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Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)

Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)

Dwarkesh Podcast

December 23, 202512m 28s

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Show Notes

Read the essay here.

Timestamps

00:00:00 What are we scaling?

00:03:11 The value of human labor

00:05:04 Economic diffusion lag is cope00:06:34 Goal-post shifting is justified

00:08:23 RL scaling

00:09:18 Broadly deployed intelligence explosion



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