
RJ Bell's Dream Preview
2,100 episodes — Page 3 of 42
NFL Fantasy Pod - AFC West Position Battles
Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk AFC West position battles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Friday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. Munaf Manji opens by previewing the weekend MLB slate, noting tightening division races and their current 6-0 best bet streak, aiming to match last year’s 10-0 run. Griffin Warner jokes about his long commute before they dive into Friday’s matchups. They start with the Cubs hosting the Pirates, Braxton Ashcraft versus Colin Rea, Cubs -196, total 9. Griffin cites Pittsburgh’s weak road offense and bullpen reliance, favoring Chicago, possibly the under if the wind is in. Munaf highlights Chicago’s strong record after losses, with Rea solid at home, backing Cubs -1.5 at -105. For Phillies at Nationals, Zach Wheeler faces MacKenzie Gore, PHI -175, total 8. Griffin notes Wheeler’s home run troubles but likes the over; Munaf recalls Gore’s two earlier meetings with Philadelphia and prefers PHI -1.5. In Texas at Toronto, Jacob deGrom meets Chris Bassitt, TOR +101, total 7.5. Griffin declares the Rangers’ season “cooked” and picks Toronto, telling an “inside the pork” joke. Munaf cites Bassitt’s dominant home record and leans Blue Jays and under. Miami at Boston sees Sandy Alcantara against Lucas Giolito, BOS -163, total 9. Griffin doubts Alcantara’s form and leans over; Munaf notes his road over trend and favors BOS team total and full game over. Atlanta at Cleveland has Hurston Waldrep against Joey Cantillo, CLE -120, total 9. Griffin cites ATL injuries and poor road form, liking Cleveland; Munaf notes Atlanta’s 23-38 road record and backs CLE. Seattle at New York Mets features Luis Castillo versus Sean Manaea, NYM -111, total 8.5. Griffin distrusts the Mets’ bullpen, leaning Seattle; Munaf notes Mariners’ road success in Castillo starts but with some caution. Baltimore at Houston matches Brandon Young against Framber Valdez, HOU -243, total 8. Griffin doubts Young’s MLB quality; Munaf cites HOU’s 8-3 home record with Valdez, backing -1.5. Chicago White Sox at Kansas City pits Aaron Civale against Noah Cameron, KC -180, total 9. Griffin dislikes KC as a home favorite but doubts CWS; Munaf sees value on CWS. Yankees at Cardinals has Luis Gil versus Andre Pallante, NYY -126, total 9. Griffin says STL sold key pieces; Munaf sees Gil in form and likes NYY. Arizona at Colorado, Brandon Pfaadt against Tanner Gordon, ARI -180, total 12. Griffin calls Pfaadt unpredictable, leaning over; Munaf notes Coors Field overs profitable, siding with over and slight COL lean. Angels at A’s has Yusei Kikuchi versus Jack Perkins, near-even odds, total 10. Griffin favors whichever is underdog; Munaf leans under due to Kikuchi’s poor road record. Tampa Bay at San Francisco pits Joel Boyle against Landen Roupp, SF -122, total 8. Griffin notes SF’s poor offense and Boyle’s HR issues, liking TB plus money; Munaf favors SF for Roupp’s form. For best bets, Griffin takes Guardians -120 over Braves, citing motivation disparity, while Munaf picks Cubs -1.5 against Pirates based on their strong post-loss performance and Rea’s reliability. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dream Podcast - NFL Preseason Reactions + Best Bets !!
RJ bell, Steve Fezzik and Scott Seidenberg talk NFL Preseason and much more. RJ Bell opens with humor, likening obvious seasonal choices to betting decisions, and transitions into a sales pitch for pregame season picks, stressing that buying early is always best. He notes past success from cappers including A.J. Hoffman at +75 units, Goodfella at +50, Shaker with 20–26, and Steve Fezzik with 10 of 12 winning years, though Fezzik is down this year with 30 pending bets. A podcast coupon TOUCHDOWN75 offers $75 off. Light conversation covers Fezzik “holding down the fort,” movies like Dances with Wolves and Tin Cup, and McKenzie’s trip to Chicago. Shifting to football, Fezzik reports a preseason week one scoring surge: 14 overs, 2 unders, 44.9 points per game, about eight points above totals and eight higher than last year’s week one. Yardage and first down numbers barely rose, suggesting other causes, chiefly a new kickoff rule moving touchbacks to the 35-yard line. Week one saw an 80% return rate, same as last year’s first week, but higher variance from returns creates more scoring opportunities than uniform touchbacks. Another factor is improved field goal prep—kickers now get balls earlier—producing 88.8% accuracy on 63 attempts, including 18 makes from 50+ yards and a 70-yarder, up from 86% last year. RJ and Fezzik argue this, combined with kickoff variance, will cut punts and boost points. Fezzik advises betting overs now before public momentum inflates totals. They analyze betting market evolution, noting early-week line moves remain sharp but late-week ones have softened due to more public money from legalized wagering. Bookmaker practices limiting sharps quickly are discussed alongside anecdotes from Pinnacle’s Henry about reading bettors. Strategic implications emerge for team totals and props tied to strong kickers and returners. RJ prefers season-long overs before adjustment; Fezzik expects kickoff returns to stay near 85% in the regular season. RJ stresses finding betting niches you enjoy. Scott shares success in “longest rush/reception” props using YAC and missed tackle data. Preseason takeaways include that league-wide rule effects matter regardless of personnel, while starter-vs-starter glimpses gain value as preseason progresses. Fezzik’s best bet is Detroit +3.5 vs Miami, citing the Lions’ third game and 8 days rest against Miami’s second game, short week, and back-to-back road travel. RJ outlines how Hall of Fame game participants excel late in week one due to conditioning depth. Scott’s best bet is Eagles -4.5 vs Browns, exploiting Cleveland’s depleted QB depth versus standout Eagles backup Tanner McKee. Scott presents an offensive tackle composite ranking from PFF and pass block win rate to find teams facing weak tackles; 49ers rank second easiest, making Nick Bosa a candidate for Defensive Player of the Year at +1500, sack leader at +1100, or 15+ sacks at +250. Using the same method, the Giants face the third toughest tackle slate, leading RJ to target under on Brian Burns sacks. Discussion notes good defensive lines facing strong tackles make sack production harder. They close with an announcement that Scott will appear less often due to new opportunities but will return during the season, ending with thanks, a Johnny Cash anecdote, and Fezzik quoting Cash lyrics. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
BMW Championship Picks + Danish Golf Championship Outright
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the BMW Championship and best outright ticket for the Danish Golf Championship -Reviewing Memphis featuring sound from Justin Rose, Tommy Fleetwood, Scottie Scheffler -Rickie Fowler sig. event points situation, hearing from Fowler on performance in Memphis -Ryder Cup scenarios featuring sound of Cantlay discussing Ryder Cup hopes and Keegan's dilemma -Discussing top 7 on odds board at Caves -1 matchup, 1 t10 -1 BMW outright (40/1) -Sleeper, 2 FRL, 2 lineups, scoring -Best Bet -Danish Golf Championship outright (35/1) Will Doctor opens with energy, introducing the BMW Championship at Caves Valley as week two of the FedExCup Playoffs and recapping a dramatic Memphis finish where Justin Rose, at 175–1 odds, claimed his 12th PGA Tour title by birdieing four of his last five holes to beat J.J. Spaun. Rose described his win as stoic, marked by determination and calmness, admitting that focus on execution muted his joy in the moment. Tommy Fleetwood, seeking his first PGA Tour win, led after 54 holes but faltered, finishing second; he emphasized gratitude for fan support and the importance of learning from close calls. Scottie Scheffler briefly shared the final-round lead but lost nearly 1.5 strokes putting on Sunday, missing the playoff by one. Key FedExCup changes saw Kitayama, Cauley, Fowler, Vegas, and Poston move into the top 50 while Potgieter, Spieth, Knapp, Clark, and Martin dropped out. Fowler, who finished T6, knew roughly a top 10 was needed and edged Chris Kirk by one shot to advance. Doctor defended Fowler against criticism over sponsor exemptions, blaming reduced field sizes for controversy, and highlighted that Memphis drew 3.6 million viewers, the best since 2018. Doctor’s betting card suffered as Scheffler’s Sunday putting cost multiple wagers. Brad Payne, caddying for Scheffler, noted good putts simply didn’t fall, while Scheffler praised Spaun’s grit. A win came via Jacob Bridgman over Potgieter, but Xander Schauffele, Wyndham Clark, and Harris English underperformed. On the European Tour, a bet on Christopher Broberg failed as Grant Forrest prevailed. Ryder Cup standings for Team USA show locks in Scheffler, Spaun, Schauffele, Henley, DeChambeau, English, and Thomas, with Morikawa, Bradley, McNeely, and Novak on the bubble. Contenders like Young, Cantlay, and Goderup remain in play. Cantlay endorsed Bradley’s inclusion if he were captain. Team Europe’s locks include McIlroy, Rose, Fleetwood, McIntyre, Hatton, Straka, Lowry, Oberg, Hovland, and Fitzpatrick, with Højgaard and Wallace vulnerable; Jon Rahm will take a spot, and others could qualify with strong finishes. Caves Valley’s redesign features rebuilt greens, narrowed fairways, and lengthened holes, now a par 70 over 7,600 yards. Doctor reviewed top contenders: Scheffler’s form remains strong despite a caddie change, McIlroy’s driving accuracy is a concern, Schauffele and Thomas struggle with consistency, Fleetwood and Oberg offer solid form but questionable value, and Cantlay’s price is too short given recent results. This week’s picks include Fowler over Lowry, Sam Burns for a top 10, Matthew Fitzpatrick outright at 40–1, and Denny McCarthy as sleeper top 10. First round leaders are Scheffler and Burns. The DraftKings lineup features Young, Burns, Fitzpatrick, Fowler, McCarthy, and Novak, with Scheffler as best bet for top American. Doctor also tips Sami Välimäki to win the Danish Golf Championship at 35–1, citing improved iron play and consistent driving and putting. For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
CFB Group of 5 Season Win Totals !!
Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk College Football Group of Five betting. 0:05 – 0:31 Opening motivational speech emphasizing speed, defensive swarming, and physical dominance — “Out-block, out-tackle, out-hit, out-hustle” — with a repeated call to “leave no doubt tonight.” 0:31 – 1:19 Griffin Warner Introduces the College Football Podcast episode focusing on Group of Five teams, following a prior episode on the Power Four. Announces a promo code and a college football contest, noting the goal is to identify season-long betting opportunities. Date: Tuesday, 1:45 – 2:33 Griffin Warner Explains that Group of Five games offer strong betting opportunities. Begins with Army (West Point) win total: Over 7.5 at +110, Under 7.5 at -140 on BetOnline. 2:35 – 4:41 Lonte Smith — Army Analysis 2023 Recap: 12–2, AAC champions, led by QB Bryson Daly (dark horse Heisman) and RB Kanye Udo. Losses: Daly to graduation, Udo to Arizona State, two Joe Moore Award-winning offensive tackles, best defensive player to Georgia. Returning Talent: Six of top ten tacklers; LB corps Miller & Thomas praised. Concerns: Offensive drop-off, new OL coach, challenging schedule (Tulane, UTSA, Navy, Air Force). Projection: 7–5 ceiling, 6–6 floor → leans Under 7.5. 4:41 – 6:08 Griffin Warner & Lonte Smith — Schedule Talk Army’s 2024 slate includes K-State, North Texas, Tulane, Air Force, Navy (in Baltimore). Lonte favors Navy among service academies, citing better returning production and depth. 7:16 – 14:52 Western Kentucky (C-USA) Odds: Over 7.5 (-125), Under 7.5 (-105). 2023: 8–6 record. Roster: Only 3 starters return (1 offense, 2 defense). Poor 2023 rush defense (224 YPG). Key Additions: QB Maverick McIver (Abilene Christian, 3,500+ yds, 37 TDs), OC Rick Bowie (former Abilene OC). WR Matt Henry (1,100+ yds at Western Illinois). Concerns: OL continuity, defensive holes, rush defense. Schedule: Winnable home games; road tests at Toledo, Delaware, Missouri State. Projection: ~8.6 wins → leans Over 7.5. 15:43 – 20:22 Bowling Green (MAC) Odds: Over 6.5 (+200), Under 6.5 (-260). 2023: 7–6 (6–2 MAC). Changes: New HC Eddie George; ranked 130th in returning production; offense loses top TE hero Fanning (drafted by Browns). Defense: Loses 13 of top 15 tacklers but adds FCS standouts (including Eddie George’s son). Schedule: Lafayette, Cincinnati, Liberty, Louisville early; Toledo and Buffalo at home. Projection: Depth concerns, brutal early stretch → Under (expects ~4–8). 20:53 – 25:10 Air Force (MWC) Odds: Over/Under 6.5 (-115). 2023: 5–7 after starting 1–7, finished on 4-game win streak. Roster: 9 returning starters (6 offense, 3 defense). QB battle (Johnson favored). OL returns 3 starters plus 2 with experience. Defense: Allowed 23 PPG; DL led by Peyton Zurch. Schedule: Bucknell, Boise, Navy, Wyoming, Army, UNLV, SJSU, UConn. Projection: Manageable slate, strong finish expected → Over 6.5 (7–8 wins). 25:38 – 31:06 Georgia Southern (Sun Belt) Odds: Over 7.5 (+130), Under (-160). 2023: 8–5. Roster: 10 starters return (5 offense, 5 defense). QB J.C. French (2,500+ yds, 17 TDs, 11 INTs, 66% comp). Deep WR corps; strong OL with most combined starts in Sun Belt. Defense: Needs rush D improvement; strong secondary led by Chance Gamble. Schedule: Fresno, USC, Jacksonville State, JMU, Coastal, ODU, Marshall. Projection: Favors in most conference games except JMU → Over 7.5 (floor 8 wins). 31:07 – 38:35 Playoff/Long-shot Discussion No strong playoff contenders from teams covered; JMU strong but blocked by JMU matchup for Georgia Southern. Boise State (2–1 to make playoffs) downgraded without RB Ashton Jeanty. Long-shot pick: South Florida (33–1) if QB Byron Brown stays healthy; avoid betting until after tough Miami/Florida stretch. 38:36 – End Best Bet: Army Under 7.5 wins. Rationale: Loss of QB, RB, two elite tackles, new OL coach, tough schedule, regression from 12–2 2023 season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
NFL Fantasy Podcast - AFC South Positional Battle
Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez talk NFL fantasy AFC South position battles. [Munaf Manji | 0:06–0:40] Introduces focus on AFC South, calling it a tough fantasy division but one he knows well as a Texans fan. [Rod Villagomez | 0:40–1:40] Sees the division as building for the future; C.J. Stroud is the main fantasy draw. Mentions hidden Jacksonville talent and early Colts injury concerns. [Munaf Manji | 1:41–2:28] Podcast aims to find deep fantasy values. Notes Anthony Richardson’s alarming finger injury. [Rod Villagomez | 2:29–4:06] Injury is dislocated pinky; day-to-day. Reviews limited playing history—4 games rookie year, 11 last year—warning about development setbacks. [Munaf Manji | 4:07–5:41] Colts hoped to compete; Daniel Jones played vs. Ravens (10/21, 144 yds, 0 TDs) in 24–16 preseason loss. [Rod Villagomez | 5:42–7:47] Texans RB depth impacted by Joe Mixon foot injury; Nick Chubb signed. Competition: Chubb, Damian Pierce, Woody Marks, Dare Ogunbowale. [Munaf Manji | 7:48–9:09] Chubb was preseason sleeper; Pierce’s workload uncertain. [Rod Villagomez | 9:23–11:16] Pierce’s 2023: 40 carries, 293 yds (7.39 YPC); career mostly ~3–4 YPC. Preseason will decide RB2. [Munaf Manji | 11:17–12:23] ADP: Chubb RB47 (~146 overall); Pierce undrafted. Texans open vs. Vikings. [Rod Villagomez | 12:24–15:22] WR2 battle with Tank Dell likely out all season (knee). Christian Kirk, rookies Jaden Higgins & Jalen Noel in mix. Dalton Schultz could finish top-4 TE. [Munaf Manji | 15:23–16:31] WR2 winner offers late-round fantasy value. [Rod Villagomez | 16:32–18:41] Colts QB battle: Richardson vs. Jones. Says it’s “now or never” for Jones; Richardson’s 2023 was 8 TDs, 12 INTs. [Munaf Manji | 18:42–19:59] Richardson likely starts but Jones worth monitoring on waivers. [Rod Villagomez | 20:00–22:28] Colts WR stats: Pittman (111 targets, 808 yds, 3 TDs), Downs (107 targets, 803 yds, 5 TDs), Pierce (69 targets, 824 yds, 7 TDs, 22.3 YPC). [Munaf Manji | 23:59–25:27] Preseason injuries: Pittman (groin), Pierce (foot blister). Pittman ADP ~116; Downs similar; Pierce mostly undrafted. [Rod Villagomez | 25:28–25:46] Pierce and Downs both viable late picks. [Munaf Manji | 25:47–26:23] Jaguars segment opens with Travis Hunter’s two-way potential. [Rod Villagomez | 26:24–28:14] Hunter could be more impactful on offense with Brian Thomas Jr., Deami Brown, Parker Washington. [Munaf Manji | 28:15–29:33] Jaguars lack true WR1; Hunter could fill that role. [Rod Villagomez | 29:34–31:13] RB stats: Etienne (558 yds, 3.7 YPC, 2 TDs) vs. Bixby (766 yds, 4.6 YPC, 7 TDs). [Munaf Manji | 31:13–32:08] Bixby’s low ADP makes him strong value. [Rod Villagomez | 32:09–32:46] Bixby could overtake Etienne. [Munaf Manji | 32:47–33:54] TE battle: 7 contenders; Brenton Strange (411 yds, 2 TDs) is TE1. [Rod Villagomez | 35:20–37:52] 153 vacated targets could elevate Strange. Cohen’s offense favors TE usage. [Munaf Manji | 37:53–40:00] Strange could finish TE9–TE12; late-round flex candidate. [Rod Villagomez & Munaf Manji | 40:01–45:54] Titans have no major battles. QB Cam Ward locked in; Pollard RB1 (1,000 yds, 4.2 YPC, 57 targets, 238 rec yds). WRs Ridley, Lockett, Jefferson set; TE Chig Okonkwo has upside. [Rod Villagomez | 45:55–end] Closes with preseason game list and fantasy prep reminder. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Friday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Friday. 📉 Fading Mitch Keller: Keller has a 5.75 ERA against Cincinnati in his career and has allowed 3 ER in each start post-All-Star break. 🎯 Brewers as Best Bet: Brandon Woodruff has 37 K and 4 BB in 28.1 IP with a 0.64 WHIP, and the Brewers are undefeated in his 6 starts this season. 🔼 Astros Momentum: Hunter Brown is back in form with 12 IP, 2 ER in last two outings. Yankees' reliance on home runs a liability. 🚀 Mariners Undervalued: Seattle at home with Luis Castillo is priced cheaply against a travel-weary Rays team, with Drew Rasmussen likely limited. 🔥 Guardians Surging: Cleveland swept the Mets and is climbing in the AL Central. Tanner Bibee is a concern, but Aaron Civale is in great form. 🧨 Rangers Underdog Value: Merrill Kelly is a strong underdog play vs. Phillies; Texas is 10-2 at home since the All-Star break. 🔒 Twins Depend on Joe Ryan: Joe Ryan is 7-0, 1.30 ERA in 9 starts vs. KC. Royals pitcher Seth Lugo has 8 BB in last 2 starts. 🧮 Over in Arizona: Rockies’ Gomber and Diamondbacks’ Gallen create a perfect storm for hitting; game total over 9 is attractive. 💰 Fade the Dodgers: Dodgers always overpriced; Jays’ offense is rolling, and Scherzer's recent form is solid. 💥 Nick Pivetta Dominance: At home, Pivetta is 7-0 with a 1.99 ERA in 12 starts, making the Padres a strong play. Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh [2:45–6:23] Griffin leans Reds at -103, citing Chase Burns’ high ceiling and Keller’s 5.75 ERA vs. CIN. Munaf notes the Pirates’ offense is inconsistent and backs the Reds ML. Astros vs Yankees [6:24–10:11] Both skeptical of Cam Schlittler’s polish. Hunter Brown’s rebound form (12 IP, 2 ER) is encouraging. Yankees’ offense is reliant on HRs. Both favor Astros ML. A’s vs Orioles [10:12–14:09] Both skeptical of JT Ginn’s consistency. Orioles’ young core still dangerous. Orioles’ home performance (5–2 post-ASB) leans Munaf to take the home team. Angels vs Tigers [14:10–17:03] Griffin calls -312 for DET “ridiculous.” Skubal’s Cy Young season isn't duplicating; Hendricks has quietly been solid. Both like the under (7.5 or F5 under 4). Marlins vs Braves [17:04–21:23] Cabrera’s 1 ER in each of last 3 starts vs Elder’s 6.54 ERA at home makes MIA appealing. Both back the Marlins ML and expect runs. Guardians vs White Sox [21:24–24:46] Guardians are hot, but Aaron Civale has 3 straight shutouts. Munaf notes CHW are 7–2 SU at home on Fridays. Recommends White Sox 1H ML. Phillies vs Rangers [24:47–28:10] Munaf emphasizes Rangers’ 10–2 home record post-ASB. Kelly a great dog. Both favor under 7.5 and like TEX ML at +116. Mets vs Brewers [28:11–31:15] Woodruff has a 0.64 WHIP and Brewers are 6–0 in his starts. Senga giving up 4 ER in 2 of last 3. Both hammer Brewers ML (Munaf’s Best Bet). Royals vs Twins [31:25–35:14] Joe Ryan’s domination of KC (1.30 ERA in 9 starts) vs. Lugo’s wildness (8 BB in 2 games). Munaf likes Twins ML and F5 under. Rays vs Mariners [46:39–50:15] Mariners -125 is Griffin’s Best Bet. Seattle plays well at home, and Rasmussen’s limited innings vs. a playoff-hunting SEA team makes M’s the play. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dream Podcast - NFL Preseason Preview + Fezzik Betting Boot Camp !
Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik talk all things NFL this week. 🏈 Preseason Player & Team Analysis (00:04 - 10:21) 🔉 Scott Seidenberg (00:04 - 03:40) predicted Matthew Stafford might miss the first two regular-season games due to back issues. He recommended betting under Stafford’s 3,750 passing yards, which later adjusted to 3,600 yards, reinforcing his view as information from Ian Rapoport confirmed an aggravated disc and epidural injections. 📉 Steve Fezzik (03:42) underscored epidurals only mask pain and don't cure the injury, supporting the under bet. He further advocated betting Rams under 10 wins or missing the playoffs. 📊 Line movement insight (04:34): Rams moved from -3 to -2.5 vs. Texans. If Jimmy G starts due to Stafford’s absence, Seidenberg speculated the line might swing to Rams -1.5 or even Texans pick’em, emphasizing Houston's +2 power rating versus Rams' -2, potentially setting Houston -4 on neutral, or -3 in LA. 💡 Week 2 warning (06:22): No change in line Rams -5.5 at Titans, making it a value opportunity if Stafford remains out. Fezzik liked Titans +5.5 due to their "bet-on" team profile. ⚠️ Seidenberg’s fear (07:31): Titans could be the “sharp’s darling disappointment” like last year’s Panthers. Fezzik argued Panthers were victims of defensive injuries, not poor form. 🧠 Survivor Strategy: Parsons’ absence could impact Cowboys @ Eagles. Fezzik emphasized picking Eagles in survivor pools rather than betting -7, since early success reduces entry value risk, quoting: “Your entry, moron, isn’t even worth $1000... and you haven’t won yet.” (14:05) 🔥 Burrow Plays: Bengals starters including Joe Burrow will open vs. Eagles. Play Bengals 1Q -0.5 (-170) as Eagles start Tanner McKee. Total: 37—Fezzik prefers Week 1 unders when totals exceed 37. 🔄 Raiders vs Seahawks: Pete Carroll (28-20 preseason) may care more facing former team. Avoid assuming no motivation. 📊 Quarter and half-line strategies: Favor betting 1st quarters/halves with starter insights. Seidenberg said: “Starters for one or two drives? Bet the first quarter. Avoid the full game.” Fezzik’s critical note: “In the preseason, the number is just wrong... I actually think I want to lay the six.” (19:20) He emphasized blindly betting steam-chased lines at 6–8 AM PST is profitable. Week 2 targets: Bengals vs Commanders (ESPN MNF): Bet Bengals (starters will play more). Eagles vs Browns: Eagles are undervalued as Browns starters won’t play (Flacco gets reps in joint practice). Fezzik dismissed betting Eagles in preseason: “Sirianni is McVay. He doesn’t care.” (21:25) Scott Seidenberg’s 2026 insight: “New Bills Stadium blocks wind. In wind games, totals get steamed down… we’ll bet the over.” Contrast: Northwestern’s temp field = wind risk. Alt win totals: Saints under 5.5 = -110 Saints under 4.5 = +140 Saints under 2.5 = +500 Fezzik: only under 4.5 is fair value: “If you get more than 100 cents selling a win, it's good.” 🧠 Teaser Math Lesson: Two-team teaser at -120 = two -280 moneylines Not all -7 spreads have equal MLs: Eagles -7 = ML -340 Commanders -7 = ML -290 49ers -7 = ML -325 Thus, Eagles are teaser-worthy, others aren’t. Fezzik shared 10 out of 50 bootcamp tips: Poker tip: Join new tables—new players = easier money. Diamond status trick: 10x points at Caesars + 30 mins = free hotel stays. Bonus bets: Use for parlays/long shots, not ATS. Soft markets: Bet golf, tennis, obscure sports. Pitcher importance: In HR Derby, pitcher matters more than hitter. Pace betting: Target live college basketball first-half overs/unders. 3-leg parlays: Better odds than 4-legs; lower juice. Avoid 4-leg parlays: Effective juice = -140, worse value. Betting Round Robins: Mix +EV 3-leggers for long-term win. Medical checkups: Best EV tip—"Get tested." 3-leg teaser (+180) is more +EV than 2-leg at -120. Fezzik warns against 4-leg teasers unless they pay 3:1 or more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
FedEx St. Jude Championship Picks and Predictions
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the action at TPC Southwind. Description: -Discussing top 5 on odds board -Matchup, t10 -1 outright -Sleeper, FRP, 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet 🏆 Cameron Young’s breakthrough: Won Wyndham by six strokes, gaining over 10 strokes putting, his first PGA Tour victory after seven runner-up finishes. 📊 Ryder Cup implications: Young’s win propels him to 15th in USA points; Keegan Bradley, Collin Morikawa, and Maverick McNeely face selection pressure. 🔥 Scotty Scheffler dominance: Coming off his fourth win of the season; projected by Will to win at TPC Southwind. 🎯 Course demands: TPC Southwind requires accurate driving, high-trajectory iron shots, and sharp short games, especially on firm Bermuda greens. ⛳ Harris English sleeper: Ranked 7th in FedEx Cup, with strong past results at Southwind (win in 2013, T4 in 2021). 📉 Betting recap: Previous picks down 4.7 units; highlights include Chris Kirk’s T5 and Ben Griffin’s T11, but misfires on Kevin Kisner and Lucas Glover. 📋 DFS lineups: DraftKings core includes Scheffler, Matsuyama, Bridgman, and Highsmith. 📌 Rory McIlroy controversy: Will criticizes McIlroy for skipping the playoff opener, calling it “pathetic” given FedEx sponsorship stakes. 💡 Key matchups & picks: Jacob Bridgman over Aldridge Potgieter (-175), Xander Schauffele top 10 (+125), Harris English top 10 (+300). 🌡 Conditions & scoring: Memphis heat expected; predicted winning score at -17. (0:15 - 0:28) Will Doctor opens with enthusiasm for the FedEx St. Jude Championship and promises sharp analysis for bettors and fans. (0:38 - 32:16) Will Doctor reviews Cameron Young’s historic Wyndham win, emphasizing his 10+ strokes gained putting and contextualizing it as one of the most dominant putting performances of the season. He highlights its impact on Ryder Cup standings, placing Young 15th and pressuring others like Bradley, Morikawa, and McNeely. Will critiques Colin Morikawa’s inconsistency (fifth caddie this season, limited top finishes) and defends Keegan Bradley’s Ryder Cup spot, pointing to his two wins in 25 starts and 4-3 Ryder Cup record. The discussion shifts to Brian Harman, who sits 12th in Ryder Cup points with strong finishes (T10 at The Open, win in San Antonio) and historical success at Southwind, making him a likely selection barring poor play. Will criticizes Rory McIlroy for skipping the playoff opener, calling it “pathetic” given the $25M prize pool and FedEx’s role as the tour’s biggest sponsor. He provides course analysis for TPC Southwind, noting narrow fairways, water hazards, and firm Bermuda greens that favor high-trajectory iron players and elite short-game specialists. Scotty Scheffler is identified as the primary outright pick (+315), with Will predicting his fifth win of the season due to his exceptional ball striking and recently improved putting. Additional picks: Xander Schauffele top 10 (+125) for his consistency at Southwind and Jacob Bridgman over Aldridge Potgieter (-175) based on Bridgman’s accuracy and putting edge. Harris English emerges as the sleeper top 10 pick (+300), supported by his FedEx ranking (7th), Ryder Cup standing (6th), and history at Southwind (win in 2013, T4 in 2021). DFS lineups are outlined, with Scheffler as captain, alongside Matsuyama, Fitzpatrick, English, and value plays like Chris Kirk and Joe Highsmith. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
CFB Podcast Is Back !! - Futures & More
Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith get you ready for the CFB 2025 season. 🎯 Pittsburgh over 6.5 wins: Pat Narduzzi’s defensive core, featuring Kyle Lewis and Rasheem Biles, plus RB Des Reid’s 1,500+ yards of production, sets the foundation . 📉 Arizona State under 8.5 wins: Losing Cam Scadaboo’s 2,300+ yards and facing a schedule with Mississippi State, Baylor, and Utah makes sustaining success unlikely . 📉 Oregon under 10.5 wins: QB Dante Moore’s inexperience and just one returning O-line starter threaten offensive stability . 📉 South Carolina under 7.5 wins: Despite elite athletes like Sellers and Dillon Stewart, poor O-line play and defensive losses spell regression . 📈 Miami’s playoff value: Carson Beck thrives in a less demanding ACC, backed by strong protection and weapons . 📈 SMU’s high-ceiling schedule: Early matchups vs Baylor and TCU provide resume-building chances despite roadblocks like Clemson . 📈 Louisville as a sleeper: Offensive system continuity and favorable home games against top teams make them a playoff dark horse . 📊 Playoff odds snapshot: LSU (+130), Miami (+175), Ole Miss (+170), and Louisville (3-1) stand out as potential value bets . 🔢 Critical stretches: South Carolina’s brutal LSU-Oklahoma-Alabama-Ole Miss-Texas A&M stretch likely defines their season . 🧠 Coaching & system insights: Dan Lanning’s first season without a veteran QB at Oregon raises big offensive questions, while Kenny Dillingham’s Arizona State faces depth challenges . Pittsburgh’s Path to 7 Wins (0:32–12:00) – Griffin and Lonte outline Pitt’s 7.35 projected wins, highlighting Pat Narduzzi’s defensive focus and RB Des Reid’s Darren Sproles-like dual-threat ability. QB Eli Holstein’s leash may be short with Cole Gonzalez waiting . Arizona State’s Regression (13:23–20:13) – With Cam Scadaboo’s 24-touchdown production gone, Lonte foresees a major offensive dip. Defensive pass rush remains a huge weakness against pass-heavy Big 12 offenses . Oregon’s QB Transition (22:14–28:22) – New starter Dante Moore faces Big Ten defenses with only one O-line starter returning. The Ducks’ WR group also lacks proven playmakers, raising major concerns . South Carolina’s Harsh Reality (29:45–38:53) – Elite athletes like Sellers and Dillon Stewart can’t offset O-line deficiencies (40.1% pressure rate allowed) and defensive attrition from five drafted players . Miami’s Playoff Dark Horse (40:12–43:05) – Carson Beck steps into a loaded Miami offense with top-tier O-line support, benefiting from an ACC schedule lacking Clemson . SMU’s Resume-Building Schedule (43:05–44:52) – Early showdowns with Baylor and TCU could propel SMU into playoff talks despite the challenge of a Clemson road trip . Louisville’s System Advantage (45:58–47:29) – Jeff Brohm’s quarterback-friendly system makes Louisville a reliable value pick, with pivotal home games vs Clemson and Miami . SEC Brutality for South Carolina (35:45–38:53) – A grueling five-game stretch against LSU, Oklahoma, Alabama, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M is likely to derail the Gamecocks’ season . Value in Longshot Playoff Bets (40:12–47:29) – Teams like LSU, Miami, SMU, and Louisville emerge as attractive plus-money playoff bets . Promo & Contest (20:14–49:05) – The episode ends with details on pregame.com’s “Beat Greg Shaker” contest and a 20% promo code for listeners . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets 8525 !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. Best bets as always. ⚾ Logan Webb vs. Mike Burrows: Both pitchers are in solid form; first five under is a strong play. 🔥 Twins vs. Tigers: Griffin calls the Twins a “scorched-earth” team post-deadline; Munaf trusts Chris Paddack to stay sharp. 📉 Nationals offense collapse: Mackenzie Gore struggling, while Luis Severino thrives on the road (3.03 ERA away). 😬 Phillies vs. Orioles: Dean Kramer steady, but Phillies' Taijuan Walker a fade candidate; total over gets consideration. 💪 Garrett Crochet dominance: Red Sox ace holding a 2.23 ERA; Boston 6–0 in his last six starts. 📊 Brewers vs. Braves: Freddy Peralta strong at home (2.13 ERA), but struggles on road; Braves undervalued as dogs. 🛑 Yankees defensive woes: Despite Judge’s return, the fielding issues persist; Rangers bullpen remains elite under Bruce Bochy. 📉 Padres vs. Diamondbacks: Yu Darvish showing flashes of old form (7 IP shutout vs. Mets); Ryan Nelson excellent at home (2.09 ERA). 🚀 Dodgers offense vs. Michaelis: Cards’ weak bullpen and bad defense likely fuel LA’s big bats; Dodgers team total over recommended. 💵 Best Bets: Griffin: Yankees–Rangers under 8.5 Munaf: Red Sox -1.5 vs. Royals. Munaf & Griffin open (0:09–2:30): Discuss the August slate and frustrations with Wilson Contreras’ defense hurting bets. Giants vs. Pirates (2:31–6:25): Analyze Logan Webb and Mike Burrows; prefer first-five under and lean Pirates ML. Twins vs. Tigers (6:26–9:27): Post-deadline Twins gutted; Chris Paddack trending upward. A’s vs. Nationals (9:28–12:13): Severino thriving on the road; fading Mackenzie Gore; value on A’s ML. Orioles vs. Phillies (12:14–15:15): Lean Orioles as dogs; consider total over due to Phillies’ shaky Walker. Royals vs. Red Sox (15:15–17:35): Red Sox surging; Garrett Crochet a Cy Young contender; Munaf likes run line. Guardians vs. Mets (17:35–21:08): Mets inconsistent; Guardians bullpen a concern; lean Mets. Brewers vs. Braves (21:08–25:22): Braves value as home dogs with Joey Wentz vs. road-weary Peralta. Yankees vs. Rangers (25:22–29:29): Judge returns; big under trend at Globe Life; Griffin recommends under. Padres vs. Diamondbacks & Dodgers vs. Cardinals (48:03–54:15): Favor offense in Arizona game (over 9); Dodgers likely dominate Michaelis; back LA team total & run line. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Inside Pitch w/Josh Towers: Post Trade Deadline
Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg recap the MLB trade deadline, talk about the biggest moves and play a game of Bet or Pass on MLB Futures. ⚾ Marlins’ dominance: 30–14 since June 13, top-3 ERA, and elite FIP rankings. 📊 Yankees’ imbalance: 6th-best offense (107 WRC+) but bottom-tier pitching (4.51 ERA since June 1). 🔥 Aaron Judge’s impact: Absence exposed the Yankees’ inability to manufacture wins without his bat. 🔄 Astros’ big move: Carlos Correa returns, filling gaps caused by injuries and providing veteran leadership. 🚀 Padres’ aggressive strategy: Added closer Mason Miller (5–2, 3.86 ERA) and power hitters, aiming to close a 3-game gap with the Dodgers. 💪 Phillies’ bullpen upgrade: Acquired Jhoan Duran and anticipate Jose Alvarado’s return, addressing their back-end pitching needs. 📉 Volpe’s struggles: Defensive miscues at shortstop and mental lapses highlighted as a key weakness for the Yankees. 📈 Red Sox stability: Consistent play and faith in their prospects make them legitimate AL East contenders. 📉 Twins' puzzling sell-off: Despite being competitive last year, Minnesota stripped key pieces, confusing analysts. 💸 Futures betting angles: Red Sox (+400), Padres (+500), and Yankees to miss the playoffs (+475) were discussed as intriguing bets. Miami Marlins’ surge: Since June 13, the Marlins are 30–14 with the best pitching metrics in baseball. Towers praised Jensen Junk (5–2, 3.86 ERA) as a breakout performer. Yankees’ crisis: Seidenberg and Towers dissected New York’s fall, citing a top-6 offense but abysmal pitching and Volpe’s defensive struggles. Aaron Boone’s leniency toward Jazz Chisholm’s poor baserunning drew sharp criticism. Astros’ Correa reunion: Correa’s return is viewed as both a cultural and defensive boost, crucial for maintaining their narrow AL West lead over Seattle. Padres’ playoff push: San Diego added Mason Miller, O’Hearn, and Laureano, positioning themselves as serious NL West contenders despite a 3-game deficit. Phillies’ key acquisition: Jhoan Duran solidifies the bullpen, and Jose Alvarado’s upcoming return could elevate them to NL East dominance. Red Sox consistency: Boston’s measured approach with prospects and refusal to trade core players has fostered confidence and sustained momentum. Twins’ puzzling decisions: Despite remaining competitive last season, Minnesota traded away key players, drawing Towers’ ire. Betting insights: Futures wagers like the Yankees missing playoffs (+475) and Padres winning NL West (+500) offer high-value opportunities. Volpe’s decline: Towers highlighted mental and mechanical issues contributing to Volpe’s defensive errors. Playoff outlook: Seidenberg predicted massive volatility in the standings, with the Yankees potentially falling out of playoff contention within a week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
NFL Fantasy Podcast - AFC North Position Battles
Rod Villagomez and Munaf Manji talk NFL fantasy Football AFC North. Cincinnati Bengals: Noah Fant joins Mike Gusecki in a deep tight-end room, but Gusecki remains the preferred late-round fantasy option due to existing chemistry with Joe Burrow. Cleveland Browns: With Deshaun Watson re-injuring his Achilles and Joe Flacco (40) leading the depth chart, the quarterback situation remains murky. Shadur Sanders shows promise but needs development. Pittsburgh Steelers: Aaron Rodgers targets DK Metcalf heavily, but the dual-tight-end approach with Pat Friermuth and Jonu Smith makes both fantasy-viable. Baltimore Ravens: DeAndre Hopkins joins Zay Flowers, but Flowers remains the WR1. Derrick Henry anchors the backfield, with Justice Hill as a strong PPR stash. Team context: The episode emphasized how team schemes (like Pittsburgh’s two-TE sets and Baltimore’s triple-option look) will influence fantasy outcomes. 🟢 Gusecki vs. Fant: Gusecki leads as the Bengals’ primary TE target, with 665 yards and 2 TDs last season, while Fant produced 500 yards and 1 TD. 🟠 Shadur Sanders’ upside: Reports praise his preseason performance, but the Browns may shelter him behind Flacco early. 🔵 Joe Flacco’s limited fantasy value: At QB36 with a 232 ADP, he’s undrafted in most formats. 🟡 Aaron Rodgers’ tendencies: Historically feeds his WR1 (Metcalf now), with TE-heavy sets likely boosting Friermuth and Jonu Smith. 🟣 Friermuth vs. Smith: Friermuth logged 668 yards & 7 TDs; Jonu Smith had 884 yards & 8 TDs. Both may hit high red-zone usage. 🟤 DeAndre Hopkins’ new role: Likely a secondary target to Zay Flowers, functioning as a veteran decoy and red-zone option. ⚪ Zay Flowers WR1: With 116 targets last season, Flowers remains Lamar Jackson’s top passing option. 🟤 Justice Hill’s value: As a pass-catching RB (403 yards, 4 TDs), Hill provides PPR upside late in drafts. 🔴 Derrick Henry workload: Coming off 325 carries and 16 TDs, Henry remains dominant but could cede snaps to preserve health. 🟢 ADP insights: Players like Hill (178 ADP) and Gusecki (184 ADP) offer late-round value in deeper leagues. Opening Context (0:07 – 2:32): Munaf and Rod discuss preseason overreactions, such as Trey Lance hype, and frame the conversation on AFC North battles, noting most positions are set. Cincinnati Bengals TE Battle (9:22 – 14:58): Gusecki vs. Fant dominates the discussion, with Gusecki’s chemistry with Burrow making him the safer pick despite Fant’s arrival. Cleveland Browns QB Chaos (16:14 – 25:10): Deshaun Watson’s re-injured Achilles opens the door for Flacco, while Shadur Sanders shows promise but needs seasoning. Steelers TE & WR Depth (26:38 – 33:56): Aaron Rodgers’ arrival makes Metcalf a top target, with Friermuth and Jonu Smith projected for significant red-zone work. Baltimore WR Situation (35:32 – 44:23): Hopkins joins as a veteran WR2 while Zay Flowers remains the focal point. Likely’s injury solidifies Mark Andrews’ TE dominance. Justice Hill’s PPR Flex Role (44:36 – 48:21): Hill is highlighted as a sneaky late-round stash with strong pass-catching skills. Derrick Henry Durability (38:00 – 44:00): Discussion on limiting Henry’s workload after 325 carries to preserve him for playoffs. Roster Depth Impact: Depth battles like these affect fantasy margins, particularly in competitive leagues. Fantasy Draft Strategy: Emphasis on targeting late-round sleepers like Gusecki and Hill for roster flexibility. Closing & Next Week (50:01 – 53:19): The hosts preview their next divisional breakdown (AFC South) and tease a listener league. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Friday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. ⚾ Trade deadline reshaping: Twins shed contracts (Carlos Correa back to Houston; Griffin Jax to Rays), Padres strengthened bullpen (Mason Miller, JP Sears, Nestor Cortes), while Braves and Giants shifted toward selling. 📉 Braves’ decline: Bryce Elder struggles (8 ER vs. Rangers, 15 walks in 5 starts), rotation injuries, and Ronald Acuña likely out for season weaken their competitiveness. 🔴 Reds’ rise: Griffin calls them “too cheap,” citing Brady Singer’s recent rebound and Brian Hayes’ impact (HR in debut) as indicators of a competitive Cincinnati side. 🟠 Orioles fallout: Loss of Cedric Mullins, Ryan O’Hearn, Gregory Soto, Félix Bautista leaves their bullpen depleted; Griffin suggests only betting first five innings. 🟡 Brewers’ consistency: Despite a missed sweep, they remain ahead in the NL Central; Jose Quintana (favored at -150) exploits Nationals’ 10–18 record vs. lefties. 🔵 Phillies’ bullpen upgrade: Ranger Suárez shaky at home but backed by reinforced bullpen; Munaf favors first-five innings run line (-0.5, -105). 🟢 Dodgers overvalued: Griffin slams Clayton Kershaw’s pricing and calls Rays ML (+130) a value play with Shane Baz pitching. 🟣 Mets at home dominance: David Peterson is 10-0 at Citi Field, justifying Munaf’s Mets ML pick vs. a struggling Giants lineup. 🟤 Padres bullpen depth: Adding Miller, Sears, Laureano, and Cortez transforms them into a serious playoff contender. 🟩 Mariners vs. Rangers: Logan Gilbert’s 2.79 ERA vs. Texas makes Seattle (-167) an appealing play over Jack Leiter, who battles control issues. Munaf (0:09–1:05) opens with trade deadline reflections, announcing 11 Friday matchups with confirmed pitchers. Griffin (1:07–1:48) humorously likens the deadline to an underwhelming first date but notes its excitement, wearing his Orioles shirt as a nod to Baltimore. Braves vs. Reds (3:08–6:41): Griffin favors Reds ML with Brady Singer, while Munaf details Bryce Elder’s struggles (15 BB in 5 starts) and Cincinnati’s improved offense. Orioles vs. Cubs (6:43–10:08): Griffin highlights Baltimore’s bullpen depletion, suggesting first-five betting only; Munaf praises Trevor Rogers’ 1.49 ERA but doubts their late-inning reliability. Brewers vs. Nationals (10:09–13:30): Quintana vs. Parker; Munaf stresses Brewers’ 21–11 record vs. LHP, though Griffin warns -150 is steep. Phillies vs. Tigers (13:32–17:10): They weigh Ranger Suárez’s home inconsistency vs. Flaherty’s volatility; Munaf backs Phillies F5 RL. Twins vs. Guardians (17:11–23:54): Discussion on Joe Ryan’s strong season (2.82 ERA, 10.2 K/9) and Minnesota’s salary-driven trades, including Carlos Correa to Houston. Yankees vs. Marlins (24:10–29:46): Griffin praises Marlins’ plate discipline strategy, but criticizes Boone’s bullpen use; Munaf notes Yankees scoring uptick without Judge. Dodgers vs. Rays (29:46–34:09): They call Rays ML value with Baz vs. Kershaw, citing Dodgers’ road fatigue and inflated line. Mets vs. Giants (34:10–39:53): Munaf highlights Peterson’s 10-0 Citi Field record; Griffin critiques Giants’ collapse post-trades. Best Bets (52:30–54:50): Griffin picks Reds ML (-132); Munaf takes Mets ML. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
NBA Bonus Pod - Awards, Futures & More !!
Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk nba betting. Top NBA 2025 award predictions with data-driven insights and betting analysis. Victor Wembanyama leads the Defensive Player of the Year race as a generational defensive talent with historic shot-blocking numbers, while Danny Avdija emerges as a prime candidate for Most Improved Player thanks to his expanded role and proven production when given more opportunities. Kevin Durant stands out as a high-value sleeper pick for MVP if the Houston Rockets meet their high win projections, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains a strong favorite to claim the award as the leader of an elite Oklahoma City squad. Jamahl Mosley is highlighted as a top choice for Coach of the Year, with Quinn Snyder also offering value if the Atlanta Hawks exceed expectations. The discussion blends historical award trends, team win projections, and narrative-driven factors to identify the best bets in each category. These insights help bettors and fans understand which players and coaches are positioned to capture NBA hardware in the 2025 season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dream Podcast - Football is back ! Hall of Fame Game & More
Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL HOF game ad much more. 🏈 Hall of Fame Game Betting: Steve Fezzik favors the under if the total inflates above 33 (3:51–4:15). 📈 Preseason Teasers: Fezzik recommends preseason teasers due to high variance and unique scoring distributions (4:32–5:29). 🚀 Trey Lance Spotlight: Lance will play the first half and beyond for the Chargers, giving them an edge (6:49–8:46). 📊 Backup QB Rankings: Marcus Mariota graded 89 PFF, making him the top-rated backup; Tyrod Taylor and Jacoby Brissett follow (12:47–14:20). 📉 Stafford Unders: Seidenberg pushes under 3,750 passing yards for Stafford due to his back injury and possible missed games (16:04–19:10). 🎯 Raiders Betting Edges: Fezzik identifies mispriced spreads, particularly Raiders -3 vs. Browns and Giants (24:19–28:04). 💰 Contest Strategy: Advice on timing entries for Circa Survivor and Westgate SuperContest, emphasizing equity preservation (31:28–37:15). ⚾ MLB Trades: Phillies added closer Jhoan Durán, Mets fortified bullpen with Ryan Helsley, and Mariners acquired Eugenio Suárez (46:34–49:52). 📉 C.J. Stroud Prop: Fezzik and Rivers favor under 3,800 passing yards due to injury risk and potential resting (45:02–45:50). 📈 Win Total Movement: Vikings’ win total has risen significantly during training camp, showing market confidence (45:58–46:34). Start of Preseason (0:05–3:50): Scott Seidenberg announces NFL preseason is here, promoting discounted season-long betting packages and bulk-dollar deals. Hall of Fame Game Strategy (3:51–5:42): Steve Fezzik outlines betting angles: targeting under totals if lines inflate and using teasers due to frequent one-point finishes. Chargers vs. Lions QB Analysis (6:49–8:46): Trey Lance will play extended minutes, giving the Chargers an edge; mobile QBs like Lance can dominate broken plays in preseason. Backup QB Depth (11:57–14:50): Mackenzie Rivers ranks backups by PFF grade and cap hit, spotlighting Marcus Mariota (89 PFF) as the best, followed by Tyrod Taylor and Jacoby Brissett. Stafford Injury & Props (16:04–19:10): Seidenberg argues Stafford may sit early games due to his back injury, supporting unders on his passing yardage (3,750) and possibly touchdowns (23.5). Mispriced Raiders Lines (24:19–28:04): Fezzik exploits weak early lines on Raiders games, betting them -3 vs. Browns and Giants in late-season matchups. Survivor Contest Timing (31:28–37:15): Discussion on Circa Survivor strategy: waiting until after the Thursday opener may create overlays and strategic advantages. SuperContest vs. Circa Millions (40:21–41:15): Westgate’s $1,500 SuperContest is praised for its late deadline and smaller field, offering a potentially better chance to win. MLB Trade Deadline (46:34–49:52): Phillies acquired Jhoan Durán; Mets strengthened bullpen with Ryan Helsley; Mariners added Eugenio Suárez, boosting AL West contention. Vikings Market Surge (45:58–46:34): Minnesota’s win total climbed near 9.5 wins, reflecting rising optimism around J.J. McCarthy’s potential. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Thursday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk all things MLB. ⚾ Mets acquire Ryan Helsley: Strengthens their bullpen, likely for high-leverage innings instead of just the 9th. 🔴 Phillies add Jhoan Duran: Sent top prospect Mick Abel for a strong closer; GM Dombrowski unlikely done dealing. 🐯 Tigers acquire Rafael Montero: Minor bullpen addition; they remain reluctant to trade prospects. 🟥 Reds trade for Aaron Civale: Adds starting depth; concerns over walk rate and fit at Great American Ballpark. 🟦 Cubs get Michael Soroka: Bolsters the rotation for NL Central/wild card race. ⚔️ Braves likely sellers: Injuries decimated rotation; expect them to unload veterans. 🛑 Guardians may trade Steven Kwan & Shane Bieber: A sign of potential rebuild. 🌟 Carlos Correa could return to Astros: Willing to waive no-trade clause; Astros need infield depth. 💰 Thursday best bets: Munaf backs Rays team total over 4.5 runs; Griffin takes Rays ML vs. Yankees. 📊 Marcus Stroman’s struggles at Yankee Stadium: 15–6 to the over since 2023; 5–0 to the over in 2024. [00:00] Munaf Manji opens by highlighting MLB’s active trade window with several bullpen moves already completed. He notes only three Thursday games are on the schedule. [01:45] Griffin Warner celebrates recent podcast betting success (4–0 over two episodes) and emphasizes how impactful the trade deadline is for playoff races. [04:10] Mets trade: Munaf details the Ryan Helsley acquisition, with Edwin Díaz returning to form. Griffin analyzes the need for high-leverage bullpen arms, not just closers. [07:00] Phillies trade: Munaf reports Jhoan Duran to Philadelphia for Mick Abel; Griffin predicts Dombrowski will continue aggressive buying. [11:00] Tigers’ Montero deal: Munaf calls it a minor move; Griffin doubts Detroit’s belief in a deep playoff push despite a solid divisional position. [15:00] Reds’ pitching depth: They add Aaron Civale, but Griffin critiques his high walk rate and worries about his fit in Cincinnati. [20:00] Cubs acquire Soroka: Munaf frames it as a key depth move; Griffin notes high trade costs for top pitchers like Zach Gallen and Merrill Kelly. [31:00] Buyers & sellers: Griffin lists the Braves, Guardians, Twins, and Giants as potential sellers, while Padres, Dodgers, and Red Sox should be buyers. [44:00] Correa rumors: Munaf mentions Carlos Correa could return to Houston to cover for injuries; Jeremy Peña expected back. [55:00] Betting breakdowns: They preview Rays vs. Yankees (backing Rays & team total over 4.5), Braves vs. Reds (support for Cincinnati’s offense vs. Carrasco), and Rangers vs. Mariners (leaning Seattle & under 7.5). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Wyndham Championship Picks + Utah Championship outright
-FedEx Cup scenarios -Discussing top 10 on odds board at Sedgefield -2 matchups -1 t10, 1 t20 -3 outrights (22/1, 70/1, 100/1) -600/1 sleeper outright -Scoring, lineups, best bet -50/1 Utah Championship outright ⛳ FedExCup Bubble Drama: Players like Rickie Fowler, Grillo, Mitchell, Kirk, and Bezuidenhout need strong showings to secure playoff spots (0:37–48:10). 📉 Tour Card Stakes: Docter explains the high stakes for players outside the top 125, risking losing full status unless exempted or successful in Corn Ferry playoffs (0:37–48:10). 📈 Tour Changes Critique: Criticizes PGA Tour’s 2026 plan to cut full cards to top 100, arguing it reduces competitive storylines (0:37–48:10). 🎯 Course Fit: Emphasizes precision over distance at Sedgefield; elite approach play from 50–150 yards and Bermuda putting are key (0:37–48:10). 🔥 3M Open Recap: Kurt Kitayama won with 20 birdies over his final 36 holes; Docter laments missing on Jake Knapp (0:37–48:10). 🎲 Outright Picks: Matthew Fitzpatrick (22-1), Christian Bezuidenhout (70-1), Chris Kirk (100-1), Kevin Kisner (600-1) (0:37–48:10). 📊 Props & Matchups: Lucas Glover over Si Woo Kim (EVEN), Nico Echavarria over Takumi Kanaya (EVEN), Griffin top-20 (+130), Matsuyama top-10 (+350) (0:37–48:10). 🇺🇸 Ryder Cup Impact: Notes Robert MacIntyre, Jordan Spieth, Lucas Glover, and Andrew Novak as having Ryder Cup implications (0:37–48:10). 🏌️ Sleeper Spotlight: Kevin Kisner (600-1), citing improved putting and past Wyndham win in 2021 (0:37–48:10). 📌 Utah Championship Pick: Austin Hitt (50-1), highlighted for strong ball striking and putting form (0:37–48:10). Opening Context (0:15–0:28): Will Docter introduces the episode, setting the tone for an in-depth preview focused on high-stakes golf. FedExCup Cutline Analysis (0:37–48:10): Outlines bubble players like Fowler (61), Grillo (66), Højgaard (71), Mitchell (72), and Bezuidenhout (74), stressing playoff and card retention implications. Tour Policy Critique (0:37–48:10): Slams the PGA Tour’s 2026 plan reducing full cards to 100, warning it will eliminate “David vs. Goliath” finishes. 3M Open Review (0:37–48:10): Highlights Kurt Kitayama’s victory with 20 birdies over his final 36 holes; laments swapping Jake Knapp for Michael Thorbjornsen in betting picks. Course Breakdown (0:37–48:10): Emphasizes that Sedgefield favors precision, approach shots from 50–150 yards, and Bermuda putting over raw driving distance. Top Outright Picks (0:37–48:10): Fitzpatrick (22-1), Bezuidenhout (70-1), Kirk (100-1), Kisner (600-1) are selected for strong course and form fit. Player Matchups (0:37–48:10): Recommends Glover over Si Woo Kim and Echavarria over Kanaya as favorable betting matchups. Prop Bets (0:37–48:10): Picks Griffin top-20 (+130) and Matsuyama top-10 (+350), projecting them as steady performers. Ryder Cup Watch (0:37–48:10): Notes MacIntyre, Spieth, Glover, and Novak have motivation to secure team spots with strong play. Utah Championship (0:37–48:10): Selects Austin Hitt (50-1) for his upward trajectory and skillset suited for the event. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. Opening context (0:10–1:40) – Munaf sets the stage for the week’s MLB action, mentioning the trade deadline and the previous episode’s 2–0 best bets. Griffin notes wearing a Rangers shirt “brought them luck” as they surged post-All-Star break. Emmanuel Clase’s suspension (1:56–4:00) – Munaf explains the betting investigation: 11 of 22 first pitches “non-competitive.” Griffin criticizes the Guardians’ collapse, with bullpen struggles (Hunter Gaddis, Cade Smith), concluding they’re “pretty much finished.” Diamondbacks vs Tigers (6:40–11:41) – Munaf & Griffin break down Casey Mize (10 ER in 7 IP, minus 132 favorite) vs Brandon Pfaadt (road ERA 5.94). Both skeptical of backing either team but lean toward Tigers if Mize rebounds. Guardians vs Rockies (11:42–15:20) – Logan Allen’s poor history vs Rockies (37.80 ERA), Guardians’ instability post-Clase news. Griffin leans toward Rockies run line. Yankees vs Rays (15:20–20:19) – No Aaron Judge weakens NY; Max Fried’s two dominant starts vs Rays (14.2 IP, 0 ER). Both favor the under 8.5 runs or first five innings under 4.5. Dodgers vs Reds (20:20–24:26) – Tyler Glasnow (13 IP, 2 ER, 18 K in last two) vs Nicolò Lodolo (coming off CG shutout). Munaf favors the under 9; Griffin hesitant to back the Dodgers at -149. Cubs vs Brewers (24:27–29:23) – Quinn Priester (9–2, 3.28 ERA) as Brewers’ ace vs Colin Rea. Griffin excited about the Brewers’ home underdog value; Munaf notes their 10 straight wins with Priester starting. Phillies vs White Sox (29:24–31:55) – Jesus Luzardo vs Jonathan Cannon. Munaf expects Phillies to dominate; Griffin cautious but notes White Sox’s poor bullpen. Braves vs Royals (31:55–38:01) – Eric Fedde’s 2–10 road record vs newly extended Seth Lugo. Both puzzled by Royals’ strategy but back Lugo and KC. Marlins vs Cardinals (38:03–45:13) – Sandy Alcantara’s road woes vs Sonny Gray (12–1 at home). Griffin sees Marlins’ value; Munaf expects Cards’ offense to produce. Nationals vs Astros (45:13–52:25) – Jason Alexander vs Michael Soroka. Astros in a slump (five-game losing streak), lacking offensive power without Tucker & Alvarez. Munaf leans Nationals first five innings. Rangers vs Angels (52:25–55:52) – Patrick Corbin (1 ER over last 2 starts) vs Yusei Kikuchi (struggling in July). Griffin and Munaf lean Rangers +107 and team total overs. Pirates vs Giants (55:54–59:51) – Bailey Falter vs Justin Verlander. Griffin plans to fade Verlander; Munaf suggests Pirates’ first five inning money line or team totals. Mariners vs A’s (1:00:02–1:03:41) – Logan Evans vs Luis Severino. A’s 2–10 in Severino home starts (6.68 ERA). Both prefer full game over 10.5. Best bets (1:04:35–1:08:06) – Griffin: Royals -119 vs Braves; Munaf: Brewers -110 vs Cubs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Inside Pitch w/Josh Towers: Ep 17
Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk Aaron Judge's injury impact on the AL MVP market. Plus the latest betting scandal in baseball possibly and trade deadline acquisitions . ⚾ Josh Naylor trade: Towers dismisses its impact, calling Naylor inconsistent and replaceable. 🟦 Ryan McMahon acquisition: Towers praises the Yankees’ move, highlighting McMahon’s swing, contract, and potential growth. 🟢 Royals keep Seth Lugo: Two-year, $46M deal signals they won’t sell at the deadline, maintaining playoff aspirations. 🚨 Guardians gambling probe: Emmanuel Clase suspended with Towers implying MLB has stronger evidence than reported. 💪 Aaron Judge’s injury: Judge placed on IL with a flexor strain; Towers believes he will still win MVP. 📈 MVP betting advice: Judge at even money is deemed a “gift,” while Raleigh’s candidacy criticized due to low batting average. 🔥 Texas Rangers’ push: Rangers are 8–1 post-All-Star break with elite starting pitching and +74 run differential. 🏆 Cy Young race: Paul Skenes dominates with a 0.67 ERA in July, while Sanchez and Boyd emerge as underrated contenders. 📊 Betting insights: Towers highlights Rangers +600 to make ALCS as strong value and critiques market overreactions. 📚 Insider anecdotes: Towers shares past MLB experiences with gambling warnings and clubhouse culture. Early Trade Moves (0:03–3:41): Scott Seidenberg opens with recent trades, including Josh Naylor to the Mariners and Ryan McMahon to the Yankees. Towers criticizes Naylor as inconsistent, while praising McMahon as a high-upside acquisition. Royals’ Decision (3:41–5:42): The Royals extend Seth Lugo for $46M and declare they won’t sell at the deadline. Towers commends this loyalty and their development system. Guardians’ Gambling Scandal (5:43–13:17): They discuss Emmanuel Clase’s suspension. Towers emphasizes MLB must have deeper evidence beyond pitch data anomalies. Aaron Judge’s Injury & MVP Race (13:19–20:20): Judge’s flexor strain impacts the MVP race. Towers predicts Judge will still win if he returns soon, dismissing Cal Raleigh’s low batting average as disqualifying. Roster Strategy & DH Discussion (20:20–23:47): The Yankees IL Judge to free up a roster spot during the trade deadline, with discussion on Stanton’s clogging of the DH role. Division Odds & Rangers’ Surge (23:47–27:51): Seidenberg highlights updated division odds. Towers lauds the Rangers’ rotation (DeGrom, Eovaldi, Gray) as playoff-ready. Playoff Betting Angles (27:51–30:39): They debate wagering on Rangers +600 to make ALCS versus +500 to win their division. Cy Young Race – AL & NL (30:40–35:01): Paul Skenes leads Cy Young odds with a 0.67 ERA in July. Towers argues Matthew Boyd and Christopher Sanchez deserve more recognition. Pitching Performance Metrics (35:01–37:01): They analyze quality start metrics, shutdown innings, and discuss Freddie Peralta as a potential contender. Closing Thoughts & Betting Promos (38:01–39:22): Seidenberg provides promo codes for sports betting packages, closing with the importance of identifying undervalued bets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
NFL Fantasy Football - AFC East Positional Battles
Rod Villagomez and Munaf Manji talk NFL fantasy football AFC east position battles. The AFC East may not boast the flashiest fantasy options, but its positional battles could provide league-winning value for savvy managers. Hosts Munaf Manji and Rod Villagomez dissected the division’s key situations with a focus on deep-league stashes and late-round upside. In Buffalo, James Cook remains the lead back after averaging 4.9 yards per carry and scoring 18 touchdowns, but Munaf and Rod spotlighted Ray Davis, who logged 478 rushing and 189 receiving yards with six total touchdowns, as the preferred backup over Ty Johnson. The Bills’ receiver room also offers intrigue: Khalil Shakir led with 120 targets for 995 yards and four touchdowns, but Keon Coleman, who had 578 yards and four scores as a rookie, was pegged for a breakout as he battles newcomer Joshua Palmer for the WR2 role. For Miami, the tight end room is unsettled after Jonnu Smith’s departure, creating opportunities for Darren Waller, Pharaoh Brown or Julian Hill. At receiver, Munaf pushed Nick Westbrook-Akene, who tallied 497 yards and nine touchdowns on 60 targets, as a touchdown-dependent but intriguing flex option over Malik Washington, who managed 223 yards on 36 targets. In New York, the focus shifted to the WR3 battle between veteran Alan Lazard, who had 530 yards and six touchdowns, and rookie Arian Smith, a dynamic Georgia product with 817 collegiate yards and four touchdowns. Both hosts leaned toward Smith for long-term value while framing Justin Fields’ season as a redemption tour in a relatively low-pressure environment, making him a viable QB2 with upside. In New England, Ramondre Stevenson’s 14 career fumbles, half of which came last season, put him on thin ice, opening the door for rookie Trevion Henderson, a second-round pick from Ohio State, to carve out a meaningful role. Demario Douglas led Patriots receivers with 621 yards, but Munaf identified 6’4” veteran Mac Hollins, who scored five touchdowns last season, as a sneaky red-zone threat and deep sleeper, particularly if Stefon Diggs needs time to recover from his ACL injury. The episode concluded with a shared philosophy: these AFC East names may not headline drafts, but they are exactly the types of players who become early-season waiver-wire priorities. Drafting them late provides a strategic edge, especially in deeper leagues or superflex formats where depth and upside separate contenders from pretenders. As Munaf put it, these are the players “you might as well just pick up and hope for the best.” This breakdown of Buffalo’s backfield, Miami’s receiving depth, the Jets’ WR3 competition, and New England’s RB and WR rooms offers actionable insights for managers looking to squeeze value from one of the NFL’s less-heralded divisions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
UFC Fight Night - Whittaker Vs. De Ridder
SleepyJ and MeanGene talk UFC Fight Night wagers. 🥋 Shara Magomedov’s striking: Highlighted as a spectacular stand-up artist with creative spinning attacks, including a double spinning backfist finish vs. Armin Petrosyan. 👁️ Fighting with one eye: Magomedov is blind in one eye, limiting his ability to fight in U.S. states like Nevada and California. 💥 Barriault’s style: Described as a “grinder,” pushing forward with clinch pressure but lacking creative takedown entries. 📊 Yan’s decision streak: Petr Yan has gone to five straight decisions, even against top competition like Sterling, O'Malley, and Merab. 🧠 Yan’s fight IQ: Gene highlights Yan’s approach as a “builder,” who uses round one for reads before overwhelming opponents later. 📈 Marcus McGee’s step-up: At age 34, McGee’s jump to face Yan is framed as “do or die,” a massive leap in competition. 🛡️ Whittaker as a gatekeeper: Gene calls Whittaker the “gatekeeper” of the division — fighters must beat him to prove they’re elite. 🏆 De Ridder’s streak: Coming off three straight wins against names like Bo Nickal, Kevin Holland, and Gerald Meerschaert, fueling his momentum. 📏 Size advantage: Sleepy J notes De Ridder’s 6'4" frame with a 6-inch reach advantage over Whittaker, framing it as a potential X-factor. 🤔 Different betting angles: Gene favors Whittaker straight or by KO (+200), while Sleepy J leans toward De Ridder at +145, emphasizing contrasting approaches. (0:38–2:07) Podcast Introduction – Sleepy J introduces the fight night edition, explaining they’ll cover the top three fights instead of the full card, and discusses balancing UFC content with football season demands. (2:08–3:56) Poirier’s farewell – Gene reflects on Dustin Poirier’s emotional retirement bout, noting his reluctance to grapple and inability to engage in a final brawl with Holloway. (3:57–6:49) Poirier’s fight breakdown – Sleepy J adds that Poirier looked mentally taxed by UFC tributes and unable to defend Holloway’s sustained combinations. (6:49–10:21) Magomedov vs. Barriault analysis – Gene emphasizes Magomedov’s knockout artistry, recounting his highlight-reel spinning finish, but also mentioning his difficulty versus Michael “Venom” Page. (10:21–15:17) Betting on Shara – Sleepy J backs Shara by KO/TKO (-135), highlighting Barriault’s declining chin and UFC’s matchmaking to elevate Magomedov. (15:18–19:51) Yan vs. McGee breakdown – Gene details Yan’s elite boxing, leg kicks, and grappling, predicting a decision win by weathering McGee’s early pressure. (19:51–22:43) UFC resilience – Sleepy J praises UFC’s flexibility in keeping fighters like Yan in contention post-defeat, contrasting with boxing’s unforgiving structure. (22:44–29:50) Whittaker vs. De Ridder – Gene frames Whittaker as a battle-tested gatekeeper, breaking down De Ridder’s past opponents and doubting his ability to overpower Whitaker. (29:50–34:18) The case for De Ridder – Sleepy J counters with De Ridder’s size advantage, reach, and confidence post-Bo Nickal win, leaning toward an upset at +145. (Closing) – Both hosts recap their picks, plug AJ Hoffman’s betting service, and sign off with plans to expand UFC content with more frequent podcasts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Friday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Friday. The discussion hosted by Manaf Manji with Griffin Warner covers MLB trades, team trajectories, and Friday betting previews. It begins with anticipation for an active trade deadline as the Arizona Diamondbacks officially begin a fire sale after being swept by Houston, trading Josh Naylor to Seattle and reportedly shopping Eugenio Suarez. Griffin notes the Yankees and Cubs as possible suitors while mocking the Yankees’ defensive issues despite Aaron Boone’s optimism. The first breakdown focuses on the Brewers hosting Miami with Freddie Peralta (12–4, 2.85 ERA) against Cal Quantrill. Milwaukee, 22–6 in their last 28, are heavy favorites at -220. Manji highlights Peralta’s home dominance (7–0, 1.53 ERA), backing Brewers -1.5. The Diamondbacks vs Pirates matchup features Ryne Nelson (5.79 road ERA) against Mike Burrows. Warner criticizes Arizona’s bullpen anchored by closer Kevin Ginkel (7.89 ERA) and prefers the Pirates as slight home underdogs. The Phillies visit the Yankees with Taijuan Walker and Will Warren on the mound. Both expect a high-scoring affair in homer-friendly Yankee Stadium, with Manji giving his best bet on over 10 runs. In Baltimore, Kyle Freeland (2–10, 5.19 ERA) faces Dean Kremer, who has a 2.00 ERA at home. Manji leans Rockies +1.5 for value. The Dodgers visit Boston with Emmet Sheehan against Brayan Bello. Warner views the Dodgers as overpriced and takes the Red Sox at +106. Tampa Bay’s Zach Littell faces Cincinnati’s Nick Martinez; Warner favors the Reds as home dogs, while Manji prefers the Rays’ team total over. The Blue Jays visit the reeling Tigers, who are 1–10 in their last 11 and last in MLB in runs, ERA, and WHIP over that stretch. Both back Toronto behind José Berríos against Keider Montero. In Chicago, Shota Imanaga meets Adrian Houser. Manji notes the White Sox are 5–2 straight up at home and leans their run line or first five innings while targeting under 8.5. The Braves take on the Rangers with Joey Wentz against Nathan Eovaldi, and Warner leans Braves moneyline against an expensive favorite, though Manji supports Texas early behind Eovaldi. Cleveland’s Gavin Williams faces Michael Wacha in Kansas City; Warner points out KC has lost five straight Wacha starts due to poor run support, siding with the Guardians. The Nationals visit the Twins, with Mackenzie Gore versus prospect Zebby Matthews. Warner calls Gore overworked and makes Minnesota -131 his best bet, joined by Manji. Seattle’s consistent Brian Wu visits the Angels’ Jose Soriano, who has a 5.65 ERA at home. Manji recommends Seattle’s team total over. The Mets travel to San Francisco, with Clay Holmes set to be piggybacked by relievers against Logan Webb. Warner backs the Giants at -132, while Manji prefers the under 7.5 or first five under. The show closes with best bets: Griffin takes the Twins -131, while Manji selects Phillies-Yankees over 10. They also tease expanded coverage next week with three episodes leading up to the trade deadline. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dream Podcast - NFL Scoring Projections, YPP Power Rankings, Rest & CLV !!
Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL. The guys get you ready for the preseason and much more. 🎯 Offensive Rankings: Buffalo leads projected scoring at 26.9 PPG, Cleveland last at 19.1 PPG. 📊 Schedule Difficulty: Browns, Giants, Eagles, Lions, Chiefs face the toughest opposing offenses, while 49ers, Patriots, Titans, Bills, and Bucs have the softest. 📈 YPP Insights: Chiefs, Steelers, Rams posted negative YPP differentials despite double-digit wins — a sign of potential regression. 🔍 Undervalued Teams: Packers (+1.0 YPP) and Titans (-0.2 YPP) are undervalued versus public perception. 📉 Rest Disadvantage Bets: Since 2021, teams with rest disadvantages are 200-184-6 ATS, outperforming expectations. ⏳ Short Week Thursday Games: Road teams on 3-day rest are just 6-11 ATS (2023) — major fade spots. 💡 Fezzik’s Picks: Packers -1.5 vs. Commanders (Week 2). Steelers -1.5 vs. Seahawks (Week 2). 🏈 College Football Playoff: Likely 3–4 Big Ten teams; Fezzik/Scott debate over/under 3.5. 🔒 College Bet: Ohio State under 10.5 wins (load management and tough schedule). 🏙 Vegas Decline: Cited high resort fees, F1 construction issues, and nationalized sports betting reducing Vegas’ exclusivity. Market-Based Offensive Rankings (0:04–10:25): Scott explains creating offensive power rankings by dividing teams’ projected total points by 17 games. Buffalo (26.9 PPG), Ravens (26.6), Bengals (26.2) top the list, with Cleveland (19.1) at the bottom. Strength of Schedule Analysis (11:19–15:04): Using these offensive power ratings, they rank team schedules. Cleveland, Giants, Eagles, Lions, Chiefs face the toughest, while 49ers, Patriots, Titans, Bills, Bucs face the easiest. Fantasy Implications (12:01–13:50): Fezzik recommends using these rankings for drafting defenses, targeting teams playing the lowest-scoring projected opponents. Fezzik’s YPP Takeaways (25:12–28:08): He notes that Chiefs, Rams, Steelers had negative YPP differentials despite strong records — suggesting overperformance in close games. Regression Forecasting (28:09–30:14): Mackenzie highlights that Kansas City outperformed win-share projections by 2.5 games, historically leading to underperforming the next year. Rest Disadvantage Insights (36:15–42:12): Scott reveals that teams with rest disadvantages are covering spreads, likely due to market over-adjustment. Thursday Short Week Data (43:21–44:13): Road teams playing on 3 days rest on Thursday are 6-11 ATS, reinforcing the fade strategy. Best Bets Shared (45:12–48:46): Fezzik recommends Packers -1.5 vs. Commanders and Steelers -1.5 vs. Seahawks, citing travel and rest factors. College Football Outlook (50:01–56:53): They debate Big Ten playoff representation (over/under 3.5 teams) and Scott gives a best bet: Ohio State under 10.5 wins. Vegas Tourism Decline (1:01:29–1:11:58): The group attributes lower occupancy and visitation rates to construction (F1), rising fees, and expanded sports betting access nationwide. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
3M Open Picks and Predictions
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 3M Open. -Discussing top 8 names on odds board -1 matchup -2 t10's -3 outrights (35/1, 70/1, 100/1) -Sleeper (top 40), 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet ⛳ Scheffler’s dominance: Claimed his 4th major, now 4-for-4 in closing with a 54-hole lead. 📈 Putting breakthrough: Gained +2 strokes on the field, his second-best putting performance ever in a major. 🏆 FedExCup outlook: Scheffler leads the standings with playoffs starting in three weeks at TPC Southwind. 🎯 Rory’s inconsistency: T7 finish, negative driving accuracy for the third straight event despite solid putting. 💪 Bryson’s comeback: From 78 in round 1 to a 10th-place finish, crushing Scheffler fade bets. 📉 Failed futures: Kim (89th FedEx rank), Theegala (140th), Thompson (72nd) all disappointing in majors. 📊 Henley & Fitzpatrick: Delivered top-10 placements, boosting the week’s betting card. 🛠 TPC Twin Cities profile: Wide, water-laden course requiring long-iron precision and hot putting. 🔥 Betting favorites: Will passes on Sam Burns (18-1), Maverick McNeely (20-1), Wyndham Clark (25-1) due to value concerns. 🔮 Predicted winning score: -19 under soft, rain-aided conditions. Scheffler’s win (0:35–4:20): Scottie Scheffler triumphed at Royal Portrush with back-to-back positive putting rounds on Thursday and Friday, capped by a final round 68 watched by 4 million viewers. Career implications (4:20–6:10): At 29 years old, Scheffler now sits tied 22nd in all-time majors (4 total), aiming for a career Grand Slam with only the U.S. Open missing. Conditions & performance context (6:10–8:05): Favorable weather with minimal wind/rain made Portrush play softer, aiding low scoring. Bryson DeChambeau’s strong final three rounds highlighted how score-friendly conditions were. Rory & MacIntyre analysis (8:05–10:40): Rory missed a “sub-65” round, while Robert MacIntyre had a statistically positive week except for 3rd-round irons, both finishing T7 (-10). Justin Thomas struggles (10:40–12:20): Despite excellent iron play & short game, JT lost a full stroke off the tee, continuing his season-long accuracy woes, finishing T34 (-3). Bryson fade failure (13:20–15:50): After a 78 in round one, DeChambeau rebounded with 65-68-64, finishing T10, spoiling fade bets. Betting recap (16:00–20:40): Russell Henley cashed a +350 top-10, Matthew Fitzpatrick delivered +333 top-10, while sleeper Christopher Reeding missed top-20 by 2 shots. Futures review (21:00–25:00): Futures on Tom Kim, Sahith Theegala, and Davis Thompson were failures, collectively costing 3 units. 3M Open preview (26:00–35:40): Course needs long iron ball-strikers (e.g., Finau, Champ), with Will predicting -19 as the winning score under wet but playable conditions. Best bets & lineups (35:40–41:18): Key wagers include Tony Finau & Cam Champ for top-10s, with outright bets on Michael Thorbjornsen (35-1), Andrew Putnam (70-1), and Austin Eckroat (100-1). For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB betting for Tuesday. ⚾ Umpiring Chaos: Griffin and Munaf detail egregious officiating, including Juan Soto’s walk on miscalled pitches and Felix Bautista’s bad call with bases loaded. 📉 Casey Mize's Decline: Mize allowed 6 ER in 3 IP vs. Mariners pre-ASG and has a 4.93 bullpen ERA since June—down from 3.31. 🏠 Mitch Keller Home Split: Despite a 3.48 ERA over 16 starts, he's just 3–10 due to lack of run support at home. 🔥 Brandon Young Struggles: Orioles have lost 5 straight starts by Young, who holds a 7.52 ERA and 7 ER allowed in his last start. 🔄 Chase Burns Inconsistency: Impressive vs. Yankees (5 Ks), but bombed at Fenway (5 ER in ⅓ IP); rebounded with 10.2 IP, 3 ER in July. 📊 Christopher Sanchez Surge: 55.1 IP in June-July, only 10 ER; hasn’t allowed more than 1 ER in any July start. 💥 Brewers' Rise: Milwaukee tied NL Central lead, won 10 straight. Mizorowski: 4–1, 0.90 ERA, 11.6 K/9, dominated Dodgers with 12 Ks. 🏗️ Astros Betting Edge: Despite injuries, Framber Valdez remains consistent. Eduardo Rodriguez 1–7 lifetime vs. HOU, 7.51 ERA. 🚑 Dodgers Injury Watch: Max Muncy out, Yamamoto’s form fluctuates—bounced back with 7 IP shutout vs. Giants after early Brewers exit. 🎯 Twins/Dodgers Over or RL Look: Simeon Woods Richardson may keep it close; Dodgers miss final AB as home team—potential run line value. Umpire Performance (0:49–3:47): Griffin slams ump Ron Culpa for miscalls, notably in Juan Soto’s walk and Orioles’ loss. They advocate for tech-enhanced strike zones used in spring training. Tigers vs. Pirates Preview (4:52–8:55): Mize under scrutiny post-6 ER outing; Keller decent stats but lacks offensive support. Tigers bullpen ERA worsened (3.31 to 4.93) since June. Guardians vs. Orioles (8:56–12:26): Brandon Young's poor road starts (7.52 ERA, 7 BBs) continue; Guardians’ Cantillo returns from minors aiming to stretch out starts. Nationals vs. Reds (12:26–16:11): Nationals fading post-GM firing. Chase Burns shows improvement after rocky debut; Reds offense surging. Red Sox vs. Phillies (16:12–20:19): Sanchez has allowed 10 ER over 55.1 IP since June. Phillies signed David Robertson, exposing bullpen fragility despite strong starting pitching. Yankees vs. Blue Jays (20:19–24:28): Jays swept Yanks earlier in Toronto. Scherzer beat them on June 30 (5 IP, 2 ER, 7 Ks). Jays offense peaking at critical time. Angels vs. Mets (24:30–28:18): Montas (5.03 ERA) unreliable; Hendricks “crafty” but volatile. Mets bullpen struggling; run line on Angels offers better value than ML. Giants vs. Braves (30:35–34:21): Davis Daniel's limited MLB action questioned; Braves are rare home dogs due to lackluster offense. Griffin leans over 9.5 total. Cardinals vs. Rockies (34:48–39:01): Blaylock’s Coors Field ERA inflated by 12 ER game. Rockies viable for team total overs. Fetty has lost 4 straight starts. Astros vs. Diamondbacks (39:02–44:05): Framber remains reliable; D-Backs’ bullpen in disarray with multiple closers injured. Rodriguez struggles vs. HOU—Astros best bet as short favorite. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Inside Pitch w/Josh Towers: Ep 16
Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg take a look at teams that are buyers or sellers and players that could be dealt as we inch closer to the trade deadline. Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers began the podcast by highlighting the proximity of the MLB trade deadline on July 31st and exploring player perspectives on potential trades (0:02-0:54). Josh Towers shared insights about clubhouse attitudes, noting that players on borderline teams usually do not focus too heavily on rumors unless they perceive their team as a genuine contender (0:54-2:22). Scott specifically referenced Zach Allen's scenario, discussing extra motivation players might feel to perform exceptionally well, either as a farewell to their home fans or to appeal to potential acquiring teams. Towers concurred, emphasizing how recent performances heavily influence trade interest (2:23-4:26). For players on losing teams, Towers explained they often refrain from openly expressing dissatisfaction but admitted they privately may urge agents to facilitate a trade, highlighting their focus remains primarily on what they can control—their performance (4:27-5:58). They then discussed prominent potential free agents, notably Kyle Tucker, Pete Alonzo, Ranger Suarez, and Framber Valdez. Towers indicated that Tucker could command a significant contract, speculating around $500 million due to the limited number of big names available (6:05-9:16). Scott and Josh shifted their focus to the Philadelphia Phillies, anticipating aggressive trade deadline actions given the impending free agency of key players like Kyle Schwarber and JT Realmuto, stressing the Phillies' urgency for success (9:17-10:30). They conducted a detailed breakdown of specific potential trade candidates: Eugenio Suarez from the Diamondbacks was deemed a definite trade candidate due to market scarcity (10:31-10:40). Sandy Alcantara, despite a 7.14 ERA, was viewed positively due to his talent and health (10:55-11:24). Mitch Keller from the Pirates and Zach Allen and Merrill Kelly from the Diamondbacks were discussed as attractive pitching targets, with Towers uncertain on Kelly's market value given his declining velocity (11:35-12:54). Nolan Arenado was considered a possible high-value trade piece, especially if packaged with Ryan Helsley, making him attractive to teams like the Yankees (12:54-13:53). Reid Detmers was identified as a valuable asset despite recent struggles, with Towers emphasizing his potential if developed properly (13:54-14:34). They then analyzed various teams: The Milwaukee Brewers' recent success raised questions about their legitimacy, given historical postseason struggles (17:06-18:25). The Toronto Blue Jays, despite inconsistency, were cautiously viewed as potential contenders (19:46-21:33). The Seattle Mariners were described as too streaky and lacking offensive consistency (22:27-23:10). The Texas Rangers were recognized for strong pitching but considered lacking sufficient offensive consistency (24:19-24:45). Tampa Bay Rays were praised for their unpredictable yet effective roster-building approach (24:46-25:33). In the National League: The San Diego Padres' potential was acknowledged, but Towers indicated internal cohesion issues possibly hampering performance (25:59-27:59). The Giants were dismissed as inconsistent and thus not genuine contenders (28:03-28:40). The Cincinnati Reds were enthusiastically discussed as a young team with potential but needing additional key offensive pieces to become legitimate contenders (29:21-33:27). Finally, they briefly touched on the Angels, suggesting that adding two pitchers could significantly enhance their playoff chances, despite current struggles and a negative run differential (34:29-35:47). Scott concluded by emphasizing the approaching trade deadline's impact on MLB futures markets, hinting at further discussions to come (37:47-39:51). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
NFL Fantasy Football Podcast Preview !!
Munaf and Rod get you ready for NFL Fantasy season that is right around the corner. 📌 Late-round focus: Target players with upside in Rounds 12–15, especially in deeper leagues. 📌 Christian Kirk (ADP 144): Poised to benefit from Nico Collins coverage in Houston's high-powered offense. 📌 Trevor Lawrence (ADP 124): Under Liam Cohen’s coordination, Lawrence is set for a rebound season. 📌 Hollywood Brown (ADP 146): With Kansas City's shaky WR room, he could fill in crucial volume behind Kelce. 📌 Jake Ferguson (ADP 135): Expected to remain Dak Prescott’s key short-yardage and red zone target. 📌 Kyle Pitts (ADP 149): May finally break out with QB stability, 602 yards and 4 TDs in 2023 is encouraging. 📌 Nick Chubb (ADP 162): Could see red zone and short-yardage work in Houston alongside Joe Mixon. 📌 Rico Dowdle (ADP 155): Carolina’s committee could mirror Philly’s dual RB success, offering strong value. 📌 Justice Hill (ADP 178): Baltimore pass-catching back with 383 receiving yards and red-zone appeal. 📌 Adam Thielen (ADP 167): Despite age, led Panthers with 615 yards and 5 TDs in 10 games last season. 📌 Daniel Jones (ADP 194): Insurance for injury-prone Anthony Richardson; dual-threat upside. Podcast Launch Context: Munaf and Rod reunite, outlining weekly podcast structure, recording after injury reports for relevance. Rod will lead content direction and fantasy angles . Player Evaluation Philosophy: Rather than covering elite players, they dive into RB2, WR3, and flex spot dilemmas that are often league-deciding . Christian Kirk (WR, Texans): Cited as a value add due to 2022’s 8 TD, 1000-yard season and opportunity created by Tank Dell’s injury. Munaf projects 900+ yards and 6+ TD potential . Trevor Lawrence (QB, Jaguars): Highlighted for late-round upside under new OC Liam Cohen. Previous two 4000+ yard seasons and expected offensive jump cited . Hollywood Brown (WR, Chiefs): High ceiling WR in KC’s uncertain pass-catching hierarchy. Previous 1000-yard season and potential rise amid possible Rashee Rice suspension noted . Jake Ferguson (TE, Cowboys): With 86 targets and 5 TDs last year, he's expected to repeat as Dak’s secondary outlet behind Lamb . Kyle Pitts (TE, Falcons): Once a top-tier pick, his 602 yards/4 TDs in 2023 hint at resurgence with Michael Penix or Kirk Cousins leading the offense . Nick Chubb (RB, Texans): Post-injury bounce-back candidate, formerly a 5.1 YPC career rusher. Expected to compete with Mixon, especially for goal-line usage . Rico Dowdle (RB, Panthers): After 1,079 yards in Dallas, he's a strong flex stash candidate alongside Chuba Hubbard in Carolina's run-heavy setup . Justice Hill (RB, Ravens): 383 receiving yards and 3 TDs makes him a strong PPR bench option behind Derrick Henry . Adam Thielen (WR, Panthers): 615 yards/5 TDs in 10 games; Rod believes another 1000-yard season is likely with Bryce Young growth . Daniel Jones (QB, Colts): A speculative stash in case of another Anthony Richardson injury. Adds rushing upside and comeback potential . Chigoziem Okonkwo (TE, Titans): Fourth in team targets last year; potential security blanket for new QB Cam Ward . Devin Neal (RB, Saints): Rookie stash in a murky RB room with Kamara possibly moved; ADP 210 offers low-risk flier appeal . Wan’Dale Robinson (WR, Giants): 140 targets in 2023 with just 699 yards; Rod anticipates a production spike with Russell Wilson . Raheem Mostert (RB, Raiders): Chip Kelly offense + rookie RB Ashton Jeanty = opportunity for veteran change-of-pace and red-zone role . Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
UFC 318 Holloway Vs. Poirier
SleepyJ and MeanGene break down UFC 318 full main card. 🥋 Poirier's Retirement Impact: Analysts felt emotional but hopeful about Dustin Poirier's retirement, noting his prime condition and consistent top-tier performances. 📊 Zaluber vs Johnson Breakdown: Daniel Zaluber was favored due to his grit, submission potential, and Johnson's 9 career submission losses. 💣 Johnson's Downslide: Michael Johnson's pattern of making tactical mistakes and gassing out was highlighted as a major risk. 🥇 Pitbull Over Ige: Dan Ige’s losses to elite fighters and lack of high-caliber wins made analysts favor Patricio Pitbull. 🎯 Holland at 170: Kevin Holland was seen as significantly stronger and more focused at 170 lbs compared to 185, boosting his chances vs Rodriguez. 🥋 Rodriguez's Durability: While tough, Daniel Rodriguez was expected to get out-struck and possibly submitted by the longer, faster Holland. ⚠️ Costa’s Decline: Paulo Costa’s lack of significant wins since 2019 and reduced activity undermined confidence in him. 💥 Kopylov's Rise: Roman Kopylov’s clean striking and improved gas tank made him a confident pick to beat Costa. 👑 Poirier’s Legacy: Poirier's career, including fights against Aldo, Conor McGregor, and Makachev, was praised as elite and enduring. 🧠 Holloway’s Knockout Risk: Max Holloway’s recent KO loss and weight fluctuations cast doubt on his mental readiness. Opening Commentary (0:00 - 0:26) Mean Gene and SSleepy J opened with light-hearted banter before introducing UFC 318, emphasizing its significance due to Poirier’s final fight. Event Context (0:31 - 2:06) SSleepy J detailed the location, significance of the matchup, and described the card as decent but driven largely by the Holloway-Poirier narrative. Poirier’s Legacy & Form (2:07 - 3:54) Mean Gene highlighted Poirier’s exceptional career and asserted he is still a top lightweight, possibly top 3-4, despite retiring. He cited his debut win and fights with McGregor and Holloway. Poirier's Impact (3:54 - 6:50) SSleepy J reflected on Poirier's rise during his own UFC fandom and lauded Poirier’s ability to go five rounds with Islam Makhachev, asserting Poirier is still elite. Zaluber vs Johnson Analysis (6:50 - 9:56) Both analysts backed Zaluber. SSleepy J suggested Zaluber by submission at +470, citing Johnson's nine submission losses. Mean Gene agreed, adding Johnson’s fight IQ issues and Zaluber’s toughness. Dan Ige vs Patricio Pitbull (9:56 - 17:11) Both analysts questioned Ige’s resume, noting his inability to beat top talent. Pitbull was seen as a value underdog with better grappling and more poise since debuting against Yair Rodriguez. Holland vs Rodriguez Breakdown (17:12 - 25:28) SSleepy J expected a cautious bout to go the distance at +165. Mean Gene disagreed, predicting Holland wins inside the distance (−150), citing Holland’s size, reach, and dominance at 170 lbs. Parlay Strategy (25:28 - 29:25) SSleepy J shared a betting parlay: Kopylov and Islam Dulatov. He doubted Costa’s skill and motivation, calling him more aesthetic than effective in recent years. Costa vs Kopylov (29:26 - 33:56) Both analysts saw Kopylov as a clear favorite due to Costa’s inactivity and low volume. Kopylov’s jab, improved cardio, and technical precision were praised. Main Event: Holloway vs Poirier (33:57 - 50:52) Unanimous agreement on Poirier: He’s more well-rounded, has home advantage, and a legacy to cap. Concerns were raised about Holloway’s mental readiness, KO loss, and inconsistency across weight classes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
NBA Bonus Pod - Season Win Total Preview
Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things NBA. 📉 Utah Jazz Over 18.5: Historically, teams with sub-19 win totals go over (7–0); Mack projects 24.5 wins. 🧓 Phoenix Suns Under 31.5: Losses of Beal and Durant, and a negative age curve led Mack to project 27 wins. 🧠 Toronto Raptors Over 35.5: Brandon Ingram's addition and an underrated core led Mack to declare this his best bet. 🔥 San Antonio Spurs Over 42.5: With Fox and Wemby together, Mack sees a 4-point net rating boost—his boldest pick. 🏀 Milwaukee Bucks Under 44.5: Aging roster and lack of support for Giannis pushed Mack to declare it his best under bet. 🧨 Cleveland Cavaliers Over 55.5: Top-three age-aligned stars and high net rating make them Mack’s favorite high-end over. 🎯 Houston Rockets Over 55.5: Kevin Durant’s addition boosts win projection to nearly 58; strong depth and motivation. ⚠️ Boston Celtics Under 44.5: Loss of Tatum, net rating decline, and lack of a center project only 38.6 wins. 💤 Oklahoma City Thunder Under 62.5: Only four teams ever had higher totals; eight of eleven 60+ win teams went under. 📈 Chicago Bulls Over 32.5: Despite losing names, young pieces like Giddey and White elevate their projection to 37.5. Utah Jazz (18.5 wins): Mack calls this total historically low, noting all previous teams with sub-19 win totals went over. He projects a minimum of 24.5 wins despite Utah's trades of Clarkson and Sexton. Washington Wizards (20.5 wins): Munaf likes the mix of veterans (McCollum, Middleton, Smart) and young players (Cam Whitmore, Clayton Jr.). He predicts 23–25 wins. Brooklyn Nets (21.5 wins): Despite a lean roster, Mack expects their East competition to be weak enough to go over. Projected net rating yields 27 wins. Charlotte Hornets (25.5 wins): Mack sees strong age-curve improvement from Ball, Miller, and Bridges. LaMelo's health remains the biggest question. Phoenix Suns (31.5 wins): Loss of Durant and Beal and age-related decline lead Mack to project 27 wins and call this his best “anti-fun” under. New Orleans Pelicans (32.5 wins): Munaf bets under due to Zion's fragility and lack of depth. Mack slightly disagrees, projecting 34 wins and a lean over. Chicago Bulls (32.5 wins): Despite shedding DeRozan and LaVine, Mack sees internal growth and new talent (Giddey, Bouzelis) pushing them near 37.5 wins. San Antonio Spurs (42.5 wins): Mack projects a 4-point value gain from Fox-Wemby synergy. Predicts 47 wins; names this among his top overs. Toronto Raptors (35.5 wins): Brandon Ingram's arrival and net rating trajectory boost this team’s projection above market expectations. Mack's top Eastern Conference over. Milwaukee Bucks (44.5 wins): Aged core, bad defense, and poor depth led Mack to confidently declare under—his top fade of the season. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dream Podcast - NFL Division Previews + CFB & MLB !!
Scott Seidenberg and Steve Fezzik talk NFL, CFB & MLB. NFC West Breakdown (0:05 - 7:38)Steve Fezzik rates Rams as undervalued due to injuries in 2023 and elite coach-QB pair (McVay, Stafford). Rams scored just 367 points, but projected to exceed 415.5. He ranks Rams > Niners > Cardinals > Seahawks and critiques Seattle’s overestimated line at 8.5 wins. AFC West: Raiders Hype and Chip Kelly’s Return (8:40 - 12:47)Scott argues Raiders will outperform expectations with Geno Smith at QB and Chip Kelly calling plays. Brock Bowers and Jacobi Meyers' 2023 stats under poor QB play now see potential boost. Fezzik calls them a solid 7-win team, citing Chip's run-heavy offense and late-season schedule. Chargers + Broncos Outlook (14:26 - 17:52)Chargers predicted under due to conservative play style despite defensive strength. Broncos' RJ Harvey (20-1) is seen as an Offensive ROY sleeper with potential 1,000-yard volume workload. Denver expected to open with strong home field edge vs rookie QB-led Tennessee. NFC + AFC South: Buccaneers, Saints, Panthers, Colts (20:56 - 30:02)Baker Mayfield and Tampa Bay touted for 425.5 points and playoff upside. Saints viewed as NFL’s worst team with lowest point total (331.5). Panthers could finish second with healthier defense. CJ Stroud’s growth keeps Texans atop AFC South; Titans with Cam Ward expected to struggle. NFC North Analysis: Lions Dip, Vikings Value (41:15 - 48:53)Lions projected to decline from 15-2 due to tougher schedule. Fezzik prefers Minnesota over 8.5 wins and calls them well-coached with undervalued rookie QB. Bears and Caleb Williams seen as “no football IQ” with no upside. Packers and Lions projected to vie for wildcard spots. AFC North Projections (49:22 - 52:08)Fezzik sees Pittsburgh breaking Tomlin’s no-losing-season streak. Browns mocked as dysfunctional and unbackable. Ravens to soar past 452.5 points due to loss of Tucker and new 3rd-down aggression. Baltimore expected to win division handily over Bengals and Steelers. AFC + NFC East Takes (54:00 - 59:51)Buffalo favored for best record due to light travel and home-heavy schedule. Jets, Dolphins seen as regression candidates. In NFC East, Washington’s 9-4 close-game record is flagged as unsustainable. Giants +7 in Week 1 vs. Commanders considered a top dog bet. Betting Contest Strategy (1:12:13 - 1:14:10)Fezzik discusses approach to new Westgate CFB contest: use late-week line moves, never take stale numbers, and incorporate top cappers like AJ Hoffman. Warns about overvaluing early entries and stresses value of “perfect info”. CFB Futures – Clemson, Penn State, Heisman (1:17:25 - 1:21:22)Clemson praised for returning 80% of roster, Cade Klubnik Heisman potential, and winning the ACC. Penn State seen as top-5 team with NFL defense, Drew Allar breakout season, and Jim Knowles as key coaching hire. Both teams backed for national title contention. MLB Second Half – Astros, Phillies, Red Sox (1:33:35 - 1:36:06)Phillies and Astros identified as best bets post-ASB due to strong pitching and key players returning. Toronto flagged for regression due to inflated record. Brewers noted as most profitable team YTD. Fezzik and Scott favor Red Sox over Blue Jays in wild card chase. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Open Championship Picks and Predictions
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2025 Open Championship at Royal Portrush -Discussing top 10 on odds board at Open -4 matchups -2 t10's -2 futures outrights, 1 outright added -Sleeper, 3 R1 three balls, lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 🏌️♂️ Chris Gotterup’s rise: Won Scottish Open after going into the final round tied with Rory McIlroy; 2-under front and back on final day despite being put on the clock. 🌦️ Weather forecast: Wind gusts up to 25mph Thursday; mild rest of the week with possible showers—advantageous for accurate drivers and strong iron players. 📊 Rory McIlroy’s readiness: Opened at 8-1; sharper than 2019; recent finishes of 19th (U.S. Open), 6th (Travelers), and 2nd (Scottish) show peak form. 🧠 DeChambeau a fade: Lacks adaptability for windy, changing conditions and fescue greens; poor performance history across the pond. 🏅 Adam Scott analysis: Opened 80-1; gained strokes off the tee and with irons last week; even par on moving day cost him a top finish. 💥 Top matchups: Picks include Fleetwood, Hovland, and Schauffele over DeChambeau; Sink over Zach Johnson based on recent senior tour performance. 📈 Statistical sleepers: Christopher Reitan for top 20 (6-1) with positive strokes gained across tee and greens; Matt Fitzpatrick and Russell Henley picked for top 10. ⛳ Xander Schauffele: Opened 28-1; 68 straight cuts made; sharp driving accuracy and irons, slightly off on putting lately. 💸 Best bet: Anton Rosner to finish top Frenchman at 3-1; consistently outperforming other French golfers in the field. 🧩 Rory added as outright: Based on recent performance surge and favorable conditions, Doctor adds him as a single outright bet at 8-1. (0:14–0:45) Will Doctor opens with high energy, introducing Week 29 of PGA season, featuring the final major: the 153rd Open Championship at Royal Portrush. (0:46–2:00) Weather outlook: Mild to moderate wind; rain Thursday morning and possibly over the weekend; favorable for experienced links players. (2:01–10:20) Chris Gotterup's win: At Scottish Open, played consistent 4-under final round. Beat top players, despite on-course time pressure, proving his form with strong ball striking and length. (10:21–15:40) Adam Scott and Harry Hall recap: Both underwhelmed slightly; Hall opened hot but collapsed on the weekend, while Scott played consistent but lacked a weekend push. (15:41–20:30) Robert McIntyre: Poor Scottish performance, especially in driving, but historically capable at Portrush. Holds a 40-1 ticket from December, still seen as viable. (20:31–30:00) Rory McIlroy analysis: Missed 2019 cut at Portrush due to nerves. Now enters in top form—2nd at Scottish, strong all-around stats—favorable pick over Scheffler and Rahm. (30:01–40:00) Picks and fades: Scheffler passed on due to putting woes on fescue. Rahm inconsistent with putter and driving accuracy. DeChambeau faded for scientific playstyle and poor Open track record. (40:01–50:00) Additional odds board picks: Fleetwood, Schauffele, and Hovland analyzed for iron play and putting form. Shane Lowry and Morikawa criticized for inflated odds despite lack of results. (50:01–60:00) Matchups and sleeper: Fleetwood/Hovland/Xander all picked over DeChambeau. Sleeper is Christopher Reitan for top 20. Best bet: Anton Rosner top Frenchman. (60:01–end) DraftKings lineup and first-round picks: Rory, McIntyre, Henley, Fitzpatrick, Scott, and Reitan chosen. Three-ball first-round matchups favoring Oosthuizen, McCarty, and Reitan over lesser competitors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB 1st Half Recap + 2nd Half Preview
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk all things MLB. The 2025 MLB season has reached its midpoint, and this comprehensive analysis covers every division with in-depth insights, team trajectories, betting odds, and trade deadline expectations. In the National League West, the Dodgers hold a firm lead despite recent struggles, with the Diamondbacks falling apart due to injuries and shifting into sell mode. San Diego and San Francisco trail closely but have struggled with consistency. The NL Central has turned into a race between the Cubs and Brewers. The Cubs benefit from the easiest second-half schedule and are positioned to buy key players, while the Brewers boast bullpen strength and recent form despite a tougher road ahead. The Mets and Phillies lead a tense NL East battle, separated by just half a game, with both teams healthy and ready to spend at the deadline. Meanwhile, the Braves' collapse due to poor road performance has effectively eliminated them from contention. In the American League, the Astros control the AL West, built on elite pitching and a dominant bullpen, while Yordan Álvarez’s return could be pivotal. Seattle is competitive but lacks offensive consistency outside of Cal Raleigh. The Rangers struggle on the road but remain in the wild card hunt. The AL Central is ruled by the Tigers, who lead by 11.5 games with the best record in MLB. Other division teams like the Twins, Guardians, and Royals trail far behind and show little sign of catching up. The AL East is a four-team war among the Blue Jays, Yankees, Red Sox, and Rays. The Blue Jays dominate at home but are vulnerable on the road. The Yankees are aggressive buyers with deep pockets, while Boston’s win streak thrust them into the race before a brutal post-break schedule. Tampa Bay has cooled off and may fade. Baltimore, once hyped, is now out of the conversation. Player performance and team value are heavily discussed, such as the Astros' closing combo of Hader and Abreu, the Mariners’ unexpected offense, and concerns over Mookie Betts and the Dodgers' injuries. Betting odds provide deeper context. Dodgers and Tigers lead World Series projections, but analysts recommend the Astros (10:1), Blue Jays (20:1), Padres (28:1), and Mets (9:1) for better returns. These teams combine talent with upside and have the potential to strengthen at the deadline. The episode ends by highlighting key second-half questions: Can underperformers bounce back? Will top teams stay healthy? Who will be the most aggressive buyers? And which wild card hopefuls will surge? The next two months promise a thrilling path to October baseball. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Inside Pitch w/Josh Towers: All Star Break
Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg look at the standings and stats around baseball here at the All Star Break with BEST BETS for the remainder of the season. At the 2025 MLB All-Star break, the Inside Pitch podcast with Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers delivers a sharp, numbers-driven midseason analysis. They highlight which teams are outperforming or underperforming expectations based on actual wins versus Pythagorean projections. The Toronto Blue Jays lead the AL East with a 55–41 record but are five wins ahead of their expected total, signaling potential regression. The Yankees are six games below their expected record, indicating possible value in the second half. Injuries and returning players also dominate discussion—Luis Garcia and Christian Javier returning to the Astros’ rotation is likened to acquiring top talent at the trade deadline. Luis Gil’s rehab performance could also bolster the Yankees. Boston’s young squad, led by Garrett Crochet and Roman Anthony, is positioned to make a late push if they acquire key pieces like a veteran first baseman or another starter. Win total bets discussed include taking the under on Toronto’s 89.5 projection and over on Houston’s 92.5 due to an easy remaining schedule. The Brewers emerge as the most profitable team in baseball for bettors, returning over $1,300 if wagered on every game. Milwaukee also boasts a 72% win rate as favorites. Advanced pitching stats suggest strong Cy Young cases for Zach Wheeler and long-shot Christopher Sanchez in the National League, while Crochet and Scooble are nearly even statistically in the AL race. Aaron Judge is unanimously favored to win AL MVP, outpacing competitors like Cal Raleigh in nearly every offensive metric. Shohei Ohtani's recent return to pitching enhances his case for NL MVP. The Phillies are picked to win the NL East, with three pitchers having 10+ quality starts, a key measure of reliability. For the postseason, the Yankees, Astros, and Tigers are favorites in the AL, while the Dodgers and Phillies are expected to meet in the NLCS. The Red Sox and Blue Jays are likely Wild Card teams, though the latter are expected to regress. Arizona is projected to fade down the stretch, likely trading veterans like Suarez, Naylor, and perhaps Gallen, and their under-79.5 win total is recommended. Despite offensive firepower, the Diamondbacks’ pitching struggles make them unreliable. Meanwhile, Milwaukee and Chicago are competing in the NL Central, and both are top betting values. Overall, listeners are encouraged to buy into the Yankees, Red Sox, and Astros for the second half, and fade teams like Toronto and Arizona. Josh and Scott also touch on key upcoming matchups, strategic deadline considerations, and award markets—recommending Sanchez for NL Cy Young at 20:1 and Crochet at +240 in the AL. They close by predicting the ALCS will feature the Astros and Yankees, while the NLCS will likely be a showdown between the Dodgers and Phillies, pending injury returns. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Weekend Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down the MLB Friday card and much more. ⚾ Shane Smith all-star start: Despite being less favored than Cannon, Smith offers betting value due to Logan Allen’s vulnerability. 📈 White Sox Friday performance: They're 5-1 SU and ATS on series-opening Fridays at home, suggesting a trend-based edge. 🔥 Dean Kremer at home: He boasts a 2.37 ERA in 6 Baltimore appearances, indicating potential value despite Griffin’s Marlins lean. 📉 Carlos Rodon's struggles: Yankees have lost 4 of his last 5 starts, with 3 BBs in each of the last two games. 🧊 Tariq Skubal’s home dominance: 9-1 at home, 2.00 ERA, 23 Ks in his last 14 innings. 💥 Milwaukee’s post-Dodgers sweep: While hot, the Brewers may be ripe for a letdown against feisty Nationals. 🔄 Doubleheader betting strategy: Bet game one; if lost, hedge on the same team in game two expecting a split. 📊 McCullers’ home ERA: 24 earned runs in 19 IP at home vs. just 1 on the road—fade him in Houston. 🚫 Pirates’ road slugging woes: Only .306 slugging on the road; reinforces under trend in Paul Skenes starts. 🧪 Max Scherzer caution: Aging and injury-prone; look to back A’s and the over vs. Blue Jays in West Sacramento. Guardians vs. White Sox Game 1: Shane Smith starts for Chicago, Logan Allen for Cleveland. Griffin leans White Sox due to skepticism of Allen and Chicago’s Friday performance (5-1 SU and ATS). Marlins at Orioles: Cabrera (MIA) vs. Kremer (BAL). Cabrera has been strong on the road (4-2 SU), Kremer has a 2.37 ERA at home. Munaf leans Orioles; Griffin is tentative due to Baltimore’s recent DH and Cabrera's improved base-stealing prevention. Cubs at Yankees: Rodon struggles lately (6 ER vs. Mets), while Flexen is an uncertain bullpen piece. Yankees' team total over is suggested due to Cubs’ offensive slump and Rodon’s 3.25 ERA at home. Rockies at Reds: Chase Burns looks to rebound from a brutal Boston start. Rockies’ Marquez is inconsistent. Betting leans toward Reds team total over or passing altogether. Rays at Red Sox: Rasmussen limited to ~2 innings. Dobbins is solid at Fenway (3.22 ERA). Rays as small dogs are interesting despite using bullpen-heavy strategy. Mariners at Tigers: Luis Castillo (SEA) vs. dominant Skubal (DET). With Skubal 9-1 at home, Munaf leans under; Griffin backs Mariners +1.5 due to line value. Nationals at Brewers: Priester vs. Parker. Griffin warns of Brewers’ letdown after sweeping Dodgers, but doesn’t trust Parker. Munaf likes Brewers -1.5 despite potential trap. Astros vs. Rangers: Jack Leiter vs. Lance McCullers. Despite travel fatigue, Munaf fades McCullers’ horrific home stats (24 ER in 19 IP), backing Rangers and over 8. Pirates at Twins: Skenes vs. Joe Ryan. Skenes gets little support from weak Pirates offense (.306 SLG on road). Under 7 or 3.5 F5 is recommended. Dodgers at Giants: May vs. Logan Webb. Dodgers slump (lost 6 straight), but priced strangely. Griffin leans Giants, pending possible line movement favoring LA for better value. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Thursday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down the MLB Thursday betting card. 🎙️ On July 4th week’s MLB slate, Munaf and Griffin methodically dissected eight games, highlighting strong betting angles. The standout pick was Griffin’s confidence in the White Sox (+118) against Cleveland due to Logan Allen's decline and Chicago’s solid home series starts. Munaf emphasized the Yankees-Mariners over (total 9), based on Marcus Stroman’s home game trend (13 of last 14 home starts went over). The Orioles, despite being underdogs, gained value with Charlie Morton's resurgence and David Peterson’s road struggles (Mets 1–7 in Peterson road starts). Several games showed questionable favorites (e.g., Colin Rea for Cubs, Walker Buehler for Red Sox), prompting dog or over bets. Spencer Strider’s dominance was respected, but skepticism loomed over Atlanta's market overvaluation. Patrick Corbin’s road favorite status was labeled a “fade.” Padres gained favor against Arizona's crumbling bullpen, despite Eduardo Rodriguez's strikeout potential. 📉 Mets' Road Struggles: They're 1–7 in David Peterson's road starts this season. 🔥 Charlie Morton's Rebound: After early struggles, Morton is pitching strongly for the Orioles, providing a live home dog edge. 🏡 Twins at Home: With a 26–18 home record, they're a profitable target against inconsistent away teams like the Cubs. ⚾ Stroman Yankee Overs: 13 of his last 14 home starts went over the total, making Yankees over bets a hot trend. 🧱 Cubs Overvalued: Public perception often overrates the Cubs, skewing lines in their favor even when performance dips. ⚔️ Eduardo Rodriguez Road Woes: A 7.03 ERA in night games and inflated road ERA makes him a fade against Padres at home. 💥 JP Sears Vulnerability: High HR rate and weak park factors make Sears risky against Atlanta, even if Braves are overpriced. 📈 Red Sox Scoring Surge: They've scored double digits in 4 of their last 6 wins, with Alex Cora calling it “the deepest lineup we've had in a while”. 🛑 Logan Allen Fading: Cleveland has lost Allen’s last three starts; he’s showing severe road splits (4.23 ERA on the road). 🐟 Marlins Rising: Quiet but impactful improvement through rookie call-ups; Cal Quantrill’s vulnerability at Great American Ballpark offers betting value. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dream Podcast - Big Beautiful Bill Impact +NFL Best Bets & NBA Win Totals !!
Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things sports this week. The guys dive into everything you need for this weeks dream pod. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Scottish Open Picks and Predictions
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Scottish Open -Discussing top 8 on odds board -1 t5, 2 t20, Top Scot -3 outrights (55/1, 70/1, 90/1) -Sleeper, 2 lineups, scoring, best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 ⛳ Scottish Open Course: Renaissance Club, favorable prep for Open Championship with scoring dependent on wind and weather. 🌬️ Forecast: Tame conditions—sunny, low 70s, minimal wind—should boost low scores but remain unpredictable due to North Sea proximity. 🎯 Scheffler's Odds: +450 despite no Scottish/Open win—has 3 top 10s overseas but no putting success across the pond. 🔥 Rory's Form: 2 top finishes at Scottish recently, sharp putting and strong driving, no weaknesses noted. 🔎 Fleetwood's Ups & Downs: Positive mindset and past top 6s here, but 34th last year; tops +115 to finish top 20. 🤝 Morikawa's New Caddy: Billy Foster joins, excellent for short game; skepticism remains on immediate impact. 📉 Jason Day's Decline: 111th in SG approach last week; fashion & injury woes adding concern. 🎲 Thorb's Collapse: Missed top 20 by 1 shot after double on 17th; finished 21st despite superb ball-striking. 🎰 Graesserman's Pick: Solid 2024 form and past Scottish performance suggest strong value at 90-1. 📈 DFS DraftKings Lineup: Headlined by McIntyre, Scott, Hall; balanced approach targeting reliable past performers. [0:24 - 1:15 | Will Doctor]: Introduces the podcast and sets up Scottish Open analysis, emphasizing sharp picks and betting angles for Week 28. [2:58 - 1:06:05 | Will Doctor]: Reviews historical finishes: Schauffele’s win in 2022; McIlroy’s 2023 clutch victory over McIntyre; McIntyre’s 2024 win. Key takeaway—Renaissance suits top-tier, creative players under pressure. [Brian Campbell Analysis]: Campbell won after odds of 350-1, previously considered luckiest winner. Averaged only 281 yards off tee but had pinpoint approach and putting. Joins six multi-winners this season. [Thorbjørn Olesen Review]: Dominant Sunday run ruined by double on 17. Still gained almost 6 strokes on approach and 14th in SG off-the-tee, but negative short game metrics kept him out of contention. [Champ & Lawrence]: Both flashed early but faded. Champ's wedge game cost him; Lawrence's approach fell off dramatically. [Jason Day]: Withdrawals due to illness and injuries marred recent form. Poor showing at Deere; dressed poorly due to Malbon deal, which Will criticizes humorously. [Jackson Coyvon vs Quade Cummins]: Coyvon finished T11; 2nd in SG putting. Poor irons but dominant flatstick led to matchup win. [Top Picks]: Rory McIlroy: Top 5 (+187) Fleetwood: Top 20 (+115) McIntyre: Top Scot (+115) Aaron Rye: Top 20 (+200), citing superb history at Renaissance [Outright Winners]: Adam Scott: 55-1, recent top 12/30s with excellent across-the-pond short game Harry Hall: 70-1, hot putter, now elite ball striking Max Graesserman: 90-1, trending upward, loves calm links conditions [Final Bets & Forecast]: Predicts -19 as winning score; best bet is Max Graesserman top 20 (+275). DFS picks emphasize balance and upside with McIntyre, Scott, Hall, Rye, Graesserman, and Perez. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Inside Pitch w/Josh Towers: Ep 14
Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about the latest news in Major League Baseball with a look ahead to Best Bets in the market. The July 7 episode of The Inside Pitch with Scott Seidenberg and Josh Towers centered on the midseason shakeups in MLB, notably the firing of Nationals manager Davey Martinez and GM Mike Rizzo. Martinez's quote deflecting blame from coaches—“It’s never on coaching”—was harshly criticized by Towers, who emphasized the crucial role of coaching in player development. This led to a broader discussion on leadership accountability and the challenges of managing a young roster with high expectations. The hosts evaluated the Nationals' outlook following the firings. With a 37–53 record and 72 games remaining, Seidenberg questioned the team’s ability to reach their 68.5 win total, citing the fifth-toughest remaining schedule and looming trade possibilities. Towers countered that the team has foundational talent like Gore and Wood but agreed the over/under is razor-thin. They discussed interim manager Miguel Cairo and speculated on potential trade departures such as Josh Bell, Jake Irvin, and Mike Soroka, though Skenes and McCutcheon were deemed untouchable. The All-Star roster reveal sparked debates on snubs and systemic bias. Towers pointed out how dominant middle relievers like Drew Pomeranz get overlooked despite elite performance. They applauded the Home Run Derby format and early participants (Acuña, Wood, Cal Raleigh), with Seidenberg already looking to handicap the bracket once the field is announced. Pete Alonso and Kyle Schwarber have opted out, and the hosts emphasized the edge held by experienced derby hitters. The conversation shifted to awards betting. Joe Espada’s odds for AL Manager of the Year dropped from 50:1 to 38:1 after Seidenberg’s tip, bolstered by Houston’s 55–35 record and 15 players on the IL. Towers praised their 32–14 home record and resilience without stars like Yordan Alvarez. They questioned why AJ Hinch remains a heavy favorite despite similar adversity being handled better in Houston. Pitching excellence featured heavily. Zach Wheeler’s near-perfect game—12 Ks, no walks, 108 pitches—was dissected play-by-play. Towers highlighted his sequencing: late fastballs inside followed by slow curves to disrupt timing, calling it a clinic in in-out, soft-hard pitch selection. Tarik Skubal and Paul Skenes were also celebrated for dominance and control. Skubal's K/BB ratio and Skenes' consistency paralleled deGrom's early Mets years, where low run support undermined elite outings. The Pirates became the first MLB team to record back-to-back three-game shutout sweeps both for and against—a historic anomaly. This led to a broader debate on whether the Pirates should trade Skenes. Towers warned doing so would cause fan revolt and questioned the club’s long-term willingness to build around him. Comparisons were made to past wasted rotations including Cole, Liriano, and Burnett. Power rankings closed the show. Tigers ranked first for Towers, followed by Astros and Dodgers. Seidenberg backed the Astros’ form and praised DeGrom’s consistency, calling first-five bets with him and Skenes reliable. Strikeout prop strategies were discussed, with Sanchez’s seven-game quality start streak singled out. Finally, the hosts previewed the coming All-Star Break special, which will feature full Home Run Derby betting breakdowns, midseason awards, and second-half predictions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
NBA Offseason Preview + Free Agency & More !
Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers discuss the NBA season that has wrapped up. Free agent moves and much more. Kevin Durant’s Arrival in Houston (1:45–9:11) Durant was acquired for Green and a pick, with minimal downgrade to rotation. Mackenzie assigned a +3 point net value to Houston, projecting a 58-win season via Pythagorean models. Houston now features elite coaching (Ime Udoka) and depth across positions. Denver Nuggets Strengthen (14:57–20:38) Cam Johnson, Bruce Brown, and a potential Valanciunas deal enhance Jokic’s support. Mackenzie noted improved flexibility and defense. Despite Vegas favoring them less in regular season, they’re top-tier playoff contenders. Milwaukee Bucks Crisis (24:13–29:18) Dame waived for financial and personal reasons. Miles Turner signs for $107M but doesn’t replace Lopez’s defense. Mackenzie ranks them 20th in power ratings despite Vegas’ 40:1 title odds. Janis likely to be traded soon. Lakers Sign DeAndre Ayton (33:31–37:25) Ayton brings personality and effort concerns. His 18% rim contest rate is worst among centers. Despite teaming up with Luka/LeBron, Mackenzie predicts defensive issues. Projects 43.5 wins, lower than market’s 46.5. LeBron’s Decision (37:26–42:08) He picks up $53M player option but keeps future open. Trade to GS for Jimmy Butler floated. Lakers prioritize future cap space over winning now—frustrating for LeBron’s timeline. Knicks Coaching & Continuity (44:49–47:54) Mike Brown seen as a lateral move from Thibs. Knicks kept core roster and added bench depth. Mackenzie makes them East favorites until Garland returns fully for Cavs. Magic Breakout Prediction (51:56–56:43) Desmond Bane and Jalen Suggs boost perimeter threat. Age curve and returns from injury forecast >50 wins. Mackenzie places them #2 in East behind the Cavs, calling them a regular-season powerhouse. Dallas Mavericks Evaluation (57:30–1:00:58) Kyrie’s uncertain return hurts projection. Additions like DLo and Anthony Davis strengthen floor but limit ceiling. Mackenzie projects 39–41 wins, making them a fringe play-in team. Philadelphia 76ers Uncertainty (1:00:58–1:04:52) Despite roster similarity to last year, health of Embiid/PG makes projections volatile. Embiid played only 19 games last season. Munaf leans under; Mackenzie says to wait for in-season evidence. Closing Thoughts & Summer League Preview (1:06:32–1:07:53) Hosts close with excitement for Summer League and reflection on rapid offseason changes. Mackenzie teases potential picks and returns for more Summer League coverage. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dream Podcast - NBA Free Agency + WSOP Chip Scandal & More !!
Scott Seidenberg, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Free Agency moves. Plus, the guys discuss the recent news in the poker world at the WSOP. Fezzik gives out a NFL best bet and also talk bonus betting. 📚 Summary [0:00–4:05] Promotional Segment Scott, Fezzik, and Mackenzie promote Pregame.com’s extended holiday access for betting picks. Scott mentions Fezzik is on a “60-25” baseball run and others like Andre Gomes (+56 units) and Greg Shaker (+24 units) are also hot. [4:11–8:56] WSOP Controversy Setup Scott describes the chip-dumping scandal at the Millionaire Maker event. Jesse Yaganuma overcame a 9-1 chip deficit and allegedly colluded to split winnings and receive a $1M Club WPT bonus. WSOP withheld the bracelet and equalized payouts. [8:56–13:00] Fezzik’s Outrage Fezzik strongly disagrees with Doug Polk's “move on” stance, insisting viewers were defrauded and comparing it to rigged sports matches. He emphasizes that even “victimless” match-fixing violates the sanctity of competition. [13:00–19:35] Precedent and Ethics Fezzik offers analogies—golf players conceding PGA spots, Survivor contest deals, hot dog eating contests—to illustrate long-term harm. Mackenzie contends poker is about personal gain, not entertainment, framing it more like mercenary behavior. [19:35–27:49] Poker Chop Equity Breakdown Fezzik explains equity math: Chip leader had about $200K more value, while golden ticket added $100K to opponent’s equity—making a chop mathematically near even. Still, he’s upset at the alleged collusion. [27:50–32:47] Broader Ethical Analogies Scott proposes hypotheticals: Would Fezzik accept collusive behavior in sports betting contests like SuperContest or Circa? Fezzik distinguishes between ethical but rule-compliant and explicit cheating like the WSOP incident. [32:48–33:17] Soft Tournament Fields Fezzik explains why he didn’t enter Super Seniors event despite being hot in baseball—he critiques women’s and seniors’ poker fields as “weak,” drawing criticism but defending based on participation and stamina. [33:17–36:00] MLB Streaks and Bets Marlins’ 8-game dog streak would’ve paid ~$139,739 on $100 rollover. Discussion includes the failed best bet on Astros (-1.5) losing 6–5 due to late home run, with probability math breakdowns. [36:00–39:34] Fan Ban and Bartman Talk Diamondbacks banned a fan for repeated interference. Bartman’s Cubs incident resurfaces. Fezzik and Mackenzie discuss fandom’s extremes and media portrayals. [40:01–58:06] NBA Free Agency and Futures Lillard’s unusual release structure and LeBron’s uncertain future discussed in-depth. Mackenzie argues no trade fits make LeBron likely to stay. Knicks and Cavs scenarios are explored, but deemed impractical. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
John Deere Classic Picks and Predictions
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the John Deere Classic. -Reviewing Detroit -Discussing top 8 favs on odds board -2 matchups -2 t20's -3 outrights (33/1, 80/1, 80/1) -Sleeper, 3 FRP -2 lineups, scoring, best bet Will Doctor opens his podcast with enthusiasm over Aldrich Potgieter’s dramatic win at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. At just 20 years old, Potgieter emerged victorious in a five-hole playoff against Max Gray Sherman and Chris Kirk. Doctor notes he had picked Potgieter pre-tournament at 125-1 odds, resulting in a monumental gain of 125.8 units that flipped his season from -72.9 to +52.8 units. Potgieter’s rounds of 62-70-65-69 highlighted both brilliance and resilience, especially his Saturday bogey-free 65 that earned him a two-shot lead. Despite criticism that most birdies came on the front nine, Doctor praises his short game, particularly ranking fifth in strokes gained around the greens in round three and gaining over a stroke total in that category. Chris Kirk, a six-time PGA Tour winner, had a promising start with back-to-back 65s. Despite dealing with recent game struggles and nearly withdrawing from the U.S. Open, he performed well and missed chances to win with two putts inside 16 feet on 18, in both regulation and the playoff. Max Gray Sherman impressed with birdies on two of his final three holes to make the playoff, including a 35-foot birdie on 16. Though he missed several putts in the playoff, Sherman’s calm demeanor and improved ball striking stood out, crediting his caddy Adam Barmer. Doctor sees Sherman as a strong future contender. Doctor critiques Twitter pundits who downplayed Potgieter’s Saturday round and emphasizes the significance of the playoff diversity: a 20-year-old, 30-year-old, and 40-year-old competing. He applauds CBS’s emotional broadcast moments, such as shots of the players’ fathers during the finale. Other notable performances included Will Gordon saving his PGA Tour card, Monday qualifier Brett White making the cut, and rising stars like Michael Thorbjornsen and Jackson Suber getting in the mix. He recaps bets: Potgieter’s win was the headline; Champ and Sherman top-20 picks also cashed. Picks that failed included Stephen Jaeger, who struggled with his worst driving week in 25 starts, and Lee Hodges, who fell from contention with a poor third round. As he pivots to the John Deere Classic, Doctor emphasizes traits needed at TPC Deer Run—bombers off the tee, sharp wedge play inside 125 yards, and strong putting on bentgrass. He notes the course has the ninth-widest fairways on Tour, making driving accuracy less critical but not to be ignored. He analyzes top players: passes on Ben Griffin due to fatigue, but likes Jason Day for a top-10 finish citing strong approach stats from 125-150 yards. He dismisses Denny McCarthy at 28-1 due to recurring poor third rounds, weak approach metrics, and no PGA wins. JT Poston is faded for weak iron stats despite being a past Deere champion. Si Woo Kim is heavily criticized—missed cuts, poor putting, and negative recent stats. Doctor proposes betting Jason Day over Si Woo Kim and two other Kim fade matchups. Doctor’s top pick is Michael Thorbjornsen at 33-1, citing elite driving (2nd on tour), strong recent finishes, and solid putting. Thriston Lawrence is his second outright at 80-1, noting improved ball striking and three top finishes in recent events, including T12 at Oakmont. Cam Champ, also at 80-1, rounds out the outrights. Champ has been positive in all stat categories the last two weeks and historically played well at Deer Run. Other bets include Jackson Koivun over Quade Cummins, Jason Day top 10 (+225), Champ top 20 (+320), and Thorbjornsen top 20 (+137) as the best bet. Doctor offers three first-round top-10 picks: Thorbjornsen, Pearson Cootie, and Champ. He concludes with two DFS lineups and predicts the winning score at -23. For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner preview MLB Tuesday betting schedule is packed with sharp betting opportunities and valuable matchups for bettors seeking an edge. This expert MLB betting analysis breaks down key games, highlighting top MLB moneyline picks, underdog plays, and totals worth considering. We begin north of the border with the Blue Jays hosting the Yankees on Canada Day. Despite Kevin Gausman’s recent struggles versus New York, the Jays offer home underdog value. Max Fried has been in elite form, but Griffin Warner leans Toronto while Munaf Manji prefers the under. In Philadelphia, Nick Pivetta takes the mound for the Padres against Christopher Sanchez and the Phillies. Pivetta’s elite stuff and the Padres’ superior bullpen provide value, leading both hosts to side with the under and the Padres. Paul Skenes Day in Pittsburgh raises red flags as he’s lost four straight to the Cardinals despite quality outings. Both experts prefer St. Louis plus money and favor the under, citing the Pirates' inconsistency and the Cardinals' strong bullpen. In Miami, Joe Ryan’s dominance makes the Twins a solid first five play against the streaking Marlins. Edward Cabrera’s walk issues and a volatile Twins bullpen push Munaf to target early betting value and the under. The Tigers and Nationals offer one of the day’s best over spots. With Jack Flaherty and Trevor Williams both unreliable and Detroit trending 12-1 to the over in road series openers, both hosts lock in on the over 9.5. In Tampa, the surging Rays send Shane Baz against Jeffrey Springs and the A’s. Tampa’s hot June offense and Baz’s recent dominance make them a clear moneyline and team total over pick. The Brewers are Griffin’s top play as Freddy Peralta faces Clay Holmes and the sliding Mets. Milwaukee is red hot, while New York struggles late in games. Munaf highlights Peralta’s spotless record vs. the Mets and backs the plus money. In Boston, the Reds look to rebound after a wild series opener. With Richard Fitz struggling, Griffin and Munaf support the Reds moneyline and game over. The Angels and Braves offer another over candidate with Tyler Anderson and Grant Holmes on the mound in a hitter-friendly park. Atlanta’s power and Anderson’s road overs make this a strong target for runs. In Arlington, Jacob deGrom’s excellence anchors a Rangers first five run line play against Baltimore’s shaky Brandon Young. With a low park run profile, the full game under also draws interest. The Cubs host a reeling Guardians squad that can’t hit lefties, making Matthew Boyd and the under strong leans. Griffin notes Cleveland’s ugly error stats and poor bullpen. The Astros visit the Rockies in Coors Field with Houston sending a lefty against a team that’s 1-13 at home vs. LHP. Over 11 and Astros run line stand out. In Arizona, the Giants are a live dog with Hayden Birdsong facing the struggling Zac Gallen. With the D-backs’ bullpen decimated, Munaf leans Giants team total over and game over. Seattle’s pitcher-friendly environment makes Royals-Mariners a tough call, but under 8 has value despite weak starters Lorenzen and Hancock. Finally, the Dodgers host the White Sox in a mismatch. Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s recent dip doesn’t deter confidence, and Dodgers team total over is the clearest angle. Griffin and Munaf close with best bets: Griffin on the Brewers ML and Reds ML, Munaf on Tigers/Nats Over and Rangers first five run line. Together they offer sharp insights and valuable MLB betting predictions for Tuesday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Inside Pitch w/Josh Towers: Ep 13
Former MLB Pitcher Josh Towers and Scott Seidenberg talk about the latest news around Major League Baseball and take a look at the market for the Most Wins in July. The Inside Pitch w/ Josh Towers Ep. 13, recorded June 30, features Scott Seidenberg and former MLB pitcher Josh Towers discussing trends across Major League Baseball as July approaches. The episode begins with a startling stat: 61 games have been decided by 10 or more runs before July, the most since 2004. These blowouts impact betting lines through recency bias, but the hosts argue savvy bettors can exploit this. For example, after the Cubs’ 12–3 win over Houston, the line moved in favor of the Astros, who bounced back the next day with a 3–0 win behind Framber Valdez. Towers emphasized players mentally reset after blowouts and that those games often preserve top relievers for the next matchup, giving smart teams like Houston an edge. The Mets were highlighted as a struggling team despite early-season promise. They were swept in Pittsburgh and outscored 30–4. A recent players-only meeting didn’t help, and June stats reveal deep issues: a 109 WRC+ (9th best) but a 4.80 ERA (5th worst). Pete Alonso dropped from the .360s to .291, and the lineup outside him is below .260. Senga’s injury was flagged as a possible turning point. Towers also pointed out that pitchers like Blackburn and Montas returned from injury without sufficient rehab buildup. Montas had six rehab starts totaling just 18 innings and struggled in his second MLB outing. This points to systemic issues with pitcher preparation. The conversation shifted to elite pitching. Tarik Skubal leads MLB with a 9.86 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a 1.98 FIP, making him the AL Cy Young favorite at -190. Garrett Crochet is a close second (+380), with similar innings, strikeouts, and a 2.54 FIP. Josh praised Skubal’s ability to pitch downhill and manipulate the strike zone, describing it as a “blueprint” for pitching. He argued that current trends emphasizing vertical pitching miss these fundamentals. Ranger Suarez of the Phillies also drew attention with a 1.19 ERA over his last 10 starts, the best 10-game stretch since Cliff Lee. Phillies had the second-best ERA in June, supporting their rise despite Bryce Harper’s injury. Josh stressed the value of quality starts—six innings, three or fewer earned—as essential to team success and underappreciated in today's stat-obsessed game. They examined home ballpark impacts, particularly Globe Life Park in Texas, now MLB’s lowest scoring venue. Rangers are 30–12 to the under at home, yet Towers insists this is due to poor offense, not the ballpark. No player has more than nine homers, and he criticized swing mechanics and development. He also highlighted how teams like the Dodgers and Tigers, both 53–32, find success through depth, discipline, and pitching, while teams like the Mets lack cohesion. With July beginning, the hosts reviewed betting odds for most wins. Astros are the favorite at +450, but their schedule includes Colorado, Dodgers, and Cleveland, leading both analysts to question the pick. The Dodgers (+500) and Tigers (+750) are favored due to consistent performance and better matchups. The Cubs dropped from 20:1 to 9:1 after a large bet, but neither host found value there. Phillies and Rays have potential, though travel-heavy schedules are a concern. Lastly, they emphasized evaluating teams based on matchups rather than records alone, citing San Diego’s poor performance against winning teams (15–28). The episode ends with a preview of their upcoming midseason awards show and a pregame.com promo code (BAT15) for $15 off. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
UFC 317 Picks & Predictions !!
SleepyJ and MeanGene break down the entire main card for UFC 317 Toporia Vs. Oliveira 🔑 Key Points 🧠 Talbot vs. Lima: Talbot was previously a -1300 favorite before being exposed via takedowns by Barcellos (8 takedowns). Gene still sees value at +160. 📉 Lima's Edge: Lima is 2-0 in UFC, more well-rounded. Sleepy J prefers Lima -190 due to Talbot’s exposed wrestling gap. 👊 Moicano’s Momentum: On a 4-fight win streak before losing to Makachev. Beat elite names like Brad Riddell, Dober, and St-Denis. 📉 Dariush Decline: Winless for 3 years, KO’d in last 2 fights. Talked about retirement pre-Sarukyan bout. Gene says he “looks like a shell of himself”. 🔥 Royval vs. Vann: Vann’s volume striking and fast turnaround (3 weeks) may backfire vs. Royval’s chaos and submission threats. ⚠️ Step-up for Vann: Royval fought elite names like Moreno and Pantoja; Vann only recently faced mid-tier fighters like Bruno Silva. 💣 Pantoja vs. Kaikara France: Pantoja, current champ, is versatile and dangerous on the ground. France is a KO striker with limited ground skills. 🧠 Tapuria vs. Oliveira: Tapuria is well-rounded but -500 line over Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira seems exaggerated. Both panelists favor Tapuria but advise alternative bets. 💸 Top Value Bets: Moicano ML (-110), Royval ML (+105), Pantoja by Submission (+230), Oliveira to land a takedown (+250), Over 1.5 Rounds in main event (-145). 🗣 Host Dynamic: Gene focuses on potential and tape study; Sleepy J factors in form and fighter psychology. Their split picks enrich analysis across viewpoints. 📘 Summary Opening Banter (0:00–0:33): Lighthearted exchange between Sleepy J and Mean Jene sets the tone before diving into fight analysis. Intro to UFC 317 (0:33–1:39): Gene expresses excitement over International Fight Week, describing it as UFC’s “Super Bowl” with two title fights and a strong undercard. Talbot vs. Lima (2:53–6:57): Gene praises Talbot’s talent but warns about his last loss due to grappling. Picks Talbot as undervalued. Sleepy J disagrees, favoring Lima’s versatility. Moicano vs. Dariush (12:13–16:42): Both hosts criticize Dariush’s recent form and motivation. Moicano's resilience and ground-game security make him a confident pick for both. Royval vs. Vann (19:04–29:59): Vann’s rapid rise is acknowledged, but his short turnaround and lack of experience against elite grapplers worry both hosts. They expect Royval to exploit this. Kaikara France vs. Pantoja (30:00–35:03): Gene outlines France's power and inconsistency. Pantoja’s grappling, chin, and championship mindset are highlighted. Sleepy J agrees and bets Pantoja via submission and parlays. Main Event: Tapuria vs. Oliveira (41:39–50:45): Sleepy J targets value on Oliveira takedowns and over 1.5 rounds. Gene expects Tapuria to finish, possibly even by submission. Both advise caution with the -500 line. Card Reflection (50:45–End): Hosts wrap up urging fans to request more episodes, hinting at potential fight night coverage. Call to action for audience engagement. Podcast Promotion: Throughout, listeners are encouraged to follow both hosts and support Pregame.com, tying predictions to actionable betting platforms. Quote Depth: Gene says of Talbot: “He kind of reminds me of Caleb Williams... painted fingernails, kind of eccentric.” He notes the hate but values his talent. Sleepy J adds, “It just didn’t sit right with me” on Talbot’s last odds loss. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Weekend Preview+ Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down all of this weekends MLB betting action. Best bets as always. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dream Podcast - NBA Season Review + 26' Preview & NFL Best Bets
RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA season review and 2026 preview. Plus, the NFL best bets are flying around once again. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Rocket Classic Picks and Predictions
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the Rocket Classic. -Reviewing Travelers and Ryder Cup scenarios -Discussing top 8 on odds board for Detroit -1 matchup, 2 p2p -3 outrights (75/1, 110/1, 125/1) -Sleeper, 2 FRP, 2 lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets !!
Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner break down MLB Tuesday. Best bets as always. The June MLB betting preview episode from RJ Bell’s Dream Podcast, hosted by Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner, covers 13 games with available lines, diving into team form, pitching matchups, and betting leans. Missing initially were lines for Dodgers-Rockies and Rangers-Orioles, though the latter appeared late in the episode. They open noting Munaf’s bounce-back 5–1 week and Griffin chasing closely behind in season-long picks. The first matchup—Blue Jays vs. Guardians—features even odds. Griffin sees value in whoever becomes the underdog. Munaf highlights Logan Allen’s stark ERA split: 6.18 in day games, 2.79 at night. The A’s-Tigers game sees Tigers favored at -275. Griffin critiques the price despite Skubal’s Cy Young form. Munaf adds that Tigers are 20–5 straight up in series openers and 11–1 at home. Yankees vs. Reds features rookie Chase Burns in his debut against Carlos Rodon. Griffin notes the Yankees are built better for the park, while Munaf explains Rodon’s recent regression—12 ER in June compared to 5 in May. Braves-Mets has Strider returning, though Griffin questions his sharpness. Munaf notes Monteas' poor historical outings vs. the Braves and leans Strider, citing a recent quality start against the Mets. In D-backs vs. White Sox, Ryan Nelson’s 1.87 ERA at night vs. 10.95 in the day impresses Munaf, while Griffin mocks the Sox as a “Double-A team.” For Pirates-Brewers, Peralta is dominant at home (6–1 SU), prompting a team total under lean from Munaf. Griffin applauds Milwaukee’s base-stealing and efficiency. Mariners-Twins rematch Castillo vs. Paddack: both had elite starts earlier this month. Munaf likes the under (8.5), while Griffin again hails Cal Raleigh’s ("Big Dumper") surge. Rays-Royals sees Griffin supporting Bubich, especially given Tampa’s recent inconsistency. Munaf notes Taj Bradley’s 13 ER in two starts. Cubs-Cardinals analysis finds Griffin liking STL as a home dog, with Munaf highlighting McGreevy’s sub-1.00 WHIP and 2–1 team record in his starts. In Phillies-Astros, both agree Suarez and Valdez are elite. Munaf reveals Valdez’s 6–1 under trend at home, while Suarez is 3–0–1 to the under on the road. Under 7.5 is Munaf’s best bet. Red Sox vs. Angels pits Crochet’s 2.20 ERA and 125 Ks against inconsistent Tyler Anderson. Griffin leans Angels as a value play; Munaf backs Boston’s run line. Nationals-Padres gets light treatment—Williams has a 5.54 ERA and Padres are favored. Munaf suggests SD’s first-five team total over. Giants-Marlins rounds out the card with Verlander’s return. Griffin hesitates to back either starter but leans under unless conditions are hot. Munaf prefers the Giants, questioning Miami’s bullpen. A late line appears for Rangers-Orioles. Griffin picks Baltimore ML (-130) as his best bet, citing Charlie Morton’s improved form and Texas’ offensive struggles. Munaf agrees, referencing Morton’s 6 IP, 2 ER outing vs. TEX last year. The episode concludes with Griffin plugging a promo code (RBI20) for discounted betting picks access and teasing more comedic yet informative breakdowns through summer. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices