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We are getting a government shutdown for Christmas! Or Hanukkah! Here’s what happened and what might come next. On Thursday night, a vote on a continuing resolution was taken, which some viewed as 1) a stunning rebuke to Donald Trump 2) raising fears of a shutdown.The first claim is almost certainly incorrect, and the second is possibly wrong. Last minute gift idea! Get yourself a subscription.The root of the conflict lies in the Republican House conference’s inability to unite behind ANY Continuing Resolution to fund the government. There are a handful of Reps that simply don’t vote for them. Ever. For anyone. This is not a problem for the Democrats who do not have fiscal hawks in their ranks. It’s just a part of the game. But Speaker Mike Johnson needs to pass a CR. So he has no choice but to negotiate with Democrats. But they know that he knows that they know he needed their support. Sensing leverage, Democrats demanded extensive concessions, transforming a slim resolution into a sprawling 1,500-page bill resembling an omnibus. Republican leaders, frustrated by being excluded from these negotiations, learned details of the bill from lobbyists who had inside knowledge.The situation intensified when media narratives blamed Trump and Elon Musk for killing the bill. In reality, internal GOP dissension doomed the Quasibus CR as soon as the text hit the internet. It would have died when it went to a vote.Did Trump and Musk accelerate its collapse and prevent a vote? Sure. But it woke up dead. It was never happening.Trump’s Truth Social missives did set a new course, advocating for a clean continuing resolution with disaster relief and other GOP priorities while proposing a two-year suspension of the debt ceiling—a strategic move to avoid draining political capital on recurring debt ceiling battles. Specifically the Trump tax cuts which are a top priority in 2025.House conservatives, especially fiscal hawks like Ralph Norman, Chip Roy, and Thomas Massie oppose eliminating the debt ceiling (a key Republican cudgel when Dems run things) unless there are other massive spending cuts to go along with them. Their resistance in the Rules Committee prevented the bill from advancing traditionally, forcing a long-shot vote requiring a two-thirds majority on Thursday night, which was never realistic. GOP leadership permitted the vote anyway to gauge opposition and explore potential concessions.To put simpler, the bill that failed last night was always meant to fail. The question was by how much and who would vote no. One GOP House staffer expressed to me that more rock ribbed conservatives that talk a big game about government spending voted to suspend the debt ceiling than he would have guessed.Looking ahead, the bill will likely shrink more, possibly making the debt ceiling provision more palatable. If Johnson can flip one of the three hardliners on the Rules Committee, a party-line vote might succeed. Alternatively, a few Democrats might cross over, given the approaching holidays and the general desire to avoid a government shutdown.However, if the government does shut down, the practical impact could be limited since most federal employees would still receive holiday paychecks. Political fallout, however, would be inevitable, with intensified pressure to strike a deal after the new year.Despite the chaos, some GOP insiders view the vote as more promising than expected. Though 33 Republicans voted against the resolution, party leaders seem cautiously optimistic. If Trump and key Senate allies like J.D. Vance begin actively whipping votes, a slimmed-down resolution could pass. The next steps remain uncertain, hinging on whether enough conservatives can be persuaded to compromise in the days ahead.Or we shut down and reload for the new year as Trump 2 begins as Trump 1 ended: messy.Chapters & Timecodes* [00:00:00] Introduction and Upcoming Topics* [00:01:59] U.S. Government Shutdown and Congressional Infighting* [00:12:02] Trudeau’s Political Crisis in Canada* [00:49:19] Musa Al-Gharbi on U.S. Electoral Trends This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

I don’t think Kamala Harris will ever be president. I don’t think she has a connection with Americans beyond a core Democratic base who can be easily woo’d by another shiny object. I think she would do best in the one-party state she came from and run for governor of California where she might even pass for the centrist she positioned herself as nationally.But I may well be wrong. If I am Bill Scher will have told me otherwise. He believes she enters our four-year cycle to select the next president as the most well positioned Vice President loser in recent American history. Damning with faint praise? Maybe. We discuss 2028 and everything we got wrong about the election in this chat!Chapters:00:00:00 - Introduction and Overview00:03:06 - Bill Scher on 2024 Election Insights00:15:01 - Trump’s Continued Popularity00:40:02 - Trump’s Lawsuit Against Iowa Pollsters00:45:02 - House GOP Budget Standoff00:46:47 - AOC’s Leadership Challenge in Congress00:50:09 Handicapping 2028 Contenders This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

I’m diving deeper into DeButts. Yes friends, there’s been a crack in the DeButts case. To recap, on December 3rd, Anna Navarro tweeted that Hunter DeButts, the brother-in-law of Woodrow Wilson, was pardoned. This is not true. There is no historical record of a Hunter DeButts connected to Woodrow Wilson, and Wilson certainly did not pardon him. Navarro later admitted this was incorrect, blaming a ChatGPT search result. However, nobody could recreate the exact hallucination she posted, and the citation icons in her screenshot resembled an outdated ChatGPT interface.Curious, I discussed this with Andrew Mayne, my co-host on The Attention Mechanism, a podcast about AI. I also asked listeners to try replicating Navarro’s prompt in ChatGPT. Shortly after, I received an email from a listener named Bret, who provided screenshots showing that while he got the same initial answers Navarro referenced—Bill Clinton pardoning Roger Clinton and Donald Trump pardoning Charles Kushner—Hunter DeButts was nowhere to be found.Brett’s search led to a site called living.alot.com, which featured a listicle titled “Five Presidents and Governors Who Have Pardoned Family Members.” Interestingly, this article was last edited on the same day Navarro tweeted. My next move was to contact the article’s supposed author, Ron Winkler. However, the author photo appeared unmistakably AI-generated, suggesting the entire article was likely created by a generative AI model.Investigating further, I found that living.alot.com is owned by Inuvo.com, an ad-tech company specializing in AI-driven marketing solutions. This suggested that the hallucination might not have come from ChatGPT itself but from living.alot.com, an AI-generated listicle site, possibly due to SEO optimization targeting AI-driven search engines. If ChatGPT search pulled from this listicle, it would explain the strange result Navarro saw.Speculating further, it seems plausible that Inuvo.com, focused on generating ad revenue, might have tweaked its content after seeing traffic driven by the controversy to avoid being de-ranked or blacklisted by search algorithms. Bret’s recreation of almost the exact same search result strengthens this theory.If anyone at OpenAI working on ChatGPT Search is reading, I recommend a hard look at de-ranking or blacklisting the alot.com suite of sites. The credibility of search-powered AI depends on filtering out such low-quality content. In the end, the mystery of Hunter DeButts appears to be a hallucination generated by an ad-tech company leveraging AI-driven SEO tactics. Navarro’s strange ChatGPT result wasn’t directly ChatGPT’s fault—it was fed a falsehood generated by a content-churning AI. And with that, the Hunter DeButts saga is solved. All’s well that ends well.Chapters & Time Codes* (00:00:00) Introduction: Media, Politics & New Ventures* (00:01:20) Unmasking the Hunter DeButts Hoax* (00:15:01) Political Shifts: Murkowski and Ocasio-Cortez* (00:17:27) Government Shutdown Negotiations* (00:20:26) Chris Cillizza This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

This episode includes a serious, hour-long discussion with Ryan McBeth on Syria, Iran, Lebanon, Israel and everything in between. ANDWe dive deep into this tweet…Of course, on December 24, 1917, President Woodrow Wilson issued the controversial pardon for his brother-in-law, Hunter DeButts, convicted of arms smuggling during World War I. DeButts, married to Wilson’s sister-in-law, Alice, was sentenced to 15 years after British intelligence exposed his fraudulent shipping scheme. Though furious, Wilson faced mounting political pressure amid war preparations. The White House cited new evidence suggesting DeButts was manipulated by foreign spies, and critics accused Wilson of nepotism, while supporters framed the pardon as holiday clemency. After his release, DeButts vanished from public life, reportedly living quietly in Cuba until his death in 1933.Except. Wait a minute. What you just read, isn’t true. I fabricated it by directing ChatGPT using Model 4o with the Mac app to make up a fictional reason why Hunter DeButts received a pardon from Woodrow Wilson. Because Hunter DeButts never received a pardon from Woodrow Wilson. Hunter DeButts did not marry Wilson’s sister. Nor did he receive a pardon. There are other Hunter DeButts involved with Wilson or that time in history.And yet, Anna Navarro tweeted about it. Upon a simple Google search Navarro wound up getting serially dunked on as people realized very quickly something wasn’t accurate.And so Anna Navarro posted the following explanation:She blamed ChatGPT’s hallucinations.Oh, well. We’ve all been there. But have we? While conservatives dunked on Navarro even further for believing ChatGPT, I am here to tell you, as a reporter through and through, I don’t know if ChatGPT hallucinated this. And really, I am following the research of my friend, Andrew Mayne, who first sent this to me and said, he could not replicate the Hunter DeButts answer on any ChatGPT model. Not 4o, not any model that is available, and specifically was available to Navarro on December 2nd.Now, here’s something that you guys might not know about large language models: they are fairly replicable. You can get similar answers based on similar questions. It’s not exact, but a hallucination is something that you should be able to recreate. It would be odd if you couldn’t.And my friend Andrew should know. He worked at OpenAI. He was a science communicator. He made a lot of videos that demonstrated OpenAI products up to and including ChatGPT itself and is known as the first prompt engineer for that company. He spent a lot of time with these models.And with that, I went down my own reporting rabbit hole. Because one of the other things is that the screen grab that Anna Navarro showed was a ChatGPT search that had web results.See those little brackets with quotes in between them. Those would be annotations. Theoretically, you could click on them and they would bring you to a webpage that would show you where ChatGPT got this information.What’s odd about it is that those are not the annotations that ChatGPT uses now. And they certainly were not used on December 2nd when Anna Navarro said that she did this search.So where’d she get it? What version of ChatGPT is she using? And what large language model is going to be the origin story of dear sweet DeButts?I had a theory. Let’s say you’re not particularly tech-savvy, if you don’t know exactly what ChatGPT is or OpenAI is, then it is very easy, as ChatGPT has become more and more popular, to just go into the iOS app store and find a lot of — I’m going to call them copycats.What they really are are other apps that are using the ChatGPT API, but they do a skin on top of it and they often charge you a subscription service. Do not use them. But I did because my theory was that Ana Navarro was using one of these apps, one of these apps that are not using similar if not exact user interface the official ChatGPT app is. Maybe they are using those old annotations?All is revealed!We get to the bottom of DeButts, on this episode of the Politics Politics Politics. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

If I could change one thing about the Democratic Party it would be this:Stop demanding blind loyalty to the One True Message. Yes, coalition building is hard. Yes, your most passionate members will be the loudest.Yes, things could go wrong. But the alternative is what you’ve had and that is what you are about to hear from the Harris-Walz campaign leadership in this episode. We invented a totally implausible and frankly laughable narrative and then were frustrated when progressives, the media and voters didn’t buy it. They are to blame! Not the candidate. Not the message. Certainly not the brilliant team that put this in motion. It would have been easy if everyone just blindly repeated that Kamala Harris is a bi-partisan deal maker who understands the best ideas come from beyond the beltway. Sure, it’s plain to see that she’s a Democratic stalwart from the most iconic liberal state in the union. But if you keep repeating the first one, the dumbs will believe it! We discuss the Democratic obsession with messaging with ettingermentum.Also, Alice Miranda Ollstein of Politico on the future of the Pro Choice movement.It’s a warm, expansive Px3 for a winter weekend. Chapters2:26 Pod Save America Breakdown1:00:00 Update: Musk, Hegseth1:09:17 Future of Pro Choice Movement w/ Alice Ollstein1:31:28 Ettingermentum This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Hunter Biden brought all of this on himself.Joe Biden has damaged his legacy.All of this can and should get worse for both of them.Two Things I Don’t Want to Hear in Response to This Argument:* TrumpDonald Trump is his own conversation. Not everything related to any Democratic politician needs to be held in contrast to him. It’s lazy at best and corrosive at worst.* AddictionI don’t often play this card, but I am the son of an alcoholic and was raised by a problem gambler. Both went to 12-step programs for their issues. Addiction is a multi-faceted problem that deserves sophisticated empathy, but it is NOT an enchantment shielding you from the consequences of your actions. Quite the opposite: the 12-step program is designed to rebuild your sense of responsibility by repairing the damage you caused while afflicted.The pardon not only reveals the 46th president as a craven cardboard cutout of a decent man, but it also expands the bounds of presidential pardons in a uniquely selfish direction under the sickening guise of loyalty to family.But no one should be surprised if you’ve followed this story from the beginning. It is one unforced error after the next. One hapless mistake after another defended by unhinged self-indulgence. Let’s walk the timeline that led us to the most recent crimes:* Hunter Biden’s LaptopHunter leaves a laptop at a computer repair shop and forgets it. The shop owner realizes who owns it and turns it over to the FBI. After nothing is done and Joe Biden’s campaign makes statements the shop owner knows to be false, the laptop is leaked to the press.* Joe Biden’s ResponseHis campaign denies fault, deflects blame, and hides behind Hunter’s addiction.* 51 intelligence experts sign a letter calling it Russian disinformation.* Biden repeats this during a debate.* Twitter and Facebook are pressured to suppress links to coverage.The laptop is later proven real.* Tax InvestigationIn 2020, Hunter announces he is being investigated for tax fraud (ongoing since 2018).In 2023, a plea deal is reached. Hunter agrees to plead guilty to two misdemeanor tax charges and enters a pretrial diversion program for a felony firearm offense (illegal possession of a gun while using drugs). The deal is expected to avoid jail time.* IRS WhistleblowersTwo IRS whistleblowers testify before Congress, alleging misconduct and interference in the Hunter Biden investigation. They claim their efforts to pursue charges were stymied by higher-ups in the Justice Department.* The Plea Deal CollapsesDuring a court hearing, U.S. District Judge Maryellen Noreika raises concerns about the plea deal's scope, particularly its immunity from future charges. Hunter pleads not guilty.* Specifically, the deal reportedly included an agreement not to prosecute Hunter for any federal crimes going forward:"The United States agrees not to criminally prosecute Biden, outside of the terms of this Agreement, for any federal crimes encompassed."* Hunter’s MemoirThe gun charge stems from Hunter’s own admissions in his memoir, Beautiful Things, where he describes active crack cocaine addiction during the period he purchased the firearm.* Quote: “I used my superpower—finding crack anytime, anywhere.”* Despite knowing his addiction, he lied on ATF Form 4473 when purchasing the gun.Hunter sabotaged his own sweetheart plea deal by overreaching for immunity. He was the star witness for his own prosecution because he had to write a book about his new found sobriety.But if Joe just commuted Hunter’s sentencing for these crimes, it wouldn’t be as big of a deal. Sure he’d be a hypocrite but what’s the real world damage? Hunter didn’t spend a month in prison? He avoided probation?But that’s not what Joe did. He did something far greater and no one should forget it.Joe Biden granted his son a blanket pardon for any and all crimes committed from 2014 to 2024—an unprecedented eleven years.This goes beyond Hunter’s tax crimes and gun charge, extending into the period when Hunter joined the board of Burisma—the focal point of influence-peddling allegations against the Biden family.For context:* Ford’s pardon of Nixon aimed to move the country past Watergate.* Biden’s pardon serves his own family and raises fresh suspicions about influence peddling.The White House’s defense: the incoming Justice Department might weaponize its authority to target the Biden family on exaggerated charges.I would say for the forever power hunger Joe, that same logic fueled Trump’s resurgence from a pariah to a potential two-term president. Maybe they should have let it happen.Instead, this pardon undermines Biden’s credibility, damages the perception of the presidency, and sets a dangerous precedent for self-serving executive overreach.So let’s get to the “But Trump…” of it all. Trump issued two pardons that are similar to this one.* Kodak BlackTrump pardoned the rapper after serving a year of a 46-month sentence for lying on a federal gun form.* Charles KushnerConvicted and served tim

Happy Thanksgiving! For your travel Px3 is happy to present to you the only political conversation you will want to hear. Our old friends Tom LoBiano and Michael Cohen breaking down what we have learned in the weeks since the election. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

BREAKING:Former Congressman Matt Gaetz has withdrawn his nomination for U.S. Attorney General, citing concerns that his confirmation process was becoming a distraction for the Trump-Vance transition team. Gaetz, a staunch ally of former President Donald Trump, had faced intense scrutiny since his nomination due to allegations of sexual misconduct.The allegations, which include claims that Gaetz paid women for sex and had inappropriate encounters with a minor, have been the subject of investigations by the Department of Justice and the House Ethics Committee. Reports suggest the House Ethics Committee may release a detailed report on these allegations, though its jurisdiction ended when Gaetz resigned from Congress shortly after his nomination.Gaetz’s decision to step aside marks the end of a short-lived bid for the top legal post in the Trump administration. The move comes amid ongoing investigations and growing political pressure. It remains unclear what impact this development will have on Gaetz’s future in public life, as he continues to face scrutiny over the allegations.The Trump-Vance team has yet to announce a replacement for the role.We discuss this and other Florida political stories with Kimberly Leonard of Politico. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Your Guide to the Matt Gaetz ScandalState of Play:Ethics report is unreleased as of now, a hacker has apparently obtained parts of the Department of Justice investigation that did not end in prosecution of GaetzThe iron law of political scandals, as written on the wall of a DC backroom (wash your hands after inspecting): if the public already knows about your dirty deeds and hasn’t totally written you off, keep chugging. But every new bit of information that comes out is an exponential risk.The Gaetz story has been publicly aired for years. So it is really only a liability if new information comes to light. So what is already known? That way we know if something new comes along.Well, it comes down to two main questions.* Are Sugar Babies w****s?* Is it illegal to sleep with a minor who misrepresents their age? Can the sex be proven beyond a reasonable doubt?Let’s start with question number one. Are Sugar Babies w****s?Which for the pure of heart will begin with a subquestion, what is a Sugar Baby?A sugar baby is typically a younger individual who enters into a relationship with an older, affluent partner—known as a sugar daddy or sugar mommy—in exchange for financial support, gifts, or other benefits. These relationships are often characterized by mutual agreements where the sugar baby provides companionship, and in some cases, intimacy, while receiving monetary assistance, luxury items, or experiences in return.These connections, like much of our modern world, is facilitated by the internet. For example…Seeking.com is an online dating platform that connects successful and attractive individuals seeking mutually beneficial relationships. And so it was on Seeking.com that Joel Greenberg, a then-friend of Gaetz who eventually pled guilty to sex trafficking and informed on the congressman, met women to form such relationships. Here is an ABC report of a back and forth between one of the women…"I have a friend flying in and we are trying to make plans for tonight. What are your plans for later," Greenberg wrote to the woman, whose identity ABC News is withholding for privacy purposes. "And how much of an allowance will you be requiring :)" Greenberg added.The woman responded by telling Greenberg she has "a friend who introduced me to the website that I could bring" and said she "usually" requires "$400 per meet."Greenberg then sent the woman a photo of Gaetz taking a selfie with students at Pea Ridge Elementary from a 2017 visit, and wrote, "My friend," indicating that Gaetz would be the friend joining him."Oooh my friend thinks he's really cute!" the woman responded.Greenberg then replied that Gaetz was "down here only for the day," adding "we work hard and play hard," before asking, "Have you ever tried molly," referring to the drug MDMA, or Ecstasy.As Greenberg was discussing payment for the get-together, the woman asked if Gaetz used the same website Greenberg had used to meet her. Greenberg replied, in part, "He knows the deal :)," referring to the Florida congressman. The former tax collector then said he would book a "suite Downtown" for the gathering.Sugar Baby websites are built on the idea that wealthy people connect with attractive people. The implication of money or expensive gifts being exchanged is inherent to the concept. But… are the women legally w****s? Specifically, women who are charging money for the act of sex?This is a very important question. Flying a friend you eventually have sex with across state lines on your dime is a nice thing to do. Flying a w***e across state lines to pay for intercourse is sex trafficking.We do not have an answer for this. Although Greenberg plead guilty to sex trafficking so he seemingly admitted it.In general it is a moral and legal question that I am sure many rich men, including possibly some in congress, likely don’t want answered.However, it gets even more serious when one of those women is 17 years old. Which leads us to our second question.Is it illegal to sleep with a minor who misrepresents their age? Can the sex be proven beyond a reasonable doubt?A lawyer for two women interviewed by the House Ethics Committee has said the following:Leppard told POLITICO on Sunday that his clients had attended between five to 10 "sex parties" with the former Florida Representative between 2017 and 2018. Gaetz was already in Congress at the time.Leppard also said one of his clients witnessed Gaetz having sex with another woman who was then 17 years old. They were at a house party in Florida."She testified [that] in July of 2017, at this house party, she was walking out to the pool area, and she looked to her right, and she saw Rep. Gaetz having sex with her friend, who was 17," Leppard said.A report from The Daily Beast identified two Venmo transactions Gaetz had in 2018 with Joe Greenberg, an accused sex trafficker, for a total of $900. Greenberg then sent the money to three teen girls in transactions labeled "tuition" and "school."The woman, now in her 20s, reporte

Things polling get right in 2024:* Trump had a chance to win the popular vote (he did)* Trump had an advantage in the Sun Belt but the races in the Rust Belt would be closer (true, Trump still won them all)* Ticket splitting is real and could save Democrats from a Senate demolition (it did)But beyond that… we have some real questions. Carl Allen believed Kamala Harris was a favorite to win the electoral college. Together we go through the results and find lessons big and small. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

I am obsessed with how much money the Kamala Harris campaign spent. Hundreds of millions of dollars per week spent on creating a once-in-a-lifetime glittering election machine only to deliver less electoral votes than John Kerry.Some FEC reports are available but reporting on the excesses is also bubbling up. For example, Harris recreated the set of Call Her Daddy in a DC hotel room so she didn’t have to fly to Los Angeles. Videos of a party thrown by the KamalaHQ social media team for Fashion Week have also surfaced. I believe the Harris ‘24 might be a turning point for donor patience, so we will have much more on it going forward. But to whet your whistle… we have Dave Levinthal to chat about it today.Combine that with Kirk Bado of National Journal’s Hotline to discuss the future of the Democratic Party and you have today’s episode! Also, Trump’s cabinet appointments continue. Chapters00:00 Introduction02:39 Kirk Bado40:32 Update On Trump Appointments55:00 Dave Levinthal This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Much like the Trump Tax Cuts, the $99 Annual Deal for all bonus content is now permanent. Enjoy! As we sift through the multi-billion dollar wreckage of this election I’ve recruited Evan Scrimshaw to figure out what we know about this election. First, if you had a Time Machine and your only goal was to increase the vote share of the Biden or Harris campaign, what time would you go back to and what would you say?Then we carve through the revelations we’ve had since Tuesday including understanding Trump’s popularity and the electoral benefit of putting Jews on the ticket. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Immediate thoughts on the Trump win. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

‘nuff said.Find your polling place.Enjoy this entirely non-political conversation with Scott Johnson. Literally, no politics are discussed at all. But there is a lot about religion, fast food, parenthood, weed and more.See you on the other side. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

You asked! We listened! The $99 Annual Deal is extended until Election Day. Make sure you upgrade from your complimentary status if you are coming from Patreon!Here it is… Our conversation with Kevin Ryan on the state of the culture and philosophy that this election takes place in. With that, my final thoughts. Did you ever hear the tragedy of Darth Plagueis The Wise? I thought not. It’s not a story the Jedi would tell you.That’s a quote from a Star Wars prequel and it’s the final decider on who I believe will win the President, the Senate and the House. We will get back to that. First, let’s empty the file on my 2024 election thoughts in order. First, the landscape…Donald Trump is a flawed candidate damaged by January 6th and hard capped at 48%It’s the reason his party tried to overthrow him during the primaries. However, his resilience and ease in overcoming those challenges is telling. Donald Trump began to gain and beat Joe Biden in head to head polling after he was indicted and his New York trial had a positive effect on his pollingThis was the first moment I believed Trump could have a redemptive arc. If the public did not understand the charges against him and saw the prosecutions as political, he would be a martyr beyond core MAGA. The Dobbs decision has been rocket fuel for DemocratsIn off-year elections and special elections the present threat to reproductive rights have gotten Democratic voters to the polls. My criticism that they might be punished for not taking the threat seriously enough has not panned out as of yet. Joe Biden’s presidency has been broadly unpopular and specifically unpopular with anyone who makes under $100,000 a yearBiden was elected in the panic of COVID to be a steady hand at the wheel. He lost that with Afghanistan and never regained it. The border went from a purely GOP partisan issue to a mainstream winner for Republicans almost entirely because of executive orders Biden made at the beginning of his presidency. Issue after issue, the same playbook unfolded… deny, deny, deny until you blame it on Trump. But nothing was more personal than inflation. A class warfare issue like no other. Personal story, my wife and I were driving to dinner with friends. The husband was at the wheel of their new Tesla. The issue of politics comes up. I mentioned Trump was doing well because of the economy. “But the economy is good?” Is the response. And it is a sentiment I’ve heard from many people in my orbit and online. The stock market is booming? We avoided a recession? Inflation is lower here than anywhere else the world? How is this a weakness?And behind the wheel of a new Tesla, I agree.Which is where we get to that $100,000 a year figure. Because anywhere below that, inflation gets infinitely worse. It’s persistent and embarrassing. A ritual humiliation and reminder you are not good enough. That kind of stuff sticks with people. So that’s the landscape… how about the candidatesTRUMPTo say that Donald Trump has run his best campaign out of his three tries is an understatement. I’ll be honest, I stopped trying to fully understand the logic of Trump sometime in 2016. His combativeness, the issues he centered and erratic behavior is impossible to grade. Why did he just send that tweet? Has he discovered a hidden undercurrent in American society? Or did the KFC bucket he had last night make him farty?In his two previous attempts he often didn’t seem to understand which way was up either. He fired two different campaign directors in 2016. He fired one of them in 2020. Both times, election day came with him trailing mightily in the polls. The refrain for his chances became religious. He will pull through… because…But that’s not the case this cycle. Susie Wiles, a Florida GOP veteran who watched her party take a purple state and drench it blood red and Chris LaCivita a bare-knuckle student of the last era of a Republican dominance under George W. Bush have run the ship from initial announcement to election day. Tactically, the boat has pointed in the right direction. Trump decapitated well-funded rivals in his own party in Desantis and Haley. He ended the political career of the man who beat him in 2020. Trump has stayed off Twitter and has largely been able to avoid his habit of turning a bad 24 hours into a bad 3 days because of his inability to concede a point. He has mitigated his worst issue, abortion, as well as anyone who appointed the justices that flipped Roe vs. Wade can and accentuated his strengths with the economy and the border. Of course, he is still Trump. He’s an a*****e that viserally annoys 40% of the country. He is the loser pissbaby who couldn’t wrap his head around losing in 2020 and did a January 6th. And with that I will now leave space on the page so you can add the pet issue or event that you believe best encapsulates why Donald J. Trump should never be president again.If you need more space, please open a new window and hit return until you have enough. He also got

You asked! We listened! The $99 Annual Deal is extended until Election Day. Make sure you upgrade from your complimentary status if you are coming from Patreon!We are in the endgame now. I’ve asked experts from across the spectrum who they believe will win the White House, Senate and House. Now it’s my turn. But I have a few last trusted advisors to speak to first. Michael Cohen (Model Political Campaigns) and Tom LoBianco of 24Sight.news help break down the closing polls and model out how the election will finally shake out. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

If you would like to get 150 episodes of Politics Politics Politics for $99 please take advantage of our annual deal that ends on Halloween! By the time you hear this episode, we will have less than seven days until Election Day.Here are the metrics I am looking at…Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin: Trump 54% to winJon Ralston’s Nevada Early Voting Blog: GOP has 38,000 ballot advantageVoteHub Early Voting CounterAnd here is the math comparing the final tallies in Nevada and Arizona…Electoral History of Nevada:Biden +2.5Clinton +2.5Obama +6.5Obama +12.5Electoral History of Arizona:Biden + Less than .5Trump + 3.5Romney +9McCain +8.5How much more Democratic is Nevada than Arizona?2008: 212012: 15.52016: 62020: 2On this episode of the show we welcome Taylor Lorenz for the first time. We discuss independent media, the blogging revolution of the 2000s and an unfortunate tweet. Also, Wake Up To Politics’ Gabe Fleisher helps us look at the final hours of this contest. And finally, Mark Sutton helps us break down the gender gap. Let’s go! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Don’t take early numbers too seriously. It’s the first chapter of a book. You might think you know where it goes, but each story is different. Early votes are not linear, they are often jumbled by different start times or counting processes. So don’t take them seriously.Okay? Did you read that? Are you not going to take them seriously?Fine. Let’s torture ourselves with early voting data. * VoteHub* Jon Ralston Early Voting Blog* UMichVoterAlso…The great Bill Scher (Washington Monthly) joins to discuss where Kamala Harris is and how she wins the election. Andrew Heaton tells us of all the political signage he’s seen during his road trip from Texas to Washington DC. Chapters2:56 Early Vote13:21 Bill Scher1:00:13 UPDATE (Obama and Kamala, $28 million Polymarket Bet, Trump Legal Strategy)1:09:50 Andrew Heaton This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

If you are looking for good President Harris omens, you might want to check back later. * Every betting market has now firmly tilted Trump* Polling averages continue to show Harris wilting in the Blue Wall states* Silver Bulletin, 538 and The Economist prediction models now all point to Trump* The Oracle of Nevada Jon Ralston brings positively bleak news about the early vote in the Silver State for DemocratsTake all of those for what you will. But remember this, the only reason why President Biden isn’t on this ticket is because down ballot candidates made noise that he was dragging them down. Well take a look at an ad Bob Casey is running. The Pennsylvania Senator and staunch Biden ally who is in a close race with Republican Dave McCormick is running an ad bragging about bucking the current White House and working with Donald Trump. Crunch all the numbers you want, nerds. I will always pay attention when a politician starts running for their own lives in defiance of the party.On this episode* Kirk Bado (National Journal’s Hotline) discusses the Kamala Harris fixation on Liz Cheney and if they are even looking for Never Trumpers in the right places.* Howard Mortman (C-SPAN) dives deep into late campaign trivia and the traditions of the Al Smith dinner.* Trump will tape Joe Rogan this Friday. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

PATCH NOTES: * FIXED audio on Jason Whitely Interview* REMOVED f-bombApologies for the last export…—A listener sent me a curious story: There is a Super PAC running ads online that paint Kamala Harris as a staunch defender of Israel AND a weak capitulator inflaming anti-semitism by pandering to Palestinians.Don’t believe me? Here are the ads.Why is the Future Coalition PAC countering their own message? They aren’t. They’re attempting to inflame both sides of the conflict against Kamala Harris in two swing states.The Pro-Israel ads are not running in ZIP codes with high Jewish populations, they’re running in Dearborn, Michigan the highest concentration of Arab Americans in the United States. Meanwhile, the Palestinian “Pandering” ads are running in the suburbs of Pennsylvania where the majority of that crucial state’s jewish population lives.The goal of both is to turn those natural Democratic voters against the nominee.That’s only first 10 minutes of our two-hour episode!* We are joined by Jason Whitely the senior political reporter for WFAA in Dallas. This week he moderated the debate between Colin Allred and Ted Cruz. We talk to him about his moderating philosophy and his thoughts on Texas politics.* Evan ScrimshawandRyan Jakubowskijoin the show to do a Narrative Draft. What are the topics we believe will dominate the conversation after the election.* Carl Allenexplains to us why we’ve been reading polls the wrong way our entire lives and how to change it.All that and snap reactions to the death of Sinwar in Gaza. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

A listener sent me a curious story: There is a Super PAC running ads online that paint Kamala Harris as a staunch defender of Israel AND a weak capitulator inflaming anti-semitism by pandering to Palestinians. Don’t believe me? Here are the ads. Why is the Future Coalition PAC countering their own message? They aren’t. They’re attempting to inflame both sides of the conflict against Kamala Harris in two swing states.The Pro-Israel ads are not running in ZIP codes with high Jewish populations, they’re running in Dearborn, Michigan the highest concentration of Arab Americans in the United States. Meanwhile, the Palestinian “Pandering” ads are running in the suburbs of Pennsylvania where the majority of that crucial state’s jewish population lives. The goal of both is to turn those natural Democratic voters against the nominee. That’s only first 10 minutes of our two-hour episode! * We are joined by Jason Whitely the senior political reporter for WFAA in Dallas. This week he moderated the debate between Colin Allred and Ted Cruz. We talk to him about his moderating philosophy and his thoughts on Texas politics.* Evan Scrimshaw and Ryan Jakubowski join the show to do a Narrative Draft. What are the topics we believe will dominate the conversation after the election.* Carl Allen explains to us why we’ve been reading polls the wrong way our entire lives and how to change it. All that and snap reactions to the death of Sinwar in Gaza. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

The campaign known for booming vibes has hit a recession. None of Kamala Harris’ polls in the Rustbelt have increased in October. Some averages are verging on the dreaded 47% line.That's bad news. Donald Trump is a hard capped 48 % candidate, but you can count on that 48% showing up. What’s more? Other indicators are pointing the wrong direction for Coconut Hive.Nate Silver on his Silver Bulletin Substack has the race back to a 50% tossup.Think what you will about the prediction markets, but Polymarket money is beginning to pile on a Trump victory. Harris ‘24 knows they need a vibe shift and so they will take a risk! Harris will do an interview with Fox News today. This decision is being hailed as bold and it is.But it’s also a massive risk. Kamala has never faced an adversarial interview in her career. Not in California, not in DC, not in her 2019 campaign. This is a big stage to experiment on. Will it pay off? We discuss that and so much more…Karol’s Substack on the Jewish vote in 2024.JD Durkin LIVE FROM THE NYSE FLOOR on the economy. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

COMING FROM PATREON? MAKE SURE YOU MOVE YOUR SUPPORT OVER!Justin Robert Young and polimath (Matt Shapiro) explore the duality of truth in politics, anxiety within the Democratic Party regarding Kamala Harris's campaign and the implications of Biden's debate performance. The conversation delves into the shifting narratives in political discourse, the challenges facing Harris, and the role of FEMA in disaster response. They also touch on voter sentiment, election predictions, coalition shifts, and the future of AI in politics. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Tom LoBianco wants to tell the FULL story of January 6th from Mike Pence. Justin unveils the four potential scenarios for the 2024 election outcome with Evan Scrimshaw.Chapters00:00 The Pence Quest Begins39:40 Introduction and Election Scenarios46:26 Positive Republican Outcomes50:06 Democratic Civil War55:19 Democratic Optimism01:01:53 The Case for a Democratic Sweep01:35:54 The Texas Political Landscape This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

BIG EPISODE TO BEGIN OCTOBER!Justin gets into the current polling trends with Michael Cohen, separating fact and fiction in Springfield, Ohio and the unusual partnership between Kamala Harris and Liz Cheney.Claire Meynial makes her Px3 debut to talk about the flashing warning signs for Harris in Dearborn, Michigan.CHAPTERS2:53 Michael Cohen33:01 VP Debate Thoughts53:57 The Widening War in Middle East1:10:29 Liz Cheney campaigning with Kamala Harris1:20:31 The Truth In Springfield, Ohio1:39:57 Will Middle East Cost Harris Michigan? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin Robert Young and Andrew Heaton discuss the vice presidential debate, analyzing a sparkling JD Vance and slightly wobbly Tim Walz. 00:39 Vance Won09:53 Joe Biden Erasure12:35 Moderation and Fact-Checking in Debates18:41 The Lack of Personal Attacks21:34 Trade Policies and Economic Perspectives Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

The least consequential debate of the cycle? OF COURSE WE'RE STILL GOING TO GRIND THE TAPE! Vance vs. Ryan in 2022 and Walz vs. Jensen in 2022. I actually think this debate is actually going to be good.Also, Jeff Maurer (Last Week Tonight, I Might Be Wrong) joins the show to discuss why all political communications from campaigns try to be funny these days. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin Robert Young interviews Matthew Beat, known as Mr. Beat on YouTube, who shares his journey from being a social studies teacher to a successful YouTuber with over a million subscribers. They discuss the evolution of infotainment in education, the power of history in political discourse, and the influence of conspiracies in the digital age. The conversation also touches on the challenges of voter engagement and the shared truths in politics, highlighting the complexities of modern political communication.Chapters11:12 The Allure of Presidential History20:40 The Evolution of Content Creation and Attention Spans40:52 Conspiracies and the Age of Misinformation49:24 Politics: A Shared Truth or a Divided Reality?59:56 The Challenge of Voter Engagement and Information01:05:10 Electoral College Dynamics and Predictions Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin Robert Young and former Congressman Scott Klug delve into the intricacies of political campaigns, focusing on funding dynamics, the impact of controversial figures, and the role of polling in elections. They discuss the challenges candidates face in securing financial support, the importance of local relationships, and the influence of national trends on local races. The conversation also touches on election security reforms and the evolving landscape of political communication.Chapters00:00 Introduction to Untold Congressional Stories01:02 The Role of Money in Politics19:01 Polling Metrics and Candidate Viability21:55 Decision-Making in Political Committees39:26 Election Security and Reform Ideas45:33 Reflections on Political Careers Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Evan Scrimshaw and Justin Young discuss the current political landscape in the United States, focusing on key states like Florida, North Carolina, and Michigan, as well as the implications of recent Canadian elections. They analyze the strategies Democrats should adopt to secure victories in critical House districts, the impact of abortion rights on voter sentiment, and the role of Kamala Harris in the upcoming elections. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin Robert Young discusses the recent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, exploring the details surrounding the incident, the background of the assailant Ryan Routh, and the implications for political security in the current climate. Chapters00:00 Assassination Attempt on Trump02:37 Political Rhetoric and Historical Context05:18 Understanding the Perpetrator: Ryan Wesley Routh09:58 Routh's Background and Motivations21:11 Implications for Political Security23:29 The Current Political Climate and Future Concerns Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

In this episode, Justin Robert Young discusses the recent debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump with experts Tom LoBianco and Michael Cohen. They analyze the performances of both candidates, focusing on Harris's strategic approach and Trump's chaotic style. The conversation also delves into post-debate polling and predictions for the upcoming election, emphasizing the importance of voter perception and the impact of viral moments in political discourse. Also, the gang takes a look at polling errors and tipping point states. Notably Pennsylvania and Georgia, and the implications of voter turnout in these regions as the election approaches.Chapters04:14 Strategic Imperatives: Campaign Tactics and Goals07:01 Viral Moments and Public Perception18:58 Polling Insights: What Comes Next?44:02 Polling Methodology and Its Importance46:27 Understanding Sample Sizes in Polling58:57 Identifying Tipping Point States Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Everything you need to know about the Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump debate. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin Robert Young deep dives into Kamala Harris's debate performances from 2016 to 2020. He analyzes her strengths and weaknesses, including her preparedness and prosecutorial style. Kamala Harris is effective when delivering practiced moments and looking directly into the camera. However, her instincts on when to do so may not be particularly good. She is a slow starter and may struggle against a more domineering presence like Donald Trump.Chapters00:43 2016 Senate Debate17:25 2019 Primary Debates31:04 UPDATE: Harris Fundraising, Trump Sentencing, Liz Cheney Endorsement37:28 2020 Vice Presidential Debate Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

In this episode, Justin Robert Young and Jennifer Briney discuss their experiences at the Republican and Democratic conventions. Justin also cover topics such as the money spent on political ads, the importance of swing states like Pennsylvania and Georgia, and the Kamala Harris campaign's efforts to redefine her image. Chapters00:00 Introduction03:35 Polling Data and Key States07:08 Ad Spending and the Money Gap14:22 Concerns for House and Senate Republicans18:58 Arrest of Linda Sun and Chris Hu20:39 JD Vance's Media Strategy22:37 RFK Jr.'s Lawsuit Against North Carolina State Board of Elections25:31 Jen Briney and the DNC Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin Robert Young discusses the Kamala Harris-Tim Walz CNN interview and the return of Musa Al-Gharbi to the show. https://musaalgharbi.substack.com/p/we-have-never-been-woke-is-now-officiallyChapters00:00 Introduction and Overview03:47 Harris Walz CNN Interview Thoughts14:21 Trump WILL NOT Vote for FL Abortion Amendment19:15 Altercation at Arlington National Cemetery22:50 Opposition research in the Veep Stakes27:38 Musa Al-Gharbi 01:16:15 Gratitude to the audience Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

In this episode, Justin Robert Young recaps Kamala Harris's speech at the DNC and discusses RFK Jr. dropping out of the race with Evan Scrimshaw. Chapters00:18 Kamala Speech Review09:43 Update on the Next Few Weeks of Shows11:44 Evan Scrimshaw Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Reporting LIVE from Chicago. A look at the convention floor, the under attended protests, an electric (if angry) crowd, Kamala, Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin Robert Young and Ryan McBeth discuss the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Israel. They explore the Ukrainian offensive against Russia and the potential strategic objectives behind it. They also speculate on the possibility of Russian soldiers defecting to the Ukrainian side. All that and so much more. Get more Ryan on his YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/@UC8URMa1fI4rlaLc-Lhev2fQ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Donald Trump's Twitter Spaces interview with Elon Musk gave us a lot of talking. But one bizarre quote does explain the difference Donald would like to draw between he and Kamala on foreign policy.Bill Scher (Washington Monthly) joins the show to discuss the rollout and rapid rise of Kalama Harris.Chapters00:00 Analyzing the Trump-Musk Twitter Spaces Conversation08:28 Contrasting Trump's Foreign Policy Approach with Kamala Harris'20:38 FBI Investigating Hacking Incident Targeting Trump Campaign23:10 Challenges Faced by Special Counsel Jack Smith25:12 President Biden to Address DNC Opening Night?33:07 Bill Scher Analyzing the Successful Rollout of Kamala Harris Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

A campaign died slowly. A President nearly died. A new candidate found life.Before we get too far away from it, let's just bury a time capsule of July 2024 with the one and only Kevin Ryan. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin discusses Tim Walz selection as Kamala Harris' running mate. There is speculation about the electoral map and the importance of swing states like Georgia and Pennsylvania. The decision to choose Walz over Josh Shapiro is analyzed, with questions raised about the campaign's strategy and messaging. The conversation also touches on the evolving positions of Kamala Harris and the potential influence of labor unions and teachers unions in the decision-making process. @UnderstandPolitics Ryan Jakubowski joins the program to discuss the current map. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Hooray for the Smokey Back Room! We pick your candidates so you don't have to!Justin discusses the influx of money into Kamala Harris' campaign, the role of super PACs and state party committees in fundraising with Dave Levinthal of Raw Story. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Beyond the PR, what are the moves being made by Harris '24. She is expanding the map, trying to survive a TV onslaught and pretending 2019 didn't happen.Also, Justin and Gabe Fleisher discuss the Kamala Harris campaign and the potential vice presidential picks. Chapters00:00 Introduction00:58 Strategic Focus on Swing States in the Sunbelt04:58 Investing Heavily in Television Ads06:28 Targeting Online Platforms with Ads09:43 Shifting Stance on Progressive Policies12:33 Battle of Narratives in the Election21:40 Gabe Fleisher on VP Possibilities Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Kamala Harris has gone from being seen as a liability on the ticket to a source of enthusiasm for Democrats, Justin talks to Kirk Bado of Hotline. Recent polls show the race between Kamala and Donald Trump remaining essentially the same, with Trump leading by a few points. However, Democrats are feeling optimistic and have a renewed sense of energy with Harris as the vice presidential nominee. Her nomination has brought a sense of unity and excitement to the party. Chapters00:00 Questioning the Enthusiasm for Kamala Harris23:18 Update: Secret Service, Menendez, Debates48:17 Campaign Undertaker: Joe Biden 2024 Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin Robert Young, Tom LoBianco, and Michael Cohen discuss the news bomb of Joe Biden dropping out of the presidential race and the implications for the Democratic Party. They analyze the pressure campaign that led to Biden's decision and the role of party insiders like Nancy Pelosi. It also explores the strengths and weaknesses of Kamala Harris as a candidate and the challenges she may face in the upcoming election. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Emergency stream reacting to the news that Joe Biden will not seek a second term as president. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin discusses the end of the RNC! Trump's speech and the chaos on the Democratic side. We analyze Trump's speech, highlighting the moments that stood out and the overall tone. We also touch on the speculation surrounding Joe Biden's potential exit from the race and the possibility of a contested convention. It concludes with a discussion on the future of the Democratic Party and the impact of the RNC on the upcoming election. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin reports live from the floor of the Republican National Convention. Trump's dramatic reemergence after his assassination attempt. Interviews with delegates about God. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Justin's immediate thoughts on the RNC!JD Vance has been announced as the vice presidential nominee alongside Donald Trump at the Republican National Convention. Vance brings a diversification to the MAGA movement and represents a younger generation of politicians. He has the support of Silicon Valley money. However, there are questions about his authenticity and how he will perform in debates. The RNC experience in Milwaukee is highly secure and the setup of the convention is compact but energetic. Republicans are enthusiastic and united in their support for Trump.Chapters00:00 JD Vance: Diversifying the MAGA Movement04:22 The Pressure on JD Vance's Speech08:39 Questions of Authenticity11:35 Debate Performance13:22 Donald Trump's Relationship with JD Vance14:10 The Locked Down and Compact RNC Experience Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe