The Other Hand
504 episodes — Page 9 of 11
Rip-off Ireland? The end of he celebrity central banker. £ sterling crisis on he way? Will global property follow Bitcoin & stock markets down? BJ stories just get worse.
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Everyone is forecasting recession. Be careful what you wish for. UK politics make great entertainment for the outside observer but try living there.
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Interest rate rises everywhere: recession next? House prices forecast to fall 20% in at least one country. Why a sovereign wealth fund would be a good idea.
Please read our latest two very different blog posts: one on the Irish economy, the other asks the question: why does nothing seem to work any more? This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjpeconomics.substack.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Interest rates set to rise by more than expected: will they kill the housing market? Is the ECB about to make yet another big mistake? 'Boris Johnson is like a shopping trolley with a wonky wheel'.
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Why does nothing work any more? Economic weather warnings raised from storm to hurricane. A Dublin restaurant experience. Gate 355: Dublin Airport's entrance to hell.
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Ireland booms, UK grinds to a halt. US housing market joins Canada's and starts to slow - signs of things to come?
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Rents & the housing crisis. Stock markets in a different kind of crisis: strong signal that global recession is now the big worry for investors.
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Is the solution to the housing crisis both simple and obvious? Will higher interest rates burst the global and Irish housing bubbles? Dark warnings of financial stress from crypto.
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They haven't gone away you know: water charges. Ireland's dystopia: incomes up, poverty down, inequality down. Truths that can never be told.
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An economic storm is heading our way. Ireland is in much better shape than the UK to deal with it. But everyone will be hit.
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Electric stats, carbon capture and why we need to take energy price rises on the chin. We are repeating the mistakes of the 1970s. Odd happenings in every corner of financial markets. Trouble ahead?
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How much damage has social media done? What will Elon do? What should we do? Stock markets look to be in a bit of bother.
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'Aggressive' rises in interest rates on the cards. So is showering together - energy conservation is now imperative. Putin looks unwell? Some survival tactics in tough times.
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Global growth forecasts slashed by IMF and World Bank. Life in Ireland isn't the dystopian nightmare many journos and politicians say it is. Shinners slip in the polls: start of a welcome trend?
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'Crisis upon crisis means the end of globalisation'. Is the dollar heading for parity against the euro? Which large country has an inflation rate of 62%. How high will US (and our) interest rates go?
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Global recession on the way? Via a wage-price spiral? Criminals running the UK government? Covid corner: lab leak or not?
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The Other Hand returns! Ukraine, inflation and why we should shut off Russian gas now.
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Ukraine: fascists are not just in the Kremlin. Sanctions should be expanded to a total ban on Russian oil & gas. Central bankers now dealing with fundamental uncertainty, not just risk.
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Ukraine: humanitarian disaster and global economic shock. Domestic energy bills to triple? Recession inevitable? Policy mistakes inevitable? Is the West as decadent as the despots think?
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Ukraine: it's existential for both their way of life and ours.
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Ukraine: are financial markets getting it wrong?
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Jim denies going soft on the Shinners. Ukraine, sanctions & energy prices: the potential economic implications. Is a global recession on the cards? Who would be an economic policy maker today?
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Latest Economic news: Ireland is booming. The price of a pint revisited: it's gonna go up a lot. Ireland really is an expensive country - why?
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Brexit is dramatically altering Irish trade. Demography might be destiny but don't try forecasting it. Housing & voting for the Shinners.
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Inflation, inflation, inflation. US used car prices lead the way - up 41%. Wage inflation: problem or solution to inequality? Europe and US now on a very divergent interest rate path?
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The Father Ted approach to policy. MMT - Magic Money Tree? Populism: playing to tribal & atavistic instincts - be very careful.
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Britain's meltdown. Interest hikes for everyone. Facebook, Apple and Amazon: winner takes even more. Is Facebook for oldies only? Tax luck, not genius.
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Electric cars go mainstream. Tech earnings still booming - put windfall taxes on those profits in a Sovereign Wealth Fund. Euro interest rates up twice this year?
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We are nowhere near building enough houses - blame the NIMBYS. Pension or Party? Jim does damp January
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IMF admits a big forecast error - stagflation beckons? Britain is no longer a serious country - beware electing populist politicians bearing simple solutions.
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Stock markets to fall 50%? Bitcoin signals risk ahead. Disappearing cash. Inflation: cost-of-living crisis looms. Who will replace Boris Johnson?
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Bitcoin & Crypto: a response to our critics. Wealth taxes: now is the time? We try to avoid it but it isn't possible not to talk about Johnson.
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Our top financial tip for 2022! What about crypto? Johnson's latest gamble - could it save him? Covid is so much worse in Ireland, why? And an apology for tech glitch.
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America's next civil war: has it started? 10% of Londoners had Covid on New year's Eve. If hospitals fall over, blame the anti-vaxxers.
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A Covid rant. Ireland is doing very well on a number of key metrics. Foreign investors like a lot about the country
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Higher mortgage rates on the way? Blame Covid. Even we didn't see the 8.00pm evidence-free shutdown. It's their party and they all go when they want to.
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Tory rebels hate Plan B. Just wait til they see Plan C. A look at the deteriorating Covid situation and what the data says right now. Christmas and Boris both under threat.
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UK and German politics: 3 ring circus compared to grown-up governance. Inflation: Summers ponders a US recession yet US equities are at all all-time high.
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Boom! Tax revenues up strongly again. Is the stage set for giveaway budgets? Where do conspiracy theorists get their beliefs? Transitory inflation is no more: it's just inflation.
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Brexit and the end of the UK land-bridge? COVID: Omicron policy response becomes Moronic. What drives anti-vaxxers?
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Stagflation with no sign of the stag. Economic growth resurges, at least in the US - perhaps to remarkable levels. Dollar strength no deterrent to weekend shopping trips to NYC.
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Housing & vultures. Covid restrictions & revolts. Marijuana - there's an app for that.
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Panto season starts early: Covid, unlike Cinderella, only comes out at midnight. Apparently. Out and about in Dublin. If the game is truly rigged which way to go: extreme right or left?
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Forecasts for the economy double. Inflation also up a lot. Does debt matter? Shinners in government - mind your pension.
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One year on from the first vaccine. Stock markets signalling all is now fine: rational markets or just another bubble? Why is there no ambition for Dublin?
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Bank of England stumbles and sterling falls. The tax boom is getting boomier.
The bank of England all but promised an interest rate rise this week but then failed to deliver. What is going on?US jobs are growing again but US interest rates are not. For how long? Stock markets love the mix of decent growth and a docile central bank.Latest data suggest no let up in surging Irish tax revenues. November will be the big corporation tax month. Ireland and UK covid rates have recently crossed. But there is better news from big pharma: anti-virals are almost as big as the news about vaccines we got last year. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjpeconomics.substack.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Global inflation and supply chain problems are getting worse. Are higher interest rates the answer? Does COP26 need a touch of CBT?
Interest rate rises around the world now seem to be just a mater of time. How fixed is your mortgage?When environmental campaigners tell us ‘we are all doomed’ how do we react? Is this kind of messaging the way most likely to get us to make the necessary changes to or behaviour? This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjpeconomics.substack.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Mafia-style elites govern us all. But are they making a mistake?
For centuries, the ways in which many societies governed themselves were indistinguishable from mafia-type governance structures. Along came democracy, the rule of law and meritocracy. But how much has really changed? Have we just changed one set of feudal barons for another, albeit with a slightly thicker veneer of civilisation? As philosopher Michael Sandel says, meritocracy is a scam.Prominent economist Jeffrey Sachs recently asserted that America is ruled by and for a small elite - and always has been, apart from an aberrant period from the mid 1930s to the mid 1960s. Surely that’s also true of the UK (with only a much shorter ‘golden period’) and many other countries? Is Sachs right? If so, what does that suggest for what happens next?‘Winner takes all’ may be how the world has always been organised. But the sustainability of that model depends critically on the winners leaving enough on the table to keep the masses quiet. Are today’s elites making the classic mistake? This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjpeconomics.substack.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Economists still don't know what causes inflation? Is it, today, a nice problem to have? Can Johnson keep his electoral coalition intact?
Leading economist Duncan Weldon once again joins The Other Hand to discuss the issues of the day.In his own recent substack post Duncan noted that an ex-Chief Economist of the Bank of England recently stated that ‘economists have no general theory of inflation’. When you think about it, that’s quite a statement.The UK budget revealed another shape-shift for the Tory party. A Chancellor who believes borrowing is ‘immoral’ nevertheless wants to spend a lot of borrowed money. And is raising taxes. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjpeconomics.substack.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Booming tax revenues on both sides of the Irish Sea. Sunak & Johnson in conflict or just setting up pre-election tax cuts? Strange economics of financing de-carbonisation.
Leading economist Duncan Weldon joins Chris in conversation about how tax revenues are giving finance ministers in Ireland and the UK much more room for manoeuvre - for now at least. Is the the UK government setting itself up for stringency now to be followed by pre-election giveaways? The British have a strange attitude towards financing de-carbonisation.The state of economic journalism. Modern economics: what message does the recent Nobel prize send? This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjpeconomics.substack.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.