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The Real Investment Show Podcast

The Real Investment Show Podcast

3,292 episodes — Page 32 of 66

What CEO Confidence is Saying (8/31/22)

(8/31/22) Considering the Fed's Quantitative Tightening and what CEOs' confidence is saying about the economy; confidence on the wane as the economy weakens (which is the intent of the Fed); dire predictions of a "whopper" recession in 2023; why isn't the Fed looking at M-2? Investor psychology and Pavlov's dog: The Fed's QE is the bell; a succinct history of Exogenous Events; moving the Battleship Texas; Warren Buffett's investing advice at 92. SEG-1: The Fed's QT: What CEO Confidence is Saying SEG-2: The 2023 Recession Will Be a Whopper SEG-3: Investor psychology and a Brief History of Exogenous Events SEG-4: Battleships and Warren Buffet at 92. RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K2kUZhfJ8uk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Break 50-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2giYJuL4n_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Why Bitcoin & NFT Trading Has Crashed" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l8g-w2x8uyA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2567s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Market Sell-Off As Jackson Hole Leans Hawkish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-sell-off-as-jackson-hole-leans-hawkish/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentAdvice #EmploymentReport #QuantitativeTightening #InterestRates #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing #BattleshipFoundationGroup

Aug 31, 202247 min

Markets Break 50-DMA (8/31/22)

(8/31/22) Tuesday's Jolt Report showing stronger employment jerked markets to attention with the suggestion the Fed may become even more aggressive in its tightening strategy. However, a closer look at the employment scene reveals labor force participation rates are nothing to crow about. The Fed's focus on inflation after Jerome Powell's post-Jackson Hole speech sparked a sell-off with follow through yesterday on "stronger" employment data, dropping below the 50-DMA, the markets' line in the sand. Markets remain over-sold, giving us the ability for a reflexive rally, and use that as an opportunity to raise cash and reduce portfolio risk. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2giYJuL4n_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketJolt #MarketSelloff #50_DMA #DownsideRisk #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 31, 20223 min

Why Bitcoin and NFT Trading has Crashed (8/30/22)

(8/30/22) Markets are on sell-signals, so use any rally to sell-into and raise cash, rebalance portfolio risk; the impact on credit spreads by rising interest rates will reverberate through the economy. We are likely not through the corrective period. 60% of Americans living paycheck to paycheck--down from 61%! Is the pain worth the fight on inflation? why investing doesn't work as advertised. America exports inflation and imports deflation; what happens when the EU does the same? Top Things Workers Want from Their Jobs; arranging for permanent time off. SIUB: Suck It Up Buttercup and get back to work being productive; Why Bitcoin and NFT trading has crashed. Bitcoin is the "Pet Rock" of the 2020's; Pet Rocks were the NFT's of the '70's. Meghan Markle got the royal shaft; Markets need a reflexive rally; still trying to price-in what the Fed will do. The feedback loop of economic pain = slower economic growth = lower corporate earnings = more job losses & pain. Why the economic recession will be worse than we're being told. SEG-1: Credit Spreads & Interest Rates SEG-2: Is the Pain Worth the Fight on Inflation? SEG-3: SIUB - Return to Work; NFT's the Pet Rocks of 2020 SEG-4: Meghan Markle's Royal Shaft; Why the Economic Recession Will Be Worse Than Expected RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l8g-w2x8uyA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2566s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will a Hold at the 50-DMA Level Continue? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2giYJuL4n_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Filling the Holes in Jackson, WY" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9qwKU7HyTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Market Sell-Off As Jackson Hole Leans Hawkish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-sell-off-as-jackson-hole-leans-hawkish/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentAdvice #InterestRates #BitCoin #Inflation #ReturnToWork #EmployeeBenefits #PetRock #NFT #MeghanMarkle #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 30, 202247 min

Will a Hold at the 50-DMA Level Continue? (8/30/22)

(8/30/22) With markets in an over-sold on multiple levels, a rally was due, and markets did on Monday test the 50-DMA and bounced, almost rallying to break-even, before slipping back to the close. Markets actually posted a "green candle" for the day. Tuesday morning futures are pointing higher, as a prelude to an attempt at a bounce, with the potential to get back up to the 20-DMA. We will likely see a rally that is sold-into. A rally to reverse the over-sold condition is needed if the sell-off is to continue. A hold at the 50-DMA level will continue the upward trend and allow the bulls a little more room in which to work. We're suggesting using any rally to sell-into and raise some cash, because there is still risk to the downside. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2giYJuL4n_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #MarketRally #DownsideRisk #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 30, 20223 min

Filling in the Holes at Jackson, WY (8/29/22)

(8/29/22) The summer drought is revealing strange discoveries; there's no Powell pivot in sight, post-Jackson Hole; the fallacy of college debt forgiveness; Pew charts disappointment by political parties and the effect on markets; Powell's restoration of price stability, rebalancing supply & demand; curbing inflation will likely result in curbing economic growth, pain for households & businesses; more importantly 9and was ignored) was what the ECU said at Jackson Hole; the impact of impending Italian election; no one is paying attention to European energy shortages; bitcoin miners in Texas requesting more power; paying the consequences of flawed economic theories (MMT, Green New Deal); a few diversions: Emotional support gator, sports memorabilia sales, hidden treasures, Aussie spiders, snakes, & Google searches; Market pre-lude & commentary; why Russian sanctions aren't working; impact of nat gas prices in Europe. SEG-1: Drought Discoveries & No Pivot From the Fed SEG-2: Rebalancing Supply & Demand SEG-3: Filling the Holes at Jackson WY SEG-4: Diversions & Discussion: Markets, EU Energy, & Russian Sanctions RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M9qwKU7HyTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Dow Dumps in Response to Powell" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ToPv98MdGc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show is here: "Will Jerome Powell Disappoint?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ow_8wNY6aYw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2675s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Market Sell-Off As Jackson Hole Leans Hawkish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-sell-off-as-jackson-hole-leans-hawkish/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

Aug 29, 202247 min

Dow Dumps in Response to Powell (8/29/22)

(8/29/22) Markets sold off on Friday as the Fed withheld an expected pivot in policy, and actually suggested remaining more aggressive in addressing inflation. Jerome Powell also specifically stated such action would lead to slower economic growth and job losses--a necessary evil in the fight to curb the rate of inflation. The Dow dumped 1,000-points in response, and markets are now looking to test the 50-DMA. Head & Shoulders pattern explained; this does not mean sell everything and move to the sidelines. Look for lower asset prices in the near term and sell signals to remain intact. All of this suggests that we're still in a corrective market and are still in the process of an unfinished sell-off as markets try to price-in much weaker economic growth, which will translate into weaker earnings growth next year. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ToPv98MdGc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #NoFedPivot #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 29, 20223 min

Will Jerome Powell Disappoint Today? (8/26/22)

(8/26/22) Does everything hinge around Jackson Hole? Will Jerome Powell disappoint the hawks? the impact of energy prices on inflation; California's EV gambit; how the drought will impact food prices & inflation. How the Inflation Reduction Act will cap prescription drug prices--eliminating the Medicare donut hole; Drug Holidays, the Anxiety in Retirement Planning; Medicare Confusion; A Dr Pepper a Day, and putting coke back into Coke; How to not out-live your retirement. SEG-1: Will Jerome Powell Disappoint? SEG-2: The Silver Lining in the Inflation Reduction Act SEG-3: What Women Fear Most About Retirement SEG-4: How Not to Outlive Your Assets in Retirement RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ow_8wNY6aYw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2675s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: All Eyes on Jackson Hole" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYcqKcfYODA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Price-Wage Spiral" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SGM0x6vAYXQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentAdvice #JacksonHole #InflationReductionAct #InterestRates #MedicareDonutHole #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 26, 202247 min

The Price-Wage Spiral (8/25/22)

(8/25/22) The Jackson Hole Symposium launches today; Is the Fed going to pivot? NVIDIA forecasting lower earnings; the good news/bad news about student loan forgiveness and the problem with "free" money; Cracker Barrel's veggie sausage; challenges for the Jackson Hole in the wall gang: Transitioning to a new, lasting reality w Inflation and the price-wage spiral; Fed presidents looking for a "softer" landing (softer than what??) Encyclopedias & the Copy & Paste Fed; are we seeing signs of a housing recession? The effects of monetary policy and policy lag; past-due power bills' impact on Municipal Bonds; de-globalization and the end of abundance in the EU; impact of slower European economy on the US, where 40% of corporate earnings come from spending abroad. SEG-1: Jackson Hole Prelude: Is the Fed Going to Pivot? SEG-2: The New, Lasting Reality of Inflation SEG-3: Encyclopedias & The Copy-and-Paste Fed SEG-4: The End of Abundance RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SGM0x6vAYXQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: All Eyes on Jackson Hole" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYcqKcfYODA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Scary Consequences of Student Loan Forgiveness" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QzIFrI3Ubo8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentAdvice #StudentLoanForgiveness #PriceWageSpiral #JacksonHole #EndOfAbundance #AggressiveFed #InterestRates #InflationReductionAct #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 25, 202247 min

All Eyes on Jackson Hole (8/25/22)

(8/25/22) All eyes are on Jackson Hole, WY, as global leaders converge on the financial symposium to plot the future of the world (!) Market pundits have been talking about a Fed "pivot" in policy since July, as reports emerged indicating inflation might have peaked; but Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic this morning commented that inflation may remain more persistent than expected, which could induce the Fed to continue hiking rates for longer than anticipated. With the lagging properties of monetary policy, such rate moves might not show up in the economy for 8- to 12-months. That heightens the risk of a Fed policy mistake of going too far on rate hikes. As the markets digest economic data, there is the hope the Fed might lighten up a bit, but that's different from reversing rate policy. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYcqKcfYODA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 25, 20224 min

Scary Consequences of Student Loan Forgiveness (8/24/22)

(8/24/22) Markets have a laser-focus on upcoming Jackson Hole conference; is the Fed going to get more aggressive in dealing with inflation? Expectations for a more persistent level of inflation The Housing market is in the early stages of recession. Dennis Rodman's trek to Russia to bargain for Brittney Griner's release; what could possibly go wrong? Joe Biden's student loan debt forgiveness gambit; unintended consequences--it's a taxable event. The history of student loans; the resulting inflation will more than negate the effects of the "Inflation Reduction Act;" the stats of student loans; Fat kids and Global Warming; how to adjust your stock & bond portfolios. SEG-1: Jackson Hole Prelude: Will the Fed Get More Aggressive? SEG-2: Dennis Rodman to the Rescue; Biden's Student Loan Forgiveness SEG-3: Unintended Consequences of Student Loan Forgiveness SEG-4: 20-Ideas for Adjusting Stock & Bond Portfolios RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QzIFrI3Ubo8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Targeting 4,000 to 4,160 as We Head Into Jackson Hole" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cFOsI9EkRjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "How to Navigate Through Stagflation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3xUDJ328DU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentAdvice #StudentLoanForgiveness #JacksonHole #AggressiveFed #InterestRates #InflationReductionAct #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 24, 202248 min

Can Stocks Maintain a Rebound? (8/24/22)

(8/24/22) As predicted, markets finished lower on Tuesday, violating the 20-DMA and setting up markets for a moderate rebound today. 4,160 will be the new resistance level. If sell-signals remain in place through the end of the week, that will suggest more weakness in markets, and more downward pressure on prices. A sharp reversal in over-sold conditions, and reduction of money flows, indicates a reversal of bullish sentiment. Breadth has been narrowing, and the recent sell off has been swift. The range we're targeting is 4,000 to 4,160 as we head into the Jackson Hole summit. September is traditionally a weaker month, and a pullback here would tend to set markets up for stronger performance at the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cFOsI9EkRjE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #JacksonHole #BullishSentiment #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 24, 20223 min

How to Navigate Through Stagflation (8/23/22)

(8/23/22) Markets slice through the 100-DMA; potential impact of the coming Jackson Hole extravaganza; We export inflation and import cheap stuff; how to navigate through stagflation; back to college, self-checking at Walmart, Full-service filling stations; the saga of Meme Stocks; don't try to always make money in the market; outperforming a down market is key to success. Watch for slower economic growth as Fed continues to tighten; how Zoome became ubiquitous for online meetings; fundamental evaluations matter; the success of "House of the Dragon." SEG-1: How to Navigate Through Deflation SEG-2: Back to College & Saga of the Meme Stocks SEG-3: Can Markets Still Make Positive Returns in 2022? SEG-4: Taking the Zip out of Zoom RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G3xUDJ328DU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Slicing Through Support Levels" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URswcY8N3mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Reddit Run-up on AMC Stock" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZKPbhkFpOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2692s -------- Article mentioned in today's show: "Five for Friday" from SimpleVisor.com: https://simplevisorinsights.com/five-for-friday-closed-end-fund-mlps-trading-at-a-discount ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentAdvice #StagflationNavigation #MemeStocks #BearMarket #AMC #APE #Apple #Meta #Microsoft #Tesla #Zoom #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 23, 202247 min

Markets Slicing Through Support Levels (8/23/22)

(8/23/22) Friday's market sell-off is followed by mayhem on Monday, with the worst day of performance since the market found its bottom back in July. Markets sliced clean through levels of support yesterday and this morning are poised for a mild opening; we don't think it will be able to stick, however, as the 20-DMA is retested. Will Markets follow the trendline established for the past 20-weeks? The 100-DMA of 4080 is likely a more logical level to establish support. Any reflexive rally today might be a good opportunity to take profits and rebalance portfolios against risk. A failure of the 100-DMA will default to the 50-DMA at 3950--a 50% retracement of the rally from the low. We're watching the MACD indicator closely for signs of the next opportunity to put money to work. If markets can retain support through the upcoming Jackson Hole extravaganza and the September meeting of the FOMC, we might have a good shot for a rally into the year-end. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URswcY8N3mg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FOMCMeetingMinutes #BullMarket #BearMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 23, 20223 min

The Reddit Run-up on AMC Stock (8/22/22)

(8/22/22) The Roberts' House Squirrel Infestation; Historic stats on Bear Market Rallies: 30% of the 17% market gain is on the backs of four stocks: Apple, Meta, Microsoft, & Tesla; Why 40% of executives are rescinding job offers; why we'll be lucky to hit 1% GDP in 2023; check out our "Five for Friday" report; comparing stock fundamentals to ETF performance; what's going to happen when ETF's sell-off? How Reddit ran up the price of AMC; going APE for AMC stock. Will we end up with only ONE movie theater chain? SEG-1: Dogs, Squirrels, & Blood Bath & Beyond SEG-2: What Jobs Markets Really Says About the Economy SEG-3: The Challenges of Fundamentals vs ETF's SEG-4: Going APE over AMC RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZKPbhkFpOY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2692s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Has the 9-week Rally Ended?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KUTOnNcToY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Moderation" is "Recession"? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pfxqhd7835c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2713s -------- Article mentioned in today's show: "Five for Friday" from SimpleVisor.com: https://simplevisorinsights.com/five-for-friday-closed-end-fund-mlps-trading-at-a-discount ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investment_Advice #Bear_Market #Blood_Bath_and_Beyond #AMC #APE #Apple #Meta #Microsoft #Tesla #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 22, 202247 min

Has the 9-week Rally Ended? (8/22/22)

(8/22/22) Over-extended markets sold off on Friday after breaching the 50-DMA, and ran into resistance at the 200-DMA. This 9-week rally aligns with similar bear market rallies historically; one thing we're looking for is a sell-signal in the MACD indicator. The money flow indicator is also showing a sell-signal, suggesting some downward pressure follow-through this morning (futures are pointing lower.) The first support test will be at the 20-DMA. The 50-DMA is the markets' "line in the sand." More detailed analysis is provide in this weekend's Bull Bear Report, the link for which is found below. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "FOMC Minutes Excites The Bulls?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/fomc-minutes-excites-the-bulls/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KUTOnNcToY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investing_Advice #FOMC_Meeting_Minutes #Bull_Market #Bear_Market #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 22, 20223 min

Six Guidelines for the Bank of Mom & Dad (8/19/22)

(8/19/22) Why the markets are feeling very "beary;" Fed pivot talk is ridiculous; future Jobs cuts are going to be more white-collar; spending habits are shifting; The cost of raising children should be birth control enough; What happens when the Bank of Mom & Dad helps kids with mortgages; Texas food addictions; Lending guidelines for the Bank of Mom & Dad; thinking like a loan officer; who in the world wants to work for the IRS? Tax implications for lending to kids; lending vs gifting to children; the question of balance: How much "skin-in-the-game" do the kids have? SEG-1: Why the Markets Feel Very "Beary" SEG-2: What it Really Costs to Raise Your Kids SEG-3: Food Addictions; Guidelines for the Bank of Mom & Dad SEG-4: Tax Implications for Family Loans [NOTE: Our live-stream failed during the fourth segment; you can listen to the complete show audio here: ] RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A6lP2m6v6HE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: FOMC Meeting Minutes: Fedspeak Translation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qOVqNotzoyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Moderation" is "Recession"? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pfxqhd7835c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2713s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investment_Advice #Bear_Market #Cost_of_Raising_Children #Bank_of_Mom_and_Dad #Family_Loans #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 19, 202247 min

"Moderation" is a Polite Term for "Recession" (8/18/22)

(8/18/22) It's College Move-in Week; parsing the latest meeting minutes of the FOMC: Markets rally despite economic backdrop; why retail sales numbers aren't what they seem: We're spending more, getting less; the lag-effect of Fed policy; How FOMC Meeting minutes are "crafted" for release; Hawks and Doves: There's something for everyone. Code words the Fed uses. Ice cream vs Bagels; Cheeseburgers vs salads; health in retirement; Gravity Payments CEO Quits; Entry level jobs/pay; minimum wage vs living wage; the problem with brining semiconductor production onshore; "Friend-shoring" to Vietnam; re-shoring of production to US is unfeasible; the false paradigm that everyone deserves a living wage; the minimum wage is actually zero--you're paid what you're worth. Why we have inflation: We want too much. SEG-1: College Move-in Season; FOME Meeting Minutes De-coded. SEG-2: "Moderation" is a Polite Term for "Recession" SEG-3: Ice cream, Healthy Food, & Retirement SEG-4: Lance's Rant: The False Paradigm of Minimum Wage RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pfxqhd7835c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2713s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: FOMC Meeting Minutes: Fedspeak Translation" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qOVqNotzoyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Should You Be "All-in" Now?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33nOdDCrqpg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2549s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FOMC_Meeting_Minutes #Recession #Minimum_Wage_vs_Living_Wage #Friend_Shoring #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 18, 202247 min

FOMC Meeting Minutes: Fed Speak Translation (8/18/22)

(8/18/22) If the Fed's most recent FOMC Meeting Minutes were a fairytale, it might be an adaptation of The Three Bears--something for Goldilocks and everyone else. Markets rallied right into the 200-dma, selling off in the morning, as the Fed fed both hawks and doves in its FOMC Meeting minutes release: "Moving to a restrictive policy stance is required" inspired the hawks, but does not suggest a Fed picot anytime soon. But, "the bulk of the tightening effect is yet to be felt," teased market bulls that the Fed isn't going to tighten as much because of the 9-month lag between Fed monetary policy actions and economic effects. Future rate hikes will be determined by incoming information, which soothes the souls of dovish investors concerned about the pacing of future rate hikes. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qOVqNotzoyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FOMC_Meeting_Minutes #Dovish_Fed #Interest_Rate_Hikes #Bull_Market #Bear_Market #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 18, 20223 min

Should You Be "All-In" Now? (8/17/22)

(8/17/22) Retailers' earnings reports and forecasts are painting a gloomy picture in contrast to Wall Street's cheerleaders: Target's earnings (and what they did to liquidate surplus inventory) is a cautionary tale. FOMC Meeting Minutes will be released today, expected to reveal the Fed's proclivities about future rate hikes. If you assume we're in a Bear market, you must also presume there has to be a rally. Should you be al-in, or not? How Consumers' buying habits are changing: Wal-Mart & IHOP; How do you Define a Bear Markets vs a Bull Market? Where do you think you rank in priority for your Broker's attention? Making the transition from Uber Bear to Uber Bull. Understanding Homebuilders' reports; the trend away from single family to multi-family construction; rental vs home ownership: How you know when you can (or cannot) afford to buy a house. SEG-1: Retail Earnings - Target's Case Study SEG-2: Should You Me "All-In" Now? SEG-3: How Your Broker is Really Incentivized SEG-4: How You Know You Can Afford to Buy a House...or not RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=33nOdDCrqpg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2549s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the FOMC Meeting Minutes Reveal a Dovish Stance?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OgZpQvfTzhE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Biden bill Will Cause HIGHER Inflation" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5kQLvdxK6jM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2656s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bull_Market #Bear_Market #Retail_Sales #Target #WalMart #Home_Builders #Renting_vs_Home_Ownership #Stock_Broker #Broker_Incentives #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 17, 202247 min

Will the FOMC Meeting Minutes Reveal a Dovish Stance? (8/17/22)

(8/17/22) Markets are already up 17% from the last lows, making for an incredible run-up and an about-face from mid-July's pessimism to the current state of euphoria. Two things to keep in mind today: The most recent FOMC Meeting minutes will be revealed, with many looking for a more dovish slant from the Fed, anticipating a stall in rate hikes sooner than later. Markets are now two standard deviations above the 50-DMA, and markets will have difficulty remaining at that level without some reversion TO the average or BELOW the average. When that occurs, a better buying opportunity will present itself. It will be important for stocks to hold support at whatever level its reversion establishes; if not, markets will break below that point, and the media will trumpet the return of a bear market. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OgZpQvfTzhE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FOMC_Meeting_Minutes #Dovish_Fed #Interest_Rate_Hikes #Bull_Market #Bear_Market #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 17, 20223 min

Biden Bill Will Cause HIGHER Inflation

(8/16/22) We might not yet be in Recession, but the stage is being set for one; if the Fed has to cut rates, the underlying reason will not bode well for markets. What has happened to demand? Biden bill to reduce inflation will not have much effect, but will cause higher inflation, negative GDP, and job losses; will also result in more IRS audits for middle class. Congress can defund in 2024. SEG-1: In Search of Markets' Higher High: Correction to Come? SEG-2: We're Not In a Recession...Yet SEG-3: Dive Bar Ice Cream & Chasing Tesla: Unintended Consequences SEG-4: Why Beefed-Up IRS Might Not Last RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5kQLvdxK6jM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=2656s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Market Correction Would Be No Surprise" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uDKCEWyf3yE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Why Earnings Estimates Don't Matter Any More" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t9pC2IcULsI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2687s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bull_Market #Bear_Market #Stock_Valuations #Federal_Reserve #Interest_Rate_Hikes #Inflation_Reduction_Act #Unintended_Consequences #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 16, 202247 min

Market Correction Would Be No Surprise

(8/16/22) Markets have been on a rallying tear since May; unfortunately, these bull rallies do not have an unlimited life, and after ten-weeks of this action, markets are very over-bought, and at this point, historically, there have always been corrections along the way to re-test support. So a correction to about 4,000 on the S&P would be no surprise and would provide a decent entry point for adding a little more equity exposure to your portfolio - if, indeed, this is a trending bull market. The difference, this time, is where interest rates are now, as the Fed reduces its balance sheet. Interestingly, markets are behaving in much the same way as before, using a little hindsight bias to justify buying. The weekly technicals indicate a bullish market, but that's on a short-term basis, and care should be taken as we remember that the Fed is tightening up liquidity, not increasing it. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uDKCEWyf3yE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bulls #Bears #Market_Correction #Interest_Rates #Fed_Tightening #Equity_Exposure #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 16, 20223 min

Why Earnings Estimates Don't Matter Anymore (8/15/22)

(8/15/22) Will the impact of inflation on household budgets spur the Fed to back-off rate hike campaign? The bigger question is when might the Fed not just stop the hikes, but reverse the direction of rates? Technical commentary on the Bull vs Bears Battle Royale: How does a bull market continue amidst overwhelming, negative indicators? What could possibly go wrong with the IRS hiring armed agents with the ability to use deadly force? The unintended consequences of sending checks to households = high inflation; Ford CEO comments on EV's and coincidental price $8,500 price increase as Inflation Act extends $7,500 tax credit for EV's. The gap between government reporting and household surveys will likely close following November elections and data "revisions;" Is the current rally a stop along the way to lower levels? the biggest challenge to stocks going forward is valuations. Earnings were "okay" as better-than-expected, but better be better next quarter. Better to be long on the market than short, but that will change. SEG-1: When Will the Fed Start Reducing Rates? SEG-2: The Bullish- Bearish-Battle Royale SEG-3: The Unintended Consequences of the "Inflation Reduction" Act SEG-4: Why Earnings Estimates Really Don't Matter RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t9pC2IcULsI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2687s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Are Bullish on a Short Term Basis" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qCxqUtCLSYE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Are Prices "Stickier" Than We Think?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0dGTtx0sMZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bull_Market #Bear_Market #Stock_Valuations #Federal_Reserve #Interest_Rate_Hikes #Inflation_Reduction_Act #Unintended_Consequences #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 15, 202247 min

Markets Bullish on a Short Term Basis (8/15/22)

(8/15/22) Markets are very bullish on a short-term basis, and are set to test the 200-DMA; that's hard to believe with all the negative economic data that's currently about. Think that's weird? Markets are markets, and they tend to lead the economy, rather than lag. But it's way too early to determine whether markets are telling us the worst of the economic downdraft is behind us. If markets continue to advance, a pullback to support would then provide an opportunity for more equity exposure short-term. Much will depend upon what the Fed does, and the Jackson Hole meeting later this month may provide a clue. Economic data remains very weak, supporting the bearish case that the Fed's not done yet. Inflation is not going to come down from the 8% range this year, and the Fed is not reducing its quantitative tightening anytime soon, which has helped support stock prices for the past several years. The bears, therefore, have a good case as Fed liquidity begins to come out of the market at some point. So, short term, markets are bullish, but over the long haul, the bears may return. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qCxqUtCLSYE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are the Bulls Gaining the Upper Hand?" https://youtu.be/M-BqfTxIp4k ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bulls #Bears #Weakening_Economic_Data #Federa_Reserve #Quantitative_Easing #Quantiative_Tightening #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 15, 20223 min

Why the IRS Needs Armed Agents (8/12/22)

(8/12/22) Markets' counter-trend rally despite no changes fundamentally; "Inflation" and "easing" shouldn't be in the same sentence; Janet Yellen as "Grand Theft Granny:" Why the IRS needs armed agents; now is the time for all good men to trim equity exposure; why "The Flintstones," "Bewitched," and "Leave it to Beaver" could never be produced today; why Long Term Returns Are Unsustainable; the perfect economic storm; demographics are deflationary; the state of Social Security; long term care and why you need insurance before you need insurance. SEG-1: Markets' Counter-trend Rally: The fundamentals haven't changed SEG-2: Grand Theft Granny & IRS Agents; Time to Trim Equities Holdings? SEG-3: Flintstones vs PC TV; Demographics are Deflationary SEG-4: Why You Need Insurance Before You Need It RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1T3SdVtqkqY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2716s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Inflation Lower Than Expected" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQzrfShRYzY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Are Prices "Stickier" Than We Think?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0dGTtx0sMZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #Inflation #IRS #Counter_trend_rally #JanetYellen #TrimmingEquities #Deflation #LongTermCareInsurance #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 12, 202248 min

Are Prices "Stickier" Than We Think? (8/11/22)

(8/11/22) Markets' aftermath of a flat CPI print: Has inflation peaked? Markets' 50% retracement of previous decline: What's the difference between a bear market and a correction? World Record Ghost Pepper eater; Markets' response to 0% inflation print (and what this really means); the Fed is tricky--the fallacy of "core" inflation; Are prices "stickier" than we think? The challenge of an unstable economic environment; the fallout from pandemic: Two forms of Fed "backing-off." The time to buy stocks is when the Fed cuts rates. Earnings Season recap: What happened at Disney? The real risk to markets is a drop in earnings from loss of consumer spending as inflation saps finances. SEG-1: CPI Fallout - Has Inflation Peaked? SEG-2: Is the Fed Losing the Case for Rate Hikes? SEG-3: Digesting CPI: Two Forms of Fed "Backing-off" SEG-4: When is the Best Time to Buy Stocks? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0dGTtx0sMZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Inflation Lower Than Expected" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQzrfShRYzY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Anticipating Today's CPI" hhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b49f7-NNs54&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2658s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #Inflation #StickyPrices #CoreCPI #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 11, 202247 min

Inflation Lower Than Expected (8/11/22)

(8/11/22) Inflation came in less than expected, spurring stocks higher, as expected. The 0% print was almost entirely due to falling energy prices, but without that variable, CPI actually rose a bit, with Core CPI still in positive territory. (This doesn't mean that inflation declined; it's still advancing at 8.5%. The hope now is that the Fed won't have to hike rates as much. There are technical backdrops that are encouraging to the bullish perspective on stocks. The bearish case remains the Fed, as if continues to raise rates and tighten monetary policy. Going forward, earnings have to be better-than-expected in an environment where earnings estimates are falling, the economy is weakening, and wage pressures impact corporation. Fundamentally, this is not good for equity prices. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQzrfShRYzY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 11, 20223 min

Anticipating Today's CPI

(8/10/22) Going back to school in a Recession: July CPI anticipation [NOTE: At 7:30a CDT, CPI reported "cooler" than expected, at 8.5% year over year], and watching the Yield Curve; NFIB sales expectations are plummeting; workers becoming less productive as wages rise; higher prices are being passed on to consumers; childhood diseases & garden hose immunity; Market Commentary: betting on the Fed to pivot; stock analysis: who's down 20%? CPI math: Measuring month-to-month vs year-to-year indexes. Where were we a year ago? What will Fed speakers subsequently say? Health is wealth: issues of mortality and long-term care insurance. SEG-1: Anticipating CPI; NFIB's Not So Great Expectations SEG-2: Are Markets Betting on a Fed Pivot? SEG-3: CPI/Inflation Math Explained SEG-4: Health is Wealth RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b49f7-NNs54&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2658s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Waiting on the Inflation Print" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q1q6ReEi7_4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Pandemic Effect" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oLxQYLplFi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2659s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #Inflation #NFIB_Sales_expectations #Recession #FedPivot #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 10, 202247 min

Waiting on the Inflation Print (8/10/22)

(8/10/22) Markets have rallied up into resistance over the past few days, consolidating at previous resistance levels, waiting on today's inflation print. [NOTE: At 7:30a CDT, CPI reported "cooler" than expected, at 8.5% year over year.] Weaker inflation will be interpreted as being good for stocks, because the Fed may be compelled to slow their aggressive rate hike campaign. Regardless, markets are very overbought on a short-term basis. The longer-term MACD indicator, however, is starting to weaken, suggesting price momentum is slowing. The question now is how stocks might transition over the next few days. There is more risk to the downside than there is upside potential. A correction back to the 50-DMA will provide a better opportunity to put capital to work. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q1q6ReEi7_4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 10, 20223 min

The Pandemic Effect (8/9/22)

(8/9/22) Bemoaning the death of Olivia Newton-John and the loss of our youth; markets' behavior because there's no pressure on the Fed to pivot. Yet. Why flat beer may be the next thing: CO2 shortage, The Roberts' Family vacation: Driving in Italy and Yacht price inflation; hypocrisy of Millennials decrying capitalism on iPhones; NVIDIA & Peloton performance: The post-pandemic effect; lower expectations reflect return to "normal;" factors that support higher market prices; a colder winter coming, per Farmer's Almanac; why stocks are rallying on not-as-bad-as-expected information, and a look at the history of stock market rallies. SEG-1: No Pressure on the Fed to Pivot SEG-2: CO2 Shortages, Italian Driving Skills, and Mega-Yachts SEG-3: The Pandemic Effect SEG-4: The Farmer's Almanac & Stock Rally on Not-as-bad News RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oLxQYLplFi4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2659s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Fed Close to the End?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q8pizJ3_dZA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "When Inflation Reduction Becomes Climate Change" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uy3FXT7Y8sc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=648s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OliviaNewtonJohn #FedPivot #MegaYacht #Inflation #NVIDIA #Peloton #PandemicEffect #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 9, 202249 min

Is the Fed Close to the End? (8/9/22)

(8/9/22) The debates are raging over whether we're seeing the dawning of a new Bull Market, or only a continuation of a Bear Market rally. Who'll be correct? More importantly, what should YOU do at this juncture? Markets have been improving, technically...a nice pattern of rising tops and bottoms has led markets back up to resistance levels from June of this year. If markets fail from this point, it will confirm the Bear Market Rally; however, there are some indicators of more Bull Market action. Stocks could go through a repricing as the Fed raises rates, tightens liquidity, and economic activity slows, weighing on corporate earnings and outlooks. If the Fed is closer to ending its campaign against inflation, though, that might be interpreted as the economy is as bad as it gets, and a turnaround is ahead. There are good arguments for both these, which is why we're keeping a little cash on the sidelines, and allowing the markets to do what they're going to do. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q8pizJ3_dZA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullMarket #BearMarket #MarketRally #NegativeSentiment #FederalReserve #RateHikes #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 9, 20223 min

When Inflation Reduction Becomes Climate Change (8/8/22)

(8/8/22) The so-called "Inflation Reduction" Act gets a fresh skin, but it's the same old wine, and its impact on inflation will be to exacerbate the problem further. The newly re-named the "Climate Change & Tax Act" is the same old tax & spend bill as before; the devil is in the details. How the math really works, and why inflation will be lower in 2023, but not down to the Fed's 2% target. 10% of the bill will fund hiring 87k new IRS employees. Stock buy-backs have helped keep stock prices elevated; how new bill's tax buy backs will affect markets. Corporate taxes will be passed on to consumers. SEG-1: Back to School: Why the Tax Act Will Increase Inflation SEG-2: Impact of the new Tax & Spend bill SEG-3: The Genius Behind Democrats' Inflation Reduction Act SEG-4: Too Early to Say We're at Markets' Bottom RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uy3FXT7Y8sc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=648s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Markets' Bullish Mood Just Hype?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3bTPJbbNJ7M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show is here: "Credit Card Use is Off the Charts" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SnPN2sLy50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InflationReductionAct #ClimateChangeBill #TaxBill #StockBuyBack #ExciseTax #FederalReserve #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 8, 202247 min

Is the Markets' Bullish Mood Just Hype? (8/8/22)

(8/8/22) Negative market sentiment should lead to lower equity prices, but in the short-term, some bullish patterns emerge. Markets' three-week rally is tempting the media to hype the new, bullish mood. Markets still have a lot of work ahead as the Fed hikes rates and tightens policy in its inflation fight,. That's going to lower economic activity, which will, in turn, force stocks to reprice for that. If markets pull-back, where will support be found? Interestingly, the 50-DMA is being crossed by the 20-DMA, indicating that any pull-back is likely to be pretty decent support for the short term--we're thinking around 3,950 to 4,000 on the S&P. A 200-point decline would be a nice correction. However, any voilation of the 50-20 crossover would suggest a re-test of lows, and put us back into a bearish trend. A pull-back that holds puts you in a position for greater equity exposure. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3bTPJbbNJ7M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullMarket #NegativeSentiment #FederalReserve #RateHikes #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 8, 20223 min

Why the "Inflation Reduction" Act Will Make Things Worse (8/5/22)

(8/5/22) Today's Jobs Report should shed some light on what companies have been thinking as the economy wanes; are there more layoffs to come? The Inflation Reduction Bill will have unintended consequences; how inflation is hitting back to school expenses; dealing with the question of IRA Conversions; the exceptions to the rule: 72-T. How to leave a legacy with IRA's; investment scams we're seeing; how to keep more of your money and avoid the coming higher taxes. SEG-1: Jobs Report Preview: Why the Inflation Reduction Act Won't SEG-2: Back to School Expense & Best Uses of IRA's & Roths SEG-3: Dealing with IRS's & Exceptions to the Rule SEG-4: Investment Scams, Avoiding Taxes, and Keeping More of Your Money RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ozgtJXo_eRg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2680s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Has a New Bull Market Started?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8gvC9J66PMI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Credit Card Use is Off the Charts" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SnPN2sLy50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #InflationReductionAct #JobsReport #BackToSchool #IRS #Roth #RetirementSavings #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 5, 202248 min

Credit Card Use is Off The Charts! (8/4/22)

(8/4/22) With too many bears in the markets, and no won left to sell, markets needed a rally to suck bulls back in for one, last ride before The Recession. The unbelievable tone-deafness of SF Fed President Mary Daly; what the increase in credit card usage means; how aggressive will the Fed be in raising rates ahead of Recession? Dueling Farmer's Almanacs differ on the severity of the coming Winter; cooking on the hood of your car in Texas; regardless of the financial media, what's your gut tell you about the markets? SEG-1: The Three Phases of a Bear Market SEG-2: The Tone-deaf Fed SEG-3: How Aggressive Wil the Fed Be? SEG-4: Dueling Farmer's Almanacs & What Your Gut Tells You RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_SnPN2sLy50&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Has a New Bull Market Started?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8gvC9J66PMI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The Upper Middle Class is Feeling the Squeeze" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tNEgOoiQBeg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2728s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullMarket #Recession #FederalReserve #Layoffs #RateHikes #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 4, 202249 min

Has a New Bull Market Started? (8/4/22)

(8/4/22) Markets have been due for a rally following extremes in negative sentiment and positioning by fund managers and hedge funds. The extreme bearishness meant there were no sellers left in the market, setting up for a buying frenzy. Now the headlines are heralding a "new bull market" that "you've got to get in." The markets are predicting the Fed will pivot...BUT, the Fed is saying no such thing, with Fed Pres. Bullard advocating for 3.5% rates. In fact, the most recent rate increases won't even show up the markets for 9-months. There IS a difference this time as the Fed fights the highest levels of inflation in 40-years. And markets have yet to price in the effects of slower economic activity as a result of the higher rates. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8gvC9J66PMI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullMarket #NegativeSentiment #FederalReserve #RateHikes #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 4, 20222 min

The Upper Middle Class is Feeling the Squeeze (8/3/22)

(8/3/22) So we may NOT be in a Recession just yet: There could be positive economic growth in the 3rd and 4th quarters, but afterwards, look out! Robinhood's layoffs could be the prelude to more upheaval in the Jobs market. The economic squeeze on the upper-middle class; Curb-feelers, Mad Max, Cali, Utah, and the Americanization of Mexico; the significance of behavior in M-2 Money Supply. The impact of debt, and changes coming from the Secure Act 2.0; Why Fed Gov. Bullard wants 3.5% rates for a Fed "soft landing;" Equifax credit reporting gaffe; traveling on CC points, and the trouble with airlines. SEG-1: Why We May NOT Be in a Recession...yet SEG-2: What the Robinhood Layoffs May Be Heralding SEG-3: Changes Coming from Secure Act 2-0 SEG-4: Equifax Credit Scores and Traveling on CC Points RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tNEgOoiQBeg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2728s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can Markets Sustain July's Rally?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uJ_NeHXvnOw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "When We Think the Recession Will Hit" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BSHaA05E-Ds&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2618s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession #Robinhood #Inflation #Deflation #FederalReserve #Layoffs #Mexico #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 3, 202247 min

Can Markets Sustain July's Rally? (8/3/22)

(8/3/22) Markets will open higher after a sloppy Tuesday of trading, trying to hold on to the bullish rally that started in July. Markets are now as over-baought as they were in March; markets need to hold the 50-DMA as support. With earnings coming in as a mixed bag, estimates for future earnings are coming down. Markets need to consolidate, and a pullback to the 50-DMA would set up for a stronger rally later. Things are still risky, and we're taking profits for now. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uJ_NeHXvnOw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #NegativeSentiment #FederalReserve #RateHikes #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 3, 20222 min

When We Think the Recession Will Hit (8/2/22)

(8/2/22) Economists' historic definition of "recession" is now being challenged by social media fact-checkers; the Roberts Family meets the neighbors: diversity on parade; market commentary: What August holds for investors; ESG Investing is unraveling; how the government creates more problems than it solves; the economic cycle will take care of itself. The behavior of Treasuries: What happens when the Fed finally pivots; why analysts are revising estimates downward; what happens when you reduce the "E" in P/E ratios; why we think the Recession will hit in 2023 (when no one's looking). SEG-1: Redefining Recession SEG-2: The Roberts Meet the Neighbors + Market Commentary: MACD on the Rise SEG-3: Solving Problems by Causing Other Problems SEG-4: When the Fed Finally Pivots... RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BSHaA05E-Ds&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2618s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will July's Strength Carry On to August?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t9XugyT6Sok&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show is here: "August Begins: Bull or Bear?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SuH8wwwghu8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2752s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession #Inflation #Deflation #FederalR

Aug 2, 202247 min

Will July strength carry on to August? (8/2/22)

(8/2/22) Markets are set to open lower today following a strong July; negative sentiment and negative positioning by managers set things up for the strong rally, similar to activity we saw back in March. Could the pattern then be replicated in August? It is now critical that markets hold support at the current 50-DMA. Historically, the month of August tends to be weaker for markets, and September isn't that great, either. Meaning, we've got about two months' worth of seasonal weakness. But by the time we get to the seasonally-stronger months of October and November, the first of the Fed's rate hikes will have hit the economy. The risk will remain from high inflation, slower economic growth, and a still-aggressive Fed as we head into the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t9XugyT6Sok&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSellOff #NegativeSentiment #FederalReserve #RateHikes #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 2, 20222 min

August Begins: Bull or Bear? (8/1/22)

(8/1/22) August begins with The Roberts Family in new digs (who's idea was it to move during Houston's hottest summer, ever??) What will the Fed be expected to do in their meeting this month? The Roberts' kids get their independence; shooting down the new PACT Act Spending Bill; how we got from millions to trillions; What happens when the co-pilot leaves the aircraft early; the market conundrum for bears: dealing with contrarian-indicator clients; the thick of earnings season: Why would markets rally amidst so much negativity? And what happens when things get too negative? Companies are moving from SEG-1: End of July, Start to August SEG-2: The Roberts' Kids Leave Home; How We Got to Trillions in Spending SEG-3: The Market Conundrum for Bears SEG-4: Consumer Spending: Not What You Bought, but How Much You Had to Pay RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SuH8wwwghu8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2752s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: "No Bad vs Good"" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A6IuBkTLPVU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Welcome to the Pain Trade Zone" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wapMLlxss-0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession #Inflation #Deflation #FederalReserve #CPI #ConsumerSpending #Cash #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 1, 202247 min

"Not Bad" vs "Good" (8/1/22)

(8/1/22) Markets have been extremely bearish, very over-sold, very bearish, and overdue for a very nice, a countertrend rally, which finally occurred in July. When markets began to come to the realization the deflation may be a bigger issue than inflation, we started to see a rotation out of Value and into Tech. That the bullish set-up that would indicate higher stock prices in the near-term. But as we move into the month of August, which is historically a weaker month, it would not be surprising to see a bit of consolidation pull-back. Much will depend upon the Fed's next step. A higher-than-expected CPI print in August could push the Fed for stronger anti-inflationary measures in September. When the Fed stops its rate hikes, a recession, and a decline in asset prices are typically not far behind. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A6IuBkTLPVU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EarningsSeason #Inflation #Deflation #CPI #FederalReserve #RateHikes #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

Aug 1, 20223 min

Life & Money Lessons from Ivana Trump (7/29/22)

(7/29/22) Richard Rosso channels his inner Janet Yellen with her declaration of "no recession;" Crypto-millionaires and their luxury watches; dealing with sticky inflation. The "recovery" is over; life lessons from Ivana Trump and dealing with ageism; how to plan to age-in-place; Lotto Tickets, cheap entertainment, and funding long term care; why reverse-mortgages should be a last-case option; how to take advantage of cash. SEG-1: There is No Recession SEG-2: The Recovery is Over SEG-3: Money Lessons from Ivana Trump SEG-4: Lottery Tickets & Long-Term Care RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SuH8wwwghu8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2752s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Fed Hikes Rates Again--What Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h1qK8VB9PQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Welcome to the Pain Trade Zone" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wapMLlxss-0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession #Inflation #JanetYellen #InvanaTrump #CryptoMillionaires #Recovery #AgeInPlace #LongTermCare #LotteryTickets #ReverseMortgage #Cash #Markets #Money #Investing

Jul 29, 202247 min

Welcome to the Pain Trade Zone (7/28/22)

(7/28/22) With the Fed's announced 75-bp rate hike, investors are now in Pain Trade Territory, acting on the FOMO principal of not wanting to miss the markets' bottom when the Fed pivots. Democrats' new plan for $400-billion in government spending to be paid for by imposing a new corporate minimum income tax: The Inflation Fighting Plan, using inflationary tactics in the process. House Speaker Pelosi's husband liquidated chip maker stocks ahead of the CHIPS Bill. What did Jerome Powell really mean vs what the markets heard. The shock news: the Fed will cease providing forward guidance, and can adjust the frequency/size of rate adjustments; earnings season continues: What do Amazon, WalMart, and Apple's reporting suggest about the economy going forward? SEG-1: Fighting Inflation with Inflationary Tactics SEG-2: Lance's Rant: Nancy Pelosi's Insider Trading SEG-3: The Fed Rate Hike: What Markets Really Heard SEG-4: Apple, Amazon, & WalMart: What Poor Performance Portends Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wapMLlxss-0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Fed Hikes Rates Again--What Now?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h1qK8VB9PQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Surprise or Pivot?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nfZdvnXJk70&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #PainTrade #InterestRates #Inflation #CorporateTax #InsiderTrading #NancyPelosi #JeromePowell #Markets #Money #Investing

Jul 28, 202247 min

Fed Hikes Rates Again--What Now? (7/28/22)

(7/28/22) The Fed announced a 75-bp rate hike, as expected; markets rallied on the news the Fed is removing forward guidance, and could slow the velocity of rate increases over time. Markets interpreted that as a pivot in Fed policy, preparing to go back to zero interest rates and market-supportive quantitative easing. The resulting sharp rally in an otherwise bear market belied the Pain Trade by investors, with a case of FOMO--afraid of missing out...not missing the rally, but the fear of missing out on the bottom, should the Fed actually pivot on policy. This is a short-term trading opportunity, not necessarily a long-term investing opportunity: There are still plenty of issues to deal with, like higher interest rates, lower economic growth, and a potential recession. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h1qK8VB9PQE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #RateHike #PainTrade #Inflation #Recession #BullishMarket #BearMarket #Markets #Money #Investing

Jul 28, 20224 min

Will the Fed Surprise or Pivot? (7/27/22)

(7/27/22) The Federal Reserve later today is to make an announcement about interest rates, expected to boost the overnight lending rate by 75 basis points...but could Powell & Co. cave to political pressure and pivot towards a kinder, gentler interest rate? In fact, there's a reason higher interest rates are healthier for the economy and individuals' financial well-being; there is a dark side to low interest rates, which prevent the natural economic cycle from performing. What we should be doing to take care of long term economic health; what WalMart's report on lower foot traffic really means. SEG-1: Will the Fed Surprise or Pivot? SEG-2: Why Higher Interest Rates are Good for You SEG-3: The Dark Side of Low Interest Rates SEG-4: What WalMart's Q2 Performance Portends Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nfZdvnXJk70&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is the Bottom In for Microsoft & Google?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bzLHrUOTFU0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "The "No Recession" Myth is Nonsense" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C-IsIs91N-M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #InterestRates #WalMart #JeromePowell #Markets #Money #Investing

Jul 27, 202248 min

Is the Bottom in for Microsoft & Google?

(7/27/22) There is an interesting opportunity for investors in companies that miss estimates, yet rally afterwards, despite whatever bad news has been released. Could that be the case with two giants of the S&P and NASDAQ, Microsoft and Google? Additionally, was the less-than-happy news already priced-in to these stocks? Still to be seen is whether they can hold their current bottom, and rally above their 50-DMA. Both stocks are major players within the Top Ten holdings of the S&P; any rallies in these stocks will also help hold support in that index. Still to come today--the Fed's announcement on interest rates. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bzLHrUOTFU0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MSFT #GOOG #EarningsMiss #Inflation #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

Jul 27, 20224 min

The "No Recession" Myth is Nonsense

(7/26/22) Treasury Sec'y. Janet Yellen says there's no recession in sight, but yield curve performance would challenge that assessment. WalMart and UPS warnings it's no longer cheap to go to McDonald's. Watching Retailers' reports to reveal how American's are spending money. White House Tweets about gasoline prices and average American families; how the other 80% live on savings and credit cards: There's no pile of cash. There is a correlation between stock price growth and economic growth. The three sure measures of Inflation; why the Fed's efforts to fight inflation may well trigger Recession. Markets are behaving as if the worst is behind us: The Bullish vs Bearish cases. Investors' fear of missing the bottom is not realistic. SEG-1: What Yield Curves are Saying About Recession SEG-2: How the Other 80% Live SEG-3: The Three Sure Measures of Inflation SEG-4: Why the Fed's Inflation Fight Could Trigger Recession Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C-IsIs91N-M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Invesntory Buildins & Declining Store Traffic" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C-IsIs91N-M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Buy-back Blackout Ends" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XV6cMu95AOk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession #Inflation #YieldCurve #JanetYellen #JeromePowell #EarningsSeason #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

Jul 26, 202247 min

Inventory Builds & Declining Store Traffic (7/26/22)

(7/26/22) Walmart blames inflation for a less-than-enthusiastic outlook, after previously warning about inventory builds. Monday's Q2 report underscored those concerns, as well as declining store traffic. These issues also feed into Amazon and Target, raising the question of how this will ultimately affect earnings in the retail sector through the second half of the year. Recession fear is certainly gaining traction. Tuesday morning futures are setting up to open lower for a retest of the 50-DMA; markets need to hold support at this level through the end of the week if we're going to build base at this point, allowing bulls to rally the market. Lots more earnings reports coming out today, and by the end of next week, we will have gone through 80% of the S&P 500 companies' results and forward guidance for the rest of the year, providing a really good handle on how much inflation is truly affecting the economy. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C-IsIs91N-M&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WalMart #EarningsMiss #Inflation #Recession #Target #Amazon #Markets #Money #Investing

Jul 26, 20223 min

Can the S&P Breach and Hold 4,170? (7/25/22)

(7/25/22) It's a busy week of earnings reporting as July comes to an end, and the lifting of the blackout on corporate stock buy backs stands to free up $11-billion of daily activity. How did Markets react to inflation of the '60's vs now? S&P has potential to touch 4,180. Q2 GDP estimates begin to emerge. Looking for companies that miss earnings (by less than forecast), and show stock gains. Bad news is already baked-in. There is a difference between a bottom in stocks and the bottom of the market; have we seen peak inflation? Why we're not committing fully to this rally...yet. The excuse generator; the invisible hand of the Fed; will Powell be Biden's scapegoat for inflation? SEG-1: How Markets are Adjusting to Inflation SEG-2: In the Belly of the Earnings Season Beast SEG-3: Why We're Not Committing Fully to this Rally...Yet SEG-4: The Invisible Hand of the Fed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XV6cMu95AOk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Who's Right--Stocks or Bonds?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x0DDtGYXMok&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Hasbro, Target, & Wal-Mart's Inventory Surpluses" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=68wKg4t04_E&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #EarningsSeason #StockBuybacks #BondYields #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

Jul 26, 202247 min