The Real Investment Show Podcast

(10/13/22) Remember the genesis of Quantitative Easing in the 2008 financial crisis? Here we discuss the mechanism of how QT works, the debt issuance that's required, and why rising interest rates are creating an unsustainable scenario today for the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Opj1Au5o9c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #QuantitativeEasing #InterestRates #FederalReserve #InterestPayments #Markets #Money #Investin

(10/12/22) Janet Yellen tells CNBC essentially, "What, me worry?" Will the Recession be as "mild" as expected? Consumption will eventually slow down; "good" employment numbers are a lagging indicator AND subject to revision. Greta endorses nukes for electricity; the challenge of creating financial stability during transitional times. The Inmate Money Scammer; finding financial security in the U.S.; what happens with a strong dollar; all countries manipulate their currencies to adjust to the Dollar. Markets will stop panicking when Central Banks begin to panic. Germany is in trouble this winter; PPI preview; the co-dependency of global markets SEG-1: Why We May Not Be in Recession...yet SEG-2: Trendline Belies Persistent Bullishness SEG-3: Inmate Financial Scammer, Janet Yellen's not Worried SEG-4: The Co-Dependency of Global Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The 200-WMA is the Markets' Line in the Sand" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r6eb0OGIZ6Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "This is not the 1970's Inflation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7He3U0TrU8g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #PPI #Inflation #Recession #JanetYellen #JoeBiden #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/12/22) While it may FEEL like we're in a bear market after the declines this year, so far, the data would suggest otherwise: Markets remain in a very bullish trend, long term. Tracing the 200-week moving average since the 2008 financial crisis reveals a steady, upwards track which has not changed up until this point. Yes, markets are now testing the 200-WMA, which would appear to be the line in the sand between a bull market trend and a downturn to the bearish side. Remember, a bear market is not just a 20% price decline. The huge deviation between the market and that long-term moving average requires a bigger diversion just to come back down to that trend line, which is why it feels so painful when it happens. In order for markets to fall into bear territory, such a reversion must be proven by markets trending south. That's certainly possible with inflation and slowing economic growth. But markets remain in a long-term upwards trend, and this is how the Fed is viewing markets, as well. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r6eb0OGIZ6Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #200WMA #BullishTrend #BearishTrend #Inflation #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/7/22) Big Jobs numbers come out today amid a growing climate of negativity on the part of CEO's, anticipating layoffs in coming months; workers are essentially receiving pay cuts, thanks to effects of wages failing to keep up with inflation. Why older workers make better employees. Pandemic Homebuyers are having buyer's remorse; another example of lizard-brain investors not thinking-through a transaction; more and more American's are being priced out of the housing market; Sellers' "Endowment Bias" on home pricing; the Anti-Cramer ETF; the 4% Rule is based on faulty assumptions; the importance of creating a guaranteed source of income in retirement; another look at reverse mortgages. SEG-1: Looking for Layoffs SEG-2: Pandemic Homebuyers' Remorse SEG-3: The Anti-Cramer ETF SEG-4: The Faulty Assumptions in the 4% Rule

(10/11/22) Is Jamie Dimon correct in predicting a recession by 2023? 263k jobs number is great, but part of a declining trend. The Paradox of Savings makes for a weaker economy; earnings season is coming with estimates still too high. CEO confidence is at record lows, anticipating layoffs, starting with work-at-home employees. Employment growth is trending negatively. The Fed WILL make a policy mistake, and there is clear evidence Recession will come sooner than later. What kind of inflation is this? Driven by artificial increase in liquidity; the fallacy of Biden's stimulus and poverty; '70's inflation was driven by production, and organic, upward trend. The Volker Mistake; the Fed is operating on lagging indicators. Political divisions are rooted in economic inequalities, and financial "freebies" don't solve problems. Ben Bernanke's Nobel Prize in Economics: was he a firefighter or the arsonist? Why we should have followed the rule of law in 2008 and allowed failing banks to go bankrupt. SEG-1: How the Paradox of Savings Weakens the Economy SEG-2: Is Jamie Dimon Correct About Recession? SEG-3: What Kind of Inflation IS this?? SEG-4: Ben Bernanke - Firefighter or Arsonist? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7He3U0TrU8g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: WIs Inflation Cooling?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNFnFQi7I24&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show is here: "What Happens When the Financial Models Break?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2qsW-51p78&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2681s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As "Sugar Rush" Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Inflation #Recession #Jobs #JamieDimon #BenBernake #NobelPrize #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/11/22) Oil prices were over sold and due for a rally, which came to fruition, and we took off some energy exposure on Monday. OPEC cuts and tapping the SPR is creating a forecast for higher oil prices, yet. If oil prices stabilize at $85-87/bbl and work off their overboughtedness, we could then see another rally up to $100/bbl by the end of the year. However, oil prices have declined over all from their peak earlier this year. We're looking for a slight decline in CPI in this week's report, which would indicate a slight softening in inflation. But year-over-year comparisons are going to be stark. If inflation is cooling indeed, we're expecting the Fed to ease up on rate hikes. Markets are retesting lows, and earnings reporting will begin on Monday, with 70% of the S&P reporting next week. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNFnFQi7I24&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #100oil #OPEC #StrategicPetroleumReserve #OilStocks #EnergyStocks #CPI #PPI #EarningsSeason#Markets #Money #Investing

(10/10/22) The mid-term elections are about a month away, and with stocks down sharply for most of the year, one can't help but wonder what November's polling will mean to markets. Where inflation came from. How did the Kardashian's do it? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does OPEC's Production Cuts Mean for Oil Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42zRvXF7K-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "What Happens When the Financial Models Break?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2qsW-51p78&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2681s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MidTermElection #Inflation #KimKardashian #Cybercurrency #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/6/22) Gasoline prices are back on the rise with OPEC's production cuts; Joe Biden's solution: Tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as winter looms, and demand for fuel oil will increase, resulting in greater expenses for an already strapped consumer. Markets are oversold with a drop in negative sentiment; yet no Fed pivot in sight. Will the Fed continue until something breaks? There are now $60-T in derivatives hanging out, all based on historical models that don't always predict everything. What happens when the models break? The Sub-prime fiasco was derivatives based on derivatives. Oil prices are on the rise, creating more financial pressure for consumers. The US is still a net-importer of oil. What happens when the US bids to replenish the SPR? Financial Stress and the Risk of Recession: The Fed's murky path. Is this the real Fed, or a Halloween mask? Is the Fed playing an economic game or a political one? SEG-1: Gasoline Prices are Back on the Rise SEG-2: What Happens When the Financial Models Break? SEG-3: The Politics of Energy SEG-4: Financial Stress & The Fed's Murky Path Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2qsW-51p78&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2681s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Does OPEC's Production Cuts Mean for Oil Prices?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42zRvXF7K-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "THe House Price Plunge: Opportunity for Cash?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GX00_CHT2qo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2690s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #OPEC #OilPrices #StrategicPetroleumReserve #GasolinePrices #EconomicRecession #FederalResserve #MidTermElections #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/6/22) OPEC's announcement of a 2-mil barrel per day cut in oil production was twice the amount expected. The Biden Administration immediately accused the cartel of being in cahoots with Russia; what this does mean is less oil production as demand increases heading into winter, suggesting higher oil prices to come. Meanwhile, the US now plans to tap another 10-mil barrels of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, already down from its 48-days' supply to just 22-days' supply, the lowest on record since 1990. The Administration's aggressive posture against oil companies is limiting their resolve to risk capital to drill new wells, build new refining capacity, and improve domestic oil security. This, however, spells opportunity for investors, as oil prices are now targeting to meet or exceed $90/bbl, and a slight pull-back beforehand will provide an excellent opportunity to increase exposure to oil stocks. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RismnCpdstQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #OPEC #StrategicPetroleumReserve #BidenAdministration #OilStocks #EnergyStocks #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/5/22) With home prices falling at the fastest pace since The Great Depression (and the resulting ramifications for the real estate market and the economy), one wonders whether the Fed is really paying attention. The VIX is moving up as selling pressure increases; watch for "performance chasing" by fund managers and portfolio managers. There is no indication the Fed is near pivoting on its inflation-fighting gambit. Markets are grinding higher in a tradeable rally. The continuing saga of The Roberts' kids & used cars; the home price plunge, recession fatigue, and opportunities for cash. The "Rosso-segment:" Candy corn, McDonald's, & Botox Parties; there is not guarantee of a Fed pivot...yet. The Transitory Camp to the Persistent Camp to the Transitory Camp again; Why the Mid-terms could create the gridlock markets love; why the Kardashian's? SEG-1: Is the Fed Really Paying Attention? SEG-2: The House Price Plunge: Opportunity for Cash? SEG-3: There's No Guarantee of a Fed Pivot...yet SEG-4: How the Mid-term Elections Might Affect Stocks Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GX00_CHT2qo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2690s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Rally +6% - Is There More to Come? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RismnCpdstQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Will the Next Crisis be Credit-related?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MtMoI1ozqG0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=256s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #HousePricePlunge #CashOpportunity #FedPivot #MidTermElections #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/5/22) A very strong rally on the S&P has added 6.3% over the past couple of days, which places the MAC-D very close to triggering a buy signal. However, this doesn't necessarily preclude a bit of a pullback, which would create an opportunity to add a little more exposure to stocks. One item to note: Market Volatility has been subdued during this entire bear market, but in September showed a strong pickup in activity. The last couple of days, however, Volatility has seen a drop-off. Remember, Volatility runs inverse to the market, so a sell-signal is technically a buy-signal for stocks. Bonds are also suggesting that we might see a bond market rally as well as a stock market rally over the next couple of weeks. Interest rates are an inverse indicator for bonds; interest rates have triggered a sell-signal, which is a buy-signal for bonds. As mutual funds and pension funds begin to strategist for the end of the year, there still remains some fuel for a market rally. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RismnCpdstQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #BondRally #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/4/22) Will companies be able to pass along increased costs to consumers? As the prelude to earnings season begins to rev-up, CEO confidence is down; what will their outlooks reveal? Has the bounce begun? The short squeeze we predicted has arrived; expect rally to 3,800 to 3,900; Q3 GDP could provide some life to markets. While 70% of companies surveyed by KPMG say ESG has improved their earnings, 59% are pausing or reversing their ESG stance. How concerned is the Fed about Pension funds? The BOE's margin call loop: When Pension funds run out of collateral (a financial crisis doesn't have to be credit-related). Investment decisions are based upon models (see "Margin Call," the movie). Why this is not like 2008: More persons are working longer; what happens if/when they all pull their pension funds; could that create a "run" on Pensions? Market Commentary; is it unnerving that everyone sees a Recession coming, because no one ever sees a Recession coming. Bitcoin crimes & The Silk Road. The effects of drug use on society. SEG-1: Earnings Season Prelude SEG-2: The Financial Crisis Doesn't Have to be Credit-related SEG-3: Why This is Not Like 2008--But It Is SEG-4: The Recession No One Sees Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MtMoI1ozqG0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Be Careful: We're Not Out of The Woods Yet" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XO84WpHov5I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Nowhere to Go But US Dollar & Treasuries" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0UdZf34LihM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "ESG Underperformance Will Be Its Undoing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/esg-underperformance-will-be-its-undoing/ "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FinancialCrisis #ShortSqueeze #EconomicRecession #EarningsSeason #PensionFund #PensionRun #BitCoin #TheSilkRoad #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/4/22) The extreme over-sold and negative conditions that exist in the market are very similar to what se saw back in June, which resulted in a subsequent 17% rally. Jim Cramer called The Bottom...again and again. All of these elements are creating a squeeze on short plays, and elevation in prices. All we need now is for Cramer to call the bottom. Again. Our take: Be careful. We're set up for a decent rally with a target of 3,800 or 3,900. But as the market rallies to various levels, be smart; take profits and raise cash each time. It's very likely we're not out of the woods yet, as the Fed continues to hike rates, inflation is still high, and economic growth is slow. The fundamentals for a more sustained bull rally are not yet in place, but the short term scenario is good for advantage taking. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XO84WpHov5I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #ShortSqueeze #MarketRally #FederalReserve #Inflation #EconomicGrowth #INterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/3/22) Don't let a bear market force you into making bad investing decisions. When will the real risk of recession occur? Any rally back to 4,000 is a good opportunity to "fix" your portfolio. When will the Fed begin to taper rate hikes? Today's special, un-scheduled Fed Governors meeting; dealing with recession fatigue; the real risk will be in 2023; the lagging effect of Fed rate hikes; Why are American's already tired of recession? Bankrate.com; there have been no incentives for saving. What's at stake in the mid-term elections? Any economic downturn will likely be over by the time the Presidential election occurs...unless something REALLY gets screwed up. What happens when the Fed and markets tighten liquidity at the same time? The biggest risk is a lack of liquidity in treasury markets; everything is a fiat currency, backed by faith and credit of individual governments; why there's not a United States of Europe; why there's no place else to go than US Dollar and Treasuries. Contraction of liquidity in US Treasuries poses a global risk. One more rate hike is going to break something. SEG-1: When Will Real Risk of Recession Occur? SEG-2: Dealing with Recession Fatigue SEG-3: What Happens When Markets & The Fed Tighten at Once? SEG-4: The Biggest Risk to Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0UdZf34LihM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2601s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Keep an Eye on the 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qz2XgsC0oaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Broken Window Theory is Flawed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nsRTlN4RKC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=8s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #RecessionFatigue #InflationFatigue #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/3/22) Stocks wrapped up September by selling off to new lows for the year, begging the question: Are markets ready for a rally? Markets are extremely deviated from long term means, which historically tend to be opportunities for reflexive rallies, which equal opportunities to reduce risk. Markets are over-sold from their 200-DMA; we think markets will rally back to the 3,800 or 3,900-level on the S&P, re-testing the down trend on the 200-DMA. This happened in 2008, before the Lehman fiasco. There are ways to trade such rallies, but keep an eye on the 200-DMA, because that's the point where you'll want to reduce risk. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qz2XgsC0oaM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #ReflexRally #200_DMA #Lehman #KimKardashian #SEC #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/29/22) Hurricane Ian pounded Florida overnight; recovery and repairs will contribute economic activity to the area, but the "Broken Window" theory has some flaws and mirrors the relationship between stimulus and inflation. The Bank of England caved to pressure, repeating what caused inflation in the first place; the realization that high valuations cannot be maintained; bond market in biggest bear mode in history; Bond's role in with loss of ability to manage risk. What is a Bond? What is a Coupon? The difference between equities & bonds is in the return of principal. Why Buy Bonds; how is the rate calculated? What is the real yield? The lower risk in bonds: no loss of principal. The Fed is manufacturing recession. SEG-1: Hurricane Ian & The Broken Window Theory SEG-2: The Loss of Ability to Manage Risk SEG-3: Why Buy Bonds? SEG-4: What to do When the Fed is Manufacturing Recession Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nsRTlN4RKC0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=8s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: BOE Bailout Fuels Rally " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cmBY9ZetGY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=2 -------- Our previous show is here: "Five Places to Put Cash" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rWKhgoMPTpA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #BondMarket #BondCoupon #HurricaneIan #QuantitativeEasing #Bankof England #BrokenWindowTheory #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/29/22) Markets have been working to hold onto support established back in June; yesterday's news of the Bank of England resuming bond purchases to bail out pension funds provided the octane needed for a rally upward, and fueled expectations the Fed would capitulate sooner than later in its rate hike campaign. Markets could open weaker this morning, following yesterday's sharp rally. Can markets confirm higher ground established on Wednesday? We're seeing a continuing need for re-pricing and re-valuations; so, any rally that materializes should be used to trim losers and raise cash. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cmBY9ZetGY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #BankOfEngland #QuantitativeEasing #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/28/22) The Bank of England caves to the risk of inciting market instability and resumes its quantitative easing program of bond purchases. Oil Prices may be poised to move higher; Millennials are making more trades than any other demographic; the problem of anchoring; there are benefits to holding cash; the genesis of mutual funds; 29% of Americans are withdrawing from savings for everyday expenses; survey of what women want: more financial security for their household. Five places to put cash, including paying off high-interest debt, money market accounts; pick two out of three: Liquidity, safety, or returns: That's what investors get; the problem with i-Bonds: Did you miss this opportunity? SEG-1: The Bank of England Blinks SEG-2: The Genesis of Mutual Funds & Benefits of Holding Cash SEG-3: What Women Want: Financial Security for Households SEG-4: Five Places to Put Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rWKhgoMPTpA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2657s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bank of England Blinks - Is the Fed Next?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PWJfRHcwQg4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Most-forecast Recession in History" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQk8gpEJeeY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #QuantitativeEasing #Bankof England #CashHolding #MoneyMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/28/22) We have long held that market instability would be a key driver in a Fed policy shift from its current course of fighting inflation with higher rates. The Bank of England today is moving from quantitative tightening and starting to buy bonds because of "Market instability." A credit crisis causes much more long-term damage to an economy than does inflation, and any such crisis will dramatically reduce inflation, fast. And the Fed's big risk at this point is destabilizing markets with higher interest rates. Credit spreads are beginning to rise, with yields on the 10-yr treasuries rising above three standard deviations from their 50-DMA, adding stress to markets, and the first whiff of trouble appears to be coming from the housing markets as mortgage rates rise. The volatility index is also starting to show some signs of life. The question now is, is the Bank of England now a proxy for more central bank changes to come? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PWJfRHcwQg4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #BankOfEngland #QuantitativeEasing #MarketInstability #CreditCrisis #HousingMMarket #MortgageRates #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/27/22) Are markets preparing for a big Short-squeeze? Just a month ago we were talking about rampant market bullishness, and now there's a high level of fear and angst in the markets. The dollar's strength has created more inflation overseas, at three standard deviations above the 50-DMA; that cannot last. We're looking for a relief rally. Could the Fed begin dollar-intervention? Why climate-plays are being reconsidered: They're too expensive. Why does the Fed using lagging indicators to drive future policy? A historic look at market performance: Setting up for a reflexive rally; a 2008 analogy and the velocity of rate hikes. The "mild" recession everyone is forecasting; looking for lower asset prices. Don't be surprised if any rally today is short-lived. The short-term memory of investors. What happened to Beyond Meat? SEG-1: Where Did All the Bullish Exuberance Go? SEG-2: Driving the Fed in the Rear-view Mirror SEG-3: The Big Short-squeeze is Coming SEG-4: The "Mild" Recession Everyone is Looking For Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQk8gpEJeeY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Dollar Boost the Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9cOBo5_Kur0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed has Gone Too Far" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-6fXttAf9Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EconomicRecession #BullishMarkets #BearishMarkets #MarketExuberance #FederalReserve #BeyondMeat #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/27/22) Markets are set to rally this morning, as a big short-squeeze may be underway; the dollar is showing signs of weakness. The dollar's recent surge is being confined by technical measures over time: Prices can only move in one direction so far before reverting to their moving average or lower. Watching the dollar correct from its extreme deviation from the 50-DMA will not be surprising, and will be a big boost to risk assets. Energy and oil prices should also benefit. Markets are extremely over-sold, and investor sentiment extremely negative, markets are well-set up for a reflexive rally similar to what we experienced in June. As we've mentioned before, use any rally to sell off weaker stocks, reduce risk, and raise cash for a better day's opportunity. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9cOBo5_Kur0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Big Short Squeeze Is Coming" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-big-short-squeeze-is-coming/ ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketSentiment #BearishSentiment #ShortSqueeze #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/26/22) Markets on Friday held onto June bottoms and are expected to rally back to 3,900; there were a record number of put-options placed on Friday, as well, indicating investors are hedging against a market crash. Could Italian national elections installing a fiscal conservative by an overwhelming majority be a precursor to US Mid-terms? Current challenges in the auto market: Few used cars available, prices at a premium; long term result of Obama-era "Cash for Cars" program, lengthening of financing terms; watching for reversion in car prices. Market commentary: The Fed has Gone too Far. The Fed's focus on inflation creating a stronger dollar abroad, which in turn, replicates inflation there; the Fed's currency intervention (manipulation) options to keep trade stable; adding to debt service expense; the Fed always breaks things: How to navigate through. What is The One Asset for investing during inflation/deflation? The trick of transferring in and out of Treasuries; more rate hikes affect more than just interest rates; what is really "Fair Value" without Fed intervention? SEG-1: Setting Up for October's Historical Market Bottom SEG-2: Buying Cars w The Roberts' Kids SEG-3: Navigating the Fed's Focus on Inflation SEG-4: The One Asset for Investing During Inflation & Deflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-6fXttAf9Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2655s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will We Re-challenge June's Lows?3" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZawY7axSI3c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Did the Fed Just Break the Economy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7vhjai_U5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1835s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #UsedCarShopping #InterestRateHike #FOMC #BondInvesting #Inflation #Deflation #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/26/22) Markets sold off on Friday, re-testing June's lows. The question now is, is the market set to go lower, or do we get a reflexive rally to sell-into? June's lows will be re-challenged once again this morning, and with markets at three standard deviations off the 50-DMA, a reflexive-rally back up to 3,900 would not be surprising, and a great area from which to lift exposure. Bearish sentiment is now at record levels, and a record number of put-options placed on Friday suggest investors of all stripes are hedging against a market crash. Remember, when bearish sentiment gets to extremes, it tends to become contrarian. Use any rally as an opportunity to lift some assets and reduce risk. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZawY7axSI3c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketCrash #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketSentiment #BearishSentiment #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/24/22) Markets did not respond well to Jerome Powell's statements following this week's FOMC meeting and rate hike. The question now is how far the Fed will go in its inflation fight. What does going long on Treasuries by Institutional investors tell us now? ESG underperformance is causing headaches for Calpers; what happens when political agendas run afoul of investing agendas. Study: Companies with high value also tend to have high carbon footprints. Jamie Dimon's 180 on Cryptocurrency: Decentralized Ponzi Scheme. The importance of Money Scripting in raising money smart kids: Save, Share, Spend. Investing with the Beave: That time Ward taught Wally & Beaver about investing, and that rascal, Eddie Haskell. Linking investments to real-life; Custodial Roth IRA's. SEG-1: How Far will Powell Go? SEG-2: ESG Performance: What Happens When Social Agendas Collide w Investing Agenda SEG-3: Raising Money Smart Kids - The Problem w One-click Purchases SEG-4: Investing with The Beave Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RTm7h9sVbYE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2523s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Higher Rates are Here to Stay Until 2023" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWe17gAeUgk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Did the Fed Just Break the Economy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7vhjai_U5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1835s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #JeromePowell #FOMC #BondInvesting #Inflation #MoneyScript #LeaveItToBeaver #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/22/22) It's a Trifecta Thursday with the onset of Autumn and the Death of the Roberts' Duber; the Fed raises rates 75-basis points, as expected, but shocks markets by saying higher rates are here to stay through 2023...unless something occurs to cause a change in stance. The Fed's "good intentions" vs reality; markets are now on the same page. The impact of higher rates on Bonds: TINA, FOMO, & YOLO in the Bond market; the importance of differentiation in bonds; bonds are a function of economic activity & inflation; Dollar strength is relative; what other currencies are doing, and why the Dollar is the Reserve Currency of the world; are we losing the advantage of the Rule of Law? Bank of Japan's intervention. SEG-1: Thursday Trifecta, Fed Rate Hike SEG-2: The Fed's Intentions vs Reality SEG-3: TINE, FOMO, & YOLO and Bonds SEG-4: Why the Dollar is The Reserve Currency of the World Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7vhjai_U5k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1835s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Higher Rates are Here to Stay Until 2023" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWe17gAeUgk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Could Interest Rates Remain High through 2024?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cicHhGnamI8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2464s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Tail Risk and Persistent Inflation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/tail-risk-and-persistent-inflation -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FOMC #InterestRateHike #JeromePowell #BondInvesting #Inflation #ReserveCurrency #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/22/22) The Fed jacked rates up 75-basis points, as expected, and held out the possibility of at least two more rate hikes this year. The thing that shocked markets was the implication by Jerome Powell that higher rates would be here to stay throughout 2023, barring a recession or credit-related event that might cause the Fed to reverse policy. Markets in response sold off, taking out lows established back in May, an important support level we've been watching. As sentiment sours, and markets sell-off, conditions are ripening for a counter-trend rally. The 20-MDA has crossed over the 50-DMA, so any rally back towards 4,000 on the S&P would appear to be a good exit point for investors to trim risk and raise cash. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWe17gAeUgk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #FOMCMeeting #JeromePowell #InterestRateHikes #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/21/22) The Fed is expected today to raise interest rates by 75-basis points, but the real headline will come from the statement that's issued after the meeting is over: Will Jerome Powell reiterate his hawkish claims from Jackson Hole, or will he backpedal? That news will drive markets into the afternoon. As the Fed continues its rate hike campaign, Treasuries are responding in kind, and at this point, Bonds are cheaper relative to stocks. (A history of rate hikes is given here.) As rates rise, there is a shift from risk (assets) into less-risky instruments (bonds). Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5QUp-riVZOI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #FOMCMeeting #JeromePowell #JuffGundlach #InterestRateHikes #Inflation #SlowerEconomicGrowth #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/20/22) It's turning into a sloppy September for markets, even though support held at May's lows on Monday. Today marks the start of the FOMC meeting, with markets anticipating the group's next move upward on rates by 75bp. Why is Jerome Powell okay with "below trend" economic growth? The trap of investors' "anchoring;" the Fed's view of markets is the only one that counts. Some economic pain is okay...the Fed is going to act in a way that is not friendly to markets. Why the Fed might NOT cut rates; the Fed's actions and chain of events; does the Buffett Indictor indicate a coming market crash? Buy My House (Shark Tank for Real Estate); why Open Door is losing money; this is how you know you're at the top of a market. Zillow's iBuying is geared for volume selling, not profitable deals. Why you really DON'T have to own a house. SEG-1: Sloppy September & Markets' Expectations SEG-2: Why Jerome Powell is Okay with "Below Trend Growth" SEG-3: Is The Buffett Indicator Predicting a Market Crash? SEG-4: How You Know You're at the Top of a Market (Real Estate) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2_eE2iVEa8Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2683s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Rates Reach 4%?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=50DsLuo5gv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show is here: "Is a 75bp Rate Increase Already Baked-in?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ok76LzsOFTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FOMC #InterestRateHike #JeromePowell #EconomicPain #BelowTrendEconomicGrowth #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/20/22) The latest two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee begins today; markets rallied off the May support line in anticipation of Fed Chair Powell's remarks tomorrow. It's expected the Fed will hike rates 75-basis points as it continues to fight inflation by slowing the economy, a phenomenon with which the Fed is apparently comfortable. That means earnings will have to come down even more so than already forecast, putting more pressure on stock prices later this year. The Fed's goal is to get inflation down from the current 8% range to 2% territory. Expectations are the Fed will continue to raise interest rates up to the +4% level before holding firm, and there's no guarantee the Fed will immediately begin to lower rates. The only reason the Fed would lower rates would be in response to an orderly market becoming disorderly. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=50DsLuo5gv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #FOMCMeeting #JeromePowell #InterestRateHikes #Inflation #SlowerEconomicGrowth #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/19/22) A bit of distraction to start the morning with all eyes on the State Funeral of Queen Elizabeth II; the next meeting of the FOMC is on Wednesday, with expectations for a 75-basis point rate increase already "baked into the cake;" there is concern the Fed could go for a 1% rate hike. Goldman is predicting rates at 4 to 4.25% by the end of the year--hopefully the point at which the Fed will halt rate increases. The Stock Buy-back Blackout period is about to commence, and that activity has made up about 40% of Markets' total return since 2011. Federal Express's earnings miss was accompanied by a negative outlook; the Fred Smith Story; when will Amazon be pre-Prime? Is year-over-year portfolio performance comparison a long-enough perspective/ SEG-1: Navigating with The Fed (using lagging data) SEG-2: Why Stock Buy-backs are NOT a Return of Capital to Investors SEG-3: FedEx Fallout SEG-4: Gauging Performance w Proper Perspective Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ok76LzsOFTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Happens When Buy-backs Go Away" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jU185LOQkJ0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show is here: "How High Will Fed Rates Need to Go?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlru4UOaWiY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=934s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FedEx #FOMC #AmazonPrime #BuyBack#Blackout #FredSmith #WalMart #QueenElizabeth_II #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/19/22) Markets sold off Friday on a warning from Federal Express suggesting the economy is slowing down much more than folks are letting on. Markets did break through the rising trend line we've been watching, but did hold on to support going back to the June-July level. Futures this morning are trending lower with additional selling pressure following last week's rather vicious sell-off. There still remains some downside risk today, but markets are over-sold short term. Following Friday's options-expiration selling, there is the possibility of a minor rally, into which investors should sell to rebalance portfolios. The Buy-back Blackout period for the next two weeks will remove some activity from the markets. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jU185LOQkJ0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #BuyBackBlackout #FederalExpress #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/16/22) FedEx's dire predictions are echoing concern of others on the true health of the economy; delivery services are a bellwether of a coming recession. The Fed is in a box; Wal-Mart: If you want deals, we're giving you deals. James Taylor, "Inflation is Dead;" Identifying the Tax Torpedo; the bridge strategy of Tax Torpedo diffusion; when companies get hammered, and the opportunity that's created; America slips in the Global Retirement Index; Lance's Last Chart NFT. SEG-1: What FedEx's Dire Report Means SEG-2: The Tax Torpedo SEG-3: Diffusing the Tax Torpedo SEG-4: When Companies Get Hammered (and create opportunity) Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vIXksrKaFUE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2936s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Could Oil Rally to $95-barrel?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CsTiQCB9-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "How High Will Fed Rates Need to Go?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlru4UOaWiY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=934s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #TaxTorpedo #Retirement #FederalReserve #FedEx #WalMart #JamesTaylor #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/15/22) Markets remain in a broad trading range, even as the Fed prepares for next week's FOMC Meeting: We're witnessing bear market behavior, grinding down investors. The VIX "fear gauge" is remarkably tame. Oil prices could rally to a range of $90-$95/bbl; Michael Lebowitz' motto shifts from "Don't Fight the Fed" to "Follow the Fed," and note its bullish- or bearish-stances. The Fed today (9/15) begins its quantitative tightening. There's no perceptible change in Fed stance: Get rates as high as needed as fast as possible; today's inflation is not the same as in the '70's; the problem with trailing indicators; What will the Fed do next (and note that they don't have to wait until the next meeting to move rates.) Investor navigation is a matter of recognizing the trends. SEG-1: Fed-Speak Preview, Volatility, & Bear Market Behavior SEG-2: Follow the Fed SEG-3: Next FOMC Meeting: How high, How fast? SEG-4: How to Navigate Fed Waters RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlru4UOaWiY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=934s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Could Oil Rally to $95-barrel?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CsTiQCB9-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "How CPI Will Impact Social Security COLA" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-skrZRueDQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Biden's Stimulus Will Cut Poverty By 40% – For One Year." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bidens-stimulus-will-cut-poverty-by-40-for-one-year/ "Deficit Reduction. Is It Reality Or A Mirage?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-reduction-is-it-reality-or-a-mirage-2/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CPI #Inflation #CrudeOilPrices #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/15/22) The Markets' big 4% drop in markets on news August CPI was 8.3% was the follow up to Monday's 90% upside day and the "bullish upthrust" in the market. The resulting 90% down day completely reversed markets' gains, but markets were able to hold on to the rising trendline of higher lows. Futures are weak this morning, so a test of support at last week's lows will be important today. Add to the mix next week's FOMC meeting, and the small possibility of a 1% rate hike. More important will be what the Fed says about inflation, and whether or not the rate hikes may continue. Volatility remains compressed, but there does not seem to be much concern about a potential market crash. Much of the Energy over-bought condition has been worked off, and oil prices now have the potential to rally up into the $90-$95/bbl range, especially if President Biden decides to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, pulling product off the market. The Ten-year Treasury rate has also been on the rise, thanks to inflation concerns and what the Fed has been saying. Bonds are now over-bought by three standard deviations. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CsTiQCB9-E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Inflation #CrudeOil #MarketVolatility #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/14/22) With the latest CPI print at 8.3%, the odds of bigger interest rate increases by the Fed just got better; markets are still within a rising bottom trendline against a declining line of bullishness: Decision time is coming this week, as volatility remains confined. Inflation actually slowed from this time last year; what if you could get more for your money? Lump-sum Pension or long-term payout? How CPI will impact Social Security COLA adjustments; how inflation will hasten Social Security insolvency; the difference between CPI-W & CPI-E and why it matters. Is Social Security welfare or entitlement? Why solutions for "fixing" Social Security are unelectable. The $96-T un-funded liability. The problem w student loan forgiveness. How Joe Biden's Stimmie Checks fulfilled our poverty prophecy; dancing across the poverty line. Pre-market commentary; FAFSA Lunch & Learn preview. SEG-1: The Odds of More Aggressive Rate Hikes Just Increased SEG-2: What If You Could Get More on Your Money? SEG-3: How Inflation Accelerates SS Insolvency SEG-4: Dancing Across the Poverty Line RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-skrZRueDQM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2673s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Financial Media Goes Nuts Over CPI" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2qW7paPBP1g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "8.3% Inflation: Thinking Ahead of the Fed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SXvSzlIiwCw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Biden's Stimulus Will Cut Poverty By 40% – For One Year." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bidens-stimulus-will-cut-poverty-by-40-for-one-year/ "Deficit Reduction. Is It Reality Or A Mirage?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-reduction-is-it-reality-or-a-mirage-2/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #StudentFinancialAid #FAFSA #CollegeLoans #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/14/22) August CPI clocks-in at a hotter-than-expected 8.3%, and the financial media goes nuts, claiming yesterday's sell-off as "markets in turmoil." The reality was, yes, a big 4% sell-off, but a one-day drop that can only be compared to pre-pandemic market action in June of 2020. But more importantly, markets were able to uphold the bullish, rising trend line that has been building for the past few months. That trend will be tested today. The MACD buy-signal was not triggered yesterday, however, keeping downward pressure on the markets. And, despite the sharp sell-off, market volatility remains very muted. There really is no panic or fear in the markets, nor are there outflows of funds; this was not a big catalyst. There certainly are concerns for the future, including the Fed's next rate increase, and the fear the Fed will go too far and break something in the economy. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2qW7paPBP1g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #Inflation #MarketVolatility #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/13/22) All eyes are on today's CPI Report (clocking-in at 8.3% Inflation) and its effects on the economy: What are the numbers within the number, and why does it matter? What will be the Fed's response, and what will it take for the Fed to ease up on rate hikes? The dichotomy of views among Bears vs Bulls: the problem of timing and duration; after 3 Bull Markets, why are 80% of Americans still broke? The White Multi-millionaire Minority. Dealing with short-term market-cycles, and thinking ahead of the Fed: What's the best strategy for Recession? Markets FOMO on potential Fed pivot; trade the market for what it is, not what we wish it was. CPI Preview: Too hot not good for stocks: Fed will continue rate hikes. Has the deficit really been reduced as claimed? SEG-1: The Numbers Within the CPI Number SEG-2: The Dichotomy of Bearish & Bullish Views SEG-3: Thinking Ahead of the Fed SEG-4: CPI Preview; Has the Deficit Been Reduced, as Claimed? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SXvSzlIiwCw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: August Hotter Than Expected" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JCEwcUlPicw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The "Cash on the Sideline" Myth" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bICNrkKrAF8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2742s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Five for Friday: Staples Worth Following" https://simplevisorinsights.com/five-for-friday-staples-worth-following [NOTE: SimpleVisor registration required] "Deficit Reduction. Is It Reality Or A Mirage?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/deficit-reduction-is-it-reality-or-a-mirage-2/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CPI #Inflation #InterestRates #EnergyCosts #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/13/22) The CPI print for August came in at 8.3%, hotter than anticipated. The big question now is whether we've seen the peak of inflation? With markets now solely-dependent upon what the Fed does, rather than on fundamentals, a 75-basis point hike later this month is pretty much a lock. In fact, expectations are for the Fed to go up to 4 to 4.5% on the Fed funds rate. Slower economic growth, slower earnings growth, and higher unemployment are the triggers that will cause the Fed to pause, if not begin to reverse rates. There is a disconnect between markets and what's happening in the economy. Only when the economy worsens will the Fed resort to measures opposite its current stance. [NOTE: This report was recorded prior to today's CPI release.] Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JCEwcUlPicw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #CPIReport #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/12/22) Markets are working off excesses--most companies are currently doing okay, CEO's hoping for a "soft landing." The rising bottoms and declining tops are creating a wedge markets will have to painfully resolve. Why there is no such thing as "cash on the sidelines," but there is a dearth of buyers or dearth of sellers. We're now seeing seller exhaustion; looking at a rally within bearish bias. Animal Sleep Patterns; the unseen impact of energy costs, government bailouts, and the EU economy; the feedback of consumption trends; CEO's at Goldman Retail Conference see no recession before 2023; effects of Fed's rate hike series still to be felt in markets. dealing with the complexity of markets; the difference between college and experience. SEG-1: The Pain Trade Seems to Be Higher SEG-2: There's No Such Thing as "Cash on the Sidelines" SEG-3: Dealing With the Unseen in the Markets SEG-4: Why Experience is a Better Teacher than College RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bICNrkKrAF8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2742s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Pain Trade is Higher" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJUjbf-z9u4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The True Cost of Aging Exposed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hlIlJKC7WY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Five for Friday: Staples Worth Following" https://simplevisorinsights.com/five-for-friday-staples-worth-following [NOTE: SimpleVisor registration required] "Markets Hold Support As Bulls Defy The Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/markets-hold-support-as-bulls-defy-the-fed/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketMyth #PainTrade #MarketImpact #InterestRates #EnergyCosts #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/12/22) Markets last week rallied off support, and are now positioned to move higher with a little pain: There is a rising bullish trend line, continuing the pattern of higher lows since the July bottom. However a corresponding, declining trend line that runs right along the 200-DMA is forming a wedge which will create a short term challenge for markets. A rally to the declining trend line is the most logical course, with short term buy signals emerging and oversold indicators not yet turning to overbought, providing some fuel for markets to move higher. However, a break below the rising trend line would bolster the bearish sentiment, particularly since markets have not factored in the possibility of slower economic growth, slower earnings growth, and an earnings recession potential. Higher rates have not yet impacted the markets as Fed rate hikes continue. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJUjbf-z9u4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRisingTrendLine #PainTrade #200_DMA #100_DMA #50_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/9/22) Why Meghan cannot be Queen; The Janet Yellen Economic Roadshow: taxes must return to "norms;" inflation and the "Fair" economy; energy diversification; Brookings Institute: Unemployment must go higher. Understanding the US economy in COVID; Janet Yellen's EV's; the fiscal fight; why having cash is not a bad thing; market preview: Gerber Insurance; The Elder Index & cost of Aging; demographics and changes to work habits; the importance of good health in retirement; living single in retirement; The Viral Queen; FAFSA preview; "It's Complicated" financial dust bunnies; your end of life plan for your pets; pet trusts. SEG-1: Janet Yellen on Taxes, Inflation, & "Fair" Economy SEG-2: Understanding the US Economy in COVID SEG-3: Market Preview; The True Cost of Aging SEG-4: End of Life Planning for Pets RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Sr. Risk Management Consultant, Chris Liebum LUTFC Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hlIlJKC7WY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2756s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Death Cross & Oil Prices" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kyr2i7vyvmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Currency Swap Line" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ex09Bn_9UD4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2643s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Consumer Staples vs. Discretionary" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-staples-vs.-discretionary "Earnings Decline – Likely More To Go Before We Are Done" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-decline-likely-more-to-go-before-we-are-done/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #QueenElizabeth #JanetYellen #CostOfAging #Inflation #ElderIndex #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/8/22) Markets continue through a holiday-shortened week; use any rally to reduce portfolio risk; the Fed is not backing-off its hawkish stance, but markets are holding support...so far. The Fed's hawkish talk--75bp, with more to come, targeting the 4% range. The ECB is dealing with the same issues as the Fed, plus much higher energy costs. Dealing with the feedback-loop of central bank moves; why dollar strength is a problem for the EU; all currencies are fiat--nothing is "backed" by anything. Liquidity is key; when the dollar tightens, there's a ripple effect for the entire world; the Fed's currency swap-line; with the Russian incursion and higher energy prices, the best way to help the EU is with a stronger Euro; inflation is the bane of bond holders. SEG-1: What if the Market Breaks Through Support? SEG-2: Dealing with the Fed's Feedback Loop SEG-3: The Ripple Effect of Fed Tightening SEG-4: The EU, Bonds, & Russian's Impact RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: The Death Cross & Oil Prices" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kyr2i7vyvmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Should You Jump Into an EV?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t1ioJ5JfHqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2459s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Consumer Staples vs. Discretionary" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-staples-vs.-discretionary "Earnings Decline – Likely More To Go Before We Are Done" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-decline-likely-more-to-go-before-we-are-done/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FederalReserve #Eurozone #HighEnergyPrices #StrongDollar #FiatCurrency #EnergyPrices #Inflation #Rusia_Ukraine #Markets #Money #Investing

market did sustain the rising trend line, with sell signals still in place. This may get us to a point where markets can consolidate to provide another buying opportunity. Markets also held support at May's lows. Today's ECB rate hike announcement and the Fed's policy comments later today will affect markets--we're expecting a 75bp Fed rate hike later this month. Oil has also been on sell signals and over-sold, but there was a death cross of the 50-DMA below the 200-DMA yesterday, suggesting oil prices could go lower. Prices remain under pressure as demand crumbles from the weight of higher inflation. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kyr2i7vyvmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRisingTrendLine #OilPrices #ECBRates #FedRates #DeathCross #200_DMA #100_DMA #50_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/7/22) September markets are underway with buying and selling stampedes; use any rally to reduce risk. If you're worrying too much about your portfolio, you're holding too much risk! Looking forward, earnings expectations are still too elevated, and valuations have to come down. A side-by-side look at the ISM vs S&P PMI; geopolitical decisions affect markets. Europe is imploding over high energy costs (thanks, Vladimir!) As the US exports inflation and imports deflation, effects will be felt here. Markets are likely to re-test 50-DMa; Cali power woes is the price of shifting too quickly to "green" energy sources, before a bridge between "dirty" and "clean" energy. SEG-1: Buying & Selling Stampedes SEG-2: The Problem with Divergent Data SEG-3: The Risk of Betting on a Bear Market Crash SEG-4: The Unintended Consequences of Jumping Into EV's RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t1ioJ5JfHqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2679s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: When Will Markets' Stampede End?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D9Ak0IrBIsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "What's the Half-life of a Biden Fist-bump?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IawOTGD3n_c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2655s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Consumer Staples vs. Discretionary" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/consumer-staples-vs.-discretionary "Earnings Decline – Likely More To Go Before We Are Done" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-decline-likely-more-to-go-before-we-are-done/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SellingStampede #Eurozone #HighEnergyPrices #GreenEnergy #EarningsExpectations #ExcessiveValuations #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/7/22) Markets always operate in either a buying- or selling-stampede, where prices rise incessantly for a period, and then seem to be in a sell-off mode forever; investors are always asking, 'when will it stop?' Example: The July lows that led to the August highs. The current selling stampede has been running for 13-days. To keep this in perspective, we're still above July's lows...there is a risk of re-testing those lows, certainly, given where we are in the markets and the Fed's series of rate adjustments. That doesn't, however, mean that markets would go straight-down; markets do also get exhausted, and these selling stampedes eventually exhaust sellers. Here are indicators we look at to determine when this is could occur. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D9Ak0IrBIsc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #BuyingStampede #SellingStampede #50_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/6/22) The best thing about this week may be that it's only four-days long! Liz Truss is the new UK PM, already embattled; the death of BBY CEO; OPEC's production cut & the half-life of a Biden fist-bump; Russia's weaponization of natural gas to Europe; Europe's response to inflation: Do the same things again that caused it; the move from capitalism to more socialistic practices; market valuations and the shift from GAP to Forward Operating Earnings, a.k.a 'what we wish they were.' There's no forthcoming reprieve from Fed interest rate hikes. SEG-1: Liz Truss, BBY SEO Death; The Half-life of a Biden Fist-bump. SEG-2: The Unwinding of the Economy that Created America's Wealth SEG-3: When Will Things get Back to Normal? SEG-4: The Fed's Jenga Game RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IawOTGD3n_c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2655s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Rally Despite OPEC Production Cuts" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=93RNDdSzkqI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Start Paying More Attention to Employment?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fpkDXstPvM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Bull Rally Fails As Bears Regain Control" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/bull-rally-fails-as-bears-regain-control/ "Earnings Decline – Likely More To Go Before We Are Done" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-decline-likely-more-to-go-before-we-are-done/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #OPEC #OilPrices #FederalReserve #InterestRateHike #JoeBiden #JeromePowell #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/6/22) Markets are set to open higher after lwast week's sell-off, under pressure from Fed head Jerome Powell's post-Jackson Hole speech, suggesting more rate hikes, more aggressively, are still to come. Markets tried to challenge that, until Russia threw a wrench into the works, announcing a cut off of natural gas to Europe. This morning's futures are looking higher, seeking a bit of a rally as markets remain over-sold. Continue to use these rallies to sell into to reduce portfolio risk. Meanwhile, OPEC announced over the weekend a cut in production, proving the half-life of a Biden fist bump is about one month. The cut is no surprise, as oil prices have been under pressure, and OPEC likes those prices kept high. A rally to $95 or $98/bbl would not be surprising, and would create a decent sell point for investors. As the Fed continues to hike rates, demand will weaken, keeping oil prices in a downward trend, despite the production cuts. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=93RNDdSzkqI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #OPEC #OilPrices #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/2/22) In the kind of market where bad news is good news, where do we go from here? The dark side of not allowing business cycle to complete: Recession = Bad; so the market has outrun the economy. Why the Medicare Advantage TV ads have disappeared; the games medical/healthcare delivery companies play; why we prefer Medigap to Medicare Advantage plans. Market Tailwinds have tunred to headwinds: Is now a bad time to retire? Reviewing withdrawal rates over three-year rolling average; Cartoons & Me.TV; will SOcial Security benefits be tax-free by 2023? SEG-1: The Bad News is Good News Market SEG-2: Medicare Advantage & Healthcare Delivery Games SEG-3: Is Now a Bad Time to Retire? SEG-4: Will Social Security be Free by 2023 RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_rsI83VX7M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2885s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: It Was a Bear Market Rally, After All" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJnKkzlPFGQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Start Paying More Attention to Employment?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fpkDXstPvM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #SocialSecurityBenefits #MedicareAdvantage #MedigapCoverage #RetirementTiming #Markets #Money #Investing

(9/1/22) What would happen if markets break through the 50-DMA? We're treating any market rally as an opportunity to sell and reduce equity risk; parsing Jerome Powell's post-Jackson Hole comments; bringing pain to households and businesses, and the beginning of the Price-Wage spiral; will the Fed start to pay more attention to employment numbers? The stats on the Great Resignation--there's a little remorse. The dynamics of house prices, and response to Fed rate hikes; payments and psychology in house buying. The biggest risk to markets is a Fed policy mistake: moving interest rates higher based on lagging economic data, with delayed results by as much as 12-months. Why the Fed should set rates and "let it sit." Quantitative Tightening is the elephant in the room: What interest rate will break the economy? SEG-1: What if Markets Break the 50-DMA? SEG-2: Parsing Jerome Powell & the Beginning of Price-Wage Spiral SEG-3: Is this a Housing Recession or Correction? SEG-4: The Biggest Risk to Markets: A Fed Policy Mistake RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fpkDXstPvM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: It Was a Bear Market Rally, After All" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJnKkzlPFGQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "What CEO Confidence is Saying" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K2kUZhfJ8uk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Market Sell-Off As Jackson Hole Leans Hawkish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-sell-off-as-jackson-hole-leans-hawkish/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentAdvice #EmploymentReport #QuantitativeTightening #InterestRates #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing #BattleshipTexasFoundation

(9/1/22) Cheerleaders singing the praises of a bear market bottom, bullishness abounding, and high prices for equities were back...were wrong. Turns out it was a bear market rally, after an assault on the 200-DMA failed. Breaking the 50-DMA confirms the diagnosis of a bear market rally, indeed, as the same pattern we've seen for this year continues. The markets' over-sold position provides an opportunity to rally. Today will begin on a weaker footing, and September, remember, is typically a weaker trading month. One silver lining--the volume in selling has been a little weaker than normal, which would be a sign of exhaustion by sellers. We're suggesting using any rally at this point as an opportunity to reduce equity risk in portfolios, and raise a little capital. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJnKkzlPFGQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #BearMarketRally #50_DMA #DownsideRisk #Markets #Money #Investing