Know Your Risk Podcast

November 26, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the competitive landscape of AI and automation between America and China. He highlights the significant advantages China holds in robotics and automation, suggesting that America's perception of being the primary winner in AI may be misguided. The discussion delves into the implications of these technological advancements on market dynamics and industry performance.

November 25, 2025 - Zach and Chase delve into the dynamics of equity markets, focusing on Nvidia's market position and the potential impact of competition on its stock valuation. Zach emphasizes the importance of understanding what is priced into equities and how emerging competition could affect Nvidia's margins and market share.

November 24, 2025 - Zach discusses the significant mispricing of Google in the market, particularly in relation to its innovations like Waymo. He challenges the notion of market efficiency by highlighting how major advancements are often overlooked by analysts and media, suggesting a disconnect between actual value and market perception.

November 20, 2025 - Zach and Chase delve into the importance of grounding future predictions in reality, particularly in the context of asset pricing and market behavior. It highlights the risks of overly optimistic forecasts that ignore economic fundamentals, leading to significant market corrections.

November 19 2025 - Zach expresses his strong skepticism about the current state of the market, particularly focusing on Nvidia's stock performance and growth projections. He highlights the disconnect between market reactions and actual company performance, emphasizing a critical view of revenue growth expectations.

November 18, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss their trading philosophies, market sentiment, and the current state of various investment sectors including AI, government stimulus, and cryptocurrency. They analyze market indices, share insights on personal trading strategies, and explore the implications of government policies on the economy. The conversation highlights the importance of understanding market dynamics and the risks associated with different investment approaches.

November 17, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss various themes including ghost stories, market vulnerabilities, AI bubbles, investment strategies, and the importance of diversification. They delve into the current market trends, the significance of hedging, and the dynamics of global markets.

November 14, 2025 - Chase provides a comprehensive analysis of the current market conditions, highlighting significant volatility and trends across various sectors, including energy, commodities, and technology. He discusses the implications of quality stocks underperforming, the evolving sentiment around AI investments, and the rising bond volatility, all while emphasizing the importance of upcoming market data.

November 13, 2025 - Chase delves into the recent financial maneuvers in the AI sector, particularly focusing on Masayoshi Son's decision to sell Nvidia shares to fund OpenAI. This shift raises questions about the sustainability of funding in AI and the implications of such financial strategies on the industry.

November 11, 2025 - Zach discusses the ongoing challenges in the marketplace and emphasizes the importance of understanding how these issues will be addressed in the future. He highlights that the market is not done facing problems, and the approach to tackling them will evolve rather than cease.

November 10, 2025 - Zach discusses the implications of 50-year mortgages on the housing market, the potential benefits of a recession in addressing economic issues, and the political dynamics surrounding the cost of living. He emphasizes the need to focus on structural issues rather than merely stimulating demand to effectively tackle the rising cost of living.

November 7, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the intricacies of investing, particularly focusing on the importance of understanding valuations and the associated risks. They emphasize the need to sometimes overlook risks when valuations are extreme and to think financially about asset performance. Zach shares insights on how to assess risk in asset management and the rules that can lead to successful investment outcomes.

November 6, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the market, focusing on index performance and the volatility in the AI sector. They analyze the recent downturn in AI stocks, the implications of financing trends, and the competitive landscape between the US and China in technology. The conversation also touches on the challenges faced in AI development, the importance of manufacturing for national security, and the need for strategic investments in the future.

November 5, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the implications of tariffs on the market, the current economic data indicating job growth, and the ongoing cost of living crisis affecting many Americans. He explores the political polarization surrounding economic policies and reflects on cultural shifts in American work ethic, emphasizing the need for a return to hard work and classical education to address these issues.

November 4, 2025 - Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor dissect the unsettling realities behind today’s markets — inflated valuations, blind optimism, and “Ponzi-like” corporate financing. From Palantir’s math-defying stock price to America’s waning competitiveness, they explore why the next era of real opportunity might lie far outside U.S. mega-caps.

November 3, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the profound impact of AI on the economy and markets, discussing investment strategies, future trends, and the challenges associated with AI integration. The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding AI's role in shaping economic landscapes and the necessity for investors to adapt to these changes.

October 30, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the significant influence of the MAG7 companies on the MSCI World Index and the stark contrast between the industrial capacities of the US and China. The speaker highlights the disproportionate representation of the US in global markets compared to China's actual economic power and industrial capabilities, emphasizing the need to reconsider perceptions of market strength and economic health.

October 29, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the AI bubble, Nvidias valuation, and the US/China talks.

October 28, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the current market dynamics, emphasizing the unrealistic expectations investors have regarding returns. They highlight the disparity between market pricing and actual investment outcomes, urging a more cautious approach to investment strategies.

October 27, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of predictions surrounding artificial general intelligence (AGI) and the implications of significant investments in this area. They express skepticism about the likelihood of achieving true AGI and highlight the potential consequences of failing to deliver on these ambitious promises.

October 24, 2025 - The conversation explores the complexities of globalism and the necessity of rational thinking in addressing international issues. It emphasizes the importance of cost-benefit analysis when proposing solutions to global problems.

October 23, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss investment strategies focused on long-term success, emphasizing the importance of trading less and investing in timeless brands. They also touch on the political landscape, highlighting the challenges of accountability and the cyclical nature of market dynamics.

October 22, 2025 - Zach and Chase provide a comprehensive analysis of the current market conditions, discussing the S&P and Q's performance, oil prices, and Tesla's earnings. They delves into the risks associated with leverage in investing, emphasizing the importance of managing risk and the potential dangers of high leverage. The conversation also touches on the regulatory environment, particularly the SEC's focus and its implications for the market. Finally, Chase shares predictions for future market movements and the importance of being prepared for potential downturns.

October 21, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the gold market, the implications of pullbacks in bull markets, and the role of central banks in the economy. They explore how technological advancements are changing market dynamics and the emerging trends in commodities like aluminum and lithium. The discussion emphasizes the complexities of investing in today's market, particularly in relation to inflation and energy prices.

October 16, 2025 - The VIX and equities are behaving unusually, indicating potential volatility ahead.

October 15, 2025 - Chase provides a comprehensive analysis of the current market conditions, focusing on volatility, the US's financial support for Argentina, trends in the natural gas market, the complexities of US-China trade relations, and the implications of interest rate changes on the economy. He emphasizes the need for careful navigation through these turbulent times, highlighting potential risks and opportunities.

October 14, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss a range of topics from personal updates to market analysis. They explore the confusion and speculation in the current market, the implications of volatility, and the outlook for gold and precious metals. The conversation also delves into the impact of AI on the market and the potential consequences of capital expenditures. Overall, the episode provides insights into the complexities of investing in today's economic landscape.

October 13, 2025 - Why Zach doesn't see a big crash coming plus gold vs Bitcoin.

October 10, 2025 - Zach discusses the current state of the financial markets, focusing on volatility, the VIX, and the importance of hedging strategies. He analyzes the performance of gold and commodities, the impact of economic indicators, and the potential effects of AI on the job market. Additionally, he highlights the undervaluation of Chinese tech and offers predictions for future market movements.

October 7, 2025 - Zach provides a comprehensive analysis of the current market landscape, focusing on the implications of rising VIX levels, the impact of AI on valuations, and the dynamics of the gold market. He discusses the potential for a market bubble, investment strategies to navigate it, and the importance of being selective in investment choices. The conversation emphasizes the need for caution while also identifying opportunities in undervalued sectors.

October 6, 2025 - Zach chats with Tobias Carlisle of Acquirers Funds. They delve into the themes of risk management and investment strategies as outlined in Carlisle's new book, 'Soldier of Fortune.' They explore Buffett's investment principles, the current market dynamics, and the implications of AI technology on future investments. The discussion highlights the importance of understanding market cycles, recognizing inefficiencies, and the necessity of risk management in navigating today's volatile financial landscape.

October 3, 2025 - Zach discusses various aspects of the current market landscape, including insights on the VIX, the challenges facing the U.S. automobile industry, and the ongoing debate about the AI bubble. He emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics, the potential of value stocks, and the need for cautious investment strategies in a rapidly changing economic environment.

October 3, 2025 - Zach chats with X finance personality "Rudy Havenstein." They delve into the complexities of modern central banking, the influence of social media on economic discourse, and the growing disillusionment with political systems. They discuss wealth inequality, the role of the Federal Reserve in inflation, and the challenges posed by a two-party system that seems out of touch with the needs of the populace. The conversation also touches on antitrust issues, the impact of inflation on society, and the need for infrastructure spending as a solution to economic woes.Find more from Rudy here: https://rudy.substack.com/

October 2, 2025 - Zach discusses the current state of the market, emphasizing its disconnection from reality and the challenges faced by companies like Tesla. He expresses concerns about valuations, the need for a recession, and the consequences of inflated asset prices.

September 29, 2025 - Chase discusses why the neutral rate is so high, plus he breaks down the new tariffs.

September 26, 2025 - Chase discusses whether or not we should expect a shutdown, some good data from this week, and a jobs week preview.

September 25, 2025 - Chase breaks down the revision to growth and inflation as well as the market tipping point.

September 24, 2025 - Oracle looks to raise $18 Billion in bond sale plus new home sales data.

September 23, 2025 - Zach and Chase look into how the markets have reacted to lower rates and they get into some of the political nonsense.

September 22, 2025 - Chase explains why the AI capex is concerning, the struggle for US to manufacture, and the changing global defense landscape.

September 18, 2025 - Zach and Chase review the Nvidia and Intel deal as well as jobless claims.

September 17, 2025 - The fed cut rates by a quarter point today. Zach and Chase react.

September 16, 2025 - Zach and Chase take a look at current trends, net equity issuance, and they have a Fed preview.

September 15, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss their portfolios - is it time to do a little trimming? Plus, Elon buys $1 Billion in Tesla stock.

September 12, 2025 - Zach sits down with Life Coach Eric Boles of The Game Changers Inc.

September 11, 2025 - Chase has an inflation update and he discusses the deficit.

September 10, 2025 - After a conversation about the shooting of Charlie Kirk, Zach and Chase discuss solar, China buying oil, and Oracle.

September 9, 2025 - Zach and Chase discuss a revision to the jobs report, the new iPhone, and position sizing.

September 8, 2025 - Zach has a discussion about AI with Brad Sarsfield - Microsoft Senior Director, Security AI Research & Development.

September 5, 2025 - Zach and Chase take a look at AI, Engery, Tesla, and Gold.