John Butler on Stagflation, Gold and Bitcoin
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez · Bilal Hafeez
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Show Notes
John Butler has 25 years' experience in international finance. He has served as a Managing Director for bulge-bracket investment banks in research, strategy, asset allocation and product development roles, including at Deutsche Bank and Lehman Brothers. He has advised some of the world's largest institutional and private investors, and he has been a #1 ranked Investment Strategist by Institutional Investor magazine. His past publications include his popular Amphora Report investment newsletter and the book 'The Golden Revolution'. In the podcast, we talk about:
- Why stagflation is here
- The problem with large fiscal and public spending plans
- The moral hazard of Fed policy
- Why was inflation low after the global financial crisis?
- The absence of excess capacity and parallels to 1970s
- How to play a stagflation theme
- Is there a commodity supercycle?
- The future path of gold
- Why bitcoin won't replace the dollar (or gold)
- The importance of risk management
- Book that influenced John: Money and Magic (Binswanger)