Ep 131: Thomas Mahnken on Strategic Fallacies (War in Ukraine #3)
Thomas Mahnken, President and CEO of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments and contributor to War in Ukraine: Conflict, Strategy, and the Return of a Fractured World, joins the show to talk about how strategic fallacies have played a role in Ukraine.
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Show Notes
Thomas Mahnken, President and CEO of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments and contributor to War in Ukraine: Conflict, Strategy, and the Return of a Fractured World, joins the show to talk about how strategic fallacies have played a role in Ukraine.
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Times
• 01:33 Introduction
• 02:30 Fallacies of rationality
• 05:36 Is war irrational?
• 10:02 Germany willed WWI to happen
• 15:40 Fallacy of the irrational/hyper-rational adversary
• 22:53 Rational/irrational Hitler
• 28:09 Wrapped around the rational axle
• 30:34 Fallacy of over/underestimating the adversary
• 37:53 Losing the contingency
• 41:08 Fallacies of interaction
• 45:56 Learning but not doing
• 50:53 Building defenses against fallacies
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