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Thoughts on the Market

Thoughts on the Market

1,655 episodes — Page 32 of 34

Ep 105Michael Zezas: Do Incumbents Always Win with a Strong Economy?

On today's episode, How reliable is the maxim that a good economy means a presidential incumbent re-election? Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas looks at history.

Jan 22, 20202 min

Ep 104Mike Wilson: Pressure Testing the Bull Case

On today's episode, Progress on trade and Brexit, upbeat sentiment and central bank support have investors optimistic on the bull case narrative. Even so, it’s worth a quick inspection for surprises.

Jan 21, 20203 min

Ep 103Andrew Sheets: Remember Fundamentals?

On today's episode, Central bank support and low interest rates helped drive markets higher in 2019 despite lackluster earnings. But 2020 could remind investors why earnings trends are still what matters.

Jan 17, 20202 min

Ep 102Michael Zezas: The Other Concern for U.S. Trade

On today's episode, Although negotiations are progressing for U.S-China trade, investors shouldn’t overlook possible tensions with another key trading region: The EU.

Jan 15, 20202 min

Ep 101Jonathan Garner: An Underappreciated Turnaround Story?

Jonathan Garner, Chief Asia and Emerging Markets equity strategist kicks off his premiere episode with what is likely the most interesting—and overlooked—turnaround story in equity markets.

Jan 14, 20203 min

Ep 100Mike Wilson: The Other Type of Income Inequality

On today's episode, Rising labor, regulatory and cyber security costs are weighing heavily on many small caps. Is corporate income inequality as urgent an issue as individual inequality?

Jan 13, 20203 min

Ep 99Andrew Sheets: Mapping the Future of Oil Prices

On today's episode, Geopolitical tensions have driven oil prices—and volatility—higher. But a quick glance at 2022 oil futures prices can tell us a lot about the market’s longer-term view.

Jan 10, 20202 min

Ep 98Michael Zezas: What’s Next on U.S.-China Trade?

On today's episode, As a Phase One trade deal nears completion, can investors worry less about the risks of tariff escalations? Not so fast, says head of U.S. public policy Michael Zezas.

Jan 8, 20201 min

Ep 97Mike Wilson: Weighing Fed Intervention, Geopolitics

On today's episode, As 2020 begins, central bank moves and reawakened geopolitical risk promise to be key market catalysts. Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson details the potential impact on portfolios.

Jan 7, 20203 min

Ep 96Andrew Sheets: A New Chapter for the United Kingdom

On today's episode, For three and a half years, Brexit has been a source of uncertainty for the United Kingdom and its markets. Now, with some business uncertainty reduced, a new narrative may be emerging.

Jan 3, 20203 min

Ep 95Mike Wilson: 2020 and the Return to Reflation

On today's episode, why escalating labor costs, deglobalization and central bank policies may mean positioning portfolios toward stocks that benefit from rising inflation.

Dec 23, 20194 min

Ep 94Andrew Sheets: 3 Lessons from 2019… for 2020

On today's episode, What important factors from 2019 could give investors context on the investing climate ahead? Consider valuations, policy and inflation.

Dec 20, 20193 min

Ep 93Michael Zezas: Markets Mull the “Phase One” Deal

On today's episode, What will the U.S-China “Phase One” trade deal mean for the global economy, corporate confidence and markets? Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas weighs in.

Dec 18, 20192 min

Ep 92Mike Wilson: A Trifecta of Positive Catalysts

On today's episode, A dovish Fed, progress on trade and a path toward a potentially orderly Brexit are driving global equities higher but how much of the global recovery is already priced?

Dec 16, 20193 min

Ep 91Andrew Sheets: 2020 Playbook: Analyzing the Bull Case

In this special two part bull/bear series, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets shares insight on the catalysts that could drive strong market returns in 2020.

Dec 13, 20192 min

Ep 90Special Episode: Manufacturing Data Sends an Upbeat Signal

On this episode with special guest Chetan Ahya, the firm’s Chief Global Economist, Trade tensions have put a damper on global manufacturing, but is the tide poised to turn after the first broad-based sentiment uptick in seven months?

Dec 12, 20192 min

Ep 89Michael Zezas: U.S.-China Trade: What Happens in 2020?

On today's episode, Although some reports have suggested progress on a phase one deal, markets are still seeking a clear signal forward on trade—and that means tackling the more difficult phase two deal.

Dec 11, 20192 min

Ep 88Mike Wilson: The Virtuous Circle of Excess Liquidity

On today's episode, Central banks seem likely to continue their balance sheet expansion into next year, driving lower volatility, more cash into equities… and some great expectations.

Dec 9, 20194 min

Ep 87Andrew Sheets: 2020 Playbook: Analyzing the Bear Case

In this special two part bull/bear series, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets shares insight on the catalysts that could hamper market returns in 2020.

Dec 6, 20192 min

Ep 86Michael Zezas: How Do Close U.S. Elections Affect Markets?

On today's episode, On average, election-year market performance varies by about 9% for elections that are narrow contests vs. elections with a clear frontrunner. So how could 2020 pan out?

Dec 4, 20191 min

Ep 85Mike Wilson: A Volatility Reprieve

On today's episode, Whether it's called quantitative easing or not, the recent expansion in central bank balance sheets is having a profound impact on volatility - Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson explains why.

Dec 2, 20194 min

Ep 84Michael Zezas: Optimism Over the U.S.-EU Auto Tariffs?

On today's episode, With a key deadline for U.S. tariffs on EU autos now past, could European stocks outperform in 2020? Head of Public Policy Michael Zezas shares some analysis.

Nov 27, 20191 min

Ep 83Mike Wilson: Global Reflation: To Be or Not to Be?

On this episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson explains why global reflation may be back—and could be a powerful longer-term theme for portfolio allocations.

Nov 25, 20194 min

Ep 82Andrew Sheets: Commodities Outlook 2020: Too Much of Everything?

On this episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says oversupply may spell headwinds for commodities in 2020 but there are exceptions.

Nov 22, 20192 min

Ep 81Michael Zezas: The 2020 Election: 4 Sectors to Watch

On this episode, Head of Public Policy Michael Zezas says performance in four key sectors could be a bellwether for how investors view the outcome of next year’s elections.

Nov 20, 20192 min

Ep 80Andrew Sheets: As Global Growth Improves, What to Watch

On this episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says global growth should pick up in 2020, but unevenly. The key for investors will be identifying the right opportunities.

Nov 18, 20193 min

Ep 79Andrew Sheets: Will Markets See End-of-Year Holiday Cheer?

On this episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets analyzes the historical phenomenon of the “end-of-year equities rally.” Will 2019 follow suit?

Nov 15, 20192 min

Ep 78Michael Zezas: The Power of Unified Government

On this episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says a potential boost to the U.S. economy has less to do with political parties than it does a unified policy vision.

Nov 13, 20192 min

Ep 77Mike Wilson: The Return of the Secular Bull Market?

On this episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson shares three reasons why equities markets have rallied over the past few months… and where they could go from here.

Nov 11, 20193 min

Ep 76Andrew Sheets: A Tough Road Ahead for the 60/40 Portfolio?

On this episode, Chief-Cross Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets continues his discussion on the 10-year outlook for the U.S. and Europe—and identifies the challenges ahead.

Nov 8, 20193 min

Ep 75Michael Zezas: The 2020 Election Outlook for Investors

On this episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says one thing has become clear as we approach 2020: Investors need to plan today for market reactions next year.

Nov 7, 20192 min

Ep 74Special Episode: Weighing a Global Growth Recovery

On this episode, special guest Chetan Ahya, the firm’s Chief Global Economist, says a global growth recovery could be possible in 2020… assuming two key forces align.

Nov 7, 20192 min

Ep 73Mike Wilson: Amid New Highs, Uncertainty Remains

On this episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says the jury may be out on whether we’re at a trough for the U.S. economy, but two international markets may hold promise for investors.

Nov 4, 20193 min

Ep 72Andrew Sheets: The Cost of Easy Policy: A 10 Year Outlook

On today's episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets takes a look at expected market returns over the next decade and explains how current policy affects future returns.

Nov 1, 20193 min

Ep 71Michael Zezas: How Do Markets View Major Policy Proposals? (Replay)

On today's episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas takes a look at transformative policy proposals by 2020 Presidential candidates. How could big policies like Medicare-for-All reshape markets?

Oct 30, 20192 min

Ep 70Mike Wilson: Are U.S. Equities Defying Gravity?

On today’s episode, a curious paradox: Although major indices are making new highs, many defensive stocks are leading the pack. Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson explains why.

Oct 28, 20193 min

Ep 69Andrew Sheets: Can Sentiment Alone Drive Markets Higher?

On today's episode, Optimism in markets has risen significantly over the past three weeks. But Chief-Across Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets asks, “Is optimism enough?”

Oct 25, 20193 min

Ep 68Michael Zezas: Could “Phase One” Be the Turning Point?

On this episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas explains why a global growth rebound could largely hinge on trade negotiations ahead of the December 15th tariffs.

Oct 23, 20191 min

Ep 67Mike Wilson: 5 Pockets of Opportunity for Equities Investors

On today's episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says investors may want to steer clear of expensive growth stocks in favor of some defensive and cheaper-priced stocks.

Oct 21, 20193 min

Ep 66Andrew Sheets: One Market We Feel Good About

On today’s episode, Chief Cross Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets highlights the one market in which the currency, government bonds and equities may all be solid defensive plays.

Oct 18, 20192 min

Ep 65Michael Zezas: A “Durable Pause” on U.S.-China Trade Tensions?

On today’s episode, Head of Public Policy Michael Zezas says unlike prior tariff pauses, the “phase one” agreement could have durability. However, much uncertainty remains.

Oct 16, 20192 min

Ep 64Mike Wilson: How Will the “Phase One” Trade Deal Impact Earnings?

On today's episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says the U.S.-China trade deal is a step in the right direction, but the real story is still the corporate profits outlook.

Oct 14, 20193 min

Ep 63Andrew Sheets: Is the Dollar Losing It’s Safe Haven Status?

On today's episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets explains how three of the dollar’s most attractive qualities could be shifting right before our eyes.

Oct 11, 20192 min

Ep 62Michael Zezas: The Key Variable in U.S.-China Trade Talks

On today's episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says when it comes to trade, movement toward a meaningful compromise will likely come down to one fundamental variable.

Oct 9, 20192 min

Ep 61Mike Wilson: An Unsatisfying Market for Bulls and Bears?

On today’s episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says both bulls and bears were likely a bit frustrated trying to trade last week's sell-off and rally. So what’s the next move for investors?

Oct 7, 20193 min

Ep 60Andrew Sheets: The 3 Most Powerful Market Indicators?

On today's episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says despite the myriad models used to assess the direction of markets, three simple indicators may be the most valuable.

Oct 4, 20193 min

Ep 59Michael Zezas: U.S.-China Trade: The Outlook for Fall

On today's episode, A number of trade-related events on the fall calendar could mean progress—or an escalation—on the trade impasse. Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas provides an overview.

Oct 2, 20192 min

Ep 58Special Series: U.S. Housing Faces a Generational Turning Point

On this special episode, Equity Analyst Richard Hill examines the coming seismic shift for investors as Baby Boomers pass the housing baton to Millennials and Generation Z.

Oct 1, 20193 min

Ep 57Mike Wilson: Are Markets Rethinking Pricey Growth Stocks?

On today’s episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson explains why markets may be having a change of heart on expensive—and sometimes unprofitable—growth stocks.

Sep 30, 20193 min

Ep 56Andrew Sheets: A Tale of Two Oil Price Spikes

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says oil prices tend to spike for two very different reasons and the distinction for investors is quite important.

Sep 27, 20192 min