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Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

2,059 episodes — Page 26 of 42

Rayliant's Hsu: Broken economic 'coupling' with China is good for diversification

Jason Hsu of Rayliant Global Advisors says that China -- which was first into and first out of the pandemic -- is a good economic precursor for the rest of the world to watch now, as its stock market euphoria from 2020 has backed off with more mundane returns this year. Hsu notes that China's path through the pandemic was different than for much of the world, highlighting that there has been some de-coupling between global markets, less correlation where one nation's issues lead to problems elsewhere; that, he notes, is good for diversification and a reason to give international investments a bigger role in portfolios. Also on the show, Noland Langford of Left brain Investment Research discusses how the stock market's recent rotation has him looking for growth in some non-traditional places, Chuck talks about the latest research around the '4 percent rule' for retirees, and David Brady of Brady Investment Counsel talks growth stocks in the Market Call.

May 19, 202159 min

All Star Charts' Delwiche: Financials and materials should lead next rally

Willie Delwiche, investment analyst for AllStarCharts.com, says that the market is on solid ground now, even as it enters the second year of a cyclical rally. He suggests looking for clues on where to invest from the current 'digestive phase,' which saw the market take a turn for the worse; despite that downturn, Delwiche notes that financials and materials stocks reached new highs, showing their strength -- which he expects to continue -- in this market. Also on the show, Doug Loeffler of Sierra Investment Management talks about the market and investors' changing risk profiles, Chuck answers a question from a novice who is considering cryptocurrency investments, and Brian Smoluch of the Hood River Small-Cap Growth Fund returns to the Market Call for the first time in roughly five years.

May 18, 202159 min

Oil is going to 100 dollars a barrel, and inflation is coming

Tom McIntyre of McIntyre, Freedman and Flynn -- who has been on the Market Call more than any other guest -- returns to the show and says that for the first time since the Reagan Administration, he is genuinely concerned about the prospect of rising inflation. He sees oil rising to 100 dollars a barrel and says commodity prices are showing upward pricing pressure every day. Also on the show, David Trainer of NewConstructs.com puts the SquareSpace IPO -- due to launch on Wednesday -- into the Danger Zone before it even hits the market, Morgan Henderson of Choice Mutual talks about the poor end-of-life financial planning decisions that many Americans are making, and William Burckhart talks about changing the face of investing, as described in his new book, '21st Century Investing.'

May 17, 20211h 0m

Hennessy's Ellison: Financial stocks now have a 'valuation advantage'

David Ellison, manager of two Hennessy Funds focused on financial-services stocks, says that the market has technology companies trading at 15 times revenues while banks are trading at 10 times their profits, creating a valuation edge that 'makes it hard to see how [financials] will not do well over the next couple of years,' and that's before factoring in rising interest rates and other factors that could change and help the financial landscape going forward. Also on the show, Mike Taggart of Taggart Fund Intelligence discusses how investors need to look past discounts when analyzing closed-end funds, technical analyst D.R. Barton Jr. discusses how current market volatility looks mostly like a buying opportunity, and Jamie Cuellar, manager of the Buffalo Small Cap Fund, says in the Market Call that investors need to be picky with small stocks as market volatility grows over the remainder of the year.

May 14, 202159 min

Glenview's Stone: Inflation could be transitory, and shouldn't stop recovery

Bill Stone, chief investment officer for Glenview Trust, says that current inflation may be on the rise, but the increase may be caused in part by bottlenecks in certain commodities that have caused prices to increase, and that pressure should ease over time. He expects value stocks to continue their recent outperformance over growth during the rest of the year, with a strong economic recovery and the slight inflation blip pushing that action along. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com discusses a cash-cow investment strategy with his pick for the ETF of the Week, Jerome Clark discusses how the pandemic played out in family money talks, as measured by the T. Rowe Price 2021 Parents, Kids & Money Survey, and Roger Conrad, editor of Conrad's Utility Investor, covers a wide range of utility stocks in the Market Call.

May 13, 202159 min

Via Nova's Gayle: If ever a rising tide lifts all boats, 'we're in it'

Alan Gayle, president of Via Nova Investment Management, says that the light at the end of the pandemic's tunnel is getting brighter and that as conditions improve the astronomically high expectations for economic growth keep moving higher, as do the already heightened expectations for Standard and Poor's 500 earnings. 'The overriding theme,' Gayle says, 'is that the fundamentals continue to improve,' creating the proverbial rising tide that is lifting all boats. Also on the show, Brian Dress of Left Brain Investment Research discusses what growth investors should be thinking now that volatility has made the ride much bumpier, and Ted Rossman of CredtCards.com covers a new survey showing that many parents helped their children get through the pandemic financially, but to the detriment of their own finances. In the Market Call, Andre Weisbrod of Quantum Financial Advisors makes his debut on the show discussing stocks and ETFs.

May 12, 202159 min

Currency meltdowns, Biden's tax plan, lifetime income and 'Lincolnomics'

It's a wide-ranging show today with Mish Schneider of MarketGauge.com talking technical analysis and worrying about the status of the dollar and how it appears to be weakening, and Andy Kapyrin of Regent Atlantic discussing the Biden Administration's tax-overhaul proposal, which would raise capital gains taxes on the wealthiest Americans to more than 40 percent. Stan Haithcock, 'Stan the Annuity Man,' returns to answer an audience member's question about how and whether to establish an annuity for lifetime income, and author John Wasik talks about the overlooked economic legacy of Abraham Lincoln, how Honest Abe's policies set the groundwork for the American economy and how he'd likely deal with today's economic challenges.

May 11, 202159 min

Positive earnings stories hide problems for Lyft, Spotify and Snap

David Trainer of New Constructs revisits three past 'Danger Zone' picks that recently reported earnings that the market could take as a positive but that he feels continue to mask deep underlying problems. Trainer believes two of the three companies ultimately could prove worthless, but even if they don't he says that all three stocks are dramatically overpriced based on their realistic prospects for controlling their respective industries. Also on the show, Chuck covers why Friday's bad jobs report was greeted by new stock market highs, John Divine of US News and World Report talks about dogecoin and whether investors should consider the latest hot cryptocurrency, author Jennifer Turliuk discusses how to figure out what to do with your life, and Adan Coons of Winthrop Capital Management talks ETFs in the Market Call.

May 10, 202159 min

Option Strategist's McMillan: Be ready to protect your profits

Lawrence McMillan of McMillan Analysis and OptionStrategist.com says he is tightening up his stops right now, because the market is showing a few subtle danger signs within mostly positive trends. He worries that the market -- and particularly the Nasdaq, which has struggled while other indicators have flirted with new highs -- could be in for a short, sttep downturn before they can build off of positive news and trends. Also on the show, author Phil Moeller discusses his latest book, 'Get What's Yours for Health Care,' John Cole Scott of Closed-End Fund Advisors and the Active Investment Company Alliance looks at the opportunities now in closed-end funds, and Ken Applegate, lead manager for the Wasatch International Growth and Wasatch International Select funds talks small- and mid-cap stocks in the Market Call.

May 7, 20211h 0m

Michael Baron on how his fund has gained 165 percent in the last year

With the stock market near record highs and up nearly 50 percent in the last 12 months, big gains aren't all that impressive. But Baron Partners Fund -- which gained 45 percent in 2019 and nearly 150 percent in 2020 -- has now racked up a 165 percent increase over the last 12 months, more than three times the return of the broad stock market and is the number one fund in its category in every time period from one year to 15 years. In an extended Big Interview, manager Michael Baron discusses how and why that has happened, what they're doing to avoid regressing to the mean in the future and gives his reaction to Morningtsr analysts downgrading the fund to a 'neutral' rating despite its long run of success. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes a bond fund with an interesting twist his ETF of the Week, and Jason Herried, director of equity strategies for Johnson Financial Group discusses mutual funds and exchange-traded funds in the Market Call.

May 6, 202158 min

Hancock's Roland: 'Everything is absolutely awesome,' for now

Emily Roland, co-chief investment strategist, John Hancock Investment Management, says that the economic and corporate fundamental pictures are 'absolutely awesome' right now, but she notes that after parabolic returns off the bottom like we have seen in the last 12 months, the market tends to become more choppy, volatile and challenging. While she is bullish -- believing that new economic and market cycles are unfolding now -- she thinks the easy rebound returns have been made. Also on the show, Brian Dress, director of research at Left Brain Investment Research, discusses Energy Transfer as a 'bond-like equity' with a 7 percent yield and potential for growth, Matt Frankel of The Ascent talks about a study on what consumers most want from their credit cards, and author and civil rights attorney Jim Freeman discusses his new book, 'Rich Thanks to Racism: How the Ultra-Wealthy Profit from Racial Injustice.'

May 5, 202159 min

NDR's Clissold: Some trouble ahead, but the risk of recession is low

Ed Clissold, chief US strategist at Ned Davis Research, says that the stock market should remain strong while the economy gets back to full speed, but he notes that things could change quickly thereafter and says investors will want to get defensive. He does not expect a recession or significant bear market, but believes investors will want to play defe3nse and choose buying opportunities carefully. Also on the show, Chris Vermeulen, chief market strategist for The Technical Traders, says that the market's technicals are all green lights right now, but that the color is likely to change with a consolidation move -- not necessarily a bear market but months of sideways to gradual decline -- that could start late this month and last into the fall. Plus, Ismat Mangla of MagnifyMoney.com discusses study research showing how the timing of retirement can impact lifetime housing costs, and Jennifer Barrett, author of, 'Think Like a Breadwinner,' discusses her book.

May 4, 202158 min

Get the skinny on annuities from the industry's 'walking middle finger of truth'

Stan Haithcock -- better known as 'Stan the Annuity Man' -- joins Chuck to help savers and investors understand where annuities fit into an investment program at a time when many people are scared about how far the market could fall from record highs. haithcock -- who has been described as 'the walking middle finger of truth for the annuities industry' -- gives his fundamental lessons that allow consumers to decide if an annuity is a good and necessary savings tool for their individual situation. Also on the show, Ted Rossman discusses a Bankrate.com study on what event-goers are doing -- or not doing -- when it comes to concert, sports and other tickets as pandemic restrictions ease, Kyle Guske of New Constructs has another meme stock whose fans are ignoring fundamentals for the 'Danger Zone' and Stephen Dodson of the Bretton Fund talks value investing in the Market Call.

May 3, 20211h 0m

Merrill's Quinlan: Inflation is the 'biggest issue for the market to digest'

Joe Quinlan, head of CIO market strategy for Merrill Lynch and Bank of America Private Bank, says that the market is in a sweet spot right now -- neither too hot nor cold -- but when inflation heats up and Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell tells the market his thoughts, 'that's when things will get dicier.' Quinlan doesn't expect the market to hit a wall, but he expects a 'true testing period' and says investors should prepare for that by diversifying, rebalancing, and being ready to buy when any setback or downturn occurs. Also on the ninth-anniversary edition of Money Life, Tom Dinsmore of the 50-year-old Bancroft Capital Fund talks convertible securities, James Otteson discusses his new book, 'The Seven Deadly Economic Sins,' and Clark Kendall of Kendall Capital Management covers the Biden Administration's infrastructure plan and how investors should react and respond to it.

Apr 30, 202159 min

Rising house prices aren't portending trouble for the economy

Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American Financial Corp,, says that the increase in home prices is being fueled by low interest rates -- which increases purchasing power -- a lack of supply of homes and a generational shift of young families striving to get a home, all fundamental reasons for higher prices without actually inflating a bubble. Fleming also discusses why rising delinquencies aren't about to create a foreclosure boom, and much more in the Big Interview. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes a commodity fund his ETF of the Week, Randy Frederick of the Schwab Center for Financial Research talks about a recent survey of traders and just how bullish shorter-term investors are, and Mike Liss of American Century Value fund discusses relative value investing in the Market Call.

Apr 29, 20211h 0m

Jack Brennan revisits classic investing lessons, and adds fresh takes

Jack Brennan, former chairman and chief executive at The Vanguard Group, discusses his new book 'More Straight Talk on Investing: Lessons for a Lifetime' and talks about how the financial world has changed in the 17 years since the original 'Straight Talk on Investing' debuted, and how investors can best navigate what lies ahead. Also on the show, Janie Quek of Left Brain Investment Research covers Airbnb Inc. and why she believes it is poised for a big post-pandemic boost, with William Smead of the Smead Value Fund talking value investing and stocks in the Market Call.

Apr 28, 20211h 1m

Amid a strong market, it may be time to 'dial back some risk'

Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for the Independent Advisor Alliance, says that while the market is poised for continued growth -- especially as the economy reopens -- savvy investors may want to diversify further and tighten their asset allocations so that they are better positioned to survive trouble when it arrives. He notes that he prefers value to growth right now, and notes that while he likes emerging markets he believes there are better bargains to be had in Europe. Also on the show, technical analyst Matt Harris, sees few impediments to the market's long run-up, though he is particularly bullish on emerging markets right now, significantly more optimistic than Zaccarelli. Rebecca Heiss discusses her new book, 'Instinct: Rewire Your Brain with Science-Backed Solutions to Increase Productivity and Achieve Success,' and Chad Moutray, chief economist for the National Association of Manufacturers talks about the latest survey research from the National Association for Business Economics, which shows widespread optimism for record levels of GDP growth over the next six months.

Apr 27, 202159 min

If the 60-40 portfolio doesn't work, turn it on its head

Many experts have been on Money Life recently saying that the classic 60 percent stocks/40 percent bonds portfolio doesn't work; some have suggested changing the mix of holdings that make those percentages, others have recommended making stocks 70 or 80 percent of a standard portfolio. Today on Money Life, John Ruth, chief executive officer at Build Asset Management, suggests turning the entire equation upside down, making the bond portion the heavy part, and using options to help returns be more stable and predictable in all market conditions. Also on the show, Melanie Lieberman of ThePointsGuy.com discusses a survey showing that half of Americans not only plan to take a summer vacation but will spend big doing it, David Trainer of New Constructs puts Netflix -- which he calls 'the original meme stock' - back in the Danger Zone, and David Miller of the Catalyst Mutual Funds talks about insider buying/selling and its impact on stocks in the Market Call.

Apr 26, 202158 min

Experts agree that coming market setbacks are buying opportunities

Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial, and Buck Klintworth, portfolio manager at Chase Investment Counsel, say in successive interviews that they see the market as poised to take a breather, a correction, a downturn or whatever you want to call a small setback. Both of them, however, were clear that any setback now and through the summer is a clear buying opportunity, as they believe the market will quickly re-establish its long-term upward trend. Also on the show, Michael Spatacco of Bancroft Capital talks about how social or ESG investors are finally getting the chance to use closed-end funds, and Eric Schoenstein of Jensen Investment Management talks about 'quality investing' -- looking for companies with 'formidable competitive advantage profiles' in the Market Call.

Apr 23, 20211h 0m

Bitcoin isn't 'digital gold,' it's currency for the borderless digital economy

Steven McClurg of Valkyrie Investments -- which has filed registration papers to create two different Bitcoin-related ETFs -- says that cryptocurrency shouldn't be seen as a replacement for gold and precious metals or as a store of value, but instead is growing into a way that transactions are being done around the world, and is starting to become something that corporations must invest in as part of their international trade. That maturation process, he says, will be helped along as regulators start to ease restrictions and allow more cryptocurrency funds into the market. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes a thematic dividend growth fund his ETF of the Week, Francesa Ortegren of Clever Real Estate discusses how Americans are struggling to make ends meet late in the pandemic, and Jonathan Smucker of Marietta Investment Partners talks top-down stock selection in the Market Call.

Apr 22, 202159 min

The REIT market is deciding if 'office space is the next retail'

Scott Crowe, chief investment officer at CenterSquare Investment Management, says that real estate investment trusts currently are cheap, currently trading where it was pre-pandemic. That said, some of that issue stems from certain parts of the real estate world being scary; the pandemic-driven change to working from home will impact office space, Crowe discusses whether office space could have the same dismal-looking future as shopping malls and retails spaces. Also weighing in on real estate today is Mark Hines from Left Brain Investment Research, who highlights a residential mortgage REIT as a 'bond-like equity' that can help investors balance out a portfolio. Later in the show, Matt Schulz of LendingTree discusses how consumers' savings habits appear to be changing late in the pandemic, and Ken Mahoney of Mahoney Asset Management talks ETFs in the Market Call.

Apr 21, 202159 min

Elliott Wave's Gilburt sees market gaining nearly 50 percent by 2023

Avi Gilburt, editor of the Elliott Wave Trader, says that he sees the Standard and Poor's 500 having a summer rally -- after a small near-term pullback -- to finish the year at 4,600 and maybe slightly higher, but his long-term outlook is that the index will reach 6,000 by 2023. Also on the show, Steve Wendel, head of behavioral research at Morningstar, discusses new research on how the pandemic is affecting Americans' financial security, Matt Schulz of LendingTree talks about how fewer consumers were stashing their cash in March and whether the savings trends are changing as the economy reopens, and Hilary Kramer -- who oversees seven different investment newsletter -- returns to the Market Call for the first time in over two years to talk about stocks.

Apr 20, 202159 min

In post-pandemic world, investors need more commodities, alternatives and more

Tracie McMillion, head of global asset allocation strategy for the Wells Fargo Investment Institute, says that investors preparing for a post-pandemic stock market and economy will want to broaden their exposure to different equity asset classes and sectors, will need to be picky about fixed-income investments, but will also want to build up their holdings in commodities and add alternative asset classes and hedging strategies in order to ride out a world that is clearly rotating to new and different economic drivers. Also on the show, Phil Korenman, head of individual investors for T. Rowe Price, discusses the extra footnote the firm has put onto big one-year returns numbers telling investors just how unique the last 12 months have been, David Trainer of New Constructs puts another mem stock and retailer into the Danger Zone, and Eric Marshall of the Hodges Funds talks stocks in the Market Call.

Apr 19, 202159 min

RiverNorth's Galley on how the pandemic fueled the boom in SPACs

Patrick Galley, chief executive and chief investment officer at RiverNorth Capital Management and the RiverNorth Funds, does two interviews on today's show, one focused on closed-end funds -- which he believes represent a strong value in today's marketplace and which could be the way that investors changing their bond allocations look to goose returns -- and the other mostly on special-purpose acquisition companies, SPACs. He says that while SPACs have been the rage in the last year, the boom was pushed ahead by the pandemic, where the heads of private companies were looking for fast, efficient ways to go public in uncertain times, and he thinks SPAC activity will calm down -- but not go away -- as the pandemic recedes. Also on the show, Davis Martin of the SPY Trade of the Day talks technicals and how the market is mostly giving green lights right now, and Drew Horter of Tactical Fund Advisors discusses exchange-traded funds and tactical investing in the Market Call.

Apr 16, 20211h 0m

Madoff's dead, but lessons he taught us may live on forever

Diana Henriques, author of 'The Wizard of Lies: Bernie Madoff and the Death of Trust,' discusses the death of the man who was behind the world's largest investment fraud and the lessons that will forever be attached to his disgraced name. Henriques -- who corresponded with Madoff in prison up until 2017 -- gives her take on whether Madoff had any remorse for his crimes, whether he ever came clean about just what happened and why and more. Also on the show, Bruce Monrad of Northeast Investors Trust discusses fixed income and high-yield investments in a market environment with rates and inflation just hinting that they will be on the rise soon, and Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes a small-cap value and momentum fund his ETF of the Week.

Apr 15, 202158 min

Commonwealth's McMillan: 'We're getting to the edge of the woods here'

Brad McMillan, chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network, says the economy and stock market aren't completely out of the woods of the pandemic, but we can see the sunlight from here.He says the market has been backing and filling as stocks react to the lingering coronavirus news but also start to price in the reopening and the economic boost to come. Also on the show, Noland Langford of Left Brain Investment Research highlights a stock that has gotten a huge boost from the pandemic, but which he thinks will continue to grow impressively once normal life returns, Chuck answers an audience member's question on bond investing, and Jane Edmondson of EQM Indexes talks about lithium and battery-related stocks in the Market Call.

Apr 14, 202159 min

DoubleLine's Checcone: Value is poised to outgain growth, by a lot

Emidio Checcone, co-manager of the DoubleLine Equity Value Strategy, says that the recent value surge is just the start of what should be a long run where the value investment staples dramatically outperforms growth. Checcone notes that at the end of 2019, value was lagging growth by record margins, and that differential grew bigger by 35 percent in 2020 as the stock market took off. Now, Checcone sees value as bouncing back and notes that the recent outperformance by value -- which beat growth by 10 points in the first quarter and is up by about 7 points year to date -- seems 'pretty meager' compared to what he expects for months and years ahead. In the Market Call, Tucker Walsh of the Polen U.S. Small Company Growth Fund explains his firm's flywheel framework for finding stocks with outsized potential for gains. And Chuck starts the show by answering three questions from audience members.

Apr 13, 202159 min

Payden's Cleveland: 'The party is still going, the punch bowl is being refilled'

Jeffrey Cleveland, chief economist for Payden and Rygel, says he expects the Federal Reserve to continue its aggressive and accommodative monetary policies through this year and potentially all the way to 2023, and he notes that whenever there is strong earnings growth with an accommodative Fed -- like we have right now -- tend to be good years for the market. Also on the show, Howard Gold of MarketWatch.com discusses his recent column suggesting that investors will mostly want to remain invested in domestic stocks, David Trainer makes AMC Entertainment the latest in his breakdown of meme stocks that he finds particularly dangerous, and Chuck answers an audience-member's question about allocating assets in a college-savings program.

Apr 12, 202159 min

TrendStar's Turner: Market is having 'a beautiful party without many people here'

Technical analyst Toni Turner of TrendStar Group says she is worried that the market has gotten back to record highs but that it has done it on low volume, noting 'when you get this quiet feeling' where everything seems perfect, almost any bad news could be a catalyst to drive the market back to support levels. In the Big Interview, John Johnson of Edgeworth Economics talks about how hard it is to size up the coming economic recovery and to determine which sectors and industry might lag behind as the economy lurches forward. In The NAVigator segment, Keith Ashton of Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund talks about collateralized loan obligations and other alternative credit types that can improve yields while balancing risks, and in the Market Call, it's Mark Sebastian of Karman Line Capital and OptionPit.com talking stocks.

Apr 9, 20211h 0m

U.S. Global's Holmes: 'Acceleration of inflation is baked into the system'

Frank Holmes, chief investment officer at U.S. Global Investors, says that inflation should be a key concern right now for investors and says that it is unavoidable given economic conditions, the massive government stimulus around the globe and more, but he doesn't think that inflation will derail the stock market because there will be strong economic growth for at least six months that will keep markets rolling. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com looks at net lease real estate investments with his 'ETF of the Week,' and Marketwatch columnist Brett Arends discusses how investors are living in a cycle where domestic stocks are popular because they are hot and hot because they are popular. In the Market Call, Simon Lack of SL Advisors talks energy and pipeline stocks.

Apr 8, 202159 min

JOHCM's Caputo: Prepare for inflation now, before it's too late

Giorgio Caputo, head of multi-asset strategies for J.O. Hambro Capital Management, doesn't expect a huge jump in inflation, but he warns that anyone waiting for proof-positive of inflation, there's a good chance that their bonds will be underwater before they decide how to react. Thus, it is time today to create resilient portfolios that can manage through the risk, which he says means rotating to areas of the market that can benefit from a rising-rate and rising-inflation environment. Also on the show, Brian Dress of Left Brain investment Research discusses tax-collection/compliance firm Avalara and why he thinks it is a long-term builder of wealth, Ed Carson of Investor's Business Daily discusses another big jump in monthly investor optimism levels, and Jeff Auxier, manager of the Auxier Focus Fund talks value investing in the Market Call.

Apr 7, 202159 min

Cresset's Ablin: Expect a lumpy recovery, mostly led by the U.S.

Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Cresset Capital Management, says investors should expect big economic growth numbers in the second and third quarters -- fueled by the release of pent-up demand plus inflation pressures -- but notes that nominal GDP growth of roughly 10 percent in those quarters will be in the United States and not around the world, leading to what he called a 'lumpy recovery,' mostly driven by the domestic action. In the Market Call, Manny Weintraub of Spears Abacus talks about 'growth at a reasonable price,' or as he prefers to call it 'super great stocks that are not going to kill you.' And Chuck answers an audience question about the 60-40 portfolio and about changing asset allocations.

Apr 6, 202158 min

Ibbotson: Trim your long-term market expectations by 20 percent

Legendary stock market observer Roger Ibbotson -- whose landmark research is the basis for most people believing that large-cap stocks deliver 10 percent per year -- has said for years now that investors should not expect the future to stand up to the past. The chairman of Zebra Capital Management says in The Big Interview that low interest rates and other conditions will make it that the market is more likely to deliver about 8 percent on average over the next quarter century, still good but a significant drop off that must be planned for. Also on the show, Matt Schulz talks about a MagnifyMoney.com survey on how much Americans have been selling things out of their home -- and how much they have been making -- during the pandemic, David Trainer revisits GameStop -- which he liked prior to when it became a meme stock -- in the Danger Zone, and Mark Rank talks about his recent book, 'Poorly Understood: What America Gets Wrong About Poverty.'

Apr 5, 20211h 0m

BMO's Kimball: 'Risk hasn't gone away' from the bond markets

Scott Kimball, portfolio manager of the BMO TCH Core Plus Bond Fund, says that there are some warning signs that the fixed-income market could be headed for trouble, including negative repurchase agreement rates between banks, which if they last long enough turn into 'an anvil dangling over credit markets' heads' and could lead to severe consequences in a matter of months. Also on the show, Michael Naughton of Lord, Abbett discusses the benefits of taking liquidity risk as a means of increasing yield, and how interval funds can help in that effort, Charles Rotblut of the American Association of Individual Investors discusses the current wave of optimism among investors, showing up in both bullish sentiment and in the heavy percentage of their assets being put into stocks, and Bill Kornitzer of the Aperture International Equity Fund talks international stocks in the Market Call.

Apr 2, 20211h 0m

Natixis' Janasiewicz: Rolling corrections for tech/growth are actually a positive

Jack Janasiewicz, portfolio strategist for Natixis Investment Managers, says that over the last three months you have seen a rolling correction in technology and growth stocks, which has also expanded into energy, and most recently into small-caps. All have had draw-downs of more than 10 percent, but he says that other sectors have held up the market and are a good sign that the market can keep pushing forward strongly from here. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com goes all the way to Egypt and the Suez Canal to find inspiration for his ETF of the Week, David Botset discusses the way that investors view and use exchange-traded funds as measured by the 10th edition of Charles Schwab's ETF Investor Study, and Han Smith of The Haverford Trust Co. talks large-cap stocks in the Market Call.

Apr 1, 202159 min

Michael Falk gives his steps for building a lifetime portfolio

Michael Falk of Focus Consulting Group -- who joins Chuck every three months to discuss the market, investing and his personal battle with Lou Gehrig's Disease -- talks about how he would set up a portfolio that his family (and yours) could live with forever, discusses why the classic 60-40 portfolio will disappoint investors and much more in an extended Big Interview. Also on the show, Alan McKnight, chief investment officer at Regions Asset Management, gives his take on markets, interest rates, inflation and more and, in the Left Brain thinking segment, Freddy Garcia of Left Brain Wealth Management discusses how the firm's value statement is so essential to picking and managing portfolios of growth stocks.

Mar 31, 202158 min

ICON's Callahan says market is 5 percent undervalued

Craig Callahan, chief executive officer at ICON Advisers, says that the broad market is trading roughly five percent below its fair value, which is a good target for returns over the rest of the year. Callahan is excited by the earnings forecasts for 2021 and 2022, citing 'outrageous year-over-year growth rates' as a reason to believe there will be good value stocks to be had. Also on the show, David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com, says that 3700 is a 'line in the sand' for the Standard and Poor's 500 Index, noting that if the market can remain above that level it should be able to avoid a significant downturn during the current rotation from a technology and large-cap driven market to one led by small-caps and value stocks; Greg McBride of BankRate.com discusses the high percentage of investors who believe the stock market is rigged, and Mike Bailey of FBB Capital Partners talks stocks in the Market Call.

Mar 30, 202158 min

New Frontier's Michaud: The 60/40 portfolio still works, but differently

Robert Michaud, chief investment officer at New Frontier Advisors, says that reports on the death of the classic 60 percent stocks/40 percent bonds portfolio are greatly exaggerated, although he notes that the types of stocks and bonds that make up each part of the allocation are changing to keep pace with lower-for-longer interest rates and the changing stock market picture. Also on the show, David Trainer of NewConstructs.com takes on another company that has been getting a lot of pre-IPO buzz in the Danger Zone, Melanie Lieberman of ThePointsGuy.com discusses what many consumers want to see before they travel in a post-pandemic world, and Lamar Villere of the Villere Funds talks stocks in the Market Call.

Mar 29, 202159 min

New opportunities to like in sector rotation and economic expansion

Kevin Mahn, president and chief investment officer at Hennion and Walsh, says that valuations are stretched and growth could be hard to find, but a new period of economic expansion coupled with a shift in market leadership -- with small caps and more coming to the fore -- will create new investment leaders for investors to pursue. He sees the rebound from coronavirus leading into a multi-year economic expansion. continuing for several years. Also on the show, Adam Grimes of MarketLife Trading and Talon Advisors says that there are few troubling technical signals suggesting any reason to lose confidence in the current bull market, which he also expects to be a multi-year move. In The NAVigator segment, Craig Packer of Owl Rock Capital talks about business-development companies and how the BDC loan market has been impacted by the pandemic, and Ryan Jacob of the Jacob Funds talks technology stocks in the Market Call.

Mar 26, 20211h 1m

Bitcoin as 'digital gold,' and its role in an average portfolio

Two wide-ranging and very different Big Interviews both touch on bitcoin today with Giles Coghlan, chief currency analyst for HYCM, talking about how the skyrocketing price of bitcoin has impacted gold, how the cryptocurrency is increasingly viewed as a digital substitute for physical gold and the correlation between the two, especially with inflation on the horizon. Meanwhile, Scott Knapp, chief market strategist for CUNA Mutual Group, talks about how investors should be reacting to current market rotation, but also discusses where bitcoin can and should fit into the portfolio of working-class savers who are long-term investors rather than speculators. Also, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com heads to Japan for smaller companies and greater diversification with his 'ETF of the Week.'

Mar 25, 202159 min

'Value stocks are kind of like toilet paper... ' meaning, at times, really precious

Noted value manager Abhay Deshpande of Centerstone Investors actually compares value stocks to toilet paper, noting that you might not be thinking much about them when market growth is humming along, but at other times they become really precious. Right now, Deshpande says, there are plenty of good values to be found in the market, so long as you are mostly willing to avoid the technology stocks. Also on the show, Janice Quek of Left Brain Investment Research discusses Skillz Inc. as a high-growths tock that won't look quite right until it generates profits, Melissa Ridolfi of Fidelity Inc. talks about the firm's research on how retirement investors believe the pandemic has impacted their long-term savings, and Martin Leclerc of Barrack Yard Advisors talks stocks in the Market Call.

Mar 24, 20211h 1m

Is there room in your portfolio for outer space?

Andrew Chanin of the Procure Space ETF -- ticker symbol UFO -- discusses how NASA's Perseverance mission to Mars has stoked interest in space as the next frontier in investing, and talks about how investors can keep their head in the stars but their feet on the ground when listening to fantastic stories of future potential. Also on the show, Jerremy Newsome of RealLife Trading talks technical analysis and says that he is loading up on some tech stocks that have been beaten up in the latest NASDAQ setback, particularly on hot names like Tesla and Teledoc that have seen some of the biggest setbacks, Ilan Kolet of the National Association for Business Economics covers the group's latest survey on when inflation and interest rates are likely to increase, and Robert Zuccaro talks about his new book, 'How Wall Street Reshaped America's Destiny.'

Mar 23, 20211h 0m

Bond investor Fridson: Strong forces are working against inflation

Martin Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors says he expects the Federal Reserve will get inflation up to its target of 2 percent, but that investors shouldn't expect much more than that despite the inflationary impact of economic stimulus, because there isn't rising pressure on wages that would be necessary to take inflation to problematic levels. Fridson discussed where he is turning to for yield now. Also on the show, Matt Hougan of BitWise Investments answers audience questions on bitcoin investing, Kyle Guske of New Constructs discusses a mutual fund with a stylle problem and a penchant for dangerous stocks, and Chris Krumenacker of Bryn Mawr Trust talks stocks in the Market Call.

Mar 22, 202159 min

Economist Schomer: The price we pay for stimulus-driven boom is long-term slowdown

Markus Schomer, chief economist at Pinebridge Investments, agrees with the many observers who expect a booming economy as the coronavirus pandemic comes to an end, but he says that once the stimulus stops what will be left is an economy that is less productive with a lower long-term sustainable growth rate. While he doesn't expect runaway inflation or dramatically higher interest rates, digesting the growth will lead to weaker equity markets down the line. Also on the show, John Miller, head of municipals at Nuveen, discusses the surprisingly strong financial position that states and communities are in as the pandemic winds down, Ken Berman of Gorilla Trades gives his technical take on the market and John Barr of the Needham Growth and Needham Aggressive Growth funds talks stocks in the Market Call.

Mar 19, 202159 min

NFCU's Frick sees economic growth on tap and inflation on hold

Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, says the economy will deliver stellar economic growth but that the deep hole it is coming out of will make progress slow, which is actually good news in that it means the pandemic recovery should last longer. Frick believes that inflation worries currently are overblown, saying that so long as unemployment is high and wage growth is low, significant inflation will have a tough time finding a foothold. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com says that pent-up demand should spark the retail industry, so he makes a retail specialty fund his ETF of the Week, Matthew Schultz discusses a LendingTree survey showing that many Americans save a few bucks by mooching their online services from the accounts of others, and Mike Larson of Weiss Ratings -- editor of Weiss' Safe Money Report -- talks stocks in the Market Call.

Mar 18, 202159 min

Fidelity's Timmer: Rising inflation, interest rates are triggering market changes

Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, says the 'reign of large-cap growth stocks may actually be ending,' with a weaker dollar and the first signs of rising inflation and the potential for higher interest rates triggering a market rotation that will favor small-cap, value and non-U.S. stocks. He also discusses the need for investors to start adjusting to inflation now, rather than waiting for its full-blown onset which he thinks will happen after a burst of economic growth and the 'return to normal.' Also on the show, Mark Hines of Left Brain Investment Research talks about real estate investment trusts and highlights New York Mortgage Trust is an income stock with growth prospects, and Ed Slott of IRAhelp.com, discusses his latest book 'The New Retirement Savings Time Bomb' and discusses how today's political climate should have investors more concerned than ever about how taxes will impact their lifetime savings precisely when they need the money most.

Mar 17, 202159 min

Author Davies: In free and open markets, frauds are inevitable

Dan Davies, author of 'Lying For Money: How Legendary Frauds Reveal the Workings of the World,' says that financial scams that revolve around trust thrive in the world's most open/free markets and are something of a necessary side-effect to commerce. Davies notes that if everyone avoided financial stories that 'sound too good to be true,' they would have missed out on success stories like Amazon.com even more often than avoiding the occasional scam. Also on the show, Brady Dougan of Exos Financial -- which recently opened an ETF focused on specialty purpose acquisition corporations -- talks about how SPACs have changed over time, en route to becoming one of the hottest investment types for companies looking to go public today, and Will Rhind of GraniteShares discusses closed-end funds and business-development companies in the Market Call.

Mar 16, 202158 min

Zacks' Mian: 'The growth you'll see in the next few quarter is 'China-like'

Sheraz Mian, director of research at Zacks Investment Research says that the U.S. economy is likely to see economic growth more in line with emerging markets over the next few quarters, but he warns that much of that action has already been priced into the stock market, meaning the economic boom may not add much to the stock market rally. Also on the show, Jeffrey Ptak of Morningstar talks about research showing that -- at least for now -- past performance is showing that it can be somewhat indicative of what happens next to a mutual fund, and Kyle Guske of New Constructs discusses a stock with ties to Bitcoin that he expects to be wildly overvalued as it goes IPO, and Kathy Boyle of Chapin Hill Advisors talks mutual funds and ETFs in the Market Call.

Mar 15, 202159 min

An overvalued market, a looming bond bubble, a 'broken' market index and more

Doug Ramsey, chief investment officer at The Leuthold Group, says the stock market's current valuations remind him of 20 years ago, when the stock market was peaking as the Internet bubble market burst; he also says that the bond market is creating a bubble, but that the impact of the stock bubble will be greater when it bursts, which he thinks will occur late in or after the economic recovery from coronavirus. Meanwhile, Zach Jonson, chief investment officer at Stack Financial Management, says that the Standard and Poor's 500 is broken, failing to represent the broad domestic economy, which is one big reason why the market performed well while the economy was suffering in 2020. He expects that disconnect to continue -- but with the economy bouncing back and the stock market likely lagging -- going forward. Also on the show, Nick Holmes, manager of the Tortoise Essential Assets Income fund, discusses investing in water infrastructure, and how it is different from traditional infrastructure investing.

Mar 12, 202158 min

Thornburg's Brady: Expect a booming economy but a whimpering stock market

Jason Brady, chief executive officer at Thornburg Investment Management, says that the economy is poised for strong growth, but that high stock valuations and continued volatility will create a divergence between the economy and market that reverses the trend of 2020, when stocks grew fast while the economy sputtered. He suggests rebalancing portfolios because the 'trends that were in place for the last 12 months or so will be in place for the next 12.' Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com makes the Van Eck Vectors Social Sentiment fund -- a new issue that is trading in stocks that have been caught up in social media buzz -- his "ETF of the Week," Jeff Hoyt of SeniorLiving.org discusses a surprising survey about the impact of the pandemic on the finances of Americans age 60 and over, and Gerry Frigon of Taylor Frigon Capital Management talks stocks in the Market Call.

Mar 11, 202159 min