-aaa0-d24d27672b0c_1102x861.png" target="_blank"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F36f2ed68-3638-4695-aaa0-d24d27672b0c_1102x861.png" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_lim

<p> When we built a calculator to help meat-eaters offset the animal welfare impact of their diet through donations (like carbon offsets), we didn't expect it to become one of our most effective tools for engaging new donors.</p><p> </p><p> In this post we explain how it works, why it seems particularly promising for increasing support for farmed animal charities, and what you can do to support this work if you think it's worthwhile. In the comments I’ll also share our answers to some frequently asked questions and concerns some people have when thinking about the idea of an ‘animal welfare offset’.</p><p><strong> Background</strong></p><p> FarmKind is a donation platform whose mission is to support the animal movement by raising funds from the general public for some of the most effective charities working to fix factory farming.</p><p> When we built our platform, we directionally estimated how much a donation to each of our [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:50) Background</p><p>(01:41) What it is and what it isn't</p><p>(02:38) How it works</p><p>(04:24) Why this is a promising way to encourage effective giving for animals</p><p>(06:46) Case study: Bentham's Bulldog</p><p>(07:30) How is this actionable for you?</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 11th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/nGQRBWyCAbcEYSyLL/using-a-diet-offset-calculator-to-encourage-effective-giving?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/nGQRBWyCAbcEYSyLL/using-a-diet-offset-calculator-to-encourage-effective-giving</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXeG479F1n3mp8oVvK1KCmfsKIrCZxV0UoagrlK6_c7-eDtnhSa7TnfLB9yyAwhNBbRzmlRlHrhm-MfccnC2wgUdtInkalG6owa-2lHmxqoP0GCvHdFHCHo-EI9XrnsgJIIm73LDJA?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXeG479F1n3mp8oVvK1KCmfsKIrCZxV0UoagrlK6_c7-eDtnhSa7TnfLB9yyAwhNBbRzmlRlHrhm-MfccnC2wgUdtInkalG6owa-2lHmxqoP0GCvHdFHCHo-EI9XrnsgJIIm73LDJA?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXfXCfwDtTfyFW4x2yuFdIn-gwKT-Ei7Fn5DjgnTq-Q6i0LJx5sFbkD3ccr0cJfqfBijw81bBSR91ZJRk27EoGV75rjsN6YOOCxDFjtM1IaOj5fLjtNk1gaFDxJXVRJzHXgTscFDkQ?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXfXCfwDtTfyFW4x2yuFdIn-gwKT-Ei7Fn5DjgnTq-Q6i0LJx5sFbkD3ccr0cJfqfBijw81bBSR91ZJRk27EoGV75rjsN6YOOCxDFjtM1IaOj5fLjtNk1gaFDxJXVRJzHXgTscFDkQ?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcA6iqPbVtFaoC-_LqkgnV0mLTe3WBg3W3UPsjJV22SX_gmAQiKHp9b9nanqu3DqumXYV59wc3jgR2w_mRJkqJ05GABZH4-qTqxsEGvE5PAC48o3ZfJiS9j3L0FQmXEzYA3OrVoMg?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcA6iqPbVtFaoC-_LqkgnV0mLTe3WBg3W3UPsjJV22SX_gmAQiKHp9b9nanqu3DqumXYV59wc3jgR2w_mRJkqJ05GABZH4-qTqxsEGvE5PAC48o3ZfJiS9j3L0FQmXEzYA3OrVoMg?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXckJmb3TbzT1tw3HcyR5cvM7E47f39_7DJWM8GAYLhKiH_64gc9x765ZN8UlhOIoubCf3ApQ6XuYZIccued7UW1yhMrZFIGHldIaEt_GQnSkR1OBTC4aGsICD1Vm-9RdS8urHwAsA?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXckJmb3TbzT1tw3HcyR5cvM7E47f39_7DJWM8GAYLhKiH_64gc9x765ZN8UlhOIoubCf3ApQ6XuYZIccued7UW1yhMrZFIGHldIaEt_GQnSkR1OBTC4aGsICD1Vm-9RdS8urHwAsA?key=XnTGNwrKVbFW0UWsmu1oOlmP" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode des

This is a link post.<p> This is the full text of a post from "The Obsolete Newsletter," a Substack that I write about the intersection of capitalism, geopolitics, and artificial intelligence. I’m a freelance journalist and the author of a forthcoming book called Obsolete: Power, Profit, and the Race to build Machine Superintelligence. Consider subscribing to stay up to date with my work.</p><p> Wow. The Wall Street Journal just reported that, "a consortium of investors led by Elon Musk is offering $97.4 billion to buy the nonprofit that controls OpenAI."</p><p> Technically, they can't actually do that, so I'm going to assume that Musk is trying to buy all of the nonprofit's assets, which include governing control over OpenAI's for-profit, as well as all the profits above the company's profit caps.</p><p> OpenAI CEO Sam Altman already tweeted, "no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want." [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(02:44) The control premium</p><p>(04:19) Conversion significance</p><p>(05:45) Musks suit</p><p>(09:26) The stakes</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> February 11th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7iopGPmtEmubSFSP3/why-did-elon-musk-just-offer-to-buy-control-of-openai-for?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7iopGPmtEmubSFSP3/why-did-elon-musk-just-offer-to-buy-control-of-openai-for</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> The Center on Long-Term Risk (CLR) does research and community building aimed at reducing s-risk. </p><p> Jesse Clifton is stepping down as CLR's Executive Director. He’ll be succeeded by Tristan Cook as Managing Director and Mia Taylor as Interim Research Director. [1]</p><p><strong> Statement from Jesse</strong></p><p> Over the past year or so, I’ve become increasingly convinced by arguments that we are clueless about the sign (in terms of expected total suffering reduced) of interventions aimed at reducing s-risk. (And I think it's plausible that we should consider ourselves clueless about interventions aimed at improved expected total welfare, generally.) The other researchers on CLR's Conceptual Research team[2] have come to a similar view,[3] but not the other staff or the board, who are still positive on the pre-cluelessness priorities. </p><p> Given this, I don’t think it makes sense for me to lead CLR. So, for now, I’ll be transitioning to working [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:25) Statement from Jesse</p><p>(03:06) Statement from Mia and Tristan</p> <p><i>The original text contained 6 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 31st, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/YE3tdpE6JdiWRqqKx/leadership-change-at-the-center-on-long-term-risk?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/YE3tdpE6JdiWRqqKx/leadership-change-at-the-center-on-long-term-risk</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

This is a link post.<p> Note: This post was crossposted from the United States of Exception Substack by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.</p>A good and wholesome K-strategist.<p> I am a climate change catastrophist, but I’m not like all the others. I don’t think climate change is going to wipe out all life on Earth (as 35% of Americans say they believe) or end the human race (as 31% believe). Nor do I think it's going to end human life on Earth but that human beings will continue to exist somewhere else in the universe (which at least 4% of Americans would logically have to believe). Nevertheless, I think global warming is among the worst things in the world — if not #1 — and addressing it should be among our top priorities.</p><p> Friend of the blog [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 28th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/climate-change-is-worse-than-factory-farming?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/climate-change-is-worse-than-factory-farming</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/dxjvjhwawvcahpeqz4s8" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/dxjvjhwawvcahpeqz4s8" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/fv4amzwahnisgctpz5tv" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/gBSmkRjYLcAvNPoDs/fv4amzwahnisgctpz5tv" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p><strong> Introduction</strong></p><p> Several developments over the past few months should cause you to re-evaluate what you are doing. These include:</p><ol> <li> Updates toward short timelines</li><li> The Trump presidency</li><li> The o1 (inference-time compute scaling) paradigm</li><li> Deepseek</li><li> Stargate/AI datacenter spending</li><li> Increased internal deployment</li><li> Absence of AI x-risk/safety considerations in mainstream AI discourse</li></ol><p> Taken together, these are enough to render many existing AI governance strategies obsolete (and probably some technical safety strategies too). There's a good chance we're entering crunch time and that should absolutely affect your theory of change and what you plan to work on.</p><p> In this piece I try to give a quick summary of these developments and think through the broader implications these have for AI safety. At the end of the piece I give some quick initial thoughts on how these developments affect what safety-concerned folks should be prioritizing. These are early days and I expect many of [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:06) Introduction</p><p>(01:21) Implications of recent developments</p><p>(01:25) Updates toward short timelines</p><p>(04:26) The Trump Presidency</p><p>(07:34) The o1 paradigm</p><p>(09:23) Deepseek</p><p>(12:08) Stargate/AI data center spending</p><p>(13:11) Increased internal deployment</p><p>(15:43) Absence of AI x-risk/safety considerations in mainstream AI discourse</p><p>(17:13) Implications for strategic priorities</p><p>(17:18) Broader implications for US-China competition</p><p>(19:33) What seems less likely to work?</p><p>(20:56) What should people concerned about AI safety do now?</p><p>(24:01) Acknowledgements</p> <p><i>The original text contained 13 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 28th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JN3kHaiosmdA7kgNY/the-game-board-has-been-flipped-now-is-a-good-time-to?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JN3kHaiosmdA7kgNY/the-game-board-has-been-flipped-now-is-a-good-time-to</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Edit 1/29: Funding is back, baby! </p><p> Crossposted from my blog. </p><p> (This could end up being the most important thing I’ve ever written. Please like and restack it—if you have a big blog, please write about it).</p><p> A mother holds her sick baby to her chest. She knows he doesn’t have long to live. She hears him coughing—those body-wracking coughs—that expel mucus and phlegm, leaving him desperately gasping for air. He is just a few months old. And yet that's how old he will be when he dies.</p><p> The aforementioned scene is likely to become increasingly common in the coming years. Fortunately, there is still hope.</p><p> Trump recently signed an executive order shutting off almost all foreign aid. Most terrifyingly, this included shutting off the PEPFAR program—the single most successful foreign aid program in my lifetime. PEPFAR provides treatment and prevention of HIV and AIDS—it has saved about [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 27th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/BRqBvkjskZ6c2G6rn/the-upcoming-pepfar-cut-will-kill-millions-many-of-them?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/BRqBvkjskZ6c2G6rn/the-upcoming-pepfar-cut-will-kill-millions-many-of-them</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/BRqBvkjskZ6c2G6rn/i5ynmsxqtlnh6tb7maqu" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/BRqBvkjskZ6c2G6rn/hfrck35rcybzegoty5jc" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> In 2023[1] GiveWell raised $355 million - $100 million from Open Philanthropy, and $255 million from other donors.</p><p> In their post on 10th April 2023, GiveWell forecast the amount they expected to raise in 2023, albeit with wide confidence intervals, and stated that their 10th percentile estimate for total funds raised was $416 million, and 10th percentile estimate for funds raised outside of Open Philanthropy was $260 million.</p> 10th percentile estimateMedian estimateAmount raisedTotal$416 million$581 million$355 millionExcluding Open Philanthropy$260 million$330 million$255 million<p> Regarding Open Philanthropy, the April 2023 post states that they "tentatively plans to give $250 million in 2023", however Open Philanthropy gave a grant of $300 million to cover 2023-2025, to be split however GiveWell saw fit, and it used $100 million of that grant in 2023.</p><p> However for other donors I'm not sure what caused the missed estimate</p><p> Credit to 'Arnold' on GiveWell's December 2024 Open Thread for [...]</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 19th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/RdbDH4T8bxWwZpc9h/givewell-raised-less-than-its-10th-percentile-forecast-in?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/RdbDH4T8bxWwZpc9h/givewell-raised-less-than-its-10th-percentile-forecast-in</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> Note: This post was crossposted from the Open Philanthropy Farm Animal Welfare Research Newsletter by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.</p><p> They’re imperfect agents of change</p><p> The world's three largest animal welfare groups are under attack. Their antagonists are not factory farmers, but other animal groups. And the ASPCA, HSUS, and RSPCA stand accused not of hurting farmers, but of hurting animals, through their work with GAP and RSPCA Assured, which certify animal products as being less cruelly produced.</p><p> The attacks began last summer when the UK animal rights group Animal Rising released a report and footage showing abuses on RSPCA Assured farms. They’ve since forced the RSPCA to cancel its 200th year celebrations, plastered portraits of RSPCA patron King Charles, and persuaded the ceremonial president and two vice-presidents of the RSPCA to resign in protest. [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 24th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/in-defense-of-the-certifiers?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/in-defense-of-the-certifiers</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/v4umzcooo1ml5ikmaxmo" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/v4umzcooo1ml5ikmaxmo" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/eqyy6oehuhgygfp4hqry" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/eqyy6oehuhgygfp4hqry" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/rja6vbaf90qjycxdci2g" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/np6vRZvsWgF5rq5W7/rja6vbaf90qjycxdci2g" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> In recent years, many in the Effective Altruism community have shifted to working on AI risks, reflecting the growing consensus that AI will profoundly shape our future. </p><p> In response to this significant shift, there have been efforts to preserve a "principles-first EA" approach, or to give special thought into how to support non-AI causes. This has often led to discussions being framed around "AI Safety vs. everything else". And it feels like the community is somewhat divided along the following lines:</p><ol> <li> Those working on AI Safety, because they believe that transformative AI is coming.</li><li> Those focusing on other causes, implicitly acting as if transformative AI is not coming.[1]</li></ol><p> Instead of framing priorities this way, I believe it would be valuable for more people to adopt a mindset that assumes transformative AI is likely coming and asks: What should we work on in light of that?</p><p> If we [...]</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 22nd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/psNGNSoJpXRodmDSg/preparing-effective-altruism-for-an-ai-transformed-world?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/psNGNSoJpXRodmDSg/preparing-effective-altruism-for-an-ai-transformed-world</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> This post is my personal perspective. I’m sure that my colleagues on the Forum Team and at CEA disagree with parts of this. However, since I am the Interim EA Forum Project Lead, I recognize that my opinions and beliefs carry extra weight. I’m very happy to receive feedback and push back from others, since I believe that my decisions matter a fair amount. You’re welcome to reply to this post, DM me, find me at EAG Bay Area, contact our team, or leave our team anonymous feedback here.</p><p> When I took the role of Interim EA Forum Project Lead in late August 2024, I spent some time investigating where the Forum was at and thinking about what (if anything) our team should prioritize working on. Over the course of 2024 (and indeed, since early 2023), Forum usage metrics have steadily gone down[1]. My subjective opinion was that the [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:26) The Forum Team as community builders</p><p>(05:45) What does the best version of the Forum community look like?</p><p>(07:25) We're not there yet</p><p>(09:51) What is the Forum Team doing?</p><p>(12:01) What are we not doing?</p><p>(13:00) How you can help</p><p>(14:31) Appendix: The value of the Forum</p> <p><i>The original text contained 27 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 13th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wpDGEXjAtHJa2eCFA/what-are-we-doing-about-the-ea-forum-jan-2025?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wpDGEXjAtHJa2eCFA/what-are-we-doing-about-the-ea-forum-jan-2025</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> As 2024 draws to a close, I’m reflecting on the work and stories that inspired me this year: those from the effective altruism community, those I found out about through EA-related channels, and those otherwise related to EA.</p><p> I’ve appreciated the celebration of wins and successes over the past few years from @Shakeel Hashim's posts in 2022 and 2023. As @Lizka and @MaxDalton put very well in a post in 2022:</p><p> We often have high standards in effective altruism. This seems absolutely right: our work matters, so we must constantly strive to do better.</p><p> But we think that it's really important that the effective altruism community celebrate successes:</p><ul> <li> If we focus too much on failures, we incentivize others/ourselves to minimize the risk of failure, and we will probably be too risk averse.</li><li> We're humans: we're more motivated if we celebrate things that have gone well.</li></ul><p> Rather than attempting [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(01:51) What progress in the world did you find exciting?</p><p>(03:11) What individual stories inspired you?</p><p>(04:26) What popular media or articles did you appreciate?</p><p>(05:37) What writing from this year did you appreciate or find compelling?</p><p>(06:15) What made you grateful or excited to be involved in or related to effective altruism?</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> December 31st, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SkfMyerJ5bGK7scnW/what-i-m-celebrating-from-ea-and-adjacent-work-in-2024?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SkfMyerJ5bGK7scnW/what-i-m-celebrating-from-ea-and-adjacent-work-in-2024</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/SkfMyerJ5bGK7scnW/xohsqhet4qxtbb5q9eua" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/SkfMyerJ5bGK7scnW/xohsqhet4qxtbb5q9eua" alt="" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> Until recently I thought Julia and I were digging a bit into savings to donate more. With the tighter funding climate for effective altruism we thought it was worth spending down a bit, especially considering that our expenses should decrease significantly in 1.5y when our youngest starts kindergarten. </p><p> I was surprised, then, when I ran the numbers and realized that despite donating 50% of a reduced income, we were $9k (0.5%) [1] richer than when I left Google two years earlier. </p> <p> This is a good problem to have! After thinking it over for the last month, however, I've decided to start earning less: I've asked for a voluntary salary reduction of $15k/y (10%). [2] This is something I've been thinking about off and on since I started working at a non-profit: it's much more efficient to reduce your salary than it is to make a donation. [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 15th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3TLTrJS2DZJ5mcrkc/voluntary-salary-reduction?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/3TLTrJS2DZJ5mcrkc/voluntary-salary-reduction</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>

<p> It's time once again for EA Forum Wrapped 🎁, a summary of how you used the Forum in 2024 [1].</p>Open your EA Forum Wrapped<p> Thank you for being a part of our community this year! :)</p> <p><i>The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 3rd, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Xem5o4iRHMSduNcPu/your-2024-ea-forum-wrapped?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Xem5o4iRHMSduNcPu/your-2024-ea-forum-wrapped</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/Xem5o4iRHMSduNcPu/d5sdhezlolz5icr1gcsg" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/Xem5o4iRHMSduNcPu/d5sdhezlolz5icr1gcsg" alt="" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> Cross-posted from Otherwise. Most EAs won't find these arguments new.</p><p> Last month, Emma Goldberg wrote a NYT piece contrasting effective altruism with approaches that refuse to quantify meaningful experiences. The piece indicates that effective altruism is creepily numbers-focused. Goldberg asks “what if charity shouldn’t be optimized?”</p><p><strong> The egalitarian answer</strong></p><p> Dylan Matthews gives a try at answering a question in the piece: “How can anyone put a numerical value on a holy space” like Notre Dame cathedral? For the $760 million spent restoring the cathedral, he estimates you could prevent 47,500 deaths from malaria.</p><p> “47,500 people is about five times the population of the town I grew up in. . . . It's useful to imagine walking down Main Street, stopping at each table at the diner Lou's, shaking hands with as many people as you can, and telling them, ‘I think you need to die to make a cathedral [...]</p> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:29) The egalitarian answer</p><p>(01:16) Who prefers magnificence?</p><p>(03:10) Inequality has its benefits</p><p>(04:34) Is there enough for everybody to have access to the finer things?</p><p>(05:37) The balance of good and bad</p><p>(06:33) Both sides have ugly aspects</p><p>(07:04) These aren't the only choices</p><p>(08:58) Related:</p> <p><i>The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 13th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TiFeCBxKj79bohoDY/the-ugly-sides-of-two-approaches-to-charity?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TiFeCBxKj79bohoDY/the-ugly-sides-of-two-approaches-to-charity</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXexzTOBjZ59WqR6CkRjCMX84F5vRX4Ep5vf2j2NW90S7jQz_NLoarP_BXPDYCMPmUn-dbiAn3nrEhpW8w1vqVyJ9xBQP4u697sq_MEraHeec9epK5pXZ9Y5pf7QnMqX1SjgCwPv0Q?key=Gq44g3lmAmYd9DNLV7FzSEpi" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXexzTOBjZ59WqR6CkRjCMX84F5vRX4Ep5vf2j2NW90S7jQz_NLoarP_BXPDYCMPmUn-dbiAn3nrEhpW8w1vqVyJ9xBQP4u697sq_MEraHeec9epK5pXZ9Y5pf7QnMqX1SjgCwPv0Q?key=Gq44g3lmAmYd9DNLV7FzSEpi" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://i0.wp.com/juliawise.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/sagrada.jpg?resize=925%2C694&ssl=1" target="_blank"><img src="https://i0.wp.com/juliawise.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/sagrada.jpg?resize=925%2C694&ssl=1" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcHORH_jxwAQWgeXYHF10X0sWTXQnMOx4-KWMpJYLVQjuHCCb-X_zPsYMUSd2cLnOssfcQXQBrtm5vxqhbT_saH8Dosvcfd8JUBI7d7hbh_7ltU8S-7TwPr652aEvgqr5qIjEy2tg?key=Gq44g3lmAmYd9DNLV7FzSEpi" target="_blank"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcHORH_jxwAQWgeXYHF10X0sWTXQnMOx4-KWMpJYLVQjuHCCb-X_zPsYMUSd2cLnOssfcQXQBrtm5vxqhbT_saH8Dosvcfd8JUBI7d7hbh_7ltU8S-7TwPr652aEvgqr5qIjEy2tg?key=Gq44g3lmAmYd9DNLV7FzSEpi" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> Poker pro, art collector, photographer, investor, AI researcher, chronic website creator, endless traveller, and omnipresent volunteer in nascent things. An independent and an invariant.</p><p> I briefly worked with him on an accountability partner service. We had funding but he never invoiced me. Every time I called him he was somewhere else on Earth. Senegal, Israel, Nepal, Egypt. He spent 13 straight months travelling in 2017-8.</p><p> He wasn't much of a writer - you won't find him on here - but he had started. What suddenly turned out to be his final projects were Poker Camp, Hold'LLM, and Bet Mitzvah, an unwritten book on probability and instrumental reason.</p><p> Here are some pieces about him from people who knew him much better than me. I expect there to be more.</p><ul> <li> https://andrew.gr/stories/chisness/</li><li> https://x.com/chisness</li><li> https://blog.rossry.net/chisness/</li><li> https://redeniusfuneralhomes.com/obituary/max-chiswick/</li><li> https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/29/news-views-gossip/remembering-life-max-chiswick-aka-chisness-legacy-far-beyond-poker-tables-1844405/</li><li> https://oldjewishmen.substack.com/p/bhif-old-jewish-men-loses-a-friend </li></ul><p> </p><p> His last commit was on the 22nd December. He died of malaria on [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 13th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/max-chiswick-1985-2025?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/max-chiswick-1985-2025</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/nh97jo1zilqiqpyp6hg2" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/nh97jo1zilqiqpyp6hg2" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><hr style="margin-top: 24px; margin-bottom: 24px;" /><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/rainlbhwhmqyqjxsnlrq" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/r9fJ26ca5cneY3hA8/rainlbhwhmqyqjxsnlrq" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>

<p> I can’t recall the last time I read a book in one sitting, but that's what happened with Moral Ambition by bestselling author Rutger Bregman. I read the German edition, though it's also available in Dutch. An English release is slated for May.</p><p> The book opens with the statement: “The greatest waste of our times is the waste of talent.” From there, Bregman builds a compelling case for privileged individuals to leave their “bullshit jobs” and tackle the world's most pressing challenges. He weaves together narratives spanning historical movements like abolitionism, suffrage, and civil rights through to contemporary initiatives such as Against Malaria Foundation, Charity Entrepreneurship, LEEP, and the Shrimp Welfare Project.</p><p> If you’ve been engaged with EA ideas, much of this will sound familiar, but I initially didn’t expect to enjoy the book as much as I did. However, Bregman's skill as a storyteller and his knack for [...]</p> <p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> January 9th, 2025 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ooK2FABokexBbXifJ/thoughts-on-moral-ambition-by-rutger-bregman?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ooK2FABokexBbXifJ/thoughts-on-moral-ambition-by-rutger-bregman</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p>