Reuters Morning Bid

Hungary votes today, in what could be the country’s most consequential election in years. This week’s bank earnings kick off with expectations still high, but investors will be listening closely for how Wall Street talks about geopolitical risk and private credit. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Markets rallied after a US–Iran ceasefire announcement. But with shipping still stalled in the Gulf, oil infrastructure damaged, and fuel costs rising, the economic fallout is already being felt. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Gas prices are climbing, crude is hitting records, and the latest data could show the biggest inflation jump in years. We explain how energy shocks ripple through the economy — and why the Fed’s “transitory” hopes are looking shaky again. Today’s recommended read: Ceasefire uncorks market relief, but outlook remains sobering, by Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Markets cheered a ceasefire between Iran and the U.S. Less than 48 hours later, doubts are creeping back in — with oil flows still limited, the Fed reassessing inflation risks, and airlines warning of higher costs for consumers. Today’s recommended read: Refined fuel prices retreat in Asia, but still show supply stress, by Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The U.S. and Iran have agreed a ceasefire. Markets are surging, oil is down 15%, and suddenly a Fed rate cut is back on the table. Today’s recommended read: Iran war ceasefire pushes energy markets into twilight zone, by Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Global markets remain on edge as President Trump's Iran deadline looms with no sign of a quick resolution. Samsung's blockbuster profits lift Asian stocks briefly, while U.S. services data underline the Fed’s growing dilemma. Today’s recommended read: It's time to end the world's delusions over the Iran energy crisis, Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

U.S. markets reopen after the long weekend to mixed signals as Trump sets a new Iran deadline, OPEC talks up higher output, and a surprisingly hot US jobs report lands, complicating the Fed’s inflation fight. Today’s recommended read: Iran war exposes frailties of 'no-hire' US economy by Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Next week a new U.S. inflation report lands just as the fallout from the Iran war ripples through energy markets. We look at what the data could show, how energy prices are feeding through the economy, and how the Fed is thinking about its next move. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye AdelusiSound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

President Trump’s Iran war address leaves markets uneasy. Plus, investors brace for U.S. jobs data. And far from Earth, NASA returns to the Moon as SpaceX prepares a record-setting IPO. Today’s recommended read: Oil shock resilience in March - or smoke and mirrors?, by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Markets rally as investors hope for an end to the Iran war, sending oil lower and stocks higher. U.S. consumers stay unexpectedly confident despite energy shocks, while Nike shares tumble after warning of a sharp slowdown in China sales. Today’s recommended read: Haven or dry powder, cash did fine in March, just ask Buffett by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Q1 2026 will be one to remember: oil ending at multi‑year highs, US gas prices crossing $4, and markets struggling to price geopolitical uncertainty. As the Fed stays patient, attention turns to labor data and tightening financial conditions. Today’s recommended read: Market tightening gives central banks time to wait and watch by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Markets start the week under pressure as conflict pushes oil prices sharply higher. G7 policymakers debate ways to shield consumers from fuel costs, while new European inflation figures could provide the first real evidence of how the energy shock is feeding through. Today’s recommended read: Crude oil and LNG supply are at risk of the worst-possible scenario by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Consumers confront rising energy costs as confidence data looms, just as a Good Friday jobs release will postpone a market response. At the same time, widening spreads and weak auctions highlight strain in Treasury markets and concerns over liquidity. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This past week, oil prices swung as rhetoric around the Iran conflict rattles markets, with traders gauging how far energy shocks could push inflation. As the OECD warns of price pressures, nerves are showing in US Treasuries. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oil is on track for its steepest fall in six months as Trump buys more time on Iran. But with the Strait of Hormuz still disrupted investors are guessing in the dark. Plus, Elon Musk could launch the biggest IPO ever — and he wants retail investors along for the ride. Today’s recommended read: War, oil shock, uncertainty? Time to raise US equity outlook, by Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Iran conflict continues to reshape global energy math. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump has reset his China visit for May. Plus, a California ruling finds Meta and Google negligent in how they designed products for young users. Today’s recommended read: Iran oil shock sets US Treasury seismograph twitching, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oil has slipped below $100 after Iran hinted it may ease passage through the Strait of Hormuz, while reports of U.S. President Donald Trump’s 15‑point plan have markets searching for a turning point — despite little clarity on what it actually involves. We look at how a Reuters/Ipsos poll showing Trump’s approval at a new low fits into the wider market mood. Plus, what new business surveys reveal about how the real economy is absorbing the energy shock. Today’s recommended read: Gulf war rattles petrodollar foundations, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Markets remain uneasy as U.S. President Donald Trump's 48‑hour ultimatum for Iran stretches to five days with no clarity on negotiations. Oil climbs back above $100 and today’s PMI surveys offer the first read on how the war is hitting business confidence. Today’s recommended read: Why $100 oil won't break the American consumer, Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Global stocks tumble after President Trump gives Iran a Monday deadline to open the Strait of Hormuz, raising fears of a sharp escalation. Energy prices jump and traditional safe havens falter, leaving investors with few places to hide. Today’s recommended read: Trump's Iran war oil shield is cracking, Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Investors head into the final full week of the quarter after a turbulent stretch dominated by the Iran conflict, an energy shock, and shifting AI sentiment. Key survey data this week will offer the first read on how the war is filtering through to business activity. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Qatar warns of multi‑year output losses after strikes on its main gas field, intensifying concerns over long‑term supply. The Fed stays steady on policy expectations, while the ECB and BOE pivot toward rate hikes. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Energy markets catch their breath after Western moves to boost supply, though Qatar’s gas sector warns of years-long disruption. Plus, a dramatic shift in rate expectations drives one of the steepest selloffs in European sovereign debt in months. Today’s recommended read: Kevin Warsh's first move as Fed chair could be a rate hike, Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A strike on Iran’s South Pars field sends oil above $110 and natural gas higher. The Fed leaves rates unchanged but adopts a more cautious tone. Investors now look to the BOE, ECB and BOJ for signals on how they’ll handle the inflation threat. Today’s recommended read: Don't panic, don't capitulate: investors try to see beyond Iran war, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A blackout kept officials quiet as the oil shock hit. Now Fed Chair Jerome Powell returns with new projections — aiming to signal caution without moving rates. The physical oil market is screaming tighter supply while the paper market barely reacts. Plus, Micron’s AI surge keeps equities buoyant. Today’s recommended read:Inflation expectations flash a warning - but not a long-lasting one, by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Policymakers gather this week under renewed inflation pressure as crude returns to $100 and tensions in the Gulf rise. Meanwhile, chip producers warn that wafer shortages may persist to 2030, challenging tech supply and capital‑spending plans. Today’s recommended read: Oil shock sparks rate repricing in historic 'G4' central bank week, Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oil trades back above $100 as the Iran war enters a third week. Markets watch a packed central bank calendar while U.S.–China trade talks begin in Paris, with a possible Trump–Xi summit now uncertain. Today’s recommended read: US is quickly exhausting tools to absorb Iran war oil shock by Ron Bousso Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

As tensions rise in the Middle East and oil prices jump, central banks from the Fed to the ECB are reworking their inflation math once again. The fresh oil shock is reshaping rate expectations—while hidden risks in private credit and software debt bubble up in the background. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A historic oil reserve release fails to cool prices, core inflation refuses to ease, and markets push rate‑cut hopes way back as geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions reshape economic expectations in real time. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Washington eases sanctions to free up more Russian oil as Brent crude tops $101 a barrel. We break down the market fallout, the inflation squeeze and the impact on the Fed. Today’s recommended read: Iran war is one 'TACO' too far, by Jamie McGeever Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest. Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oil surges to $100 again as Gulf attacks mount. Tehran says it’s ready to squeeze global oil until crude hits $200 a barrel. We explain why markets are taking that threat seriously and how it’s reshaping everything from shipping costs to inflation bets. Today’s recommended read: Iran oil shock prompts ECB hawks to seek 2021/22 rematch, by Mike Dolan Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Tension in the Strait of Hormuz is keeping traders on edge and reshaping how markets think about energy. Plus, Oracle shares deliver a surprise lift, even as the world powering AI looks stretched. And JP Morgan spots some unsettling signals inside private credit. Today’s recommended read: The dangerous politics of US oil-driven redistribution, Mike Dolan Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oil prices whipsaw as Trump signals the Iran conflict may end soon, sending volatility surging across global markets. Stocks, bonds, and rate expectations swing wildly, while China delivers a surprise trade boom that adds another twist to an already unpredictable day. Today’s recommended read: How oil shock and financial stress can feed each other by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Oil prices surge past $100 as the Middle East conflict enters a second week, raising fears of a prolonged supply shock. Combined with weak U.S. jobs data, stagflation concerns intensify while global markets fall, bond yields jump, and investors shift toward dollar liquidity. Today’s recommended read: Compounding errors and narrow self-interest threaten global fuel crisis by Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Markets brace for a prolonged Middle East conflict as energy prices drive uncertainty. Inflation data lands this week with fresh clues on how the surge in oil and gas could spill over. And with Kevin Warsh waiting in the wings, Fed rate‑cut hopes keep sliding. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Energy prices jump, bonds sell off and central banks confront new inflation risks as the Middle East conflict expands. And the U.S. economy unexpectedly loses jobs in February, adding fresh uncertainty to the macro outlook. Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

President Trump is brushing off a jump in gas prices, even as international markets brace for the steepest spike since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. We unpack why the administration is betting the shock will be brief. Plus, why today’s jobs numbers could tell a very different story about the US economy. Today’s recommended read: Iran war exposes fragility of Western aluminium market, by Andy Home Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Global stocks steadied on Wednesday despite crude jumping to its highest since June. Plus, Europe watches for an energy shock. And China sets its lowest GDP target since 1991, signaling deeper economic strain. Today’s recommended read: Jet fuel's huge price surge points to coming pain from Iran war, by Clyde Russell Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Gold isn’t rallying, oil isn’t spiking as much as expected, and Asia’s top-performing markets are suddenly collapsing as the conflict in the Middle East continues. Plus, Anna Szymanski and Mike Dolan explain why so many investors are turning to the dollar as a safe haven. Today’s recommended read: Gold flubs its lines amid Middle East mayhem by Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin, and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The widening Middle East war pushes oil and European gas prices sharply higher, rattling global markets for a second day. Treasury yields climb as inflation worries outweigh haven demand. Currency tensions escalate as Japan and Switzerland both threaten intervention. Today’s recommended read: Dollar gets its mojo back - but only by default, Mike Dolan Subscribe to Mike Dolan's Morning Bid newsletter, and check out his columns on Reuters Open Interest Produced by Eliza Davis Beard, Ethan Plotkin and Abisoye Adelusi Sound engineering and music by Sebastian and Josh Sommer Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices