The Real Investment Show Podcast

(3/2/22) Russia surrounds Kiev, markets sell-off under continuing pressure, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell prepares to testify before Congress: His comments could provide the octane to spur markets higher...or... Markets are set to rally again after re-testing support in a bid to consolidate above January & October's lows. With sentiment decidedly dour, what is needed is good news, which could come from Fed Chair Jerome Powell in his remarks to Congress today and tomorrow. If he cites geopolitical risks as grounds for softening the Fed's stance on interest rates, that could provide markets a lift. A more hawkish stance could send stocks lower. This is why Bonds have been performing well, lately. The Atlanta Fed reports GDP growth at 0.0%; crude oil prices continue to rise, and the Russian aggression against Ukraine continues. Cryptocurrencies have triggered buy signals, with a nice uptick for Bitcoin as risk-off, risk-on scenarios play out. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pVrCSOBO40&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #MarketVolatility #Bonds #Oil #Inflation #Jerome Powell #Markets #Money #Investing

(3/1/22) Markets are holding-up, despite the distractions of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, but still remain in a downward trend. There is still possibility of Russian default on debt, with implications for Banking system. Markets are still skittish over liquidity, and looking for a reason to reflexively rally. Cryptocurrencies are being asked to block Russian transactions. Green agenda is being derailed as oil prices hit $100/bbl. Energy independence is a long-term security issue. The Houston Rodeo & Fat Tuesday; Now is the time to take profits in Energy Sector; why Technologies are next Big Thing. Preview & Commentary on Q-1 Reporting season. SEG-1: The Potential for Russian Debt Defaults, Banking Impact SEG-2: It's Not Easy Being Green SEG-3: Fat Tuesday, Rodeos, & the Consequences of Conflict SEG-1: The Potential for Russian Debt Defaults, Banking Impact Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DQAC3wBcJpo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What is the VIX Telling Us About a Rally in March? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QngsQcEUIz0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Economic Consequences of Putting the Squeeze on Putin" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jgnuj3xILj4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #Energy #Oil #SWIFT #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

(3/1/22) Markets are opening lower over concerns about Russia, but the VIX is telling a slightly different story: Remember when we shut down the economy in March 2020?? Runaway volatility was based on uncertainty seeded by the COVID epidemic. Most recently, despite the 10% market correction over the last two months, concerns and sell-offs over the Fed's hiking of interest rates, liquidity, and the Russian invasion, volatility has risen only mildly. However, markets are over-sold, sentiment remains negative, this typically leads to a short-term bottoming, and subsequent market rally. In fact, markets have held up pretty well, considering everything that's been going on. There are more stocks at 52-week lows than at any period over the last 30-years. The ratio of smart money vs dumb money is at levels that are consistent with a short-term market-bottom. A reflexive rally on ANY type of positive news would not be surprising this month...providing an opportunity to rebalance risk as we head into the rest of the year. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QngsQcEUIz0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #VIX #MarketRally #Russia #Ukraine FederalReserve #MarketVolatility #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/28/22) Russia's ill-advised invasion of Ukraine is having international repercussions, as domestic markets experience the biggest downturn since 2020. Oil prices are up $4/bbl as OPEC declines to boost production, and Russia is placed in time-out by SWIFT. Commodity prices are surging to 1973 highs, and interestingly, Cryptocurrencies are flailing in the crisis. SWIFT removal creates counter-party risk; market sentiment remains bearish. What happens when Russia pulls out of Ukraine? The collapse of the Russian Rouble, and what causes hyper-inflation. SEG-1: Will Market Drawdown Deter Fed Action? SEG-2: Why Russian Removal from SWIFT Matters SEG-3: The Russian Rouble Turns to Rubble SEG-4: Squeezing Putin & 30 Russian Oligarchs Hosted by RIA Advisors hief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jgnuj3xILj4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Swift Response to Russian Invasion" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wgTZ4DwftWw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "How Will the Fed Respond to Russian Invasion?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zc6o5LCR53Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2597s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #Rouble #SWIFT #RussianOligarchs #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/25/22) Markets' surprising close on Thursday (2/24) proves how emotional investors can be; how economic effects will be felt in the U.S. The Fed's reaction and response: "We will not be dissuaded from hiking rates." We'll see. Retirees are looking anew at Social Security as a bridge alternative for annuities; critical examination of taking Social Security at 64 or 67 instead of holding out until 70. SEG-1: Coffee Spills & The Russian Ripple Effect SEG-2:The Fed's Response to Russia SEG-3: Using Social Security as a Retirement Bridge SEG-4: Claiming Strategies for Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TMhtZfVY8cs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Russian Invasion of Ukraine Impacts Your Money" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7GHaIWOcMo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=5s -------- Our previous show, "How Will the Fed Respond to Russian Invasion?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zc6o5LCR53Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2597s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #Inflation #SocialSecurity #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/24/22) Russia Invades Ukraine--what's next? The Big Question for the US is what the Federal Reserve is likely to do in response--pausing rate hikes and balance sheet shuffling? The key point for investors is to not overreact as markets capitulate. The political implications of Russia-Ukrainian conflict-out comes unknown. It is interesting to see the effects on Gold and Bitcoin. SEG-1: How to React to Russian Invasion SEG-2: Fiscal Fallout of Russian Invasion: Historical Perspective SEG-3: Fed Calculations of Geopolitical Risk? SEG-4: Political Ramifications of Russian Invasion Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1EQKA8Sr6U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Russian Invasion of Ukraine Impacts Your Money" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7GHaIWOcMo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=5s -------- Our previous show, "Is Consumer Buying About to Go Bust?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1EQKA8Sr6U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2602s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #Inflation #Oil #GOLD #Commodities #BitCoin #VladimirPutin #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/24/22) Markets will open sharply lower following the overnight invasion of Ukraine by Russia. In anticipation, markets closed lower Wednesday (2/23), right on support set back in October 2021. How much more is there to go? We look to markets' previous responses for clues. Russia invaded Ukraine over a disagreement about Crimea in 2014. Markets then responded with the understanding there would be a resolution to the conflict in short order. That was then, this is now--and it's unknown how long today's conflict might stretch out. Markets in 2014 were set up similarly, with market peaks set in early January, to the tune of 3 standard deviations below the 50-DMA--exactly where we'll be this morning at the opening bell. The key today is to not overreact to what you're seeing on TV. Increased geopolitical risk will also cause the Fed to rethink its monetary strategy, pausing rate hikes and balance sheet reduction. That could create additional support for stocks. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7GHaIWOcMo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketCorrection #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #FedPut #MarketDecline #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/23/22) Geopolitical tensions, Inflation, and the spectre of rising interest rates may already be providing the Fed with enough gravity to fight inflationary pressures: Might the Fed be able to avoid a rate hike? Why Hindsight Bias and Anchoring are two bad habits that can thwart your portfolio performance during market downturns; why it's too late to buy into the oil surge; if you're buying what everyone else is, you've already missed the advantage. What do "Wag the Dog" and "Charlie Wilson's War' have in common with present day news? SEG-1: Is the Fed Already Getting Economic Tightening? SEG-2: Two Investor Traps You Should Avoid SEG-3: The Value of Buying When There's Blood in the Streets SEG-4: Wagging the Dog in Ukraine? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1EQKA8Sr6U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Use the Coming Correction to Your Advantage" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zeX4A_Hv3Kg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show, "What Markets Already Know About Vladimir" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P818DxB48M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #Inflation #HindsightBias #Anchoring #Oil #Commodities #PhilMickelson #SaudiGolf #WagTheDog #Risk #FederalReserve #VladimirPutin #MakingAnna #ElizabethHolmes #Greed #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/23/22) Markets dip into correction territory, thanks to pressures from slowing earnings growth, higher inflation, the Federal Reserve, and Russian headlines. Markets Tuesday did hold support at January's lows, and should actually be positioned to rally, thanks to very negative, bullish sentiment across the board. As markets re-test support, they're over-sold on all levels, and we're looking for a reflexive rally back to the previous downtrend. Use this rally to reduce potential risk in portfolios, rebalance positions, and look to add hedges, if needed. We're not out of the woods, yet, in terms of risk: In addition to the Russia-Ukraine issue, there's another Fed meeting coming in three weeks, with the possibility of a rate hike on the table. After the past two months of negative bias, it is possible we'll see a month or two of markets with a positive structure. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zeX4A_Hv3Kg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketCorrection #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #FedPut #MarketDecline #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/22/22) Russian President Vladimir Putin used the long weekend to stage troops in pro-Russian separatist regions bordering Ukraine...have markets already foreseen this--and more? What Putin needs in order to "save face..." Consumers do not like geopolitical risks. What Anna Delvy & Elizabeth Homes have in common with investors: Greed. What is The Fed Put, and at what point can or will the Fed step in to "manage" the economy? SEG-1: Markets' Response to Russia-Ukraine Escalation SEG-2: What Markets Already Know About Russia- Ukraine SEG-3: Making Anna and Dealing with Greed SEG-4: What is The Fed Put? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-P818DxB48M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2587s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Prepare for Russian Invasion of Ukraine" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NEw0h87pmKE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Fed & Furious Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ttVLkJnl9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2357s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #FedPut #FederalReserve #VladimirPutin #MakingAnna #ElizabethHolmes #Greed #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/22/22) Russian President Vladimir Putin's recognition of two separatist regions loyal to Russia would seem to set the stage for an invasion into Ukraine, with "peace keeping" troops amassing in the regions. Overnight futures plunged 500-points, but this morning have regained most of those losses. This variable, plus the Fed's intentions, are playing on markets as they try to hold support at October's lows. Don't dismiss the risk of a bigger decline. A break of the technical "neck line" would conceivably take markets back down to the pre-pandemic peak of February 2020. One of the unknowns is where in that potential decline might the Fed decide to step in and take action? Our article today (see link below) addresses these questions. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-put-what-and-where-is-it/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NEw0h87pmKE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #FedPut #MarketDecline #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/21/22) Why do we spend more time shopping on line for the best price, but do exactly the opposite when buying stocks? Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA, joins Lance to discuss the problem of beating the Index, why we implemented our SimpleVisor tool, and how we manage risk; the importance of risk-sizing in portfolios. [NOTE: Markets are closed today for President's Day. This is an excerpt of an recent show.] SEG-1: The Dichotomy of Buying Stuff vs. Stocks SEG-2: How We Manage Risk--the importance of risk sizing Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vh9F7AiJqxM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bullish Things About Markets Right Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "How to Un-Retire in America" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HLhykRSFCg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stocks #Stuff #ManagingRisk #BackToWork #Masking

(2/18/22) The Fed is acting like a fire department that shows up on the scene and watches a house burn down. BlackRock's Larry Fink learns not to mess with Texas' Pension Fund; the difficulty of retiring "cold turkey;" Planet of the Apes calls into question, 'What's normal?' anymore. The outcome from taking early retirement vs benefits of delaying until age-70. Volatility in Retirement, and why the 4% Rule doesn't work; advantages of charitable intent. SEG-1: The Fed & House Fires: Where's the Beef? SEG-2: Texas Pension Fund vs BlackRock: Unretirement SEG-3: Planet of the Apes: What's Normal? SEG-3: Planet of the Apes: What's Normal? Hosted by RIS Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3HLhykRSFCg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bullish Things About Markets Right Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "Fed & Furious Episode" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ttVLkJnl9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2357s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Un_Retirement #Volatility #TexasPensionFund #BlackRock #EarlyRetirement #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/17/22) The escalation of geopolitical risk continues to toy with the markets. The CDC is leaning towards dropping masking; getting back to normal will be good for the economy. Retail sales headline numbers vs reality (without seasonal adjustments). FOMC Meeting minutes suggest Fed is pulling back from hawkishness. Why we spend more time shopping on line for the best price, but do exactly the opposite when buying stocks; the problem of beating the Index. SimpleVisor and how we manage risk; the importance of risk-sizing in portfolios. SEG-1: Why Moving Back to the Office is Good for the Economy SEG-2: FOMC Minutes Review SEG-3: The Dichotomy of Buying Stuff vs. Stocks SEG-4: How We Manage Risk--the importance of risk sizing Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ttVLkJnl9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2357s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bullish Things About Markets Right Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "The Negative Psychology of Bonds" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdbDNuGBxQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2578s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FOMC #InterestRates #ManagingRisk #BackToWork #Masking #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/17/22) Markets rallied off their lows following yesterday's release of the FOMC meeting minutes, suggesting the Fed may not begin tapering its balance sheet (translation: turning off the liquidity spigot) until later this year. Markets closed about the 20-DMA, setting up to rally to the 50-DMA today. Markets are opening weaker today over geopolitical concerns (translation: Russia), but have been developing a bullish trend after re-testing lows in January, setting up a series of rising bottoms. A well-defined downtrend in the markets is creating a wedge, putting pressure on prices. A breakout to the upside would suggest a counter-trend rally, but a break below could also set up a decline. We're not out of the woods yet--keeping some hedges in place would be prudent. Are we about to move into the Great Bull Market of 2002? Not necessarily, but markets are starting to incorporate what they expect the Fed to in March. Current trends have clearly identified some breakout patterns--to the upside, as well as the downside. So, despite distractions from interest rates, inflation, Russia, and the Fed, markets have been holding up remarkably well...another sign of bullishness. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHiR1w7Xupk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FOMCmeeting #InterestRates #Russia #Inflation #Bullish #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/16/22) Today we explore the psychology of investing, the negative psych-out that Bonds receive, and explainer of how they can work to your advantage as a hedge against all the things that scare you; Bonds are not always an "intuitive" choice. Energy Stocks' dynamics; the differential between 1970's economics and now. The Shortest Recession in history, and the relationship between interest rates and inflation; Living in the Carter years, and Paul Volker's mistake. WHy demographics can be economy-killers. SEG-1: The Negative Psychology of Bonds SEG-2: The Argument for Buying Bonds: An explainer SEG-3: The Shortest Recession in History SEG-4: Why Deflation Will Be a Greater Danger than Inflation Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdbDNuGBxQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2578s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Why Buying Bonds Makes Sense Now" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLQZ_dkit7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken (yet)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4f_BltGq68&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1652s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #Psychology #Deflation #Inflation #HedgingRisk #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/16/22) With rising interest rates and inflation fears, there have been negative attitudes about owning Bonds. With a debt- and leveraged-economy, with low economic output, bonds have certainly been under pressure. A look at the TLT EFT as a proxy for bonder performance history, we can see that bonds have been oversold. With prices on the decline, and yields on the rise as the Fed fights inflation, this is a perfect time to buy as a risk-off hedge for portfolios. There will be more volatility in equities this year, and money flows are expected to go from risky stocks to safe-haven bonds, which history bears out. This is why we believe bonds will be among the better performing assets in portfolios. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GLQZ_dkit7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BondYields #BondPrices #Risk #Safety #PortfolioHedge #1970sEconomy #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/15/22) Russia's Mexican standoff with Ukraine has ended with a whimper, and markets love it. Earnings Season is also ending, with forward guidance the key for investors. Inflation's effect is already apparent. The Zoom phenomenon and a potential ban on Congressional stock trading, a.k.a insider trading. The negative impact of Work-at-Home on Commercial Real Estate; pay differential with in-office workers. The history of market pullbacks, a possible 50% correction in a market that's up 120% in two years. What will crash the markets THIS time? Basic rules to remember: Ignore the Index, and invest for yourself. Why Bonds are the only true buy-and-hold instrument: Guaranteed return of principle + interest. The importance of knowing where we are in the investing cycle. SEG-1: Russia Blinks SEG-2: Bear Market or Market Pull-back: A Historic Perspective SEG-3: Hotels & Resorts As Market Barometer SEG-4: The Weekly Angst: What Will Crush Markets THIS Time? Hosted by RIS Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kRtyvUdMubc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2608s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Russia Backs-off, Markets Surge" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKgHt3etjVE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken (yet)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4f_BltGq68&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1652s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-pullback-or-bear-market/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #EarningsSeason #Inflation #Zoom #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/15/22) Markets are optimistic as Russia backs away from conflict with Ukraine. Indices could jump as much as 1.5% if this Process continues...but...the NASDAQ is down 14% from its record high close. A rally today does not change the dynamic of a downward trend in the markets. A reflexive rally from January's lows took us back up to the 20-DMA, which has been good resistance for the NASDAQ (much of today's rally will come from already over-sold stocks; disrupter stocks in particular. Money flows have been coming back into the markets under the surface, helping to fuel this relief rally. The question today is whether markets can get above the 20-DMA--and if so, markets will be set up for a test of the 50-DMA. Even so, we are still in a negative market trend, short term, suggesting that until we work through signals, any rally we get should be sold-into. Use this to take profits and reposition risk. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKgHt3etjVE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Russia #Ukraine #Risk #MarketRally #PortfolioRebalance #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/14/22) Now that The Big Game has passed, it's time to collect on those bets! Russia, Ukraine, the European Union, NATO, and Markets' response; Markets will probably re-test previous lows. If they hold, markets will be set for next rally up. The effectiveness of the truckers' Freedom Convoy; Why the Supply Chain isn't broken--it was shut down. How to deal with a hyper-active Fed. What will be the next Minsky Moment? Inflation is a monetary phenomenon created by government spending. With earnings season winding down, AutoZone and Advanced Auto Parts are good barometers of how the economy is faring. Prices are not going down, even as inflation cools. 1:50 - Post-Super Bowl Snackapolooza; The Russia Situation Explained 13:11 - Russia-Ukraine, Freedom Convoys, the Investor Guess-Right Ratio 29:21 - Why the Supply Chain Isn't Broken 43:06 - What AutoZone & Advanced Auto Parts Can Tell Us About the Economy RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Sell-off on Russia News" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GbPkAsFhfvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Where's the Value in 'Value Stocks?'" is here: youtube.com/watch?v=17xgjgtrWXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2613s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-time-is-different-the-feds-next-minsky-moment/ -------- Register for the next Retirement Right Lane class: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/evrplus_registration/?action=evrplusegister&event_id=23 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Truckers #SupplyChain #Russia #Ukraine #FreedomConvoy #Inflation #SuperBowl #ValentinesDay #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/14/22) Markets sold off ahead of the weekend as Russia dominated the headlines, and concerns over an invasion of Ukraine weighed on sentiment. But this morning, progress towards talks between the two countries is already underway. No one really wants a war, and it's in everyone's best interests to resolve the impasse. Markets' reflexive rally was the result of selling-off, triggered by Russia headlines. If the test of previous lows holds, markets will be set up for a rally, especially if the Fed reduces its pressure on interest rates. Watch for slowing economic growth this year, and as the Fed begins to subtract liquidity, volatility will increase. Take care to not make a one-sided bet on what markets will do. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GbPkAsFhfvg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Bonds #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/11/22) With the bigger than expected 7.5% inflation print on Thursday, the next logical question is what will the Fed do? Why Inflation is going to be "sticky" for a while: Energy policy, public policy; when will price elasticity return? Is there an upside to Inflation: recession mentality, inflation mentality--similar to depression mentality of the '30's. The onset of Consumer Austerity. IRS Life Expectancy Tables have changed; what this means for your retirement; what happens when current tax law sunsets in 2025? Lunch & Learn recap, Retirement Right Lane preview; the economics of Valentine's Day. SEG-1: What's the Fed Going to Do Next? SEG-2: The Bright Side of Inflation SEG-3: What Changes in IRS Life Expectancy Tables Mean for You SEG-4: Lunch & Learn recap, Retirement Right Lane preview; Valentine Economics RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zq5Etjr8O8Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2950s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Today's Inflation Numbers Mean for Markets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9k_YjVxMKns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Where's the Value in 'Value Stocks?'" is here: youtube.com/watch?v=17xgjgtrWXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2613s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #Retirement #LifeExpectancy #EnergyPolicy #PublicPolicy #ValentinesDayEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing

What was first supposed to be a peaking rate of inflation---how inflation is calculated; The rate of inflation will come down because of the rate of change--but high prices will remain high. Why there is little value in 'value stocks' today--the biggest cause: Passive Investing; the Proctor & Gamble gamble; how well are corporations represented in a mutual fund? Why investors are buying 'value' in name-only. SEG-1: Why Some Prices Will Remain "Sticky" Regardless of Today's CPI Print SEG-2: Why You Really Can't Measure Inflation SEG-3: Why There is Little Value in 'Value Stocks' SEG-4: When the Next Downturn Occurs... Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17xgjgtrWXA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2653s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Today's Inflation Numbers Mean for Markets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9k_YjVxMKns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "The Congressional Stock Trading Ban Gathers Steam," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ob4Nc5gzouw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/value-stock-funds-are-lacking-value -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #ValueStocks #MarketDownturn #Markets #Money #Investing

(2/10 /22) The Fed's Raphael Bostick yesterday postulated that today's inflation print might be a little less than expected...resulting in a bit of a market rally to get above the 20-DMA, but not quite reaching the 50-DMA. Markets are still struggling to move higher, but Tech stocks outperformed on anticipation we might see some dis-inflation in today's numbers. The hope and expectation for lower inflation is that the Fed might back off its hawkish stance on rates and tapering. But the Fed's greater fear is being caught at 0% in a weaker, recessionary environment. We expect the Fed to continue on the path to higher rates as a strategic move against future inflation. So we may not see a Bear Market-ish contraction this year, but we will see a pretty sloppy market with lower rates of return for the next few months. Volatility will make managing your portfolio a lot more challenging. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9k_YjVxMKns&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateHike #FixedIncome #BearishMarket #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

Recipients of the Child Tax Credit have a surprise from the IRS; the Congressional stock trading ban gathers steam; Amazon's base salary hike, and how to really fix the compensation gap. Why Markets haven't gone anywhere since October; pat attention to the generals; the importance of portfolio risk sizing. Why Texas outperformed the rest of the nation in GDP during the pandemic; SMA's and Tax Management tracking errors; "Uncle, Lance, where did mutual funds come from?" SEG-1: Child Tax Credit, Congressional Stock Trade Ban, Amazon Base Pay Hike SEG-2: Markets Going Nowhere Fast: The Importance of Risk Sizing SEG-3: The Economic Impact of Masking & Staying Home: Texas vs The Rest of Us SEG-4: Uncle, Lance--Where Did Mutual Funds Come From? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ob4Nc5gzouw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2627s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Get a Boost from Inflation Numbers?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CA2wGYLhzh0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The New Way of Defining Bear Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KQ2a8adGojo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2581s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/?s=what%27s+wrong+with+gold%3F -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CongressionalStockTradingBan #PortfolioRisk #Masking #EconomicImpact #MutualFunds #Markets #Money #investing

(2/9/22) The recent rally back to the 50-DMA has been good, but since then markets have been trending slightly lower. Tomorrow's inflation data is expected to be the high-water mark for this year. If inflation comes in weaker than expected, stocks might get a boost on expectations the Fed might not be as aggressive with monetary policy. But the reality is that markets have made very little--if any--progress since October 2020. There are plenty of reasons to expect some downside risk to markets. But a break above the 50-DMA, and we've got a Bull Market on our hands. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/disinflation-is-a-bigger-threat-than-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CA2wGYLhzh0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #Inflation #InterestRates #RateHike #FixedIncome #BearishMarket #BullishMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

Could Facebook pull out of Europe? Tech stocks weighed on markets as a result; the quandry of used car prices; oh, those magical Inflation numbers! 2022 growth expectations are still "off the hook." The new Way of Defining a Bear Market; What'll happen when the Fed raises rates? Remember 2017? The Law of Large Numbers; what happens when the liquidity's gone. Effect on the Dollar from War in Ukraine. YouTube Q&A: Would Fed jawboning be enough? (no.) Darth Facebook vs Parlor Skywalker. SEG-1: Facebook Weighs on Markets; 2022 Growth Expectations SEG-2: Putting the Genie Back in the Bottle SEG-3: What Happens When the Fed Raises Rates? SEG-4: The Rising Risk of Recession, Joe Rogan Rumbles, & Wall St. Sales Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qTTteoqraI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2600s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: s Bond Sentiment Shifting from Bearish to Bullish?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HBguQl26oX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "The Good News & Bad Behind the Jobs Report" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qTTteoqraI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2580s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/disinflation-is-a-bigger-threat-than-inflation/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-50-decline-will-only-be-a-correction/ -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #BullMarket #FederalReserve #MarketRisk #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing

(2/8/22) Interest Rates have been inching upward out of concerns over the Fed's response to rising inflationary pressures--a normal response. But's also causing concern from investors with fixed-income holdings: what happens when dis-inflation arrives in the economy? As we begin to have slower rates of growth and diminishing rates of inflation on an annualized basis, take caution of a feedback loop into Treasury bonds. The Fed's rate hikes will also impact Treasuries as yields go up, tracking inflows of foreign capital chasing those higher yields. Remember what happened in 2017? Interestingly, sentiment on bonds--quite ebullient--have not tracked rates, and are as bearish on bonds now as it was in 2017-18. As the Fed works its interest rate alchemy, watch sentiment on Bonds shift from very bearish to quite bullish, as the flight to safety begins to take root. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/disinflation-is-a-bigger-threat-than-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HBguQl26oX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #InterestRate #RateHike #FixedIncome #BearishMarket #BullishMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

There's good news & bad news in the latest Jobs Report, which will force the Fed to make a move. ADP vs BLS--Who's right?? Retirement reality as retirees return to work. The Fed is the biggest, most-visible risk to markets. The Fed's Liquidity Trap, and a history of fiscal missteps; publicity money can't buy; why 2022 will be a year of disappointment; businesses will use automation to fight inflationary effects; what can we do to bring more jobs to America? Can't with workers' unrealistic expectations. Socialism is a great way to be like everybody else in the world. Look more more volatility later this year as inflation subsides. You can make gains any time, but it's more difficult to make up for losses. SEG-1: Good News & Bad Behind Jobs Report SEG-2: The Biggest Risk to Markets: The Fed SEG-3: Why 2022 Will Be a Year of Disappointment SEG-4: Are We in a Bear Market or Bull? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9aykSPZxF4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Are At a Standstill--Watch & Wait" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZhgNWmjtAxk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Child Tax Credit 1040 Sticker Shock" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XbFEWJWU0I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5OS4FHBz_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #BullMarket #FederalReserve #MarketRisk #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing

(2/7/22) Markets rallied last week, as expected, coming off deeply oversold levels. Now sitting in no-man's land--will markets retest October lows, or find support where we are, and begin to rally higher ahead of the Fed' meeting in March? What happens next--and how do you manage your portfolio accordingly? If you think we're in a bear market, raise cash by selling off poor performers in your portfolio, you could potentially be on the wrong side of the trade, should markets rally-on. You'd find yourself trying to get back in just as markets are re-testing previous highs. But, if you get bulling, thinking markets will retest those highs...and markets go the other direction, you will find that you've compounded the risk in your portfolio. Whilst sitting in no-man's land, the best thing to do is watch and wait and use the rally to your advantage, jettisoning poorly performing stocks in your portfolio, and trimming risk on those that are doing well: Don't remove winners, but take some profits and prune them back. For now, make small changes, allow the markets to tell you what they're going to do, and then react quickly. The biggest risk to the markets over the next couple of months will be the Fed. Small bets, small moves, is the right way to go in this environment. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZhgNWmjtAxk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #MarketRisk #BullMarket #BearMarket #NASDAQ #MarketRally #Markets #Money #Investing

Given the markets' performance this week, it's important for investors to maintain a sense of humility; How Apple kicked butt; Fed de-toxification: No longer coddling investors. Social Media & A World w/out Twitter; does the Fed have the backbone to allow Recession? The importance of opposing views, and avoiding confirmation bias; preparing for inflation, & importance of investing rules; the problem with sticky inflation; how to properly execute qualified charitable donations from IRA's; Twitter comments; best state to which to retire. SEG-1: The Process of Fed De-Toxification SEG-2: Does the Fed Have the Backbone to Allow Recession? SEG-3: The Problem w Sticky Inflation SEG-4: Twitter comments; Best States to Which to Retire Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does the Fed's "Sooner & Faster" Stance Mean for Markets?" www.youtube.com/watch?v=33gjT08SL…q16&index=1&t=21s -------- Our previous show, "How to Invest with a "Sooner, Faster" Fed?" is here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHhXF21u3…e&index=1&t=2585s -------- Get more info & commentary: realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: twitter.com/RealInvAdvice twitter.com/LanceRoberts www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Recession #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #Retirement #Twitter #Apple #SocialMedia #Markets #money #investing

Why Facebook's faceplant earnings report brought down there markets, and the risk to investors in social media platforms; Groundhog Day, Texas Weather, Washington Commanders, Markets' reflexive rally, and Facebook is the party buzz kill; when companies miss. How will Facebook's performance impact other social media platforms; why inflation is scaring the Fed to death; raising rates ahead of the coming recession; the coming bear market as monetary policy tightens worldwide. SEG-1: Winter PTSD, Faceflop, and Risk to Markets SEG-2: Groundhog's Day, Texas Weather, Washington Commanders; When Companies Miss SEG-3: How Facebook Affects the Market; Don't Fight the Fed SEG-4: Are We Approaching a Bear Market? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9aykSPZxF4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-fed-put-is-powell-repealing-it -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Facebook Earnings Take Down Market" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aRqUVlI8gSc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Child Tax Credit 1040 Sticker Shock" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XbFEWJWU0I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Facebook #SocialMedia #FederalReserve #Inflation #InterestRates #MarketRisk #BearMarket #Markets #Money #investing

(2/3/22) Facebook's less-than-expected earnings report was enough of a disappointment to take down the rest of the market on Wednesday; the question now is whether Meta can withstand the demographic headwinds that are coming, along with a troubling trend of declining user-growth. Particularly vulnerable to Facebook's face-plant is the NASDAQ, with its tech-heavy weighting. Major indexes will open weaker today after a sharp rally over the past few days. A bit of a pullback would not be surprising. The NASDAQ has not rallied as much as the S&P, but it has also lost more than the S&P due to the impact on tech stocks. With buy signals across the board, expect some profit taking today. Markets still appear to be in a reflexive rally within a correctional period. If you didn't like what happened to your portfolio during the decline, use this rally to reduce risk and clean up your portfolio. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_vf2fP70jY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Facebook #NASDAQ #BullRun #MarketRally #Markets #Money #Investing

Earnings have been better-than-expected from companies like Google, AMD, and Exxon; implications of Google's 20:1 stock split; Energy vs ESG's, and what happens in dis-inflation. What happens at tax time to recipients of the boosted Child Tax Credits last year? Why the rich are the only one's really saving any money; The problem with going to cash is the getting back in; managing risk is a game of inches; what IS safe? Is Bitcoin the "new" gold? When the mainstream financial media takes one side of a trade, you should be on the other.If you're going to buy Gold... Q&A from our recent Candid Coffee. SEG-1: Finding Companies that Do Well in Dis-inflationary Times SEG-2: The Child Tax Credit 1040 Sticker Shock SEG-3: The Problem with Going to Cash SEG-4: Q&A from Candid Coffee - Where is a safe place to invest? - What DPI (Disposable Personal Income) numbers tell us - The importance of financial planning - The role of permanent insurance in growing wealth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Correction Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7GcOWob6Im0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "January's Gone, February's On" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3BftiBb17po&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=363s -------- Register for our next Lunch & Learn https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1516432564864/WN_27HPBMz9TkOJNtykTPxxnA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Disinflation #ChildTaxCredit #Cash #PermanentInsurance #FinancialPlanning #Markets #Money #investing

(2/2/22) Robust earnings reports are boosting market confidence--the bottoming process to October lows is holding up. Money flow buy signals are in, also supporting the market rally. Resistance will still exist around the 20- and 50-DMA. Markets have not completely healed themselves, but positive earnings reports coming out are a helpful salve. Google beat estimates, AND announced a 20:1 stock split. Advanced Micro Devices also delivered better-than-expected results, sister company NVDIA also doing well on chip demand. Botox maker Abbvie did not sag in its earnings announcement, and we expect this stock to break out to a new high today. It's important to remember that not all stocks respond to the index, and that's why we look for companies that can flourish during an inflationary environment. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_vf2fP70jY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #Google #AMD #NVIDIA #Abbvie #Markets #Money #Investing

What happens following the "Trifecta of Disappointment:" the Santa Claus Rally failed, the first five days of January failed, and the month of January failed--in years in which these occur, markets are down for the year. The odds of the size of a Fed Rate Hike are beginning to drop: Will the the FOMC be as aggressive as we've been led to believe? Will we see $90 Oil? Chasing Hard Assets & Commodities; News that boggles the mind; money flows indicate the market bottom is in. SEG-1: January was Brutal, RCA's 45's, & Vinyl LP's SEG-2: Will the Fed Be as Aggressive as Advertised? SEG-3: Chasing Hard Assets & Commodities SEG-4: Picking on Cali; The Market Bottom is In Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-hikes-risks-of-financial-instability-part-ii/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Market Bottom In?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5tHCd1FkOxA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why the Fed is Wrong (and what you can do about it)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C10wUG3jDMA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2959s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrifectaOfDisappointment #FederalReserve #MarketRally #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing

(2/1/22) January's brutal 9% market losses have been trimmed dramatically by market rallies the past few days, and futures are positive as portfolio managers position for February business. Buy signals have been triggered across the board, suggesting that the rally has room to roam yet again. The issue is where to allocate money now. There's a thesis that inflation might not be as bad, and the Fed might not raise rates as aggressively as first thought--something that will bode well for technology and growth stocks. Small Caps, more sensitive to growth, but still to underperform the large caps. Mid Caps are mirroring Small Caps, and are susceptible to slow growth impacting their ability to do business. International stocks have been underperformers for the past decade...they just didn't decline as much as the S&P. Emerging Markets have been under pressure--watch the Dollar and its effect on these stocks. Slower rates of inflation, slower growth rates, and a stronger dollar are not good omens for Emerging Markets. The Volatility spike is quickly evaporating, suggesting the risk-on trade is back in play. Looks like we have seen the bottom, at least for the next few months. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_vf2fP70jY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #SP500 #MarketRally #BuySignal #PortfolioRebalancing #50_DMA #20_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

As goes January, so goes the year for markets...or so they say. The Fed is in fight-mode against inflation, despite deflationary 1% GDP growth; Less liquidity = less demand = less productivity; the theoretical benefits of blockchain technology, and why the Gov't. wants to regulate; what will the next CPI print show? Why the Fed is wrong--and what you must do to protect your portfolio. SEG-1: January Axioms; The Fed's Inflation Fight SEG-2: Pro's & Con's of Blockchain: Why the Gov't. Wants Control SEG-3: Fed Rate Hikes & Financial Instability SEG-4: Why the Fed is Walking Into a Trap Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-rate-hikes-risks-of-financial-instability-part-ii/ -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will The Friday Rally Falter?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_vf2fP70jY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How to Invest with a "Sooner, Faster" Fed?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHhXF21u3Mo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2585s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #Blockchain #Deflation #InterestRates #MarketRally #Markets #Money #investing

(1/31/22) Friday's big rally finally triggered a buy-signal on the S&P 500, setting up an opportunity for portfolio rebalancing. We've been watching for a basing of markets along October's lows... Friday's performance suggests that we could see more of a rally. However, don't be too surprised if this initially rally falters and establishes a new bottom before moving upwards again. A failure to establish that bottom at this time could set-up markets for a bigger decline--certainly within the realm of possibility if the Fed decides to become more aggressive with its planned rate hikes. We're suggesting reduction of exposure, rebalancing risk, and take care in chasing the hard-asset trade as dis-inflationary pressure begin to emerge in economic data over the next few months. Watch the Dollar, too--a break out here would also weigh against the hard asset and commodity trade. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/hard-assets-are-they-a-trap-in-the-making/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_vf2fP70jY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #SP500 #MarketRally #BuySignal #PortfolioRebalancing #50_DMA #20_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

Given the markets' performance this week, it's important for investors to maintain a sense of humility; How Apple kicked butt; Fed de-toxification: No longer coddling investors. Social Media & A World w/out Twitter; does the Fed have the backbone to allow Recession? The importance of opposing views, and avoiding confirmation bias; preparing for inflation, & importance of investing rules; the problem with sticky inflation; how to properly execute qualified charitable donations from IRA's; Twitter comments; best state to which to retire. SEG-1: The Process of Fed De-Toxification SEG-2: Does the Fed Have the Backbone to Allow Recession? SEG-3: The Problem w Sticky Inflation SEG-4: Twitter comments; Best States to Which to Retire Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does the Fed's "Sooner & Faster" Stance Mean for Markets?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33gjT08SLsE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=21s -------- Our previous show, "How to Invest with a "Sooner, Faster" Fed?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHhXF21u3Mo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2585s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Recession #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #Retirement #Twitter #Apple #SocialMedia #Markets #money #investing

Did the Fed just create the 472nd sequel to the Fast & Furious franchise with its "Sooner & Faster" pronouncement? Markets will be more volatile this year; the Fed basically told the markets what they already knew; the sincerity of Jerome Powell. 2022 will be The Year of Volatility; how large cap companies will cope. How the YOLO investing mentality turned sour; managing fear and greed in 2022. SEG-1: The Sooner, Faster Fed's Policy Error SEG-2: The Fed Threads the Needle SEG-3: 2022: The Year of Fear and Greed...and trading...and volatility SEG-4: How to Invest in 2022: Manage Your Fear, Manage Your Greed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does the Fed's "Sooner & Faster" Stance Mean for Markets?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33gjT08SLsE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=21s -------- Our previous show, "Is Deflation the Watch-word?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xa3XxH_tJDM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fear-and-greed-an-investors-two-worst-enemies -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #YOLO #FearAndGreed #Markets #money #investing

(1/27/22) Markets tanked after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's pronouncement of the FOMC's heightened response to the economy with "sooner & faster" rate hikes. In reality, there was very little change from past Fed meetings, but in the presser afterwards, when Powell uttered those two words, markets collapsed and gave up all their gains. The bottom line: The Fed is going to hike rates and reduce its balance sheet, sooner than later, and more rapidly than expected. The problem for the Fed now is, the Yield Curve is already sharply declining, suggesting more economic weakness to come. The Fed doesn't want to get caught with 0% rates and a $9-T balance sheet when a recession hits, essentially with no tools to manage the economy. So which are the lesser of two evils: Raising rates heading into a disinflationary environment, and creating financial instability...but being able to back off those rates and re-expansion of its balance sheet? Meanwhile, where do investors park money? We look at some major players: AAPL, CMCSA, MSFT, - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YO0urLR68I8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #SoonerFaster #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing

Will the Fed be as aggressive with rate policy in the aftermath of market performance of late? Why MSFT is the best-operating company on the planet; The Fed's challenge: What to do ahead of the next recession? Headwinds for the Fed: No more liquidity; watchword will be deflation. Why do people want free stuff from the Government? How much negativity has entered markets courtesy of ETF's? "Buy Beta" will shift to buying alpha with quality and conviction. SEG-1: Fed Meeting Preview: Will the FOMC Remain Aggressive on Policy? SEG-2: This is Where Fundamentals Matter SEG-3: Why Do People Want Free Stuff from the Gov't.? SEG-4: The Headwinds for Rate Hikes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Futures Higher Ahead of Today's Fed Meeting" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YO0urLR68I8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Employment & Jobs: Is There More to the Story?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KlvX5tEeTzE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2586s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/rate-hikes-the-fed-wont-hike-nearly-as-much-as-expected/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #Deflation #InterestRates #BuyingAlpha #Markets #money #investing

(1/26/22) Futures are higher ahead of today's Fed meeting--in markets that have been sharply lower since the beginning of the year. Are markets ready for a bounce? The S&P is oversold, sitting on support from October's lows. A bounce today could rally all the way back up to the 20- and 50-DMA, and hitting 4,600 on the S&P would not be surprising. Similarly, the NASDAQ, down over 13% for the year, a rally back to its 20- and 50-DMA is not out of the realm of possibility. Cryptocurrencies have become the defacto indicator for market sentiment, with Bitcoin oversold by more than three standard deviations. Unlike the markets, Bitcoin is already beginning to form a base and turn positive, but is about to run into some resistance at the declining 20-DMA. But if Bitcoin can rally above the 20-DMA, there's a clear shot to possibly hit $45,000. An effective rally in Bitcoin could fuel a risk-on appetite in the markets. this afternoon's Fed meeting, however, could completely change the tone and the direction of the markets. A more-doveish Fed would favor stocks and cryptocurrency, and potentially fuel markets over the next few days. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YO0urLR68I8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #Bitcoin #NASDAQ #S&P #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing

The Fed's conundrum, and markets call its bluff; Inflationary pressure is coming; inflation now & then (1970's); what happens when the Fed becomes more active; the employment & participation picture; how we count workers counts; the Market as Barometer for the Presidency; the Fed is a political animal. SEG-1: Market Recap: The Fed's Conundrum SEG-2: Inflation Then & Now: What Happens When the Fed is Active SEG-3: Employment & Job Participation: There's more to the story SEG-4: Why the Fed is a Political Animal Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Calling the Fed's Bluff:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJPedVrUvJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How Do You Know When Inflation Has Peaked?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zjWsNU8A4jc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2568s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #Disinflation #InterestRates #Employment #JobParticipation #Markets #money #investing

(1/25/22) Markets' sold-off sharply through the first half of the day, with downside liquidation pressure. However, at midday, markets rallied to recover all of the morning's losses, with a huge volume surge at the end of the day. All of this activity took place within the context of a pre-Fed meeting environment: That discussion will center on whether to hike rates and/or tighten the Fed's balance sheet, ostensibly to blunt the effects of inflation. But markets are apparently calling the Fed's bluff by selling off since the beginning of the year. Weakness in Consumer Sentiment and ongoing downward pressure in the markets have got to be concerns for the Fed, possibly shaping it's actions and tone at this week's FOMC meeting. But if inflation has already peaked, could the Fed be late in its policy direction? If the Fed sticks with its aggressive stance, we could see more downward pressure in the markets. But if the Fed soft-pedals its position (as we expect), stocks could gain some real momentum over the course of the next few weeks. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJPedVrUvJI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #OptionsExpiration #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing

Is the sell-off over? Certain signs that Inflation has peaked--will there be a counter-trend rally? Rotation from the commodity inflation trade; Bond prices indicate deflation a bigger risk. Removal of Liquidity weighing on markets; the challenge of navigating short-term periods of volatility; Friday's $3.3-T options expiry; Grocery shopping and shortages; are opportunities coming to buy stocks cheaper? SEG-1: How Do You Know When Inflation Has Peaked (Here's Your Sign) SEG-2: Why The Fed's Rate Hike(s) could be a "One-and-Done" deal SEG-3: What if the Fed Soft-pedals Inflationary Caution? SEG-4: Shopping at Costco; the Transition from Meme Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Could We Have Another 35% Sell-off?" Could We Have Another 35% Sell-off? -------- Our previous show, "Is the Fed Too Late to the Game?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEGnBbQ66K8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #SupplyChain #Inflation #Disinflation #InterestRates #Costco #WalMart #MemeStocks #Markets #money #investing

(1/24/22) Markets' strong sell-off on Friday produced the second-largest Options Expiration Day in market history--$3.3-trillion in options being handled: a lot of pressure on the S&P and NASDAQ, breaking below their 200-DMA. Could we have another 35% sell-off? Not necessarily--for one thing, we're not shutting down the economy again. But with stocks, crypotocurrency, and speculative assets in general under significant pressure, you've gotta wonder when buyers are going to show up to buy the dip. We're still very over-sold, suggesting that some short-term support should emerge. If not, algorithms may be triggered to continue selling assets. What could cause that to reverse? With this week's Fed meeting on tap, everyone is focused on what the FOMC will say about rate hikes and tapering--will they be as aggressive as previously indicated. - Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2py07nc0gg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #FederalReserve #OptionsExpiration #Inflation #Oversold #Buyers #Markets #Money #Investing

2022 is not starting out the way a lot of investors expected; will this be the year of Investor Comeuppance? What is true value? Taking profits in Tech, and the Island of Misfits; Why rising interest rates are poison to speculative investors, The myth of living debt-free with a paid-off mortgage; Why Cash Flow is the primary consideration in Retirement; best-selling home sizes. SEG-1: Will 2022 Be the Year of Comeuppance? SEG-2: Taking Profits in Tech & Island of Misfits SEG-3: Why Rising Rates are Poison to Speculative Investing SEG-4: Dealing with Debt in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is It Time to Short the Vaccine Makers?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Z9mnVB4JaY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Is the Fed Too Late to the Game?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OEGnBbQ66K8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #DebtFree #MortgageDebt #FederalReserve #VaccineMandate #Inflation #Disinflation #RepricingRisk #ValueStocks #Markets #money #investing

The impact on markets of dropping mask and vaccine mandates--and is the Fed too late to the game? How we're getting "back to normal--"what ever that is; the Fed is in a no-win position: How will it re-price risk? the difference between inflation and dis-inflation; what's the difference between conservative company and a conservative stock? Is value coming back into style? How to find a "value stock" that's not a value trap? How to invest for 2022? SEG-1: Is it Time to Short the Vax-makers? SEG-2: How We're Getting "Back to Normal" SEG-3: The Difference Between Inflation & Dis-Inflation: Will the Fed Re-price Risk? SEG-4: Will "Value" Be the Place to Be for 2022? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is It Time to Short the Vaccine Makers?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Z9mnVB4JaY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Time to Resize Oil Stock Allocations?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_FyedtX8Y-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #VaccineMandate #MaskMandate #Inflation #Disinflation #RepricingRisk #ValueStocks #Markets #money #investing