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Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg Surveillance

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Surveillance: China Was Caught Off Balance By Trump, Fenby Says

Jonathan Fenby, TSLombard Chairman, says the trade war has come at an inconvenient time for Xi Jinping. Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent, updates us on the USMCA signing in Buenos Aires. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives Founder & President, does not expect the G-20 meetings to resolve trade issues. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President & Founder, says a framework agreement between Xi and Trump would be a huge win. And Garrett Graff, Author of "Threat Matrix", offers an inside look into political drama in Washington. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 30, 201839 min

Surveillance: Normalization With Former ECB President Trichet

Thu Lan Nguyen, Commerzbank FX Strategist, and Daniel Morris, BNP Paribas Asset Management Senior Investment Strategist, discuss the market impact of various Brexit outcomes. Jean-Claude Trichet, Former ECB President, says the 2008 crisis put central banks close to a financial stability mandate. Don Gimbel, Geneva Advisors Portfolio Manager, thinks China and the U.S. may reach an agreement at the G-20 summit. Leon Cooperman, Omega Advisors Chairman & CEO, discusses the algorithms that bring volatility to the markets. Eric Garcetti, Los Angeles Mayor, says mayors are the political first responders to natural disasters.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 29, 201849 min

Surveillance: Fiscal Cliff Coming In 2020, Crescenzi Says

Bloomberg Surveillance is live from the Bloomberg link for the Year Ahead Summit. Miranda Carr, Haitong International China Macro Strategist, says the Chinese government will have to take strong measures to avoid volatility in the yuan. Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist & Portfolio Manager, expects a fiscal cliff in 2020. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman & Co-Founder, discusses the humility of Former Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy, the guest on his show "Peer to Peer Conversations". Luca Solca, Exane BNP Paribas Head of Luxury Goods Research, says that the Chinese consumer represents a third of the luxury market. Nick Colas, DataTrek Research Co-Founder, says bitcoin is a cloudy market. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 28, 201838 min

Surveillance: Auto Workers Losing For Decades Now, Alden Says

Arlene Foster, U.K. Democratic Unionist Party Leader, tells us why her party doesn't support May's Brexit deal. Kevin Tynan, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Automotive Analyst, says GM is going through this "painful transition" in order to be relevant in the future. Edward Alden, CFR Senior Fellow and Author of "Failure To Adjust: How Americans Got Left Behind In The Global Economy", says China is a bigger market for GM than the U.S. Andrew Wood, Chatham House Associate Fellow for their Russia and Eurasia Programme, does not think there will be new sanctions on Russia. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 27, 201828 min

Surveillance: Unemployment Rate Is Going Nowhere, Sweeney Says

Nicky Morgan, U.K. Member of Parliament & Chair of Treasury Select Committee, and Rupert Harrison, BlackRock Multi-Asset Strategies Portfolio Manager, talk the challenges of getting the Brexit deal through Parliament. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist & Head of Global Fixed Income & Economic Research, says returns aren't great but the unemployment rate is going nowhere. Oliver Chen, Cowen Senior Equity Research Analyst, discusses Cyber Monday for a generation that needs "instagramable moments." Abhishek Deshpande, Head of JP Morgan's Global Oil Market Research & Strategy Team, thinks oil's falling prices are partly policy led. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 26, 201833 min

Surveillance: Oil Prices Boost Consumer Spending, Swonk Says

Steve Wieting, Citigroup Global Chief Investment Strategist, doesn't think 2019 marks a down year for the U.S. or the rest of the world. John Levy, John B. Levy & Company Founder, says we are going from necessity shopping to experience shopping. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says oil prices will give a boost to consumer spending in the holiday season. Christyan Malek, J.P. Morgan Head of EMEA Oil & Gas Research, talks the Russian break even and the Saudi break even oil prices. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Founder, says stores are in a good inventory position for holidays sales. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 23, 201827 min

Surveillance: We Need To Fix The Trade Issue, OECD's Boone Says

Brian Levitt, Oppenheimer Funds Senior Investment Strategist, says the Phillips curve is as flat as the table he is sitting at. Laurence Boone, OECD Chief Economist, highlights the need to fix trade issues. Mike Feroli, JPMorgan Chief Economist, thinks the Fed will continue to hike every quarter next year. Brian Kelly, The Points Guy, says the credit card market is living the biggest boom we have ever seen. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 21, 201827 min

Surveillance: U.S. Economy Weakening But Strong, Cantrill Says

George Bory, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Credit Strategy, says the march back towards cash is well underway. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, thinks the chances of a big infrastructure package are higher than markets seem to think. Mark Gilbert, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says we are nearing a bear market. Wolfgang Munchau, Eurointelligence Director, thinks people are overestimating the power of Germany to influence Euro states. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 20, 201828 min

Surveillance: There's Potential For Some Inflation, Mann Says

Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says the Fed must balance the signals coming from the global and domestic economy. Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Finance Professor, thinks Salvini wants the confrontation with the EU for political reasons. Isabelle Mateos Y Lago, BlackRock Investment Institute Chief Multi-Asset Strategist, notes it's the first time in a while that there's uncertainty about the Fed's next move. Budd Bugatch, Raymond James Research Managing Director, provides an update on Home Depot and Walmart. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 19, 201831 min

Surveillance: It's The Brexit Deal That Works, Phillipson Says

Stephen Roach, Yale University Professor, says there might be some type of standstill agreement between China and the U.S. in the Buenos Aires meeting. Antony Phillipson, British Consul General to New York, highlights the need to deliver some certainty on Brexit. Margaret Brennan, CBS Face the Nation Host, will discuss the record number of women in Congress during her next show. Stephanie Wissink, Jefferies Managing Director & Consumer Research Analyst, says the baton has shifted from baby boomers to millennials being the population driver for consumer goods. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 16, 201839 min

Surveillance: Hard Brexit Looks Very Tangible, Foley Says

Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy & Senior Currency Analyst, says the prospects of a hard Brexit look very tangible today. Neil Callanan, Bloomberg's London Bureau Chief, thinks Theresa May will struggle in a leadership contest. Danny Blanchflower, Darmouth Professor & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, thinks the current Brexit deal will collapse. And John Carreyou, Author of "Bad Blood", details the writing process for his book on Elizabeth Holmes and Theranos. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 15, 201833 min

Surveillance: Confidence In Draghi Is Diminishing, Rahbari Says

Ebrahim Rahbari, Citi Global Head of Content & G10 FX Strategy, says confidence in Draghi is diminishing. David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, thinks European stocks are especially undervalued today. Toby Moskovitz, Heritage Equity Partners President & Founder, proposes that Amazon creates a requirement for local hiring and job training. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Founder, says product innovation contributes Macy's strong earnings. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman & Co-Founder, previews his interview with Former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 14, 201842 min

Surveillance: The Economy of Seattle Meets Arlington & Queens

Kim Wallace, Eurasia Group Managing Director of U.S., thinks people are growing comfortable with the notion of socializing health care in America. Nancy Ognanovich, Congressional Leadership Reporter For Bloomberg Government, says funding the government will be the Congress priority. Greg Boutle, BNP Head of Equity & Derivative Strategy, expects a slowdown in nominal GDP next year. Bill Smead, Smead Capital Management CEO & CIO, describes how Seattle has changed as Amazon has grown. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 13, 201831 min

Surveillance: We Still Have Work To Do, Rep. Scalise Says

Jim Glassman, JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking Head Economist, says of all the things he worries about, the Fed is not on that list. Kevin Book, Clearview Energy Partners Head of Research, talks the supply and demand picture for crude oil. Rep. Steve Scalise (R-LA) lays out his plans for his last few months as House Majority Whip. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Interest-Rates Strategy, says you don't have to take on a ton of treasury risk to get big returns. Tyler Brule, Monocle Editor-In-Chief, takes a close look at soft power. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 12, 201840 min

Surveillance: This Fed Is Data Dependent, Zentner Says

Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist & Managing Director, thinks the U.S. tariffs are already having an impact on China. Stewart Patrick, CFR Senior Fellow & Director of the International Institutions and Global Governance Program, joins us to discuss the Armistice Day Centennial. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, thinks Powell has been a great communicator but his one misstep was when he said, "We are far from neutral." Michael Beschloss, Presidential Historian & Author of "Presidents Of War", expects a Battle Royale within the Democratic Party in the next two years. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 9, 201832 min

Surveillance: One or Two Fed Hikes Next Year, Milken's Lee Says

Stephanie Baker, Bloomberg News Senior Writer, discusses the Russian investigation in the wake of Sessions' resignation. William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, expects one or two rate hikes from the Fed next year. James Albertine, Consumer Edge Senior Auto Analyst, says Robyn Denholm would not have been his first choice for Tesla Chair. Bill Gavin, Former FBI Assistant Director, reacts to the California shooting. David Laufman, Government Investigations Lawyer & Former U.S. Department of Justice Senior National Security Official, revisits Sessions' recusal from the Russia investigation. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 8, 201833 min

Surveillance Special: A Divided Congress

Bloomberg Surveillance brings you a Midterms Special. Emily Ekins, Cato Institute Research Fellow & Director of Polling, says millennials were energized to vote in these midterms. Marc Lotter, Former Press Secretary for VP Mike Pence & Trump 2020 Advisory Board Member, shares his key takeaways from the Florida and Ohio races. Lawrence Summers, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary & Former National Economic Council Director, says fiscal responsibility is not the concern right now. Robby Mook, Hillary Clinton's 2016 Campaign Manager, thinks Democrats need to focus on delivering results to those who elected them. Trent Lott, Former Senate Majority Leader, says getting things done in a divided government takes communication and leadership. Stephen Moore, Heritage Foundation & "Trumponomics" Co-Author, thinks the booming economy saved Senate seats for Republicans. And Frank Keating, Former Governor of Oklahoma, says he's not happy with what is going on at the U.S.-Mexico border. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 7, 201837 min

Surveillance: Voters Turnout When They're Pissed, Goolsbee Says

Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth & Investment Strategies, says gridlock would be the best outcome for the markets. Doug Heye, Deputy Chief of Staff to Eric Cantor & Republican Strategist, guides us through two races in Iowa. Joe Lieberman, United Against a Nuclear Iran Chairman and Former Senator (D-CT), thinks Congress has let down the people. Austan Goolsbee, Fmr. White House Economic Adviser to President Obama, is hoping voters become increasingly skeptical of what they see on social media during elections. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 6, 201826 min

Surveillance: U.S. Midterms Eve With Jared Bernstein

Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Bank Chief U.S. Economist, discusses potential for American austerity as the global economy decelerates. Golnar Motevalli, Bloomberg News Reporter in Tehran, says Iran sanctions are a sad story for the middle class. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management Chief Economist, does not expect the economy to overheat. Jared Bernstein, Fmr. Chief Economist & Economic Adviser to Vice President Joe R. Biden, says we've dropped the ball on public investment. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 5, 201827 min

Surveillance: U.S. Seeing Real Wage Growth, CEA's Hassett Says

Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research, explains how big oil companies are adapting to a de-carbonized world. Eric Ross, Cascend Securities Chief Investment Strategist, analyzes the "Apple ecosystem." Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor & Former Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor, says we have never seen a higher wage gap between workers with college degrees and those without. Kevin Hassett, Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, says the U.S. is seeing real wage growth. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 2, 201834 min

Surveillance: Risk Parity Framework is Unraveling, Major Says

Seema Malhotra, Labour Party Member of Parliament, does not believe we will see a Brexit deal by November 21st. Steve Wieting, Citi Global CIO, expects a positive equity environment in 2019. Steve Major, HSBC Global Head of Fixed Income Research, says October was a bucket of cold water for the S&P. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Political Strategist, says President Trump is absolutely already on the 2020 campaign trail. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nov 1, 201841 min

Surveillance: The U.S. Is Winning The Trade War, Foley Says

Gerry Fowler, Aberdeen Standard Investments Global Multi-Asset Strategist, says the Libor rate is the key driver of equity markets. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the dollar-renminbi cross has a very political exchange rate. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy Founder & CEO, notes Facebook growth has slowed in the developed world. Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Capital Partner, gives us a hedge fund update. Margie Patel, Wells Fargo Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager, compares loan to bond investment. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 31, 201835 min

Surveillance: Too Late To Sell, Too Early To Buy, Trennert Says

Karen Ubelhart, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Machinery Analyst, sees opportunities in the tech gigs sector. Jason Trennert, Strategas Research Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, expects more dispersion in returns as capital becomes rationed. Bob Janjuah, Nomura Senior Independent Client Advisor of Global Markets, worries about the "post-easy-money world." Jim O'Sullivan, High Frequency Chief U.S. Economist, expects a strong employment report on Friday. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg TV & Radio Chief Washington Correspondent, updates us on President Trump's immigration plans. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 30, 201833 min

Surveillance: Merkel Has Been A Monolith, Schick Says

Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management Chairman, Portfolio Manger & CEO, says IBM hasn't managed to innovate. Shannon K. O'Neil, Council on Foreign Relations VP, Deputy Director of Studies, and Nelson and David Rockefeller Senior Fellow for Latin American Studies, says Brazil's elected President Bolsonaro models himself after U.S. President Trump. Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Group Chief Economist, wonders when the sugar high from the tax cut will start to fade. Nina Schick, Rasmussen Global Director of Data & Polling, says it will be tough for Germany to replace Merkel who is a "monolith" for her country and the EU. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 29, 201822 min

Surveillance: This Is A Sustainable Cycle, Mulvaney Says

John Ryding, RDQ Economics Chief Economist & Founding Partner, does not think the Fed should stop hiking. Robert Kaplan, Dallas Fed President & CEO, tells Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics & Politics Correspondent, that the current market volatility is typical. Nancy Cordes, CBS News Chief Congressional Correspondent, updates us the Senate race in Texas. And Mick Mulvaney, U.S. Office of Management & Budget Director, says the White House expected the low inflation numbers we saw today. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 26, 201839 min

Surveillance: Tesla 4Q Is A Big Question Mark, Johnson Says

Gordon Johnson, Vertical Group Managing Director & Analyst, thinks Tesla's positive numbers in 2Q and 3Q are not repeatable. Gary Shilling, A Gary Shilling & Co. President, says we are basically in a deflationary war. Christian Schulz, Citi Economics Team Director, previews the ECB Meeting today. And Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Managing Partner & Co-Founder, forecasts Apple's future in autos. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 25, 201828 min

Coming Soon: The New Economy

Bloomberg’s head of economics Stephanie Flanders calls on Bloomberg's worldwide network of reporters and expert commentators to cast a fresh eye on looming challenges for the world economy which affect us all.This 6 part podcast combines on the ground reporting with expert discussion on the future of cities, finance and technology, trade, global governance and making growth more inclusive. It's the start of a global conversation on how to confront these issues which will continue in Singapore in early November, when around 400 top business leaders and thinkers from across the globe will gather in Singapore for the first New Economy Forum.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 24, 20181 min

Surveillance: The Pessimism Is Overdone, Normand Says

John Normand, JP Morgan Head of Cross-Asset Fundamental Strategy, says there are pockets of opportunity in emerging markets. George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Founder & Chairman, discusses the U.S.-Saudi Arabia relationship. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says much of the Fed's power comes from the perception of its independence. Craig Gordon, Bloomberg Washington Bureau Chief, joins us on breaking news. And Jon Lieber, PWC National Tax Services Principal, analyzes the possibility of a middle class tax cut. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 24, 201827 min

Surveillance: No Exuberance In Equity Markets, Kantor Says

Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Senior Portfolio Manager, sees no exuberance or optimism in equity markets. Frank Newport, Gallup Poll Editor-In-Chief, discusses the challenges of polling election turnout. Sanam Vakil, Chatham House Senior Consulting Research Fellow in the Middle East & North Africa Program, says Saudi Arabia wants to preserve their relationship with the U.S. at all costs. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, hops in the studio to analyze the market losses this morning. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 23, 201832 min

Surveillance: No Tax Legislation Before Midterms, Hudak Says

Kate Moore, BlackRock Investment Institute Chief Equity Strategist, defends her market optimism. John Hudak, Brookings Institution Senior Fellow in Governance Studies, predicts President Trump will "absolutely not" pass new tax legislation by the midterms. Matt Maley, MillerTabak and Co., LLC Managing Director & Equity Strategist, advises to go to cash. Steven Cook, CFR Senior Fellow For Middle East And Africa Studies, says Khashoggi's story will shake the Saudi royal family. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 22, 201826 min

Surveillance: Neither Party is Focused On Debt, Hormats Says

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 19, 201828 min

Surveillance: Italy Likely To Be Downgraded A Notch, Hense Says

Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-CIO, talks the future of Fox, Disney, Google and Youtube. Florian Hense, Berenberg European Economist, says it is likely that Italy will be downgraded a notch. Therese Raphael, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says the Trump administration's proposal for a free-trade deal with the U.K. is music to the ears of Brexiteers. Dana Peterson, Citigroup Economist, discusses the uneven wage growth in the U.S.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 18, 201827 min

Surveillance: No Reason To Stop Hiking, Zentner Says

Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, sees no reason for the Fed to stop hiking right now. Martin Indyk, CFR Distinguished Fellow & Former U.S. Ambassador to Israel, says every message has to be carefully controlled in a crisis, including the one with Saudi Arabia. Joel Levington, Bloomberg Intelligence Credit & Strategy Analyst, expects Uber bonds to have junk ratings. Wolfgang Munchau, Eurointelligence President, is optimistic about a Brexit deal in December. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 17, 201828 min

Surveillance: The U.S. Is Abusing Its Privileges, Rose Says

Jack Lew, Former U.S. Treasury Secretary, thinks economic sanctions are a powerful tool to influence countries to change their policies. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, says the U.S. is abusing its privileges. Alison Williams, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst of U.S. Banks, talks IPO growth. Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, is worried about the over-promise of liquidity in banks. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 16, 201845 min

Surveillance: BAC Is Growing Organically, Cassidy Says

Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Equity Research Managing Director, says the universal bank model is outperforming the regional bank model. John Sfakianakis, Gulf Research Center Foundation Economics Research Director, thinks Khashoggi's disappearance has been a blow to Saudi Arabia's image-making. Vivian Nereim, Bloomberg Reporter, reports from Riyadh on the beginning of an internal probe in Saudi Arabia. Gary Gensler, Former CFTC Chairman, defends quarterly earnings reporting arguing that the public has the right to know about companies on a regular basis.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 15, 201827 min

Surveillance: No Election Impact From Celebrities, Haines Says

David Pearl, Epoch Investment Partners Co-Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager, says JP Morgan has a clear strategy which includes a large return of capital. Terry Haines, Evercore ISI Senior Political Strategist, thinks that celebrity endorsements do not have an impact on elections results. Gustavo Rangel, ING Chief LatAm Economist, explains that big Latin American countries are not vulnerable to FX volatility. Mitch Roschelle, PwC Partner, says the U.S. is undersupplied with new housing stock. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 12, 201824 min

Surveillance: Correction Was Long In The Making, Memani Says

Geoffrey Yu, UBS Wealth Management Head of UK Investment Office, is not worried about tail risks. Krishna Memani, OppenheimerFunds CIO & Head of Fixed Income, thinks credit is the strongest place in the markets right now. Dana Peterson, Citigroup Global Markets Director and Economist, says an independent Fed is the best Fed. And Justin Leverenz, Oppenheimer Funds Director of EM Equities, highlights the focus on the sustainability of Tencent. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 11, 201827 min

Surveillance: Dollar Centrality Up Since 2008, Mallaby Says

Sebastian Mallaby, CFR Senior Fellow for International Economics, says the dollar's centrality in the global system has gone up since 2008. Claus Vistesen, Pantheon MacroEconomics Chief Eurozone Economist, thinks the Italian bond market is mispriced. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Securities Managing Director & U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, prefers that banks have less revenues today but sustainable growth. Amanda Sloat, Brookings Institution Senior Fellow, thinks people are becoming increasingly more pessimistic towards Brexit.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 10, 201830 min

Surveillance: Italy Unsustainable in Eurozone, Varoufakis Says

Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Bank Chief U.S. Economist, says there is a good chance that we will see a downturn in 2020. Kathy Fisher, Bernstein Head of Wealth & Investment Strategist, does not expect a terrible recession whenever it comes. Yanis Varoufakis, Former Finance Minister of Greece, thinks Italy is not sustainable within the current rules of the Eurozone. And Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe, recommends we read Madeleine Albright's new book, "Fascism: A Warning." See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 9, 201829 min

Surveillance: Nordhaus Was A Great Teacher, Buiter Says

Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, says the Nobel Prize for Economics Winner William Nordhaus was a very inspiring teacher. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Managing Director of Policy Research & Senior Policy Analyst, says Kavanaugh's confirmation galvanized the political pulse for the midterms. Monica de Bolle, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, thinks Brazil's first round winner Jair Bolsonaro is more nationalistic and state interventionist than the markets seem to realize. And Steve Keen, Kingston University of London Professor of Economics, talks the role of technology in economics after Paul Romer's Nobel Prize win. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 8, 201830 min

Surveillance: Unemployment Can Go Lower, Kudlow Says

Howard Ward, Gabelli Funds CIO of Growth Equities, focuses on defensive growth stocks while the Fed is tightening. Betsey Stevenson, University of Michigan Professor & Former Chief Economist of the U.S. Department of Labor from 2010-2011, says wage growth goes mainly to the top end of the income distribution. Timothy O'Brien, Bloomberg Opinion Executive Editor, thinks that the debate around Kavanaugh has moved from sexual harassment to issues regarding his credibility. Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says unemployment can go lower. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 5, 201830 min

Surveillance: Businessweek Scoop On China's Microchip Hack

We lead today's podcast with a Bloomberg Businessweek scoop: China used a tiny chip to infiltrate almost 30 U.S. companies. Then we turn to Tobias Levkovich, Citigroup Global Markets Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, who notes 75% of S&P revenues are U.S. driven. Max Baucus, Former U.S. Ambassador to China & Former Senator from Montana, says countries will have to reach agreements on technology or this will be "the Wild West." Louise Yamada, Technical Research Advisors, says we're now in a new raising rate cycle. Jordan Robertson, Bloomberg News Global Technology Reporter, breaks down his reporting on China's microchips. And Adam Segal, Council on Foreign Relations Digital & Cyberspace Policy Program Director, says this story will shape upcoming security discussions. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 4, 201835 min

Surveillance: Lighthizer Is The Serious Negotiator, Alden Says

Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, says people in the U.K. are sick of ten years of conservative austerity. Anna Edwards, Bloomberg Markets European Open Anchor, reports on PM May's speech at the Tory Party Conference. Craig Trudell, Bloomberg Autos Americas Team Leader, gives us a much needed autos update from Michigan. Edward Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, analyzes the USMCA trade agreement. And David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman, previews his upcoming show with Barry Diller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 3, 201837 min

Surveillance: The USMCA Is Encouraging, Lagarde Says

Marc Chandler, Bannockburn Global Forex Chief Market Strategist & Managing Partner, thinks Italy needs growth. Bob Doll, Nuveen Asset Management Senior Portfolio Manager & Chief Equity Strategist, says Fed conversations are getting harder as we approach neutral. Christine Lagarde, IMF Managing Director, is pleased the USMCA exists. Alan Krueger, Princeton Professor of Economics, thinks Amazon is saying, "we are going to be a responsible employer," by raising their minimum wage.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 2, 201826 min

Surveillance: USMCA Is A Rebranding Of The Old NAFTA, Lee Says

Bill Lee, Milken Chief Economist, says the USMCA is an example of the new bilateral approach to negotiations of the U.S. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow, says 70% to 100% of the tariffs in autos will fall on consumers. Kimberly Robinson, Bloomberg Law Legal Editor, comments on the political nature of Kavanaugh's speech. Abe Selassie, IMF Director of the African Department, highlights that by 2030 half of the annual increase of the global workforce will come from Sub-Saharan Africa. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Oct 1, 201829 min

Surveillance: Republicans Trying to Ramp Up Base, Kamarck Says

Barry Eichengreen, University of California Professor Berkeley, analyzes the IMF's future. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Macro Strategies Head, sees little contagion in Europe after the approval of the Italian budget. John Coffee, Columbia Law Professor, says the Tesla board is not strong. Elaine Kamarck, Brookings Institution Senior Fellow, notes the Republicans have no women on the Senate Judiciary Committee. And Shannon Pettypiece, Bloomberg News White House Reporter, updates us on Sen. Flake's decision to confirm Judge Kavanaugh. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Sep 28, 201831 min

Surveillance: A Road Map for Today's Kavanaugh Hearing From 1991

Thursday’s Senate hearing over sexual assault allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh stirs memories of similar testimony from 1991. That’s when Supreme Court nominee Clarence Thomas was called back in his confirmation process to face the sexual misconduct allegations of Anita Hill. Bloomberg’s Bob Moon reports on how this scenario played out 27 years ago.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Sep 27, 20189 min

Surveillance: The Dollar Can Climb Higher, Foley Says

Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the dollar can climb higher. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, is skeptical about Congress ratifying a bilateral trade agreement with Mexico. Peter Chatwell, Mizuho International Head of European Rates Strategy, thinks the ECB could go negative again in the future. And Michelle Meyer, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of US Economics, tells us whether to rent or buy property. And Bob Moon, Bloomberg Radio Daybreak Host, joins us to discuss Judge Kavanaugh and 1991. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Sep 27, 201837 min

Surveillance: Multilateralism Is A Better Way, Gurria Says

Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs Global Head of Commodities Research & Partner, says they are bullish on owning oil. Werner Hoyer, European Investment Bank President, says Europe is behind in investment. Michael R. Bloomberg, Former Mayor of New York City & Bloomberg LP Founder, says the U.S. needs to have access to China's markets. Angel Gurria, OECD Secretary General, says it is crucial that trade continuous to drive growth. And Roger Ferguson, TIAA CEO & Former Federal Reserve Vice Chair, discusses the Fed rate decision due this afternoon. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Sep 26, 201842 min

Surveillance: China's Engagement Positive For EM, Spence Says

Michael Spence, NYU Professor & Nobel Laureate, says China wants to be a positive influence in the developing world. Chris Verrone, Strategas Partner & Head of Technical Strategy, sees discipline in the credit markets. Sarah Ponczek, Bloomberg News Cross Asset Reporter, is watching Facebook shares following the departure of Instagram's founders. Patrick Gregory, Bloomberg Supreme Court Reporter, discusses the latest in the contentious confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh. Erik Schatzker, Bloomberg Editor-at-Large, hops in the booth to discuss the resignation of Argentina's Central Bank Governor Luis Caputo.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Sep 25, 201827 min