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Deal Flow Friday

Deal Flow Friday

Every Friday, join us as we dive into the latest in real estate multifamily with David Moghavem, Head of East Coast Acquisitions at Trion Properties.

David Moghavem

51 episodesEN

Show overview

Deal Flow Friday launched in 2025 and has put out 51 episodes in the time since. That works out to roughly 35 hours of audio in total. Releases follow a fortnightly cadence.

Episodes typically run thirty-five to sixty minutes — most land between 36 min and 48 min — and the run-time is fairly consistent across the catalogue. None of the episodes are flagged explicit by the publisher. It is catalogued as a EN-language Business show.

The show is actively publishing — the most recent episode landed 2 weeks ago, with 15 episodes already out so far this year. The busiest year was 2025, with 36 episodes published. Published by David Moghavem.

Episodes
51
Running
2025–2026 · 1y
Median length
43 min
Cadence
Fortnightly

From the publisher

Every Friday, join us as we dive into the latest in real estate multifamily with David Moghavem, Head of East Coast Acquisitions at Trion Properties. David invites top experts who know the ins, outs, and trends shaping the real estate multifamily market across the nation! Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just curious about where the next big opportunity might be, Deal Flow Friday brings you the weekly inside scoop on what’s hot, what’s not, and what to watch for in today’s ever-evolving real estate scene.

Latest Episodes

View all 51 episodes

Building Beyond a Basis: Matthew Thomson - Trilogy

May 1, 202636 min

The Texas Reset: Jack Stone - Greysteel

Apr 10, 202640 min

Ep 49Relationship-Driven Capital: Malcolm Davies WAY Capital

In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, David Moghavem sits down with Malcolm Davies of Way Capital to unpack what’s really happening in today’s capital markets—and how capital raising has fundamentally changed.They explore why the traditional “spray and pray” approach to raising equity no longer works, and how the market has shifted toward a relationship-driven model where trust matters more than projected IRRs. Malcolm shares how Way Capital—short for “We Are You”—approaches capital advising by aligning with sponsors and focusing on long-term partnerships over transactional deals.The conversation also dives into how lenders are becoming increasingly creative, stepping into the equity stack and blurring the lines between debt and equity. From hybrid structures to profit participation, the capital stack is evolving in real time.In addition, they discuss how AI is reshaping the industry—from underwriting and deal flow to operations—and why access to information is no longer the key differentiator. Instead, relationships, credibility, and trust are emerging as the true bottlenecks in getting deals done.For operators, investors, and anyone raising capital in today’s environment, this episode offers a clear perspective on how to navigate the current cycle and position for what’s ahead.Chapters00:00 Current Global Inflection Point01:38 Personal Background and Family Influence02:41 The Value of Perspective and Gratitude03:19 Starting the Podcast and Market Knowledge04:46 AI Tools and Market Data Access06:35 The Future of Capital Markets and Relationships07:24 Podcasting and Deal Nuggets09:51 Development Challenges and Market Conditions11:50 Market Outlook for Los Angeles and Beyond16:01 Building Trust and Relationships in Capital Markets19:16 The Power of Introductions and Networking22:21 Market Cycles and Credit Spreads23:45 Market Bottoms and Future Opportunities25:53 Operational Challenges and Asset Management28:55 Lessons from the GFC and Market Resilience36:50 The Impact of AI on Operations and Tenant Experience41:05 Operational Performance and Asset Management43:56 The Future of Capital and Relationship Building47:28 Unshackling Bandwidth for Greater Deal Flow49:21 Evolving Perspectives from Podcast Conversations52:33 The Next Generation and Technological Edgewww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

Apr 3, 202655 min

Ep 48Multifamily Market Monologue [Q1 2026]: David Moghavem - Trion Properties

In this episode, David Moghavem discusses the latest trends in multifamily real estate, focusing on rate movements, the blurring line between credit and equity, and evolving capital raising strategies. Gain insights into how market dynamics are shaping investment and financing decisions in 2026.Key Topics:SOFR-based financing resurgenceShift from treasury-based borrowingBlurring of credit and equity rolesCreative lender strategies and profit participationEvolving capital raising tactics in real estateChapters00:00 Introduction and Overview of Market Trends01:36 The Impact of Interest Rates on Real Estate06:07 Blurring Lines Between Credit and Equity14:33 Evolving Strategies in Capital Raisingwww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

Mar 28, 202618 min

Ep 47Strategy through Cycles: Henry Manoucheri - Universe Holdings

In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, David interviews Henry Manoucheri, CEO of Universe Holdings, to break down the current state of the multifamily real estate market, interest rates, and investment strategy in today’s cycle. Recorded around Nowruz, the conversation connects themes of renewal with a deep dive into how experienced operators are navigating rising interest rates, inflation, and shifting capital markets. With over 40 years in commercial real estate, Henry shares why this cycle is unlike 2008 or prior downturns, and what investors need to understand about today’s prolonged uncertainty.Henry outlines key lessons in real estate debt strategy, risk management, and underwriting, including how variable rate loans and rate caps impacted multifamily investors across the country. He explains why his firm is prioritizing fixed-rate financing, conservative leverage, and long-term hold strategies, while adjusting assumptions around cap rates, refinance timing, and exit valuations. For investors and sponsors, this episode highlights how to avoid common mistakes and structure deals for durability in a higher-rate environment.The discussion also covers top real estate markets, migration trends, and where to invest in 2026, comparing California, Florida, Texas, and New Jersey. Henry explains why barriers to entry, supply constraints, and job growth remain critical factors in market selection, and why some high-growth Sunbelt markets carry hidden risks due to oversupply. He also shares insights on expanding into new markets, building vertically integrated real estate platforms, and creating operational efficiencies across property management, construction, and insurance.Finally, the episode dives into capital raising strategies for real estate investors, including how to work with high-net-worth individuals, family offices, and institutional capital in today’s environment. Henry discusses the shift toward preferred equity, the importance of building long-term investor relationships, and what it takes to scale a real estate portfolio to tens of thousands of units. He closes with practical advice on entrepreneurship, discipline, and decision-making for anyone building a business in commercial real estate.Chapters00:00 Nowruz, New Cycles & Real Estate: From Iran to Building a $1.5B Portfolio06:02 The Most Unusual Market Cycle I’ve Ever Seen11:03 Investment Strategies and Lessons Learned16:11 Expanding Horizons: New Markets and Opportunities21:03 Building a Family Business and Brand24:23 Legacy and Ambition: A Family's Journey25:45 Market Insights: Identifying Opportunities28:19 Political Landscape: The Impact on Real Estate30:07 Wealth Migration: The Shift to Other States33:16 Capital Raising: Strategies for Success43:07 Advice for Emerging Entrepreneurs: Perseverance and Focuswww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @DealflowfridayX: @Dealflowfriday

Mar 20, 202649 min

Ep 46Mountain Markets: Jason Koch - MMG

In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, David Moghavem sits down with Jason Koch, Managing Director at MMG, to break down what’s really happening in today’s multifamily market. They discuss early signs of deal activity returning, why Denver has been one of the hardest-hit markets this cycle, and how investors are adapting their strategies in a slower transaction environment.Jason shares his journey from Unique Properties to launching Nexus, joining Capstone, and eventually transitioning to MMG, offering a behind-the-scenes look at how brokerage platforms evolve as markets change. The conversation dives into how the current downturn differs from the Global Financial Crisis, why lenders are working with sponsors instead of forcing sales, and why many deals today are taking months to transact.They also explore how operations and property management have become the new value-add, replacing the rent-growth-driven strategies of the past decade. As capital flows shift, the episode highlights where equity is coming from today—including investors who made significant gains in tech, crypto, and public markets.The episode wraps with practical advice for investors looking to enter Denver and other Mountain West markets, emphasizing why operational expertise may be the biggest competitive advantage in the current cycle.Chapters00:00 Episode Intro - Deal Activity Is Picking Up!04:16 Jason Koch’s Career Journey (Unique → Nexus → Capstone → MMG)10:31 Why Denver Has Been One of the Toughest Multifamily Markets12:39 Why Lenders Aren’t Forcing Sales Like 200816:08 Expanding Beyond Denver: Wyoming, Montana & Salt Lake20:33 Salt Lake City Is So Competitive Right Now23:05 The Biggest Mistake Investors Make When Choosing Submarkets25:50 Why Deals Take Months to Trade Today29:36 What Happened to Denver’s Cap Hill Submarket?!32:37 How Real Estate Deals Are Getting Capitalized Today36:50 Stocks vs Real Estate: Where Investors Are Putting Money40:44 Advice for New Investors in Denver's Marketwww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

Mar 13, 202642 min

Ep 45BEC X [Panel]: State of the Multifamily Market

In this special episode of Deal Flow Friday, recorded live at BEC X, David Moghavem joins moderator John Casmon alongside Andrew Cushman (Vantage Point Acquisitions) and Rob Beardsley (LSCRE) for a candid discussion on the current state of the multifamily market. The panel explores how experienced operators are evaluating deals in a post-rate-hike environment, where conservative underwriting and operational execution have become more important than ever. David explains Trion’s focus on untrended yield on cost, emphasizing the need to underwrite deals based on what a property can realistically produce today rather than relying on future rent growth assumptions. The group also dives into the impact of supply across Sun Belt markets, noting that oversupply and concessions have had a greater effect on performance than interest rates in many areas. The conversation covers strategies for investing across markets, the importance of treating every market like your backyard through local relationships and strong on-site teams, and the ongoing debate between value-add and core-plus acquisitions in today’s cycle. The panel also shares lessons from navigating the recent market turbulence, including the importance of conservative debt structures, aligning incentives with property management teams, and protecting the asset first to avoid capital calls during periods of stress.Chapters00:00 Introduction to the Panel and Participants02:27 Evaluating Deals in 2026: Yield on Cost and Market Trends05:07 Texas Multifamily Market: Opportunities and Challenges07:41 Impact of Supply on Market Dynamics11:26 Local Market Knowledge and Investment Strategies13:22 Managing Properties Remotely and Building Local Teams16:53 Vertical Integration and Third-Party Management22:14 Adjusting Investment Strategies in a Changing Market24:47 Market Segmentation: Class A, B, and C Properties33:06 Property Management: Self-Management vs Third-Party37:17 Proactive Risk Management and Market Adaptation38:04 Closing Remarks and Panel Wrap-Upwww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

Mar 6, 202636 min

Ep 44Know What Game You’re Playing: Will Krasne - Spectre Equities LLC & The Promote Pod

In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, host David Moghavem interviews Will Krasne, a real estate investor and co-host of the Promote Pod. They discuss Will's background in institutional private equity, his current investment strategies focusing on multifamily and industrial assets in the Mid Atlantic, particularly South Central Pennsylvania. The conversation delves into the dynamics of supply and demand in industrial real estate, the interconnection between industrial and multifamily investments, and the importance of risk management in today's market. Will emphasizes the need for authenticity in investment strategies and shares insights on the evolving landscape of real estate entrepreneurship.Chapters00:00 Intro [Will Krasne - Spectre Equities LLC & The Promote Pod]04:41 Investment Strategies in the Mid Atlantic07:35 Bullish on Central PA10:51 Small-bay industrial niche13:50 Interconnection of Industrial and Multifamily Investments16:29 Supply and Demand in Real Estate Markets19:09 Cash yield > IRR26:21 Core principle: Risk/Reward30:29 The Evolution of the Promote Pod31:35 The Characters of Real Estate34:46 Institutionalization: are the cowboys disappearing from CRE?37:12 Creating Institutional Quality Assets42:30 The Importance of Differentiation in Investingwww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

Feb 20, 202646 min

Ep 43Talent Wars in CRE: Mark Silverman & Bryce Goldsen - Advance CRE

In Episode 43 of Deal Flow Friday, David sits down with Mark Silverman and Bryce Goldsen, Co-Founders of AdvanceCRE, along with Max Sharkansky Managing Partner of Trion Properties, to break down the evolving talent landscape in commercial real estate—from the remote work debate and the shift back to in-office execution, to relocation trends, offshore competition, and the rising demand for high-impact executive roles. The conversation dives deep into how AI is reshaping hiring decisions, whether firms truly need a “Head of AI” or simply sharper junior talent, and why in a slower transaction market the bar for human capital is actually rising—not falling. Ultimately, this episode argues that in today’s cycle, great deals don’t start with capital—they start with people.Chapters:00:00 – Is Our Generation Soft? The Remote Work Debate01:21 – Intro: Mark Silverman, Bryce Goldsen & AdvanceCRE02:51 – From Investment Banking to Executive Search05:05 – Why They Moved From LA to the East Coast06:52 – Are People Still Relocating for Opportunity?08:38 – Hiring Then vs Now: What Changed After COVID09:16 – The First Question Candidates Ask Today10:00 – Is the Trend Moving Back In-Office?12:00 – Spontaneous Collaboration vs Scheduled Zoom Calls13:20 – Scaling Culture Across Multiple Offices14:40 – Back Office → No Office: Offshore Competition15:30 – Why Executive Assistants Are in High Demand16:45 – AI in Real Estate: Do You Need a Head of AI?18:00 – Senior AI Hire vs Junior AI Talent21:05 – How a 22-Year-Old Automated Accounting23:30 – Fractional AI Officers & The Middle Market25:05 – Will AI Reduce Headcount or Raise the Bar?26:20 – Is the Hiring Slowdown AI or Just the Cycle?27:15 – Jobs AI Can’t Replace in Real Estatewww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

Feb 13, 202652 min

Ep 42Multifamily Asset Management Playbook: Brendan Van Deventer - CRES

In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, David Moghavem sits down with Brendan Van Deventer, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of CRES (Consolidated Real Estate Strategies), for a tactical, operator-level discussion on what asset management actually looks like in today’s challenging multifamily environment.Brendan breaks down the realities operators are facing post-rate hikes, including muted rent growth, rising expenses, and operational inefficiencies that are now impossible to ignore. Rather than focusing on surface-level reporting, the conversation centers on execution and discipline at the asset level, using Brendan’s Four Ps framework: People, Product, Pricing, and Promotion.The episode dives deep into why on-site teams remain the highest-leverage variable, how retention has become one of the most important drivers of cash flow, and why many traditional renovation and marketing strategies no longer pencil. David and Brendan also explore collections discipline, backdoor eviction risk, renewal strategy, SEO-driven marketing, and why “back to basics” operations are outperforming flashy tools in this cycle.This conversation is a must-listen for operators, asset managers, lenders, and investors managing through distress or repositioning assets heading into 2026.Key topics covered include:The Four Ps asset management frameworkRetention vs. turnover economics (the 3x rule)Expense pressure from insurance, payroll, and marketingSEO and PPC vs. bloated ILS spendCollections discipline and de-risking bad debtWhy clean operations and execution now drive real ROIA practical playbook for navigating today’s multifamily headwinds.Chapters:00:00 Introduction to CRES Asset Management05:21 The New Expense Stack: Insurance, Payroll, and Cost Shock08:37 Marketing Spend Is Broken: Why More Zillow ≠ More Leases12:06 SEO, PPC, and the Shift Away From ILS15:33 entralization: When It Works, When It Backfires21:03 Pricing Strategies and Tenant Retention23:10 Why Retention Is Worth 3× New Leasing28:24 The Backdoor Eviction Problem Operators Are Facing34:41 FlexPay, Guarantors, and De-Risking Collections37:21 What Dollars Spent on a Property Yield The Highest ROI Today?42:39 Future Vision for Cresswww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

Feb 6, 202645 min

Ep 41NMHC Recap [Multifamily Market Monologue]: David Moghavem Trion Properties

David just returned from NMHC — the National Multifamily Housing Conference — and breaks down what the conference really revealed about the state of the multifamily market. Beyond panels and presentations, NMHC is about sentiment. This episode dives into the vibes, the psychology, and the quiet shifts happening behind the scenes.2025 was a year full of near-misses: deals that almost traded, distress that never fully cleared, and pricing confusion driven as much by communication breakdowns as by valuation gaps. But something feels different now. Lenders are stepping back into the process earlier, sellers are more aligned with reality, and off-market executions are returning as a preferred path.David explores the growing geographic divergence between markets, why macro headlines suddenly feel irrelevant to operators, and how industry fatigue has turned into a kind of stability. The takeaway isn’t hype — it’s discipline. Clean trades over hero trades. Execution over speculation.This episode frames NMHC as the beginning of a healthier transaction cycle built on realism, alignment, and cautious optimism.www.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

Jan 30, 202615 min

Ep 40Coast-to-Coast Multifamily Market Talk: Zihao Wang - PARES AI

In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, host David Moghavem interviews Zihao Wang, founder of PARES AI, a software designed to streamline the underwriting process for commercial real estate. They discuss Zihao's journey, insights from the Florida Multi-Family Summit, and his contrarian investment strategies in the current real estate market. The conversation also delves into the importance of technology in real estate, particularly how PARES AI aims to enhance efficiency and decision-making for acquisition teams.Chapters00:00 Introduction to Zihao Wang and Paris AI03:11 What the Florida Multifamily Summit Says About Today’s Market04:07 Contrarian Investing: Older Vintage vs Newer Assets06:28 Target Markets for Patient Capital09:15 Target Sunbelt Submarkets & Strategies 12:19 Navigating the Carolinas and Secondary Markets15:17 Would You Still Invest in Los Angeles?17:50 Supply-Constrained Markets vs Sunbelt Volatility19:09 The Case for Investing in Atlanta20:49 Bullish on the Bay today, Can this also happen in LA?23:19 Introducing PARES AI: Revolutionizing Underwriting Processes29:10 The Future of PARES AIwww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @DealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

Jan 23, 202637 min

Ep 39CREFC Miami Recap: Zachary Streit: Priority Capital Advisors

In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, David Moghavem sits down with Zach Streit, Founder and President of Priority Capital Advisory, for a wide-ranging conversation on the shifting dynamics of today’s commercial real estate capital markets. Drawing on nearly two decades of experience, Zach breaks down why there is currently more capital than deals, how banks and insurance-backed debt funds are driving spread compression, and what that means for borrowers across the capital stack. The discussion explores why the long-anticipated wave of distress never fully materialized, how capital is now moving from credit and preferred equity back toward common equity, and where fixed-rate versus bridge financing fits in this new environment. Zach also walks through the closing of a $175 million construction and land recapitalization in California, sharing lessons on perseverance, counterparty risk, and relationship-driven dealmaking, before wrapping with insights on “naked brokerage,” building trust, and creating your own luck in a competitive market.Chapters00:00 Introduction: Zach Streit (Priority Capital Advisory)03:12 CREFC Vibe Check: “More capital than deals”06:08 Debt Funds Folding/Consolidating + Counterparty Risk07:45 Credit-to-Equity Domino Effect + Capital Moving Up the Stack12:05 Why Distress/Pref Equity Didn’t Deploy Like Everyone Expected16:12 Why Acquisition Bridge is Muted (and where bridge is happening)23:51 Case Study: $175M Santa Maria Construction + Land Recap (Deal Breakdown)30:56 Creating Your Own Luck in Brokerage35:26 “Naked Brokerage” Explained + Advice for Young Brokerswww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

Jan 16, 202640 min

Ep 382026 Predictions [Multifamily Market Monologue]: David Moghavem - Trion Properties

In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, David Moghavem reflects on the past year in multifamily real estate, discussing predictions made for 2025 and how they played out. He emphasizes the importance of iterative reflection in real estate and shares insights on market conditions for 2026, including the potential for seller capitulation and the impact of AI on rental markets, particularly favoring Class B housing.Chapters00:00 Celebrating One Year of Deal Flow Friday03:11 Reflecting on Predictions and Market Trends07:36 2026 Market Winners: "Category 2 & 3"16:54 AI Impact to Renters: Class B as the Winner

Jan 9, 202622 min

Ep 37[REPLAY COMPILATION] Lessons From 2025 To Prepare for 2026

Episode 37 is a masterclass in what actually drives long-term success in real estate: patience, differentiation, and relationships. This week, we pulled some of the most replayed moments on the show this year to reflect on the lessons learned from 2025, to prepare us for a stronger 2026. This episode features valuable lessons from some of the most replayed guests this year: Paul Daneshrad - CEO of Starpoint PropertiesAlan Lazowski - CEO of LAZ ParkingJoseph Paskov - Senior VP of LaSalle Value PartnersAdrian Berger - Managing Director of Cypress Equity InvestmentsGarrett Nondorf - Director of Investments at Flagship Capital PartnersHenry Stimler - Executive Managing Director at Newmark, Capital MarketsAleksey Chernobelskiy - CEO of GP-LP MatchMichael Khalilzad - President of CastleSquarewww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @DealflowfridayX: @Dealflowfriday

Jan 2, 202628 min

Ep 36The 5% Advantage in AI: Jake Heller - AL for CRE Collective

In this conversation, David Moghavem and Jake Heller discuss the emergence of AI in commercial real estate, focusing on the creation of the AI for CRE Collective community. They explore the challenges and opportunities presented by AI adoption, emphasizing the importance of data organization, community engagement, and the mindset shift from viewing AI as a luxury to a necessity. The discussion highlights common pain points, the need for collaboration, and the future of AI in enhancing human capabilities within the industry.Chapters00:00 Introduction to AI for CRE Collective02:52 The Accidental Community Builder05:31 Understanding the Need for AI in Real Estate08:17 Mindset Shift in the Real Estate Industry11:16 Challenges of Data and Privacy in AI Adoption13:55 Preparing for the Next Wave of AI16:44 Community Engagement and Knowledge Sharing20:21 Identifying Pain Points in Commercial Real Estate Workflows23:02 Common Pitfalls in AI Adoption26:35 The Role of AI in Replacing Human Jobs31:09 Leveraging AI for Enhanced Productivity38:17 Implementing AI Solutions in Real Estatewww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @DealFlowFridayX: @DealFlowFriday

Dec 19, 202544 min

Ep 35"The MG Way": Jeff Gleiberman - President, MG Properties

In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, host David Moghavem interviews Jeff Gleiberman, president of MG Properties, discussing the multifamily real estate market, investment strategies, and operational challenges. Jeff shares insights on the importance of specialization, market diversification, and the current performance of coastal versus inland markets. He emphasizes the significance of cash flow metrics and the challenges of managing properties in a changing economic landscape. The conversation also touches on the future of the market, the role of self-management, and advice for emerging sponsors in the industry.Chapters00:00 Introduction & MG Properties Overview03:04 What the “MG Way” Really Means04:10 Market Footprint: States, Sub-Markets & Strategy06:06 Market Performance: Coastal vs Inland Trends07:30 Pricing Disconnect in Denver & How MG Evaluates It09:52 Investment Strategies: Balancing New and Older Assets12:34 Where MG Is Buying Today14:27 The Basis Plays15:59 Target Metric of Choice19:06 2026 Predictions: Seller Capitulation? Or more Extend & Pretend?21:22 2026 Operational Trends/Headwinds24:50 MG Properties' 2026 Acquisition/Disposition Goals26:14 The Case for Self-Management30:28 Jeff's Advice to Emerging Sponsors trying to Replicate "The MG Model"www.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

Dec 12, 202532 min

Ep 34From Multifamily to Manufactured Housing: Enrique Huerta - Crystal View Capital

In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, David sits down with Enrique Huerta, VP of Acquisitions at Crystal View Capital, to break down his transition from a decade in multifamily to a national platform focused on manufactured housing, self-storage, and industrial outdoor storage. Enrique shares why yield-driven investors are increasingly looking beyond conventional apartments, why manufactured housing offers rare supply constraints and outsized stabilization yields, and how Crystal View’s all-cash strategy gives them a competitive edge in today’s dislocated market. The conversation spans risk factors unique to manufactured housing, the shifting multifamily landscape, distress opportunities emerging across the Sunbelt and West Coast, and both David and Enrique’s predictions heading into 2026—including investor sentiment, inflation pressures, and where they see the best plays in the next cycle.00:00 Introduction to Enrique Huerta and Crystal View Capital03:34 Crystal View Capital's Acquisition Strategy06:27 Understanding Yields in Manufactured Housing vs. Multifamily09:36 Risks and Hurdles in Manufactured Housing Investments12:58 Market Dynamics and Barriers to Entry in Manufactured Housing15:44 Demographics and Delinquency in Manufactured Housing18:46 Opportunities in Older Vintage Multifamily Assets21:58 Evaluating Good Deals in Multifamily Investments27:53 The Future of Multifamily Investments and Market Trends31:50 Market Dynamics and Cash-Out Strategies34:49 The All-Cash Advantage in Real Estate39:15 Investor Sentiment and Predictions for 202648:22 Navigating Distress in the Market52:41 AI's Impact on Real Estate and Market Trends

Nov 21, 202555 min

Ep 33First-Ring Suburbs, Self-Management & Everything in Between: Chris Urso – URS Capital Partners

In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, David sits down with Chris Urso, Managing Partner of URS Capital Partners, to talk about operating through today’s multifamily reset across the Southeast. They dig into why 2025 has been an “operator’s recession,” how first-ring suburbs in markets like Charlotte, Nashville, Charleston, and Atlanta are best positioned for recovery, and why focusing on gray-collar housing continues to drive stable demand. Chris shares lessons from building a vertically integrated platform, the importance of self-management and team culture, and how tools like Rentana and AI-driven asset management are transforming operations. They also cover capital strategy—how URS has leaned on private investors, navigated a tighter equity landscape, and why the next wave of opportunity may come from pref-equity-driven distress as the market normalizes into 2026. 00:00 Introduction to Multifamily Operations04:30 Market Insights and Economic Challenges07:27 Supply and Demand Dynamics in Key Markets10:29 Investment Strategies in Secondary Markets13:24 Focus on First Ring Suburbs17:53 Self-Management and Operational Strategies27:18 Navigating Third-Party Management vs. Self-Management33:25 The Importance of Technology in Property Management37:02 Capital Raising in a Changing Market47:13 Future Predictions for the Real Estate Market

Nov 7, 202553 min

Ep 32Multifamily Market Monologue: David Moghavem

In this special solo episode of Deal Flow Friday, David Moghavem delivers a wide-angle “multi-market monologue,” offering a real-time pulse check on the multifamily landscape as 2025 comes to a close. He unpacks how Jerome Powell’s decision to end the Fed’s balance sheet runoff marks a key pivot from quantitative tightening to easing liquidity, and what that means for buyers, sellers, and lenders heading into 2026. David also explores the shifting capital landscape, from private credit compression to the resurgence of institutional platform investments, while introducing a critical underwriting metric for today’s environment: Going-In Yield on Cost, a mark-to-market lens that adjusts for higher delinquencies, concessions, insurance, and deferred maintenance. The episode spotlights two contrasting markets — Denver, where oversupply and new landlord regulations are pressuring fundamentals, and the Bay Area, where AI-driven job growth, renewed office momentum, and strong civic leadership are fueling one of the most compelling rebound stories in the country. David closes with a forward look at how discipline, creativity, and true partnerships will define the next phase of multifamily investing. Chapters:00:00 Introduction to the Multifamily Market Monologue02:31 The Fed’s Announcement & Balance Sheet Runoff Ending08:29 Seller Behavior: Meeting the Market13:02 Shifts in Buyer and Seller Dynamics17:09 Why Don't 7-Cap Deals Pencil? Going-In Yield on Cost.24:12 Tough Love for Denver: Why the Mile High Market’s Struggling (...for Now)33:25 Back to the Bay: Tech, Talent, and a Multifamily Revival www.dealflowfriday.comInstagram: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfridayLinkedIn: @davidmoghavem

Oct 31, 202540 min
© 2026 David Moghavem