Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision Live Replay: Leland Miller, CEO of China Beige Book, joins Ed Harrison on Real Vision Live to share his perspective on the true health and trajectory of the Chinese economy. By mainstream measures, China has made a swift recovery from the shock of COVID—but not everyone is willing to trust this data. Leland Miller has made it his business to dig deeper than the official Chinese data to get a true gauge of what is happening in the world's second-largest economy. Miller and Harrison will break down the discrepancies between China Beige Book's data and the official data, discussing how investors should react to these differences. Recorded on Mar 3 , 2021 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-June14,2021:Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Ed Harrison, managing editor at Real Vision, to the Daily Briefing to discuss the market’s reaction to last week’s CPI print as well as Bitcoin’s rebound. The pair will analyze the fall in bond yields and stock market growth as investors anticipate the FOMC meeting scheduled for Tuesday and continued dovish FED policies. Additionally, they will examine Bitcoin’s recent reversal as Paul Tudor Jones and Elon Musk publicly state their support. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Interview: Jason Buck of the Mutiny Fund welcomes Mebane Faber, co-founder and chief investment officer of Cambria Investments, for an in-depth conversation on the methods diligent investors can use to build and maintain wealth in all market environments. Faber breaks down his rigorous quantitative models to share fresh insights on bonds, equities, real estate, and commodities as well as the role these assets play within a portfolio. Faber and Buck discuss the importance of negatively correlated assets such as put options, which are a key feature of the Cambria Tail Risk ETF ($TAIL). Key learnings: Equity valuations are stretched thin, but buying at all-time highs has historically yielded surprisingly good returns. Faber thinks non-U.S. stocks are underrepresented in the typical U.S. portfolio and argues that for most individual investors, steady contributions to their portfolio matter much more than eking out that extra percentage of return. Recorded on 14 April 2021. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Interview: Danny Moses, founder of Moses Ventures, joins Mike Green for a conversation on how to make sense of a market characterized by surging equity valuations and ultra-tight credit spreads that is nevertheless prone to gamma squeezes, forced liquidations, and the implosion of billion dollar funds. Moses, an investor profiled in the "The Big Short," compares the current boom to the bubble the predated the 2008 Great Financial Crisis and concludes that the unprecedented levels of monetary and fiscal stimulus are pushing investors further and further out on the risk curve. Green details the role of passive investing, and the two discuss the blow-ups of Greensill and Archegos. Lastly, Moses shares his insights on the cannabis sector as well as the prospect of rising inflation. Recorded on April 7, 2021. Key learnings: Risk-taking in today's market is nearing its apogee; nevertheless, Moses sees extremely promising opportunities on the long- as well as short-side. Moses stresses the importance of doing one's own research and argues that skepticism is a key for any successful investor, particularly in today's environment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-Jun11,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Raoul Pal, CEO and co-founder of Real Vision, to the Daily Briefing to discuss the changes in the macro policy paradigm globally. Pal will be analyzing the impact these shifts will have economically, whether global macro investments can still perform in light of these shifts, and whether crypto ultimately benefits in the aftermath. He will also be unveiling the legendary headline guest at the upcoming Festival of Learning (June 23-25). Don't have your ticket yet? You can get it through this link: http://realvision.com/festival-of-learning-2021 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB- Jun9,2021: Jared Dillian of The Daily Dirtnap returns to the Daily Briefing to update Real Vision’s Jack Farley on how he is gauging market sentiment before tomorrow’s momentous release of key inflation data. The average estimate for the yearly change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) stands at 4.7%, and Dillian argues that if a figure comes with a “3-handle,” we could see some fireworks in the market. Dillian also shares his views on other pockets of the market he has his eye on such as Bitcoin and uranium. For tickets to the Festival of Learning, click here: realvision.com/festival. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Crypto Wednesday: Darius Sit and Joshua Ho, co-founders of QCP Capital, joins Raoul Pal, Real Vision CEO and co-founder, to discuss Asia's crypto demand, how it differs from the West, and the future of those markets. Sit explains that almost no one in China uses physical dollars any more and that the existing, widespread usage of digital payments paves way for a smooth transition into the adoption of crypto payments. Ho mentions that this isn't just specific to Asia—all countries with a remittance corridor are likely to find utility and value from adopting crypto payments systems, which allow them to bypass the high intracountry remittance costs. They both believe that corporations are almost ready to begin allocating capital to the crypto space, but they are now looking for the most appropriate products to allocate to as crypto seems to have now been broadly accepted and legitimized. Recorded on March 23, 2021. Key Learnings: China already has a strong digital-first culture and will likely be able to pivot to crypto payments much faster than other places. Remittances seem to be the most important factor in the usage of crypto in Asia and elsewhere as it allows them to bypass high fees when sending money to friends and family in different jurisdictions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-June8,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Thomas Thornton to discuss the inflation debate ahead of the US CPI number to be released Thursday and the bullish sentiment present in markets. The pair examines the effect of Bitcoin’s illegal use and confiscation on the downturn that the asset has recently experienced. In addition, they look to make sense of meme stock mania as Wendy’s and Clover Health stocks explode higher. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-June7,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison and senior editor Ash Bennington sit down together on the Daily Briefing to provide their insights into today’s market price action and share their experience at the Miami Bitcoin conference from this past weekend. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

RV Live replay: Paul Hodges of The pH Report and New Normal Consulting returns to Real Vision to update viewers on the health of the global economy and what that means for financial markets. Hodges and his team see big changes on the horizon and, through their analysis of the chemical industry, auto market, and technology sector, see a return to the "old normal" as being highly unlikely. In this interview with Max Wiethe, Hodges highlights the important data leading him to believe that post-COVID the world will look very different as demand patterns shift, reshoring continues, and momentum for "the green recovery" grows. An excerpt from the most recent edition of The pH Report looking at the auto market can be found here: https://www.realvision.com/issues/auto-markets-shaken-by-covid-and-evs. To access Hodges' charts, please use this link: https://rvtv.io/3bvZXqA. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Interview: Danish-born economist Jens Nordvig, founder of Exante Data, a data and analytics firm for institutional investors that specializes in foreign exchange markets and macroeconomic policy, joins Real Vision co-founder and CEO Raoul Pal for a deep-dive conversation on the global economic outlook; the impact of the vaccine rollout on the U.S., Europe and emerging markets; and the likelihood of multi-year fiscal stimulus. Nordvig sees monetary policy frameworks evolving in ways that are unfriendly toward bonds, like Average Inflation Targeting (AIT), causing a fundamental rethinking among investors for owning fixed income assets. Recorded April 7, 2020. Key Learnings: A multi-decade bull market in fixed income lasted longer than many expected due to negative interest rate policy, and the COVID shock made central banks across the globe max out monetary policy. Interest rates are currently unattractive to many kinds of investors, and the economic outlook is such that risk assets look attractive, including cryptocurrency. Follow @jnordvig @ExanteData. Visit Exante Data (https://www.exantedata.com/). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Interview: Marko Papic, partner and chief strategist at Clocktower Group, joins Michael Green to discuss how and why geopolitics will have major effects on markets in the coming years with a particular focus on U.S.-China relations. They discuss everything from Taiwan and the issue of semiconductor supply chains to other actors like Russia as well as the merits and faults of Cold War analogies. They also touch on what Papic calls "the most important macro chart of this cycle" and the domestic issue of income inequality and the resulting policy outcomes. Finally, Green and Papic help viewers understand the magnitude of the green energy initiatives and what Papic believes are the best and worst ways to gain exposure to this megatrend. Recorded on March 31, 2021. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-Jun3,2021: Real Vision’s Jack Farley and Weston Nakamura guide viewers through a topsy-turvy day of price action where U.S. stocks and bonds sell off together as the “BANG” meme stocks (Blackberry, AMC, Nokia, and GameStop) pare some of yesterday’s gains. They also roll a pre-recorded segment of Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison and crypto editor Ash Bennington, who reports from Miami’s 2021 Bitcoin conference. Farley and Nakamura close by reviewing the Fed’s decision to sell its holdings of corporate bonds and analyzing what the potential knock-on effects would be if the Turkish Lira were to continue to deteriorate. To read more of Weston's thoughts on the relationship of Bitcoin, gold, and the Turkish Lira, click here: https://rvtv.io/BTCLiraGoldEXCH Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-Jun2,2021: Real Vision’s Jack Farley and Weston Nakamura cover the resurgence of “meme stocks” such as AMC Entertainment Holdings ($AMC) and Bed Bath & Beyond ($BBBY). They analyze the seemingly inexorable rise of commodities like oil as well as growth stocks such as Tesla Inc ($TSLA) that may be struggling to regain their footing. Nakamura also looks at the surge in Dogecoin and the halt of once-hot investments such as SPACs and NFTs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Crypto Wednesday: Darius Sit and Joshua Ho, co-founders of QCP Capital, joins Raoul Pal, Real Vision CEO and co-founder, to discuss Asia's crypto demand, how it differs from the West, and the future of those markets. Sit explains that almost no one in China uses physical dollars any more and that the existing, widespread usage of digital payments paves way for a smooth transition into the adoption of crypto payments. Ho mentions that this isn't just specific to Asia—all countries with a remittance corridor are likely to find utility and value from adopting crypto payments systems, which allow them to bypass the high intracountry remittance costs. They both believe that corporations are almost ready to begin allocating capital to the crypto space, but they are now looking for the most appropriate products to allocate to as crypto seems to have now been broadly accepted and legitimized. Recorded on March 23, 2021. Key Learnings: China already has a strong digital-first culture and will likely be able to pivot to crypto payments much faster than other places. Remittances seem to be the most important factor in the usage of crypto in Asia and elsewhere as it allows them to bypass high fees when sending money to friends and family in different jurisdictions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Real Vision Live Replay: Diego Parrilla, portfolio manager at Quadriga Asset Managers and the author of "The Anti-Bubbles," weighs in on the ongoing conversation around bubbles in this interview with Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal. Parrilla goes in-depth on where he thinks markets are providing the most opportunity as well as where they're unveiling risks, and he breaks down his unique portfolio management style to navigate the current environment. He also considers whether monetary policy has reached its limits in the midst of unparalleled monetary easing from global central banks. Parrilla and Pal also will be answering questions from the audience. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Interview: The Alaska Permanent Fund is the $75 billion sovereign wealth fund of the state of Alaska, and since oil was discovered in Alaska in the 1970s, the APF has been receiving royalties and investing that capital on behalf of Alaskan citizens. Every year, it pays out a dividend—a form of UBI—to the citizens, who also do not pay any state income tax. In this interview with Sean Fieler, president and CIO of Equinox Partners, Marcus Frampton, CIO of the APF, explains his own unconventional views on investing and how he is bucking the trend in the large institutional investor space. Together, they discuss why Frampton has allocated the APF in gold, active management, and macro hedge funds while resisting the urge to chase private equity like many of his peers. They also discuss Frampton's personal investing style and why he is so attracted to micro-cap stocks and OTC markets. Recorded on March 31, 2021. Key Learnings: Institutional investors, who are the major forces in global markets, are largely driven by the actuarial projections of consultants and, with a few exceptions like Marcus Frampton and the APF, tend to cluster into similar portfolios and assets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Interview: Marko Papic, partner and chief strategist at Clocktower Group, joins Michael Green to discuss how and why geopolitics will have major effects on markets in the coming years with a particular focus on U.S.-China relations. They discuss everything from Taiwan and the issue of semiconductor supply chains to other actors like Russia as well as the merits and faults of Cold War analogies. They also touch on what Papic calls "the most important macro chart of this cycle" and the domestic issue of income inequality and the resulting policy outcomes. Finally, Green and Papic help viewers understand the magnitude of the green energy initiatives and what Papic believes are the best and worst ways to gain exposure to this megatrend. Recorded on March 31, 2021. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB- May28,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Raoul Pal, CEO and co-founder of Real Vision, to discuss his macro outlook, inflation, and crypto markets. Pal will be sharing his observations of the crypto selloff from last week and taking questions from the audience about his current market thinking. In observance of Memorial Day in the US this coming Monday, May 31st, there will be no Daily Briefing airing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May27,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, back to the Daily Briefing to update viewers on how the bond market is reacting to the re-opening of the economy and the sustained dovishness of the Federal Reserve. Bianco analyzes how the Fed’s bias towards employment within its dual mandate is impacting inflation expectations and bond yields, and he and Harrison discuss today’s jobless claims within that context as well as ballooning budget deficits and central bank balance sheet expansion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May26,2021: Jared Dillian, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and publisher of The Daily Dirtnap, returns to the Daily Briefing to update viewers on his inflation thesis and the re-opening trade. He tells Real Vision’s Jack Farley why he thinks the re-opening might already be fully priced in and shares advice to investors on how to manage their risk in stocks, bonds, gold – as well as Bitcoin. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Crypto Wednesday: Brad Mills, host of Magic Internet Money Podcast and partner at Xsquared Ventures, joins Ash Bennington, Real Vision senior editor, to discuss everything Bitcoin—from the Block Size Debate in 2017 to the philosophical vs investment reasons for owning Bitcoin and misinformation around the Bitcoin narrative, this interview covers it all. Mills explains that while Bitcoin Maximalists have been around as early as 2014 during the first alt season, the community was more harmonious as there was an understanding that Bitcoin was going to be the winner and what everyone was striving for. Altcoins were instead seen as experiments that one could mine, sell, or trade for more bitcoins. Come 2017, there had been a shift in mentality where many VCs were simply trying to redo Bitcoin. Mills goes on to explain that the ICO boom triggered a reaction, causing "Toxic Bitcoin Maximalism," a response to those falsely aligning with Bitcoin while trying to shill their subscriptions and exchanges or capture volume on their stable coins or altcoins. Recorded on April 1, 2021. Key Learnings: Fundamentally, the view of original Bitcoiners is that they do not want Bitcoin to be taken over or influenced by corporations in a way that is not in consensus with the node runners and developers of the network. In the eyes of these Bitcoiners, if corporations set the rules of Bitcoin because they have all the money, what precedent is set for governments? Further, the core tenant of Bitcoiners is that decentralization is most important and must be retained above everything else—even price and adoption. Mills goes on to state that the most important thing Satoshi did when inventing Bitcoin is that you could have consensus achieved on a ledger in a way that no government could shut down. Censorship resistance is the most important thing to any blockchain, and if there is no resistance, it should not be a considered a blockchain. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May25,2021: Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, joins Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington to sharing his latest insights on market activity as U.S. consumer confidence falls slightly for May and questions about inflation’s permanence still linger. Thornton considers the implications of the repo market displaying surging levels of reverse repurchase agreements (RRPs) and explains what indicators he’s paying attention to and what that means for markets going forward. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB- May24,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison and editor Jack Farley break down today’s most important market-moving stories—from China’s clampdown on commodity speculation and Bitcoin mining to the supply chain bottlenecks that may at last spur durable capex investment from companies in order to meet demand. Harrison and Farley cover the day’s price action in which global equities drift higher alongside commodities such as gold and crude oil as well as the crypto volatility, which did not abate over the weekend. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Real Vision Live Replay: Here at Real Vision, we are exploring the question, "Is Everything a Bubble?" To many investors though, that question doesn't even begin to scratch the surface of what needs to be considered in the current environment. In this live interview, Alex Gurevich, founder and CIO of HonTe Advisors, joins Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal to discuss his position on what he thinks are the biggest questions facing investors today. Together, Gurevich and Pal will explore the future of risk-parity, the raging overvaluation debate and the role of interest rate momentum in equities, and the dichotomies in outcomes surrounding the dollar, precious metals, and interest rates. In addition, Gurevich will weigh in on the current discussion de jour around short-selling, how investors should think about navigating crisis vs. being positioned for the long-term, and why many are confusing features for bugs in the gold vs. bitcoin debate. Recorded on : 8 Feb 2021 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May21,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison and editor Jack Farley to make sense of an action-packed week. They interpret the bullish PMIs coming from Europe and the U.S., the latest news from the credit markets, and a crypto market trying to regain its footing. They also discuss what the new electric Ford F-150 means for electric vehicle companies, and how the brewing tensions between China and Taiwan might impact financial markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May20,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington is joined by managing editor Ed Harrison to tackle the Treasury’s call for crypto transfers equaling $10,000 and above to be begin being reported to the IRS. Ed discusses his thoughts about how the reflation trade has buoyed the most speculative areas of the market, crypto being included, due to the underperformance of real economic data, and he and Ash discuss the implications that the Treasury’s announcement will have on crypto going forward and what that means for the broader market. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May19, 2021: Real Vision’s Jack Farley and Weston Nakamura host the Daily Briefing on this action-packed day where almost every asset class seemed to plummet: stocks, commodities, and, most dramatically, crypto. In an emergency dispatch with senior editor Ash Bennington, Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal helps viewers make sense of a crypto market undergoing tremendous volatility, including its sudden drop and then vibrant rebound. Farley and Nakamura close by analyzing the bond market and the surge of a trend that Nakamura calls “subprime retail.” Join the Exponential Age now and watch it all for $1 right here: https://www.realvision.com/l/the-exponential-age Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May18,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Tony Greer of TG Macro for a live Daily Briefing to analyze the tape and provide an update on his thoughts concerning the direction of inflation and the commodities trade. Greer touches on metals and mining as well as oil and discusses how likely it will be that inflation will become transitory based on last week’s CPI print. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Real Vision Live Replay: Warren Irwin, president and CIO of Rosseau Asset Management and one of the most successful natural resources investors of the past few decades, joins Real Vision’s Max Wiethe to discuss why he is investing in uranium, copper, nickel, and metallurgical coal producers as his bet on the green energy trend. Irwin argues that nuclear power will be a necessity to hit emissions targets and the idea that renewables like wind and solar could be relied upon to power humanity is ludicrous as that would require an inconceivable number of batteries. Although he is still bullish on batteries and the electrification trend, he argues that current favorites like lithium and cobalt are respectively too abundant and likely to be phased out of future iterations of battery technology, and he prefers copper, nickel, and metallurgical coal to play this trend. Irwin also highlights some individual companies he is looking at and touches on why he is currently underweight gold and generally against investing in silver. For our listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Interview: Even with birthrates slowing and rapid aging in the developed world, years like 2021 where deaths outpace new births are a huge demographic outlier. In this interview with Ed Harrison, Neil Howe, author and managing director of demographics at Hedgeye, helps viewers make sense of the outsized impact that events like this can have on demographic trends. Howe and Harrison also go further than the demographics to examine how this has impacted different generations and the key players in the Fourth Turning saga. Specifically, they examine trends around migration, housing, commercial real estate, COVID variant risk, and political polarization. Recorded on March 23, 2021. Key Learnings: As well as accelerating and altering the trajectory of many societal trends around urbanization, housing, and migration, the pandemic has altered the entire demographic trajectory of the developed world. Although these consequences will take time to become measurable, investors need to be aware of the effects this can have going forward on the economy and the fabric of society. For our listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The. Interview: It’s no secret that crypto has gone from a retail phenomenon to something increasingly embraced by institutions and professional investors. As well, the size of the market has gotten to a point that governments in the West and the East can no longer ignore it. In this interview with Kyle Bass, founder and CIO of Hayman Capital, Peter Smith, CEO and co-founder of Blockchain.com, discusses how governments in the West and East will approach regulation of crypto markets and how the world of private cryptos and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) will interact rather than compete. They also discuss how Smith has built his firm accordingly and why he looks at Blockchain as more like the JP Morgan of crypto than something entirely retail-focused like TD Ameritrade. Finally, they touch on Smith's personal asset allocation, his predictions for crypto markets over the next year, and his own questions on Bass' outlook for inflation in 2021. Recorded on March 10, 2021. Key Learnings: Private cryptos and CBDCs will interact rather than compete—but that does not mean all cryptos will survive. Crypto is increasingly competing with traditional finance in areas of "high finance," and the next wave of adoption will take place here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May15,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Raoul Pal, co-founder and CEO of Real Vision, to review the first week of the campaign, “Welcome to the Exponential Age.” Ed and Raoul explore how the past week’s interviews have either reinforced or dispelled Raoul’s macro thinking as well as what surprised him most. Raoul will also providing his insight into the sell-off in tech after the past four weeks of seeing the Nasdaq in the red. Join the Exponential Age now and watch it all for $1 right here: https://www.realvision.com/l/the-exponential-age Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May13,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, to contextualize yesterday’s sell-off and whether it is indicative of longer-term market troubles. Thornton will update his thinking concerning what sectors he has his eye on and how he’s positioning his trades since a full re-opening in the U.S. is almost here. For our Listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB- May13,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison and senior editor Ash Bennington discuss the huge inflationary print that is roiling equity markets. For our Listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May11,2021: Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading, joins Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington to provide an update on the markets as U.S. equities continued their decline this morning as inflation pressure looms large on the horizon. As the U.S. 5-year breakeven inflation rates reaches a 15-year high, Floyd will be sharing his perspective on the inflation narrative that has been roiling markets this year, what currency pairs he has his eye on, and what’s going on in S&P futures. For Our Listeners: Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB- May10,2025 - On today’s live edition of the Daily Briefing, Real Vision’s Jack Farley welcomes Kyla Scanlon, investment partner at On Deck and financial content creator, for a conversation on the most important market stories driving markets, including Amazon’s eight-part bond issue, the NASDAQ’s slump, hacking of the Colonial fuel pipeline, and the launching of the Shiba Inu token (SHIB). Scanlon shares with Farley her analysis on today’s pullback in investment grade bond ETF $LQD, Beyond Meat’s earnings ($BYND), as well as the latest news on GameStop Corp ($GME). For our Listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Interview: Mike Green, portfolio manager and chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management, and Peter Schiff, chief economist and global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital, sit down with Real Vision's king of neutrality, Ash Bennington, for a debate on the merits of MMT vs Austrian Economics, other questions around what the defining characteristics of good money actually are, and whether we will finally see the inflation that many have been calling for. Schiff and Green will also discuss their outlooks for various asset classes given their differing views on inflation, monetary policy, and the role of government. Recorded on April 22, 2021 For our Listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Interview: Narratives around the reflation trade and asset prices are currently pointing towards a full recovery and a period of extended growth as the world exits lockdowns. In this interview with Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison, Daniel Lacalle, chief economist and CIO at Tressis, argues that this is being fueled by nothing more than hope and that, although this is a recovery, the world will return to the same state of secular stagnation and low growth that existed pre-COVID. Lacalle explains why fiscal and monetary policies, which have not generated inflation, will only make this situation worse, why he thinks there is only a few months left in the reflation trade, and the resulting asset allocation based on his outlook. They also discuss current pockets of value and the sectors that Lacalle considers to be value traps like energy and financials as well as Lacalle’s outlook for the dollar. Recorded on March 10, 2021. Key Learnings: Sectors like energy and financials, which have been benefiting from reflation narratives and trade at low multiples, should not be considered "value". Current negative views on the US and the dollar remind Lacalle of the GFC, but the reality is that the US and the dollar are still the cleanest dirty shirt. For our Listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Interview: Even before COVID, global deficits had already expanded—but in the last year, they have exploded to levels that almost guarantee increases in taxes. We can already see the effects as high-net-worth individuals and businesses leave high tax areas like California for lower tax areas like Florida, Texas, and the Cayman Islands. Dominic Frisby, author of "Daylight Robbery: How Tax Shaped Our Past and Will Change Our Future," sits down with Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal to discuss the history of taxes, sinister invisible taxes in the form of targeted inflation and monetary debasement, and the future of taxes considering the trends outlined above. Pal and Frisby also discuss the inevitability and virtues of some level of tax and cooperation and the potential for better tax structures to emerge from this crisis. Recorded on March 2, 2021. Key Learnings: Increased taxes, new taxes, and monetary debasement are almost an inevitability considering massive global deficits post-COVID. Immigration and migration patterns have already emerged, and geographies that recognize these trends and adjust their taxation and monetary system in a fair way will attract both human and traditional capital. For our Listeners : Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May7,2021: Managing editor Ed Harrison welcomes Raoul Pal, Real Vision CEO and co-founder, to introduce Real Vision’s latest campaign, “Welcome to the Exponential Age.” Raoul will be going in-depth on his new macro framework, the Exponential Age, and he and Ed tease their interview that’s being released on Monday. They also contextualize today’s U.S. jobs report, which fell far from economists’ expectations, and Raoul explains what the Exponential Age means for employment going forward. For our Listeners: Join Arca's 4th annual FO256 conference virtually, Tuesday May 25th by registering at www.ar.ca/21FO256. Blinkist: Go to blinkist.com/realvision, try it for seven days and save twenty five percent off your new subscription. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May6,2021: Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison and editor Jack Farley evaluate price action in markets as the bond market refuses to budge, some chaos in single stocks today has been hidden by relatively flat U.S. equity indexes, and gold is breaking out of its range, surging beyond $1800. Ed also takes an in-depth look at today's economic data on initial and continuing jobless claims as well as the latest news flow on companies' struggles to hire workers even as unemployment rate remains in elevated territory. Jack reports from the trenches of the over-the-counter interest rate swaps market and speculates on what it indicates about investors' trust in the Fed. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Real Vision Crypto Wednesday: Michael Krieger, creator of Liberty Blitzkrieg, joins Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, to discuss their discovery of Bitcoin, the subculture, and the probability of a government shutdown. Krieger describes Bitcoin as a representation of a path or blueprint for humanity to follow: not just with money, but with nearly everything. They note that Bitcoin is decentralized, permissionless, and open-source, and that these three qualities are key to Bitcoin's success. Krieger also believes that Bitcoin is increasingly becoming more political, and he notes that the only 2 major political movements in this day and age are localism and Bitcoin. Recorded on March 18, 2021. Key Learnings: Krieger and Johnson believe that, although the current US infrastructure is still strong, citizens are looking to shift to more free and open sources in both their digital and physical lives. They believe that Bitcoin is better than any country's digital reserve currency because of its decentralized and open source nature. In their view the entire social, political, and economic organization of humans is being disrupted by Bitcoin. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May4,2021: Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Tony Greer of TG Macro to discuss Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s statement today on interest rates, Bank of America’s warning of transitory hyperinflation, and Q1 earnings. Greer shares his perspective on Yellen’s assertion on the possible need to raise interest rates and how it impacted markets today, and he and Bennington speculate on whether the Fed will change course later in the year. Greer also considers the trajectory of inflation in light of Bank of America’s statement about transitory hyperinflation to come and explores why he feels this time is different for price inflation. Finally, Bennington and Greer touch on Q1 earnings and Dogecoin’s meteoric rise. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-May3,2021: Real Vision managing Ed Harrison and editor Jack Farley break down today’s market action in stocks, bonds, and commodities. Farley interprets Warren Buffett’s latest comments at the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholders’ meeting, and he and Harrison discuss Buffett’s statements on inflation and equity performance as well as the announcement of Buffett’s successor. Harrison evaluates recent moves in the bond market and shares his views on whether currencies or interest rates will be the “release valve” for volatility as equities grind higher. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Real Vision Live Replay: Luke Gromen, founder and president of FFTT, joins Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss why he believes the strength or weakness of the dollar cannot be left to market forces. Gromen argues that, if left to market forces, the sheer size of the U.S. Government deficit would crowd out global dollar markets, sending the dollar skyrocketing with devastating consequences for global markets. Paired with recent rhetoric from Janet Yellen about not seeking a weak dollar has shaken Gromen's conviction in near-term dollar weakness and the subsequent knock-on effects. Gromen and Harrison will also discuss Gromen's views on the Treasury market and why he thinks rates will be allowed to rise until something cracks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Interview: With bonds selling off alongside equities and the volatility of both asset classes rising, there is perhaps no better time to hear from The Convexity Maven himself, Harley Bassman. In this interview with Logica Capital Advisors partner, chief strategist, and PM Mike Green, Bassman outlines his view that this move higher in rates is the bond market finally moving towards the "right" price after a decade of interest rate suppression. Green and Bassman discuss the positive and negative consequences of higher rates, a steeper yield curve, and monetary and fiscal policies like negative interest rates and stimulus checks. They also touch on the current opportunities that Bassman sees and his prediction of inflationary impulse due to demographics sometime between 2023 and 2025. Harley Bassman has provided a slide deck to accompany this interview which can be found here: https://rvtv.io/3cai4CR and his commentary on convexity can be found here: https://rvtv.io/38eiXZS. Recorded on March 3, 2021. Key Learnings: Bassman believes interest rates have been kept artificially low, and the current sell-off in bonds is the market moving towards the "right" price. He also advocates for investors to be long convexity and believes that OTM calls on equities and long-dated options on interest rates are extremely cheap. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The. Interview: Legendary independent investor Jim Rogers joins Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal to share his outlook on markets and the lessons he learned on his storied career. Rogers tells Pal that this current market environment, marked by record-low mutual fund cash levels and high levels of investing on margin, reminds him somewhat of the conditions prior to the "Black Monday" sell-off on October 19, 1987, which actually occurred on Rogers’ birthday. Rogers stresses the importance of thinking for oneself and argues that China is well-positioned to be the future engine of economic growth and technological progress. Recorded on February 23, 2021. Key learnings: Rogers is very constructive on commodities such as silver, oil, sugar, and various other agricultural opportunities. He notes speculative fervor in the current market, particularly in SPACs, but sees opportunities in China and Russia in addition to commodities. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-Apr30,2021: Real Vision crypto editor Ash Bennington welcomes managing editor Ed Harrison to make sense of a crazy week in markets in this live edition of the Daily Briefing. Alongside Real Vision’s Jack Farley, they examine how the momentous earnings announcements, particularly in big tech, impact valuations. Ash gives his take on the latest goings-on in the crypto world, and Ed and Jack review what rising yields on European bonds means for the continents recovery as well as the U.S. dollar. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

DB-Apr29,2021: Real Vision’s Jack Farley and Weston Nakamura break down an action-packed day of earnings, economic data, and price movement. Farley shares updates on Amazon’s eye-popping earnings and the U.S. GDP growth figure of 6.4% (measured by annualized quarter-over-quarter change), and Nakamura makes sense of the equity market reaction to the seemingly rosy news coming from the economy as well as companies. They put in context the seemingly unstoppable surge in commodities such as lumber, oil, copper, and palladium with Nakamura providing key insight on declining volumes in the latter two commodities. He also looks at the bond market through the lens of the Japanese investor, somewhat attributing today’s sell-off in U.S. Treasurys to the Japanese holiday of “Golden Week.” Lastly, Nakamura looks at how the Japanese Stock Monex Group (8698 JT) is trading as a proxy to Bitcoin. To hear Nakamura’s full thoughts on Monex, check out today’s “Real Vision Daily Briefing Afterhours” on the Real Vision Exchange: rvtv.io/ExchAfterHours430. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices