
Real Vision: Finance & Investing
2,136 episodes — Page 21 of 43

Is Inflation Actually Slowing in the U.S. Now?
The U.S. Consumer Price Index report for January showed that inflation cooled off only slightly — less than most economists’ expectations. Andreas Steno Larsen dives deeper into the numbers to find out whether U.S. inflation is, in fact, retreating. He also takes a step back to look at liquidity on a global scale as the Bank of Japan picks Kazuo Ueda to become its next governor. Recorded on February 15, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

How High Will Rates Fly?
Federal Reserve officials this week warned of more upcoming interest rate hikes in light of recent U.S. economic data. Maggie Lake is joined by Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, senior macro strategist at Macro Hive, to discuss the market’s positive response to today’s ISM services data and why she thinks the Fed is falling behind against inflation. We’ll also review what our other Daily Briefing guests this week said when asked what they think about the Fed’s current framework. In the second half of today’s extended Daily Briefing, we’ll dive into Dominique’s three reasons why she is still calling for an 8% terminal fed funds rate. You can find more of Dominique’s work here: http://MacroHive.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

If Cash Is King, Are Stocks Trash?
U.S. equities were relatively unchanged, but apparently they missed the message from the bond market. Across the board, U.S. Treasury yields are now over 4%, with a confluence of economic data in the States and Europe muddying the macro picture. Maggie Lake is joined by Tavi Costa, partner and portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, to hear why he believes this is the beginning of an exciting period for macro and value investors. Plus, we’ll also hear from Andreas on what persistent services inflation means for the U.S. and the rest of the world. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3J3ny3I. And you can check out more from Tavi here: https://www.crescat.net. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Time To Tune In To Heavy Metals?
Industrial metals bounced after strong economic data out of China, while U.S. equities logged another red day to start the month of March. Maggie Lake is joined by Michele “Mish” Schneider, the Director of Trade Education and Research at MarketGauge.com, to hear where she thinks this market is headed and how she’s playing everything from metals, energy, and agriculture to tech. Plus, we’ll hear from bond market veteran Jeff Moore in a conversation with Raoul about why inflation is so pivotal to the next move in bonds. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ENUNpk and see more of Mish’s work here: https://marketgauge.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Does This Oil Bounce Back Have Legs?
U.S. Treasury yields added to their monthly gains and equities chopped along as investors weighed the consequence of tighter monetary policy for longer. Meanwhile, oil rallied 2% on more bullish news coming out of China. Maggie Lake is joined by Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and the editor of the Morning Navigator, to hear his views on stocks, metals, an energy rotation, and the dollar breakout. Plus, we’ll hear from Jamie McDonald on why investors need to pay attention to copper. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ZoqlKg. And check out more of Tony’s work here: https://tgmacro.substack.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

What Are Global Money Flows Telling Us?
Tech stocks are leading U.S. equities higher as bond yields pull back — but not until after the 2-Year Treasury note hit its the highest level since January 2007. Maggie Lake is joined by Geo Chen, director of Three Quays Pte. Ltd. and the author of Fidenza Macro, to hear how bond market volatility and global liquidity dynamics are moving markets. Plus, we’ll hear from Simplify chief strategist Mike Green, who explains why he’s so worried that the current environment looks like 1929. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3IYdyZB You can read all of Geo’s work here: https://fidenza.substack.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Mark Ritchie on the Theology Behind His Trading
The legendary investor Mark Ritchie walks us through his life, from his early years growing up in Afghanistan to the Chicago Board of Trade to meeting his future wife, and how it all ties into his trading philosophy. He also shares a famous quote — attributed to Mark Twain — that has greatly influenced his life both on and off the trading floor: What are the two most important days in your life? "The day you are born and the day you find out why." Mark joins Maggie Lake for a deep dive into why this quote inspired him, how he learned about the importance of sizing trades, the right time to cut and run, maintaining patience, and much more from his storied trading career. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Why Energy Is Underperforming
The energy sector has been the weakest performer in the U.S. equity market over the past month, despite China ending its zero-covid policy. So, what’s going on with everyone’s favorite sector of 2022? Andreas Steno Larsen lays out the bearish case for oil and gas and offers his take on what commodities you should be buying instead. Recorded on February 8, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Are people evacuating soft landing island?
U.S. stocks tumbled and treasury yields jumped after data showed the Federal Reserve’s favored measure of inflation- the core PCE price index- rose more than expected last month. Jim Bianco, President of Bianco Research joins Maggie Lake to talk about the current battle with inflation, how the Fed is handling the fight and what’s coming later in 2023. In the second half of the show, we’ll dive into credit markets and answer your questions! Plus, we’ll get a peek into the latest episode of My Life in 4 Trades featuring Mike Green. He says beware of the liquidity trap in this current economic environment. That interview will be released on Monday. Don’t miss it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is There Pain Ahead for Risk Assets?
U.S. equities continue to chop after falling from the recent highs, as investors weigh recent Fed comments and conflicting economic data. Maggie Lake sits down with the Dale Pinkert, head of trader development at TradeGatehub, to help us understand the many factors driving price across asset classes. Plus, we’ll hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on why he thinks a U.S. recession is coming in the second half of 2023. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3XX6VLt Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Can Anyone Out-Hawk the Fed?
After the worst trading day in 2023, the U.S. stock market is hovering relatively unchanged following the release of this afternoon’s FOMC minutes. The minutes confirmed that most Fed members are on board with the continued fight against inflation. Maggie Lake sits down with Michael Kao, the CEO of Akanthos Capital Management, to discuss the price action, his outlook for the global economy, and why he’s concerned that too many investors are engaged in a dangerous, self-fulfilling cycle of over-exposure. Plus, we’ll hear from Jacob Shapiro, the Director of Geopolitical Analysis at Cognitive Investments, on why there’s opportunity in supply chains even if they don’t ease. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3YUly3j Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Are Markets in for a Rough Ride?
U.S. equities are tumbling as the 10-Year Treasury yield rose to 3-month highs as investors wory about interest rates ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC minutes reveal. Maggie Lake is joined by Jared Dillian, editor of the Daily Dirtnap to discuss current market sentiment, which direction he sees markets heading in the short-term, the apparent re-rating of risk happening in bond markets, and where he’s looking for value in the chop. Plus, we’ll hear from Nancy Davis, founder of Quadratic Capital Management, about why the $8 trillion U.S. balance sheet is a monster lurking that no one is paying attention to. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3XLP0ac Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Tim Ferriss, Raoul Pal & Mark Hart on Hedge Funds, Investing & Optimizing Lifestyle | RV Classics
In this three-way conversation, Raoul speaks with Mark and Tim on the currency that we should prioritize higher-- time. In his Master Class, Mark Hart mentions Tim Ferriss as a friend and lifestyle design advisor. A master of meta-learning, Tim discusses easy ways to optimize your productivity, why we confuse the goal of 'having money' with 'quality of life', and explains what happens when we re-examine our self-defined boundaries. Originally aired on February 21, 2015 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Why a Post-Lockdown China Is Raising Red Flags for India
Andreas Steno Larsen explains why China’s reopening is a negative for last year’s market darling, India. Plus, he gives an update on U.S. dollar liquidity and a sneak peek into his new show, Buy-side Meets Sell-side, available to Plus members starting on Friday. Recorded on January 31, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

How Aggressive Does the Fed Need to Get?
U.S. stocks are sliding into the weekend, as investors contemplate the risk of sticky inflation and soaring U.S. Treasury yields. Dr. Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, joins Maggie Lake to break down the latest price action and discuss the monumental task facing the Fed. This is another extended Friday edition of the show, and in Part 2 Dr. Sri-Kumar will explain what’s driving central bank decisions around the globe. That will be available only to Real Vision members.We’ll also hear an update from Andreas Steno Larsen on global liquidity, and why he thinks liquidity may have already bottomed. You can watch that entire Steno’s Signals episode here: https://rvtv.io/3Itusiw Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Battle Against Inflation is Far From Over
U.S. producer prices (PPI) rose 0.7% in January, calling into question the prevailing disinflation narrative for the second time this week. Maggie Lake is joined by Peter Boockvar, the CIO of Bleakly Advisory Group, to help break down all the latest inflation data and discuss the Fed’s chances at navigating any sort of soft landing. We’ll also hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on why it’s so important to pay attention to the NFIB price plan survey when it comes to pricing pressure. You can watch that full interview here: https://rvtv.io/3Itusiw Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is the Options Market Calling Off Recession?
U.S. retail sales numbers came in much stronger than expected after yesterday’s still-sticky inflation print. The stock market remains range-bound as investors consider the next directional catalyst. Imran Lakha, founder of Options Insight, joins Andreas Steno Larsen for a look under the hood at what’s driving the price action. Imran is an options expert, so he’ll share why volatility has collapsed of late, what bonds and gold are signaling, and how traders are positioning into March. We’ll also hear from Damian Horner and Roger Hirst on the delicate balance between unemployment and recession. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3YJ06h4 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Are Markets Too Complacent About Inflation?
U.S. inflation rose 6.4% YoY last month, down from 6.5% in December but above expectations while monthly inflation rose 0.5% — the biggest increase in 3 months. Stocks largely shrugged in response, as markets remain relatively unchanged. Elsewhere, oil futures are down after the U.S. government announced it would release more crude from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve to help alleviate concerns over Russian production cuts. Maggie Lake is joined by Tony Greer, the editor of the Morning Navigator and founder of TG Macro, to assess the market’s CPI response and discuss the latest developments in energy markets. Plus, we’ll give you a look at Raoul Pal’s interview with David Dredge, who explains how he profits off of unexpected market events. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3RSMmhO Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Markets Turn Their Gaze to CPI
U.S. equities pushed higher as investors look ahead to tomorrow morning’s U.S. CPI print. Ash Bennington sits down with Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading Group, to discuss today’s price action and how Dave is positioning ahead of the January inflation data. Plus, Weston Nakamura will join the show with an update on what a new governor at the BOJ means for global markets, why the yen is slipping against the dollar, and how he’s trading navigating global markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Beer with Tony Greer
In this 90-minute AMA-style show, the Morning Navigator’s editor, Tony Greer, will answer your questions directly and offer unique insights about the current macro landscape. It’s your chance to get a unique moment with TG and learn what drives his thoughts on the markets. Grab a beer or a drink and tune in for a relaxed and conversational experience with Tony, while learning from one of the industry’s leading analysts. Live streamed on February 8, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Why You Shouldn't Get Too Comfortable Holding Risk Assets
Following a speech last week by FOMC member Christopher Waller, Andreas Steno Larsen presents what he calls the “Waller Rule,” which suggests that QT will either need to slow or pause if USD reserves become equal to 10-11% of U.S. GDP. He then breaks down why this potential scenario might be bad news for risk assets in the second half of 2023. Recorded on January 24, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Soft Landing Narrative Is a Trap (!)
All three major U.S. equity indices are poised to clock in losses this week as investors brace for the latest CPI print due next Tuesday. So, are investors starting to think talk of a soft landing is overdone? George Goncalves, head of U.S. macro strategy at MUFG Securities, thinks it is. In this special extended Daily Briefing he joins Andreas Steno Larsen to unpack the week’s market action and the road ahead for central bank tightening across the globe. Join to understand Goncalves’s investing framework, and be sure to subscribe to learn how he executes it in the second half of the show. We’ll also give you a peek into Real Vision's “The Knitting Show” with Roger Hirst, discussing the changing consensus view on a recession for this year. Plus and Pro members can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3YJ06h4 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is This Rally Just a Blip?
U.S. equities gave up early gains and yields pushed higher as investors assess mixed earning results and economic data ahead of next week’s January CPI print. Despite the late selloff in stocks, a weekly survey from the American Association of Individual Investors showed that investors are net bullish for the first time in nearly a year. Jared Dillian, the editor of the Daily Dirtnap, joins Maggie Lake to discuss sentiment, commodities, and more. We’ll also hear a clip from Andreas Steno Larsen on why energy is underperforming despite China’s reopening. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3HQOcuL Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Inflation Is the Solution
Federal Reserve board members continue to call for more rate hikes, a day after chairman Jay Powell reaffirmed the central bank’s commitment to higher interest rates. Markets are eager to be free of the shackles of inflationary forces and quantitative tightening, but Vincent Deluard of the StoneX Group sees the bright side of this bear market. He joins Ash Bennington to explore how this painful macro regime shift could lead to a better tomorrow. Plus, we’ll hear a clip from Looking for the Upside, where the author Dror Poleg discusses the evolving real estate market in the era of remote work. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3I8OL4A Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Powell Reasserts “Tighter for Longer”
In today’s session at the Economic Club of Washington, chairman Jay Powell said the ‘disinflationary process’ had begun, but the Fed will likely need to continue raising interest rates to bring inflation down further. Powell’s comments sent risk assets swinging this afternoon, but overall markets remain relatively flat. Dale Pinkert, head of trader development at TradeGateHub, joins Maggie Lake to dissect the price action and discuss what’s happening in currencies and commodities.Plus, we’ll hear a clip from investor Harris Kupperman on why he thinks failing is all part of the game. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3I5e4EB Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Uncertainty Has a Grip on Markets
U.S. equities are flat-to-down and yields are pushing higher as many investors reconsider how the Fed may be forced to act following Friday’s strong jobs data. With uncertainty abound, Mike Alfred, managing partner of Alpine Fox LP, joins Maggie Lake to share his macro outlook and the value opportunities he’s spotting in this volatile market. Plus, we’ll hear a clip from Real Vision's new series, Buy-side Meets Sell-side, with Bob Elliott of Unlimited Funds discussing why a recession is a reasonable bet. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3Y8mS2e Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

New Dollar Liquidity Set to Make a Splash in Markets?
When the U.S. breaches its debt limit, the Treasury will be forced to inject new liquidity into financial markets using various accounting gimmicks. Andreas shares how this extra cash flow could affect various asset classes and explores the potential multiple and ugly ramifications of this nightmare scenario. Recorded on January 17, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. Jobs Report Flexes on Markets
Today’s jobs report packed a serious punch, showing that 517,000 new jobs were added in the U.S. in January — far above median estimates — and bringing unemployment down to a 54-year low of 3.4%. Equities and bonds are selling off on the news. According to Spectra Markets’ president Brent Donnelly, a soft landing is just one of 5 possible macro narratives that could win out. Brent joins Maggie Lake to tease out the 5 outcomes facing investors in this special edition of the Daily Briefing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is This the Beginning of a New Bull Market?
U.S. equities continue to see broad gains in intraday trading after yesterday’s conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell, who announced a 25-basis point rate hike. Today, both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England hiked rates by 50 basis points. RTM Capital Advisors CIO Mark Ritchie II sees this as further proof of a new bull market. He’ll join Maggie Lake to unpack this “Run of the Bulls 2.0” and discuss the price action in gold and crypto. Plus, we’ll hear from natural resources investor Rick Rule on why he sees upside in precious metals. Watch the entire Looking for the Upside episode here: https://rvtv.io/3X0Vl16 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Fed Has Much More Work To Do
The Federal Reserve approved a much-anticipated quarter-point interest rate hike this afternoon — and suggested that another rate rise could be coming next — in its continued battle to tame inflation. And while the central bank’s statement reiterated that “ongoing increases in the target rate will be appropriate,” futures markets are still pricing in a rate cut by the end of 2023. In his press conference, Chairman Jerome Powell said that the Fed remains strongly committed to bringing inflation back down to 2 percent, and that “there remains much more work to do” to achieve sustained price control. Darius Dale of 42 Macro joins Andreas Steno Larsen to discuss the market’s reaction to the Fed announcement, what signals Powell sent to investors, and what other key market drivers we should be watching other than interest rates. Plus, we’ll hear from Danielle DiMartino Booth from the debut episode of The Deep Dive on why we may already be in recession. Watch that entire interview here: http://rvtv.io/3WV4pEQ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

What's the Housing Market Telling Us?
U.S. stocks made gains on Tuesday, closing the month of January on a positive note. Meanwhile, the U.S. housing market fell for the fifth straight month and is down 2.5% from its peak in June 2022. But that didn’t stop homebuilders from rallying today. Ash Bennington is joined by Tony Greer, the editor of the Morning Navigator, to discuss that surprising price action and give us an update on where he sees the energy sector heading. We’ll also give you a peek into our latest edition of Investor Tutorials where Jamie McDonald breaks down how the housing market works, and what’s really driving the price trends. Watch the entire episode here: https://rvtv.io/3HmLnlc Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Will Tech Earnings Deliver?
U.S. equities are down to start the week as investors look forward to the Fed’s next interest rate hike decision on Wednesday. As we progress through earnings season, large-cap tech is under the spotlight, with Apple, Google, Meta, and Amazon reporting this week. Maggie Lake is joined by Eric Jackson of EMJ Capital to discuss the current tech rally, whether it’s sustainable, and how long it could run. Plus, we’ll hear a clip from Real Vision’s new series, Deep Dive, where Danielle DiMartino Booth and Andreas Steno Larsen discuss a Fed divided. Watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3DpBFNK Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Nuclear Investment Opportunity
In this inaugural episode of Looking for the Upside, Andreas Steno Larsen and Mark Nelson, managing director at Radiant Energy Group, explore opportunities in nuclear power and uranium for 2023. Mark walks us through the investment case, while Andreas offers ways to play it (wait for the end). The goal is for you to walk away wanting to explore this topic further or decide it’s not for you. Enjoy. Recorded on January 6, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Will China's Economy Come Out Swinging?
China bids adieu to zero-COVID this week after its borders reopened, and investors are flocking in to capitalize on these long-awaited trading opportunities. Andreas takes a step back to examine the Chinese economy as it currently stands and digs into how the reopening may affect prices across various asset classes. Recorded on January 10, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

What's Actually Priced In?
According to the latest PCE price index data out this morning, U.S. households reduced their spending in December, bolstering the argument that an economic slowdown is near. Stock markets rallied on the news, as investors assume that the Fed will begin to slow its interest rate hikes. Mish Schneider of MarketGauge.com and Harry Melandri of MI2 Partners are here to explore whether this market is paying attention to all the necessary factors. We’ll also hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on the ripple effects that China’s reopening is having on commodities.You can watch the entire episode of Steno’s Signals here: https://rvtv.io/3JlzFd0 In the second part of the show, we’ll dive deep into the setup that Mish thinks is the next big trade. That part will be available only to Real Vision members. If you’re not a member yet, you can start a 7-day trial for $1 and see what you think. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Recession: Past, Present, or Future?
U.S. economic growth rose 2.9% in Q4 2022, down 0.3% from the prior quarter but stronger than forecasts. Markets rallied on the news, as some investors saw cooler-but-growing GDP as proof that a soft landing may be possible. Andreas Steno Larsen joins Maggie Lake to explore some mysterious data contradictions now popping up — and why a recession may have started many months ago. Then, Francis Gannon of Royce Investment Partners joins the show to dive into why small-caps may offer equity investors the best value in this market environment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Options Market Has a Message
It’s been a roller coaster day for U.S. equities, as stocks plummeted after Microsoft issued weak forward guidance on its earnings call. But as of this writing, indexes have erased those early losses and the options market is now pricing in a Fed pivot after next Thursday’s Fed funds rate announcement. Imran Lakha, the founder of Options Insight, joins Maggie Lake to discuss his views of the macro landscape, explain what the options activity means for broader markets, and share some ways that investors can take action. Plus, we’ll hear from Marko Papic, chief strategist at Clocktower Group, on why he’s so confident the U.S. won’t enter a recession in 2023. You can watch the entire interview with Marko and Andreas Steno Larsen here: https://rvtv.io/antidavos Sign up for the Real Vision Academy for access to Imran’s course on options here: https://t.co/wRrZtPLopn Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

When Will the Green Shoots Narrative End?
U.S. equities were flat today as investors weigh dual uncertainties: earnings season and a potential recession. Meanwhile, energy and interest rates both closed in the red, and business conditions contracted in January for the fourth month in a row, according to the latest S&P survey. Andreas Steno Larsen sits down with Eric Johnston of Cantor Fitzgerald to discuss the latest price action and hear why he believes there’s “very little upside” for stocks in the near-term. Plus, we’ll hear from veteran economist and strategist David Rosenberg, on why a rapid collapse in inflation could lead to a drawn-out recession. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3DaMUt6 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is This Stock Breakout a Fake-out?
The U.S. stock market rallied to start the week, with the Nasdaq Composite leading the way after a slew of job cuts from major tech companies entering earnings season. Both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 made new monthly highs and broke above key moving averages. Mike Coolbaugh, the founder of Element Macro Research LLC and a Real Vision analyst, joins Maggie Lake to discuss today’s price action and what macro data he’s watching we move into February. Then, technical trading legend Dave Floyd of Aspen Trading Group joins the conversation to read the charts and share how he’s identifying tradeable trends. We’ll also hear Jared Dillian’s take on gold from last Friday’s extended Daily Briefing. You can watch that entire interview right here: https://rvtv.io/3GZtF6O Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is This the End of US Dominance?
Turkey has been the best-performing equity market in the world in dollar terms in 2022. Meanwhile, the Mexican peso and the Brazilian real have been among the strongest currencies against the buck this year. Amid global upheaval unlike anything in recent memory, emerging markets have become much more attractive to investors. Is this a durable trend in asset allocation? Andreas Steno Larsen welcomes Whitney Baker, the founder of Totem Macro, for a conversation about the convergence of deglobalization, inflation, and quantitative tightening and the emergence of emerging markets as we transition to a multipolar geopolitical-macroeconomic regime. Follow Whitney on Twitter @TotemMacro. Recorded on November 23, 2022. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Why Consumer Prices Will Plummet (And How to Play It)
In the inaugural episode of Steno's Signals, Andreas walks us through why inflation will fall fast in the first quarter of this year, why that might not be a broad-based sign to buy equities—especially in the energy sector—and tells us how he’s setting up to trade it. Recorded on January 3rd, 2022. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is it Time to Take Profits?
Stocks rallied back on Friday but are still down on the week as another large round of job cuts hits the technology sector. In today’s extended version of the Daily Briefing, Jared Dillian joins Maggie Lake to discuss this week’s price action, overall market sentiment, and when he sees a true Fed pivot coming into play. In the second part of this extended show, we’ll dive deep into what Jared is specifically trading, how he’s positioning, and how to protect yourself in 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is the Bear Market Back to Bite Us Again?
Stocks extended yesterday’s slide after lower-than-expected U.S. weekly jobless claims this morning suggested a still-resilient labor market. Meanwhile, December housing starts slowed less than forecasted, tech layoffs continue, and earnings reports suggest that the Fed’s rate hikes are beginning to manifest a recession. Tom Thornton, the founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, joins Maggie Lake to make sense of the market action and share how he’s positioning his portfolio as earnings season picks up. Plus, we’ll hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on why the U.S. breaching its $31.4 trillion debt ceiling could impact equity investors. You can watch Andreas’ new series, Steno’s Signals, right here: https://rvtv.io/3QUIoof Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

BoJ Sends a Message to the Markets
U.S. equities gave back this week’s gains as investors try to parse producer-side deflation, the probability of recession, and the Bank of Japan’s decision to leave its yield curve control policy unchanged. The BoJ on Wednesday maintained its ultra-low interest rates, which sent the yen lower and led to interesting action in Japanese government bonds. Global markets contributor Weston Nakamura joins Andreas Steno Larsen to discuss what this BoJ news means from various asset classes, how the action is trickling into U.S. markets, and key takeaways from this morning’s PPI release. Plus, we’ll hear from Ruchir Sharma, founder and CIO of Breakout Capital, on why he is a little confused about where Japan sits in his EM portfolio. You can check out that entire interview right here: https://rvtv.io/3ZJ8YEX Check out Weston’s Twitter Spaces on the BOJ Here: twitter.com/i/spaces/1BdGYyNpYAyGX Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The State of Play for Commodities
U.S. equities began the week choppy as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley both reported steep profit losses in Q4 2022. Banks see a recession coming, but does the rest of the market agree? Ash Bennington sits down with Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and editor of the Morning Navigator, to hear what moves he’s watching in energy and commodities and how he feels about the broader rally in stocks. We’ll also hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on why he prefers precious metals over energy right now. You can watch Andreas’ new series, Steno’s Signals, right here: https://rvtv.io/3iuIO8j. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

5 Questions, 3 Guests: Joseph Wang, Andy Constan, and James Helliwell
What’s the trajectory of inflation in 2023? How about the likelihood of a severe recession? There’s no shortage of uncertainty as we look past the holidays, but Joseph Wang, Andy Constan, and James Helliwell have some thoughts on what’s to come. Don’t miss this discussion of how to navigate the markets in 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

5 Questions, 2 Guests: Felix Zulauf and Cullen Roche
Are investors prepared to weather the storm that’s brewing for global markets? Welcome to the latest edition of V Questions, where expert guests answer 5 questions in 1 take with zero preparation. On today’s show, Felix Zulauf and Cullen Roche share their thoughts on the trajectory of inflation in 2023, the likelihood of a severe recession, and why patience will be key for anyone trying to navigate the markets in 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

From Hurricane to Mild recession, What Changed?
Earnings season for Q4 2022 kicked off today with both Bank of America and JPMorgan warning of a “mild recession” coming later this year. That’s a long way from the early-2023 crash that many analysts predicted not long ago. So, what changed? Real Vision co-founder and CEO Raoul Pal joins Andreas Steno Larsen for a special two-part edition of the Daily Briefing. Raoul and Andreas will discuss the evolving global macro landscape and the market’s response to new inflation data. In the second part of the show, we’ll dive deep into Raoul’s 2023 outlook and how he’s positioning himself. That part will be available only to Real Vision members, and you’re not going to want to miss it. If you’re not yet a member, you can start a 7-day trial for $1 and see what you think. Sign up here: https://www.realvision.com/discount10 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Is the Market Mispricing the Fed?
The pace of U.S. inflation slowed again in December as overall consumer prices fell by 0.1% month-over-month, according to the latest CPI report. Stocks ticked higher as a result, and the market is now pricing in a 25-basis point interest rate hike from the Fed next month. On today’s show, Maggie Lake is joined by Dr. Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, to hear why he believes the market is getting ahead of itself with this latest rally and why the Fed has lost credibility. We’ll also hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on why he prefers precious metals over energy as China reopens. You can check out Andreas’ new series, Steno’s Signals, right here: https://rvtv.io/3iuIO8j Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Inflation and China Take Center Stage
Stocks are inching higher as we await tomorrow’s December CPI release, with tech leading the way as the Nasdaq Composite puts in a fourth straight green day. China-related equities and commodities are also rallying on optimism about China’s reopening. On today’s show, Andreas Steno Larsen is joined by Harry Melandri of MI2 Partners to discuss the state of markets, what China’s reopening means for the global economy, and preview tomorrow’s inflation data. You’ll also get a sneak peek at our newest series, Looking For the Upside, where we focus on a new investment theme and examine why right now may be the time to invest. Check out the new series here: https://rvtv.io/nuclearupside Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices