“Where I Am Donating in 2024” by MichaelDickens

<p><strong> Summary</strong></p> <p> It's been a while since I last put serious thought into where to donate. Well I'm putting thought into it this year and I'm changing my mind on some things.</p> <p> I now put more priority on existential risk (especially AI risk), and less on animal welfare and global priorities research. I believe I previously gave too little consideration to x-risk for emotional reasons, and I've managed to reason myself out of those emotions.</p> <p> Within x-risk:</p> <ul> <li> AI is the most important source of risk.</li> <li> There is a disturbingly high probability that alignment research won't solve alignment by the time superintelligent AI arrives. Policy work seems more promising.</li> <li> Specifically, I am most optimistic about policy advocacy for government regulation to pause/slow down AI development.</li> </ul> <p> In the rest of this post, I will explain:</p> <ol> <li> Why I prioritize x-risk over animal-focused [...]</li></ol> <p>---</p><p><strong>Outline:</strong></p><p>(00:04) Summary</p><p>(01:30) I dont like donating to x-risk</p><p>(03:56) Cause prioritization</p><p>(04:00) S-risk research and animal-focused longtermism</p><p>(05:52) X-risk vs. global priorities research</p><p>(07:01) Prioritization within x-risk</p><p>(08:08) AI safety technical research vs. policy</p><p>(11:36) Quantitative model on research vs. policy</p><p>(14:20) Man versus man conflicts within AI policy</p><p>(15:13) Parallel safety/capabilities vs. slowing AI</p><p>(22:56) Freedom vs. regulation</p><p>(24:24) Slow nuanced regulation vs. fast coarse regulation</p><p>(27:02) Working with vs. against AI companies</p><p>(32:49) Political diplomacy vs. advocacy</p><p>(33:38) Conflicts that arent man vs. man but nonetheless require an answer</p><p>(33:55) Pause vs. Responsible Scaling Policy (RSP)</p><p>(35:28) Policy research vs. policy advocacy</p><p>(36:42) Advocacy directed at policy-makers vs. the general public</p><p>(37:32) Organizations</p><p>(39:36) Important disclaimers</p><p>(40:56) AI Policy Institute</p><p>(42:03) AI Safety and Governance Fund</p><p>(43:29) AI Standards Lab</p><p>(43:59) Campaign for AI Safety</p><p>(44:30) Centre for Enabling EA Learning and Research (CEEALAR)</p><p>(45:13) Center for AI Policy</p><p>(47:27) Center for AI Safety</p><p>(49:06) Center for Human-Compatible AI</p><p>(49:32) Center for Long-Term Resilience</p><p>(55:52) Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET)</p><p>(57:33) Centre for Long-Term Policy</p><p>(58:12) Centre for the Governance of AI</p><p>(59:07) CivAI</p><p>(01:00:05) Control AI</p><p>(01:02:08) Existential Risk Observatory</p><p>(01:03:33) Future of Life Institute (FLI)</p><p>(01:03:50) Future Society</p><p>(01:06:27) Horizon Institute for Public Service</p><p>(01:09:36) Institute for AI Policy and Strategy</p><p>(01:11:00) Lightcone Infrastructure</p><p>(01:12:30) Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI)</p><p>(01:15:22) Manifund</p><p>(01:16:28) Model Evaluation and Threat Research (METR)</p><p>(01:17:45) Palisade Research</p><p>(01:19:10) PauseAI Global</p><p>(01:21:59) PauseAI US</p><p>(01:23:09) Sentinel rapid emergency response team</p><p>(01:24:52) Simon Institute for Longterm Governance</p><p>(01:25:44) Stop AI</p><p>(01:27:42) Where Im donating</p><p>(01:28:57) Prioritization within my top five</p><p>(01:32:17) Where Im donating (this is the section in which I actually say where Im donating)</p> <p><i>The original text contained 58 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.</i> </p><p>---</p> <p><b>First published:</b><br/> November 19th, 2024 </p> <p><b>Source:</b><br/> <a href="https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/jAfhxWSzsw4pLypRt/where-i-am-donating-in-2024?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Source+URL+in+episode+description&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/jAfhxWSzsw4pLypRt/where-i-am-donating-in-2024</a> </p> <p>---</p> <p>Narrated by <a href="https://type3.audio/?utm_source=TYPE_III_AUDIO&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_content=Narrated+by+TYPE+III+AUDIO&utm_term=ea_forum&utm_campaign=ai_narration" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">TYPE III AUDIO</a>.</p> <p>---</p><div style="max-width: 100%";><p><strong>Images from the article:</strong></p><a href="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/jAfhxWSzsw4pLypRt/wrdb6mh91abolyoiwjce" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/cea/image/upload/f_auto,q_auto/v1/mirroredImages/jAfhxWSzsw4pLypRt/wrdb6mh91abolyoiwjce" alt="undefined" style="max-width: 100%;" /></a><p><em>Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try <a href="https://pocketcasts.com/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Pocket Casts</a>, or another podcast app.</em></p></div>