PLAY PODCASTS
The Real Investment Show Podcast

The Real Investment Show Podcast

3,479 episodes — Page 38 of 70

Will Markets Give Up All of Monday's Gains?

(5/24/22) Markets were able to hold support at last week's lows--and important test of the bottom, and a set up for a double-bottom. Unfortunately, markets are pointing lower following Snapchat's poor report, which is weighing on FAANG stocks, which in turn are placing a drag on the S&P. A commonality of recent weeks has been a rally that gets sold-into, which has been the heart of the negative pressure on the 20-DMA. Price declines are also what's keeping the MACD signal in "sell" territory, and yesterday's rally did not trigger a "buy" signal. Because markets are so over-sold, we are expecting some type of intermediate-term rally providing investors an opportunity to rejigger portfolios and adjust for risk. There is SO much negative sentiment in the markets; when markets do what no one expects--that will be The Opportunity to take advantage of. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_aFa-LZJTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BearMarket #Volatility #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing

May 24, 20224 min

Why the Recession Will Be Here Later than Expected

(5/23/22) The Dow is now stringing together 8-weeks of losses--its worst performance since the 1920's. Contrary to media claims of a bear market, the 20% drop is but a correction on the road to Bubblization: This will be The Most Forecasted Recession in history. Graduation Weekend at the Roberts' house; Davos 2022 = Pinky & The Brain. When all the experts agree, something else is bound to happen; why buy & hold doesn't work at the wrong end of market cycle. NABE Report: increased expectations for inflation and recession. The Bullwhip Effect in retail inventories will be deflationary. The Roberts' Pool Project & Sugar Rush pricing; the next hurdle will be Labor and coming layoffs. Recession may not be averted, but will occur later than expected. Corresponding trends with Monkey Pox: Is God trying to tell us something? If the Apostles had cellphones...The Elephant in the room is the Demographics of Social Security (and why Obamacare is a failure): Demographics are Destiny. SEG-1: Markets' Minor Correction on Road to Bubblization SEG-2: High School Graduation; When Experts Agree, Something Else is Bound to Happen SEG-3: NABE & The Bullwhip Effect; The Roberts' Pool Project SEG-4: Monkey Pox & The Destiny in Demographics Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSOqv7k7R7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Why a 20% Correction Does Not a Bear Market Make," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKhlF7Qj_cM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Dealing with Healthcare Costs in Retirement," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Up-mCl0M8sI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As "Sugar Rush" Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "If Bible characters had iPhones" w/ John Crist: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nt5k_tO6768 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #BearMarket #Recession #NABE #BullwhipEffect #Demographis #SocialSecurity #Obamacare #Markets #Money #Investing

May 23, 202248 min

Why a 20% Correction Does Not a Bear Market Make

(5/23/22) Breaking through the markets' 20% barrier does not a bear market make, regardless of breathless media commentary. 20% off today's S&P is merely a correction, thanks to the lone-term bullish trend of rising prices remains well intact. On Friday, buying came in in the late afternoon, holding onto support established earlier last week. Markets are looking to move higher this morning--an indication that the bottom could hold, and the first, key test will be right at 4,000, right where its 20-DMA is sitting. However, there are several downtrends with which to be dealt. The good news is that Volatility is not indicating a panic-driven selling bear market. While there is much selling pressure, Volatility has been declining, and the markets' decline has been quite orderly. After eight weeks straight of selling in the Dow, and seven-weeks of similar activity in the S&P, it would not be surprising to see a couple of positive weeks in the markets at this point...offering a great opportunity to rebalance risk and reposition portfolios for what happens later this year as the Fed hikes rates and tightens policy. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKhlF7Qj_cM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BearMarket #Volatility #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing

May 23, 20223 min

Dealing with Healthcare Costs in Retirement

(5/20/22) Waiting for the Bounce: Some people just aren't cut out to invest in stocks; Richard Rosso's Investing Opera; Why does Elon Musk want Twitter? Musk says ESG is a scam; ORFN--the anti-woke fund; the truth about Bitcoin; the positives of a Bear Markets: needed cleansing. How we're managing against inflation. Why you shouldn't benchmark to the top. Gasoline prices & biking in Houston; Healthcare costs in Retirement; using HSA's as a confidence-builder. COLA increases for Social Security coming this fall; How many R's in withdrawal, Recession; Scooby-Doo's annudities. Why the 4% Rule worked...in the '90's. SEG-1: Waiting for the Over-sold Bounce, Rosso Opera SEG-2: The Positives of a Bear Market SEG-3: Gasoline Prices, Biking, Inflation Impact on Retirement SEG-4: SS COLA Increases Coming This Fall Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Up-mCl0M8sI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Warnings from Target Sink Stocks," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Wydnvl3gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why ESG Investing is a Flawed Thesis," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ECTIXYsO4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2600s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ESGInvesting #GasolinePrices #Inflation #Retirement #Healthcare #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

May 20, 202248 min

Why ESG Investing is a Flawed Thesis

(5/19/22) Retailers' earnings reports are offering sobering insights to how the economy is really doing, and analysts are finally waking up to the realities. Is the Recession near, or is it already here? The benefits of Bonds is now more apparent than ever. The Markets' downward track, and the classic recession cycle at WalMart; why the Fed is using rhetoric instead of rates to address inflation. The Horror on Wall St. & Negative investor sentiment; the need to reset excesses. How the government has become part of the economic cycle (and that's not a good thing). Defining companies' health: ESG Funds & Virtue signaling; We question that Apple is ESG-friendly. ESG investing is a flawed thesis. Investors are going to chase the money; money is going to chase returns. SEG-1: What Retailers Are Telling About Inflation SEG-2: The Fed's Use of Rhetoric vs Rates to Address Inflation SEG-3: You Cannot Repeal Recessions SEG-4: Why ESG Investing is a Flawed Thesis Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ECTIXYsO4M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2600s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Warnings from Target Sink Stocks," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Wydnvl3gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Consumer Sugar-rush is Over - What To Do Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMA8HHyMwdI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-disinflationary-impact-of-fed-policy-on-equities/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/this-is-nuts-why-we-reduced-risk-friday/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-investing-the-great-wall-street-money-heist/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/wall-street-wins-again-as-esg-scam-infiltrates-retirement-plans/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Target #WalMart #ESGInvesting #Amazon #GasolinePrices #Shortages #Inflation #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

May 19, 202247 min

Warnings from Target Sink Stocks: What's next?

(5/19/22) Target and Walmart's warnings about future earnings pulled the rug out from under stocks Wednesday, essentially reversing all of the previous gains, going back to last week. The data suggests a recession is near, if not already here. (We raised cash in anticipation of the worst.) The current level of resistance will be important for markets to break above in order to get the rally back on track. Negative money flows have improved, providing a glimmer of hope for investors. The S&P has been down for the past 7-weeks--8-weeks for the Dow--providing more seller pressure, and feeding seller-exhaustion. Could markets move lower from here? Yes. In fact, markets will open down following yesterday's extensive sell-off, which is not too surprising. It is important that markets hold intra-day lows from last week--down into three-standard-deviation territory. If those hold, it will set up a double-bottom, and there's plenty of resistance at the 20-DMA. Near-term, there are not a lot of positive catalysts to sustain that upward movement--so there still remains definite risk to the downside. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Wydnvl3gQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #Target #WalMart #Disinflation #Consolidation #SPY #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing

May 19, 20224 min

Should You Buy What They're Selling?

(5/18/22) What misses by Amazon, Target, and WalMart are telling us about the state of the consumer, which is the backbone of the economy. Markets remain in a well-defined downtrend, but are working off an over-sold status. All the free money that came into the economy is gone--here comes the post-sugar rush crash. The part of Keynesian Economics that everyone misses; Why proprietary investment vehicles might not be a good idea: No transferability = highly illiquid. Inflation is a monetary phenomenon, not the Russians. What inventory problems at Target & WalMart are signaling; the brilliance of Container Store. SEG-1: Why Target Missed the Red Bull's Eye SEG-2: When Consumers Come Down from Their Sugar Rush SEG-3: The Problem w Propriety Investment Products SEG-4: The Monetary Phenomenon of Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, and Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMA8HHyMwdI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Reflex Rally Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQV7948NgeQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Year of Shortages & High Inflation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MhJdOkKpejc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2638s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-disinflationary-impact-of-fed-policy-on-equities/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sugar-rush-why-the-economy-will-run-hot-then-crash/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsMisses #Target #WalMart #Amazon #GasolinePrices #Shortages #Inflation #Disinflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

May 18, 202247 min

Is the Reflex Rally Over?

(5/18/22) Target and Walmart reporting less than expected earnings, and missing by a mile, as they cite higher price pressure and building inventories. This would suggest we have likely seen the peak of inflation, along with slower consumer activity--both are pre-recessionary indicators that are also disinflationary. Target and WalMart stocks are consumer bellwethers, telling us now that consumption is, indeed, slowing down as inflation begins to impact consumer buying habits. As consumer spending counts for 70% of economic growth, this does not bode well for corporate earnings in the second half of the year. This will also weigh on S&P pricing later this year. Over the past several days, markets have bottomed and turned back upwards, stringing together four positive days. Closing higher than where we open today will indicate a continuation of a positive trend. The point is to use the rally to sell those laggards to reduce portfolio risk. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BQV7948NgeQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #Target #WalMart #Disinflation #Consolidation #SPY #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing

May 18, 20224 min

The Year of Shortages & High Inflation

(5/17/22) Congress is investigating UFO's while the economy is running off the rails and inflation rages. Market performance and "cash on the sidelines;" the worst start to the year for markets since The Great Depression; the Year of Shortages and high prices now includes a baby formula shortage that was self-inflicted; negative sentiment is so prevalent, it has crept into consumer behavior; why Ben Bernanke didn't want to "shock" the markets--but should have; the dis-inflationary impact of Fed policy. Is Bitcoin nothing but a scam? Why QE is actually dis-inflationary and a wealth transfer mechanism. Politicans' sending checks caused inflation. Things that make you happy: Sex, exercise, & gardening? The rich are not who we think they are. SEG-1: Markets Having Worst Start to the Year Since The Depression SEG-2: Baby Formula & The Year of Shortages and High Inflation SEG-3: Newtonian Economics: For Every Fed Action There is a Negative Reaction SEG-4: What Really Makes You Happy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How to Use Market Rally to Reduce Risk is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0A1U7qyg84&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Time to Reconsider Bitcoin?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A69ZDaGLq6s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=999s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-disinflationary-impact-of-fed-policy-on-equities/ -------- Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YKxFp04dsPo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Shortages #Inflation #Disinflation #UFO #FederalReserve #BenBernanke #MarketShock #Markets #Money #Investing

May 17, 202248 min

How to Use Market Rally to Reduce Risk

(5/17/22) Stocks are looking to open sharply higher following yesterday's consolidation and advance. This makes three "green" days in a row, providing more lift to markets in the short term. Our initial target on SPY is still 416--at the 20-DMA, the first level of resistance, and also part of the current downtrend. The next level up will be 430 or 431. We will want to use any rally to dell into and reduce risk. If markets are able to break out of the down channel, we can always put cash back to work. Money flows and over-sold positions suggest this rally has some legs to stand on. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z0A1U7qyg84&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #Consolidation #SPY #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing

May 17, 20223 min

Time to Reconsider Bitcoin?

(5/16/22) Markets' performance last week would tend to set-up for an opportunity to rally--but will it stick? Analysts' earnings estimates are still way too high; comparing nuclear explosions, road trip cuisine vs gas station food; what we don't want to see today. Markets are doing their best to frustrate investors; use the coming rally to correct mistakes. The saga of Chicken Salad Chick; Why Joe Biden's Deficit Reduction plan will fail; fun with Math, California doubles down on inflationary policies; why we have inflation. Why the pandemic Bike boom is going bust; The Bitcoin price collapse: reconsider your thesis. Will advisors embrace cryptocurrency as an investment asset? SEG-1: Why the Market is Like Kim Kardashian's Butt SEG-2: Nuclear Explosions, Gas Station Food, & What We Don't Want to See Today SEG-3: Joe Biden's Deficit Reduction Plan SEG-4: Bike Boom Goes Bust; The Cryptocurrency Crusades Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A69ZDaGLq6s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=999s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What do Kim Kardashian & The Market Have in Common?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MqRelnC2oZs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Inflation: The Hotter the Better?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efklhOarIxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #Stablecoin #MarketBottom #KimKardashian #JoeBiden #BikeBoom #BearMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

May 16, 202247 min

What do Kim Kardashian & The Market Have in Common?

(5/16/22) Markets put in a big bottom last week--at least for the short term. Even though markets finished down for the day on Thursday, they rallied back above the open, setting up a green candle, and establishing a test of the level at three standard-deviations from the 50-DMA. Friday's subsequent rally pushed the index up to within two standard-deviations from the 50-DMA, and got close to triggering a money flow buy signal in a market that was still very over-sold. Establishment of this bottom now prepares the market for a rally up to the 20-DMA, currently on the SPY at 416-418. That level is the top of the current downtrend line, around 430 on the S&P. All of the elements are in place to create a rally back up to higher levels. Whan that happens, use this as an opportunity to reduce risk and rebalance portfolios. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MqRelnC2oZs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBottom #KimKardashian #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

May 16, 20223 min

What Kind of Bear Market Are We In?

(5/16/22) This is a bonus airing of a previously broadcast show with Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz Inflation is running hotter than the Fed would like; the major indexes are masking the reality of underlying stocks' plight; dealing with margin debt is playing a role in market's performance; 4 out of 8 CPI sectors were elevated in April--oddly, Energy was not one of them. Month/Month and Year/Year comparisons actually showed a decline; former Fed'er Bill Dudley continues to call out the FOMC for its "handling" of the economy; the NFIB survey is at it's lowest ebb ever. No one is immune to emotion; understanding the dynamics between Inflation & Economic Growth; why being long on the dollar has been among the best investments this year; Cryptocurrency: Why it's NOT a fiat currency; Bitcoin is basically an asset, to be traded like at ETF. Luna, Terra, and Stablecoin. 1:52 - Inflation Is Running Hotter than Expected (by the Fed) 13:08 - The Math Behind CPI--It's Impossible to Calculate 29:05 - What Kind of Bear Market Are We In? 43:15 - The Thing About Cryptocurrency Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Cryptocoins Under Pressure," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFyiWgEuxgA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Beware of Recency Bias," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5proelkbBI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investor-sentiment-is-so-bearish-its-bullish/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #Bitcoin #FederalReserve #BuyingTheBottom #Cryptocurrency #Stablecoin #BearMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

May 16, 202253 min

The Best Use of Cryptocurrency in a 401(k)

(5/13/22) Yes, this is a reprise of a previously-broadcast show. Despite all the gyrations on Wall Street this week, the S&P is still above Monday's close; just about the time you think you know what's going on, the market proves otherwise. There is no better time to create a financial plan; The Fed and Administration are truly tone-deaf to what the rest of America is dealing with; Why K-mart's clothes were really high-quality; dealing with drought the "natural way;" speedbumps and potholes in the Secure Act 2.0; performing surgical Roth conversions. The Best uses of Bitcoin: Should Cryptocurrencies be in 401(k)'s? Bitcoin is a speculative asset; agreeing with Elizabeth Warren; We're all foam and no beer. 1:53 - The Market is the Great Humiliator 13:05 - CB Shout-out 13:52 - The Market is Like Amber Heard & Johnny Depp 29:05 - Fertilizer, Drought, & Lance's Insurance 32:58 - Secure Act 2.0 Q&A: RMD Age changes? 43:07 - Cryptocurrency in 401-k; Best Uses of Bitcoin Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: No surprises from Fed - where do we go from here?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=USUgD_eZ_v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Fed's Silver Lining," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Cryptocurrency #Administration #SecureAct_2_0 #Bitcoin #Markets #Money #Investing

May 13, 202254 min

Inflation: The Hotter the Better?

(5/12/22) Inflation is running hotter than the Fed would like; the major indexes are masking the reality of underlying stocks' plight; dealing with margin debt is playing a role in market's performance; 4 out of 8 CPI sectors were elevated in April--oddly, Energy was not one of them. Month/Month and Year/Year comparisons actually showed a decline; former Fed'er Bill Dudley continues to call out the FOMC for its "handling" of the economy; the NFIB survey is at it's lowest ebb ever. No one is immune to emotion; understanding the dynamics between Inflation & Economic Growth; why being long on the dollar has been among the best investments this year; Cryptocurrency: Why it's NOT a fiat currency; Bitcoin is basically an asset, to be traded like at ETF. Luna, Terra, and Stablecoin. SEG-1: Inflation Is Running Hotter than Expected (by the Fed) SEG-2: The Math Behind CPI--It's Impossible to Calculate SEG-3: What Kind of Bear Market Are We In? SEG-4: The Thing About Cryptocurrency Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efklhOarIxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Cryptocoins Under Pressure," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFyiWgEuxgA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Beware of Recency Bias," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5proelkbBI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investor-sentiment-is-so-bearish-its-bullish/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #Bitcoin #FederalReserve #BuyingTheBottom #Cryptocurrency #Stablecoin #BearMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

May 12, 202248 min

Cryptocoins Under Pressure

(5/12/22) Markets remain under pressure after April CPI numbers show hotter-than-expected inflation. But looking at longer-term charts can give a better understanding of where we've been...and where we're going. Are we over-bought, or over-sold, and where is the downside risk, and where is the potential support, moving forward? The S&P is currently 3-standard-deviations below the 50-week Moving Average, and money flow indicators are also over-sold. With the Fed remaining in a tightening mode, any reflexive rally will be limited. The NASDAQ is similarly deviated to the downside of its 50-week Moving Average, as well as over-sold now as much as it was in March 2020, as the Fed was reversing itself in terms of QE (which set up for a nice rally); we don't have that, yet. Cryptocoins are also coming under a tremendous amount of pressure; Bitcoin, Ether, and others, have all become high-beta trades in the markets. Oversold positions indicate we could be seeing a tradeable rally, and if so, that would be a good place to take some profits. 0:43 - S&P 50-week Moving Average analysis 3:08 - NASDAQ 50-week Moving Average analysis 4:09 - Cryptocurrency analysis Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFyiWgEuxgA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBottom #Inflation #Cryptocurreny #Bitcoin #CPI #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

May 12, 20225 min

Beware of Recency Bias

(5/11/22) Utopia vs Dystopia is like theory vs reality: Why the Government's solution for fighting inflation never works; Should you buy the dip? Why buy the market bottom is a bear trap for investors; the best investment I ever made; what advisors are telling people that's good and bad; recency bias and investor psychology; contrarian investing strategies; Benchmarking progress over a two-year span; Why you should get out of the market now. SEG-1: Why Gov't. Solutions for Inflation Don't Work SEG-2: Buying the Bottom: The Bear Trap for Investors SEG-3: The Best Investment I Ever Made SEG-4: Contrarian Strategies and Active Portfolio Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W5proelkbBI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will CPI Be Sticky?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-cpP0UMoUM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Relentless Fed" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7a_llwpuVLU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2587s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investor-sentiment-is-so-bearish-its-bullish/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #BuyingTheBottom #BearTrap #PermanentLifeInsurance #ContrarianInvesting #Markets #Money #Investing

May 11, 202247 min

Will CPI Be Sticky?

(5/11/22) The CPI inflation print for April could affect markets today--will it come in softly, or reflect a stronger print from April 2021. If inflation wanes, will the Fed be less aggressive? If so, that's an encouraging sign for growth stocks in particular. The market Tuesday did try to rally, but failed; markest are still deeply over-sold on every metric we track, so a lot of fuel remains for a rally. Any good news on inflation would tend to provide some lift to markets. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-cpP0UMoUM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

May 11, 20223 min

The Relentless Fed

(5/10/22) Monday's market Capitulation actually smelled like margin calls coming home to roost; as financial conditions continue to tighten, the Fed is relentless in its squeeze. The inflation now was caused by "free" money (which isn't); the best course for the Fed now is to do nothing, and allow inflation to run its course in curing itself. Low volatility begets high volatility, and investor sentiment now is so bearish...it's bullish. Corporate Reporting Preview; look to buy value today--why Uber is not; TeleDoc, Peloton vs Amazon. SEG-1: Capitulation in the Markets; Smells Like Margin Calls SEG-2: The Fed's Best Course to Sure Inflation is to Do Nothing SEG-3: Why Investor Sentiment is So Bearish it's Bullish SEG-4: Don't Allow Short-term Fear to Deter Investing Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7a_llwpuVLU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2587s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Sentiment is so Bearish, It's Bullish" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7r462uDqp0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "What Will Inflation Tell Us This Week?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJCHf2LRHsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/investor-sentiment-is-so-bearish-its-bullish/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Capitulation #BearishSentiment #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

May 10, 202247 min

What Will Inflation Tell Us This Week?

(5/9/22) The psychological pressure on investors created by inflation is very real, and makes folks prone to making mistakes. Inflation's interesting comparisons, April to April; Inflation numbers are not reflective of what we're actually living; Consumers' resort to credit card debt to pay bill. The metrics of inflation vs reality; the fallacy of a Fed "soft landing;" signs we are at or near inflation's peak; Rich Strike & Market Investing; average hold time down from 6-8 years to about 6-months; Making "bests" with best odds over time; markets are pressuring people to do the wrong thing and the wrong time. Wrapping up earnings season; companies allowing us to do things more conveniently, but not showing a profit, which cannot last. SEG-1: The Psychological Pressure on Investors SEG-2: Comparing April to April Inflation Metrics SEG-3: The Fallacy of a Fed "Soft Landing" SEG-4: Horse Racing & Stock Investing: Rich Strike? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJCHf2LRHsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Sentiment is so Bearish, It's Bullish" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K7r462uDqp0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Fed's Silver Lining," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #SoftLanding #RichStrike #Markets #Money #Investing

May 10, 20224 min

What Will Inflation Tell Us This Week?

(5/9/22) The psychological pressure on investors created by inflation is very real, and makes folks prone to making mistakes. Inflation's interesting comparisons, April to April; Inflation numbers are not reflective of what we're actually living; Consumers' resort to credit card debt to pay bill. The metrics of inflation vs reality; the fallacy of a Fed "soft landing;" signs we are at or near inflation's peak; Rich Strike & Market Investing; average hold time down from 6-8 years to about 6-months; Making "bests" with best odds over time; markets are pressuring people to do the wrong thing and the wrong time. Wrapping up earnings season; companies allowing us to do things more conveniently, but not showing a profit, which cannot last. SEG-1: The Psychological Pressure on Investors SEG-2: Comparing April to April Inflation Metrics SEG-3: The Fallacy of a Fed "Soft Landing" SEG-4: Horse Racing & Stock Investing: Rich Strike? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJCHf2LRHsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Are We Near the Bottom?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17wiq3djd8o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Fed's Silver Lining," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #SoftLanding #RichStrike #Markets #Money #Investing

May 9, 202247 min

Are We Near the Bottom?

(5/9/22) Concerns over Fed speakers and Inflation numbers releases this week, as markets begin trading deep in the red; will we see inflation's peak--and with that, a softer stance by the Fed? Markets are starting the week down three standard-deviations from the 50-DMA. Professional, Retail, and Positioning sentiment are all quite pessimistic across the board; technical indicators are over-sold on virtually every level. At this point, it's extremely important to not allow emotions to take hold of your investing decisions and push you into a position of forced selling. If you're not happy about where your portfolio is right now, you've got an allocation problem; use the coming reflexive rally to sell off positions of weakness, and to balance the risk in your portfolio. If you sell today, keep in mind--markets could dip lower down to the 3900 level. That's likely to be short-lived, as evidence by market performance shortly after the invasion of Ukraine, and the sell-off following January's peak. At each such event, markets had a nice reflexive rally, and appear to be similarly setting up for the same thing again. Emotional selling opportunities tend to be traps for investors. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=17wiq3djd8o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Inflation #MarketBottom #ReflexiveRally #RebalanceRisk #Markets #Money #Investing

May 9, 20223 min

Potholes in The Secure Act 2.0

(5/6/22) Despite all the gyrations on Wall Street this week, the S&P is still above Monday's close; just about the time you think you know what's going on, the market proves otherwise. There is no better time to create a financial plan; The Fed and Administration are truly tone-deaf to what the rest of America is dealing with; Why K-mart's clothes were really high-quality; dealing with drought the "natural way;" speedbumps and potholes in the Secure Act 2.0; performing surgical Roth conversions. The Best uses of Bitcoin: Should Cryptocurrencies be in 401(k)'s? Bitcoin is a speculative asset; agreeing with Elizabeth Warren; We're all foam and no beer. SEG-1: The Market is the Great Humiliator SEG-2: The Market is Like Amber Heard & Johnny Depp SEG-3: Fertilizer, Drought, & Secure Act 2.0 SEG-4: Cryptocurrency in 401-k; Best Uses of Bitcoin Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=83Mmx32PmN8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2589s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: No surprises from Fed - where do we go from here?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=USUgD_eZ_v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Fed's Silver Lining," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #Cryptocurrency #Administration #SecureAct_2_0 #Bitcoin #Markets #Money #Investing

May 6, 202247 min

The Fed's Silver Lining

(5/5/22) The Fed is raising rates by 50-basis-points, but tapering its balance sheet at a slower pace than expected, causing great jubilation on Wall Street, and a 3% rally after the announcement. The narrative the Fed feeds does not always comport with reality; how Jerome Powell "walks the line." Is the Fed looking at the economy in the right way? Economic data are telling a different story; is the market actually bottoming--or could it go even lower from here? Why companies are always slow to hire and slow to fire. The impact of passive investing; Elon Musk vs Cathie Wood; Blackrock, Vanguard, and voting virtue with EFT's; Have ETF's taken away the voice of individual investors? How Engine No.1 wound up with two seats on Exxon's Board. SEG-1: The Fed Meets Expectations SEG-2: The Narratives the Fed Conveys vs Reality SEG-3: What the Economic Numbers Really Say SEG-4: The Negative Impact of Passive Investing Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvCxz5Q3eHA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: No surprises from Fed - where do we go from here?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=USUgD_eZ_v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "What Will Today's FOMC Meeting Reveal?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoGa5yu9IP8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #FOMC #RateHike #QuantitativeTapering #PassiveInvesting #BlackRock #Vangard #ETF #EngineNo1 #Exxon #Markets #Money #Investing

May 5, 202248 min

No surprises from Fed - where do we go from here?

(5/5/22) Jerome Powell's announced 50-basis-points rate hike was as expected--but the Fed added a dovish tone by slowing the rate of tapering on its balance sheet. With Professional and Retail investor sentiment at some of the lowest levels we've seen, and positioning very, very light in equities, the bit of good news was all Wall Street needed to stage a 3% rally, pushing up to resistance at the 20- and 50-DMA's. If markets go there, that's the signal to raise a little cash, take some profits, and clean up your act. We're not quite out of the woods; with a short-term buy signal triggered, money flows positive, and the MACD starting to turn upward, this is the bullish octane markets need. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=USUgD_eZ_v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedTapering #ReflexiveRally #BadNews #GoodNews #RebalanceRisk #Markets #Money #Investing

May 5, 20224 min

What Will Today's FOMC Meeting Reveal?

(5/4/22) Today's FOMC meeting will reveal what Jerome Powell & Co really think about the economy, and how the Federal Reserve intends to address inflation: Corporate earnings are decent, but forward guidance is sucky. What we mean when we say we're "taking profits;" how to adjust your portfolio strategy for risk, and why cash is king. Don't confuse narratives for returns: Indexes paint a different view than what's really happening in the markets; the guaranteed returns of Bonds; the surprising proclivity of cryptocurrency investors to gambling; housing valuation compared to stock markets; the impact of the velocity of information; why a buy-and-hold strategy does not work. SEG-1: FOMC Wednesday Preview SEG-2: What it Means to 'Take Profits' & Adjusting Portfolios for Risk SEG-3: The Guaranteed Return of Bonds SEG-4: Why Crypto Investors Develop Gambling Habits Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoGa5yu9IP8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Will Today's Fed Meeting Impact Your Money?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hgj2t-qfIco&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will Markets Rally Following the Fed Meeting?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84eNp-LfMAk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1094s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #FOMC #PerfectPortfolio #RateHike #QuantitativeTapering #Cryptocurrency #InvestorPsychology #Markets #Money #Investing

May 4, 202247 min

How Will Today's Fed Meeting Impact Your Money?

(5/4/22) Market futures are elevated following two days of volatility and a slow grinding higher; lots of trepidation on Wall St. as the Fed's FOMC meeting convenes today. What the Fed says--or does not say--will affect markets, and in turn, your money. Will the Fed announce a 50-basis-point hike in rates, and a tapering of its balance sheet starting in June--or--will they be more aggressive, hiking rates 75-basis-points, with more, similar rate hikes to come? We suspect the FOMC will do exactly as expected with a more dovish approach to inflation, raising rates only 1/2%. If that is the case, and the Fed hints that inflation may have peaked, that will bode well for stocks. Money flows have remained positive despite market gyrations, and any good news--or expected news--from the Fed could boost markets higher. It would be no surprise to see a market rally up to about the 50-DMA at 4,300, which, at that level, would provide a nice opportunity to rebalance portfolios and reduce risk. Think ahead about the coming headwinds later this year as inflation recedes, but economic growth slows. Markets are still in a downward trend, going back to support levels from September. Even as markets are primed to rally, there is still much resistance overhead. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hgj2t-qfIco&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedTapering #ReflexiveRally #BadNews #GoodNews #BuyBacks #Markets #Money #Investing

May 4, 20224 min

Will Markets Rally Following the Fed Meeting?

(5/3/22) The FOMC meets tomorrow, and while many are anxiously awaiting the Fed's pronouncements on Thursday, in reality, markets may have already "baked-in" its expected 50-basis point rate hike and $90-B balance sheet taper to begin in June. Dragons are real; How Investors are positioning for the rest of the summer; YouTube influencers and the end of bad advice; S&P earnings estimates continue to climb, even as corporate forecasts predict dire changes; watch investor pyschology. SEG-1: FOMC Pre-Meeting & Earnings Commentary SEG-2: Dragons and Investor Positioning SEG-3: The End of Bad Advice SEG-4: Why Estimates are Going Up Despite Dire Corporate Forecaasting Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=84eNp-LfMAk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1094s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Will the Fed Say Tomorrow?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fNuCgrXebRY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Is a Bigger Bear Market Coming?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuxJ__MWvZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #FOMC #RateHike #QuantitativeTapering #YouTubeInfluencers #InvestorPsychology #Markets #Money #Investing

May 3, 202247 min

What Will the Fed Say Tomorrow?

(5/3/22) The next Fed meeting is tomorrow, at which the FOMC is expected to hike rates 50-basis points, and reduce its balance sheet by $90-Billion starting in June. But what if they don't? What if the Fed says it's raising rates by 75-basis points, and issues a much more hawkish view on inflation? That's the risk markets are facing as they try to position ahead of the meeting. With markets so negatively biased, any news that matches expectations will be viewed as GOOD news, and markets could rally back to the 50-DMA from here. Markets are very over-sold on multiple levels; so any news that's not bad news could trigger a reflexive rally. Additionally, the blackout window for corporate share buybacks closed, which could allow for up to $5-billion a day worth of trading, and more upward lift for stocks for the next six weeks. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fNuCgrXebRY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #FedTapering #ReflexiveRally #BadNews #GoodNews #BuyBacks #Markets #Money #Investing

May 3, 20223 min

Is a Bigger Bear Market Coming?

(5/2/22) Will April's showers bring a flowering to the markets in May? Comparing 2021 to now--is a bigger bear market coming? (Anything the Fed says next can tilt markets one way or the other.) The potential for a short-term rally is likely; use it to rebalance risk in portfolios. Wall Street's golden plateau is "buy & sell;" the velocity of news can destroy market caps overnight; Warren Buffett: "Markets are a Casino." Expectations for shrinkage in Fed balance sheet by mid-June; we may actually be closer to end of market carnage; why we cannot have a bear market: Everyone is expecting it. Avoiding making emotional investment decisions; know when to leave the table. The trouble with comparisons. SEG-1: Is a Bigger Bear Market Coming? SEG-2: Warren Buffett - Markets Are a Casino SEG-3: Why The End of Market Carnage is Near SEG-4: Avoiding Emotional Trading Decisions Hosted by Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YuxJ__MWvZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Why Now Would Be a Really Good Time to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qGvFOOqqV4w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why Facebook/Meta's Earnings Matter," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXFJsdZGHTE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #FederalReserve #WarrenBuffett #MarketCasino #EmotionalDecisions #MarketComparisons #Markets #Money #Investing

May 2, 202247 min

Why Now Would Be a Really Good Time to Rally

(5/2/22) Markets are set to prove the April-to-May adage: Thunderstorms on Wall Street in April resulted in extremely negative investor sentiment. Markets are very over-sold, and positioning is very light--not surprising given market performance last month. Can markets go lower? Certainly. And we could see a bit of a short-term rally at this point, too, albeit with a lower high as the market continues to establish a down trend. We could also see a revisitation of Russian Invasion lows as markets flirt in three standard deviation territory. A rally here would not be surprising at all. The Month of May sees a return of stock buy backs, which, if they occur, could give stocks a lift all the way into mid-June. So there ARE reasons to expect a rally; use it to lighten positions and reduce risk ahead of events that could impact Wall Street. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qGvFOOqqV4w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSentiment #StockBuyBacks #MarketRally #RebalanceRisk #Markets #Money #Investing

May 2, 20223 min

Living with Inflation and Negative GDP

(4/29/22) Turns out Inflation wasn't as "transitory" as some had hoped; the bigger question now is whether or not Inflation is structural. Ramifications of China's slowing economy. Robinhood has been "Friar Tucked." How to mitigate risk w life insurance; Housing Demographics & Affordability Index; buying vs renting; the "American Dream" vs homeownership reality. Coco the Robot; Retirement vs work: Distribution vs accumulation. Sequence of Returns rule change. Coco the Robot, Grandma Rosso, asset allocation and tactical portfolio strategies. Everyone is going to deal with inflation and volatility in retirement. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP SEG-1: The Nature of Inflation SEG-2: Mitigating Risk w Insurance; Homebuyer demographics SEG-3: Coco the Robot; Retirement vs Work - Distribution vs Accumulation SEG-4: Grandma Rosso & Tactical Portfolio Strategies -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7EGG7GUeKuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2656s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by Facebook's Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mK8Ylncrx8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why Facebook/Meta's Earnings Matter," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXFJsdZGHTE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #NegativeGDP #Retirement #TacticalPortfolioStrategies #Homebuyer #Demographics #SequnceOfReturns #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 29, 202247 min

Why Facebook/Meta's Earnings Matter

(4/28/22) It's been a tough week for the markets; Facebook's earnings report showed lower revenues but heightened user counts; why a Facebook/Meta rally matters--and the opportunity it will afford investors. What the Atlanta Fed has in store in GDP report; how Russia will impact companies' forward guidance, effects on China. Inflation beginning to impact companies through reduced consumer spending: We're spending more to get the same or less. Why we reduced exposure to Apple but not MSFT. Dr. Fauci says COVID's ovah. Watching Twitter's earnings and the ongoing social media meltdown. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA SEG-1: How Facebook's Earnings Report Could Lift Markets Today SEG-2: GDP Preview & Russia's Impact on Forward Guidance SEG-3: Inflation's Impact on Amazon & Consumer Spending SEG-4: Watching the Twitter Meltdown -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXFJsdZGHTE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Don't Be Fooled by Facebook's Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mK8Ylncrx8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Have Great Expectations Turned to Pip Squeaks?", is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=254z8Hcy7FM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Facebook #Meta #Apple #MSFT #Twitter #ElonMusk #BondMarket #AARK #Inflation #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 28, 202247 min

Don't Be Fooled by Facebook's Rally

(4/28/22) Facebook/Meta's report last night boasted increased users but diminished revenues, boosting its opening price to just about its 50-DMA. Despite the rally in the stock, there is still some concern: Over the past 9-months, Facebook has been down nearly 50% from its 52-week high. We're concerned whether this recent rally can stick. Why does this matter? Because Facebook is among those giant stocks in the NASDAQ which comprise 33% of the S&P 500 Market Cap. When this stock rallies, the effect lifts the entire index. On Wednesday, the NASDAQ was down about 22% for the year, already in a bear market. Under the surface, there's been some real devastation: the lift we're expecting this morning from Facebook should move markets off the March lows. If we can get a bounce that holds, it will push the NASDAQ up towards the 50-DMA. But as inflation, the war in Ukraine, and Fed rate hikes cap upward movement, use any rally you see to rebalance portfolios and reduce risk. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mK8Ylncrx8k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #Facebook #Meta #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 28, 20224 min

Have Great Expectations Turned to Pip Squeaks?

(4/27/22) Markets are still going nowhere, as bonds begin to emerge as investors' savior. We're looking for a short-term reflexive rally. The article MarketWatch likes so much, they ripped it off; Inflation, Title 42 vs COVID, and the appeal of Bonds; Elon Musk's purchasing power--how he acquired Twitter. Who pays the most in taxes? How Cathie Wood's AARK Investments sprung a leak; when things seem too good to be true, they are. Is Bitcoin a Fiat Currency? How Robinhood makes money. The worst things to happen to markets: Free Trades and Decimalization. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP SEG-1: Looking for a Reflexive Rally SEG-2: The Appeal of Bonds SEG-3: How Elon Did It SEG-4: The Sinking of the AARK -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=254z8Hcy7FM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Have Markets Bottomed, or More Losses to Go?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=piwO2RQ7Vfk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show, "Elon's Poison Pill," Parts 1 & 2, is here: Pt-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CHm3mBr3gOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=797s Pt-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xs4kJw_jRR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1220s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Twitter #ElonMusk #BondMarket #AARK #Inflation #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 27, 202247 min

Have Markets Bottomed, or More Losses to Go?

(4/27/22) Markets remain under pressure as earnings come in not as strong as expected. Markets retested March's low, but this morning futures are pointing higher. Markets remain over sold, so expect at least a small, short-term rally. This would be a good time to rebalance and adjust for risk. Google reported worse-than-expected earnings, breaking down below support. Google is very over-sold but allow the stock to recover as investors digest just how bad earnings were. Microsoft, similarly, has been under pressure, and in a very over-sold condition. We expect it will rally about 7% out of the gate this morning, thanks to yesterday's earnings beat. Apple reports tomorrow. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=piwO2RQ7Vfk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #Google #Microsoft #Apple #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 27, 20224 min

Elon's Poison Pill

(4/26/22) Elon Musk is bidding to buy Twitter, and the board decides it's not such a bad deal after all; did Elon over-pay? The Problem with taking Twitter private; the culture of Twitter, and how Elon can make money on it. Public reaction to the sale from Trump, Bezos; Chinese access to the towne square; who decides what's disinformation? Why Twitter never forgets; platforms that share opinions and confirmation bias. Why it's always important to read that with which you do not agree. Ford's electric F-150, GM's electric Corvette. Possible changes at Twitter; Why there's no place to hide from the bear; why bond bull market is impending. Nicolas Cage/National Treasure: What did the FBI take from Finders Keepers? The Stupidity of Government; why we're bullish on Bonds. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO SEG-1: Elon's Poison Pill Dilemma SEG-2: What Hath Elon Wrought? Twitter Never Forgets SEG-3: Investors have Nowhere to Hide from the Bear SEG-4: National Treasure & Government Stupidity -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: Pt-1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CHm3mBr3gOU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=797s Pt-2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xs4kJw_jRR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1220s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Market Sell-off Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKQ6gXCRQ_I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Why You Should Buy What Everyone Hates," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOL5PtgylRY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2593s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Twitter #ElonMusk #SocialMedia #China #Bearmarket #BullMarket #BondMarket #Inflation #GovernmentDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 26, 202247 min

Is the Market Sell Off Over?

(4/26/22) Markets followed-up Friday's losses by opening down on Monday and re-test lows from February and March, then bounced back up for a half-percent gain on the day. We've seen this kind of reflexive activity before, when markets are trolling along the bottoms...Markets remain over-sold, futures are weaker this morning, with more earnings reports to come today which might set the tone in Tech for tomorrow. Money flows are beginning to turn positive, with follow-through expected over the next few days. For positioning purposes, we're expecting a rally back to the top of the downtrend line--there is still a lot of angst over inflation, economics, and next week's Fed meeting. What the Fed has to say next week will drive the markets for the next month. If the Fed admits inflation has already peaked and deflation is nigh--any type of dovish language--that will help buoy the stock market in the short term. If, however, the Fed leans more hawkishly, with 50-basispoint rate hikes to come in an aggressive fight with inflation, that will dampen stocks. We're not quite "all clear" yet, but there is a short-term tradable opportunity from these over-sold conditions. As we have said before, use any rally to rebalance risk in portfolios. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKQ6gXCRQ_I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #QuantitativeTapering #CorporateEarnings #InvestorSentiment #ReflexiveRally #RebalancingRisk #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 26, 20223 min

Why You Should Buy What Everyone Hates

(4/25/22) Markets have essentially gone nowhere since the first of the year. Will Netflix' crackdown on password sharing backfire (after promoting the idea early on...)? Disney's Wokeness cost $34-B in earnings; Twitter now considering Musk's bid to buy. Markets have already had it rough--companies below the surface are struggling; Why Markets are under pressure; why monetary policy takes so long to be felt; why you should buy what everyone else is hating. What's not to love about a two-day office work week; implications for commercial real estate; the downside of working from home. Market commentary: Fed Language Matters. Why Paying taxes Triggered BLM; the problem with paying taxes is how they're used; what happens to tax revenue; We need another "Dave." Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO SEG-1: Netflix Password Sharing, Disney's $34-b Bumble SEG-2: Why You Should Buy What Everyone Hates SEG-3: Demographic Risks to Commercial Real Estate SEG-4: Tax Triggering BLM -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SOL5PtgylRY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2593s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Where are the Opportunities in a Market Sell-off?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xl5D4T3V2OE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "The Invisible Market Crash," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=we8i2Dn5TMM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1529s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/did-we-go-through-a-major-bear-market/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EconomicRecession #CorporateEarnings #Netflix Disney #CommercialRealEstate #Taxation #InterestRates #QuantitativeTightening #QuantitativeEasing #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 25, 202248 min

Where are the Opportunities in a Market Sell-off?

(4/25/22) Markets broke support of the consolidation range on Friday, leading to a sharp sell-off. Lower market futures this morning would indicate a re-test of March lows. While frustrating, markets remain over-sold, and we're looking for some kind of impetus for a counter-trend reflexive rally. Overall sentiment is very negative, and positioning by professional traders is also quite light, suggesting overall market psychology is very negative as well. Contrarians would believe we've got a nice set up for a reflexive rally, but such activity may not get very far as we move into May and the Fed next meeting--likely to produce another rate hike. Any dovish language at the meeting--like a "peak of inflation," would tend to help fuel a bit of a rally. We're reticent about selling right now, and looking for a bounce that could be quite vicious. And if you're not happy with your positioning, not liking this market, look for a rally opportunity to rebalance your risk. Caveat: Don't expect any rally at this point to take us back up to all-time highs. There are too many headwinds, earnings have been just okay--not really great--and the companies that are missing being severely punished. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xl5D4T3V2OE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #InvestorSentiment #ReflexiveRally #RebalancingRisk #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 25, 20222 min

The Good, The Bad, & The Ugly Secure Act 2.0

(4/22/22) Jerome Powell's comments on inflation and interest rates are taking on a harsher tone; have we reached "peak inflation?" How inflation is affecting financial planning and stock market performance; planning for future realities instead of past performances; why many are leaving retirement to return to work. Financial distress is here to stay. Food & Bacon, a preview of our next event; Secure Act for Retirement 2.0: Rothification and Annuitization; why the Roth is not going away. HOA's, Karen's, and Ken's; Secure Act 2.0: Preservation of guaranteed income; student loan payment matches and options. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP SEG-1: Have We Reached Peak Inflation? SEG-2: Why the Stock Market Ain't What it Used to Be SEG-3: Secure Act 2.0: Rothification & Annuitization SEG-4: Secure At 2.0: Preservation of Guaranteed Income -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CEotUwFp60&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2732s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Lance's Best Bets for Investing Today," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3DU8dHQic1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Invisible Market Crash," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=we8i2Dn5TMM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1529s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/series-i-bonds-at-7-its-hard-to-go-wrong https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #SecureAct #Retirement #PeakInflation #InterestRates #QuantitativeTightening #QuantitativeEasing #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 22, 202247 min

The Invisible Market Crash

(4/21/22) Despite the positive headline news from big market players, there's been a literal market crash below the surface. Markets have essentially made no progress since last Fall, and valuations remain unreasonably high. Quantitative Tightening is The Next Thing. How demographics are affecting housing supply & demand dynamics. The effects & consequences of Quantitative Tightening; how to harness inflation with i-Bonds. Adventures with Steve the Donkey; Pro's & con's of i-Bonds and investor psychology; investing for Instagram within Facebook. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA. SEG-1: The Rolling Bear Market Continues SEG-2: What Will the Fed Do Next? SEG-3: Truth & Consequences of QT SEG-4: Pro's & Con's of i-Bonds -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Lance's Best Bets for Investing Today," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3DU8dHQic1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Would You Rather Pay Tax Now or Later (when they're higher)" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xwGXS9zkR8o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2559s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/series-i-bonds-at-7-its-hard-to-go-wrong https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #CorporateEarn

Apr 21, 202247 min

Lance's Best Bets for Investing Today

(4/21/22) The Major Cap companies' earnings reports are just part of the overall investing picture. The S&P is setting up to rally to previous highs, but because the Fed is about to start hiking rates, we're expecting continued pressure on equity prices. The NASDAQ is over-sold, like the S&P, but still trading below its 50-DMA. Tech stocks have been under more pressure, lately. A lift to the S&P will also drag the NASDAQ up, as well. Disinflationary pressure in the economy will also lead to a rotation back into growth stocks, which tend to do better in a disinflationary environment. Small-Cap stocks are the most-impacted by slower economic growth, higher interest rates, and inflation; subsequently, these have been really under-performing the larger-cap indexes. Small-Caps are about half-way through the cycle from over-sold to over-bought, and have shown improved performance. Long-term trends have not been favorable. Mid-Caps look almost identical to Small-Caps--a lot of under-performance relative to the S&P. Emerging Markets continue to be under pressure from slower economic growth, inflation, and the war in Ukraine. Use any bounce here to reduce your exposure. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3DU8dHQic1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #MidCaps #SmallCaps #EmergingMarkets #Inflation #Liquidity #ConsumerSpending #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 21, 20224 min

Would You Rather Pay Tax Now or Later (when they're higher)

(4/20/22) The Q1 Earnings Parade continues; the conundrum for Netflix, bundling vs a la carte--it's an issue of too many providers for a paucity of quality content. What's really important this earnings season is what companies will be saying about forward guidance. A 20% correction is not impossible. QE vs QT: Quantitative Easing did not cause inflation--"free" money from the Government did. You wanna avoid paying taxes, or make money? Taxes are bound to go up to finance government debt. The strategic benefit of tax-loss harvesting: Pay it now or pay it later. Why the 4% Withdrawal Rate in financial planning is outdated. Why $1-mil isn't going to generate enough income in retirement. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP. SEG-1: Netflix, Bundling vs a la cart, Over-crowded space SEG-2: QE vs QT; What's Really Important this Earnings Season SEG-3: Paying taxes, Now or Later SEG-4: Why the 4% Withdrawal Rule is Outdated -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Here's What to Look for In Earnings Reports" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=35BuZ_dVKN0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Is a Bear Market Lurking?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TqOuIIOnYKA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #ForwardGuidance #Netflix, #QuantitativeEasing #QuantitativeTightening #Inflation

Apr 20, 202248 min

Here's What to Look for In Earnings Reports

(4/20/22) A 2-million subscriber deficit for Netflix triggered a warning by the streaming service on Tuesday--the first such alarm for Netflix in a while. Interesting to notice how other streaming subscription services will report, as too many providers cannibalize one another's audiences. Stocks, however, are shaking off that bad news, with futures turning around this morning. The post-tax-day market behavior was as expected. Markets are in a good position to rally back up to a previous peak, which could continue into next week. The key thing to watch in earnings reports will be the guidance moving forward. Others may also be impacted by higher inflation, less liquidity, and less consumer spending. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=35BuZ_dVKN0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorporateEarnings #Netflix #MarketRally #Inflation #Liquidity #ConsumerSpending #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 20, 20223 min

Is a Bear Market Lurking?

(4/19/22) Does an inverted Yield Curve necessarily mean the Recession is over? (No.) The problem in trying to predict onset of a bear market--we don't usually know until 9-months or so later. Bear markets are fast and fierce; bull markets last longer. Negative investor sentiment generally correlates with market bottom. The Fed has not yet begun to taper! Why more people are using Google to diagnose illnesses; Acceptance of Risk is key to planning for a bear market. No one HAS to invest; it's okay to be in cash. Why Cryptocurrency is still a fiat currency. Grammar counts; no more masks (yay!) Elon Musk & Twitter's poison pill. SEG-1: Is a Bear Market Coming? SEG-2: The Problem of Predicting Bear Markets SEG-3: Dr. Google & Cryptocurrency SEG-4: Grammar, Masks, & Twitter -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZYHgffypuU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Are markets Setting up to Rally, or More Selling to Come?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jsx8ugStfks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How We're Dealing with Inflation Squared" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4KEAf8ZRsug&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=607s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-a-bear-market-lurking/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #BullMarket #Recession #InvestorSentiment #ElonMusk #Twitter #DrGoogle #Cryptocurrency #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 19, 202247 min

re markets Setting up to Rally, or More Selling to Come?

(4/19/22) Markets continue to consolidate along recent set of lows; trading below the 50-DMA, providing some overhead resistance. This, combined with the most negative investor sentiment in 30-years, and the market hasn't really done much since September '21. Over the last few weeks, markets have been on a sell-signal, and declining. Over the new few weeks, markets are likely to work off over-bought conditions, triggering a money flow buy-signal, and setting up markets for a counter-trend rally. Consternating for investors? You bet--underlying sentiment is negative, suggesting markets may have more fuel for a rally, turning media bias from negative to positive; but at that point, shrinking liquidity, slowing economic growth, a pick up in layoffs, and a decline in wages--recession will begin to take hold. It's counter-intuitive, but there is so much negative sentiment at this point, it's actually hard to have a bear market. But it's coming... Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jsx8ugStfks&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #Bull Market #InvestorSentiment #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 19, 20223 min

Post-Easter Best-of-Lance Episode

(4/18/22) How do you make a long, holiday weekend longer? Take your family out of town! Lance & The Roberts' Clan are returning from distant shores today, so here's a review of a recent conversation with Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA: How does the math of inflation, deflation, and recession work? What if Elon Musk buys Twitter? CPI & PPI: How American's are coping w highest inflation in 40-years (taking credit card debt); Dealing with the realities of inflation; the drag on the economy & what really causes recession. Corporate earnings reporting: Big Banks; why this time IS a little different--and that's not good. Expectations for .5% Fed rate hike. 1:35 - The Funny Math of Inflation 12:50 - How We're Coping with the Highest Inflation in 40-years 28:52 - What Really Causes Recession 42:47 - Why This Time IS a Little Different -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Watch This BEFORE You Set Stop Losses" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ztjGikMozE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Tax Man Cometh" is here: Where Will Markets Go in April? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-INLgW_t4Ak&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=719s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gold-or-rubles-a-pickle-worth-exploring https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #Recession #EnergyPrices #CorporateEarnings #ProfitMargins #ValuationDeclines #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 18, 202253 min

Financial Fitness Good Friday Episode

It's Good Friday, and Danny & Rich are taking the morning off. Here is a compilation of past shows we hope you will enjoy reviewing: SEG-1: How to WIN (Whip Inflation Now) SEG-2: What Corporations Are Saying About Inflation SEG-3: How to Quell Retirement Fears SEG-4: Grandpa Rosso's Retirement & Social Security Challenges Hosted by RIA Advisors' Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Beasr Squeeze or Bull Rally?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=synp76dN564&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Will the Fed Hike Rates Eight Times?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XDzMYWFn4kI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bear-squeeze-or-return-of-the-bull/ https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bailouts-and-the-demise-of-capitalism-and-free-markets/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementReform #SocialSecurity #WhipInflationNow #BondMarket #YieldCurve AprilFools #OpusNewton #GrandpaRosso #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 15, 202253 min

Listen to This BEFORE You Set Stop Losses

(4/14/22) Wednesday's market action provided a good example of how to best implement stop losses in your portfolio. When the market breaks below a moving average, there is sometimes a market bounce, and an improperly placed stop loss would cut you out of that rally. Wait for confirmation that the break of the 50_DMA is legit. Pay attention to sell signals relative to the market's over-sold or over-bought conditions. The retest and failure of the 50-DMA is the validation you're looking for. The key is not to react immediately to a break in the moving average; let the market tell you it's for real. You may risk more upside, but at the expense of less emotional stress as you navigate the markets. -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/news... -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ztjGikMozE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBounce #StopLoss #PortfolioManagement #Markets #Money #Investing

Apr 14, 202247 min