
Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
2,170 episodes — Page 31 of 44
It's 'Game On' for earnings season; high times for Left Brain Thinking
Brian Dress of Left Brain Investment Research says that earnings season is 'the Super Bowl and Olympics all rolled into one,' and with four of the FAANG stocks reporting on Thursday, he discusses in this week's Left Brain Thinking segment how to use earnings reports, transcripts and more to identify opportunities in stocks and bonds. Also on the show, author Roger Martin discusses his book, 'When More is Not Better: Overcoming America's Obsession with Economic Efficiency,' Matt Schulz of CompareCards.com talks about the troubles with store credit cards, and Maz Jadallah of AlphaClone covers the favorite stocks of hedge funds in the Market Call.
Technician Newton sees tech and market troubles through year's end
Mark Newton of Newton Advisors says that he expects the year to play out like 2018, when the stock market peaked in October and then suffered through the end of the year. Newton says that if the Standard and Poor's 500 breaks through 3,380 -- a level it nearly hit on Monday -- investors could be in for a slippery slope through December, a decline exacerbated by struggles among technology stocks and broader pressures facing popular stocks. Also on the show, Brian Estes of Off The Chain Capital talks bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, Sarah Berger of MagnifyMoney.com discusses the regrets investors report feeling over stocks they sold at the beginning of the pandemic, and David McInnis of the East Paces Group discusses how to deal with the volatility he expects to see after election day,
Allianz's Mahajan: Big companies -- and market -- can profit amid small-biz pain
Mona Mahajan, US investment strategist at Allianz Global Investors,says that while investors sense the disconnect between the market and economy, the stock market has been driven by a few giant businesses that have done well, even as the small-business community has suffered through the pandemic. Mahajan believes investors have a good opportunity now to position themselves for the rally that she thinks will be driven next year by improving economic data. Also on the show, Holly Ward discusses the latest outlook survey from the National Association for Business Economics, author Rob Hatch talks about making simple, straightforward decisions in today's complex world, and David Trainer of New Constructs puts a popular name-brand in the Danger Zone.
Smart Portfolio's Welsh expects volatility, a big decline, a bounceback and ...
Jim Welsh of Smart Portfolios says that he expects the market to correct to where the Standard and Poor's 500 index down as low as 3,000 before a rally in the first two months of 2021 -- largely the result of the government's next stimulus package -- possibly bringing the index back to 4,000. At that point, however, Welsh is worried that the bull market could run out of steam, vulnerable to a 'much bigger correction' as the coronavirus problem drags on. Also on the show, Bryce Rowe of National Securities Corp. talks about the strong opportunities in business-development companies now, author Marc Levenson talks globalization and his new book on how what started as moving stuff around has now become a way to move ideas, and we rebroadcast a recent Market Call covering small-cap stocks with Jay Kaplan of the Royce Funds.
Northwestern Mutual's Schutte: The market and economy aren't disconnected now
Brent Schutte of Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management says that the market and the economy are not as disjointed and disconnected as they seem at first blush, noting that the pandemic created an 'economic valley' that has mostly been filled by adaptive companies, federal policies, science pursuing vaccines and more. That has created a situation where Schutte believes the market can continue to performa and the economy can grow even with the virus problem unresolved. Also on the show, Tom Lydon makes a brand-new mid-cap focused fund his 'ETF of the Week,' Jim Callinan of Osterweis Emerging Opportunity fund talks about the secular market opportunities he sees happening now, and Susan Dziubinski of Morningstar Inc. discusses how the health-care industry is being reshaped by coronavirus.
Meb Faber on lions, sharks, mosquitos and investors
Financial author, blogger and podcaster Meb Faber, chief investment officer at the Cambria Funds, says in a wide-ranging interview that investors need to stay focused on the process -- costs, fees and asset allocation -- and ignore 2020's constant noise. He discusses the ways that people fear lions and sharks but that it's creatures you aren't scared of -- like mosquitos and other people -- that actually cause the most deaths; likewise, investors focus on the news and not the boring stuff that truly determines how well their portfolios will perform. Also on the show, David Ellison, manager of Hennessy Large-Cap Financial and Hennessy Small-Cap Financial discusses banking, fin-tech, electronic and digital payments and more, and Noland Langford of Left Brain Investment Research talks about Crowdstrike and Uber, two growth stocks that earned a green light recently from the firm's disciplined research process.
Crossmark's Fernandez: 'Whatever happens in the market will be Covid-driven'
Victoria Fernandez, chief market strategist for Crossmark Global Investments, says that while we might expect the market to react to the election and to fundamentals, the foreseeable future of the market will be driven by what happens with Covid-19 and the way the pandemic plays out. She expects the market to jump back clearly once we get through the pandemic and see a reduction in cases and the beginning to the end of a pandemic. Also on the show, long-term trader Michael Sincere says he thinks the disconnect between the economy and the market needs to be resolved and that he expects that the economy's dour message will win out with the stock market suffering as a result, Matt Schulz of CompareCards.com discusses how grocery spending has changed during the coronavirus troubles, and Chuck discusses the 10-year anniversary of his heart attack and how his life has changed since then.
Two sides to commercial real estate, four trends in transformational change
Alexi Panagiotakopoulos, chief investment officer at Fundamental Income, discusses the bifurcated situation in commercial real estate -- where properties for shopping malls and other uses seem to be headed for extinction while support properties like gas stations and drive-thrus is exploding -- stemming from the coronavirus pandemic, while Scott Helfstein, executive director of thematic investing for ProShares, talks about how the pandemic has created transformational change that will make four specific industries the places to be going forward. Also on the show, David Goodsell of the Natixis Investment Managers' Center for Investor Insight discusses the firm's 2020 Global Retirement Index, and Kyle Guske of New Constructs puts a technology fund in the "Danger Zone."
David Tepper: Closed-end funds remain an investment bargain
David Tepper of Tepper Capital Management in San Francisco explains why he uses closed-end funds almost exclusively in his client portfolios, noting that in today's market conditions there are plenty of opportunities to build a well-diversified portfolio at a discount, and adding that even long-term closed-end fund investors need to be prepared to take advantage of times when discounts narrow suddenly, creating short-term chances for bigger-than-expected gains.
Lydon of ETFTrends.com: Let the sun shine into your portfolio
Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com says that while the election could influence the sector, alternative energy companies are worth watching for now, and buying when the time is right. Lydon noted that a Joe Biden win in November could help solar-energy stocks, while a Donald Trump victory might hurt it, but the Invesco Solar ETF -- his ETF of the Week -- is so far above its 200-day average that investors should wait for a pullback to consider buying,but long-term should consider making solar a portfolio choice. Also on the show, author Margaret Heffernan discusses how to navigate the future in these particularly uncertain times, Francesca Ortegren of Clever Real Estate talks about the impact Covid-19 is having on mortgage payments and the real estate market, and Hank Smith of Haverford Trust Co. covers stock investing in the Market Call.
Dana Telsey: The big changes have all happened, and retail's not dead
Retail specialist Dana Telsey of the Telsey Advisory Group says that the pandemic accelerated all of the big changes that were facing retailers and accelerated them, and while the result has been bankruptcies, consolidations and more -- and we won't be out of the woods until there's a stimulus package that boosts consumers -- there also are clear signs of how retail will survive and how the future for stores, malls and Internet offerings will look different. In another Big Interview, Lindsey Bell, chief investment strategist at Ally Invest, says that the market and economy are moving in the right direction -- generally in the direction of the 'old normal' -- but that it has been making that trip slowly and the pace likely won't pick up without resolution of stimulus efforts, a vaccine and more. Also, Brian Dress, director of research at Left Brain Investment Research, discusses the process that blends science with art to come up with names like Beyond Meat, a hot stock that he says still has major growth potential, and Ted Rossman of CreditCards.com talks about the high costs of retail-store credit cards and how they may not be the bargain they're made out to be based on check-out line discount promises.
Chase Investment's Klintworth says the technicals are pointing up for the market
Buck Klintworth, portfolio manager at Chase Investment Counsel, says that technicals show that the market's early October rise is no fluke and should have the ability to keep going, though if it moves the Standard and Poor's 500 Index to 3,600 it will have reached his expected level for year-end and will likely chop around and be volatile but mostly sideways into 2021. Also on the show, Kathy Bostjancic of Oxford Economics USA gives her take on how the economy can recover from the pandemic and how close the nation is to a long-lasting problem if economic stimulus is not offered to help the country get through troubled election and holiday seasons, and Allan Sloan of the Washington Post -- a legendary business journalist -- discusses President Trump's financial history and what it suggests he will do as he faces debt and tax issues that have made headlines in recent weeks.
Savers think they need more than ever to retire comfortably
A new survey of 401(k) participants done by Charles Schwab and Co. shows that baby boomers now believe they need a $1.6 million nestegg to retire comfortably, with millennials saying they must amass $2 million. Catherine Golladay of Schwab joins Chuck to discuss how and why retirement savers think reaching their goals is harder and requires more money. Also on the show, Doug Nordman discusses his new book, 'Raising Your Money-Savvy Family for Next Generation Financial Independence,' David Tainer of New Constructs warns of the dangers of ignoring footnotes in corporate filings, and we rebroadcast a recent Market Call interview with Eric Heyman of Olstein Strategic Opportunities.
A chartist, fundamentals guy and a quant come onto a show ... and all like the market now
Four very different experts join Chuck on today's show, and while they each maintain a different investment approach, they all agree that they like the looks of the market right now and they expect things to improve with the resolution of the election. Dan Zanger of ChartPattern.com talks technical analysis and notes that he is nearly fully invested, Ron Sanchez of Fiduciary Trust Co. International examines the fundamentals and notes that he is constructive over the long haul, and expects the market to grind higher through choppy, volatile times for the rest of the year. Peter Vanderlee of ClearBridge Investments and the closed-end LMP Capital and Income fund discusses the importance -- and good value -- of dividend stocks to income generation now, and quantitative manager Robert Zuccaro of Target QR Strategies discusses his growth-driven stock approach in the Market Call.
Ned Davis' Clissold: Cyclical bull market should run into early 2021
Ed Clissold, chief US strategist for Ned Davis Research, says that the market has a good chance of 'getting pretty deep into 2021' in a bull market, but that to get there stocks must first get past the uncertainty of the election and the pandemic; he notes that once the market feels good about calling a winner in the presidential election, it is likely to get a boost regardless of which candidate earns the consensus, if only because knowing the outcome provides more solid footing that wondering who will win and whether the results will go through. Also on the show, author Ashley Whillans discusses her new book 'Time Smart' -- out this week -- and how people can reclaim the time they are losing to get more done and be happier and less stressed, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes a hot, trending home-building fund his 'ETF of the Week,' and Chuck discusses his plans for a Covid-safe cash-or-candy Halloween.
Midas Fund's Winmill: Despite solid run-up, gold stocks are a good value now
Thomas Winmill, manager of the Midas Fund, says that 27 percent gains over the last 12 months haven't taken the shine off of gold stocks, which are 'trading at very attractive multiples in terms of price to free cash flow.' Winmill notes that despite low inflation -- which reduces gold's efficiency as a hedge against rising prices -- and lower-for-longer interest rates, precious metals remain attractive during uncertain times, which is why gold prices have held up against the coronavirus pandemic and have seemed impervious to election news. Also on the show, Noland Langford of Left Brain Investment Research highlights some 'Covid stocks' that come from industries and businesses that most people don't think have futures tied to the pandemic, Ryan Sweet of Moody's Analytics discusses the latest National Association for Business Economics outlook survey, and Rob Isbitts of Sungarden Investment Management and thehedgedinvestor.com covers exchange-traded funds in the Market Call.
Strategic Frontier's Goerz: Small caps and value will soon come to the fore
David Goerz, chief investment officer at Strategic Frontier Management says that while the current momentum is with large-cap growth stocks, he expects small-cap stocks and the value style of investing to be the right call for longer-term investors, noting that he would be gravitating his asset allocation towards sectors filled with value-oriented issues -- like financials, industrials and real estate -- while avoiding areas like consumer staples and health care. Jay Kaplan, manager of the Royce Small Cap Value and Royce Total Return funds echoed many of those sentiments in the Market Call; both money managers disliked the energy sector. Also on the show, Jeffrey Bierman, chief market technician at TheoTrade.com, says that while the market has been rising, thin volume suggests that the current rally is not well supported and could turn on a dime, while Meredith Stoddard, vice president of life event planning at Fidelity Investments discusses the firm's 'Moving Forward' survey released today, looking at how investors attitudes about their financial futures have been changed by the coronavirus pandemic.
AGF's Valliere: Political uncertainty will make for a volatile, uncertain end to 2020
Greg Valliere, chief U.S. policy strategist for AGF Investments, says he believes the 2021 economy will be okay and show signs of life, but that political unrest between the election and any further coronavirus stimulus is likely to make the remainder of 2020 volatile and lackluster. Also on the show, David Goodsell of the Natixis Investment Managers' Center for Investor Insight talks about the mixed market outlook expressed by the professional strategists consulted in a recent survey, David Trainer of New Constructs highlights an accounting-rules change that is making it harder for investors to uncover bad news and a true picture of certain stocks, and Rob Reilly of PRW Wealth Advisors taks mutual funds and ETFs in the Market Call.
Levin Easterly's Hendel: There are absolute values with good catalysts in this market
Sam Hendel, president of Levin Easterly Capital, says in the Market Call that the market being near record highs hasn't made it significantly harder to find value stocks poised for strong performance, especially if you are willing to be somewhat contrarian. Also on the show, Terry Gallagher from UMB Fund Services talks about developments in closed-end funds, most notably the evolution of tender-offer funds, Matt Zajechowski of Digital Third Coast discusses a recent survey on the impact of Covid-19 on prices consumers are paying at the supermarket and elsewhere, and author Jame DiBiasio, chats about his book 'Cowries to Crypto: A History of Money, Currency and Wealth.'
Two different expert takes on how and why economic recovery will slow
Two Big Interview guests today raise questions about the long-term recovery of the economy from the coronavirus pandemic. Lale Topcuoglu of J.O. Hambro Capital Management says that the market assumes that the economy will recover quickly, butworries that a slower rebound and lower growth rates than expected could lead to deterioration in the fixed-income and credit markets, while Nigam Arora of The Aurora Report discusses how the market and economy will respond to additional stimulus and how the expansion of the national debt will eventually turn into a problem. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes a fund that seeks out cash cows his 'ETF of the Week,' and Rebecca Gramuglia of TopCashback.com discusses how consumers can get more out of their holiday shopping budget if they start planning now.
Michael Falk discusses the 'one question every investor must answer right now'
Michael Falk of Focus Consulting Group returns to Money Life for an update not only on his struggles with Lou Gehrig's Disease, but also on how changes to the market and economy should have all investors asking one key question that should determine what they do next. The show adds a new regular to the lineup with the debut of Left Brain Thinking; Noland Langford of Left Brain Investment research discusses 'election-proof stocks.' Also on the show, Sarah Ketterer of Causeway Capital Management talks international value investing and more, and Vivian Tsai of the College Savings Foundation covers how Covid is changing the way parents and students are thinking about college.
AAM's Colyer: Newbies rushing the market is a signal that it's time to exit
Scott Colyer, chief executive/chief investment officer at Advisors Asset Management, says that the Federal Reserve has primed the pump for the market, but noted that investors need to display some caution. Colyer points out that many people took their stimulus check to the broker and started investing, and all of that enthusiasm tends to be a danger sign for what lies ahead. While Colyer is cautious, he remains fully invested, though he believes investors need to diversify away from the hot stocks and think more broadly. Also on the show, Michele Schneider of MarketGauge.com sees the market's technicals as largely favorable, but with worry signs, John Divine of US News and World Report discusses the hot IPO market and what to expect from new issues for the remainder of the year, and Gary Bradshaw of the Hodges Funds discusses blue-chip stocks in the Market Call.
Merrill's Mukherjee says the market has entered a new bull cycle
Niladri Mukherjee of Merrill Lynch Bank of America Private Bank says that investors are more bearish now -- with the Standard and Poor's 500 Index at 3,300 -- than they were when the benchmark stood 1,000 points lower at the bottom of the market's February-March blood-letting. That sentiment is helping to create a pent-up demand that turns most declines into buying opportunities, and is why the market, according to Mukherjee, is entering a new bull cycle, rekindling the secular bull market that started about seven years ago. Brian Kraus of the Hartford Funds talks about a recent survey in which investors discussed how the outcome of the presidential election will impact their investment decisions, Andrew Hsu of the DoubleLine Funds discusses the impact that the election will have on infrastructure spending and project bonds, and David Trainer of New Constructs puts Dropbox stock in the 'Danger Zone' saying it is significantly overpriced now.
Asbury Research's Kosar says it's risk-off until the market re-tests average
John Kosar, chief market strategist, says the data is telling him that the stock market is due for a short-term pullback, noting that the Standard and Poor's 500 has been hovering in a range signalling a downturn in the offing, looking like it could test current support at the 3,233 level. If the market breaks support from there, Kosar says to expect the 200-day moving average level of roughly 3,100 to be the next test, and that the market could get to it and beyond fast before a rebound comes into view. John Cole Scott of Closed-End Fund Advisors and the Active Investment Company Alliance opens the show by looking back at the first year of The NAVigator segment and the tough and changing year it has covered in the closed-end space, while also looking ahead with some picks for the year ahead. Also on the show, Robert Hockett, author of "Money From Nothing ... Or, Why We Should Stop Worrying About Debt and Learn to Love the Federal Reserve" discusses the economic fallout from current events, and Daniel Dolan of Dolan-McEniry discusses the current state of the corporate-bond market.
Driehaus' Caldwell: Pandemic is not the big story for life-sciences stocks
Mike Calwell, manager of the Driehaus Life Sciences Fund, says that while investors are focused on the coronavirus pandemic and the companies poised to cash in on developing a vaccine, the next decade for life-sciences stocks should include wide-ranging personal health developments combatting things like heart disease and cancer that will still be among the nation's biggest killers long after the virus has passed. Caldwell suggests investors focus on the long-term and the more permanent opportunities, noting that some of the public funding to combat Covid-19 will contribute to advances in many other areas. Also on the show, author Steve Vernon talks about his latest book on the steps investors can take to avoid going broke in retirement, Matt Schulz of CompareCards.com discusses consumer savings amid the pandemic, and Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes an IPO stock his 'ETF of the Week,' suggesting that investors may want to keep a permanent allocation to new and nascent stocks.
Zack's John Blank says volatile market making for average to flat year
John Blank, chief market strategist and economist at Zacks Investment research, says that for all of the stock market's volatility and its headline-induced nervousness, results have been mostly average and investors who look at the long run can easily recognize that the market has been sticking with historic norms despite feeling like it has been put to historic extremes. Also on the show, Chuck answers audience questions about the 'bucket system' of saving for retirement and on the spreads an investor might pay to be a long-term social investor, author and entrepreneur Ken Rusk discusses his book 'Blue Collar Cash,' and Sarah Berger of MagnifyMoney.com discusses the site's latest survey, which shows that just 17 percent of investors 'completely trust the stock market.'
Thornburg exec says the Fed and the economy should put you on defense
Jeff Klingelhofer, co-head of investments at Thornburg Investment Management, says that investors should be nervous and defensive because of the disconnect between the economy and the stock and bond markets, noting that he worries that the Federal Reserve is ill-equipped for fighting unemployment in addition to its traditional role of combating inflation. Despite the worries, Klingelhofer still believes that the domestic market is the best place to invest. Also on the show, Jeff Krumpelman of Mariner Wealth Advisors says he believes the market is headed for a correction, though he believes there is a solid foundation to enable a reasonably quick recovery from any decline. Also on the show, Ken Tumin of DepositAccounts.com discusses how consumers are changing their banking habits in the pandemic, and Mike Liss of American Century Value Fund talks relative-value investing in the Market Call.
Epsilon Theory's Hunt: The real world is divorced from corporate stories
Ben Hunt of Epsilon Theory says that 'every effective CEO today is a CEO who can tell a story and create a narrative that may or may not have anything to do with real-world performance,' and he says that investors have to cut through those stories to figure out what is real and what is overblown, disconnected from fundamentals and economics. He notes that investors must make up their own minds, rather than falling easily for the stories. Also on the show, James DiChiaro of the BNY Mellon Core Plus Fund talks about generating income in a low-rate environment, David Trainer of New Constructs puts Peloton stock in the 'Danger Zone,' saying it's sky-high valuations are taking investors for a ride, and Catherine Collinson of the Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies discusses recent research showing how retirees are already feeling long-term impacts to their money and mindset due to the coronavirus pandemic.
WisdomTree's Weniger says investors must factor Co19 response into plans
Jeff Weniger, director of asset allocation at WisdomTree Asset Management, says that investors need to put potential election outcomes into their plans ahead of time, and he notes that the reaction should include how each candidate is likely to respond to the coronavirus pandemic from here. Weniger says, for example, that investors should overweight financial is they expect a Trump victory -- which he does -- and reduce exposure to banks and investment firms if they expect a Biden win. Also on the show, Joe Keefe, president of the Pax World Funds, discusses how social investors should be thinking about their influence in the wake of the wildfires sweeping the West Coast, as well as his expectations for the market through the election, Mark Hamrick of Bankrate.com covers the site's latest survey on Americans' current level of personal financial satisfaction under President Trump, and Daniel Wildermuth of Wildermuth Wealth talks about the benefits of investing like an endowment within a fund structure that forces investors to hold -- and think -- long-term.
Centerstone's Deshpande: Market is well-positioned for value investors
Abhay Deshpande, chief investment officer at Centerstone Investors, says that the market's February-March swoon created the best situation that value investors had seen since the financial crisis of 2008, and that the recent rebound back to record-high ranges hasn't diminished the value prospects for a lot of businesses. Deshpande says that 2020 by the numbers -- rather than the events that have caused them and hijacked the headlines -- is reasonably close to what he might have expected at the start of the year. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com picks a brand new fund with ties to the Nasdaq Compiste Index as his 'ETF of the Week,' Matt Schulz of CompareCards.com discusses the impact that a $500 debt repayment will have on the average credit score, and Eric Heyman of the Olstein Strategic Opportunities fund makes his debut talking stocks in the Market Call.
ProShares Hyman: Steady, growing pet-care industry stands out in all conditions
Simeon Hyman, global investment strategist for ProShares, says that while investors have focused on technology and health-care stocks during the pandemic, the pet-care industry has been thriving, buoyed not only by increased demand but by the consistent way in which pet owners spend on their pets. The ProShares Pet Care ETF is up nearly 30 percent this year and Hyman said that steady gains and growth will be the real, long-term story of the fund. Also on the show, author Dawn Starks talks about 'Simplify Your Financial Life,' her book that has over 100 tips to help people take better control of their money and time, and Francisco Bido of Integrated Alpha and the F/m Large-Cap Focused Fund talks the art and science of his mostly quantitative approach in the Market Call.
Fairlead Strategies' Stockton is short-term bearish, long-term bullish
Technical analyst Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies, says that the stock market's winter swoon may have set it up for the current recovery and helped it avoid a bubble, but she warns that her outlook for the market in the short run is negative. The decline she sees coming, however, should prove to be a buying opportunity, because her long-term market expectation is positive and bullish, meaning that investors should be rewarded for buying into the trouble ahead. Also on the show, Rance Masheck of iVest Plus talks about the new wave of traders and whether conditions are right to lure newbies into the market only to give them a beating, Ted Rossman of Bankrate.com discusses home improvements and how people who need them mid-pandemic are paying for them during times when money is tight, and Leah Bennett of Westwood Wealth Management talks bottoms-up stock-picking and large-cap companies in the Market Call.
Barrack Yard's Leclerc: Risk for investors is 'over-the-top high'
Martin Leclerc, chief investment officer at Barrack Yard Advisors, says in the Money Life Market Call that the stock market is currently poised to disappoint investors 'for at least a decade if not longer,' yet despite risk levels that he compares to past market meltdowns like 2008 and 1929 there are still some values worth buying for the long haul. Also on the show, Marc Zeitoun of Columbia Threadneedle on the ways exchange-traded funds are changing and how it affects the way investors use them, David Trainer puts Snap Inc. in the 'Danger Zone,' and Jacob Golstein -- best known for his work on the Planet Money podcast -- discusses his book, 'Money: The True Story of a Made-Up Thing.'
Manager says marijuana business is about much more than smoking pot
Jason Wilson, manager of the ETFMG Alternative Harvest fund (ticker MJ) says that investors who believe that the investment opportunity in legalized marijuana is from pot shops and people smoking dope are missing the much broader uses of cannabis and its potential in pharmaceuticals and biotech business and more. While the small names have attracted attention of risk takers, he says sticking with established companies -- and looking at supportive businesses -- is a way to reduce the Wild West elements of the industry. Also on the show, Dave Lamb, head of closed-end funds for Nuveen talks about how municipal bonds have rebounded sharply but haven't recovered pre-pandemic highs -- unlike investment-grade corporates -- making them attractive now, Davis Martin of The SPY Trade of the Day discusses how the market's movements are being dictated by moving averages, and David Norris, head of US credit at TwentyFour Asset Management covers the credit business and how it has responded to the lower-for-longer interest-rate environment.
MarketPsych's Peterson says COVID has split the market in two
Richard Peterson of MarketPsych Data says that most of the economy is not doing well as a result of the global pandemic, which has fostered two different markets, the one made up of companies profiting from the conditions and benefitting from consumer habits that are likely to be permanently changed, and then the market of companies hoping for a comeback or return to normal that may not be enough, ever, to bring them back. Peterson worries about where investors are with their thinking, noting that there is a fatigue driven by bad news and the election that also has the potential to slow the recovery. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com discusses a fund that's not yet in buying territory but that appears to be headed there as the country it focuses on starts to climb out of its deep coronavirus troubles, Ross Hambrick of William Blair and Co. provides his pre-election primer on how and why Americans' November choice will move the market, and Ryan Jacob of the Jacob Funds talks tech stocks in the Market Call.
Harry Dent says the 'worst crash of our lifetime' has already started
Harry Dent Jr. of Dent Research, editor of the "Economy and Markets' newsletter, says he believes the worst crash of our lifetime started in February and that it will last to the end of 2022, driven by the Federal Reserve Bank 'losing control' early in 2021. He notes that the only markets that have returned to record highs are measured by the biggest domestic indexes, with every other measure below record highs and not ready to re-touch them soon. 'We really peaked in February, we had this first crash and [the Fed] stimulated their way out of that," Dent says, 'but each stimulus has to be stronger and I think they lose control ... in the first or second quarter of next year, just when most economists, most politicians, most business people and everyone I know thinks we will finally beat the virus and come out of it.' Also on the show, author Juliet Schor discusses her latest book, 'After the Gig: How the Sharing Economy Got Hijacked and How to Win It Back,' and Eric Shoenstein, lead portfolio manager for the Jensen Quality Growth fund (JENSX) taks stocks in the Market Call.
NFCU's Frick says the economy is more troubled than most believe
Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, says that the economy's problems are 'intractable' in the short and medium term, and while the recovery can continue, he believes it will be slower and less robust than most current forecasts, noting that while a long-running bull market brought the stock market back from the Great Recession of 2008, the economy in some ways is only just recapturing the levels it achieved before that massive correction. Also on the show, legendary value investor Joel Greenblatt of Gotham Asset Management returns to the show to discuss his new book -- released today -- 'Common Sense: The Investor's Guide to Equality, Opportunity and Growth,' which gives guidelines for how he thinks the investing world can improve society. Eddie Perkin of Eaton Vance also appears on the show, discussing the latest Eaton Vance Investing Pulse Survey.
Technical trader suggests scary downturn will trigger buying opportunity
Chris Vermeulen, chief market strategist at The Technical traders, says that enthusiasm over the market's run back to record highs has overheated, making it likely that there is a pullback of 5 to 10 percent, after which he expects the rally to resume and for stocks to grind back to record highs and beyond. Meanwhile, Marc Lichtenfeld, chief income strategist at The Oxford Club, says that dividend investors who want to give companies a break when they freeze, suspend or reduce payouts during these turbulent times might want to stick to their standards and not give too much of a pass just because the economy and market are experiencing tough times. Some leeway is warranted, Lichtenfeld notes, but dividend cuts remain a bad sign for income-oriented investors. Also on the show, securities attorney Thomas DeCapo of Skadden Arps discusses whether recent SEC rules changes will reduce activism in closed-end funds, and long-short manager Brad Lamensdorf of the Lamensdorf Market Timing report talks stocks in the Market Call.
Research Affiliates' Harvey: This recovery has its potential roadblocks
Duke University economics professor Campbell Harvey, senior advisor at Research Affiliates, explains some of the seven risks he sees as being able to derail a robust economic recovery, noting that the biggest one is how giddy and excited investors have become, seeing the market's rebound through rose-colored glasses. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com selects a clean-energy fund as his ETF of the Week, Eric Groves of Alignable.com discusses his site's survey showing that nearly one-third of small business owners say they are in danger of going out of business in the fourth quarter, and Chuck answers a question from an audience member who is trying to figure out the next financial move after losing his job mid-pandemic.
ICON's Callahan says there are still bargains galore
Craig Callahan, founder of the ICON Funds -- who said just before the stock market bottomed out in late March that it was the best bargain pricing he had ever seen -- says that the market's rise back to record-high levels has dampened the shopping spree somewhat, but that plenty of values remain. He breaks companies into three groups now, those unaffected by the recession and pandemic, those hurt by the recession by likely to recover soon, and those that are significantly impaired, noting that market leaders aren't overpriced yet. Also on the show, Joel Schiffman of Schroders discusses just how wild investor expectations are now that the market has rebounded, Jack Towarnick of the American Research Association covers the changing ways that consumers are using health-savings accounts, and Jamie Cuellar of Buffalo Small-Cap Fund makes his debut in the Market Call.
Hirsch: Now's the time for the market to react to election news
Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac, says the stock market's seemingly ho-hum reaction to election news has been because the result remains a toss-up, but now that the conventions have passed and the election process is entering the home stretch, he expects a more significant response as market forces decide what kind of impact to expect from either an incumbent victory or a regime change. He notes that the market generally responds positively to a re-election and struggles more when an incumbent is defeated. Also on the show, Jerremy Newsome of Real Life Trading says the market is headed for trouble ahead -- a decline of 8 to 10 percent -- because it has overheated and become too optimistic. Still, after that kind of pullback, he expects the market to resume its climb and says 20 percent higher a year from now would not be surprising at all. Larry Swedroe, author of 'The Incredible Shrinking Alpha: How to be a Successful Investor Without Picking Winners" discusses his book and Matt Zajechowski of Digital Third Coast talks about how travelers are changing their habits now in order to get back on the road even as the pandemic drags on.
Gotham's Greenblatt: Record markets and 'cheap' stocks aren't exclusive
Famed value investor Joel Greenblatt, co-chief investment officer at Gotham Asset Management, explains how the market's changes haven't affected what he looks at in stocks, but stresses that value investors who insist on traditional measures like price-to-earnings or price-to-book ratios will not see the real bargains available now, even as the market returns to record-high levels. He explains how Amazon.com is a value stock now despite a massive 4-digit price tag, noting he thinks it could nearly double from here. Also on the show, David Trainer of New Constructs puts Carvana in the Danger Zone, saying the stock has all the earmarks of an imminent disaster, and Nancy Tengler of Laffer Tengler Wealth Management discusses stocks and her definition of value now in the Market Call.
TDAmeritrade's Kinahan: Election will move sectors more than the full market
JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade, says that the virus and the election will dominate the market action for the remainder of the year and until they are settled, but he says that the election results may not shake things up much on the whole, instead hitting specific sectors hard. He notes that what happens in the House and Senate -- particularly if control of the latter shifts -- will have particular impact on the health-care and energy sectors. Also on the show, Bryan McGannon of US SIF discusses a controversial rules proposal that could limit or reduce investors' access to social investment funds in their retirement plans, Ted Rossman of CreditCards.com talks about the financial impacts -- and pitfalls -- from event cancellations, and Brian Bollinger of Simply Safe Dividends discusses the impact of dividend freezes cuts and suspensions on dividend-investing strategies in the current environment.
Cresset's Ablin: This is the time for active management to shine
Jack Ablin, chief investment officer, says while market conditions are positive, investors need to be choosy because the current rally is not broad. To that end, he suggests that investors 'are better served by some individual selection,' both in stocks and bonds; he notes that the pandemic has highlighted the need for critical thinking, with stocks like Netflix and Disney that once were considered competitors on mostly equal footing now showing their big differences as the economy struggles to reopen. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com looks at the Standard & Poor's 500 in two ways as he picks two similar-but-different funds as 'ETF of the Week,' Laura Adams of Coverage.com talks about the stunningly high cost of adding teenagers to family auto insurance policies, and Eric Boughton of Matisse Capital says in the Market Call that most closed-end funds remain compelling values, allowing investors to buy valuable assets on the cheap..
Baird's Delwiche:No sense in getting negative on the market right now
Willie Delwiche, investment analyst at Baird, says that the market's technicals are sending a clear message that the market is in an uptrend that is likely to keep rolling, so that 'Getting really negative about the market right now doesn't make any sense.' In the Big Interview, Steve Rick, chief economist at CUNA Mutual group, notes that while he expected a recession in 2020, it was not for pandemic reasons, but the struggling economy actually addressed his concerns and so the weakness he anticipated won't stand in the way of a recovery from here.Also, Ismat Mangla of MagnifyMoney.com discusses their research into the dividend history -- freeze, cut, hold or increase -- of companies that furloughed workers or reduced payrolls during the coronavirus pandemic, and Noland Langford of Left Brain Investment Research talks stocks in the Market Call.
Two different but strongly optimistic takes on the market
Avi Gilburt, founder of the Elliott Wave Trader, says he expects the Standard and Poor's 500 Index to hit 5,000 by 2022, and while he believes there will be a pullback before that rally starts, he believes there will be a 'global melt-up' that will dramatically lift global markets in 2021, allowing them to reach his long-term target the following year. Also on the show, Marc Chaikin: of Chaikin Analytics says that the market is only disconnected from the economy 'if you go by the old rules,' noting that unique times call for different guidelines and benchmarks. Chaikin says he will not fight either the Fed or the trend, notig that both are pushing the market higher and likely will keep it going that way into 2021 and beyond. Kasara Barto of Squaremouth.com joins Chuck to discuss about how travel insurance is working during the pandemic and who is actually using it now, and Jane Edmondson of EQM Indexes talks rules-based stock investing in the Market Call.
SLC's Mullarkey: Market is ready to transition from growth to value
Dec Mullarkey, head of investment strategy at SLC Investments, says that the market's recovery has been largely bifurcated, with the FANG stocks benefitting from and fueling the run back to record highs while the rest of the Standard and Poor's 500 and the rest of the Standard and Poor's 500 has been struggling to recapture pre-pandemic prosperity. Mullarkey says that the market has reached the point where technology stocks have maximized their values and he expects a handoff from growth to value; the key for investors will be getting the transition right, thereby avoiding value traps. Mullarkey says that any market stalls or pullbacks could create buying opportunities. Also on the show, Greg Daco of Oxford Economics US discusses the latest National Association for Business Economics Outlook Survey -- out today -- which shows economists thinking the recovery will be long and slow and likely unfinished for at least two more years, Kyle Guske of New Constructs says that one of the stock market's biggest darlings belongs in The Danger Zone, and Chris Krumenacker of Bryn Mawr Trust discusses stocks in the Market Call.
Value manager Auxier: There's a lot of really cheap stocks right now...
The stock market may be back to record high levels, but Jeff Auxier of the Auxier Focus Fund notes that the rally has been narrow with just 6 percent of stocks at or near their peaks. Auxier believes the coronavirus pandemic has left many stocks in buying territory because it amounts to a 'fixable temporary problem,' the kind of thing that knocks down a stock price without impairing it permanently. Also on the show, Lawrence Holzenthaler of Symphony Nuveen discusses high-yield investing in a low-rate environment, and the disconnect between the how the equity and credit markets are thinking right now, Scott Kimball of BMO TCH Core Plus Bond Fund talks the broad fixed-income picture and Ted Rossman of Bankrate.com talks about the site's latest survey on how schooling decisions being made now are having a financial impact on the families dealing with them.
Concurrent's Augusten: The economy, though battered, is supporting stocks
Eddy Augusten, investment committee chair at Concurrent Advisors, says that while the market looks stretched and risky -- with stocks and bonds both being expensive by some conventional metrics -- the economy is strong and showing signs that it can push the market higher. Augusten stressed the importance of looking beyond the standard numbers during times when numbers are uncertain and confusing. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes a new small-cap biotechnology fund his 'ETF of the Week,' Scott Thoma of Edward Jones discusses the changing ways Americans are viewing retirement, and Chuck answers three questions submitted by audience members.
Invesco's Leger: Don't ignore gathering headwinds while the market heads to highs
Talley Leger, senior investment strategist at Invesco, says that while the stock market has been gaining speed and heading to new highs, it also has building headwinds that must be overcome -- but that can be conquered -- before the market can continue its recent rally. Leger suggested that investors will need to move away from defensive sectors and be ready to be more aggressive if the market can overcome its current obstacles. Also on the show, William Quinn, co-author of '"Boom and Bust: A Global History of Financial Bubbles' compares the current economic situation to historic market bubbles, and Stephen Dodson, manager of the Bretton Fund, talks about value investing in current market conditions and the need to stay focused on the long run in the Market Call.