Michael Covel's Trend Following

My guest today is Daniel Kahneman, the second Nobel Prize winner to appear on this podcast. Kahneman is an Israeli-American psychologist and economist notable for his work on the psychology of judgment and decision-making, as well as behavioral economics, for which he was awarded the 2002 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. The topic is behavioral psychology. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Kahneman's beginnings, and how he came to realize he was looking at the world from a different vantage point than most How Kahneman's work is foundational to trading Questioning the dogma of rationality Happiness, and the distinction between the remembering self and the experiencing self The consumption of memories The danger of not making peace with a loss Bubbles and crowd behavior Happiness research and public policy Emotion, possibility, and probability Hope and fear Why optimism is the engine of capitalism The influence of prospect theory Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is John Bollinger, an American author, financial analyst, contributor to the field of technical analysis and the developer of Bollinger Bands. Since 1987, he has published the Capital Growth Letter, a newsletter which provides technical analysis of the financial markets. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Bollinger Bands as described for the lay person Defining when a price is relatively high or relatively low Defining "relatively high" and "relatively low" Measuring volatility to determine the "width" of a Bollinger Band Standard deviation The beginnings of Bollinger Bands, and how John Bollinger came to put it together Different ideas about volatility in the 1980s Some of Bollinger's early curiosity triggers, and why he started digging into finance after going to art school Light, film, and Bollinger's experience at the School of Visual Arts Bollinger's experience in his apprenticeship to learn technical analysis "The best authority is the price itself", and why this statement isn't very well accepted in the mainstream Differences between fundamental and technical analysts Bollinger's look at media and the presentation of his message over the years Why Bollinger would be known as a quantitative analyst instead of a technician if he started his career now Position sizing Why volatility is the least understood aspect of the market Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Seykota, Harding & the 2014 Trend Following Conference with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Dave Rapach, an internationally renowned researcher in the area of asset return forecasting. His research is highly cited and published in leading scholarly and practitioner journals in Finance and Economics. Rapach is a Professor of Economics and holds the John Simon Endowed Chair in Economics at the Saint Louis University Chaifetz School of Business. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why trend following works from an academic standpoint "Publish or perish" and the difficulty of publishing scholarly articles on trend following Early research on trend following, the random walk theory, and Burton Malkiel's "A Random Walk Down Wall Street" Warren Buffett, Bill Dunn, and survivorship bias A paper that Rapach traces to the reintroduction of trend following and technical analysis to the academic community Measuring systematic risk Eugene Fama's recent nobel prize How the trend following world has been neglected by the academic community How Rapach found his way into the academic finance world Covel's experience digging in to trend following research in the early to mid 1990's Some of Rapach's recent papers Why recessions are good for trend following Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Ed Seykota, a commodities trader, who earned S.B. degrees in Electrical Engineering from MIT and Management from the MIT Sloan School of Management, both in 1969. In 1970 he pioneered Systems trading by using early punched card computers to test ideas on trading the markets. The topic is his book Govopoly in the 39th Day. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Trend Following Seykota's concerns about our economy The assimilation model and how Seykota sees assimilation happening today The definition of "govopoly" How Seykota's mentor's work plays into Seykota's work today Thinking about systems What we can do to "fix" the economy, or to at least prepare yourself The exponential curve that assimilation takes Noticing things before they're important Why Seykota doesn't provide a "solution" to the problem and instead advocates for the system to correct itself What we can do as people in response to the system Detroit as a microcosm of the US Ways to make money during the assimilation Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Dominic Frisby, a self-proclaimed accidental financial bod, comedian, actor of unrecognized genius, voice of many things, & presenter. The topic is his book Life After the State: Why We Don't Need Government. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Frisby's beginnings as an actor and comedian What comedy can teach us about finance and the discipline of clarity How Cuba's currency confusion led the nation to unfortunate circumstances Real estate Other peoples' trust in the state How the poor and needy would be cared for in a society without a state The monopoly on compassion How the state takes a piece of everything "Greed is good", "money is the root of all evil", etc Crony capitalism Predation vs. productivity The influence of lobbyists The duopoly on money by banks and the state Education Bitcoin, digital currency, and taxation Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Harry Dent, a Harvard MBA, Fortune 100 consultant, new venture investor, noted speaker and bestselling author. Harry is the founder and senior editor at Dent Research, where he dedicates himself to identifying and studying demographic, technological, and geopolitical trends. The topic is his book The Demographic Cliff: How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation Ahead. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why demographics are so important The definition of the "demographic cliff" Demographic comparisons between the US and Asia Rates of urbanization and GDP in emerging countries The baby boomer generation The Japanese "coma economy" Why the retirement age needs to be raised How real estate in America will never be the same "Die-ers" vs. buyers Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Chris Ducker, a serial entrepreneur and author of the bestseller, "Virtual Freedom", and more recently, "Rise of the Youpreneur". He owns and operates several businesses, that combined house over 400 full-time employees internationally. He's also a trusted international business mentor, keynote speaker, podcaster, blogger, as well as the founder of Youpreneur.com - the leading personal brand business education company in the world. The topic is his book Virtual Freedom: How to Work with Virtual Staff to Buy More Time, Become More Productive, and Build Your Dream Business. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The definition of virtual freedom How Ducker came from the cubicle originally, and how he got to be the location independent entrepreneur he is now How Ducker became a "virtual CEO" The idea of a "superhero syndrome" The idea of a virtual, international staff The process of finding a VA (virtual assistant) The two types of outsourcing Hiring for the role--not for the task Text, audio, and video communication Tim Ferriss and the four-hour work week Developing a location independent lifestyle Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Russell Napier, a consultant with CLSA, who Covel had the good fortune to speak for in 2013 in several cities across Asia. Napier is a global macro-strategist. He definitely comes at it from a different trading perspective than trend following. The topic is his book Anatomy of the Bear: Lessons from Wall Street's Four Great Bottoms. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why the average person will never see an interest for their savings again in their lifetime How the choice of equities is made for many How we're not really in a free-market capitalistic world Why Napier thinks we're on the eve of a major deflationary period How the equity bull market causes people to simply not think (or question). Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Bobby Casey, a consultant on international tax planning, investment immigration, and global citizenship. He has personally lived this lifestyle for over a decade, and now works with seven- and eight-figure entrepreneurs and investors who want to "go where they're treated best". The topics are entrepreneurship and travel. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How Casey found his way to Latvia Travel in general Some of the issues you may encounter during travel Lithuania Holding dual citizenship The advantages of having a passport from another country Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Barry Schwartz, an American psychologist and author. He is a professor of Social Theory and Social Action at Swarthmore College. Schwartz's psychological work is right there at the foundation of why any trader or investor will have success. The topics are his books The Paradox of Choice: Why More is Less and Practical Wisdom: The Right Way to Do the Right Thing. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Choice and practical wisdom Choice in selecting a mutual fund, and how Schwartz has seen that unfold in corporations The paradox of options Having too much choice Democracy and choice The idea that decision-making has shifted from the expert to the individual Why prescription drugs are marketed to people who can't buy them outright If choice drives clinical depression Expectations The idea of practical wisdom Judgment and discretion in the workplace Wisdom and the education system Having a "script" from your employer that prevents you from thinking outside of the box The importance of working with like-minded people How things have changed since the 2008 financial crisis Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Frank Curzio of Stansberry and Associates. Curzio is the voice behind S&A Investor Radio, as well as the editor of the Small Stock Specialist. The topic is markets and investments. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The CES (Consumer Electronics Show) and upcoming electronics trends Connectivity Narratives Protecting your downside The Federal Reserve and the gold market Netflix, Best Buy, and 4K televisions as a trend Apple Being on the ground, physically going somewhere, and the importance of being there Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Tom Basso, the trader most famously known as "Mr. Serenity" in Jack Schwager's "New Market Wizards". Basso, now retired, was a stock and commodities trader who was president and founder of Trendstat Capital Management. He is the author of two books, "Panic-Proof Investing" and "The Frustrated Investor". Basso became a registered investment advisor in 1980, a registered commodities advisor in 1984, and was elected to the board of the National Futures Association in 1998. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Location independence Making sure trading doesn't take up your entire life Stoicism Trend following in the emotional arena Mental exercises The psychology of trend following The "observer self" The mental aspects of success The importance of being able to lose small amounts of money Why trend following does so well when the black swans hit Basso's daily routine and the importance of routine in daily life. Covel and Basso also go through listener questions such as whether Basso would make the same trading decisions that he did from the start Money management v. trading Tinkering with current systems Knowing when it's a regular drawdown v. something really going the wrong way Whether Basso is a one-system kind of guy v. multiple systems Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Peter Schiff, an American stock broker, financial commentator, and radio personality. He is CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc., a broker-dealer based in Westport, Connecticut. The topic is Federal Reserve policy. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: QE infinity, expectations and Fed overall policy ZIRP Inflation Real estate Foreclosure How the stock market keeps people satiated Protecting the value of the dollar How we can get to effectively negative interest rates The way out of QE infinity (if even possible) Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is William Adams, a private trader and systems developer. He is based in Zurich and works with institutional clients. Adams has over 17 years of experience in financial markets. The topic is systematic trading strategies. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The first time Adams got the "trading bug" Early trading strategies Generating alpha The strategies that Adams uses today The "core satellite approach" Why Adams chose options over futures The seasonality of trades Inspirational resources found by Adams The influence of Zurich on Adams, and whether or not Americans can learn a thing or two from the Swiss Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Jack Horner, the world renowned paleontologist. Horner was the technical advisor for all of the "Jurassic Park" films. He is most famous for discovering and naming Maiasaura, providing the first clear evidence that some dinosaurs cared for their young. The topics are dyslexia and the process of learning. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Passion Why you'd break open a dinosaur egg rather than hold onto it as precious material How Horner attributes his way of thinking to dyslexia The shapeshifting dinosaur hypothesis "Chickasaurus" and the idea of dinosaurs and chickens intersecting The accuracy of the "Jurassic Park" dinosaurs Whether the T. Rex was a scavenger v. predator How Horner came to his way of thinking Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue The Passenger with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Dan Ariely, a professor of psychology and behavioral economics at Duke. He has given great TED Talks with millions of views. Covel and Ariely discuss irrationality and rationality on today's show, including how we make decisions (with often poor processes). The topic is his book Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The irrationality of fundamentals in equity markets The wisdom of crowds, constraints and where else our money can go The awarding of the Nobel Prize to professor Shiller and Fama--two famed professors with very different outlooks--and whether it's irrational or not Macroeconomics vs. microeconomics Lessons learned during his life-threatening burns Why people lie Why the freedom to do whatever we want and change our mind is the shortest path to making bad decisions How 2008 became a constructive tool for Ariely Why Bubbles are some of the most imprecise factors out there Ben Bernanke Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Gerd Gigerenzer, the director of the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin, and a former professor of psychology at the University at Chicago. Gerd is also the director of the Harding Center for Risk Literacy (read David Harding the head of trend following firm Winton Capital). The topic is heuristics. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Uncertainty Comparing decisions to baseball (gaze heuristic) Complex problems and simple solutions Using price action as a decision making cue Unconscious heuristics The art of knowing what one doesn't have to know The less is more effect The miracle on the Hudson River a few years ago as a case in point illustrating heuristics The idea of an adaptive toolbox The element of surprise in Gigerenzer's work The distinction between risk and uncertainty Intuition vs. rationality Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Dan Collins, a 25-year veteran of the Futures industry, founder of the Dan Collins Report, and most recently was named Editor-in-Chief of Futures Magazine. The topic is trading. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why the mainstream media seems to not even attempt to hide the bias and the propaganda against the styles and types of trading in the worlds that Covel and Collins occupy (i.e. trend following, systematic, managed futures, etc.) A particular Bloomberg article which attacked managed futures and alternative strategies Why articles like these are an attack on the average investor Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Eric Crittenden, a Founding Partner responsible for managing all research, risk quantification and trading operations. He's also been featured in Covel's own Little Book of Trading. The topic is a white paper that was originally released in 2005 that concerns trend following on stocks. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The decision to do research into trend following on equities, and the background behind the white paper Why others weren't trading equities with a trend following strategy at the time, and why there's been a sea change in the industry now Stress tests How Critenden's models and datastreams apply to a model If Crittenden sees anything on the horizon that takes trend following on equities in a suboptimal direction, and where he sees it going in the future Whether Crittenden's work is all price driven and all systematic The amount of human judgment involved in Crittenden's strategy Why this strategy works if it's based on inefficiencies in the market, and Eugene Fama just won a Nobel Prize regarding the markets being efficient Why exposure management is more important than the entries and exits themselves The importance of blocking out distractions. Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Kathy Kristof, editor of SideHusl.com, is an award-winning financial journalist, who writes regularly for Kiplinger's Personal Finance and CBS MoneyWatch. She's the author of Investing 101, Taming the Tuition Tiger and Kathy Kristof's Complete Book of Dollars and Sense. The topic is finance. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: If we have bubbles, and we keep having bubbles, what does the average investor do? The difficulty of trying to figure out value today The impact of interest rates on investors; the "nervousness" of stocks Government intervention and trust Why investors are better off with a "softer" job market, and a slower recovery Why we have a "Goldilocks" economy, and what might happen if a black swan swoops in Why almost every strategy will have good results at some time or another, and the importance of picking a strategy for yourself Technology, and the connection to entrepreneurial pursuits Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Hendry, Harding, The Pope and Acroyoga with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Charles Faulkner, an author, trader, and international expert on modeling the knowledge and performance of exceptional individuals. He was originally featured in "The New Market Wizards" by Jack Schwager. The topic is trading psychology. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Behavior, emotions, decision-making, and intuition in the world of money--and what money does to us on a biological level Neurolinguistic Programming How money in the mind influences money in the world The schizophrenic-seeming handout to the two recent Nobel Prize winners "System one" and "system two" How "one" is running all the time, how "two" takes effort--and where Faulkner hopes to take this research How experience can teach "system one" New lightbulb moments in current research How the "afraid to lose" (or in Singapore, Kiasu) concept could be terribly dangerous when applied to money Why the less you know about something, the clearer the image--and the more certain you are that it's real and true The need for certainty Money as a living metaphor; sunk costs The Myers-Briggs instrument Rituals and money Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Mikael Stenbom, the CEO and founder of RPM, which is an advisory consulting firm in Sweden. They advise, consult, or manage over 3.5B AUM. Stenbom has had tremendous experience in understanding strategy and the money management side of the CTA/managed futures world. The topic is CTA's. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Stenbom's early influences Stenbom's economics background Connections between economics, trading, and sociology The Austrian school of economics His style of responsive, systematic trading to new clients Andrew Lo's Adaptive Markets Hypothesis The process of rebranding Stenbom's firm in 2008 The "politically infected" investor The cultural compatibility between Nordic countries and the Japanese Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Tom DeMark, the founder and CEO of DeMark Analytics and the creator of the DeMark Indicators. The DeMARK studies are known internationally for their objective and mechanically-driven approach to both trading and investing, and are designed to anticipate potential price activity in the financial markets. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How all conceivable market factors are in the price movement Obsession, passion and practice Having the "cover story" of fundamentals, but using technical analysis behind the scenes Elliott wave The fibonacci sequence Forecasting DeMark's thoughts on George Soros, Michael Steinhardt, Paul Jones, Steve Cohen, and others Thoughts on when DeMark first started computerizing his indicators Why you'll fail if you rely solely on charts DeMark's thoughts on the pure price driven, reactive trend following traders Introducing a new variable into a pure trend following approach Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Cal Newport, an American non-fiction author and associate professor of computer science at Georgetown University. The topic is passion. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Alan Watts Why following your passion isn't such a great idea from Newport's perspective The notion of deliberate practice and the 10000 hour rule, falling back on simplistic strategies that fail Passion following success as the true gauge Misconceptions about passion Thinking of passion as a side-effect of running your career in the right way Overcoming difficulty as a necessary step in the process The work and analysis Newport has done looking at top chess players The systematic aspect of gaining skill and its ties to passion Anxiety and failure Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Yaron Brook, an Israeli-American entrepreneur, writer, and activist. He is an Objectivist and the current chairman of the board at the Ayn Rand Institute, where he is the executive director. The topic is liberty. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Trading The nature of altruism The idea and definitions of selfishness in the context of objectivism The power of ideas The idea of being a victim Schools, teaching, and political teaching Entitlement leading to victimhood The rise of state power, the ambitious poor, and the minimum wage Free work and internships Alan Greenspan America compared to Singapore Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Cambodia, Picasso & Bubbles with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Fear, Snakes and Markets with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Porter Erisman, a former Vice-President at Alibaba Group (2000-08), China's internet giant. He witnessed it grow from humble beginnings into the world's largest e-commerce company. The topic is his documentary Crocodile in the Yangtze. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: What it was like working with Jack Ma Short-term vs. long-term entrepreneurs The lack of knowledge/insight America has for China The perceived threat of China to America Whether nationalism played into Ma's success The commonalities between the greatest internet entrepreneurial success stories Government interference with Alibaba How eBay was defeated by this small startup in China Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Tim Price, a partner and director of investment at PFP Wealth Management in the UK, an independent asset management and financial planning practice. The topic is markets and investments. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The subordination of freely discovered prices to policy goals Why the recent trading environment seems "wrong and dangerous" Why Price wouldn't be able to speak freely working for a large bank Why Price and his colleagues aren't "doom and gloomers" Why the media neglects to report on black swans Why the role of the Fed is to keep "spiking the punch" The vested financial pushback on having some of these views Risk and "Against The Gods" Why people are hardwired to be loss averse An analogy to the US Forest Service Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Vernon Smith, the first Nobel Prize winner to appear on this podcast. Smith is an American economist and professor of business economics and law at Chapman University. He is formerly a professor of economics at the University of Arizona, a professor of economics and law at George Mason University, and a board member of the Mercatus Center. The topic is economics. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Bubbles Some of Smith's early experiments How "we're all born traders" Early "ah ha" moments Early science and engineering beginnings Upsetting the conventional economics "apple cart" The difference between "hamburgers and haircuts" and the other 25% of goods Smith's experience bringing Chicago traders into lab experiments How we see the dotcom bubble, spring of 2003, and the real estate bubble today Differences between housing bubbles and stock market bubbles Understanding why bubbles happen Liberty Views on Adam Smith Smith's ideological journey from socialist to his libertarian leanings today Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Brad Rotter, a speculator, and venture capitalist. He's not a trend follower per se, but he's made money in the trend following world. He was the first investor with Richard Dennis in the early 1980's. The topic is Bitcoin. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How Rotter became an entrepreneur from early years as a farmer in Iowa How he came to be Richard Dennis' first client when he started managing money Why the US is at 'peak civilization' Why technology is arbing away the need for people How the unit of time is changing Why it's harder and harder to make an easy living Whether the US government is the greatest hedge fund in history Why Bitcoin is a 'perfect' currency Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Fabian Lim, an internationally acknowledged digital marketing expert and, in a sense, a life coach focused on helping individuals to discover their true selves. He is a serial entrepreneur, best-selling author, and licensed jet pilot. The topic is entrepreneur. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Life in Singapore generally, and how Singapore has become "the gleaming city on the hill" Singapore's success despite its lack of natural resources, and how its airport represents the forward thinking found there Lim's first entrepreneurial ventures The varied reasons that cause us to become entrepreneurs, and the difference between online and offline entrepreneurs Experience in the context of entrepreneurship, and how it can be used as an excuse Timeframes and getting out of the "employee" mindset Becoming rich, and why it's a choice Classical conditioning, self-limiting beliefs, and breaking the mold to become an entrepreneur The idea of "failing faster" The connection between Lim's flight training and entrepreneurship Risk and uncertainty Using simulations to practice Success traits and failure philosophy Why choice can be the enemy of a successful entrepreneur Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Dylan Evans, a British former academic and author who has written books on emotion and the placebo effect as well as the theories of Jacques Lacan. The topic is risk intelligence. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Definition of risk intelligence Optimism bias Correlations between IQ and risk intelligence The Brandywine Raceway in Delaware and unconscious statistical modeling Probabilities and the nuclear power risk issue Making decisions on uncertain information The expected value mindset Bet sizing How luck is always part of the game Knowing when not to bet The hidden costs of trying to eliminate risk in a system where risk can never be eliminated The "calibration test" for risk intelligence. Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue David Harding, Josh Brown and the Funny Phase with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Uncertainty, Prediction and Personal Responsibility with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Getting Hurt is Part of the Game with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Nick Atkeson, a founding partner of Delta Investment Management, LLC. Mr. Atkeson has over 17 years of industry experience. Prior to founding Delta Investment Management, Mr. Atkeson was a partner and portfolio manager of Delta Force Capital, LLC, a San Francisco based hedge fund from 2006 to April 2009. The topic is his book Win By Not Losing: A Disciplined Approach to Building and Protecting Your Wealth in the Stock Market by Managing Your Risk. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Momentum and streaks Some of the stories contained in Atkeson's book, including "Sonny" in Vegas and his ability to disrupt the earnings of the Rio Casino, and the idea of the "theo" Why people should invest at all Uncertainty in the markets, with jobs, and in retirement Market timing Asset allocation decisions Negative tail risk Black swans What happens when/if the US potentially defaults on its debt The idea of "systematic", taking your losses, and behavioral finance Loss avoidance How Atkeson got started in his career Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Bastardization of Trend Following with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Lewis Howes, a lifestyle entrepreneur with a wealth of different experiences, from starting new businesses to pro-athletics. The topic is lifestyle entrepreneur. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How his beginnings in athletics and an injury led to where Howes is today Sacrifice in the context of sports and business Howes' early influences and mentors Some of Howes' early successes The shift from success to impact Why "I want to make a billion dollars" is not a great goal to set for yourself The importance of knowing the "why" of your goals Howes' experience with his podcast Why doing something different every day is important to happiness Advice for those who want to make fitness a part of their lives Sleep management Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Larry Williams, an American author, stock and commodity trader, and politician from the state of Montana. The topic is trading. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: IRS and Congress Targeting of individuals and groups by the government Facing the government in a court case and negotiating with the IRS How Williams approached trading at the beginning, and his motivations to do so How growing up in Montana affected Williams personally How Williams came to run for Senate and his reasoning for doing so The importance of speculation, and the difference between speculation and gambling How Williams made the migration from stocks to thinking about futures How Williams approached the emotional and money management sides of the equation Risk control Understanding what kind of system "fits" you best The changing condition of markets Keeping it simple The importance of learning from injury How Williams came to his Libertarian mindset Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Ryan Holiday, an American author, public-relations strategist, bookstore owner and host of the podcast The Daily Stoic. He is a former director of marketing for American Apparel. The topic is his book Growth Hacker Marketing: A Primer on the Future of PR, Marketing, and Advertising. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The definition of "growth hacking" The different forms of growth hacking Why many other marketing books pertain to big business rather than startups The startup mentality How Holiday turned to Bittorrent to launch Tim Ferriss' "The 4-Hour Chef" Platforms in the growth hacking mindset Letting others be lucky Growth hacking in the context of startups The idea of a product market fit, changing your product, and assessing its strengths and weaknesses The marketing implications of knowing that "the product is never done" Standing by your convictions but being open minded to change The anachronism of press releases Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram The concept of other people's money, the lack of flexibility that goes along with that, and the importance of being able to change Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Harry Binswanger, an American philosopher, writer, and Objectivist as a long-time associate of Ayn Rand. The topic is his article on the value of 1%. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Being inspired by the 1%, and why his article caused such an uproar The nature of trade Envy and jealousy Understanding where entrepreneurs start and how wealth is created The bailouts of 2008 Wal-Mart and its many innovations Why money isn't the root of all evil Seeing Ayn Rand's work woven into the cultural fabric Statism Navigators and the new health care laws Why the wealthiest counties in America all surround Washington, DC Why we're at the "tipping point" in society today Thoughts on Ron Paul vs. the principles of Ayn Rand Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Tom O'Connell of O'Connell Sports Management. Since 1997 O'Connell has represented over 70 professional baseball players and is a certified agent with the Major League Baseball Players Association. The topic is entrepreneur. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How O'Connell became the entrepreneur he is today, starting off in the club business His plans for the baseball offseason "Moneyball" and the use of statistics Salary arbitration Projecting results into the following year The importance of risk What O'Connell learned from working with baseball scouts Competition amongst other agents Comparisons to the hedge fund world Some of the more interesting baseball characters that O'Connell has sat down with The importance of getting out of your comfort zone Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Richard Noble, a Scottish entrepreneur who was holder of the land speed record between 1983 and 1997. He was also the project director of ThrustSSC, the vehicle which holds the current land speed record, set at Black Rock Desert, Nevada in 1997. The topic is entrepreneur. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: What 600 MPH feels like to someone who has never been there before The mental processes when you're going at high speeds Process vs. outcome The danger of emotional highs Noble's entrepreneurial spirit How Noble got the desire for the land-speed record at the age of six Whether Noble views his endeavors as "life threatening" The idea of "higher risk" in life and society today The importance of taking risks The idea of developing a "risk culture" Motivating people to come over to your own perspective The difficulties Noble experienced with British culture, the media, and with big companies The parallel experiences Covel and Noble have had on the web Where Noble stands on breaking the 1000 MPH barrier right now Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Inequality Debates with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!