Oil Markets

The astronomical surge in India's COVID-19 cases to record highs has baffled policymakers and overwhelmed the country's medical infrastructure. The current spread of infection has raised concerns that a crisis of unprecedented magnitude would take a toll on oil demand. S&P Global Platts Senior Asia Energy Editor Sambit Mohanty talks to Rajat Kapoor, Managing Director for Oil and Gas at AWR Lloyd, and Chris Midgley, Global Head of Analytics at Platts, to unpack the factors that are affecting India's oil demand growth, and the implications this would have on the global oil market as well as OPEC's production strategy.

While the European gasoline market has been increasing strengthening versus its middle distillates counterpart, weighed down by COVID-19 restrictions in Europe, this has in turn led to a growing divergence between prices of low-sulfur and high-sulfur vacuum gasoil on the old continent. In this episode of the Oil Markets Podcast, S&P Global Platts reporters Stepan Lavrouk and Joseph Mcdonnell discuss with Joel Hanley how a lack of gasoline on the others side of the Atlantic impacts which VGO European refiners prefer to use.

Soybean futures continue to support RVO prices as the US market awaits a Supreme Court decision to determine the future of small refinery exemptions. European exports continue to head toward the East Coast on improved gasoline cracks and market optimism, pressuring New York Harbor prices lower. Gulf Coast prices have spiked to three-year highs as refineries stabilize operations.

While the grounding of the Ever Given in the Suez Canal has created countless memes, it has also reminded the world on the fragility of supply chains. In this episode of the Oil Markets Podcast, S&P Global Platts reporters Charlotte Bucchioni and Britt Russell-Webster discuss with Joel Hanley the impact of the blockage on freight and fuel markets, as well as the outlook as the queue slowly clears.

Major airlines in Asia have identified sustainable aviation fuel as having a potential to make a significant contribution to the global goal of reducing carbon emissions from commercial aviation. But the industry faces many challenges to overcome before SAF's potential can be realized. The impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the travel industry is on top of this list. S&P Global Platts oil experts Philip Vahn, Surabhi Sahu and Jing Zhi Ng are joined by senior analyst Alexander Yap to discuss Asia's cleaner aviation fuel initiative, Asia's overall jet fuel market fundamentals, and what's in store for the aviation industry post-pandemic. Learn more: S&P Global Platts Launches SAF and & HVO values in Asia Explore now: The Platts Atlas of Energy Transition, your map to the sustainable commodity markets of the future

The market for low sulfur fuel oils – 0.1% S and 0.5% S – has tightened on the refinery response to COVID-19, while as a result of IMO 2020, lackluster demand for 3.5% S is encouraging shippers to fit scrubbers which could flip fundamentals between the grades in the future. Meanwhile, a recent cold weather spell in Asia drew fuel oil supplies away from Europe, further adding to price volatility to those fuels at the bottom of the barrel. S&P Global Platts fuel oil specialists Stepan Lavrouk, Sarah-Jane Flaws and Britt Russel-Webster discuss the market with Joel Hanley.

Rising prices and a failed trucker strike last month have rocked the Brazilian diesel market this year. Petrobras, Brazil's state-owned oil company, has raised fuel prices several times this year after pressure from independent importers, angering consumers and trucking unions. Petrobras' CEO was recently ousted by Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, all while Petrobras sells off eight of its 13 refineries. Explore now: The Platts Atlas of Energy Transition, your map to the sustainable commodity markets of the future

With oil prices reaching 13-month highs, surprising many market analysts, are these higher levels here to stay and how might they impact production levels of OPEC+ in the coming year? In this edition, S&P Global Platts Associate Editorial Director John Morley discusses the current crude fundamentals and expectations with Senior Editor Eklavya Gupte and North Sea Crude Editor Emma Kettley.

Middle Eastern crude producers are sending fewer cargoes to Asia, but refiners in the region are unfazed. S&P Global Platts Head of News for Asia Mriganka Jaipuriyar, Editor Mark Tan, and Adviser for Asia Oil Analytics JY Lim examine Asia's current refining landscape, the impact of the Myanmar coup on supply, and refiners' strategies to manage an unwanted buildup in stocks. Related event: 8th Asian Refining Virtual Summit

Bad weather on the US Gulf Coast and a rise in crude oil prices has added to volatility in the European naphtha paper market -- belying more balanced physical fundamentals -- while export demand for European gasoline has shot up. S&P Global Platts reporters Evridiki Dimitriadou and Joseph McDonnel discuss the market with Francesco Di Salvo.

For fuel oil markets, 2020 was a strange year, as the global pandemic overshadowed implementation of the landmark IMO 2020 regulation. With global demand slowly returning, these grades are back in focus. S&P Global Platts editors Beth Brown and Patrick Burns talk with Matt Eversman, associate director of crude and fuel oil markets, about fuel oil market trends as well as Platts' consultation on certain operational guidelines in the Platts Market on Close assessment process for .5% marine fuel.

The price of aviation fuel dropped to record lows at the start of the coronavirus pandemic. In this podcast, Platts reporters Emma Thomas and Chris Ewen tell Joel Hanley of the fuel's faltering steps back to a more normal market environment amid the ongoing threat of COVID-19.

The last few weeks saw temperatures in many parts of North Asia drop to record lows, and energy prices hit record highs. Platts JKM, the benchmark for Asian spot LNG prices, surged to $32.50/MMBtu, the highest since it was launched in early 2009. LNG freight rates hit unprecedented levels of nearly $300,000/day, trucked LNG in China rose to around $28/MMBtu, Japan's spot electricity prices hit 220 Yen/kWh, and the Platts Northeast Asian Thermal coal price hit $80/mt. The ripple effect was felt across a variety of power generation fuels and across the whole region as supply chains were disrupted. Utilities found themselves having to shift back to fuels that have been becoming rather obsolete in the region's power mix. S&P Global Platts Senior Analyst Andre Lambine, Senior Editor Takeo Kumagai, and Managing Editor Rajesh Nair join Content Lead Eric Yep to delve deep in to the latest in Asia's oil and power sectors.

As most refined products struggle to find demand through the pandemic's destruction, naphtha has found itself riding on a three-year high crack spread, supported by petrochemical demand. S&P Global Platts Associate Editorial Director Francesco Di Salvo discusses the unusual strength in naphtha prices with pricing reporters Evridiki Dimitriadou and Joe Mcdonnell, as well as the limitations for the feedstock following pressure from gasoline blending.

US NGLs have strengthened across the board early in 2021, with some of those gains tied to increases in West Texas Intermediate and others linked in robust demand from the petrochemical sector and other global markets. LPG editor MK Bower discusses what is driving pricing strength for propane and butane, how ethane is recovering from the demand destruction wrought during hurricane season, and why market participants are confounded by natural gasoline and its relative strength against crude.

As the major road freight fuel for Europe and beyond, how has diesel coped with the global pandemic and what are its prospects heading into the new year? Platts reporters Virginie Malicier and Rowan Staden-Coats discuss the diesel markets with Joel Hanley.

As 2020 finally draws to a close, Oil Markets Podcast hosts from around the world – Mriganka Jaipuriyar, Joel Hanley and Richard Swann – gather to discuss the year in detail, and try to chart a path to recovery in 2021.

It has been a big year for the US flagship crude, West Texas Intermediate, and in particular the way that grade is priced. Following significant growth of US crude exports before the pandemic and then the April 20 price collapse of the NYMEX WTI contract, S&P Global Platts launched its AGS assessment for waterborne cargoes of WTI Midland loading on the US Gulf Coast. Then just last week, Platts captured the global oil industry's attention with its proposal to include WTI Midland in the Dated Brent global benchmark beginning in March 2022. In today's podcast we'll review how Platts AGS has performed since its launch in June amid challenging fundamentals for global oil markets.

With so much US crude now coming to Europe, Platts has announced a proposal to include US WTI Midland into the North Sea benchmark of Dated Brent. Jonty Rushforth and Joel Hanley discuss how this might work and what it means for the world's leading oil benchmark.

The pandemic has pummeled Japan's oil demand and led to some dramatic drops in its crude imports and refinery runs. The onset of winter and subsequent rise in demand for heating oil has offset some of that collapse, but the road ahead continues to look uncertain, S&P Global Platts Asia oil market experts Takeo Kumagai, Daisuke Shibata and Mriganka Jaipuriyar discuss. While crude imports are expected to pick up in the near term, sustainability of that trend very much depends on the severity of COVID-19. What is looking certain however is that Japanese refiners will continue to import refined products as refining economics favor imports and run rates remain low. Full transcript: http://plts.co/rmqs30rmlb2

Jet fuel took center stage at the recent International Air Transport Association Fuel Forum, as the industry grapples with the demand destruction due to air travel restrictions, but also paves the way for a clear decarbonisation agenda. Jet fuel and derivatives editors Emma Thomas and Christopher Ewen join Francesco Di Salvo to reflect on the key takeaways from the event and the impact on the markets for conventional and sustainable aviation fuels.

Diesel prices across the US soared last week, reaching multiyear highs in nearly every region. The aftermath of several hurricanes this year curtailed production, and perhaps shut some refineries for good. That, combined with strong agriculture demand, created a perfect storm for strong spot market prices.

As coronavirus cases rise sharply in Europe, many countries are entering into second lockdowns to curb the spread of the virus – but are the markets prepared for a potential second round of curtailed demand? S&P Global Platts reporters Chris Ewen, Kieran Hess and Sarah-Jane Flaws discuss with Joel Hanley the state of refined products and the challenges ahead for transportation fuels.

China's GDP grew by 4.9% the third quarter, putting the country's economy back on an expansionary track. China is one of the very few countries to register a positive growth amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Against this backdrop, S&P Global Platts Head of News in Asia Mriganka Jaipuriyar, senior oil writer Oceana Zhou, and Head of Global Demand and Asia Analytics Dr. Kang Wu examine China's prospects in a world that continues to face an immense oil demand destruction, forecasts of peak oil demand amid a decarbonization drive across the globe, and the implications the US elections might have on China's near to medium term growth.

Despite demand for some refined products returning to pre-COVID levels, refinery margins in Europe have remained at all-time lows, leading to a bottleneck in the upstream market. S&P Global Platts editors Solomon Lanitis and Elza Turner discuss with Joel Hanley falling demand for crude oil in Europe, the building inventories of floating storage, and the health and prospects for the refinery sector.

For the first time, the African Refiners and Distributors Week was held virtually in the week commencing Oct. 5, discussing the challenges of the downstream sector in the region, but also the strong signs of resilience in the continent in the midst of the Coronavirus pandemic. Platts editors Eklavya Gupte, Joseph Mcdonnell and Virginie Malicier discuss with Francesco Di Salvo key takeaways from the conference as well as the latest views on oil fundamentals in the continent.

With global demand destruction and COVID-19 continuing to impact US production, the expected trajectory of US crude exports is vastly different than just a few months ago. Before the pandemic, S&P Global Platts Analytics expected US crude exports to end 2020 at a run rate of nearly 4 million b/d, rising past 6 million b/d by the mid-2020s, but with demand loss for now putting a cap on WTI at about $40/b, Analytics now expects exports to fall below 2 million b/d by mid-2021. S&P Global Platts editors Laura Huchzermeyer, Kristian Tialios and Matt Eversman look at the factors affecting US crude exports.

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to create interesting opportunities; one of the more surprising is seeing kerosene finding its way into marine fuel. Platts reporters Sarah-Jane Flaws and Gary Clark discuss with Joel Hanley how a once-premium product has mingled with shipping fuel.

Fresh from the recent Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference or Platts APPEC, Gawoon Phil Vahn and Surabhi Sahu join Mriganka Jaipuriyar to share key themes and insights discussed at the event, which brought together - virtually - the who's who in the oil industry. This episode takes a deep dive into the impact of the current fragile demand environment on the region's refining industry, the strategies being deployed by major companies to fight against weak refining margins as the coronavirus pandemic continues to affect oil product demand, as well as the big push for energy transition and the pressure on the aviation industry to cut emissions.

US Gulf Coast market players looking to get light naphtha barrels off their hands, a hungry Asian market and weakened freight is the perfect arbitrage recipe. But with shipowners reluctant to move their ships East, where the freight market is weak, the balance has been delicate. Sarah Raslan, US naphtha editor, and Marieke Alsguth, US clean tankers editor, chat with Americas Oil Markets Editorial Director Director Richard Swann to dissect the ingredients that have set the table for this arbitrage opportunity.

There is rising supply for European diesel and while demand is recovering it is still short of last year's levels, the pronounced contango this is prompting comes when many clean tankers are choosing to stay in the region, meaning the stars are aligning for floating storage. Middle distillates expert Virginie Malicier and clean tanker specialist Chris To tell Joel Hanley the latest.

Russia's slashing of crude output is well documented, but how are its internal markets coping with the impact of COVID-19? Joel Hanley asks Russia experts Elza Turner and Thomas Washington what the energy superpower can do to stem volatility at home.

Light sulfur fuel oil has been the main marine fuel of choice worldwide, but high sulfur fuel oil has held its stead in Asia. S&P Global Platts senior oil experts Surabhi Sahu and Oceana Zhou join Platts Asia Head of News Mriganka Jaipuriyar in examining the demand for HSFO particularly in Singapore, which is the world's largest bunkering port. They also discuss China's fuel demand and outlook, as well as the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the Asian fuel oil markets.

COVID-19 may have caused demand for jet fuel to plummet but S&P Global Platts and the wider industry are looking to the future with a newly launched European sustainable aviation fuel assessment, as public scrutiny keeps emissions targets in sight. Middles distillates specialists Gary Clark, Christopher Ewen and Harry Morton tell Joel Hanley how this fits in with wider trends across the middle of the barrel.

As European road transport demand gradually recovers amid the coronavirus pandemic, the price of gasoline blending component ethanol has reached all-time highs on tight supply, rising road demand and strong industrial use. Unusually, the prices of other blending components are down in the doldrums. S&P Global Platts reporters Chrysa Glystra, Joseph McDonnell and Stergios Zacharakis tell Gary Clark the latest.

OPEC and its allies are loosening the reins around production cuts amid tentative signs of an oil demand recovery, which is likely to bring additional heavier sourer barrels back on to the market. Gillian Carr and Paul Hickin discuss with Joel Hanley how this could play out in the months ahead.

While the rest of the world is still on a relatively slow recovery phase, China's crude imports and throughput levels are hitting record highs. Its GDP has flipped back to positive territory with a 3.2% growth the second quarter, from a 6.9% decline in the first quarter. S&P Global Platts oil experts Oceana Zhou and Mark Tan talk about the facts behind these historical highs and the impact they could have on Asia's still fragile oil markets.

As Europe emerges from its COVID-19 lockdown, diesel demand is flickering back to life. But can the same be said for gasoil? S&P Global Platts reporters Virginie Malicier and Harry Morton discuss with Joel Hanley how European distillate markets have reacted to the Coronavirus pandemic, and the prospects for a swift recovery.

Storm clouds still lurk over the refining sector as a combination of firm heavy crude prices and limited upside to light product prices squeeze margins for simple and complex installations alike, even as a rapid demand recovery in some countries has taken markets by surprise. Refining expert Elza Turner tells Joel Hanley the latest.

The American crude benchmark NYMEX WTI went negative in April, an event that sparked global questions of 'How?' and 'Why?' Now, the US crude industry is looking to the future, with Platts American GulfCoast Select touted as an alternative yardstick against which crudes from Canada down to Argentina could be measured. Platts US crude market experts Matt Eversman and Laura Huchzermeyer speak with John-Laurent Tronche about the recent past, present and future of US crude pricing.

The closure for maintenance of the salt caverns at Lavera on the French Mediterranean coast poses some questions for the region's LPG market, especially that of butane. LPG reporter Kieran Hess discusses with Joel Hanley how the Mediterranean market is responding to the closure in the midst of coronavirus and arbitrage links with other regions.

Asia's high volume of US crude imports in the first half 2020 could prove a false alarm for OPEC+ producers fretting over their shrinking share of the Asian demand pie following the coronavirus pandemic. S&P Global Platts oil editors Surabhi Sahu and Gawoon Philip Vahn discuss Asia's crude appetite for the second half of 2020 and how several refiners in the region planning their crude purchases for the months ahead as WTI increasingly proves much more expensive than Middle Eastern grades.

Turbulence in oil markets and shifting regulation has led to some surprising dynamics at the bottom of the barrel. Following S&P Global Platts' European Bunker Fuel Virtual Conference, fuel oil reporters Sarah-Jane Flaws, James Goldburn and Britt Russell-Webster discuss how expectations have panned out for fuel oil and refinery feedstocks with Platts Associate Director EMEA Oil John Morley.

Rising driving demand has offered some support to the top of the barrel but, with expectations of higher demand also in evidence, higher inventories may take the shine off gasoline and naphtha recoveries, as arbitrage opportunities still look shaky. Light end reporters Joseph McDonnell and Evridiki Dimitriadou tell Francesco Di Salvo the latest.

Fuel demand across Northeast Asia plunged at the height of the coronavirus outbreak in the region over February and March. But the tide has since turned for the good in recent months. Manufacturing, construction and transportation activities are picking up fast in China with signs of the pandemic being largely contained in the country. S&P Global Platts oil specialists Philip Vahn, Oceana Zhou and Avantika Ramesh examine oil market indicators in China and the sources that are feeding the country's renewed thirst for crude.

There are some that say the aviation sector is on life-support but industry participants are already looking to signs of recovery, with no sign of ditching previously established environmental targets, jet fuel reporters Gary Clark and Ellie Valencia tell Francesco Di Salvo. Later in the program, Tamara Sleiman and Tom Washington discuss the outlook for bunker fuel in the latest IMO 2020 update.

Falling values for naphtha are stimulating margins for some petrochemical manufacturers, as COVID-19 sends people rushing to buy hand sanitizer and disposable plastics. Naphtha reporter Evridiki Dimitriadou and petrochemicals reporter Ora Lazic discuss the winners and losers at the top of the barrel and beyond with Joel Hanley.

In this special bonus episode of the S&P Global Platts Oil Markets podcast, Dave Ernsberger, head of pricing and market insight, discusses with Joel how commodity and energy benchmarks are faring amid the coronavirus outbreak, and Platts' approach to dealing with recent market stress.

New fuel cell electric vehicle manufacturer Hyzon Motors has made rapid progress since forming in March, already signing an MOU with a UK partner to deliver 1,000 hydrogen fuelled buses. In this S&P Global Platts Commodities Focus podcast we talk to Hyzon's CTO, Ian Thompson, about the advantages and costs of FCEVs in buses and heavy-duty trucks compared with battery EVs, and opportunities for future growth.

The malaise in jet fuel and air traffic is grounding airmail and the outlook seems bleak for airlines as the contango in jet fuel stretches out ever further. Jet fuel reporter Gary Clark and Middle Distillates editorial manager Eleni Pittalis tell Joel Hanley the latest.