The Real Investment Show Podcast
3,290 episodes — Page 10 of 66
4-23-25 Taking Risk Off the Table
Markets were close to turning a short-term buy signal into a sell signal...but...yesterday's rally saved it, and a continuation of the rally today will also provide octane for buyers (presuming nothing goes wrong). Markets have been over sold by three standard deviations, and still remain depressed against their moving averages. Markets have gone through a 61% Fibonacci retracement, which is pretty deep for any type of a market move. If markets can continue to rally, we would consider taking some more risk off the table. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7E7r7Qx48Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Frontrunning Tariffs Boosts Economic Activity" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/frontrunning-tariffs-boosts-economic-activity/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #RiskOff #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-22-25 If Spock Was Your Financial Advisor
We're not exactly going where no man has gone before, but a recent piece in Forbes.com caught our eye, and it's worth...exploring. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn blend a little pop culture with personal finance on today's episode: What if logic—not emotion—guided your financial decisions? How might the legendary Vulcan's rational mindset be applied to modern investing. From avoiding behavioral biases to making objective portfolio decisions, we break down what it truly means to invest like Spock. Whether you're a die-hard Star Trek fan or just looking for smarter money habits, this episode blends pop culture with practical financial wisdom. Live long—and invest logically. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior FInancial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer SEG-1: Market Tariff Turmoil, Trump -Powell Feud SEG-2: Dealing with Dire Headlines vs Reality SEG-3: Investing Lessons From a Vulcan SEG-4a: Dealing w the Dollar or Going with Gold? SEG-4b: How Much Money You Need for Retirement - debunked Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZmqBwxAEAmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Death Cross And Market Bottoms" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/ "Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Mimicking 2022?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d88hmC6Ipjs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Death Cross And Market Bottoms" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #LogicalInvesting #SpockFinance #VulcanWisdom #RationalInvestor #MoneyMindset #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-22-25 Are Markets Mimicking 2022?
Monday's market action was not unsurprising; we continue to retrace what occurred in 2022: The analogs between current market drops and the declines in 2022 are very similar. Markets are likely going to retest recent lows, maybe even reset to lower lows; so there is still some downside risk. Markets are as deeply oversold now as in 2022, so any piece of good news markets might receive will produce a reflexive rally, and that's the opportunity you're looking for to reduce risk. This is the pattern we saw in 2022. Volatility has been dropping, and money flow indicators are starting to turn back up. We think it's best to be cautious about becoming overly bearish, as markets are trying to establish support. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d88hmC6Ipjs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Frontrunning Tariffs Boosts Economic Activity" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/frontrunning-tariffs-boosts-economic-activity/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLows #ReflexiveRally #DownsideRisk #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
-21-25 The Death Cross And Market Bottoms
Is the dreaded death cross a warning sign—or a buying opportunity? In this episode, I break down what the death cross really signals for the stock market and whether it reliably marks a market bottom or just more volatility ahead. We'll look at historical patterns, technical analysis indicators, and investor behavior during past bear markets. If you're trying to navigate through the noise and make smarter investment decisions, this episode is for you. We also deal with an electrical power outage in the third segment, resulting in a truncated show. SEG-1: Markets Are Working Thru Retesting SEG-2: Be Careful of Rationalization SEG-3: The Death Cross Explained (w thunder crash) SEG-4: Campfire Tales Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Death Cross And Market Bottoms" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-death-cross-and-market-bottoms/ "Is Risk Off Positioning Signaling A Market Low?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-risk-off-positioning-signaling-a-market-low/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Did the "Death Cross" Mark a Market Low?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBl6GOYthE8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeathCross #MarketBottom #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketTrends #BearMarket #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-17-25 Powell Rekindles Trump Feud
Markets could experience volatility today as options expire; healthcare stocks are also being sympathetic to UnitedHealthCare's unhealthy quarterly report and performance of weight loss drug makers' stocks. Markets are recovering from recent lows: Did the "Death Cross" mark the bottom? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks criticizing President Trump's tariff policies, highlighting their potential to exacerbate inflation and slow economic growth has reignited tensions between Powell and Trump, reminiscent of their earlier disputes during President Trump's first term. UnitedHealthCare is struggling with Medicare and Medicaid costs; drug stocks are part of a sector rotation story that includes weight loss pills and clinical trials; Lance and Michael discuss the relative relevance of the Dow vs the S&P, sector rotations, and the danger of listening too closely to negative narratives in the media. SEG-1: Options Expirations to Generate Market Volatility SEG-2: Powell vs Trump: Liquidity Problems SEG-3: The Saga of UnitedHealthCare SEG-4: Dealing with the Dow vs S&P: Sector Rotations Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mt6uvwuEjCQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Swaps And Basis Trades Warn Of Mounting Liquidity Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/swaps-and-basis-trades-warn-of-mounting-liquidity-problems/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm" In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "The Dollar And Inflation: Don't Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/ "Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Did the "Death Cross" Mark a Market Low?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBl6GOYthE8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpVsPowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Election2025 #MonetaryPolicy #MarketLow #EconomicActivity #DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #MarketLow #TariffImpact #JeromePowell #DonaldTrump #FederalReserve #RecessionReady #FinancialPlanning #EconomicDownturn #MoneyTips #RecessionProof #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-17-25 Did the "Death Cross" Mark a Market Low?
Markets are trying to recover from recent lows, and we're on a short-term buy signal; markets are not really over bought quite yet. More consolidation would not be surprising, particularly with the "Death Cross" of the 50-DMA with the 200-DMA. There is cause for caution here, because, historically, the majority of the time (outside of a recessionary event-driven market), the "Death Cross" is most commonly associated with market lows than at the beginning of a corrective cycle. Unless there is a recession or a credit-related event in the markets, these tend to be fairly short-lived: Generally three- to four-months. It does provide overhead resistance, and suggests markets will remain consolidating for a time. Don't get caught up in negative headines; these things are usually not as bearish as the financial media would have you believe. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBl6GOYthE8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Frontrunning Tariffs Boosts Economic Activity" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/frontrunning-tariffs-boosts-economic-activity/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLow #EconomicActivity #DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-16-25 A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession
Lance Roberts' opening monologue covers Easter prep, DMA Death Crosses, and rising recession risk; an earnings season update (so far, okay), the lack of forward guidance, and negative earnings revisions (except in the Russell 2000); the significance of the 50-DMA crossing below the 200-DMA: Know the context. Event-driven vs. Construct-driven corrections; Scott Bessent and tariffs, tax cuts, and deregulation; what if the US and China reach an accord? Defining Bear Markets vs Corrections; what to do to prepare for Recessions; what comes next, after tariffs? Is now the best time to take RMD's, or wait until EOY? Tariffs are "The Art of the Deal." Charitable ways to take RMD's. Donuts, 8-Balls, & Tax Planning: strategies for buying & selling; the danger of being overly negative. SEG-1: Recession Risk Rises SEG-2: When the Death Cross Occurs SEG-3: Bear Market vs Correction - How to Prepare for Recession SEG-4: Strategies for Buying and Selling Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Curb Your Enthusiasm" In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "The Dollar And Inflation: Don't Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/ "Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Death Cross Signals Consolidation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9A7En3WnClw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's Tax Day!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYhGAfYYmZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #TariffImpact #RecessionReady #FinancialPlanning #EconomicDownturn #MoneyTips #RecessionProof #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-16-25 DMA Death Cross Signals Consolidation
Markets will open a little weaker this morning: Tariffs have not gone away, and Nvidia says it will take a $5-Billion charge on an AI chip they can ship overseas because of the ban. Still, Nvidia continues to outperform the market. The bigger news headlines will be about "The Death Cross" of the 50-DMA crossing below the 200-DMA, which will provide more aggressive overhead resistance for stock prices as they try to recover. Basically what this indicates is a continuation of market consolidation in a corrective period. "Death Cross!" does not mean the next financial crisis is imminent. There are two types of Corrective Markets: Event-driven and Construct-driven, or shorter-term vs longer-term. Tariffs are the current event, and markets will price-in the effects. These tend to last about 90-days. Constructive-driven corrections are triggered by credit issues or meltdowns like the Dot-com Crisis, and typically take up to 18-months to complete. Markets are currently in a cycle where bases are being formed, and the corrective process is nearly concluded. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9A7En3WnClw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar And Inflation: Don't Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-15-25 It's Tax Day!
It's Tax Day 2025 — are you ready? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn review last-minute tax tips, filing strategies, and how to avoid costly IRS penalties. But frankly, if you haven't gotten it done by today... There are market benefits from Tax Day, as some tax return money finds its way back into play; stock buy back will also supply some support to markets. In an event-driven market (tariffs), have we passed the markets' low? How the US Dollar is dealing with pressure. Last-minute tax tips include HSA advice, and shwat diversification is not. Treasury Sec'y Scott Bessent and Bond Market turmoil: Is it beginning to taper? Will there be a battle between the Treasury and the Fed? Lance and Jonathan review HSA's and 72-T rules & penalties. Volatility in the market: There's nothing really wrong. Portfolio management mistakes: You don't really make money until you sell. Everything reverts to the mean; how markets work; dealing with loss avoidance; what goes up must come down. SEG-1: Have We Passed the Market Low? SEG-2: Last Minutes Tax Day Tips SEG-3a: More Tax Tips: HSA's & 72-T's SEG-3b: Volatility in the Market - Why Hedge? SEG-4: You Don't Make Money Until You Sell Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYhGAfYYmZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar And Inflation: Don't Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/ "Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Dollar Under Pressure," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_C0sBBJ9EPE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp7qlAhspWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxDay2025 #TaxTips #IRSDeadline #LastMinuteTaxes #FileYourTaxes #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #InternationalTrade #YieldSpreads #TariffImpact #StockMarket2025 #YieldCurve2025 #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #NAFTA #BillMaher #DonaldTrump #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-15-25 The Dollar Under Pressure
Nobody wants the dollar? Is it really the end of the word as we know it?? While the Dollar has certainly had a decline, going from 110 to 99 on the US Dollar Index. However, things must be placed properly in context: Looking at a 20-yar chart, it is clear that the Dollar is NOT declining, despite recent, short term dips. The Dollar has basically been consolidating ever since 2022. Yes, the Dollar could go lower from here; 91 on the Index is certainly possible in a retest of a long term moving average. But that would still be well within the bullish trend. What we're witnessing now is not surprising, given the dynamics imposed by the tariffs. Currency is basically nothing but a measure of international trade, and most countries store their reserve assets in US Dollars by buying US Treasuries, gold, or US stocks. Countries concerned about the impact of tariffs on their economy are pulling their reserve assets out of dollars and back into their own currencies. That's the rotation that's been going on. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_C0sBBJ9EPE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar And Inflation: Don't Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #InternationalTrade #MarketLosses #MarketGains #LossReversal #CorrectiveCycle #BondYields #MarketInstability #Liquidity #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-14-25 Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet
Are we heading toward a recession in 2025? In this episode, Lance Roberts explores why yield curve inversions and widening credit spreads suggest the risk isn't over yet, what the bond market is telling investors, and how these indicators have predicted past recessions and what it could mean for your portfolio. Lance covers: * The Tariff impact on Apple * The mistake of confusing trade deficits with tariffs * Markets' relief rally * Tariffs paused not likely to return * Yield curve inversion and economic signals * Credit spreads and financial stress * Implications for the stock and bond markets * The Fed's hands are not tied * The dark side of NAFTA SEG-1: After Moratorium, Will Tariffs Return? SEG-2a: Bill Maher & Donald Trump SEG-2b: The Importance of Yield Spreads SEG-3: The Fed's hands Are Not Tied SEG-4: YouTube Bans & The Dark Side of NAFTA Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp7qlAhspWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn't Over Yet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/ "Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Get Tariff Relief," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ToBQdtd1Ydg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Best Tariff Tactic May Be a Roth Conversion " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cp4VjyYxIGg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #YieldSpreads #TariffImpact #StockMarket2025 #YieldCurve2025 #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #NAFTA #BillMaher #DonaldTrump #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-14-25 Markets Get Tariff Relief
Markets sold off sharply last week on a higher than expected tariff rate on China and other countries; now, we have had a "repeal" of those tariffs and a corresponding relief rally. That action wiped out most of the losses incurred by tariff news, and markets climbed back up to the bottom of the previous trading range. This morning we are getting close to triggering a buy signal; markets have room to recover as the tariff threat is eased. The question now is whether tariffs will even return, or just remain as is. With stability in tariffs, and the resulting stability in markets, forward earnings estimate may be more reliably established. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ToBQdtd1Ydg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLosses #MarketGains #LossReversal #CorrectiveCycle #BondYields #MarketInstability #Liquidity #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-11-25 The Best Tariff Tactic May Be a Roth Conversion
Quarterly reporting season is upon us, with JP Morgan setting the tone for earnings, as the tariff tango with China continues; how are advisors handling the turmoil? Consumer front loading pulling forward future demand will lead to economic irregularities later. Richard and Matt discuss dealing effectively during corrections and taking advantage of tax efficiencies; creating a "loss bank;" paying taxes means you're making money. cutting through the headlines and the negative influence of social media; the evolution of work in America: Where did all the jobs go? Rich and Matt point out the value of having a financial plan in place during tumultuous times like these; dealing with the psychological shift that comes with retirement; the opportunity for Roth conversions; making"Tikie-Tokies." The Social Security tax torpedo and The Retirees First Act; Rich & Matt discuss taxing Socia lSecurity and the three forms of US taxation; Yellen vs Greenspan. SEG-1: JP Morgan Sets Tone for Earnings Season SEG-2: Managing Money Effectively During Corrections SEG-3: The Value of a Financial Plan in Times Like These SEG-4: The Social Security Tax Torpedo Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cp4VjyYxIGg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trumps Economic Revolution: Unraveling A Blessing And A Curse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-economic-revolution-unraveling-a-blessing-and-a-curse/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The "Liberation Day" Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reverse All Losses," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLHne8xJaHs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Monster Rally or market Bottom?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpK9eML4BM4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RothConversion #TaxStrategy #RetirementPlanning #TariffImpact #StockMarket2025 #MarketRally #InvestingInsights #BullOrBear #FinancialTalk #MarketLosses #MarketGains #LossReversal #CorrectiveCycle #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-10-25 Monster Rally or market Bottom?
What really happened behind the scenes as President Trump seemingly performed an about-face on tariffs, sending markets zooming on Wednesday: Markets enjoyed their 3rd best performance since WW-2, erasing all the losses since tariffs were first announced last week. Lance reviews the Basis Trade terror, not tariffs, that caused the turn about. The correction cycle is likely not over, however; markets are challenging resistance. Lance reviews what RIA bought and sold. Lance and Michael discuss how we avoid the next financial crash, and the impact of leverage on the Basis Trade. Where do we go from here? Dealing with Bond Risk. Tariffs add pressure to the economy, and the goal is to lower inflation and interest rates to better manage excessive debt. What is the Fed likely to do next? The market is based on moral hazard; there's too much debt, and too much leverage. Should hedge funds be limited on amount of leverage? Looking at the 3rd largest day on Wall Street since WW-2: Nobody talks about the ten-worst days in the market;don't be impulsive: Use rules to guide portfolio moves. SEG-1: Markets Erase Losses SEG-2: The Impact of Leverage on Basis Trade SEG-3: The Whole Market is Based on Moral Hazard SEG-4: Nobody Talks About the Ten Worst Days in the Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpK9eML4BM4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trumps Economic Revolution: Unraveling A Blessing And A Curse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-economic-revolution-unraveling-a-blessing-and-a-curse/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The "Liberation Day" Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reverse All Losses," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLHne8xJaHs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Liquidity Cracks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo_zfOuvXVw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2705s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket2025 #MarketRally #InvestingInsights #BullOrBear #FinancialTalk #MarketLosses #MarketGains #LossReversal #CorrectiveCycle #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-10-25 Markets Reverse All Losses
Markets had their largest gain, 9%, since WW-2, reversing all losses since Monday and the tariff announcemets last week. Unfrotunately, we're likely not done with market corrections. This kind of reflexive rally is not uncommon during corrective cycles. Markets will now challenge resistance in the bottoming process. Markets also reverse the deeply oversold conditions in relative strength. Markets had all the ingredients for a rally, and yesterday, markets took flight. Lance describes the actions our investment committee took as this all unfolded, both additions and reductions in exposures. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLHne8xJaHs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLosses #MarketGains #LossReversal #CorrectiveCycle #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #ETF #Liquidity #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-9-25 Liquidity Cracks
China retaliates to Trump's retaliation to China's tit-for-tat response to tariffs; downward pressure continues as markets trying to recalibrate with a moving tariff target; there are cracks appearing in the treasury market from the basis trade; what will the Fed do? Lance explains the latest gyrations in markets and the sharp rise in bond yields. Basis trade explained; appears to be at 20X leverage: Is someone getting margin calls and liquidating? Tariffs are not the issue here; will the Fed step in? Wall Mart reports earnings, but cannot provide guidance until tariff trouble is resolved. How much money does it take to move markets one-point? Slowing economy = less demand = high unemployment. It's going to get worse before it gets better. There is an alarming trend of 401k early withdrawals; "leakage" has been a problem for a while. Lance and Danny examine the eruption in the bond market; don't over react. The VIX has spiked, but is moderating. What will the Fed do? The best tariff trade is the Roth conversion. SEG-1: Tit-for-tat on Tariffs SEG-2: What is the Basis Trade? SEG-3: It's Going to Get Worse Before It Gets Better SEG-4: Eruption in the Bond Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo_zfOuvXVw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2705s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The "Liberation Day" Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Yields Belie Market Instability," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnT6n_NY_tY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally; What's Next?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLv00PZtAHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #CreditCrunch #FedWatch #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #ETF #Liquidity #StockMarketRally #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingInsights #FinanceNews #EconomicTrends #MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-9-25 Yields Belie Market Instability
Markets rallied 4% Tuesday morning on false hopes of a 90-day delay in tariff impositions, then reverse course and gave up all the gains, finishing in the red. There as good news in that markets did not take out previous lows. Markets are now trying to form support at the 61.8% retracement level. Markets are deeply over sold.Markets remain under pressure as the turmoil continuies. There is a lot of panic selling, partcularly in ETF's, which only exacerbates the sell off. Bond yields have been rising sharply as a function of the Basis Trade, which looks like we're getting liquidation evens in hedge funds, and mmargin calls, as well. The jump in yields doesn't have anything to do with inflation or tariffs; this is a functino of market instability. We suspect, if the basis trade doesn't settle down, the Fed will be forced to intervene on some level to stabilize financial markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnT6n_NY_tY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #ETF #Liquidity #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-8-25 Markets Rally; What's Next?
Markets jumped on a false report of a 90-day wait on tariffs, and took investors on a roller-coaster ride Monday.ance Roberts & Jonathan Penn explore the possibilities, plus why should shouldn't even LOOK at your portfolio right now...also, is a recession coming? That is the billion-dollar question investors now face. One gauge to help us answer the question is corporate bond yield spreads. When the yield differential between corporate bond yields and risk-free Treasury bonds widens significantly, it signals that bond investors are taking a risk-averse stance. Simply, they are pricing higher odds of corporate defaults, typical when economic growth slows, especially during recessionary periods. Lance and Jonathan also cover more tariff talk, and Lance's preferred path, a brief interlude (but no spoilers) about Taylor Sheridan's "1923" finale episode (there is a connection), and a review of the Five Laws of Stupidity (link is provided below). SEG-1: Earnings Season Reconvenes SEG-2: The Two Camps of Investors SEG-3: What Credit Spreads are Telling Us SEG-4: Five Laws of Stupidity Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLv00PZtAHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The "Liberation Day" Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Ready to Rally?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GxKBXB4s4Vg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Market Crash - Hope in the Fear" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zUFhH72D1T4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketRally #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingInsights #FinanceNews #EconomicTrends #MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-8-25 Are Markets Ready to Rally?
Monday's market action was quite interesting, down 4% at the open and rallying back 5% within minutes of the opening bell, thanks to a piece of news on Reuters that tariffs would be paused for 90-days (untrue). Why is this important? It shows just how over sold the market is, and looking for any piece of good news to rally. Even when it's false. If you look at a weekly chart going back a decade, and site the 200-week moving average, whenever the market has come down to this level, it has sharply rebounded. Markets are now approaching that bottom, and we're due for a decent rally. That will be the event upon which you will want to re-balance your portfolio, take some profits, and raise some cash. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GxKBXB4s4Vg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-7-25 The Market Crash - Hope in the Fear
Are markets close to a short-term bottom? The response to the unexpected magnitude of tariffs creates pain and anxiety, as markets reprice valuations and trade negotiations begin. Some markets suspend short-selling; US markets are over-sold; bonds are doing well; the Fed is expected to cut rates five times. Lance discusses markets' hope and fear (charts); lessons investors can learn from the Coog's vs Duke (Lance's wife is not amused). Wall Street will find a narrative to rally markets, and then sell. A look at our Fear/Greed indicator (and how it differs from others'); probabilities vs possibilities, the risk range report. Looking for a reflex rally now; what we're going to do. SEG-1: Markets Respond to Tariffs SEG-2: Markets' Hope & Fear SEG-3: Coogs vs Duke: Dealing with the Unexpected SEG-4: Probabilities & Possibilities Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zUFhH72D1T4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The "Liberation Day" Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Fishing for a Bottom," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPQ16u0rgr0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Tariff Turmoil Cause Retirement Revisions?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJXH8JLD6Fg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2329s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
-7-25 Markets Are Fishing for a Bottom
Markets are starting to respond to the tariff war, with some exchanges banning short-selling for a period (Thai Stock Exchange Bans Short-Selling from 4/8 - 4/11) as worry grows about the magnitude of tariffs. Don't forget, there ARE "circuit breakers" in place, and markets will just shut down if things get out of control. Markets are very over sold on multiple levels. We're currently sitting at about 50% retracement as of Friday's close, and this morning will challenge the 62% retracement. Normally, between 50 and 60% retracement is where markets typically find their bottom. Markets are very over sold on a relative strength basis, and very over sold on a momentum basis (which is not surprising); markets are at levels where they push extremes. Bond, on the other hand, are very over bought, and have been working well through all the turmoil. Now might be a good time to take profits if you're trading bonds. What ever rally we get will likely be short=lived. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPQ16u0rgr0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-4-25 Will Tariff Turmoil Cause Retirement Revisions?
Markets scuttled over 5% following President Trump's initial reveal of intended tariffs on trading partners he says have been trading unfairly with the U.S. The fallout continues today, and Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty examine Tariffs and Retirement Planning, the rise of protectionism vs globalism, and how tariffs affect the economy. Bonds are playing an important role in a 60/40 portfolio, and here are some possible Retirement Portfolio Strategies for the rest of 2025. Rich and Jonathan also discuss Market Volatility and Retirement and the Trade War's Impact on Investments. Does this week's market rout provide buying opportunities? It's unwise to completely ignore your portfolio, just as it is dangerous to execute knee-jerk changes in response to news headlines. Rich & Jonathan also discuss the Tax Cut and Jobs Act, which they believe will either sunset or drastically change. SEG-1: Markets Get a Tariffic Headache SEG-2: Bonds Are Doing Their Job in a 60/40 Portfolio SEG-3: Will Tariff Troubles Cause Retirement Plan Revisions? SEG-4: Looking at the Mega Roth Option Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJXH8JLD6Fg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2329s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump's Puzzle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-puzzle/ "Liberation Day: A Bullish Scenario" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/liberation-day-a-bullish-scenario/ "Sellable Rally Or "Buy The Dip"" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "EMERGENCY UPDATE: Tariff Terror," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4L7DmJ4JA8M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets' Tariff Tizzy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uAO2xjOt-w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #MarketVolatility #TradeWar2025 #FinancialFreedom #TradeTensions2025 #TariffTalk #GlobalMarkets #EconomicUpdate #TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #TariffTerror #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-3-25 Markets' Tariff Tizzy
President Donald Trump's tariff terrors were revealed Wednesday afternoon, and markets were not enthused. At all. The worse than expected tariff rates are the highest ever. Trade policy is still uncertain, however, as the tariffs are seen as a negotiating tactic, and subject to revision. But this makes it difficult for companies to re-calculate forward looking estimates of earnings. And as the ripple effects of higher expenses are felt in the economy, the risk of recession rises. Lance takes a break to extol his wife's virtues as a basketball savant; Lance and Michael discuss the likely Fed response to higher tariffs and slower economic growth, review a chart of the VIX (more volatility on the way), and emphasize the importance of context and perspective before reacting to the tariffs' effects. Markets are not not red or blue; disallow political influences when making investment decisions. Lance and Michael reveal the silver lining behind the tariffs' effects; narratives will drive markets for the next few weeks until fresher economic data is seen. With the imposition of these tariffs, will Trump be emboldened to talk tax cuts? SEG-1: Trump Tariffs: Worse Than Expected SEG-2: The Risk of Recession Rises SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts Basketball Savant SEG-3b: What Will Fed's Response to Tariffs Be? SEG-4: The Bad News/Good News About Tariffs Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uAO2xjOt-w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump's Puzzle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-puzzle/ "Liberation Day: A Bullish Scenario" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/liberation-day-a-bullish-scenario/ "Sellable Rally Or "Buy The Dip"" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "EMERGENCY UPDATE: Tariff Terror," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4L7DmJ4JA8M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Failure At The 200-DMA – Correction Continues" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1kkazRwbURU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2402s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TradeTensions2025 #MarketVolatility #TariffTalk #GlobalMarkets #EconomicUpdate #TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #TariffTerror #TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-3-25 EMERGENCY UPDATE: Tariff Terror
The U.S. Tariff Rate just increased dramatically; this is the worst-case scenario. The new tariffs are stacked on top of previously-existing tariffs. These will have to be dealt with by both manufacturers and consumers: The question is whether or not the cost of the tariffs can be passed on to the consumer. This WILL drastically change companies' forward earnings estimates, which have been very elevated and needed to come down; this will do that. Markets price on what future expectations will be...and this does not leave much upside for markets this year. There will be lots of volatility, lots of trading ranges, but not a lot of upside. In fact, we may well have already seen the upside for the year. The silver lining here may be that these tariffs ARE the worst-case scenario, and there is time before they go into effect (in which time, they could be adjusted as countries respond.) We would be cautious about selling during this sell-off. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4L7DmJ4JA8M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-2-25 Liberation Day - What Does It Mean for You?
Liberation Day arrives: Clarity about tariffs should help markets. What will be the impact on economic growth: Will consumers pay higher prices or choose alternatives? There are too many variables to calculate the true economic impact. Market performance this year is all about diversification of assets within portfolios...and what's working this year may not work next year. Avoid complacency! Before the bell, downside risk still remains. RIP, Val Kilmer. Today is "Liberation Day" (from what?) Have markets already priced-in the effects? This is a difficult market to hedge: Do you bet on the Mag-7 or the other 493? The best thing to do today is...nothing. The truth about tariffs: Foreign nations have been charging the US tariffs all along (40% of US Corporate profits come from exports); Trump just wants to equalize the playing field. The unknown variable is Consumer Choice: No one knows what folks will choose to purchase. Lance looks at interest rates, what drives them, and where they're likely going. Tariffs do lead to slower economic growth, but current economic data does not support bear porn. Increased costs = reduced demand. Inflation expectations are parsed by political proclivities. SEG-1: Liberation Day: Downside Risks Remain SEG-2: Liberation from What? SEG-3: The Truth About Tariffs SEG-4: Where Are Interest Rates Going - What are the Drivers? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1kkazRwbURU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2402s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Liberation Day: A Bullish Scenario" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/liberation-day-a-bullish-scenario/ "Sellable Rally Or "Buy The Dip"" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risks to Markets Remain," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZ06pEvG38E&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Failure At The 200-DMA – Correction Continues" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ao2ScUuK-Oo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2722s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-2-25 Downside Risks to Markets Remain
Markets have had two days in a row of starting off weaker and ending positive. Markets have formed support at the recent bottom (too soon to tell if a double-bottom is forming), and the buy signal remains intact, and relative strength has turned up. Despite the markets' struggling, money flows have returned into the markets. One caveat: Much of the recent buying was due to end of quarter re-balancing. There remains downside risk from this point, and much depends upon how markets react to today's tariff announcement by the White House. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZ06pEvG38E&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-1-25 Failure At The 200-DMA – Correction Continues
Investors must remember that we're coming off two years of exceptional market returns, and that market corrections must be viewed in their proper context...and expected. Lance discusses the positive and negative impact of Mag-7 stocks on markets due to their weighting; meanwhile, the First Quarter has ended with institutional buyers acting in the final minutes of Monday's trading day, boosting stocks to a less than 1% gain at the close. Markets give signals, but context is needed. Corrections are generally buying opportunities. Lance shares a tale of his wife's candy stash and an example of her "largesse" in sharing same; plus a spoiler alert fo the 1923 TV series. How should investors act after a correction? So far, there are no signals indicating a shift from bullish to bearish trends. Lance and Jonathan discuss what "reducing exposure" in a portfolio really means, and lessons learned from 2008. Commentary on BlackRock's Larry Fink (a.k.a Darth Vader) plans to open private investing to Main Street investors, and why it's a horrible idea. Why is Hooters filing for bankruptcy? We keep abreast of the story. SEG-1: Keep Market Corrections in Context SEG-2: Corrections are Buying Opportunities SEG-3a: Christina's Hoard & 1923 Spoiler Alert SEG-3b: Lessons from 2008: What Reducing Exposure Really Means SEG-4: Blackrock's Making Private Markets Public Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ao2ScUuK-Oo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2722s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Sellable Rally Or "Buy The Dip"" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Teeter over Tariffs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMynEDDoNhY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Saleable Rally or "Buy the Dip?"" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8cfmIcojDI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
4-1-25 Markets Teeter over Tariffs
Institutions waiting until the very last minute to balance portfolios, pulling markets up to barely eke out a gain for the day. The action kept markets intact, although still over sold. And in all the market turmoil, a negative divergence is developing in both relative strength and momentum: Market uncertainty over tariffs, and whatever Liberation Day" means will certainly temper traders today. Lance describes Fibonacci retracement on pull backs and extensions. There is a level of support markets will try to bounce off of. The question for today: Can Markets hold support at that level? If not, a break of support will likely next test the 5400 level. If tariffs are revealed to be more brutal than expected tomorrow, the decline in the market could be more severe. If less so, markets could have a really big rally. If you want to short the market, you could be terribly wrong...or terribly right. Don't be overly aggressive today; just wait. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMynEDDoNhY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-31-25 Saleable Rally or "Buy the Dip?"
There are no discernable signs of economic stress...yet, bu tconsumers are concerned about wages and job security. The question begging to be asked: When is the Fed going to step in (Fed purview: Employment and price stability...AND by extension, consumer confidence). How will markets react to Liberation Day (4/2)? Corporate buy backs will resume 3rd week of April. Markets pulled back on Friday (mimicking four similar pull backs last year.) Make no changes just yet; wait for the next market bounce. Can corporations pass along the expense of increased tariffs? When will the Fed act? Goldman is cutting its earnings expectations for 2025, and valuations are beginning to fall. Lance explains the relevance of Consumer Confidence to PCE, which contributes 70% of GDP. A decline in Consumer Confidence results in a decline in PCE...and earnings. Turmoil in the markets: Don't panic; this, too, shall pass. Tariffs are a tax corporations pay; consumer choice is a big factor: choose to not buy, or purchase for less elsewhere. Market declines have nothing to do with tariffs; tariffs are not a black swan event. Lance shares about the Roberts' blended family, and how he's making his kids independent in the face of a report showing 50% of parents are supporting their adult children in some fashion. SEG-1: How Might Markets React to Liberation Day? SEG-2: When Will the Fed Act? SEG-3: Tariffs Are Not a Black Swan Event SEG-4: When Parents Support Adult Children Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8cfmIcojDI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Sellable Rally Or "Buy The Dip"" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Sell Before the Bounce ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8cfmIcojDI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Healthcare Expenses Outpace Your Retirement Savings?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rEvPkwCQ3GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=31s------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-31-25 Don't Sell Before the Bounce
Markets sold off on Friday with results outside of "normal" pullback parameters. [NOTE: We had FOUR such pullbacks last year.] Declines of 1 - 1.5% were normal, and occurred prior to major events like the Yen Carry Trade blow up and the sell-off going into the election...which were followed by a short term bounce. This morning, futures are pointing down, and we'll be looking to retest the lows set back in the initial decline. If markets are able to hold the present level of support, we expect to see a bit of a bounce, so selling here tends to be a mistake. There is a good news/bad news scenario: The good news is markets are over sold; the bad news is markets failed at the 200-DMA, and suggests markets could even trade a bit lower over the next few weeks. Sentiment is pretty negative, so be careful in your positioning. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8cfmIcojDI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-28-25 Will Healthcare Expenses Outpace Your Retirement Savings?
Richard Rosso and Matthew Doyle discuss rising healthcare costs and their impact on retirement healthcare planning: What would happen if you were to outlive retirement savings...and how to successfully initiate financial planning for medical expenses so you can better manage healthcare inflation in your retirement years. There's also conversation about Tariff Terror and the markets' dislike for uncertainty; what would a Spam tariff look like? Bond pricing and the viability of tariffs if the economy continues to weaken; Seniors living along is on the rise: "Un-partnered." Is America going the way of Japan demographically? Richard's concept for a retirement "village:" Dead Ends. How technology helps Seniors age in place (FiveWishes.org) Richard & Matt discuss Gene Hackman's estate and financial/estate planning foibles of the rich & famous; estimating healthcare expenses in retirement (Richard's birthday is this weekend: What Medicare package will he choose?) The value of nutrition in retirement. SEG-1: Tariff Terror & Market Uncertainty SEG-2: Bond Pricing & Tariff Talk SEG-3a: Candid Coffee preview SEG-3b: Seniors Living Alone SEG-4a: Gene Hackman's Estate SEG-4b: Estimating Healthcare Costs in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rEvPkwCQ3GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=31s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Tariff Talk Tatters Traders," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNacMxVvnQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "When Economic Forecasts Diverge," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qizvC5xxIX0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1409s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HealthcareCosts #RetirementPlanning #FinancialWellness #MedicalExpenses #MoneyMatters #EconomicForecasts #GDPNow #Nowcast #MarketOutlook2025 #RecessionOrRecovery #InvestingInUncertainty #TariffTalk #AutomobileTariffs #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-27-25 When Economic Forecasts Diverge
Tariff talk is giving markets a fit, unable to price equities or make reasonable earnings estimates amidst the on-again, off-again tariff threats. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow economic forecasting tool predicts an imminent recession, which is fueling investor angst. However, the New York and St. Louis Feds' Nowcast economic forecasts predict continued economic growth in the first quarter. Confused? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore the GDPNow and Nowcast models to understand the recent forecast divergences. How do these affect economic forecasts for 2025? How do they align with recession predictions vs growth outlook and the Federal Reserve interest rate outlook? What should investors do when presented with conflicting economic indicators, and how should you factor-in market uncertainty analysis? Also a look at the impact of Gold on the trade deficit, and a look at the Debt Ceiling and X-Date. SEG-1: Tariff Talk & Sentiment Shift SEG-2: Bear Porn Nirvana SEG-3: GDP Now & Nowcast Divergencies SEG-4a: Impact of Gold on Trade Deficit SEG-4b: The Debt Ceiling and X-Date Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qizvC5xxIX0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1409s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Tariff Talk Tatters Traders," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNacMxVvnQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Risk of Recession Rising?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLfl-tzH17k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1984s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EconomicForecasts #GDPNow #Nowcast #MarketOutlook2025 #RecessionOrRecovery #InvestingInUncertainty #TariffTalk #AutomobileTariffs #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-26-25 Tariff Talk Tatters Traders
Markets sold off Wednesday ahead of 25% tariff impositions on foreign-made automobiles, and the uncertainty of other on-again, off-again tariff talk. Markets failed at the 200-DMA and the media alarms sounded! Take caution about reacting to headlines and any market action driven by the news; give it a day or so to confirm whether that break was valid or not. There is rising trend channel coming up off the bottom. The short, saleable rally we saw may be all that we get, so be cautious! We are still in the end of the quarter period, which concludes on Monday; there may still be some buying to be done. We are still on a buy signal, and relative strength is improving. Wednesday was not a good day, technically, for the S&P; but for the Russell 2000, things were worse. And while earnings expectations for the S&P 500 are optimistic, for Mid- and Small-cap companies, they are absolutely flat, with no expectations for growth. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNacMxVvnQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TariffTalk #AutomobileTariffs #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #Recession #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #SP500 #Russell2000 #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-26-25 Is the Risk of Recession Rising?
Is the risk of recession rising? Consumer sentiment is flagging following last week's market correction. Investors cannot dismiss sentiment and money flows. Everything that drives the market gets down to earnings. The next round of earnings reports will commence in a couple of weeks. It appears the Dollar has bottomed, and markets are setting up for a rally short term. Lance and Danny address misinformation about recession vs stagflation; there does not yet appear to be evidence of recession, but markets are pretty good predictors. Lance addresses the hard realities of losses, and the quickest way to solve them is to accept them and move on. No one is going to swoop in and save you. A discussion on investor psychology, telling the truth about what you really want. SEG-1: Is the Risk of Recession Rising? SEG-2: Recession vs Stagflation? SEG-3: The Hard Reality of Accepting Losses SEG-4: Investor Psychology and Realistic Expectations Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLfl-tzH17k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1984s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "From Correction to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6GspLUM6fA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Rally On1" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gmp6NjUIwoM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession2025 #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-26-25 From Correction to Rally
The next round of earnings reporting begins in about two weeks. One thing that may allow for earnings beating expectations is the sharp decline in the U.S.Dollar. That has resulted in the out performance we've seen in emerging and international markets, as money flows have exited the Dollar. Well, the Dollar has bottomed, triggering a buy signal, and the resulting improving strength in the Dollar will also improve asset prices. If you're heavily over-weighted in international or emerging markets, this might be a good time to consider transitioning back to domestic exposure, reducing international holdings. Volatility has been a big focus, and is beginning to decrease; money is rotating out of value stocks back into the Mag-7 stocks. The set up is becoming more supportive for a U.S. rally in the short term. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6GspLUM6fA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #Recession #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-24-25 Rally On!
Lance launches today's show with Tariff Talk: the sticks and carrot strategy to gain more favorable trade conditions for the U.S.; the threat of tariffs and their impact are weighing on markets. Meanwhile, the Mag-7 and Mag-10 stocks continue to provide life to markets. Money flows have turned positive, and the MACD momentum signal has issued a buy signal. Portfolio managers rebalancing this week will create more volatility. Lacen stays up late to watch "Greyhound;" Is the correction over, or is there more to come? Lance discusses the signs from investor sentiment, Bollinger bands, money flows, pricing and breadth as buyers return to the markets. Lance previews 12 Investing Rules by Gerald Loeb; egg and orange juice prices are now falling and could become deflationary; Lance and Jonathan discuss the importance of knowing what you own, how to read a brokerage statement, and who's buying bonds now. How we know consumers are in stress. The 23 & Me bankruptcy is rich fodder for discussion; how you know when you have a bad board of directors. When to take profits (and what does it mean?) Same thing as selling losers. How much to trim? Market volatility and the velocity of trading are different now; how we do that voodoo that we do. SEG-1: Tariff Talk & Mag-7 Monday SEG-2a: Tom Hanks' "Greyhound" SEG-2b: Is the Correction Over, or Coming Again? SEG-3: Eggs, OJ, & Market Sentiment SEG-4a: 23 & Me Bankruptcy SEG-4b: How Do You Know When to Take Profits? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gmp6NjUIwoM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "More Volatility Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQZDS8mnRyc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Correction Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gTe3Q7Sopk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1068s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-25-25 More Volatility Ahead
Money flows turned positive on Monday, with the MACD momentum signal triggering a buy signal. Relative strength also improved, after forming a bottom; the 20- and 200-DMA have now coincided, which should give markets some life along with fund portfolio re balancing: $85-Billion in pension funds must be re balanced by the end of the week. Add to that a swath of target-dated funds that must be re-balance, and there is the potential for a total of $125-billion in funds to be re-jiggered by EOW. However, whatever rally we might get will be restricted to between the 20- and 50-DMA. So, if you didn't like how you felt following the recent, 10% drop, use any rally action to lighten your load, re-balance your portfolio, and lower your risk profile. We're not through the volatility or the possibility of more corrective action. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQZDS8mnRyc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #Recession #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-24-25 Is the Correction Over?
Markets are wrapping up the final week of March, dealing with the uncertainty of the on-again, off-again tariffs. Manager are prepping for the end of the quarter, and will be rebalancing portfolios that are under-weight in stocks; the corporate buy back window is closed, removing a source of buyers. The markets' sharp 10% decline over three weeks appears to have abated, momentum is about to trigger a MACD buy signal; money flows are turning positive. Doing nothing in times like these is hard, but often the best course to take. Lance examines whether or not you should own Tesla. Markets provide opportunities for fixing or change mistakes; buying when others are selling is hard to do. A look at the rates of decline in U.S. Birth rates, and why younger people are not marrying, or producing families; we're copying Japan. demographics are destiny. The Way We Were - job expectations then and now; it's all about managing expectations, and why some will succeed and some will not: All about work and tenacity (example: The Savanna Banana's). SEG-1: TheOn-Again, Off-Again Tariffs SEG-2: Why Doing Nothing Sometimes is Best SEG-3: U.S. Birth rates Decline - Demographics are Destiny SEG-4: The Way We Were - First Jobs Expectations Then & Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gTe3Q7Sopk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1068s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Worst of the Correction May be Past" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=phCEDnX0zVA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Financial Advice We Love to Hate" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzAfW3NVAPg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-24-25 The Worst of the Correction May be Past
Is the correction over? Nobody knows, but there are things we can look at to determine where we are: We've had a lot of selling come into the markets, and from peak to trough, the decline was accomplished in a very short, three weeks' time. Partially to blame was a decline in the U.S. Dollar, with a lot of foreign assets in the Dollar, so when the dollar dropped simultaneously with equities, asset holders sold. When the Dollar reverses, expect to see inflows back into the U.S. The momentum signal is about to trigger a MACD buy signal. Relative strength has improved, as well, and money flows have turned positive, and this may be indicative of a short term bottom. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=phCEDnX0zVA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-21-25 Financial Advice We Love to Hate
Sometimes the best financial advice isn't always the most palatable. And sometimes the things we like turn out to be bad Financial Advice. Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty explore common Money Mistakes and offer sound Financial Planning Tips, expose Personal Finance Myths, and caution about Money Advice to Avoid. SEG-1: Impact of DOGE on Government Efficiency SEG-2a: Social Security Anti-fraud Measures SEG-2b: Financial Advice We Love to Hate (Preview) SEG-3: Financial Advice We Love to Hate SEG-4a: Market Futures & Tariff Talk SEG-4b: More Financial Advice We Love to Hate Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzAfW3NVAPg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm" In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Entering Bigger Corrective Cycle?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0w_atbcFfo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Fed Put Back?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SsEnQg-8Zvo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BadMoneyAdvice #FinancialFreedom #MoneyMyths #SmartMoneyMoves #FinanceTips #FinancialFitnessFriday #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-20-25 Is the Fed Put Back?
Turns out "Forever 21" isn't, with its bankruptcy filing; it's the first day of Spring, with blue bonnets and yellow pollen. Emerging economic data seems to be okay with nothing alarming...yet. Buy back window will close as preparations begin for next earnings season. The FEd reactivates the "Fed Put" with comments at this week's meeting, which creates a bit of moral hazard for investors. The Fed issued its quarterly and long-term projections (which are never correct); Stagflation defined; High inflation defined; the Fed Put defined. Lance opines on the demise of the Dept. of Education; an analysis of the latest Fed meeting: no rate cut for now, with the possibility of two rate cuts in 2025; the first steps in east quantitative tightening; markets are too used to the Fed bailing out risky behavior. Why Ray Dalio (and most headlines) are usually wrong. Lance revisits the Roberts' Beaver Creek vacation with insight on automated McDonald's order kiosks; the future of work and the fallacy of a minimum wage. SEG-1: Still No Sign of Recession...yet SEG-2: Defining the Fed Put SEG-3a: The Demise of Dept. of Education SEG-3b: When the Fed Steps In SEG-4: The Future of Work Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SsEnQg-8Zvo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm" In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Entering Bigger Corrective Cycle?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0w_atbcFfo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Recession or Slowdown?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hhlr3L6iqV8&t=10s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedPut #InterestRates #StockMarketNews #InvestingTrends #FederalReserve #Recession2025 #EconomicSlowdown #StockMarketTrends #FedPolicy #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #KeyResistance #200DMA #MarketCorrection #SloppyTrading #MarketBottom #BuyTheDip #StockMarketNews #RetailInvesting #MarketSentiment #InvestingStrategy #InvestingMistakes #FinancialWisdom #KeyResistance #200DMA #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-20-25 Are Markets Entering Bigger Corrective Cycle?
The Fed re-established a portion of "The Fed Put," creating a touch of Moral Hazard: The expectation that the Fed will bail out investors from their excess risk-taking. Markets rallied pretty sharply off that news, and drew even closer to triggering a buy signal. Historically, when this type of signal occurs at such low levels, it is typically at new market lows. This, in turn, can provide a tradable buy signal for investors. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0w_atbcFfo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #SloppyTrading #MarketBottom #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-19-25 Recession or Slowdown?
UCLA issues its first "Recession Watch" since the 1950's as the media hype ramps up ("If it bleeds, it leads.") Fed meeting preview: No rate cut expectations, but comments regarding Quantitative Tightening will be key for markets. Tuesday's sell off part of the process of markets' finding a bottom. Bonds continue to provide a hedge against stocks. Lance and Danny discuss Lance's demise and how to provide important instructions for the family. Is the market correction a foreshadowing of Recession? The CNBC Fed Survey hikes expectations of Recession: Cannot have higher inflation and Recession; slower economic growth results in lower inflation. Reduction of government spending will reduce economic activity. The genesis of the current banking system. Lance discusses bonds and how debt issuance works, and the alleged "death" of the Dollar. SEG-1: UCLA Issues Recession Watch SEG-2a: I'm Sorry I'm Dead SEG-2b: Recession or Economic Slowdown? SEG-3: CNBC Survey - Hiking Recession Expectations SEG-4: How Debt Issuance Works Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hhlr3L6iqV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm" In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Sloppy Trading Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tuaWsLFLRnQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Investors Buy The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJJkzLT34qA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3245s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession2025 #EconomicSlowdown #StockMarketTrends #FedPolicy #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #KeyResistance #200DMA #MarketCorrection #SloppyTrading #MarketBottom #BuyTheDip #StockMarketNews #RetailInvesting #MarketSentiment #InvestingStrategy #InvestingMistakes #FinancialWisdom #KeyResistance #200DMA #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-19-25 Markets' Sloppy Trading Ahead
After two days' rallies, markets sold off; but that does not change the outlook. Markets are trying to find a bottom, and that's not going to be easy after the recent decline. The rapid, sharp downturns creates "trapped longs," investors who got swept up in the sell-off, but are waiting for an upturn into which to sell, even as the market spirals lower. Momentum is trying to improve, and relative strength is turning up; if money flows improve, that will indicate the markets' trying to find a bottom. Don't be surprised if markets retest recent lows. Markets could get really sloppy over the next couple of weeks as they work off the overhead resistance. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tuaWsLFLRnQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #KeyResistance #200DMA #MarketCorrection #SloppyTrading #MarketBottom #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-18-25 Retail Investors Buy The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment
Markets launch into the second half of March, with the closing of the buy back window in sight; economic numbers include Retail Sales (not bad, but not great): Is a Recession near? (Setting the stage for "lyabetes.") Consumers are slowing down, but egg prices are falling ahead of Easter. The markets' value-rally is approaching resistance at the 200-DMA. Bitcoin is a levered proxy for stocks. Gold is doing well as a risk-off trade. Lance shares the latest about his beloved dog, Gunner. Retail investors are buying the dip, despite overall bearish mood. FOMO of the market bottom; this is a generation of investors who have never seen a market crash. Warren Buffett is amassing cash, but for what? Lance and Jon discuss how Buffett "nibbles." Lookng for a rally in the Dollar; previewing this week's Fed meeting (they're always wrong). What the Fed say about Quantitative Easing; pause or not? SEG-1: The Second Half of March - Buy Backs End Soon SEG-2a: Gunner, the Stupid Dog SEG-2b: Investors Buy the Dip Despite Bearsh Bearishness SEG-3: Warren Buffett's "Nibbles" SEG-4a: Looking for a Dollar Rally SEG-4b: Fed Meeting Preveiw Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJJkzLT34qA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3245s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm" In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Assaults 200-DMA " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=--4rEMEeoeo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj- ------- Our previous show is here: "Recession Fears Emerge" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-CH6au_1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BuyTheDip #StockMarketNews #RetailInvesting #MarketSentiment #InvestingStrategy #InvestingMistakes #FinancialWisdom #MarketRally #KeyResistance #200DMA #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-18-25 Market Assaults 200-DMA
Markets enjoyed a bit of a follow-thru rally on Monday, but remain in an over sold condition; almost ready to turn up the buy-signal. While momentum has improved over the past couple of trading days, Monday's rally wasn't really that strong, mega-cap stocks were fairly weak, and the action was more of a value move. The market is rotating through sectors as it approaches resistance at the 200-DMA, which will be a key level to overtake before moving higher. As we have said in the past, use the rally to rebalance risk in your portfolio. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=--4rEMEeoeo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj- ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #KeyResistance #200DMA #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-17-25 Recession Fears Emerge
Markets last week ripped through one of the fastest 10% corrections ever; that's what happens when markets are over bought. Media headlines whip investors into a frenzy with Recession talk, ignoring the fact that in order for a moving average to remain the average, markets must ebb and flow, above and below, in order to provide the average. The Government is shedding non-essential employees (which begs the question of why they were hired in the first place; Congress passess another Continuing Resolution, which only adds fuel to the government spending fire. Lance recounts his dealings with the DST change and an awkward launch of his Spring Break vacation. A discussion about Recession and what really drives markets: Earnings. The "hard" data and "soft" data in the Economic Composite Index; slow growth vs recessionary growth. Why Brent uses RIA haircare and groOming products (and it shows). Trump tariffs: Is he wrong? The mistakes that are being made: Keep it steady. What the markets need most: Stability. SEG-1: The Fastest 10% Correction SEG-2a: Dealing w DST & Roberts Family Vacation Tales SEG-2b: Will We Have Recession this Year? SEG-3: Understanding the Economic Output Composite Index SEG-4: The Mistakes in Trump Tariffs Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CUebmMHDIf8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3160s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm" In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Sell Off is Normal" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CUebmMHDIf8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "There is More to College Funding than Meets the Eye" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-CH6au_1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
3-17-25 Market Sell Off is Normal
Markets sustained the fastest 10% decline that we've seen in a long time; but corrections are normal. Sometimes markets NEED to have a correction. But as humans, we have to have a reason, and so we leap to conclusions and headlines trumpet "recession." Not necessarily. The reality was that markets were over bought and needed to have a reversion back to the mean. Remember, you cannot have a moving average unless the price trades BOTH above and below the average price over time; that's where the average comes from. And averages are like gravity: When there's too much deviation from the average, from either direction, markets will correct. This is why it's important to watch your allocations, and when markets abound, take profits and reduce exposure to risk; and when markets take a dip, you've got cash on hand to put to work at a lower price point. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CUebmMHDIf8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
RIS 3-14-25 FRIDAY Best-of Show
This is a replay of two previously broadcast shows in which we introduced Sarah Buenger, CFP, our in-house college funding expert and Professor of Financial Planning at Texas A&M University. Richard dalso waxes eloquent about Houston's Taste of Teas steakhouse, and previews Lance Robert's writings on CAPE-5 valuation measurement. A discussion about social security, and DOGE vs SSA: What is likely to happen? Setting SSA COLA to GDP-E for Seniors; the wisdom in waiting to take SS. Planning for college; FAFSA, Learning Credits, and scholarships. Never fully fund college savings 100%; what to do with left over college fund money? The benefits of taking dual-credit courses in high school. Review AP Classes: Not all universities treat these the same. Not all scholarships require SAT/ACT scores; sports scholarships are typical fractional to pull in more athletes. Finding/applying for scholarships should be a full time summer job for Juniors. SEG-1: DOGE vs SSA: What Will Happen Next? SEG-2: The Taste of Texas and CAPE-5 Valuation Measurement SEG-3: College Funding Tactics: Learning Credits & Scholarships SEG-4: Dual Credits & AP Classes: Not all Universities are Equal Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Sarah Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-CH6au_1Vo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Never Let A Crisis Go To Waste" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/never-let-a-crisis-go-to-waste/ "Bearish Sentiment Surges As If The Market Just Crashed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bearish-sentiment-surges-as-if-the-market-just-crashed/ "CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/ "CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets to Retest 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6r57nK-lMtQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Never Let a Good Crisis Go to Waste," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxOQ78ZSEsM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CollegeFunding #StudentLoans #FinancialAid #529Plan #DebtFreeCollege #EmploymentReport #AtlantaGDP #TariffTurmoil #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingInsights #MarketBottom #ReflexiveRally #Tariffs #BearMarketInvesting #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #WealthBuilding #MarketTrends #MarketRally #TradeWar #TurtleTrading #Inflation #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
RIS 3-13-25 THURSDAY Best-of Show
As you know, Lance is on vacation this week. Previously, he discussed the truth about tariffs, and President Trump's plans to offset lower taxes (& revenues) by imposing tariffs on other countries. Markets are already re-pricing stocks to compensate. Is the economy slipping, or are the markets just anxious? Lance and Michael talk about he Atlanta Fed GDP Now report; what will be the next crisis: he Debt Ceiling? Will the Fed halt Quantitative Easing (QT)? How the repeal of Rule 157 resulted in fantasy valuations vs Mark to Market. "This is Water" SEG-1: The Truth about Tariffs SEG-2: Is the Economy Slipping or Just Anxious (Complete Audio) SEG-3: Assessing the Atlanta Fed's GDP Now Report SEG-4: Never Let a Good Crisis Go to Waste Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxOQ78ZSEsM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Never Let A Crisis Go To Waste" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/never-let-a-crisis-go-to-waste/ "Bearish Sentiment Surges As If The Market Just Crashed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bearish-sentiment-surges-as-if-the-market-just-crashed/ "CFNAI Index Suggests Economy Is Slowing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cfnai-index-suggests-economy-is-slowing/ "CAPE-5: A Different Measure Of Valuation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/cape-5-a-different-measure-of-valuation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets to Retest 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6r57nK-lMtQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Tariff Turmoil," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxOQ78ZSEsM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retest200DMA #EmploymentReport #AtlantaGDP #TariffTurmoil #TradeWar #StockMarketNews #GlobalEconomy #InvestingInsights #MarketBottom #ReflexiveRally #Tariffs #BearMarketInvesting #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #WealthBuilding #MarketTrends #MarketRally #TradeWar #TurtleTrading #Inflation #InvestorSentiment #Negativity #MarketSellOff #MarketCatalyst #MarketCorrection #ReflexiveRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingTrends #InvestmentStrategies #StockMarketOutlook #InvestingTrends #MarketForecast #EconomicUpdate #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing