
Should We Ever Trust Polls Again? (with Carl Allen)
Politics Politics Politics · Justin Robert Young and Carl Allen
Audio is streamed directly from the publisher (api.substack.com) as published in their RSS feed. Play Podcasts does not host this file. Rights-holders can request removal through the copyright & takedown page.
Show Notes
Things polling get right in 2024:
* Trump had a chance to win the popular vote (he did)
* Trump had an advantage in the Sun Belt but the races in the Rust Belt would be closer (true, Trump still won them all)
* Ticket splitting is real and could save Democrats from a Senate demolition (it did)
But beyond that… we have some real questions.
Carl Allen believed Kamala Harris was a favorite to win the electoral college. Together we go through the results and find lessons big and small.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe