The Real Investment Show Podcast

(11/11/22) It's Veterans Day, and we're on a brief hiatus. Here's a segment from a recent Financial Fitness Friday Episode as Rich & Danny ponder the question of life, and what's likely in the post-midterm season. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MidTermElection #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/10/22) Markets sold off following 'meh' midterm results, and Binance pulled out of a FTX-bailout. Despite a disappointing 10-yr Treasury auction, the bond market saw a bit of a boost from the FTX-Binance fallout; who's looking for Q4 GDP = 4%? Will Sam Bankman-Fried go from Billionaire to Inmate over the FTX fiasco? FTX is why we have the SEC; Crypto will eventually be regulated by the government. Who takes the hit from the FTX fail, and whatever happened to investor due diligence? (Could blockchain solve election polling woes?) CPI expectations vs reality [NOTE: October CPI clocked-in at a cooler-than-expected 7.7%] The Fed will keep hiking rates until they break something. Pressure from news events will slacken as holidays approach; more are considering skipping the holidays because of inflation; as Tech layoffs continue, the economy is rapidly slowing. There's lots of manipulation in the CPI numbers, which are, in fact, lagging indicators. The saga of Peloton and co-founder John Foley's new "Ernesta" venture of customized designer rugs. SEG-1: Meh Midterms, Binance Backs-off SEG-2: The FTX-Binance Financial Fizzle SEG-3: Who Takes the Hit from the FTX Fail? SEG-4: The Flaw in the CPI & John Foley's "Ernesto" Rugs Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y2RN6IJVzwM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Did FTX-Binance Bust Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vbnUsWnT53E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "How to Lose a Billion Dollars in Crypto" youtube.com/watch?v=JtOCMd2ywu4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Cryptocurrency #CPI #Inflation #FTXBinance #Peloton #JohnFoley #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/10/22) [NOTE: This segment recorded before CPI for October was reported at 7.7% YOY, and down from September's 8.2%] Markets sold off more than 2% following a"meh" midterm outcome, breaking through the 50- and 20-DMA, holding on somewhat tenuously. It's important that markets rally above those levels today, otherwise there'll be a retest of lows seen back in June of this year. The MACD sell-signal is close to flipping, suggesting markets will try to move lower, short-term. If today's CPI comes out better (lower)-than-expected (it did), stocks could rally higher, staving off that sell signal. Where we close this week will dictate the markets' next move. The implosion of the FTX-Binance deal roiled markets yesterday, with many high-dollar and high-profile investors sucked into the vortex. Part of yesterday's activity was due to margin calls and selling assets to cover those calls. Also on Wednesday, a terrible 10-year Treasury auction: No one wants 'em. All of today's action will be focused on this morning's CPI Report. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vbnUsWnT53E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FTXBinance #CPI #Inflation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #MidTermElections #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/9/22) The election is past; time to move on: Why Markets can now be optimistic. Stocks tend to perform well in the 12-months following a midterm election. With stock buybacks, Thanksgiving, and end of year maneuvering, markets will see uptick in activity., but it's going to be sloppy. Disney streaming disappoints: Too much competition, not enough good content. The Crypto-crash of FTX; Sam Bankman-Fried fries his fortune, losing 94% of net worth. The problem with crypto currency is extreme volatility. 17% of Americans say they're spending less for the holidays. Having brisket for Thanksgiving. What happened to the economy in August-September? This Recession vs 2012: Tech is down, industrials & manufacturing keeping the economy afloat, but cracks in that foundation are appearing. Impact of Fed rate hikes are still to come; look at staples vs discretionary. Markets Futures & Election Outcomes: essentially gridlock in Congress. No new spending, but the government will continue with Continuing Resolutions, heaping debt upon debt. Why government spending "that pays for itself" never does; why the CBO is wrong. SEG-1: Why markets Can Be Optimistic SEG-2: How to Lose a Billion Dollars SEG-3: More are Spending Less for the Holidays SEG-4: Why the CBO is Never Right Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: youtube.com/watch?v=JtOCMd2ywu4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Will We Get Gridlock? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0GEhFE6-ExY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Election Day & Powerball Delay" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iC-4A-5PNiE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2985s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MidTermElections #Cryptocurrency #CongressionalGridlock #StockBuyBacks #HolidaySpending #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/9/22) Midterm elections are behind us, and all that's left to determine is who will control the House and the Senate, and will we get a gridlocked congress, which tends to be better for markets. Historically, post-midterm election markets tend to rally into the year-end. Meanwhile, the bottoms built in September and October have resulted in a rally, albeit not a strong one. The buy-signal on the MACD has performed as expected. Stocks yesterday got above the 50_DMA; markets will have to hold that today, and the next challenge will be tops set previously, just ahead of the FOMC meeting, where the 100-DMA resides also. Looking ahead, expect a bit of a uptick as Thanksgiving draws ear, and then in the first weeks of December, a bit of a softening should occur as mutual funds make their distributions, and then at the end of the year, stocks may do better as mutual funds put their positions back together to close out the year. Stok buyback will continue through the end of the year, as well, providing additional activity supportive of a rally. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0GEhFE6-ExY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MidTermElections #CongressionalGridlock #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/8/22) It's Mid-term Election Day, and all working American's must return to their jobs, as no one has won the Powerball Lottery. Yet. An overnight delay of the results has further stalled the outcome. Midterm election outcomes will determine the direction markets make into the end of the year. Mattress Mac MacInvale's Big Bet and Caesar's takes a hit; figuring the odds. Why "investing" in the market really is a gamble; betting on Brent vs Usain Bolt. NFIB Confidence Survey & looking at the economy through the lense of small businesses; why organic inflation is healthy; what happened in economy August-September 2022? Impact of Fed rate hikes this year are still to come in 2023. What are we voting for? Sending representatives without any real direction; economics are detached from politics. There really is no Middle Class any longer; every economy will always have the poor...and the rich. What happens when Brent wins the lottery. SEG-1: Election Day & Powerball Delay SEG-2: Mattress Mac's Big Bet vs Investing on Wall Street SEG-3: Looking at the Economy Through the Lense of Small Businesses SEG-4: Kitchen Table Economics and What We're Really Voting For Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iC-4A-5PNiE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2680s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Markets Focus on Midterm Outcomes" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=76R4LVpVx7U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=8s -------- Our previous show is here: "It's Midterm Election Eve" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hKlmelhn40&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2677s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "There Really Is No Middle Class Any Longer" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/there-really-is-no-middle-class-any-longer/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Powerball #MidTermElections #FederalReserve #HawkishFed #CPIreport #MattressMac #HoustonAstros #NFIBSurvey #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/8/22) Markets rallied Monday, coming off critical support at the 20-DMA following Fed Chair Powell's hawkish comments last week. A new CPI print will be released On Thursday, and if it's hotter than expected, that could weigh on stock prices as the Fed is encouraged to hike interest rates further. Markets' focus today, however, it the outcome of the Midterm elections, and what Wall Street would like to see is Congressional Gridlock. Markets achieved a close just above the 50-DMA on optimism Republicans might re-take at least one house of congress today. Additional factors could lift stocks as the end of the year approaches, including stock buyback activity and portfolio rebalancing by managers looking for a good finish to 2022. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=76R4LVpVx7U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=8s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MidTermElections #CongressionalGridlock #CPIreport #20DMA #50DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/7/22) It's Mid-term Election Eve (fixing the clocks for CST). Markets' response to hawkish Fed statements by testing resistance at 50-DMA today. All bets are off until after the midterm elections; re-testing of markets lows are coming; why businesses' tapping of credit lines are not a good omen. What shook the markets: Headline data vs underlying details; household surveys vs government reports (lagging indicators). Economic weaknesses will eventually show up on the surface. Markets want a Fed pivot; what will cause the turn? The Fed says it can fix it. Precursors to conditions sufficient to flip the Fed include credit spreads in Bonds = stress in credit markets, and Yield Curves, 60% of which are now inverted = economic stress. Recessions are historically not well-predicted; everyone is calling for one now. "Economists have predicted 9 of the last 3 recessions." Pre-election commentary: "The heart of democracy is at stake..." except, we're a Republic, not a Democracy. It's not fundamentals that matter now; it's "what's the Fed going to do?" Markets tend to perform well in the 12-months following mid-term elections. SEG-1: Markets' Response to a Hawkish Fed SEG-2: Headline Economic Data vs Underlying Details SEG-3: What Will Cause the Fed to Pivot? SEG-4: Pre-election market commentary Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hKlmelhn40&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2677s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "What Will Drive Markets Next?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NiD1TFYkAn8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=4s -------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed Really Doesn't Know What It's Doing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fAHVpug7w7s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2680s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As "Sugar Rush" Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #MidTermElections #HawkishFed #CPIreport #LaggingIndicators #CreditStress #YieldCurve #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/7/22) Markets rebounded on Friday, and are set to open higher this morning, ahead of The Big Elections tomorrow. The 20-DMA is now confirmed-support, and markets today will retest resistance at the 50-DMA. Markets are trapped between these two, narrow boundaries. A breakout in one direction of the other will likely dictate the next leg of the markets' move. The election outcomes and next week's CPI report, for better or worse, are likely to be the market movers later this week. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NiD1TFYkAn8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MidTermElections #CPIreport #20DMA #50DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/4/22) The souring economy is causing corporations to take pause, cutting staff and dealing with increased cost of debt, thanks to interest rate hikes. We've been here before; it just feels worse now. Halloween recap, Thanksgiving inflation and making menu choices; the change in I-Bond rates: Still a good deal? No new toys for Christmas; do you need a family CFO? Planning ahead for end-of-life. Guidelines for lending money to family and friends: Be willing to lose what you've lent; put it in writing. End of Year checklist; 9 things every retiree should do. SEG-1: Companies Take a Pause SEG-2: Thanksgiving Inflation & Menu Options; I-bond Changes SEG-3: No Bling for Christmas; Do You Need a Family CFO? SEG-4: Guidelines for Lending to Family & Friends Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZX1krBuFkAc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Powell: It's Okay If the Fed Breaks Something" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fAHVpug7w7s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2680s -------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed Really Doesn't Know What It's Doing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fAHVpug7w7s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2680s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As "Sugar Rush" Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Inflation #Thanksgiving #Retirement #FamilyCFO #LendingToFamily #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/3/22) After an initial surge following Wednesday's Fed Meeting, markets took a dive with Fed Chairman Powell's hawkish remarks that inflation has not yet abated, and more rate hikes are to come. The result was The Most Volatile 90-Minutes in Market History; there was nothing good in Powell's comments, and with lots of cash held by managers that needs to be put to work before year's end, tumultuous times are to come. Twitter is set to fire half of its employees on Friday, a consequence of going private and needing to become profitable quickly. Mattress Mack places another bet on the Houston Astros winning the World Series. Jerome Powell holds the line until something breaks, and then he'll "fix" it with the same tools as last time. Looking for new Godzilla movie; Rents is a driver of inflation; Powell has gotten it wrong every time, with CPI and PCE favored metrics; Powell is missing the turn in the data. Remember, the Fed doesn't know what it's doing. Markets are re-calibrating post-rate hike; where are Dollar, VIX, and Bonds going? Numbers to watch: Jobless Claims: How accurate will they be? SEG-1: The Most-Volatile 90-Minutes in Market History SEG-2: Mattress Mac's Astros Bet; Powell Holds the Line SEG-3: New Godzilla Movie; The Fed Doesn't Know What It's Doing SEG-4: Markets Are Re-calibrating: Be Cautious of the Numbers Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Powell: It's Okay If the Fed Breaks Something" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDsASyehyyw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show is here: "Stock Buybacks Don't Really Benefit Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UAEaCOFMvA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As "Sugar Rush" Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InterestRateHike #Inflation #VolatilityIndex #MattressMac #HoustonAstros #WorldSeries #Twitter #ElonMusk #Godzilla #TopGun #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/3/22) The most volatile 90-minutes in market history followed Fed Chair Jerome Powell's anticipated 75-basic point rate hike coupled with hawkish language promising still higher rates to come. And, Powell said it's okay if the Fed breaks something because they have the tools to fix it, going back to quantitative easing and zero interest rates, flooding the markets with liquidity anew. Investors ignored that part, instead focusing on the here and now and future rate hikes to come on the way to a 5% terminal interest rate. Markets broke through support at the 50-DMA, now taking aim at the 20-DMA. If that occurs, there's nothing stopping the markets from retesting the lows we saw in September. Markets, in fact, haven't gone anywhere for the past several months, trapped in a sideways trading range. Moving into the end of the year, there's lots of cash on the books of managers that will have to be put back to work for year-end reporting. Stock buybacks are back in play, as well, and next week's midterm elections are expected to throw congress into legislative gridlock. We're suggesting not to over-react to yesterday's Fed announcement, but also not ignore the fact that markets could still go lower from here. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDsASyehyyw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JeromePowell #TerminalRate #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/2/22) Understanding Gold: Worst performance since 1869; what drives gold? Real Interest Rates. it's the Day of the Fed: What will be said matters more than today's rate decision; how will markets and yield curves respond? Why FAANG Stocks aren't dead. Pro's and Con's of taxing the rich: Why we have stock buybacks, and why they really don't benefit investors. Why gasoline prices are high: Lack of refining capacity, reluctance to invest in new refineries. Why companies cut dividends: Response to tough economic times; why companies with the highest dividend yield = greatest risk. SEG-1: Understanding Gold & Markets SEG-2: The Day of the Fed: What Will Be Said? SEG-3: Who Do Stock Buybacks Really Benefit? SEG-4: Dividends: The Devil's in the Details Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1UAEaCOFMvA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Fed Meeting Today - Another 75-Basis Points?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3h4udxX1Dw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Why 79% of Americans Think Things Are Out of Control" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6w9ko5N7rnQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2743s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As "Sugar Rush" Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #Inflation #DividendStocks #Gold #OilPrices #WindfallProfits #TaxTheRich #FAANGStocks #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/12/22) The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hike interest rates again at today's meeting by 75-basis point. The more important element, however, is what Powell & Co. will have to say about the future pace and scale of rates into 2023. The anticipated goal is a Fed "terminal rate" of 5%, at which point rate increases would cease. For now. Any kind of inclination towards a more doveish outlook should bode well for stocks. Markets yesterday re-tested the 50-DMA, and it's important to hold at that level today as the Fed meeting commences. All outcomes today are dependent upon the Fed's stance and statement this afternoon. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3h4udxX1Dw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #TerminalRate #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/1/22) The Roberts' Halloween Recap; What is the Fed watching for: Inflation and Employment (and their rates of change); the velocity of money is slowing; CEO Confidence is falling; No Powerball Winner; winners usually lose; Markets commentary: Use any rally to raise cash ahead of repricing of earnings; things change: What is the "Cure de Jour" the Fed will use next? Why doesn't the Fed make changes in anticipation of problems to come? 79% of Americans think everything is out of control; people vote with their pocketbook but cannot explain why. economics is not about math; it's about psychology & consumers. Whomever is in office gets the blame. In November, managers want to get assets on the books; BP earnings showing huge profits, thanks to high energy prices. If there are taxes on windfall profits, why aren't there credits for "windfall" losses? Even ESG's require petroleum; the problem of draining the SPR and filling w more expensive oil. 79% look to public sector instead of government to solve problems. SEG-1: Day of the Dead & What the Fed Said SEG-2: Powerball Winners & Losers and the Fed's Cure de Jure SEG-3: Why 79% Think We're Out of Control SEG-4: Why Aren't There "Windfall" Credits for Losses? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6w9ko5N7rnQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2743s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Can Markets' Rally Continue in November?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c5bhByDPu1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Shrinkflation in Halloween Candy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NBWCmn4Z-Oc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As "Sugar Rush" Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #OutOfControl #Inflation #OilPrices #WindfallProfits #Markets #Money #Investing

(11/1/22) Following the best October in the Dow since 1975, investors are wondering whether markets can replicate last month's performance. Futures this morning are pointing higher ahead of this week's Fed meeting in which interest rates are expected to get another 75-bp goosing. The real question, however, is whether the Fed is about to begin tapering the velocity or intensity of its rate hikes. The Fed's "Terminal Rate" is expected to be reached in 2023 at 5%. What we need to see is inflation coming down and unemployment starting to rise to force the Fed to back off; the Fed may get a little more than expected in the way of results. So, we continue to suggest using any rally to raise cash, trim risk, and prepare for tougher times in 2023. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c5bhByDPu1Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #DowIndustrials #FederalReserve #InterestRates #TerminalRate #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/31/22) Market action has been a textbook case of achieving support with no resistance up to 4,100; we're advising selling into the rally and prepare for a negative market trend into the end of the year; The Dow is up 14% for the year; it's the best year of performance since 1938. Watch for the Fed to announce a slowing of its rate hike pace, but not a pivot. Shrinkflation in Halloween candy: Prices are up 30% over last year. Consumer Spending is measured by prices paid, not quantities purchased; a false report. There's no such thing as "excess savings." 60% of consumers now living paycheck-to-paycheck. The concept of taxing the rich by tapping unrealized gains; will they allow the inverse operation: providing loss write-offs for unrealized losses? How to truly measure your portfolio's performance, year-over-year vs longer-term windows of examination. Where is the best place to put money next year? The best-performing sectors for the past two years typically become the worst performers; what are the worst-performing sectors now, before the cycle resets? SEG-1: A Textbook Re-test of Support SEG-2: Halloween Shrinkflation, the Flaw in Consumer Spending Numbers SEG-3: Tricks for Taxing the Rich: Unrealized Gains SEG-4: How to Truly Measure Portfolio Performance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Preparing for the Recession of 2023" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAg5r3PiBso&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Big Cap Companies Getting Spanked on Poor Earnings" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GEGSAOZZEt4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2745s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As "Sugar Rush" Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Halloween #Shrinkflation #DowPerformance #ConsumerSpending #Inflation #PaycheckToPaycheck #TaxingTheRich #UnrealizedGains #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/31/22) Despite the Big Tech Sell-off, the Dow is on track for its best performance since the 1930's, up over 14% heading into today's Halloween session. Markets continue to do technically very well from a bullish perspective. Markets soared above the critical 3,800 level last week, the initial resistance level that would set markets up for a rally. Indeed, the S&P is now positioned to rally up to somewhere between 3,900 and 4,100. Indicators would show there's more room to run for the markets. Any good news from the Fed this week could also get the markets really revving upward. The Fed must reassess its pace of rate hikes, after seeing what they've done to the economy thus far. And if mid-term elections result in congressional grid lock for the next two years, that's yet another catalyst to allow markets to rally up to its next level of resistance at about 4,100. That's also a level at which you're going to want to take profits and trim losers, reduce risk, and raise cash going into 2023 when the recessionary impact of higher rates most certainly will be felt. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eAg5r3PiBso&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #BigTech #DowIndustrials #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/28/22) Crypto is a risk-on trade: Using Ethereum performance as a leading indicator of the crypto-sector; Meta vs Amazon; Exxon surpasses expectations; the process and practice of trimming profits; risk management in a portfolio. What IS the Metaverse? Did Zuckerberg make a mistake? How Student Loan Forgiveness funds will be used; Houston Astros in World Series & Hater-fans; credit card debt is at highest levels in 20-years; assuming existing mortgages at lower rates; why the latest GDP numbers aren't all that great. How can the economy be fixed? How to manage retirement in ten steps. SEG-1: Using Ethereum as a Leading Indicator on Crypto SEG-2: Meta vs Exxon: A Look Under the Hood SEG-3: Sports Fans, Haters, & Economic Survival SEG-4: Why the Latest GDP Isn't as Great As It Sounds Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H-NBIN2-HoQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2712s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Earnings Disappointments Put Market in a Struggle" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=et9eMhVM24g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Big Cap Companies Getting Spanked on Poor Earnings" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GEGSAOZZEt4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2745s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Ten Steps, Ten Years to Retirement" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ten-steps-ten-years-to-retirement/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #GDP #EarningsSeason #Ethereum #Exxon #HoustonAstros #WorldSeries #Meta #MetaVerse #Google #Amazon #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/27/22) As markets wrap up October's business, the generals' earnings reports are not at all encouraging: Meta's was only okay, tempered by Mark Zuckerberg's all-in bet on the future of the Metaverse. Markets did end higher than they started, but there remain two levels of resistance to overcome. The Fed's "Operation Twist" and treasury liquidity; the demand for short-term T-bills is outpacing longer-term instruments; Liquidity matters; there's high risk in the Fed stoking inflation with QE; the imbalance between buys and sellers of bonds; voters will decide elections with their pocketbooks as their guide; there is a growing possibility of Recession by 2023; investors want a quick fix, avoiding any pain; yield curve behaviors & signal as telling us it's coming. The problem with Inflation is it's reflected in lagging numbers; cheating fishermen plead not-guilty; beating up the generals; higher growth companies are more susceptible to high interest rates; SEG-1: Wrapping Up October: The Generals Report SEG-2: The Fed's "Operation Twist" & Treasury Illiquidity SEG-3: Throwing Jerome Powell Under the Bus SEG-4: Cheating Fisherman & Beaten-up Companies Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GEGSAOZZEt4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2745s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Earnings Disappointments Put Market in a Struggle" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=et9eMhVM24g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Why Americans' Savings Rates Have Fallen Off a CLiff" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeA_MleihDU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2704s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "A Balanced Portfolio Promises a Better 2023" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-balanced-portfolio-promises-a-better-2023 "MBS, Convexity Vortex, and a Silver Lining for Bonds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/mbs-convexity-vortex-and-a-silver-lining-for-bonds -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Meta #MetaVerse #Google #Amazon #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/27/22) Meta's disappointing earnings report sets markets up to struggle through today's open; the money side of the business was okay, and Meta's base of users was similarly okay; what worried Wall Street was Mark Zuckerberg's dogged agenda of spending, all-in on the fledgling "metaverse." Investors now wondering where the value is in this company. More earnings disappointments from Google and Microsoft yesterday put markets in a position to have to struggle today to overcome the 50-DMA; Apple and Amazon report tonight, and good news from either company would serve to bolster the mood on The Street. What markets need to do is hold the 3,800 level and rally beyond, which would get us to 4,100, the high point of the year. November brings a reprieve from corporate earnings, but Fed activity and the mid-terms will continue the shape the mood of investors. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=et9eMhVM24g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #Meta #Google #Microsoft #Amazon #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/26/22) October historically marks the markets' low point for the year; we're looking to hold on at 3,800, and "softer" language from the Fed next will help. Microsoft's guidance is a disappointment, and Amazon's AWS will, too. Crypto-alert: this is going nowhere. When markets sell off, how much can be recovered? The US Strategic Cheese Reserve (that's a thing); food inflation hitting Thanksgiving menus hard; why American's savings rates have fallen off a cliff; the ugly truth behind retail sales numbers; why the markets cannot outgrow the economy, which is the true source of revenue; tax-loss harvesting strategies. SEG-1: October Marks Markets' Annual Low Historically SEG-2: US Strategic Cheese Reserve; Food Inflation SEG-3: Why the Markets Can't Outgrow the Economy SEG-4: Tax Loss Harvesting Strategies Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeA_MleihDU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2704s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Was Google's Bad News Already Priced-In? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sriPjev3L_0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show is here: "We're Back Where We Were in June (but it feels worse now)" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m3LTO8Lp7J0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2688s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #SavingsRate #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CongressionalGridlock #StrategicCheeseReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/26/22) Markets rallied right to the 50-DMA, needing to break through the 3,800 level of resistance, and after the bell, Google and Microsoft released their latest disappointing report cards. The reality is that earnings are now just reverting back to some semblance of normality. If buying in those stocks occurs today, it will suggest these lackluster results were already priced-in by investors. Key today will be whether markets can hold above the 3,800-level; if so, markets will be set to rally upward to about 4,100. A failure to do so today, tomorrow, or Friday will set up for a retest of the 20-DMA, possibly trapping the market in a lower range. Possible positives coming next week might include better language from the Fed about slowing the pace of rate hikes, followed by the mid-term elections in the second week of November, possibly producing a gridlocked Congress. Still to come: Meta and Amazon, which could also show some softness. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sriPjev3L_0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #Google #Microsoft #Amazon #Meta #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/25/22) As October winds-down, the earnings revelations continue, with some better-than-expected results, but the pain trade is higher; the stock buy back window opens for business on Friday with $5 Billion in daily activity potential being added to the markets; will the Fed make moves to taper rate increases? Recession is a distinct possibility in 2023. Markets historically under-perform head of midterms and out-perform for 12-months following midterm elections. The Fed Effect; potential midterm outcome: Congressional gridlock (which markets love). The F-150 EV vs gasoline version; why Stanly Druckenmiller believes we're in for a "flat" period for the next decade; any Fed intervention will make valuations difficult to justify; the bust in Beyond Meat and the fake steak offering. SEG-1: Earnings Revelations Continue; Pain Trade is Higher SEG-2: Market Performance Pre- and Post-Mid Term Elections SEG-3: What's the Value in Valuation? SEG-4: Beyond Meat Bust Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m3LTO8Lp7J0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2688s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Any Good News Would Be Welcome?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2yHjPLNm7hk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show is here: "The Difference Between Inflation and the Cost of Living" hhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NqtqwhHcnNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2670s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Druckenmiller: A Decade Of No Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/druckenmiller-a-decade-of-no-returns/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #MidtermElection #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CongressionalGridlock #StanlyDruckenmiller #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/25/22) What factors could lift markets into the end of the year? Over $1-Trillion worth of authorized stock buy backs become available on Friday, triggering as much as $5 Billion of buying a day coming into the market; mid-term elections are two-weeks away, and historically, stocks have been higher for the twelve months following a mid-term election; a gridlocked congress would provide opportunity for stocks to rally. The Fed, also, is a factor, meeting next week and expected to hike rates 75bp again...but any policy that would slow the pace of interest rate hikes would be viewed as a positive by markets. Markets pierced the 3,800 level yesterday but couldn't hold it; earnings have been coming in a little better-than-expected, and with Microsoft and Google set to report today, and Apple and Amazon in Thursday, any good news would be welcome. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2yHjPLNm7hk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #StockBuyBacks #Apple #Amazon #Google #Microsoft #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/24/22) Comcast Cable outage coincides with Astro's weekend watch parties as the home team advances to the World Series. Again. Market Commentary: Setting up for some nice action to end the month, with a possible change in Fed stance on interest rates. The top concerns this election season: Inflation and the economy. The problems from un-educated voters; Nancy-nomics, Inflation, and the cost of living. Is the Fed thinking about talking about a change in interest rate stance? There is no middle class. Don't forget to sell into the rally; there's no place to hide. Odds for a sector rotation in 2023, and the importance of being willing to sell. SEG-1: World Series & Comcast Outage; Markets Set up for Action SEG-2: The Danger of Being an Un-educated Voter: Nancy-nomics SEG-3: Is the Fed Thinking About Talking About Relaxing Rate Hike Pace? SEG-4: Pre-Open Market Commentary; When There's No Place to Hide Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NqtqwhHcnNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2670s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Can Markets Muster Continuation of the Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pfhB8hM2yjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Next Crisis" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAGKcQyfCas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2805s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Recession Fatigue" As Consumers Begin To Break" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/recession-fatigue-as-consumers-begin-to-break/ -------- Video's referenced in this broadcast: "Who Will Blink First? The Fed, The Bond Market, Or The Bears?" | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-KL-MO36Wn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1 --------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MidtermElection #Inflation #CostOfLiving #NancyPelosi #FederalReserve #InterestRates #RecessionFatigue #HoustonAstros #WorldSeries #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/24/22) Markets rallied sharply off the 20-DMA on Friday to deliver a 90% upside day for stocks. Futures are pointing higher this morning, begging the question, can markets muster a continuation of the rally over the next few days as we put the wraps on October? 45% of the S&P companies will report earnings this week; the buyback blackout window ends on Friday, and the Fed is set to meet next week, with hopes that talk of ending rate hikes will occur sooner than later; all would be bullish developments for markets. The next level of resistance: 3,800. We recommend using any rally to sell into. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pfhB8hM2yjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #StockBuyBackBlackout #EarningsSeason #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/19/22) We are well into another "Millennial Earnings Season," where companies are rewarded for lowering estimates in order to beat earnings estimates; everyone gets a participation trophy! A real tell will be Consumer Retail Sales results as an end-of-year measure of consumer strength. Look for market sloppiness for the next week; the none-stages of a Bear Market. Clients re sometimes useful as contrarian indicators. Markets in 2022 have had more negative days than in any other year since 1974; the advantage of adjusting market perspective from year-over-year to two-years ago, or three-years ago. There's no advantage to having a separate Financial Advisor from your Investment Advisor; defining diversification; McDonald's Adult Happy Meals; how much should you pay yourself in retirement? SEG-1: Millennial Earnings Season & Consumer Retail Strength SEG-2: Market Sloppiness , 9-stages of Bear Markets SEG-3: The Benefits of a Broader Market Perspective SEG-4: Defining Diversification; How Much Should You Pay Yourself in Retirement? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Can Markets Hit 4100?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fhk9Jr16kS4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Chase is On" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cuHtoVIPvUs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NineStagesofBearMarkets #EarningsSeason #ConsumerRetailStrength #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/21/22) Higher inflation is no reason to stop making contributions to your retirement savings, regardless of mode: Just alter the allocations. No Shift. What happens after the mid-terms? Inflation isn't budging; the Fed went too far, and we'll see more adverse effects in 2023. There's no place to hide but in Cash. What happens if Yields continue to rise; interest rates can only go so far. When is Inflation is a Good Thing? COLA on Social Security; the IRS Standard Deduction for couples increases to $27,700; Social Security is actually longevity insurance. "Extreme Gen-Z." The Goldman Retirement Study: How to recreate Your Paycheck; Cash flow is the lifeblood of Retirement; guaranteed income in Retirement. SEG-1: The Positive Side of Inflation SEG-2: Why Interest Rates Can Only Go so Far SEG-3: When Higher Inflation is a Good Thing SEG-4: Recreating Your Paycheck in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NqtqwhHcnNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2670s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Buyback Blackout Window Nears the End " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXjuD0_GpfA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Next Crisis" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAGKcQyfCas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2805s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #GoodInflation #GuaranteedIncomeInRetirement #CashIsKing #MidTermElection #CongressionalGridlock #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/20/22) The end of October brings the end of the current buyback blackout window, as earnings continue to come in, fast and furiously. Stocks are set to trade upwards this morning as the markets maintain a bullish trend. Interestingly, while markets were setting new lows, divergent indicators weren't, which is a bullish sign. Markets still need to break above 3,800. As we approach month's end and the close of the stock buyback blackout window, that should provide a bid to stocks, and any resulting rally is where you're going to want to sell and take some profits. Market trend is still negative, and as we move into year-end, and the Fed's rate hikes start to take a bite, corporate earnings and corporate profits will be negatively impacted. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXjuD0_GpfA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #StockBuyBackBlackout #EarningsSeason #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/19/22) Futures are depressed after two-days of rallying, which is not surprising. Markets did set a new low following last week's CPI report, confirming the divergence we saw in the MAC-D and Relative Strength index, suggesting a short-term bottom at least. Markets are next challenging the 3800 level, followed by 3900, and if successful, on to the 4100 level, which may be the upper limit for the year as 2022 comes to a close. We're recommending using any rally as an opportunity to raise cash and rebalance risk. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fhk9Jr16kS4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #SP_4100 #EarningsSeason #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/18/22) Markets appear to have plenty of fuel for a rally today; tracking the 200-Week Moving Average; the Bear hasn't appeared yet; Halloween spending and pumpkin methane; the chase is on: has the rally commenced? corporate earnings season, lowered estimates, and looking good. Top two concerns of voters: Economy and Inflation. When will the Inflation Reduction Act take effect? Can markets withstand 4.5% rates? Lance's Bitcoin Alert scheme; Why more Americans don't like financial advisors; the financial advisory industry has done it to itself. Investing goal: Protect purchasing power parity for the future. Fishing Cheaters, jewel thieves on Billionaires' Row, and reorganizing Goldman; Microsoft job losses coming. SEG-1: 200-WMA & The Bear: What Happens Next? SEG-2: When Will the Inflation Reduction Act Take Effect? SEG-3: Lance's Bit-Alert; Why American's Don't Like Financial Advisors SEG-4: Fishing Cheaters & Reorganizing Goldman Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cuHtoVIPvUs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "Can Markets Hit 4100?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79zPRrxNUZ0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Why We're Not In a Bear Market...Yet" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mo1ZORTvldo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2548s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #ChasingTheBull #InflationReductionAct #ReorganiztingGoldman #BitCoinAlert #FinancialAdvisors #EarningsSeason #BearMarket #BullMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/18/22) Why is the 200-WMA considered critical support for the markets? While we've been in a correction-mode, we're technically not in a bear market...yet...because we haven't violated the bullish trend of the 200-WMA. Looking at the behaviors of the 20-DMA and 50-DMA relative to the 200-WMA is key. How much more steam does this rally have to exploit, and more importantly, what should you do with it? Note, our first target of resistance will be 3,900 on the S&P; if that is achieved, that's the cue to reduce some exposure to equities. Your gut instinct may tempt you otherwise, but no one knows how far this rally might go. Sell some more at 4,100, because we believe that's about as much magnitude as we're going to get in this rally over the next month or so. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=79zPRrxNUZ0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #200_WMA #50_DMA #20_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/17/22) Halloween is the second-biggest retail shopping event of the year; earnings season begins today; markets continue to hold onto bottoms, with lots of volatility. After mid-term elections, watch for negative revisions to economic reports. The Roberts' House-hunting begins; the Fed's Third Mandate: Jacking-up asset prices with a litany of actions to boost equities. What happens when stocks outgrow what the economy can generate? Is there such thing as "too much savings?" Why we're not in a bear market...yet. What the technicals show; Emily the Criminal & student loan debt; the efficacy of college degrees; the motivation of fear; the Four Fears of Life. SEG-1: Earnings Season Begins Today SEG-2: The Roberts' House-hunting & The Fed's Third Mandate SEG-3: Why We're Not In a Bear Market...Yet [Video referenced in this segment: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Opj1Au5o9c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2] SEG-4: "Emily the Criminal" & Efficacy of College Degrees Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bzLrlDVvSmo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2849s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "What to Do If the Market Hits 3900" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NLQEoQlDaBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Whole World is Over-leveraged" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PiOIPyomVa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #BearMarket #BullMarket #FederalReserve #FedsThirdMandate #EmilyTheCriminal #CollegeDegree #CollegeLoanDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/17/22) Last week's roller-coaster market following the latest CPI report, ended the week holding the support line that had been building since the beginning of October. The potential for a rally remains the case: we're looking for markets to hit 3,900, and that will be the point where we want to sell some equities to reduce risk. Trading could remain sloppy for the next few days, but by the end of the month, two things will provide additional octane: The blackout window for stock buy backs will end on October 28, and that activity will return to the market; that will coincide with about 70% of corporate earnings reporting completed. Those earnings will likely be not-as-bad as expected, lending further buoyancy to stocks. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NLQEoQlDaBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #EarningsSeason #StockBuyBacks #BlackoutWindow #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/14/22) September CPI is less than August, but still over 8%: is less-bad news now good news? Calculating Halloween Inflation: Trick or Treat? Why are some are delaying retirement: Economics or Boredom? Dealing with inflation: Couponing & Fuel Points. The 8% COLA for Social Security vs means testing and taxation of benefits. Why a drop in Medicare premiums might not make up for last year's increases. Is what you're paying your financial advisor worth the cost? SEG-1: Is Less-bad News Really Good? SEG-2: Delaying Retirement: Economics or Boredom? SEG-3: The SS COLA for 2023 SEG-4: Is Your Financial Advisor Worth It? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bzLrlDVvSmo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2849s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: s the Fed Creating Another Problem for Itself?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Opj1Au5o9c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Whole World is Over-leveraged" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PiOIPyomVa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #SocialSecurityCOLA #FinancialAdvisor #ManagementFee #DelayingRetirement #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/13/22) CPI did come in hotter-than anticipated; the Fed's conundrum with QE vs QT; The whole world is over-leveraged; UK pension funds are drowning in it. Collateral calls, when models fail, and banks' stress tests don't mean much; the pension funds in the UK will be a social crisis that creates a financial crisis world wide. Boeing's Dreamlifter nightmare; many financial articles are being written by those who've never lived through a bear market; why experience is important in times like these. There is no more FOMO, no more TINA. Why Jerome Powell is fighting 20-years of bad fiscal policy SEG-1: CPI Preview & The Fed's Continuing Conundrum SEG-2: The Whole World is Over-leveraged SEG-3: Why Experience Matters in Times Like These SEG-4: Bernanke's Nobel Prize & Powell's Fighting 20-years of Fiscal Mistakes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PiOIPyomVa8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: s the Fed Creating Another Problem for Itself?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Opj1Au5o9c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Inflation Report Preview Episode" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mdIbOp_ZPnk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2685s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #QuantitativeEasing #QuantitativeTightening #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/13/22) Remember the genesis of Quantitative Easing in the 2008 financial crisis? Here we discuss the mechanism of how QT works, the debt issuance that's required, and why rising interest rates are creating an unsustainable scenario today for the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Opj1Au5o9c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #QuantitativeEasing #InterestRates #FederalReserve #InterestPayments #Markets #Money #Investin

(10/12/22) Janet Yellen tells CNBC essentially, "What, me worry?" Will the Recession be as "mild" as expected? Consumption will eventually slow down; "good" employment numbers are a lagging indicator AND subject to revision. Greta endorses nukes for electricity; the challenge of creating financial stability during transitional times. The Inmate Money Scammer; finding financial security in the U.S.; what happens with a strong dollar; all countries manipulate their currencies to adjust to the Dollar. Markets will stop panicking when Central Banks begin to panic. Germany is in trouble this winter; PPI preview; the co-dependency of global markets SEG-1: Why We May Not Be in Recession...yet SEG-2: Trendline Belies Persistent Bullishness SEG-3: Inmate Financial Scammer, Janet Yellen's not Worried SEG-4: The Co-Dependency of Global Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The 200-WMA is the Markets' Line in the Sand" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r6eb0OGIZ6Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "This is not the 1970's Inflation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7He3U0TrU8g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #PPI #Inflation #Recession #JanetYellen #JoeBiden #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/12/22) While it may FEEL like we're in a bear market after the declines this year, so far, the data would suggest otherwise: Markets remain in a very bullish trend, long term. Tracing the 200-week moving average since the 2008 financial crisis reveals a steady, upwards track which has not changed up until this point. Yes, markets are now testing the 200-WMA, which would appear to be the line in the sand between a bull market trend and a downturn to the bearish side. Remember, a bear market is not just a 20% price decline. The huge deviation between the market and that long-term moving average requires a bigger diversion just to come back down to that trend line, which is why it feels so painful when it happens. In order for markets to fall into bear territory, such a reversion must be proven by markets trending south. That's certainly possible with inflation and slowing economic growth. But markets remain in a long-term upwards trend, and this is how the Fed is viewing markets, as well. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r6eb0OGIZ6Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #200WMA #BullishTrend #BearishTrend #Inflation #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/7/22) Big Jobs numbers come out today amid a growing climate of negativity on the part of CEO's, anticipating layoffs in coming months; workers are essentially receiving pay cuts, thanks to effects of wages failing to keep up with inflation. Why older workers make better employees. Pandemic Homebuyers are having buyer's remorse; another example of lizard-brain investors not thinking-through a transaction; more and more American's are being priced out of the housing market; Sellers' "Endowment Bias" on home pricing; the Anti-Cramer ETF; the 4% Rule is based on faulty assumptions; the importance of creating a guaranteed source of income in retirement; another look at reverse mortgages. SEG-1: Looking for Layoffs SEG-2: Pandemic Homebuyers' Remorse SEG-3: The Anti-Cramer ETF SEG-4: The Faulty Assumptions in the 4% Rule

(10/11/22) Is Jamie Dimon correct in predicting a recession by 2023? 263k jobs number is great, but part of a declining trend. The Paradox of Savings makes for a weaker economy; earnings season is coming with estimates still too high. CEO confidence is at record lows, anticipating layoffs, starting with work-at-home employees. Employment growth is trending negatively. The Fed WILL make a policy mistake, and there is clear evidence Recession will come sooner than later. What kind of inflation is this? Driven by artificial increase in liquidity; the fallacy of Biden's stimulus and poverty; '70's inflation was driven by production, and organic, upward trend. The Volker Mistake; the Fed is operating on lagging indicators. Political divisions are rooted in economic inequalities, and financial "freebies" don't solve problems. Ben Bernanke's Nobel Prize in Economics: was he a firefighter or the arsonist? Why we should have followed the rule of law in 2008 and allowed failing banks to go bankrupt. SEG-1: How the Paradox of Savings Weakens the Economy SEG-2: Is Jamie Dimon Correct About Recession? SEG-3: What Kind of Inflation IS this?? SEG-4: Ben Bernanke - Firefighter or Arsonist? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7He3U0TrU8g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: WIs Inflation Cooling?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNFnFQi7I24&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show is here: "What Happens When the Financial Models Break?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2qsW-51p78&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2681s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As "Sugar Rush" Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Inflation #Recession #Jobs #JamieDimon #BenBernake #NobelPrize #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/11/22) Oil prices were over sold and due for a rally, which came to fruition, and we took off some energy exposure on Monday. OPEC cuts and tapping the SPR is creating a forecast for higher oil prices, yet. If oil prices stabilize at $85-87/bbl and work off their overboughtedness, we could then see another rally up to $100/bbl by the end of the year. However, oil prices have declined over all from their peak earlier this year. We're looking for a slight decline in CPI in this week's report, which would indicate a slight softening in inflation. But year-over-year comparisons are going to be stark. If inflation is cooling indeed, we're expecting the Fed to ease up on rate hikes. Markets are retesting lows, and earnings reporting will begin on Monday, with 70% of the S&P reporting next week. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNFnFQi7I24&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #100oil #OPEC #StrategicPetroleumReserve #OilStocks #EnergyStocks #CPI #PPI #EarningsSeason#Markets #Money #Investing

(10/10/22) The mid-term elections are about a month away, and with stocks down sharply for most of the year, one can't help but wonder what November's polling will mean to markets. Where inflation came from. How did the Kardashian's do it? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does OPEC's Production Cuts Mean for Oil Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42zRvXF7K-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "What Happens When the Financial Models Break?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2qsW-51p78&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2681s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MidTermElection #Inflation #KimKardashian #Cybercurrency #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/6/22) Gasoline prices are back on the rise with OPEC's production cuts; Joe Biden's solution: Tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as winter looms, and demand for fuel oil will increase, resulting in greater expenses for an already strapped consumer. Markets are oversold with a drop in negative sentiment; yet no Fed pivot in sight. Will the Fed continue until something breaks? There are now $60-T in derivatives hanging out, all based on historical models that don't always predict everything. What happens when the models break? The Sub-prime fiasco was derivatives based on derivatives. Oil prices are on the rise, creating more financial pressure for consumers. The US is still a net-importer of oil. What happens when the US bids to replenish the SPR? Financial Stress and the Risk of Recession: The Fed's murky path. Is this the real Fed, or a Halloween mask? Is the Fed playing an economic game or a political one? SEG-1: Gasoline Prices are Back on the Rise SEG-2: What Happens When the Financial Models Break? SEG-3: The Politics of Energy SEG-4: Financial Stress & The Fed's Murky Path Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2qsW-51p78&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2681s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does OPEC's Production Cuts Mean for Oil Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42zRvXF7K-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "THe House Price Plunge: Opportunity for Cash?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GX00_CHT2qo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2690s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #OPEC #OilPrices #StrategicPetroleumReserve #GasolinePrices #EconomicRecession #FederalResserve #MidTermElections #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/6/22) OPEC's announcement of a 2-mil barrel per day cut in oil production was twice the amount expected. The Biden Administration immediately accused the cartel of being in cahoots with Russia; what this does mean is less oil production as demand increases heading into winter, suggesting higher oil prices to come. Meanwhile, the US now plans to tap another 10-mil barrels of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, already down from its 48-days' supply to just 22-days' supply, the lowest on record since 1990. The Administration's aggressive posture against oil companies is limiting their resolve to risk capital to drill new wells, build new refining capacity, and improve domestic oil security. This, however, spells opportunity for investors, as oil prices are now targeting to meet or exceed $90/bbl, and a slight pull-back beforehand will provide an excellent opportunity to increase exposure to oil stocks. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RismnCpdstQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #OPEC #StrategicPetroleumReserve #BidenAdministration #OilStocks #EnergyStocks #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/5/22) With home prices falling at the fastest pace since The Great Depression (and the resulting ramifications for the real estate market and the economy), one wonders whether the Fed is really paying attention. The VIX is moving up as selling pressure increases; watch for "performance chasing" by fund managers and portfolio managers. There is no indication the Fed is near pivoting on its inflation-fighting gambit. Markets are grinding higher in a tradeable rally. The continuing saga of The Roberts' kids & used cars; the home price plunge, recession fatigue, and opportunities for cash. The "Rosso-segment:" Candy corn, McDonald's, & Botox Parties; there is not guarantee of a Fed pivot...yet. The Transitory Camp to the Persistent Camp to the Transitory Camp again; Why the Mid-terms could create the gridlock markets love; why the Kardashian's? SEG-1: Is the Fed Really Paying Attention? SEG-2: The House Price Plunge: Opportunity for Cash? SEG-3: There's No Guarantee of a Fed Pivot...yet SEG-4: How the Mid-term Elections Might Affect Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GX00_CHT2qo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2690s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Rally +6% - Is There More to Come? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RismnCpdstQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Will the Next Crisis be Credit-related?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MtMoI1ozqG0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=256s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #HousePricePlunge #CashOpportunity #FedPivot #MidTermElections #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/5/22) A very strong rally on the S&P has added 6.3% over the past couple of days, which places the MAC-D very close to triggering a buy signal. However, this doesn't necessarily preclude a bit of a pullback, which would create an opportunity to add a little more exposure to stocks. One item to note: Market Volatility has been subdued during this entire bear market, but in September showed a strong pickup in activity. The last couple of days, however, Volatility has seen a drop-off. Remember, Volatility runs inverse to the market, so a sell-signal is technically a buy-signal for stocks. Bonds are also suggesting that we might see a bond market rally as well as a stock market rally over the next couple of weeks. Interest rates are an inverse indicator for bonds; interest rates have triggered a sell-signal, which is a buy-signal for bonds. As mutual funds and pension funds begin to strategist for the end of the year, there still remains some fuel for a market rally. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RismnCpdstQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #BondRally #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/4/22) Will companies be able to pass along increased costs to consumers? As the prelude to earnings season begins to rev-up, CEO confidence is down; what will their outlooks reveal? Has the bounce begun? The short squeeze we predicted has arrived; expect rally to 3,800 to 3,900; Q3 GDP could provide some life to markets. While 70% of companies surveyed by KPMG say ESG has improved their earnings, 59% are pausing or reversing their ESG stance. How concerned is the Fed about Pension funds? The BOE's margin call loop: When Pension funds run out of collateral (a financial crisis doesn't have to be credit-related). Investment decisions are based upon models (see "Margin Call," the movie). Why this is not like 2008: More persons are working longer; what happens if/when they all pull their pension funds; could that create a "run" on Pensions? Market Commentary; is it unnerving that everyone sees a Recession coming, because no one ever sees a Recession coming. Bitcoin crimes & The Silk Road. The effects of drug use on society. SEG-1: Earnings Season Prelude SEG-2: The Financial Crisis Doesn't Have to be Credit-related SEG-3: Why This is Not Like 2008--But It Is SEG-4: The Recession No One Sees Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MtMoI1ozqG0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Be Careful: We're Not Out of The Woods Yet" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XO84WpHov5I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Nowhere to Go But US Dollar & Treasuries" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0UdZf34LihM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "ESG Underperformance Will Be Its Undoing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-underperformance-will-be-its-undoing/ "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FinancialCrisis #ShortSqueeze #EconomicRecession #EarningsSeason #PensionFund #PensionRun #BitCoin #TheSilkRoad #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/4/22) The extreme over-sold and negative conditions that exist in the market are very similar to what se saw back in June, which resulted in a subsequent 17% rally. Jim Cramer called The Bottom...again and again. All of these elements are creating a squeeze on short plays, and elevation in prices. All we need now is for Cramer to call the bottom. Again. Our take: Be careful. We're set up for a decent rally with a target of 3,800 or 3,900. But as the market rallies to various levels, be smart; take profits and raise cash each time. It's very likely we're not out of the woods yet, as the Fed continues to hike rates, inflation is still high, and economic growth is slow. The fundamentals for a more sustained bull rally are not yet in place, but the short term scenario is good for advantage taking. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XO84WpHov5I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #ShortSqueeze #MarketRally #FederalReserve #Inflation #EconomicGrowth #INterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing