Know Your Risk Podcast

Zach breaks down the implications of Washington state's new income tax, addressing misconceptions, economic impacts, and personal considerations for residents and business owners.

April 2, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the growing disconnect between market performance and economic fundamentals as oil prices rise, exploring the potential impacts on supply chains, corporate earnings, investor behavior, and the broader economy.

April 1, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss how geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are affecting market sentiment, oil prices, and investor behavior, along with the broader implications for economic growth and long-term investment strategy.

March 31, 2026 - This episode delves into market reactions to geopolitical events, the implications of military mobilization, and the potential economic and strategic outcomes of ongoing conflicts. Zach and Chase analyze recent market movements, discuss the likelihood of military escalation, and explore the future of global energy and defense industries.

March 30, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the market, focusing on the impact of global events on oil and energy prices. They explore the ongoing shortages and supply chain issues, the critical role of oil in the global economy, and the political implications of military strategies.

March 27, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the markets, exploring various economic indicators, the impact of global events, and the dynamics of commodities like gold and oil. They delve into the concept of market blindness, particularly in relation to ETFs, and the consequences of legislative actions on the economy. The conversation highlights the complexities of market behavior and the importance of understanding feedback loops in economic systems, particularly in the context of Seattle's evolving economic landscape.

March 26, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the financial markets, focusing on the S&P and NASDAQ's performance, the implications of political events on financial analysis, and the peculiarities of the oil market.

March 25, 2026 - Chase provides a detailed analysis of the current market trends, focusing on the S&P 500, oil prices, and geopolitical tensions affecting the market. He discusses the optimism in the market despite ongoing conflicts and the implications of potential ceasefires.

March 24, 2026 - Chase discusses the current state of the market amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly focusing on the potential ceasefire discussions between the US and Iran. He analyzes the implications of these developments on market dynamics, oil prices, and the broader economic landscape, while emphasizing the uncertainty that remains in the situation.

March 23, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the oil market, highlighting the significant dislocation between physical oil costs and paper markets. They explore the implications of global shortages, particularly in energy and food, and the strategic positioning of Iran in ongoing negotiations.

March 20, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the financial markets, focusing on the impact of geopolitical events on oil prices and investor sentiment. They analyze the market's reaction to recent developments, the dynamics of the oil market, and the implications for future economic conditions.

March 19, 2026 - Chase discusses the current state of the markets, emphasizing the significant influence of geopolitical tensions on economic conditions. He highlights the impact of escalating conflicts, particularly in the Middle East, on energy supplies and prices, especially diesel. The conversation also touches on the implications of investment commitments from Gulf countries and the potential economic consequences of ongoing tensions.

March 18, 2026 - Chase provides a comprehensive analysis of the current market conditions, focusing on the impact of geopolitical tensions on oil prices and the broader economic implications. He discusses the recent fluctuations in various markets, including equities and commodities, and highlights the potential for inflation to rise significantly.

March 17, 2026 - Chase provides a comprehensive overview of the current market conditions, focusing on key indicators such as oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and their implications for the global economy. He discusses the ongoing supply issues in the oil market, the impact of geopolitical events on pricing, and the broader economic consequences of these developments.

March 16, 2026 - Oil market researcher Rory Johnston of CommodityContext.com helps to explore the complexities of the current oil market. They discuss Johnston's background in commodity research, the confusion surrounding oil prices, the implications of production shut-ins, and the differences between crude and refined products. The conversation also touches on government intervention in the market, potential export restrictions, and the dislocation between physical and paper markets, providing a comprehensive overview of the challenges facing the oil industry today.

March 13, 2026 - Zach Abraham discusses the current state of the markets, focusing on the challenges and dynamics affecting oil prices and the broader economic landscape. He emphasizes the importance of separating political views from investment strategies and highlights the potential opportunities in energy stocks amidst geopolitical tensions.

March 12, 2026 - This episode provides a comprehensive analysis of current market dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and oil market fluctuations. It emphasizes the importance of adaptive thinking in volatile environments and offers insights into market reactions, geopolitical risks, and strategic decision-making.

March 11, 2026 - Zach and Chase discussing the current geopolitical and economic landscape, focusing on oil markets, military strategies, and investment opportunities amid global tensions. They analyze market mispricings, the impact of geopolitical risks, and strategic investment advice.

March 10, 2026 - Zach discusses the current geopolitical tensions surrounding oil pricing, particularly focusing on the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's role in the global economy. He emphasizes the importance of understanding how oil is priced and the potential implications of the ongoing conflict. Zach expresses concerns about market reactions and predictions, suggesting that the market may not be accurately reflecting the risks involved. He also touches on theories of market manipulation and concludes with thoughts on investment strategies in light of the current situation.

In this special episode, Zach discusses the complex situation in the Middle East, focusing on the implications of oil pricing and the geopolitical dynamics involving Iran, Israel, and the US. He emphasizes the critical role of oil in the global economy and explains how current events are affecting oil supply and pricing.

March 9, 2026 - This episode provides an in-depth analysis of the recent geopolitical tensions, oil market dynamics, and their implications for investors. Zach and Chase dissect the current situation with Iran, the strategic moves in oil markets, and what it means for future investments.

March 6, 2026 - Zach and Chase analyze current market dynamics, oil prices, geopolitical risks, and investment strategies amid economic uncertainties. They share insights on market behavior, risk management, and macroeconomic trends to help investors navigate turbulent times.

March 5, 2026 - Zach, Chase, and Josh Young of Bison Interests discuss the current state of the oil market, the challenges and opportunities presented by geopolitical dynamics, and the intricacies of oil pricing. Josh shares insights from his experience running Bison Interest, an oil hedge fund, and highlights the importance of understanding market reactions to geopolitical events. The discussion also delves into the implications of instability in the Middle East and how it affects oil supply and pricing mechanisms.

March 5, 2026 - Zach and Chase delve into the complexities of the current oil market, analyzing its dynamics in relation to geopolitical tensions, particularly focusing on the implications of the situation in Iran. They discuss the potential economic impacts of rising oil prices on various sectors, including technology, and explore investment strategies in a volatile market.

March 4, 2026 - Zach and Chase delve into the current state of the market, focusing on the perplexing behavior of oil prices amidst geopolitical tensions. They discuss the implications of these tensions on global supply chains, investor sentiment, and the broader economic landscape. The conversation also touches on the dynamics of the crypto market and the potential for future investment strategies in light of current events.

March 3, 2026 - This episode covers market reactions to geopolitical events and the current state of global oil and regional conflicts. Zach and Chase analyze market overreactions, strategic military considerations, and the implications for investors and policymakers.

March 2, 2026 - This episode provides an in-depth analysis of current geopolitical tensions, market reactions, and investment strategies amid escalating Middle East conflicts and energy supply disruptions. Zach and Chase explore how these events impact markets, energy prices, and portfolio management, offering valuable insights for investors navigating uncertain times.

February 27, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss various themes including parenting, market dynamics, and investment strategies. He shares personal anecdotes about learning with his children, reflects on the current state of the market, particularly regarding AI and Nvidia, and emphasizes the importance of understanding investor psychology and market cycles.

February 26, 2026 - Zach and Chase delve into the intricacies of stock price valuation, focusing particularly on Nvidia's market performance and the broader implications for investors. They discuss the challenges of maintaining high profit margins, the dynamics of market sentiment, and the long-term outlook for Nvidia compared to the S&P 500.

February 25, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss market dynamics, tech valuations, the impact of AI, and the importance of discipline and continuous learning in investing and life.

FEbruary 24, 2026 - An insightful discussion on market trends, AI's impact on industries, geopolitical risks, and investment strategies, featuring Zach and Chase. They analyze recent market movements, the potential of AI in biotech and software, and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

February 23, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss market dynamics, international stocks, the significance of cash holdings, commodity investing, and the implications of geopolitical events. They analyze recent market movements, share insights from a recent conference, and explore investment strategies amid economic uncertainties.

February 17, 2026 - Zach discusses the upcoming macro conference in Nashville, sharing insights on market trends, inflation, and the performance of major stocks. He emphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics, particularly regarding inflation and the Meg Seven stocks. The conversation also delves into the precious metals market, Bitcoin skepticism, and the energy sector, with a focus on Sprouts Farmers Market's performance and valuation. Zach encourages listeners to adopt a patient and informed investment approach, highlighting the significance of both technical and fundamental analysis.

February 13, 2026 - Zach discusses the current state of the market, emphasizing the importance of independent thinking in investing. He explores the volatility in tech stocks, the implications of political narratives on investment decisions, and the ongoing debate about Bitcoin's value as digital gold. The conversation also touches on the future of solar energy and electric vehicles, highlighting the need for diversification in investment portfolios.

February 12, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss various aspects of the current market landscape, including portfolio performance, market volatility, and investment strategies. They delve into the dynamics of the commodities and mining sectors, highlighting opportunities and risks. The conversation also touches on economic indicators, inflation, and the evolving landscape of tech investments, emphasizing the importance of understanding market trends and making informed decisions.

February 11, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the current state of the market, focusing on economic indicators, job numbers, and inflation. They delve into the implications of recent political statements on interest rates and explore new housing legislation aimed at improving the market. The conversation shifts to wealth-building strategies for young investors, emphasizing the importance of long-term planning. They analyze the recent merger between TransOcean and Valaris, highlighting its potential impact on the industry.

February 10, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss a range of topics from the recent Super Bowl victory of the Seattle Seahawks to the current state of the market, including economic indicators and investment strategies in gold mining. They delve into the complexities of capital cycles in commodities, the evolving role of the US dollar in global economics, and the implications of market volatility on investment sentiment.

February 5, 2026 - Chase discusses the current state of the market, highlighting the negative trends in major indices and the impact of volatility across various asset classes. He delves into the implications of increased capital expenditures (CapEx) by big tech companies and the evolving role of the Yuan in global finance, emphasizing the gradual shift towards Yuan-denominated transactions and debt.

February 4, 2026 - Chase provides a comprehensive analysis of the current market conditions, focusing on key indicators such as the S&P 500 and tech stocks. He discusses the implications of recent quant strategies and market dynamics, including a notable 'quantquake' affecting various sectors. Additionally, Chase highlights recent policy changes regarding critical minerals and their potential impact on the market, emphasizing the need for collaboration among allies to secure essential resources.

February 9, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss various themes surrounding investment strategies, market trends, and the dynamics of football. They reflect on the importance of context in news consumption, the volatility of markets, and the significance of understanding risk. The conversation also delves into the role of certainty in investment decisions, the impact of organizational choices in sports, and the strategies involved in drafting players.

February 3, 2026 - Chase provides a comprehensive overview of the current market trends, focusing on the S&P 500 and NASDAQ performance, inflation indicators, and geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices. He discusses the implications of recent economic data, the potential impact of new Federal Reserve leadership, and the evolving role of the Chinese yuan in global finance.

February 2, 2026 - Chase provides a comprehensive analysis of the current market conditions, focusing on key indices, commodity prices, and the impact of geopolitical events on oil. He discusses the recent trends in yields and economic growth, the dynamics of the timber market, and the overall sentiment in the stock market. The conversation highlights the complexities of navigating the current economic landscape, with insights into potential investment strategies and market outlooks.

January 30, 2026 - Zach and Chase delve into the complexities of hedging strategies in volatile markets, the significance of parabolic rises, and the role of anecdotal evidence in investing. They discuss the lessons learned from past market trends, the importance of valuation and timing in commodity investments, and the challenges of managing risk in a bull market. The conversation also touches on the impact of RAM shortages on tech stocks, an analysis of Apple's recent performance, and the implications of Fed appointments on monetary policy amidst economic challenges.

January 29, 2026 - In this episode, Zach and Chase discuss the current market sentiment, expressing concerns about inflation, job market dynamics, and the potential for recession. They explore investment strategies in light of market corrections and the impact of commodity prices on the global economy. The conversation also delves into central bank policies, technological advancements, and China's influence on commodities, particularly in relation to oil prices and inflationary pressures.

January 27, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the recent volatility in precious metals, particularly gold and silver, and the broader market dynamics influencing these changes. They explore the implications of economic indicators, investment strategies, and the unprecedented nature of current market conditions. The conversation also touches on conspiracy theories related to gold and the speculative nature of current investments in precious metals.