New Thinking for a New World - a Tallberg Foundation Podcast

The Middle East is a tinderbox, with conflicts across Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Iran, and Israel, any of which could spark a larger war. Yemen, where Iranian-backed Houthis control much of the population and are attacking Red Sea shipping and Israel, is a key flashpoint. Our guest, Allison Minor, a Middle East expert at the Brookings Institution, discusses how these tensions could escalate into a broader regional conflict and whether a general war can be avoided.

War in Ukraine, conflicts in Gaza, and tensions in the South China Sea and Taiwan—global tensions are rising. Are we on the brink of a new era of great power conflicts? Philip Zelikow, an American diplomat and scholar with decades of experience, delves into these pressing issues. He discusses the potential for a new kind of global conflict, reminiscent of the hot and cold wars of the 20th century, and the shifting dynamics between China, Russia, the United States, and their allies.

Many countries create ways to seal their borders from migrants or force them to leave. However, Europe funding countries like Tunisia, Morocco, and Mauritania to dump refugees in the Sahara is newsworthy. On paper, European deals with North African countries to stop migrants seem humane, but are they? How are the funds used, and how are refugees treated? May Bulman and a collaboration of journalists led by Lighthouse Reports published their findings under the headline "Desert Dump."

Politics in Mexico is fiercely competitive and violent. Last month’s elections saw Claudia Sheinbaum become the first female president with record votes, while her Morena party achieved significant victories. However, over 100 political assassinations and various acts of violence by drug cartels marred the campaign. This political violence is spreading across Latin America. Can the cartels be stopped? Is Mexico becoming a narco-state? Chris Dalby, an expert on cartel violence and founder of World of Crime, explores the cartels’ objectives and methods.

France's President Macron's decision to hold elections this year resulted in a major shift: Marine Le Pen’s National Rally won over 33%, the leftist New Popular Front got 28%, and Macron's party came in third with 22%. With speculation that the RN might win a majority in the July 7th runoff, French politics is now highly unpredictable. Fear of the populist far-right defines French politics. Alice Barbe, a leftist political and social activist, shares her concerns and expectations for the second round and beyond.

The Arctic is warming nearly four times faster than the rest of the planet, serving as a critical climate indicator. The 2023 Arctic Report Card documented the hottest summer in centuries, with severe impacts like wildfires, ice melt, and high sea temperatures, trends continuing in 2024. Are we locked into continuous warming? Are there tipping points? Can we act now? Despite bleak prospects, large-scale adaptation initiatives in the Arctic and Antarctica are essential. Tero Mustonen, a Finnish environmental leader, scientist, fisherman and Tällberg-SNF-Eliasson Global Leadership Prize recipient, is dedicated to these efforts. Fresh from the Arctic, he provides a rare firsthand account.

India's recent elections saw 640 million voters and a mixed outcome. Prime Minister Modi's BJP won a third term but lost its majority, needing coalition partners. Meanwhile, the political opposition, led by Rahul Gandhi, gained strength. Did Modi win or lose? Did voters reject his Hindu nationalism? What was this election really about? It’s India, so definitive answers are elusive. But our guest today on New Thinking for a New World, can surely point us in the right direction. Vishakha Desai is a widely respected Asian scholar focused on art, culture, policy, and women's rights. Listen as she unpacks the election and its consequences — and then tell us what you think.

The past eight months in the Middle East have been marked by significant turmoil, including the horror of October 7th, ongoing violence in Gaza, civilian casualties across the region, and rising tensions between Iran and Israel. Amidst this chaos, American diplomats are pursuing a bold diplomatic solution: a three-way agreement where the U.S. provides a defense guarantee for Saudi Arabia, which would sign a peace treaty with Israel, leading to the end of the Gaza war and a commitment to the two-state solution. This episode of New Thinking for a New World features Neil Quilliam, a British expert on Saudi Arabia, discussing the potential and challenges of this ambitious plan.

In today's world, facts are everywhere, but instead of fostering informed discussions, many people push their own "facts." Technology, like the broom in Goethe’s Sorcerer’s Apprentice, has run amok. Wouldn't it be better if open-source information and smart tech clarified issues instead of complicating them? Fortunately, people like Eliot Higgins, founder of Bellingcat, are working to achieve this. Listen to this episode of New Thinking for a New World as Higgins discusses how Bellingcat separates fact from fiction through online open-source investigation.

The conflict between Hamas and Israel, which began with Hamas terrorists' actions, has escalated into a wider war involving various factions and nations. Journalist Armin Rosen discusses the ongoing conflict's impact on the Middle East's political landscape, including questions about security, statehood for Palestinians, and the potential for broader regional conflict.

In an age marked by widespread migration, millions face displacement due to conflict, natural disasters, and insecurity, with children bearing a particularly heavy burden, often losing access to vital services like education and healthcare. In this episode of New Thinking for a New World, experts Pashtana Durrani, Lala Lovera, and Caroline Kronley delve into innovative solutions. Through their experiences with educational initiatives amidst crisis, they shed light on how quality education can still be provided even in the most challenging contexts.

Join past Tällberg-SNF-Eliasson Global Leadership Prize winners, neuroscientist Rafa Yuste and human rights lawyer Jared Genser, as they delve into the essence of what makes us human—our brains. In this Spotlight episode, they share their journey of advocating for neuro rights through the NeuroRights Foundation, celebrating milestones in the U.S. states of Colorado, California, Minnesota, and countries like Chile and Brazil. Tune in to understand the critical importance of protecting our neurological identity and the progress of their global campaign.

Andrew Bastawrous, a dedicated ophthalmologist, initially focused on treating patients across Africa but recognized the limitations of traditional approaches. Realizing many individuals lacked access to care, he revolutionized ophthalmology by redesigning the delivery system and integrating technology. His Peek Vision software and data platform have since empowered millions to overcome vision impairment. Dr. Bastawrous, recipient of the 2023 Tällberg-SNF-Eliasson Global Leadership Prize, discusses the transformative power of innovative thinking in eye care. You can see the interview here: https://youtu.be/1OZQRQX81_g The podcast was published on 2024-02-22.

In the wake of the violent October 7 events and the subsequent Israeli response in Gaza, the region faces a dire humanitarian crisis. Despite the bleak history of peace efforts, former Egyptian Foreign Minister Nabil Fahmy discusses the urgent need for renewed attempts to achieve lasting peace and prosperity for both Palestinians and Israelis. Join him as he explores potential paths to a peaceful future beyond the cycle of violence.

Recent ISIS-K attacks in Moscow have brought Afghanistan's terrorism issues to the forefront. Amidst this, Pashtana Durrani, an Afghan leader working from exile, is making strides in education with her organization, Learn, which focuses on empowering women and girls in Afghanistan. Her efforts are a beacon of hope and a potential counter to extremism. Her book, "Last to Eat, Last to Learn," shares her inspiring journey.

Philosopher George Santayana's words from a century ago still resonate today amidst a world plagued by political and civil conflict. ACLED founder Clionadh Raleigh, a leading expert in political violence, sheds light on the reality of global conflict, exploring its various forms and devastating consequences for civilians. Join us as we delve into the disappearance of the "peace dividend," challenge optimistic narratives of progress, and confront the harsh truths of our contemporary world. Listen in to gain insight into the nature and scope of violent global civil conflict.

In a world of political turbulence, mass migration is once again in the spotlight. While fear-mongering politicians capitalize on the issue, Andrew Selee, President of the Migration Policy Institute, advocates for a rational, fact-based approach. Join him for a discussion on pragmatic migration policies that benefit both destination countries and migrants.

Amid Ukraine's prolonged conflict, George Beebe from the Quincy Institute discusses the realities and risks. He argues that while Western support can prevent Ukrainian defeat, a negotiation path is crucial. Beebe, alongside Anatol Lieven, advocates diplomacy in their analysis "The Diplomatic Path to a Secure Ukraine." Should the US prioritize pushing Ukraine towards negotiations? Tune in to hear Beebe's insights on this pressing issue. You can read the article 'Give Peace a Chance,' which is based on the podcast, here: https://tallbergfoundation.org/articles/give-peace-a-chance/"

Join guest host Michael Niconchuk as he delves into the global rise of violent extremism, its underlying causes, and the potential for rehabilitating those involved in it. In this enlightening podcast episode, Michael engages in a discussion with experts Juncal Fernandez-Garayzabal and Noah Tucker. Together, they tackle crucial questions: What drives individuals to engage in violent extremism, and is it possible for them to disengage? Is there a viable path to help former extremists reintegrate into society, fostering healthy, socially positive, and empowered citizenship? Can we envision individuals with such a history living in our neighborhoods and leading productive, peaceful lives? Explore these urgent issues for a comprehensive understanding of the topic. This episode was originally published on Oct 26, 2023

Amid Ukraine's prolonged conflict, George Beebe from the Quincy Institute discusses the realities and risks. He argues that while Western support can prevent Ukrainian defeat, a negotiation path is crucial. Beebe, alongside Anatol Lieven, advocates diplomacy in their analysis "The Diplomatic Path to a Secure Ukraine." Should the US prioritize pushing Ukraine towards negotiations? Tune in to hear Beebe's insights on this pressing issue. "You can read the article 'Give Peace a Chance,' which is based on the podcast, here: https://tallbergfoundation.org/articles/give-peace-a-chance/"

Andrew Bastawrous, a dedicated ophthalmologist, initially focused on treating patients across Africa but recognized the limitations of traditional approaches. Realizing many individuals lacked access to care, he revolutionized ophthalmology by redesigning the delivery system and integrating technology. His Peek Vision software and data platform have since empowered millions to overcome vision impairment. Dr. Bastawrous, recipient of the 2023 Tällberg-SNF-Eliasson Global Leadership Prize, discusses the transformative power of innovative thinking in eye care. You can see the interview here: https://youtu.be/1OZQRQX81_g

Winners of the Tällberg-SNF-Eliasson Global Leadership Prize share a common approach: they view societal challenges as opportunities, prioritize outcomes over processes, and disregard conventional wisdom. They strive to shape the world into what it could and should be. Meg Lowman, a 2023 recipient, exemplifies this ethos through her global forest conservation efforts, crucial for addressing climate change. Tune in to the special episode of New Thinking for a New World to learn more and get inspired to climb a tree!

We’re at a unique point in history, having experienced 70 years of prosperity and peace. However, we now face challenges like climate change, technology disruption, and conflict. But there’s hope: human agency can change our course. In this thought piece for New Thinking for a New World, Alan Stoga, Chairman of the Tällberg Foundation, shares how the foundation supports global leadership through two initiatives: the Tällberg-SNF-Eliasson Global Leadership Prize and the Tällberg Leaders Mentoring Leaders program. These initiatives aim to foster the kind of leadership needed to navigate these challenges.

Explore the intricacies of end-of-life care and perspectives on death in this episode of "New Thinking for a New World." Dr. Christian Ntizimira, founder of the African Center for Research on End-of-Life Care, delves into the social, psychological, cultural, and spiritual aspects shaping the final days. Join us for a thought-provoking discussion that may reshape your views on the inevitable.

Delving into the critical challenges within the U.S. education system, this podcast explores alarming statistics, such as low math scores and college readiness gaps. The episode features Shawn Benjamin, principal of a successful Bay area charter school since 2007, where her team has achieved student successes. Join us as we unravel the complexities of cultural, political, and resource-related factors influencing student preparedness, striving to understand and improve the education our children receive. Listen for insights from Shawn Benjamin on fostering success in a system fraught with challenges.

In this podcast, European politicians' rhetoric on law, justice, dignity, and freedom is examined amid migration concerns. The gap between words and actions prioritizes deterring migrants, leading to discussions on border control and pushbacks. This pattern extends globally, with the issue influencing upcoming elections in Europe and the U.S. The episode explores balancing political interests and legal obligations in the treatment of migrants. Renowned migration expert Sergio Carrera critiques European policies, urging reflection on a more welcoming approach.

In 2024, over 50 countries, including seven of the world's most populous nations, will hold crucial national elections, shaping the trajectory of global democracy. The podcast delves into the challenges democracy faces from both the radical right and left, questioning the persistence of "strong man" leaders and the threat of extreme partisanship. While not among the nations holding elections this year, Chile's recent experience with constitutional reform provides valuable insights into the struggles faced by democracies worldwide. Isabel Aninat, a Chilean jurist deeply involved in the quest for a new constitution, shares reflections on the implications of her country's journey towards a more perfect democracy in this concise exploration for New Thinking for a New World.

In this episode of New Thinking for a New World, we delve into the profound challenges facing the United States: extreme partisanship, ongoing legal troubles for a former president, eroding trust in institutions, and a pervasive sense of unhappiness despite strong economic conditions. Our guest, Swedish historian Lars Trägårdh, offers a unique perspective as an inside outsider who has observed America's social contract over decades, shedding light on the American dream's transformation into a potential nightmare. Join us for a deep exploration of America's social and political landscape. This episode was originally published on Oct 26, 2023

How can liberal democracies deal with the threat of intolerant extremists? Elisabeth Braw, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, draws on the insights of philosopher Karl Popper, who witnessed the rise of Nazism in Europe. She discusses the case of Sweden, where Koran burnings have sparked violent reactions, and the dilemma of protecting free speech while preventing hate crimes. Listen to this episode of New Thinking for a New World to learn more about the risks and challenges of being too tolerant. Link to article in the Financial Times that is referred to in the podcast (the article is behind a paywall) https://www.ft.com/content/0ac9e1a9-2aad-47d9-83fb-4839e9b31b33 This episode was originally published on Aug 24, 2023

The Arctic is warming at an alarming rate, posing severe threats to the planet. The recent Arctic Report Card by NOAA paints a grim picture, but there's still hope for change. Scientist and community leader Tero Mustonen discusses the urgent need to rewild the Far North to counteract climate change. Hear about the challenges, solutions, and the global impact. Can we slow climate change in our lifetime? Tune in to find out.

Argentina faces economic turmoil with a soaring inflation rate, widespread poverty, and a devalued currency. Despite its challenges, the country possesses educated citizens, a thriving tech sector, and valuable agricultural exports. In a bold move, voters elected an anarcho-capitalist president, Javier Milei, promising drastic government spending cuts. Economist Eduardo Amadeo, optimistic about the change, discusses Argentina's potential for recovery in this episode of New Thinking for a New World. Can Milei's unconventional approach lead the country out of its predicament? Listen and share your thoughts on Argentina's prospects for change.

"Ukraine's 2023: From New Year's Optimism to Ongoing Struggle" Despite President Zelensky's hopeful New Year's message, the Ukrainian conflict has evolved into a protracted war of attrition. As the much-anticipated summer offensive appears to have faltered, questions loom: What's next? Is negotiation or dramatic escalation the path forward? In this episode of New Thinking for New World, Ukrainian journalist Svitlana Morenets, author of the insightful article "Zelensky Must Be Honest About the State of the War," delves into the harsh realities. Join the conversation on the sacrifices needed for peace and the uncertain future.

Russia is a puzzle that many in the West thought they had solved after the Cold War. But President Putin proved them wrong by strengthening his grip on power, challenging the global order, and invading Ukraine. How can the US cope with this Great Pariah and Great Enigma? Getting Russia Right is a book by Thomas Graham, a leading Russian expert who has spent much of the last 40 years trying to understand Russia. His book is an important contribution to thinking about how to cope with Russia today as well as tomorrow.

Many people are unhappy with democracy because they lack access to justice and cannot solve their legal problems. How can we fix this? Allyson Maynard-Gibson, barrister and former attorney general and minister for legal affairs of the Bahamas, argues that we need people-centered justice that goes beyond the traditional institutions. Listen to her talk about a new way of making justice work for everyone.

Join guest host Michael Niconchuk as he delves into the global rise of violent extremism, its underlying causes, and the potential for rehabilitating those involved in it. In this enlightening podcast episode, Michael engages in a discussion with experts Juncal Fernandez-Garayzabal and Noah Tucker. Together, they tackle crucial questions: What drives individuals to engage in violent extremism, and is it possible for them to disengage? Is there a viable path to help former extremists reintegrate into society, fostering healthy, socially positive, and empowered citizenship? Can we envision individuals with such a history living in our neighborhoods and leading productive, peaceful lives? Explore these urgent issues for a comprehensive understanding of the topic.

The war between Israel and Hamas is a classic “lose/lose” proposition: there can be no winners, with a range of outcomes that stretch from bad towards disastrous. Is this just one more awful conflict in a region whose history is pockmarked by war, violence and hate? Or is there a chance that this bloodletting—as brutal and awful as it has already been—could eventually create a different dynamic? That’s the glimmer of hope in this Tällberg SPOTLIGHT piece by Alan Stoga, geopolitical observer and chairman of the Tällberg Foundation. From time to time we intend to present solo views designed to encourage your engagement. Tell us what you think.

The COVID pandemic was a global crisis that required a global solution. But instead of acting together, many rich countries chose to protect themselves first, leaving millions of people to suffer and die. This was a huge ethical failure that showed how divided and selfish the world is. Dr. Ruth Faden is an expert on ethics and justice who tried to promote a more fair and cooperative response to the pandemic. She will share her insights on why ethics failed during COVID and how we can do better in the future.

In this episode of New Thinking for a New World, we delve into the profound challenges facing the United States: extreme partisanship, ongoing legal troubles for a former president, eroding trust in institutions, and a pervasive sense of unhappiness despite strong economic conditions. Our guest, Swedish historian Lars Trägårdh, offers a unique perspective as an inside outsider who has observed America's social contract over decades, shedding light on the American dream's transformation into a potential nightmare. Join us for a deep exploration of America's social and political landscape.

From ancient battles to modern climate challenges, explore how Luke Iseman and Andrew Song, pioneers in solar radiation management, are taking action to cool our warming planet amidst the escalating threat of extreme weather and natural disasters driven by greenhouse gas-induced heat. Delve into their bold and controversial mission to reduce solar radiation and provide much-needed 'shade' for our overheating Earth.

Ambassador Ashok Mirpuri, who recently concluded an exceptional 12-year term as Singapore's ambassador to the United States, retired from diplomatic service this summer. In this episode, he reflects on the evolving role of diplomats in the 21st century. Despite the challenges of modern technology, diplomats like Mirpuri are tasked with the complex role of interpreting and conveying the realities and dynamics of their host country to their own leaders. In his case, this involved navigating the presidencies of Obama, Trump, and Biden to make sense of America's implications for Singapore. Tune in to gain insights into the diplomatic world and consider whether diplomats still have a vital role in today's society.

How can liberal democracies deal with the threat of intolerant extremists? Elisabeth Braw, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, draws on the insights of philosopher Karl Popper, who witnessed the rise of Nazism in Europe. She discusses the case of Sweden, where Koran burnings have sparked violent reactions, and the dilemma of protecting free speech while preventing hate crimes. Listen to this episode of New Thinking for a New World to learn more about the risks and challenges of being too tolerant. Link to article in the Financial Times that is referred to in the podcast (the article is behind a paywall) https://www.ft.com/content/0ac9e1a9-2aad-47d9-83fb-4839e9b31b33

India had the world's largest economy until the 17th century but suffered almost 500 years of decline afterward. However, India is currently the world's most populous nation with one of the largest economies, growing faster this year than any other major country. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has brought stability to India, making the country economically and geopolitically resurgent. Critics worry that Modi's democracy is too autocratic and inward-looking, rooted in Hindu nationalism. India's future is uncertain as centrifugal forces of religion, inequality, and nationalism could overwhelm the current growth. Will India continue to evolve and become a global power? Milan Vaishnav is a senior fellow and director of the South Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington and an accomplished India watcher. He shared some answers in this episode of the New Thinking for a New World podcast. This podcast was first published on May 18, 2023

Shahidul Alam is many things: world-class photographer, Bangladeshi human rights activist, teacher, and author. He is also a provocateur, whose words and pictures force one—sometimes gently, sometimes less so—to confront reality. Alam is also part of the Tällberg Foundation's Global Leadership Network. In that capacity, he recently delivered a short provocation reflecting on the realities of democracy and the challenges of freedom. This is not the usual New Thinking for a New World conversation, but we think you'll find it worth a listen.

In this episode, Paula DiPerna, a policy expert and author, discusses her new book "Pricing the Priceless," which proposes a solution to the damaging cycle of overconsumption and pollution. She argues that we should pay for the environmental services we consume daily to protect our planet and prosper. Join host Alan Stoga for this thought-provoking discussion on solving the climate crisis and valuing our most precious assets.

Join former acting U.S. Attorney Joon Kim on this week’s New Thinking for a New World podcast as he delves into the unprecedented legal challenges surrounding Donald Trump. With multiple indictments and trials, including a potential trial while running for re-election, discover the complexities of balancing free speech rights and courtroom discipline. Explore the consequences of a conviction, including the possibility of imprisonment and taking office. Unravel the legal and judicial aspects of Trump's situation with an experienced prosecutor and litigator.

Earth, often referred to as "Water" due to its 70% ocean coverage, is profoundly impacted by climate issues. These include rising temperatures, sea levels, declining biodiversity, and acidification caused by greenhouse gas accumulation. Marine biologist Asha de Vos, renowned for her research on blue whales, founded Oceanswell in Sri Lanka, the country's first marine conservation research and education organization. In recognition of her remarkable contributions, Asha received the Tällberg-SNF-Eliasson Global Leadership Prize in 2021. Recently, she discussed her work in Sri Lanka on New Thinking for a New World with host Alan Stoga.

In a recent surprising turn of events, Yevgeny Prigozhin, the leader of paramilitary group Wagner Group, shifted his focus from Ukraine to challenging the Russian army and possibly Vladimir Putin himself. Wagner's forces briefly seized Russian territory and made a rapid advance towards Moscow before reaching a sudden halt and accepting a negotiated deal. The consequences of this insurrection remain uncertain, but it could have implications for the war in Ukraine, Russia's alliances, and most notably, Putin's future. Yevgenia Albats, a prominent journalist in exile from Russia, believes that Prigozhin's days may be numbered. Could this be the beginning of the end for the Russian dictator? “When you strike at a king, you must kill him” ― Ralph Waldo Emerson

OpenAI's ChatGPT has sparked a new era in human-machine interaction. From medicine to creative works, AI's abilities seem boundless. However, concerns about AI's power and the need for regulation are growing. Can AI be effectively regulated? Who decides what's good or bad? Join Rebecca Finlay, CEO of the Partnership on AI, and host Alan Stoga as they explore these pressing questions in a New Thinking for a New World podcast.

Russia's invasion of Ukraine has significant implications for the future. Georgia, another former Soviet country, shares similar challenges. Will Georgia become another conflict zone or secure its future as a Western democracy? Nino Evgenidze, the executive director of the Economic Policy Research Center in Tbilisi, discusses this with host Alan Stoga on New Thinking for a New World.

Join us as we revisit our conversation with Johan Rockström, renowned earth scientist and Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. A year ago, he shed light on the gravity of our situation, stating that "for the first time in human history, we face a planetary emergency." Astonishingly, this remains an urgent reality even today. Recently, an article titled "Safe and just Earth system boundaries" was published in Nature on May 31, providing further insights. For the first time, scientists have meticulously evaluated and quantified not only the boundaries within which humanity can safely operate, but also those that ensure fairness and justice for all. In an era where scientists often present their findings in a measured and objective manner, Rockström's assertion that "Human pressures on earth have reached dangerously high levels" carries immense weight and demands our attention. Tune in to our podcast episode and listen to the thought-provoking perspectives of Johan Rockström, as we delve deeper into the critical issues surrounding the survival of our species. Are you listening? If so, what do you think? And, more importantly, what are you going to do? This podcast was first published on June 23, 2022.