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Thoughts on the Market

Thoughts on the Market

1,655 episodes — Page 33 of 34

Ep 55Michael Zezas: How Do Markets View Major Policy Proposals?

On today's episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas takes a look at transformative policy proposals by 2020 Presidential candidates. How could big policies like Medicare-for-All reshape markets?

Sep 25, 20191 min

Ep 54Special Series: Is NextGen Reinventing the Banking Experience?

On this special episode, Betsy Graseck, global head of banking research, explains how Millennials and Gen Z are reshaping the financial industry in their tech-savvy, mobile-first image.

Sep 24, 20194 min

Ep 53Mike Wilson: Looking Toward Q3 Earnings

On today’s podcast, investors are watching for progress on trade and signs of future Fed policy. But according to Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson, it still comes down to Q3 earnings season.

Sep 23, 20193 min

Ep 52Andrew Sheets: Are Lower Interest Rates Always Beneficial?

On today's episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says although lower interest rates help boost economic activity, the full impact is more complicated.

Sep 20, 20192 min

Ep 51Michael Zezas: Investors Look for Progress on U.S-China Trade

On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says a potential improvement in some key U.S. economic indicators will need real progress on trade—not just headlines.

Sep 18, 20192 min

Ep 50Special Series: Which Way is U.S. Spending Trending?

Which generations spend more: Boomers or Millennials/Gen Z? On this special episode, equity analyst Lauren Cassel takes a look at which sectors stand to gain in the years ahead.

Sep 17, 20192 min

Ep 49Mike Wilson: Value Stocks Have Their Moment

On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson dives into last week’s historic reversal between value and growth stocks. Can the value rally last?

Sep 16, 20193 min

Ep 48Andrew Sheets: Is There a Downside to Cutting Interest Rates?

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets asks the timely question, “If lower interest rates stimulate growth, why wouldn’t central banks lower them?”

Sep 13, 20192 min

Ep 47Special Series: From Baby Boom to Youth Boom

Is America’s next heyday ahead? On this special episode, Chief U.S. Economist Ellen Zentner explains why America’s youth may be set to power U.S. GDP in the coming years.

Sep 10, 20194 min

Ep 46Mike Wilson: Home on the Range Bound?

On today's podcast, Investors may be feeling some déjà vu as upbeat news on trade drives a new rally. Could markets break out this time or is another correction ahead? Analysis from Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson.

Sep 9, 20192 min

Ep 45Andrew Sheets: What Happens When the Price Isn’t Right?

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says as global growth weakens, investors tend to focus on the most desirable companies (which are already priced to perfection). So what does that mean for returns?

Sep 6, 20193 min

Ep 44Michael Zezas: Pondering a World of Unresolved Trade Issues

On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas takes a moment to consider the long-term effects regardless of whether or not the U.S. and China are unable to negotiate a meaningful trade arrangement.

Sep 4, 20191 min

Ep 43Mike Wilson: New Data Sends Concerning Signs for U.S. Stocks

On today's podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says a popular narrative forecasted a rebound for the second half of 2019. However, new data on lower U.S. factory activity could counter that expectation.

Sep 3, 20193 min

Ep 42Andrew Sheets: Title: Can Central Banks Cure Market Woes?

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets examines central bank actions to boost markets and the negative effects—intended or not—that these moves could have.

Aug 30, 20193 min

Ep 41Michael Zezas: U.S.-China Trade and “The Prisoner’s Dilemma” (Replay)

On today’s episode, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas explains why a key principle of game theory could help investors navigate markets amid rising trade tensions.

Aug 28, 20192 min

Ep 40Mike Wilson: On Recession Risks, Perspective Matters

On today’s podcast, would stock markets be full steam ahead with a healthy dose of Fed rate cuts or a lack of concerns over trade? Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson provides some much needed perspective on the rising risks of recession.

Aug 26, 20193 min

Ep 39Andrew Sheets: All Hail the U.S. Consumer?

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets dives into a key debate on the U.S. economy: How could the risk of recession be rising when consumer activity is so strong?

Aug 23, 20193 min

Ep 38Michael Zezas: Time to Rethink Allocations?

On today’s podcast: Amid a bond rally and stock volatility, August has been quite a ride. How should investors think about their allocations? Analysis from Michael Zezas, Head of Public Policy and Municipal Strategy.

Aug 21, 20192 min

Ep 37Mike Wilson: Back Next Week

Mike Wilson is off this week. Please check back Wednesday for more Thoughts on the Market. 

Aug 19, 20190 min

Ep 36Andrew Sheets: The Yield Curve Inverts for a Reason

On today’s podcast, Chief Across-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets shares three takeaways from this week’s inversion of the yield curve, historically the signal of a possible recession.

Aug 16, 20193 min

Ep 35Michael Zezas: The Story Behind Falling Bond Yields

On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy and Municipal Strategy Michael Zezas explains how the challenges facing U.S. farmers can provide insight on the current bond market.

Aug 14, 20192 min

Ep 34Mike Wilson: Navigating the Q3 Dog Days

On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson identifies several catalysts that could drive increased Q3 volatility. Are markets still facing a correction this quarter?

Aug 12, 20193 min

Ep 33Andrew Sheets: Can Central Banks Keep Up with Market Expectations?

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets looks at how the expectations markets are placing on central banks, as much as the actions of the banks themselves, are affecting outcomes.

Aug 9, 20193 min

Ep 32Michael Zezas: The Potential Impact of Lasting Tariffs

On this episode, Head of Public Policy Research Michael Zezas walks investors through the current impasse on U.S.-China trade. How might new tariffs heighten downside risks for the U.S. economy?

Aug 7, 20192 min

Ep 31Mike Wilson: Markets Face a “Sell the News” Moment

On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson asks whether the Fed rate cut and reemergence of trade tensions rattled markets or simply revealed the possibility of deteriorating fundamentals.

Aug 5, 20193 min

Ep 30Andrew Sheets: The Fed’s Great Expectations Quandary

On today's podcast, Markets met the Fed rate cut with a collective shrug. Could investor expectations make it harder for the Fed to succeed? Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets provides analysis.

Aug 2, 20193 min

Ep 29Michael Zezas: Trade Uncertainty and Corporate Confidence

On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas examines how continued trade policy uncertainty is weighing on corporate confidence and spending. Is a turning point ahead?

Jul 31, 20192 min

Ep 28Mike Wilson: Will the Fed Surprise on a Rate Cut?

On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson gauges the reaction to a potential Wednesday Fed rate cut. Have markets already priced in any rally?

Jul 29, 20193 min

Ep 27Special: Access & Opportunity Preview

Morgan Stanley's Carla Harris talks with Charles Hudson, founder and Managing Partner at Precursor Ventures, a seed-stage investor bringing an institutional perspective to startups in the earliest stages of their development.

Jul 26, 20194 min

Ep 26Michael Zezas: The Fed Rate Cut Debate for Bond Investors

On today’s podcast, Head of Public Policy and Municipal Strategy Michael Zezas considers the debate between the consensus view of a potential 25 basis point Fed rate cut vs a 50 basis point cut.

Jul 24, 20192 min

Ep 25Mike Wilson: Weighing a Potential Fed Rate Cut

On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says what matters for markets now isn't how much the Fed or other central banks could cut—but why they would cut.

Jul 22, 20193 min

Ep 24Andrew Sheets: 3 Consensus Views Worth Questioning

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-asset Strategist Andrew Sheets digs into three key debates around central bank policy expectations, valuations and investor sentiment.

Jul 19, 20194 min

Ep 23Michael Zezas: 2020 Election: How Likely Is Medicare-for-All?

On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy research Michael Zezas asks “Would a Democratic presidential win mean the end of the road for private health care insurance?

Jul 17, 20192 min

Ep 22Mike Wilson: For the S&P 500, Breaking Out Is Hard to Do

On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says a sustained breakout above 3,000 has eluded the S&P 500. Will the Fed’s potential rate cut be the catalyst?

Jul 15, 20194 min

Ep 21Andrew Sheets: A Second (and Third) Opinion for Equity Markets

On this episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets examines the models for stock performance, and how they are all leading to a similar conclusion. 

Jul 12, 20194 min

Ep 20Michael Zezas: Healthcare Reform - Here We Go Again?

On today’s podcast, as the 2020 Election nears, healthcare reform is a central debate once again. Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas shares potential outcomes for patients—and investors.

Jul 10, 20192 min

Ep 19Mike Wilson: 3 Summer Surprises Investors Could Be Missing

On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says markets are typically savvy on how and when to price news events. But are markets overlooking some potential bad news?

Jul 8, 20193 min

Ep 18Andrew Sheets: A Narrow Path

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says that while conditions could line up for market success, the variables that need to align are many and diverse.  

Jul 5, 20193 min

Ep 17Michael Zezas: How Markets View the Pause on Trade Tariffs

On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says a pause on trade tariffs should be good news for markets and growth, but is the path forward any clearer?

Jul 3, 20192 min

Ep 16Mike Wilson: A G20 Trade Truce?

On today’s podcast, markets are cheering this weekend’s pause on U.S.-China trade tensions. But is the potential progress enough to extend the longest business cycle in history?

Jul 1, 20193 min

Ep 15Andrew Sheets: What to Watch from the G20

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets shares three possible trade outcomes from the G20—and how markets may react to a pause on new tariffs.

Jun 28, 20193 min

Ep 14Michael Zezas: Indirect Impacts

In today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy strategy Michael Zezas discusses how the great debate playing out in markets around trade is about more than direct impacts.

Jun 26, 20193 min

Ep 13Mike Wilson: Are Markets Putting Stock in Trade?

With corporate confidence softening, could movement on U.S.-China trade at the G20 be the catalyst for growth in the second half of the year? Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson has analysis.

Jun 24, 20193 min

Ep 12Andrew Sheets: Let’s Say the Fed Cuts Rates in July…

Morgan Stanley's economics team now expects the Fed to cut interest rates by half a percent possibly as soon as July. On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets examines how markets could react.

Jun 21, 20193 min

Ep 11Michael Zezas: Three Possible Trade Paths from the G20

On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy strategy Michael Zezas says three likely U.S.-China trade scenarios will come out of the G20. But a tariff pause might be the trickiest for investors.

Jun 19, 20192 min

Ep 10Mike Wilson: How Confident Are U.S. Businesses in the Economy?

On today’s episode, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson shares a readout on the firm’s proprietary Business Conditions Index. Are the data softening more than investors realize?

Jun 17, 20193 min

Ep 9Andrew Sheets: The Dangers of Cheering for Weaker Data

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-asset Strategist Andrew Sheets provides a bit of historical perspective on the logic of rooting for weaker data and lower interest rates.

Jun 14, 20193 min

Ep 8Michael Zezas: Why ‘Slowbalization’ May Be Feeding Trade Tensions

Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas says that independent of current trade concerns, the trend toward globalized supply chains is fading, as companies respond both to political and market incentives.

Jun 12, 20193 min

Ep 7Mike Wilson: Why Trade Tensions Are Only Part of the Story

Investors and media have been hyper-focused on trade and Fed policymaking. But according to Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson, some key economic data points are the real story to watch.

Jun 10, 20193 min

Ep 6Andrew Sheets: For Markets, Signs, Signs, Everywhere Signs

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says that while discussion of a Fed rate cut may have helped markets rebound, several longer-term signals are troubling.

Jun 7, 20193 min