
The Real Investment Show Podcast
3,479 episodes — Page 39 of 70
Listen to This BEFORE You Set Stop Losses
(4/14/22) Wednesday's market action provided a good example of how to best implement stop losses in your portfolio. When the market breaks below a moving average, there is sometimes a market bounce, and an improperly placed stop loss would cut you out of that rally. Wait for confirmation that the break of the 50_DMA is legit. Pay attention to sell signals relative to the market's over-sold or over-bought conditions. The retest and failure of the 50-DMA is the validation you're looking for. The key is not to react immediately to a break in the moving average; let the market tell you it's for real. You may risk more upside, but at the expense of less emotional stress as you navigate the markets. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ztjGikMozE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBounce #StopLoss #PortfolioManagement #Markets #Money #Investing
The Tax Man Cometh
(4/13/22) Big Banks lead off the next round of Q-1 earnings reports with a confounded perspective of heightened earnings expectations with haltered profit margin forecasts. Are valuation declines a risk for later in the year? Last-minute tax tips and a gentle correction of our host...but wait, there's more corrective action to be heard. How Elon Musk triggered Twitterers. Inflation is causing demand destruction in housing and used cars. The dynamics of inflation, pricing, and have we seen inflation peak already? SEG-1: Earnings Season Commences as Expectations are Heightened SEG-2: The Tax Man Cometh (and Correcteth Lance) SEG-3: Correcting the Correction & Last Minute tax Tips SEG-4: Inflation & Demand Destruction; Inflation has likely Peaked -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will an Over-sold Market lead to a Bounce? " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1mMvLjMFn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Rising Fuel Prices - Did Biden Go Too Far?" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2114s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #EnergyPrices #CorporateEarnings #ProfitMargins #ValuationDeclines #Markets #Money #Investing
Will an Over-sold Market lead to a Bounce?
(4/13/22) Markets are back on a sell-signal, and getting back to an over-sold condition, suggestive of a bounce. Coming on the heels of the hottest inflation print since 1981, markets are working to hold support at the 50-DMA. This pattern is not just confined to the S&P 500; International markets are continuing into a very negative downtrend, Emerging Markets have performed terribly this year,. In fact, International and Emerging Markets have been under-performing the S&P since 2009, and we have recommended against investments in these areas for the past year. Small Caps are over-sold and on a sell-signal, and this group's performance has been markedly worse than domestic stocks. And there's not much difference in Mid-Caps, either, also on a sell-signal and very over-sold. Rising interest rates, high inflation, and a lack of new orders will weigh on earnings prospects as the economy begins to slow down. Small- and Mid-caps tend to be better performers in the early stages of a recovery...not so much when things are winding down in the late stages of an economic cycle. We are remaining more focused on Large-caps and domestic stocks for a safety dividend income play, and more defensively positioned than for growth. That will change later in the year as deflationary pressure come to bear, at which time we will shift from defense to growth, particularly in companies that can grow earnings in a slower economy. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o1mMvLjMFn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketBounce #LargeCap #MidCap #SmallCap #InternationalStocks #EmerginMarkets #Inflation #Deflation #EconomicSlowDown #Markets #Money #Investing
The Feedback Loop of Rising Inflation
The Feedback Loop of Rising Inflation (4/12/22) The Easter holiday weekend gives you three days to file your 2021 Tax Return, due this year on April 17. Lance Market commentary and CPI Preview. How Joe Biden has run afoul of environmentalists as he contorts to control the rising fuel price fiasco he caused. The Millennial Narcissism epidemic, and how market metrics affect investor psychology; the substitution effect; just because interest rates are, doesn't necessarily mean they'll go up; why affordability really hasn't changed. If Albert Einstein came back (what would he think?) unintended consequences of bank de-regulation. SEG-1: Tax Filings & Market Aftermath SEG-2: Biden & Environmentalists vs Prices at the Pump SEG-3: Millennials and Metrics that Affect Market Psychology SEG-4: If Albert Einstein Returned -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Interest Rates' Effect on Investor Psychology" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hy3YQu_a9hc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why Everyone is Obsessed with Recession" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AsmXtYCZ348&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2689s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #EnergyPrices #JoeBiden# MillennialNarcissism #MarketPsychology #Markets #Money #Investing
Interest Rates' Effect on Investor Psychology
(4/12/22) The recent surge in interest rates must be viewed in context: This IS one of the largest draw downs in Bond prices--and rate hikes--in quite some time. But rates are only back where they were in 2019--pre-Pandemic shutdown: Houses were selling (there was a "shortage") and consumers were spending. Post-pandemic, home buyers are "being shut out" because of current rates (at the same 2019 levels); what's the difference? Rising rates are affecting higher debt loans than we had in 2019. Higher interest rates have two impacts on consumers: They cannot buy more stuff, and so contract spending, leading to slower economic growth; and consumers note that higher rates have eventually come back down, thus delaying purchases until rates are lower. Waiting to make consumption also leads to slower economic activity. Historically, when rates are more than three standard deviations oversold (where we are, currently), it has marked a peak in rates, which always leads to lower rates as a risk-off phenomenon hits financial systems. Today, as the Fed hastens to hike rates because of surging inflation, rates have already tightened (as witnessed in slowing housing sales and consumer spending). This price action in bonds is the best buying opportunity we've seen in 40-years. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hy3YQu_a9hc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #InterestRates #RateHike #BuyingOpportunity #Bonds #HousingSales #ConsumerSpending #HomeAffordability #Markets #Money #Investing
Why Everyone is Obsessed with Recession
(4/11/22) Earnings season is about to re-convene: What companies say about forward looking guidance will be key. This is a holiday-shortened trading week with Good Friday. We've been in a major bear market, despite what the main stream media says. What does it mean when everyone is talking about Recession? A discussion of Yield Curve(s) behaviors; how you know we're at the peak of a business cycle. The problem with lagging indicators. King Richard & Will Smith, perseverance, and mentoring. SEG-1: Holiday-shortened Week; Earnings Season Returns SEG-2: Recession Obsession SEG-3: What Freight tallies are Telling About the Real Economy SEG-4: The Importance of Mentors to Investors Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AsmXtYCZ348&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Light Trading Ahead of Easter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3D5bTKx-Z1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=6s -------- Our previous show, "How Markets Are Responding to a Faster Fed" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M--VHw6bxOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession #EarningsSeason #BearMarket #BusinessCycle #KingRichard #WSillSmith #SerenaWilliams #VenusWilliams #Markets #Money #Investing
Light Trading Ahead of Easter
(4/11/22) This will likely be a much-lighter trading week, ahead of the Good Friday holiday and Easter. Markets have been in an orderly decline following the recent rally; markets are holding support right at the 50-DMA. If that level can be sustained, markets will be primed to rally again. However, sell-signals have been triggered from a fairly high level, so more correctional action is also possibility. Markets are continuing in a month-long consolidation process. As we enter the next earnings season, companies' outlooks will be key in understanding the impact of inflation and higher costs on their bottom line. Oil prices remain extended by three standard deviations, and we've suggested reducing exposure to energy stocks. Oil is about to retest the $81/bbl level, and factors indicate the possibility of lower oil prices in coming months. Gold, however, is on a buy signal--good news for gold bugs. A breakout could push gold prices to the $2,022 level. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3D5bTKx-Z1E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=6s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #EasterHoliday #OilPrices #GoldPrices #MarketCorrection #EarningsSeason #CorporateGuidance #Markets #Money #Investing
What is a Retirement Plan?
(4/8/22) What corporations are saying about inflation & future earnings. Creativity in the Peep-dom: Richard discovers alternatively-flavored marshmallow Peeps; Wal-Mart's $100k truck drivers. Annuities in retirement; where's the target on target-dated funds (on your back). How to Quell Retirement Fears vs reaching retirement goals; what is the real definition of "retirement plan?" Achieving retirement nirvana vs under-funded plans. SEG-1: Creativity in the Peepdom: What Corporations Say About Inflation SEG-2: Where's the Target on Target-date Funds? SEG-3: How to Quell Retirement Fears: Defining 'Retirement' SEG-4: Retirement Nirvana vs Underfunded plans Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OvTpwxGZlq0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2411s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Interest Rates Really Respond to the Fed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0URKrkgslo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How Markets Are Responding to a Faster Fed" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M--VHw6bxOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #Annuities # RetirementNirvana #RetirementPlan #AOC #Peeps #Markets #Money #Investing
How Markets Are Responding to a Faster Fed
4/7/22) Now that the Fed's more rapid rate hike cat is out of the bag, markets celebrated with a Wednesday sell-off; at this point, it's instructive to note the history of market activity around such hikes; earnings growth will be challenged by higher rates, higher borrowing costs; Coffee Talk: Taking the Caffeine our of the Markets; markets have priced-in the Fed's rate hikes. The Fed's talking the talk, and hoping markets will do the heavy lifting. Equity Portfolio critique; Why we took Amazon out; companies to be hit by higher transportation costs. SEG-1: A History of Market Responses to Fed Rate Hikes SEG-2: Taking the Caffeine out of the Market SEG-3: Why the Markets are Like Mogadishu SEG-4: S&P Heat Map & the Market Iceberg Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2youIddsfQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Interest Rates Really Respond to the Fed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0URKrkgslo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will the Markets' Reflexive Rally Remain?" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2youIddsfQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LaelBrainard #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #Tapering #Commodities #Liquidity #DeathWishCoffee #Margins #Markets #Money #Investing
How Interest Rates Really Respond to the Fed
The Fed wants to hasten its rate hikes and balance sheet shrinkage, but history would indicate rates will behave quite differently. Watch @LanceRoberts' latest #ThreeMinutesOnMarketsAndMoney on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P0URKrkgslo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 #Markets #Money #Investing
Will the markets' reflexive rally remain?
((4/6/22) The Fed's Lael Brainard is calling for a faster run-off of its balance sheet in a more rapid application of quantitative tightening; this will not create any more inventory, but will reduce buyers. Margin Calls and the problem with bailouts; why the weak should be allowed to fail. The ferocity of downward trends; the conundrum of margins in commodity markets. How liquidity kills you quickly. Watch for the Fed to return to QE. Will the markets' reflexive rally remain? Catalysts & Concerns; playing the conservative game, waiting for markets to say which way they'll go. SEG-1: Lael Brainard's Rapid-er Run-off of Fed Balance Sheet SEG-2: The Problem with Bailouts SEG-3: Could Commodities be The Next Big Thing? SEG-4: Catalysts & Concerns: Which Way Will Markets Go? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2youIddsfQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Where Will Markets Go in April?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSsHJmmJhHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s -------- Our previous show, "Anatomy of a Bear Market" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LaelBrainard #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #Tapering #ElonMusk #Twitter #Commodities #Liquidity #Margins #Markets #Money #Investing
Brainard Said What?
4/6/22) Tuesday's market sell-off was not too surprising, as markets retraced from over-sold positions to "over-boughtedness." As markets open down this morning, the 50-DMA will be challenged--and that needs to hold, at least for the moment. Even though markets are currently over-sold, a very clear sell-signal remains. Two choices beckon: either trade along the 50-DMA for a few days, working off the over-bought condition; or, violate the 50-DMA, and re-test previous lows. Either outcome will reduce the over-bought conditions. Meanwhile, Bonds remain under pressure, thanks to the Fed's Lael Brainard's recent comments about a need to taper the Fed's balance sheet more quickly. Bonds are over-sold, and holding onto support at recent lows. As market weakness continues, don't be surprised by some correctional action in the stock market, generating some buying into the bond market. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EfGDBry9KtM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #RateHike #QuantitativeEasing #Tapering #Markets #Money #Investing
Anatomy of a Bear Market
(4/4/22) Elon Musk knows how to combat Twitter, scooping up a 9% stake in the company; April is a stronger month for markets, but could the Fed's activity make for a sloppy summer of trading? Jobs Act 4.0 & How Wall St. extracts capital by changing "accredited investor" definition. More Life with the Roberts, the worst thing you can do for kids; anatomy of a bear market. Best Ice Cream Flavors, on-boarding back into the markets, the problem of market timing vs risk management. SEG-1: June Bugs, Twitter & Elon Musk, Moving into April SEG-2: The Things We Do Over and Over SEG-3: Workouts, Party Dresses, & Bear Market Anatomy SEG-4: Ice Cream Lists & On-boarding Back into the Market Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j5pM2l9xhSo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Where Will Markets Go in April?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSsHJmmJhHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Will the Fed Hike Rates Eight Times?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDzMYWFn4kI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-market-anatomy-revisiting-russell-napiers-work-annotated/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #FederalReserve #ElonMusk #Twitter #JobsAct #Markets #Money #Investing
Where Will Markets Go in April?
(4/4/22) April tends to be a strong month, statistically; will that trend prevail this year? Only a few weeks ago did markets sell-off into extreme over-sold territory on Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Since then, markets have rallied, and now needs to consolidate to hold important critical support at moving averages that are just below current market levels. If markets break through these levels, there will be a retest of market lows. By May, all bets are off, as the Fed's next meeting occurs, with an expected 50-basis point rate hike, as well as release of the schedule for Fed balance sheet tapering. Reduced liquidity heading into the summer will result in slower economic growth and slower earnings pacing. That will weigh on markets in terms of justification of current valuations. A retest of market highs would be within the realm of possibility amidst a reflexive rally...sucking in more investors at exactly the wrong time. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QSsHJmmJhHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #RateHike #QuantitativeEasing #Tapering #Markets #Money #Investing
What is Retirement Reform?
(4/1/22) There's no need for April Foolery--things are strange enough as they are; We need Reagan's 'Whip Inflation Now' resurrected; what is the Yield Curve telling us; how to read the Bond Market. Assessing Retirement Reform; the Opus Newton experiment; What did Granpda Rosso's Retirement look like--and is that what you want? Social Security claiming strategies & decisions. SEG-1: How to Whip Inflation Now SEG-2: Goofus & Gallant and Reading the Bond Markets SEG-3: No April Fools Day; Economic Preview; Opus Newton & Retirement Reform SEG-4: Grandpa Rosso's Retirement; Social Security Challenges Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dA30ZEK0EoE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2652s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Beasr Squeeze or Bull Rally?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=synp76dN564&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will the Fed Hike Rates Eight Times?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDzMYWFn4kI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementReform #SocialSecurity #WhipInflationNow #BondMarket #YieldCurve AprilFools #OpusNewton #GrandpaRosso #Markets #Money #Investing
Will the Fed Hike Rates Eight Times?
(3/31/22) "The Smartest Guys in The Room," the story of Enron and Video streaming juxtaposed with the launch Tuesday of CNN+; why a market correction is needed to work off excesses. It's a good time to be an agnostic: Neither Bull or Bear. So how many times will the Fed raise rates (before something gets broken)? The Carbon Credits scam and "green gas premiums; the adverse consequences from the quest for "green" energy. How to capture pig gas (ew).Market fundamentals & Valuations; buying value stocks now. SEG-1: Enron to CNN+, Market Commentary: Correction Needed SEG-2: Markets Move into April: A Good Time to Be Agnostic SEG-3: It's Not Easy Being Green: The Carbon Credit Scam SEG-4: Market Fundamentals & Buying Value Stocks Now Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDzMYWFn4kI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Continue Their Bullish March?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9OezBEZymMI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Biggest Risk to markets Now" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhDFG8PrOM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fed-liquidity-drain-is-coming https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #Inflation #Quarter_End_Selling #Enron #CNN+ #CarbonCredit #Markets #Money #Investing
The Biggest Risk to Markets Now
(3/30/22) York Peppermint Patties & Coffee Prices, and the market rally continues, courtesy of a feigned pullback by Russia in Ukraine; why rallies like this only occur in bear markets. The Wisdom of Weddings on Birthdates (and other holidays); What happens after this rally? At what point does the Fed break something? When everyone is suddenly talking about the Yield Curve; Elizabeth Warren vs Elon Musk and taxing the rich; the Budget Bill that's DOA. Higher taxes are a'comin', with changes to SS and Roth IRA's. Why America needs an economic enema. SEG-1: The Market Rally Continues (as only it can in a bear market) SEG-2: Marriages, Anniversaries, Birthdays & The Biggest Risks to the Market SEG-3: Elizabeth Warren vs Elon Musk & Higher Taxes Coming SEG-4: Taxes vs Revenues & An Economic Enema Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhDFG8PrOM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What the Largest Rally Since 1932 Means for Your Money" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5Pbdh8j2Pc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Markets Stuck in Wash, Repeat, Rinse Cycle" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-kSAeHvxyp4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BillionaireTax #Russia #Ukraine #SocialSecurity #RothIRA #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets Stuck in a Wash, Rinse, Repeat Cycle
(3/29/22) Quarter-end selling continues; how we allow psychology to affect investing decisions; what happens when inflation is artificially imposed. How debt deters economic growth. Why negativity is a contrarian indicator, and why we sold (some) stocks; Markets are in a Wash, Rinse, Repeat Cycle; Why headlines do not affect all stocks equally; Only 2% of Nestle income derived in Russia. Important of Health & Nutrition in Retirement; Berkshire-Hathaway & Dairy Queen; changing "workout" to "sex," because no one wants to "work." The irony of Oscar flap over Will Smith bitch slap; the limitations of stock buy-backs: do it enough and the company goes private. The fallacy of "the Rich don't pay taxes:" Elon Musk's $11-Billion dollar tax bill. SEG-1: How Psychology Affects Investing Decisions SEG-2: Negative Sentiment is a Contrarian Indicator SEG-3: Berkshire-Hathaway's Better-bad Choices & Dairy Queen SEG-4: Driving the Length-challenged Bus, Oscars, Violence, & Movies SEG-4B: The Limitations of Stock Buy-backs Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-kSAeHvxyp4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Beasr Squeeze or Bull Rally?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=synp76dN564&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "What Happens with No Penalty for Failure" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbHw6kWyJzY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Quarter_End_Selling #ContrarianIndicator #Berkshire_Hathaway #Dairy_Queen #Oscars #WillSmith #BillionaireTax #Markets #Money #Investing
Will Markets Continue their Bullish March?
Will markets hew close to statistics April performance following rallies in March? Watch my latest #ThreeMinutesOnMarketsAndMoney on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9OezBEZymMI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 #Markets #Money #Investing
What the Largest Rally Since 1932 Means for Your Money
(3/30/22) The current, near-10% rally is largest we've seen in history--assuming we're in a bear market. While technically, we didn't see a correction, the actions of the market belies otherwise. It is only in bear markets that these types of reflexive rallies are observed. We've had very negative sentiment, very light investor positioning, many are shorting the market, and speculators have essentially evaporated--AARK funds are down almost 30% this year. The subsequent reflexive rally off these lows, thanks to a little good news, is being mostly driven by short-covering. This will have a very limited life. Markets have now recovered to two standard-deviations oversold from two standard deviations overbought of the 50_DMA. A rally back to all time market highs will not change the market still being in a giant consolidation range, and the basic market dynamics have not been altered. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5Pbdh8j2Pc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BullMarket #Bonds #Correction #Russia #Ukraine #Quarter_End #Rebalancing #Markets #Money #Investing
Is this a Bear Squeeze or a Return of the Bull?
(3/29/22) Is the rally of the past few weeks a bonafide return of the Bull Market? Negative sentiment fostered by the Russian invasion of Ukraine set markets up for a reversal when the world didn't come to an end, and rallying mode ensued. All it took was a little good news. Now, with end of the quarter balancing looming, and a lot of portfolio managers still off-sides on their books: Underweight bonds as prices have fallen as rates have gone up, and still out of whack on equities, off from the usual 60/40 allocations--the move to re-jigger portfolios through stock purchases will create upward lift to continue the rallying. We've been adjusting, too--and as stocks continue to rise through two standard deviations, clearing resistance, the opportunity exists for markets to pull back, and if they hold, will be in a much better position moving into April. And with markets extremely over sold on multiple levels, we need that kind of pull-back consolidation. There are lots of indicators to suggest that we're closer to the end of this bull market rally, and that we could get a pull back over the next week or so, once quarter-end rebalancing concludes. -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=synp76dN564&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BullMarket #Bonds #Correction #Russia #Ukraine #Quarter_End #Rebalancing #Markets #Money #Investing
What Happens w No Fear of failure
(3/28/22) The Oscar Slap heard 'round the world; The Billionaires' Tax explains, and why it won't pass muster; How the Flu was eliminated by COVID, and now...the impact of legislation, and why the Fed uses Quantitative Easing. The moral hazard for investors, and what happens when there's no penalty for excess; the "new" method for dealing with Recession: Don't let them occur. Emergency Assistance and whose at fault when investments for wrong? The rising dependence on government bailouts...why capitalisms isn't allowed to work the way it should. SEG-1: Oscar Slap, Billionaire Tax, & The Inflation Equation SEG-2: Senioritis, Net Worth Assumptions, & Why the Fed Does QE SEG-3: Investors' Moral Hazard: What Happens w No Penalty for Failure SEG-4: The Consequences of Rising Government Dependancy Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SbHw6kWyJzY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Quarter End - Is it Time to Rebalance?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3b837raDt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Rate Hike Episode, Pt.1 & Pt.2" is here: Part-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smOKh-aoEHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1s Part-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-dCmyjIf48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1722s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #BillionaireTax #QuantitativeEasing #Retirement #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
Quarter End - Is it Time to Rebalance?
(3/28/22) Markets' sharp rally heading into the end of the quarter was expected, lifting indexes above the 200- and 50-DMA amidst negative sentiment and light positioning in portfolios. The clearing of overhead resistance sets markets up for a little more rallying up to the levels seen in December last year. Markets are very over bought on multiple levels, and pretty close to triggering a sell-signal. That does not necessarily mean markets are going to immediately sell-off back down to their lows. But as we move into this week, the last in March, mutual funds, hedge funds, and pension fund managers all need to rebalance their portfolios, suggesting markets could hold their own for the next few days. But when the signals trigger, expect downward pressure on asset prices. Juxtapose to the stock market is the bond market, which is currently over-sold on multiple levers, and close to triggering a buy-signal. A risk-off move in equities would bode well for bonds, which are now over-sold by more than two standard deviations. Money flowing from risk-on to risk-off would potentially flow into bonds. So, any correction in equity prices should help push up bonds back towards their moving averages. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3b837raDt0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BullMarket #Bonds #Recession #Inflation #Correction #Markets #Money #Investing
When Your Financial Plan Isn't Working
(3/25/22) How do you adequately plan your financial future with a Fed that is as outdated as a rectal thermometer? Their answer to every problem is sending a check. Gasoline Prices & Animal House; inflation and the "significant passage of time." What happens when your financial plan isn't working? Social Security COLA, tracking inflation's impact on your financial goals; dealing with volatility in distribution-mode. Improving credit scores for young Americans; medical billing & collections. SEG-1: Houston Traffic & The Outdated Fed SEG-2: What Happens When Your Financial Plan Isn't Working SEG-3: Tweaking Financial Plans Against Inflation SEG-4: Improving Credit Scores Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OGmLowz81c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2585s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Markets to End March Bullishly" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TB149ckvhTA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Rate Hike Episode, Pt.1 & Pt.2" is here: Part-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smOKh-aoEHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1s Part-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-dCmyjIf48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1722s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Retirement SocialSecurity #COLA FederalReserve #InterestRates #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
The Rate Hike Outlook Episode
(3/24/22) Markets' recent rally providing nice relief; bullish appetite for stocks remains, despite Ukraine, Interest rates, and inflation concerns. What happens when the Fed "prints" money; at what point will the Fed have gone too far? Life w The Roberts'; why Recessions aren't a bad thing; gasoline rebates are financial lunacy. Implications and consequences of 3% interest rates; how debt allows excessive lifestyles; Gov't. not allowing economic cycle to function normally. Why Energy Co's. are in a no-win situation. SEG-1: Markets to Rally Out of March; No guarantees for Q-2 SEG-2: At What Point Does the Fed Go Too Far? SEG-3: Life w The Roberts'; Why Recessions Are not a Bad Thing SEG-4: The Problem w 3% Interest Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: Part-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smOKh-aoEHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1s Part-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-dCmyjIf48&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1722s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Markets to End March Bullishly" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TB149ckvhTA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Who's Afraid of the Yield Curve?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fXOlv-vcoqM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/btfd-or-stfr-which-is-it/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #YieldCurves #Bonds #InterestRates #Russia #Ukraine #Sanctions #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
Markets to End March Bullishly
(3/24/22) Markets' recent rally back above resistance levels sets up for a bullish advance into the end of the month. Markets are over-bought, short-term, so some consolidation at current levels would not be surprising. There is good support as markets sit atop the 50-DMA, and the 20-DMA is starting to turn upwards as another bullish barometer. As the end of the month approaches next week, mutual funds will need to rebalance portfolios, thanks to two months of heavy welling, and the recent surge in interest rates. Bond prices have also come down, and the rejiggering of portfolios could provide some upward lift to markets as the quarter concludes. Beyond that, it's anyone's guess as to what happens in the markets: The Fed's rumored to raise rates 50-basis points in May, inflation is running amok, and over the next several months, the economic environment is going to continue to deteriorate, potentially putting a lid on prices. In the meantime, over the next few days, a correction and consolidation would not be a surprise, and would set markets up for yet another rally right into the end of the quarter. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TB149ckvhTA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BullMarket #Bonds #Recession #Inflation #Correction #Markets #Money #Investing
Who's Afraid of the Yield Curve?
(3/23/22) Lance's mystery Peppermint Patty source; investor sentiment remains negative, but there are technically constructive signs providing portfolio relief; concerns over geopolitics, energy, and food shortages are valid, but they're driving emotional responses by investors. Yield Curves and the story Bonds are telling; the impact of higher rates on pensions; you could be working for free; the reality of retirement now; the consequences of poor financial education & importance of delayed gratification. SEG-1: Peppermint Patties & Signs We're Near a Short-term Bottom SEG-2: Who's Afraid of Yield Curves? SEG-3: How You're Losing Money in Retirement SEG-4: The Reality of Retirement Now Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fXOlv-vcoqM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is the Bear Market Already Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=onPy5MoARYs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Sanctions Stink, but Markets Perform Despite Geopolitics" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YqOnk_cB0FU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/btfd-or-stfr-which-is-it/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #YieldCurves #Bonds #InterestRates #Russia #Ukraine #Sanctions #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
Is the Bear Market Already Over?
(3/23/22) Negative sentiment tends to be bullish for stocks, and lately everyone's been convinced the world is about to end. The technicals bear this out: We've had several re-tests of market lows since January, which would include the Russian invasion of Ukraine. But look at how markets rallied, breaking about the 50- and 200-DMA's. Markets need to hold above that resistance level, and reach up to touch the upper limits of the Bollinger Bands. In reality, the negativity has already been priced-in. Are we out of the woods? Not necessarily. Rising rates and slowing economic growth will continue to provide overhead pressure, keeping prices suppressed. A correction would be a bullish set up for markets. Take advantage now to rebalance portfolio risk. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=onPy5MoARYs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #BearMarket #Bonds #Recession #OilPrices #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
Sanctions Stink, but Markets Perform Despite Geopolitics
(3/22/22) Markets continue to perform remarkably, despite geopolitical distractions and Fed meddling; there seems to be no demand destruction from high energy prices. Yet. The conundrum is markets' readiness to rally amidst negative sentiment. Jerome Powell's "hope for supply-side healing" belies headlong rush to raise rates again. And again. Impact of Russia-Ukraine war; Sanctions also hurting the rest of us. Why "rare earth" minerals are so called; The deals we make with ourselves harm us the most: Failure to execute. SEG-1: Markets' Performance Despite Geopolitics, Fed Interventions SEG-2: Jerome Powell's 'Hope for Supply-side Healing' SEG-3: Why Sanctions Against Russia Really Hurt the Rest of Us SEG-4: The Deals We Make w Ourselves that Hurt Us Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YqOnk_cB0FU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Is It Time to Buy Bonds Yet?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GnxJu06GEk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Why Today's Inflation is Not Like the '70's" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_sQgLCMqWv4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/btfd-or-stfr-which-is-it/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #Sanctions #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
Is it Time to Buy Bonds Yet?
(3/22/22) Maybe not yet, but we're probably getting close: The Fed this week has said it'll need to raise rates faster than previously thought because of rampant inflation. We might get a 50-basis point hike in May because of persistent inflation they didn't see coming (they also didn't see a war between Russia and Ukraine.) Expectations of higher inflation has been pushing bond yields lower. As the Fed raises rates, economic growth slows, and as that occurs, money flows out of riskier investments (stocks) and into safer plays (bonds) because of capital preservation over time. TLT pricing is more than two standard deviations below the 50-DMA. This phenomenon doesn't occur very often, or last for long, and we're currently not quite there, yet. Despite a selloff in TLT, there is a pick up in money flows into bond, and over sold conditions are setting up for a pretty decent reflexive action. From a trading perspective, this is a set up for a short term trade in bonds. Buy today, and be prepared to sell on any rally. Longer term, we're looking for rates to fall towards zero as a recession sets in later this year or early in 2023. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GnxJu06GEk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #Bonds #Equities #Recession #OilPrices #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
Why Today's Inflation is Not Like the '70's
(3/21/22) Markets decided to goose the index 6% while we're on vacation, and the Fed raises rates 25-basis points, as expected. Cash is now trash, thanks to inflation; why this is not like the '70's. The Greatest Generation and American Manufacturing strength; why CNN is wrong about solving inflation; Permanent DST, Congress' stealth pay raise, Bloomberg's $300k inflation threshold; the Fed is expected to continue to raise interest rates. SEG-1: Markets Rally Like a Scalded Ape SEG-2: Cash is Trash; Why We Now Have High Inflation SEG-3: Midway, The Greatest Generation, Inflation Now vs Then SEG-4: Permanent DST, The Fed's Biggest Problem Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "6% Market Rally - Markets Over-bought" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BO32VBAZFl8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Who's Really to Blame for High Energy Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E-AK04azW0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-cash-trash-as-inflation-rages/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
6% Market Rally - Markets Over-bought
(3/21/22) Markets rallied an astounding 6% last week, coming off an over-sold, very negative sentiment scenario--which was the perfect set-up for a counter-trend rally. Our advice was to use such a rally to rebalance risk. Did you? The Fed's 25-basis points rate hike, and Friday's quadruple witching deadline, which spurred activity, gave markets the lift necessary to rise into the 200-DMA, which will be challenging resistance this morning. Even if the S&P achieves the 4,600 summit, it doesn't change the dynamics of the corrective process we've been in since October. Markets this morning are over-bought, creating some short-term risk. Today, honor your stop levels, and use any rally to remove more risky investments from your portfolio. Be careful of commodity trades, however--they're very over-bought. Watch for opportunities in companies that tend to have stable earnings growth regardless of the economic environment. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BO32VBAZFl8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #Recession #OilPrices #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
Best-of The Real Investment Show for 3/18/22
(3/18/22) How much do Girl Scout cookie sales add to the CPI? What the Fed said this week could change everything--one way or the other. Why not solve the Russian-Ukraine War with a cage match between Putin and Zelensky? The money lessons we teach our kids should be taken to heart by adults. The importance of including inflation in retirement planning cannot be under emphasized. Money saving lessons for today from the Great Depression: eliminating recurring charges, lowering credit card rates, paying with cash, keeping up with automobile maintenance, Raising insurance deductibles, using online banks, and ditching banks with fees. SEG-1: Girl Scout Cookies & Market Performance in Troubled Times SEG-2: Money Lessons for Kids - and adults SEG-3: Planning for Inflation in Retirement SEG-4: Saving Money in Inflationary Times Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Equities Markets Opening Strong...Commodities, meh" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yqfBftyjGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s -------- Our previous show, "Who's Really to Blame for High Energy Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E-AK04azW0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/looking-to-unretire-four-important-steps-to-consider/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
Best-of The Real Investment Show for 3/17/22
(3/17/22) This week's Fed Meeting and monetary policy may be front and center, monetary tightening has been already occurring, thanks to higher energy prices. Will the Fed back off inflationary stance--and protect financial markets, or go full-speed ahead with higher interest rates? The Amazon 20:1 stock split AND $10-B stock buy-back--a defacto move for larger companies. Who's really to blame for high energy prices? The consequences of virtue signaling and ESG investing...how the government shames the companies it's tried to regulate out of business. When the Fed meets next week, will they hike rates because of inflation (this morning's 7.9% CPI print will feed into that decision); how inflation is measured. The Fed is faced with a market in trouble, and an economy that is already slowing because of the drag from higher energy prices. Tik-Tok blows out video database...Why one-day rallies are normal...for bear markets. SEG-1: Market Pressures, Amazon's Stock Split & Buy-back SEG-2: Lance's Rant: High Energy Costs, ESG Investing, & Virtue Signaling SEG-3: Fed Meeting & CPI Preview: SEG-4: Tik-Tok Fail; What's Driving Markets Higher Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our previous show, "Did Ukraine Eliminate COVID?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2591s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
Best of The Real Investment Show (3/16/22)
(3/16/22) The news moves markets, and as the Russian invasion of Ukraine remains in the headlines, COVID has been all but eliminated! After sanctions on Russian oil were put in place, oil futures shed 2%. NFIB Survey shows sentiment waning, wage expectations falling, and anticipated sales down. The higher costs for energy are diverting money in household budgets from spending elsewhere. The neighborhood gas station you boycott could be owned by your nextdoor neighbor, and not the oil company you love to hate. New Retirement Legislation on the way--why are there limits on saving? The demographics and math of retirement; why 401k's were a bad idea. The dynamics of stimulus checks combined with bad financial habits; how long will this inflation last? The cure for high prices is high prices. SEG-1: How Ukraine Eliminated COVID SEG-2: How High Oil Prices are tightening Money Supply SEG-3: The Realities of Boycotts and Virtue Signaling SEG-4: Stimulus Checks & Bad Financial Habits Today's show was previously broadcast, hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch past shows on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #COVID #GasolinePrices #Cryptocurrency #FederalReserve #401k #Retirement #StimulusChecks #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
Best-of The Real Investment Show (3/15/22)
(3/15/22) It might take a short-term loan for your next fill-up: Crude Oil price inflation isn't over; are we seeing the death of ESG investing in the face of fiscal reality? The flaw in investor anchoring--and market perspective. A critique of the State of the Union Address; there is a silver lining in higher prices for oil. Russia vs Ukraine by the numbers; the exogenous event; Elon Musk--building nukes and ramping up oil production. How will you be positioned at war's end? SEG-1: Crude Oil Price Inflation SEG-2: Have Oil Prices Peaked? SEG-3: The Good Thing About High Oil Prices SEG-4: How Might Russia-Urkraine War Impact Corporate Earnings? Today's show was previously broadcast, hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch past shows on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #COVID #GasolinePrices #Cryptocurrency #FederalReserve #401k #Retirement #StimulusChecks #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
Best-of The Real Investment Show (3/14/22)
(3/14/22) It might take a short-term loan for your next fill-up: Crude Oil price inflation isn't over; are we seeing the death of ESG investing in the face of fiscal reality? The flaw in investor anchoring--and market perspective. A critique of the State of the Union Address; there is a silver lining in higher prices for oil. Russia vs Ukraine by the numbers; the exogenous event; Elon Musk--building nukes and ramping up oil production. How will you be positioned at war's end? SEG-1: Filling up Your Tank SEG-2: SOTU Critique SEG-3: The Good Thing About High Oil Prices SEG-4: How Might Russia-Ukraine War Impact Corporate Earnings? Today's show was previously broadcast, hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch past shows on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #COVID #GasolinePrices #Cryptocurrency #FederalReserve #401k #Retirement #StimulusChecks #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
How to Include Inflation in Your Retirement Planning
(3/11/22) Markets are in a coiled-spring state, like the bear in "The Revenant," waiting to pounce. What the Fed says next week could change everything--one way or the other. Why not solve the Russian-Ukraine War with a cage match between Putin and Zelensky? The money lessons we teach our kids should be taken to heart by adults. The importance of including inflation in retirement planning cannot be under emphasized. How we're handling higher gasoline costs; the ugly truth about Medicare Advantage. SEG-1: The Revenant Market SEG-2: Money Lessons for Kids - and adults SEG-3: Planning for Inflation in Retirement SEG-4: More Money Lessons for Kids & The Problem with Medicare Advantage Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Equities Markets Opening Strong...Commodities, meh" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yqfBftyjGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s -------- Our previous show, "Who's Really to Blame for High Energy Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E-AK04azW0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/looking-to-unretire-four-important-steps-to-consider/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Retirement #Russia #Markets #Money #Investing
Who's Really to Blame for High Energy Prices?
(3/10/22) Next Week's Fed Meeting and monetary policy are front and center...but tightening is already occurring, thanks to higher energy prices. Will the Fed back off inflationary stance--and protect financial markets, or go full-speed ahead with higher interest rates? The Amazon 20:1 stock split AND $10-B stock buy-back--a defacto move for larger companies. Who's really to blame for high energy prices? The consequences of virtue signaling and ESG investing...how the government shames the companies it's tried to regulate out of business. When the Fed meets next week, will they hike rates because of inflation (this morning's 7.9% CPI print will feed into that decision); how inflation is measured. The Fed is faced with a market in trouble, and an economy that is already slowing because of the drag from higher energy prices. Tik-Tok blows out video database...Why one-day rallies are normal...for bear markets. SEG-1: Market Pressures, Amazon's Stock Split & Buy-back SEG-2: Lance's Rant: High Energy Costs, ESG Investing, & Virtue Signaling SEG-3: Fed Meeting & CPI Preview: SEG-4: Tik-Tok Fail; What's Driving Markets Higher Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Outsized Rallies Continue to Fail " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kPOOHey3Mtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Did Ukraine Eliminate COVID?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2591s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
Outsized Rallies Continue to Fail
(3/10/22) The NASDAQ chalked up a 3% gain, and he S&P bounded nearly as much in the biggest one-day gain we've seen in a while. But even with this volatile behavior, markets have been in a consistent decline since January. The out-sized rallies have continued to fail--a hallmark of the correctional process. Below the surface of the average, individual companies are recording losses of up to 30- and 40% off their peaks. The S&P is being sustained by larger companies with the wherewithal to buy back their stocks. Amazon announced a 20:1 stock split and a buy-back program worth $10-B. Thanks to Amazon's effect on market weighting, this activity will further buoy the S&P and NASDAQ. Markets on Wednesday failed to reclaim support at previous levels, closing right at that support level, and as markets open lower this morning, that previous support level will be critical. Markets are over-sold, but not dramatically so, and fuel remains for a bigger correction to the downside. Next week's Fed meeting will be held in the context of what's happening in Russia/Ukraine, and whether OPEC will increase production. Any "good" news could change this dynamic. The big issue between a 10% correction and a rally to new highs is whether the economy falls into recession this year. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kPOOHey3Mtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #Recession #OilPrices #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
Did Ukraine Eliminate COVID?
(3/9/22) The news moves markets, and as the Russian invasion of Ukraine remains in the headlines, COVID has been all but eliminated! After sanctions on Russian oil were put in place, oil futures shed 2%. NFIB Survey shows sentiment waning, wage expectations falling, and anticipated sales down. The Fed bet: raise rates or hold firm? Nickel trading suspended until Friday; what then? Manipulation of commodities markets--nothing new. Markets' next hurdle will be next week's Fed meeting. New Retirement Legislation on the way--why are there limits on saving? The demographics and math of retirement; why 401k's were a bad idea. The dynamics of stimulus checks combined with bad financial habits; how long will this inflation last? The cure for high prices is high prices. SEG-1: How Ukraine Eliminated COVID SEG-2: Commodity Market Manipulation & The Fed Bet SEG-3: Why 401k's Were a Bad Idea SEG-4: Stimulus Checks & Bad Financial Habits Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys9zYvkNIko&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Equities Markets Opening Strong...Commodities, meh" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yqfBftyjGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=12s -------- Our previous show, "Is Recession on the Way?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dfSHdce7zhM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Ukraine #COVID #GasolinePrices #Cryptocurrency #FederalReserve #401k #Retirement #StimulusChecks #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
Equities Markets Opening Strong...Commodities, meh
(3/9/22) Oil prices on Tuesday spiked on expectations of sanctions on Russian oil, and as it came to pass, oil futures dropped 2%. Oil had been over-sold by more than three standard deviations, so a pullback was not unexpected. An oil price correction back down to $100/bbl would not be surprising, as a re-test of the 50-DMA--and that could set oil prices to go even higher, still. But high prices are the cure for high prices, and that dynamic is being witnessed. Commodities run together, and Gold is no exception to the current climate. A pullback to $1,950/oz would not be surprising. Equities are looking much better, however, with markets building a tight consolidation--a break to the upside could be fairly strong. Factors affecting this include the Fed's stance at next week's meeting, and/or good news in the Russian-Ukraine conflict, i.e., hostilities ending. Stocks are setting up for a nice counter-trend rally. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yqfBftyjGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/high-gas-prices-and-recessions https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/daily-market-commentary/ -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #OilPrices #CommodityPrices #Gold #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
Is Recession on the Way?
(3/8/22) The cost of filling your tank just got real, and it's effectively pulling liquidity out of the market, and slowing down economic growth. Earnings Estimates are too optimistic with consumers having less to spend as a result of higher energy costs. This could bring on Recession before the end of the year. Just because NASDAQ has declined 20% does not make it a bear market--it's the trend that counts. We're primed for a reflexive rally. Do you want to boycotting & virtue signal, or do you want to make money? A commentary on market futures: Buying is easy--selling is the hard part. How will the Russia/Ukraine war impact future earnings of companies like Apple, P&G, etc.? We have likely seen the peak of earnings growth for 2022, as effects of inflation shrink margins and profits. SEG-1: The Cost of Filling-up (w/charts) SEG-2: Have Oil Prices Peaked? (w/charts) SEG-3: The Reality of Boycotts & Virtue Signaling SEG-4: How Will Russia-Ukraine Impact Future Earnings? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dfSHdce7zhM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2582s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "How to use Rallies to Lower Risk " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b4UxuCoufoY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Crude Oil Price Inflation Isn't Over" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QN-pJWzqglk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/an-earnings-reversion-is-coming/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Inflation #Recession #GasolinePrices #FederalReserve #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
How to use Rallies to Lower Risk
(3/8/22) Markets sold off on Monday, breaking through support all the way back to October's levels. Markets are not yet on a sell-signal, and not really all that over-sold--meaning, there's still some downside risk with which to be reckoned. We will likely re-test the intra-day lows established when Russia invaded Ukraine. Sentiment remains negative--the CNN Fear & Greed gauge is in the "extreme fear" category. This would suggest we could get a quick rally back up to the 50-DMA, but the trends are still pointing lower--putting pressure on prices at lower levels. So as markets rally, there's not a lot of headroom in which to play. Use these rallies to reduce risk. Higher oil prices and higher energy costs will weigh on outlooks for the rest of the year, and will push us towards a recessionary economy by the end of the year. The surge in oil prices over the past few weeks, thank you, Vladimir Putin, has placed them more than three standard deviations above the moving average. The spread in contracts seen thru the lens of backwardation is the largest in history, suggesting we are at or near the peak in oil prices. Will high prices cure high prices, or will the increase in energy costs trigger a full-fledged recession? There will be a rapid reversal in oil prices at some point. If you're long oil & gas, watch for that reversal--the tell-tale sign to take profits and remove yourself from that trade. It's easy to do the buying, but more difficult to do the selling--don't forget to sell and take profits! Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b4UxuCoufoY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketTurmoil #OilPrices #CommodityPrices #Markets #Money #Investing
Crude Oil Price Inflation Isn't Over
(3/7/22) It might take a short-term loan for your next fill-up: Crude Oil price inflation isn't over; are we seeing the death of ESG investing in the face of fiscal reality? The flaw in investor anchoring--and market perspective. Why high oil prices are essentially tightening money supply; the true cause of inflation, per Milton Friedman (it's Washington's fault); Word of the Day: "Slowbalization." There are two sides to every trade--don't forget to sell. Russia vs Ukraine by the numbers; the exogenous event; Elon Musk--building nukes and ramping up oil production. How will you be positioned at war's end? SEG-1: Crude Oil Price Inflation & The Death of ESG Investing SEG-2: How High Oil Prices are Tightening Money Supply SEG-3: Slowbalization and The Real Cause of Inflation SEG-4: Preparing Positioning for War's End Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QN-pJWzqglk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2598s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Control Your Emotions During Market Turmoil" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HmkMm7AxLqU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1944s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CrudeOil #Inflation #FederalReserve #Slobalization #Russia #Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing
How to Control Your Emotions During Market Turmoil
(3/7/22) Why be invested now, with all the turmoil in the world? Controlling your emotions will help you avoid making mistakes with long-term disadvantages. While markets have started 2022 with a 10% decline (normal in any year), investor anchoring can skew your view: when compared to the all-time highs of October 2021, today's markets are only off by about 3%. The reality is that markets really haven't gone anywhere since last October. The importance of perspective is illustrated even more by looking back a couple of years: In February , 2020 markets were hitting all-time highs, followed by the pandemic-driven shut down. Markets then had a 120% run upwards with little volatility. The 10% correction "blip" is exactly that in the context of a longer-term view over the past two years. That's why perspective is important in keeping investors' emotions in check. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HmkMm7AxLqU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #InvestorPerspective #MarketCorrection #MarketTurmoil #InvestorEmotions #Markets #Money #Investing
Saving Money in Inflationary Times
(3/4/22) Girl Scout Cookie Season returns with a vengeance; selling techniques & economic impact. Market performance continues to baffle,. Why is everyone's side-job selling Real Estate? the importance of teaching kids the value of money and delayed gratification; money saving lessons for today from the Great Depression: eliminating recurring charges, lowering credit card rates, paying with cash, keeping up with automobile maintenance, Raising insurance deductibles, using online banks, and ditching banks with fees. SEG-1: Girl Scout Cookies & Market Performance in Troubled Times SEG-2: Money Scripts & The Value of Delayed Gratification SEG-3: Saving Money in Inflationary Times, Pt.1 SEG-4: Saving Money in Inflationary Times, Pt.2 Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Markets Need to Rally " youtube.com/watch?v=kBVJfVaw4mQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "MThe Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1944s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-market-strategies-are-you-ready https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #FederalReserve #Oil #Gasoline #GirlScoutCookies #DelayedGratification #Markets #Money #Investing
The Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market
(3/3/22) Markets seem to be doing great, but most of the support is coming from corporate share buy-backs, now at record high levels. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's first day of testimony was well-received on Wall St. Energy makes up 7% of GDP, but actually touches all aspects of daily life. Pricing Gasoline at 9/10ths Gallon; Bear Market Strategies, and what Volatility means. There's no direct link between Quantitative Easing and stock prices--just there to boost investor sentiment. SEG-1: The Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market SEG-2: Why Oil Prices Are the Biggest Indicator of Real Inflation SEG-3: Gasoline Pricing & Bear Market Strategies SEG-4: The Perfect Set-up for a Bear Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfsjaAM6I50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Markets Need to Rally " youtube.com/watch?v=kBVJfVaw4mQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "March Off to a Weak Start - Will We Recover?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FNufDfJKGTY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-market-strategies-are-you-ready https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #BearMarket #Inflation #FederalReserve #Oil #Gasoline #Markets #Money #Investing
What Markets Need to Rally
(3/3/22) Markets liked what Jerome Powell had to say to Congress, and continue to consolidate off over-sold conditions of a few days ago, holding support from January's lows. Markets remain in a bullish position, with stock buy backs very supportive of large-caps. Despite geopolitics and inflationary pressures, markets have held their own, going through a corrective process. However, there is still risk to the downside: There are three resistance levels to be conquered. What needs to happen next is a combination of good news, such as a troop withdrawal from Ukraine, or perhaps a complete reversal by the Federal Reserve, suggesting no rate hikes, and a pause in balance sheet shrinkage. Both scenarios are a stretch with inflation running hot. We believe we will see a continued, downward trend for the time being, and if markets do break thru resistance levels, the possibility of a larger correction looms. Presented by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kBVJfVaw4mQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestme... https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinves... #JeromePowell #Russia #Ukraine #FederalReserve #MarketVolatility #MarketRally #Inflation #Jerome Powell #Markets #Money #Investing
March off to a weak start - will we recover?
(3/2/22) Markets commence the month of March in weak fashion as the Atlanta Fed reports GSP growth at 0.0%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is set to address Congress and the tone of his comments could sway markets bullishly or bearishly. Joe Biden's State of the Union addressed problems facing the country, but no realistic solutions to economic challenges. The good thing about oil prices; the only cure for high prices is...high prices. Q1 Earnings commentary: Watch for softening corporate outlooks; earnings estimates are still too high. We're in Investor Purgatory, and it's time to right-size portfolios. SEG-1: Markets Get March off to a Rough Start SEG-2: State of the Union Commentary & Critique SEG-3: The Good Thing About High Oil Prices SEG-4: Investor Purgatory: Watch for Softer Outlooks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FNufDfJKGTY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Jerome Powell Take a Dovish Perch?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pVrCSOBO40&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Oil Stocks Get a Boost from Russian Invasion" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DQAC3wBcJpo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2561s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sell-energy-stocks-the-time-may-be-approaching/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/march-stock-rally-doesnt-negate-the-risk-of-a-bear-market/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/geopolitical-risk-could-sideline-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Russia #Ukraine #SOTU #Inflation #FederalReserve #Oil #Markets #Money #Investing