Michael Covel's Trend Following

My guest today is Brett Steenbarger, a Clinical Associate Professor of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences at SUNY Upstate Medical University in Syracuse, NY. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: What a "flow state" is, and why it's important How Steenbarger has seen flow connect to the trading world, and the importance of matching your level of difficulty and challenge Risk and risk tolerance The logical and psychological sides to risk "What have you done for me lately" attitude for investors Why we don't grow if we stay within our comfort zones Process vs. outcome The psychological burden of certain fee structures Some of the common characteristics of successful traders Slow thinking, deep thinking, and fast thinking Where we're headed regarding prescription drugs related to the mind Trend trading vs. mean reversion Contextualism Trend following vs. momentum trading How people actually behave vs. how they describe their behavior Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guests today are Larry Hite and Alex Greyserman. Hite is a hedge fund manager and is one of the forefathers of system trading. He was famously featured in the Market Wizards book. A few years ago he started ISAM with Stanley Fink. Greyserman has 25 years of experience in the CTA industry, and was originally hired by Larry Hite at Mint. Greyserman is Chief Scientist at ISAM (PhD in Statistics). He is also a professor at Columbia University. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Singapore, and Covel's recent excursions in Asia How the game has stayed the same despite zero interest rate policy What people are missing when they say "trend following is dead" How you'll never get perfection Their 800 year study, the premise, and what was found out Measuring human nature The difference between divergent and convergent strategies Risk management Having "perfect" knowledge Using long trends and getting whipsawed in shorter trends The asset class of trend following compared to the NASDAQ buy and hold, etc. What's changed about human nature through all the booms and busts Insurance, hedging your risk, and the risk transference process Asymmetrical leverage Adjusting to new environments How those that survive are the most adaptable to the environment How trend following automatically adjusts to what's happening Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Sharon Moalem, a physician and author. Moalem's previous book, "Survival Of The Sickest", was a New York Times bestseller. The topic is his book Inheritance: How Our Genes Change Our Lives, and Our Lives Change Our Genes. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Rafael Nadal as an example of digging deep in genetics How our bodies are constantly in a state of deconstruction and reconstruction How DNA is under constant modification Genetic personalized medicine "Jeff the chef" and an example of specific dietary needs Dysmorphology and analyzing the hands, feet, and face of an individual Gregor Mendel and his pea experiments in genetics How your behavior can dictate your genetic destiny The future of personalized genetic medicine Critics and misunderstandings of genetics Vitamins on an individual basis Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Robin Hanson, an associate professor of economics at George Mason University and a research associate at the Future of Humanity Institute of Oxford University. The topic is outside the box economic perspectives. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Prediction markets Vernon Smith and coming up with the "why" for booms and busts Dealing with a complex world based on our limited abilities Steering towards humanity's future Hanson's physics background, and how he came to where prediction markets became a passion How prediction markets can make us pay more attention to the truth Hayek and Mises, and some of their thinking early on What taboos and idealogical beliefs might stop one from making optimal decisions If people have employed particular trading strategies to the prediction markets Stop losses as information and as risk preference Setting up a market to bet on geopolitical events in the Middle East, and the controversy based around that Why DC politicians often cannot handle the research Hanson does Why Hanson has elected to have his head cryonically preserved after medical death based on a cost-benefit analysis Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Harry Markowitz, the third Nobel Prize winner to appear on this podcast. Markowitz is an American economist who received the 1989 John von Neumann Theory Prize and the 1990 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. Markowitz is a professor of finance at the Rady School of Management at the University of California, San Diego. The topic is modern finance. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Justin Fox and "The Myth Of The Rational Market" Markowitz's beginnings, and the Nobel Prize Markowitz's 1952 paper How Markowitz felt about some of his prescriptions and ideas being interpreted into dogma Why Wall Street was not interested in Markowitz's theories at one time Diversification for the right reason Markowitz's new four-volume book Advice on maintaining mental acuity at an advanced age and sounding like you're 35 when you're 86 years young Markowitz's attraction to the philosopher Hume If it was fifty years later, if Markowitz would be a quant running a hedge fund today Markowitz's legacy On being comfortable vs. being rich The leveraged long-only hedge fund industry and being coaxed into putting your money into these institutions Long Term Capital Management and portfolio theory Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Ryan Holiday, director of marketing for American Apparel; media strategist for Tucker Max, Dov Charney, and others. The topic is his book The Obstacle Is the Way: The Timeless Art of Turning Trials into Triumph. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Marcus Aurelius' philosophy and stoicism, and why it has such a hold on Holiday Distraction Why the impediment to action actually advances action The unpredictability of the world, and how we react to the world George Clooney, and his start as an actor related to the obstacles we all face Steve Jobs' reality distortion field What drives Holiday today How will is the ultimate trump card The two definitions of will Alabama Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban and his approach to the moment of now Feeling great about the fight, the adversity, and the challenge How the process is intrinsically valuable Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Larry Doyle, a former JP Morgan banker. Larry embarked on his Wall Street career in 1983 as a mortgage-backed securities trader for The First Boston Corporation, and was involved in the growth and development of the secondary mortgage market from its near infancy. The topic is his book In Bed with Wall Street: How Bankers, Regulators and Politicians Conspire to Cripple Our Global Economy. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Doyle's background and why he put "In Bed With Wall Street" together Madoff, and what was missed from a regulatory perspective KYC, or "knowing your customer" MF Global, Jon Corzine, and touching customer funds Dodd Frank and the supposed fixes to the 2008 financial crisis, and why Dodd Frank was more of an architectual blueprint rather than a completed piece of legislation Regulatory reforms to help fix the problems created in the 2008 financial crisis Informing the general public of the problems surrounding Wall Street today The "bribe" of equity markets at all-time highs; manipulation of the markets Why Tim Geithner said "we saved the economy, but we lost the country" If a crash is the only thing that will bring about change Why the banks must be broken up What would have happened if Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley had failed Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Tucker Max, an American author and public speaker. He chronicles his drinking and sexual encounters in the form of short stories on his website TuckerMax.com, which has received millions of visitors since Max launched it as the result of a bet in 2000. The topic is success. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Covel and Max talk about their first meeting, and Max's brutally honest advice to Covel Diet and nutrition The NCAA, college athletics, exploitation, the media, and having to 'beat' the system Marginal cost and marginal product Entrepreneurial thinking and Max's early career Max's experience in marketing Protecting your independence Christopher Hitchens Facing rejection in publishing, and how rejection is part of success How success only teaches you to repeat what you did before, and failure forces you to think What drives Max today How the landscape has changed in regards to authors The fight for authority and trust in the publishing world What motivates Tucker Max today--the quality of relationships you have with other people, and what you do that matters to others Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Two Centuries of Trend Following with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Mark Minervini, a technical analyst, acclaimed author, instructor, and independent trader. He has over 30 years of experience in finance, and was featured in Jack Schwager's Stock Market Wizards; Conversations with America's Top Stock Traders. The topic is his book Trade Like a Stock Market Wizard: How to Achieve Super Performance in Stocks in Any Market. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Importance of influences outside of the finance world Minervini's atypical background in music and how he got to where he is today Capturing 'super performance' and the trend The importance of cutting your losers short How Minervini spends his day Richard Love and 'super performance' stocks Why Minervini is not a fan of diversification beyond the minimum amount that you can get away with Richard Donchian, Jesse Livermore and their influence on Minervini Timeless strategies Paul Tudor Jones and 'losers average losers' The importance of not just trading what you know 'New high ground' and not being afraid of buying higher highs Risk management and bet sizing The biggest areas where new traders often start off on the wrong foot Howard Lederer and poker players as an analogy to traders Why you shouldn't even turn on the television as a stock trader Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is William Adams, a private trader and systems developer. He is based in Zurich and works with institutional clients. Adams has over 17 years of experience in financial markets. The topic is trading. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: If Adams views himself as a trend following trader Why the word futures can be problematic Broad diversification and diversifying on a number of different tiers Risk-based diversification Why making sure you're in the game is the most important factor Why every business is seasonal Why price is the most important aspect to a trade How Adams has (or doesn't have) the "expertise" to trade certain markets Informing your system of various events as a quantitative or systematic trader Thinking about Adams' strategy in the context of evolution Core baskets vs. satellite baskets The adaptive aspect of what Adams does The philosophical and operational aspects of volatility Average true range as a volatility measure Trading to make a return vs. trading as an economist Adams' greatest areas of challenge and frustration Michael Lewis and whether the markets are "rigged" Execution strategy Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue The Vocabulary of The Media with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Justin Fox, an American financial journalist, commentator, and writer born in Morristown, New Jersey. He is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former editorial director of the Harvard Business Review Group and business and economics columnist for Time magazine. The topic is his book The Myth Of The Rational Market: A History of Risk, Reward, and Delusion on Wall Street. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Harry Markowitz, Bayesian statistics, and making smart decisions in an uncertain world using quantitative tools Stocks, beta, and the importance of making useful predictions Commodities Corporation and trend following trading in the early 1970's Why a market in which everyone was rationally anticipating the future would be a random market Amos Hostetter How the behavioral mindset started to unfold in the 1970's Eugene Fama and the efficient market hypothesis The Capital Asset Pricing Model Why well-designed markets and well-informed investors are prone to manias and panics Individuals making errors vs. the group getting it right Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue The Whipsaw Guy with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Thomas Gilovich, an American psychologist who is the Irene Blecker Rosenfeld Professor of Psychology at Cornell University. He has conducted research in social psychology, decision making, behavioral economics, and has written popular books on these subjects. The topic is behavioral economics. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How his world dovetailed into money and markets Basketball, streak shooting, and the "hot hand" Randomness and the clustering illusion The missing Malaysian Airlines flight and probability The reluctance to accept a probabilistic view of the world Politics, predictions, and probabilities People who see the world in black and white Drawing conclusions from incomplete and unrepresentative evidence, and how to avoid that folly The position of the devil's advocate, and the importance of that role Gilovich's response to the media's talking heads, and their often black and white opinions Behavioral economics vs. traditional economics When people do the wrong thing because the public demands it Bill James and the closer Instinct vs. considered judgment and test taking Irrationality in financial markets and bubbles Loss aversion Why you don't need to be better than the market Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Tom Dorsey, the co-founder of Dorsey, Wright & Associates in 1987. Dorsey joined Nasdaq Global Information Services with Nasdaq's acquisition of his company in 2015. He has been a regular guest on Fox's "Cavuto on Business" and "Bulls & Bears" programs, and frequently speaks to audiences worldwide on topics related to the stock market, technical analysis, and Relative Strength investing. The topics are his books Point & Figure Charting: The Essential Application for Forecasting and Tracking Market Prices, Thriving as a Broker in the 21st Century and Tom Dorsey's Trading Tips: A Playbook for Stock Market Success. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: View of technical analysis, with a specialization in point & figure and relative strength Dealing with a bear market in Dorsey's early days Early training in options; how Dorsey learned about point & figure trading Definitions and explanations of point & figure trading How point & figure works like a tennis match Automating your strategy The criticism of "black boxes" A third grade experiment How Charles Schwab changed the world How technology influences the technical analysis world Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Marc Faber, a Swiss investor based in Thailand. He is the publisher of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report newsletter and the director of Marc Faber Ltd, which acts as an investment advisor and fund manager. The topic is economics. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Current state of Russia Changing geopolitics Faber's experience living through the Cold War The difference between Crimea's value to the west and its value to Russia Why the Russians perceived the uprising in Kiev to be financed by western power China's reaction to the situation in Crimea; the construction boom in China The difficulty of forecasting China's geopolitical changes Positive and negative valuations of the market, and finding investments to be "cheap" or "expensive" Faber's advice to young people following his path today in the face of money printing and bailouts What can be done about wealth inequality Making a living in the face of instant communication and globalization Central banks' role in wealth inequality Why money printing leads to bubbles Warren Buffett's involvement with the bailouts, and how his government connections have helped his investments How governments are assimilating everything "Capitalism and Freedom" by Milton Friedman The cost of large government in the US and elsewhere Faber's views on relationships, contrasting the West and Asia along with Facebook fame Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Martin Bergin, CEO of Dunn Capital Management. Bill Dunn and Dunn Capital were famously profiled in Covel's book Trend Following and they have a 39 year track record of trend following performance. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The early stages of Dunn Capital, and how it arrived where it is today Trend following with futures Volatility within Dunn's system, and why volatility is important to the overall performance Targeting losses How history informs system creation Adapting to the marketplace and to available technology What it means to be 100% systematic with no overrides Defining "black box" systems, and the difference between Dunn Capital's strategy and black box strategies Location in relation to Dunn Capital, and why it isn't necessary to be in a big city like London or Tokyo How the core of Dunn Capital has stayed the same while certain aspects of business has evolved Decreasing drawdown without decreasing profitability Behavioral finance and dealing with biases The adaptive nature of trend following Predictive vs. reactive trend following Dunn Capital's fee structure Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Howard Lindzon, a Canadian entrepreneur, author, financial analyst, technical analyst and angel investor. Lindzon manages a hedge fund, serves as managing partner of the holding company Social Leverage, limited partner at Knight's Bridge Capital Partners, and is the co-founder of StockTwits. He's also known for the satirical podcast Wallstrip. The topic is entrepreneurship. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The commonalities between the angel investing world and trend following Over-diversification Diversification in private investments vs. stocks How Lindzon got the entrepreneurial "bug" Lindzon's early career as a stockbroker The beginnings of Wallstrip Lindzon's comedy influence How Wallstrip led to the next four years of Lindzon's investments How Lindzon's mistakes helped him grow as an investor Lindzon's experience with fraud committed by a business partner Keeping your business drama-free The issue of distraction Lindzon on the birth of StockTwits The investment that changed Lindzon's financial life in 2005 The future of StockTwits as Lindzon sees it Social leverage The art of curation and verticalization Thinking of the financial web as a social bank account Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Victor Sperandeo, known as "Trader Vic", a US trader, index developer, and financial commentator. He serves as the President and CEO of Alpha Financial Technologies, LLC (AFT), is a founding partner of EAM Partners L.P., and serves as the President and CEO of its general partner, EAM Corporation. The topic is trading. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Recent public policy directions Trading against your public policy interests Zero interest rate policy Whether the S&P is a "bribe" The Fed mandate to keep stocks from falling and to stop volatility The wealth effect Why the stock market going up is a very poor instrument to fix the economy The trend towards socialism Sperandeo's experience working with George Soros Sperandeo's experience with the DTI index lack swans and the effects of large, catastrophic events on the market; why the only way to protect yourself is extreme diversification; volatility balancing; and Sperandeo's experience as a young man and how he came into the trading world Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Carl Richards, a Certified Financial Planner and creator of the Sketch Guy column, appearing weekly in The New York Times since 2010. Carl has also been featured on Marketplace Money, Oprah.com, and Forbes.com. The topic is finance. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Richards' new radio venture How Richards came to start The Behavior Gap Outliers, and living your own bell curve Risk on a daily, weekly, and monthly basis The definition of radical self-awareness Mindfulness and awareness as applied to our financial decisions Habit, action, feeling, and thought Simplicity and effectiveness Government intervention in the markets Quantitative easing Buy and hold in Japan Loss aversion and the pain of loss Feeling loss more than the joy of gain Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Sam Polk, a former wall street banker who walked away after making millions. Today, Polk runs a non-profit to help the poor understand nutrition. However, his op-ed is definitely controversial. The topic is his op-ed For The Love of Money. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The intensity surrounding the reaction to Polk's op-ed piece Reactions from friends and colleagues about the article Envy and jealousy in the Wall Street world Polk's background and life growing up Filtering cultural messages The line between individual responsibility and being part of a system Crony capitalism Power dynamics The mythology of risk-taking in America The solution for the investment banks out there Polk's non-profit which he runs today Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Risk, Reward and The Process with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Jack Schwager, a recognized industry expert in futures and hedge funds and the author of a number of widely acclaimed financial books. Schwager is one of the founders of Fund Seeder. Previously, he was a partner in the Fortune Group, a London-based hedge fund advisory firm. His prior experience also includes 22 years as Director of Futures research for some of Wall Street's leading firms, most recently Prudential Securities. The topic is his book The Little Book of Market Wizards. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How Fund Seeder acts as a liason for traders and investors The difficulty of starting out as a new trader How Fund Seeder is a global opportunity Schwager's last book, Hedge Fund Market Wizards The timeless quality of the Market Wizards books Jesse Livermore's Reminiscences of a Stock Operator How human nature is the only thing that will never change Looking for a "secret recipe" in the Market Wizards book "The Upside of Down: Why Failing Well Is The Key To Success" by Megan McArdle Why failure is smart and an essential part of success The importance of failure in the context of education Behavioral economics Jack Horner and thinking outside of the box The importance of loving what you do for a living The importance of travel Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Al Abaroa, the Chief Investment Strategist at Kingsview and has been a registered broker and trader since 1993. He has seen all aspects of the investing industry. The topic is a white paper that Abaroa wrote about trend following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How people forget that anything can and will happen Why we're seeing optimistic behavior in the market The similarities between the WhatsApp/Facebook acquisition and the AOL/Time Warner acquisition Abaroa's wealth formula "Reasonable returns" Long term vs. short term outlooks The advantages of youth in trading Lifespan growth, and retirement Tom Basso and black swan events Looking back on major crashes Development and distribution as the two modalities of price Focusing on price action The Global Volatility Index Looking at black swan periods as a place to profit The asymmetrical return stream and the asymmetrical nature of trend following Why trend following produces returns a minority of the time Position sizing Fixed contract allocation vs. fixed fractional contract allocation and their role in position sizing Trend following investors and market timing Seeking immediate gratification in trend following investments Looking at trend following track records Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Trend Following Winners, Daniel Kahneman, and Tina Turner with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Jonathan Hoenig, an American, founding member of the Capitalist Pig hedge fund, and a regular contributor to and regular panelist on Fox News Channel's Cashin' In, Your World with Neil Cavuto, Red Eye w/ Greg Gutfeld and WLS 890's morning show, Don Wade & Roma. The topic is his documentary Pit Trading 101. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Hoenig's branding for his hedge fund, Capitalist Pig Why capitalism has become demonized The difference between capitalism and crony capitalism Ayn Rand and capitalism as the "unknown ideal" How Hoenig ended up in the Chicago trading pits, and what we can learn from studying pit trading today The physical type of pit traders The subculture of the pits Where Hoenig sees futures markets going The blame of speculators America's place in the world today Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Daniel Kahneman, the second Nobel Prize winner to appear on this podcast. Kahneman is an Israeli-American psychologist and economist notable for his work on the psychology of judgment and decision-making, as well as behavioral economics, for which he was awarded the 2002 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. The topic is behavioral psychology. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Kahneman's beginnings, and how he came to realize he was looking at the world from a different vantage point than most How Kahneman's work is foundational to trading Questioning the dogma of rationality Happiness, and the distinction between the remembering self and the experiencing self The consumption of memories The danger of not making peace with a loss Bubbles and crowd behavior Happiness research and public policy Emotion, possibility, and probability Hope and fear Why optimism is the engine of capitalism The influence of prospect theory Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is John Bollinger, an American author, financial analyst, contributor to the field of technical analysis and the developer of Bollinger Bands. Since 1987, he has published the Capital Growth Letter, a newsletter which provides technical analysis of the financial markets. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Bollinger Bands as described for the lay person Defining when a price is relatively high or relatively low Defining "relatively high" and "relatively low" Measuring volatility to determine the "width" of a Bollinger Band Standard deviation The beginnings of Bollinger Bands, and how John Bollinger came to put it together Different ideas about volatility in the 1980s Some of Bollinger's early curiosity triggers, and why he started digging into finance after going to art school Light, film, and Bollinger's experience at the School of Visual Arts Bollinger's experience in his apprenticeship to learn technical analysis "The best authority is the price itself", and why this statement isn't very well accepted in the mainstream Differences between fundamental and technical analysts Bollinger's look at media and the presentation of his message over the years Why Bollinger would be known as a quantitative analyst instead of a technician if he started his career now Position sizing Why volatility is the least understood aspect of the market Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Seykota, Harding & the 2014 Trend Following Conference with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Dave Rapach, an internationally renowned researcher in the area of asset return forecasting. His research is highly cited and published in leading scholarly and practitioner journals in Finance and Economics. Rapach is a Professor of Economics and holds the John Simon Endowed Chair in Economics at the Saint Louis University Chaifetz School of Business. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why trend following works from an academic standpoint "Publish or perish" and the difficulty of publishing scholarly articles on trend following Early research on trend following, the random walk theory, and Burton Malkiel's "A Random Walk Down Wall Street" Warren Buffett, Bill Dunn, and survivorship bias A paper that Rapach traces to the reintroduction of trend following and technical analysis to the academic community Measuring systematic risk Eugene Fama's recent nobel prize How the trend following world has been neglected by the academic community How Rapach found his way into the academic finance world Covel's experience digging in to trend following research in the early to mid 1990's Some of Rapach's recent papers Why recessions are good for trend following Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Ed Seykota, a commodities trader, who earned S.B. degrees in Electrical Engineering from MIT and Management from the MIT Sloan School of Management, both in 1969. In 1970 he pioneered Systems trading by using early punched card computers to test ideas on trading the markets. The topic is his book Govopoly in the 39th Day. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Trend Following Seykota's concerns about our economy The assimilation model and how Seykota sees assimilation happening today The definition of "govopoly" How Seykota's mentor's work plays into Seykota's work today Thinking about systems What we can do to "fix" the economy, or to at least prepare yourself The exponential curve that assimilation takes Noticing things before they're important Why Seykota doesn't provide a "solution" to the problem and instead advocates for the system to correct itself What we can do as people in response to the system Detroit as a microcosm of the US Ways to make money during the assimilation Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Dominic Frisby, a self-proclaimed accidental financial bod, comedian, actor of unrecognized genius, voice of many things, & presenter. The topic is his book Life After the State: Why We Don't Need Government. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Frisby's beginnings as an actor and comedian What comedy can teach us about finance and the discipline of clarity How Cuba's currency confusion led the nation to unfortunate circumstances Real estate Other peoples' trust in the state How the poor and needy would be cared for in a society without a state The monopoly on compassion How the state takes a piece of everything "Greed is good", "money is the root of all evil", etc Crony capitalism Predation vs. productivity The influence of lobbyists The duopoly on money by banks and the state Education Bitcoin, digital currency, and taxation Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Harry Dent, a Harvard MBA, Fortune 100 consultant, new venture investor, noted speaker and bestselling author. Harry is the founder and senior editor at Dent Research, where he dedicates himself to identifying and studying demographic, technological, and geopolitical trends. The topic is his book The Demographic Cliff: How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation Ahead. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why demographics are so important The definition of the "demographic cliff" Demographic comparisons between the US and Asia Rates of urbanization and GDP in emerging countries The baby boomer generation The Japanese "coma economy" Why the retirement age needs to be raised How real estate in America will never be the same "Die-ers" vs. buyers Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Chris Ducker, a serial entrepreneur and author of the bestseller, "Virtual Freedom", and more recently, "Rise of the Youpreneur". He owns and operates several businesses, that combined house over 400 full-time employees internationally. He's also a trusted international business mentor, keynote speaker, podcaster, blogger, as well as the founder of Youpreneur.com - the leading personal brand business education company in the world. The topic is his book Virtual Freedom: How to Work with Virtual Staff to Buy More Time, Become More Productive, and Build Your Dream Business. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The definition of virtual freedom How Ducker came from the cubicle originally, and how he got to be the location independent entrepreneur he is now How Ducker became a "virtual CEO" The idea of a "superhero syndrome" The idea of a virtual, international staff The process of finding a VA (virtual assistant) The two types of outsourcing Hiring for the role--not for the task Text, audio, and video communication Tim Ferriss and the four-hour work week Developing a location independent lifestyle Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Russell Napier, a consultant with CLSA, who Covel had the good fortune to speak for in 2013 in several cities across Asia. Napier is a global macro-strategist. He definitely comes at it from a different trading perspective than trend following. The topic is his book Anatomy of the Bear: Lessons from Wall Street's Four Great Bottoms. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why the average person will never see an interest for their savings again in their lifetime How the choice of equities is made for many How we're not really in a free-market capitalistic world Why Napier thinks we're on the eve of a major deflationary period How the equity bull market causes people to simply not think (or question). Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Bobby Casey, a consultant on international tax planning, investment immigration, and global citizenship. He has personally lived this lifestyle for over a decade, and now works with seven- and eight-figure entrepreneurs and investors who want to "go where they're treated best". The topics are entrepreneurship and travel. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How Casey found his way to Latvia Travel in general Some of the issues you may encounter during travel Lithuania Holding dual citizenship The advantages of having a passport from another country Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Barry Schwartz, an American psychologist and author. He is a professor of Social Theory and Social Action at Swarthmore College. Schwartz's psychological work is right there at the foundation of why any trader or investor will have success. The topics are his books The Paradox of Choice: Why More is Less and Practical Wisdom: The Right Way to Do the Right Thing. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Choice and practical wisdom Choice in selecting a mutual fund, and how Schwartz has seen that unfold in corporations The paradox of options Having too much choice Democracy and choice The idea that decision-making has shifted from the expert to the individual Why prescription drugs are marketed to people who can't buy them outright If choice drives clinical depression Expectations The idea of practical wisdom Judgment and discretion in the workplace Wisdom and the education system Having a "script" from your employer that prevents you from thinking outside of the box The importance of working with like-minded people How things have changed since the 2008 financial crisis Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Frank Curzio of Stansberry and Associates. Curzio is the voice behind S&A Investor Radio, as well as the editor of the Small Stock Specialist. The topic is markets and investments. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The CES (Consumer Electronics Show) and upcoming electronics trends Connectivity Narratives Protecting your downside The Federal Reserve and the gold market Netflix, Best Buy, and 4K televisions as a trend Apple Being on the ground, physically going somewhere, and the importance of being there Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Tom Basso, the trader most famously known as "Mr. Serenity" in Jack Schwager's "New Market Wizards". Basso, now retired, was a stock and commodities trader who was president and founder of Trendstat Capital Management. He is the author of two books, "Panic-Proof Investing" and "The Frustrated Investor". Basso became a registered investment advisor in 1980, a registered commodities advisor in 1984, and was elected to the board of the National Futures Association in 1998. The topic is Trend Following. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Location independence Making sure trading doesn't take up your entire life Stoicism Trend following in the emotional arena Mental exercises The psychology of trend following The "observer self" The mental aspects of success The importance of being able to lose small amounts of money Why trend following does so well when the black swans hit Basso's daily routine and the importance of routine in daily life. Covel and Basso also go through listener questions such as whether Basso would make the same trading decisions that he did from the start Money management v. trading Tinkering with current systems Knowing when it's a regular drawdown v. something really going the wrong way Whether Basso is a one-system kind of guy v. multiple systems Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Peter Schiff, an American stock broker, financial commentator, and radio personality. He is CEO and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital Inc., a broker-dealer based in Westport, Connecticut. The topic is Federal Reserve policy. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: QE infinity, expectations and Fed overall policy ZIRP Inflation Real estate Foreclosure How the stock market keeps people satiated Protecting the value of the dollar How we can get to effectively negative interest rates The way out of QE infinity (if even possible) Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is William Adams, a private trader and systems developer. He is based in Zurich and works with institutional clients. Adams has over 17 years of experience in financial markets. The topic is systematic trading strategies. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The first time Adams got the "trading bug" Early trading strategies Generating alpha The strategies that Adams uses today The "core satellite approach" Why Adams chose options over futures The seasonality of trades Inspirational resources found by Adams The influence of Zurich on Adams, and whether or not Americans can learn a thing or two from the Swiss Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Jack Horner, the world renowned paleontologist. Horner was the technical advisor for all of the "Jurassic Park" films. He is most famous for discovering and naming Maiasaura, providing the first clear evidence that some dinosaurs cared for their young. The topics are dyslexia and the process of learning. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Passion Why you'd break open a dinosaur egg rather than hold onto it as precious material How Horner attributes his way of thinking to dyslexia The shapeshifting dinosaur hypothesis "Chickasaurus" and the idea of dinosaurs and chickens intersecting The accuracy of the "Jurassic Park" dinosaurs Whether the T. Rex was a scavenger v. predator How Horner came to his way of thinking Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue The Passenger with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Dan Ariely, a professor of psychology and behavioral economics at Duke. He has given great TED Talks with millions of views. Covel and Ariely discuss irrationality and rationality on today's show, including how we make decisions (with often poor processes). The topic is his book Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The irrationality of fundamentals in equity markets The wisdom of crowds, constraints and where else our money can go The awarding of the Nobel Prize to professor Shiller and Fama--two famed professors with very different outlooks--and whether it's irrational or not Macroeconomics vs. microeconomics Lessons learned during his life-threatening burns Why people lie Why the freedom to do whatever we want and change our mind is the shortest path to making bad decisions How 2008 became a constructive tool for Ariely Why Bubbles are some of the most imprecise factors out there Ben Bernanke Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Gerd Gigerenzer, the director of the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin, and a former professor of psychology at the University at Chicago. Gerd is also the director of the Harding Center for Risk Literacy (read David Harding the head of trend following firm Winton Capital). The topic is heuristics. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Uncertainty Comparing decisions to baseball (gaze heuristic) Complex problems and simple solutions Using price action as a decision making cue Unconscious heuristics The art of knowing what one doesn't have to know The less is more effect The miracle on the Hudson River a few years ago as a case in point illustrating heuristics The idea of an adaptive toolbox The element of surprise in Gigerenzer's work The distinction between risk and uncertainty Intuition vs. rationality Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Dan Collins, a 25-year veteran of the Futures industry, founder of the Dan Collins Report, and most recently was named Editor-in-Chief of Futures Magazine. The topic is trading. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Why the mainstream media seems to not even attempt to hide the bias and the propaganda against the styles and types of trading in the worlds that Covel and Collins occupy (i.e. trend following, systematic, managed futures, etc.) A particular Bloomberg article which attacked managed futures and alternative strategies Why articles like these are an attack on the average investor Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

My guest today is Eric Crittenden, a Founding Partner responsible for managing all research, risk quantification and trading operations. He's also been featured in Covel's own Little Book of Trading. The topic is a white paper that was originally released in 2005 that concerns trend following on stocks. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The decision to do research into trend following on equities, and the background behind the white paper Why others weren't trading equities with a trend following strategy at the time, and why there's been a sea change in the industry now Stress tests How Critenden's models and datastreams apply to a model If Crittenden sees anything on the horizon that takes trend following on equities in a suboptimal direction, and where he sees it going in the future Whether Crittenden's work is all price driven and all systematic The amount of human judgment involved in Crittenden's strategy Why this strategy works if it's based on inefficiencies in the market, and Eugene Fama just won a Nobel Prize regarding the markets being efficient Why exposure management is more important than the entries and exits themselves The importance of blocking out distractions. Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Please enjoy my monologue Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!