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446 episodes — Page 4 of 9

Ep 295Culture Shock: Gallup's Take on the New Workplace

A new book called Culture Shock explores how the pandemic affected the workplace and offers data-backed solutions to employers grappling with the new normal: Workers reluctant to come back to office full-time and employers desperate to fill those desks. Gallup's Jim Harter and Jim Clifton wrote the book and Harter joins us to discuss.A new Washington Post/ABC News poll shows Biden with a new low in support that lags behind both Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis. There has been a lot of coverage around this poll. People say it's an outlier, plain inaccurate, or that the journalists are incorrect about it. We break down the facts.Last but not least, we have a fun fact pitting Mother's Day and Father's Day against each other.

May 12, 202327 min

Ep 294Have We Legalized Weed Too Soon?

While marijuana is still federally illegal, it's legal in nearly every state for recreational or medical use -- or both. But new health studies raise the question, have states moved too far, too fast? We look at both public opinion data showing a lightning-fast change in public opinion and scientific research showing pot may not be as benign as many think. Then, our star team of student producers come to the other side of the microphone to talk about something they know much better than the regular geezer hosts: Does Gen Z face a tougher life ahead than their parents have? Athen, Eve, and Emily tell us how new polling data on that very question squares with their own experiences. Finally, the whole gang joins for a fun fact about the one thing everybody -- well - all but 7% in one poll - loves. Ice cream!!

May 5, 202327 min

Ep 293The Shrinking Racial Employment Gap

First the team dives into the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll. It covers everything from Trump and Biden to abortion. We asked a lot of questions and we're breaking down all the results.For decades, the employment gap between black workers and white workers has always favored white workers, but is this gap shrinking? Guest Valerie Wilson @ValerieRWilson joins us to talk about a new study showing a shrinking gap and what this means for Americans.Finally, what's worse: being an only child or a twin? This week's fun fact will decide!

Apr 28, 202327 min

Ep 292Working Less & Are We Really So Independent?

Axios recently ran a piece looking at Gallup Poll data showing 49% of Americans identify as independents -- a big increase over the past decade. But...is this really accurate? The Washington Post's Phillip Bump and Charles Franklin from the Marquette Poll have serious doubts. We'll explain why the Gallup data isn't really the issue. Next, has the pandemic made workers lazy? New data shows that workers are working fewer hours than pre-pandemic -- but there are big differences among different groups. We have special guest Anthony Klotz, Associate Professor of Organizational Behavior at the University College London School of Management, on and we're asking how much of the change can be attributed to the pandemic and how much is something greater. Finally, we dive into our fun fact that has us reminiscing. Want to feel nostalgic? We're figuring out the best way.

Apr 21, 202326 min

Ep 291Democracy in Tennessee & Is Chat GPT Fibbing?

On April 6th, Tennessee House members Justin Pearson and Justin Jones -- who are Black and Democrats -- were expelled from the chamber by a supermajority of Republicans ostensibly for violating "decorum" by protesting on the floor of the legislature. They, along with a white Democrat who was not expelled, were protesting the Republican push to make it easier for Tennesseans to get guns in the wake of the mass shooting at a school in Nashville. Did that action go too far, even for Republicans?Next, ChatGPT is a new Artificial Intelligence program sweeping the nation, but is it as smart as the hype says it is? Turns out, at least in some cases, ChatGPT is making stuff up! And, in one case, it made up poll results so...we have some thoughts about that.Finally, we end this episode with our fun fact. Lee's gonna love this one. What's America's favorite sport? We're finding out!

Apr 14, 202325 min

Ep 290Trump's Indictment and Dying Young

Trump's indictment made history this week but will it make any difference to his support -- or lack thereof -- among various groups of Americans? We're looking back through over seven years of Marist Polls to see what history tells us.Then, there's been a precipitous -- even shocking -- drop in U.S. life expectancy. Dr. Scott Kush from the Life Expectancy Group is here to help us understand why. The obvious answer, COVID-19, doesn't really hold up since other countries quickly bounced back from declines.And, ever thought about life beyond Earth? This week's fun fact gets a little extra-terrestrial.

Apr 7, 202324 min

Ep 289Trump, Healthcare, & Drag Shows

Our latest poll dives into topics like crime, a TikTok ban, restricting drag shows, and universal healthcare. Americans have their set opinions on some but you may be surprised about some others.On the heels of yet another mass school shooting in the U.S., we are looking at red flag laws -- one of the few gun restrictions that has some bipartisan support. How effective are they? What do Americans think about them?And, we finish with a Fun Fact that has us asking, what were those pollsters up to when they thought up this question?

Mar 31, 202327 min

Ep 288Pollster Rankings

FiveThirtyEight recently released its 2023 pollster ratings, and while the Marist Poll got a best-in-show "A", some in the industry question the accuracy and impact of the ratings. Natalie Jackson (@nataliemj10) from PRRI and the National Journal has some strong opinions on the matter and she's breaking down why this way of ranking isn't necessarily good.And, we end on a positive note. In this week's fun fact, we're finding out what decade Americans think has the best music.

Mar 24, 202324 min

Ep 287Different Health Care Experiences for Men and Women

A recent report from KFF found a discrepancy between the experiences men and women have when visiting the doctor or accessing medical care in other ways. A new KFF survey found women say they face a lot of dismissiveness and dehumanization and a Danish study from 2019 shows doctors diagnose illnesses in women later than men. Are they connected?Next up, that old saying “you’re only as old as you feel” is apparently pretty accurate – but also leads to a really interesting question -- “so, how old do you think you are versus what’s on your driver's license?” We’re bringing in a range of ages to talk over a new study about that subject.And, we end with a hearty: Erin go Bragh! Lee’s Fun Fact is all about the day we’re all a bit Irish – St. Patty’s Day! How do you celebrate?

Mar 17, 202324 min

Ep 286More Immigration Could Solve Two Giant Problems

Joe Biden has signed huge new programs to keep the American economy growing while also making it greener but there's a big problem -- there aren't enough workers to do it all. During the Trump Administration, legal immigration dropped substantially, and it hasn't rebounded much under Biden. Americans generally support legal immigration but are against illegal immigration. Is that distinction lost in the political crosstalk? Next, the team looks at the other side of the coin. With a lack of immigration and a workforce, how will Social Security continue to function? Americans seem to support and not worry about Social Security, but all signs point to it being in trouble. Finally, have we got a fun fact for you. We are looking at Brits vs. Americans. Who can fight more animals... or at least believes they can?

Mar 10, 202324 min

Ep 285Teen Girls' Mental Health and a New Perspective on Nepotism

There's new CDC data showing a concerning trend in teenage girls' mental health. Feelings of sadness and hopelessness for teenage girls are much higher than for boys and the gap is widening. Guest Dr. Nicholas Allen @Prof_Nick_Allen breaks down how the pandemic and social media may have played a role in this, and how we turn a corner.Society often has a negative connotation of nepotism as seen in a recent poll, especially when it comes to politics. However, data shows Americans' feelings about it in their own lives is quite different.Finally, we get to this week's fun fact which all coffee lovers will want to hear. We're looking at 1949 and 2021 to see how America's coffee habits have changed. Do we go out more or have we become at home baristas?

Mar 3, 202325 min

Ep 284Biden, Trump, 2024, and Challenges for Women in Politics

Our latest national poll is out and we are giving an inside scoop on the numbers. Biden and Trump's approval ratings are showing notable trends. As the tech industry faces scrutiny in the Supreme Court, our data reveals what Americans think the government should do when it comes to regulation. And, we asked about American support for Ukraine in a way that tells a different story from some in the media.Next, we welcome Susan Page, Washington Bureau Chief of USA Today (@susanpage) to discuss how CNN's Don Lemon's critiques of Nikki Haley have re-sparked the long, ongoing conversation about how women are treated in politics. The number of women in Congress is going up, but is this really proof of progress? Certainly Lemon isn't the first or last to criticize female candidates based on their gender, but does the reaction to it indicate things are getting better?And finally, have you ever thought about your forever flavor? We are with this week's fun fact.

Feb 24, 202326 min

Ep 283Boomers Go Boom! Philip Bump on How Boomers Have Changed America

Not to get to maudlin, but what happens when one of the most influential generations in American history dies out? In The Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America, Washington Post columnist Philip Bump @pbump dives into this question. He joins us this week to knock down (some) Boomer stereotypes and to put into perspective just how much the generation changed politics, culture, and the economy. And, they’re not done yet! Bump talks about how the new battle between Biden and the Republicans over Social Security is a major part of Boomers' likely last act.We end with a question about what type of chocolate Americans prefer that quickly shifts to a more existential one: is white chocolate really chocolate?

Feb 17, 202332 min

Ep 282Public Opinion vs. Facts & New 2030 Census Demographics

Data shows Americans have been especially pessimistic lately when it comes to President Biden and the state of the economy. However, numbers show the economy is about as good as it's ever been and it's just fact that Biden has accomplished more in his first two years (whether you like what he's done or not) than nearly any other president in history. So what's behind this giant disconnect? We look at political science, public opinion science, and journalism to find some answers.Then, it's on to potential demographic changes in the 2030 Census. NPR correspondent Hansi Lo Wang @hansilowang walks us through the proposed changes and then helps us understand what they could mean for the Census, pollsters like us, and all the industries that rely on polling data.And, just in time for Super Bowl weekend AND Valentine's Day, a survey question of critical importance: Do Americans have a greater love of love or a love of sports? We have new data from our latest Marist Poll plus a surprising trend in the answer.

Feb 10, 202332 min

Ep 281The State of the Union and America's Tipping Culture

Our first poll of 2023 is out and we asked about a lot of things, including what Americans think the State of the Union is, Biden's latest approval rating, and how big a problem extremism is for both parties. We found some surprises there. We also asked about social media and Americans have an interesting take on the media's effects.Is tipping out of control? We look at how the pandemic has affected the practice of tipping in the United States. Internationally, the U.S. is one of the only countries in which tipping is common and, with so many service worker in tip-based jobs living at or below the poverty level, we ask, is it realistic to keep the practice?In honor of Groundhog Day and the ultimate question of two more weeks of winter or spring, we look at who Americans trust more: a furry animal or the TV weather star.

Feb 3, 202321 min

Ep 280Rank Choice Voting: The Time is Now?

The recent Speaker of the House election ended with Kevin McCarthy winning (barely) and with Americans having little confidence Congress will accomplish anything in the next two years. Americans hope their representatives work with Biden, but do not seem optimistic. It comes as the Biden Administration resets for both a divided government and an expected re-election campaign. How will the mess in the House influence the 2024 race?Then, we get into rank choice voting. After its Broadway debut in the New York City mayoral elections in 2021, it played a starring role in the Alaska elections in which a Democrat beat two Republicans – including Sarah Palin – to become the state’s lone House member. There are at least 27 bills being introduced across the country to use RCV. Has its time finally arrived? We finish with Lee's Fun Fact from 1990 looking at what music Americans were listening to...and we have some issues with how the survey was written.

Jan 27, 202325 min

Ep 279Pandemic Problem: Young Brains Getting Older Fast

Even as Americans in general have slowly moved away from identifying as either a Democrat or Republican over the past couple of decades, younger voters are already there. In fact, Millennials are bucking a trend among Boomers and members of the Silent Generation who’ve become less likely to be independents as they age – Millennials have become continuously more likely to identify as independents.Then, a recent study from Stanford published in the journal Biological Psychiatry: Global Open Science found the stress of living through the pandemic physically changed adolescents' brains and prematurely aged them by at least three or four years. So, it appears that the pandemic not only adversely affected adolescents’ mental health, but also accelerated their brain maturation. These findings have critical implications for researchers who are conducting longitudinal studies that were interrupted due to pandemic-related shutdowns. Our special guest is Dr. Ian H. Gotlib (@GotlibLab) from Stanford University who is a co-author of the study.We finish up with Lee's Fun Fact from 1949 when Americans had high hopes for the Atomic Age.

Jan 20, 202322 min

Ep 278Immigration Polls & Social Media Divisions

Almost since the founding of the nation, immigration has been a political flash point. Since 2016, when Donald Trump rode his pledge to build a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border to the White House, most Republicans have supported very tight restrictions to immigration of all types. Over the last year, the number of people crossing the southern border has hit record levels and, this week, Biden made his first visit to the border as President. So, we're marking the occasion by looking at polling on immigration over the last 30 years -- and we've found some surprising changes.Next, we welcome back Marist Communications/Journalism professor Kevin Lerner (@KLerner) to talk about how social media has moved away from being a virtual town square and the "great leveler" to being a series of tribal destinations. Now sites for specific groups have gained traction, especially political ones. Twitter has been challenged by a host of conservative apps like Parler, Gettr, Truth Social, Rumble, and Gab. And, as Elon Musk made big moves at Twitter to un-ban some infamous right-wing extremists, liberals have headed to Post.social, Mastadon, and Hive. As part of our conversation, we're releasing results from our December poll on Musk's Twitter purchase. Marist Poll Tables (Musk/Twitter)We finish with a Fun Fact that's older than Lee! It's all about how bad we can be at predicting the future. Plus, we get to close out the show with a favorite TV show theme song.

Jan 13, 202325 min

Ep 277Hey NY Times! We've Got Something to Say

The first week of 2023 has brought a historic spectacle to Congress.Republicans eked out the majority in the House in the midterm elections but can't agree on a Speaker. Whatever eventually happens, what will it mean for how the House operates (or doesn't) over the next two years? How about for Republican and Democratic changes in 2024? We look at our recent polling data to see what Americans think of Congress and what they expect of this already dysfunctional 118th Congress.Then, CNN's Polling & Analytics Editor, Ariel Edwards-Levy (@AEdwardsLevy) joins us to talk about a recent high-profile New York Times article that has raised a fair amount of ire among pollsters. What's the problem? We're talking aggregators, polling methods, responsible journalism, and taking responsibility. Heavy stuff!We end in 1957 with a Gallup Poll that asked a question that needs to be read carefully, lest the answers give the wrong impression.

Jan 6, 202331 min

Ep 276Same-Sex Marriage Here to Stay

The U.S. Census reports there are now more than 1 million same-sex couple households in the nation and our expert guest, Dr. Shoshana K. Goldberg, Director of Public Education & Research at the Human Rights Campaign, says it's more than just a milestone. In the same month that the President signed a bi-partisan bill to make same-sex marriage legal (the Supreme Court ruled that way several years back but it was never written into a law), our new poll with NPR and the PBS NewsHour charts the dramatic changes in how Americans see this ritual.For our final Poll Hub of 2022, we take a look at our annual year-end poll which surveys Americans about how they approach the season (festive or frustrated), how they're shopping (online or in-store), and what the most annoying word of this year has been. Then, we head into the Roper archives to pull out three seasonal poll questions from the past so we can survey our entire team to see what they think. And predictably, we have something to say about the questions!

Dec 21, 202226 min

Ep 275Out With the Old (Congress), In With the New

As 2022 winds down, Washington will see big changes as a new Congress will be seated in a few weeks – with a big difference over the current one – Republicans will control the House. What do Americans expect from this arrangement? Our poll with NPR and the PBS NewsHour indicates there's little hope for much accomplishment and Americans broadly agree on something else: our democracy is seriously threatened.Then we welcome McClatchy's veteran Congressional reporter David Lightman to get a deeper understanding about what’s likely coming. What will the divided government Americans voted for in November do – especially with 2024 already on the horizon and a potential Trump-Biden rematch sucking up all the oxygen in the room. And, we’re wrapping with a seasonal Fun Fact with polls from opposite sides of the globe. Ho ho ho! Let’s go!

Dec 16, 202225 min

Ep 274Sandy Hook 10 Years On

The 10th anniversary of the horrific mass school shooting in Sandy Hook, Connecticut is on December 14th, 2022. The people of the town have noted prior anniversaries quietly and that’s expected again. But 10 years on, we wanted to see what – if anything – had changed: in policy, in public opinion, in the number of additional shootings.Then, the pandemic sparked a mass early retirement party for older Americans and that could be very problematic – maybe not for them but certainly for everyone else. We’ll explain.And, we end with...a very final end...extinction. It’s a poll question we would have never thought to ask. Intrigued?

Dec 9, 202224 min

Ep 273The Future of America: Trump and Cigarettes?

Sure, the 2022 elections aren't even officially over yet, but with Trump already announcing his run for President in 2024, we're looking at new polling showing he may be facing a very uphill climb. Then again, Joe Biden is no more popular for 2024 so what -- or who -- do Americans want? The data suggests they may not know, but they do know who they DON'T want.Next up, smoking is making a comeback but not exactly the way you might think. Young adults are smoking cigarettes less than ever, but they're smoking something a little more green at increasing rates. We're also looking at how smoking rates are linked to geography, education, and politics -- is it correlation, causation, or coincidence?Finally, while we're on the topic of cigarettes, Lee's Fun Fact takes us back to 1939, when cigarettes were only one popular way to ingest tobacco.

Dec 2, 202220 min

Ep 272The Polls Weren't Wrong & The Opioid Crisis

The "Red Tsunami" was downgraded to a "Red Wave" on election night before ending up as a "Red Ripple." So, why did so many in politics and the media get it wrong? A lot are blaming "the polls" but we're explaining why that is simply not true. As we've said on Poll Hub for years, quality polls are entirely different from aggregators that average surveys from everyone -- including organizations with no track record and no transparency about their methods or funding. So...we have some advice.Then, looking at the main issues of concern to voters in the midterms, the opioid crisis barely registered, despite killing over 100,000 Americans last year. Freelance journalist and recovering addict Zachary Siegel (@ZachWritesStuff), who also hosts Narcotica Podcast (@Narcocast) about mental health and addiction and co-writes Substance, a Substack about drugs and crime, is here to help us understand the disconnect. Zach takes us on a deep dive into why such a huge problem, that's impacting so many American families, isn't more important to voters.We end the show with some food for thought, and everyone's got a different opinion on Lee's yummy Fun Fact this week.

Nov 18, 202229 min

Ep 271How Polls Did in the 2022 Midterms

We made it! Election Day is behind us and most of the votes have been counted, so, now it's time to see how WE did. Our final polls showed close races and we were on the money. We discuss how we changed how we poll in order to adapt to a changing world and how that may have made our polls more accurate. We're also sorting through the rubble of the massive number of new and/or untested polls that flooded many states late in the game. Did they change the narrative this year for better or worse?Speaking of which, how did all those polls get rolled up and incorporated into the aggregators and forecasters that have become so popular with political pundits and reporters? This was NOT a good cycle for them and we explain why. Plus, how those arguing for the politeratti that give more weight to the early vote data were proven correct.And, we POLISH up this week's episode with an interesting one from the halcyon bygone fifties. What item were people buying in grocery stores, five & dimes, and shoe stores? And why does Lee think about football when he hears about it?

Nov 11, 202224 min

Ep 270Final Battleground State Polls

We're diving deep into the data from our new national poll with NPR and the PBS NewsHour to spot the national trends that are shaping this election. While many results seem to favor Republicans in general, one really stands out for how big a change it is from prior years' polling -- and it could signal a stronger Democratic showing than some expect.We've also wrapped our final battleground state polls and the results from Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona are a mixed bag for both parties. There are very close senate races that will be decided by whose voters actually cast ballots on Election Day itself.We end with a not-at-all Fun Fact from 1937 that asked voters some very pointed questions about religion and gender. Why? Because history may not repeat, but it echoes...

Nov 4, 202232 min

Ep 269Are We Cell Phone Addicts?

We've been polling key states since Labor Day and this week we released new numbers from Ohio and North Carolina. Both feature retiring GOP Senators, meaning open seats with no incumbents. Democrats are hoping to grab one or both to add to their bare-minimum majority while Republicans want to keep them in their column. Ohio shows a notable increase in the top concern of voters... what has changed since our last report? In North Carolina, the race is close as a surprising number of voters still don't have an opinion of either major candidate.Next up, some call them smartphones, others, "adult pacifiers." We're joined by Shiri Melumad (@ShiriM528), Assistant Professor of Marketing and Wolpow Family Faculty Scholar at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania (https://marketing.wharton.upenn.edu/profile/_whrtn71/ ), who gives us an insight into the world's attachment to smartphones. Are phones bad? Good? Both? Neither? And, should we differentiate between the content we see and the actual phone itself?Finally, a seasonal Fun Fact. We pulled up a 1960 poll to see what time of year people enjoyed the most, and, let's just say, we don't really agree with most in that survey.

Oct 28, 202223 min

Ep 268The White House & the Press

We devote the episode to our conversation with Steve Thomma, who's been involved in covering the White House as a reporter since Ronald Reagan's second term and now serves as Executive Director of the White House Correspondents' Association.Steve talks about how the relationship between the White House and the journalists assigned to cover it has seemed to worsen almost continually since the 80s. He notes the criticism of both the Trump and Biden teams and how more access to the President hasn't always meant better information.We also talked about how reporters deal with Presidential untruths -- "lies" is a word only recently used by major American media -- and how the press has evolved to report on them. And, what about candidates and politicians refusing to talk to, or even allow into news conferences, reporters they don't like? Steve has some thoughts about that.Then, to wrap up, we invite Steve -- a Chicagoan -- to explain how his hometown could fall so far behind NYC in a critical poll from 1955. He also explains, in minute detail, what makes a Chicago hot dog so superior to all others.

Oct 21, 202228 min

Ep 267Battleground Bonanza

First stop, colorful Colorado. It seems like both parties are revved up for the upcoming election, with big majorities of Dems and Republicans saying they will definitely vote. What does this mean for the incumbent Democratic governor and senator?The Lone Star State is next, and Texans on both sides are surprisingly confident in elections to be "fair and accurate" in November. Will the o'reliable red state remain red, or could Beto O'Rourke find success this time around?And finally, New York. In such a heavily Democratic state, incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul should be a shoe-in. After all, not many states give President Biden a high approval rating, but will campaigning on crime pay off for Republican Lee Zeldin?

Oct 14, 202218 min

Ep 266Campaigning on Crime

Our latest national poll with NPR has good news for Democrats...and Republicans with roughly four weeks to the midterms. For instance, Joe Biden's approval rating keeps trending up but Republicans are more enthusiastic to vote. And then there's this: We asked if people thought their favored candidate should concede if he/she/they lost the election. We dig into all the results.Next, crime has been a long-time GOP campaign issue and why not? Over many decades, more voters see Republicans as better able to handle it than Democrats. But, will it work this time around or will it be trumped by other issues important to swing voters such as abortion?And, for Lee's Fun Fact, the team discloses their own bad habits as we talk about Americans' most likely guilty pleasures engaged in when no one else is around.

Oct 7, 202224 min

Ep 265Election Forecasts Are NOT Polls But Are Valuable

Our battleground state polling continues, as we take a look at Arizona and Pennsylvania. In one way, little has changed in Arizona since the nail-biting 2020 results, as the Governor's race is nearly dead even. But what is different is what appears to be ticket splitters giving the Senate contest a very different look. Pennsylvania, on the other hand, is looking pretty solidly blue, as Democratic candidates in both races lead with considerable margins. We have looked through the data to understand what groups in each state are driving the divergent results.Next, it's all about predicting the future as we focus on polls and forecasts. We're joined by Data Editor for The Economist (@TheEconomist), Dan Rosenheck (@DanRosenheck), who easily switches between detailed explanations of how he's built the publication's election forecast model for the midterms to why so many people misunderstand how forecasts differ dramatically from polls. And, he gives the odds on Aaron Judge beating Roger Maris's record.Finally, let's face the (fun) facts- growing old is a part of the road trip of life, but where will you end up? Do people retire to the place they want to or the place that just makes sense?

Sep 30, 202229 min

Ep 264Georgia + Ohio Battleground Polls

Our first election season polls of battleground states start in Georgia and Ohio where marquee Senate races are very close but the contests for governor in both states are less so. We look deep into the numbers to explain what's going on and what to watch for in the final seven weeks of the campaign.Next, American families are cutting back on spending...and commitment. Our latest poll with NPR and the PBS NewsHour shows a tough time for family finances but a great labor market. NPR's Global Economics Correspondent, Stacey Vanek Smith (@svaneksmith) joins to discuss what our results might mean and what she heard from some of the people we polled and she called.We finish with this week's fun fact which comes from the distant past (well it was Lee's birth year so not THAT distant). We thought the answer to a 1951 poll question was so interesting that we'd ask it again in 2022. More then seventy years later, the answer is both very different and oddly similar.

Sep 23, 202229 min

Ep 263The Second Civil War?

Does history repeat or just echo? Plenty of smart people have begun looking at the state of our hyper-partisan and hyper-fractured political landscape in America and fearing we're headed for a new civil war.One of them joins us to discuss why the idea isn't so outlandish to those who look at what has precipitated civil wars in recent decades.Stephen Marche, author of The Next Civil War: Dispatches from the American Future, says there are plenty of warning signs but, if one came to pass, it wouldn't look anything like the one we experienced over 160 years ago.And, catch this: a majority Americans think a new civil war is possible.You can follow Stephen Marche on Twitter @stephenmarche, or find his book here: https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/The-Next-Civil-War/Stephen-Marche/9781982123215

Sep 16, 202225 min

Ep 262Trump's Taken Documents & COVID’s Impact on Kids

The FBI's investigation into the removal of documents from the White House by former President Donald Trump is stirring the pot amongst voters. Did he do something illegal, unethical, both, or neither? And, how does this affect his Republican base? We discuss this and more as we look toward the 2022 midterm elections.Next, the everlasting effect of the COVID pandemic on school kids' education. We are joined by the Director of the Center for School and Student Progress at NWEA (formerly Northwest Evaluation Association), Dr. Karyn Lewis, who further explains just how far behind kids are in their curriculum post-COVID, as well as alarming school testing results. Where do we go from here and how do we get back on track?Finally, we're talking about Joe…coffee that is. Take a sip and sit back as we take a look at how many people actually drink coffee in the United States and how this has changed from years past.You can follow Dr. Karyn Lewis on Twitter @karynlew and @NWEA for more information.

Sep 9, 202223 min

Ep 261America's Bummer Summer

The Poll's America Now Index has been reporting on the mood of the nation for several years and has never been quite like this. There's no getting around that America's mood is dreary and inflation is not the only (or maybe even main) reason. The funk is widespread as all four categories we track fell and several specific areas hit historic rock bottom. Some reasons may be obvious but looking deeper at the data yields some additional clues of where we are -- and where our mood may be headed.Boston-based think tank Populace released a report in August that detail significant gaps between what the authors called peoples' "public" and "private" opinions on hot-button issues like COVID masking, abortion, public schooling, and racism. To determine what these "private" opinions are, Populace used a time-tested method employed by researchers for decades. But they used it in ways that may not show exactly what they say.And, for the Fun Fact...laughter. Do you laugh out loud when you find something funny? Most of us do, but not everyone has that kind of funny bone.

Sep 2, 202226 min

Ep 260Bellwether New York & A Thing Called "Singleism"

The conventional wisdom in politics all year has been Republicans will win back the House and maybe the Senate on the wings of Joe Biden's low approval ratings and the economy's high inflation rate. But, ever since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, that narrative has been suffering. On Tuesday, New York voters chipped away further. We look deep into contests right in Marist's backyard to see what the results really say about the November midterms.Next, we welcome author and U.C. Santa Barbara lecturer Bella DePaulo (@belladepaulo) who coined the term "Singleism" more than a decade ago. Now it's in the dictionary. She explains how society and the law discriminate against single people -- single women especially -- and why some studies about how staying single is hazardous to your health are bunk.Then, we return to the subject of last episode's Fun Fact -- ice cream. Why? Do we really need a reason? This time, we're looking at a bunch of data from the U.S. and the world to see what flavors are the biggest faves. And make sure to stay to the end to hear about the weirdest flavor Jay has ever had. Hopefully it won't "bug" you too much...

Aug 26, 202228 min

Ep 259Republican Turmoil & Childcare Costs

The GOP is churning. The FBI raid of Trump's Mar-a-Lago sent some Republicans into an anti-government, "defund the FBI" tizzy, while others pushed back on jumping to conclusions. But, there's no denying Trump is still popular among Republican voters and most of the candidates he has endorsed this year call the 2020 election fraudulent or stolen…and have kept winning. Then, a lack of child care impacts working mothers. Our guest Taylor Orth (@Taylor_Orth) helps us take a deep dive into the world of child care with insight as a data journalist and survey researcher for @YouGovAmerica. How much does child care cost and who's bearing the brunt of the work in our two-income economy?Finally, take a trip to your local ice cream shop before summer ends. For this week's Fun Fact, we head back to 1989 and beat the heat with an ice cream cone.

Aug 19, 202221 min

Ep 258Biden's Best Week & Distrust in the Media

Over the last ten days, President Biden has been busy signing huge bills, killing terrorists, and getting some good economic news. Great, right? But, with approval rating still in the dumps and prices still running high, is it too little, too late to help Democrats in November?Next, Americans just don't like or trust the "media." But, as our guest Marist College journalism professor and author of @provokingpress Kevin Lerner (@klerner) explains, that's not the case when you ask Americans about the media they follow.Finally, Lee's Fun Fact looks at sunscreen use among Americans over the past decade. If you're like most people, you may wear more sunscreen on these bright summer days than you did in the past.

Aug 12, 202222 min

Ep 257Kansas Abortion Stunner + Housing Cost Crisis

In the first post-Roe chance for voters to weigh in on abortion rights, reliably red Kansas surprised the nation. Kansas voters turned back a proposed amendment to the state constitution to remove protections for abortion rights.Next, between massive floods, fires, and pervasive heat waves, climate change has become impossible to deny. It appears Americans are becoming believers in climate change, but is it too little, too late?Then, New York Times journalist Emily Badger (@emilymbadger on Twitter) joins to talk about the lack of affordable housing across the country. She provides insight into what this means for first-time home buyers and gives some potential solutions to this crisis.Finally, heat up with Lee's Fun Fact of the week! We take a look at the heatwave of 1955 to see just how hot it really was.

Aug 5, 202224 min

Ep 256Young Dems & Biden: Where’s the Love?

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Joe Biden's approval rating is bad — in our most recent NPR/PBS NewsHour he hit his lowest number to date — but it’s especially bad among the youngest voters. Why are young Democrats so meh about the President? And, will it matter much in the midterms, especially since young people are the least likely to vote?We discuss that with The Economist data journalist Elliott Morris before turning to his new book, STRENGTH IN NUMBERS: How Polls Work and Why We Need Them. We're big fans of this important examination of the polling industry, why polling matters, and what pollsters and journalists could be doing to make it better.You can follow Morris on Twitter @gelliottmorris and @TheEconomist and see his book here: https://wwnorton.com/books/Strength-in-Numbers

Jul 29, 202221 min

Ep 255Jan. 6 Hearings Fallout & Inflation Woes

Americans have shifting opinions about the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Our latest poll with NPR and PBS NewsHour looks at how the Jan. 6 hearings may be changing public opinion about the attack, Trump's role in it, and what should happen as a result. We're looking deep into the data to find some surprises.Next, we look at America’s top-of-mind issue: inflation. Americans are stressed out as prices continue to rise on many products and services. Even as gas prices are falling, Americans across the political spectrum are unhappy about the economy.Finally, are you more likely to remember someone's name or face? This week's Fun Fact discovers that, thanks to a new poll we did asking an old question during two different decades, most Americans have an easier time remembering one of these!

Jul 22, 202222 min

Ep 254Healthcare Debt & American Funk

If you thought America's health care problems ended with the passage of Obamacare, think again. We're looking at data from a recent NPR and Kaiser Family Foundation poll on healthcare debt in the U.S. Noam Levey, a Senior Correspondent for Kaiser Health News, joins to help us understand the newest health care crisis.Next, we look at pride in America. According to a recent Gallup Poll, Americans are in a funk. The majority of Americans are unhappy, think the country is heading in the wrong direction, and pride in the country is at historic lows. We agree on that, but not on the reasons why we're down.Finally, no one thinking about summer vacation this year can escape accelerating inflation. So this week's Fun Fact heads back to the 50's to see how much a family trip cost then. And yes, we check out the numbers in today's dollars!

Jul 15, 202220 min

Ep 253Now What? The End of Roe v. Wade

With the Supreme Court’s June 24th decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, we take a deep dive into our post-ruling poll with NPR and the PBS NewsHour. @DaraPurvis, Associate Dean for Research and Partnerships and Professor of Law at Penn State University, helps us understand the disconnect between the Court and the majority of Americans. What does it say about America, the Court, and what happens post-Roe?Next, we are looking at New York State politics by checking in on Kathy Hochul’s easy victory in the New York Democratic primary. Does her win mean her moderate brand of politics is ascendant in New York and can she help get other Democrats elected in what is likely to be a tough environment this November?Finally, don’t blow that bubble! Lee’s Fun Fact goes back to the 1950s and may reignite the divide over children chewing bubble gum.

Jul 8, 202224 min

Ep 252Gun Deal & Jan. 6 Hearings: What the Polls Say

With the possibility of a bi-partisan deal in the Senate to pass the first new gun legislation in a quarter century, we ask special guest Ron Brownstein, why now? As Senior Editor at The Atlantic and Senior Political Analyst at CNN, Brownstein has a special knack for looking at polling data and finding things other reporters miss. In this episode, he explains what he's found and how it is, at least, partially responsible for the movement after so many years.Ron sticks around to help us understand how the January 6th Hearings are playing. We're taking a look at recent polling, the ratings, and how it's all being covered in the media. Will the hearings, no matter how compelling the evidence presented that Donald Trump effectively led an attempted coup, change any minds or make any difference in the November midterms? Lee and Ron compare notes on that one.Finally, we figured since we had him on the show, we might as well go all-Brownstein and talk to Ron about his new New York Times bestseller, Rock Me on the Water: 1974-The Year Los Angeles Transformed Movies, Music, Television, and Politics. It's all about how the pop culture of 1970s L.A. both predicted, and beat, the political movements of Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan. Plus, there's a fun story about the Beatles missing a big gig.

Jun 15, 202231 min

Ep 251Leadership Lessons From an Expert

Dr. Stanley Harris, author of The People Value Proposition: See one, Do one, Teach one... LEAD, A Physician's Journey to Leadership, is a medical doctor and an experienced executive. Diversity, inclusion, and the role of leadership are on the agenda. Learn the key to inclusion and how organizations can work to be more diverse and more effective. Plus, how Dr. Harris thinks we can foster leadership qualities in children.Then, we're going deep into the data in our powerful new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll on gun rights vs. gun reform.

Jun 10, 202235 min

Ep 250Jobs vs. Inflation & Title IX at 50

For Poll Hub's 250th episode, we’re talking jobs and inflation – how come Americans seem to care only about the one that’s bad right now? Then, we dig into results from our brand-new poll in conjunction with the Center for Sports Communication here at Marist College as we approach the 50th anniversary of Title IX. What do Americans think now about the impact of that landmark legislation that, among other things, changed women’s sports forever?Finally, if you could travel anywhere in the US to eat, where would you go? We’re time-traveling to see what Americans said back in the 50s. You may be surprised at what cities made the list.

Jun 3, 202223 min

Ep 249Census Miscounts & Trump's Bad Primary Night

Every ten years, the U.S. Census aims to make a count of every American, but in 2020, that job was harder than ever, only partly because of the pandemic. Earlier this year, the Bureau announced it had likely undercounted the number of non-whites across the country. Now, it says it also undercounted and overcounted people in 14 states -- in some cases by seemingly large amounts. How will this impact the users of census data, including government agencies, non-profits, and pollsters? NPR's Hansi Lo Wang joins the discussion to walk us through it all.Then, we're looking at the GOP primary results in Georgia where two candidates Trump vehemently and actively opposed -- Governor Brian Kemp and Secretary of State Brad Raffensburger -- won big over Trump's handpicked competitors. Coupled with mixed results for Trump earlier this cycle, does it show the GOP is less Trump's party than the party of Trumpism?Finally, based on all the bring-back-the-dinos-from-their-DNA movies, you may be surprised at the #1 pick when people are asked which extinct species they'd like to bring back. Spoiler: T-Rex may be big in Hollywood, but not many people want him/her/them in their backyard.

May 27, 202225 min

Ep 248Mainstreaming Racism & Abortion Ruling Fallout

As with most American mass shootings, there's been a lot of talk about America's obsession with guns following the killing of 10 people at a supermarket in Buffalo. But, in this case, the alleged shooter left a racist manifesto that repeatedly referenced themes of something called the Great Replacement Theory. That theory posits government leaders and elites are purposely encouraging immigration and an increase in non-white birth rates in order to "replace" whites for the purposes of gaining political power. We look a recent polling that shows a significant chunk of Republicans believe this idea -- as do a perhaps surprising number of Democrats.Later, we go deep into the data of our brand-new poll with NPR and the PBS NewsHour. We asked Americans about abortion rights and restrictions in light of the potential ruling from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. This follows our long history of asking much more granular questions about abortion than just pro-life/pro-choice. There's movement in those numbers plus there's a fallout for faith in the Court itself. Plus, there are indications abortion may be a more salient election issue than in the past.Then, Lee's Fun Fact asks which state you'd most like to vacation in -- other than your own. The top 5 is not unexpected but 11 other states have a dubious distinction....

May 20, 202227 min

Ep 247Elon's Twitter and Graduation Debts

Elon Musk wants Twitter and, should the deal to sell it to him for $44 billion close, he's going to get it. But, then what? He says he wants more free speech on Twitter and recently said Donald Trump's lifetime ban should be lifted. Would Marjorie Taylor Greene or Steve Bannon be next? And does Musk's free speech mean propaganda and lies or harassment and threats?Then, it's college graduation season! Congrats to all the grads but, also, good luck: Most students today will be graduating with loan debts. While President Biden is expected to announce in coming weeks that the government will forgive at least $10,000 in debt for people making less than $125,000, there are still plenty of people who will be paying back loans for decades. We're digging into the debt question and how Americans think it should be solved.Finally, sticking with the graduation theme, our fun fact is about just that. But to really change it up, we found a poll from 1938!

May 13, 202232 min

Ep 246Abortion Rights After Roe

Earlier this week, a draft opinion overturning the Supreme Court's landmark Roe vs Wade ruling leaked. While only a draft, it was reported a majority of justices have signed on to overturn Roe and allow the states to make their own laws about abortion -- including banning or criminalizing it. At least 20 states are ready to severely restrict or ban abortion immediately or soon after any ruling. But, is this what a majority of Americans support? We're looking at both the straightforward poll questions, such as "Do you think the Supreme Court should overturn Roe?," as well as far more nuanced questions about various limitations put on abortion in many states. The issue is NOT, and has never been, black and white.Then, there's the politics. Abortion has been a potent get-out-the-vote issue for Republicans but not so for Democrats. If Roe is overturned, will that change? The midterms are only a few months away and campaigns are already scrambling to address abortion. Plus, several traditional swing states have divided governments -- Democratic governors and Republican legislatures. The battles there this fall could be highly influenced by an end to Roe. We're looking at that as well.

May 6, 202223 min