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Eurodollar University

Eurodollar University

1,381 episodes — Page 26 of 28

Ep 132Reading Matt Stoller: Will Monopolies Steal the Infrastructure Money? [Ep. 132, Macropiece Theater]

We tend to talk about infrastructure in terms of spending amounts. But infrastructure in a monopoly-dominated economy is not just about money, it's about who governs - monopolists, or the public? A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Matt Stoller is a fellow at the Open Markets Institute and advises policymakers on the problem of monopoly. He has lectured on competition policy around the world and his writing has appeared in various news media and publications. In 2019 he authored Goliath: The 100-Year War Between Monopoly Power and Democracy. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Amber Lights" by Chill Cole at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Will Monopolies Steal the Infrastructure Money?: https://bit.ly/3mXEgFr----------WHERE----------Stoller's Substack: https://mattstoller.substack.com/Stoller's Book: https://bit.ly/2YTD5iBStoller's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewstollerEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 20, 202125 min

Ep 131Reading AnalystDC: The Fed's Balance Sheet, Changes and Effects [Ep. 131, Macropiece Theater]

AnalystDC looks back at how the US money market has evolved in 2021 so far by reviewing the Fed's balance sheet and considering where things could go from here for the Fed, large and small US banks as well as foreign bank offices. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------AnalystDC, the anonymous enjoyer of illiquid credit, bond posting and money markets. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Amber Lights" by Chill Cole at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Chartbook #13: https://dcchartbook.substack.com/p/chartbook-13----------WHERE----------DC's Substack: https://dcchartbook.substack.com/DC's Twitter: https://twitter.com/AnalystDCEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 19, 202127 min

Ep 129Safest Bank Balance Sheets in Three Generations [Ep. 129, Eurodollar University]

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen,Typically the show notes are loaded with information about the show, reference material and acknowledgement of the people that helped make the show. Unfortunately Episode 129 was damned by the Universe and came to us straight from Hades, Ring Four, Pit 03 (on the left). Thankfully all the content is there. But everything else, everything else that it takes to make the show was cursed by Podcast Deus. Everything went wrong, not just for me but for everyone involved with the show. Therefore I am having none of it with this show--it has bad juju. I cast it back into Mount Doom where it can join the ring.Sincerely,Emil

Oct 18, 20211h 3m

Ep 130Reading Robert Breedlove: Freedom, Truth, Love (plus Bitcoin) [Ep. 130, Macropiece Theater]

Freedom, Truth, and Love: three creative principles distinguished by uninhibited exchange. Is it any coincidence that voluntary exchange is essential to all three? A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Robert Breedlove, freedom maximalist. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Amber Lights" by Chill Cole at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Freedom, Truth, and Love: https://bit.ly/3janbXL----------WHERE----------Robert's Substack: https://breedlove22.substack.com/Robert's Podcast: https://whatismoneypodcast.com/Robert's Twitter: https://twitter.com/Breedlove22Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MReason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiHSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 18, 202114 min

Ep 128Reading Jeff Snider: US Bank Loans Shrinking in 2021 [Ep. 128, Macropiece Theater]

Bank balance sheets are expanding in 2021, which is great news if you believe credit is modern money. But a closer look reveals banks are PILING into the SAFEST assets while beating a RETREAT from loans (real economy money). We haven't seen this in three generations. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------The U.S. Economy Remains As Frozen As Ever: https://bit.ly/3aCFKiO----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MReason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiHSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 16, 202124 min

Ep 127Reading Roger Starr: A Kind Word About Money [Ep. 127, Macropiece Theater]

Money, a necessary evil seems to be best compliment one can pay it. Starr argues that money, in a world of constraints and choices, helps identify price. And for all the kind words written about "value" let us consider the importance of "price" and spare a kind word about money. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Roger Starr (1918-2001), editorial writer for the New York Times, military intelligence officer, New York City housing administrator. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------A Kind Word About Money: https://bit.ly/3DuX4Cw ----------WHERE----------The Lives They Lived-Roger Starr, B. 1918; The Contrarian: https://nyti.ms/3mMayDsRoger Starr, New York Planning Official, Author and Editorial Writer, Is Dead at 83: https://nyti.ms/3mQSSGuEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 15, 202115 min

Ep 126Reading Jeff Snider: Metals Down vs. Oil Up [Ep. 126, Macropiece Theater]

Oil prices are intentionally offered as Inflation Exhibit A, even though at best it is a lagging indicator. In 2008, 2011 and 2018 we saw metal prices turn south while oil kept heading north; oil incorrectly interpreting the economic setting each time. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Chip Shortages, Crude Boiling, Fed Explosion And… No Inflation: https://bit.ly/3iWtnCG----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 14, 202114 min

Ep 125Reading The Fed Guy: Debt Ceiling Procedures [Ep. 125, Macropiece Theater]

The Fed and Treasury have seen enough debt ceilings to develop a playbook that can be pieced together from past FOMC transcripts and Congressional subpoenas. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Joseph Wang spent five years as the senior trader on the open markets desk at the Federal Reserve. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Debt Ceiling Procedures: https://bit.ly/3jfTCnZ----------WHERE----------Joseph's Blog: https://fedguy.com/Joseph's Twitter: https://twitter.com/FedGuy12Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 13, 202112 min

Ep 124Reading George Friedman: China’s Economic Crisis, Foreign Policy [Ep. 124, Macropiece Theater]

George Friedman observes that China is embarking on a difficult socioeconomic transition. Paradoxically, the transition will cause observers to underrate the country's strength, in much the same manner as they presently overrate the nation. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------George Friedman of Geopolitical Futures. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------China’s Economic Crisis and Its Foreign Policy: https://bit.ly/2X5CFEO----------WHERE----------George Friedman's Writings: https://bit.ly/3gUl7msGeorge Friedman's Twitter: https://twitter.com/George_FriedmanGeopolitical Futures: https://geopoliticalfutures.com/Geopolitical Futures Twitter: https://twitter.com/gpfuturesEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MReason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiHSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 12, 202111 min

Ep 123Reading AnalystDC: The Fed's Standing Repo Facility [Ep. 123, Macropiece Theater]

AnalystDC considers three developments in late-July 2021 that'll affect money markets for years to come: the Fed's Standing Repo Facility, the Group of Thirty recommendations and the Alternative Reference Rates Committte recommendations. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------AnalystDC, the anonymous enjoyer of illiquid credit, bond posting and money markets. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Chartbook #12: https://dcchartbook.substack.com/p/chartbook-12----------WHERE----------DC's Substack: https://dcchartbook.substack.com/DC's Twitter: https://twitter.com/AnalystDCEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 11, 202122 min

Ep 122The Volcker Myth [Ep. 122, Eurodollar University]

PART 01: The US dollar is rising in value against a collection of currencies (except one). It's disconfirming evidence of sustainable economic recovery; it implies strained USD-funding. And there's still that one key, stable currency - unusually stable; suspiciously stable.PART 02: We review palladium, copper and iron ore - all metals and minerals that peaked in value in May (lumber too). Some commodities continue to rise in value, specifically energy. How do we reconcile the deflationary/disinflationary former to the inflationary latter? Also, US auto sales.PART 03: "Despite some eerie echoes, the past is not the best guide to the present," writes The Economist. Jeff Snider agrees, but for entirely different reasons. Stagnation? Yes, definitely. But NOT inflation - despite the clear price increases! Wait, what?---------SPONSOR----------Macropiece Theater with Alistair Cooke (i.e. Emil Kalinowski) reading the latest essays, blog posts, speeches and excerpts from economics, geopolitics and more. Interesting people write interesting things, why not listen and hear what they have to say? You could do worse things with your time (i.e. Bloomberg, CNBC, et cetera). Recent readings include thoughts from George Friedman, Lyn Alden, Daniel Oliver, Michael Pettis, the Bank for International Settlements and yes, even Karl Marx.-----SEE EPISODE 122------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 122----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP. 122 REFERENCES----More Dollar Bull: https://bit.ly/3iGt2UJ(Urjit Patel) Emerging markets face a dollar double whammy: https://on.ft.com/3mr6F6EWhat’s The Real Downside To Some of These Key Commodities?: https://bit.ly/3oVIsZdIs the world economy going back to the 1970s?: https://econ.st/3BmDat5Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins, myth spinner. Podcast intro/outro is "Knight's Templar" by Adriel Fair found at Epidemic Sound.

Oct 11, 20211h 21m

Ep 121Reading Maroon Macro: A Trade Idea, Shorting CNH [Ep. 121]

An increased risk-off sentiment, resulting from the Evergrande drama - among several other factors, has perhaps increased the likelihood, as well as accelerated the timeline, of a CNY devaluation. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Maroon Macro, an anonymous global macro hedge fund analyst who is partial to the University of Chicago and writes about the mechanics of the monetary system, financial plumbing, and economic history. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Issue #21: Trade Idea – Short CNH: https://bit.ly/3op5bMQ----------WHERE----------Maroon's Substack: https://maroonmacro.substack.com/Maroon's Twitter: https://twitter.com/maroon_macroEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 9, 202128 min

Ep 120Reading The Fed Guy: Wealth (Side)Effects [Ep. 120]

An unprecedent increase in household wealth from housing, stocks and cryptocurrencies may have structurally changed the US labor market. The Fed, assuming no structural change, may be running the economy much hotter than they realize. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Joseph Wang spent five years as the senior trader on the open markets desk at the Federal Reserve. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Wealth (Side)Effects: https://bit.ly/3ml5CVS----------WHERE----------Joseph's Blog: https://fedguy.com/Joseph's Twitter: https://twitter.com/FedGuy12Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 8, 202110 min

Ep 119Reading Michael Pettis: What Does an Evergrande Meltdown Mean for China? [Ep. 119]

The impact of Evergrande has caused financial distress to spread faster than Beijing expected, putting pressure on regulators to move quickly to stop the contagion. But they cannot rescue Evergrande’s creditors without also undermining their fight against bad debt. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Michael Pettis, Finance Professor at Peking University and Senior Fellow at Carnegie-Tsinghua Center. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------What Does Evergrande Meltdown Mean for China?: https://bit.ly/2Ya9rVl----------WHERE----------Michael's Blog: https://www.mpettis.com/Michael's Twitter: https://twitter.com/michaelxpettisEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 7, 202127 min

Ep 118Reading Jeff Snider: FOMC 'Let's make it up as we go along!' [Ep. 118, Macropiece Theater]

Jay Powell’s Fed portrays the economy in recovery mode and intends to taper monetary accommodation - yet the US dollar has been rising in value for months. Premature celebration? It reminds Jeff Snider of an episode in 2011 when the FOMC guffawed past the monetary graveyard. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------'Easing' Monetary Policy Is Missing a Key Component: https://bit.ly/2YobrtC----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 6, 202119 min

Ep 117Reading Jeff Snider: 1/3 of US, Canadian Small Businesses Can't Pay Rent [Ep. 117]

Recent polling data from Alignable reveals a difficult small-business environment. Three regional Fed surveys confirm the softness. Is it merely the passing Delta-Covid? Or the labor-shortage? Will demand in 2022 be able to meet the oncoming wave of goods orders? A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Revisiting The Last Overhang-An Economy Dividing By Inventory And Labor: https://bit.ly/3muwQcO ----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 5, 202111 min

Ep 116Reading Jeff Snider: Revisiting 2019's Inventory Overhang [Ep. 116]

Like the bond market and the yield curve, the inventory situation is most often forward-looking. Powell is tapering and ignoring the potential of an inventory overhang, pretty much the same way as a few years ago. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Revisiting The Last Overhang: https://bit.ly/3isH5Nk----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 4, 202114 min

Ep 115Bonds, Treasury Bonds [Ep. 115]

PART 01: US Treasury Bonds have lost a lot of value since August, and especially in the last weeks of September. Is it a taper tantrum? Are foreigners selling lousy Uncle Sam paper? Is it Armageddon (again)? No, this happens—incredibly—'every' August. But why?PART 02: Since 2011, the US Treasury 10-year bond peaks in value during the summer-to-autumn transition. Ignoring the economic context, whether positive or negative, bonds lose value. They lose value whether central banks are hawkish or dovish. Why? We offer five theories.PART 03: Financial collateral is indispensable to the modern monetary system. Unfortunately the most pristine collateral, the US Treasury Bill, is in short supply because of the political debt ceiling drama. So, we identify seven warning indicators for acute collateral shortage.---------SPONSOR----------Macropiece Theater with Alistair Cooke (i.e. Emil Kalinowski) reading the latest essays, blog posts, speeches and excerpts from economics, geopolitics and more. Interesting people write interesting things. Recent readings include thoughts from George Friedman, Lyn Alden, Daniel Oliver, Michael Pettis, the Bank for International Settlements-----SEE EPISODE 115------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 115----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP. 115a REFERENCES---Finally The Taper Tantrum, Or What’s Wrong With August?: https://bit.ly/2XXJoRbMaybe More Autumn Than Strictly August: https://bit.ly/3D01IbtSome Next Steps To Watch For Scarce Collateral: https://bit.ly/3l3xGxH-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins, licensed to killustrate. Bass-y James-Bond-style podcast intro/outro is "The New Black" by Mary Riddle found at Epidemic Sound.

Oct 3, 20211h 16m

Ep 114Reading Michael Pettis: Why the Bezzle Matters to the Economy [Ep. 114]

The bezzle is the temporary gap between the perceived value of assets and long-term economic value. Economies at times systematically create bezzle, unleashing substantial economic consequences that economists have rarely understood or discussed. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Michael Pettis, Finance Professor at Peking University and Senior Fellow at Carnegie-Tsinghua Center. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Why the Bezzle Matters to the Economy: https://bit.ly/3B4T5vO----------WHERE----------Michael's Blog: https://www.mpettis.com/Michael's Twitter: https://twitter.com/michaelxpettisEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 2, 202139 min

Ep 113Reading the BIS: 70 Years of International Banking [Ep. 113]

The Bank for International Settlements summarizes the rise and fall of the offshore eurodollar system. Offshore banking, regulatory arbitrage, financial liberalization and financial innovation created the system, which expanded exponentially--at least until 2007. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Robert McCauley, Patrick McGuire and Philip Wooldridge of the Bank for International Settlements. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Seven decades of international banking: https://bit.ly/2ZxIzzc----------WHERE----------BIS Website: https://www.bis.org/BIS Twitter: https://twitter.com/BIS_orgEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/-----EURODOLLAR 101------@CatherineSchenk: https://bit.ly/3fFLMix@JeffSnider_AIP: https://bit.ly/3ATBzdW@BankOfEngland: https://bit.ly/30Hsx3G@ResearchGate: https://bit.ly/3thkJm9@ysi_commons: https://bit.ly/3pH4V95@MacroVoices: https://bit.ly/3fX9fw4@BundesBank: https://bit.ly/34tKsfc@ICMAgroup: https://bit.ly/2VAPnYb@PMehrling: https://bit.ly/31GRHiF@CSissoko: https://bit.ly/3iFpoas@BIS_org: https://bit.ly/2ZxIzzc---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Oct 1, 202132 min

Ep 112Reading Lyn Alden: Supply Chain Woes [Ep. 112]

Lyn Alden's August newsletter focuses on the ongoing supply chain issues, inflation, and commodities. In many ways, the 2020s decade continues to mirror the 1940s in terms of fiscal policy, monetary policy, and de-globalization. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Supply Chain Woes: https://bit.ly/2XRMCpi----------WHERE----------Lyn's Website: https://www.lynalden.com/Lyn's Twitter: https://twitter.com/LynAldenContactEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Sep 30, 202126 min

Ep 111Reading Jeff Snider: History's Great Monetary Shortages [Ep. 111]

Jeff Snider presents history's great monetary shortages -- the 14th century's Great Bullion Famine, the 20th century's Triffin's Paradox, the 21st century's Eurodollar Famine -- and how human innovation -- ghost money, eurodollar, cryptocurrency -- overcame monetary adversity. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Rebel Capitalist Live Q&A with Jeff: https://youtu.be/KpqaDv2RYdU----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPGeorge's Website: https://www.georgegammon.com/Rebel Capitalist Meetup: https://rebelcapitalistlive.com/Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Sep 29, 20211h 1m

Ep 110Reading Jeff Snider: Liquidity Risk Concerns Given Credit Risk 'Solutions' [Ep. 110]

Jeff Snider reviews the recent Bank of Japan experience with quantitative and qualitative easing. The central bank starts off on the wrong foot, focusing on credit quality issues instead of market participants' liquidity preferences and it goes sideways from there. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Central Bankers Refuse to Learn QE's Obvious Lessons: https://bit.ly/3F0faOi----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Sep 28, 202122 min

Ep 109Reading Jeff Snider: If a Fed Taper Falls in the Woods... [Ep. 109]

The Fed's expected taper is just empty, insignificant theater. The Fed is tapering never once having answered for headwinds, false dawns, and the world’s true wealth repeatedly suffering under stagnation and decline. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Previewing The Taper Theater: https://bit.ly/3CEBQ4N----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Sep 27, 202116 min

Ep 108Ticker Tape(r) Parade? [Ep. 108]

PART 1: Offshore shadow money funds the global economy, but it lies in the shadows; it's off-balance sheet and off-the-regulatory-radar. A good place to get a sense of offshore shadow money is the Treasury International Capital report. Jeff Snider serves as our guide through July's data - and warnings.PART 2: Interest rate swap spreads are negative. These 'underwater' derivatives indicate very high market demand relative to money dealer supply. So, if bank balance sheet capacity remains constrained--available only at a premium--that means there's not enough 'money' in the world economy.PART 3: Will 2022-demand be strong enough to absorb 2021-supply surges? A review of the US inventory cycle and how global covid-related restrictions have convinced retailers, wholesalers and producers to surge goods orders. If demand isn't there, they will have over-ordered.-----SEE EPISODE 108------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 100----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP. 108 REFERENCES---Dollar Warning Update From The Islands Which Started It: https://bit.ly/3ESLFhIPracTICal Remainders and Reminders: https://bit.ly/3kBfpr0Hey Jay, Maybe Check The Swaps Before Committing to Taper: https://bit.ly/3ET9VjM(WSJ) Spread on 30-Year Treasury Swaps Turns Positive: https://on.wsj.com/2XNJLxrAll Eyes On Inventory: https://bit.ly/2Wg6ty8-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins, grand marshal of editorial cartoons. Podcast intro/outro is "Digital Breath" by ELFL from Epidemic Sound.

Sep 26, 20211h 4m

Ep 107Reading Karl Marx: The Paris Manuscripts [Ep. 107]

Karl Marx, the 19th-century German philosopher, economist, historian, sociologist, political theorist, journalist and socialist revolutionary, on the confounding and inverting nature of money and wealth. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Karl Marx. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Economic & Philosophic Manuscripts of 1844: https://bit.ly/2XG9I2c----------WHERE----------(Wikipedia) Economic and Philosophic Manuscripts of 1844: https://bit.ly/3hUSHs4(SparkNote) Economic and Philosophic Manuscripts of 1844: https://bit.ly/3hZPnvVEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Sep 26, 202110 min

Ep 106Reading Myrmikan: Real Rates Go More Negative [Ep. 106]

Financial historian Daniel Oliver's essay on real rates, the profligacy of the Federal Reserve, inflation and the path of nominal gold prices. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Daniel Oliver of Myrmikan Capital. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Real Rates Go More Negative: https://bit.ly/3EG5ada----------WHERE----------Myrmikan: http://myrmikan.com/Daniel Oliver: https://twitter.com/MyrmikanEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Sep 25, 202117 min

Ep 105Reading George Friedman: JFK & the Origin of Forever Wars [Ep. 105]

Historian and geopolitical strategist George Friedman asks, 'Why has the United States, the most powerful state (since the Roman Empire) lost three wars in the past 50 years?' A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.-------HEADS UP-------In October Geopolitical Futures will do a special series on Geopolitics and Economics. George Friedman and special guests as we dig into the socio-economics of international conflict, the relationship between a nation’s economics, military, and political aspects, and technology, innovation, and the geopolitical system.----------WHO----------George Friedman of Geopolitical Futures. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------John F. Kennedy and the Origin of Wars Without End: https://bit.ly/3zvzumK----------WHERE----------George Friedman's Writings: https://bit.ly/3gUl7msGeorge Friedman's Twitter: https://twitter.com/George_FriedmanGeopolitical Futures: https://geopoliticalfutures.com/Geopolitical Futures Twitter: https://twitter.com/gpfuturesEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Sep 24, 202114 min

Ep 104Reading Jeff Snider: PracTICal Remainders and Reminders [Ep. 104]

A review of August's Treasury International Capital data. The chief benefit is, unlike most who don’t know or can’t read the data, which is pretty much everyone, you at least know in which direction to start looking. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------PracTICal Remainders and Reminders: https://bit.ly/3u98BnX----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Sep 23, 202113 min

Ep 103Reading Jeff Snider: Evergrande isn't Lehman but (another) Bear Stearns [Ep. 103]

The mainstream media is asking if China's property developer imminent demise will be the "Lehman" moment. Unlikely. It's more likely this will be yet another Chinese Bear Stearns. The first? Shanghai Chaori Solar. In 2013. This is no new development catching authorities offguard. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------China’s Managed Decline Ain’t Ever To Be Grand(e), It’s (euro)Dollars: https://bit.ly/3AtwqJr----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Sep 22, 202117 min

Ep 102Reading Jeff Snider: The Caribbean's Dollar Warning [Ep. 102]

Central bankers had a choice in the 1970s: follow the offshore money, diving headfirst down the rabbit hole; or, ignore it entirely, pretend none of this exists, and then hope by stroke of luck it won’t matter. We’re still paying for the ignorance and dereliction. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Dollar Warning Update From The Islands Which Started It: https://bit.ly/3zBCezn----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Sep 21, 202116 min

Ep 101Reading Jeff Snider: There's Too Little Money Now [Ep. 101]

It’s becoming too obvious to keep overlooking Keynes' statement when little credit-collateral-money, "is...available our wealth suffers stagnation or decline.” The problem is hardly anyone knows what just why there might be so little. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------They're Ignoring That There's Too Little Money Now: https://bit.ly/3u7So2l----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Sep 20, 202121 min

Ep 100Inflation is not a Price Increase [Ep. 100]

PART 01: Producer prices in the US are elevated, but decelerating. They're elevated because of demand surges, supply shocks and logistics snarls - all TRANSITORY factors. Producer prices ARE NOT elevated because of permanent, pervasive central bank or government inflationary action.PART 02: Consumer prices in the US are elevated, but decelerating. They're elevated because of demand surges, supply shocks and logistics snarls - all TRANSITORY factors. Consumer prices ARE NOT elevated because of permanent, pervasive central bank or government inflationary action.PART 03: Import and export prices are elevated in the US, but decelerating. They're high because of demand surges, supply shocks and logistics snarls - all TRANSITORY factors. Import/export prices ARE NOT elevated because of permanent, pervasive central bank or government inflationary action.-----SEE EPISODE 100------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 100----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP. 100a REFERENCES---The Non-Charitable economics of (Not) Inflation: https://bit.ly/3EpQA9rCPI Comes ‘Home’ To The Other Side of Inverted TIPS: https://bit.ly/3tPG3j5First Transitory In Producers, Then More For Consumers, Now A Negative For Import Prices: https://bit.ly/2YZ0uP1Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by the complex pencil himself, David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "The Kill" by Particle House feat. Le June from Epidemic Sound.

Sep 19, 20211h 8m

Ep 99Labor Shortage: The Fed's Get Out Of Jail Free Card [Ep. 99]

PART 1: 'Maybe the economy isn't in as good a condition as you economists / academics / technocrats think it is,' says the labor force participation rate. 'The economy is in fantastic shape,' says the unemployment rate. Which one is correct?PART 2: Labor shortages are normal, at the microscale, from time to time, in this or that industry. Yet since 2008, establishment economists use "labor shortage" as an excuse to: A) support a misleadingly low unemployment rate and, B) explain away the participation problem.PART 3: In 1971, US Treasury Secretary John Connally told a group of European finance ministers that the US dollar "is our currency, but your problem." Half a century later, the problem has grown bigger encompassing the whole world. A world that is short of dollars.-----SEE EPISODE 99-------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 99-----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP. 99 REFERENCES----Just In Time For Labor Day: It’s Not Payrolls Missing The Mark By Such A Wide Margin: https://bit.ly/3lc1k2jBad-Monetary-Joke Twitter: https://bit.ly/3A3RHZNTurning The LABOR SHORTAGE Up to 11: https://bit.ly/3hifOwwThe Eurodollar’s Nose: https://bit.ly/2X6LApBAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by the top hat of illustrated monetary satire, David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Nite Glo" by Molife from Epidemic Sound.

Sep 13, 20211h 13m

Ep 98Wisdom of the Crowds [Ep. 98]

PART 01: A lousy labor market report for August is being blamed on a "labor shortage". Also, 'lazy Americans' and 'the delta'. But the real problem is that businesses will not pay a market-clearing wage to hire the workers they need. Why not? Because the economy is lousy.PART 02: A long-standing NBC News Survey shows John & Jane Q. Public perceive the economy's condition BETTER than economists who anchor to the unemployment rate. Since 2005, US citizens have sensed each global dollar squeeze. They may be noticing another one, right now.PART 03: Lightning round review of the: Australian dollar, Chinese yuan, gold-silver ratio, Federal Reserve's reverse repo program, European Central Bank's symmetric inflation target and natural gas. Also, the House of Lords questions the Bank of England's use of QE.-----SEE EPISODE 98-------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 98-----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP. 98a REFERENCES----Yes And No Taper To Labor (and inflation): https://bit.ly/38E77YJ----EP. 98b REFERENCES----They’ve Lost That Loving Feeling: https://bit.ly/3zJ6sB3NBC News Survey Study #210188: https://bit.ly/3n5o0Ec----EP. 98c REFERENCES----China, Australia, and The European Way Into Reverse Repo: https://bit.ly/2WYpuFrECB: The new monetary policy strategy: implications for rate forward guidance: https://bit.ly/3h2hlXmFinally, QuEstioning ‘Easy Money’: https://bit.ly/3h2hlXmQuantitative easing: a dangerous addiction?: https://bit.ly/3tmCUa7Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by the pen of the people, David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "UntrainedEye" by _91nova from Epidemic Sound.

Sep 5, 20211h 13m

Ep 97Taper (but no) Tantrum! Why not? [Ep. 97]

Jay Powell announced his central bank is satisfied (enough) with the economy's direction. Thus, the Fed will soon be 'tapering'; lessening the 'monetary stimulus'. What did bond-money markets say? Did they have a tantrum? No, because they don't believe what Jay believes.-----SEE EPISODE 97-------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 97-----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP. 97 TOPICS--------00:10 Intro: Jay Powell announced it anticipates its purchases of US Treasury bonds will slow.00:48 Financial press puts the Federal Reserve upon a pedestal of omnipotence, competence.03:29 A previous Fed "taper", in 2013, resulted in a so-called tantrum. But was it, really?08:13 Knut Wicksell told us 114 years ago that rising interest rates signal a healthy economy.10:34 Markets are not considered reliable leading indicators by technocrats at the Fed.13:24 Leading market indicators include: sovereign bonds, eurodollar futures, the US dollar.14:57 In mid-August it was clear there would be no tantrum if there ever was a taper.18:16 Fed officials demurred to define what maximum employment is last year, but now... 20:11 (Fed officials believe that inflation surges are and will be transitory; so does Jeff).21:01 ...but now, Fed officials believe maximum employment is within sight; achievable.22:34 Maximum employment will be considered only after Fed inflationary targets are achieved.25:42 The US labor force participation rate may not return to pre-pandemic conditions. 29:49 The US unemployment rate has detached itself from the US participation rate.32:31 Mainstream expectations were for rising US Treasury yields after the Fed's taper news.38:30 Bond yields did not rise after the taper announcement -- no tantrum.40:38 US debt ceiling deadlines (2011, 2013, 217) caused/correlated with monetary turbulence.----EP. 97 REFERENCES----Tapering The Truth: https://bit.ly/38oyvcWTaper *Without* Tantrum: https://bit.ly/38sdMVHThe Fed’s True Love: He Tapers Me, He Tapers Me Not: https://bit.ly/3yrOaCTAs Fed Focuses on Taper, It’s About To Get (a lot?) More Interesting In Bills: https://bit.ly/38n2Sk8Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "1AM OMW" by Ballpoint from Epidemic Sound.

Aug 30, 202150 min

Ep 96The dogs bark, but the caravan goes on... [Ep. 96]

PART 01: What did the Federal Reserve think about gold and the Nixon Shock in 1971? According to the transcripts they didn't think much about gold, neither pre- nor post-announcement. The Fed did not see the move as a release from its 'golden fetters' so as to dominate the monetary order.PART 02: The US Treasury Department released their Treasury International Capital, one of the keyholes analysts can look through to get a sense what is happening in the eurodollar system. Jeff Snider explains three items that caught his attention. Three concerns.PART 03: German financiers and American consumers reported HISTORIC DROPS in optimism in August. Meanwhile, in Britain and Japan, consumer confidence remains steady though both nations are reporting they intend to consume less. 'Not great, Bob!'-----SEE EPISODE 96-------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 96-----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr-----EP. 96 REFERENCES----The Two Big Anniversaries of August: The Lost Decade (plus) Of The ‘Fiat’ Half Century: https://bit.ly/3gkpENPA TIC Trio of More Serious Deflation Potential: Asset Rebound, Banks Can’t Borrow T-bills From Foreigners, And The China Cringe Which Goes Along: https://bit.ly/3zjhBs0Germans Got Global: https://bit.ly/3D6sCPWThe Third Of The Transitory Inflation Trifecta And Today’s Surprisingly Consistent Ugly Surprise: https://bit.ly/3mmSoJYAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by lead Bedouin driving the camel train of monetary satire, David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Multidimensional" by Sarah, the Illstrumentalist from Epidemic Sound.

Aug 22, 20211h 16m

Ep 95Omens of Bad Luck [Ep. 95]

PART 01: Inflation is a broad, sustained monetary phenomenon. Price deviations in a narrow set of economic sectors, though they last months, are just that: price deviations. Today's high CPI-readings will in all likelihood subsumed by the global monetary disorder, like in 2008 and 2011.PART 02: A review of July's HUGE increase in consumer prices. We conclude these price surges are due to supply problems, base comparison effects and mostly Uncle Sam stimmy checks. None of which are permanent changes to the situation of monetary malfunction and economic depression.PART 03: In 1998 the Bank of England completed its transformation from "central bank" to "economist club" - the two are not synonymous. The former defines, identifies, measures and maps money-credit-collateral. The latter is a narrative machine.-----SEE EPISODE 95-------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 95-----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr-----EP. 95 REFERENCES----There Is So Much, Too Much, Just Enough the Same: https://bit.ly/37IluusInflation More Than Hints ‘Transitory’: https://bit.ly/3iQc9aDThe Money Is 'Double Missing' Thanks to Economists: https://bit.ly/3yHqKKRAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Dress Code: Black" by oomiee from Epidemic Sound.

Aug 16, 20211h 12m

Ep 94Let them Eat SDRs

PART 01: Fifty years ago the "Nixon Shock" closed the 'Gold Window' on "international speculators" and killed the Bretton Woods gold exchange era. That's what we're told. Actually, Bretton Woods died a decade (or more!) earlier; it's just that we only noticed in 1971.PART 02: The IMF will 'print' $650 billion -- BILLION! -- in SDR-money to help with global liquidity. BIG numbers! BIG Deal! But we've heard this before from the IMF, like in 2009, their last BIGGEST EVER allocation, which was as effective as QE1, QE2, QE3, QE4, QE5, QE6... PART 03: "This might be one of the biggest downward revisions I have ever observed," says Jeff Snider. The benchmark revision to Real Personal Income ERASED billions of dollars in presumed earnings from US workers since 2015, and especially in 2020 to 2021. "Truly stunning."-----SEE EPISODE 94-------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 94-----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP. 94a REFERENCES----No Matter What They Say, the Future Isn't Inflationary: https://bit.ly/3AjfK6NRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7----EP. 94b REFERENCES----Sophistry Dressed (as) Reallocation: https://bit.ly/3rZOhUMAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlin----EP. 94c REFERENCES----Inflation Estimates (PCE) *Totally* Overshadowed By Benchmark Income Revisions, And The (Deflationary) Implications of Them: https://bit.ly/3yB5JkY-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Sweet Distraction" by Ealot from Epidemic Sound.

Aug 8, 20211h 4m

Ep 93Out of the Frying Pan Recession and into...

PART 01: Gold Slams! Rapid, huge sales in early morning hours are warnings about a malfunction deep within the plumbing of global capital flows. They're also multi-week, precipitous price declines. We review the last few months of gold price to triangulate if the pipes are rattling warnings.PART 02: Foreigners were heavily selling US Treasuries in May 2021. Is this a GEOPOLITICAL plot? Is America's BANKRUPTCY imminent?!? Almost certainly not. We review the LONG HISTORY of foreigners selling US Treasuries in acute periods of dollar shortage. May's selling is a monetary warning.PART 03: America's Covids Recession lasted only two months, says the National Bureau of Economic Research. But what if it wasn't a recession? What if 2007-09 wasn't a recession either? What if 2007-21 has been a depression? The Silent Depression.-----SEE EPISODE 93-------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL-----HEAR EPISODE 93-----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP. 93a REFERENCES----Golden Collateral Checking: https://bit.ly/3j7HKmSAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlin----EP. 93b REFERENCES----Yet Another Key Warning Sign, Piece Of Strong Evidence: TIC & The Long Misunderstood History of Selling Treasuries: https://bit.ly/3yezqrVRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7----EP. 93c REFERENCES----The Contraction Is Over, Which Means The Hard Part Only BeginsNBER Business Cycle FAQ: https://bit.ly/2TQqIkM-----------WHO-------------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "MUNEY" by Beiba from Epidemic Sound.

Aug 2, 20211h 29m

Ep 92What FRONTLINE got SO wrong about the Fed

FRONTLINE critiques the Fed for showering big banks, big business and Wall Street with easy money, which reached neither the real economy nor the vast majority of Americans. Yes to the latter, but no-no-no-no to the former.----SEE EPISODE 92-----Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL----HEAR EPISODE 92----Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP. 92 TOPICS--------00:00:10 Frontline: the Fed is pumping billions of dollars into the financial system. 00:01:46 Frontline: the Fed is powerful and misunderstood.00:04:58 Frontline: speculators crashed the system and the Fed rescued it. 00:12:24 Frontline: the Fed came up with the idea of quantitative easing. 00:14:38 Frontline: QE's purpose was to lower interest rates. 00:18:14 Frontline: QE was to increase credit to the economy. 00:20:33 Frontline: QE was a new experiment because Fed officials said it was. 00:23:48 Frontline: QE flooded the economy with easy money. 00:26:40 Frontline: QE powered the stock market.00:33:40 Frontline: QE disconnected stocks from the real economy. 00:35:42 Frontline: QE didn't fix the economy because banks didn't allow it. 00:40:50 Frontline: QE2 was necessary because the Tea Party hobbled Congress. 00:47:10 Frontline: QE caused inequality because money went to banks. 00:59:33 Frontline: Wall St. was so addicted to QE it had a taper tantrum in 2013. 01:03:19 Frontline: QE helped the rich. KASHKARI: We were helping the people. 01:10:17 Frontline: QE gave easy money to corporates who used it to buy back company stock.01:17:51 Frontline: Shadow banks gorged on easy money, increasing system fragility.01:22:31 Frontline: In 2020 the Fed saved the world from a true depression.01:26:01 Frontline: The Fed saved risky parts of the financial system, like junk bonds.01:30:56 Concluding thoughts on the Frontline episode, central banking and the media.----EP. 92 REFERENCES----FRONTLINE The Power of the Fed: https://youtu.be/9RbL8lTsITYThe Power of the Fed (transcript) : https://to.pbs.org/3zC3HBnAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7 ---------WHO-----------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Electro Animal" by Oh the City from Epidemic Sound.

Jul 26, 20211h 36m

Ep 91Glowing Orange: Repo Market Collateral Rumble

Early-morning action in the repo market shows a musical chairs-like collateral scramble; it has the Fed's attention. But the Fed is blasé about it (i.e. 'too much cash'). Yet these collateral scrambles resemble what we saw in March 2020.----SEE EPISODE #91----Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL----HEAR EPISODE #91---Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP #91 TOPICS-------01:53 Montana Senator Daines asked a Jeff-Snider-question to Jerome Powell in testimony. 05:02 Jerome Powell stated the Fed is focusing on the [dead] Federal Funds rate / range. WHY?!06:29 In later testimony Powell changes his mind from "too much cash" to "not little collateral"11:11 The NYFed notices that most repo transactions take place very early in the morning. Why?13:39 Early morning collateral scrambles? The repo market? These took place in March 2020.17:53 The NYFed offers several other reasons for the scramble: fees and liquidity.19:07 The NYFed notes that more trades are taking place pre-market (to preempt the scramble?)20:27 Monday, July 19 UST Bond yields dropped - but that was not a Jeff Snider "collateral day"23:32 Tuesday, July 20 UST Bill yields traced out a fang-like drop in an early morning scramble25:25 Show Conclusion: collateral scrambles are not rainbow/unicorn-reflationary phenomena----EP #91 REFERENCES---Lower Yields And (fewer) Bills: https://bit.ly/3BDZSxiWhy Don't Bonds Reflect CPI Alarm About Inflation?: https://bit.ly/3kMx2oqSorry, One More On Bills: Today A Really Good Example of All The Things We’ve Been Focused On Lately: https://bit.ly/3i20FAoIntraday Timing of General Collateral Repo Markets: https://nyfed.org/2VbxIZvAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7 ---------WHO-----------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Night Driver" by Ballpoint and Cushy from Epidemic Sound.

Jul 25, 202130 min

Ep 90Interview-Professor Samuel Williamson: What is that Thing's Value Today? [Eurodollar University, Ep. 90]

Professor Sam Williamson, economic historian, explains how the value of commodities, projects and income/wealth should be properly measured across time (AND IT IS NOT WITH A CPI INDEX!). Otherwise, like a recent NY Times article, your worth may be off by a factor of 20!!!!--------EP. 90 REFERENCES--------Measuring Worth: https://bit.ly/36TfZZDMeasuring Worth Twitter: https://bit.ly/3BuZotfMeasuring Worth Blog: https://bit.ly/3rqyz4RNY Times Tulsa Article: https://nyti.ms/3eKKDIRNational Geographic Tulsa Article: https://on.natgeo.com/3izkL41---------SEE IT-----------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EPISODE #90 TOPICS----0:00:00 The NYTimes says the 1921 Tulsa Race Riot cost $27M. And Professor Williamson? $534m.0:06:24 Introducing Professor Samuel H. Williamson0:09:21 At what point does using "CPI" to value something in the past stop making sense?0:11:25 George Washington's nephew asked to borrow $1,000 in 1800 - how much is that worth now?0:16:03 Why does the mainstream press continue to use woefully inadequate estimates of worth?0:16:38 How does one select the correct measure of present worth for a historical value?0:20:45 What does Professor Williamson think about the current "transitory" inflation debate?0:29:41 Is the CPI a good, best effort measure of inflation in the United States?0:31:53 Are alternative measures of inflation better than the CPI?0:36:06 Mainstream economic data implies a preciseness that is illusory.0:38:56 The headlines in the media are merely the surface of deeper, complex concepts.0:40:26 A real price value of the Empire State Building doesn't tell us what it is worth today.0:44:26 MeasuringWorth has data for the US, UK, Spain, Australia, gold, silver, stocks, etc.0:47:48 Is their a pension crisis? ---------WHO-----------Samuel H. Williamson, cofounder / president of MeasuringWorth, cofounder of The Cliometric Society, creator of EH.net and Professor of Economics, Emeritus, from Miami University with Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments, and Emil Kalinowski. Podcast intro/outro is "Mama's Woogie Mojo" by Wendy Marcini at Epidemic Sound. Art by David Parkins.

Jul 22, 202158 min

Ep 89Light at the End of the Tunnel

PART 01: Jay Powell has confirmed a surging Fed program (RRP) is partly the result of safe-asset demand. But he plays it off as a monetary technicality, mere arcana. Nope! Safe-asset scarcity is step one along a well-trod path towards a malfunctioning economy. Here's what happens next.PART 02: The People's Bank of China lowers its bank Required Reserve Ratio to get money into a slowing economy. A lowered RRR means that there aren't enough (euro)dollars flowing into China. Why? Because there aren't enough (euro)dollars in the world. A lower RRR is a warning for the whole world.PART 03: El Salvador announced its crypto intentions seemingly out of the blue. But a closer look reveals the nation had run dangerously short of (euro)dollars in early 2021. It went to the IMF for a bailout. Now it heads to the crypto world for one. Just like people did in the 14th-century. Wait, what?!----SEE EPISODE #89----Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL----HEAR EPISODE #89---Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP #89a REFERENCES---Powell Admits RRP and Collateral Scarcity, Still Unaware Of What It Means: https://bit.ly/3hK2dP9To This Day, the World Still Thinks It Was About QE: https://bit.ly/3zbSS8VThe China of Today Seeks Nothing But Its Own Terms: https://bit.ly/3ks2qII----EP #89b REFERENCES---How Do You Spell Escalating? C-H-I-N-A-R-R-R: https://bit.ly/3kzlOmSA Practical History of Financial Markets: https://www.didaskoeducation.org/----EP #89c REFERENCES---Bitcoin, El Salvador, And…The Eurodollar’s Ghost: https://bit.ly/3hIom0bAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7---------WHO-----------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Neon Raceway" by ELFL from Epidemic Sound.

Jul 19, 20211h 12m

Ep 88Götterdämmerung

PART 01: When the US Treasury yield curve inverts it is a warning that recession is on the horizon. What about when the Eurodollar Futures yield curve rolls over on its back? Not good news either. Would you believe that there's a kink in the curve now? Would you believe it's not great news?PART 02: The yields on German sovereign bonds began to tumble in May - now we know why. German Factory Orders and Industrial Production delivered lousy results that month. Germany is an export power so these negatives say a lot about the global customer - that's us.PART 03: A review of US, Chinese and global purchasing manager indices for manufacturing and services shows just a few too many "not great" readings. Not necessarily bad but within the context of HUGE 'money printing' and GIGA deficit blowouts shouldn't the economy be rip-roaring?----SEE EPISODE #88----Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL----HEAR EPISODE #88---Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EP #88 REFERENCES----Eurodollar Curve Quirk Trivia, But Not Trivial To Anti-Inflation: https://bit.ly/2UFv51PBond Reversal In Japan, But Pay Attention To It In Germany: https://bit.ly/2VvCa5JISM’s Nasty Little Surprise Isn’t Actually A Surprise: https://bit.ly/3k2Y1LUAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7---------WHO-----------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "So Casual" by Tigerblood Jewel from Epidemic Sound.

Jul 12, 20211h 11m

Ep 87Reading Jeff Snider on the Fed's Not-Hot Dot-Plot

Non-economist, monetary iconoclast Jeff Snider's commentary on the the 'big news' about the 'hawkish' new Fed forecast implying economic recovery championed by the business press while at the same time an underlying liquidity reading (RRP) glows orange. A warning. And a reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Strolling with You" by John Runefelt at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------The Dots Are On the Move, But So Are the Dot Spoilers: https://bit.ly/360hjJMOvernight Reverse Repurchase Agreements: https://bit.ly/3jDOLxV----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Jul 2, 202122 min

Ep 86Reading Jeff Snider on Central Bankers Having No New Ideas

Non-economist, monetary iconoclast Jeff Snider's commentary on yet another central bank study concluding that there are TANGIBLE problems with quantitative easing and what benefits can be observed are INTANGIBLE. Sweden's Riksbank observes collateral shortages. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Steak Frites" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Because Central Bankers Have No Clue What Else To Do: https://bit.ly/3xXInFxThe Liquidity of the Government Bond Market – What Impact Does Quantitative Easing Have? Evidence from Sweden: https://bit.ly/3w8iWjm----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Jun 30, 202121 min

Ep 85Reading Jeff Snider on Trouble Ahead

Non-economist, monetary iconoclast Jeff Snider's commentary on why inflation is unwelcome directly and welcome indirectly. Also, economic depression and hopelessness have struck the United States many times. A review of contemporary accounts of despair and hope about the future from the 19th and 20th centuries. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski.----------WHO----------Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Nocturnal Jam" by Sarah, the Illstrumentalist at Epidemic Sound.----------WHAT----------Growing Indications There's More Trouble Ahead: https://bit.ly/35XF1Xc----------WHERE----------Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWJeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPEmil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowskiDavid's Art: https://davidparkins.com/---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

Jun 28, 202121 min

Ep 84The Bond Market Foreshadows

PART 01: After the Federal Reserve raised the return on one of its bank programs, a record $756 billion flowed into the central bank’s reverse repo facility. Jerome Powel said, "We're not concerned." He should be. Like the Fed should've been in 2017 when something similar happened. A warning. Again.PART 02: How is it possible 14 years of data shows the Federal Reserve FLAILING ABOUT trying to raise or lower bond yields with MASSIVE purchases of securities via quantitative easing? Because they were 'massive'. The CENTRAL BANK IS NOT CENTRAL to money. The bond market is.PART 03: The multi-year benchmark revisions to Retail Sales and Industrial Production reveal - Surprise! - the economy was much worse than initially reported. But guess who wasn't surprised? The bond market.---------SEE IT-----------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr--------REFERENCES--------The FOMC Accidentally Exposes Itself (Reverse Repo-style): https://bit.ly/3zCfXTe79a Warning: the Fed's Reverse Repo Program Surges!: https://youtu.be/9VqAB07ny4wUpcoming Bill Cliff Refunding Recalls Rerun Reverse Repo: https://bit.ly/3j59E4POvernight RRP Operations as a Monetary Policy Tool: https://bit.ly/2TN1XFrNo Reason To Toss Out Low Rates In The Inflation Debate: The Repo Rat Rate Fallacy: https://bit.ly/3wKjjS860a Quantitative Easing: 20-Year Anniversary!: https://youtu.be/9eTqYTP0VqoYields, Not Dots; Another Example of Why Inflation Had(s) No Chance: https://bit.ly/3cUi8YCMore Than A Benchmark Peeve: https://bit.ly/3vGaWG0---------WHO-----------Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Purist" by Ballpoint at Epidemic Sound.

Jun 23, 20211h 6m

Ep 83Interview: Daniel Want

Daniel Want, the early-21st century Australian philosopher and Chief Investment Officer of Prerequisite Capital, discusses: absence of knowledge at educational institutions, transitory inflation, first principles, disconnected markets, justice as prerequisite and the unified magnitude of the crisis.--------REFERENCES--------Prerequisite Capital: https://bit.ly/3gjMvd7Training Videos: https://bit.ly/3czM4sMDaniel LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/3gt3RmqDaniel Twitter: https://bit.ly/3gsH0r3Daniel Gold Presentation: https://youtu.be/W619cfz25lQ---------SEE IT-----------Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3royEmil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL---------HEAR IT----------Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWNDeezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPEiHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cITuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2ZCastro: https://bit.ly/30DMYzaGoogle: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48MSpotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mYPandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3QgBreaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFOCastbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQPodbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDghStitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GBPlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjVPodchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwNPocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdtSoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfKListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pbAmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2PPodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr----EPISODE #83 TOPICS----0:01:04 Will you receive an education if you attend college / university in the year 2021?0:12:38 The Treasury, Eurodollar and US dollar markets are in agreement: transitory inflation.0:26:16 What condition is the world (excluding the USA) economy in?0:28:52 What condition is China's economy in?0:37:02 Are sovereign bond yields still reliable signals if central banks are buying bonds?0:45:58 Collateral demand signals system deterioration and impediments to private enterprise.0:53:36 Economists pursue an ideal technocracy unaware of limits to understanding / knowledge.0:59:53 Properly functioning markets rest upon a just, reliable legal system.1:08:53 What do the months and quarters ahead suggest about the post-Covids reflation?1:17:28 Has the world ever faced such an all-encompassing crisis as today?1:20:22 Prerequisite Capital Management - portfolio manager, researchers and consultants.---------WHO-----------Daniel Want, Chief Investment Officer and Director at Prerequisite Capital Management, with Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments, and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Earth Awakens" by Jon Björk at Epidemic Sound.

Jun 18, 20211h 25m