
Real Vision: Finance & Investing
2,105 episodes — Page 28 of 43
Post-Trade Analysis: Long Position SONY/Short XLK
Weston Nakamura closes his long Sony Corp. (NYSE: SONY)/short Technology Select SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLK) market-neutral pair trade, as SONY shares rallied following an intraday trading halt on news of its acquisition of Bungie for $3.6 billion Weston shares his thought process and overall assessment. Though it was a net-profitable trade in an environment of elevated global equity volatility, Weston’s frank self-evaluation is that this was a flawed structure. He categorizes this win as “right for the wrong reasons.” In other words, he got lucky. Weston expands on the importance of applying the framework of being “right/wrong, for the right/wrong reason” for all traders and investors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

"Whiplash Week" Ends With a Jobs Jolt
It wasn’t just the nonfarm payrolls data for January that moved markets on Friday. Upward revisions to prior months’ reports put a fresh glow on the U.S. economy – and also invited questions about Federal Reserve policy. “Too late the hawk” is how Harry Melandri might put it. Melandri, currently an advisor with MI2 Partners and formerly of Deutsche Asset Management and the Bank of England, notes that we have hit our “max non-inflationary growth potential.” In fact, the Fed “could tighten a lot without having a restrictive monetary policy.” The issue now could be either how big is the “everything bubble” in the U.S. or whether inflation or growth is the central bank’s key policy objective. Melandri joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake at the end of one of the most fascinating weeks in recent financial market history. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3rsVnTh Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The ECB Joins the Inflation Fight
European Central Bank President Christine LaGarde now concedes the potential need for a rate hike in 2022 in the face of record-high inflation on the Continent, the same day the Bank of England announced a second consecutive increase to its benchmark rate since 2004 and began its “quantitative tightening” process. Meanwhile, on Wall Street, both Facebook parent Meta and PayPal have experienced massive value destruction in the aftermath of soft fourth-quarter results and softer forward guidance. Michael Gayed, CIO and portfolio manager at Toroso Investments, joins Real Vision’s Alfonso Peccatiello to talk about central bank moves, big tech earnings, and broader economic and market realities. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3L3CUo5 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Fed Probably Won't Raise Rates Seven Times in 2022
The ADP employment report for January showed a net loss of jobs, consumer spending is slowing, and President Biden is sending 3,000 troops to Eastern and Central Europe in response to Russian aggression against Ukraine. Like Apple’s, Alphabet’s fourth-quarter results blew away expectations. But those look like exceptions to the rule of a generally mixed earnings picture. Against increasing economic uncertainty and rising geopolitical instability, the Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates a total of 175 basis points in 2022. Darius Dale, CEO of 42 Macro, joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about where markets go from here. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3Hj4jzU Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Commodity Markets Rise to the Drums of War
It’s already been a good year for hydrocarbons, with crude oil and natural gas prices rising along with geopolitical tensions in Central Europe. The threat of war is now driving up prices of agricultural commodities, including wheat, barely, corn, and rapeseed, with consequences far beyond the region. Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and editor of the Morning Navigator newsletter, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake to discuss emerging opportunities in real assets. Meanwhile, India plans to launch a digital rupee during the fiscal year that starts April and to impose a 30% tax on transfers of virtual assets, as one of the world’s key markets warms to cryptocurrency. Real Vision’s eyes and ears in India, Nipun Kalra, joins to talk about crypto’s big win on the subcontinent. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3ghKtJE Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Equity, Bond Prices Suffer Ahead of Fed Tightening Cycle
Stocks surged on the last trading day of the month, but it was still the worst January for the Nasdaq since 2008. According to Mark Ritchie, managing partner and chief investment officer of RTM Capital Advisors, we’re probably not going to see the type of V-shaped recovery that we saw in March 2020. Although last Monday marked a potential momentum low, “per my work,” notes Ritchie, “we are already in a cyclical bear market.” Earnings have been mixed so far, and investors are still focused on the Federal Reserve and other central banks as they prepare to fight inflation. Ritchie joins Maggie Lake to talk about financial markets and what’s changed early 2022. And Weston Nakamura joins to talk about the impact of China going silent ahead of the Beijing Winter Olympics. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3GtgoS5 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Exchanging Lanes: Are We Misreading Inflation?
Brad Snyder and Weston Nakamura, a trucker and a trader, are back with Exchanging Lanes to challenge conventional macro data analysis, using real-world, real-time, on-the-ground observations and applying differentiated takeaways. In this episode, Weston and Brad look ahead and explore where disinflation or deflation risk may arise with a focus on inventories. They see massive overcapacity of warehousing in the longer term and offer a non-consensus angle for a potential data misread in consumption trends and inflation drivers for the immediate term. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Hot War in Cold Places: How a Brewing U.S. - Russia Clash Could Impact Global Markets
Pippa Malmgren, who served as Special Assistant to the President of the United States for Economic Policy under George W. Bush, says financial markets are likely to shrug off military conflict in Ukraine because it probably won’t resemble traditional warfare. Malmgren tells Real Vision managing editor Samuel Burke that the new “quantitative easing” is military spending in cyberspace. Recorded on January 25, 2022. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Inflation and Yields and War, Oh My
A favorite Federal Reserve inflation gauge, the core personal consumption expenditures index, measured 4.9% year over year for December. It hasn’t been that hot since September 1983. And the employment cost index was up an annualized 4% during the fourth quarter of 2021, an all-time high for that metric. Meanwhile, talk on the U.S.-Russia-Ukraine front has turned to economic sanctions, which, while short of “hot” war, pose their own set of challenges to people on the ground. Yields backed up and equities rallied on all the news. Jim Bianco, founder and president of Bianco Research, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake to sort out an eventful Friday. And Weston Nakamura drops in to share his thoughts following an equally dramatic week in China. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/34ivKep Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

GDP Comes in Hot as Investors Prepare for Higher Interest Rates
The Commerce Department reported the fastest annualized rate of U.S. gross domestic product growth since 1984 for the fourth quarter of 2021. But it’s hard to call this “Morning in America.” Investors and central bankers are still fixed on inflation and the coming tightening cycle, as other data suggest continuing supply-chain problems and omicron concerns linger. Earnings have been mixed, with Apple Inc. due to report at 5:00 p.m. ET today. Major equity indexes reflected the mixed picture, rising through midday but slipping into the red ahead of the close. Thomas Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake to discuss strategy and tactics against a murky backdrop. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3ABav3R Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Stocks Surrender Gains, Treasury Yields Rise Following FOMC Statement
The Federal Open Market Committee said today “it will soon be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate.” And it issued a separate statement on “Principles for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet,” even as asset purchases continue. Stocks were already having their best day of 2022 ahead of this afternoon’s releases, and equity indexes continued to rally post-2:00 p.m. ET. The Fed finds itself in uncharted territory, and its various statements reflect the fact that there is no roadmap for combating inflation while balancing serious risks to growth – among them geopolitical tensions that continue to drive crude oil higher as well as an ongoing pandemic. Darius Dale, founder and CEO of 42 Macro, joins Real Vision’s Alfonso Peccatiello to break down one of the most highly anticipated FOMC meetings in recent times. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3KLKALp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Geo-Macro Tensions, Central Bank Questions Exacerbate Selling Pressures
The U.S. appears to be ramping up its support of NATO forces to counter Russia’s threat to Ukraine. And, after selling off along with all risk assets yesterday, crude oil prices are once again rising. Other commodities produced in the Baltics, such as natural gas as well as wheat and corn, are also sensitive to geopolitical tension. This comes as the Federal Reserve opens a two-day meeting during which the central bank is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate for the first time since late 2018. Bitcoin, meanwhile, is up more than 3% during the last 24 hours, as the world’s No. 1 cryptocurrency seems to have decoupled from equities, at least in the very short term. Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and editor of The Morning Navigator, joins Real Vision’s Alfonso Peccatiello to sort through a murky macro environment and to talk about his current trading book. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3H0wMKE Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Great Power Games Could Leave Europeans Out in the Cold
The Biden administration is preparing to deploy troops and equipment to Eastern Europe and the Baltics to counter Russia’s threat to Ukraine, as UK officials suggest Moscow aims to install a pro-Kremlin government in Kyiv. Stocks all over the world are tumbling, again, and Bitcoin has breached key technical levels. And there’s real concern about European natural gas supplies. “Risk on” for Putin means “risk off” for investors. Weston Nakamura is here to discuss the state of play with Ash Bennington. Weston also drops a compelling pair trade that could be a decent hedge against both geopolitics and central bankers. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/32rm6FR Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

It's the End of the Pandemic Rally As We Knew It
Cryptocurrencies are crashing, stocks are tanking, bonds are rallying, and central banks are diverging. That all spells “risk off,” as the pandemic rally has surely come to an end. Is there an “all clear” moment coming? When should we prepare to buy this dip? Raoul Pal joins the conversation for an update on what’s happening in the crypto space. And Maggie Lake talks with Jared Dillian, editor of The Daily Dirtnap, about the view from 30,000 feet and what it means for risk assets, including Bitcoin, Netflix, and others that benefited from across-the-board accommodative monetary policy over the past couple years. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3KwXMDB Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Another Commodity "Super Cycle"
The commodity “super cycle” chorus will only get louder with crude oil touching eight-year highs, nickel reaching levels not seen in a decade, and even gold looking like a compelling trade right now. Mixed U.S. economic data probably won’t alter the Federal Reserve’s plans to tighten monetary policy. But China’s central bank is clearly in easing mode. Combined with constrained supply across the complex, and that’s fuel enough for commodities firmly linked to the Middle Kingdom’s economy. Tony Greer talks with Maggie Lake about what’s happening with commodities amid a murky global outlook, and joins the conversation to discuss the impact of recent moves by the People’s Bank of China. Questions for Tony? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/33VU4CE Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Equity Indexes Reflect Investor Uncertainty Amid Rising Inflation
U.S. equity indexes bounced between “green” and “red” today, reflecting investor uncertainty amid a spike in volatility. Portfolio positioning is the critical question, as inflation fears feed expectations of four interest-rate hikes in 2022. Supply-chain issues continue to burden the global economy. And, now, crude oil is threatening to reach $100. Consumers are getting crunched, and investors are confused. Darius Dale, founder & CEO of 42 Macro, sifts the evidence and offers solutions for the current environment in a discussion with Ash Bennington. Care to submit a question? Drop it right here on the Exchange https://rvtv.io/3GJX3wN Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Yields Surge to Pre-Pandemic Levels as Investors Anticipate Fed Action
Bond yields rose across the curve Tuesday and stocks sank, as investors began to price in the potential impact of as many as four Federal Reserve rate hikes in 2022. The U.S. 10-year yield jumped to 1.865%, the highest it’s been since January 2020, and the German 10-year bund moved to within one basis point of turning positive for the first time since 2019. U.S. equity indexes were off nearly 2%, while European stocks fell about 1%. The CBOE Volatility Index (known as the “fear gauge”) surged as much as 20% intraday. Meanwhile, Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude prices continued to rise on strengthening global demand and tightening tensions in the Middle East. Still, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve. Alfonso Peccatiello of The Macro Compass welcomes back Nordea Markets Global Rates Strategist Andreas Steno Larsen for a European perspective on what's driving markets today. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3fD6xhw Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Opportunity in Uncertainty: Where Raoul Pal's Looking as Inflation Weighs on Consumers
DB-Jan 14,2022: U.S. retail sales fell in December as surging prices hit consumer spending. Raoul Pal discusses what opportunities are available for investors in an environment of rising inflation and why he is looking at the carbon trade. He also provides his view on Bitcoin, Ethereum and how to understand the macro environment. You don’t want to miss Raoul’s take on how we should be thinking amid the uncertainty. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3I2PBgs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Reading the Charts: Expect a Correction Soon
DB-Jan 13,2022: In today’s volatile trading environment, charts can be a clear way to make investment decisions. Katie Stockton gives her technical take on the S&P 500 (which she says will enter a corrective phase in 1-2 weeks), FAANGs, 10-year yields, and more. Find out why she suggests sticking with core longs that have the support of rising moving averages and get some actionable ideas. We’ll also ask how much—if at all—fundamentals like rising inflation play into her investment decisions. Interviewed by Ash Bennington. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3FjqrbG Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. Inflation Hits 7%, and HSBC Issues Dire Warning--Here's Why
DB-Jan 12,2022:December’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 7% year-over-year, the biggest jump since 1982. And even worse supply chain disruptions may be on the horizon if Omicron sweeps through Asia and prompts more lockdowns across China. HSBC warns that disruptions to manufacturing are inevitable, and the world could be headed for the “mother of all” supply chain bottlenecks. 42 Macro founder and CEO Darius Dale discusses what to look out for and how best to prepare. Interviewed by Alfonso Peccatiello. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/33b0EFz Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is the Rebound Real? Tech Leads Market Higher as Powell Says Economy Looks Bright
DB-Jan 11,2022: During a hearing for his re-confirmation as Fed Chair, Jerome Powell said the central bank will work to relieve inflationary pressures in the economy. Following Powell’s testimony, the Nasdaq rallied for the second day in a row. In the U.K., the London Metal Exchange experienced an over five hour long outage but resumed trading after migrating its systems to backup. Sharing how he’s positioning his trades, Tony Greer of TG Macro examines elevated volatility in markets with commodities soaring, yields rising, Bitcoin plunging, and equities rotating out of tech. Interviewed by Alfonso Peccatiello. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3Gj45br. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Big Tech Tumbles & Crypto Dips: How Low Can Prices Go?
DB-Jan 10,2022: Goldman Sachs expects a more aggressive Fed this year with four interest rate hikes on the horizon in an effort to to tame inflation. The prediction comes as U.S. stocks extend a volatile start to the year and Bitcoin dips below $40,000 for the first time since September. People who invested in BTC in the run up to the launch of the Bitcoin ETF are about to break even. Will the Fed need to rethink its strategy? Meanwhile, Omicron continues to rampage through the world, and one city in China is taking an aggressive approach: Tianjin, near Beijing, is testing all 14 million of its residents after 20 people tested positive for the coronavirus, two of whom had the omicron variant. Alfonso Peccatiello and Weston Nakamura join from the Netherlands and Japan respectively to answer the timely question: How do you navigate this environment with rising interest rates? Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3K9da9p Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

What Does the December Jobs Report Tell Us About Growth?
DB-Jan 07,2022:Non-farm payrolls in the U.S. rose by 199,000 in December, which pales in comparison to the original estimate of 422,000. Despite the actual numbers landing below expectations, unemployment in the country fell to 3.9%, which was actually better than the estimated 4.1%. Wages increased 4.7% year-over-year according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The industries that reaped the benefits the most were leisure and hospitality. Peter Boockvar, CIO of Bleakley Advisory Group and author of The Boock Report, joins to examine the U.S labor force and inflation. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has been slipping all week and is now below $42,000, levels not seen since September last year. This too is the result of the Federal Reserve’s December meeting minutes hinting at earlier- and faster-than-expected rate hikes. In Europe, inflation hit a record high of 5% in December, leaving people debating whether the European Central Bank should be more aggressive at combating price hikes. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3f3eIDe Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Market Jitters: Is a Regime Change Imminent?
DB-Jan 06,2022:On Wednesday, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%—the worst single-day decline in 11 months and the worst start to a year since 2008. Even crypto is taking a beating. The entire country has turned its attention to the Fed, which yesterday hinted at becoming more aggressive, triggering the steep drop in stocks. The taper, rising rates, and declining balance sheets are on the agenda. Thomas Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, shares how he’s positioning his portfolio, given the big picture, and answers the pivotal question: Is a major regime shift on the way? Interviewed by Ash Bennington. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3G4jmwD Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Fed Amps Up Aggression--Stocks Plunge Immediately
DB-Jan 05,2022:The U.S. Fed just released its meeting minutes, hinting that it may get more aggressive with tightening the balance sheet and reducing stimulus. That caused stocks to plunge immediately. China just launched a wallet app for its own digital Yuan currency with the aim to expand its usage to more people in the country and, simultaneously, achieve more control over crypto in the country. The digital Yuan is not a cryptocurrency like Bitcoin, but instead is issued and controlled by the People’s Bank of China. In the U.S., private-sector job growth increased by 807,000 payrolls in December, which is the strongest growth since May, according to the ADP National Employment Report released Wednesday. However, absenteeism resulting from the Omicron variant is still an imminent threat to non-farm payroll growth. 42 Macro CEO and founder Darius Dale joins to discuss all this as well as his developing macro outlook for 2022. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/34tOSGN Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Tony Greer's Best Bets for 2022
DB-Jan 04,2022: OPEC+ has agreed to increase its oil production by 400,000 barrels per day in February as it is believed that Omicron will not have a detrimental impact on demand. The Institute for Supply Management revealed a slowdown in U.S. manufacturing in December, but still in firm expansion territory. It also showed signs that inflation may be starting to cool as supply-chain disruptions ease. Also, your old Blackberry phone has finally died forever and can’t even be used to call 911 anymore. Tony Greer discusses all this and more. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3eRNzTW. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

2022 Outlook: Bond Market Moves & Your Asset Allocation
DB-Jan 01,2022: Alfonso Peccatiello, the author of the Macro Compass, shares his outlook on 2022 on the first trading day of the year, which saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite inch higher. Peccatiello discusses how he sees the economy moving forward: his view on China’s economy, the property market, and the Evergrande’s debt crisis. Peccatiello also talks about Fed rates, inflation, the bond market, and some of the good news making headlines and reflected in companies like Apple becoming the first company to hit $3 trillion market value and Tesla stocks jumping 9.0% after the company reported record deliveries for 2021. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3JFjVPE Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Bitcoin Hits an Air Pocket--Here's Why There's Turbulence
DB-Dec30,2021:December has been a brutal month for Bitcoin — with prices plunging around 30% from their all-time high in November. In this special edition of Crypto Unwrapped, Jim Bianco of Bianco Research and Real Vision’s own Weston Nakamura join Ash Bennington to discuss what’s driving price action in these highly volatile markets. The group breaks down key concepts, including year-end options expiry, implied volatility put-to-call ratios, max pain point, and the role of ETF and emerging market FX. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Following the Money as End of Holidays Nears
DB-Dec27,2021:What put a floor under global markets last week may not be what you think. Weston Nakamura provides an overview of the global and cross-asset markets in the last week of the year. Nakamura explains that regional market holiday schedules matter because they determine the makeup of active market participants. He then talks about the unprecedented volatility in the Turkish Lira having rallied 50% from all time lows after President Erdogan unveiled his controversial new economic policy to protect depositors against FX risk. He also makes the case that the upside in global macro risk assets could have been driven by the breakneck reversal in the Lira, following up on his recently released video, “How Policy Changes Created Turkish Lira Volatility”. Link to Weston’s video on the Turkish Dollar from Dec 25th 2021: https://youtu.be/WnDiFCWgBDQ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Here's How to Surf a Volatile 2022
DB-Dec23,2021:What’s going on in Turkey, and why should we keep an eye on it? Daily Dirtnap editor Jared Dillian fills you in on what you need to know about the Turkish Lira. Nikola delivers its first EV truck, boosting its stocks by 20%, and Elon Musk is now almost done selling his Tesla shares. Dillian also shares his rules of trading for 2022, which might be riddled with choppy waters. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3srmnDv. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

To What Degree Is Omicron a Threat to the Economic Recovery?
DB-Dec22,2021:The number of new cases in South Africa has slowed in recent weeks and is down more than 20% in the past week, pointing to the probability that the Omicron variant has reached its peak. Perhaps this may not be that bad after all. Alfonso Peccatiello is in Holland under a strict lockdown, and he is joined by Darius Dale of 42 Macro on the Daily Briefing to discuss the lockdown conditions and the potential effects it would have on the economy. Meanwhile, Elon Musk announced he would be paying $11 billion in taxes this year as he continues offloading Tesla stock. However, the U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has launched a probe into Tesla vehicles’ ability to play games on the giant tablet in the car while driving, making these vehicles incredibly dangerous on the road thanks to their ability to distract drivers. Interviewed by Alfonso Peccatiello. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3eexSWr Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Markets Bounce Back, Ringing In Holiday Cheer Once Again
DB-Dec21,2021:After markets were down yesterday, oil, stocks, and crypto rebounded. Goldman Sachs also recently released their new projection for oil, explaining that oil could potentially reach $100 a barrel within the next two years. TG Macro's Tony Greer, editor of the Morning Navigator, joins the Daily Briefing to discuss why he thinks not enough people own copper and update his market outlook for the last weeks of 2021. In the U.K., the Omicron variant’s rampage has led the government to offer 1 billion pounds to hospitality businesses and firms hardest hit by the new outbreak. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/32odI9Z Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Stocks, Oil, & Bitcoin Fall on Omicron Fears: A Not-So-Happy Holiday
DB-Dec20,2021:The Omicron fear factor has sent the entire market tumbling downhill – what does this mean for 2022? Jeffrey Schulze of ClearBridge discusses how you should protect your investments and prepare for the disruption. Goldman cuts GDP forecast down to 2% after Sen. Joe Manchin said he won’t support President Biden’s Build Back Better plan. Real Vision's Weston Nakamura also discusses the Lira as it slumps to new lows after Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said he would not raise interest rates. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3slSEeV Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

No Santa Rally? What's Behind the Big Tech Sell-Off
DB-Dec017,2021:At the year's end, people are normally buying the winning tech stocks. This year, however, people are selling. What is going on? Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, talks about the volatility in tech stocks and whether you should buy the dip. He will also discuss cryptocurrencies and his 2022 outlook on the digital asset space. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/31YK0bP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Did the Fed Topple Your Assets? Advice for Your Wallet
DB-Dec16,2021:As the Fed wages its battle against inflation by signaling raising interest rates in 2022 at a faster pace than expected, Liz Young, Head of Investment Strategy at SoFi, explains who the winners and losers are from the Fed’s decision and how we should position our investments. Will a hike in interest rates accelerate the growth of cryptocurrencies? In the UK, the Bank of England raised interest rates for the first time in more than three years from 0.1% to 0.25%, which may increase the mortgage costs of some homeowners. In the meantime, businesses around the world continue to suffer from the spread of Covid and the Omicron variant. Liz Young speaks about these issues, the macro environment, our investment future, the clean energy trends, and the supply chain woes. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3F6i6ca Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

This Is What the Fed's Decision Means for You
DB-Dec15,2021:In the most highly anticipated decision of the year, the Fed said it would ramp up its pace of tapering and hike rates three times in 2022. So what does that mean for your investments? Darius Dale, founder and CEO of 42 Macro, shares his thoughts on how investors should position themselves as we head into the New Year. Will Bitcoin be a hedge to an uncertain future? Interviewed by The Macro Compass author Alfonso Peccatiello. Want to submit questions? Drop them here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/325Am6A Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Fed Meeting Begins: What s Next for Stocks, Bitcoin, & Your Portfolio?
DB-Dec14,2021:The Fed meeting begins today, and Thomas Thornton joins the Daily Briefing to discuss what that means for stocks and Bitcoin. One thing’s for sure: we can probably expect a hike in interest rates. Gold already retreated 1% today in anticipation. Meanwhile, airlines are already looking ahead to next year and expecting a bounce back in travel. American Airlines plans to hire 18,000 people to meet the expected demand. Thornton will also talk about Tesla and Elon Musk’s selling spree to reach his goal of selling 10% by the end of the year, as well as the downside of $ARKK and whether buying the dip on $SPY is foolish. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3pTvhqw Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

How to Navigate a Jittery Market Ahead of the Fed Meeting
DB-Dec13,2021:U.S. stocks have kicked off the week in the red amid concerns over the Omicron variant and ahead of the Fed decision on Wednesday. Meme stocks like GameStop and AMC are suffering the most as investors dump risky positions. Dave Floyd, the founder of Aspen Trading, explains how to handle the market sell-off. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/31YiNW0 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. CPI Print Comes in Hot: Is Bitcoin Still an Inflation Hedge?
DB-Dec10,2021:Raoul Pal shares his key takeaways from Real Vison’s ‘The Takeover’ in Las Vegas. Where are the leading names in the cryptosphere placing their bets? Plus, U.S. inflation surges to its highest level in 39-years, putting even more pressure on the Fed’s taper timeline. Pal joins Maggie Lake to discuss these topics and more! Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3DGaThf. You can learn more about Real Vision’s ‘The Takeover’ at https://www.realvision.com/mgm/the-takeover Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

What Should A Cryptocurrency Portfolio Look Like?
DB-Dec09,2021:Ahead of Friday’s CPI print, analysts expect a reading of 6.8%, showing that inflation is still running hot through the economy. After a week-long rebound, Brent Crude fell 0.8% as fuel demand setbacks rise and Omicron fears persist. Bitcoin fell 3% from yesterday’s levels, and while crypto enthusiasts are still hanging on to the “store of value” narrative for BTC and other cryptocurrencies, market action shows that investors still see these tokens as high-risk assets. Initial jobless claims fell to their lowest level since 1969 — the recovery surges onward despite uncertain markets. Inflation expectations, jobless claims, and crypto volatility are driving markets this week — Join RV’s Ash Bennington and Maggie Lake live from The Takeover in Las Vegas for a market update. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3oFMl3I Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Pfizer & BioNTech Share Results on Boosters as Job Openings Near All-Time High
DB-Dec08,2021:With markets easing on Omicron fears this week and assets across the board beginning to recover from last week’s drawdowns, Pfizer and BioNTech both announced today the initial findings of the effectiveness of their boosters against the Omicron variant, demonstrating promising results of neutralizing the virus. The October JOLTS numbers also were released, showing that 4.2 million Americans quit their jobs, a decrease from the previous month, and openings increased to slightly over 11 million. 42 Macro founder and CEO Darius Dale analyzes the labor market’s recovery, COVID’s continuing impact on markets, the implications of the U.S. House passing legislation on increasing the debt ceiling limit, and more. Interviewed by Ash Bennington. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3dAjdo6 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Navigating Omicron: Will the Market Comeback Last?
DB-Dec07,2021:Tech stocks are making a comeback today and oil is up over 4%, easing Omicron fears, but can it last? Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla said that while the Omicron variant appears mild, its lightning-speed spreadability could lead to even more mutations. Bitcoin has recovered and is risk-on. Tony Greer joins us for another TG Tuesday to discuss stocks, oil, Bitcoin, and how to navigate Powell and the taper. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3pEs4el Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Secret Formula: A Four Quadrant Approach to Investment
DB-Dec06,2021: The Macro Compass is a four-quadrant tool that helps see the macro forest first and then the trees. Alfonso Peccatiello uses this model to determine how to distribute his investment portfolio. Peccatiello discusses on the Daily Briefing investment opportunities in commodities and cryptocurrencies. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3lEV3xs Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Fear Is Back: Omicron's Grip Threatens Global Disruption
DB-Dec 03,2021:The NASDAQ is down today over 300 points, and the VIX continues to edge up to its 52-week high. Jim Bianco discusses the latest tech fallout and where the equities sell-off is concentrated. The Omicron variant is rattling the markets. Fears of a deepening supply chain crisis are at the forefront of investors’ minds. Despite these fears, the unemployment rate’s drop to 4.2% may signify a positive turn for the economic growth story. Bianco shares predictions on the Fed’s actions and year-end dynamics for fund managers and retail investors. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to ask questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/31oSQyK Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Navigating Volatility: Should We Buy the Dip?
DB-DEC 02,2021:Steven Van Metre joins the Daily Briefing to share his outlook of the volatility ahead as we close out the year and begin to look forward to an equally unstable 2022. With markets still recovering from major pullbacks in the past few days, Van Metre of Steven Van Metre Financial lays out his perspective on the consumer as Apple shares fall on weaker iPhone demand. He analyzes the markets as the Fed considers accelerating their taper and the global economy as China’s presence in the growth story becomes diminished and threats from Omicron abound. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to ask questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3GcXdMz. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Omicron: Should Investors Worry?
DB-Dec 01,2021: As U.S. equities and oil inventories rise, investors are wondering whether the newly discovered Omicron variant threatens to reverse the recovery the economy has made. While officials instruct people not to panic, the uncertainty has already caused some movement in the markets: the S&P 500 rose 1.7%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.4%. Darius Dale analyzes whether businesses should worry about another lockdown. Interviewed by Ash Bennington. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3xLcNfq Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Surprise, Surprise: Inflation Is Not Transitory?
DB-Nov 30,2021: Fed Chair Jerome Powell just said it’s time to retire the word “transitory”—are you shocked? All the major U.S. market indices fell more than 1% on the announcement while the dollar strengthens and crude oil tanks. Ash Bennington is not surprised by Powell's announcement to retire "transitory", and he sits down with Tony Greer of TG Macro on another installment of TG Tuesdays on the Daily Briefing to talk about inflation and oil. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3FY6Xdp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Turkish Lira in Crisis While Virtual Land Skyrockets
DB-Nov 29,2021:Weston Nakamura joins us from Japan to share his insight on why the market went down on Friday and to talk about Turkey, where the stock market is thriving. He also discusses what’s happening to the Turkish Lira and how the currency can impact an entire asset class. While the real world is seeing the emergence of yet another Covid variant, Omicron, the virtual world of Decentraland saw a whopping $2.43 million sale of virtual land, which will be used for virtual fashion events. Interviewed by Petr Pinkhasov. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3CZTq2V Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Jobless Claims Plummet: Throwback to 1969
DB-Nov 24,2021: Are we back in 1969? At only 199,000, last week’s initial jobless claims were the lowest in over half a century since November 1969. That was the pre-internet and pre-cell phone era. Is this a signal for the recovery of the economy or are people just starting their own small businesses? Another throwback to a historical era, inflation hasn’t run amok through the economy since the end of WW II when Americans returned home. Darius Dale, founder of 42 Macro, joins with all his data to discuss the future. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3xlIsnf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. to Tap into 50M Barrels of Reserve Oil to Tame Rising Gas Prices
DB-Nov 23,2021:The U.S. Department of Energy announced it will release 50 million barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to battle gas prices and tame inflation. Gold and silver prices have also slipped lately – so it may be time to be bullish. Tony Greer joins us once more for TG Tuesdays to discuss oil and gold on today’s Daily Briefing. Interviewed by Ash Bennington. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3xiaYGc Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices