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The Recession That Never Came: Is the US Economy Defying Gravity?
Episode 106

The Recession That Never Came: Is the US Economy Defying Gravity?

In this episode, Nik presents a global macro update, breaking down conflicting signals in the US economy. He starts with inflation data, a recession that never seems to come, the surging US dollar’s impact on global markets, and the signal we derive from the shape of the yield curve. He tackles the Fed's balancing act between inflation, unemployment, and market expectations, while exploring if traditional recession indicators still apply. We make sure to include a segment on the bitcoin price and implications from the upcoming US election on financial markets.

The Bitcoin Layer · Nik Bhatia, Matthew Ball

November 4, 202455m 33s

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Show Notes

In this episode, Nik presents a global macro update, breaking down conflicting signals in the US economy. He starts with inflation data, a recession that never seems to come, the surging US dollar’s impact on global markets, and the signal we derive from the shape of the yield curve. He tackles the Fed's balancing act between inflation, unemployment, and market expectations, while exploring if traditional recession indicators still apply. We make sure to include a segment on the bitcoin price and implications from the upcoming US election on financial markets.

 

The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

 

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Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball

 

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Topics

interestfederal reservefinancialus dollareconomymarketsdollarrecessionyield